Wednesday's Service Plays Thread

[BettorsChat]

nt

[fleetfox]

WinOnBaseball.com - Wednesday - 8/4/04

Welcome to our first annual service free trial!

-- WinOnBaseball handicaps Major League Baseball exclusively.

-- All plays with analysis, along with current and past season records, will be updated weekly on the "Records" page of our website.

-- All records will be documented at National Sports Monitor (*********.com)

-- NEXT UPDATE will be sent before 6:00am Pacific on Wednesday, August 5th.

Season record: 193-199 - 22.06 UNITS

Five plays for Wednesday:

MIL (DAVIS) -120 over NYM (Trachsel) - 1 UNIT - 5:05pm Pacific
Both Davis and Trachsel have a big difference in their home/road splits. Both pitchers are very good at home and very unimpressive on the road. Davis is at home in this one, and the Mets have problems with lefties. Davis threw a gem his last time out, and he should continue to pitch well, given his home numbers, Trachsel's road numbers, and the Mets' numbers against lefties.

CIN (ACEVEDO) +153 over SF (Tomko) - 1 UNIT - 7:05pm Pacific
Acevedo has been mired in a bad stretch, but the root of his problems has been the long ball. Otherwise, his underlying numbers have remained good. SBC park should mask his weakness. Tomko has very average stuff, and for the Giants to be this big of a favorite with him on the mound, I think this is pretty good value.

OAK (HARDEN) +134 over NYY (Loaiza) - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Last season seems more and more like a fluke for Loazia. His control, HR/9, and dominance have all fallen to pre-2003 levels. What stands out is his HR/9, as he's been giving up a lot of dingers this year. Oakland is very proficient at the long ball, so they should match up well against Loaiza.

OVER 9.5 OAK (HARDEN)/NYY (LOAIZA) -108 - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific

BOS (ARROYO) -143 over TB (Halama) - 1 UNIT - 4:05pm Pacific
Arroyo has been very impressive lately. He hasn't given up a walk in his last two starts, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. He definitely has the stuff to be very successful, and with that offense behind him, he should be a safe bet to earn a

[fleetfox]

Boxer Sports

Florida Marlins - J. Beckett @ Arizona D-Backs - R. Johnson
Play The Total Under 7 ( 2* )

Philadelphia Phillies - E. Milton @ San Diego Padres - A. Eaton
961 Phillies +127 ( 2* )

[fleetfox]

Marc Lawrence Tip of the Day

The NY Mets are 3-14 away in Game Two of a series this season. Milwaukee is 18-8 home at night vs right handers and 11-5 on Wednesdays this season.

[fleetfox]

SportsBookGuru

Wednesday Play: 2 units chicago Cubs -149

[fleetfox]

FREEBIES

Handicapper League Game Date and Start Time (Eastern) Game Pick Type Pick Unit Value

Ace's High Sports MLB 8/4/2004 at 7:05:00 PM Boston Red Sox/Arroyo at Tampa Bay Devil Rays/Halama overunder Boston Red Sox/Tampa Bay Devil Rays u9 5

Black Cobra Sports MLB 8/4/2004 at 7:05:00 PM Boston Red Sox/Arroyo at Tampa Bay Devil Rays/Halama overunder Boston Red Sox/Tampa Bay Devil Rays u9 5

T-N-T Sports Picks MLB 8/4/2004 at 7:05:00 PM Boston Red Sox/Arroyo at Tampa Bay Devil Rays/Halama pointspread Tampa Bay Devil Rays +1.5 5

Crusaders Sport Picks MLB 8/4/2004 at 8:05:00 PM New York Mets/Trachsel at Milwaukee Brewers/Davis team New York Mets 5

Greg Feese Sports MLB 8/4/2004 at 8:05:00 PM Atlanta Braves/Thomson at Houston Astros/Redding team Atlanta Braves 5

Porky's Picks MLB 8/4/2004 at 8:10:00 PM Montreal Expos/Hernandez at St Louis Cardinals/Suppan team St Louis Cardinals 5

BIG BOARD SPORTS MLB 8/4/2004 at 8:10:00 PM Anaheim Angels/Sele at Minnesota Twins/Lohse team Anaheim Angels 5

RED ZONE SPORTS© MLB 8/4/2004 at 10:10:00 PM Pittsburgh Pirates/Fogg at Los Angeles Dodgers/Lima team Pittsburgh Pirates 5

[fleetfox]

Jimmy the Moose FREEBIE

Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers
Wednesday, August 4, 2004 10:05 P.M. EDT EST

Heading into last night's game the Pirates had a 23-28 road record. When facing a team with a winning record the Pirates are 35-41. The Dodgers are 32-19 at home and in the second half of the season LA is 10-3 versus teams with a losing record. The Pirates are only 3-7 when Fogg starts on the road while LA is 8-1 when Lima starts at home. Play on the Dodgers.
Good Luck - Jimmy the Moose.

Play on: Los Angeles Dodgers

[fleetfox]

Vegas Experts Tip of the Day

Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays, Wednesday, August 4, 2004, 7:05 P.M. EDT EST

Westbrook has pitched well for the Indians this season but he doesn't do very well in this role as he has a 1-7 team start record when the line is from +$1.25 to -$1.25. Towers has been a late season pitcher as he's posted an 11-1 team start record in the second half of the season over the last three years. Look for Towers to out pitch Westbrook tonight in Toronto.

Play on: Toronto

[ItsBillBelichick]

Winning Selections 144-135, +37.9*

MLB

3* Milwaukee -120 (Davis vs Trachsel)

3* Colorado +140 (Wright vs Zambrano)

3* Los Angeles -160 (Lima vs Fogg)

3* Cleveland +110 (Westbrook vs Towers)

3* Tampa Bay +135 (Halama vs Arroyo)


GL

[fleetfox]

Riddle Sports FREEBIE

08.04.04 BLUE JAYS (TOWERS) -115 over Indians (Westbrook)

Even when giving a solid effort, as Elarton did last night in his best road start of the year, at some point the Jays will get to tee off versus the Indians kerosene bullpen. Josh Towers is putting together some strong numbers lately and Jake Westbrook is not at his peak. The Indians, and Westbrook, are real comers, but are at least a year away from being "ready for prime time" and the party is over. We really can't look for much more on the road from this rebuilding club

[Spark]

Dunkel Index - Wednesday
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 4

New York Mets (Trachsel) 10.41 (1) Milwaukee* (Davis)
O/U: 8

Atlanta (Thomson) 11.71 (1) Houston* (Redding) 10.94
O/U: 9

St. Louis* (Suppan) 12.58 (1/2) Montreal (Hernandez) 12.44
O/U: 8 1/2

Chicago Cubs (Zambrano) 12.13 (1) Colorado* (Wright) 11.21
O/U: 12

Arizona* (Johnson) 10.25 (1/2) Florida (Beckett) 9.86
O/U: 7

San Diego* (Eaton) 11.11 (1) Philadelphia (Milton) 10.21
O/U: 8 1/2

Los Angeles* (Lima) 12.04 (1) Pittsburgh (Fogg) 10.84
O/U: 8 1/2

San Francisco* (Tomko) 12.56 (3 1/2) Cincinnati (Acevedo) 8.94
O/U: 10 1/2

American League

Baltimore* (Cabrera) 11.92 (2 1/2) Seattle (Meche) 9.34
O/U: 10

Oakland (Harden) 11.99 (1 1/2) New York Yankees* (Loaiza)
O/U: 10

Detroit* (Johnson) 10.71 (1) Texas (Bacsik) 9.95
O/U: 10

Toronto* (Towers) 10.47 (1) Cleveland (Westbrook) 9.33
O/U: 9

Boston* (Arroyo) 12.05 (2 1/2) Tampa Bay* (Halama) 9.64
O/U: 9

Minnesota* (Lohse) 11.90 (1/2) Anaheim (Sele) 11.41
O/U: 9 1/2

Chicago White Sox (Schoeneweis) 10.93 (2 1/2) Kansas City* (Anderson) 8.45
O/U: 10

[rocko]

FACTSMAN PLAY

THIS GUY HAS BEEN ON FIRRRRRRE

Yankee total went over just as yesterdays breakdown in my post showed you why it went over in the 4th inning
Betting baseball successfully is all about versatility.and finding the spots…. and leaving human emotion and what we perceive to what should happen and what will happen in making the right calls

WEDNESDAY…. we will stay in the yankee oakland game tonight but with a twist
YANKEES-A’S WILL GO UNDER 9.5 ………..THAT IS A FACT

Now you guys are saying facts if we bet over last night with a the al cy young pitcher
And win it and win in easily why would we play under tonight ?

WELL……LOAIZA MAKES HIS YANKEE DEBUT AND HE WILL GET PLENTY OF FAN SUPPORT AND SHOULD BE UP FOR THIS GAME. I LIKE THE FACT WHEN LOAIZA IS ON HE INDUCES A LOT OF GROUND BALL OUTS HE IS REAL TOUGH WHEN AHEAD IN THE COUNT AND I EXPECT HIM TO GET SOME BORDER LINE STRIKES TO GO HIS WAY…UMPIRES GET SWAYED BY CROWD NOISE ESPECIALLY WITH 2 STRIKES LOAIZA EVEN WHEN HE IS NOT ON HIS GAME NEVER GETS POUNDED……..AT WORST HE MAY GIVE UP 3 RUNS HERE
NOW HARDEN FOR THE A”S IS A YANKEE NIGHTMARE . HE THROWS STRIKES AND U DON’T TAKE HIM DEEP ONLY 9 HRS IN 119 INNINGS WITH 111 STRIKE OUTS HE THROWS A 97 PLUS FAST BALL THAT HANDCUFFS RIGHT HANDERS…..SO JETER,AROD,SHEFF,BERNIE, POSADA.CLARK
SHOULD HAVE PROBLEMS WITH THIS KID.
REMEMBER THE YANKEES LEAD THE LEAD IN WALKS AND HOME RUNS
SO IF YOU GET A PITCHER WHO HAS GOOD COMMAND AND DOESN’T WALK MANY AND ISNT SUBJECTED TO GIVING UP THE LONG BALLS
THE YANKEES BECOME JUST A AVERAGE HITTING TEAM.
FIRST TEAM TO SCORE 4 WINS THIS GAME I DON’T SEE 6 RUNS TOTAL
FOR THE WHOLE GAME……….THIS GAME IS EASY

FOR THE NEW GUYS WHO JOINED THE FACTS FAMAILY LAST NIGHT
OUT OF THE GATES WINNING 3 OUT OF 4………THAT WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT
AFTER TODAY THE PROGRAM I OFFERED TO THE GUYS WILL END AS
THE FOOTBALL SEASON IS A FEW DAYS AWAY AND I WILL BE STRICTLY CONCENTRATING ON MY POSTS HERE AND DELIVERING THE FOOTBALL AND BASEBALL TO MY GUYS.
I WILL BE GONE FROM FRI- SUN BUT I WILL WORK ON GETTING ONE OF THE GUYS TO POST MY GAME FOR FRI-SAT –SUN…

[Art Vandelay]

Got a cold call from one of Feist's "clowns" last night. Football is obviously right around the corner when these goons come out of the woodwork!

[savage1]

Art-Of course you got a call from Feist;he wants to get back some of the money from his divorce;from what I heard, he was really raked over the coals

[Art Vandelay]

Probably not his first divorce, or his first day in a courtroom for that matter. I'll take a wild stab and say we'll probably all be getting our share of these annoying calls over the next month!