Sunday's Service Plays & Request Thread

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nt

[fleetfox]

WinOnBaseball.com - Sunday - 8/1/04

Welcome to our first annual service free trial!

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Season record: 191-193 - 17.88 UNITS

Six plays for Sunday:

UNDER 8 NYM (GLAVINE)/PHI (BYRD) -111 - 1 UNIT - 10:05am Pacific
Byrd has put up some pretty good peripheral numbers so far this year. His K/9 is 5.3, which isn't great, but it's good for him, considering that he's not a strikeout artist. His K/BB is an impressive 3.4. This mirrors his excellent season he had with the Royals in 2002. With Leo Mazzone on his side, he should continue to be pretty good. Glavine has also been good, but he's been even better in day games, where he has 1.28 ERA and .207 BAA.

HOU (OSWALT) -145 over Cin (Wilson) - 1 UNIT - 10:15am Pacific
Wilson's external numbers are good, but a look at his peripheral numbers indicate that he's been getting lucky. In particular, his strand rate has been abnormally high. Once his strand rate starts to normalize, expect the runners to score and his ERA to go up. This might be a good spot for that to happen. Oswalt has had great success against the Reds lineup, so I think he will keep them at bay.

PIT (WELLS) +151 over Mil (Sheets) - 1 UNIT - 11:05am Pacific
Over his last five starts, Wells has thrown four high quality ones. Over this stretch, he has a 2.59 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, .197 BAA, and is keeping the ball in the park. The Pirates have seen Sheets twice this year, and he hasn't exactly dominated them. I think this is good value, given Wells' recent surge.

ARI (GONZALEZ) +190 over Col (Cook) - 1 UNIT - 12:05pm Pacific
Gonzalez has been poor and Cook has been good, but I still don't think the Rockies should ever be -200 favorites. Cook, with his sinkerball, has the stuff to be successful at Coors, but his control has been spotty. Anything can happen in this ballpark, so I'll take the high number.

OVER 7 LA (PEREZ)/SD (WELLS) -116 - 1 UNIT - 1:05pm Pacific
Wells has given up 10 ER in his last two starts, and recently revealed that he's been playing with a sore left knee. Perez hasn't had too much success against the Padres, and this is a pretty low number to overcome.

LA (PEREZ) +124 over SD (Wells) - 1 UNIT - 1:05pm Pacific

[fleetfox]

Marc Lawrence Tip of the Day

Cleveland’s C.C. Sabathia is 12-5 in his career team starts in August. Kansas City is 2-12 home in Game Three of a series this season.

[fleetfox]

Robert Ross FREEBIE

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
Sunday, August 1, 2004 1:05 P.M. EDT EST

The Mets made a couple trade deadline deals to shore up their starting staff. However, unless they shore up their defense they're never going to be a contending club and their pitchers will never be all that they can be.
Good Luck - Robert Ross

Play on: Atlanta

[fleetfox]

Pure Lock FREEBIE

Selection: BALTIMORE @ NY YANKEES 1:05 PM EST
PLAY ON: NY YANKEES (LOPEZ/HERNANDEZ) LISTED

[friday]

winning points

CINCINNATI (Wilson) +$145 over HOUSTON (Oswalt)

The Astros are, by far, the biggest money burners in the National
League both as favorites (-$2645) and overall (-$2540). They are
also $1465 in the red vs. righthanders.and -$570 on the road. Paul Wilson (9-2, 3.84 ERA) is 5-1 at home with a 2.63 ERA and a .225 BAA. The Reds are 13-7 (+$910, the second best total in the NL behind Eric Milton) including 7-3 (+$400) in his 10 home starts.

[Spark]

Dunkel Index - Sunday
SUNDAY, AUGUST 1

National League

Atlanta* (Byrd) 12.17 (1 1/2) New York Mets (Glavine) 10.73
O/U: 7 1/2

Houston (Oswalt) 11.51 (2) Cincinnati* (Wilson) 9.52
O/U: 8 1/2

Pittsburgh (Wells) 10.68 (1) Milwaukee* (Sheets) 9.52
O/U: 6 1/2

Chicago Cubs* (Maddux) 12.16 (2 1/2) Philadelphia (Wolf) 9.66
O/U: 8 1/2

Florida* (Pavano) 11.67 (1/2) Montreal (Day) 11.49
O/U: 8

Colorado* (Cook) 12.22 (4) Arizona (Gonzalez) 8.02
O/U: 14

San Francisco* (Schmidt) 11.56 (Even) St. Louis (Williams) 11.53
O/U: 8

San Diego* (Wells) 11.62 (1/2) Los Angeles (Perez) 11.24
O/U: 8

American League

New York Yankees* (Hernandez) 11.16 (1/2) Baltimore (Lopez) 10.68
O/U: 9 1/2

Chicago White Sox (Garcia) 11.36 (1/2) Detroit* (Bonderman) 10.68
O/U: 8

Tampa Bay* (Brazelton) 10.84 (1) Toronto (Douglass) 9.86
O/U: 8 1/2

Oakland (Redman) 11.29 (1) Texas* (Regilio) 10.10
O/U: 10 1/2

Minnesota* (Santana) 11.50 (1/2) Boston (Martinez) 11.25
O/U: 7

Cleveland (Sabathia) 10.58 (2) Kansas City* (May) 8.51
O/U: 9

Anaheim* (Colon) 11.97 (2 1/2) Seattle (Franklin) 9.49
O/U: 8 1/2

[savage1]

Northcoast Compline has a 3* from Billy Coleman on under the total in Cleveland/KC.

[Spark]

BOB G

JULY: 17-7

Chicago Cubs -1.5 runs +140 over Philadelphia

Talk about a team motivated by a trade how about the Cubs. They were getting horrible play out of their shortstop both hitting and fielding. Now they get Nomar. They are playing a Phillies team that is about to fire Larry Bowa. Bowa will be lucky to make it past today. The Phillies are the biggest disappointment and have lost five of their last six. The Cubbies are 4-2 in their last 6. Greg Maddux has been lights out recently with a 1.13 ERA and the Cubs have won his last three starts and seven of his last 10. Wolf has a 5.28 ERA in his last three and the Phillies are 1-4 in his last 5.

[fleetfox]

FREEBIES

Handicapper League Game Date and Start Time (Eastern) Game Pick Type Pick Unit Value

BIG BOARD SPORTS MLB 8/1/2004 at 1:05:00 PM New York Mets/Glavine at Atlanta Braves/Byrd team New York Mets 5

FreeHandicapping MLB 8/1/2004 at 1:05:00 PM New York Mets/Glavine at Atlanta Braves/Byrd overunder New York Mets/Atlanta Braves u8 5

Devil's Picks MLB 8/1/2004 at 1:05:00 PM Baltimore Orioles/Lopez at New York Yankees/Hernandez team New York Yankees 5

T-N-T Sports Picks MLB 8/1/2004 at 1:15:00 PM Houston Astros/Oswalt at Cincinnati Reds/Wilson pointspread Cincinnati Reds +1.5 5

The Wagering Edge MLB 8/1/2004 at 2:05:00 PM Oakland Athletics/Redman at Texas Rangers/Regilio team Oakland Athletics 5

Wunderdog MLB 8/1/2004 at 2:10:00 PM Boston Red Sox/Martinez at Minnesota Twins/Santana team Boston Red Sox 1

Hudson Sports MLB 8/1/2004 at 2:10:00 PM Cleveland Indians/Sabathia at Kansas City Royals/May team Cleveland Indians 5

SPJ Sports MLB 8/1/2004 at 2:10:00 PM Cleveland Indians/Sabathia at Kansas City Royals/May overunder Cleveland Indians/Kansas City Royals u9 5

Black Cobra Sports MLB 8/1/2004 at 2:10:00 PM Cleveland Indians/Sabathia at Kansas City Royals/May team Cleveland Indians 5

Ace's High Sports MLB 8/1/2004 at 2:20:00 PM Philadelphia Phillies/Wolf at Chicago Cubs/Maddux team Chicago Cubs 5

Crusaders Sport Picks MLB 8/1/2004 at 3:05:00 PM Montreal Expos/Day at Florida Marlins/Pavano team Florida Marlins 5

Porky's Picks MLB 8/1/2004 at 4:05:00 PM Seattle Mariners/Franklin at Anaheim Angels/Colon overunder Seattle Mariners/Anaheim Angels o9 5

sportshandicappinghotline MLB 8/1/2004 at 4:05:00 PM Los Angeles Dodgers/Perez at San Diego Padres/Wells team San Diego Padres 3

JCDSPORTS MLB 8/1/2004 at 8:05:00 PM St Louis Cardinals/Williams at San Francisco Giants/Schmidt team St Louis Cardinals 2

crazyc14 MLB 8/1/2004 at 8:05:00 PM St Louis Cardinals/Williams at San Francisco Giants/Schmidt team San Francisco Giants 5

ActionSportsHandicapping MLB 8/1/2004 at 8:05:00 PM St Louis Cardinals/Williams at San Francisco Giants/Schmidt overunder St Louis Cardinals/San Francisco Giants

[fleetfox]

FREEBIES

FREE PICK LEADERS - OVER THE PAST 7-DAYS

Handicapper Record Today's Free Play
WinWithMike. 5-0 +20.20 MLB - Boston Red Sox PK -107 4u

MeatAndPotatoes 5-2 +20.15 MLB - Montreal Expos PK +168 5u

Cajun-Sports 5-2 +13.75 MLB - Colorado Rockies PK -139 5u

Porky's Picks 5-2 +11.95 MLB - ARI Under 12½ -115 5u

William Foote 5-2 +6.10 MLB - NYM Under 8 -120 2u

Kevin North 4-2 +5.70 MLB - Philadelphia Phillies PK +140 2u

OCaseys Sports 4-2 +5.40 MLB - St. Louis Cardinals PK -142 5u
'
The Wagering Edge 3-2 +5.32 MLB - Pittsburgh Pirates PK +155 3u

Sports Picks Made Easy 3-2 +5.00 MLB - Colorado Rockies PK -145 5u

Black Cobra Sports 4-3 +4.25 MLB - Chicago White Sox PK -119 5u

National Handicapping 1-0 +4.00 MLB - OAK Under 10½ -110 4u

All Free Sports Picks 4-2 +3.42 MLB - Florida Marlins PK -178 4u

National Sports Advisors 1-0 +2.00 Check Later

Devils Picks 4-3 +1.90 MLB - Boston Red Sox PK -105 5u

10 Star Picks 4-3 +1.84 MLB - Detroit Tigers PK +113 2u

Bob G Sports 4-3 +1.60 MLB - SEA Over 9½ -110 2u

Michael Alexander 3-2 +1.38 MLB - Texas Rangers PK -124 2u

[Spark]

JEFF BENTON

Ok, I am on a 28-12 free pick run and I will get to your next free winner in just a second.

Sunday we go with Anaheim -1 1/2 runs.

Bartolo Colon has been incredible in the 2nd half and will shut this lineup down, especially after yesterday's marathon, extra-inning game.

Anaheim may be without Guerrero and Eckstein after both were hit by balls yesterday, so we'll need a few runs, but I'm looking at a 4-1 ball game, maybe 5-2.

Colon has taken in consideration some serious changes with his delivery that was costing him huge in the first half, and most of all it is the time between pitches that he takes.

Colon is now in a groove and his delivery is much more smoother than it has been in the past.

Look for Seattle, which could've won yesterday after taking an 11th inning lead, but was emotionally drained after losing in the bottom half of the inning, to leave its game at the Anaheim Hilton today!!!



3* ANAHEIM -1 1/2 RUNS

[BigMike]

Originally posted by SPARK
BOB G

JULY: 17-7

Chicago Cubs -1.5 runs +140 over Philadelphia

Talk about a team motivated by a trade how about the Cubs. They were getting horrible play out of their shortstop both hitting and fielding. Now they get Nomar. They are playing a Phillies team that is about to fire Larry Bowa. Bowa will be lucky to make it past today. The Phillies are the biggest disappointment and have lost five of their last six. The Cubbies are 4-2 in their last 6. Greg Maddux has been lights out recently with a 1.13 ERA and the Cubs have won his last three starts and seven of his last 10. Wolf has a 5.28 ERA in his last three and the Phillies are 1-4 in his last 5.

I don't appreciate this buddy!!! Is this your own write up?

[fleetfox]

Mike Neri

Sunday August 1, 2004

Houston w/ Oswalt -153 risk 1 unit to make .65 units 1:15 EST

Chicago Cubs w/ Maddux -151 risk 1 unit to make .65 units 2:20 EST

Cleveland w/ Sabathia -152 risk 1 unit to make .65 units 2:10 EST

[fleetfox]

From Another Site

Don Best steam plays are 40-29 the last six days.
Todays plays so far, are:

TB -140,
Mets +130,
Cubs/Phil ov 9,
Fla/Mont ov 7.5,
Milw/Pit und 7,
SD -130,
Det +125,
Bos/Min und 7.5