Monday's Service Plays Thread & Requests

[scraper]

Joe Gavazzi''s

Here''s today''s Penthouse Pick:


Chicago White Sox with Schoenweis (-105) over Cleveland with Sabathia
We stay in the Windy City following our 4-1 victory with the Cubs
yesterday. Today we show that there is more about winning Baseball
selections than starting pitchers. The White Sox have a substantial
hitting advantage over the Indians as well as clearly the better bullpen
vs. a Tribe relief corp that is the worst in MLB. Cleveland''s Sabathia
has an outstanding 2.99 ERA yet Cleveland is just 6-7 in his starts
including just 1-4 on the road. Schoenweis has dropped his last three
decisions to fall to 5-5 on the year, yet he is a perfect 2-0 vs.
Cleveland this season. Home/Road dichtomy clinches this decision as the
White Sox are 20-12 at home while Cleveland is just 12-19 away.

[ItsBillBelichick]

Top Daily Play

Here you go Fats12


Over 8 Dodger/Giants

GL

[fats12]

Re: Top Daily Play

Originally posted by ItsBillBelichick
Here you go Fats12


Over 8 Dodger/Giants

Thanks Brother!

GL

[drugstuntman]

Rob Crowne 104 of 177 +23.7 units

Anybody see Michael Alexander picks today - he is posting 33-13 last 46...has 4 pack on a light day......

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


We're taking the big underdog Pirates to plunder the Astros. Didn't know that Pitt was a bunch of Space Pirates did you? I guess you have to go to parties with them to know that.

Anyway, both pitchers are awful. Redding has an 8.11 ERA on the road at night, allowing a huge 17.6 hits & walks per 9 innings. For Pitt, Fogg, whose been in a Fogg lately, has an 8.24 ERA on the road at night, allowing 13.5 hits & walks per 9.

Since hits and walks allowed is a much more accurate measurement of pitcher performance than ERA, Pittsburgh gets the edge in pitching. The available bull pens are approximately equal.

Offensively, Houston hits .290 against righties at home, while the Pirates hit .286 against righties on the road. That's too close to call the hitting anything but equal.

Pittsburgh get the slight pitching edge in what is otherwise a pick'em affair. The odds on Pittsburgh are +160, however. Anytime you can get +160 on a coin flip, take it and you'll eventually be rich.

[Spark]

Baseball Play/Monday......

A nice winner on the Reds/Cards Under yesterday....Here is today's freebie....

Anaheim Angels -115 (Harden/Lackey)

AAA Sports

[Spark]

Monday Night Baseball Play

6/21/04: Free Play from Prime Sports Picks

ARIZONA (Fossum) +150 at SAN DIEGO (Valdez) -160:
MLB - 10:05PM (EST)

Not much action on the bases tonight, so we are digging deep here for a nice risk / reward situation in the Diamondbacks & Padres game.

Neither of these two teams are playing very well, Arizona has just 4 wins in their last 10, dropping 5 of their last 6, while the Padres are just (2-8) in their last 10 games, losing 7 of their last 8. In fact, both teams are coming off series against the exact same 3 teams - the Yankees, Tampa Bay & Toronto (& both were swept by the D-Rays).

Yes Valdez has been the better of the two pitchers this season, but considering that both offenses are struggling lately (averaging under 3.5 runs per game in their last 10), it appears the line is over-valuing San Diego at -160. Take a look at the numbers yourself and decide whether the reward of a play on Arizona outweighs the risk.

Best of luck,
-Drew

Prime Sports Picks

[govjim]

The Sandman's 5% Monday Night MLB Best Bet Release:
# 903 Arizona Diamondbacks (Fossum) +150 over San Diego Padres (Valdez)
Please List ONLY Arizona SP Casey Fossum for This Release.
RESTRICTED to Arizona on the Straight Money Line (No Run Lines)
Please Invest at +150 to RISK 5% Bankroll (10:07 PM EDT First Pitch)
Sandman GameTime Weather Intel: Prtly Cldy, 64 Deg, Wind In from Right 8 MPH

The Sandman's 5% Monday Night MLB Best Bet Release:
# 905 LA Dodgers (Perez) -120 over San Francisco Giants (Rueter)
Please List BOTH STARTING PITCHERS for This Release.
RESTRICTED to Dodger Blue on the Straight Money Line (No Run Lines)
Please Invest at -120 to WIN 5% Bankroll (10:17 PM EDT First Pitch)
Sandman GameTime Weather Intel: Sunny, 57 Deg, Wind In from Center 15 MPH

The Sandman's 5% Monday Night MLB Best Bet Release:
# 909 Oakland/Anaheim (Harden/Lackey) UNDER 9 (-120)
Please List BOTH STARTING PITCHERS for This Release.
RESTRICTED to Under 9 Runs or More (At -120 or Better)
Please Invest at Under 9 Runs to WIN 5% Bankroll (10:07 PM EDT First Pitch)
Sandman GameTime Weather Intel: Prtly Cldy, 69 Deg, Wind IN from LC 6 MPH

[govjim]

GODS PICKS

HOUSTON (REDDING –175) Pittsburgh (Fogg)

Houston is in the midst of an 11-game home stand and need to get well quick. Welcome Pittsburgh Pirates. They have lost 17-of-20. The Pirates bring in a pitcher who has been in a “fogg” all year. Josh Fogg has a 7.16 road ERA and 6.57 overall. Houston is 39-12 at home in the series including 16-4 last three years. The Pirates are 0-6 as a road dog of 150-175.

The Pirates are hitting just .220 with an OBP of .264 over the last week. We look for the Astros to get back on track against the reeling Bucs.

[govjim]

BOB G PASSES TODAY. I THINK JCD DOES ALSO

[govjim]

Sebastian Sports (13-6-0 / +848)
CLEVE (-103)

[govjim]

LINECRUSHER

Plays for Monday, June 21st

6:00 Eastern Update

2*Arizona/Fossum - San Diego/Valdez OVER 8 runs -115 ($230 to win $200)
The opposition has scored 4 or more total runs in 5 of Fossum's 7 starts and the opposition has scored 4 or more total runs in 7 of Valdez's 12 starts. The opposition has scored 9 or more total runs in Valdez's last 2 starts, 6 or more total runs in 5 of his last 7 starts and 6 or more total runs in 6 of his last 9 starts.

2*Dodgers/Perez -115 over San Francisco/Rueter ($230 to win $200)
The opposition has scored 3 or less total runs in 6 of Perez's 7 road starts, 4 or less total runs in 13 of his 14 starts this season and 3 or less total runs in 9 of those 14 starts. The opposition has scored 4 or more total runs in 5 of Rueter's 7 home starts and 4 or more total runs in 11 of his 14 starts overall.

2*WSox/Schoenewies EVEN over Cleveland/Sabathia ($200 to win $200)
The opposition has scored 4 or less total runs in 10 of Schoenewies's 13 starts while the opposition has scored 5 or more total runs in 4 of Sabathia's 6 road starts and 5 or more total runs in 8 of his 13 starts.

2*Anaheim/Lackey -114 over Oakland/Harden ($228 to win $200)
Harden has been hammered recently as the opposition has scored 8, 6, 8 and 6 total runs in his last 4 starts. Oakland is 2-4 in Harden's 6 road starts as the opposition has scored 5 or more total runs in 4 of his 6 road starts and 5 or more total runs in 5 of his last 6 starts overall. The opposition has scored 4 or less total runs in Lackey's last 5 home starts and 4 or less total runs in 7 of his last 11 starts overall.


Todays Free Pick: Monday, June 21st
Free pick posted by 6:00 Eastern Monday thru Friday, by 12:30 Eastern on Saturday and Sunday
Pittsburgh/Fogg - Houston/Redding OVER 9 runs

8:05 Eastern
Pittsburgh/Fogg - Houston/Redding OVER 9 runs
The opposition has scored 4 or more total runs in 5 of Fogg's 6 road starts and 4 or more total runs in 8 of his 12 starts overall. The opposition has scored 4 or more total runs in 4 of Redding's 6 home starts and 4 or more total runs in 7 of his 12 starts overall.


NO RECORD POSTED

[govjim]

MARC LAWRENCE (BARF!)

FREE PLAYS 27-6 IN JUNE
DOCUMENTED BY ME, NOT MARK


PADRES

[friday]

winning points

CHICAGO W. SOX (Schoeneweis) -105 vs. CLEVELAND (Sabathia)

This duel of southpaws favors the visitor, given the Indians'
ineffectiveness vs. lefthanders this season (6-15, -$1000
so far). C.C. Sabathia has pitched well, but has suffered from
a lack of run support. The White Sox have lost money vs. lefties,
but have pounded out an average of 6.4 runs per game when
facing them. That's a full two runs per game better than the Tribe,
and that's reason enough for us. And in the long run, Chicago
will be in the playoff picture long after the Indians have faded away.

[fleetfox]

Short Card Today

AAA Sports
1.5*Pirates, Angels

Brian Smith
Reg-Pirates, WhiteSox, DBacks

Cajun Sports
2*PadresUnder

Earl Morgan
Reg-WhiteSox, Angels

Fixer Wins
Pass

Frank Magliosa
Pass

Gateway
Pass

Guaranteed
Pass

Hardball Tech
Pass

LV Sports
10*WhiteSox

Mark Langdon
1*WhiteSox, Athletics

OCD Picks
3*Indians, OakUnder

Private Players
3*WhiteSox

Southcoast
Pass

TX Sportswire
Pass

[Iceyone]

***********

Glen's Picks June 21



20* POD Cle/CWS Over 9.....Over is 3-2 between these two teams this year, 4 of Sabathia's last five, and 3 of Schoeneweis' last 4.

10* Pit/Hou Under 9.....Fogg has been tough, and these teams faced each other 5 times this year, and 4 of 5 went Under (the 5th was a push!).

10* LAD ML.....Perez already beat these guys twice this year, and the Dodgers are doing well. Rueter is not good.

5* Oak ML.....Harden already pitched against these Angels and lost, Lackey hasn't seen them yet. Anaheim swept the A's in Oakland when they met last, that won't happen this time, starting with today.