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Re: Sunday Service Plays Thread
Originally posted by fleetfox
WinOnBaseball.com - Sunday - 6/20/04
Welcome to our first annual service free trial!
-- WinOnBaseball handicaps Major League Baseball exclusively.
-- All plays with analysis, along with current and past season records, will be updated weekly on the "Records" page of our website.
-- All records will be documented at National Sports Monitor (*********.com)
-- NEXT UPDATE will be sent before 6:00am Pacific on Monday, June 21st.
Season record: 130-146 -30.09 UNITS
Lines from Pinnacle current as of 10:59pm Pacific on 06/19/04.
Three plays for Sunday:
MIN (SANTANA) -115 over Mil (Santos) - 2 UNITS - 11:05am Pacific
Lost yesterday's 2 unit play in frustrating fashion, but I'll take the Twins again today. I don't think there's any question that Santana is all the way back. He has a 2.78 ERA in 22.2 IP this month, to go along with a 24/4 K/BB ratio and .167 BAA. Moreover, Milwaukee is hitting only .227 against lefties. Santos has been winning, but his skill set isn't very good. Righties are hitting .321 against him, and his BB/9 is pretty bad. He improved his numbers in his last start, but that was against the punchless Seattle offense. Santana should put in another fine performance, and Santos will get exposed sooner or later.
UNDER 7.5 SEA (GARCIA)/PIT (PEREZ) -129 - 1 UNIT - 10:35am Pacific
Garcia has been pitching very well this year, and wants out of Seattle, so he may be more focused than usual so that he can showcase his stuff. He should not have much trouble against Pittsburgh's offense. Seattle's offense continues to struggle, and they face a very good lefty in Perez. Seattle's numbers against lefties is much better than against righties, but those numbers are inflated by Ichiro, Ibanez, and Martinez. Ibanez is on the DL and Martinez won't play because there's no DH in this game, so I don't expect an offensive explosion from them.
OVER 9 ANA (WASHBURN)/HOU (MILLER) +113 - 1 UNIT - 11:05am Pacific
As a flyball pitcher, Minute Maid Park is not a good matchup for Washburn. He's kept his HR rate in check so far this year, but he's been known to give up the gopher ball in the past. Pitching in this park may bring out that tendency again. Anaheim's offense should continue to get better as their regulars from the DL get more playing time.
PLEASE NOTE: All wagers are recommended for a "base" unit. Thus a side for 1 UNIT at -110 should be considered risking 1.10 UNITS to win 1.00 UNITS, while a team at +110 should be considered risking 1.00 UNITS to win 1.10 UNITS.
WinOnBaseball.com - Sunday - 6/20/04
Welcome to our first annual service free trial!
-- WinOnBaseball handicaps Major League Baseball exclusively.
-- All plays with analysis, along with current and past season records, will be updated weekly on the "Records" page of our website.
-- All records will be documented at National Sports Monitor (*********.com)
-- NEXT UPDATE will be sent before 6:00am Pacific on Monday, June 21st.
Season record: 130-146 -30.09 UNITS
Lines from Pinnacle current as of 10:59pm Pacific on 06/19/04.
Three plays for Sunday:
MIN (SANTANA) -115 over Mil (Santos) - 2 UNITS - 11:05am Pacific
Lost yesterday's 2 unit play in frustrating fashion, but I'll take the Twins again today. I don't think there's any question that Santana is all the way back. He has a 2.78 ERA in 22.2 IP this month, to go along with a 24/4 K/BB ratio and .167 BAA. Moreover, Milwaukee is hitting only .227 against lefties. Santos has been winning, but his skill set isn't very good. Righties are hitting .321 against him, and his BB/9 is pretty bad. He improved his numbers in his last start, but that was against the punchless Seattle offense. Santana should put in another fine performance, and Santos will get exposed sooner or later.
UNDER 7.5 SEA (GARCIA)/PIT (PEREZ) -129 - 1 UNIT - 10:35am Pacific
Garcia has been pitching very well this year, and wants out of Seattle, so he may be more focused than usual so that he can showcase his stuff. He should not have much trouble against Pittsburgh's offense. Seattle's offense continues to struggle, and they face a very good lefty in Perez. Seattle's numbers against lefties is much better than against righties, but those numbers are inflated by Ichiro, Ibanez, and Martinez. Ibanez is on the DL and Martinez won't play because there's no DH in this game, so I don't expect an offensive explosion from them.
OVER 9 ANA (WASHBURN)/HOU (MILLER) +113 - 1 UNIT - 11:05am Pacific
As a flyball pitcher, Minute Maid Park is not a good matchup for Washburn. He's kept his HR rate in check so far this year, but he's been known to give up the gopher ball in the past. Pitching in this park may bring out that tendency again. Anaheim's offense should continue to get better as their regulars from the DL get more playing time.
PLEASE NOTE: All wagers are recommended for a "base" unit. Thus a side for 1 UNIT at -110 should be considered risking 1.10 UNITS to win 1.00 UNITS, while a team at +110 should be considered risking 1.00 UNITS to win 1.10 UNITS.
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