Here's how to win in baseball, for now at least

[FastBreak]

Gris............

Gris.............

My lady and I just returned from an evening of
wining and dining.... all thanks to you.

Thank you for the heads-up on Tampa Bay!!

The Best To You,
FB:tongue:

[trick4]

Great call Griswold! Last night was a Double!

[Big Country 5]

Gris

Nice call on TB.I've been playing on them too.Theres an old saying about streaks.You can only lose once.When its over its over but I'm on them till then

Thanks and good luck to all!

[friday]

nice angle griswold

I agree with your handicapping here. one of the best handicapping opportunities in sports is to play on a baseball team on a hot streak. I tend to play on any team that has won 3 or more games. play them until they lose. look at the cardinals. they are playing well. in the last two nights they have gotten all the breaks. they should have lost the finale against oakland but were given a gift when scuarto botted that ball in the 9th. last night they steal another game. when you're hot you tend to get all the breaks. further to this angle, I laugh when people claim that a team on a hot streak is due to lose. just the opposite, they should win if they're playing well and getting breaks.

congrats on an angle many wouldn't touch. guess that's the way vegas makes its money.

btw - is this the same sandman who's plays are posted in the service section?

[griswold]

Arizona pitching status

Arizona is now listing Lance Cormier as the starter. He's been in AAA so far this year (don't know if he's related to veteran Rheal Cormier, but who cares anyway). Arizona still listed as a favorite. Just got +118 on Tampa. Aamazing.

In response to Sandman, sports betting is never easy. But so long as books keep making the hottest team in the game a +underdog and they keep winning, it is easy. It stops being easy when Tampa loses a couple. That could begin today but the value is still there. I suspect the books and public will catch on soon but they haven't yet.

[4breakout]

i have been following streaks for years, they tend to end on weekends.

If you are following streaks lay off on weekends or play a lower unit level till monday.

[thesandman]

Friday. No, I'm not the same sandman that posts in the service section. All my plays are mine and I only post to help the others here because I look for their help when it's NFL time. I do OK at baseball. I do terrible at the NFL.

Griswold. I can tell by your post that YOU have a pretty good handle on what you are doing, but that's not always true for everyone. I just don't want to see someone get caught up in the hype, believing if you just keep betting on Tampa to win you will come out ahead. Just curious Griswold. How did you play the Tampa/SF Giants games on June 9th and 10th, right after Tampa had lost 2 in a row after going 11-4 up to then. I ask because this where it stops being easy and gets tricky. I played on the Giants those two games and they lost, meaning I lost and Tampa won.

4Breakout. I've noticed that too, although it seems that Sunday is the day most streaks end. Saturday seems the same as the rest of the week although, I haven't really looked that closely.

[griswold]

Still a dog!

Early line on Sunday shows D-Backs a slight favorite. Situations like this rarely come along. Ten in a row. About equal ERAs. Yet we're STILL a dog! An 11-4 rout with a dog and we had the one-sided pitching matchup. Proper line on Tampa on Sunday is Tampa-140. Keep playing these absolute gifts until things change.

[thesandman]

Griswold. Early line has Tampa +105. I guess a dog is a dog is a dog. If I can sit still long enough to put my plays for Sunday together, Tampa will be a 3* play. Looking ahead to Tuesday, a Tampa win and a Toronto loss on Sunday, will lead to a big Tampa play on Tuesday. But one thing at a time.

[griswold]

This is truly bizarre

Virtually every time a team in any major sport goes on a prolonged hot streak, everybody and his brother jumps aboard and the team gets hammered by bettors. In most sports this reflects itself in the point spread. In baseball, the prices tend to get expensive on the hot team. But this isn't happening with Tampa. I just played them today at +108! Tampa has a better and hotter pitcher in today's matchup. Arizona is in a funk and has a bad record and the public is still betting against Tampa. The reason this streak has been so rewarding is that virtually all of the wins have produced well over +100. Normally, by now you're having to eat -210 or something like that. Today might end the streak, but it might not. Tampa is playing solid baseball and has been for a month. Let's stay with them until they at least lose two in a row or thier prices finally catch up with reality.

[4breakout]

Webb's last three outings
5 ip 2 er's
5 ip 1 er
6 ip 2 er's

Hendrickson's last 3
7 ip 1 er
7 ip 1 er
6 ip 2 er

both pretty solid, maybe an under play today

[griswold]

ELEVEN in a row and a dog again! Tuesday, Tampa sends 21-year old phenom Chad Gaudin to the mound against Toronto's awful Pat Hentgen (ERA of 5.79). We can't possibly be a dog again, can we? Is the public that dense and are books that clueless? Who are the people that keep laying favorite's money against a team that won't stop winning? What a run...........