Nfl 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors !

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 3

Thursday game
Carolina (2-0) @ Houston (1-1)
— Panthers won first two games at home, giving up 3 TD’s on 23 drives.
— Carolina outscored first two foes 33-0 in first half.
— Panthers allowed total of 93 rushing yards in two games.
— Panthers are 4-8 ATS in last 12 road openers.
— Last five years, Carolina is 2-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— 3rd game for Carolina: opposing QB’s- 2 rookies, Jameis Winston.

— Rookie QB Mills (8-18/102 LW) makes his first NFL start here.
— Jeff Driskel (1-8 as NFL starter) is backup; this is his 4th team in four years.
— Last five years, Texans are 4-7 ATS as home underdogs.
— Texans converted 19-34 third down plays so far.
— Last three years, Texans are 4-7-1 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Over is 2-0 in Houston games, 0-2 in Carolina games.

— Carolina won last three series games, by 15-7-6 points.
— Panthers won two of three visits to Houston.


 

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 23
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

CAR at HOU 08:20 PM
HOU +8.0
O 43.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

2021-2022 Season

NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP

WLT Pct Units Rank

ATS Picks ........13-21-0 ..........39.39%...........- 50.05

O/U Picks ..........9-10-0 ..........50.00%...........- 10.00

Totals...............22-31-0...........41.50%..........- 60.05


BEST BETS:

ATS Picks........... 6-15-0............ 28.57% .............-52.50

O/U Picks..........12-12-0.............50.00%..............- 6.00

Totals...............18-27-0.............40.00%..............- 58.50

UPDATED ON 09/23/2021

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 3

Sunday games
Arizona (2-0) @ Jacksonville (0-2)
— Arizona won its first two games, scoring 72 points.
— Cardinals have nine TD’s on 23 drives; they scored 24 in first half both games.
— Arizona has 55 points on nine drives to red zone (6.11)
— Last five years, Arizona is 5-6 ATS as road favorites.
— Cardinals are 10-15 ATS last 25 games vs AFC teams.
— Arizona has 11 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have only three.

— Jaguars have now lost 17 games in a row.
— Jacksonville gave up 30 ppg in first two games this year.
— Jacksonville was outscored 37-14 in first half of games.
— Last 2+ years, Jacksonville is 5-8 ATS as home underdogs.
— Jaguars converted 7 of 22 third down plays.
— Jaguars are 2-10 ATS in last dozen non-divisional home games.

— Arizona won last three series games, by 14-13-3 points.
— Cardinals are 1-1 in Jacksonville (last visit in ’09)

Indianapolis (0-2) @ Tennessee (1-1)
— Colts lost home games 28-16 to Seattle, 27-24 to Rams.
— Indy gave up 9.3/8.7 yards/pass attempt in those games.
— QB Wentz sprained both ankles LW; his backup has 0 career starts.
— Colts are 6-3 ATS in last nine AFC South road tilts.
— Under Reich, Colts are 7-6-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Indy has only 26 points in eight red zone drives.

— Tennessee won 33-30 in OT at Seattle LW; they lost 38-13 at home to Arizona.
— Titans were outscored 48-15 in first half of those games.
— Henry ran ball 35 times for 182 yards, three TD’s LW.
— Last 3+ years, Titans are 7-9 ATS as home favorites.
— Titans are minus-3 in turnovers, lost field position by 17-6 yards.
— Tannehill threw for 347 yards LW; Titans gained 532 yards.

— Home side lost last four series games.
— Colts won last three visits to Nashville, by 16-2-17 points.
— Teams split last eight meetings overall.

Baltimore (1-1) @ Detroit (0-2)
— Baltimore lost opener 33-27 (OT), won 36-35 last week.
— Ravens ran ball for 440 yards in first two games.
— Ravens have 8 TD’s on 23 drives.
— Last 2+ years, Baltimore is 8-5 ATS as road favorite.
— Last two years, Ravens are 15-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Ravens have scored 40 points on six red zone drives.

— Lions lost opener 41-33, lost 35-17 Monday in Green Bay.
— Lions led Green Bay at half, were outscored 21-0 in 2nd half.
— Detroit gave up 11.5 yards/pass attempt in opener, 7.6 LW.
— Detroit is 10-19 ATS last 29 games as home underdogs.
— Last six years, Lions are 10-14 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Goff is 0-9 SU (1-8 ATS) with coach other than McVay.

— Ravens won last four series games; last one was 44-20 in ’17.
— This is Baltimore’s first visit to Detroit since 2013.

Washington (1-1) @ Buffalo (1-1)
— Washington split first two games, decided by total of 5 points.
— Washington has extra time to prep, playing on Thursday LW.
— Washington converted only 7-23 third down plays so far.
— Last three years, under is 15-9 in their road games.
— Washington is 3-6 ATS in last nine games vs AFC teams.
— Last five years, Washington is 19-13-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Bills lost opener 23-16 to Steelers, spanked Miami 35-0 LW.
— Buffalo has given up only one offensive TD on 20 drives.
— Last 4+ years, Bills are 11-8-1 ATS as home favorite.
— Last two years, Buffalo is 7-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
— McDermott is 18-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Buffalo outscored first two foes 24-0 in first half.

— Bills won seven of last eight series games.
— Washington last last four trips to Buffalo, all by 14+ points.
— Washington’s last win in Buffalo? 1987.

New Orleans (1-1) @ New England (1-1)
— Saints pasted Green Bay 38-3, got drilled 26-7 in Carolina.
— Saints are 21-13-1 ATS in last 35 games on artificial turf.
— Saints scored TD’s on all five of their red zone drives.
— Last 7 years, Saints are 13-14-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Last 3+ years, New Orleans is 6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Payton is 28-20-2 ATS as a road underdog.

— Patriots lost opener 17-16 to Miami, beat Jets 25-6 LW.
— Patriots converted only 7-28 third down plays.
— New England scored only 26 points on 7 red zone drives.
— QB’s faced so far: Tagovailoa, Wilson, Winston.
— Last 6+ years, Patriots are 27-15-3 ATS as home favorites.
— Under is 12-5-1 in their post-Brady games.
— Brady, Gronk, Bucs visit Foxboro next week.

— New England won five of last six series games.
— Patriots won last two meetings, 30-27/36-20
— Saints lost last three visits to Foxboro.

LA Chargers (1-1) @ Kansas City (1-1)
— Chargers split first two games, decided by total of seven points.
— Bolts converted 19 of first 31 third down plays.
— Chargers gained 424-408 TY, but Dallas ran for 198 yards against them.
— Last 6+ years, Bolts are 19-11-2 ATS as road underdogs.
— Chargers are 11-6-1 ATS in last 18 AFC West road games.
— Chargers turned ball over four times in two games (-2).

— Chiefs beat Cleveland 32-29 in opener, lost 36-35 to Ravens LW.
— Chiefs gave up 457-481 TY in the two games.
— KC had 22-21 points at halftime of first two games.
— Last 4+ years, Chiefs are 15-13-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Last five years, KC 9-6 ATS in AFC West home games.
— Chiefs allowed 153-251 YR in first two games.

— Chiefs won 12 of last 14 series games.
— Chargers won two of last three visits to Arrowhead.

Atlanta (0-2) @ NY Giants (0-2)
— Falcons gave up 80 points in losing first two games.
— Atlanta lost field position in those games, by 15-13 yards.
— Falcons have given up nine TD’s on 22 drives.
— Last 4+ years, Atlanta is 8-13 ATS as road underdog.
— Falcons converted 9-29 third down plays so far.
— Falcons trailed 28-25 after 3 quarters LW; they threw two pick-6’s in last 7:53.

— Giants lost first two games, giving up 27-30 points.
— On six drives to red zone, Giants have scored only 19 points.
— Last four years, Giants are 2-5-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Last 4+ years, Giants are 9-23-1 ATS overall at home.
— Giants gave up 420-407 TY in first two games.
— Giants had extra time to prep, playing on Thursday LW.

— Atlanta won three of last four series games.
— Falcons lost three of last four at NYG (last meeting here 2015)

Chicago (1-1) @ Cleveland (1-1)
— Rookie QB Fields makes his first NFL start here.
— Bears lost opener 34-14 at Rams, beat Bengals 20-17 at home LW.
— Chicago has scored 3 TD’s on 17 drives; they had defensive TD LW.
— Last 2+ years, Chicago is 4-7 ATS as road underdog.
— Bears averaged only 4.4/3.1 yards/pass play in first two games.
— Nick Foles is the backup; will they use him at all?

— Browns split first two games, scoring 29-31 points.
— Browns ran ball for 153-156 yards in first two games.
— Cleveland averaged 10.1/8.7 yards/pass in first two games.
— Browns are 11-16-1 ATS in last 28 games as home favorite.
— Last six years, Cleveland is 9-15 ATS vs NFC teams (4-0 LY)
— Browns have nine plays of 20+ yards; they’ve also given up nine.

— Chicago won last three series games, by 24-7-17 points.
— Bears were last in Cleveland in 2013; they won 38-31.

Cincinnati (1-1) @ Pittsburgh (1-1)
— Cincinnati edged Vikings 27-24 in opener, lost 20-17 at Chicago LW.
— Bengals converted only 9-26 third down plays so far.
— Bengals gave up only 83 PY LW, but turned ball over four times (-3).
— Opponents scored defensive TD, also started 4 drives in Cincy territory.
— Last 2+ years, Bengals are 7-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last seven years, Bengals are 13-8 ATS in AFC North road games.

— Roethlisberger is dealing with pectoral injury, is expected to play.
— Steelers split first two games, losing at home to Raiders last week.
— Steelers have been outgained by 56.5 yards/game.
— Pitt has scored only three TD’s on 18 drives this season.
— Last 8+ years, Pittsburgh is 28-24 ATS as home favorites.
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 19-7 in first half of games.

— Steelers won 14 of last 16 series games.
— Bengals lost last five visits here, four by 8+ points.
— Teams split their two meetings LY.

Miami (1-1) @ Las Vegas (2-0)
— QB Brissett (12-20 as starter) makes his first start for Miami.
— Miami split first two games, scoring two TD’s on 19 drives.
— Dolphins gained total of only 475 yards in two games.
— Miami has given up 11 plays of 20+ yards, has only 3 themselves.
— Last 2+ years, Miami is 9-4 ATS as road underdogs.
— Dolphins were outrushed 268-145 in first two games.

— Raiders pulled two upsets already, scoring 33-26 points.
— Las Vegas outscored opponents 40-23 in second half of games.
— Raiders threw ball for 782 yards in two games.
— Last six years, Las Vegas is 9-11 ATS as home favorite.
— Opponents have converted only 8-24 third down plays.
— Raiders have outscored foes 12-3 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Dolphins won seven of last eight series games.
— Miami won 26-25 here LY; they won last three visits to Oakland/Las Vegas.

NJ Jets (0-2) @ Denver (2-0)
— Jets lost first two games, scoring two TD’s on 22 drives.
— Jets have been outscored 29-3 in first half.
— Jets lost field position by 14-15 yards.
— Last 5+ years, Jets are 11-22-2 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last 5+ years, Gang Green is 5-11 ATS as double digit dogs.
— Rookie QB’s struggle; Jets are 9-26 on third down so far.

— Denver won first two games, 27-13 @ Giants, 23-13 @ Jaguars.
— Second week in row they’re facing a rookie QB.
— Denver outscored opponents 30-12 in second half of games.
— Last four years, Broncos are 3-8-2 ATS as home favorites.
— Denver is 8-4 ATS in last dozen home openers.
— Broncos outgained first two foes by 157.5 yards/game.

— Broncos won four of last five series games.
— Jets lost three of last four trips to Denver; their last win here was in ’10.
— Broncos beat Jets 37-28 in New Jersey LY.

Tampa Bay (2-0) @ LA Rams (2-0)
— Bucs beat Dallas 31-29, pulled away from Atlanta 48-25.
— Tampa Bay had two pick 6’s LW; they led 28-25 after 3 quarters.
— Buccaneers already have nine TD’s (on 24 drives)
— Six of their nine TD drives were less than 60 yards.
— Bucs won field position in both games, by 6-13 yards.
— Under Arians, Tampa Bay is 9-7 ATS on the road.

— Rams beat Bears in opener 34-14; edged Colts 27-24 LW.
— Rams averaged 11.6/8.7 yards/pass attempt first two games.
— Last two years, Rams are 8-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— LA has seven TD’s, four FGA’s on first 17 drives.
— Under McVay, LA is 7-5-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Rams are 6-3 ATS at SoFi Stadium.

— Rams won six of last seven series games.
— Rams (+4.5) won 27-24 at Tampa Bay LY.
— Buccaneers lost three of last four visits to St Louis/LA.

Seattle (1-1) @ Minnesota (0-2)
— Seahawks blew 24-9 halftime lead, lost 33-30 OT to Titans LW.
— Seattle scored 29 ppg in first two games (8 TD’s on 21 drives).
— Seattle led 21-10/24-9 at half, was outscored 30-13 in 2nd half.
— Last 5+ years, Seahawks are 8-13-1 ATS as road favorite.
— Seattle won field position by 10-6 yards in first two games.
— Seahawks averaged 9.3/9.4 yards/pass attempt.

— Vikings lost first two games by total of four points.
— LW, Vikings’ K missed 37-yard FG; Arizona’s K made a 62-yarder.
— Minnesota scored 57 points so far, but allowed 7 TD’s on 25 drives.
— First two games, Minnesota ran ball 49 times, threw 82 passes
— Vikings are 5-1 ATS in last six home openers.
— Opponents have scored 41 points on seven red zone drives.

— Seattle won last seven series games.
— Seahawks won last two visits here, 38-7/10-9.
— Seahawks haven’t been to Minnesota since 2016.

Green Bay (1-1) @ San Francisco (2-0)
— Short week, long travel for Packers this week.
— Green Bay lost opener 38-3, beat Detroit 35-17 LW.
— Packers outscored Detroit 21-0 in 2nd half LW; they trailed at half.
— Green Bay has only five plays of 20+ yards so far.
— Last two years, Packers were 5-2 ATS as road underdogs.
— Aaron Rodgers grew up four hours from Santa Clara.

— 49ers won pair of road tilts; 41-33 @ Detroit, 17-11 @ Philly.
— 49ers averaged 11.5 yards/pass attempt LW, were minus-2 in turnovers.
— Last three years, Niners are 4-12-1 ATS as home favorites
— 49ers have 11 plays of 20+ yards already, but they’ve given up 10.
— 49ers are 0-4 ATS in last four home openers.
— Niners have only takeaway (-2) in first two games.

— 49ers won six of last nine series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.
— Aaron Rodgers grew up in Chico, Ca, four hours from Santa Clara.

Monday game
Philadelphia (1-1) @ Dallas (1-1)
— Eagles won opener 32-6 in Atlanta, lost 17-11 at home to 49ers.
— Eagles outgained Falcons 434-260, outgained SF 328-306.
— Philly has eight plays of 20+ yards, has allowed only three.
— Last 5 years, Eagles are 8-4 ATS as home underdogs.
— First two games, Philly ran ball for 162 yards/game.
— Last three years, Eagles are 4-8 ATS as road underdogs.

— Dallas lost 31-29 in Tampa, nipped Chargers 20-17 LW.
— Cowboys have six takeaways in two games (+4).
— Last 4 years, Dallas is 9-3 ATS in NFC East home games.
— Cowboys are 3-1-1 ATS in last five home openers.
— Dallas has nine plays of 20+ yards, but has allowed 12 of them.
— Last four years, Cowboys are 9-12-1 ATS as home favorites.

— Home side won last five series games.
— Eagles lost last three visits here, by 6 (OT), 27,20 points.
— Cowboys are 5-2 overall, in last seven series games.


 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 3

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[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 26
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

ARI at JAC 01:00 PM
JAC +8.0
+500

WAS at BUF 01:00 PM
BUF -7.5
U 45.5
+500 +500

ATL at NYG 01:00 PM
ATL +2.5
O 47.0
+500 +500

BAL at DET 01:00 PM
DET +8.0
O 50.5
+500 +500

CHI at CLE 01:00 PM
CHI +7.5
O 45.0
+500 +500

LAC at KC 01:00 PM
LAC +7.0
O 54.5
+500 +500

NO at NE 01:00 PM
U 44.0
+500

CIN at PIT 01:00 PM
PIT -2.5
U 42.5
+500 +500

IND at TEN 01:00 PM
TEN -4.5
O 47.0
+500 +500

MIA at LV 04:05 PM
MIA +3.5
U 45.0
+500 +500

NYJ at DEN 04:05 PM
DEN -10.0
U 42.0
+500 +500

SEA at MIN 04:25 PM
MIN +2.0
O 54.0
+500 +500

TB at LAR 04:25 PM
TB -1.0
U 55.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY NIGHT BAILOUT GAME:

GB at SF 08:20 PM
SF -3.5
U 50.5
+500 +500
 

[StarDust Bum]

2021-2022 Season

NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP

WLT Pct Units Rank

ATS Picks ........20-25-0 ..........44.44%...........- 37.50

O/U Picks ........12-20-0 ..........37.50%...........- 50.00

Totals..............32-45-0...........41.55%...........- 87.50


BEST BETS:

ATS Picks...........11-19-0............ 36.66% .............-49.50

O/U Picks...........15-20-0.............42.85%..............-35.00

Totals................26-39-0.............40.00%..............- 84.50

UPDATED ON 09/26/2021

[Udog]

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Green Bay 30, San Francisco 28:
— Crosby kicked 51-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— Rodgers drove Packers 42 yards on six plays in last 0:37.
— Davante Adams caught 12 passes for 132 yards.
— Jones was only Packer to run ball (19 carries, 82 yards)

— 49ers converted 7-11 on 3rd down, still gained only 298 yards.
— SF had only one play of 20+ yards.
— 49ers are 0-5 ATS in last five home openers.
— Last 3+ years, Niners are 4-13-1 ATS as home favorites

Baltimore 19, Detroit 17:
— Tucker kicked NFL-record 66-yard FG on last play for win- it hit crossbar and went thru.
— Ravens converted 1-10 on 3rd down, Detroit 3-10.
— Tucker was 4-5 on FG’s; Baltimore scored only one TD.
— Last time Ravens were in Detroit (’13), Tucker kicked a 61-yard FG on last play for the win.

— Lions in 1st half: 29 plays, 76 yards, six punts.
— Lions in 2nd half: 32 plays, 212 yards, 17 points.
— Detroit kicked FG with 1:07 left to take 17-16 lead.
— Total yardage 387-285, Ravens.

LA Chargers 30, Kansas City 24:
— Chargers scored nine points in last 2:14 for the win.
— Herbert threw for 281 yards, four TD’s.
— Three of LA’s four TD drives were less than 60 yards.
— Bolts are 3-12 last 15 games vs Chiefs, but won three of last four in Arrowhead.

— Chiefs turned ball over four times (-4), averaged only 5.5 yards/pass play.
— Kansas City allowed 95 points in first three games (1-2).
— KC ran ball for 186 yards, outgained Chargers 437-352.
— Coach Reid left Arrowhead in ambulance after game; it isn’t thought to be serious.

Las Vegas 31, Miami 28 OT
— Raiders are 3-0, with two wins in overtime.
— Las Vegas is scoring 30 ppg.
— Raiders outgained Miami, 497-330.
— Las Vegas had ten plays of 23+ yards, very explosive.

— Miami’s first score was a pick-6.
— Dolphins tied game on TD/2-point play with 0:02 left.
— Miami was 6-18 on third down, Raiders 8-15.
— Miami has given up 21 plays of 20+ yards, has only six themselves.

LA Rams 34, Tampa Bay 24:
— Rams won field position by 13 yards.
— Bucs’ best starting field position was their own 25.
— Tampa Bay ran ball 13 times for only 35 yards.
— Bucs allowed 29.3 ppg in their first three games (2-1).

— Rams are off to 3-0 start, scoring 31.7 ppg.
— LA’s first two drives: 8 plays, 17 yards, two punts.
— LA’s next six drives: 51 plays, 394 yards, 34 points.
— Rams are 9-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

Minnesota 30, Seattle 17:
— Seahawks lost last two games, giving up 33-30 points.
— Seattle has been outscored 39-13 in 2nd half this year.
— Seahawks converted 3-8 on third down, Vikings 9-14.
— Vikings ran 73 plays from scrimmage, Seattle only 52.

— Minnesota ends 7-game losing skid to Seattle.
— Vikings scored 29 ppg in first three games.
— Vikings scored six of first seven times they had ball.
— Vikings are now 6-1 ATS in last seven home openers.

Cincinnati 24, Pittsburgh 10:
— Bengals win for just 3rd time in last 17 games vs Pittsburgh.
— Cincy had 15-yard edge in starting field position.
— Last 7+ years, Bengals are 14-8 ATS in AFC North road games.
— Cincy was only 3-9 on third down, Pittsburgh 9-19.

— Steelers threw 58 passes, ran ball only 15 times.
— Steelers in 2nd half: 44 plays, 227 yards, only 3 points.
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 33-14 in first half of games.
— Steelers have scored only four TD’s on 29 drives this season.

Arizona 31, Jacksonville 19:
— Leading 19-17 late in 3rd, Lawrence threw horrific pick-6 that swung game.
— Jaguars have now lost 18 games in a row.
— Jacksonville turned ball over 4 times, were just 2-11 on third down.
— Jaguars ran a missed FG back 109 yards for a TD.

— Cardinals trailed 19-10; they scored on three of last four drives.
— Arizona was 1-9 on third down, but 2-2 on fourth down.
— Murray ran ball only seven times for 19 yards.
— Arizona won its first three games, scoring 34.3 ppg.

Tennessee 25, Indianapolis 16:
— Titans won despite turning ball over three times (-3, minus-6 for season).
— Tennessee ran for 180 yards; Henry had 113 of it.
— Titans converted 6-12 on third down, Colts 3-12.
— Tennessee outgained Indianapolis, 368-265

— Colts have only four TD’s on 29 drives this season.
— Colts averaged only 4.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Indy has only 39 points in 11 red zone drives.
— First win for home side in last six series games.

Buffalo 43, Washington 21:
— Bills won last two games, scoring 78 points.
— Buffalo had three TD drives of 52 or less yards.
— Buffalo outscored first three foes 51-14 in first half.
— McDermott is 19-12-1 ATS as a favorite.

— Buffalo won field position by 14 yards.
— Washington turned ball over three times (-3).
— Total yardage: Buffalo, 480-291.
— Washington converted only 9-34 third down plays so far.

New Orleans 28, New England 13:
— Up 14-3, Saints scored on pick-6 on first play of 3rd quarter.
— Saints ran for 142 yards, didn’t turn ball over (+3).
— In his career, Payton is 29-20-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Saints are 22-13-1 ATS in last 36 games on artificial turf.

— Rookie QB’s are 1-10 ATS so far this season.
— NE’s first five drives, an INT, three 3/outs, a blocked punt.
— Patriots threw 51 passes, ran ball only 17 times.
— Belichick’s career record without Brady: 63-74.

Atlanta 17, NY Giants 14:
— Falcons kicked 40-yard FG at 0:00 for the win.
— Atlanta gained 171 in first three quarters, 130 yards in 4th quarter.
— Cordarrelle Patterson caught six passes for 82 yards.
— Atlanta lost field position in Weeks 1-2, by 15-13 yards; they were +7 here.

— Giants had ball in red zone 2 of first 3 drives, kicked two FG’s.
— Rest of game: 36 plays, 155 yards, 8 points.
— Barkley ran ball 16 times for only 51 yards.
— Last 4+ years, Giants are 9-24-1 ATS overall at home.

Cleveland 26, Chicago 6:
— Rookie QB Fields was 6-20/68 passing in his first NFL start.
— He was sacked 9 times for 67 yards- they had ONE passing yard!!!!
— Bears averaged 4.4/3.1/0.0 yards/pass play in first three games.
— 42 plays for 47 yards tends to get coaches fired.

— Cleveland ran 78 plays for 418 yards; Bears 42 plays, 47 yards.
— McLaughlin made 52-57 yard field goals.
— Browns ran ball for 174.7 ypg in first three games.
— Cleveland scored five of last six times they had ball.

Denver 26, NJ Jets 0:
— Jets lost first two games, scoring two TD’s on 32 drives.
— Jets have been outscored 46-3 in first half.
— Jets lost field position by 14-15-13 yards.
— Last 5+ years, Jets are 11-23-2 ATS as road underdogs.

— Denver won first three games, giving up 8.7 ppg.
— Opposing QB’s in those games; two rookies, Daniel Jones.
— Denver outscored opponents 39-12 in second half of games.
— Broncos outgained first three foes by 165.7 yards/game.

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 3





 

[Udog]

Betting Recap - Week 3
Joe Williams

Overall Notes



The largest underdogs to win straight up

Chargers +7 (ML +260) at Chiefs, 30-24
Packers +3 (ML +160) at 49ers, 30-28
Saints +3 (ML +130) at Patriots, 28-13
Bengals +3 (ML +125) at Steelers, 24-10

The largest favorites to cover

Broncos (-10) vs. Jets, 26-0
Cardinals (-8) at Jaguars, 31-19
Panthers (-8) at Texans, 24-9
Browns (-7.5) vs. Bears, 26-6
Bills (-7) vs. Washington, 43-21

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

Money line bettors of the Detroit Lions (+7.5, ML +320) didn't care about NFL history. They wanted money. And they were oh-so-close.

The Lions led 17-16 with seven seconds left in the game. On 4th and 19, it appeared the Lions were on their way to the first victory of the season. QB Lamar Jackson tossed up a 36-yard prayer to WR Sammy Watkins, who kept hope alive. Jackson then stopped the clock on a spike, even though the telecast appeared to show the play clock expired. That gave PK Justin Tucker a chance at a 67-yard field goal attempt at the buzzer, a try which would make NFL history.

Tucker took a little jump-step on the attempt, gave it a ride and it hit the crossbar and bounced over for the winner, and NFL history, although perhaps it shouldn't have been. Money line bettors of the Lions were left shaking their heads at the terrible luck.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

UNDER bettors in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Los Angeles Rams (55.5) gave were feeling very good after a scoreless first quarter. The books expected fireworks, and they eventually came in the second and third quarters, with L.A. taking a 31-17 lead after 45 minutes. Suddenly, a sure UNDER bet was now looking like the OVER everyone thought this game would be.

However, the offensive grinded to a halt once again, as we had only a PK Matt Gay field goal from 26 yards out with 8:14 to go in regulation, as the Rams were doubling up the defending champs, 34-17. That's the way things past the two-minute warning, although the Bucs weren't giving up. Much to the dismay of UNDER bettors, QB Tom Brady was under center still, and he wasn't quitting. He hit RB Giovani Bernard for a 7-yard touchdown with 1:10 to go, flipping the UNDER to an OVER result.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board in Week 3 wasn't low enough. The New York Jets-Denver Broncos (41.5) was expected to be a defensive battle, and the Jets certainly cooperated. They scored as many points and you and I, while the Broncos were good for 26 points in the shutout victory.

The second-lowest total was the Cincinnati Bengals-Pittsburgh Steelers (42) game, and we had an unexpected result in that one. The Bengals picked up the road victory, winning 24-10. No one expected the Steelers to manage just 10 points at home against the lowly Bengals, but that's exactly what happened. Next lowest was the Thursday game between the Carolina Panthers-Houston Texans (43), then the New Orleans Saints-New England Patriots (43.5) and Chicago Bears-Cleveland Browns (44.5). All of those games hit the UNDER, too, in what was mostly a low-scoring week.

As far as the highest total, that honor belonged to the Buccaneers-Rams game, and we touched on how that one ended above. The Los Angeles Chargers-Kansas City Chiefs (55) gave was the second-highest total, and that just went UNDER despite a scoreless first quarter. In fact, some shops opened that one at 53.5, so OVER bettors might have hit this bet if they bet it early.

As far as primetime games, the Panthers-Texans gave was the first UNDER of the season for games under the lights. The Sunday night affair between the Green Bay Packers-San Francisco 49ers (51) was another thriller, and a combined 27 points in the fourth quarter helped the OVER connect. That's now 7-1 (87.5%) through eight primetime games, with the Monday night battle between the Philadelphia Eagles-Dallas Cowboys (52) still pending. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 4

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The Lions (0-3) and Bears (1-2) will be looking to avoid the basement in the NFC North Division. The Lions hit the road for the second time this season, and they're hoping for better results. Detroit fell 35-17 at
Green Bay in Week 2 on Monday night, failing to cover as the OVER hit.

The Lions are 4-9 ATS in the past 13 games on the road, and 3-7 in the past 10 as a road 'dog, too. For the Bears, they are 1-7 ATS in the past eight as a home favorite, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five inside the division, too.

As far as the total, the OVER is 5-1 in the past six inside the division for the Lions, while the OVER is a perfect 4-0 in the past four division games for the Bears. In addition, Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in the past five trips to Chicago.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)

It's a battle of unbeatens for the top spot in the NFC West, as the Cardinals (3-0) travel to meet the Rams (3-0). Arizona is 2-0 SU/ATS in two games on the road, while hitting the UNDER in each away game. For the Rams, they're a perfect 2-0 ATS in two home games, so something's gotta give there, too. The OVER has connected in each of the three games for the Rams so far.

The Cards have a dismal 0-4 ATS mark in the past four inside the division, while going 0-5 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record. On the flip side, the Rams are 4-1 ATS in the past five at home, while going 7-2 ATS in the past nine against winning teams. L.A. is also 10-4-1 ATS in the past inside the division.

The UNDER is 13-3 in Arizona's past 16 on the road, and 5-0 in the past five as a road underdog. While it's all OVER all the time for the Rams so far, the UNDER is 13-3 in their past 16 as a home favorite, and 5-2 in the past seven inside the division.

Arizona has had a tough time in L.A., too, going 0-3-1 ATS in the four in SoCal, and 0-7-1 ATs in the past eight meetings overall.

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)

The Seahawks have lost and failed to cover each of the past two outigs, while the 49ers are coming off a disappointing loss at home to the Packers on Sunday night.

Seattle failed to cover on the road in Minnesota, and they're now 1-7 ATS in the past eight on the road. Seattle has covered just three of the past 10 inside the NFC West, too. San Francisco has covered four of the past five inside the division, although they are just 5-21-1 ATS in the past 27 as a home favorite.

The UNDER is 9-3 in the past 12 for the Seahawks, while going 5-1 in the past six on the road. The 49ers have hit the OVER in four of the past five at home, while the OVER is 5-2 in the past seven as a favorite.

In this series, the Seahawks are an impressive 13-5-1 ATS in the past 19 meetings, while the OVER is 4-1 in the past five meetings in Santa Clara, while the OVER is 5-0-1 in the past six meetings.

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

The Raiders (3-0) and Chargers (2-1) meet in a marquee game in the AFC West. Who would've predicted that a season ago? Or even three weeks ago?

There's something about Monday that agrees with the silver and black. They topped the Ravens in Week 1 in a stellar MNF game, and they're 4-0 ATS in the past four appearances on Monday night. Vegas is also 6-2 ATS in the past eight inside the division.

The Bolts have covered four straight inside the division, and they're 6-1 ATS in the past seven games overall.

Meanwhile, the OVER is 5-1 in the past six inside the division for the Raiders, while going 6-2 in the past eight on the road. The OVER is 5-1 in the past six for the Chargers against winning teams, and 4-1 in the past five inside the division.

The underdog is 18-6 in the past 24 meetings in this series, with the UNDER 16-4-1 in the past 21 meetings in Southern California.

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 27
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

PHI at DAL 08:15 PM
DAL -3.5
O 51.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

2021-2022 Season

NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP

WLT Pct Units Rank

ATS Picks ........21-25-0 ..........45.65%...........- 32.50

O/U Picks ........13-20-0 ..........39.39%...........- 45.00

Totals..............34-45-0...........43.03%...........- 77.50


BEST BETS:

ATS Picks...........12-19-0............ 38.70% .............-44.50

O/U Picks...........16-20-0.............44.44%..............-30.00

Totals................30-39-0.............43.47%................74.50

UPDATED ON 09/27/2021

[Udog]

Tech Trends - Week 4
Bruce Marshall

[Udog]

JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

CHICAGO is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) in home games after gaining 200 or less total yards in their previous game since 1992.

NY JETS are 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in the 1rst half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 30-11 ATS (17.9 Units) in home games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game since 1992.

MIAMI is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after a loss in the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games in the last 2 seasons.

NY GIANTS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=375 yards/game since 1992.

ARIZONA is 22-8 ATS (13.2 Units) in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season since 1992.

SAN FRANCISCO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. bad defenses (>24 PPG) over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 68-33 ATS (31.7 Units) vs. good passing QB (>7 PYA) since 1992.

NEW ENGLAND is 25-9 ATS (15.1 Units) in home games as a dog since 1992.

LAS VEGAS are 34-74 ATS (-47.4 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.