Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Nfl 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors !

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    2021-2022 Season

    NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP

    WLT Pct Units Rank

    ATS Picks ........13-21-0 ..........39.39%...........- 50.05

    O/U Picks ..........9-10-0 ..........50.00%...........- 10.00

    Totals...............22-31-0...........41.50%..........- 60.05


    BEST BETS:

    ATS Picks........... 6-15-0............ 28.57% .............-52.50

    O/U Picks..........12-12-0.............50.00%..............- 6.00

    Totals...............18-27-0.............40.00%..............- 58.50

    UPDATED ON 09/23/2021

    Leave a comment:


  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 23
    Game Time(ET) Pick Units


    CAR at HOU 08:20 PM
    HOU +8.0
    O 43.5

    +500 +500

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NFL
    Armadillo's Write-up

    Week 3


    Thursday game
    Carolina (2-0) @ Houston (1-1)

    — Panthers won first two games at home, giving up 3 TD’s on 23 drives.
    — Carolina outscored first two foes 33-0 in first half.
    — Panthers allowed total of 93 rushing yards in two games.
    — Panthers are 4-8 ATS in last 12 road openers.
    — Last five years, Carolina is 2-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
    — 3rd game for Carolina: opposing QB’s- 2 rookies, Jameis Winston.

    — Rookie QB Mills (8-18/102 LW) makes his first NFL start here.
    — Jeff Driskel (1-8 as NFL starter) is backup; this is his 4th team in four years.
    — Last five years, Texans are 4-7 ATS as home underdogs.
    — Texans converted 19-34 third down plays so far.
    — Last three years, Texans are 4-7-1 ATS vs NFC opponents.
    — Over is 2-0 in Houston games, 0-2 in Carolina games.

    — Carolina won last three series games, by 15-7-6 points.
    — Panthers won two of three visits to Houston.


     

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NFL

    Week 3


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Carolina @ Houston
    Carolina
    Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games
    Houston
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games

    Indianapolis @ Tennessee
    Indianapolis
    Indianapolis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games on the road
    Tennessee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis

    LA Chargers @ Kansas City
    LA Chargers
    LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Kansas City
    Kansas City is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
    Kansas City is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing LA Chargers

    Washington @ Buffalo
    Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
    Buffalo
    Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
    Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

    Chicago @ Cleveland
    Chicago
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Cleveland
    Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

    Atlanta @ NY Giants
    Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
    NY Giants
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

    Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
    Cincinnati
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 12 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
    Pittsburgh is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati

    Baltimore @ Detroit
    Baltimore
    Baltimore is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
    Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Detroit's last 16 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

    New Orleans @ New England
    New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
    New England
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

    Arizona @ Jacksonville
    Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
    Jacksonville
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Arizona
    Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    Miami @ Las Vegas
    Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
    Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
    Las Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Miami

    NY Jets @ Denver
    NY Jets
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Jets's last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games
    Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Jets
    Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets

    Tampa Bay @ LA Rams
    Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    LA Rams
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Rams's last 9 games at home
    LA Rams is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay

    Seattle @ Minnesota
    Seattle
    Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home

    Green Bay @ San Francisco
    Green Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games
    Green Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
    San Francisco
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 12 games when playing Green Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay

    Philadelphia @ Dallas
    Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Dallas
    Dallas
    Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 10 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NFL
    Dunkel

    Week 3






     

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    ARIZONA is 26-11 ATS (13.9 Units) after allowing 7 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

    TENNESSEE is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. since 1992.

    BALTIMORE is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game in the last 2 seasons.

    BUFFALO is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since 1992.

    NEW ENGLAND is 52-30 ATS (19 Units) in home games off a win vs. the division since 1992.

    LA CHARGERS are 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

    ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in the last 3 seasons.

    CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 10 pts. in the last 3 seasons.

    PITTSBURGH is 82-50 ATS (27 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. since 1992.

    LAS VEGAS are 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) after an upset win since 1992.

    NY JETS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in the 1rst half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

    TAMPA BAY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 in the last 2 seasons.

    MINNESOTA is 55-33 ATS (18.7 Units) after 2+ SU losses since 1992.

    SAN FRANCISCO is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games after a 2 game road trip since 1992.

    DALLAS are 40-19 ATS (19.1 Units) after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.


     

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Tech Trends - Week 3
    Bruce Marshall




     

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Hot and Not Report - Week 3
    Matt Blunt

    It was a week too late to bring up the angle of fading teams before a TNF appearance as it didn't produce a win in Week 2. But it's still 2-2 ATS on the year and it's Jacksonville and Cincinnati on deck in Week 4. Both teams are catching points in Week 3 with Jacksonville a home dog vs Arizona and the Bengals on the road to face Pittsburgh.

    Can't imagine there will be significant support early in the week for the Jags or Bengals, so if you are looking to keep on fading the pre-TNF teams, likely best to do it early this week.

    The first tidbit for this week is in a similar boat as it had been rolling until a 2-4 ATS record in Week 3 last year took some air out of it's sails. But with a few teams already qualifying for this role as an ugly road underdog, bettors that prefer to wait until a little later in the week to get down are likely going to catch a few more points with at least a few of these teams.

    Who's Hot

    Week 3 road teams that are 0-2 ATS to start the year are 17-8 ATS in Week 3 the past five seasons, was 15-4 ATS before going 2-4 ATS in 2020


    Talk about finding a reason to be on some pretty bad looking teams in Week 3, this angle that took it on the chin last year (2-4 ATS) has the Atlanta Falcons, New York Jets, and Washington Football team as qualified teams to play on this week in Week 3. They are three of the five NFL teams that have yet to cover a point spread this season, but with Kansas City and Jacksonville both playing at home this week, it's these three rough looking underdogs that you've got to try and make a case for.

    The idea behind backing these teams is that the point spread is almost always going to be slightly inflated against these squads because they've got quite a bit working against them (on the road, yet to cover a spread). Most of the time these teams have also had at least one ugly loss in the opening two weeks as well, they could be winless in the SU market, and when put all of those things together, it's a role most aren't even remotely interested in wanting to back.

    So point spreads shift the other way to make it that much more expensive to fade these teams. The end result is that these 0-2 ATS teams could be getting a point or two more than they probably should be and it's helped them produce such a great Week 3 ATS record over the years. With Washington, Atlanta, and the New York Jets in this role this year, it doesn't take much to land on the side of the coin that suggests maybe these point spreads are a little too far against these three teams. Washington (+9) is playing at Buffalo this week, while the Falcons (+3) vs the Giants, and the Jets (+11.5) are in Denver.

    Two weeks of Jets games so far have not been pretty, and after the 4 INT's QB Zach Wilson threw in Week 2, making a case for getting behind this team is tough. But the qualifier about those four interceptions is they did come against Belichick and his defenses have feasted on rookie QB's from the outset.

    Wilson threw one INT vs Carolina in Week 1 as he needed about a half in an NFL uniform to feel somewhat comfortable, and he did manage to throw for two TD's against that Carolina defense as well. That same unit that held down Week 1 offensive darling QB Jameis Winston to just a single garbage time TD on Sunday.

    Asking a Teddy Bridgewater-led offense to cover a double digit point spread at home is another tough question in itself, but the challenge doesn't get any easier for Wilson going against that Broncos defense. It's almost the perfect example of a potential play here where it really is the concept of this run (17-8 ATS) vs what your eyes have told you about how bad the Jets have been so far.

    Washington and Atlanta ATS (and even ML for high risk tolerance) are the far better plays this week for this role though, as I would not be surprised to see either of them leave Week 3 with a SU win as well.

    Atlanta's the more likely team to do so given the much smaller point spread, as visiting the 0-2 NY Giants shouldn't be nearly the test Washington has facing a preseason Super Bowl contender in the Buffalo Bills. However, if the argument is that these 0-2 ATS road teams are ones that tend to be catching more points than they probably should, Washington's the team that is more in line with that idea, and they get extra rest to boot.

    Atlanta's facing the only other team with extra rest (NYG) heading into Week 3, complicating that situation even more, with Washington's opponent – Buffalo – coming off a shutout win on Sunday and arguably now looking much better than they possibly are, at least defensively, off that result.

    So taking the points with Washington and Atlanta is something I've done this week, with a little more stake on the Washington side of things given the bigger point spread and slightly more favorable role (extra rest).

    Who's Not

    Non-Conference games are 3-7 O/U this season. Games for Week 3 include Carolina vs. Houston, Washington vs. Buffalo, Arizona vs. Jacksonville, Baltimore vs. Detroit, Chicago vs. Cleveland, New Orleans vs. New England


    NFL games are 15-17 O/U overall this year even with prime time games being a perfect 6-0 O/U through two full weeks. It tells you that Sunday's have been for 'under' players so far (9-17 O/U Sunday afternoon games), and a big part of that flip has to be these non-conference affairs.

    For years these were great 'over' plays as the thinking was a lack of familiarity and a lack of hatred for the opponent generally leads to tough days on defense for teams. They are either getting burned/fooled and/or aren't as focused in prep for the game or on the field on Sunday and it led to points each way. That just hasn't been the case this year though, as five of those seven 'unders' non-conference have seen have finished with 40 or fewer points. Non-conference games are averaging 44.3 points per game so far, and it seems at least early on, the numbers have made an adjustment.

    Out of the six AFC-NFC clashes that are scheduled for Week 3, four of them currently have totals within a FG of that 44.3 points/game average. The TNF clash between Carolina and Houston is sitting at 43.5, with Washington/Buffalo at 45.5, Chicago/Cleveland at 46.5, and New Orleans/New England at 42 all playing on Sunday. Non-conference games finished 31-33 O/U overall a season ago, so it's not like these games being lower scoring is out of the blue, but sometimes a lack of familiarity can lead to doubt in trusting what teams believe they can run offensively too and that plays a part in these lower scoring results.

    We do have two games that have current totals that are much higher than that 44.3 pts/game average and it's the Ravens/Lions game that may be the better option to look low on.

    The Baltimore/Detroit total is around 49.5 currently as it's two teams off very different results in prime time. Baltimore needed a 2 nd half surge to just barely get by the Chiefs in a great game, while the Lions got blanked in the 2 nd half on MNF to turn a 17-14 halftime lead into a 35-17 loss that didn't even see Detroit cover the +11.5.

    How each team reacts off those results is going to be interesting, as Detroit's defensive numbers aren't good, but it's a completely different task shutting down this run-heavy Ravens attack compared to them getting beat in the passing game like they have for the most part in the first two weeks.

    You know Baltimore's going to continue to rely on that running game and that doesn't necessarily hurt an 'under' look here, especially when this defense could feel like they are playing a high school team after playing Mahomes. If this number continues to creep upwards during the week, the 'under' is going to be added.


     

    Leave a comment:


  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    2021-2022 Season


    NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP


    WLT Pct Units Rank


    ATS Picks .........13-20-0 ........39.39%..........- 45.00


    O/U Picks ..........9-9-0 ..........50.00%...........- 4.50


    Totals.............22-29-0...........43.13%..........- 49.50




    BEST BETS:


    ATS Picks........... 6-14-0............ 30.00% .............-47.00


    O/U Picks..........12-11-0.............52.17%..............- 0.50


    Totals...............18-25-0.............41.86%..............- 47.50


    UPDATED ON 09/20/2021

    Leave a comment:


  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 20
    Game Time(ET) Pick Units


    DET at GB 08:15 PM
    DET +11.5
    O 48.5

    +500 +500

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    Betting Recap - Week 2
    Joe Williams

    Overall Notes


    The largest underdogs to win straight up

    Titans +6.5 (ML +235) at Seahawks, 33-30 (OT)
    Raiders +5.5 (ML +200) at Steelers, 26-17
    Ravens +4 (ML +170) vs. Chiefs, 36-35
    Bengals +3 (ML +145) at Chargers, 20-17

    The largest favorites to cover

    Buccaneers (-13) vs. Falcons, 48-25
    Broncos (-6) at Jaguars, 23-13
    Patriots (-5.5) at Jets, 25-6
    Bills (-3.5) at Dolphins, 35-0

    The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

    The Sunday Night Football game was everything as advertised. We had a great shootout between the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens (+4, ML +170) at M&T Bank Stadium in Charm City. QB Patrick Mahomes got the visitors off to a great start, tossing three touchdowns in the first three quarters, and the visitors led 35-24 heading to the final 15 minutes. The OVER (53.5) was already in the bag, so total bettors might have shut things off early. Hopefully not, as they missed an exciting finish.

    If you were holding a Chiefs ticket, money line or spread, it was not quite as exciting. QB Lamar Jackson rallied the Ravens for 12 points in the final quarter, while the defense allowed nothing to the Chiefs, and Baltimore came back for the 36-35 win.

    The Chiefs were driving inside of two minutes in Ravens territory, but RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire coughed up the football, a terrible time for his first ever lost fumble in the NFL. The Chiefs had all three timeouts left, and forced a fourth down, but Jackson converted the short-yardage situation to hold on.

    The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

    Backers of the Seattle Seahawks (-6.5) looked like they might be in pretty decent shape, as QB Russell Wilson hit WR Freddie Swain on a 68-yard pass and catch for score, making it 30-16 with 13:06 to go. The good feelings lasted all of 49 seconds, as RB Derrick Henry ripped off a 60-yard touchdown run with 12:17 to pare the lead to 30-23.

    That man struck again with just 29 ticks left on the clock in regulation, tying the game at 30-30. The game ended up going to overtime.

    Seattle blew the 14-point lead, and then the defense blew the game, as the Titans drove down for the 36-yard field goal from PK Randy Bullock. The Seahawks were 52-0 when holding a lead of 15 or more points at home, but the Titans fixed that, erasing a 24-9 lead at the half.

    Total Recall

    The lowest total on the board in Week 2 was the Thursday night tilt between the New York Giants-Washington Football Team (41). Things started off slow enough, as New York led 7-0 after 15 minutes. But Washington rallied to take a 14-10 lead at halftime. Things were on pace for OVER bettors, and they got even better. The teams combined for 35 points in the final 30 minutes, and the OVER was never in question.

    The lowest total on the board for Sunday was the AFC East battle between the New England Patriots-New York Jets (43), and UNDER bettors cashed with the 25-6 win by the road team. The next lowest total, (44.5), also cashed as the Chicago Bears edged the Cincinnati Bengals 20-17 in a game which saw QB Andy Dalton exit early with an injury.

    On the flip side, the late-afternoon window saw the Minnesota Vikings-Arizona Cardinals (50.5), Atlanta Falcons-Tampa Bay Buccaneers (51.5), Titans-Seahawks (54 - see above) and Dallas Cowboys-Los Angeles Chargers (55) games with totals all over 50. All but the Boys-Bolts game delivered high offensive numbers, as the Vikes-Cards had 47 points on the board by halftime, and the OVER was in the bag for the Falcons-Bucs by the end of three. The Cowboys and Chargers surprised with a defensive battle, although it did come down to a last-second field to determine a winner, but the UNDER was never in doubt there.

    As far as primetime games, the OVER is a perfect 5-for-5 so far this season after two more high-scoring affairs Thursday and Sunday nights. The Monday night game between the Detroit Lions-Green Bay Packers (48.5) is also expected to see some big totals.

    For the regular season the OVER is perfect 5-0 (100.0%) across 5 primetime games, with the MNF game pending. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

    Looking Ahead to Week 3

    Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

    The Colts (0-2) and Titans (1-1) square off in the Music City in an important AFC South battle. The Titans are coming off a thrilling road win in Seattle.

    Indianapolis has posted a 2-6 ATS mark in the past eight games inside the AFC South, but they are a solid 5-1 ATS in the past six games on the road. Tennessee has managed just a 1-4 ATS mark across the past five at Nissan Stadium. They're also just 5-14 ATS across the past 19 meetings with the Colts, including 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings in Nashville. The road team has also cashed in five straight meetings, with the OVER going 5-1 in the past six battles in Tennessee.

    We'll be keeping an eye on QB Carson Wentz, who (surprise!) left Sunday's game with an injury.

    Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

    The Chargers (1-1) and Chiefs (1-1) will be battling to stay out of the basement in the AFC West, as both the Broncos (2-0) and Raiders (2-0) are unbeaten through two games. Kansas City nearly joined them at the top, but fell late in Baltimore.

    The Bolts have cashed in five of the past six games overall, and they're a solid 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 games on the road. The Chiefs have managed to go just 1-5-1 ATS in the previous seven games inside the division, and they're 2-10 ATS in the past 12 as a favorite, including the SNF loss in Balto.

    In this series, the road team is a solid 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings, and the Chargers are 4-1-1 ATS in the past six visits to Arrowhead, too.

    Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

    The Bengals (1-1) and Steelers (1-1) square off, and it usually doesn't go well for Cinti. They're just 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to the Steel City, and 8-21-1 ATS in the past 30 meetings with the Steelers.

    As far as the total, the UNDER is 4-1-1 in the past six meetings between these AFC North rivals, and 5-1-1 in the past seven battles at Heinz Field.

    The UNDER is also 3-1-1 in Cincinnati's past five on the road, and 13-4-2 in the past 19 as a road underdog. Pittsburgh, who lost WR Diontae Johnson on the final play of their loss to the Raiders, might need to make adjustments on offense. The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the past six for the Steelers as a home favorite, and 6-2-1 in the past nine overall as a fave.

    Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

    The Eagles (1-1) and Cowboys (1-1) wrap up the Week 3 schedule on MNF.

    Philly has cashed in just one of the past seven games on the road, although they did win and cover in Atlanta in Week 1 as the UNDER connected. The Eagles are just 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Jerry World, and 2-5 ATS in the past seven meetings overall. The favorite has hit in eight of the past 11 in this series, with the home team a perfect 5-for-5 against the number in the past five battles.

    The Cowboys are just 1-7 ATS in the past eight as a favorite, and 1-5 ATS in the past six inside the division. They're also a dismal 5-11 ATS in the past 16 appearances on Monday night.

    As far as the total, the UNDER is 4-0 in the past four MNF games for Philly.

    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    NFL
    Weather Report

    Week 2





     

    Leave a comment:


  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    LATE GAME REVIEWS:

    Baltimore 36, Kansas City 35:
    — Chiefs averaged 8.3 yards/play; only 6 of their 49 plays were on 3rd down.
    — KC turned ball over on two of their last three drives.
    — Chiefs were outgained by 68 yards/game in first two games.
    — Kelce caught 7 passes for 109 yards and a TD.

    — Jackson ran 16 times for 107 yards, threw for 239 yards.
    — On their last six drives, Ravens scored four TD’s, kicked a FG.
    — Last 5+ years, Baltimore is 5-1 ATS as home underdogs.
    — Ravens snapped a 4-game skid vs Kansas City.

    Arizona 34, Minnesota 33
    — Vikings missed 37-yard FG at gun; they also missed a PAT.
    — Vikings’ first four drives: 23 plays, 242 yards, 20 points.
    — Vikings’ last seven drives: 40 plays, 176 yards, 6 points.
    — Minnesota lost first two games by total of four points.

    — Arizona scored 72 points in winning its first two games.
    — Redbirds scored nine TD’s on 23 drives in two games.
    — Murray threw for 400 yards and three TD’s.
    — Total yardage: Arizona 474-419.

    Tampa Bay 48, Atlanta 25:
    — Falcons gave up 80 points in losing first two games.
    — Atlanta has been outscored 44-15 in 2nd half of games.
    — Tampa Bay had 13-yard edge in field position.
    — Last 4+ years, Atlanta is 8-13 ATS as road underdog.

    — Buccaneers won first two games, scoring 79 points.
    — Brady threw for 276 yards, five TD’s in this game.
    — Three of their five TD drives were less than 50 yards.
    — Tampa Bay had two pick-6’s in 4th quarter.

    Tennessee 33, Seattle 30, OT
    — Tennessee outscored Seahawks 17-0 over final 17:32 of game.
    — Henry ran ball for 182 yards, three TD’s.
    — Julio Jones caught six passes for 127 yards.
    — Last 6+ years, Titans are 15-10-1 ATS vs NFC opponents.

    — Seattle lost its first home opener since 2008.
    — Seahawks’ last 3 drives in 1st half: 12 plays, 164 yards, 21 points.
    — Seahawks rest of game: 24 plays, 150 yards, 6 points.
    — Their last nine games vs Titans were decided by 7 or fewer points.

    Dallas 20, LA Chargers 17
    — Dallas ran ball for 198 yards, averaged 7.0 yards/play.
    — Cowboys scored 17 points on three red zone drives.
    — Two games this season, Dallas is 15-27 on 3rd down.
    — Better balance this week; Cowboys ran ball 31 times, threw 27 passes.

    — Chargers’ 7 drives: one TD, four FG’s, two INT’s.
    — Bolts scored only 14 points on four red zone drives.
    — Herbert threw for 338 yards, also threw two INT’s.
    — Last 3+ years, Bolts are 3-14-1 ATS as home favorites.


     

    Leave a comment:


  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    Las Vegas 26, Pittsburgh 17:

    — Raiders outgained Pittsburgh, 425-331.
    — Las Vegas kicked FG’s on three of four first half drives.
    — Raiders have 782 passing yards in first two games.
    — Raiders are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine road openers.

    — Steelers have been outscored 19-7 in first half this season.
    — Pittsburgh ran ball 14 times for only 39 yards.
    — Steelers have been outgained by 106.5 yards/game.
    — Under is 9-4 in their last 13 home openers.

    San Francisco 17, Philadelphia 11
    — 49ers’ first four drives: 20 plays, 49 yards, 3 first downs, 0 points.
    — 49ers’ last four drives: 43 plays, 267 yards, 19 first downs, 17 points.
    — 49er’s two TD drives were 97-92 yards.
    — San Francisco has two road wins despite being minus-2 in turnovers.

    — Up 3-0 in 2nd quarter, Eagles were stopped on downs on SF’s 3-yard line.
    — Both teams average starting field position; their own 19-yard line.
    — Hurts threw for only 190 yards, ran for 82 more.
    — Last 5+ years, under is 29-12 in Eagle home games.

    Chicago 20, Cincinnati 17:
    — Total yardage: 248-206, Bengals.
    — Cincy lost despite a 13-yard edge in field position.
    — Bengals turned ball over four times (minus-3)
    — Bengals are 8-14 ATS last 22 games vs NFC opponents.

    — Roquan Smith had a 53-yard pick-6 to put Bears up 17-3.
    — Rookie QB Fields was 6-13/60 passing, ran 10 times for 31 yards.
    — Dalton got hurt; he started 133 games for Bengals (70-61-2, 2011-19)
    — Under is 5-1-1 in Bears’ last seven home openers.

    LA Rams 27, Indianapolis 24:
    — Rams drove 70 yards in four plays to take lead for good early in 4th quarter.
    — Cooper Kupp caught nine passes for 163 yards, two TD’s.
    — Rams averaged 11.6 yards/pass attempt last week, 8.7 this week.
    — Under McVay, Rams are 5-0 SU in road openers (3-2 ATS).

    — Wentz got hurt; backup QB Eason saw first NFL action in final 2:25 of game.
    — Indy had two empty trips to red zone in their first three drives.
    — Colts got gift TD in 3rd quarter when Rams screwed up snap on a punt.
    — Indy starts 0-2 at home; their next three games are on road.

    Carolina 26, New Orleans 7:
    — Saints’ only TD came on a 18-yard drive early in 4th quarter.
    — New Orleans ran only 43 plays for 128 yards.
    — Saints had only six first downs, threw for only 80 yards.
    — Saints are 2-10 ATS in last 12 road openers.

    — Carolina ran 73 plays, converted 8-15 on third down.
    — Panthers allowed total of 93 YR in first two games.
    — McCaffrey has 59 touches in his first two games.
    — Carolina beat Saints for only 2nd time in last 10 meetings.

    Cleveland 31, Houston 21:
    — QB Taylor got hurt; rookie Mills was 8-18/102 passing.
    — Houston’s first three drives: 20 plays, 155 yards, 14 points.
    — Houston’s last six drives: 39 plays, 154 yards, 7 points.
    — Last 3+ years, Texans are 10-6 ATS as road underdogs.

    — Browns were +3 in turnovers, had 12-yard edge in field position.
    — Mayfield completed 19-21 passes, for 8.7 yards/attempt.
    — Cleveland is 0-8 ATS as a favorite in their home opener.
    — Browns are 11-16-1 ATS in last 28 games as home favorite.

    Buffalo 35, Miami 0:
    — Last two meetings, Bills beat Miami 56-26/35-0.
    — Buffalo outscored first two opponents 24-0 in first half.
    — Last 3+ years, Bills are 6-3 ATS as road favorite.
    — McDermott is 18-12-1 ATS as a favorite.

    — Tagovailoa got hurt; Brissett was 24-40/169 passing.
    — Miami got to red zone three times, but didn’t score.
    — Dolphins were outgained 707-475 in first two games.
    — Dolphins have lost six games in row vs Buffalo.

    Denver 23, Jacksonville 13:
    — Denver opens up 2-0, with pair of road wins.
    — Broncos had 11-yard edge in field position.
    — Denver outgained Jaguars 398-198.
    — Broncos converted only 2-11 third down plays.

    — Jaguars have now lost 17 games in a row.
    — Rookie QB Lawrence was only 14-33 passing for 118 yards.
    — Jaguars’ second TD came on a 102-yard kick return.
    — Jaguars are already minus-5 in turnovers this year.

    New England 25, NJ Jets 6:
    — Patriots had 15-yard edge in field position.
    — New England has three TD’s on first 19 drives this year.
    — Patriots outgained first two foes 653-495
    — Belichick is 21-6 vs rookie QB’s.

    — Rookie QB Wilson threw four INTs, three on first four drives.
    — Jets started 0-2 four of last five years.
    — Jets lost 11 games in row to New England.
    — Jets ran ball for 152 yards, but minus-4 in turnovers is no bueno.

    Leave a comment:


  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    2021-2022 Season

    NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP

    WLT Pct Units Rank

    ATS Picks .........13-19-0 ........40.62%..........- 39.50

    O/U Picks ..........8-9-0 ..........47.05%...........- 9.50

    Totals.............21-28-0...........42.85%........,,,- 49.00


    BEST BETS:

    ATS Picks........... 6-13-0............ 31.57% .............-41.50

    O/U Picks..........11-11-0.............50.00%..............- 5.50

    Totals...............17-24-0.............41,46%..............- 47.00

    UPDATED ON 09/19/2021

    Leave a comment:

Working...
X