Cnotes college football 2021-2022 news/trends/best bets thru ncaa championship !

[StarDust Bum]

SEPT. OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

Date W-L-T % Units Record

09/19/2021 ........0 - 1 - 0................0.00%..............-5.50
09/18/2021......27 - 31 - 2..............46.67%.............-35.50
09/17/2021..........3 - 1 -0...............75.00%..............+9.50
09/16/2021.........1 - 1 - 0 ..............50.00%...............-0.50
09/11/2021......25 - 28 - 1..............49.09%..............-29.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 4 - 0...............50.00%...............-2.00

TOTALS............60 - 66- 3................47.61%%..........- 63.00


BEST BETS:

09/19/2021..........0 - 1 - 0.............00.00%.............-5.50
09/18/2021........13 - 17 -0.............43.33%...........-28.50
09/17/2021..........2 - 0 - 0............100.00%..........+10.00
09/16/2021..........1 - 1 - 0 .............50.00%.............-0.50
09/11/2021........13 - 14 -0.............48.14%...........- 12.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 1 - 0.............80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS..............33 - 34 - 0............49.25%............- 22.00

UPDATED ON 09/19

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday’s 6-pack
Most games drawing 3+ walks:
160— Barry Bonds
117— Ted Williams
115— Babe Ruth
113— Eddie Yost
95— Rickey Henderson
86— Mickey Mantle

Quote of the Day
“It’s not viewed negatively. We’re a family. We’re not going to discuss the details, but we care. There’s passion. There’s frustration. Those are all emotions that are natural, and those things happen.”
Padres’ manager Jayce Tingler, after tensions bubbled over in San Diego’s dugout Saturday

Sunday’s quiz
In the TV show Magnum PI, where did Thomas Magnum grow up?

Saturday’s quiz
Sun Bowl football game is played in El Paso every December.

Friday’s quiz
Rams have played in four Super Bowls; Kurt Warner started two of them. Vince Ferragamo and Jared Goff started the other two.

************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Alabama 31, Florida 29:
— Gators scored with 3:10 left, failed on 2-point conversion to tie game.
— Total yardage: 440-331, Florida- they ran for 245 yards.
— Alabama converted 7-13 third down plays.

12) Penn State 28, Auburn 20:
— Clifford completed 28-32 passes for 280 yards, two TD’s.
— Auburn converted 10-17 third down plays.

11) Western Michigan 44, Pittsburgh 41:
— WMU threw for 357 yards, was +3 in turnovers in their upset win.
— Pitt QB Pickett threw for 382 yards, six TD’s in losing cause.
— MAC teams are 6-12 ATS as road underdogs, but this was a good win for them.

10) Clemson 14, Georgia Tech 8:
— Game had a 1:52 lightning delay, just before halftime.
— Tech had ball inside Clemson 10 twice in last quarter, scored only 3 points.
— Tech outgained Clemson, 309-284.
— Last year, Tigers beat Tech 73-7.

9) Cincinnati 38, Indiana 24:
— Game swung when Indiana’s best defender got tossed for targeting.
— Trailing 21-17 late in 3rd quarter, Cincy ran kick back 99 yards for a TD.
— Indiana outgained Bearcats, 376-328, but turned ball over four times (-2).

8) BYU 27, Arizona State 17:
— ASU outgained Cougars, 426-361, but turned ball over four times (-2).
— BYU led 21-7 at half; Sun Devils cut it to 21-17 after three.
— BYU WR Romney caught six passes for 95 yards and a TD.

7) This week’s upsets:
— Northern Arizona (+26) 21, Arizona 19
— Western Michigan (+14.5) 44, Pitt 41
— Colorado State (+14.5) 22, Toledo 6
— Fresno State (+11) 40, UCLA 37
— Incarnate Word (+11) 42, Texas State 34
— East Carolina (+10) 42, Marshall 38

6) West Virginia 27, Virginia Tech 21:
— Game ended with Hokies on WVU’s 4-yard line.
— Tech had three drives stall inside WVU’s 10-yard line.
— West Virginia led 27-7 with 2:00 left in third quarter.

5) Wake Forest 35, Florida State 14:
— Seminoles are 0-3 for first time since 1976.
— FSU turned ball over six times (-4).
— Wake outgained Seminoles, 484-317.

4) SMU 39, Louisiana Tech 37:
— SMU scored on a 33-yard Hail Mary on last play.
— Mustangs outgained Tech, 578-483.
— Two QB’s combined for 746 passing yards, 9 TD passes.

3) East Carolina 42, Marshall 38:
— Marshall led 38-21 with 8:00 left in game.
— Pirates scored two TD’s in last 2:31 of game.
— Marshall outgained ECU, 647-563.

2) Fresno State 40, UCLA 37:
— 34 points were scored in last 8:10 of this game.
— Fresno scored on 13-yard TD pass with 0:14 left for the win.
— Bulldogs outgained UCLA, 569-395.

1) San Diego State 33, Utah 31 OT
— Utah scored two TD’s in last 4:16 to force OT.
— San Diego State threw ball for only 44 yards the whole game.
— Took three overtimes for Aztecs to come out on top.

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday’s 6-pack
Most games drawing 3+ walks:
160— Barry Bonds
117— Ted Williams
115— Babe Ruth
113— Eddie Yost
95— Rickey Henderson
86— Mickey Mantle

Quote of the Day
“It’s not viewed negatively. We’re a family. We’re not going to discuss the details, but we care. There’s passion. There’s frustration. Those are all emotions that are natural, and those things happen.”
Padres’ manager Jayce Tingler, after tensions bubbled over in San Diego’s dugout Saturday

Sunday’s quiz
In the TV show Magnum PI, where did Thomas Magnum grow up?

Saturday’s quiz
Sun Bowl football game is played in El Paso every December.

Friday’s quiz
Rams have played in four Super Bowls; Kurt Warner started two of them. Vince Ferragamo and Jared Goff started the other two.

************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Alabama 31, Florida 29:
— Gators scored with 3:10 left, failed on 2-point conversion to tie game.
— Total yardage: 440-331, Florida- they ran for 245 yards.
— Alabama converted 7-13 third down plays.

12) Penn State 28, Auburn 20:
— Clifford completed 28-32 passes for 280 yards, two TD’s.
— Auburn converted 10-17 third down plays.

11) Western Michigan 44, Pittsburgh 41:
— WMU threw for 357 yards, was +3 in turnovers in their upset win.
— Pitt QB Pickett threw for 382 yards, six TD’s in losing cause.
— MAC teams are 6-12 ATS as road underdogs, but this was a good win for them.

10) Clemson 14, Georgia Tech 8:
— Game had a 1:52 lightning delay, just before halftime.
— Tech had ball inside Clemson 10 twice in last quarter, scored only 3 points.
— Tech outgained Clemson, 309-284.
— Last year, Tigers beat Tech 73-7.

9) Cincinnati 38, Indiana 24:
— Game swung when Indiana’s best defender got tossed for targeting.
— Trailing 21-17 late in 3rd quarter, Cincy ran kick back 99 yards for a TD.
— Indiana outgained Bearcats, 376-328, but turned ball over four times (-2).

8) BYU 27, Arizona State 17:
— ASU outgained Cougars, 426-361, but turned ball over four times (-2).
— BYU led 21-7 at half; Sun Devils cut it to 21-17 after three.
— BYU WR Romney caught six passes for 95 yards and a TD.

7) This week’s upsets:
— Northern Arizona (+26) 21, Arizona 19
— Western Michigan (+14.5) 44, Pitt 41
— Colorado State (+14.5) 22, Toledo 6
— Fresno State (+11) 40, UCLA 37
— Incarnate Word (+11) 42, Texas State 34
— East Carolina (+10) 42, Marshall 38

6) West Virginia 27, Virginia Tech 21:
— Game ended with Hokies on WVU’s 4-yard line.
— Tech had three drives stall inside WVU’s 10-yard line.
— West Virginia led 27-7 with 2:00 left in third quarter.

5) Wake Forest 35, Florida State 14:
— Seminoles are 0-3 for first time since 1976.
— FSU turned ball over six times (-4).
— Wake outgained Seminoles, 484-317.

4) SMU 39, Louisiana Tech 37:
— SMU scored on a 33-yard Hail Mary on last play.
— Mustangs outgained Tech, 578-483.
— Two QB’s combined for 746 passing yards, 9 TD passes.

3) East Carolina 42, Marshall 38:
— Marshall led 38-21 with 8:00 left in game.
— Pirates scored two TD’s in last 2:31 of game.
— Marshall outgained ECU, 647-563.

2) Fresno State 40, UCLA 37:
— 34 points were scored in last 8:10 of this game.
— Fresno scored on 13-yard TD pass with 0:14 left for the win.
— Bulldogs outgained UCLA, 569-395.

1) San Diego State 33, Utah 31 OT
— Utah scored two TD’s in last 4:16 to force OT.
— San Diego State threw ball for only 44 yards the whole game.
— Took three overtimes for Aztecs to come out on top.

[Udog]

Tech Trends - Week 4
Bruce Marshall




 

[Udog]

APPALACHIAN ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 yards/game in the last 3 seasons.

MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after 2+ SU losses in the last 3 seasons.

LIBERTY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) off 2 non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CFB Fri 10:00 PM ET

UNLV is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in road games after allowing 475 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1992.

MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game where they committed no turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

WISCONSIN is 40-19 ATS (19.1 Units) in road games after going under the total since 1992.

C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI OHIO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the last 3 seasons.

BOISE ST is 26-10 ATS (15 Units) in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=4.75 rushing yards/carry since 1992.

MISSOURI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games with <=6 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

OHIO U is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

VANDERBILT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

LSU is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS TECH is 48-26 ATS (19.4 Units) vs good rushing teams (>200 RYG) since 1992.

SMU is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) off a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

MASSACHUSETTS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games with <=6 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

TOLEDO is 20-44 ATS (-28.4 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better since 1992.

W MICHIGAN is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. since 199...

E MICHIGAN is 8-28 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games off a non-conference game since 1992.

WASHINGTON ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

MARYLAND is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) off a win vs. the conference since 1992.

ILLINOIS are 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

COLORADO ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus excellent defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game since 1992.

LOUISVILLE is 15-30 ATS (-18 Units) vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992.

WYOMING is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) off a home blowout win by 28 points or more since 1992.

MEMPHIS are 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season since 1992.

IOWA ST is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

CLEMSON is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) in road games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. since 1992.

MICHIGAN is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992.

ARKANSAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

DUKE is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

GEORGIA ST is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games when the total is 56.5-63 since 1992.

TULSA is 17-39 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games vs. losing teams since 1992.

LA LAFAYETTE is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992...

UCLA is 5-20 ATS (-17 Units) in road games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.

BUFFALO is 42-22 ATS (17.8 Units) vs bad defenses (>31 PPG) since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a game where they committed no turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

NAVY is 74-32 ATS (38.8 Units) in road games after playing a game at home since 1992.

FLORIDA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after a close loss (<=6 pts) since 1992.

MICHIGAN ST is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse since 1992.

NORTH TEXAS are 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 3 seasons.

AKRON is 1-16 ATS (-16.6 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off home conference win in the last 3 seasons.

SOUTHERN MISS are 45-25 ATS (17.5 Units) in road games off a non-conference game since 1992.

OKLAHOMA is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992.

W KENTUCKY is 26-12 ATS (12.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.

AIR FORCE is 33-62 ATS (-35.2 Units) off a loss vs. the conference since 1992.

NEW MEXICO ST is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) after playing a game at home since 1992.

UAB is 36-11 ATS (23.9 Units) after a 2 game road trip since 1992.

LA MONROE is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers since 1992.

NEW MEXICO is 29-13 ATS (14.7 Units) vs good rushing def. (<120 RYG) since 1992.

WASHINGTON is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games vs bad teams (25-40%) since 1992.

S FLORIDA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after an ATS loss in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 4-26 ATS (-24.6 Units) in road games after a game where they forced no turnovers since 1992.

OREGON ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 4




 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 4

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 4

Thursday’s game
Marshall (2-1) @ Appalachian State (2-1)
— Marshall was outscored 21-0 in 4th quarter of 42-38 home loss LW.
— Marshall is 6-10 ATS last 16 non-league games.
— Thundering Herd has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Marshall has 137 returning starts on offensive line.
— Thundering Herd has a QB with 13 starts.
— Last five years, Marshall is 9-3 ATS as a road underdog.

— App State lost by 2 at Miami, beat ECU team 33-19 that beat Marshall LW.
— App State is 16-9 ATS last 25 non-league games.
— App State has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— ASU has 69 returning starts on the offensive line.
— App State has a QB with 14 starts- he transferred from Duke.
— Under Clark, ASU is 3-7-1 ATS as a favorite.

— Marshall (+5) upset App State 17-7 LY, running for 216 yards.
— C-USA road dogs are 4-11-1 ATS out of conference.
— Sun Belt non-conference home favorites are 5-0 ATS so far this year.

Friday’s games
Middle Tennessee (1-2) @ Charlotte (2-1)
— MTSU lost its two I-A games, 35-14/27-13.
— In those games, Blue Raiders ran ball 61 times for 74 yards.
— MTSU has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Blue Raiders have 49 returning starts on offensive line.
— MTSU has a junior QB with 13 starts.
— MTSU is 15-19-1 ATS last 35 games as a road underdog.

— Charlotte upset Duke 31-28, lost 20-9 at Georgia State.
— 49ers allowed 352-298 rushing yards in its two I-A games.
— Charlotte has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— 49ers have 29 returning starts on offensive line.
— Charlotte has a junior QB with 27 starts.
— Under Healy, 49ers are 1-4 ATS as a home favorite.

— MTSU won four of last five series games.
— 49ers won last meeting 34-20, running ball for 248 yards.
— Favorites are 3-2 in last five series games.

Wake Forest (3-0) @ Virginia (2-1)
— Wake beat Florida State 35-14, also beat two stiffs.
— Deacons outgained Florida State 484-317 last week.
— Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Deacons have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
— Wake has a sophomore QB with 22 career starts.
— Last six years, Deacons are 15-7 ATS as road underdog.

— Virginia hammered Illinois 42-14, lost 59-39 at UNC.
— Cavaliers gave up 699 yards to Carolina, 392 on ground.
— Virginia has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
— Virginia has a soph QB with 12 starts.
— Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.

— Wake Forest won/covered last four series games.
— Deacons threw for 309 yards in LY’s 40-23 win.
— Underdogs are 6-2 ATS last eight series games.

Liberty (3-0) @ Syracuse (2-1)
— Liberty won 21-13 at Troy, beat Old Dominion 45-17.
— Flames’ two I-A opponents ran ball 59 times for 88 yards.
— Liberty has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Liberty has 127 returning starts on offensive line.
— Flames’ junior QB has 13 career starts.
— Under Freeze, Liberty is 4-1 ATS as road favorites.

— Syracuse won 29-9 at Ohio U, lost 17-7 to Rutgers.
— Syracuse ran ball for 283-286 yards in its two wins.
— Syracuse has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Syracuse has 120 returning starts on offensive line.
— Orange junior QB has 18 career starts.
— Under Babers, Syracuse is 8-11 ATS as home underdogs.

— Liberty (-3) won 38-21 here LY; they lost 24-0 at home in ’19.
— Flames ran ball for 338 yards in LY’s win.

UNLV (0-3) @ Fresno State (3-1)
— UNLV was outscored 85-13 in its two I-A games.
— Rebels were outgained by 670 yards in those two games.
— UNLV has 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Rebels have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNLV is playing a few different QB’s.
— Rebels are 29-16 ATS last 45 games as road dogs.

— Fresno (+11) upset UCLA LW, lost 31-24 at Oregon.
— Bulldogs threw ball for 930 yards their last two games.
— Fresno has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bulldogs have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Fresno’s QB has 14 career starts.
— Bulldogs are 14-11-1 ATS last 26 games as home faves.

— Fresno won/covered last three series games.
— Bulldogs ran ball for 243-260 yards last two meetings.


 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 4




 

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 23
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

MRSH at APP 07:30 PM
MRSH +7.0
O 58.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

SEPT. OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

Date W-L-T % Units Record

09/23/2021.........2.-.0.-.0.............100.00%............+10.00
09/19/2021 ........0 - 1 - 0................0.00%..............-5.50
09/18/2021......27 - 31 - 2..............46.67%.............-35.50
09/17/2021..........3 - 1 -0...............75.00%..............+9.50
09/16/2021.........1 - 1 - 0 ..............50.00%...............-0.50
09/11/2021......25 - 28 - 1..............49.09%..............-29.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 4 - 0...............50.00%...............-2.00

TOTALS............62- 66- 3................48.43%%..........- 53.00


BEST BETS:

09/23//2021........2 - 0 - 0.............100.00%........+ 10.00
09/19/2021..........0 - 1 - 0.............00.00%.............-5.50
09/18/2021........13 - 17 -0.............43.33%...........-28.50
09/17/2021..........2 - 0 - 0............100.00%..........+10.00
09/16/2021..........1 - 1 - 0 .............50.00%.............-0.50
09/11/2021........13 - 14 -0.............48.14%...........- 12.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 1 - 0.............80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS..............35 - 34 - 0............50.72%............- 12.00

UPDATED ON 09/23

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 4

Saturday’s games
Kentucky (3-0) @ South Carolina (2-1)
— Kentucky beat Mizzou 35-38 in SEC opener; also beat two stiffs.
— Wildcats ran for 332 yards, gained 511 TY in the Mizzou game.
— Kentucky has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Wildcats have 62 returning starts on offensive line.
— Kentucky’s QB has 5 career starts; he transferred from Penn State.
— Over last decade, Wildcats are 2-4 ATS as road favorites.

— South Carolina nipped ECU 20-17, lost SEC opener 40-13 @ Georgia LW.
— Gamecocks were outgained 491-310 LW, giving up 307 PY.
— South Carolina has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Gamecocks have 84 returning starts on offensive line.
— South Carolina has a freshman QB with 3 starts.
— Last three years, Gamecocks are 3-8 ATS as home underdogs.

— Kentucky won six of last seven series games.
— Wildcats won two of last three visits to Columbia.
— Both teams ran for 290+ yards in LY’s 41-18 Wildcat win.

Notre Dame (3-0) vs Wisconsin (1-1) (@ Soldier Field)
— Notre Dame’s QB started 18 games at Wisconsin (’18-’19).
— Notre Dame won 41-38 at Florida State, beat Purdue 27-13 LW.
— Last 5+ years, Notre Dame is 6-4 ATS on neutral fields.
— Notre Dame has 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Notre Dame has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Under Kelly, Notre Dame is 15-8 ATS as an underdog

— Wisconsin lost 16-10 at home to Penn State, beat a stiff 34-7.
— Badgers are 8-5 ATS in last 13 neutral field games.
— Badgers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Wisconsin has 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wisconsin has a freshman QB, with seven starts.
— Last 3+ years, Badgers are 12-16 ATS as a favorite.

— These teams have not met in last 20 years.

UCLA (2-1) @ Stanford (2-1)
— UCLA lost 40-37 to Fresno after beating LSU 38-27.
— Bruins gave up 755 passing yards in last two games.
— UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bruins have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UCLA’s junior QB is making his 26th career start.
— Last five years, Bruins are 0-5-1 ATS as road favorite.

— Stanford won road games at USC/Vanderbilt last two weeks.
— Stanford allowed 200+ rushing yards into of three games.
— Cardinal has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Stanford has 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cardinal has freshman QB with two career starts.
— Last four years, Stanford is 3-7 ATS as road underdogs.

— Stanford won 12 of last 13 series games.
— Bruins’ one win was last visit here, 34-16 (+4) in ’19.
— UCLA ran for 291-263 yards in last two meetings.

Louisville (2-1) @ Florida State (0-3)
— Louisville lost 43-24 to Ole Miss, beat UCF 42-35 LW.
— Cardinals allowed 569-420 TY in their two I-A games.
— Louisville has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Cardinals have 95 returning starts on offensive line.
— Cardinals’ junior QB has started 17 games.
— Last seven years, Louisville is 10-8 ATS as road favorites.

— Florida State is 0-3 for first time since 1976.
— FSU gave up 431-484 TY in I-A games; they also lost to a I-AA team.
— Seminoles have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— FSU has 100 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Seminoles have been playing two QBs.
— Last nine years, FSU is 4-4 ATS as a home underdog.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Cardinals lost three of last four visits to FSU (2-2 ATS)

LSU (2-1) @ Mississippi State (2-1)
— LSU beat couple of stiffs, lost 38-27 at UCLA.
— Tigers ran ball for only 49-84 yards vs I-A opponents.
— LSU has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Tigers have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
— LSU’s junior QB has made six starts.
— Under Orgeron, Tigers are 7-7 ATS as a road favorite.

— Miss State lost 31-29 at Memphis LW: they outgained Tigers 468-246.
— Bulldogs have home wins over La Tech (35-34), NC State (24-10).
— Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— MSU has 37 returning starts on offensive line.
— Bulldogs have a freshman QB this year, with 9 starts.
— Last 2+ years, Miss State is 1-4 ATS as a home dog.

— Miss State smoked LSU 44-34 LY, Leach’s first game in this series.
— LSU has won 18 of last 21 series games.
— Bayou Bengals are 9-3 ATS in last 12 visits to Starkville.

Texas Tech (3-0) @ Texas (1-0)
— Tech beat Houston 38-21, then beat couple of stiffs.
— Red Raiders did struggle to beat a I-AA team 28-22.
— Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Tech has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech’s soph QB has ten starts (7 at Oregon).
— Under Wells, Red Raiders are 3-5 ATS as road underdogs.

— Texas spanked Louisiana/Rice at home, lost 40-21 at Arkansas.
— Sarkisian is 24-17 ATS as a favorite, 19-12 at home.
— Texas has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Longhorns have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Texas has a new coach, new QB- Arkansas ran for 333 yards against them.
— Longhorns are 2-0 ATS as home fave TY (7-12 previous four years).

— Texas won three in row, 15 of last 18 series games.
— Red Raiders are 3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Austin, but won 2 of last 3 SU.
— Texas (-17) won 63-56 LY; they scored 51 ppg in last three meetings.

SMU (3-0) @ TCU (2-0)
— SMU won its last game 39-37, on last-second Hail Mary.
— Mustangs gave up 735 PY in last two games.
— SMU has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Mustangs have 141 returning starts on offensive line.
— SMU has a soph QB this year; he was a backup at Oklahoma.
— Last four years, SMU is 5-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— TCU had last week off after nipping Cal 34-32.
— Golden Bears gained 442 yards, threw for 309.
— TCU has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— TCU has a soph QB this year, with 20 starts.
— Last 5+ years, TCU is 6-17-1 ATS as a home favorite.

— TCU won 17 of last 20 meetings, lost last one 41-38 (-8)
— SMU is 5-1-1 ATS in last seven (short) trips to Fort Worth.

Iowa State (2-1) @ Baylor (3-0)
— Iowa State lost 27-17 to Iowa, only decent team they’ve played.
— ISU took frustrations out on UNLV LW, winning 48-3.
— Cyclones have 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— ISU has 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cyclones have a junior QB this year, with 35 starts.
— ISU is 5-2-1 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.

— Baylor ran ball for 321.3 yds/game in whacking three stiffs.
— Bears outgained Kansas 576-166 in Big X opener LW.
— Bears have 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Baylor has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bears have a soph QB this year, with 3 starts.
— Last four years, Baylor is 5-4 ATS as a home underdog.

— Iowa State won three of last four series games.
— Cyclones are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Waco.
— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.

Clemson (2-1) @ NC State (1-0)
— Clemson lost 10-3 to Georgia, beat Ga Tech 14-8 LW.
— Tigers gained only 232 ypg in two I-A games.
— Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Tigers have 37 returning starts on offensive line.
— Clemson’s freshman QB has made 5 starts.
— Clemson is 12-6-1 ATS in last 19 games as a road favorite.

— State beat couple of stiffs, lost 24-10 at Miss State.
— Wolfpack was -3 in TO’s, ran for only 32 yards in loss to MSU.
— Wolfpack has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— NC State has 73 returning starts on offensive line.
— Wolfpack has a soph QB this year, with 11 starts.
— Last five years, NC State is 4-7 ATS as a road favorite.

— Clemson won last eight series games (4-2 ATS last six).
— Tigers won last two meetings, 55-10/41-7.
— Clemson is 7-3 ATS last ten visits to Raleigh.

Nebraska (2-2) @ Michigan State (3-0)
— Nebraska is already playing its fifth game- they lost 23-16 @ Oklahoma LW.
— Huskers beat Fordham/Buffalo, lost 30-22 to Illinois.
— Nebraska has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Nebraska has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cornhuskers have a junior QB with 27 starts.
— Nebraska is 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as road underdog.

— Michigan State was +4 in turnovers in 38-17 upset of Miami LW.
— MSU ran for 326 yards @ Northwestern, 191 at Miami.
— Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— MSU has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Michigan State has a QB who started 26 games for Temple.
— MSU is 1-10 ATS in last 11 games as home favorite.

— Nebraska won five of last seven series games.
— Huskers (+1.5) won last meeting 9-6 in 2018.
— Nebraska covered last two visits to East Lansing.

Rutgers (3-0) @ Michigan (3-0)
— Rutgers beat Syracuse 17-7, Temple 61-14 in I-A games.
— Schiano is 34-25-1 ATS on the road.
— Knights have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Rutgers has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
— Rutgers has junior QB with 10 career starts.
— Scarlet Knights covered their last five road games.

— Michigan scored 47 ppg in winning first three games.
— Harbaugh is 30-22 ATS as a home favorite.
— Michigan has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Wolverines have 30 returning starts on offensive line.
— Michigan’s QB has started three games.
— Wolverines are 3-0 ATS already as home favorites TY.

— Michigan won last six series games (3-3 ATS)
— Wolverines scored 50.7 ppg in those games.
— Last year’s game was a 48-42 Michigan (-12) win.

California (1-2) @ Washington (1-2)
— Cal lost two games by total of 7 points, beat I-AA team 42-30 LW.
— Cal gave up 965 yards in last two games.
— Bears have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Cal has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bears have junior QB with 25 starts.
— Last three years, Cal is 9-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Washington lost 13-7 to I-AA Montana, 31-10 at Michigan.
— Huskies beat up on Arkansas State 52-3 LW.
— Washington has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Huskies have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Washington’s QB has 7 career starts.
— Last 2+ years, Huskies are 6-4 ATS as home favorites.

— Cal won last two series games, 20-19/12-10, both as double digit dogs.
— Golden Bears are 7-5 ATS last dozen trips to Seattle.

Texas A&M (3-0) vs Arkansas (3-0) (@ Arlington, TX)
— A&M outscored opponents 85-17 in their 3-0 start.
— Aggies struggled to beat Colorado 10-7 in neutral field game.
— A&M has 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Aggies have 15 returning starts on offensive line.
— A&M are playing two freshman QB’s.
— Aggies are 14-4-1 ATS inlets 19 non-league games.

— Arkansas scored 41 ppg in its 3-0 start, with win over Texas.
— Hogs ran ball for 282.3 yards/game, 333 vs Texas
— Arkansas has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Razorbacks have 110 returning starts on offensive line.
— Arkansas has a freshman QB with 4 starts.
— Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 8-3 ATS as underdogs.

— Aggies won last nine series games; A&M covered last three.
— Underdogs are 4-2-1 ATS in series when spread was single digits.


 

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 24
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

MTU at CHAR 06:30 PM
O 56.0
+500

WAKE at UVA 07:00 PM
WAKE +3.0
O 70.0
+500 +500

LIB at SYR 08:00 PM
LIB -6.5
U 54.0
+500 +500

UNLV at FRES 10:00 PM
FRES -30.0
U 58.0
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

SEPT. OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

Date W-L-T % Units Record

09/24/2021.........3-4-0..............42.85%.............-7.00
09/23/2021.........2-0-0.............100.00%............+10.00
09/19/2021 ........0-1-0................0.00%.............-5.50
09/18/2021......27-31-2..............46.67%.............-35.50
09/17/2021.........3-1-0...............75.00%............+9.50
09/16/2021.........1-1-0 ..............50.00%.............-0.50
09/11/2021.......25-2 -1..............49.09%.............-29.00
09/10/2021.........4-4-0...............50.00%.............-2.00

TOTALS............65- 70- 3.............48.14%............- 60.00


BEST BETS:

09/24/2021.........2-3-0...............40.00%........- 11.50
09/23//2021........2-0-0.............100.00%........+ 10.00
09/19/2021..........0-1-0.............00.00%..........- 5.50
09/18/2021........13-17-0.............43.33%.........-28.50
09/17/2021..........2-0-0............100.00%.........+10.00
09/16/2021..........1-1-0 .............50.00%............-0.50
09/11/2021........13-14-0.............48.14%.........- 12.00
09/10/2021..........4-1-0..............80.00%..........+14.50

TOTALS..............37-37-0.............50.00%..........- 23.50

UPDATED ON 09/24

[Udog]

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Week 4