Cnotes college football 2021-2022 news/trends/best bets thru ncaa championship !

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 3

Friday’s games
Central Florida (2-0) @ Louisville (1-1)
— UCF beat Boise State 36-31, beat a I-AA team 63-14.
— Knights ran ball for 255 yards, threw for 318.
— Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— MSU has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Knights have a soph QB with 24 career starts.
— Last two years, UCF was 7-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— Malzahn is 14-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— Louisville lost 43-24 to Ole Miss, beat a I-AA team 30-3.
— Ole Miss threw for 381 yards, outgained Cardinals 569-355
— Louisville has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Cardinals have 95 returning starts on offensive line.
— Cardinals’ junior QB has started 16 games.
— Last four years, Louisville is 2-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.

— These teams haven’t met since 2013.

Maryland (2-0) @ Illinois (1-2)
— Maryland beat West Virginia 30-24, a I-AA team 62-0.
— Terps outgained WVU 496-325, throwing for 347 yards.
— Maryland has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Maryland has 36 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Terrapins have sophomore QB who started 6 games.
— Last seven years, Maryland is 3-5 ATS as road favorite.
— Locksley is 1-2 ATS as a road favorite.

— Illinois gave up 79 points last 2 weeks, losing to UTSA/Virginia.
— Virginia threw for 423 yards, outgained Illini 556-337.
— Illinois has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Illinois has 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Illini have sophomore QB who has started 17 games.
— Illinois is 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a home underdog.

— Maryland (-17.5) hammered Illini 63-33 three years ago, in only meeting.
— Terrapins ran ball for 431 yards in that game.

Saturday’s games
Michigan State (2-0) @ Miami (1-1)
— Michigan State won first two games, running for 326 yards @ Northwestern.
— Tucker is 3-5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— MSU has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Michigan State has a QB who started 26 games for Temple.
— MSU is 7-13 ATS in last 20 non-conference games.

— Miami got hammered by Alabama, then nipped App State 25-23 LW.
— Miami is 7-10 ATS in last 17 non-conference games.
— Miami has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Miami has 190 returning starts on offensive line.
— Hurricanes’ senior QB has started 32 games.
— Under Diaz, Miami is 5-7 ATS as a home favorite.

— These teams haven’t met in last 20 years.

Virginia Tech (2-0) @ West Virginia (1-1)
— Tech allowed 12 ppg in winning its first two games.
— Fuente is 22-15-2 ATS in non-conference games.
— Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Tech has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hokies’ junior QB has started six games.
— Under Fuente, Hokies are 5-5 ATS as road underdogs.

— West Virginia lost 30-24 at Maryland, then hammered a I-AA team.
— WVU is 6-11 ATS in last 16 non-conference games.
— Mountaineers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— WVU has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Mountaineers have junior QB with 32 career starts.
— Last four years, West Virginia is 10-5 ATS as home favorites.

— Virginia Tech won last three series games.
— Hokies won last three series games.

Cincinnati (2-0) @ Indiana (1-1)
— Bearcats whacked couple of stiffs to start season.
— Cincinnati is 7-2 ATS in last nine non-league games.
— Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Cincinnati has 48 returning starts on offensive line.
— Cincinnati has a junior QB with 37 career starts.
— Under Fickell, Cincinnati is 3-5 ATS as a road favorite.

— Hoosiers lost to Iowa, then pounded a I-AA team.
— Indiana was outgained 303-233 in loss to the Hawkeyes.
— Hoosiers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Indiana has 67 returning starts on offensive line.
— Indiana has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
— Under Allen, Indiana is 4-7 ATS as a home underdog.

— These teams haven’t met since 2000.

USC (1-1) @ Washington State (1-1)
— USC lost to Stanford Saturday, fired its coach Monday.
— USC gained 416-408 TY in first two games this year.
— Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— USC has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Trojans have a soph QB with 19 career starts.
— USC is 12-7 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
— Who fires their coach on September 13?

— Wazzu lost 26-23 to Utah State, beat I-AA team 44-24.
— Rolovich is 5-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Coogs have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Wazzu has 68 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coogs have a soph QB with six career starts.
— Last six years, Wazzu is 4-2 ATS as home underdog.

— USC won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Trojans won five of last six visits to Pullman.
— Favorites are 8-5 ATS last 13 series games.

Alabama (2-0) @ Florida (2-0)
— Alabama waxed Miami 44-13, then beat up on a I-AA team.
— Alabama threw for 354 yards in win over Miami.
— Crimson Tide has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Alabama has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
— Bama’s new QB has started two games.
— At Alabama, Saban is 33-23 ATS as a road favorite.

— Florida won first two games by 21-22 points (0-2 ATS)
— Gators ran ball for 763 yards in those two games.
— Florida has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Gators have 54 returning starts on offensive line.
— Florida’s new QB has two career starts.
— Under Mullen, Florida is 3-1 ATS as an underdog.

— Alabama (-17) held Florida off 52-46 LY, their first meeting since 2016.
— Gators threw ball for 408 yards in tough loss.
— Alabama is 5-2 ATS in last seven series games.

Florida State (0-2) @ Wake Forest (2-0)
— Florida State lost 41-38 to Notre Dame, 20-17 to a I-AA team.
— FSU ran ball for 466 yards in two games, but they lost to a I-AA team.
— Seminoles have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— FSU has 100 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Seminoles’ senior QB started 33 games at UCF, was hurt last two years.
— FSU is 5-8 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.

— Wake beat Old Dominion 42-10, a I-AA team 41-16.
— Deacons beat Florida State 22-20 in last meeting, in 2019.
— Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Deacons have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
— Wake has a sophomore QB with 21 career starts.
— Deacons are 9-5-1 ATS last 15 games as home favorites.

— Florida State won seven of last eight series games.
— Seminoles are 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to Wake.
— Last 24 years, FSU is 2-0 ATS vs Wake as an underdog.

Utah (1-1) @ San Diego State (2-0)
— Utah lost 26-17 at rival BYU LW, giving up 219 YR.
— Last 3+ years, Utes are 2-6-1 ATS out of conference.
— Utah has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Utes have 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Utah’s new quarterback started 39 games at Baylor.
— Last 5+ years, Utah is 11-6-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— San Diego State beat NM State 28-10, Arizona 38-14.
— Aztecs ran ball for 519 yards in those games.
— San Diego State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Aztecs have 65 returning starts on offensive line.
— San Diego State has a junior QB with 4 starts.
— Aztecs are 6-1-1 ATS in last eight games as home dogs.

— These teams haven’t met since 2010.

Auburn (2-0) @ Penn State (2-0)
— Auburn started season by scoring 60-62 points vs stiffs.
— Harsin is 7-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Auburn has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
— Tigers have a soph QB with 26 career starts.
— Last 7 years, Auburn is 4-10 ATS as a road underdog.

— Penn State won 16-10 at Wisconsin, hammered Ball State.
— PSU was outgained 359-297 by the Badgers.
— Penn State has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Penn State has 47 returning starts on offensive line.
— Penn State has a junior QB, with 22 starts.
— Nittany Lions are 4-6-1 ATS last 11 games as home favorites.

— These teams haven’t met since 2002.

Virginia (2-0) @ North Carolina (1-1)
— Virginia hammered Illinois 42-14 LW, throwing for 423 yards.
— Cavaliers are 9-3 ATS last dozen non-league games.
— Virginia has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
— Virginia has a soph QB with 11 starts.
— Last six years, Cavaliers are 15-11 ATS as a road underdog.

— UNC lost 17-10 at Va Tech, hammered Georgia State 59-17 LW.
— Tar Heels held both opponents this season under 300 yards.
— Tar Heels have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Tech has 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNC has a soph QB with 27 career starts.
— Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS last six games as home favorites.

— Virginia won last four series games, scoring 34.3 ppg.
— Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS last seven visits to Kenan Stadium.
— Last two series games ended 38-31/44-41.

Tulane (1-1) @ Ole Miss (2-0)
— Tulane lost 40-35 at Oklahoma, whipped a I-AA team 69-20.
— Green Wave was outgained only 430-396 by the Sooners.
— Green Wave has 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Tulane has 114 returning starts on offensive line.
— Green Wave are playing a freshman QB with 11 starts.
— Under Fritz, Tulane is 7-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Ole Miss waxed Louisville 43-24, beat a I-AA team 54-17.
— Rebels are 7-11 ATS out of conference.
— Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Ole Miss has 64 returning starts on offensive line.
— Rebels’ soph QB has started 16 games.
— Last three years, Ole Miss is 6-4 ATS as home favorite.

— These teams haven’t met since 2012.

Oklahoma State (2-0) @ Boise State (1-1)
— Oklahoma State edged Tulsa 28-23 LW; they were outshined, 347-313.
— OSU is 16-3 ATS in last 19 non-league games.
— Cowboys have 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— OSU has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
— Cowboys’ soph QB has started 21 games.
— OSU is 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

— Boise State lost opener 36-31 at UCF, pounded UTEP 54-13.
— Broncos were outgained 573-283 by Central Florida.
— Boise State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Broncos have 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Boise has soph QB who has started 15 games.
— Last 2+ years, Boise is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.

— Oklahoma State (-1) beat Boise 44-21 in ’18; Broncos threw for 380 yards.

Arizona State (2-0) @ BYU (2-0)
— Arizona State beat UNLV 37-10 LW, beat a I-AA team 41-14.
— ASU ran for 287 yards against the Rebels.
— Sun Devils have 9 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
— ASU has 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sun Devils have a soph QB with 18 career starts.
— Under Edwards, ASU is 5-10 ATS as a favorite, 2-4 on road.

— BYU beat Arizona 24-16, then upset rival Utah 26-17 LW.
— Last week was first time Cougars beat Utah since 2009.
— Cougars have 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— BYU has 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BYU’s QB has started two games, won ‘em both.
— Under Sitake, BYU is 3-5-1 ATS as home underdogs.

— Teams haven’t met since 1998.

Fresno State (2-1) @ UCLA (2-0)
— Fresno hammered couple of stiffs, lost 31-24 at Oregon.
— Bulldogs outgained Oregon 373-358, were -2 in turnovers.
— Fresno has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bulldogs have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Fresno’s QB has nine career starts.
— Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS last ten games as road underdogs.

— UCLA had LW off after beating LSU 38-27.
— Bruins ran ball for 244-210 yards in first two games.
— UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bruins have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UCLA’s junior QB is making his 25th career start.
— Under Kelly, Bruins are 4-6 ATS as home favorite, 2-0 this year.

— Fresno (-2.5) won 38-14 at UCLA three years ago.
— Bulldogs won last three series games.


 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 3




 

[StarDust Bum]

SEPT. OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

Date W-L-T % Units Record

09/16/2021..........1 - 1 - 0 ..............50.00%..............-0.50
09/11/2021.........25 - 28 - 1............49.09%..............-29.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 4 - 0...............50.00%...............-2.00

TOTALS...............30 - 33 - 1.............47.61%..............31.50


BEST BETS:
09/16/2021..........1 - 1 - 0 .............50.00%...............-0.50
09/11/2021........13 - 14 -0.............48.14%.............- 12.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 1 - 0.............80.00%.............+14.50

TOTALS..............18 - 16 - 0............52.94%..............+ 2.00

UPDATED 09/16

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s 6-pack

Major league leaders, runs scored:

116— Vladimir Guerrero, Tor

111— Bo Bichette, Tor

108— Freddie Freeman, Atl

105— Jose Altuve Hst/Marcus Semien Tor

100— Mitch Haniger, Sea

98— Juan Soto, Wash




Quote of the Day

“Coach Franklin talked to us yesterday, addressed the topic (of USC). I don’t think that it’s anything that we need to worry about. It’s something that is kind of out of our hands. We’re just gonna focus on Auburn and then go from there. We’re really excited about what we’ve got on table this week, so we’re not gonna let outside sources change our thought process.”

Penn State QB Sean Clifford




Friday’s quiz

Rams have played in four Super Bowls; Kurt Warner started two of them. Who started the other two?




Thursday’s quiz

Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; Stan Humphries was their QB that day.




Wednesday’s quiz

Ken Anderson holds the Cincinnati Bengals’ career record for passing yards.




*******************************




Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….




13) I’ve been hoping this would happen; Thursday, NFL Films/HBO announced that Hard Knocks will have a regular season set of shows, centered on the Indianapolis Colts, starting in November. This will be 1,000 times better than the training camp version, providing HBO gets good access behind closed doors. Looking forward to it.




12) Washington 30, Giants 29:

— Hopkins kicked a 43-yard FG at the gun for the win.

— Hopkins missed a 48-yard FG on previous play, but Giants were offsides.

— Heinicke threw for 336 yards in only his second regular season start.

— McLaurin caught 11 passes for 107 yards.




— Giants scored 6 of last 7 times they had ball, but 5 of 6 scores were FG’s.

— Jones threw for 249 yards, ran for 95 more, didn’t turn ball over.

— Giants averaged 5.8 yards/rush; Jones is more of a threat with his feet than his arm.

— Giants are 0-2 for the fifth year in a row.




11) Active major leaguers who’ve played most games without ever playing in playoffs:

— Kyle Seager, Seattle

— Jean Segura, Philly

— JT Realmuto, Philly




10) Phillies 17, Cubs 8:

— Chicago led this game 7-0 in 4th inning.

— Phillies went 10-22 with runner in scoring position.




9) Whoever finishes second in NL West will be in the one-game Wild Card thing, even though that team will finish miles ahead of their Wild Card opponent. Right now, the Dodgers are 17 games ahead of St Louis; that would be the Wild Card matchup, if it happened today.




8) In 21 of the Seattle Mariners’ last 37 games, the winning run scored in the last three innings; they’ve played a ton of close games this season.




7) Louisiana 49, Ohio U 14:

— Game was only 28-14 after third quarter.

— Total yardage; Louisiana won, 562-250

— Montrell Johnson ran for 84 yards and four TD’s.




6) Kris Bryant plays all three OF positions, he plays 3B, he’s even played some first base, but I’m wondering if he would hit better if he just played one position. His versatility will get him a huge contract this winter, but not sure it helps him be his most productive self.




5) Pittsburgh Pirates have a bad record, but they’ve been spunky of late; Pirates are 4-0-1 in their last five home series.




4) Las Vegas Raiders’ backup QB Marcus Mariota got hurt running the ball Monday night, is out for a few weeks. Nathan Peterman steps in to back up Derek Carr.




3) Buffalo Sabres/Toronto Maple Leafs are going to play an outdoor hockey game in Hamilton, Ontario this winter; the outdoor games have proven to be very popular.




2) Former Steelers’ QB Devlin Hodges was in Rams’ training camp this summer; this week he signed a 3-year deal with Ottawa in the CFL.




1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):

NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: St Louis @ Los Angeles

AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Boston @ Toronto
 

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders, runs scored:
116— Vladimir Guerrero, Tor
111— Bo Bichette, Tor
108— Freddie Freeman, Atl
105— Jose Altuve Hst/Marcus Semien Tor
100— Mitch Haniger, Sea
98— Juan Soto, Wash

Quote of the Day

“Coach Franklin talked to us yesterday, addressed the topic (of USC). I don’t think that it’s anything that we need to worry about. It’s something that is kind of out of our hands. We’re just gonna focus on Auburn and then go from there. We’re really excited about what we’ve got on table this week, so we’re not gonna let outside sources change our thought process.”

Penn State QB Sean Clifford

Friday’s quiz

Rams have played in four Super Bowls; Kurt Warner started two of them. Who started the other two?

Thursday’s quiz

Chargers have played in one Super Bowl; Stan Humphries was their QB that day.

Wednesday’s quiz

Ken Anderson holds the Cincinnati Bengals’ career record for passing yards.

*******************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) I’ve been hoping this would happen; Thursday, NFL Films/HBO announced that Hard Knocks will have a regular season set of shows, centered on the Indianapolis Colts, starting in November. This will be 1,000 times better than the training camp version, providing HBO gets good access behind closed doors. Looking forward to it.

12) Washington 30, Giants 29:

— Hopkins kicked a 43-yard FG at the gun for the win.

— Hopkins missed a 48-yard FG on previous play, but Giants were offsides.

— Heinicke threw for 336 yards in only his second regular season start.

— McLaurin caught 11 passes for 107 yards.

— Giants scored 6 of last 7 times they had ball, but 5 of 6 scores were FG’s.

— Jones threw for 249 yards, ran for 95 more, didn’t turn ball over.

— Giants averaged 5.8 yards/rush; Jones is more of a threat with his feet than his arm.

— Giants are 0-2 for the fifth year in a row.

11) Active major leaguers who’ve played most games without ever playing in playoffs:

— Kyle Seager, Seattle

— Jean Segura, Philly

— JT Realmuto, Philly

10) Phillies 17, Cubs 8:

— Chicago led this game 7-0 in 4th inning.

— Phillies went 10-22 with runner in scoring position.

9) Whoever finishes second in NL West will be in the one-game Wild Card thing, even though that team will finish miles ahead of their Wild Card opponent. Right now, the Dodgers are 17 games ahead of St Louis; that would be the Wild Card matchup, if it happened today.

8) In 21 of the Seattle Mariners’ last 37 games, the winning run scored in the last three innings; they’ve played a ton of close games this season.

7) Louisiana 49, Ohio U 14:

— Game was only 28-14 after third quarter.

— Total yardage; Louisiana won, 562-250

— Montrell Johnson ran for 84 yards and four TD’s.

6) Kris Bryant plays all three OF positions, he plays 3B, he’s even played some first base, but I’m wondering if he would hit better if he just played one position. His versatility will get him a huge contract this winter, but not sure it helps him be his most productive self.

5) Pittsburgh Pirates have a bad record, but they’ve been spunky of late; Pirates are 4-0-1 in their last five home series.

4) Las Vegas Raiders’ backup QB Marcus Mariota got hurt running the ball Monday night, is out for a few weeks. Nathan Peterman steps in to back up Derek Carr.

3) Buffalo Sabres/Toronto Maple Leafs are going to play an outdoor hockey game in Hamilton, Ontario this winter; the outdoor games have proven to be very popula

2) Former Steelers’ QB Devlin Hodges was in Rams’ training camp this summer; this week he signed a 3-year deal with Ottawa in the CFL.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):

NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: St Louis @ Los Angeles

AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Boston @ Toronto
 

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 17
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

UCF at LOU 07:30 PM
LOU +6.5
O 66.5
+500 +500

MD at ILL 09:00 PM
ILL +7.0
O 61.5
+500 +500

[Udog]

College Football Week 3 Money Moves
Micah Roberts

We’ve got a few big games in college football’s week 3 action that will surely get the bettors clinging to a side whether it’s Alabama at Florida, Auburn at Penn State, or early bettors taking Tulsa on a 6.5 point ride betting against Ohio State.

“We’re expecting great handle again this week,” said Las Vegas SuperBook manager Randy Blum. “These bettors were a little apprehensive in the first week, but they came strong last week, and we’re seeing similar trends this week.”

Surprisingly, only because I remember decades of games between Nebraska and Oklahoma always being the game of the year, their 87th meeting Saturday hasn’t drawn any interest as the Sooners have been -22 all week at most books.

Station Casinos sportsbook VP Jason Mccormick said their sharpest plays this week have been on Colorado, North Texas (+14 vs. UAB), and Kansas State (+3 vs. Nevada) which all happened after Circa Sports let bettors punch away at early numbers for low limits when opening Sunday at 11 am PT.

Circa opened Minnesota -3 and were pick ‘em by the end of the day. Colorado has been bet up almost everywhere to the 3-point favorite. The Gophers lost star senior RB Mohamed Ibrahim two weeks ago due to a leg injury against Ohio State, but the uncertainty here appears to be what to make of the Buffaloes performance last week in a 10-7 loss against Texas A&M who played with a backup QB for most of the game.

The Kansas State sharp wagers are just a matter of the books and the bettors disagreeing on how much of a difference there is between starting QB Skylar Thompson being out Saturday against Nevada with a leg injury and backup sophomore Will Howard who had lots of snaps last season. Las Vegas oddsmaker Kenny White says the difference is worth 4.5-point down from Thompson.

The Las Vegas SuperBook has only seen a few sharps make wagers through Thursday afternoon.

“We don’t have a lot of sharp bets in yet, but we did see significant play on Coastal Carolina (at Buffalo) forcing us to move from -11 to -14,” said Blum. “We also saw action on Stanford (at Vanderbilt) that moved us from -10.5 to -12. Eastern Michigan (at U-Mass) moves from -18 to -22, but that was more of a market move for us.”

Then there’s the cautionary move with the market’s number even though no action has forced it. The air move when questions persist about a key player’s health. Keep the book safe, while also giving out a few extra points on the other side for those that want it.

“We moved Utah from -7 to -9, but it was just a precautionary move based on public perception seeing that San Diego State’s quarterback was questionable or didn’t practice,” Blum said. “We didn’t take any action on it either way.”

Aztecs QB Jordan Brookshire didn’t practice Monday and Tuesday and if he doesn’t start Saturday at home (Carson, CA), sixth-year senior backup QB Lucas Johnson will get the start. Johnson appeared to be the front runner for the starting job coming out of spring. There’s really not a dropoff between the two. Most books are still sitting with Utah -9. If it’s announced Brookshire is indeed out, expect another short rise in the number.

But it’s the big games driving the traffic to the books this week. Penn State has won and covered six straight since last season and Auburn has averaged 61 ppg in their first two games.

“Our largest handled game of the week so far is Auburn at Penn State and it’s had great two-way action so far,” Blum said. “We opened Penn State -7 but moved fast downward. Most of all the action on both sides is just the general public.”

Just an FYI on the Penn State game: It starts at 7:30 pm ET and every attending Beaver Stadium has been notified to wear white for the white-out under the lights. Sounds intimidating. Ask yourself why this total has dropped from 53.5 down to 50 when one of the teams has averaged 61 points in two games.

We saw Florida give Alabama a scare in the SEC Championship game last season. The Tide still won, 52-46, but the +16 on a neutral field had Florida bettors cheering with no sweat. Florida’s QB from last season is gone, but so is Alabama’s.

“Alabama at Florida doesn’t have any sharp play yet but we’re seeing good two way action,” Blum said. “I think they (sharps) have a side they like but want to wait until their desired number finally shows before they bet.”

It’s interesting to note that two of the three new QBs at elite programs have already lost with CJ Stroud at Ohio State and DJ Uiagalelei at Clemson. Alabama’s Bryce Young is going to get his first SEC road test at Gainesville. It’s a big step but most bettors are taking a side based on how he does in that spicey environment.

Atlantis Reno sportsbook director Marc Nelson said his top public plays for Saturday are Cincinnati (-3.5 at Indiana), Iowa (-22 vs Kent State), and Alabama. McCormick at Stations has two of those three with Marshall (-10 vs. ECU) instead of Iowa.

Lots of total movement this week but Blum recalled one of his sharp bettors seeking out one game.

“We had sharp money bet a total hard,” Blum said. “They bet the over in Utah State at Air Force pushing us from 50.5 to 54.”

Here’s a look at some of Circa Sports biggest Week 3 moves:

Liberty from -23 to -29 to -27.5 vs. Old Dominion
Arkansas -18 to -23.5 vs. Georgia Southern
Colorado +3 to -3 vs. Minnesota
U-Mass +21 to +17 vs. Eastern Michigan
UTSA -9 to -13 vs. Middle Tennessee State
Tulsa +31 to +24.5 at Ohio State
Baylor -14 to -17.5 at Kansas
San Jose State -3 to -6.5 at Hawaii
Texas A&M -25 to -30 vs. New Mexico
Michigan -24 to -26.5 vs. Northern Illinois


 

[StarDust Bum]

SEPT. OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

Date W-L-T % Units Record

09/17/2021..........2 - 0 - 0 ............100.00%.............+10.00
09/16/2021..........1 - 1 - 0 ..............50.00%...............-0.50
09/11/2021.........25 - 28 - 1............49.09%..............-29.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 4 - 0...............50.00%...............-2.00

TOTALS...............32 - 33 - 1.............49.23%..............21.50


BEST BETS:

09/17/2021..........2 - 0 - 0.............100.00%...........+10.00
09/16/2021..........1 - 1 - 0 .............50.00%...............-0.50
09/11/2021........13 - 14 -0.............48.14%.............- 12.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 1 - 0.............80.00%.............+14.50

TOTALS..............20 - 16 - 0............55.55%............+ 12.00

UPDATED 09/17

[StarDust Bum]

SEPT. OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

Date W-L-T % Units Record

09/17/2021..........3 - 1 -0................75.00%,,,,,,,,,,,,,+9.50
09/16/2021..........1 - 1 - 0 ..............50.00%...............-0.50
09/11/2021.........25 - 28 - 1............49.09%..............-29.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 4 - 0...............50.00%...............-2.00

TOTALS...............33 - 33 - 1.............50.00%%..........- 22.00


BEST BETS:

09/17/2021..........2 - 0 - 0.............100.00%.............+10.00
09/16/2021..........1 - 1 - 0 .............50.00%...............-0.50
09/11/2021........13 - 14 -0.............48.14%.............- 12.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 1 - 0.............80.00%.............+14.50

TOTALS..............20 - 16 - 0............55.55%............+ 12.00

UPDATED 09/17

[StarDust Bum]

SEPT. OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

Date W-L-T % Units Record

09/17/2021..........3 - 1 -0................75.00%,,,,,,,,,,,,,+9.50
09/16/2021..........1 - 1 - 0 ..............50.00%...............-0.50
09/11/2021.........25 - 28 - 1............49.09%..............-29.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 4 - 0...............50.00%...............-2.00

TOTALS...............33 - 34 - 1.............50.00%%..........- 22.00


BEST BETS:

09/17/2021..........2 - 0 - 0.............100.00%.............+10.00
09/16/2021..........1 - 1 - 0 .............50.00%...............-0.50
09/11/2021........13 - 14 -0.............48.14%.............- 12.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 1 - 0.............80.00%.............+14.50

TOTALS..............20 - 16 - 0............55.55%............+ 12.00

UPDATED 09/17.......REVISED TOTALS

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Saturday, September 18




? 

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 18
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

CCU at BUFF 12:00 PM
CCU -14.0
+500

MSU at MIA 12:00 PM
MSU +6.5
+500

UNM at TAM 12:00 PM
UNM +29.5
+500

NIU at MICH 12:00 PM
MICH -27.5
+500

CIN at IU 12:00 PM
IU +3.5
+500

VT at WVU 12:00 PM
WVU -2.5
+500

CONN at ARMY 12:00 PM
CONN +34.5
+500

WMU at PITT 12:00 PM
U 58.0
+500

BC at TEM 12:00 PM
BC -14.5
+500

NEB at OKLA 12:00 PM
OKLA -22.5
+500

[StarDust Bum]

MINN at COLO 01:00 PM
COLO -2.5
+500

NEV at KSU 02:00 PM
KSU +2.0
+500

PUR at ND 02:30 PM
ND -7.5
+500

TLSA at OSU 03:30 PM
TLSA +24.5
+500

KENT at IOWA 03:30 PM
IOWA -22.5
+500

DEL at RUTG 03:30 PM
RUTG -21.0
+500

USC at WSU 03:30 PM
USC -7.5
+500

EMU at MASS 03:30 PM
EMU -22.0
+500

SMU at LT 03:30 PM
LT +10.5
+500

IDHO at ORST 03:30 PM
IDHO +28.0
+500

ALA at FLA 03:30 PM
FLA +14.5
+500

BRY at AKR 03:30 PM
AKR -12.5
+500

ELON at APP 03:30 PM
APP -35.5
+500

FSU at WAKE 03:30 PM
WAKE -4.5
O 62.5
+500 +500

GT at CLEM 03:30 PM
CLEM -28.0
+500

BAY at KU 03:30 PM
KU +18.0
+500

***********************************

MSST at MEM 04:00 PM
MEM +3.5
+500

NW at DUKE 04:00 PM
NW -2.5
+500

CSU at TOL 04:00 PM
CSU +14.5
O 58.5
+500 +500

GASO at ARK 04:00 PM
GASO +22.5
+500

BALL at WYO 04:00 PM
BALL +7.0
U 53.5

+500 +500
ARST at WASH 04:15 PM
ARST +17.0
+500

ECU at MRSH 06:00 PM
MRSH -9.5
+500

FOR at FAU 06:00 PM
FAU -31.0
+500

MTU at UTSA 06:00 PM
MTU +11.5
U 59.5

+500 +500
ODU at LIB 06:00 PM
LIB -27.0
+500
 

[StarDust Bum]

LATE EVENING BEST BETS AND OPINIONS:

UTAH at SDSU 07:00 PM
SDSU +8.0
+500

TROY at USM 07:00 PM
USM +11.0
+500

SOCAR at UGA 07:00 PM
SOCAR +31.0
+500

FIU at TTU 07:00 PM
FIU +20.0
+500

IW at TXST 07:00 PM
TXST -10.5
+500

CHAR at GSU 07:00 PM
CHAR +4.5
+500

USU at AFA 07:30 PM
AFA -9.0
+500

UAB at UNT 07:30 PM
UAB -12.5
+500

AUB at PSU 07:30 PM
PSU -5.0
+500

UVA at UNC 07:30 PM
UVA +7.5
+500

CMU at LSU 07:30 PM
LSU -19.5
+500

FUR at NCST 07:30 PM
NCST -27.5
+500

STON at ORE 07:30 PM
ORE -41.0
+500

TULN at MISS 08:00 PM
TULN +14.0
+500

STAN at VAN 08:00 PM
VAN +13.5
+500

RICE at TEX 08:00 PM
RICE +26.0
+500

OKST at BSU 09:00 PM
BSU -3.5
+500

ASU at BYU 10:15 PM
BYU +3.5
+500

ISU at UNLV 10:30 PM
ISU -32.0
+500

FRES at UCLA 10:45 PM
UCLA -11.0
+500

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

Game Time(ET) Pick Units
SJSU at HAW 12:30 AM
SJSU -7.0
+500
 

[StarDust Bum]

SEPT. OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

Date W-L-T % Units Record

09/18/2021......27 - 31 - 2..............46.67%.............-35.50
09/17/2021..........3 - 1 -0...............75.00%..............+9.50
09/16/2021.........1 - 1 - 0 ..............50.00%...............-0.50
09/11/2021......25 - 28 - 1..............49.09%..............-29.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 4 - 0...............50.00%...............-2.00

TOTALS............60 - 65- 3................48.00%%..........- 57.50


BEST BETS:

09/18/2021........13 - 17 -0..............43.33%............-28.50
09/17/2021..........2 - 0 - 0.............100.00%...........+10.00
09/16/2021..........1 - 1 - 0 .............50.00%...............-0.50
09/11/2021........13 - 14 -0.............48.14%.............- 12.00
09/10/2021..........4 - 1 - 0.............80.00%.............+14.50

TOTALS..............33 - 33 - 0............50.00%............- 16.50

UPDATED 09/18/21 ( SAN JOSE-HAWAII GAME PENDING WILL BE POSTED ON 09/19/21