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**StarDust Bum** · 07-17-2021, 01:56 AM

Thursday’s Den: Pac-12 football knowledge:

Arizona:
— New coach Fisch has been an assistant to both Bill Belichick, Sean McVay.
— Arizona hasn’t been to a bowl game since 2017.
— Since 2013, Wildcats are 7-21 ATS as a road underdog.
— Pete Carroll’s son Brennan is Arizona’s offensive coordinator.

Arizona State:
— ASU is 15-13 SU under Herm Edwards, with a +32 turnover ratio.
— Under Edwards, Sun Devils are 5-10 ATS as a favorite, 9-4 as an underdog.
— ASU has a QB with 16 career starts; their OL has four starters back.

California
— Coach Wilcox is 18-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three years, Cal is 0-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2012. Golden Bears are 19-36 ATS coming off a loss.

Colorado
— As a head coach, Dorrell is 23-9-2 ATS at home, 13-15 on road.
— Last four years, Colorado is 6-12-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Buffs lost last four bowls, last two by 38-8/55-23 scores.

Oregon:
— Since 2016, Ducks are 12-20-1 ATS coming off a win.
— HC Cristobal is 12-18 ATS as a home favorite, 12-7 as a road favorite.
— QB Brown started 28 games at Boston College.

Oregon State
— Last winning season: they went 7-6 in 2013.
— HC Smith is 3-9-1 ATS as a home underdog, 11-3 as a road dog.
— Last two years, 10 of their 22 games were decided by 6 or fewer points.

USC
— Trojans were +5 in turnovers LY, after going -10/-10 previous two years.
— Last four years, USC is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2012, they’re 4-12 ATS as a road underdog.
— Allowed 37.4 ppg in last five bowls, going 2-3 (wins were 45-42/52-49).

Stanford
— Since 2016, Stanford is 8-13 ATS as a home favorite, 8-4-1 as road faves.
— Cardinal started 0-2 LY, won their last four games by total of 10 points.
— Stanford’s last three bowl games were decided by total of 5 points (2-1)

UCLA
— Since 2015, UCLA is 8-16 ATS as a home favorite.
— Bruins are 4-16-1 ATS in last 21 non-conference games.
— UCLA’s last bowl was in 2017; in their last three bowls, they allowed 35-37-35 points.

Utah:
— Last four years, Utah is 14-5 ATS as home favorites.
— Utes are 23-9-1 ATS in last 33 games as a favorite.
— Last three years, Utah is 2-5-1 ATS out of conference.
— HC Whittingham is 11-3 SU in bowls, but lost his last two.

Washington:
— Last five years, Washington is 43-15 SU.
— Last three years, Huskies are 6-11 ATS at home.
— Since 2013, Washington is 1-6 ATS as a home underdog.

Washington State
— In 2019; Wazzu blew a 49-17 lead to UCLA, losing 67-63; they were 3-0 coming into that game, are 4-10 since that day.
— Last two years, Coogs are 2-6 ATS as an underdog.
— Wazzu is 0-4 ATS in its last four bowls.
— QB Jarrett Guarantano started 30 games at Tennessee.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-17-2021, 01:59 AM

Saturday’s Den: SEC football knowledge

Alabama:
— Crimson Tide hasn’t been underdog in a game since 2015
— Last six years, covering 85 games, Alabama is +68 in turnovers.
— Alabama is 54-35-1 ATS in last 90 SEC games, 23-25-1 in last 49 non-league tilts.

Arkansas
— Last six years, Arkansas is 8-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2012, Razorbacks are 13-24 ATS in game coming off a win.
— Arkansas is 11-35 SU last four years; their last bowl was 2016.

Auburn
— Since 2014, Auburn is 19-33-1 ATS in game coming off a SU win.
— Since 2015, Tigers are 9-5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Auburn lost four of last five bowls, giving up 31+ points in all four losses.

Florida
— Dan Mullen is 32-22-1 ATS as a home favorite, 7-3 SU in bowls
— At Florida, Mullen is 15-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Gators have a freshman QB Jalen Kitna, son of former NFL QB Jon Kitna.

Georgia
— Last four years, Dawgs are 44-9 SU; they won 4 of last 6 bowls.
— Last ten years, Georgia is 23-14 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last four years, Dawgs are 26-16 ATS in game coming off a win.

Kentucky
— Favorites are 27-15-2 ATS in Kentucky home games in the Stoops era.
— Wildcats are 15-8 in last 23 games as a home favorite, 7-12-2 as a home dog.
— Since 2012, Kentucky is 19-31-3 ATS in game coming off a loss.

LSU
— Under Orgeron, LSU is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 10 years, LSU is 17-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— LSU won its last three bowls, scoring 40-63-42 points.

Ole Miss
— Lane Kiffin is 1-8 ATS as a home underdog, 13-5-1 as a road dog.
— Last four years, Ole Miss is 2-8 ATS as a home underdog.
— Rebels won 4 of last 5 bowls (favorites 4-1 ATS)

Mississippi State
— Mike Leach is 90-72 ATS in league games, 31-38-2 out of conference.
— Underdogs covered Miss State’s last five bowls.
— Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in last 11 home games.

Missouri
— Last three years, Mizzou is 9-5 ATS as a home favorite.
— Tigers have 88 returning starts on the offensive line; that’s good.
— Since 2015, Mizzou is 5-11 ATS as a road underdog.

South Carolina
— Last three years, Gamecocks are 3-8 ATS as a home underdog.
— Carolina has 4 starters back (84 starts) on the offensive line.
— Gamecocks have only 3 scholarship QB’s on the roster.

Tennessee
— Vols are 12-22 ATS in last 34 home games, since 2017, they’re 5-10 ATS as home favorites.
— Last 10 years, Tennessee is 19-34-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Good news; Vols won last four bowls; they have QB’s transferring in from Va Tech/Michigan.

Texas A&M
— Last three years, Aggies are 6-0 ATS as a road favorite.
— Jimbo Fisher is 8-2 SU in bowls, 33-18 ATS in non-conference games.
— Aggies covered 14 of last 21 games coming off a SU win.

Vanderbilt
— Last four years, Vandy is 3-12 ATS as a home underdog.
— Vandy gave up 41-45 points in last two bowls; their last bowl win was 2013.
— The new coach was a walk-on FB at Vandy; his last job was DC at Notre Dame. Both the coordinators come to Vandy from NFL jobs.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-17-2021, 02:02 AM

College football coaching changes for 2021:

Arizona
— First-time head coach Jedd Fisch is a longtime offensive coordinator.
— Arizona hired alums Ricky Hunley, Chuck Cecil as assistant coaches/defense.
— Wildcats went 0-5 LY, losing 70-7 to rival Arizona State; they gave up 39.8 ppg. .

Arkansas State
— Butch Jones went 50-27 at Central Michigan/Cincinnati, but went 14-24 in SEC games while at Tennessee. After three years working for Nick Saban, Jones is a head coach again.
— Previous coach bolted to Utah State, after Red Wolves had first losing season since 2010.
— ASU threw ball for 384.4 yards/game LY, #2 in country.

Auburn
— Previous coach Malzahn went 68-35 at Auburn, 39-27 in SEC, got told to take a hike.
— When you go 39-27 in SEC games and still get fired, expectations are high.
— Bryan Harsin comes from Boise State, where he was 69-19, 45-8 in Mountain West.
— Auburn opponents converted 50.3% of their 3rd down plays LY. Not good.

Boise State
— First-time head coach Andy Avalos was defensive coordinator at Oregon.
— Avalos is a Boise alum, like every Boise HC since 1998.
— Last four years, Boise is 27-2 in Mountain West
— Last three years, Broncos are only 7-6 outside Mountain West.

Buffalo
— Previous HC went 20-10 last three years, won two bowls, bolted to Kansas.
— First-time HC is 35 years old, was Dallas Cowboys’ cornerbacks’ coach LY
— Buffalo went 6-1 LY, scored 43.4 ppg, lost MAC title game, but won bowl.

Central Florida
— Previous coach bolted to Tennessee; UCF hired former Auburn coach Malzahn.
— Malzahn was 39-27 in SEC games at Auburn, but coaching Auburn during the Saban era at Alabama hasn’t been good for job security.
— Knights scored 42.2 ppg LY but went 6-4; the defense needs work.
— QB Gabriel has thrown for 7,223 yards in two seasons.

Illinois
— Illini hasn’t had a winning season since 2011.
— Bielema was 68-24 at Wisconsin, but was 11-29 in SEC games at Arkansas.
— QB Peters is 6th-year college player; he started here last two years. He figures to hand off a lot this season; Bielema prefers to run the ball a lot.

Kansas
— Leipold won six D-3 national titles, went 24-10 his last three years at Buffalo.
— Leipold was hired the day before Kansas’ spring game, which was awkward.
— Jayhawks haven’t been to a bowl game since 2008.
— Kansas will try to run ball well, to keep their defense off the field.

UL-Monroe
— 64-year old HC Terry Bowden spent last two years as a Clemson assistant.
— Former Arizona/Michigan HC Rich Rodriguez is the new OC- his son is the QB.
— Nine of their 10 losses LY were by double digits; this is a total rebuild.

Marshall
— Previous coach was 85-54 but got fired; the governor of West Virginia didn’t like him.
— When you go 55-30 in conference games and still get fired, expectations are high.
— New coach Huff has been NFL/college assistant for 16 years, last two at Alabama.
— Huff kept the same offensive coordinator, has 9 starters back on offense.

South Alabama
— New HC Wommack was an assistant at Indiana during their turnaround.
— QB Jake Bentley has 8,409 passing yards, playing for South Carolina/Utah.
— Major Applewhite is the new OC; they’ll throw more vertical passes.
— Jaguars haven’t been to a bowl since 2016.

South Carolina
— New HC Beamer is son of former Va Tech coach Frank Beamer.
— Gamecocks went 2-8 LY, giving up 41+ points in five of last six games.
— South Carolina has only 9 starters back; 5 on offense, 4 on defense.
— No returning WR had more than 11 catches last season.

Southern Mississippi
— Golden Eagles had three different head coaches, just last year.
— New HC Hall was OC at Tulane; he’ll be his own OC here.
— RB Frank Gore Jr ran for 708 yards LY; his dad is still active in the NFL.
— Southern Miss has 10 starters back on offense.

Tennessee
— New coach Heupel comes from UCF, with new AD White.
— NCAA is investigating, which usually screws up recruiting for a while.
— Tennessee hasn’t been to a bowl since 2016- last year was their worst record in 97 years.
— Heupel is an offensive guru, but this turnaround will take a while.

Texas
— Tom Herman went 32-18 in four years, 22-13 in Big X games, got the ax anyway.
— Rival Oklahoma has won six consecutive Big X titles; Texas boosters don’t like Oklahoma.
— Longhorns were 7-3 LY, will be breaking in a new QB this year.
— New coach Sarkisian was fired at USC for showing up drunk, but he knows Nick Saban, so he gets another head coaching job.

Utah State
— New HC Anderson led Arkansas State to 6 bowls in 7 years.
— Utah State has regressed since scoring 47.5 ppg in 2018.
— Aggies went 1-5 LY, scoring 10.4 ppg in the losses.
— Utah State has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

Vanderbilt
— New coach Clark Lee is a Vanderbilt alum.
— Commodores get three guys on OL back who opted out of last year.
— Vandy allowed 38+ points in seven of nine games LY.
— QB Seals completed 64.6% of his passes LY, so they’re good there.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-17-2021, 02:05 AM

Got my first college football magazine of the summer; here are things I learned from reading it:
Over last five years, these teams have the worst record against the spread:
— Bowling Green 29.2% ATS
— Akron 30.2% ATS
— Texas-El Paso 31.4%
— Arizona 32.0%
— Tennessee 35.7%

These teams have the best record against the spread:
— LSU 38-20-1, 65.3% ATS
— Wyoming/Eastern Michigan, both at 64.8%
— Buffalo, 63.9%- their coach moved on to Kansas.
— Utah, 63.6%

Last year was first time the Big X didn’t have have any offensive skill players drafted in the first round by the NFL.

Since 1985, Arizona Wildcats have had one QB drafted, Nick Foles in 3rd round, 2012.

Last year was first time in 80 years Michigan State didn’t have any players drafted.

Bryan Harsin is the new coach at Auburn, moving in from Boise State, where he went 69-19; his defensive coordinator is Derek Mason, formerly head coach at Vanderbilt.

There are 41 bowl games on this year’s docket; 43 were schedule last year, only 25 were played.

College football “free agency” is now a thing; here are winners/losers for this year:
Winners— Oklahoma, Florida State, Miami
Losers— Nebraska, Tennessee, Virginia Tech

Here is how Nick Saban’s teams have done the year after winning a national title:
2004, LSU— 9-3, lost bowl game to Iowa
2010, Alabama— 10-3, beat Michigan State in bowl
2012, Alabama— 12-1, won national title
2013, Alabama— 11-2, lost bowl to Oklahoma
2016, Alabama— 14-1, lost national title game to Clemson
2018, Alabama— 14-1, lost national title game to Clemson
2021, Alabama— ??????

College football coaches on the hot seat:
— Jim Harbaugh, Michigan— He’s signed thru 2025.
— Clay Helton, USC— Finished in top 25 three of six years.
— Jeff Brohm, Purdue— 8-16 in his last 24 games.
— Dino Babers, Syracuse— 6-17 last two years, after a 10-win 2018.
— Justin Fuente, Virginia Tech— 19-18 last three years, not good enough.

Top 5 quarterback transfers:
— McKenzie Milton, UCF to Florida State
— Jack Coan, Wisconsin to Notre Dame
— Charlie Brewer, Baylor to Arizona
— Alan Bowman, Texas Tech to Michigan
— Tyler Shough, Oregon to Texas Tech

Motto for modern college QB’s: If I ain’t starting, then I’ll be departing.

They tweaked the college overtime rules; teams have to go for 2 points after TD’s starting in the 2nd overtime. If a game gets to three OT’s, they just run alternate 2-point plays until someone wins. Thats a factor if the spread is between 2-8 points.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-17-2021, 02:11 AM

Mountain West football knowledge:

Air Force
— Five new offensive linemen and a new QB; lot of questions on offense.
— Falcons have a new special teams coach; last guy was there 10 years.
— 3 starters back on offense, 1 on defense.

Boise State
— LY’s coach bolted to Auburn; the new coach was a defensive coordinator.
— Boise was 115th in country LY in rushing yardage; no bueno.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.

Colorado State
— Rams played only four games LY; they want to run the ball more.
— State had five punts/kicks returned for TD’s last season; not good.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.

Fresno State
— Bulldogs scored 30+ ppg, for third year in a row.
— Fresno gave up 212 rushing yards, 30 points/game LY.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.

Hawai’i
— Coach Graham’s son is the QB this season.
— Their kicker was only 2-7 on FG’s of 40+ yards LY.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

Nevada
— QB Strong threw 27 TD passes, only four INT’s last year.
— Wolf Pack brought in three D-I transfers for their secondary.
— 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

UNLV
— Rebels recruited well last two years, also brought in some transfers.
— 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— When your season win total is 1.5 wins, expectations aren’t high.

New Mexico
— New QB Wilson started 25 games for Kentucky; he’s pretty good.
— Lobos couldn’t play at home LY, so getting back home should be fun.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.

San Diego State
— Aztecs threw only six TD passes LY, were 115th in passing yardage.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— San Diego State is temporarily playing home games 115 miles from campus.

San Jose State
— Spartans came out of nowhere to win league title LY, but lost their bowl game.
— San Jose’s QB Starkel will be protected by an OL with 91 returning starts.
— 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.

Utah State
— New coach Anderson’s Arkansas State team threw for 364.4 ypg LY.
— Aggies gave up 34+ points in five of six games LY.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

Wyoming
— Cowboys completed less than half their passes the last three years.
— Wyoming returns its top 10 tacklers from last season.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-17-2021, 02:14 AM

Here is some knowledge on Big X college football:

Baylor
— Baylor’s 4-year starting QB bolted Waco, will play at Utah.
— Maybe he left because he was sacked 31 times in nine games LY.
— Baylor has 10 starters back on defense.
— Bears ranked 123rd in rushing LY, 100th in scoring.

Iowa State
— Haven’t won a league title since 1912; they lost Big X title game 27-21 LY.
— QB Purdy is back for his 4th year as the Cyclones’ QB.
— Iowa State returns 26 players who’ve started 6+ games in their career/
— How has a big $$$ money school/NFL not hired Matt Campbell away from Ames?

Kansas
— Lance Leipold is their sixth coach since 2009; he was 37-33 at Buffalo.
— Leipold’s Buffalo team ranked #2 in country in rushing LY; Kansas was 116th.
— Leipold was hired the day before the Jayhawks’ spring game; not ideal.
— Anyone else wondering why they fired Mark Mangino 10 years ago?

K-State
— Wildcats have only 3 starters back on defense.
— K-State lost their last five games LY, giving up 40.6 ppg.
— Wildcats added five players via the transfer portal.
— Freshman QB TJ Rubley is the son of a former NFL QB.

Oklahoma
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— They’ve won Big X six years in a row.
— Scored 43 ppg but lost twice (38-35/37-30)
— Sooners dropped 9 TD passes LY; the receivers need to be better.

Oklahoma State
— Only five starters are back on offense, but QB Sanders is a 3rd-year starter.
— Over last 11 seasons, OSU is 101-40, one of 10 programs with 100+ wins since 2010.
— Cowboys’ punter is Tom Hutton, a 31-year old Australian.
— Cowboys have never played in Big X title game.

TCU
— Gary Patterson has been head coach at TCU for 21 years.
— Junior QB Duggan has already started 19 college games.
— Horned Frogs are thin at LB and safety.
— TCU won five of last six games LY, after a 1-3 start.

Texas
— Longhorns scored 42.7 ppg LY, finished 7-3; the coach got fired after going 32-18.
— There will be a QB competition in summer camp.
— Texas has only 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Steve Sarkisian is the new coach; six years ago; he got fired as head coach at USC for showing up drunk to practice. If you work for Nick Saban, people forget things about you.

Texas Tech
— Tech is 8-14 since Matt Wells replaced Kliff Kingsbury as coach.
— Red Raiders gave up 36.7 ppg last year.
— Tech hasn’t been to a bowl game since 2017.
— One of Tech’s QBs is Tyler Shough, who was Oregon’s starting QB LY.

West Virginia
— Last time they won a league title was 2011; they won the Big East back then.
— Mountaineers have only 5 starters back on defense.
— WVU is 11-11 in two years since Dana Holgorsen bolted for Houston.
— Mountaineers’ shortest road trip in Big X is Iowa State, 872 miles away.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-17-2021, 02:17 AM

— A little Pac-12 football knowledge:

Arizona- New coach Jedd Fisch was an offensive coordinator in the NFL; X’s and O’s won’t be a problem, but how will he recruit? Losing 70-7 to Arizona State last year make this year’s game with the Sun Devils more interesting.

Arizona State- 9 starters back on offense, 11 on defense; they were +8 in turnovers LY, in only four games. Sun Devils have a 3rd-year starting QB, unusual in this day and age. Expectations are high in Tempe; ASU lost 16 of its last 19 games against USC- they play Trojans November 8.

California- 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense; their two losses last year were by total of five points. Cal ranked outside top 100 nationally LY in scoring, rushing, passing- their QB has 23 career starts, most of anyone in the Pac-12.

Colorado- 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense; is there a hangover after you lose your bowl game 55-23, the way Colorado did last year? They’re not sure who the QB will be; Colorado was #23 in country in rushing LY, but they allowed 32+ points in four of six games.

Oregon- 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense; lot of returning starters all over the Pac-12 this fall. Ducks will have a Boston College transfer (28 starts) or a freshman at QB, which could be a problem, but otherwise they have quality depth all over the field.

Oregon State- 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense; notice a trend here? Beavers scored 31.2 ppg two years ago, 28.9 last year; coach Jonathan Smith knows his offense. Problem is, they gave up 65 points in their two wins LY. The defense needs some work.

USC- 8 starters back on both sides of the ball; QB Kedon Slovis had a pretty good OC in high school in Phoenix- NFL Hall of Famer Kurt Warner. Trojans were 5-1 LY, with three wins by 5 or fewer points; coach Clay Helton kept his job, but fired his 14th assistant over the last five years- they also fired the strength coach.

Stanford- Cardinal started season 0-2, then won their last four games, by total of 10 points. Stanford was 93rd running the ball, 112th in rushing defense, numbers that need to improve. The QB situation is up in the air for this fall, rarely a good thing.

UCLA- 9 starters back on both sides of the ball, as Chip Kelly fights to show that his success at Oregon wasn’t a fluke. Bruins were 3-4 last year; they scored 42-35-38-47 points in the losses. UCLA finished 114th in country in pass defense LY, a bad thing if you’re in the PAC-12.

Utah- Because QB’s transfer every 90 minutes or so, Utes have Baylor transfer Charlie Brewer on their roster now. Brewer threw for 9,700 yards in 44 games at Baylor; is Utah a better place to play than Waco? Utes are trying for third Pac-12 South title in last four years.

Washington- Huskies have 11 consecutive winning seasons, but they finished in top 25 in only four of those years. Washington only played four games LY, so their returning starting QB isn’t as experienced as it seems. A September 11 game at Michigan will be interesting.

Washington State- Coogs hired an assistant coach in charge of poaching transfers from other schools, probably a wave of the future. One of their transfers this year in QB Jarrett Guarantano from Tennessee; there weren’t a lot of people in Knoxville who were upset when he left. Wazzu has 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-17-2021, 02:19 AM

— Started my college football research this week; last couple of football seasons have been weird for me, with the pandemic last year making it unusual for everyone, after my retina detached in October 2019, which screwed up the rest of that season for me.

I’ll be posting some notes on college football from now until Labor Day; we start today with some stuff from the SEC. I’m told they really like college football in the south.

— LSU went 5-5 LY, despite a +9 turnover ratio. They overhauled their coaching staff over the winter. Problem is, Joe Burrow lives in Cincinnati now. Ed Orgeron is a way better recruiter than he is a tactician; his new coordinators will need to be sharp guys.

— Kentucky had a +10 turnover ratio; they went 4-6 in the regular season, but somehow made it to a bowl game, where they beat NC State 23-21.

— Alabama also had a +10 turnover ratio; they won the national championship. Crimson Tide has only three starters back on offense this year.

Four new head coaches in the SEC this year:
Auburn, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt

— Bad news for Ole Miss: they only have four starters back on defense.
— Good news for Ole Miss: their defense sucked LY; it’ll be better with new starters.

As the better college football magazines come out later this month, I’ll post better info, but we’re starting slow, which is fine, since we have a lot of time until the season starts.

One quick Pac-12 note; Stanford started last year 0-2, then won its last four games, by a total of 10 points:
— won 24-23 @ California
— won 31-26 @ Washington
— won 27-24 @ Oregon State
— won 48-47 @ UCLA, in OT

They lost their only home game LY, 35-32 to Colorado.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-17-2021, 02:29 AM

Baylor:
— From 2013-15, they were 32-7; since then, they’re 28-33.
— Their 4-year starting QB bolted to Utah.
— LY was Aranda’s first year as a HC; he went 2-7.
— Underdogs covered 4 of their last five bowls (3-2 SU)

Iowa State
— HC Campbell is 29-13-2 ATS as an underdog, 30-29-2 as a favorite.
— Last three years, Cyclones are 6-10 ATS as home favorites.
— Last six years, Iowa State is 22-10-1 ATS off a loss.
— Returning QB has 33 starts; offensive line has 93 returning starts.

Kansas
— Last 10 years, Jayhawks are 18-99 SU. 18 wins. 99 losses.
— New coach Leipold won six D-III national titles, was 37-33 at Buffalo.
— Since 2012, Kansas is 4-12 ATS as home favorites, 0-0 as road favorites.
— Last 10 years, Jayhawks are 40-56-3 ATS as underdogs, 20-32-2 on road.

Kansas State
— Since 2016, K-State is 24-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Since 2015, K-State is 7-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— In 2016-17, Wildcats went 17-9 SU, were +23 in turnovers.
— Last three years, Wildcats are 17-18 SU (even in turnovers)
— K-State has a senior QB (30 starts), all 5 starters back on OL.

Oklahoma
— Last 6 years, Sooners are 67-12 SU; their turnover ration last 5 years is even.
— Riley is 9-5 ATS in non-conference games.
— Sooners lost 3 of last 4 bowl games, giving up 45.5 ppg.
— Last year’s #2 QB bolted to SMU.

Oklahoma State
— Cowboys have played in a bowl each of last 15 years.
— Coach Gundy is 71-48-5 ATS as a favorite.
— OSU won four of last five bowls, covering all five games.
— Oklahoma State covered 16 of last 18 non-conference games.

Texas
— Sarkisian is Texas’ 4th HC in last nine years.
— Last four years, Longhorns were +31 in turnovers.
— Last four years, Texas is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last five years, Longhorns are 12-5 ATS out of conference.

TCU
— Last 5 years, Horned Frogs are 6-11-1 ATS as home favorites.
— In 2014, TCU was +18 in turnovers; in 75 games since then, they’re minus-8.
— Since 2013, TCU is 14-21 ATS coming off a loss.
— Frogs won 3 of last 4 bowls, winning by 2-3-6(OT) points.

Texas Tech
— Last bowl game was 2017; last bowl win, 2013.
— HC Wells is 20-12-1 ATS as home favorite, 11-18 as road underdog.
— Since 2014, Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS as road favorite.
— New OC is Sonny Cumbie; he spent last 7 years at TCU.

West Virginia
— HC Brown is 14-19-1 ATS at home, 22-12 ATS on road.
— WVU is 0-5 ATS in last 5 bowls (2-3 SU, wins by 1-3 points)
— Since 2012, Mountaineers are 12-19 ATS out of conference.
— Last 2 years, WVU is 11-11 SU; previous 8 years, they were 61-39.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-17-2021, 02:41 AM

ACC FOOTBALL KNOWLEDGE:

Boston College:
— BC is 24-9-1 ATS in last 34 games as an underdog.
— Last four years, Eagles are 9-2-1 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last four years, BC is 24-9-1 ATS in ACC games.
— Eagles lost three of last four bowls (beat Maryland 36-30 in ’16).

Clemson
— Since 2012, Clemson is 111-14 SU.
— Offensive coordinator is in 6th year there; DC is in his 9th year.
— Tigers lost last two bowl games, 42-25/49-28.
— Clemson is 27-17-1 ATS in last 45 games as a favorite.

Duke
— Last 2 years, Blue Devils are 7-16 SU, with minus-30 turnover ratio.
— Under Cutcliffe, Duke is 8-3-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Blue Devils scored 43 ppg in last five bowls, winning last three.
— Last three years, Duke is 4-9 ATS coming off a win.

Florida State
— Last three years, Seminoles are 14-20 SU.
— This is first time in five years they’ve had same OC two years in row.
— FSU covered once in its last ten non-conference games.
— Since 2016, Seminoles are 10-15 ATS as home favorites.

Georgia Tech
— Last 2 years, Tech was 6-16 SU, transitioning from option to spread attack.
— HC Collins is 3-8-1 ATS as a home favorite, 4-1-1 as road favorite.
— Last three years, Yellow Jackets are 5-12-1 ATS at home.
— Last three years, Tech is 4-9 ATS coming off a win.

Louisville
— Last three years, Louisville is 14-22 SU, with minus-25 turnover ratio
— Last three years, Cardinals are 2-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last four years, Louisville is 6-14 ATS coming off a win.
— As head coach, Satterfield is 31-24-1 ATS when favored, 9-14-3 as a dog.

Miami
— As head coach, Diaz is 6-9 ATS when favored, 4-1 as an underdog.
— Last four years, Miami is 12-17 ATS coming off a win.
— Miami lost its last four bowls, scoring only 15.3 ppg.
— From 2015-17, Hurricanes were +34 in turnovers; last three years, +6.

North Carolina
— Tar Heels are 15-10 last two years, after going 5-18 in 2017-18.
— Last three years, Carolina is 5-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— UNC lost four of last five bowl games, giving up 33.6 ppg.
— QB has 25 career starts, offensive line has 116 career starts.

NC State
— Under Doeren, State is 14-23-2 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three years, Wolfpack is 8-13 ATS coming off a win.
— Last three years, State is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— Favorites covered four of their last five bowls.

Pittsburgh
— Last six years, Pitt is 8-15-2 ATS as home favorite, 22-11 ATS on road.
— Last four years, Panthers are 14-9 ATS off a loss.
— Pitt lost four of last five bowls (underdogs 4-1 ATS)
— Pitt has a senior QB with 36 career starts.

Syracuse
— Syracuse was outgained by 199 yards/game last year.
— Orange OL has 120 career starts returning.
— Syracuse won its last four bowls; last loss was in 2004.
— Syracuse has played in only one bowl since 2013.

Virginia
— Last years, Cavaliers are 13-6 ATS at home.
— Virginia is 8-3 ATS in last 11 non-conference games.
— Cavaliers lost four of last five bowls, were underdog in all five.
— Virginia’s OL has 132 returning starts this season.

Virginia Tech
— Last year was first time in 28 years Hokies didn’t go to a bowl.
— Last three years, Virginia Tech is only 19-18 SU.
— Last five years, Hokies are 5-12 ATS as home favorites.
— Tech lost its last three bowls, giving up 34 ppg.

Wake Forest
— Last 5 years, Wake is 3-2 in bowls; first time ever they played in 5 straight bowls.
— Since 2015, Deacons are 2-6 ATS as road favorites, 15-7 as road dogs.
— Over their last 22 games, Wake Forest is +18 in turnovers.
— Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense; their QB has 19 career starts.

**StarDust Bum** · 07-17-2021, 03:13 AM

Notes on Big 14 football teams:

Illinois
— Former Wisconsin/Arkansas coach Bret Bielema is new HC.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Illinois’ last winning season was in 2011.

Indiana
— Went 6-2 LY, gave the coach a raise to $4.9M a year.
— Last two years, Hoosiers are 15-5 against the spread.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

Iowa
— Lost first two games 24-20/21-20 LY, then won last six games.
— Hawkeyes will have 3 new starters on OL this fall.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

Maryland
— Locksley is 8-43 as a head coach, 6-17 at Maryland.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Former Florida HC Ron Zook will coach special teams.

Michigan
— Gave up 34.5 ppg LY, fired the DC.
— Wolverines will have another new starting QB this year.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

Michigan State
— Spartans brought in 20 transfers this season.
— QB Anthony Russo started 26 games at Temple.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

Minnesota
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Gave up 207.1 rushing yards/game LY (#102)
— Gophers poached kicker from Kent State to help their special teams.

Nebraska
— Went 3-5 LY, with a minus-11 turnover ratio.

— Cornhuskers have five 6th-year seniors on their defense.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.

Northwestern
— Played in Big 14 title game LY, beat Auburn in their bowl.
— only 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense this year.
— Lost their QB and top four WR’s from last season.

Ohio State
— Ryan Day is 23-2 SU coaching the Buckeyes.
— OSU has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Buckeyes don’t have a QB who has a thrown a college pass.

Penn State
— Started 0-5 LY, won last four games; were minus-7 in turnovers.
— Gave up 27.7 ppg LY, most in school history.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.

Purdue
— Went 6-12 SU the last two seasons.
— ranked 124th in country in rushing LY (81.5 ypg)
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

Rutgers
— Hasn’t been to a bowl game since 2014.
— K-State transfer Youngblood ran three kicks back for TD’s in 2019.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.

Wisconsin
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Ranked 103rd in country in yards/game LY.
— Last time Badgers didn’t go bowling; 2001.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-14-2021, 01:13 PM

Saturday’s Den: Random college football knowledge

13) Ohio State doesn’t have a quarterback who has thrown a college pass; last time they were in this situation?

1952.

12) Purdue coach Jeff Brohm is 14-5 ATS as an underdog with Boilermakers.

11) Louisiana Tech HC Skip Holtz is 36-20 ATS as a road underdog.

10) Bowling Green is 3-14 SU in two years under Scott Loeffler; during that time, they’re 2-13 ATS as an underdog, 0-9 as a road underdog.

9) Florida Atlantic coach Willie Taggart is 35-21 ATS on road, 24-14 as a road underdog.

8) 27-year old Zac Alley is the defensive coordinator at Louisiana-Monroe, working for Terry Bowden; he spent the last two years as the special teams coach at Boise State. Before that, he was a graduate assistant at Clemson.

7) Since 2014, Minnesota is 20-10 ATS coming off a loss.

6) Under coach Fitzpatrick, Northwestern is 31-42-2 ATS as a home favorite; since 2014, they’re 18-5 ATS as a road underdog.

5) Since Jimbo Fisher has been coach, Texas A&M is 15-6 ATS as a favorite.

4) Under Ed Orgeron, LSU is 14-8 ATS on the road.

3) Luke McCaffery is the new QB at Rice; he spent spring practice at Louisville this year, after mostly sitting the last two years at Nebraska, where he threw two passes.

2) Jerry Jones’ grandson John Stephen Jones is a backup QB at Arkansas.

1) Michigan lost its last four bowl games; they were favored in three of them.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-17-2021, 01:39 PM

https://www.ncaa.com/news/football/a...9-fe8ae5230751

**Udog** · 08-26-2021, 11:18 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 0

Saturday, August 28

Eastern Illinois at Indiana State
Time: 6:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 47.162; Indiana State 65.989
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana State by 19; 44
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana State by 13 ?; 50
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-13 ?); Under

Alcorn State vs NC Central
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Alcorn State 51.218; NC Central 41.084
Dunkel Line & Total: Alcorn State by 10; 48
Vegas Line & Total: Alcorn State by 13 ?; 52 ?
Dunkel Pick: NC Central (+13 ?); Under

Southern Utah at San Jose State
Time: 10:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 63.630; San Jose State 81.696
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose State by 18; 50
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose State by 22; 56 ?
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+22); Under

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Cnotes college football 2021-2022 news/trends/best bets thru ncaa championship !

Cnotes college football 2021-2022 news/trends/best bets thru ncaa championship !

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