Josh Beckett is having another fine season (3.30 ERA)
and his last two starts have been even better (1.29 ERA)
and despite the Cardinals' good showing vs. the Braves,
we're still inclined to take righthanders against them here
at Busch Stadium (only 6-9, -$665) in that situation so far).
The Marlins have been very effective vs. righthanders so far
including a 10-5 (+$500) mark on the road, averaging 5.1
runs per game in those contests. St. Louis hasn't been
pushing many runs accoss the plate in recent days (only
3.9 per game last 10), so we'll lay the short price on one
of the NL's top hurlers.
Sacramento over Minnesota* by 2
Home teams have dominated the point-spread
results in the playoffs, better than 70% ATS.
But the tide is beginning to turn. In fact, in
the Min-Sac series, the home team has yet to cover,
and the Lakers took points in San Antonio last
night and were always covering that number.
Now that these series are even and the home
fans have had plenty to cheer, the refs will be
letting 'em play and the home T'Wolves will not
receive the subtle edges they got in Games 1
and 2. With those edges, they still lost Game 1
outright. The sides are very evenly matched,
have played 4 OT games over the last two seasons,
and it's the kind of match-up where the points
will always be worth taking because neither side
plays well with a lead, (partly a function of the other
side having many valid offensive options).
SACRAMENTO, 100-98.
EastCoast Comp. Line, now on a 43-17 run, has Oakland tonight as its play.
Correct me if I am wrong, but I don't believe this East Coast has any affiliation with the EastCoast Service which posts here and is challenging Ty Gaston in the $100000 contest.
Lightning +160!...........We would think anyone in the know regarding the NHL would
agree with us that this is a ridiculous line...absolutely ridiculous. Now, that is
not to say the Flyers will not win the game, actually they have a very good chance
to do so, however the overwhelming value lies with taking Tampa. We have been down
this road before several times these playoffs...just because a team MUST win does
not mean they WILL win. The public perception that Philly will "almost certainly"
tie up this series has prompted the oddsmakers to post this silly line. The
Lightning played their first "good" game of the series in game 3, and are
doubtlessly feeling very confident and comfortable, while Esche was horrible last
game and the Flyers lost yet another defenseman with Ragnarsson now out with a
broken finger. We handicapped this game at Tampa being no more than +125 or so and
we feel this inflated line will drop...if you agree with us buy early! Remember, we
feel that Tampa is the overall better team with the better goaltending as well, and
we already have a series play on them to back that opinion up.
We will release our opinion on the Sharks / Flames game tomorrow......
Joe Kennedy is pitching .172BAA vs lefties on the year. Not too mention the .215BAA to righties not too shabby. 29.1IP in the last 5 starts though giving up 6ER is crazy. Whats crazier is he did it against the Cubs at Wrigley, @Montreal ok, @Coors vs Atlanta, @Coors vs Houston and @Coors vs the hot Dodgers. Meanwhile we have Milton on the hill who could get a lesson in long ballology. This game reminds me alot of his Arizona starts where Milton gave up 7ER and 7BB in 11 innings of work, the difference being theres no Webb, Villareal or Mantei on the opposing mound. All righties!!! and thats how they scored all of there runs vs those Snakes. I look for the Rockies to get back on track tonight after the DHer loss to the Perez led Pirates.
Final prediction: Colorado 8 Philadelphia 5
Texas over Detroit
Look for Benoit to be in fine forum when he takes to the hill vs the Tigers. This guy has been under the radar all year and has maybe the best stuff on the Ranger staff. We know the lineup will come to play as 7 of the 9 in the starting lineup are hitting above .300. I look for Texas to take this one going away.
ATL H RAMIREZ -L (0-3, 2.75 ERA) vs MIL V SANTOS -R (1-0, 4.50 ERA)
The Braves and Brewers open up a three-game weekend series in Milwaukee. In tonight's series opener, Horacio Ramirez takes the mound for Atlanta while Victor Santos pitches for the Brewers. Ramirez is struggling a bit this season after going 12-4 with a 4.00 ERA in 29 starts in 2003, which was his rookie season. He is 0-3 with a 2.75 ERA in his first six starts this year, allowing 19 runs on 33 hits with 20 K's, 21 walks and 3 homers in 36.0 innings of work. Ramirez has had a lot of tough luck this season. The offense has provided him a total of seven runs while he's been in line to get a decision in his first six starts, and in the other one he allowed eight unearned runs in a game where the Braves committed seven errors. Last time out he allowed 3 runs on 7 hits with 6 K's, 2 walks and two homer, but he took a no-decision in an eventual 5-4 Braves' win over Houston. He posted a 2.38 ERA without a decision in his two starts against the Brewers last year. Santos was 0-2 with a 7.01 ERA in a limited role with Texas last year (8 games, 4 starts). He is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA this year, allowing seven runs on 13 hits with 14 K's, 6 walks and two homers in 14.0 innings. In his two starts since moving from the bullpen, Santos has held opponents to three earned runs in 10 innings, and has 10 strikeouts versus four walks. He has been a good addition to a starting staff that has been hurt by Chris Capuano's injury and Matt Kinney's ineffectiveness.
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