HEY FELLAS AFTER A LONG ABSENCE I'M BACK. HAD A LITTLE LEGAL ISSUE TO WORK OUT. I THANK GOD I DID NOT PERSONALLY FIND OUT WHY THEY CALL IT THE "SLAMMER". ANYHOY ENOUGH OF THAT CRAP THIS THREAD IS FOR SERVICE PICKS. ALATEX HAS A SUPER PLAY ON UAB. DOES ANYONE HAVE LEONARD'S 2 NCAA PLAYS?
Our March Madness record continues to improve as we go ever deeper in the Tourney. Yesterday our picks went 2-1, and our third pick narrowly missed an upset ATS victory. Overall our Big Dance results are as follows: 24 Picks - 15 Wins - 9 Losses, and our pick for National Champion, the Cowboys, looks better each round.
Today we have three more Sweet Sixteen picks, including two underdog selections. The St. Louis region is primed for two more shock results, against the spread at least. We like UAB +4.5, but our value dog of the day has to be Nevada +4 vs Georgia Tech. The Wolfpack have already beaten two high quality teams, while Tech have struggled against two average teams. We'll take the points in this one, and break it all down for you in our perceptive betting previews.
NBA Picks
Pacers @ Magic; Pacers -5
Thursday saw our top NBA pick win easily, as the Pistons and the Spurs played the low-scoring game we expected from them. Today our best bet is Indiana to cover on the road at the woeful Magic.
The loss of O'Neal will hurt this team if the injury keeps him out for an extended period of time, however, it should not affect them on Friday. Orlando have given up, as anyone who saw them lose to the Heat can well attest. Furthermore, Indiana have shown that they are more than just a one-man team, and we expect the team to play well in O'Neal's absence against soft opponents. Take Indiana to cover the 5 point spread.
More Tourney Picks
Illinois vs Duke; Duke -6.5
Yesterday we identified Connecticut as a big favorite that could cover, simply because they outclassed their opponents at every level. A similar scenario should unfold on Friday when Duke meets Illinois in the Sweet Sixteen.
Illinois have not faced a good team yet at the Big Dance. We told you to bet them in their pick-em game with the Bearcats, but that had more to with the fact that Cincinnati were so obviously overrated. Illinois played in a weak conference this year, and did not distinguish themselves during the regular season. They are not equipped to handle Duke, especially in the paint. The problem with playing the Blue Devils though is that they can beat you from the perimeter as well, and it is highly likely that Duke will win this one by more than 7 points.
Parlay Picks
Kings @ Oilers; Bet Oilers to win @ -130
Our NHL form has been sublime of late. When the Lightning defeated the Devils yesterday it took our win streak of top NHL picks to four in a row, and we intend to keep our perfect record for the week intact on Friday.
Edmonton are well known for finishing seasons a lot stronger than they start them. 2003/2004 is proving to be no exception. A month ago their playoff hopes seemed minimal but they have played incredible hockey since then. This game is a must-win for both teams, which favors the Oilers. They are at home, are playing better than the Kings right now, and beat them on the road four days ago. The Kings have lost all momentum, coming into this game with 5 straight losses and their playoff aspirations fading fast. Edmonton will push home the advantage and win this one, and you should bet them at the decent price of -130.
Friday NBA Opinion
L.A. LAKERS (-6 ½) 103 Minnesota 91
The Lakers’ 115-91 win over Sacramento on Wednesday is a buy sign on them for this game, as they qualify in a solid 180-96-7 ATS home favorite momentum situation that is based on that comfortable victory. However, the Lakers appear to be a bit overrated by the public, as I favor the Lakers by 5 points and the oddsmakers opened the line at -5 points. The public has bet the game up to -6 ½ points and taken away too much value for me to make the Lakers a Best Bet. In fact, L.A. now has just a 54% chance of covering at -6 ½ points (55% at -6), which is still slightly profitable but not nearly good enough to make them a Best Bet. I would have laid 5 points or less with the Lakers in a 2-Star Best Bet, but I’ll just lean with L.A. at this inflated price.
Friday NBA Opinion
L.A. LAKERS (-6 ½) 103 Minnesota 91
The Lakers’ 115-91 win over Sacramento on Wednesday is a buy sign on them for this game, as they qualify in a solid 180-96-7 ATS home favorite momentum situation that is based on that comfortable victory. However, the Lakers appear to be a bit overrated by the public, as I favor the Lakers by 5 points and the oddsmakers opened the line at -5 points. The public has bet the game up to -6 ½ points and taken away too much value for me to make the Lakers a Best Bet. In fact, L.A. now has just a 54% chance of covering at -6 ½ points (55% at -6), which is still slightly profitable but not nearly good enough to make them a Best Bet. I would have laid 5 points or less with the Lakers in a 2-Star Best Bet, but I’ll just lean with L.A. at this inflated price.
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