Tourney Plays

[HUNGlikeabear]

Got a W with Iowa the other day to start. See what I can do.

Texas Tech -1

I know I'm going up against a lot of the more talented cappers here on this one.

Texas Tech
5-0 SU against Conference USA opponents
55-12 SU as a fav

Charlotte
6-20 SU as a dog
0-2 SU against Big 12 opponents

Look at the talent level of the previous 5 teams these two have played against. Not only has TT played a tougher schedule overall, but their last 5 were of a MUCH higher caliber than was Charlotte was up against.

Of the games between the two common opponents this season, TT faired much better.

I know Knight is suppose to suck in the post season, but I don't think his players know that.

GL All:D

[Homer]

GL. I actually like and played it myself. Just didn't post it

[S49erman]

we are on opposite sides but good luck to you!

-Scott

[ez winners]

Nice call on Texas Tech. Charlotte is really playing like shit!!

[HUNGlikeabear]

Va Comm +13

Senior guard, opponents shoot only 40% from the field (a bit over 41% on the road), they shot 39% from 3 point land during the year and are playing a Wake team that allows 39% on the road, Wake giving up 80 pts per game on the road (over 84 in their last five). Big negative is Va Comm sick free throw shooting. Wake coming out of some monster conference games were they didn't play so well coming against a team that has played a much weaker schedule but has a ton of confidence. Va Comm should score at least 70-75 here to get enough for a cover. Wake has not covered their last three as double digit favs. I think the young Capel coaching Va Comm will be a large advantage here. He's been in the big battles against the mighty of the NCAA under the hot lights. Va Comm has also done very well on neutral courts.

Va Comm...
10-3 ATS as a dog of 10 or more

Wake...
8-20 ATS in neutral court games

[S49erman]

we match up! I like it :D

[HUNGlikeabear]

Thanks EZ


Bring it home 9'r:D

[S49erman]

nice call on virginia c!

[HUNGlikeabear]

That was fun for us 9'r:D

3-0

Texas -whatever

Texas is going to demolish Princeton. Forget the scoring numbers. Vegas set this sucker nice and high and they got some serious hits I'm sure. It's going to be in the rebounding department.

GL All:D

[HUNGlikeabear]

4-0

SC +

I've probably thought myself into a loss here. I'm also probably giving SC too much credit and Memphis not enough.

My read on the numbers in this one is all SC. The problem I've come across is I'm reading SC may be a different team than they were at the start of the season. This up-tempo style they will have is most likely due to the fact that they are without an outside game, so they look for points by speeding things up.

As I have posted elsewhere here, I was originally thinking the wrong team was favored here. I normally don't think such things (or post them) because I know Vegas has forgotten more than I'll ever know about line-setting. With that said, the line here has dropped again to (1-) from 2, which was a drop from the open.

I feel like I'm walking into a trap set exclusively for me.

Here goes

I'm hoping to this point SC is comfortable enough with their up tempo, were it won't cost them on the other end. They are definitely going to have to do extremely well from the line in this one. If they can continue at the 77% clip from the line that they have been at over the last five, I'll most likely end up a happy camper. Defensively, SC has done better against a higher level of competition. The last five of the season, were also of higher caliber (not Calipari LOL) opponents for SC IMO than what Memphis faced in the extremely over rated Conference USA. USA's top teams are not as strong as what SC faces and their lower teams are worse. Memphis also relies more on the 3-ball than does SC. They are also much weaker on neutral courts (0-7 ATS as a fav on neutral courts) than SC has been historically. I think the Calipari name and the past success of Memphis has them laying points here. Memphis has done better this year in games with short lines, against weaker talent. Each team played Mississippi on the road. Memphis won very convincingly early in the year, after playing 3 straight scrubs, and SC lost poorly while meeting them in the thick of conference play.

Hope I can keep it going

GL ALL:D

(edit)
SC +2

[S49erman]

what a job hung! keep it up!

:gun2: :gun2: :gun2:

[HUNGlikeabear]

4-1

SC didn't even show up. Hope somebody pissed on all their clothes in the locker room.

After ripping Conference USA, I'm siding with them here.

Same train of thought that brought in Texas Tech.

Cinci -(8-)
Cinci re-instated one of their criminals. They have had a rough season. Everyone is shredding the team and Huggins. They may get crushed in the later rounds, but they will bring it and demolish this scrub on national tv. Time for the team to band together against everyone and make a run that nobody suspects. The whole "us against them" thing, criminals love that stuff.

E Tenn has shot awesome on the road, but has never seen a D like this that allows 38% shooting against much better talent. Ton of trends favoring E Tenn. Dogs are due today. I don't care. Public takes the pipe on this one as the obvious blows by.

[HUNGlikeabear]

4-2

The criminals must be too sober today. 0-2 on the day. Good guard play in the tourney is key to a W. E Tenn got an awesome one. As of 2:00 to go, Cinci with 16 F'n turnovers to ET's 5. Can't beat anyone let alone cover with numbers like that. I think Huggy F'd up. Started the game strong, then didn't handle his line up correctly. Smith from ET figured Cinci's guards out and Huggy didn't adjust.

[HUNGlikeabear]

Under Duke 144

Wiz post:D

Public all over the Under in Dukes last game if I remember correctly, now it will show as they created value in this line. My take from each teams scoring averages is 141, as was originally set. Dukes injuries make make them more liable defensively, hopefully not against this SH team though.

GL All

(know I'm late but two of my locals had to be woken up:redfaced: )

[HUNGlikeabear]

DePaul +double digits

I think the image of the 1st round games for these two has the lines set for what the public had in mind, then driven up more. I like the value their. DePaul has shot 70% from the line all year and has now gotten that 1st round game out of the way. Uconn doesn't do well from the line and gives up defensively almost what DePaul averages on the road with a schedule of equal strength. UConn had the cakewalk while DePaul had the identity crisis. DePaul has a very strong coach who is the talk of the nation and will have DePaul steady and ready for round two's attempt at a win. DePaul has also done better ATS on neutral courts this year and may catch UConn not worrying about a win here. DePaul's program is getting stronger and has passed a number of personal tests this year already. With the jitters away, I think they keep this one close enough.