Announcement

**Udog** · 09-29-2020, 10:07 AM

College football odds Week 5: Opening lines & odds movement
Patrick Everson

Quarterback Bo Nix and Auburn travel to Georgia for a big Southeastern Conference game Saturday. The host Bulldogs opened -6.5 at FanDuel and briefly went to -7.5 before returning to -6.5.

College football odds for Week 5 are on the betting board and already getting action, once again dominated by Big 12 and SEC games. The biggest battle comes from the latter of those two conferences, with No. 7 Auburn at No. 4 Georgia under the Saturday night lights.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 5 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

College football Week 5 odds

These are the current College football Week 5 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of September 28.

South Carolina at (3) Florida odds

Opening line
Florida -17.5, Over/Under 55.5

Why the line moved
Both the line and the total were on the move quickly at FanDuel. The Gators stretched to -19.5, although early point-spread betting was two-way, with 54 percent of tickets and 56 percent of dollars on Florida. The total is up 3 points to 58.5, and although there's surely not much money in the pot yet, the Over is taking 96 percent of tickets and 89 percent of money.

(11) North Carolina at Boston College odds

Opening line
North Carolina -11.5, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
The Tar Heels initially dropped to -10.5 at FanDuel on Sunday, but by Monday had sprinted to -13.5, with 83 percent of bets and 88 percent of cash on North Carolina. The first move on the total was down to 53.5, and it went back to 54.5 Monday afternoon on two-way action: 54 percent of bets on the Over, 54 percent of money on the Under.

Missouri at (20) Tennessee odds

Opening line
Tennessee -10.5, Over/Under 48.5

Why the line moved
Tennessee was up to -11.5 Monday, but there's more early support for double-digit-'dog Missouri. The Vols were landing 62 percent of tickets, but the Tigers were attracting 66 percent of money.

Virginia at (1) Clemson odds

Opening line
Clemson -27.5, Over/Under 55.5

Why the line moved
The Tigers toggled between -27.5 and -28.5 a few times at FanDuel on Sunday and Monday, ultimately settling at the opener Monday afternoon. It's two-way play early, with Clemson getting 51 percent of bets and 58 percent of money. And it appears there's some sharp play on the Under, with the total going from 55.5 to 54.5, despite nine of every 10 tickets and dollars on the Over.

(16) Oklahoma at Iowa State Odds

Opening line
Oklahoma State -8, Over/Under 62.5

Why the line moved
The Sooners are still trying to get the license plate of the truck that ran them over last weekend, when they lost outright to Kansas State 38-35 as hefty 28-point home favorites. Perhaps not surprisingly, this line was already down to Oklahoma -6.5 Monday night, even though 95 percent of tickets and 77 percent of money were on the Sooners.

TCU at (9) Texas Odds

Opening line
Texas -13.5, Over/Under 60.5

Why the line moved
Texas dipped a full point to -12.5 late Monday night at FanDuel, but the betting splits don't really tell that story, as 73 percent of tickets and 97 percent of early cash were on the Longhorns. The first move on the total was from 60.5 to 61.5, also late Monday night.

(13) Texas A&M at (2) Alabama odds

Opening line
Alabama -16.5, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
This line bounced around quite a bit Sunday and Monday at FanDuel, first to 'Bama -17.5, then down to -15.5, then back to the opener Monday evening. But it's all Crimson Tide on early action, with 84 percent of bets and 87 percent of money falling on the favorite. The Over was taking 71 percent of bets and 63 percent of money early, but the total dropped a point to 52.5.

Ole Miss at Kentucky odds

Opening line
Kentucky -6.5, Over/Under 58.5

Why the line moved
The line at FanDuel didn't move through Monday night, although Mississippi is attracting 72 percent of tickets and 66 percent of money in early spread betting. Conversely, the total was very much on the move, up 3 points to 61.5, with 90 percent of early bets and 99 percent of early money on the Over.

(7) Auburn at (4) Georgia odds

Opening line
Georgia -6.5, Over/Under 43.5

Why the line moved
The Bulldogs went to -7.5 for about an hour Monday at FanDuel, before reverting to the opening number. That dial-back was likely a product of early action favoring the visiting Tigers, who were taking 64 percent of bets and 74 percent of dollars. The total was up a point to 44.5 by Monday afternoon, with the Over tallying 87 percent of tickets and 84 percent of money.

(17) LSU at Vanderbilt odds

Opening line
LSU -18.5, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved
LSU went off as 14.5-point home chalk against Mississippi State and stunningly lost 44-34 in its season opener. But early bettors weren't shy about backing the Tigers, who moved to -20.5 at FanDuel on Monday and were drawing 86 percent of tickets and 90 percent of money on the spread. The total dropped 2 points Monday to 48.5.

**Udog** · 09-29-2020, 10:08 AM

103LOUISIANA TECH -104 BYU
BYU is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.

105S FLORIDA -106 CINCINNATI
S FLORIDA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 24 or more points at the half since 1992.

107S CAROLINA -108 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 41-24 ATS (14.6 Units) in home games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

109E CAROLINA -110 GEORGIA ST
E CAROLINA is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) as a road dog of <=7 since 1992.

113VIRGINIA TECH -114 DUKE
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

115MISSOURI -116 TENNESSEE
MISSOURI is 23-9 ATS (13.1 Units) in road games after a blowout loss (>17 pts) since 1992.

117BAYLOR -118 W VIRGINIA
BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) with <=6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

119VIRGINIA -120 CLEMSON
VIRGINIA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

121NC STATE -122 PITTSBURGH
NC STATE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) vs. good offenses (>31 PPG) in the last 3 seasons.

123OKLAHOMA -124 IOWA ST
OKLAHOMA is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in road games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

127TULSA -128 UCF
UCF is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.

129ARKANSAS ST -130 COASTAL CAROLINA
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.

131NAVY -132 AIR FORCE
NAVY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

133TROY -134 S ALABAMA
TROY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

135TEXAS TECH -136 KANSAS ST
TEXAS TECH is 33-15 ATS (16.5 Units) off a home loss since 1992.

137OKLAHOMA ST -138 KANSAS
KANSAS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after allowing 42 points or more last game in the last 3 seasons.

139UTSA -140 UAB
UAB is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) vs bad defenses (>31 PPG) in the last 3 seasons.

141TCU -142 TEXAS
TEXAS are 30-15 ATS (13.5 Units) after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.

143TEXAS A&M -144 ALABAMA
TEXAS A&M is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) as a road underdog since 1992.

145OLE MISS -146 KENTUCKY
OLE MISS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

147W KENTUCKY -148 MIDDLE TENN ST
MIDDLE TENN ST is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992.

151GA SOUTHERN -152 LA MONROE
LA MONROE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

153AUBURN -154 GEORGIA
GEORGIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

155LSU -156 VANDERBILT
LSU is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons.

159SOUTHERN MISS -160 NORTH TEXAS
NORTH TEXAS are 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 09-29-2020, 10:08 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, October 2

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LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 0) at BYU (2 - 0) - 10/2/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, October 3

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S FLORIDA (1 - 1) at CINCINNATI (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S CAROLINA (0 - 1) at FLORIDA (1 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E CAROLINA (0 - 1) at GEORGIA ST (0 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points since 1992.
GEORGIA ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
GEORGIA ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N CAROLINA (1 - 0) at BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VIRGINIA TECH (1 - 0) at DUKE (0 - 3) - 10/3/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI (0 - 1) at TENNESSEE (1 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BAYLOR (1 - 0) at W VIRGINIA (1 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
BAYLOR is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (1 - 0) at CLEMSON (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (1 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OKLAHOMA (1 - 1) at IOWA ST (1 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (1 - 0) at SMU (3 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (0 - 1) at UCF (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 1-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS ST (1 - 1) at COASTAL CAROLINA (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NAVY (1 - 1) at AIR FORCE (0 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 184-135 ATS (+35.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 184-135 ATS (+35.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 102-63 ATS (+32.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
NAVY is 87-47 ATS (+35.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 87-47 ATS (+35.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
NAVY is 83-46 ATS (+32.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
NAVY is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-1 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TROY (1 - 1) at S ALABAMA (1 - 2) - 10/3/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS TECH (1 - 1) at KANSAS ST (1 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 134-95 ATS (+29.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 167-125 ATS (+29.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 131-93 ATS (+28.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 74-47 ATS (+22.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 133-97 ATS (+26.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA ST (2 - 0) at KANSAS (0 - 2) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 96-70 ATS (+19.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
KANSAS is 137-175 ATS (-55.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 137-175 ATS (-55.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 88-123 ATS (-47.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 98-129 ATS (-43.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 127-166 ATS (-55.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 90-123 ATS (-45.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTSA (3 - 0) at UAB (2 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTSA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 2-0 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 2-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TCU (0 - 1) at TEXAS (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS A&M (1 - 0) at ALABAMA (1 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 52-75 ATS (-30.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLE MISS (0 - 1) at KENTUCKY (0 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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W KENTUCKY (0 - 2) at MIDDLE TENN ST (0 - 3) - 10/3/2020, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (0 - 1) at FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GA SOUTHERN (1 - 1) at LA MONROE (0 - 3) - 10/3/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA MONROE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-1 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-1 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AUBURN (1 - 0) at GEORGIA (1 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
GEORGIA is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (0 - 1) at VANDERBILT (0 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS (0 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN MISS (0 - 3) at NORTH TEXAS (1 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 09-29-2020, 10:10 AM

NCAAF

Week 5

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 2

Campbell @ Wake Forest
Campbell
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Campbell's last 6 games
Campbell is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games at home

Louisiana Tech @ Brigham Young
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Louisiana Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Brigham Young is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

Saturday, October 3

South Carolina @ Florida
South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Carolina's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Missouri @ Tennessee
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Missouri's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Baylor @ West Virginia
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of West Virginia's last 7 games
West Virginia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baylor

Texas Christian @ Texas
Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas Christian is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

East Carolina @ Georgia State
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Georgia State
Georgia State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Georgia State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina
Arkansas State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 6 games on the road
Arkansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Coastal Carolina's last 12 games

North Carolina State @ Pittsburgh
North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Texas-San Antonio @ Alabama-Birmingham
Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 6 games at home

North Alabama @ Liberty
North Alabama
No trends to report
Liberty
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Liberty is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Abilene Christian @ Army
Abilene Christian
Abilene Christian is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Abilene Christian is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Army
Army is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 6 games

Texas A&M @ Alabama
Texas A&M
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 5 games on the road
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M
Alabama is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

Oklahoma State @ Kansas
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games at home

Texas Tech @ Kansas State
Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Texas Tech's last 12 games when playing Kansas State
Kansas State
Kansas State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Texas Tech
Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas Tech

North Carolina @ Boston College
North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 9 of North Carolina's last 11 games on the road
North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston College's last 8 games at home

Memphis @ Southern Methodist
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Southern Methodist is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games

South Florida @ Cincinnati
South Florida
South Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Florida's last 6 games
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games at home

Virginia Tech @ Duke
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Duke
Virginia Tech is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Duke
Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 7 games when playing Virginia Tech

Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Mississippi @ Kentucky
Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 7 games on the road
Mississippi is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Jacksonville State @ Florida State
Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Jacksonville State is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games at home
Florida State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee
Western Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Western Kentucky's last 8 games when playing Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games when playing on the road against Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Middle Tennessee's last 8 games when playing Western Kentucky
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Western Kentucky

Georgia Southern @ Louisiana-Monroe
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Arkansas @ Mississippi State
Arkansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games on the road
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games at home
Mississippi State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arkansas

Auburn @ Georgia
Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Auburn's last 7 games when playing Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia
Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn

Oklahoma @ Iowa State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
Oklahoma is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Iowa State's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games at home

Southern Miss @ North Texas
Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Miss's last 9 games
North Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 6 games at home
North Texas is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home

Tulsa @ Central Florida
Tulsa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Central Florida
Tulsa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Central Florida
Central Florida
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Florida's last 5 games when playing at home against Tulsa

Louisiana State @ Vanderbilt
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Louisiana State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vanderbilt's last 10 games

Virginia @ Clemson
Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games
Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Clemson is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games

Troy @ South Alabama
Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 6 games when playing South Alabama
South Alabama
South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
South Alabama is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-30-2020, 08:36 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 5

Friday, October 2

Campbell @ Wake Forest

Game 161-162
October 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Campbell
49.222
Wake Forest
86.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 37
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 34 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(-34 1/2); N/A

Louisiana Tech @ Brigham Young

Game 103-104
October 2, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
79.422
Brigham Young
106.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 27 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 23 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-23 1/2); Under

Saturday, October 3

Missouri @ Tennessee

Game 115-116
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
85.634
Tennessee
99.088
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 13 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 11 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-11 1/2); Over

Baylor @ West Virginia

Game 117-118
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
104.776
West Virginia
92.248
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 12 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 3
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(-3); Under

TCU @ Texas

Game 141-142
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
91.303
Texas
102.496
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 11
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 13
63
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(+13); Under

South Carolina @ Florida

Game 107-108
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
87.768
Florida
109.479
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 21 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 17 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-17 1/2); Over

East Carolina @ Georgia State

Game 109-110
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Carolina
72.765
Georgia State
71.451
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Carolina
by 1 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 1
70
Dunkel Pick:
East Carolina
(+1); Under

NC State @ Pittsburgh

Game 121-122
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC State
76.474
Pittsburgh
88.686
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 12
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 14
47
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(+14); Under

Arkansas St @ Coastal Carolina

Game 129-130
October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
85.463
Coastal Carolina
77.654
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 8
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 3
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-3); Under

TX-San Antonio @ UAB

Game 139-140
October 3, 2020 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-San Antonio
60.196
UAB
89.078
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 29
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 20 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(-20 1/2); Over

North Alabama @ Liberty

Game 163-164
October 3, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Alabama
52.550
Liberty
74.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
by 22
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Liberty
by 30 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
North Alabama
(+30 1/2); N/A

Abilene Christian @ Army

Game 165-166
October 3, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Abilene Christian
53.006
Army
87.778
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 35
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 31
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Army
(-31); N/A

Houston Baptist @ Eastern Kentucky

Game 915-916
October 3, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston Baptist
57.410
Eastern Kentucky
58.293
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Kentucky
by 1
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Kentucky
by 3
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Houston Baptist
(+3); N/A

North Carolina @ Boston College

Game 111-112
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
97.147
Boston College
86.365
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 11
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 14
55
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(+14); Under

Texas Tech @ Kansas State

Game 135-136
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
90.448
Kansas State
89.222
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 1
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 2
63
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(+2); Under

Memphis @ SMU

Game 125-126
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
96.793
SMU
87.130
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 9 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2 1/2
74 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-2 1/2); Under

Texas A&M @ Alabama

Game 143-144
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas A&M
93.438
Alabama
114.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 20 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 17
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-17); Under

South Florida @ Cincinnati

Game 105-106
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Florida
75.963
Cincinnati
91.901`
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 16
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 23
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(+23); Under

Oklahoma State @ Kansas

Game 137-138
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
98.818
Kansas
71.152
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 27 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 21
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(-21); Over

Central Arkansas @ North Dakota St

Game 917-918
October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
65.162
North Dakota St
95.837
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota St
by 30 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota St
by 23
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota St
(-23); N/A

Mississippi @ Kentucky

Game 145-146
October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi
87.172
Kentucky
102.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 15
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 6 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(-6 1/2); Over

Virginia Tech @ Duke

Game 113-114
October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
90.218
Duke
83.794
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 6 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 10 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(+10 1/2); Over

Jacksonville St @ Florida State

Game 167-168
October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville St
55.755
Florida State
75.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 19 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 26 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville St
(+26 1/2); N/A

Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic

Game 149-150
October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
75.241
Florida Atlantic
94.807
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 19 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 5 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(-5 1/2); Over

Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee St

Game 147-148
October 3, 2020 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
71.682
Middle Tennessee
67.195
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 4 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 7
53
Dunkel Pick:
Middle Tennessee
(+7); Under

Navy @ Air Force

Game 131-132
October 3, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
90.923
Air Force
81.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 10
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Navy
by 6 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(-6 1/2); Over

Georgia Southern @ LA-Monroe

Game 151-152
October 3, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
71.363
LA-Monroe
57.270
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Southern
by 14
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 20
49
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Monroe
(+20); Over

Arkansas @ Mississippi St

Game 157-158
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas
81.580
Mississippi St
97.357
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 16
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 18
69
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(+18); Over

LSU @ Vanderbilt

Game 155-156
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LSU
111.837
Vanderbilt
77.702
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 24
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 20 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-20 1/2); Under

Southern Miss @ North Texas

Game 159-160
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
66.117
North Texas
65.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 1
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Texas
by 1 1/2
72
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(+1 1/2); Under

Tulsa @ Central Florida

Game 127-128
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
78.448
Central Florida
103.599
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 25
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 21 1/2
72
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(-21 1/2); Over

Oklahoma @ Iowa State

Game 123-124
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
93.304
Iowa State
95.314
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 7
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(+7); Over

Auburn @ Georgia

Game 153-154
October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
107.925
Georgia
108.358
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 1
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 7
45
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(+7); Under

Virginia @ Clemson

Game 119-120
October 3, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
90.202
Clemson
122.539
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 32 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 28
55
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-28); Over

Troy @ South Alabama

Game 133-134
October 3, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
77.085
South Alabama
61.968
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 15
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 5 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(-5 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 09-30-2020, 08:42 AM

Tech Trends - Week 5
Bruce Marshall

Week 5 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday, Oct. 1 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Friday, Oct. 2

LA TECH at BYU (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m.)

Skip Holtz wins again as dog in opener, now 20-8-1 in role with La Tech since arriving in 2014.
Skip 17-6-1 as dog away from Ruston that span.
Cougars just 2-4 as Provo chalk in 2019.

Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team trends.

Saturday, Oct. 3

SOUTH FLORIDA at CINCINNATI (ESPN+, 3:30 p.m.)

USF covers last five in series, though no SU wins vs. Cincy since 2017.
Bulls only 1-4 last five as dog away Raymond James Stadium (0-1 for Jeff Scott).
Bearcats 8-5 as Nippert chalk since 2018.

Tech Edge: Slight to USF, based on series trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at FLORIDA (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)

SC 1-5-1 vs. line since mid 2019, also failed to cover last 3 as dog in 2019.
Muschamp covered vs. Gators in 2017-18 but lost 38-27 LY.
Dan Mullen has covered seven in a row at the Swamp.

Tech Edge: Florida, based on team trends.

EAST CAROLINA at GEORGIA STATE (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)

GSU has now covered 5 of last 6 at home after ULL game, after 3-8-1 spread mark previous 12 as host.
Panthers 3-2 as chalk in 2019.
ECU was 7-20-1 as dog 2016-18 but improved slightly to 5-4 in role for Mike Houston LY.

Tech Edge: Slight to GSU, based on team trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at BOSTON COLLEGE (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)

Hafley now 1-0 as dog for BC, following recent Addazio success in role (14-3-1 in role during regular season past three years).
Mack Brown however has won and covered last four since late 2019, and Heels actually 18-10-1 vs. line going back to mid 2018 during late Fedora days.
Teams have not met since 2013.

Tech Edge: BC, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at DUKE (ACC, 4:00 p.m.)

Cutcliffe 0-3 SU this season but 1-0 as dog in 2020, and remember was 25-12-1 in dog role from 2013-18 before slipping a bit a year ago (2-4-1).
Note underdog team has covered (sometimes emphatically) 6 of last 7 meetings.

Tech Edge: Duke, based on team and series trends.

MISSOURI at TENNESSEE (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)

Note Mizzou won games vs. UT in 2017 & ‘18 by identical 50-17 scores!
Though Tigers 0-7 vs. line down stretch in 2019 before backdoor cover vs. Bama in opener.
From mid 2019, Vols 6-2 last 8 vs. line and 6-0 SU last six. Note Pruitt has only covered 2 of last 8 as chalk.

Tech Edge: Tennessee, based on recent trends.

BAYLOR at WEST VIRGINIA (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)

Baylor has covered last seven Big 12 games away from Waco (Rhule numbers).
WVU has covered last two in series, though Mounties were only 1-4-1 vs. spread s host in 2019.

Tech Edge: Baylor, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA at CLEMSON (ACC, 8:00 p.m.)

Rematch of 2019 ACC title game won and covered by Clemson 62-17.
Bronco Mendenhall still 8-3 as dog the past two seasons.
But Dabo has now covered last seven as ACC host.

Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on Dabo trends.

NC STATE at PITTSBURGH (ACC, 12:00 p.m.)

After loss at Virginia Tech, Wolfpack has now sagged to 2-11 vs. line its last 13 games on the board since early 2019.
Includes six straight spread Ls away from Raleigh.

Tech Edge: Pitt, based on recent NCS woes.

OKLAHOMA at IOWA STATE (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)

Note Lincoln Riley has not covered in three tries vs. ISU since taking over Sooners in 2017.
Matt Campbell has covered last 4 vs. OU including rousing 38-31 upset in 2017.
Cyclones were on 0-5 spread skid into TCU game, though Campbell 18-9-1 as dog since arriving at ISU.

Tech Edge: ISU, based on series and team trends.

MEMPHIS at SMU (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)

Memphis has won last 6 SU in series and had covered five in a row (margin 35 ppg!) before narrow non-cover in 2019.
SMU covered all three chances as dog for Sonny Dykes LY.

Tech Edge: Slight to Memphis, based on series trends.

TULSA at UCF (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m.)

Tulsa now 7-3 last ten as dog after cover at Ok State.
Included was 34-31 upset win over UCF in 2019.
Golden Hurricane also 7-1 last eight vs. line away.
Golden Knights 9-5 vs. spread at Orlando since 2018 (3-3 LY), haven’t had many revenge chances past couple of years.

Tech Edge: Tulsa, based on recent trends.

ARKANSAS STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)

Red Wolves only 4-5 vs. number last nine as Sun Belt road chalk.
Chants 6-4 as dog for Chadwell since 2019, including cover in near-upset of Ark State last year.

Tech Edge: Slight to Coastal, based on team trends.

NAVY at AIR FORCE (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)

Navy recovered at Tulane, Niumatalolo dog mark now 22-12-1 since 2013.
Though Mids have failed to win or cover last three trips to Force as host team is 7-0 SU, 6-1 vs. line since 2013 in this Commander-in-Chief’s rivalry.

Tech Edge: Air Force, based on series trends.

TROY at SOUTH ALABAMA (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)

Troy has won and covered last two meetings though just 5-9 vs. spread for Chip Lindsey since 2019.
USA spread mark now 8-3 last 11 after UAB loss.

Tech Edge: Slight to USA, based on recent trends.

TEXAS TECH at KANSAS STATE (FS1, 3:30 p.m.)

Tech has lost last 4 SU in series and failed to cover last three vs. K-State.
Red Raiders 2-7 vs. number last nine away from Lubbock.
Cats failed in 2020 home opener vs. Ark State but were 5-2 vs. spread in Manhattan for Klieman in 2019.

Tech Edge: K-State, based on series and team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)

Note Gundy has covered 7 of last 8 away from Stillwater.
OSU also 3-0-2 vs. spread last five in this series.
Les Miles only 2-7 vs. spread as host for KU.

Tech Edge: Ok State, based on series and team trends.

UTSA at UAB (Stadium, 12:30 p.m.)

Bill Clark’s UAB has won and covered all three vs. UTSA since returning to gridiron in 2017.
Blazers 9-2-1 vs. line since 2017 as C-USA host, 18-7-1 in C-USA play that span.
Though note UTSA has covered five in a row away (1-0 for Traylor, also 3-0 SU)!

Tech Edge: UAB, based on team and series trends.

TCU at TEXAS (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)

Revenge for Horns after 37-27 Fort Worth loss LY.
Frogs have won and covered five of last six in series.
Tom Herman 3-3 as Austin chalk since LY but just 6-10 in that role for Horns.
Patterson, however, just 3-7 last 10 vs. points as visitor.

Tech Edge: Slight to TCU, based on extended trends.

TEXAS A&M at ALABAMA (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)

Jimbo 5-3 as dog with Ags, has split vs. line against Saban past two years.
A&M 6-3 vs. spread as visitor for Jimbo.
Tide just 1-3 as SEC home chalk last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to A&M, based on team trends.

OLE MISS at KENTUCKY (SEC, 4:00 p.m.)

Rebs were 5-1-1 as dog in 2019 for Matt Luke, though Kiffin just 5-4-1 as dog for FAU the past three years and dropped Reb opener vs. Gators.
After 0-9 home chalk mark 2017-18, Cats were 6-2 vs. spread as host in 2019 (4-2 as Lexington chalk).

Tech Edge: Ole Miss, based on team trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at MTSU (ESPN3, 5:00 p.m.)

Dog team has covered last four in series.
WKU has dropped first two vs. line TY and on 4-game spread winless streak (0-3-1) since late 2019.
Blue Raiders did get cover at UTSA after slow 2020 start. Stockstill is 8-3 vs. points last 11 as C-USA host.

Tech Edge: Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE at FLORIDA ATLANTIC (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m.)

FAU hopes to get going after pair of postpones.
This now will be Taggart FAU debut! Owls were 10-4 vs. line for Kiffin last year.
But Taggart just 8-13-1 vs. spread with SU past two seasons before getting the boot.
Charlotte just 2-5 vs. line away from home LY.

Tech Edge: FAU, based on team trends.

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at ULM (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

Warhawks just 2-12 last 14 vs. line at Malone Stadium.

Tech Edge: Georgia Southern, based on ULM home woes.

AUBURN at GEORGIA (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)

A bit early for this traditional early November tilt.
Malzahn off best spread year since 2013 title game season when 9-4 vs. line in 2019, now 1-0 in 2020.
But Kirby Smart has had his number lately, winning and covering last 3.
Still, Bulldogs only 2-5 as Athens chalk in 2019. Malzahn 3-1 as dog LY.

Tech Edge: Slight to Auburn, based on team trends.

LSU at VANDERBILT (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)

Note Derek Mason entered 2020 on 3-10 spread skid before solid cover at A&M.
Tigers won 66-38 at Nashville LY.
Orgeron 9-1 vs. spread last ten away from Baton Rouge, spanning to before 2019 magic.

Tech Edge: LSU, based on team trends.

ARKANSAS at MISSISSIPPI STATE (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)

Hogs actually 3-2 vs. line away from home LY but have been destroyed last two years by MSU in the Joe Moorhead days.
Bulldogs entered 2020 on 4-10 spread skid and Leach was just 3-8 his last 11 as chalk with WSU.
However, Miss State won in style in Leach debut last week at LSU.

Tech Edge: Slight to Arkansas, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at NORTH TEXAS (Stadium, 7:30 p.m.)

USM now 0-6 SU and vs. line last six since late 2019.
Golden Eagles had lost and failed to cover three straight vs. UNT prior to 45-27 win LY.
Mean Green on 5-18 spread skid since early 2018.

Tech Edge: Slight to UNT, based on current trends.

**Udog** · 10-02-2020, 09:36 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5

Friday’s game

Louisiana Tech @ BYU
— LA Tech snuck past Southern Miss 31-30 in its opener, then routed a I-AA team 66-38 last week- they gave up 406 passing yards last week.
— Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 2 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a senior QB who started 3 years at I-AA Abilene Christian.
— Since 2014, Bulldogs are 14-6-2 ATS as a road underdog.

— BYU beat Navy/Troy by a combined score of 103-10; they’ve gained 1,244 yards in two games.
— BYU has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Cougars have 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BYU’s junior QB has started 18 games.
— Since 2016, Cougars are 7-10 ATS as a home favorite.

— These teams haven’t met the last five years.

13 of Saturday’s best games

South Carolina @ Florida
— South Carolina lost its opener 31-27 at home to Tennessee LW; they were outgained 394-350, ran ball for only 89 yards.
— Gamecocks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Carolina has 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gamecocks have a senior QB who played under OC Bobo while he was the head coach at Colorado State- he was 20-32/261 vs Tennessee LW.
— Since 2017, Carolina is 7-2 ATS as a road underdog.

— Florida threw for 446 yards in its 51-35 win at Ole Miss LW; Ole Miss threw for 443 yards, so not lot of defense on either side there.
— Gators have 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Florida has 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gators’ senior QB has started 11 games.
— Under Mullen, Florida is 7-4 ATS as a home favorite.

— Florida won four of last five series games; Gamecocks lost three of last five games in the Swamp, with losses by 4-13-33 points.

North Carolina @ Boston College
— North Carolina beat Syracuse 31-6 in its opener, but that was three weeks ago. Tar Heels gained 463 yards in that game, threw for 303.
— UNC has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Tar Heels have 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNC has a soph QB who has started 14 games
— Since 2013, Carolina is 8-4 ATS as a road favorite.

— Boston College snuck by Texas State 24-21 LW, after beating Duke 26-6; they’ve run ball for total of only 171 yards in their two games.
— Eagles have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— BC has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Eagles’ soph QB is a Notre Dame transfer who is 43-61 for 510 yards in two games.
— Last 3+ years, Boston College is 7-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.

— North Carolina won last four series games, last three by 18+ points; underdogs are 3-2 ATS in last five series games. This is UNC’s first visit to Chestnut Hill since 2009.

Virginia Tech @ Duke
— Va Tech beat NC State 45-24 in its opener, two weeks ago.
— Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Hokies have 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a new QB; they threw only 11 passes in their opener.
— Since 2016, Bulldogs are 4-9 ATS as a road favorite.

— Duke is already 0-3, giving up 30.3 ppg; they’ve lost by 14-20-18 points.
— Blue Devils have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Duke has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Duke’s junior QB was a backup at Clemson for two years.
— Blue Devils are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.

— Home side lost six of last seven series games; Duke is 3-4 in last seven games with Va Tech.
— Hokies won their last seven visits to Durham, with three of last four wins by 4 or fewer points.

Missouri @ Tennessee
— Missouri lost its opener 38-19 at home to Alabama; they ran for only 69 yards.
— Tigers have 4 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Mizzou has 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers has a junior QB with nine career starts.
— Since 2015, Missouri is 4-9 ATS as a road underdog.

— Tennessee racked up 394 TY, was +2 in turnovers in its 31-17 win at South Carolina LW.
— Vols have 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Tennessee has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Vols’ senior QB has started 26 games.
— Since 2017, Tennessee is 4-9 ATS as a home favorite.

— Tennessee won 24-20 at Missouri LY, just their third win in last eight series games. Tigers won three of last four visits to Knoxville.

Baylor @ West Virginia
— Baylor hammered Kansas 47-14 in its opener, running for 203 yards.
— Bears have 7 starters back on offense, only 2 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 68 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a senior QB who has started 31 games.
— Since 2017, Baylor is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— West Virginia lost 27-13 at Oklahoma State LW, after whacking a I-AA team in its opener. Mountaineers were out rushed 203-68.
— WVU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Cougars have 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
— West Virginia’s junior QB has started 39 games.
— Mountaineers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite.

— West Virginia is 5-3 in last eight series games; they lost 17-14 in Waco LY.
— Baylor lost its last four visits to Morgantown, giving up 48.3 ppg.

NC State @ Pittsburgh
— NC State lost 45-24 at Va Tech last week, after nipping Wake Forest 45-42 the week before.
— State has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Wolfpack has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— State has a soph QB with seven career starts.
— Since 2015, Wolfpack is 3-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Pittsburgh beat Syracuse 21-10, Louisville 23-20, both at home; they outgained those two opponents, 718-394.
— Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Panthers have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Pitt’s senior QB has started 30 games.
— Since 2014, Panthers are 10-17-1 ATS as a home favorite.

— NC State won 35-17 at Pitt in their last meeting, three years ago.

Oklahoma @ Iowa State
— Oklahoma gained 517 yards LW, but was -4 in turnovers, got upset 38-35 at home by Kansas State.
— Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sooners have a freshman QB with two starts; he threw 3 INT’s last week.
— Since 2017, Oklahoma is 4-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since 2014, Sooners are 4-6 ATS coming off a SU loss.

— Iowa State snuck past TCU 37-34 LW, after getting upset at home by Louisiana.
— Horned Frogs threw for 400 yards against Iowa State last week.
— ISU has 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Cyclones have 33 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Iowa State’s junior QB has started 23 games.
— Cyclones are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.

— Oklahoma won 15 of last 16 series games, but Cyclones covered last four.
— Sooners won their last seven visits to Ames (4-3 ATS).

Navy @ Air Force
— Navy rallied from down 24-0 at half to beat Tulane 27-24 in their last game two weeks ago; they lost their opener 55-3 at home to BYU.
— Middies have 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Navy has 29 returning starts on the offensive line.
— New quarterback for Navy this season; he is 8-15 passing in two games.
— Since 2015, Middies are 9-5 ATS as a road favorite.

— This is Air Force’s season opener.
— Falcons have 4 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Air Force has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Falcons’ senior QB has started 16 games.
— Since 2014, Air Force is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog.

— Home side won last seven Navy-Air Force games; Middies lost their last three visits to Air Force, by 28-14-9 points.
— Underdogs covered four of last five series games played here.

Texas Tech @ Kansas State
— Texas Tech lost 63-56 in OT at home to Texas LW, after they nipped a I-AA team 35-33 in their opener.
— Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Red Raiders have 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
— Since 2015, Red Raiders are 11-7 ATS as a road underdog.

— K-State upset Oklahoma 38-35 at home LW, after losing at home to Arkansas State the week before- they’re +6 in turnovers this season.
— Wildcats have givne up 717 passing yards in two games.
— Wildcats have 3 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— K-State has 2 returning starts on the offensive line.
— K-State’s senior QB has started 29 games.
— Since 2015, Wildcats are 6-13 ATS as a home favorite.

— K-State won eight of last nine series games; underdogs covered last four series games.
— Tech lost its last four visits to Manhattan, three of them by 15+ points.

Oklahoma State @ Kansas
— Oklahoma State beat Tulsa 16-7, West Virginia 27-13 in their first two games, both at home.
— OSU has 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— Cowboys have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— State has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
— Since 2017, OSU is 8-6 ATS as a road favorite.

— Kansas lost its first two games, 38-23 at home to Coastal Carolina, 47-14 at Baylor.
— Jayhawks have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Kansas has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Jayhawks are using multiple quarterbacks.
— Since 2017, Kansas is 5-9 ATS as a home underdog.

— Oklahoma State won last ten series games; they’re 15-3-2 ATS in last 20.
— Cowboys are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight visits to Lawrence.

Ole Miss @ Kentucky
— Ole Miss gained 613 TY, still lost their opener 51-35 at home to Florida.
— Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Ole Miss has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Rebels have a soph QB with ten career starts.
— Ole Miss is 14-8 ATS in its last 22 games as a road underdog.

— Kentucky lost 29-13 at home to Auburn; they outgained the Tigers by 60 yards, but were minus-3 in turnovers.
— Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Kentucky has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wildcats’ senior QB has started 16 games.
— Since 2016, Kentucky is 6-14 ATS as a home favorite.

— Ole Miss (+3.5) won 37-34 at Kentucky in last series game, in 2017.

Auburn @ Georgia
— Auburn won its opener 29-13 at Kentucky, despite being outgained by 60 yards.
— Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tech has a soph QB who started 9 games.
— Since 2012, Bulldogs are 14-8 ATS as a road underdog.

— Georgia won its opener 37-10 at Arkansas, using its #4 QB, a former walk-on.
— Unclear if 4th-stringer Bennett or USC transfer Daniels will get nod to start here.
— Georgia has 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Dawgs have 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Either QB would be making his first start for Georgia; Daniels threw 34 passes for USC last year.
— Since 2015, Cougars are 9-19 ATS as a home favorite.

— Georgia won eight of last ten series games.
— Auburn lost its last six visits between the hedges (0-6 ATS).

LSU @ Vanderbilt
— LSU lost its opener 44-34 at home to Miss State, giving up 623 PY.
— LSU has only 3 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Tigers have 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
— LSU has a junior QB who has started one game.
— Since 2016, Tigers are 7-5 ATS as a road favorite.

— Vanderbilt lost its opener 17-12 at Texas A&M; they gained only 255 yards.
— Vandy has 5 starters back on offense, 11 starters back on defense.
— Commodores have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Vandy’s true frosh QB was 20-29/159 with two INT’s last week.
— Since 2017, Commodores are 2-8 ATS as a home underdog.

— LSU won its last six games with Vanderilbt- they hammered Vandy 66-38 LY.
— Tigers won last three visits to Nashville, by an average score of 23-5.

**Udog** · 10-05-2020, 08:59 AM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 5
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games.

Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the first weekend of October in college football.

Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Florida (-15½) 38, South Carolina 24

This game was tie 14-14 well into the second quarter but the Gators would score the next 24 points to lead 38-14 with just under five minutes to go in the third quarter. South Carolina would earn a long field goal at the end of the third and then got an early fourth quarter interception.

A pass interference call put the Gamecocks in range to score again and while they had to convert two 4th downs before cashing in, they eventually delivered to cut the margin to 10 points with just over 10 minutes remaining. Florida wouldn’t threaten while South Carolina would convert two more 4th downs to compile 74 yards on its final drive but without adding points.

West Virginia (+2) 27, Baylor 21

Baylor scored with just over a minute remaining to force overtime with a 14-14 tie in a rare defensive battle in the Big XII. Turnovers were a factor in keeping points off the board more than great defense however. In overtime West Virginia went first and opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 rather than kicking field goal, with that decision paying off with a touchdown on the next play.

Baylor scored on its first play to match the Mountaineers at 21-21. The 2nd OT drive for Baylor lasted just one play as well with Charlie Brewer intercepted. West Virginia needed only four plays to find the end zone to complete the minor upset, posting a solid production edge but surviving four turnovers.

TCU (+10½) 33, Texas 31 (62)

The Horned Frogs delivered another upset in this series but there was late drama for many on the total with a price that swung anywhere from 59½ to 63½ depending when and where it was played. In a back-and-forth 4th quarter the Frogs went up by four with four minutes to go putting the scoring at 62.

Texas appeared ready to take the lead but would eventually fumble on 1st-and-goal from the TCU 1-yard-line to wind up still short on the scoreboard.

TCU was in a dangerous position but got a huge run on 3rd-and-7 for some breathing room. TCU would face a 4th down still pinned deep and opted to take a safety after running the clock out, putting the scoring from 62 to 64.

SMU (-2) 30, Memphis 27

SMU went from the underdog to the favorite in this game and that shift appeared accurate with a 24-3 edge early in the second quarter. Memphis would rally with back-to-back long touchdown drives and a 56-yard field goal before halftime to trail by only four. SMU would have to settle for a short field goal on its first possession in the second half and Memphis was able to tie the game with an 87-yard touchdown drive completed late in the third.

SMU appeared poised to go back in front, but the Mustangs fumbled in the red zone. The offenses disappeared from there with each team having consecutive punts.

Memphis eventually crossed midfield with under three minutes to go but Brady White fumbled on a sack and SMU was able to convert a 3rd-and-11 to set-up a field goal with nine seconds left.

Kansas State (+1) 31, Texas Tech 21

Kansas State led 17-7 late in the third quarter, flipped from a slight favorite to a closing line underdog coming off last week’s big win over Oklahoma. Texas Tech put together back-to-back long touchdown drives to lead 21-17 with 11 minutes to go but Kansas State needed only three plays to go back in front with a 24-21 edge at the 10-minute mark.

The Red Raiders were a threat to answer but Henry Colombi was intercepted in the end zone. Both teams had to punt on subsequent possessions and facing 3rd down with just over two minutes remaining Kansas State connected for a 70-yard touchdown to put the game away.

Texas Tech had a significant yardage edge in a game where both teams had to replace their injured starting quarterbacks.

Florida Atlantic (-5) 21, Charlotte 17

The Owls trailed 10-0 at halftime but scored three touchdowns in a span of just over six minutes in the third quarter to lead 21-0. Charlotte would convert a 4th down and add a touchdown early in the fourth quarter to trail by only six and then stopped FAU going for it on 4th-and-1 in the red zone.

Looking for a late score to win the 49ers reached the FAU 16-yard-line in the final minute but took back-to-back sacks and came a few yards short on 4th-and-15 to end the game.

Iowa State (+7½) 37, Oklahoma 30

Looking to bounce back from last week’s upset the Sooners had a 17-6 lead not even 20 minutes into this game. Iowa State would complete a long drive before halftime to stay in it and then was in front by the end of the third quarter 23-20.

The Sooners appeared to get it together scoring the first 10 points of the final frame to lead by seven on a spread that bounced between 7 and 7½. A huge kickoff return for the Cyclones changed that equation and after a pass interference call Iowa State was in the end zone to tie the game.

Oklahoma and new quarterback Spencer Rattler looked rattled with an ugly drive that included a penalty and a sack and the Sooners had to punt with six minutes to go and the score tied.

The Cyclones took full advantage of their rising momentum with a four-play touchdown drive to lead by seven. Oklahoma would have a new set of downs with about a minute to go from the Iowa State 34 but for the second straight week, Rattler suffered a late interception as the Sooners are now 0-2 in the Big XII.

Western Kentucky (-7) 20, Middle Tennessee State 17

This game was tied at 10-10 at halftime and the Hilttoppers took a 13-10 lead late in the third quarter with a 53-yard field goal. A productive MTSU drive across midfield ended in a punt for a touchback and after matching 3-and-outs Tyrrell Pigrome led a great drive for Western Kentucky taking more than six minutes off the clock in a 13-play effort.

A 4th down conversion was included as Pigrome eventually connected for a touchdown pass to put the Hilltoppers up 10 and past the favorite spread with six minutes remaining.

Asher O’Hara and the Blue Raiders have disappointed this season but after getting a 4th down conversion via penalty and another on an O’Hara rush, the Bluer Raiders punched in the spread-stealing score with just over two minutes to go.

LSU (-21) 41, Vanderbilt 7

LSU rebounded with a 21-7 edge at halftime but the underdog stayed in the game as the Tigers settled for two 3rd quarter field goals, leading by 20.

Another field goal seemed possible before Myles Brennan hit a 29-yard touchdown strike to put the Tigers past the number. Vanderbilt was in position to answer reaching the LSU 6-yard-line with a new set of downs but on 2nd down Ken Seals was intercepted in a crushing blow for those taking the points. With relative ease and still throwing often with a big lead, LSU went down the field to make it a 41-7 game, where the final score held, keeping a total of right around 50 just ‘under’ as well.
Georgia Southern (-18½) 35, UL-Monroe 30

Neither the spread or the total was impacted with a wild finish in this Sun Belt clash but it was a noteworthy final few seconds, and surely a few people had attractive moneyline tickets on the big underdog. Georgia Southern led 35-17 late in the third but back-to-back scores put the Warhawks within five, missing a PAT on the first of those two touchdowns.

Down five, UL-M would have the ball back with about two minutes remaining and Colby Suits would lead the team into scoring range. He converted a 4th-and-6 with his legs and then on the game’s final play he scampered to the goal line stopped just short.

Time ticked away and the offense wasn’t able to clock it in time to continue while no review was called for.

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 5 (Fri., Oct. 2 - Sat., Oct. 3)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 5 (Fri., Oct. 2 - Sat., Oct. 3)

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