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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 5 (Fri., Oct. 2 - Sat., Oct. 3)

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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 5 (Fri., Oct. 2 - Sat., Oct. 3)

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    Week 5


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Friday, October 2 - Saturday, October 3

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Last edited by Udog; 09-29-2020, 11:09 AM.

  • #2
    College football odds Week 5: Opening lines & odds movement
    Patrick Everson

    Quarterback Bo Nix and Auburn travel to Georgia for a big Southeastern Conference game Saturday. The host Bulldogs opened -6.5 at FanDuel and briefly went to -7.5 before returning to -6.5.

    College football odds for Week 5 are on the betting board and already getting action, once again dominated by Big 12 and SEC games. The biggest battle comes from the latter of those two conferences, with No. 7 Auburn at No. 4 Georgia under the Saturday night lights.

    FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 5 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

    College football Week 5 odds

    These are the current College football Week 5 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of September 28.



    South Carolina at (3) Florida odds

    Opening line

    Florida -17.5, Over/Under 55.5

    Why the line moved
    Both the line and the total were on the move quickly at FanDuel. The Gators stretched to -19.5, although early point-spread betting was two-way, with 54 percent of tickets and 56 percent of dollars on Florida. The total is up 3 points to 58.5, and although there's surely not much money in the pot yet, the Over is taking 96 percent of tickets and 89 percent of money.


    (11) North Carolina at Boston College odds

    Opening line

    North Carolina -11.5, Over/Under 54.5

    Why the line moved
    The Tar Heels initially dropped to -10.5 at FanDuel on Sunday, but by Monday had sprinted to -13.5, with 83 percent of bets and 88 percent of cash on North Carolina. The first move on the total was down to 53.5, and it went back to 54.5 Monday afternoon on two-way action: 54 percent of bets on the Over, 54 percent of money on the Under.


    Missouri at (20) Tennessee odds

    Opening line

    Tennessee -10.5, Over/Under 48.5

    Why the line moved
    Tennessee was up to -11.5 Monday, but there's more early support for double-digit-'dog Missouri. The Vols were landing 62 percent of tickets, but the Tigers were attracting 66 percent of money.


    Virginia at (1) Clemson odds

    Opening line

    Clemson -27.5, Over/Under 55.5

    Why the line moved
    The Tigers toggled between -27.5 and -28.5 a few times at FanDuel on Sunday and Monday, ultimately settling at the opener Monday afternoon. It's two-way play early, with Clemson getting 51 percent of bets and 58 percent of money. And it appears there's some sharp play on the Under, with the total going from 55.5 to 54.5, despite nine of every 10 tickets and dollars on the Over.


    (16) Oklahoma at Iowa State Odds

    Opening line

    Oklahoma State -8, Over/Under 62.5

    Why the line moved
    The Sooners are still trying to get the license plate of the truck that ran them over last weekend, when they lost outright to Kansas State 38-35 as hefty 28-point home favorites. Perhaps not surprisingly, this line was already down to Oklahoma -6.5 Monday night, even though 95 percent of tickets and 77 percent of money were on the Sooners.


    TCU at (9) Texas Odds

    Opening line

    Texas -13.5, Over/Under 60.5

    Why the line moved
    Texas dipped a full point to -12.5 late Monday night at FanDuel, but the betting splits don't really tell that story, as 73 percent of tickets and 97 percent of early cash were on the Longhorns. The first move on the total was from 60.5 to 61.5, also late Monday night.


    (13) Texas A&M at (2) Alabama odds

    Opening line

    Alabama -16.5, Over/Under 53.5

    Why the line moved
    This line bounced around quite a bit Sunday and Monday at FanDuel, first to 'Bama -17.5, then down to -15.5, then back to the opener Monday evening. But it's all Crimson Tide on early action, with 84 percent of bets and 87 percent of money falling on the favorite. The Over was taking 71 percent of bets and 63 percent of money early, but the total dropped a point to 52.5.


    Ole Miss at Kentucky odds

    Opening line

    Kentucky -6.5, Over/Under 58.5

    Why the line moved
    The line at FanDuel didn't move through Monday night, although Mississippi is attracting 72 percent of tickets and 66 percent of money in early spread betting. Conversely, the total was very much on the move, up 3 points to 61.5, with 90 percent of early bets and 99 percent of early money on the Over.


    (7) Auburn at (4) Georgia odds

    Opening line

    Georgia -6.5, Over/Under 43.5

    Why the line moved
    The Bulldogs went to -7.5 for about an hour Monday at FanDuel, before reverting to the opening number. That dial-back was likely a product of early action favoring the visiting Tigers, who were taking 64 percent of bets and 74 percent of dollars. The total was up a point to 44.5 by Monday afternoon, with the Over tallying 87 percent of tickets and 84 percent of money.


    (17) LSU at Vanderbilt odds

    Opening line

    LSU -18.5, Over/Under 50.5

    Why the line moved
    LSU went off as 14.5-point home chalk against Mississippi State and stunningly lost 44-34 in its season opener. But early bettors weren't shy about backing the Tigers, who moved to -20.5 at FanDuel on Monday and were drawing 86 percent of tickets and 90 percent of money on the spread. The total dropped 2 points Monday to 48.5.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-29-2020, 12:29 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      103LOUISIANA TECH -104 BYU
      BYU is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.

      105S FLORIDA -106 CINCINNATI
      S FLORIDA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 24 or more points at the half since 1992.

      107S CAROLINA -108 FLORIDA
      FLORIDA is 41-24 ATS (14.6 Units) in home games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

      109E CAROLINA -110 GEORGIA ST
      E CAROLINA is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) as a road dog of <=7 since 1992.

      113VIRGINIA TECH -114 DUKE
      VIRGINIA TECH is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

      115MISSOURI -116 TENNESSEE
      MISSOURI is 23-9 ATS (13.1 Units) in road games after a blowout loss (>17 pts) since 1992.

      117BAYLOR -118 W VIRGINIA
      BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) with <=6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

      119VIRGINIA -120 CLEMSON
      VIRGINIA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

      121NC STATE -122 PITTSBURGH
      NC STATE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) vs. good offenses (>31 PPG) in the last 3 seasons.

      123OKLAHOMA -124 IOWA ST
      OKLAHOMA is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in road games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

      127TULSA -128 UCF
      UCF is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.

      129ARKANSAS ST -130 COASTAL CAROLINA
      COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.

      131NAVY -132 AIR FORCE
      NAVY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

      133TROY -134 S ALABAMA
      TROY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

      135TEXAS TECH -136 KANSAS ST
      TEXAS TECH is 33-15 ATS (16.5 Units) off a home loss since 1992.

      137OKLAHOMA ST -138 KANSAS
      KANSAS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after allowing 42 points or more last game in the last 3 seasons.

      139UTSA -140 UAB
      UAB is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) vs bad defenses (>31 PPG) in the last 3 seasons.

      141TCU -142 TEXAS
      TEXAS are 30-15 ATS (13.5 Units) after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.

      143TEXAS A&M -144 ALABAMA
      TEXAS A&M is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) as a road underdog since 1992.

      145OLE MISS -146 KENTUCKY
      OLE MISS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

      147W KENTUCKY -148 MIDDLE TENN ST
      MIDDLE TENN ST is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992.

      151GA SOUTHERN -152 LA MONROE
      LA MONROE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

      153AUBURN -154 GEORGIA
      GEORGIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

      155LSU -156 VANDERBILT
      LSU is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons.

      159SOUTHERN MISS -160 NORTH TEXAS
      NORTH TEXAS are 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-29-2020, 12:31 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAF
        Long Sheet


        Friday, October 2

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 0) at BYU (2 - 0) - 10/2/2020, 9:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Saturday, October 3

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        S FLORIDA (1 - 1) at CINCINNATI (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
        CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        S CAROLINA (0 - 1) at FLORIDA (1 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        E CAROLINA (0 - 1) at GEORGIA ST (0 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        E CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points since 1992.
        GEORGIA ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
        GEORGIA ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        N CAROLINA (1 - 0) at BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        VIRGINIA TECH (1 - 0) at DUKE (0 - 3) - 10/3/2020, 4:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VIRGINIA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
        DUKE is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MISSOURI (0 - 1) at TENNESSEE (1 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TENNESSEE is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
        TENNESSEE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
        TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BAYLOR (1 - 0) at W VIRGINIA (1 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BAYLOR is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
        BAYLOR is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
        W VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        VIRGINIA (1 - 0) at CLEMSON (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CLEMSON is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEMSON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEMSON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
        CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NC STATE (1 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NC STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
        NC STATE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        NC STATE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        NC STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        NC STATE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        NC STATE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
        NC STATE is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OKLAHOMA (1 - 1) at IOWA ST (1 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MEMPHIS (1 - 0) at SMU (3 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MEMPHIS is 2-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
        MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TULSA (0 - 1) at UCF (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TULSA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
        TULSA is 1-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARKANSAS ST (1 - 1) at COASTAL CAROLINA (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
        ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NAVY (1 - 1) at AIR FORCE (0 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 6:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NAVY is 184-135 ATS (+35.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
        NAVY is 184-135 ATS (+35.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        NAVY is 102-63 ATS (+32.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
        NAVY is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
        NAVY is 87-47 ATS (+35.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
        NAVY is 87-47 ATS (+35.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
        NAVY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        NAVY is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
        NAVY is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
        NAVY is 83-46 ATS (+32.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
        NAVY is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
        AIR FORCE is 1-1 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TROY (1 - 1) at S ALABAMA (1 - 2) - 10/3/2020, 8:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
        TROY is 2-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TEXAS TECH (1 - 1) at KANSAS ST (1 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        KANSAS ST is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
        KANSAS ST is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
        KANSAS ST is 134-95 ATS (+29.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        KANSAS ST is 167-125 ATS (+29.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        KANSAS ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        KANSAS ST is 131-93 ATS (+28.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
        KANSAS ST is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
        KANSAS ST is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
        KANSAS ST is 74-47 ATS (+22.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
        TEXAS TECH is 133-97 ATS (+26.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
        KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OKLAHOMA ST (2 - 0) at KANSAS (0 - 2) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OKLAHOMA ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
        OKLAHOMA ST is 96-70 ATS (+19.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
        KANSAS is 137-175 ATS (-55.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
        KANSAS is 137-175 ATS (-55.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        KANSAS is 88-123 ATS (-47.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
        KANSAS is 98-129 ATS (-43.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        KANSAS is 127-166 ATS (-55.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        KANSAS is 90-123 ATS (-45.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
        KANSAS is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UTSA (3 - 0) at UAB (2 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 12:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UTSA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
        UAB is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
        UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        UAB is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
        UAB is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
        UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        UAB is 2-0 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
        UAB is 2-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TCU (0 - 1) at TEXAS (2 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 12:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
        TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TEXAS A&M (1 - 0) at ALABAMA (1 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TEXAS A&M is 52-75 ATS (-30.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
        ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OLE MISS (0 - 1) at KENTUCKY (0 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 4:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        W KENTUCKY (0 - 2) at MIDDLE TENN ST (0 - 3) - 10/3/2020, 5:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
        MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHARLOTTE (0 - 1) at FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 4:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
        FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        GA SOUTHERN (1 - 1) at LA MONROE (0 - 3) - 10/3/2020, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        LA MONROE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        LA MONROE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        LA MONROE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        LA MONROE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        LA MONROE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        LA MONROE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        LA MONROE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LA MONROE is 1-1 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
        LA MONROE is 1-1 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        AUBURN (1 - 0) at GEORGIA (1 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GEORGIA is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
        GEORGIA is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
        GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LSU (0 - 1) at VANDERBILT (0 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        VANDERBILT is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
        VANDERBILT is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
        LSU is 1-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARKANSAS (0 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 0) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
        MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SOUTHERN MISS (0 - 3) at NORTH TEXAS (1 - 1) - 10/3/2020, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        NORTH TEXAS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        NORTH TEXAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        NORTH TEXAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
        NORTH TEXAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
        NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-29-2020, 12:32 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF

          Week 5


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Friday, October 2

          Campbell @ Wake Forest
          Campbell
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Campbell's last 6 games
          Campbell is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Wake Forest
          Wake Forest is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games at home

          Louisiana Tech @ Brigham Young
          Louisiana Tech
          Louisiana Tech is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
          Louisiana Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Brigham Young
          Brigham Young is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
          Brigham Young is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games


          Saturday, October 3

          South Carolina @ Florida
          South Carolina
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Carolina's last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games
          Florida
          Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

          Missouri @ Tennessee
          Missouri
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Missouri's last 7 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 6 games on the road
          Tennessee
          Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

          Baylor @ West Virginia
          Baylor
          Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Baylor is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
          West Virginia
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of West Virginia's last 7 games
          West Virginia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baylor

          Texas Christian @ Texas
          Texas Christian
          Texas Christian is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas
          Texas Christian is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
          Texas
          Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          East Carolina @ Georgia State
          East Carolina
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 7 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games on the road
          Georgia State
          Georgia State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
          Georgia State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

          Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina
          Arkansas State
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 6 games on the road
          Arkansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Coastal Carolina
          Coastal Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Coastal Carolina's last 12 games

          North Carolina State @ Pittsburgh
          North Carolina State
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 6 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 7 games on the road
          Pittsburgh
          Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
          Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Texas-San Antonio @ Alabama-Birmingham
          Texas-San Antonio
          Texas-San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
          Alabama-Birmingham
          Alabama-Birmingham is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 6 games at home

          North Alabama @ Liberty
          North Alabama
          No trends to report
          Liberty
          Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Liberty is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          Abilene Christian @ Army
          Abilene Christian
          Abilene Christian is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
          Abilene Christian is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
          Army
          Army is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 6 games

          Texas A&M @ Alabama
          Texas A&M
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 5 games on the road
          Alabama
          Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M
          Alabama is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

          Oklahoma State @ Kansas
          Oklahoma State
          Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
          Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
          Kansas
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma State
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games at home

          Texas Tech @ Kansas State
          Texas Tech
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Texas Tech's last 12 games when playing Kansas State
          Kansas State
          Kansas State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Texas Tech
          Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas Tech

          North Carolina @ Boston College
          North Carolina
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of North Carolina's last 11 games on the road
          North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Boston College
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston College's last 8 games at home

          Memphis @ Southern Methodist
          Memphis
          Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist
          Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
          Southern Methodist
          Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Southern Methodist is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games

          South Florida @ Cincinnati
          South Florida
          South Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Florida's last 6 games
          Cincinnati
          Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games at home

          Virginia Tech @ Duke
          Virginia Tech
          Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Duke
          Virginia Tech is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Duke
          Duke
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 7 games when playing Virginia Tech

          Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic
          Charlotte
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
          Florida Atlantic
          Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Florida Atlantic is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

          Mississippi @ Kentucky
          Mississippi
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 7 games on the road
          Mississippi is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kentucky
          Kentucky
          Kentucky is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
          Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

          Jacksonville State @ Florida State
          Jacksonville State
          Jacksonville State is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games on the road
          Jacksonville State is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games
          Florida State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games at home
          Florida State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

          Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee
          Western Kentucky
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Western Kentucky's last 8 games when playing Middle Tennessee
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games when playing on the road against Middle Tennessee
          Middle Tennessee
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Middle Tennessee's last 8 games when playing Western Kentucky
          Middle Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Western Kentucky

          Georgia Southern @ Louisiana-Monroe
          Georgia Southern
          Georgia Southern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games
          Louisiana-Monroe
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games
          Louisiana-Monroe is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

          Arkansas @ Mississippi State
          Arkansas
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games on the road
          Mississippi State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games at home
          Mississippi State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arkansas

          Auburn @ Georgia
          Auburn
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Auburn's last 7 games when playing Georgia
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia
          Georgia
          Georgia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn
          Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn

          Oklahoma @ Iowa State
          Oklahoma
          Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
          Oklahoma is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Iowa State
          Iowa State
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Iowa State's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games at home

          Southern Miss @ North Texas
          Southern Miss
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Miss's last 9 games
          North Texas
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 6 games at home
          North Texas is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home

          Tulsa @ Central Florida
          Tulsa
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Central Florida
          Tulsa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Central Florida
          Central Florida
          Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Florida's last 5 games when playing at home against Tulsa

          Louisiana State @ Vanderbilt
          Louisiana State
          Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
          Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          Vanderbilt
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Louisiana State
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vanderbilt's last 10 games

          Virginia @ Clemson
          Virginia
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games
          Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Clemson
          Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Clemson is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games

          Troy @ South Alabama
          Troy
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 6 games when playing South Alabama
          South Alabama
          South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
          South Alabama is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-29-2020, 12:33 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF
            Dunkel

            Week 5


            Friday, October 2

            Campbell @ Wake Forest

            Game 161-162
            October 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Campbell
            49.222
            Wake Forest
            86.162
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Wake Forest
            by 37
            66
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Wake Forest
            by 34 1/2
            No Total
            Dunkel Pick:
            Wake Forest
            (-34 1/2); N/A

            Louisiana Tech @ Brigham Young


            Game 103-104
            October 2, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Louisiana Tech
            79.422
            Brigham Young
            106.900
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Brigham Young
            by 27 1/2
            56
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Brigham Young
            by 23 1/2
            58 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Brigham Young
            (-23 1/2); Under


            Saturday, October 3

            Missouri @ Tennessee


            Game 115-116
            October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Missouri
            85.634
            Tennessee
            99.088
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Tennessee
            by 13 1/2
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Tennessee
            by 11 1/2
            48 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Tennessee
            (-11 1/2); Over

            Baylor @ West Virginia


            Game 117-118
            October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Baylor
            104.776
            West Virginia
            92.248
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Baylor
            by 12 1/2
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Baylor
            by 3
            53 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Baylor
            (-3); Under

            TCU @ Texas


            Game 141-142
            October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            TCU
            91.303
            Texas
            102.496
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Texas
            by 11
            57
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Texas
            by 13
            63
            Dunkel Pick:
            TCU
            (+13); Under

            South Carolina @ Florida


            Game 107-108
            October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            South Carolina
            87.768
            Florida
            109.479
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Florida
            by 21 1/2
            65
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Florida
            by 17 1/2
            57
            Dunkel Pick:
            Florida
            (-17 1/2); Over

            East Carolina @ Georgia State


            Game 109-110
            October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            East Carolina
            72.765
            Georgia State
            71.451
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            East Carolina
            by 1 1/2
            60
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Georgia State
            by 1
            70
            Dunkel Pick:
            East Carolina
            (+1); Under

            NC State @ Pittsburgh


            Game 121-122
            October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            NC State
            76.474
            Pittsburgh
            88.686
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Pittsburgh
            by 12
            44
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Pittsburgh
            by 14
            47
            Dunkel Pick:
            NC State
            (+14); Under

            Arkansas St @ Coastal Carolina


            Game 129-130
            October 3, 2020 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Arkansas St
            85.463
            Coastal Carolina
            77.654
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Arkansas St
            by 8
            62
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Arkansas St
            by 3
            64 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Arkansas St
            (-3); Under

            TX-San Antonio @ UAB


            Game 139-140
            October 3, 2020 @ 12:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            TX-San Antonio
            60.196
            UAB
            89.078
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            UAB
            by 29
            64
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            UAB
            by 20 1/2
            54 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            UAB
            (-20 1/2); Over

            North Alabama @ Liberty


            Game 163-164
            October 3, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            North Alabama
            52.550
            Liberty
            74.671
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Liberty
            by 22
            65
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Liberty
            by 30 1/2
            No Total
            Dunkel Pick:
            North Alabama
            (+30 1/2); N/A

            Abilene Christian @ Army


            Game 165-166
            October 3, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Abilene Christian
            53.006
            Army
            87.778
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Army
            by 35
            44
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Army
            by 31
            No Total
            Dunkel Pick:
            Army
            (-31); N/A

            Houston Baptist @ Eastern Kentucky


            Game 915-916
            October 3, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Houston Baptist
            57.410
            Eastern Kentucky
            58.293
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Eastern Kentucky
            by 1
            55
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Eastern Kentucky
            by 3
            No Total
            Dunkel Pick:
            Houston Baptist
            (+3); N/A

            North Carolina @ Boston College


            Game 111-112
            October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            North Carolina
            97.147
            Boston College
            86.365
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            North Carolina
            by 11
            46
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            North Carolina
            by 14
            55
            Dunkel Pick:
            Boston College
            (+14); Under

            Texas Tech @ Kansas State


            Game 135-136
            October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Texas Tech
            90.448
            Kansas State
            89.222
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Texas Tech
            by 1
            59
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Kansas State
            by 2
            63
            Dunkel Pick:
            Texas Tech
            (+2); Under

            Memphis @ SMU


            Game 125-126
            October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Memphis
            96.793
            SMU
            87.130
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Memphis
            by 9 1/2
            68
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Memphis
            by 2 1/2
            74 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Memphis
            (-2 1/2); Under

            Texas A&M @ Alabama


            Game 143-144
            October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Texas A&M
            93.438
            Alabama
            114.012
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Alabama
            by 20 1/2
            42
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Alabama
            by 17
            51 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Alabama
            (-17); Under

            South Florida @ Cincinnati


            Game 105-106
            October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            South Florida
            75.963
            Cincinnati
            91.901`
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Cincinnati
            by 16
            45
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Cincinnati
            by 23
            47 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            South Florida
            (+23); Under

            Oklahoma State @ Kansas


            Game 137-138
            October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Oklahoma State
            98.818
            Kansas
            71.152
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oklahoma State
            by 27 1/2
            62
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oklahoma State
            by 21
            53 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oklahoma State
            (-21); Over

            Central Arkansas @ North Dakota St


            Game 917-918
            October 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Central Arkansas
            65.162
            North Dakota St
            95.837
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            North Dakota St
            by 30 1/2
            55
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            North Dakota St
            by 23
            No Total
            Dunkel Pick:
            North Dakota St
            (-23); N/A

            Mississippi @ Kentucky


            Game 145-146
            October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Mississippi
            87.172
            Kentucky
            102.399
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Kentucky
            by 15
            65
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Kentucky
            by 6 1/2
            61 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Kentucky
            (-6 1/2); Over

            Virginia Tech @ Duke


            Game 113-114
            October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Virginia Tech
            90.218
            Duke
            83.794
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Virginia Tech
            by 6 1/2
            61
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Virginia Tech
            by 10 1/2
            53 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Duke
            (+10 1/2); Over

            Jacksonville St @ Florida State


            Game 167-168
            October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Jacksonville St
            55.755
            Florida State
            75.176
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Florida State
            by 19 1/2
            49
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Florida State
            by 26 1/2
            No Total
            Dunkel Pick:
            Jacksonville St
            (+26 1/2); N/A

            Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic


            Game 149-150
            October 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Charlotte
            75.241
            Florida Atlantic
            94.807
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Florida Atlantic
            by 19 1/2
            65
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Florida Atlantic
            by 5 1/2
            62 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Florida Atlantic
            (-5 1/2); Over

            Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee St


            Game 147-148
            October 3, 2020 @ 5:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Western Kentucky
            71.682
            Middle Tennessee
            67.195
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Western Kentucky
            by 4 1/2
            50
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Western Kentucky
            by 7
            53
            Dunkel Pick:
            Middle Tennessee
            (+7); Under

            Navy @ Air Force


            Game 131-132
            October 3, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Navy
            90.923
            Air Force
            81.120
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Navy
            by 10
            54
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Navy
            by 6 1/2
            47 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Navy
            (-6 1/2); Over

            Georgia Southern @ LA-Monroe


            Game 151-152
            October 3, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Georgia Southern
            71.363
            LA-Monroe
            57.270
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Georgia Southern
            by 14
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Georgia Southern
            by 20
            49
            Dunkel Pick:
            LA-Monroe
            (+20); Over

            Arkansas @ Mississippi St


            Game 157-158
            October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Arkansas
            81.580
            Mississippi St
            97.357
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Mississippi St
            by 16
            73
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Mississippi St
            by 18
            69
            Dunkel Pick:
            Arkansas
            (+18); Over

            LSU @ Vanderbilt


            Game 155-156
            October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LSU
            111.837
            Vanderbilt
            77.702
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            LSU
            by 24
            38
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            LSU
            by 20 1/2
            48 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            LSU
            (-20 1/2); Under

            Southern Miss @ North Texas


            Game 159-160
            October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Southern Miss
            66.117
            North Texas
            65.504
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Southern Miss
            by 1
            65
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            North Texas
            by 1 1/2
            72
            Dunkel Pick:
            Southern Miss
            (+1 1/2); Under

            Tulsa @ Central Florida


            Game 127-128
            October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Tulsa
            78.448
            Central Florida
            103.599
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Tulsa
            by 25
            77
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Central Florida
            by 21 1/2
            72
            Dunkel Pick:
            Central Florida
            (-21 1/2); Over

            Oklahoma @ Iowa State


            Game 123-124
            October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Oklahoma
            93.304
            Iowa State
            95.314
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Iowa State
            by 2
            66
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oklahoma
            by 7
            61 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Iowa State
            (+7); Over

            Auburn @ Georgia


            Game 153-154
            October 3, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Auburn
            107.925
            Georgia
            108.358
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Georgia
            by 1
            42
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Georgia
            by 7
            45
            Dunkel Pick:
            Auburn
            (+7); Under

            Virginia @ Clemson


            Game 119-120
            October 3, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Virginia
            90.202
            Clemson
            122.539
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Clemson
            by 32 1/2
            65
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Clemson
            by 28
            55
            Dunkel Pick:
            Clemson
            (-28); Over

            Troy @ South Alabama


            Game 133-134
            October 3, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Troy
            77.085
            South Alabama
            61.968
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Troy
            by 15
            53
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Troy
            by 5 1/2
            63 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Troy
            (-5 1/2); Under
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-01-2020, 02:48 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              Tech Trends - Week 5
              Bruce Marshall

              Week 5 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday, Oct. 1 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

              We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

              Friday, Oct. 2

              LA TECH at BYU (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m.)


              Skip Holtz wins again as dog in opener, now 20-8-1 in role with La Tech since arriving in 2014.
              Skip 17-6-1 as dog away from Ruston that span.
              Cougars just 2-4 as Provo chalk in 2019.

              Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team trends.


              Saturday, Oct. 3

              SOUTH FLORIDA at CINCINNATI (ESPN+, 3:30 p.m.)


              USF covers last five in series, though no SU wins vs. Cincy since 2017.
              Bulls only 1-4 last five as dog away Raymond James Stadium (0-1 for Jeff Scott).
              Bearcats 8-5 as Nippert chalk since 2018.

              Tech Edge: Slight to USF, based on series trends.

              SOUTH CAROLINA at FLORIDA (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)

              SC 1-5-1 vs. line since mid 2019, also failed to cover last 3 as dog in 2019.
              Muschamp covered vs. Gators in 2017-18 but lost 38-27 LY.
              Dan Mullen has covered seven in a row at the Swamp.

              Tech Edge: Florida, based on team trends.

              EAST CAROLINA at GEORGIA STATE (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)

              GSU has now covered 5 of last 6 at home after ULL game, after 3-8-1 spread mark previous 12 as host.
              Panthers 3-2 as chalk in 2019.
              ECU was 7-20-1 as dog 2016-18 but improved slightly to 5-4 in role for Mike Houston LY.

              Tech Edge: Slight to GSU, based on team trends.

              NORTH CAROLINA at BOSTON COLLEGE (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)

              Hafley now 1-0 as dog for BC, following recent Addazio success in role (14-3-1 in role during regular season past three years).
              Mack Brown however has won and covered last four since late 2019, and Heels actually 18-10-1 vs. line going back to mid 2018 during late Fedora days.
              Teams have not met since 2013.

              Tech Edge: BC, based on team trends.

              VIRGINIA TECH at DUKE (ACC, 4:00 p.m.)

              Cutcliffe 0-3 SU this season but 1-0 as dog in 2020, and remember was 25-12-1 in dog role from 2013-18 before slipping a bit a year ago (2-4-1).
              Note underdog team has covered (sometimes emphatically) 6 of last 7 meetings.

              Tech Edge: Duke, based on team and series trends.

              MISSOURI at TENNESSEE (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)

              Note Mizzou won games vs. UT in 2017 & ‘18 by identical 50-17 scores!
              Though Tigers 0-7 vs. line down stretch in 2019 before backdoor cover vs. Bama in opener.
              From mid 2019, Vols 6-2 last 8 vs. line and 6-0 SU last six. Note Pruitt has only covered 2 of last 8 as chalk.

              Tech Edge: Tennessee, based on recent trends.

              BAYLOR at WEST VIRGINIA (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)

              Baylor has covered last seven Big 12 games away from Waco (Rhule numbers).
              WVU has covered last two in series, though Mounties were only 1-4-1 vs. spread s host in 2019.

              Tech Edge: Baylor, based on team trends.

              VIRGINIA at CLEMSON (ACC, 8:00 p.m.)

              Rematch of 2019 ACC title game won and covered by Clemson 62-17.
              Bronco Mendenhall still 8-3 as dog the past two seasons.
              But Dabo has now covered last seven as ACC host.

              Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on Dabo trends.

              NC STATE at PITTSBURGH (ACC, 12:00 p.m.)

              After loss at Virginia Tech, Wolfpack has now sagged to 2-11 vs. line its last 13 games on the board since early 2019.
              Includes six straight spread Ls away from Raleigh.

              Tech Edge: Pitt, based on recent NCS woes.

              OKLAHOMA at IOWA STATE (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)

              Note Lincoln Riley has not covered in three tries vs. ISU since taking over Sooners in 2017.
              Matt Campbell has covered last 4 vs. OU including rousing 38-31 upset in 2017.
              Cyclones were on 0-5 spread skid into TCU game, though Campbell 18-9-1 as dog since arriving at ISU.

              Tech Edge: ISU, based on series and team trends.

              MEMPHIS at SMU (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)

              Memphis has won last 6 SU in series and had covered five in a row (margin 35 ppg!) before narrow non-cover in 2019.
              SMU covered all three chances as dog for Sonny Dykes LY.

              Tech Edge: Slight to Memphis, based on series trends.

              TULSA at UCF (ESPN2, 7:30 p.m.)

              Tulsa now 7-3 last ten as dog after cover at Ok State.
              Included was 34-31 upset win over UCF in 2019.
              Golden Hurricane also 7-1 last eight vs. line away.
              Golden Knights 9-5 vs. spread at Orlando since 2018 (3-3 LY), haven’t had many revenge chances past couple of years.

              Tech Edge: Tulsa, based on recent trends.

              ARKANSAS STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)

              Red Wolves only 4-5 vs. number last nine as Sun Belt road chalk.
              Chants 6-4 as dog for Chadwell since 2019, including cover in near-upset of Ark State last year.

              Tech Edge: Slight to Coastal, based on team trends.

              NAVY at AIR FORCE (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)

              Navy recovered at Tulane, Niumatalolo dog mark now 22-12-1 since 2013.
              Though Mids have failed to win or cover last three trips to Force as host team is 7-0 SU, 6-1 vs. line since 2013 in this Commander-in-Chief’s rivalry.

              Tech Edge: Air Force, based on series trends.

              TROY at SOUTH ALABAMA (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)

              Troy has won and covered last two meetings though just 5-9 vs. spread for Chip Lindsey since 2019.
              USA spread mark now 8-3 last 11 after UAB loss.

              Tech Edge: Slight to USA, based on recent trends.

              TEXAS TECH at KANSAS STATE (FS1, 3:30 p.m.)

              Tech has lost last 4 SU in series and failed to cover last three vs. K-State.
              Red Raiders 2-7 vs. number last nine away from Lubbock.
              Cats failed in 2020 home opener vs. Ark State but were 5-2 vs. spread in Manhattan for Klieman in 2019.

              Tech Edge: K-State, based on series and team trends.

              OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)

              Note Gundy has covered 7 of last 8 away from Stillwater.
              OSU also 3-0-2 vs. spread last five in this series.
              Les Miles only 2-7 vs. spread as host for KU.

              Tech Edge: Ok State, based on series and team trends.

              UTSA at UAB (Stadium, 12:30 p.m.)

              Bill Clark’s UAB has won and covered all three vs. UTSA since returning to gridiron in 2017.
              Blazers 9-2-1 vs. line since 2017 as C-USA host, 18-7-1 in C-USA play that span.
              Though note UTSA has covered five in a row away (1-0 for Traylor, also 3-0 SU)!

              Tech Edge: UAB, based on team and series trends.

              TCU at TEXAS (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)

              Revenge for Horns after 37-27 Fort Worth loss LY.
              Frogs have won and covered five of last six in series.
              Tom Herman 3-3 as Austin chalk since LY but just 6-10 in that role for Horns.
              Patterson, however, just 3-7 last 10 vs. points as visitor.

              Tech Edge: Slight to TCU, based on extended trends.

              TEXAS A&M at ALABAMA (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)

              Jimbo 5-3 as dog with Ags, has split vs. line against Saban past two years.
              A&M 6-3 vs. spread as visitor for Jimbo.
              Tide just 1-3 as SEC home chalk last season.

              Tech Edge: Slight to A&M, based on team trends.

              OLE MISS at KENTUCKY (SEC, 4:00 p.m.)

              Rebs were 5-1-1 as dog in 2019 for Matt Luke, though Kiffin just 5-4-1 as dog for FAU the past three years and dropped Reb opener vs. Gators.
              After 0-9 home chalk mark 2017-18, Cats were 6-2 vs. spread as host in 2019 (4-2 as Lexington chalk).

              Tech Edge: Ole Miss, based on team trends.

              WESTERN KENTUCKY at MTSU (ESPN3, 5:00 p.m.)

              Dog team has covered last four in series.
              WKU has dropped first two vs. line TY and on 4-game spread winless streak (0-3-1) since late 2019.
              Blue Raiders did get cover at UTSA after slow 2020 start. Stockstill is 8-3 vs. points last 11 as C-USA host.

              Tech Edge: Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.

              CHARLOTTE at FLORIDA ATLANTIC (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m.)

              FAU hopes to get going after pair of postpones.
              This now will be Taggart FAU debut! Owls were 10-4 vs. line for Kiffin last year.
              But Taggart just 8-13-1 vs. spread with SU past two seasons before getting the boot.
              Charlotte just 2-5 vs. line away from home LY.

              Tech Edge: FAU, based on team trends.

              GEORGIA SOUTHERN at ULM (ESPN+, 7:00 p.m.)

              Warhawks just 2-12 last 14 vs. line at Malone Stadium.

              Tech Edge: Georgia Southern, based on ULM home woes.

              AUBURN at GEORGIA (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)

              A bit early for this traditional early November tilt.
              Malzahn off best spread year since 2013 title game season when 9-4 vs. line in 2019, now 1-0 in 2020.
              But Kirby Smart has had his number lately, winning and covering last 3.
              Still, Bulldogs only 2-5 as Athens chalk in 2019. Malzahn 3-1 as dog LY.

              Tech Edge: Slight to Auburn, based on team trends.

              LSU at VANDERBILT (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)

              Note Derek Mason entered 2020 on 3-10 spread skid before solid cover at A&M.
              Tigers won 66-38 at Nashville LY.
              Orgeron 9-1 vs. spread last ten away from Baton Rouge, spanning to before 2019 magic.

              Tech Edge: LSU, based on team trends.

              ARKANSAS at MISSISSIPPI STATE (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)

              Hogs actually 3-2 vs. line away from home LY but have been destroyed last two years by MSU in the Joe Moorhead days.
              Bulldogs entered 2020 on 4-10 spread skid and Leach was just 3-8 his last 11 as chalk with WSU.
              However, Miss State won in style in Leach debut last week at LSU.

              Tech Edge: Slight to Arkansas, based on team trends.

              SOUTHERN MISS at NORTH TEXAS (Stadium, 7:30 p.m.)

              USM now 0-6 SU and vs. line last six since late 2019.
              Golden Eagles had lost and failed to cover three straight vs. UNT prior to 45-27 win LY.
              Mean Green on 5-18 spread skid since early 2018.

              Tech Edge: Slight to UNT, based on current trends.
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-01-2020, 02:49 AM.

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAF
                Armadillo's Write-Up

                Week 5


                Friday’s game

                Louisiana Tech @ BYU

                — LA Tech snuck past Southern Miss 31-30 in its opener, then routed a I-AA team 66-38 last week- they gave up 406 passing yards last week.
                — Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 2 starters back on defense.
                — Bulldogs have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Tech has a senior QB who started 3 years at I-AA Abilene Christian.
                — Since 2014, Bulldogs are 14-6-2 ATS as a road underdog.

                — BYU beat Navy/Troy by a combined score of 103-10; they’ve gained 1,244 yards in two games.
                — BYU has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Cougars have 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — BYU’s junior QB has started 18 games.
                — Since 2016, Cougars are 7-10 ATS as a home favorite.

                — These teams haven’t met the last five years.

                13 of Saturday’s best games

                South Carolina @ Florida

                — South Carolina lost its opener 31-27 at home to Tennessee LW; they were outgained 394-350, ran ball for only 89 yards.
                — Gamecocks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                — Carolina has 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Gamecocks have a senior QB who played under OC Bobo while he was the head coach at Colorado State- he was 20-32/261 vs Tennessee LW.
                — Since 2017, Carolina is 7-2 ATS as a road underdog.

                — Florida threw for 446 yards in its 51-35 win at Ole Miss LW; Ole Miss threw for 443 yards, so not lot of defense on either side there.
                — Gators have 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                — Florida has 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Gators’ senior QB has started 11 games.
                — Under Mullen, Florida is 7-4 ATS as a home favorite.

                — Florida won four of last five series games; Gamecocks lost three of last five games in the Swamp, with losses by 4-13-33 points.

                North Carolina @ Boston College
                — North Carolina beat Syracuse 31-6 in its opener, but that was three weeks ago. Tar Heels gained 463 yards in that game, threw for 303.
                — UNC has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Tar Heels have 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — UNC has a soph QB who has started 14 games
                — Since 2013, Carolina is 8-4 ATS as a road favorite.

                — Boston College snuck by Texas State 24-21 LW, after beating Duke 26-6; they’ve run ball for total of only 171 yards in their two games.
                — Eagles have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
                — BC has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Eagles’ soph QB is a Notre Dame transfer who is 43-61 for 510 yards in two games.
                — Last 3+ years, Boston College is 7-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.

                — North Carolina won last four series games, last three by 18+ points; underdogs are 3-2 ATS in last five series games. This is UNC’s first visit to Chestnut Hill since 2009.

                Virginia Tech @ Duke
                — Va Tech beat NC State 45-24 in its opener, two weeks ago.
                — Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
                — Hokies have 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Tech has a new QB; they threw only 11 passes in their opener.
                — Since 2016, Bulldogs are 4-9 ATS as a road favorite.

                — Duke is already 0-3, giving up 30.3 ppg; they’ve lost by 14-20-18 points.
                — Blue Devils have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Duke has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Duke’s junior QB was a backup at Clemson for two years.
                — Blue Devils are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.

                — Home side lost six of last seven series games; Duke is 3-4 in last seven games with Va Tech.
                — Hokies won their last seven visits to Durham, with three of last four wins by 4 or fewer points.

                Missouri @ Tennessee
                — Missouri lost its opener 38-19 at home to Alabama; they ran for only 69 yards.
                — Tigers have 4 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Mizzou has 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Tigers has a junior QB with nine career starts.
                — Since 2015, Missouri is 4-9 ATS as a road underdog.

                — Tennessee racked up 394 TY, was +2 in turnovers in its 31-17 win at South Carolina LW.
                — Vols have 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — Tennessee has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Vols’ senior QB has started 26 games.
                — Since 2017, Tennessee is 4-9 ATS as a home favorite.

                — Tennessee won 24-20 at Missouri LY, just their third win in last eight series games. Tigers won three of last four visits to Knoxville.

                Baylor @ West Virginia
                — Baylor hammered Kansas 47-14 in its opener, running for 203 yards.
                — Bears have 7 starters back on offense, only 2 starters back on defense.
                — Bulldogs have 68 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Tech has a senior QB who has started 31 games.
                — Since 2017, Baylor is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.

                — West Virginia lost 27-13 at Oklahoma State LW, after whacking a I-AA team in its opener. Mountaineers were out rushed 203-68.
                — WVU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                — Cougars have 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — West Virginia’s junior QB has started 39 games.
                — Mountaineers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite.

                — West Virginia is 5-3 in last eight series games; they lost 17-14 in Waco LY.
                — Baylor lost its last four visits to Morgantown, giving up 48.3 ppg.

                NC State @ Pittsburgh
                — NC State lost 45-24 at Va Tech last week, after nipping Wake Forest 45-42 the week before.
                — State has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — Wolfpack has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — State has a soph QB with seven career starts.
                — Since 2015, Wolfpack is 3-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.

                — Pittsburgh beat Syracuse 21-10, Louisville 23-20, both at home; they outgained those two opponents, 718-394.
                — Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Panthers have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Pitt’s senior QB has started 30 games.
                — Since 2014, Panthers are 10-17-1 ATS as a home favorite.

                — NC State won 35-17 at Pitt in their last meeting, three years ago.

                Oklahoma @ Iowa State
                — Oklahoma gained 517 yards LW, but was -4 in turnovers, got upset 38-35 at home by Kansas State.
                — Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Sooners have a freshman QB with two starts; he threw 3 INT’s last week.
                — Since 2017, Oklahoma is 4-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
                — Since 2014, Sooners are 4-6 ATS coming off a SU loss.

                — Iowa State snuck past TCU 37-34 LW, after getting upset at home by Louisiana.
                — Horned Frogs threw for 400 yards against Iowa State last week.
                — ISU has 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — Cyclones have 33 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Iowa State’s junior QB has started 23 games.
                — Cyclones are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.

                — Oklahoma won 15 of last 16 series games, but Cyclones covered last four.
                — Sooners won their last seven visits to Ames (4-3 ATS).

                Navy @ Air Force
                — Navy rallied from down 24-0 at half to beat Tulane 27-24 in their last game two weeks ago; they lost their opener 55-3 at home to BYU.
                — Middies have 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Navy has 29 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — New quarterback for Navy this season; he is 8-15 passing in two games.
                — Since 2015, Middies are 9-5 ATS as a road favorite.

                — This is Air Force’s season opener.
                — Falcons have 4 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — Air Force has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Falcons’ senior QB has started 16 games.
                — Since 2014, Air Force is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog.

                — Home side won last seven Navy-Air Force games; Middies lost their last three visits to Air Force, by 28-14-9 points.
                — Underdogs covered four of last five series games played here.

                Texas Tech @ Kansas State
                — Texas Tech lost 63-56 in OT at home to Texas LW, after they nipped a I-AA team 35-33 in their opener.
                — Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — Red Raiders have 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Tech has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
                — Since 2015, Red Raiders are 11-7 ATS as a road underdog.

                — K-State upset Oklahoma 38-35 at home LW, after losing at home to Arkansas State the week before- they’re +6 in turnovers this season.
                — Wildcats have givne up 717 passing yards in two games.
                — Wildcats have 3 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
                — K-State has 2 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — K-State’s senior QB has started 29 games.
                — Since 2015, Wildcats are 6-13 ATS as a home favorite.

                — K-State won eight of last nine series games; underdogs covered last four series games.
                — Tech lost its last four visits to Manhattan, three of them by 15+ points.

                Oklahoma State @ Kansas
                — Oklahoma State beat Tulsa 16-7, West Virginia 27-13 in their first two games, both at home.
                — OSU has 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
                — Cowboys have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — State has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
                — Since 2017, OSU is 8-6 ATS as a road favorite.

                — Kansas lost its first two games, 38-23 at home to Coastal Carolina, 47-14 at Baylor.
                — Jayhawks have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — Kansas has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Jayhawks are using multiple quarterbacks.
                — Since 2017, Kansas is 5-9 ATS as a home underdog.

                — Oklahoma State won last ten series games; they’re 15-3-2 ATS in last 20.
                — Cowboys are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight visits to Lawrence.

                Ole Miss @ Kentucky
                — Ole Miss gained 613 TY, still lost their opener 51-35 at home to Florida.
                — Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — Ole Miss has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Rebels have a soph QB with ten career starts.
                — Ole Miss is 14-8 ATS in its last 22 games as a road underdog.

                — Kentucky lost 29-13 at home to Auburn; they outgained the Tigers by 60 yards, but were minus-3 in turnovers.
                — Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
                — Kentucky has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Wildcats’ senior QB has started 16 games.
                — Since 2016, Kentucky is 6-14 ATS as a home favorite.

                — Ole Miss (+3.5) won 37-34 at Kentucky in last series game, in 2017.

                Auburn @ Georgia
                — Auburn won its opener 29-13 at Kentucky, despite being outgained by 60 yards.
                — Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — Bulldogs have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Tech has a soph QB who started 9 games.
                — Since 2012, Bulldogs are 14-8 ATS as a road underdog.

                — Georgia won its opener 37-10 at Arkansas, using its #4 QB, a former walk-on.
                — Unclear if 4th-stringer Bennett or USC transfer Daniels will get nod to start here.
                — Georgia has 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
                — Dawgs have 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Either QB would be making his first start for Georgia; Daniels threw 34 passes for USC last year.
                — Since 2015, Cougars are 9-19 ATS as a home favorite.

                — Georgia won eight of last ten series games.
                — Auburn lost its last six visits between the hedges (0-6 ATS).

                LSU @ Vanderbilt
                — LSU lost its opener 44-34 at home to Miss State, giving up 623 PY.
                — LSU has only 3 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
                — Tigers have 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — LSU has a junior QB who has started one game.
                — Since 2016, Tigers are 7-5 ATS as a road favorite.

                — Vanderbilt lost its opener 17-12 at Texas A&M; they gained only 255 yards.
                — Vandy has 5 starters back on offense, 11 starters back on defense.
                — Commodores have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
                — Vandy’s true frosh QB was 20-29/159 with two INT’s last week.
                — Since 2017, Commodores are 2-8 ATS as a home underdog.

                — LSU won its last six games with Vanderilbt- they hammered Vandy 66-38 LY.
                — Tigers won last three visits to Nashville, by an average score of 23-5.
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-02-2020, 12:43 PM.

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                • #9
                  4th Quarter Covers - Week 5
                  Joe Nelson

                  Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games.

                  Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the first weekend of October in college football.

                  Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

                  Florida (-15½) 38, South Carolina 24

                  This game was tie 14-14 well into the second quarter but the Gators would score the next 24 points to lead 38-14 with just under five minutes to go in the third quarter. South Carolina would earn a long field goal at the end of the third and then got an early fourth quarter interception.

                  A pass interference call put the Gamecocks in range to score again and while they had to convert two 4th downs before cashing in, they eventually delivered to cut the margin to 10 points with just over 10 minutes remaining. Florida wouldn’t threaten while South Carolina would convert two more 4th downs to compile 74 yards on its final drive but without adding points.

                  West Virginia (+2) 27, Baylor 21

                  Baylor scored with just over a minute remaining to force overtime with a 14-14 tie in a rare defensive battle in the Big XII. Turnovers were a factor in keeping points off the board more than great defense however. In overtime West Virginia went first and opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 rather than kicking field goal, with that decision paying off with a touchdown on the next play.

                  Baylor scored on its first play to match the Mountaineers at 21-21. The 2nd OT drive for Baylor lasted just one play as well with Charlie Brewer intercepted. West Virginia needed only four plays to find the end zone to complete the minor upset, posting a solid production edge but surviving four turnovers.

                  TCU (+10½) 33, Texas 31 (62)

                  The Horned Frogs delivered another upset in this series but there was late drama for many on the total with a price that swung anywhere from 59½ to 63½ depending when and where it was played. In a back-and-forth 4th quarter the Frogs went up by four with four minutes to go putting the scoring at 62.

                  Texas appeared ready to take the lead but would eventually fumble on 1st-and-goal from the TCU 1-yard-line to wind up still short on the scoreboard.

                  TCU was in a dangerous position but got a huge run on 3rd-and-7 for some breathing room. TCU would face a 4th down still pinned deep and opted to take a safety after running the clock out, putting the scoring from 62 to 64.

                  SMU (-2) 30, Memphis 27

                  SMU went from the underdog to the favorite in this game and that shift appeared accurate with a 24-3 edge early in the second quarter. Memphis would rally with back-to-back long touchdown drives and a 56-yard field goal before halftime to trail by only four. SMU would have to settle for a short field goal on its first possession in the second half and Memphis was able to tie the game with an 87-yard touchdown drive completed late in the third.

                  SMU appeared poised to go back in front, but the Mustangs fumbled in the red zone. The offenses disappeared from there with each team having consecutive punts.

                  Memphis eventually crossed midfield with under three minutes to go but Brady White fumbled on a sack and SMU was able to convert a 3rd-and-11 to set-up a field goal with nine seconds left.

                  Kansas State (+1) 31, Texas Tech 21

                  Kansas State led 17-7 late in the third quarter, flipped from a slight favorite to a closing line underdog coming off last week’s big win over Oklahoma. Texas Tech put together back-to-back long touchdown drives to lead 21-17 with 11 minutes to go but Kansas State needed only three plays to go back in front with a 24-21 edge at the 10-minute mark.

                  The Red Raiders were a threat to answer but Henry Colombi was intercepted in the end zone. Both teams had to punt on subsequent possessions and facing 3rd down with just over two minutes remaining Kansas State connected for a 70-yard touchdown to put the game away.

                  Texas Tech had a significant yardage edge in a game where both teams had to replace their injured starting quarterbacks.

                  Florida Atlantic (-5) 21, Charlotte 17

                  The Owls trailed 10-0 at halftime but scored three touchdowns in a span of just over six minutes in the third quarter to lead 21-0. Charlotte would convert a 4th down and add a touchdown early in the fourth quarter to trail by only six and then stopped FAU going for it on 4th-and-1 in the red zone.

                  Looking for a late score to win the 49ers reached the FAU 16-yard-line in the final minute but took back-to-back sacks and came a few yards short on 4th-and-15 to end the game.

                  Iowa State (+7½) 37, Oklahoma 30

                  Looking to bounce back from last week’s upset the Sooners had a 17-6 lead not even 20 minutes into this game. Iowa State would complete a long drive before halftime to stay in it and then was in front by the end of the third quarter 23-20.

                  The Sooners appeared to get it together scoring the first 10 points of the final frame to lead by seven on a spread that bounced between 7 and 7½. A huge kickoff return for the Cyclones changed that equation and after a pass interference call Iowa State was in the end zone to tie the game.

                  Oklahoma and new quarterback Spencer Rattler looked rattled with an ugly drive that included a penalty and a sack and the Sooners had to punt with six minutes to go and the score tied.

                  The Cyclones took full advantage of their rising momentum with a four-play touchdown drive to lead by seven. Oklahoma would have a new set of downs with about a minute to go from the Iowa State 34 but for the second straight week, Rattler suffered a late interception as the Sooners are now 0-2 in the Big XII.

                  Western Kentucky (-7) 20, Middle Tennessee State 17

                  This game was tied at 10-10 at halftime and the Hilttoppers took a 13-10 lead late in the third quarter with a 53-yard field goal. A productive MTSU drive across midfield ended in a punt for a touchback and after matching 3-and-outs Tyrrell Pigrome led a great drive for Western Kentucky taking more than six minutes off the clock in a 13-play effort.

                  A 4th down conversion was included as Pigrome eventually connected for a touchdown pass to put the Hilltoppers up 10 and past the favorite spread with six minutes remaining.

                  Asher O’Hara and the Blue Raiders have disappointed this season but after getting a 4th down conversion via penalty and another on an O’Hara rush, the Bluer Raiders punched in the spread-stealing score with just over two minutes to go.

                  LSU (-21) 41, Vanderbilt 7

                  LSU rebounded with a 21-7 edge at halftime but the underdog stayed in the game as the Tigers settled for two 3rd quarter field goals, leading by 20.

                  Another field goal seemed possible before Myles Brennan hit a 29-yard touchdown strike to put the Tigers past the number. Vanderbilt was in position to answer reaching the LSU 6-yard-line with a new set of downs but on 2nd down Ken Seals was intercepted in a crushing blow for those taking the points. With relative ease and still throwing often with a big lead, LSU went down the field to make it a 41-7 game, where the final score held, keeping a total of right around 50 just ‘under’ as well.
                  Georgia Southern (-18½) 35, UL-Monroe 30

                  Neither the spread or the total was impacted with a wild finish in this Sun Belt clash but it was a noteworthy final few seconds, and surely a few people had attractive moneyline tickets on the big underdog. Georgia Southern led 35-17 late in the third but back-to-back scores put the Warhawks within five, missing a PAT on the first of those two touchdowns.

                  Down five, UL-M would have the ball back with about two minutes remaining and Colby Suits would lead the team into scoring range. He converted a 4th-and-6 with his legs and then on the game’s final play he scampered to the goal line stopped just short.

                  Time ticked away and the offense wasn’t able to clock it in time to continue while no review was called for.

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