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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (Thur., Nov. 28 - Mon., Dec. 2)

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  • NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (Thur., Nov. 28 - Mon., Dec. 2)

    Commercial Photography

    NFL Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, November 28 - Monday, December 2

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Betting Recap - Week 12
    Joe Williams

    Overall Notes

    National Football League Week 12 Results

    Wager Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 10-3
    Against the Spread 5-7-1

    Wager Home-Away
    Straight Up 10-3
    Against the Spread 7-5-1

    Wager Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 4-9

    National Football League Year-to-Date Results
    Wager Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 111-60-1
    Against the Spread 74-93-5

    Wager Home-Away
    Straight Up 95-76-1
    Against the Spread 74-93-5

    Wager Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 84-87-1

    The largest underdogs to win straight up
    Redskins (+4, ML +170) vs. Lions, 19-16
    Buccaneers (+3.5, ML +165) at Falcons, 35-22
    Jets (+3.5, ML +160) vs. Raiders, 34-3

    The largest favorite to cover
    Browns (-10.5) vs. Dolphins, 41-24
    Titans (-4.5) vs. Jaguars, 42-20
    Bills (-4) vs. Broncos, 20-3

    How About Dem Cowboys?

    -- The Dallas Cowboys (+5.5) were able to grab the cover on the road against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Mass. in a chilly, mist and fog. While, yes, the Cowboys were able to grab a cover, they fell against a winning team yet again. The Cowboys have beaten the New York Giants (twice), the Washington Redskins, the Miami Dolphins, the Philadelphia Eagles and Detroit Lions. The combined records of the teams Dallas has beaten is 16-49-1, and they haven't recorded a win over a team with a record over .500. The best record of anyone they have beaten is Philadelphia at 5-6. Someone has to win the NFC East, as the Cowboys (6-5) are the only team over .500. They don't seem like to go very far, however.

    While they're all well and good, they're still covering. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS across the past five outings, and 7-4 ATS overall. That includes a 4-2 ATS mark on the road, and they're 3-0 ATS across the past three away from home. Sunday's game in Foxboro marked the first time they were an underdog, and they covered at most shops.

    Total Recall

    -- The two highest totals on the board Sunday were the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Atlanta Falcons (51.5) and Green Bay Packers-San Francisco 49ers (48). The Buccaneers certainly did their part, throwing up 35 points, incuding 19 points in the first-half. The teams combined for 29 points to hit the first-half 'over' in this one, too. In the SNF game, over bettors weren't as fortunate, which is part for the course for primetime games this season. The first-half under narrowly cashed thanks mostly to a goose egg for the Pack, as San Francisco hoisted up 23 points in the first 30 minutes.

    The next highest totals on the board were the Thursday night battle between the Indianapolis Colts-Houston Texans (46.5) and Sunday's NFC South tilt under the roof between the Carolina Panthers-New Orleans (46.5). The TNF game was a low-scoring 20-17 battle in favor of the home team, while the home side also won by three in the NFC South battle in NOLA, but this game hit the over rather easily. In fact, we had 10 or more combined points in each quarter, and 32 total points on the board at halftime to cover a first-half 'over'.

    There were three totals on the board under 40, the Denver Broncos-Buffalo Bills (37), Pittsburgh Steelers-Cincinnati Bengals (37) and Detroit Lions-Washington Redskins (39) each hit the 'under'. The Broncos-Bills game saw a total of just 23 points, the Steelers-Bengals game saw just 26 point sand the Lions-Redskins tilt was the 'highest' scoring of the trio, totaling 35 points. Still, defense reigned supreme, which is never good for a betting public which tends to lean 'over' more often than not.

    The 'under' made a clean sweep in the Week 11 primetime battles, and so far the 'under' is 2-0 under the lights with the Baltimore Ravens-Los angeles Rams (47) game still pending. The 'over' is just 12-24 (33.3%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

    Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

    In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

    In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

    In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

    In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

    Injury Report

    -- Eagles QB Carson Wentz (hand) will have tests on his right hand after suffering an injury in Sunday's game vs. the Seahawks.

    Looking Ahead - Divisional Battles

    -- We have two divisional battles out of the three Thanksgiving games. The Bears and Lions kick off the festivities at 12:30 p.m. ET at Ford Field. The Lions, coming off a disappointing 19-16 loss in Washington, has dropped four in a row while failing to cover six in a row after a 4-1 ATS start. The four-game losing streak including a 20-13 loss on Nov. 10 in Chicago, a game which hit the 'under'. Chicago heads into this game with a 9-1 ATS mark in their past 10 divisional games, while Detroit is 2-6 ATS in their past eight at home and 2-6 ATS in the past eight inside the division. The Bears are an impressive 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven in this series, with the favorite 4-0-1 ATS in the past five battles and the under 6-2 in the previous eight meetings.

    -- The other divisional battle on Turkey Day is a rematch between the Saints and Falcons in Atlanta. The Falcons stunned the Saints by a 26-9 score in Week 10, winning outright as 13.5-point underdogs. It served as a wake-up call for the Saints, who have scored 34 points in each of the past two outings, both wins and 'over' results. New Orleans has cashed in 24 of the past 32 road games, while Atlanta is still just 6-13 ATS in the past 19 games overall. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the past 12 meetings in this series, and the under has hit in four of the past five meetings, and seven of the past 10 in Atlanta.

    -- The Browns and Steelers will renew acquaintances at Heinz Field just 18 days after 'Helmetgate', or whatever you want to call the brawl which saw DE Myles Garrett suspended for the remainder of the field for swinging QB Mason Rudolph's helmet at the signal caller. After a 2-6 SU start the Browns have rattled off three straight wins, including a 21-7 victory over the Steelers on Nov. 14. Of course, all three of those victories came at FirstEnergy Stadium. The Browns are 2-3 SU/ATS in their five games away from home. Cleveland is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six in this series, but the home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetngs, too, with the 'over' 4-1 in the past five meetings in Pittsburgh.

    -- The Titans and Colts will square off in Indy. Tennessee is 15-33-3 ATS in the past 51 AFC South battles, and they're 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams. Indy has covered in seven straight divisional games, and they're 18-7-1 ATS in the past 26 against winning teams. In this series, the Titans are a dismal 3-13 ATS in the past 16 meetings, with Tennessee 1-7 ATS in the past eight trips to Lucas Oil Stadium.

    -- The Rams travel to meet the Cardinals, looking to stay hot on the road. L.A. is 6-1 ATS in the past seven on the road. The Rams have dominated this series, too, covering four in a row overall, and four straight in Arizona. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the past nine meetings, too.

    -- The Chargers and Broncos square off in Denver. The Bolts have been strong on the road, going 9-3-1 ATS in the past 13 on the road, including 6-0-1 ATS in the past seven on the road against a team with a losing home record. On the flip side, the Broncos have a dismal 1-4 ATS record in the past five insisde the division. The Chargers have an odd 9-2-5 ATS mark in their past 16 trips to Denver, and the road team is 15-5-2 ATS in the past 22 meetings in this series.

    -- The Raiders and Chiefs get together, with Kansas City already a double-digit favorite in this one. Oakland has managed a 3-9 ATS mark in the past 12 on the road, while the Chiefs are 19-7 ATS in the past 26 inside the AFC West. The Raiders have failed to cover in five of their past six trips to Arrowhead, while going 2-5 ATS in the past seven meetings overall. The favorite has connected in 10 of the past 14 meetings in this series. The under is 17-5 in the past 22 meetings in Kansas City, too.

    Comment


    • #3
      NFL Week 13 opening odds and early action: Bills draw sharp play for Thanksgiving battle vs Cowboys
      Patrick Everson

      Frank Gore has helped Buffalo post an 8-3 SU mark (7-3-1 ATS) heading into a Thanksgiving Day game at Dallas. The Bills opened as 7.5-point underdogs and drew early cash, moving the line to +7.

      Week 13 of the NFL season includes a Thanksgiving Day feast of three games, along with an intriguing Sunday/Monday menu. We check in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

      Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys (-7.5)

      Somewhat under the radar, Buffalo heads into this Turkey Day contest with an 8-3 SU mark and a more-than-respectable 7-3-1 ATS record, as well. The Bills had little trouble with Denver in Week 12, winning 20-3 as 3.5-point home favorites.

      Meanwhile, Dallas dropped two of its last three games, though it still leads a very weak NFC East at 6-5 SU (7-4 ATS). In Week 12, the Cowboys faced a stern test in the rain at New England, losing 13-9 but cashing as 5.5-point underdogs.

      “We opened Cowboys -7.5 and took some respected money on the Bills, and lowered it to -7,” Murray said. “I see a lot of Cowboys-to-Saints parlays in our future.”

      The Saints-Falcons game is the Thanksgiving nightcap, following the Bills-Cowboys clash.

      San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens (-4.5)

      Baltimore still has Week 12 work to do, playing Monday night at the Los Angeles Rams, but John Harbaugh’s squad is arguably the hottest in the league. The Ravens (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS) are on runs of 6-0 SU and 4-0 ATS, including a 41-7 bashing of Houston as 4-point faves in Week 11.

      San Francisco continues to impress, tied with New England for the best record in the NFL at 10-1 SU (6-4-1 ATS). On Sunday night, the 49ers hosted a Green Bay squad that was a very public ‘dog, but San Fran rumbled to a 37-8 victory laying 3 points at home.

      “We opened Ravens -4.5, but took it off the board when the Packers-49ers game kicked off,” Murray said as the Sunday night game was in progress. “No betting action to report here, but we could see an adjustment in this number depending on how the Sunday and Monday night games turn out.”

      The SuperBook’s standard operating procedure is to take the following week’s game off the board when a team is in the Sunday or Monday nighter. That means this line will go back up Monday morning, then come down again Monday night during the Ravens-Rams tilt.

      New England Patriots at Houston Texans (+3.5)

      Following its lone loss of the season, at Baltimore, New England scored a combined 30 points in its next two games – and won them both. In Week 12 at home against Dallas, the Patriots (10-1 SU, 7-4 ATS) mustered just one touchdown and two field goals in a 13-9 victory giving 5.5 points.

      Houston won three of its last four SU – while going 1-3 ATS – and is atop the AFC South at 7-4 SU (5-6 ATS). The Texans took sole possession of first with a 20-17 home win over Indianapolis giving 3.5 points in the Week 12 Thursday nighter.

      “The public will come in heavy on the Patriots in this spot, and the books will need Houston huge by kickoff,” Murray said. “New England’s offense is really struggling the last few weeks, to put it nicely.”

      Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-10)

      Oakland saw its three-game winning streak end in embarrassing fashion in Week 12. The Raiders (6-5 SU and ATS) went off as 3.5-point favorites at the New York Jets and got boatraced 34-3, with Oakland’s lone score coming on the first possession of the game.

      Meanwhile, Kansas City is coming off its bye week, giving Patrick Mahomes some time to better heal up from a nagging ankle injury. In Week 11, Mahomes and the Chiefs (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS) held off the Los Angeles Chargers 24-17 as 5.5-point road favorites.

      “This number bumped up a point-and-a-half off our look-ahead number, due to the Raiders’ loss on the road against the Jets,” Murray said. “The Chiefs are a team to keep an eye down the stretch, if they can get healthy.”

      Comment


      • #4
        Hot & Not Report - Week 13
        Matt Blunt

        Week of November 25th

        Last week's piece focused on two NFC divisions and the results they've had in non-division games the past few weeks, and in Week 12 action there were some mixed results.

        NFC West teams continued to dominate non-division foes, as both Seattle and San Francisco were able to cover short numbers with relative ease. Seattle continued to shoot themselves in the foot to allow the Eagles to hang around, but thankfully for Seattle backers/fans, Philly has Dorian Gray at QB, and after Sunday's awful performance from Wentz, more and more people are starting to see all the ugliness Wentz has in his game that I touched on weeks ago in that piece.

        San Francisco rolled over the Packers on SNF as it was a beat down from start to finish for the 49ers. Jimmy Garoppolo could be in the midst of his “lightning in a bottle” season like the only other past FCS QB's to be drafted in the last 10+ years have experienced (Wentz in 2017, Joe Flacco in January 2013), but it's this San Francisco defense that's the key to the 49ers success. When you've got the type of game wreckers they do in the front seven, most opponents are going to buckle when the 49ers are on their game.

        We've got the Rams still pending in this scenario tonight as they host a red hot Baltimore team, and based on early action reports – Baltimore's getting bet at about a 70% clip currently – the oddsmakers would prefer to see LA get across the finish line as well.

        Over on the “Not” side of things from last week, the NFC East teams in non-division action this past week ended up going 3-1 ATS, with everyone but the aforementioned Philadelphia Eagles getting an ATS win. Only the Washington Redskins were lucky enough to get a SU win though, as both Dallas and the NY Giants kept things close enough in low-scoring road defeats.

        This week we've got a continuation of last week's angle of sorts, as we begin with teams from an AFC division and their recent non-division results, as well as a different take that's been going well. You put the two of them together for Week 13 and the entire betting board in the NFL is basically covered, so I'll even lay out all the teams you should be looking at for Week 13 and we can come back a week from now and see if these runs hold up.

        Who's Hot

        AFC East teams are 14-6-1 ATS in non-division games since October 1st


        This trend wasn't stellar in Week 12 as it was a 2-2 ATS record for the likes of New England, Buffalo, NY Jets, and Miami, but overall, when these teams venture outside of the division, you generally want to be looking their way. All four of them have winning ATS records in non-division play since the beginning of October – New England are 4-2 ATS, Buffalo are 3-1-1 ATS, the NY Jets are 4-2 ATS, and Miami are 3-1 ATS – and about a handful of those ATS victories for the three teams not named “New England” have come as outright wins as underdogs as well.

        I mean, look at this Jets team right now who have put up 34 points in three straight weeks, winning all three of those games by double digits, and closing as an underdog in all of them. QB Sam Darnold is probably feeling like himself again after his Mono issue earlier this year, as this offense that had many new faces show up this year is starting to play like a cohesive unit. Three straight SU and ATS wins as underdogs will start to bring attention in the betting market, and with a trip to Cincinnati on deck for the Jets this week, this run of New York catching points will end. We will have to see if the Jets – laying 3.5 points vs Cincinnati - can continue their strong play as favorites now, a role New York is 0-2 SU and ATS in this year, although both of those did come within AFC East division play.

        The rest of this division is out playing non-conference foes in Week 13 as well, as early numbers have Buffalo (+7) in Dallas on Thanksgiving, Miami (+8.5) hosting Philadelphia, and New England (-3.5) at Houston on SNF. All three of these games have some interesting dynamics to them and you should find more support for any plays you do make, but Buffalo and Miami catching those points against Dallas and Philadelphia do look awfully attractive.

        New England's got to deal with a Texans team that's had extended rest and hasn't had to travel, which makes backing the Patriots a little trickier, especially when the chances are they'll be a side the oddsmakers would prefer to see lose again.

        But put all four plays in as early leans right now – NY Jets (-3.5), Buffalo (+7), Miami (+8.5) and New England (-3.5) and let's go on to build out the rest of this card with...

        Who's Not

        Fading teams that put up 30 or more points in their last outing – 5-12 ATS last three weeks, and 2-9 ATS past two weeks


        I'll start with the pending game as that is tonight's MNF game between the Ravens and Rams. It's the Ravens who are coming off a 30+ point performance in their last outing, and that's going directly up against that run for NFC West teams in non-division play, so that's why it's so important to find further support for what side you decide to back. Tonight's game is a pass for me (at least with the side) as those conflicting runs suggest it will be a close game that could easily land on either side of the current number (Baltimore -3.5).

        But a 9-2 ATS record for teams coming off a 30-point effort suggests that the offenses that achieve that production really go out and have a great week of practice afterwards, and build upon that momentum. These teams are 8-3 SU in those 11 games, so taking the points where you can may be better option. And going into Week 13 there are plenty of teams that qualify in this role.

        Astute readers will know that the NY Jets (-3.5) fit both of these Hot/Not scenarios, and laying points with them against Cincinnati is something that does seem easy to get behind. So that's another piece of supporting evidence for Jets backers this week, although they've still got that nasty hook lying there. The number won't go down so buying off that hook may be the best option now, or just bypass the spread all together and take NY on the ML and go from there.

        The list of the other teams you should be playing on in Week 13 based on them putting up 30+ in their last effort are: Tampa Bay (+1) at Jacksonville, Cleveland (-1) at Pittsburgh, New Orleans (-6.5) at Atlanta on Thursday, Carolina (-10) vs Washington, Tennessee (+3) at Indianapolis, and San Francisco (+4.5) at Baltimore – pending Baltimore doesn't land here themselves with 30+ on MNF.

        That's already a lot of the board covered, but the majority of the teams listed here are on the road. That isn't exactly ideal, but it's how it goes and if your own handicapping throughout the week has you landing on a few of these teams, it's probably a good decision to fire.

        In the end, these two situations have most of the Week 13 NFL board covered, with none of them conflicting. And as I said at the top, we can see how these plays end up in the coming week. They are:

        Buffalo (+7)
        New Orleans (-6.5)
        Miami (+8.5)
        NY Jets (-3.5)
        Tennessee (+3)
        Cleveland (-1)
        Carolina (-10)
        San Francisco (+4.5) – pending Baltimore's result
        Tampa Bay (+1)
        New England (-3.5)

        Comment


        • #5
          305CHICAGO -306 DETROIT
          DETROIT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse in the current season.

          307BUFFALO -308 DALLAS
          BUFFALO is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.

          309NEW ORLEANS -310 ATLANTA
          ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after an upset loss in the last 2 seasons.

          451GREEN BAY -452 NY GIANTS
          NY GIANTS are 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in home games in the last 2 seasons.

          451GREEN BAY -452 NY GIANTS
          Pat Shurmur is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in home games in games played on turf (Coach of NY GIANTS)

          453WASHINGTON -454 CAROLINA
          CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

          455SAN FRANCISCO -456 BALTIMORE
          SAN FRANCISCO is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games after allowing 9 points or less last game since 1992.

          457TENNESSEE -458 INDIANAPOLIS
          INDIANAPOLIS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

          457TENNESSEE -458 INDIANAPOLIS
          Frank Reich is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. winning teams (Coach of INDIANAPOLIS)

          459PHILADELPHIA -460 MIAMI
          PHILADELPHIA is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season in the second half of the season since 1992.

          461OAKLAND -462 KANSAS CITY
          OAKLAND is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.

          463TAMPA BAY -464 JACKSONVILLE
          TAMPA BAY is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after 2 straight overs in the last 2 seasons.

          465NY JETS -466 CINCINNATI
          NY JETS are 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

          467LA RAMS -468 ARIZONA
          ARIZONA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

          469LA CHARGERS -470 DENVER
          DENVER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

          471CLEVELAND -472 PITTSBURGH
          CLEVELAND is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

          473NEW ENGLAND -474 HOUSTON
          HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

          475MINNESOTA -476 SEATTLE
          SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-26-2019, 01:39 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NFL
            Long Sheet

            Week 13


            Thursday, November 28

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            CHICAGO (5 - 6) at DETROIT (3 - 7 - 1) - 11/28/2019, 12:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
            DETROIT is 146-184 ATS (-56.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            DETROIT is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
            DETROIT is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
            CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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            BUFFALO (8 - 3) at DALLAS (6 - 5) - 11/28/2019, 4:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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            NEW ORLEANS (9 - 2) at ATLANTA (3 - 8) - 11/28/2019, 8:20 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
            ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
            ATLANTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
            ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
            NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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            Sunday, December 1

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            GREEN BAY (8 - 3) at NY GIANTS (2 - 9) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            GREEN BAY is 114-84 ATS (+21.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
            GREEN BAY is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
            NY GIANTS are 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
            NY GIANTS are 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            NY GIANTS are 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
            NY GIANTS are 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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            WASHINGTON (2 - 9) at CAROLINA (5 - 6) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CAROLINA is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
            CAROLINA is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
            CAROLINA is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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            SAN FRANCISCO (10 - 1) at BALTIMORE (8 - 2) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TENNESSEE (6 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 5) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            TENNESSEE is 120-157 ATS (-52.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            TENNESSEE is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
            TENNESSEE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
            INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
            INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
            INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHILADELPHIA (5 - 6) at MIAMI (2 - 9) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
            PHILADELPHIA is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
            MIAMI is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
            MIAMI is 61-87 ATS (-34.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
            MIAMI is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            OAKLAND (6 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (7 - 4) - 12/1/2019, 4:25 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            OAKLAND is 37-63 ATS (-32.3 Units) in December games since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
            KANSAS CITY is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TAMPA BAY (4 - 7) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 7) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            TAMPA BAY is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NY JETS (4 - 7) at CINCINNATI (0 - 11) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CINCINNATI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA RAMS (6 - 4) at ARIZONA (3 - 7 - 1) - 12/1/2019, 4:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LA RAMS are 92-123 ATS (-43.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
            LA RAMS are 144-191 ATS (-66.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            ARIZONA is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
            ARIZONA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            LA RAMS is 4-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
            LA RAMS is 4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA CHARGERS (4 - 7) at DENVER (3 - 8) - 12/1/2019, 4:25 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LA CHARGERS are 128-94 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
            LA CHARGERS are 128-94 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
            LA CHARGERS are 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
            LA CHARGERS are 93-64 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
            LA CHARGERS are 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
            DENVER is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
            DENVER is 64-89 ATS (-33.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
            DENVER is 3-2 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CLEVELAND (5 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 5) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PITTSBURGH is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
            PITTSBURGH is 96-70 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
            PITTSBURGH is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW ENGLAND (10 - 1) at HOUSTON (7 - 4) - 12/1/2019, 8:20 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NEW ENGLAND is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 129-96 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 129-96 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 206-149 ATS (+42.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 198-150 ATS (+33.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 129-90 ATS (+30.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 91-57 ATS (+28.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
            HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
            NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Monday, December 2

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MINNESOTA (8 - 3) at SEATTLE (9 - 2) - 12/2/2019, 8:15 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            SEATTLE is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
            SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
            SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-26-2019, 01:40 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NFL

              Week 13


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Thursday, November 28

              Detroit Lions
              Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
              Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
              Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
              Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
              Detroit is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
              Detroit is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chicago
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Chicago
              Detroit is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
              Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
              Chicago Bears
              Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
              Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
              Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
              Chicago is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
              Chicago is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Detroit
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Detroit
              Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
              Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit

              Dallas Cowboys
              Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
              Dallas is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
              Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games at home
              Dallas is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
              Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
              Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
              Buffalo Bills
              Buffalo is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games
              Buffalo is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games
              Buffalo is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
              Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
              Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Dallas
              Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
              Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas

              Atlanta Falcons
              Atlanta is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
              Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
              Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
              Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
              Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing at home against New Orleans
              New Orleans Saints
              New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
              New Orleans is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
              New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
              New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 12 games on the road
              New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta


              Sunday, December 1

              Indianapolis Colts
              Indianapolis is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
              Indianapolis is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 7 games at home
              Indianapolis is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Tennessee
              Indianapolis is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Tennessee
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
              Indianapolis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tennessee
              Indianapolis is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Tennessee
              The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 14 games when playing at home against Tennessee
              Tennessee Titans
              Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
              Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
              Tennessee is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis
              Tennessee is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
              Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
              Tennessee is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
              The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tennessee's last 14 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis

              Cincinnati Bengals
              Cincinnati is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
              Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
              Cincinnati is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
              Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games at home
              Cincinnati is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
              Cincinnati is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing NY Jets
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
              Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Jets
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Jets
              New York Jets
              NY Jets is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games
              NY Jets is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
              NY Jets is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
              NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games on the road
              NY Jets is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
              NY Jets is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
              NY Jets is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

              Carolina Panthers
              Carolina is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
              Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
              Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
              Carolina is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
              Carolina is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 12 games at home
              Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
              Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing Washington
              Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
              Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
              Washington Redskins
              Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
              Washington is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games
              Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
              Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
              Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Carolina
              Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
              Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina

              Baltimore Ravens
              Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
              Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
              Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
              Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
              San Francisco 49ers
              San Francisco is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
              San Francisco is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
              San Francisco is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
              San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Baltimore

              Jacksonville Jaguars
              Jacksonville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
              Jacksonville is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
              Jacksonville is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
              Jacksonville is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Jacksonville's last 10 games at home
              Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
              Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
              Tampa Bay Buccaneers
              Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
              Tampa Bay is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
              Tampa Bay is 8-12-3 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
              Tampa Bay is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
              Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
              Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville

              New York Giants
              NY Giants is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
              NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games
              NY Giants is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
              NY Giants is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games at home
              NY Giants is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Giants's last 9 games when playing Green Bay
              NY Giants is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Green Bay
              NY Giants is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
              Green Bay Packers
              Green Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games
              Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
              Green Bay is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
              Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              Green Bay is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 17 of Green Bay's last 25 games on the road
              Green Bay is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing NY Giants
              Green Bay is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
              Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants

              Miami Dolphins
              Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
              Miami is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
              Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
              Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
              Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
              Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
              Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
              Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
              Philadelphia Eagles
              Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
              Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
              Philadelphia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
              Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
              Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami
              Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
              Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami

              Pittsburgh Steelers
              Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
              Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games at home
              Pittsburgh is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
              Pittsburgh is 20-4-1 SU in its last 25 games when playing Cleveland
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
              Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
              Cleveland Browns
              Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
              Cleveland is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
              Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
              Cleveland is 1-7-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
              Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
              Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

              Arizona Cardinals
              Arizona is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
              Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
              Arizona is 1-6-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
              Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
              Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing LA Rams
              Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
              Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
              The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 15 games when playing at home against LA Rams
              Los Angeles Rams
              LA Rams is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
              LA Rams is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 5 games
              LA Rams is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
              LA Rams is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Rams's last 9 games on the road
              LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
              LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 7 games when playing Arizona
              LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
              LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
              The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Rams's last 15 games when playing on the road against Arizona

              Kansas City Chiefs
              Kansas City is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
              The total has gone OVER in 13 of Kansas City's last 19 games
              Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
              Kansas City is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home
              Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
              Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
              Kansas City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oakland
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Oakland
              Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
              Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
              Oakland Raiders
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games
              Oakland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
              Oakland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games on the road
              Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
              Oakland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Kansas City
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing Kansas City
              Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
              Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

              Denver Broncos
              Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
              Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Denver's last 20 games
              Denver is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home
              Denver is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 12 games at home
              Denver is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing LA Chargers
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
              Denver is 3-9-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
              Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
              Los Angeles Chargers
              LA Chargers is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games
              LA Chargers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 10 games
              LA Chargers is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
              LA Chargers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
              LA Chargers is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
              LA Chargers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              LA Chargers is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
              LA Chargers is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Denver
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Denver
              LA Chargers is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Denver
              LA Chargers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver

              Houston Texans
              Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
              Houston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
              Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
              Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games at home
              Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
              Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
              The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games when playing New England
              New England Patriots
              New England is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
              New England is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
              New England is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
              New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 7 games on the road
              New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
              New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
              The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 11 games when playing Houston


              Monday, December 2

              Seattle Seahawks
              Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
              Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
              The total has gone OVER in 14 of Seattle's last 20 games
              Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
              Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
              Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
              Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
              Minnesota Vikings
              Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
              Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
              Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
              Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
              Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-26-2019, 01:40 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                NFL
                Armadillo's Write-Up

                Week 13


                Bears (5-6) @ Lions (3-7-1)
                — Chicago is 5-0 when they allow 15 or fewer points, 0-6 when they allow more than 15; Bears lost five of last seven games, are 2-2 SU in true road games. Under Nagy, Chicago is 4-4 ATS as a road favorite, 1-1 TY. Bears’ last five games went under total. Detroit lost its last four games, none by more than 8 points; they’re 2-3 SU at home- since 2011, Lions are 7-16-1 ATS as a home underdog, 2-2 TY. Detroit scored 16+ points in nine of 11 games TY. Lions (+6.5) lost 20-13 in Chicago three weeks ago, despite outgaining Bears 357-226; Chicago won last three series games, by 7-12-7 points- their win here LY snapped a 5-game losing streak at Ford Field. Favorites are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.

                Bills (8-3) @ Cowboys (6-5)
                — Buffalo is 7-0 when it scores 17+ points, 1-3 when they don’t; Bills won four of five road road games, with lone loss 19-16 (+3) in Cleveland. Under McDermott, Bills are 9-6-2 ATS as a road underdog, 2-0-1 TY. Three of their last four games went under. Dallas didn’t score TD in rain in Foxboro LW, after scoring 14 TD’s on 41 drives in previous four games. Cowboys are 0-4 TY vs teams with winning record; they’re 3-2 SU at home, 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite, 3-2 TY. Five of their last seven games went over. Dallas won three of last four series games, winning 44-7/10-6 in last two played here (last one in ’11). NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 3-6 ATS this season; AFC East road dogs are 4-4-1.

                Saints (9-2) @ Falcons (3-8)
                — Atlanta (+13.5) stunned their rivals 26-9 in Superdome three weeks ago, sacking Brees six times; not often Saints play a game without scoring a TD- that was Saints’ only loss in last nine games. NO won its last four road games; they’re 9-3 ATS in ;last dozen games as a road favorite, 1-0 TY. Three of their last four road games went over. Atlanta laid an egg at home LW, after they had won couple in row; Falcons lost their last four home games- they’re 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog, 2-1 TY. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Falcons are 6-5 in last 11 series games; Teams split last eight series games played here. Underdogs are 7-3 ATS in last 10 series games.

                Packers (8-3) @ Giants (2-9)
                — Green Bay lost last two road games, scoring two TD’s on 18 drives; Pack is 4-6-1 ATS in last 11 games on artificial turf, 12-10 ATS in last 22 games as a road favorite- over last 11 years, GB is 28-22-1 ATS coming off a loss, 2-0 TY. Packers’ last three games went under. Giants lost their last seven games (2-5 ATS), with four of those losses by 7 or fewer points. Big Blue is 1-4 SU at home TY (beat Redskins 24-3); under Shurmur, they’re 1-8 ATS as a home underdog, 0-3 TY. During their 7-game losing skid, Giants were outscored 103-50 in second half. Three of their last four games went over. Home side won five of last six Packer-Giant games; Green Bay lost its last three visits here, last of which was in ’13.

                Redskins (2-9) @ Panthers (5-6)
                — Washington lost four of last five games; they’ve scored two offensive TD’s on their last 46 drives. Haskins got his first NFL win LW despite Redskins not scoring an offensive TD; their only TD cored on a punt return. Washington is 12-10 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog, 2-2 TY. Seven of their last eight games went under. Carolina lost last three games, allowing 29 ppg; they’re 2-3 SU at home- Panthers are 10-12 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite, 2-2 TY. Five of their last seven games went over. Carolina is 1-5 TY when it scores less than 30 points; they’ve got a -8 TO ratio in last five games. Carolina won five of last six series games, losing 23-17 here LY; dogs covered eight of last ten series games.

                49ers (10-1) @ Ravens (8-2)
                — 49ers are first team since ’07 Packers to be 10-1 or better and be an underdog of 6+ points; Niners are 3-0 ATS as an underdog TY. SF won its last two games, scoring 36-37 points; they scored 8 TD’s on last 22 drives. SF is 5-0 SU on road, with four wins by 9+ points. Four of their last five games went over. Short week for Baltimore after Monday nite game on west coast; Ravens won their last seven games, covered last five, scoring 43 ppg in four games since their bye- they ran ball for 488 yards in last two games. Baltimore is 4-8 ATS in last dozen games as a home favorite, 1-3 TY. Ravens won four of last five series games, including win in Super Bowl XLVII; Niners lost last two visits here, 16-6/44-6.

                Titans (6-5) @ Colts (6-5)
                — Indy (+3) won 19-17 in Nashville in Week 2, converting 7-14 on 3rd down in game where both sides averaged less than 4 yards/pass attempt. Colts won three in row, 19 of last 22 series games; favorites are 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 series games. Tennessee scored 77 points in its last two games, scoring 10 TD’s on 21 drives; they’ve scored 29.4 ppg in Tannehill’s five starts (4-1), all of which went over total. Titans are 2-3 sU on road, with three losses by 10+ points; under Vrabel, they’re 5-4 ATS as a road underdog, 2-2 TY. Colts lost three of last four games, with losses by total of nine points; Indy is 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite, 2-2 TY. Four of their six home games went over the total.

                Eagles (5-6) @ Dolphins (2-9)
                — Struggling Philly lost last two games, scoring total of 19 points in home losses to NE/Seattle, but they’re still only game out of first place in NFC East. Under Pederson, Eagles are 5-7 ATS as a road favorite, 0-1 TY. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Miami lost its last two games, giving up 78 points; they’ve covered five of last seven games, are 2-4 ATS as a home underdog TY. Dolphins are 0-8 SU this season when they give up more than 18 points. Eagles won three of last four series games, winning 26-10/34-17 in last two visits here; underdogs covered three of those four games. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 4-11 ATS TY, 1-5 on road. AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 8-7-1 ATS, 4-3 at home.

                Raiders (6-5) @ Chiefs (7-4)
                — Battle for first place in AFC West. Chiefs (-7) won 28-10 in Oakland in Week 2, throwing for 433 yards, averaging 9.4 yards/attempt. KC won 11 of last 13 series games; favorites covered six of last eight. Raiders lost their last six visits to Arrowhead (1-5 ATS), by average score of 27-11. Oakland got spanked 34-3 by the Jets LW; they’re 1-4 SU in true road games TY, are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog, 2-3 TY. Raiders are 0-5 when they allow 27+ points, 6-0 when they allow less than 27. Chiefs won four of last five post-bye games; they’re 3-4 in last seven games after a 4-0 start. KC

                Buccaneers (4-7) @ Jaguars (4-7)
                — Jacksonville lost its last three games, giving up 33.7 ppg, 233 RY/game. Jaguars are 11-22-1 ATS in last 34 games where spread was 3 or fewer points, 2-5 TY- they’re 1-5 SU when scoring less than 26 points. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Tampa Bay lost five of last seven games; they’re 3-12-2 ATS in last 17 games where spread was 3 or less points, 0-4 TY. Eight of their last nine games went over total. Bucs turned ball over 21 times in their last six games; they split their six true road games SU, are 2-5 SU TY in games decided by 7 or fewer points. Jaguars won three of last four series games, despite being the underdog in all four games; Bucs lost 41-14/17-10 in last two visits here.

                Jets (4-7) @ Bengals (0-11)
                — Jets won their last three games after a 1-7 start, scoring 34-34-34 points in their last three games; NYJ lost four of five road games, with lone win at Washington- they’re 9-17-2 ATS in last 28 road games, 2-3 TY. Four of their last five games went over. Dalton is back at QB for winless Bengals, who scored 17 or less points in their last six games; they completed less than half their passes the last two weeks. Bengals lost all five home games, with three losses by 10+ points- Cincy covered three of its last 12 home games, 1-4 TY. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Cincy won last two series games 49-9/23-22; Jets’ last series win was in 2010. AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 8-5 ATS, 2-2 at home.

                Rams (6-4) @ Cardinals (3-7-1)
                — Curious how Rams respond after 45-6 beating they took at home Monday nite. LA scored total of only 35 points in three post-bye games, scoring 2 TD’s on their last 34 drives, with three rookies staring on OL. Rams are 10-54 on 3rd down in their losses, 38-83 in wins. Arizona lost its last four games, covered last three; they’re are 1-3-1 SU at home TY, are 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games as a home underdog, 3-1 TY. In their last four games, Cardinals converted only 8-40 third down plays. Rams won/covered last four series games, winning last four visits here, last two by 33-0/34-0 scores. Arizona covered three of last four post-bye games. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 8-10 ATS this year.

                Chargers (4-7) @ Broncos (3-8)
                — Denver lost four of last five games, may turn to third QB of year and give rookie Lock his first NFL start- check status. Broncos were outscored 47-6 in last six quarters, since they led 20-0 at half in Minnesota two weeks ago. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Chargers are 4-7, with all seven losses by 7 or fewer points; Bolts are 2-3 SU in true road games, with losses by 3-2-2 points. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Broncos (+4.5) won 20-13 at Carson in Week 5, outrushing Chargers 191-35, with a +3 turnover ratio in a game they led 17-0 at half. LA’s only TD scored on a punt return. Chargers won 23-9 here LY, snapping 4-game skid in Denver. Bolts covered last three post-bye games.

                Browns (5-6) @ Steelers (6-5)
                — Cleveland (-3) beat Pitt 21-7 at home two weeks ago, snapping an 0-8-1 series skid in game where Garrett/Rudolph got into a scuffle late in game- looks like neither will play here, nor will Steelers’ C Pouncey. Browns lost their last 15 visits to Heinz Field (6-6 ATS in last 12); they’re favored here for first time since 1989. Pitt won five of last six games after a 1-4 start; 3rd-string QB Hodges (27-40/318 in three games, won his only start) will start here. Steelers are 5-0 when they allow less than 20 points, 1-5 when they allow more; seven of their last nine games went under. Cleveland won last three games (all at home); they lost last three road tlts. In their losses, Browns are -10 in turnovers; they’re +7 in their wins.

                Patriots (10-1) @ Texans (7-4)
                — New England beat Eagles/Cowboys last two weeks, allowing one TD on 23 drives; in their last five games, Patriots won field position by average of 14.6 ypg, given them a much shorter field to play on. NE has started 23 drives in enemy territory TY, their opponents started three drives in NE territory. Patriots are 17-11 ATS in last 28 games as a road favorite, 3-2 TY. Texans won four of five home games TY, with three wins by 3 or fewer points; since 2012, Houston is 4-9 ATS as a home underdog. Houston’s last four games went under. Patriots won last six series games (4-2 ATS); Texans lost last five visits to Foxboro by average score of 33-15. AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 9-5 ATS, 1-1 at home.

                Vikings (8-3) @ Seahawks (9-2)
                — Seahawks won last three games, winning last two in OT as Wilson carries team towards playoffs. Seattle is 5-11-1 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite, 1-4 TY- both their losses TY came at home. Six of their last nine games went over. Minnesota won six of last seven games after a 2-2 start; they are 3-3 SU on road, with favorites covering five of six games. Vikings are 5-10 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog, 1-3 TY- five of their last six games went over. Seattle won last four series games, all by 10+ points; Vikings lost last three visits here, with last win in ’06. Vikings are 2-8 SU/ATS in last ten post-bye games. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 8-9 ATS, 5-6 at home; NFCNorth road underdogs are 3-5 ATS.
                Last edited by Udog; 11-28-2019, 10:06 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  NFL
                  Dunkel

                  Week 13



                  Thursday, November 28

                  Chicago @ Detroit


                  Game 305-306
                  November 28, 2019 @ 12:30 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Chicago
                  129.072
                  Detroit
                  124.302
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Chicago
                  by 5
                  35
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Chicago
                  by 2 1/2
                  39
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Chicago
                  (-2 1/2); Under

                  Buffalo @ Dallas


                  Game 307-308
                  November 28, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Buffalo
                  129.046
                  Dallas
                  137.337
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Dallas
                  by 8 1/2
                  41
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Dallas
                  by 6 1/2
                  45 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Dallas
                  (-6 1/2); Under

                  New Orleans @ Atlanta


                  Game 309-310
                  November 28, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  New Orleans
                  133.985
                  Atlanta
                  130.325
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  New Orleans
                  by 3 1/2
                  51
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  New Orleans
                  by 7
                  48 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Atlanta
                  (+7); Over


                  Sunday, December 1

                  Tampa Bay @ Jacksonville


                  Game 463-464
                  December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Tampa Bay
                  131.496
                  Jacksonville
                  123,546
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Tampa Bay
                  by 8
                  51
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Jacksonville
                  by 1 1/2
                  48 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Tampa Bay
                  (+1 1/2); Over

                  Washington @ Carolina


                  Game 453-454
                  December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Washington
                  121.317
                  Carolina
                  127.274
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Carolina
                  by 6
                  38
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Carolina
                  by 10
                  40 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Washington
                  (+10); Under

                  Cleveland @ Pittsburgh


                  Game 471-472
                  December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Cleveland
                  135.409
                  Pittsburgh
                  129.726
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Cleveland
                  by 5 1/2
                  31
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Cleveland
                  by 1
                  40
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Cleveland
                  (-1); Under

                  San Francisco @ Baltimore


                  Game 455-456
                  December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  San Francisco
                  144.233
                  Baltimore
                  147.443
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Baltimore
                  by 3
                  42
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Baltimore
                  by 6
                  46
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  San Francisco
                  (+6); Under

                  NY Jets @ Cincinnati


                  Game 465-466
                  December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  NY Jets
                  129.243
                  Cincinnati
                  121.121
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  NY Jets
                  by 8
                  34
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  NY Jets
                  by 3 1/2
                  41
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  NY Jets
                  (-3 1/2); Under

                  Philadelphia @ Miami


                  Game 459-460
                  December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Philadelphia
                  132.612
                  Miami
                  120.443
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Philadelphia
                  by 12
                  53
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Philadelphia
                  by 8 1/2
                  46
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Philadelphia
                  (-8 1/2); Over

                  Green Bay @ NY Giants


                  Game 451-452
                  December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Green Bay
                  128.715
                  NY Giants
                  124.680
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Green Bay
                  by 4
                  48
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Green Bay
                  by 6 1/2
                  45 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  NY Giants
                  (+6 1/2); Over

                  Tennessee @ Indianapolis


                  Game 457-458
                  December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Tennessee
                  131.329
                  Indianapolis
                  136.040
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Indianapolis
                  by 4 1/2
                  47
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Indianapolis
                  by 2 1/2
                  43 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Indianapolis
                  (-2 1/2); Over

                  LA Rams @ Arizona


                  Game 467-468
                  December 1, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  LA Rams
                  131.973
                  Arizona
                  125.884
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  LA Rams
                  by 6
                  44
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  LA Rams
                  by 3
                  46 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  LA Rams
                  (-3); Under

                  LA Chargers @ Denver


                  Game 469-470
                  December 1, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  LA Chargers
                  132.859
                  Denver
                  127.510
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  LA Chargers
                  by 5 1/2
                  34
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  LA Chargers
                  by 2 1/2
                  38 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  LA Chargers
                  (-2 1/2); Under

                  Oakland @ Kansas City


                  Game 461-462
                  December 1, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Oakland
                  127.242
                  Kansas City
                  134.419
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Kansas City
                  by 7
                  54
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Kansas City
                  by 10
                  51
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Oakland
                  (+10); Over

                  New England @ Houston


                  Game 473-474
                  December 1, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  New England
                  137.224
                  Houston
                  138.648
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Houston
                  by 1 1/2
                  51
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  New England
                  by 3 1/2
                  44 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Houston
                  (+3 1/2); Over


                  Monday December 2

                  Minnesota @ Seattle


                  Game 475-476
                  December 2, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Minnesota
                  137.174
                  Seattle
                  135.802
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Minnesota
                  by 1 1/2
                  54
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Seattle
                  by 3
                  49
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Minnesota
                  (+3); Over
                  Last edited by Udog; 11-26-2019, 10:13 PM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Thanksgiving Day Trends

                    The annual NFL Thanksgiving Day slate has arrived and this year’s three-game card will feature a pair of rematches from the 2018 holiday card.

                    Detroit and Dallas will once again be hosts as they welcome Chicago and Buffalo respectively. In the primetime game, Atlanta and New Orleans will go head-to-head in a divisional clash.

                    Be sure to check out the latest sports betting trends for all three Thanksgiving Day matchups and the past history.

                    Trends for Detroit-Chicago

                    -- After winning four straight games on the holiday from 2013 to 2016, the Lions have dropped their last two games on Thanksgiving Day.

                    -- Prior to the 4-0 run, the Lions had lost nine straight games on Thanksgiving between 2004 and 2012.

                    -- Detroit has seen the 'over' go 9-4 in its last 13 games played on Thanksgiving Day.

                    -- This will be the 10th meeting between Chicago and Detroit on the holiday and it will also be a rematch from last year's Thanksgiving Day matchup.

                    -- The Lions own a 5-4 record in the first nine holiday encounters.

                    -- Chicago captured a 23-16 win over Detroit last season, covering as a three-point road favorite while the 'under' (42.5) also connected. In 2014, Detroit doubled-up Chicago with a 34-17 victory.

                    -- The Bears have gone 4-7 all-time in the Thanksgiving Day afternoon matchups, which includes a 4-5 record versus the Lions and 0-2 against the Cowboys.
                    Trends for Dallas-Buffalo
                    -- Dallas owns an all-time 31-19-1 record on Thanksgiving Day.

                    -- The Cowboys defeated Washington 31-23 last season on the holiday, covering as a seven-point favorite. The 'over' (40) cashed as the pair exploded with 37 points in the second-half.

                    -- Prior to that win, Dallas had dropped three of its last four games on the holiday and the only wins in the last five years on Thanksgiving have both come against Washington. All three of the losses came by double digits.

                    -- Dallas has allowed 29.3 points per game in its last seven holiday matchups.

                    -- Buffalo owns a 0-2 all-time record on the holiday, its last appearance coming in the 1994 season. Both games were against the Lions and the Bills were blown out in each contest (35-21, 27-14).

                    Thanksgiving History - Detroit
                    Year Matchup
                    2018 Chicago 23 Detroit 16
                    2017 Minnesota 30 Detroit 23
                    2016 Detroit 16 Minnesota 13
                    2015 Detroit 45 Philadelphia 14
                    2014 Detroit 34 Chicago 17
                    2013 Detroit 40 Green Bay 10
                    2012 Houston 34 Detroit 31 (OT)
                    2011 Green Bay 27 Detroit 15
                    2010 New England 45 Detroit 24
                    2009 Green Bay 34 Detroit 12
                    2008 Tennessee 47 Detroit 10
                    2007 Green Bay 37 Detroit 26
                    2006 Miami 27 Detroit 10
                    2005 Atlanta 27 Detroit 7
                    2004 Indianapolis 41 Detroit 9
                    2003 Detroit 22 Green Bay 14
                    2002 New England 20 Detroit 12
                    2001 Green Bay 29 Detroit 27
                    2000 Detroit 34 New England 9
                    1999 Detroit 21 Chicago 17
                    1998 Detroit 19 Pittsburgh 16 (OT)
                    1997 Detroit 55 Chicago 20
                    1996 Kansas City 28 Detroit 24
                    1995 Detroit 44 Minnesota 38
                    1994 Detroit 35 Buffalo 21
                    1993 Chicago 10 Detroit 6
                    1992 Houston 24 Detroit 21
                    1991 Detroit 16 Chicago 6
                    1990 Detroit 40 Denver 27
                    1989 Detroit 13 Cleveland 10
                    1988 Minnesota 23 Detroit 0
                    1987 Kansas City 27 Detroit 20
                    1986 Green Bay 44 Detroit 40
                    1985 Detroit 31 N.Y. Jets 20
                    1984 Detroit 31 Green Bay 28
                    1983 Detroit 45 Pittsburgh 3
                    1982 N.Y. Giants 13 Detroit 6
                    1981 Detroit 27 Kansas City 10
                    1980 Chicago 23 Detroit 17 (OT)
                    1979 Detroit 20 Chicago 0
                    1978 Detroit 17 Denver 14
                    1977 Chicago 31 Detroit 14
                    1976 Detroit 27 Buffalo 14
                    1975 L.A. 20 Detroit 0
                    1974 Denver 31 Detroit 27
                    1973 Washington 20 Detroit 0
                    1972 Detroit 37 N.Y. Jets 20
                    1971 Detroit 32 Kansas City 21
                    1970 Detroit 28 Oakland 14
                    1969 Minnesota 27 Detroit 0
                    1968 Philadelphia 12 Detroit 0
                    1967 L.A. Rams 31 Detroit 7

                    Thanksgiving History - Dallas
                    Year Matchup
                    2018 Dallas 31 Washingon 23
                    2017 L.A. Chargers 28 Dallas 6
                    2016 Dallas 31 Washington 26
                    2015 Carolina 33 Dallas 14
                    2014 Philadelphia 33 Dallas 10
                    2013 Dallas 31 Oakland 24
                    2012 Dallas 31 Washington 38
                    2011 Dallas 20 Miami 19
                    2010 New Orleans 30 Dallas 27
                    2009 Dallas 24 Oakland 7
                    2008 Dallas 34 Seattle 9
                    2007 Dallas 34 N.Y. Jets 3
                    2006 Dallas 38 Tampa Bay 10
                    2005 Denver 24 Dallas 21 (OT)
                    2004 Dallas 21 Chicago 7
                    2003 Miami 40 Dallas 21
                    2002 Dallas 27 Washington 20
                    2001 Denver 26 Dallas 24
                    2000 Minnesota 27 Dallas 15
                    1999 Dallas 20 Miami 0
                    1998 Minnesota 46 Dallas 36
                    1997 Tennessee 27 Dallas 14
                    1996 Dallas 21 Washington 10
                    1995 Dallas 24 Kansas City 12
                    1994 Dallas 42 Green Bay 31
                    1993 Miami 16 Dallas 14
                    1992 Dallas 30 N.Y. Giants 3
                    1991 Dallas 20 Pittsburgh 10
                    1990 Dallas 27 Washington 17
                    1989 Philadelphia 27 Dallas 0
                    1988 Houston 25 Dallas 17
                    1987 Minnesota 44 Dallas 38 (OT)
                    1986 Seattle 31 Dallas 14
                    1985 Dallas 35 St. Louis 17
                    1984 Dallas 20 New England 17
                    1983 Dallas 35 St. Louis 17
                    1982 Dallas 31 Cleveland 14
                    1981 Dallas 10 Chicago 9
                    1980 Dallas 51 Seattle 7
                    1979 Houston 30 Dallas 24
                    1978 Dallas 37 Washington 10
                    1976 Dallas 19 St. Louis 14
                    1974 Dallas 24 Washington 23
                    1973 Miami 14 Dallas 7
                    1972 San Francisco 31 Dallas 10
                    1971 Dallas 28 Los Angeles 21
                    1970 Dallas 16 Green Bay 3
                    1969 Dallas 24 San Francisco 24
                    1968 Dallas 29 Washington 20
                    1967 Dallas 46 St. Louis 21


                    Trends for New Orleans-Atlanta

                    -- This will be the 14th season that the NFL will have a night game on Thanksgiving Day. The primetime game began in 2006.

                    -- Home teams have gone 9-4 straight up during this span.

                    -- Favorites own a 11-2 straight up and 10-3 against the spread record.

                    -- Ten of the 13 outcomes have been decided by double digits.

                    -- The 'under' has gone 9-4 during this span.

                    -- New Orleans defeated Atlanta 31-17 last season from the Superdome as favorites (-12.5) while the 'under' (61.5) was never in doubt.

                    -- The Falcons have played in the Thanksgiving night game twice and they're 0-2, both losses coming by double digits.

                    Thanksgiving History - Night Game (2006-2018)
                    Year Matchup
                    2018 New Orleans Saints 31 vs. Atlanta Falcons 17
                    2017 Washington Redskins 20 vs. New York Giants 10
                    2016 Pittsburgh Steelers 28 at Indianapolis Colts 7
                    2015 Chicago Bears 17 at Green Bay Packers 13
                    2014 Seattle Seahawks 19 at San Francisco 49ers 3
                    2013 Baltimore Ravens 22 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 20
                    2012 New England Patriots 49 at New York Jets 19
                    2011 Baltimore Ravens 16 vs. San Francisco 49ers 6
                    2010 New York Jets 26 vs. Cincinnati Bengals 10
                    2009 Denver Broncos 26 vs. New York Giants 6
                    2008 Philadelphia Eagles 48 vs. Arizona Cardinals 20
                    2007 Indianapolis Colts 31 at Atlanta Falcons 13
                    2006 Kansas City Chiefs 19 vs. Denver Broncos 10
                    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-26-2019, 01:42 PM.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 13 odds: It's time to take the Titans
                      Jason Logan

                      If you’re sold on the Titans and their sudden offensive surge, you may want to get down on Tennessee +3 before a move under the field goal. The Titans have posted an average of more than 29 points over their last five games.

                      Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team but betting the best number.

                      Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

                      Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL Week 13 board.

                      SPREAD TO BET NOW: TENNESSEE TITANS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-3, 43.5)

                      The Titans opened as 3.5-point underdogs on the road in Indianapolis for Week 13 and money on Tennessee has cut that half point hook off the visitor. And it may not stop there. The juice on Colts -3 has been discounted, as books are panning for action on the home side.

                      If you’re sold on the Titans and their sudden offensive surge, you may want to get down on Tennessee +3 before a move under the field goal. The Titans have posted an average of more than 29 points over their last five games and have totaled 77 points in the last two games. To put that turnaround into perspective, Tennessee totalled only 98 points in the first six weeks of the schedule (43 of those coming in Week 1).

                      Indianapolis has a mini bye to prep for this AFC South showdown but is coming off a crushing loss to Houston last Thursday – a defeat that could spoil their postseason chances at the end of the year. The Colts offense has struggled to produce this month and faces a Titans defense ranked 10th in points against at 19.7 points per outing.


                      SPREAD TO BET LATER: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT MIAMI DOLPHINS (+8.5, 46)

                      It didn’t take long for the betting public to sour on the Dolphins’ sudden success. Miami was one of the hottest bets in football entering Week 11, covering the spread in five straight before losing SU and ATS to Buffalo. Even with that blip, the public was still playing the points with the Fins in Sunday’s date in Cleveland.

                      The Browns destroyed Miami and that set the table for this spread, which opened at Eagles -8 and has jumped as high as -9. If you’re seeking for value on the Dolphins at home in Week 13, push pause on your betting and see if this one sneaks to +9.5 or even +10 by kickoff.

                      Philadelphia is desperate for a victory after losing at home to Seattle. If the Eagles are to catch the Cowboys in the NFC East, that climb begins this Sunday. Philly, however, has sputtered with the football, scoring just 13.7 points per game over its last three outings and asking this offense to cover this large a spread may be too much.


                      TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 46 GREEN BAY PACKERS AT NEW YORK GIANTS

                      The Packers come to East Rutherford licking their wounds after a rough outing in San Francisco Sunday night, scoring only eight points in a one-sided loss to the Niners. Green Bay hasn’t looked sharp with the football the past three games, averaging just over two touchdowns per contest in that span. The Cheeseheads will focus on stopping the football heading into Week 13 after this defense was rolled for 37 points by San Francisco.

                      New York isn’t exactly setting the scoreboard on fire either, managing only 14 points in Chicago this past weekend. The Giants defense is also lacking but gets to come home after two straight road games, and the extended forecast for East Rutherford is calling for cold and rain which could make moving the football a little more challenging for both teams.

                      This Over/Under opened 46.5 and has dropped to 46. If you like the Under in this matchup, it may be best to play it now before action on a lower-scoring finish drives this number down further.


                      TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 44.5 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT HOUSTON TEXANS

                      If the Patriots are going to win this one, it will be on the shoulders of their stop unit. The New England defense is tops in the NFL and – outside of getting crushed by Baltimore with 37 points – has checked each of its last four opponents to less than two touchdowns against.

                      The Patriots offense continues to get stuck in the mud and may not be able to keep up if this game turns into a shootout versus a high-powered Houston passing attack. With the public expected to be playing the Pats, I see this total ticking downward a touch before the weekend.

                      If you like the Over in this game, wait it out and see if this goes to 44 or 43.5. As mentioned, the Texans have a high-flying attack and this game will be played on the clean indoor track inside NRG Stadium. This is the first time Brady & Co. will play inside all season, so they could find another gear in Houston Sunday night.
                      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-26-2019, 01:43 PM.

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                      • #12
                        Best spot bets for the NFL Week 13 odds: Jets could hit 'letdown' turbulence in Cincy
                        Jason Logan

                        New York is 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS as a visitor this season and going back to 2015, Gang Green is a dismal 12-21-3 ATS on the road. The Jets are 3.5-point road chalk at Cincinnati in Week 13.

                        As the schedule shrinks, the pressure mounts for those teams playing for the postseason. On the flip side, Thanksgiving can be the tipping point for those on the outside looking in and motivation – or lack thereof - is a factor in the final weeks.

                        That makes squeezing every bit of edge you can get from the schedule that much more important. We’re talking about situational handicapping: lookaheads, letdowns and tough schedule spots.

                        Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan digs into the Week 13 slate and gives his favorite spot bets.

                        LETDOWN SPOT: NEW YORK JETS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (+3.5, 41)

                        The J-E-T-S are soaring on a three-game winning streak after an upset over Oakland at home in Week 12. New York last won three in a row back in 2017 (Weeks 3-5) and while these recent victories include cupcakes like the Giants and Redskins, Sunday’s 34-3 squash of the Raiders has hopes sky high in the Big Apple.

                        But what goes up, must come down. And it’s tough to stay that high when you’re facing a winless Cincinnati Bengals team on the road during Thanksgiving Week. The Bengals are bad but haven’t been “that” bad the past two games, covering in a 17-10 loss at Oakland and – depending on where you got Cincy +6.5 to +5.5 – keeping competitive in a 16-10 loss to Pittsburgh Sunday.

                        The Jets offense, which has hung a trio of 34-point scores on the board during this streak, averages only 17.4 points per road stop. New York is 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS as a visitor this season and going back to 2015, Gang Green is a dismal 12-21-3 ATS on the road.


                        LOOKAHEAD SPOT: OAKLAND RAIDERS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-10, 51.5)

                        Sunday’s divisional dance with the Raiders is an important game to the Chiefs, who are trying to fend off Oakland in the AFC West. But, as the 10-point spread indicates, it should be an easier win for Kansas City this Sunday.

                        Well, that’s if the Chiefs avoid looking ahead to a big-time battle with the New England Patriots in Week 14. That’s easier said than done. Kansas City is shipping up to Boston next weekend for a revenge game against Tom Brady and the Pats, who knocked off K.C. in the AFC Championship Game with a thrilling 37-31 overtime victory at Arrowhead last January.

                        And while the Raiders may have been pantsed (full butt cheeks) by the Jets in Week 12, this team was riding a three-game win streak before that tough schedule spot (which we highlighted in this article last week). Sunday's spread flirted with Chiefs -9.5 before Oakland ruled out emerging WR Hunter Renfrow with a bad rib/lung injury.


                        SCHEDULE SPOT: GREEN BAY PACKERS AT NEW YORK GIANTS (+6.5, 45.5)

                        I’ll be honest: it was slim pickings for a schedule spot this week. The Thanksgiving Thursday games are always tough on teams due to the quick turnaround and distractions that come with playing on the holiday (away from family, getting tickets for everyone, postgame plans and travel).

                        So, we turn to the Packers, who are playing their second straight road game in Week 13 after travelling all the way to the Bay Area just to have their asses waxed by the 49ers on Sunday Night Football in Week 12. They’re now giving a near touchdown to the Giants this weekend.

                        Green Bay benefited from a very home-friendly slate to open the schedule – playing on the road only twice in the first seven weeks. But the Cheeseheads have hit the highway hard in the past month or so, with Sunday’s stop in East Rutherford marking their fourth road tilt in the past five outings (with a Week 11 bye thrown in there).
                        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-26-2019, 01:44 PM.

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                        • #13
                          NFL Betting Stats heading into Wk 13:

                          Road Teams: 98-74-4 ATS
                          Home Teams: 74-98-4 ATS

                          Favorites: 76-96-4 ATS
                          Underdogs: 96-76-4 ATS

                          Home Faves: 45-67-4 ATS
                          Home Dogs: 29-31 ATS

                          Road Faves: 31-29 ATS
                          Road Dogs: 67-45-4 ATS

                          O/U: 84-92
                          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-26-2019, 01:44 PM.

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                          • #14
                            Tech Trends - Week 13
                            Bruce Marshall

                            Thursday, Nov. 28

                            CHICAGO at DETROIT (FOX, 12:30 p.m. ET)

                            Lions have failed to cover last 2 on Thanksgiving, had covered previous 4, but no covers preceding nine on Turkey Day. Detroit no covers last six this season but Bears just 1-6 last seven vs. line. Bears “under” 14-3 since late 2018, and “unders” 6-2 last 8 in series.
                            Tech Edge: “Under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                            BUFFALO at DALLAS (CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET)
                            Cowboys just 1-7 last 8 as Thanksgiving host. Bills on 8-3-1 spread run last 12 since late LY, also “under” 9-4 last 11. Buffalo 6-0-2 last 8 as dog.
                            Tech Edge: Bills and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                            NEW ORLEANS at ATLANTA (NFL, 8:20 p.m. ET)
                            Saints on 7-2 spread run, though one L was vs. Falcs three weeks ago. Atlanta 3-1 vs. line last 4 TY after dropping previous five vs. spread. Saints had won and covered three meetings previous to Nov. 10 clash. Falcs “under” 12-7 since mid 2018.
                            Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.



                            Sunday, Dec. 1

                            GREEN BAY at N.Y. GIANTS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                            G-Men just 1-7 vs. spread last 7 at MetLife. Giants “over” 8-5 since late 2018.
                            Tech Edge: Pack and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                            WASHINGTON at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                            Skins 4-7 vs. line TY, 6-11 last 17 since late 2018. Panthers 6-3 last nine vs. line TY. Skins 8-4 “under” since late LY.
                            Tech Edge: "Under" and slight to Panthers, based on “totals” and team trends..


                            SAN FRANCISCO at BALTIMORE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                            Ravens had won last 7 SU and covered last 5 afterMonday vs. Rams. Though Balt had covered last 2 at home, Ravens only 3-7-1 last 11 vs. spread at M&T Bank Stadium. Niners 3-0 as dog TY, also “over” 4-1 last 5.
                            Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to 49ers, based on “totals” and team trends.


                            TENNESSEE at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                            Titans 1-3 vs. line last four away, home team has covered last six Tenn games. Colts have won and covered last three meetings.
                            Tech Edge: Colts, based on series trends.


                            PHILADELPHIA at MIAMI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                            Birds only 10-19-1 vs. points in reg season since late 2017.
                            Tech Edge: Slight to Dolphins, based on team trends.


                            CLEVELAND at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                            Brownies have covered 5 of last 6 in series, though Cleve 4-6-1 vs. line TY. Steel “under” 9-3 since late 2018.
                            Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Browns, based on “totals” and series trends.


                            TAMPA BAY at JACKSONVILLE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                            Bucs “over” 10-2 since late 2018. Jags “over” 7-4 in 2019.
                            Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.


                            N.Y. JETS at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
                            J-Men won and covered 3 in a row TY, Cincy 0-4-1 vs. line at home TY, 1-9-1 last 11 vs. spread at Paul Brown, Bengals “under” 10-4-2 since late 2018.
                            Tech Edge: Slight to Jets and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


                            L.A. RAMS at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
                            Cards 5-2 vs. line last 7 TY but that includes L on fluke last play TD by Niners on Nov. 17. Cards “over” 8-4 last 12 since late 2018. Rams have won and covered last 4 meetings (two shutouts vs. pre-Kingsbury Cards). Rams 9-4 vs. line last 13 reg seas after Ravens loss.
                            Tech Edge: Rams, based on series and “totals” trends.


                            OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
                            Chiefs 9-1 SU last 10 in series and have won six straight vs. Raiders at Arrowhead. Also covered 4 of last 6 hosting Oak. Though KC just 2-7 vs. spread last 9 at home in reg season. Gruden 5-1 as dog TY. “Unders” 6-2 last 8 meetings.
                            Tech Edge: Slight to Chiefs and "under," based on series and "totals" trends.


                            L.A. CHARGERS at DENVER (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)

                            Road team has won and covered last three meetings. Broncos “under” 16-4 since mid 2018. Bolts “under” 9-3 since late 2018.
                            Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Broncos, based on “totals” and team trends.


                            NEW ENGLAND at HOUSTON (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
                            Belichick 4-0 SU, 3-1 vs. line against Texans last four seasons. Houston 1-4 vs. line at home TY, 2-6 last 8 since late 2018, and “under” 9-4 since late LY. Belichick 8-3 vs. line L11 as visitor. Belichick also “under” 16-4 last 20 reg season.
                            Tech Edge: Patriots and “under,” based on Belichick and “totals” trends.



                            Monday, Dec. 2

                            MINNESOTA at SEATTLE (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)

                            Vikes 4-6 vs. line last ten away (3-3 TY), including loss at Hawks last December. Zimmer 3-5 as dog since LY (1-2 TY), and Vikes “over” last 3 away TY. Hawks 1-4 vs. spread at home TY (and needed OT vs. Bucs to get cover), also “over” 10-4 since late 2018.
                            Tech Edge: Vikes, based on team trends.
                            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-26-2019, 01:45 PM.

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                            • #15
                              by: Josh Inglis


                              COWBOYS VS. THE MAFIA

                              The Buffalo Bills have faced one team with a winning record this year. Playing the likes of Miami, the New Yorks and Washington hasn’t done them any favors in the power rankings. This Thanksgiving, Josh Allen and boys in blue will head down to Jerry’s World and take on the 6-5 Cowboys.

                              Dallas loves the play action and sits ninth in the league in PA plays at 27 percent and is getting nine yards per play-action call. The Bills will be up to the challenge as they have the league’s third-best play-action defense. Dallas has played three Top-10 play-action defenses and lost each of those games (Saints, Jets, and Patriots) while not hitting their team total in all three.

                              Only one team has scored more than 26 points against the Bills this year and Buffalo ranks third in total yards allowed on the road at just over 300. We are taking the Cowboys’ team total Under 26.5, and with the Over currently at -135 that total might slip higher towards game day.


                              TOOTING TRUBISKY

                              Do you want to be the talk of Thanksgiving dinner? It all starts with you telling everyone that Mitch Trubisky is a great quarterback all day leading up to the Bears and Lions kickoff at 12:30 pm ET. We all know that Mitchell is a below-average signal caller, but with his career stats versus the Lions, you could look like a genius by tooting the Trubisky horn.

                              “Mediocre Mitch” has six touchdowns and zero interceptions over his last two games versus the Lions and has averaged 255 yards passing in his four starts against Detroit. That should help his confidence, but also the fact that Matt Patricia’s defense is allowing more passing yards at home than any other team in the league also helps the cause.

                              Hitting the Over 228.5 Trubisky passing yards prop will get you credibility for the remainder of the football day – and maybe right into Christmas. If you’re really greedy (and deep down, we all are), the Over 1.5 TDs has value at +120.


                              EASY BREESY

                              We were tricked about the Atlanta Falcons defense over Weeks 10 and 11. Even though it allowed just 12 points in two games and zero TDs in 10 quarters, Atlanta still gave up 612 yards passing and 63 completions which would put it in dead-last in both of those categories. Jameis Winston and the Bucs proved those two games were anomalies as Tampa Bay passed for 313 yards and put up 35 points.

                              Drew Brees has averaged 296 passing yards and 31 completions against three Bottom-10 DVOA pass defenses over the last four weeks. We are getting on the Over on Brees’ 26.5 completions - a number he has topped in every game he has finished this year.


                              ZEKE AND DESTROY

                              The Bills are 24th in rushing TDs allowed per game this year as they sit 26th in DVOA rush defense. Ezekiel Elliot has just one rushing touchdown in his last four games, so Zeke is due to cross the plane especially with an offensive game plan that should feature the run.

                              Last year on Thanksgiving, Elliott rushed for 121 yards and scored twice - one rushing and one receiving. He missed the 2017 Thanksgiving Day game but scored four TDs in 2016 - two rushing and two receiving.

                              We’re putting our money on the Thanksgiving Day money-maker and taking the Over 0.5 Elliott rushing TDs at -104.


                              TURKEY TIME 6-POINT TEASER

                              We hit our prime-time six-point teaser last week for +160 and keep things rolling with our holiday version of the three-team, six-point teaser for +160, as well.

                              Chicago (+3) will face either Jeff Driskel and his injured hamstring or … David Blough. The Bears already have a victory over the Lions in November while the Lions haven’t won by more than four points all year.

                              Buffalo (+12.5) has had an easy schedule to date with their two most difficult matchups both losses. But QB Josh Allen has traveled well and has his team 4-1 on the road this year with the only blemish a 16-13 loss in Cleveland. It’s tough to get up two TDs versus the Bills’ Top-5 pass defense.

                              New Orleans (-0.5) has over 1,000 yards of offense over its last three games and will face the Falcons without their No.1 TE and possibly their No.1 WR in Julio Jones. The Falcons were slapped back to reality after getting spanked 35-22 by the Bucs and proving that this is a Bottom-5 defense.
                              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-28-2019, 02:20 AM.

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