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CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 20 (Fri., Oct. 25 - Sat., Oct. 26)

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  • CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 20 (Fri., Oct. 25 - Sat., Oct. 26)

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, October 25 - Saturday, October 26

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    CFL Betting Notes - Week 20
    David Schwab

    Heading into the stretch run of the CFL regular season, Friday’s betting action started with Montreal squeezing past Toronto 27-24 closing as a heavy 10 ½-point home favorite. Later that night, Saskatchewan kept its West Division title hopes alive with a 27-19 road victory against British Columbia as a 7 ½-point favorite.

    The two Saturday games in Week 19 saw Hamilton roll over Ottawa 33-12 to cover as a heavy 17-point home favorite ahead of Calgary’s crucial 37-33 home victory against Winnipeg as a 6 ½-point favorite.

    Friday, Oct. 25

    Calgary Stampeders (11-5 SU, 5-10-1 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-7 SU, 11-6 ATS)
    Point-spread: Calgary -2
    Total: 48


    Game Overview

    Calgary comes into the backend of this West Division home-and-home series tied with Saskatchewan for first place in the standings. The Stampeders have won six of their last seven games straight-up with a costly 2-4-1 record against the spread over the same span. Reggie Begelton helped pace Saturday’s win with three catches for touchdowns as part of four receptions on the day for 62 yards. Josh Huff caught six balls for 121 yards as part of Bo Levi Mitchell’s 337 passing yards in that game.

    The loss has Winnipeg eying the third playoff seed in the West with a game and a half lead over Edmonton. The Blue Bombers are limping down the stretch with just two SU wins over their last seven games. They are 6-3 ATS in their last nine contests with the total going OVER in three of their last five games. They are 6-2 ATS this season playing at home. Chris Streveler threw for just 134 yards in Saturday’s loss but he was the team’s leading rusher with 85 yards on 15 carries. Justin Medlock did go 4-for-4 kicking field goals.

    Betting Trends

    --Calgary has won 20 of its last 24 games against the Blue Bombers SU and it has gone 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine road games against its division rivals. The total has gone OVER in nine of the last 13 meetings in Winnipeg.


    Saturday, Oct. 26

    Hamilton Tiger-Cats (13-3 SU, 11-4-1 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS)

    Point-spread: Hamilton -2 ½
    Total: 53 ½

    Game Overview

    The Tiger-Cats split an early season home-and-home series against Montreal with the home team winning each matchup SU and ATS. They had already clinched the East Division crown but now they have the edge for the best record in the CFL regular season. Hamilton is 5-3 ATS on the road this year and 8-3-1 ATS when closing as a favorite. The total has stayed UNDER in five of its last eight games. Dane Evans had another productive game at quarterback with 452 yards passing and one touchdown throw. He now has 17 touchdown passes on the year.

    Montreal is locked in as the No.2 seed in the East Division and it will face a crossover team from the West in the opening round of the playoffs. With Friday’s win, the Alouettes are 6-3 SU in their last nine games with a 5-4 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four contests. Vernon Adams Jr. completed 16-of-23 passing attempts for 249 yards and three touchdowns in Montreal’s win against Toronto. Two of those scoring throws came in the fourth quarter to help seal the win.

    Betting Trends

    --Hamilton has won seven of its last 10 games against Montreal SU and it has a 4-2 edge ATS in the last six meetings. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven matchups between these two East Division rivals.

    Ottawa RedBlacks (3-13 SU, 5-11 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (3-13 SU, 7-7-2 ATS)
    Point-spread: Toronto -5
    Total: 52 ½


    Game Overview

    The RedBlacks are trying to avoid the season sweep against their East Division rivals after losing the first two games in the series both SU and ATS. The total went OVER in each of those games. They are also trying to snap an extended nine-game losing streak SU with a 2-7 record ATS. The total stayed UNDER in their latest loss and it has stayed UNDER in four of their last five outings. Will Arndt got the call at quarterback against Hamilton and he was held to 112 yards passing while completing 17 of his 30 passing attempts. Brendan Gillanders added 50 yards on the ground as the only Ottawa player to gain yards running the ball.

    Toronto is 3-2-1 ATS in its last six games with Friday’s cover. The total has gone OVER in four of those six games. The Argonauts have posted a 2-1-1 record ATS in their last four home games and the total has gone OVER in four of their last six games played at home. McLeod Bethel-Thompson played one of his best games of the season in the losing cause on Friday with 342 yards passing and two touchdown throws. He completed an efficient 77.8 percent of his 45 passing attempts. On the year, he has a CFL-high 24 passing touchdowns against 13 interceptions.

    Betting Trends

    --With the two wins earlier this season, Toronto is now 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in its last six games against the RedBlacks. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last nine meetings in the East Division tilt.

    Saskatchewan Roughriders (11-5 SU, 11-5 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (8-8 SU, 5-11 ATS)
    Point-spread: Saskatchewan -1
    Total: 48


    Game Overview

    Saskatchewan comes into this season-ending home-and-home series against Edmonton with a 5-2 record ATS on the road this season. This will be the first meeting this year between these two West Division foes. The Roughriders have covered in their last four games and they are 9-3 ATS over their past 12 games. Cody Fajardo stayed hot at quarterback in Friday’s win with 224 yards passing and a score while completing 21 of his 26 passing attempts. On the year, he has thrown for 3,873 yards with 16 touchdown throws against eight interceptions.

    The Eskimos clinched the final playoff spot heading into last week’s bye with a 19-6 victory against BC as 2 ½-point home underdogs. They have won two of their last three games SU following a four-game losing streak. This was the first time Edmonton covered the spread over its last seven games. It is 3-5 ATS in eight previous home games this season. Defense rose to the occasion against the Lions last time out with backup quarterback Logan Kilgore still struggling to get this offense into the end zone through the air.

    Betting Trends

    --Edmonton has a slight 6-4 SU edge in what has been a tight series the past few seasons with Saskatchewan 6-4 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in six of those 10 games and it has stayed UNDER in three of the last four meetings.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-25-2019, 12:33 PM.

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    • #3
      CFL
      Long Sheet

      Week 20


      Friday, October 25

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      CALGARY (11 - 5) at WINNIPEG (10 - 7) - 10/25/2019, 8:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CALGARY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
      CALGARY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a division game this season.
      WINNIPEG is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
      CALGARY is 139-107 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
      CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      Saturday, October 26

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      HAMILTON (13 - 3) at MONTREAL (9 - 7) - 10/26/2019, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MONTREAL is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
      MONTREAL is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      HAMILTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
      HAMILTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
      HAMILTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
      HAMILTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.
      HAMILTON is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
      MONTREAL is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      HAMILTON is 4-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
      HAMILTON is 4-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      OTTAWA (3 - 13) at TORONTO (3 - 13) - 10/26/2019, 4:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OTTAWA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
      TORONTO is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 since 1996.
      TORONTO is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TORONTO is 4-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
      TORONTO is 5-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      SASKATCHEWAN (11 - 5) at EDMONTON (8 - 8) - 10/26/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
      EDMONTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) off a division game this season.
      EDMONTON is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in games played on turf this season.
      EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
      EDMONTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      EDMONTON is 2-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
      EDMONTON is 2-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      CFL

      Week 20


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      Trend Report
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      Friday, October 25

      Winnipeg Blue Bombers
      Winnipeg is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games
      Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
      Winnipeg is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home
      Winnipeg is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 11 games at home
      Winnipeg is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games when playing Calgary
      Winnipeg is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Calgary
      Winnipeg is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Calgary
      The total has gone OVER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 13 games when playing at home against Calgary
      Calgary Stampeders
      Calgary is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Calgary's last 23 games
      Calgary is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Calgary is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 10 games on the road
      Calgary is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing Winnipeg
      Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
      Calgary is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
      The total has gone OVER in 9 of Calgary's last 13 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg


      Saturday, October 26

      Montreal Alouettes
      Montreal is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      Montreal is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
      Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games at home
      Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
      Montreal is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Hamilton
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing Hamilton
      Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
      Montreal is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Hamilton
      Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
      Hamilton Tiger-Cats
      Hamilton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
      Hamilton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Hamilton's last 12 games
      Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
      Hamilton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
      Hamilton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 7 games when playing Montreal
      Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
      Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
      Hamilton is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Montreal

      Toronto Argonauts
      Toronto is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
      Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
      Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
      Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Ottawa
      Toronto is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Ottawa
      Toronto is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Ottawa
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
      Ottawa RedBlacks
      Ottawa is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
      Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games
      Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
      Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing Toronto
      Ottawa is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
      Ottawa is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto

      Edmonton Eskimos
      Edmonton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
      Edmonton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
      Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Edmonton is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games at home
      Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
      Edmonton is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Saskatchewan
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
      Edmonton is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
      Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
      Saskatchewan Roughriders
      Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Saskatchewan is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
      Saskatchewan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      Saskatchewan is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
      Saskatchewan is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Edmonton
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
      Saskatchewan is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      Saskatchewan is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton


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      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-25-2019, 12:37 PM.

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      • #4
        CFL
        Dunkel

        Week 20

        Friday, October 25


        Calgary @ Winnipeg

        Game 689-690
        October 25, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Calgary
        117.331
        Winnipeg
        116.777
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Calgary
        by 1
        57
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Calgary
        by 3
        47 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Winnipeg
        (+3); Over


        Saturday, October 26

        Hamilton @ Montreal


        Game 691-692
        October 26, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Hamilton
        116.746
        Montreal
        116.550
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Montreal
        Even
        52
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Hamilton
        by 2 1/2
        53 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Montreal
        (+2 1/2); Under

        Ottawa @ Toronto


        Game 693-694
        October 26, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Ottawa
        95.962
        Toronto
        104.312
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Toronto
        by 8 1/2
        53
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Toronto
        by 5 1/2
        52 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Toronto
        (-5 1/2); Over

        Saskatchewan @ Edmonton


        Game 696-696
        October 26, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Saskatchewan
        120.230
        Edmonton
        109.381
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Saskatchewan
        by 11
        39
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Saskatchewan
        by 1 1/2
        47
        Dunkel Pick:
        Saskatchewan
        (-1 1/2); Under
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-25-2019, 12:38 PM.

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