Announcement

**Udog** · 10-15-2019, 11:41 AM

Betting Recap - Week 6
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 6 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 6-7
Against the Spread 4-9

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 6-7
Against the Spread 6-7

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-6

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 53-36-1
Against the Spread 36-52-2

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 40-49-1
Against the Spread 33-55-2

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 43-47

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Jets (+7, ML +280) vs. Cowboys, 24-22
Steelers (+6, ML +230) at Chargers, 24-17
Texans (+3.5, ML +170) at Chiefs, 31-24
49ers (+3, ML +145) at Rams, 20-7
Cardinals (+3, ML +140) vs. Falcons, 34-33
Saints (+2.5, ML +130) at Jaguars, 13-6

The largest favorite to cover
Patriots (-17) vs. Giants, 35-14
Vikings (-3.5) vs. Eagles, 38-20
Panthers (-2) vs. Buccaneers, 37-26

Kyle Style

-- The Carolina Panthers (-2) had to go overseas for a little revenge on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by a 37-26 score behind QB Kyle Allen, who is quickly becoming a hero in Charlotte. The Panthers were 0-2 SU/ATS after a Week 2 loss against the Bucs at Bank of America Stadium, as QB Cam Newton tried to fight through a foot injury, but couldn't be very effective. After that game the braintrust elected to rest Newton in Week 3 for a game in Arizona, and the rest is history. Allen has led the team to victories in Glendale, Houston, at home in Charlotte, and now in London, going 4-0 SU/ATS since taking over under center in Week 3.

He may or may not be the future in Charlotte, but the more he wins, the more cloudy the future of Newton gets with the Panthers. Carolina now heads into a bye next week, followed by a trip to meet the unbeaten San Francisco 49ers. A win at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, and Newton might not see the field again in 2019.

Teddy Slams

-- The New Orleans Saints were expected to be in trouble after losing QB Drew Brees (thumb) in Week 2 in L.A. The timetable for Brees' return was six-to-eight weeks. Many talking heads felt that if the Saints were able to simply tread water and go 3-3 in the absence of Brees, they'd be positions well for a stretch run to the playoffs. QB Teddy Bridgewater and the defense have had other ideas.

Since losing Brees the Saints have rolled up a 4-0 SU/ATS record, winning on the road in Week 3 against the Seattle Seahawks, at home on Sunday Night Football against the Dallas Cowboys, at home in a divisional battle with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and now a grind-it-out road win against the Jacksonville Jaguars, 13-6. The Saints are allowing just 13.3 PPG over the past three games, as the defense has stepped up with the offense a bit inconsistent. They'd done more than tread water without Brees, they have parked themselves in first place atop the NFC South standings. Who would have thought Allen and Bridgewater would be the QBs of the top two teams in the NFC South?

Total Recall

-- The highest total on the board was the Houston Texans-Kansas City Chiefs (54.5) battle, one of three games with a line listed over 50. The Texans-Chiefs games was lucky to go over. With 6:17 remaining in regulation, the Texans scored a touchdown to take a 29-24 lead. They went for the two-point conversion and successfully converted, posting a win across the board for the 'over'. The Atlanta Falcons-Arizona Cardinals (52.5) battle had the most total points of any game this weekend, as the Cards won 34-33. There might have been even more points, too, if PK Matt Bryant didn't misfire on an extra point late.

The San Francisco 49ers-Los Angeles Rams (50) divisional battle never came close to threatening the 'over', however, as the 49ers defense continues to be legit. They held QB Jared Goff under 100 passing yards, and it also helped that RB Todd Gurley (thigh) was sidelined. The 49ers won 20-7, and their games are worth watching in future weeks for high lines, as Vegas doesn't seem to trust their defense yet.

-- On the flip side, the lowest total on the board was the Tennessee Titans-Denver Broncos (41) game. The Titans failed to score in the 16-0 loss, and head coach Mike Vrabel pulled QB Marcus Mariota in favor of Ryan Tannehill, but it made no difference. The three games with lines of 42.5 -- New Orleans Saints-Jacksonville Jaguars (19 total points), Washington Redskins-Miami Dolphins (33 total points) and Pittsburgh Steelers-Los Angeles Chargers (41 total points) each hit the 'under'.

-- The 'over/under' went 1-1 in the first two primetime games of Week 6, with the Monday Night Football contest between the Detroit Lions-Green Bay Packers (45.5) battle) pending. The 'over' is 5-13 (27.8%) during the early 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs. The 'under' is a perfect 7-0 for Sunday Night Football this season, and 3-1 in the past four MNF outings.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Cowboys WR Amari Cooper (quadriceps) exited early against the Jets and was unable to return. WRs Tavon Austin and Michael Gallup are tasked with picking up the slack.

-- Seahawks TE Will Dissly (Achilles) exited early against the Browns and was unable to return.

Looking Ahead

-- The Chiefs and Broncos hook up on Thursday Night Football, and Kansas City is on a two-game slide, and 0-3 ATS skid. On the flip side, the Broncos have turned things around with two straight wins and covers thanks for a suffocating defense, including a Week 6 shutout.

-- The Jaguars travel to meet the Bengals, and the shine of rookie QB Gardner Minshew has rubbed off a bit for Jacksonville. They're 0-2 SU/ATS over the past two. The Bengals, however, are 0-6 SU/3-3 ATS, and they're averaging a dismal 13.8 PPG, although they have posted 20.0 PPG in two games at home.

-- The Bills are returning from a bye, and they face the winless Dolphins. Buffalo is 4-1 SU/ATS, with their only loss to the Patriots in Week 5. Buffalo has hit the 'under' in all five outings, the only team yet to see an 'over' result. The Dolphins have hit four straight 'under' results, too.

-- The Falcons host the Rams, and Atlanta's defense is in shambles. They have allowed 20 or more points in all six of their games, and 24 or more points in four in a row, and five of six overall. In the past two games Atlanta is averaging 32.5 PPG while allowing 43.0 PPG. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in the past six, and they have failed to cover four in a row.

-- The Texans and Colts square off in Indianapolis. Houston has won four of the past five overall, and they're averaging 42.0 PPG across the past two games while allowing 28.0 PPG. The Colts will be well rested, coming off a bye following their Week 5 win in Kansas City.

-- The Eagles and Cowboys meet on Sunday Night Football, and the Cowboys are on a three-game skid. After opening 3-0 SU/ATS, the Cowboys are 0-3 SU/ATS. The combined record of their first three opponents is 3-14 SU, so perhaps their start wasn't as impressive as it appeared.

-- The Patriots and Jets meet on Monday Night Football, the second meeting of these rivals already this season. The Jets fell 30-14 at Gillette Stadium on Sept. 22 with QB Luke Falk under center. He isn't even with the team any longer, as QB Sam Darnold is back from illness. It will be interesting to see how the Jets build upon their upset of the Cowboys.

**Udog** · 10-15-2019, 11:43 AM

303KANSAS CITY -304 DENVER
DENVER is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 straight unders in the last 3 seasons.

451ARIZONA -452 NY GIANTS
ARIZONA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

453HOUSTON -454 INDIANAPOLIS
INDIANAPOLIS are 21-8 ATS (12.2 Units) in home games after a road upset win since 1992.

455MIAMI -456 BUFFALO
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after playing a game at home in the last 2 seasons.

457MINNESOTA -458 DETROIT
MINNESOTA is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in dome games in the last 3 seasons.

459OAKLAND -460 GREEN BAY
OAKLAND is 28-61 ATS (-39.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992.

461JACKSONVILLE -462 CINCINNATI
JACKSONVILLE is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 2 seasons.

463LA RAMS -464 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game in the last 2 seasons.

465SAN FRANCISCO -466 WASHINGTON
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games after allowing 9 points or less last game since 1992.

467LA CHARGERS -468 TENNESSEE
LA CHARGERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

469BALTIMORE -470 SEATTLE
BALTIMORE is 49-28 ATS (18.2 Units) in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

471NEW ORLEANS -472 CHICAGO
NEW ORLEANS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

473PHILADELPHIA -474 DALLAS
DALLAS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

475NEW ENGLAND -476 NY JETS
NY JETS are 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

**Udog** · 10-15-2019, 11:43 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 7

Thursday, October 17

Kansas City @ Denver

Game 303-304
October 17, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
134.113
Denver
133.228
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 3 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+3 1/2); Over

Sunday, October 20

Jacksonville @ Cincinnati

Game 461-462
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
130.558
Cincinnati
122.381
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 8
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(-3); Under

Miami @ Buffalo

Game 455-456
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
112.878
Buffalo
135.347
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 22 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 16 1/2
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-16 1/2); Over

LA Rams @ Atlanta

Game 463-464
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
131.294
Atlanta
125.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 5 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 3
54
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(-3); Under

Oakland @ Green Bay

Game 459-460
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
131.651
Green Bay
135.031
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 3 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 7
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+7); Over

Houston @ Indianapolis

Game 453-454
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
134.818
Indianapolis
138.821
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 4
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 1
48
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(-1); Over

Arizona @ NY Giants

Game 451-452
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
124.612
NY Giants
124.694
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
Even
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 3
49
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+3); Under

San Francisco @ Washington

Game 465-466
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
142.152
Washington
118.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 24
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 10
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-10); Under

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 457-458
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
139.209
Detroit
133.868
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 1
44
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+1); Over

LA Chargers @ Tennessee

Game 467-468
October 20, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
127.169
Tennessee
130.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 3
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-1); Over

Baltimore @ Seattle

Game 469-470
October 20, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
132.202
Seattle
132.942
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 3 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+3 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Chicago

Game 471-472
October 20, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
136.518
Chicago
133.939
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 2 1/2
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3 1/2
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+3 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ Dallas

Game 473-474
October 20, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
132.670
Dallas
128.144
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 4 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 3
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+3); Under

Monday, October 21

New England @ NY Jets

Game 475-476
October 21, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
137.246
NY Jets
130.026
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 7
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 10 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(+10 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 10-15-2019, 11:44 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

Thursday, October 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (4 - 2) at DENVER (2 - 4) - 10/17/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, October 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (2 - 3 - 1) at NY GIANTS (2 - 4) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (4 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 2) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (0 - 5) at BUFFALO (4 - 1) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
BUFFALO is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (4 - 2) at DETROIT (2 - 2 - 1) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (3 - 2) at GREEN BAY (5 - 1) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 111-83 ATS (+19.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 195-141 ATS (+39.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (2 - 4) at CINCINNATI (0 - 6) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA RAMS (3 - 3) at ATLANTA (1 - 5) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 197-242 ATS (-69.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 197-242 ATS (-69.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 142-191 ATS (-68.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 151-191 ATS (-59.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ATLANTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 0) at WASHINGTON (1 - 5) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-123 ATS (-44.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-123 ATS (-44.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-123 ATS (-44.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CHARGERS (2 - 4) at TENNESSEE (2 - 4) - 10/20/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 127-93 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 127-93 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 92-64 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 102-73 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 30-6 ATS (+23.4 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 118-157 ATS (-54.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (4 - 2) at SEATTLE (5 - 1) - 10/20/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 39-62 ATS (-29.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (5 - 1) at CHICAGO (3 - 2) - 10/20/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (3 - 3) at DALLAS (3 - 3) - 10/20/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, October 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (6 - 0) at NY JETS (1 - 4) - 10/21/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 127-95 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 127-95 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 204-148 ATS (+41.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 127-86 ATS (+32.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 118-89 ATS (+20.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-15-2019, 11:45 AM

NFL

Week 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 17

Denver Broncos
Denver is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Denver is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Denver's last 15 games
Denver is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 10 games at home
Denver is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Denver is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Kansas City is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Kansas City is 17-7-1 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Kansas City is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Denver

Sunday, October 20

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

Washington Redskins
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games at home
Washington is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington

New York Giants
NY Giants is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Giants is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
NY Giants is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games at home
NY Giants is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Giants's last 12 games when playing Arizona
NY Giants is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
NY Giants is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 2-7-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 12 games when playing NY Giants
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Arizona is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Giants

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Indianapolis's last 23 games at home
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Houston
Indianapolis is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Indianapolis is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indianapolis's last 10 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Texans
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-1-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Houston is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis

Detroit Lions
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 5-9-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
Detroit is 6-12-2 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games at home
Cincinnati is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Jacksonville
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Cincinnati is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Jacksonville
Cincinnati is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 5-11-2 ATS in its last 18 games
Jacksonville is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games
Jacksonville is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Jacksonville is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Buffalo's last 25 games at home
Buffalo is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Miami
Buffalo is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing Miami
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games on the road
Miami is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Buffalo
Miami is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing LA Rams
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
LA Rams is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 7 games on the road
LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
LA Rams is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
LA Rams is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Rams's last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing LA Chargers
Tennessee is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Tennessee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Chargers is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
LA Chargers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
LA Chargers is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
LA Chargers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games on the road
LA Chargers is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Tennessee
LA Chargers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing Tennessee

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Baltimore is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games
Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Chicago is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Orleans's last 15 games
New Orleans is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
New Orleans is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 11 games at home
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Monday, October 21

New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
NY Jets is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
NY Jets is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 10 games at home
NY Jets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Jets's last 7 games when playing New England
NY Jets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing at home against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New England's last 18 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games on the road
New England is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 7 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-15-2019, 11:45 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Chiefs (4-2) @ Broncos (2-4)— KC lost its last two games, Denver won its last two, so a pivotal game here in AFC West. In their first four games, Chiefs scored 15 TD’s on 38 drives; in their last two games, four TD’s on 18 drives. How bad is Mahomes’ ankle? KC is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games as a road favorite, 2-1 this year- they’ve been outscored 66-58 inn 2nd half of games. Denver hasn’t allowed an offensive TD in its last two games; Chargers’ TD in Week 5 was on a punt return. Broncos are 8-4 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog; their two SU home losses this year both came on last-second FG’s. Chiefs won last seven series games, winning last four visits to Denver, by 16-3-3-4 points. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 4-3 ATS.

Cardinals (2-3-1) @ Giants (2-4)— Giants’ DC Bettcher faces his old team (2015-17) here; Giants lost their last two games by 18-21 points- they scored 17 or fewer points in all four losses, are 1-3-1 ATS in last five games as a home favorite, 1-0 TY. Arizona won its last two games by total of four points after an 0-3-1 start; Cardinals converted 13 of last 26 third down plays, but have only one takeaway in their last five games (-2). Arizona is 6-3-1 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog, 2-0 TY. Home side lost four of last five series games, with Arizona winning 24-17/25-14 in last two visits here. NFC West teams are 8-0 ATS in non-divisional road games; NFC East teams are 4-12 ATS outside their division.

Texans (4-2) @ Colts (3-2)— Houston scored 84 points in winning its last two games, racking up 66 first downs, running ball for 358 yards; four of their last five games stayed under the total. Texans covered six of last seven games as a road underdog (3-0 TY). Colts are 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 post-bye games; they’re 3-2 SU this year, allowing 30-31 points in their losses- the team that led at halftime won all five Indy games. Colts are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite, 1-1 this year; they’re 10-7-1 ATS in last 18 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Indy won four of last five series games; Texans won three of last four visits to Indy. Divisional home favorites are 5-13 ATS in NFL games this year.

Dolphins (0-5) @ Bills (4-1)— Fitzpatrick gets nod at QB here after rallying Miami back from down 17-3 to almost beat the Redskins LW; Dolphins are 0-5 SU, losing their only road game 31-6 in Dallas. Miami hasn’t gained more than 283 TY in any game this year; they’re 4-13 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog. Buffalo is 3-0-1 ATS in last four post-bye games; under McDermott, they’re 5-3-1 ATS as a home favorite. Bills are 4-1 with only one win by more than 7 points; they allowed 17 or fewer points in all four wins- all five of their games stayed under total. Buffalo won eight of last 12 series games; four of last six were decided by 6 or fewer points. Dolphins lost five of last six visits here, with the one win in OT three years ago.

Vikings (4-2) @ Lions (2-2-1)— Minnesota scored 28+ points in its four wins, was held to 16-6 in its losses; they gained 490-447 TY the last two weeks. Vikings covered once in last five games where spread was 3 or fewer points- under Zimmer, they’re 11-6 ATS as a road favorite. Detroit is 2-2-1 despite a +6 turnover ratio; kicking five FG’s with only one TD cost them at Lambeau Monday nite; all five of their games were decided by 4 or fewer points. Lions are 7-14-1 ATS in last 22 games as a home underdog, but are 2-0 this year; they’re 5-3 in last eight games with spread of 3 or fewer points. Minnesota won last three series games, sweeping Lions 24-9/27-9 in LY’s games; Vikings won three of last four visits to Ford Field, winning last two, 30-23/27-9.

Raiders (3-2) @ Packers (5-1)— Short week for Green Bay after they snuck past Detroit Monday; Packers allowed 80 points in last three games after giving up 35 in first three- they’re 12-9-1 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite, 12-8-1 in last 21 games vs AFC teams. Oakland scored 55 points in winning its last two games; they were held to 10-14 points in their two losses. Raiders are 4-13-1 in last 18 games as a road dog, 1-1 TY- they’re 4-12-2 in last 18 games vs NFC foes. Green Bay won last seven meetings; Raiders lost last four trips to Lambeau, last three by 28+. NFC North home favorites are 4-1 ATS outside their division; AFC West teams are 7-10 ATS, 1-2 as road underdogs. Oakland is 5-11 ATS in last 16 post-bye games.

Jaguars (2-4) @ Bengals (0-6)— Jaguars trading Ramsey shouldn’t hurt them; he wasn’t playing anyway. QB Minshew had his worst game as a pro LW; Jags gained only 226 TY vs Saints, after racking up 455-507 TY the two games before that- they’re 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a favorite. Winless Bengals gave up 535 RY the last two weeks; they’ll get more of same here from Jax- three of their last four games stayed under. Four of Cincy’s six losses were by 6 or fewer points- they’re 7-3 ATS in last ten games asa a home underdog. Bengals won four of last five series games; Jaguars lost 21-19/33-23 in last two visits here. AFC South favorites are 2-3 ATS outside the division; AFC North teams are 6-9 ATS, 0-7 at home.

Rams (3-3) @ Falcons (1-5)— Rams return to scene of February’s Super Bowl loss; LA lost last three games overall, added CB Fowler Tuesday while trading Peters- only one of four DB’s who started in Week 4 is still an active Ram. LA gained 157 TY LW, after racking up 518-477 in previous two games. Atlanta lost its last four games, so lot of urgency on both sides here- they allowed 765 PY the last two weeks. Falcons scored 65 points last two weeks, but still lost both games. Atlanta won last five series games, with last meeting 26-13 in ’17 playoffs; Rams lost last five visits here, with last win in ’01. NFC West teams are 8-0 ATS in non-divisional road games; NFC South home teams are 3-5 ATS outside their division.

49ers (5-0) @ Redskins (1-5)— Washington fired Mike/Kyle Shanahan after the 2013 season; am guessing they’ll pay for that today, with red-hot 49ers in town. SF allowed total of 10 points in last two games, giving up one offensive TD on 22 drives; Bengals are only team to gain 300+ TY vs SF, and they lost 41-17 to the Niners. Redskins won Callahan’s first game as interim coach LW but it was 17-16 over a horrible Miami team; Washington ran ball 33 times LW, after running it for average of 17.6 in their first five games. 49ers won four of last five series games, splitting last four visits here; NFC West teams are 8-0 ATS in non-divisional road games; NFC East teams are 4-12 ATS outside their division.

Chargers (2-4) @ Titans (2-4)— Tennessee is starting Taneyhill (42-46 as starter in Miami) at QB after getting blanked 16-0 in Denver; Titans lost four of last five games, scoring one TD on their last 25 drives- under Vrabel, they’re 1-4 ATS as home favorites, losing their two home games 19-17/14-7 TY. Chargers fell behind 14-0 after 10:25 LW, 14-0 after 9:49 the week before; LA ran the ball for only 54.8 ypg the last four weeks— will they feed Gordon the ball more here? Last five Tennessee games stayed under the total. Chargers won 11 of last 12 series games, winning three of four trips to Nashville; Bolts beat Tennessee 20-19 in London LY. AFC West teams are 7-10 ATS outside the division; AFC South home teams are 2-5 ATS.

Ravens (4-2) @ Seahawks (5-1)— Jackson is 10-3 as an NFL starter. Ravens are 0-5 ATS in last five games- their last three wins are by 6 or fewer points. Baltimore is 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog; they allowed 33-40 points in their two losses, an average of 16.8 in their wins; they allowed 37.8 RY/game in wins, 166.5 in losses- can Seattle run ball here? Seahawks are 5-1 with four wins by four or fewer points; they’re 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite, with home wins this year, by 1-1 points and a loss to the Bridgewater-led Saints. Home side won four of last five series games; Ravens lost 27-6/22-17 in last two visits here. AFC North road underdogs are 4-2 ATS outside the division; NFC West home favorites are 1-5.

Saints (5-1) @ Bears (3-2)— Trubisky is back under center for Chicago after Bears got whacked in London, with Daniel at QB; Chicago allowed 14-15-6 points in its three wins- they’ve run ball for only 68 ypg in their last three games. Under Nagy, Bears are 6-1 ATS laying points at home. Chicago is 4-12-1 ATS in last 17 post-bye games, 0-5 in last five. New Orleans is 4-0 with Bridgwater at QB, giving up only 71.1 rushing ypg the last three games; they held last three foes under 260 TY. Saints are 5-1 SU, with all five wins by 7 or fewer points; they’re 16-8-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road dog, 2-1 TY. Saints won last four series games, all by 8+ points; Chicago’s last series win was in ’08. NO won its last two trips to the Windy City.

Eagles (3-3) @ Cowboys (2-3)— Cowboys lost last three games (outscored 47-9 in first half) after a 3-0 start; Dallas is 2-6 ATS in its last eight pre-bye games- they scored only 26 points in last seven red zone drives. Cowboys are 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite; they scored 31+ points in their wins, 18.7 ppg in their losses. Philly allowed 24+ points in five of six game; only team they held under 24 started their #3 QB, who they later cut; Eagles allowed 310+ PY in four of six games- Cousins averaged 10.8 yards/pass attempt against them LW. Under Pederson, Iggles are 7-8 ATS as road underdogs. Dallas won last three series games, by 6-7-6 points; Eagles won four of last six visits here, losing 29-23 in OT LY.

Patriots (6-0) @ Jets (1-4)— Darnold came back from his bout with mono and revitalized the Jets LW, throwing for 326 yards vs Dallas after they averaged 113.5 PY in first four games. Gang Green is still averaging only 64 rushing ypg. Jets are 17-9-1 ATS in last 27 games as a home underdog. New England won 14 of last 16 series games, winning six of last eight visits here; Patriots have allowed only 8 ppg this year; their TO margin is +9- they scored five TD’s already on defense/special teams. Only one of NE’s six wins was by fewer than 16 points. Patriots are 16-10 ATS in last 26 games as road favorites; they held four of last five opponents to 220 or fewer TY. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 4-3 ATS.

**Udog** · 10-15-2019, 11:47 AM

NFL Week 7 opening odds and early moves: Who will bettors trust in Eagles-Cowboys?
Patrick Everson

The NFL steams ahead to Week 7, which features an NFC East clash among two teams trying to figure out which one wants this division. We check in on the opening odds and early action for that contest and three others, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT DALLAS COWBOYS (-3)

Dallas looked great in the first three weeks, albeit against lightweight competition, but has since dropped three in a row. In Week 6, the Cowboys (3-3 SU and ATS) faced another lightweight in the New York Jets, yet stunningly trailed 21-6 at halftime. Dak Prescott & Co. rallied before falling short 24-22 as 7-point road favorites.

Philadelphia saw its modest two-game SU and ATS win streak halted in Week 6. The Eagles (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) went to Minnesota as 3.5 point underdogs and fell behind 24-3 midway through the second quarter, rallied to within 24-20 in the third, but ultimately lost 38-20.

The line stayed at the opener of Cowboys -3 (even) through Sunday evening.

“Both teams struggled today,” Murray said late Sunday night. “Dallas is just not the same team, with the injuries on its offensive line. Action should be very split.”

And the game will have a few more hours to be bet into, as it’s the Sunday night contest.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS AT CHICAGO BEARS (-3.5)

New Orleans lost Drew Brees to a thumb injury in a Week 2 road setback to the Rams, but hasn’t lost a game since then, going 4-0 SU and ATS behind Teddy Bridgewater and a sturdy defense. The Saints (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) stumped Jacksonville 13-6 as 2.5-point road ‘dogs in Week 6.

Chicago should come in well-rested after a Week 6 bye, following a Week 5 London trip. That excursion didn’t go well at all, with the Bears (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) losing to Oakland 24-21 laying 6.5 points.

“We opened Bears -3.5, and it has since been pushed up to -4,” Murray said. “This should be highest-volume game of the week, besides the Sunday night game. The Bears are a super public team, but there will be Saints support as well.”

HOUSTON TEXANS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (PICK)

It’s a battle between teams that went on the road and beat Kansas City over the past two weeks, with Houston the latest victor. The Texans (4-2 SU and ATS) went to Arrowhead Stadium as 3.5-point pups, fell behind 17-3, then came back to post a 31-24 outright win.

Meanwhile, Indianapolis got its bye week after springing a big upset at Arrowhead. The Colts (3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS), who got a jolt late in preseason when Andrew Luck retired, were 10.5-point Week 5 ‘dogs against Kansas City, but stunningly notched a 19-13 victory.

“The line is now up to -1.5 on the Colts,” Murray said. “Houston has been a great road team in recent years, but the Colts are playing well and getting healthy off their bye week.”

BALTIMORE RAVENS AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-4)

After an unexpected Week 3 loss to Drew Brees-less New Orleans, Seattle rebounded strong with three straight wins. In Week 6, the Seahawks (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) went off as 1-point ‘dogs at Cleveland, rallied from a 20-6 second-quarter deficit and snared a 32-28 victory.

Baltimore is 4-2 SU, but hasn’t covered the number since Week 1, dropping five in a row to stand 1-5 ATS. The Ravens gave up a late touchdown in Sunday’s 23-17 home win over Cincinnati, failing to cash as 10.5-point favorites.

“The Ravens have made a habit of beating up bad teams. And Seattle just keeps winning,” Murray said. “There should be good two-way action in this game.”

Early signs pointed to just that, as the Seahawks dipped to -3.5 a minute after the number went up, then went back to -4 a minute later.

**Udog** · 10-15-2019, 11:53 AM

NFL Betting Stats heading into Week 7:

Road Teams: 56-35-1 ATS
Home Teams: 35-56-1 ATS

Favorites: 35-56-1 ATS
Underdogs: 56-35-1 ATS

Home Faves: 20-41-1 ATS
Home Dogs: 15-15 ATS

Road Faves: 15-15 ATS
Road Dogs: 41-20-1 ATS

O/U: 43-49

NFL's Top ATS Teams:

t1. 'Niners 4-1 ATS
t1. Bills 4-1 ATS
t1. Lions 4-1 ATS
4. Colts 3-1-1 ATS
t5. Patriots, Packers, Saints, Panthers, Texans, Vikings, Rams, Cardinals and Steelers tied at 4-2 ATS

NFL's Worst ATS Teams:

t30. Redskins 1-5 ATS
t30. Falcons 1-5 ATS
t30. Ravens 1-5 ATS
t28. Dolphins 1-4 ATS
t28. Chargers 1-4-1 ATS
t23. Titans, Buccaneers, Giants, Browns and Eagles tied at 2-4 ATS

**Udog** · 10-15-2019, 12:50 PM

Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 7 odds: Play it cool and catch a better spread on the Colts
Jason Logan

With all the attention on the Houston Texans, bettors may forget the Indianapolis Colts are also coming off a win over the Kansas City Chiefs.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team, but betting the best number. Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL board each week.

After a few weeks featuring some stranger dead numbers, the Week 7 board is littered with lines sitting around the key pointspread digits. Getting the extra half point up or down can be huge, as the numbers get tighter near the midway mark of the schedule.

SPREAD TO BET NOW: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (+3) AT DALLAS COWBOYS

Both the Cowboys and Eagles took “L’s” on the weekend, but Dallas dropping a game to the then-winless Jets holds a lot more swing with bettors than Philadelphia falling flat to the Vikings.

The line opened with the host as a field-goal favorite, but early money pushed that down as low as -2.5 at some books, while most just adjusted their vig on the Cowboys. Dallas -3 is floating around out there between EVEN money and +105, as bookies try to entice some action on America’s Team.

Both teams have injuries piling up, but the Cowboys have big names landing on the report this week, including top WR Amari Cooper, who joins starting lineman Tyron Smith and La’el Collins. Those bodies were missed in the loss to the Jets Sunday and their status for Week 7 will change the spread and total.

This is projected to be the most heavily-bet game of Week 7, with over 90 percent of that money coming in on Sunday. If you like the Eagles in this divisional showdown Sunday night, you may want to grab Philly as a field-goal pup now – based on what we’re seeing with the juice.

SPREAD TO BET LATER: HOUSTON TEXANS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-1, 47.5)

The Texans are the talk of the league after a thrilling come-from-behind win at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, beating the Chiefs 31-24. Now, Houston stays on the highway for an important AFC South showcase in Indianapolis, taking on a Colts team which also went to K.C. and stole a road win in Week 5.

Indianapolis beat the Chiefs 19-13 before enjoying a much-need bye week last Sunday. Oddsmakers sent out the Colts as high as -2 but money on the Texans has slimmed this spread to Indy -1. The time off allowed the Colts to get healthy, especially skill players WR T.Y. Hilton and RB Marlon Mack who have been battling through ailments, but also pushes them out of the goldfish-like memory of the betting public.

Houston, on the other hand, is front and center in the minds of bettors with a sexy high-powered offense totaling 84 points the past two games. If you’re leaning with Indianapolis in this divisional game, wait and see if the line keeps trending toward the Texans. You may get a pick or better with the Colts.

TOTAL TO BET NOW: MINNESOTA VIKINGS AT DETRIOT LIONS OVER 45

The Vikings were probably the most impressive offense in Week 6, showing that they can not only run the ball down your throat, but they’ll also burn your butt with the pass game. Kirk Cousins finally earned a paycheck with 333 yards and four passing touchdowns in a 38-20 home win over Philadelphia.

Minnesota marches that momentum into Motown, where the Detroit Lions are sour off a road loss at Green Bay Monday night. While they only managed 22 points against the Cheeseheads, the Lions have put up some large scores in 2019, including a 34-30 loss in their last game inside Ford Field.

This total opened as low as 44 and is starting to climb, with some books already up to 46 points. If you expect plenty of points from these NFC North foes, get on the Over now – with most books still dealing 45 or 45.5.

TOTAL TO BET LATER: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT WASHINGTON REDSKINS OVER 41.5

It’s a first-versus-worst battle in the NFC when the undefeated 49ers cross the country to play the 1-5 Redskins. The Niners are one of the better two-way teams in the league right now, allowing only 12.8 points per game, while Washington is trapped in QB hell and putting up just 15 points per outing.

It’s no surprise this Over/Under is sinking like a stone, falling from 42.5 to 41 points as of Tuesday morning. There’s a lot pushing the total down: it's a second straight road game for the 49ers, a 1 p.m. ET (10 a.m. PT) start time in D.C., the No. 2 ranked defense in yards and points allowed, and a home side that is dedicated to the run without a true No. 1 QB, and that managed only 17 points against a Dolphins team allowing 36 points against per game. Sprinkle in some possible rain for FedExField, and there’s no reason why this number can’t go sub-40 before Sunday.

But if you’re among the contrarians who see value in the Over for this game - I guess, putting all your faith in San Francisco to score 40-plus points - wait it out because this number should continue to crash throughout the week.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-16-2019, 12:28 AM

Tech Trends - Week 7
October 15, 2019
By Bruce Marshall

THURSDAY, OCT. 17

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
KANSAS CITY at DENVER (FOX, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Broncos covered both meetings last season after Chiefs had won and covered preceding five. KC no covers last four this season. Denver “under” 13-2 last 15 since mid 2018.
Tech Edge: Broncos and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

SUNDAY, OCT. 20
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ARIZONA at NY GIANTS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cards have actually covered 3 in a row on the road since late 2018. G-Men were 1-4-1 last six as chalk entering 2019 but 1-0 in role TY (vs. Skins). NY 1-4 vs. line last five at MetLife.
Tech Edge: slight to Cards, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
HOUSTON at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Indy won and covered last two vs. Texans LY including wild card, though note road team won and covered all three meetings. Texans 7-1-1 vs. spread last 9 away. Colts however on 7-2 spread run last nine reg season. Houston “over” 4-1-1 last six away.
Tech Edge: Slight to Texans and “over,” based on team and “totals” trend.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
MIAMI at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Matt Moore is only Dolphins QB to win or cover in Buffalo last eight years (2011, 2016); otherwise Bills have covered all six. Dolphins no covers seven of last eight on board since late 2018. Bills 6-1 last 7 vs. points since late 2018. Buffalo “under” last five and 7 of last 8 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Bills and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
MINNESOTA at DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Vikes 2-5 last 7 vs. line on road, though have won and covered last two at Ford Field and last three overall vs. Lions. Zimmer “under” 18-6-1 since late 2017 and “unders” 5-1 last six in series.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
OAKLAND at GREEN BAY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Gruden has now won and covered last two away after 1-8 mark previous nine away. Raiders also “over” last three after “under” 5-0-1 preceding six. Pack 4-2 vs. line TY after Monday vs. Lions.
Tech Edge: Slight to Pack, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
JACKSONVILLE at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Minshew 3-2 vs. line as Jags starter. Bengals 1-7 vs. spread last 8 at Paul Brown. Bengals “under” 6-2-2 last eleven since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Jags and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
L.A. RAMS at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcs 1-5 vs. line TY, 3-11 last 14 vs. spread since mid 2018. Falcs also 2-9 last 11 as dog. Rams lost last 2 TY but 6-2 vs. points last 8 reg season games.
Tech Edge: Rams, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
SAN FRANCISCO at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Opposite ends of 2019 spectrum, SF 5-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line, Skins 1-5 SU and 1-5 vs. line. Skins 0-3 vs. line at home TY, no covers last five at FedEx.
Tech Edge: 49ers, based on recent trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
L.A. CHARGERS at TENNESSEE (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Bolts 1-5 vs. line TY but they are 8-1 vs. line last nine as visitor in reg season outside LA city limits. Charger also 7-1 “under” reg season since late 2018. Titans no covers last 3 or 5 of last 7 as Nashville and "under" last 5 in 2019.
Tech Edge: Chargers and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
BALTIMORE at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Harbaugh has covered last six as underdog and 5-1 vs. spread last six away. Carroll no covers last four at home. Ravens “over” 5-2 last seven reg season, Hawks “over” 11-3 last 14 since mid 2018.
Tech Edge: Ravens and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ORLEANS at CHICAGO (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Saints covers last four TY, 8-3 last eleven vs. points away. Bears 9-2 last 11 vs. spread reg season at Soldier Field. Chicago “under” 9-2 last 11 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Birds have lost and failed to cover last three in series. Philly “over” 7-3 last ten since late 2018. Dallas was on 9-1-1 spread run reg season prior to Ls last three.
Tech Edge: Slight to "over," based on "totals" trends.

MONDAY, OCT. 21
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ENGLAND at N.Y. JETS (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Jets covered first meeting Sept. 22 and 5-1 vs. spread last six vs. Belichick at MetLife. “Unders” 6-1 last seven meetings (barely “over” Sept. 22). Belichick “under” 12-3 last 15 reg season.
Tech Edge: Jets and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.

**Udog** · 10-16-2019, 08:02 AM

The Rams have acquired CB Jalen Ramsey from the Jaguars in exchange for 1st round picks in 2020 and 2021 as well as a 4th rounder in 2021.

According to reports, the Titans will start Ryan Tannehill over Marcus Mariota at quarterback Sunday at home vs. the Chargers.

Pats re-sign TE Watson, drop QB Kessler

Jets sign former Rams DB Blake Countess

**Udog** · 10-16-2019, 10:34 AM

by: Josh Inglis

BOUNCE-BACK SPOT, GOFF

Early in the week, we like to find a player or team that nobody is saying a good word about and try to find some value in betting with them. This week, that player is Jared Goff. In Week 6 versus the San Francisco 49ers, the L.A. Rams QB finished with a sub-century 78 years passing and his leading receiver was his No. 2 tight end. Things have never been this bad for Goff, but maybe brighter days are ahead.

With everyone having Dory memories these days (remember the cute little cartoon fish with brain damage?), it’s almost easy to forget that Goff had over 900 yards in Weeks 4 and 5 combined even though his team has failed to win since Week 3 in Cleveland.

Week 7 presents a perfect matchup for the former first-overall pick as the Rams will travel indoors to face the Atlanta Falcons’ second-worst DVOA pass defense. The Dirty Birds are allowing over 330 yards passing a game to opposing QBs over their last three and have been torched with 11 passing TDs to zero interceptions over that same span.

We’re getting on Goff for a bounce back. With most prop markets not open yet, we will be looking at his total yards and Over 1.5 TDs, hitting the Over on any number below 280 passing yards and an Over 1.5 TD odds of -130 or better.

BARKING UP THE RIGHT TREE

The story of the 2019 NFL betting season is the rate in which road underdogs are hitting. Through six weeks of action, road pups are an incredible 41-20-1 ATS (67.2 percent) while underdogs in divisional matchups are 18-10 (64.2 percent).

This week, eight of the 14 games have traveling underdogs and there are six divisional games with half of them having road underdogs — Houston (+1) at Indianapolis, Miami (+17) at New England and Philadelphia (+3) at Dallas. Of those three, we like Houston best as cheering for Miami in back-to-back weeks is criminal and Dallas is going to be a tough place to play after getting embarrassed by the Jets last week.

The Texans and Deshaun Watson are playing some of their best football, averaging 44 points a game in their last two. The Colts allowed the Raiders to put up 31 points in their last home game and rank in the bottom-five in team DVOA defense (22nd pass/28th rush). The Colts may be coming out of their bye, but their defense is still underperforming and will face arguably the best offense in the league right now.

Watson will look to move to 2-0 at Lucas Oil Stadium and 4-0 ATS on the road this year. We are jumping on Houston at +1 (opened at +2.5) and riding that road dog trend.

ALTERNATIVE TOTALS

Maybe you want to see some points and want some plus-money odds on totals. That’s where alternative lines can be your friend.

The Baltimore Ravens are averaging a league-best 37.7 points on the road this year which includes 4.7 touchdowns a game. They will square-off with MVP candidate Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks, who are no slouch offensively, averaging 3.7 touchdowns a game for nearly 30 points in their last three while leading the league in first-half points over that same time frame.

With both offenses rolling we should see some scoreboard counting as Baltimore’s defense sits outside the Top 20 in both DVOA pass and rush and the Seahawks are a middle-of-the-pack defensive group. Grab the alternative total of 60 and tap on the Over (+250).

PRIMETIME SIX-POINT TEASER

Chiefs at Broncos: The Chiefs do not have a lot of time this week to set the ship straight as they head to Denver for the Thursday nighter. Kansas City is 0-3 ATS in its last three but has won all three of its road games this year. The Broncos are playing much better after picking up their first win two weeks ago and winning again last week, but they have not beaten the Chiefs in seven-straight contests. Kansas City +3

Eagles at Cowboys: If you don’t think Dallas comes out with something to prove after getting decapitated by Sam Darnold and the Jets last week, then you are fooling yourself. However, Dak Prescott has failed to throw for 300 yards and/or three touchdowns in eight games without Amari Cooper since last year, and Cooper is in danger of missing Sunday night’s game. Philadelphia +9

Patriots at Jets: Sam Darnold & Co. got their mojo back last week and managed to score three, first-half touchdowns against the Cowboys’ 25th-ranked weighted DVOA defense. Things won’t be easy for the Jets QB versus the Pats, especially since Tom Brady’s offense is averaging 35 points when facing a double-digit spread. New England -4

ROAD CHARGERS

The Los Angeles Chargers must be having trouble comprehending that the Oakland Raiders are more than one game ahead of them in the AFC West standings. Averaging 20 points a game this year isn’t helping the cause, but neither are all the injuries.

Philip Rivers is in the middle of a stretch where he has to face five Top-10 defenses versus quarterbacks, and has already thrown four interceptions to two of those teams. The Tennessee Titans offense is a mess, but their defense has been a Top-5 unit in points against and opponent’s third-down conversion percentage.

With their recent offensive struggles combined with the facing a Titans' defense at home in a must-win game, we are backing the Chargers’ team total Under 19.5.

**Udog** · 10-17-2019, 08:19 AM

TNF - Chiefs at Broncos
Kevin Rogers

LAST WEEK

The Chiefs (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) lost consecutive home games for the first time since 2015 after falling to the Texans last Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium, 31-24 as 3 ½-point favorites. Kansas City jumped out to a commanding 17-3 lead after the first quarter, one week after being held to 13 points against Indianapolis. However, the Texans responded by outscoring the Chiefs, 20-0 in the second quarter to lead at halftime, 23-17.

Kansas City put up a total of seven points after the first quarter, as Deshaun Watson put Houston in front for good with a one-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter. The Texans picked up 35 first downs in the win, while Houston rushed for 192 yards, including 116 from Carlos Hyde, who also scored his third touchdown of the season after getting traded by Kansas City in the preseason.

Patrick Mahomes was limited to 41 yards passing in the second half and finished with 273 yards through the air, his lowest total all season. The Chiefs’ quarterback still managed to throw three touchdowns passes, including two to Tyreek Hill, but Mahomes was intercepted for the first time in six games this season. The Chiefs’ rushing game is a huge concern as they compiled 36 yards in the loss to the Colts and picked up 53 yards against Houston.

The Broncos (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) started 0-4, but have won two straight games against the Chargers and Titans. (Side note: Kansas City and Los Angeles are both riding two-game losing streaks, while Oakland and Denver, who were expected to be non-factors in the AFC West, have each won two in a row). Denver blanked Tennessee, 16-0 for its first home victory of the season following a pair of heartbreaking losses in the final seconds to Chicago and Jacksonville on late field goals.

Denver pitched its first shutout since a 23-0 win over the Jets in Week 14 of the 2017 season, as the Broncos held the Titans to 204 yards and forced three Tennessee turnovers. The Broncos’ offense wasn’t stellar as they booted three field goals (including two from 48 and 53 yards), while the lone touchdown came from running back Phillip Lindsay.

Joe Flacco threw for only 177 yards and was intercepted once for Denver, who picked up its first home win since Week 12 against Pittsburgh last season. The Broncos have slumped to a 2-7 record in their last nine games at Empower Field at Mile High since edging the Raiders in Week 2 of 2018.

ROAD WARRIORS

The Chiefs have excelled on the road since Mahomes took over as the starting quarterback to start the 2018 season. Kansas City owns an 8-3 record on the highway with the three losses coming to the Patriots, Rams, and Seahawks last season. The Chiefs allowed 43, 54, and 38 points in those losses, as Andy Reid’s team is 8-0 when giving up 37 points or less away from Arrowhead since 2018. The Chiefs failed to cash in their last opportunity as a road favorite at Detroit in Week 4 as 7 ½-point chalk in a 34-30 win.

HOW THE WEST WAS WON

Through six games this season, the Chiefs have faced only one AFC West opponent. Kansas City took care of Oakland in Week 2 on the road, as the Chiefs will next square off with a division foe after Thursday’s affair coming up in Week 11 at Los Angeles. The Chiefs have owned the division by putting together a 10-1 record in the past 11 contests against the AFC West. The last road loss for the Chiefs within the division came on a Thursday night at Oakland in 2017 in a last-second 31-30 setback as three-point favorites.

The Broncos are 1-1 within the AFC West this season, although this is the first home game against a division opponent. Denver owns an 0-4 ATS mark and 1-3 SU record in its past four home divisional games since 2017, but three of those games have decided by three points each.

SERIES HISTORY

The last time the Broncos beat the Chiefs, came back in 2015 at Arrowhead Stadium in an epic rally. Kansas City jumped out to a 14-0 lead before Peyton Manning led Denver on a pair of touchdown drives to even the game at 14-14. The Chiefs held a 24-17 advantage in the final minute before the Broncos tied the game at 24-24 on a Manning touchdown pass to Emmanuel Sanders. Nine seconds later, the Broncos recovered a Chiefs’ fumble and took it in for the game-winning score in a stunning 31-24 triumph as three-point underdogs.

Since that Thursday night debacle, the Chiefs have won seven consecutive meetings with the Broncos, including four straight wins in Denver. Kansas City has swept Denver in each of the past three seasons, while coming off a four-point road win and a seven-point home victory in 2018. Mahomes led the Chiefs to a 27-23 comeback win at Denver after Kansas City trailed, 23-13 in the fourth quarter. Kansas City scored two touchdowns in the final 6:27 of regulation, as Mahomes threw for 304 yards and a touchdown.

The Chiefs covered six straight games in the series before the Broncos cashed at Arrowhead Stadium last October in a 30-23 setback as 8 ½-point underdogs. Denver picked up the cover on a field goal in the final two minutes after trailing by 16 points to start the fourth quarter. Mahomes tossed four touchdowns in that victory, but the Broncos rushed for 189 yards, including 95 from Lindsay.

TOTAL TALK

Last Thursday’s outcome between the Giants and Patriots pushed the ‘over’ streak to three in a row in the midweek spot. Oddsmakers sent out an opening number of 50 between Denver and Kansas City this week and the early money has moved the number down to 49 as of Wednesday evening.

Chris David of VegasInsider.com offered up his total thoughts and the opening matchup of Week 7.

“The ‘under’ has been a solid investment (19-10, 65%) in divisional games this season and that includes a 3-1 mark in Week 6. I agree with the first action and I believe that if Denver wants to win this game, it’s going to have to control the clock and keep the Kansas City offense off the field. Houston executed that game-plan perfectly last week and it converted touchdowns. The Broncos offense isn’t on the same level as the Texan, but breaking 20 points against the defense of the Chiefs seems possible,” said David.

“Even though the ‘under’ went 2-0 in last year’s regular season meetings, the two outcomes saw combined scores of 50 and 53 posted. Kansas City averaged 28. 5 PPG in those games and that’s been a common theme during its current seven-game winning streak over Denver. The Chiefs offense certainly isn’t clicking on all cylinders this season, largely due to injuries on both the outside and in the trenches. The Broncos defense plays better at home and it could easily be 3-0 at Mile High instead of 2-1, with both losses coming by two points.”

David added, “Including last week’s 16-0 shutout win over the Titans, Denver has watched the ‘under’ go 9-1 in its last 10 games at home. Bettors leaning low will likely take that trend into consideration but we’d be remiss not to mention the 11-2 ‘over’ run for the Chiefs on the road. Last season, Kansas City dominated Oakland 35-3 in Wek 17 and I mention that game because the victory was preceded by back-to-back losses. Despite key injuries and playing on the road, I believe the Chiefs defense will step up against a pedestrian Broncos attack and avoid their third straight loss here. My lean would be to the Broncos Team Total Under (23 ½).”

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER

NFL expert Joe Nelson weighs in on this matchup, “Kansas City’s defense remains highly vulnerable particularly on the ground but Lindsay and Royce Freeman haven’t had big breakthrough games yet for Denver with the team averaging 116 rushing yards per game on just 4.3 yards per carry.”

As far as bringing in the former Ravens’ quarterback, Nelson notes Flacco has turned into a game manager, “The acquisition of Flacco was mostly panned by NFL observers, but he has been a competent option for the offense even with an interception in now five straight games. Flacco has had a lighter workload in the wins the past two weeks with 14 and 18 completions and against a Chiefs defense that is 30th against the run it will be expected that the Broncos will keep the ball on the ground often.”

PLAYER PROPS – According to Westgate Superbook

Total Gross Passing Yards – Patrick Mahomes (KC)
Over 318 ½ (-110)
Under 318 ½ (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes – Patrick Mahomes (KC)
Over 2 (-130)
Under 2 (+110)

Total Receiving Yards – Travis Kelce (KC)
Over 74 ½ (-110)
Under 74 ½ (-110)

Will Travis Kelce (KC) score a touchdown?
Yes +135
No -155

Total Receiving Yards – Tyreek Hill (KC)
Over 75 ½ (-110)
Under 75 ½ (-110)

Total Completions – Joe Flacco (DEN)
Over 20 ½ (-110)
Under 20 ½ (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes – Joe Flacco (DEN)
Over 1 ½ (+145)
Under 1 ½ (-170)

Total Rushing Yards – Phillip Lindsay (DEN)
Over 70 ½ (-110)
Under 70 ½ (-110)

LINE MOVEMENT

Kansas City opened up as 4 ½-point favorites at the Westgate Superbook, but that number has dipped to -3 at most spots. The total has also gone down from the opener of 50 down to 48, which is the lowest number for the Chiefs this season.

**Udog** · 10-17-2019, 10:14 PM

by: Josh Inglis

DOWN JONES: STOCK SLIPPING

The Arizona Cardinals rank third-last in passing yards allowed through six weeks but will be getting some help Sunday in the form of eight-time All-Pro corner Patrick Peterson, who is finished serving his six-game suspension.

New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones has seen his passing yards decreased in each of his first four NFL starts as perhaps teams are adjusting to the rookie and the injuries to key skilled players take their toll.

Either way, his stock is pointing in the wrong direction. To make things worse, Jones’ No.1 receiver Sterling Shepard will likely be out after dealing with his second concussion this year and is still in the league’s protocol. Look for the Giants to work the middle of the field with Golden Tate and Evan Engram as the outside lacks talent and will see Peterson in coverage.

Engram will get his yards as the Cardinals are allowing a league-worst 99.7 yards to TEs this year. But after that, we don’t see Jones doing much damage. With Arizona being the No. 1 matchup for fantasy QBs, we may be getting an inflated number for Jones’ passing yards total. We are playing the Under on 255.5 yards.

GET OVER IT

Yesterday, we wrote about backing the Los Angeles Rams’ Jared Goff in a bounce-back spot and today we’re staying on the Rams and Atlanta Falcons game as we look at two teams that are giving up over 620 yards passing combined over the last three weeks.

With the week’s highest total at a robust 54.5 points, both teams will have to keep their punters on the sideline for this game to hit 55. The Rams defense has been doing its best to keep opponents’ drives alive, allowing third-down conversions at a 47.5-percent rate and are tied for second-to-last in penalties allowed. The Falcons have been even worse, ranked last in the league in opponents’ third-down conversion rate at 57 percent.

Pushing this lean for us is the fact that both teams have been scoring touchdowns lately when inside the 20-yard line. The Birds are getting six points on two-thirds of their red-zone trips over the last three weeks while the Rams sit at 64 percent. We are backing the Over 54.5.

THE COLEMAN RULE

The San Francisco 49ers are 5-0 thanks in part to a defense that ranks first in passing yards per game, tops in rushing TDs allowed, and second in yards per game, passer rating against, first-downs per game, and points per game. This defense has also been helped by a Niners’ rushing attack averaging 180 yards game and leads the league in rushes per game.

Kyle Shanahan’s running back committee has been a pretty even timeshare in Weeks 1 through 5, but Telvin Coleman played 55 percent of the snaps last week which was the single most snaps played by a 49ers running back this year.

Coleman managed 20 touches in his second game back from injury last week and saw all of San Francisco's red-zone looks, for five carries and one target with a score. That’s great news for Coleman backers as the 49ers are also averaging the second-most rushing TDs per game.

We are taking Coleman’s anytime TD as that 49ers defense and run game will dominate the Washington Redskins, who are probably still celebrating their Week 6 win over the Dolphins.

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (Thur., Oct. 17 - Mon., Oct. 21)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (Thur., Oct. 17 - Mon., Oct. 21)

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment