Cnotes CFL 2019 News / Notes / Picks / Exhibition Football Schedule

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Odds for PGA Tour event in Minnesota this week:

8-1- Brooks Koepka

10-1- Jason Day, Hideki Matsuyama

14-1- Bryson DeChambeau

25-1- Patrick Reed

30-1- Bradley, Finau, Niemann, Hovland, Sabbatini

40-1- Howell, Im, Mickelson, Moore, Na, Streelman

Quote of the Day
“You can shear a sheep many times, but you can only skin him once.”
Amarillo Slim

Wednesday’s quiz
Which major league team used to be known as the Colt 45’s?

Tuesday’s quiz
Of the 32 NFL franchises, Houston Texans are the newest.

Monday’s quiz
D’Angelo Russell played his college basketball at Ohio State.

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Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) On July 2, 1963, Giants beat the Braves 1-0 in 16 innings at Candlestick Park. Willie Mays homered in the 16th inning. Time of game: 4:10. No pitching changes.

Both pitchers threw complete games that night; Juan Marichal and Warren Spahn. Spahn faced 56 batters, Marichal 59.

Took me a while, but I found the pitch counts for this game; Marichal threw 227 pitches, and the 42 year-old Spahn threw 201. One of the most interesting major league games of all time.

If that ever happened today, both managers/pitching coaches would be fired before sunrise.

12) I think when they put in the 3-batter minimum in for relief pitchers, it is going to shorten games by 10-15 minutes a game. Pitching changes during an inning add around five minutes apiece.

11) One of first things I learned about baseball is that a team must be strong defensively up the middle to win a championship; some of the analytics people who run front offices now disagree with this. Take the Mets.

Amed Roasrio plays shortstop, Michael Conforto plays center for the Mets most days now; Rosario is a lousy SS and his on-base %age is .293. Mets have Lagares/Gomez, who both play CF better than Conforto but Dom Smith is hitting .330, so he plays left and Conforto plays center.

Wonder what the Mets’ pitchers would do if they made out the lineup card?

10) Speaking of the Mets, they’re skipping Steven Matz’s start this weekend and will go into the All-Star break after Zach Wheeler, Noah Syndergaard make starts the weekend.

9) According to ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski, there is currently “no market” for DeMarcus Cousins, the free agent center who played for Golden State last year.

In 30 regular season games with the Warriors after recovering from an achilles injury, Cousins averaged 16.3 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.5 bpg, and 1.3 spg in 25.7 mpg- he was hoping at least for a one-year, 8-figure contract, but that looks unlikely right now.

8) Former NFL QB Anthony Wright was shot multiple times in North Carolina Monday by his girlfriend’s ex-boyfriend; Wright played for four NFL teams over the course of an eight-year career, starting 19 games- he went 5-2 starting for the 2003 Ravens.

7) Baseball stuff:
— Bronx put 1B Luke Voit (ab strain) on IL.
— 1B Kendrys Morales was released, is now a free agent.
— Cardinals put 3B Matt Carpenter (back) on the IL.

6) College basketball transfer portal:
— G Jaylen Fisher transfers from TCU to Grand Canyon.

5) Pretty good basketball trifecta at Barclays Center Dec 17:
Providence – Florida
Temple – Miami
Iona-Princeton

4) There was a hailstorm in western Mexico Sunday that covered parts of the region with as much as three feet of ice; hailstorms aren’t unusual for this time of year, but no one there had ever seen anything as extreme as this before.

3) Texas A&M has been in the SEC for seven years and still hasn’t played a football game against Georgia.

2) Red Sox will use Nathan Eovaldi as their closer when he comes off the IL.

1) One of my favorite hotel/casinos in Las Vegas turned 50 years old Tuesday; the Westgate, formerly the International and then the Las Vegas Hilton, opened on July 2, 1969.

[StarDust Bum]

Betting Recap - Week 3
July 2, 2019
By Joe Williams

This Week

-- Favorites went 4-0 SU in Week 3
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 3
-- Home teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 3
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 3
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 3

Year To Date

-- Favorites are 9-2 SU overall
-- Favorites are 6-5 ATS overall
-- Home teams are 8-3 SU overall
-- Away teams are 6-5 ATS overall
-- The 'Over' is 7-4 overall

Analysis

Winnipeg (2-0) picked up an impressive 28-21 victory, dealing Edmonton (2-1) their first setback of the season. The Blue Bombers have posted a 2-0 ATS mark across the first two outings, averaging 30.5 points per game (PPG) so far. They have split the totals so far.

For the Eskimos, they're averaging 30.5 PPG through two games at home, but they managed just 21 points in the road outing. The over is also 2-0 in their two home outings, and the under is 1-0 so far on the road. It's something to watch as we continue to go forward, as their next two games are also on the road.

BC Lions (0-3) is struggling, although it's their defense which is holding them back. They fell 36-32 on the road against Calgary (1-1) on Saturday, but it was their first cover of the season in three tries. The Lions have averaged 28.7 PPG through the first three games, which is fantastic offense, but their defense is awful, allowing 36.0 PPG, with at least 33 points yielded in each outing. As such, the 'over' has connected in all three of their games.

Toronto (0-2) fumbled their way through another ugly outing on Monday, falling 32-7 at Saskatchewan (1-2). While they sliced the points they allowed from the first game in half, they're still yielding 96 points through two outings.

The Roughriders have covered back-to-back games after opening with a loss and no-cover in Hamilton (3-0). The Riders are averaging 30.0 PPG through the first three contests, but the 'under' is 2-1. Outside of the Ottawa game, when they yielded 44 points, they have allowed just 30 total points in the other two outings.

Speaking of the Ti-Cats, they're looking like the CFL's best team so far. They steamrolled Montreal (0-2) by a 41-10 count, covering for the third consecutive weekend. Hamilton is averaging an impressive 42.7 PPG, posting 41 or more in two of the three outings. Just as impressive has been the defensive performance, yielding 13.7 PPG, with 17 or fewer points given up in each contest.

Team Betting Notes

-- The Ti-Cats and Alouettes will battle, this time in Montreal. Hamilton has managed an 8-3 ATS mark in the past 11 against losing records, and they're 11-5-1 ATS in the past 17 road contest.

-- The Alouettes are 6-1 ATS in the past seven games, and 6-1 ATS in the past seven against the East. They're also 5-1 ATS in the past six against winning teams. However, that didn't do them much good in Week 3 when they were rolled by the Ti-Cats at Tim Horton's. Montreal is 0-4 ATS in the past four home games against Hamilton, and 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings in this series.

-- The Bombers and Ottawa (2-0) square off in Canada's capital city in an early battle for the top spot in the CFL. The Bombers are 8-2 ATS in the past 10 overall, 21-8 ATS in the past 29 road games and 21-8 ATS in the past 29 against winning teams.

-- The RedBlacks are 4-1 ATS in the past five against winning teams and 5-2 ATS in the past seven overall. However, Winnipeg has dominated this series, going 4-0 ATS in the past four trips to Ottawa, and 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. The over is also 4-1 in the past five in Ottawa, and 4-1 in the past five meetings in this series overall.

-- The Lions are 1-5 ATS in the past six games overall, and 2-8 ATS in the past 10 against teams with a losing overall record. The Argonauts aren't much better, going 1-4 ATS in the past five at home, and 1-5 ATS in the past six against losing teams. The Lions have cashed in four of their past five trips to Toronto. The under is also 14-2 in the past 16 meetings in Toronto, and 22-8 in the past 30 meetings in this series.

-- The Stampeders have managed a 1-5 ATS record in the past six against losing teams, and 4-12 ATS in the past 16 against West clubs.

-- The Stamps travel to meet the Roughriders, and the over is 6-2 in the past eight meetings in Regina. The over is also 6-2 in Calgary's past eight games on a Saturday, while the over is 4-1-1 in Saskatchewan's past six on a Saturday.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 4
July 2, 2019
By David Schwab

Last week’s slate of games in the CFL started on Thursday night with the Winnipeg Blue Bombers edging Edmonton 28-21 as five-point home favorites to stay perfect on the year. Hamilton moved to 3-0 straight-up with its 41-10 rout over Montreal on Friday night closing as a heavy 12 ½-point favorite at home.

In a wild one out west on Saturday, Calgary came from behind to beat the British Columbia Lions 36-32, but the Stampeders could not cover as 10 ½-point home favorites. In the matchup between Toronto and Saskatchewan to celebrate Monday’s Canada Day, the Roughriders rolled to a 32-7 victory closing as 11 ½-point favorites at home.

Thursday, July 4

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -12 ½
Total: 56 ½

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats come into the backend of this home-and-home series with a trio of wins both SU and against the spread by a combined score of 128-41. They rolled up 64 points against Toronto on the road in Week 2 after getting past Saskatchewan 23-17 in their season opener as five-point favorites at home.

Quarterback Jeremiah Masoli has thrown for 924 yards and five touchdowns against four interceptions. He has completed 72.2 percent of his first 90 passing attempts. Brandon Banks leads the CFL in receiving yards with 20 catches for 334 yards and one touchdown.

Montreal held Hamilton scoreless for the first quarter of Friday’s game before falling apart at the seams. The defense gave up 417 yards through the air and 112 yards on the ground and the offensive line gave up six sacks. V

ernon Adams Jr. took the majority of the snaps at quarterback and threw for 173 yards and one score. Matt Shiltz completed six of his eight throws for another 64 yards through the air. The Alouettes have scored a total of 35 points in their first two games while giving up 73 points in the pair of losses.

Betting Trends

-- Hamilton has covered ATS in four of its last five games against Montreal and the total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings between these two division foes. The Alouettes have lost four of their last five home games SU against the Tiger-Cats.



Friday, July 5

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers have now won eight of their last 10 games both SU and ATS with last Thursday’s victory in their home opener. The total stayed UNDER 57 ½ points in that game and it has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven outings. Wide receiver Lucky Whitehead made the most of his CFL debut in front of the hometown crowd with a 75 yard catch for a score in the first half of that game followed by a 41-yard catch and run in the third quarter.

Quarterback Matt Nichols completed 13 of his 21 passing attempts for 200 yards and three touchdowns against one interception. He has thrown for 384 yards and six scores in his first two games this year.

Ottawa is coming off a bye week after scoring a combined 76 points in its first two games against Calgary on the road and Saskatchewan at home. It failed to cover as a 4 ½-point home favorite in the three-point win against the Roughriders in Week 2 and the total went OVER the closing line in each of the RedBlacks’ wins.

The total has gone OVER in four of their last five home games. Dominique Davis has thrown for 630 yards and three scores so far, but he has been picked off four times as well.

Betting Trends

Winnipeg has covered the closing spread in six of its last seven games against Ottawa and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings. The Blue Bombers also have 6-2 SU edge in their last eight road games against the RedBlacks.



Saturday, July 6

British Columbia Lions (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -6 ½
Total: 57.5

Game Overview

The Lions’ defense has been torched for 108 points in the unexpected 0-3 start. It has given up at least 33 points in each of those first three games. Quarterback Mike Reilly has completed 72 of his 108 passing attempts for 827 yards and four touchdowns against three interceptions.

John White has anchored BC’s running game with 92 total yards rushing on 26 carries. Bryan Burnham had a big game catching the ball against Calgary with 10 receptions for 94 yards. Reilly completed at least one pass to seven different players in the losing effort.

Toronto is picking up where it left off last season after posting just four SU wins in 2018. The offense was shutout for three of four quarters with James Franklin taking most of the snaps at quarterback. He completed 20 of his 28 passing attempts for 224 yards, but he only tossed one touchdown against two interceptions. The Argonauts gained 97 yards rushing on 18 carries with James Wilder Jr. leading the way.

Betting Trends

-- Toronto has the slight 4-2 edge ATS in the last six meetings with the total staying UNDER in six of the last seven games in this inter-division tilt. BC has won four of its last five home games against the Argonauts both SU and ATS.



Calgary Stampeders (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3 ½
Total: 51

Game Overview

The Stampeders won for the first time this season following a loss to Ottawa in Week 1, but they may have lost their quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell for this contest. He left Saturday’s game in the fourth quarter with a shoulder injury and is playing status for this Saturday is up in the air.

Nick Arbuckle took his place and led the game-winning scoring drive. He went a perfect 9-for-9 throwing the ball for 93 yards, including a touchdown throw to Eric Rogers with less than a minute left on the clock. Rogers ended the game with nine receptions for 100 yards and three scores.

Saskatchewan posted its first SU victory of year behind quarterback Cody Fajardo, in place of an injured Zach Collaros. He made a strong case to retain the starting role even if Collaros was healthy with 430 yards passing and two touchdown throws.

He completed 24-of-31 passing attempts highlighted by four completions to Kyran Moore for 127 yards and a score. William Powell ran the ball 15 times for 77 yards as the team’s leading rusher.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won nine of its last 12 games SU against Saskatchewan and it has covered the closing spread in six of the last nine meetings in this West Division clash. The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight matchups in Saskatchewan.

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday’s 6-pack

— Lakers 99, Kings 97— LA was down 21 points in 4th quarter.

— White Sox 7, Tigers 5— Dylan Cease wins his MLB debut.

— Stephen Strasburg struck out the side on nine pitches in 3rd inning last night.

— Brewers’ OF Ben Gamel learned to hit a baseball by hitting wine corks with a broom handle.

— There is a high school gym in Indiana where one side of the halfcourt line is in Indiana, the other side is in Ohio. Seriously.

— USC is going to pay $50M and apologize to UC San Diego for poaching its Alzheimer’s research program. Our world is slowly going crazy.

Quote of the Day
“You must be able to eat any food, sleep in any bed and make love to any woman…but not so well that she will want to follow you.”
Golfer Roberto De Vincenzo’s advice to a young Seve Ballesteros

Thursday’s quiz
Before the NBA’s Rockets played in Houston, where did they call home?

Wednesday’s quiz
Before the Houston Astrodome was built, the Astros used to be known as the Colt 45’s.

Tuesday’s quiz
Of the 32 NFL franchises, Houston Texans are the newest.

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Thursday’s Den; Happy 4th of July, everyone……

13) If you know a kid who plays high school or college basketball who is really good and who dreams of making it to the NBA, make sure he watches some summer league basketball over the next couple weeks.

Lot of guys who were GREAT high school players, really, really good college players, all fighting like hell just to make an NBA roster. It ain’t easy, only the very best make it.

After the kid watches ball for a while, have him go out and practice his butt off; thats the only way to become a great player, to really work at it.

12) Speaking of which, golfer Nick Faldo said recently that when he changed his swing as a pro, he hit 1,500 balls a day to get his swing right. Thats about 38 buckets of balls. Every day.

11) If you’re going to be in Las Vegas and are interested in betting on summer league games, remember that teams need to find out what their players are capable of- the same guys aren’t going to play the same amount of minutes every game.

I’ve told this story before, how I sat behind a guy at a game a few years ago, and he was 100% sure he had a great bet, because Team A had won by 20 the day before and now today’s line was kind of low. Well, that was because Team A sat most of their better players, so they could take a look at the back end of their roster- they lost by 15.

This guy was not happy. Don’t be this guy.

10) Chicago Cubs have lost 14 of their last 18 road games; Joe Maddon is in the last year of his contract, things have to be a little tense in the Windy City. Cubs are only 45-41; first place is only 5.5 games ahead of last place in the NL Central.

9) Looking at SEC football teams are I begin prepping for this fall:
— Auburn’s offensive line has 104 returning starts, but is starting a new QB.
— Florida has a QB with 21 career starts, but its whole OL has a combined 24 starts.
— Mississippi State’s OL has 71 returning starts, but none of their QB’s have started a game.
— Missouri, Georgia, LSU have the best combination of experience at QB, offensive line.

8) This is why rookie head coaches need an experienced head coach on their staff:

Michigan’s new basketball coach Juwan Howard was asked on a radio show about recruit Franz Wagner, the younger brother of former Wolverines star Moritz Wagner. Franz Wagner is uncommitted, and could stay overseas and play pro ball instead of playing college ball.

Howard speaking publicly about the young man’s future recruiting decision is technically an NCAA violation, albeit a minor one. I’m guessing Howard got some advice from new assistant Phil Martelli when this hit the fan.

7) Baseball stuff:
— Twins put P Jake Odorizzi (blister) on the IL.

6) Coby Karl is coaching the Lakers’ summer league team; he is the son of former NBA coach George Karl who happily beat some health problems he had a few years ago. Good for him.

5) Bad news if you have Wilson Ramos on your fantasy team; Jason deGrom, Noah Syndergaard both want Tomas Nido as their personal catcher.

Mets need the DH to come to the National League as soon as possible.

4) OK, I get confused when NBA teams trade for a player, then buyout the guy’s contract and he goes to a better team as a free agent. They do it for salary cap reasons, but to sign who? Teams like the Suns are always going to suck unless they get some good players who actually stay there and play.

3) Back in the 90’s, Pat Riley wrote a book called The Winner Within; it dealt with stages of team building. One of the stages was called “The Disease of Me” which is when people who are a part of the team start to think they’re “THE reason” a team wins, rather than “A reason”

NBA free agency reminds me of this, players scattering to get paid and the whole league re-booting. When the dust clears in August, we’ll look at which rosters got better/worse, but all 30 teams re-boot this summer, with teams near the top of the league re-booting the most.

2) RIP to former Kentucky QB Jared Lorenzen, who passed away way too young this week at age 38; he appeared in four NFL games as a backup with the Giants, threw for 10,354 yards and 78 TD’s at Kentucky. RIP, sir.

1) When Virginia Tech lost basketball coach Buzz Williams to Texas A&M, they also lost almost all their players; all four of their incoming recruits jumped ship (three went with Williams to A&M), plus three of their seven returning players entered the transfer portal.

Former Wofford coach Mike Young will be a first-time ACC coach at age 56; the Hokies saw their top five scorers leave, five kids that accounted for 90% of Tech’s scoring and 73% of its rebounding in 2018-19. Young will have his hands full, for sure.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL

Dunkel

Week 4

Thursday, July 4

Hamilton @ Montreal

Game 689-690
July 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
123.643
Montreal
106.138
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 17 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 12
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-12); Over


Friday, July 5

Winnipeg @ Ottawa

Game 691-692
July 5, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
116.158
Ottawa
114.906
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 3 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+3 1/2); Under


Saturday, July 6

BC Lions @ Toronto

Game 693-694
July 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
115.165
Toronto
103.202
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 12
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 7 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(-7 1/2); Under

Calgary @ Saskatchewan

Game 695-696
July 6, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
112.350
Saskatchewan
118.884
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 6 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 4 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(-4 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

This report will update....


CFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, July 4

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HAMILTON (3 - 0) at MONTREAL (0 - 2) - 7/4/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, July 5

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WINNIPEG (2 - 0) at OTTAWA (2 - 0) - 7/5/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, July 6

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 3) at TORONTO (0 - 2) - 7/6/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALGARY (1 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 2) - 7/6/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

This report will update....


CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 4

Hamilton (3-0) @ Montreal (0-2)— Ti-Cats waxed Montreal 41-10 at home LW, in game that was scoreless after a quarter; road team won seven of last ten series games- Alouettes are 3-1 vs spread in last four visits here. Total yardage in last week’s game: 529-364, Hamilton, which also turned ball over four times but still scored 41 points. Four of last six series games went over the total. Ti-Cats won/covered first three games, scoring 64-41 points last two weeks. Montreal allowed 32-41 points in losing its first two games.

Season totals:
Home teams: 5-6
Favorites: 6-4
Over/under: 7-4

[StarDust Bum]

CFL

Week 4

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Trend Report
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Thursday, July 4

Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Hamilton's last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games on the road
Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Hamilton is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Hamilton's last 12 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Montreal is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Montreal is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Montreal is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games at home
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Montreal is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 12 games when playing at home against Hamilton


Friday, July 5

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Winnipeg is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
Winnipeg is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Winnipeg's last 25 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Ottawa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Ottawa is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Ottawa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


Saturday, July 6

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
British Columbia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 7 games when playing Toronto
British Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Toronto is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing British Columbia
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia

Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Calgary is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 15 games on the road
Calgary is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
Calgary is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Saskatchewan
Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
Saskatchewan is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Saskatchewan is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games when playing at home against Calgary

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, JULY 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

HAM at MTL 07:30 PM

HAM -12.5

O 57.0

[StarDust Bum]

GAME RECAP
STANBACK LEADS ALOUETTES TO VICTORY OVER TIGER-CATS
CFL.CA STAFF

MONTREAL — The Montreal Alouettes defeated the Hamilton Tiger-Cats 36-29 on Thursday night, winning their first game of the 2019 campaign.

Montreal put on a show for Alouettes fans who showed up to Percival Molson Stadium for the team’s home opener with impressive outings from their quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. and running back William Stanback.

Stanback had an exceptional game for the Als, finding the end zone three times and accumulating 203 yards on the ground. He became the first Alouette running back to surpass 200 rushing yards since Mike Pringle did so in 1998. He also hauled in 46 yards through the air.

Adams Jr. scored a rushing touchdown, connected on 14 of 25 passes and threw for 202 yards. His counterpart Jeremiah Masoli threw for 401 yards, two touchdowns and an interception for the Tiger-Cats.

Ticats reciever Jaelon Acklin hauled in eight passes for a game-high 120 yards, followed by Brandon Banks who caught seven passes for 86 yards.

With Sean Thomas Erlington leaving the game in the first quarter, former Argonaut Anthony Coombs found himself involved in the offence, accumulating six carries for 51 yards and hauling in five passes for 61 yards through the air,

The win also marked head coach Khari Jones’ first as Montreal’s bench boss as the Alouettes improved to 1-2 on the season.

The Montreal Alouettes struck first on Thursday night. A 46-yard gain from William Stanback moved the Als to the Hamilton seven-yard line but the Ticats defence kept the home team out of the end zone. Boris Bede made his 10-yard field goal, as Montreal settled for three points.

Montreal’s start to the game was as hot as the weather, and it continued on the Ticats first offensive drive. First, the defence stuffed Sean Thomas Erlington for no gain. Then Masoli tossed an interception to Glenn Love, who picked off the pass intended for Brandon Banks.

And that turnover turned into six points, as Stanback pushed himself into the end zone for the major score. The 11-play, 52-yard drive, along with Bede’s convert, gave the Alouettes a 10-0 lead with just over seven minutes left in the first quarter.

There was bad news for the Ticats on their next possession, however, as Thomas Erlington had to be carried off the field by his teammates. He suffered a lower body injury after taking a hit from Tommie Campbell and did not return.

Jaelon Acklin scored the opening points for the Ticats, the receiver’s first CFL touchdown. He hauled in a Masoli pass right at the corner pylon, showing great concentration to keep his feet in bounds for the score. Hamilton attempted a two-point convert, Masoli kept and tried to find the end zone himself, but it was unsuccessful. The seven-play, 54-yard scoring drive saw back-to-back catches from Luke Tasker, who missed the last two games with in injury, and cut the Alouettes lead to 10-6.

Hajrullahu booted a 36-yard field goal for Hamilton to make it a one-point game to start the second quarter.

The Ticats made the Alouettes pay for a turnover later in the quarter as Ja’Gared Davis came up with a Stanback fumble. The Tabbies moved down the field quickly, aided by a 59-yard gain to a wide-open Mike Jones, to set up a 26-yard field goal from Hajrullahu. That score put Hamilton ahead of Montreal 12-10 with just over eight minutes left in the first half.

Hajrullahu tacked on another field goal as the second quarter clock ticked down, extending the Tiger-Cats lead to 15-10.

Montreal countered with a field goal of their own as Bede connected on his 43-yard attempt. Hamilton still led 15-12 with under two minutes to go. And the final drive of the first half ended with yet another field goal, this one was a 14-yarder from Hajrullahu, to extend the Ticats lead to 18-10.

Adams Jr. and the Alouettes started the second half moving the chains down the field. But they had to settle for a 24-yard field goal from Bede instead of a touchdown, cutting Hamilton’s lead to 18-16.

Montreal continued to push against the Tiger-Cats, stringing together drives in the third quarter and not allowing Hamilton to get any offence generated.

A defensive pass interference call against Tunde Adeleke, who was covering Quan Bray in the end zone, brought the Alouettes down to Hamilton’s one-yard line. Adams Jr.’s first attempt to sneak in was unsuccessful and on the second attempt, the Als pivot tossed to Stanback in the back field and the tailback ran in to score his second touchdown of the night.

That score, and an unsuccessful two-point convert, gave the Alouettes the lead back (22-18) with just under three minutes left in the third frame.

The Alouettes defence stood strong, holding Hamilton’s offence off the scoreboard complete in the third quarter.

To start the final frame, head coach Khari Jones challenged that there was defensive pass interference against Delvin Breaux, who was covering Eugene Lewis in the end zone, and the challenge was successful, bringing the Alouettes down to the one-yard line once again.

Adams Jr. plunged into the end zone for the score, capping off a three-play, 50-yard drive. Bede connected on his point-after and Montreal extended their lead to 29-18.

After Hamilton was held to a two-and-out, the Alouettes kept the momentum going. The offence was moving and Adams Jr. tossed a 35-yard bomb to Lewis, bringing the Als down into the Ticats five-yard line. Tiger-Cats head coach Orlondo Steinauer challenged the catch and his challenge was successful. It was ruled that Lewis did not have possession of the ball before falling out of bounds and the Alouettes had to move back.

But that didn’t stop the Alouettes from continuing their drive.

Stanback continued to dominate the game, scoring his third touchdown on the night two plays later. The 21-yard run, and the point-after, increased the Alouettes lead to 36-18 with 9:40 left in the fourth quarter.

But the Tiger-Cats weren’t ready to give up just yet. Masoli connected with rookie Marcus Tucker, who ran into the end zone untouched for the major score. Tucker caught the two-point convert and the Ticats cut the Alouettes lead to 36-26.

Hamilton added another field goal, cutting Montreal’s lead to 36-29 with 1:03 left in the game.

That would be the final scoring play of the night, as the Alouettes won their first of the 2019 campaign while the Tiger-Cats dropped their first of the year.

Next up for the Montreal Alouettes is a matchup against the REDBLACKS in Ottawa while the Tiger-Cats host the Calgary Stampeders.

[StarDust Bum]

CANADIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE BEST BETS AND OPINIONS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

07/04/2019 1-1-0 50.00% - 0.50
07/01/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/29/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/28/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/27/2019 2-0-0 110.00% +10.00
06/22/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/21/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/20/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
06/15/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -0.10
06/13/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50



Totals..............16-6-0 72.72% +47.90


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BEST BETS:


DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTAL

07/04/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................1 - 0...................+5.00..............-0.50
07/01/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/29/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/28/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/27/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/22/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/21/2019.............1 - 0................... +5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/20/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................0 - 1....................-5.50..............-11.00
06/15/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50..................1 - 1....................-0.50..............-1.00
06/13/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................1 - 0....................-0.50..............-6.00


Totals..................... 7 - 4...................+13.00.................9 - 2..................+28.50............+41.50

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s 6-pack

— Dodgers 5, Padres 1— LA won its 9th straight home game.

— There was a 6.4 earthquake Thursday, 65 miles west of Las Vegas.

— Red Sox 8, Blue Jays 7— Marco Hernandez homered in 9th inning.

— Reds 1, Brewers 0- Milwaukee didn’t score the last two days.

— Minnesota Twins are 8-0 this season when they lost their previous two games.

— Main Event at World Series of Poker winds up with 9,127 entries, a record. All at $10,000 a pop.

Quote of the Day
“Great players add skill to their repertoire every off season.”
Eric Musselman

Friday’s quiz
Who managed the Tampa Bay Rays when they played in the 2008 World Series?

Thursday’s quiz
Before the NBA’s Rockets played in Houston, they called San Diego home.

Wednesday’s quiz
Before the Houston Astrodome was built, the Astros used to be known as the Colt 45’s.

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Friday’s Den: Trends for NFC teams……

Arizona Cardinals- Last four years, they’re 7-13 vs spread as a home favorite.

Atlanta Falcons- Last six years, Falcons are 8-2 vs spread as a home underdog.

Carolina Panthers- Last three years, Carolina is 1-7-1 vs spread when laying points on the road.

Chicago Bears- Over last decade, Bears are 8-15-1 as a road underdog in division games, 16-17-1 in non-division games.

Dallas Cowboys- Over last decade, Cowboys are 27-17 vs spread as a road underdog; since 2010, they’re 17-34-1 as a home favorite.

Detroit Lions- Over last decade, Detroit is 12-24 vs spread when a divisional underdog.

Green Bay Packers- Last six years, Green Bay is 7-14-1 vs spread as a road underdog.

Los Angeles Rams- Under McVay, Rams are 26-10 SU, their first winning seasons since 2003; LA is +19 in turnovers in its last 32 regular season games.

Minnesota Vikings- Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 22-7-1 vs spread as a home favorite.

New Jersey Giants- Over last decade, Giants are 11-19-1 vs spread as a favorite in division games.

New Orleans Saints- Last five years, over is 26-14 in New Orleans home games.

Philadelphia Eagles- Last three years, under is 16-7 in Philly home games.

San Francisco 49ers- Niners were minus-25 in turnovers LY, are minus-38 the last four years; since getting rid of Jim Harbaugh as coach, SF is 17-47 SU.

Seattle Seahawks- Over last decade, Seahawks are 15-6 vs spread as a home underdog; they’ve had seven straight winning seasons, going 7-5 in playoff games during that time.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Last five years, Tampa Bay is 4-13 vs spread as a home favorite; they’re 7-1 as home underdogs the last two years.

Washington Redskins- Since 2013, Washington has been an underdog in 25 home games (12-13 vs spread), favored in only 22 (9-13).

[StarDust Bum]

Friday, July 5

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers have now won eight of their last 10 games both SU and ATS with last Thursday’s victory in their home opener. The total stayed UNDER 57 ½ points in that game and it has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven outings. Wide receiver Lucky Whitehead made the most of his CFL debut in front of the hometown crowd with a 75 yard catch for a score in the first half of that game followed by a 41-yard catch and run in the third quarter.

Quarterback Matt Nichols completed 13 of his 21 passing attempts for 200 yards and three touchdowns against one interception. He has thrown for 384 yards and six scores in his first two games this year.

Ottawa is coming off a bye week after scoring a combined 76 points in its first two games against Calgary on the road and Saskatchewan at home. It failed to cover as a 4 ½-point home favorite in the three-point win against the Roughriders in Week 2 and the total went OVER the closing line in each of the RedBlacks’ wins.

The total has gone OVER in four of their last five home games. Dominique Davis has thrown for 630 yards and three scores so far, but he has been picked off four times as well.

Betting Trends

Winnipeg has covered the closing spread in six of its last seven games against Ottawa and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings. The Blue Bombers also have 6-2 SU edge in their last eight road games against the RedBlacks.


*********************************


Friday, July 5

Winnipeg @ Ottawa

Game 691-692
July 5, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
116.158
Ottawa
114.906
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 3 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+3 1/2); Under



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Friday, July 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (2 - 0) at OTTAWA (2 - 0) - 7/5/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


***********************************

Winnipeg (2-0) @ Ottawa (2-0)— Winnipeg won four of last five series games, winning last visit here in OT; four of last five series games went over the total. Bombers covered 21 of last 29 road games overall; they won/covered last three visits to Ottawa. Winnipeg scored 61 points in winning first two games this year, but also allowed 21-23 points in beating pair of western rivals. RedBlacks had last week off after scoring 44-32 points in winning its first two games; their two wins are by total of seven points.


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Friday, July 5

Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Winnipeg is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Winnipeg is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
Winnipeg is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Winnipeg's last 25 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Ottawa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Ottawa is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Ottawa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

[StarDust Bum]

PREVIEW
REDBLACKS, BOMBERS PUT UNDEFEATED RECORDS ON THE LINE
CFL.CA STAFF

OTTAWA — When the dust settles, one team will remain undefeated for the first time in some time.

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers look to improve their record to 3-0 against another undefeated team in the Canadian Football League, the Ottawa REDBLACKS, in a Friday night matchup at TD Place in Ottawa.

The REDBLACKS are coming off a bye week and haven’t played since their high scoring affair in Week 2 versus the Saskatchewan Roughriders, which resulted in a 44-41 victory in Regina. Meanwhile, Winnipeg edged Edmonton 28-21 in their Week 3 game at home. Quarterback Matt Nichols threw three touchdowns for 200 yards in the win.

Bombers receiver Chris Matthews is happy with how his offence has been clicking — they have 61 points through two games — but feels there’s more to come.

“As an offence, there’s a whole lot of room for us to grow. There’s so much stuff,” Matthews told BlueBombers.com. “We’re 2-0 right now, but there’s no telling where we can go. We have a lot, but we really haven’t evolved yet.”

Matthews’ debut in 2019 was a quiet one, hauling in just two passes for 16 yards. He was overshadowed by emerging star Lucky Whitehead, who caught touchdown passes of 75 and 41 yards while racking up 155 yards on seven catches.

On the defensive side, Winnipeg has also allowed the second-fewest points among CFL teams with 44. Defensive back Marcus Sayles also thinks his team can still improve.

“We just want to be more mentally focused on what we messed up on,” Sayles said. “Our defence isn’t at its peak. We messed up a lot. Granted, we still played good and we’ve gotten our wins but we can be so much better at everything that we’ve done.

As for the REDBLACKS, they have a number of former Blue Bombers set to play against their former team, including quarterback Dominique Davis. But the pivot won’t let friendships with former teammates get in the way.

“It’s family outside the lines but inside the lines things are different,” Davis said. “Each team’s trying to get a W and I just hope we come out with a W.”

Defensive back Chris Randle is also a former Bomber. The 31-year old spent five seasons in Winnipeg before joining Ottawa this past off-season.

“I saw (the game) on my schedule so I got my mind ready for it,” Randle said. “It’s going to be an exciting time to go out there and play the next game.”

The Bombers will be without 30-year old linebacker Adam Bighill Friday. The Montesano, Wash. native missed practice earlier in the week and is now on his team’s one-game injured list. He suited up Monday, but Bombers head coach Mike O’Shea felt it was better to rest him.

“It’s probably the best decision to give him a little more time,” O’Shea said. “He probably didn’t have that final gear that he probably needs.”

He’ll be replaced by linebacker Kyrie Wilson, who moves over from his usual WILL linebacker position, while Jesse Briggs and Nick Temple will take Wilson’s place.

Despite coming off the bye week, the REDBLACKS will have to adapt with a couple of players out of the lineup and on the one-game injured list, including linebacker Nicolas Boulay and defensive lineman Michael Klassen.

The silver lining, according to REDBLACKS head coach Rick Campbell? Local depth. Five of the seven players entering the lineup are Canadian, including offensive lineman Philippe Gagnon, slotback Nate Behar, and linebacker Mickael Cote.

“We have some pretty good players that aren’t playing,” Campbell said. “Good news right now that we have Canadian depth.”

BY THE NUMBERS

22.6 — Since 2014, both the REDBLACKS and Bombers average the same number of first downs per game in matchups against each other. Considering they’ve each won the same number of games against each other since 2014 (5), no surprise that they’re so close.

7 — Matt Nichols has won seven consecutive starts dating to 2018, matching a career-best streak from July-Sept. 2016.

3-0 — Both teams will look to start 3-0 for the first time in quite a while. Ottawa hasn’t started a season with three straight wins since 2004, when they were known as the Renegades. Winnipeg last started 3-0 in 2014. They’ve only done it twice since 1988.

57 — Ottawa REDBLACKS kicker Lewis Ward has made 57 kicks in a row and has missed only once in his career (a 48-yard kick on June 21, 2018).

Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET and can be viewed on TSN, RDS, and ESPN+, and followed live via CFL.ca Game Tracker.

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, JULY 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WPG at OTT 07:30 PM

OTT -3.5

O 52.0