Cnotes 2018 nfl thread thru the superbowl- trends-news-picks+more !

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SuperContest Picks - Week 3
September 24, 2018

Week 3

1) New Orleans +3 (823) WIN
2) Seattle -2 (806) WIN
3) Baltimore -5.5 (756) WIN
4) San Francisco +6.5 (707) LOSS
5) New England -7 (678) LOSS

SUPERCONTEST WEEK 3 MATCHUPS & ODDS
Away Team Selections Home Team Selections
N.Y. Jets (+3) 124 Cleveland (-3) 316
Indianapolis (+6.5) 576 Philadelphia (-6.5) 488
Cincinnati (+3) 580 Carolina (-3) 484
Tennessee (+9.5) 272 Jacksonville (-9.5) 317
New Orleans (+3) 823 Atlanta (-3) 346
Denver (+5.5) 373 Baltimore (-5.5) 756
N.Y. Giants (+6.5) 345 Houston (-6.5) 319
Oakland (+3) 420 Miami (-3) 665
Green Bay (-2.5) 594 Washington (+2.5) 627
Buffalo (+16.5) 176 Minnesota (-16.5) 352
San Francisco (+6.5) 707 Kansas City (-6.5) 668
L.A. Chargers (+7) 618 L.A. Rams (-7) 484
Chicago (-6) 471 Arizona (+6) 514
Dallas (+2) 280 Seattle (-2) 806
New England (-7) 678 Detroit (+7) 335
Pittsburgh (-1) 582 Tampa Bay (+1) 489


WEEKLY AND OVERALL CONSENSUS RECORDS
Week Consensus Record Overall Record Percentage
1 4-1 4-1 80%
2 0-5 4-6 40%
3 3-2 7-8 47%
4 - - -
5 - - -
6 - - -
7 - - -
8 - - -
9 - - -
10 - - -
11 - - -
12 - - -
13 - - -
14 - - -
15 - - -
16 - - -
17 - - -

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Roethlisberger shines, Steelers hold off Buccaneers 30-27
September 24, 2018

TAMPA, Fla. (AP) Ben Roethlisberger threw for 353 yards and three touchdowns to lead the Pittsburgh Steelers to a 30-27 victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Monday night.

Capping a tumultuous week in which star receiver Antonio Brown made headlines by shouting at an assistant coach on the sidelines and getting into a spat on social media, the Steelers (1-1-1) built a 20-point lead before holding on for their first win.

Vance McDonald scored on a 75-yard pass play and finished with four catches for 112 yards. Brown and Ryan Switzer also had first-half TD receptions for Pittsburgh, which led 30-10 at halftime.

The Steelers' defense forced four turnovers, including three first-half interceptions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, the 35-year-old journeyman who threw for 819 yards and eight touchdowns in two victories to begin Tampa Bay's season.

Fitzpatrick, the only player in NFL history to open a season with consecutive games with over 400 yards passing and four touchdowns, tried his best to create ''FitzMagic'' again in his third start in place of the suspended Jameis Winston.

He led a long field goal drive in the third quarter, and then tossed fourth-quarter TD passes of 4 yards to Chris Godwin and 24 yards to Mike Evans to rally the Bucs (2-1) within 30-27 with 5:43 remaining.

The Bucs got the ball back with just over three minutes left; however, the Steelers forced a punt and Roethlisberger ran out the clock.

Fitzpatrick finished 30 of 50 for 411 yards and three TDs. Roethlisberger was 30 of 38 with one interception, completing nine passes to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 116 yards and six to Brown for 50 yards. His on-field chemistry with Brown appeared fine in the first game since Brown responded to a former team employee on social media by suggesting the club trade him if it wants to find out how productive he can be without Roethlisberger.

Fitzpatrick threw interceptions on three consecutive pass attempts during one stretch of the second quarter. The first stopped a promising drive at the Steelers' 6, and linebacker Bud Dupree returned the last one 10 yards for a touchdown that put the Steelers up 23-7.

Roethlisberger also turned a fumble into a 27-yard TD pass to Brown and moved the Steelers 75 yards in nine plays just before the half to make it 30-10 on his 1-yard scoring pass to Switzer.

RING OF HONOR

Hall of Fame coach Tony Dungy, who won a Super Bowl ring as player with the Steelers and as a first-time head coach transformed Tampa Bay from a laughingstock into a championship contender, was inducted into the Bucs Ring of Honor at halftime.

He's the 12th member, joining Hall of Famers Lee Roy Selmon, Warren Sapp and Derrick Brooks; coaches John McKay and Jon Gruden; late owner Malcolm Glazer; and players John Lynch, Mike Alstott, Doug Williams, Jimmie Giles and Paul Gruber.

Dungy and his wife, Lauren, accompanied Tampa Bay's captains to midfield for the coin toss. Three of the couple's children - Jade, Justin and Jason - led the team out of the tunnel as the honorary flag runners.

INJURIES

Steelers: Played without All-Pro guard David DeCastro (hand), right tackle Marcus Gilbert (hamstring) and safety Morgan Burnett (groin). Pittsburgh didn't report any injuries during the game.

Buccaneers: Defensive tackle Beau Allen (foot) was inactive after being injured during Tampa Bay's Week 2 victory over Philadelphia. S Chris Conte left in the second quarter with a knee injury and did not return.

UP NEXT

Steelers: Home vs. Baltimore on Sunday night.

Buccaneers: Visit Chicago on Sunday in the first game Winston is eligible to play.

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Tuesday’s six-pack

Payrolls for teams that have clinched spots in the baseball playoffs:

Boston $233,752,429

New York $166,111,632

Houston $160,393,900

Cleveland $134,851,565

Atlanta $118,284,851

Oakland A’s $65,985,833

Quote of the Day
“We got a long way to go to get to Golden State. They can pick up right where they left off, starting with training camp. … We are picking up from scratch, so we got a long way to go. We can’t worry about what Golden State is doing. … They’ve been together for a few years now.”
Lebron James

Tuesday’s quiz
Who did the Buccaneers beat when they won their only Super Bowl title?

Monday’s quiz
Other than Josh Rosen, Troy Aikman was the only other UCLA quarterback taken in the top 10 picks of an NFL Draft.

Sunday’s quiz
NBA’s Washington Wizards were known as the “Bullets” before switching their nickname to the Wizards.


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Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) Someone in Las Vegas Saturday bet $5,000 on the Cleveland Browns to win the AFC at 50-1; they win one game in 635 days and a guy is dropping five grand on them to get to the Super Bowl.

Someone else risked $9,000 to win $450 ($450!!!!) on the Vikings Sunday; all they had to do was beat the 17-point dog underdog Buffalo Bills.

Gambling and winning is difficult.

12) Then again, a gambler at Buffalo Bill’s casino in Primm, NV hit a $25, 8-team parlay Saturday, using eight “under” bets on college football totals. Winning wager was worth $4,500.

11) There are bitter losses, then there is Oregon’s home loss to Stanford Saturday night.

— Ducks led 24-7 at halftime.
— Oregon had ball in Stanford territory up 24-7 in 3rd quarter; Stanford’s defense picks up an Oregon fumble and runs 80 yards for a TD.
— Ducks had ball in Stanford territory in last minute, appeared to have first down that would have ended game, but runner fumbled, Cardinal recovered and they tied game with a FG.
— Stanford wins the game in OT.

10) Minnesota Twins have allowed 10 walk-off homers this year, an all-time record; they’ve had 15 walk-off losses, which is one short of the all-time record, held by five teams:

1924 Phillies
1943 St Louis Browns
1966 Red Sox
1969 Giants
1975 Houston Astros

9) Lookalikes, when they both have a hat on: Tennessee football coach Jeremy Pruitt and Indians’ manager Terry Francona.

8) Eli Manning makes roughly $200,000 a year (give-or-take $20K) to do a for short spot each week with Mike Francesa on WFAN in New York City during the football season. Thats a lot of cash to pay a guy for spewing cliches while failing to appear interested.

7) Sounds like the NBA’s Minnesota Timberwolves are off to a great start this season; the star player wants to be traded, the coach and the GM don’t want to trade him, but the owner does, so he orders the reluctant GM to engage in trade talks. Could be a long winter for the Wolves.

Minnesota also signed its other star, All-Star center Karl-Anthony Towns to a 5-year, $190M super-maximum contract extension. Apparently the two stars didn’t get along well.

6) Things you don’t see in lot of places: After the A’s game Saturday night, 40 or so fans lined up on the third base line, the players/coaches took their jerseys off, signed them and gave them to the corresponding fan who won the contest to win that person’s jersey. Pretty cool promotion.

5) ESPN play-by-play guy Joe Tessitore is a little bit of a hype master; Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is off to a great start in his career, but you’re not “a superstar” after four games.

4) If you’re counting New England out as a Super Bowl contender this year, remember that the Patriots were 1-3 in ’01 and won the Super Bowl; they were 2-2 in ’03 and won the Super Bowl, and were 2-2 in ’14 and won the Super Bowl.

That said, Miami is 3-0 and everyone else in the AFC East is 1-2. Dolphins are visiting Foxboro Sunday, and that suddenly becomes a much more important game.

3) With Jimmy Garoppolo done for this year, 49ers’ coach Kyle Shanahan said he’s working out several FA QBs tomorrow; Tom Savage. Kellen Clemens. TJ Yates. Nick Mullens will be promoted from the practice squad. Matt Moore may also try out.

CJ Beathard is now the 49ers’ starting QB.

2) Steelers 30, Buccaneers 27— Pittsburgh hung a 30-spot on the Bucs in the first half; Tampa Bay turned ball over four times before halftime. Hard to win that way.

Bucs stormed back in second half, but fell short; Ryan Fitzpatrick is first player in NFL history to throw for 400+ yards in three consecutive games.

1) Meanwhile, in St Pete, the Rays lost 4-1, which means the Oakland A’s are in the playoffs, and I really, really enjoyed typing this sentence. Later this week, I’ll have a lot more on this gritty, gutty team that has pulled off a baseball miracle this season.

Tickets for postseason games in Oakland go on sale Friday morning at 9am, PST

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Hot & Not Report
September 24, 2018
By YouWager.eu

Who's Hot and Who's Not

Week of September 24th

Another week of football action in college and the pros is in the books and it was an interesting weekend to say the least. NFL survivor pools across the nation have taken more casualties through three weeks than I can ever remember in recent years, as the Minnesota Vikings were the latest team to be apart of the blood bath with their outright home loss as nearly 17-point favorites vs Buffalo – a game Minnesota was never even close to being in the entire way.

Also, in reference to last week's piece, the 'unders' involving NFC East teams continued to stay on course with a 2-2 O/U record in Week 3. The Dallas Cowboys remain one of two teams left in the entire NFL (Arizona being the other) that have yet to cash an 'over' ticket this year, and with scoring definitely up through three weeks this year across the board, I'm not sure how long that will last.

Conversely, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs managed to stick their middle fingers up at being a part of the “Fade 40 club” with yet another impressive offensive performance to stay 3-0 SU and ATS. After putting up 35 points in the first half, it looked as though KC didn't want to tempt the “Fade 40 club” again this week as they only put up three points in the 2nd half to finish with 38 points. It's the New Orleans Saints turn in Week 4 to deal with that dilemma.

Speaking of Week 4 in the NFL, we've now basically hit the quarter-pole of the campaign and it's a method a lot of NFL coaches like to use to break down the 16-game season. Handicapping can become a little more fluid now too with identities of these squads continually being revealed more and more, and that means more situational angles can get into play.

Let's take a look at a few of them for this week:

Who's Hot

'Overs' for NFL teams off a TNF home game – 2-0 O/U in 2018, 22-11 O/U since start of 2016

A common angle many bettors love to mention each week in the NFL is to back those teams off a Thursday Night football game because they've just had what amounts to a “mini-bye”. Rest is key in the NFL and for those teams who had to deal with an extremely short week, reaping the rewards the following week has to be the goal. But what appears to be the better angle here is to take those TNF teams who were at home and play the total 'over' the number the next week.

We've already seen this angle go 2-0 O/U this season with Philly (home on TNF in Week 1) cash an 'over' ticket in Week 2, and this past week it worked again with the Cincinnati Bengals sailing 'over' the number in their game against Carolina. Whether it's because these TNF home teams get the added benefit of not having to travel on that short week – to or from that TNF game – or it's a simple case of extra rest, prep time, and film scouting – including scouting their next opponent live on Sunday/Monday prior to facing them - we will probably never know. But this trend can't be ignored at this point because it's not like it hasn't been consistent either. Last year saw this scenario go 9-5 O/U and 2016 finished with an 11-5 O/U mark.

Side note for those of that are wondering, those numbers do not include the Thanksgiving afternoon games in Detroit and Dallas every year, but those specific teams went 2-0 O/U in 2017 and 0-2 O/U in 2016 following those Thanksgiving contests.

This means that Browns fans – if they've stopped drinking in celebration from Cleveland's TNF win in Week 3 – better be prepared for some more great play from Baker Mayfield in Oakland for Week 4. It's the Cleveland/Oakland game that fits this scenario in Week 4 and wouldn't you know it we've already seen the opener of 44.5 be pushed up to 45 as of this writing.

Who's Not

2017 One-Year Wonder QB's Case Keenum, Deshaun Watson, and Jimmy Garoppolo winless ATS in 2018

There are only three NFL teams that remain winless against the spread through three games in 2018 (Pittsburgh could be the 4th after MNF tonight) and they would be the Denver Broncos (0-2-1 ATS), Houston Texans (0-3 ATS) and San Francisco 49ers (0-3 ATS). Those numbers are a complete about face for those respective QB's as Denver's Case Keenum, Houston's Deshaun Watson, and San Francisco's Jimmy Garoppolo were ATS darlings when they were on the field just a season ago.

Garoppolo's record likely isn't going to get any better as he's feared to be lost for the season with a knee injury which is a shame, but should we be fading these guys/teams in the immediate future?

Regarding Keenum, he parlayed a great season as the replacement in Minnesota last year into a big contract and starting role in Denver, but through three games he has looked like the journeyman backup he was his entire career prior to 2017. There may still be time to give him another week or two given he is with a new team, but the leash can't be that long anymore for Keenum in Denver. The Broncos and Keenum are home dogs against the high-powered Chiefs on MNF in Week 4 which is an interesting spot to say the least in terms of how much trust you want to have in Keenum and the Broncos.

Over in Houston, HC Bill O'Brien appears to be taking ALL the heat for the Texans 0-3 SU and ATS start simply because NFL fans saw how Deshaun Watson torched opposing defenses in his handful of games a year ago before getting hurt. But I believe Watson has to share nearly equal blame in this rough start (if he wasn't off an ACL it would be 50/50), because it's not like O'Brien wasn't the head guy last year during that great run by Houston and those same NFL fans were heaping praise on him for the move. Maybe the Texans (and Watson) are being overly cautious with his return, but the Texans offense just eclipsed 20 points for the first time in 2018 in Week 3 and it was only because they got a garbage time TD to do so.

It may be time for bettors to start really considering that maybe Watson wasn't all he was cracked up to be during that great run in 2017 and understand that the same issue that has plagued Houston since their existence – a lack of a quality QB – is still the issue in 2018. Three games off an ACL I'm willing to give Watson the benefit of the doubt, but a poor showing by this Texans offense as road dogs in Indy this week may be the end of the line for O'Brien in Houston, or maybe even Watson as the starter of this team for a week or two.

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Opening Line Report - Week 4
September 25, 2018
By Joe Williams

After three weeks of NFL action, we have just three unbeaten teams remaining -- the Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams and Miami Dolphins. In addition to being unbeaten straight-up, they're also 3-0 against the spread (ATS). Will that trend continue this week? So far the bet has been the Chiefs and the 'over', going 3-0 ATS and over the total. If you're been smashing those parlays so far, congrats. They'll put each of those streaks to the test on Monday night in the Mile High City against the rival Denver Broncos.

In addition, Week 4 features the first of the byes, as the Carolina Panthers and Washington Redskins get the first in-season rests.

(Consensus Odds as of Tuesday)

Thursday, Sept. 27

Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams (-6.5, 49)

It's amazing how much of a difference one week makes. The Vikings were on fire, laying the most points of the 2018 season against the Buffalo Bills (-17) in Week 3. It appeared we were on pace for a potential playoff preview featuring a pair of 3-0 SU teams. A funny thing happened, however, as the Bills remembered how to play professional football -- and no one retired this week.

The Rams are favored by nearly a touchdown, but they have issues in the secondary. CB Aqib Talib might need corrective surgery for a high-ankle sprain, and CB Marcus Peters (calf) is also dinged up. The line opened at 6 1/2 at most shops, with Treasure Island opening this game at -6 before getting in line with everyone else. Westgate Superbook and William Hill opened at -7, but are also at 6 1/2 as of Tuesday morning.

Sunday, Sept. 30

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-7, 47.5)

The Dolphins are unbeaten on the season and against the number, but they head to Foxboro as decisive underdogs with Vegas not respecting their three opening wins. That's probably because the Fins haven't won in Foxboro since Sept. 21, 2008, a span of nine seasons. New England is 7-2 ATS during the nine-game home win streak against their AFC East rivals.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-1, 47)

The Texans limp into Lucas Oil Stadium looking for their first victory of the season. They might still be searching for a win after the weekend, as they are just 2-7 SU/3-5-1 ATS in their past nine trips to Indianapolis. The total might also seem rather high considering the 'under' has connected in nine straight meetings in Indy.

Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons (-6, 51)

The Bengals were aiming to go unbeaten through three, but they were unable to break the bank in Charlotte against the Panthers. If you're feeling the Falcons, Mirage-MGM opened the line at -5 1/2, and still had it there as of Tuesday morning. Where there has been movement is on the total, opening at MGM at 50 1/2, bumping up to 51 1/2 in just a few hours.

Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers (-10, 45.5)

The Bills changed the course of their season with a stunning upset win in Minnesota last week, and now they're look to win as a double-digit 'dog for the second straight week. All Vegas books have the Packers at 10 or higher, but you can still get in on the Pack at -9 1/2 at Treasure Island. There might be some doubt about the Packers, though, as QB Aaron Rodgers were limping noticeably in last week's loss in D.C. and bettors might be just one hit away from QB DeShone Kizer time.

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys (-3, 43.5)

The Lions gained the first win for new head coach Matt Patricia, dropping mentor Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots on Sunday night. The line is a field goal across the board all except Westgate has the 'Boys at -3.5, while Treasure Island has the home team at just - 2 1/2 as of Tuesday AM.

New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars (-7.5, 38)

One week the Jags looked like a Super Bowl contender, then a 9-6 loss against the Tennessee Titans and their backup quarterback makes you wonder about their staying power. Vegas feels confident they'll rebound, especially against a team which lost to the lowly Cleveland Browns, ending their 18-game losing skid.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (-2.5, 48)

'Fitz-magic' ran out on Monday night against the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers and now we get a chance to see how they rebound against the Bears D. There are some questions about the QB here, as Jameis Winston is eligible to return from a three-game suspension. Of course, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown for 400 or more yards in three straight -- becoming the first-ever QB to accomplish the feat in NFL history. Surely there won't be a change, right?

Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5, 41.5) at Tennessee Titans

The defending champs got their QB Carson Wentz back last week after a torn ACL last November shelved him until last Sunday. Philly won, but they failed to cover against an AFC South team, the Indianapolis Colts. The Titans grinded out a 9-6 win in 'Sacksonville', but they also have some QB questions with Blaine Gabbert in the concussion protocol and Marcus Mariota thrust into action despite an elbow issue.

Seattle Seahawks (-3, 38.5) at Arizona Cardinals

The Seahawks and Cardinals love to win on each other's field. The visiting team is 8-1-1 SU over the past 10 meetings in this series, and the Cardinals are 0-4-1 SU/ATS in their past five home games against the 'Hawks. The 'under' is also 3-0 in the past three meetings in this series. That's likely why everyone book has Seattle laying a field goal, with the line opening at -3 1/2 at Mirage-MGM.

Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders (-2.5, 45)

The Browns got off the schneid last week with a win over the Jets, while the Raiders are still searching for their first win in the second installment of Chucky-mania. The books aren't buying into the late-game heroics of rookie QB Baker Mayfield last week, favoring the winless Raiders at home.

Bettors love the Raiders, particularly at Westgate and William Hill. The Browns opened as a pick 'em at Westgate, but bettors pushed the Raiders all the way up - 2 1/2 before leveling off with some money coming in on Cleveland to knock it down to two. William Hill opened at -1 in favor of Oakland, and it's up to -2 1/2 as of Tuesday morning. If you're feeling Mayfield and the second-place Browns, check out the offshore books, where BetOnline.ag has the Browns catching three points.

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Chargers (-10.5, 47.5)

The 49ers are reeling after losing QB Jimmy Garoppolo to a torn ACL, and the road team is a double-digit favorite across the board. With offensive issues, the total might be a bit high, but it is holding steady at 47 1/2 at the Golden Nugget and the Wynn.

New Orleans Saints (-3.5, 50) at New York Giants

The Saints rolled up 40-plus points for the second time in three games with a win at Atlanta last week. However, they will be heading outside into the elements for the first time in 2018, while the Giants are trying to follow up a win for the first time in 2018. The early money is on the Saints, with the line opening at -3 and bumping to -3 1/2 at Peppermill, Stratosphere and Southpoint, as well as Westgate.

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3, 48.5)

The Steelers picked up their first win of the season in Tampa, and face a quick turnaround with their rival Ravens visiting the Steel City on Sunday night. The home team is 8-2 SU over the past 10 home games, but the Steelers are 0-2-1 ATS over their past thre at home against Baltimore. The 'over' is 3-1 in the past four meetings in Heinz Field, and that might be an attractive play considering the Steelers defense cannot seem to stop anyone. The 'over' is 3-0 for Pittsburgh so far, averaging 29.3 PPG on offense while allowing 30.0 PPG on defense.

Monday, Oct. 1

Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5, 55.5) at Denver Broncos

The juggernaut Chiefs have been on fire, scoring at least 38 points in each of their three games. They say defense wins championships, and that's an area K.C. will need to work on if they want to be title contenders. The Chiefs have allowed at least 27 points in each game this season, allowing an average of 30.7 PPG. The Golden Nugget and Stations are particularly high on the Chiefs, opening them at -5.

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Games to Watch - Week 4
September 25, 2018
By YouWager.eu

NFL Games to Watch - Week 4

To say that the opening 3 weeks of the season has been a little crazy is putting things rather mildly. The new OT rules have delivered a pair of ties, while only 3 teams - Chiefs, Rams, and Dolphins – have made it out of the opening weeks with a perfect 3-0 record. As we head into Week 4 of the 2018 NFL season, there are also already a few teams who are under a severe amount of pressure, either as 0-3 or 1-2.

Getting behind the 8-ball this early is always bad, as it severely reduces the chances of making it to the playoffs. Every game in this league is important, but let’s look at a few of the bigger Week 4 match-ups with all the odds, props and futures offered by YouWager.eu.

Minnesota Vikings at L.A. Rams

The Thursday night game looks to be a beauty, as it features a pair of teams who are considered to be legitimate Super Bowl favorites. The Vikings are off to a bit of a wobbly 1-1-1 start and are sure to be smarting after losing to the Buffalo Bills in Week 3. As mentioned at the start of this piece, the L.A. Rams are one of just three teams coming into Week 4 with a perfect record, and it’s more than fair to suggest that they are living up to their preseason hype.

There is no doubt that more of the pressure is on the Vikings here after their loss, especially when playing in what looks to be a very good NFC North Division.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots

The Dolphins have been a rather pleasant surprise through the opening 3 weeks, but the true test of where this team is really at will come this weekend when they go on the road to face the New England Patriots. We are not used to seeing Brady and company sitting off the pace, even this early in the season, so it is going to be interesting to see how they react to starting the season at 1-2.

The Patriots have really not looked very good through the opening 3 weeks, making you wonder if all the changes they made in the offseason are blowing up in their face.

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

No matter where these two teams are at in the standings, we always know that we are going to get a physical game of football when they go head to head. These are a pair of teams that have a legitimate dislike for one another and that tends to carry over to the football field. The Ravens are off to a 2-1 start and are getting much more out of the offense than we have been used to seeing in recent years.

The Steelers picked up their first win of the season on Monday night against the Buccaneers and will be looking to keep the good times rolling with a home win this Sunday night.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

QB Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs has become essential viewing through the opening 3 weeks of the season and the young man will get the chance to strut his stuff in prime-time next Monday night. The KC offense is firing on all cylinder, with the young QB breaking all kinds of records in the process.

A trip to Mile High is never an easy one to make, especially with the Broncos coming off a loss to the Ravens in Week 3. They will be looking to put in a big performance to get back to winning ways on home turf.

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Winston's suspension, Bucs not saying if he's still No. 1
September 25, 2018
By The Associated Press

TAMPA, Fla. (AP) The Tampa Bay Buccaneers can't avoid questions about Jameis Winston's return much longer.

The young quarterback's three-game suspension for violating the NFL's personal conduct policy officially ended after Monday night's 30-27 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, however it's unclear if he's coming back as the team's starter.

Ryan Fitzpatrick's made the decision a lot tougher than expected by throwing for over 1,200 yards and 11 touchdowns in Winston's absence, including going 30 of 50 for 411 yards and three TDs against the Steelers.

Dirk Koetter repeatedly shrugged off questions about his plans while Winston was away. And now that his return is imminent, the coach is still not saying.

''Let's see what the injury report (says),'' Koetter said Monday night, sidestepping the question once again.

''Anytime we have these games, it's not always obvious how the guys are going to come in the next day and come in on Wednesday,'' the coach added. ''Let's see what happens. I mean, I'd love to get a chance to talk to Jameis face to face before I tell the rest of the world.''

Ben Roethlisberger threw for 353 yards and three touchdowns for the Steelers (1-1-1), who built a 20-point lead and held on for their first win despite not scoring in the second half.

Pittsburgh's defense forced four first-half turnovers, including three interceptions of Fitzpatrick, the 35-year-old journeyman quarterback who's led the Bucs to a 2-1 start while throwing for more than 400 yards in each game.

''You know, I have so much fun playing this game. I have fun playing with these guys, and I'm here just ready to do whatever it takes to help the team win,'' Fitzpatrick said. ''I think that will be my mindset going forward.''

Winston started 45 of 48 games over the first three years of his career. He was suspended following the NFL's investigation of an accusation that in March 2016 he groped a female Uber driver during a ride in Scottsdale, Arizona.

''We love Jameis. He's a member of our team, and we're anxious to get him back,'' Koetter said. '' He'll be great in our locker room and . whatever role that he ends up in, I know Jameis will embrace that role and give it everything's he got.''

Some takeaways from Steelers-Buccaneers:

WHAT TURMOIL?

The Steelers capped a tumultuous week in which star receiver Antonio Brown made headlines by shouting at an assistant coach on the sidelines and getting into a spat on social media with a former team employee.

Brown scored on a 27-yard reception, Ryan Switzer caught 1-yard TD pass from Roethlisberger, and Vance McDonald stiff-armed safety Chris Conte to break into the clear on a 75-yard pass play that got the Steelers going early.

Roethlisberger's on-field chemistry with Brown appeared fine in the first game since the receiver responded to a former team employee on social media by suggesting the club trade him if it wants to find out how productive he can be without Roethlisberger.

''I still think the biggest issue was outside the locker room, people perceiving different things,'' Roethlisberger said. ''Not saying we don't have issues. All teams have issues, and there's different things going on. But I think it was made a bigger issue than it really was.''

FLAGS, FLAGS, FLAGS

The teams combined for five roughing-the-passer penalties, most in an NFL game since 2001, as fans around the league continue to gripe about flags being thrown for what appear to be routine tackles. Pittsburgh was flagged three times for hits on Fitzpatrick, and the Bucs were called twice for roughing Roethlisberger. In all, the Steelers were penalized 13 times for 155 yards. Tampa Bay had nine penalties for 80 yards. The Bucs also had a holding penalty that wiped out what would have been an 80-yard punt return for a TD by DeSean Jackson.

''I thought the penalties kind of marred the game. There were a lot of penalties on us and on them,'' Steelers coach Mike Tomlin said. ''We'll look at it and learn from it, but I thought the guys played extremely hard.''

COMEBACK

Tampa Bay made it close by keeping Roethlisberger and Pittsburgh's high-powered offense on the sideline for long stretches of the second half. Fitzpatrick led a long field goal drive that consumed nearly eight minutes of the third quarter. The Steelers used most of the remainder of the period to move into position for a 47-yard field goal that Chris Boswell missed.

The Bucs used TD catches by Chris Godwin and Mike Evans to pull within 30-27. They got the ball back with just over three minutes left, but the Steelers defense forced a punt and Roethlisberger ran out the clock.

''I thought our defense played awesome, creating turnovers, short field, making some stops,'' Roethlisberger said. ''I told this team afterwards that was a total team win, all the phases. That's what Steeler football is all about.''

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s six-pack

Six interesting spreads in college football this week:

— UCLA @ Colorado (-10.5)— Chip Kelly’s Bruins are already 0-3.

— Syracuse @ Clemson (-24)— Tigers were upset in central NY last season.

— Ohio State (-3.5) @ Penn State— Big game in Happy Valley.

— Purdue (-3.5) @ Nebraska— Cornhuskers are 0-3 for first time since 1945.

— Florida @ Mississippi State (-7)- -Dan Mullen goes back to Starkville

— Oregon (-3) @ Cal— Good late night game on FS1.

Quote of the Day
“Our reality is that he (Jimmy Butler) has requested a trade, so we’ll honor that. But we’re not just going to make any deal. … Our conversations will remain private. He requested a trade and we’re going to honor his request. But we’re not going to do anything that’s bad for the Timberwolves. We’re going to do what’s good for the Timberwolves. We have to prioritize that. That’s what our job is.”
Minnesota coach Tom Thibodeau

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was Vice President when Jimmy Carter was President?

Tuesday’s quiz
Buccaneers beat the Oakland Raiders 48-21 when they won their only Super Bowl title, in January 2003

Monday’s quiz
Other than Josh Rosen, Troy Aikman was the only other UCLA quarterback taken in the top 10 picks of an NFL Draft.


***************************


Wednesday’s List of 13: NFL stats, and other stuff…….

13) Tampa Bay Bucs play in Chicago Sunday, then have their bye week; Ryan Fitzpatrick just became the first QB EVER to throw for 400+ yards three games in a row. Problem is, he isn’t the Bucs’ starting QB; he is the backup who started while Jameis Winston was suspended for off-field issues.

If Winston is on the Tampa Bay roster next March 13, the Bucs will owe him $20.9M; thats going to be a very interesting decision. Fitzpatrick will be 36 in late November, so he isn’t the QB of the future in the Big Sombrero. Question is: if not Winston, then who?

12) Arizona Cardinals are switching to rookie Josh Rosen as their starting QB for their home game with Seattle Sunday; Arizona put Rosen in the game with about 4:15 left Sunday and the Cardinals down 16-14— very difficult spot to be put in, for his NFL debut.

In their first three games, Arizona’s offense:
— Total yards: 213-137-221
— 3rd down conversions: 1-8, 3-12, 3-10
— Turnovers: 2-1-4 (minus-3 for season)
— Cardinals had zero red zone snaps in their last two games.
— Arizona has been scoreless in four of six halves this season.

In other words, Rosen’s starting won’t hurt any.

11) Happy 85th birthday to the great Hubie Brown, who won 528 games and two NBA Coach of the Year titles; he is still an excellent basketball analyst for ESPN.

Long time ago, October 15, 1984 to be exact, Knicks-Bulls played an exhibition game in Glens Falls, an hour from where I live- Michael Jordan was a rookie, but he wasn’t “Michael Jordan” yet, just the 3rd pick in the NBA Draft.

Friend of mine and I went to Glens Falls during the day and walked in the arena while the Knicks were having their walk-thru. No one stopped us, so we went down to the floor and sat down on the end of the Knicks’ bench and watched practice. When I stretched my legs, my feet were on the court- it was awesome.

10) After practice, I talked to Bernard King, the Knicks’ star and Hubie Brown; both guys were nice to me, Coach Brown talked to me for 10 minutes about what stats (analytics now) are good to use and what ones aren’t. That was a good day

10) Clemson named true freshman Trevor Lawrence starting QB for this week vs Syracuse; the previous starter, Kelly Bryant, is apparently not happy and may transfer— he had a meeting with Dabo Swinney on Monday. The meeting was said to be “emotional”; Bryant didn’t practice on Monday or Tuesday.

9) Garbagemen come thru my neighborhood at 5:40am on Tuesdays, when it is still very dark out- now that is a bad job, especially in winter, when it is cold as hell. In summers, the sun is actually out at 5:40, so it might not be so bad. What time do these guys have to get up? Yuk.

8) Angels’ DH/P Shohei Ohtani will undergo elbow surgery next week; not sure what that means for his availability as a hitter next spring, but he won’t pitch at all next season.

7) Seems like NFL bye weeks are more stretched out this season; Panthers-Redskins are off this week; Rams-Chiefs don’t have their bye until Thanksgiving weekend, after their Mexico City tilt.

6) NFL teams who scored most pts/possession in the red zone this season:
Ravens 6.92 ppp, Chiefs 6.67, Bengals 6.50, Seahawks 6.33

Seattle scored 38 points on only six red zone drives, T3rd least in NFL. Arizona has only been inside opponents’ red zone twice.

Teams with worst ppp in red zone:
Cardinals 3.00, Jets 3.33, Titans 3.83, Broncos 3.88

5) NFL teams who allowed fewest pts/possession in the red zone this season:
Titans 2.60, Dolphins 2.67, Eagles 3.25, Jaguars 3.67

Teams who’ve allowed most ppp in red zone:
Panthers 7.14, Bucs 6.56, Chiefs 6.44, Falcons 6.27

4) NFL teams who scored most ppp on drives starting 75+ yards from goal line:
Chiefs 2.94, Falcons 2.90, Ravens 2.87, Bengals 2.60

Teams who scored fewest ppp on drives starting 75+ yards from goal line:
Cardinals 0.65, Vikings 0.80, Jets/Texans 0.86

3) Teams with most plays of 20+ yards this season:
Bucs 21, Chargers 20, Chiefs 19, Broncos 18, Bengals 17

Teams with fewest plays of 20+ yards:
Cowboys 4, Titans 5, Cardinals/Bears/Patriots 6.

2) Teams who allowed fewest plays of 20+ yards:
Cowboys 4, Redskins 6, Jaguars 7, Ravens/Browns, Lions, Seahawks 9

Teams who allowed most plays of 20+ yards:
Chiefs/Steelers 20, Chargers/Raiders 17, Panthers 16

1) Buffalo has gone 3/out on 18 of its 35 drives this season.
Rams have gone 3/out on one of their 27 drives.

[StarDust Bum]

Bookmakers expect NFL bettors to jump on red-hot Rams' odds after Vikings' Week 3 implosion
Patrick Everson

Kirk Cousins and Minnesota stunningly lost to Buffalo in Week 3, and though early Week 4 action favored the visiting Vikings vs. the Rams, the Superbook expects L.A. money to show up strong.

Week 4 of the NFL season opens with a team coming off a monster upset loss against an unbeaten unit averaging 34 points per game. We check in on the opening lines and early action for four matchups, with insights from John Murray, sportsbook manager for the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.

Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams (-7)

Minnesota went into its Week 3 home tilt as a 16.5-point favorite against seemingly hapless Buffalo. But things didn’t go quite as planned, as the Vikings (1-1-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) trailed 27-0 at halftime and ended up losing 27-6. Now, the Vikes have a short turnaround on the road, playing the Thursday nighter.

Meanwhile, Los Angeles kept piling up points at a consistent rate in Week 3. After totaling 33 and 34 points in Weeks 1 and 2, respectively, the Rams (3-0 SU and ATS) bested the Los Angeles Chargers 35-23 as a 7.5-point chalk.

“We opened this game Rams -7, a 2 point move from our lookahead line (last week) of Rams -5,” Murray said. “We took a bet right away on the Vikings +7 and went to 6.5. But I’m pretty sure we will need the Vikings big on Thursday. Minnesota looks like it was caught looking ahead in a terrible loss at home to the Bills.

“The Rams are definitely the public team right now. They’re scoring points and covering spreads. The public loves them.”

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (-1.5)

Tampa Bay and Ryan Fitzmagic, er, Fitzpatrick are the talk of the league, but they’ve still got some Week 3 work to do, hosting Pittsburgh in a Monday night affair. The Buccaneers (2-0 SU and ATS) shocked New Orleans in Week 1 as a 10-point road pup, then beat defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia 27-21 catching 3 points at home in Week 2.

After a tough Week 1 loss at Green Bay, Chicago bounced back with a pair of victories. The Bears (2-1 SU and ATS) rallied from a 14-0 first-quarter deficit to grab a 16-14 victory over Arizona as 5.5-point road faves in Week 3.

“We opened the Bears -1.5, took a couple bets on them and moved it to -2,” Murray said. “Chicago struggled offensively against Arizona, but the public believes in its defense, and I can see why. This number could change depending on the ‘Monday Night Football’ game between the Steelers and Bucs.”

Later Sunday, the line ticked up another notch to Chicago -2.5.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (+4.5)

Kansas City quarterback Pat Mahomes is another big developing story this season, with 13 touchdown passes and no interceptions through three weeks. In Week 3 against San Francisco, Mahomes had three TDs as the Chiefs (3-0 SU and ATS) built a 35-7 lead and cruised to a 38-27 win laying 5.5 points at home.

Denver played its first two games in the friendly confines of the Mile High City and won both. Week 3 on the road wasn’t nearly as kind, with the Broncos (2-1 SU, 0-2-1 ATS) tumbling to Baltimore 27-14 getting 5.5 points.

“We opened the Chiefs -4.5 and took a bet on the Broncos, but left it,” Murray said, though later Sunday, the line did tick down to 4. “We will need the Broncos in this game. The public loves the Chiefs for all the same reasons I said they love the Rams. I can see why. Mahomes looks unbelievable right now. I’m confident books all over Nevada will have big liabilities on the Chiefs next Monday night.”

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-9.5)

Perennial Super Bowl contender New England is off to a shaky start this season. After getting dominated at Jacksonville in Week 2, the Patriots couldn’t build any momentum at Detroit, losing 23-10 as a 7-point fave.

With the Pats out of the gate slowly, Miami finds itself atop the AFC East. The Dolphins (3-0 SU and ATS) dropped Oakland 28-20 laying 3 points at home, but this Week 4 road trip will easily be their sternest test so far.

“We opened the Patriots -9.5, despite the Dolphins getting off to an impressive 3-0 start,” Murray said. “I’ve been impressed with the Dolphins and consider New England to be a little on the overrated side right now, but we know where the money will come in on this game. The Patriots will be included in every moneyline parlay and teaser next week.”

The Superbook moved down a tick to 9 just before the Patriots kicked off at Detroit, and then took the game off the board, which is standard operating procedure when a team is playing in the Sunday nighter. The matchup will be reposted on Monday morning.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, September 27

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MINNESOTA (1 - 1 - 1) at LA RAMS (3 - 0) - 9/27/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 187-232 ATS (-68.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 187-232 ATS (-68.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 87-121 ATS (-46.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 133-183 ATS (-68.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 145-184 ATS (-57.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 65-97 ATS (-41.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 30

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MIAMI (3 - 0) at NEW ENGLAND (1 - 2) - 9/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 72-100 ATS (-38.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
MIAMI is 56-80 ATS (-32.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (0 - 3) at INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 2) - 9/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in dome games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (2 - 1) at ATLANTA (1 - 2) - 9/30/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (1 - 2) at GREEN BAY (1 - 1 - 1) - 9/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 108-79 ATS (+21.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 188-135 ATS (+39.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (1 - 2) at DALLAS (1 - 2) - 9/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 137-173 ATS (-53.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (1 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (2 - 1) - 9/30/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (2 - 0) at CHICAGO (2 - 1) - 9/30/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) at TENNESSEE (2 - 1) - 9/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (1 - 2) at ARIZONA (0 - 3) - 9/30/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 44-22 ATS (+19.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (1 - 1 - 1) at OAKLAND (0 - 3) - 9/30/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 50-82 ATS (-40.2 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 76-106 ATS (-40.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 76-106 ATS (-40.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 60-84 ATS (-32.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 76-106 ATS (-40.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 2) at LA CHARGERS (1 - 2) - 9/30/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (2 - 1) at NY GIANTS (1 - 2) - 9/30/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (2 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (0 - 1 - 1) - 9/30/2018, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 1

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KANSAS CITY (3 - 0) at DENVER (2 - 1) - 10/1/2018, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Week 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 27

Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 13-2-1 SU in its last 16 games
Minnesota is 6-2-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing LA Rams
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
LA Rams is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home
LA Rams is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games at home
LA Rams is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
LA Rams is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Rams's last 12 games when playing Minnesota
LA Rams is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota



Sunday, September 30

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia


Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 7-12-3 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Buffalo is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
Buffalo is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games
Green Bay is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Green Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo


Detroit Lions
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit


Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Tampa Bay is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Chicago is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


New York Jets
NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
NY Jets is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games on the road
NY Jets is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Jacksonville
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing NY Jets
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing NY Jets


Miami Dolphins
Miami is 4-7-2 ATS in its last 13 games
Miami is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New England
Miami is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing New England
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
New England is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
New England is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
New England is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Miami
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami


Houston Texans
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 2-7-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Houston is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indianapolis's last 10 games
Indianapolis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Houston
Indianapolis is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston


Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati


Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Seattle is 4-8-2 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games on the road
Seattle is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Seattle is 4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Seattle's last 14 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
Arizona is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Arizona is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 14 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle


Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 1-18-1 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Cleveland's last 16 games on the road
Cleveland is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Cleveland is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 4-11-2 ATS in its last 17 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland's last 10 games
Oakland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Oakland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Oakland is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland


San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
San Francisco is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
LA Chargers is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Chargers's last 14 games
LA Chargers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Chargers is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games at home
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Chargers's last 10 games when playing San Francisco


New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
NY Giants is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
NY Giants is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games at home
NY Giants is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
NY Giants is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
NY Giants is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans


Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Baltimore's last 15 games
Baltimore is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 18-6-1 SU in its last 25 games
Pittsburgh is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Pittsburgh is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Baltimore



Monday, October 1

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Kansas City is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Kansas City is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Denver is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Kansas City

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 4


Thursday, September 27

Minnesota @ LA Rams

Game 101-102
September 27, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
126.530
LA Rams
141.007
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 14 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 6 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(-6 1/2); Under


Sunday, September 30

Miami @ New England

Game 251-252
September 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
125.951
New England
135.103
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 9
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 6 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-6 1/2); Under

Houston @ Indianapolis

Game 253-254
September 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
126.396
Indianapolis
125.387
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 1 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+1 1/2); Over

Cincinnati @ Atlanta

Game 255-256
September 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
132.849
Atlanta
135.430
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 5 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+5 1/2); Over

Buffalo @ Green Bay

Game 257-258
September 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
131.726
Green Bay
125.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 6 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 10 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+10 1/2); Over

Detroit @ Dallas

Game 259-260
September 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
129.689
Dallas
128.971
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 3
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+3); Over

NY Jets @ Jacksonville

Game 261-262
September 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
124.014
Jacksonville
139.284
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 15
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 7
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(-7); Under

Tampa Bay @ Chicago

Game 263-264
September 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
130.654
Chicago
135.667
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 5
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-3); Under

Philadelphia @ Tennessee

Game 265-266
September 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
139.716
Tennessee
131.220
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 8 1/2
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 3 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-3 1/2); Under

Seattle @ Arizona

Game 267-268
September 30, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
131.870
Arizona
123.049
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 9
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 3
39
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-3); Under

Cleveland @ Oakland

Game 269-270
September 30, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
127.935
Oakland
123.499
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 4 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 3
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+3); Over

San Francisco @ LA Chargers

Game 271-272
September 30, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
132.338
LA Chargers
131.436
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 10 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+10 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ NY Giants

Game 273-274
September 30, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
131.140
NY Giants
130.852
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
Even
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+3 1/2); Under

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh

Game 275-276
September 30, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
135.505
Pittsburgh
135.440
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
Even
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
51
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+3); Under


Monday, October 1

Kansas City @ Denver

Game 277-278
October 1, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
133.045
Denver
131.018
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 5
56
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+5); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 4


Thursday
Vikings (1-1-1) @ Rams (3-0)— Minnesota threw 55 passes, ran ball only six times in 27-6 home loss to Buffalo LW, NFL’s biggest upset since ’95. Rams lost both starting CB’s LW; Talib is out here, Peters may play. LA won its first three games, by 20-34-12 points, scoring 34 ppg (8 TD’s on 18 drives in two home wins); under McVay, they’re 5-3 vs spread as home favorites. Under Zimmer, Vikings are 12-7 as road underdogs (2-4 last 2+ years); they’ve got no takeaways in last couple games (-4 TO’s). Minnesota won last five series games, including 24-7 (-2) home win LY; Vikings won last three road series games, but last visit to St Louis was in ‘14. Rams converted 16 of 26 on third down last two weeks; they’ve outscored opponents 52-10 in second half.

[StarDust Bum]

GAROPPOLO DONE FOR 2018

The 49ers received the devastating news they were expecting on Monday as it was confirmed that Jimmy Garoppolo is done for the season with a torn ACL. San Francisco now turns to second-year man C.J. Beathard, who played in six games (started five) as a rookie before Jimmy G came over from the Patriots.

The 49ers take to the road again in Week 4 to face the L.A. Chargers and a defense that was sliced for 354 passing yards and three touchdowns by Jared Goff last week and is giving up 271.7 passing yards per game. Beathard probably won’t get much respect throughout the week but he proved last year that he’s a serviceable QB, especially in Shanahan’s system as he threw for 230-plus yards in four of the six games he played in last season. The two games that he didn’t break 230 were against tough defenses in Philadelphia and Seattle.

Niners coach Kyle Shanahan is one of the best offensive game planners in the league and he’ll dial up a scheme that suits Beathard. We’re going to monitor Beathard’s passing yards total when the market opens later in the week and we’ll be taking the Over if the total is around 230-240.


BROWNS MAKE MAYFIELD OFFICIAL

The Cleveland Browns surprised no one on Monday when they named Baker Mayfield the starting quarterback against Oakland in Week 4. Mayfield, of course, came on in relief of a concussed Tyrod Taylor in Week 3 and led the Browns to their first win in 635 days. Obviously, the No. 1 overall pick was going to start this week.

We mentioned above that C.J. Beathard won’t get much hype this week but it’s going to be the exact opposite for Mayfield. Again, bettors will have to monitor the passing yards total when the number comes out later in the week, but blindly we’re going to lean towards the Under. Coach Hue Jackson won’t want to put too much pressure on Mayfield in his first start and he’s not going to put his franchise QB in a position to fail. Cleveland is built to be a run-first offense and that’s not going to change this week, especially not in Mayfield’s first start. Look towards the Under, assuming his passing yards total is around 250-260.


BYE BYE BRADFORD

The Arizona Cardinals have finally put fans out of their misery by sending Sam Bradford to the bench in favor of rookie Josh Rosen. Bradford was benched with 4:34 remaining in the fourth in Sunday’s loss and will stay there, at least for the time being. Rosen was 4 of 7 for 36 yards and an interception in his two drives as he attempted to lead the Cardinals to a comeback win over Chicago.

This week, Rosen gets a home start against a Seattle defense that limited Dak Prescott to 168 yards on 34 passing attempts in Week 3. However, the Seahawks got gashed by Ezekiel Elliott as he rumbled for 127 yards on 16 carries. Clearly, Cardinals coach Steve Wilks will want to attack the run-challenged Seahawks defense with David Johnson. Doing so will also limit the pressure on Rosen in his first career start. This bet was a winner last week so let’s go back to the well and take David Johnson to score at any time.


ENGRAM TO MISS TIME

New York Giants tight end Evan Engram sprained his MCL in the Week 3 win over Houston and will miss time, meaning that Eli Manning is down one of his most talented pass catchers. Rhett Ellison is next up on the depth chart and he had three catches for 39 yards and a touchdown in Week 3, but it’s tough to back a blocking specialist that has 81 career catches in 92 games.

Instead, bettors should look towards Sterling Shepard in a delightful matchup against New Orleans this weekend. Shepard had his best game of the season against Houston, hauling in six catches for 80 yards and a touchdown on seven targets. Shepard will remain the No. 2 option behind Odell Beckham Jr. and the Saints are coming off a game in which they allowed Calvin Ridley — Atlanta’s No. 2 receiving option — seven catches, 146 yards, and three touchdowns. Let’s look towards a big game for Shepard and take the Over on his receiving yards total.


COWBOYS NOT CHANGING

Dallas coach Jason Garrett told reporters on Monday that he isn’t planning any major changes on offense, despite scoring just 41 points on the season. "I think it would be false for me to say this is about play calling," Garrett said about their offensive woes. The play calling he refers to has resulted in big games from Ezekiel Elliott (274 yards, two touchdowns) but not for Dak Prescott (498 yards, two touchdowns, two interceptions).

It’s tough to take coaches for their word but we’re going to believe Garrett on this one, especially since the Cowboys are hosting the Detroit Lions on Sunday. The Lions rank 31st in the NFL against the rush and are giving up 149.3 yards per game. They’ve also given up three rushing touchdowns through three games. It’s a pretty safe bet that Elliott is going to see a lot of carries against Detroit and we’re backing him to score at any time.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL's Top Over Teams:

Bengals 3-0
Packers 3-0
Chiefs 3-0
Chargers 3-0
Steelers 3-0
Buccaneers 3-0
8 teams tied at 2-1

NFL's Top Under Teams:

Cardinals 3-0
Cowboys 3-0
16 teams tied at 2-1

********************

NFL's remaining unbeaten ATS teams:

Browns 3-0 ATS
Chiefs 3-0 ATS
Rams 3-0 ATS
Dolphins 3-0 ATS

NFL's remaining winless ATS Teams:

49ers 0-3 ATS
Texans 0-3 ATS
Broncos 0-2-1 ATS