Tuesday, January 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
IOWA (8 - 4) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 4) - 1/1/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KENTUCKY (9 - 3) vs. PENN ST (9 - 3) - 1/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LSU (9 - 3) vs. UCF (12 - 0) - 1/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
UCF is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (10 - 3) vs. OHIO ST (12 - 1) - 1/1/2019, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 190-146 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 190-146 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against Pac Twelve conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 120-87 ATS (+24.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OHIO ST is 96-70 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TEXAS (9 - 4) vs. GEORGIA (11 - 2) - 1/1/2019, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on a neutral field over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, January 1
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Iowa is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi State's last 9 games
LSU Tigers
Louisiana State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana State's last 9 games
UCF Knights
Central Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Central Florida's last 9 games
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Kentucky is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kentucky's last 9 games
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games
Washington Huskies
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 6 games
Texas Longhorns
Texas is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Texas's last 25 games
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Georgia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games
----------------------------------------------
Tuesday, January 1
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Iowa is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi State's last 9 games
LSU Tigers
Louisiana State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana State's last 9 games
UCF Knights
Central Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Central Florida's last 9 games
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Kentucky is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kentucky's last 9 games
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games
Washington Huskies
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 6 games
Texas Longhorns
Texas is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Texas's last 25 games
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Georgia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games
------------------------------------------------------
January 1
Outback Bowl, Tampa
Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in this bowl the last seven years; average total in last five is 45.8. SEC teams won this bowl five of last six years, all vs Big 14 teams. Iowa lost 21-14/30-3 in this bowl in ’13/’17, both to SEC teams; Hawkeyes snapped 5-game bowl skid with win in Pinstripe Bowl LY. Mississippi State won last three bowls, but that was with Mullen as coach- this is Moorhead’s first bowl as a HC. Iowa won its last two games after a 3-game skid, running ball for 203-266 yards vs Illinois/Nebraska- they’re +9 in turnovers their last eight games. Miss State won four of its last five games, allowing 13 or fewer points in all four wins- they held five of last six opponents under 300 TY. SEC teams covered six of last eight bowls when favored over a Big 14 opponent. Over is 8-2 in last 10 Iowa games; under is 8-1 in MSU’s last nine.
Citrus Bowl, Orlando
Favorites covered this bowl five of last seven years, with average total in last five, 46.4. SEC teams won this bowl five of last seven years. Big 14 teams are 1-4 in last five Citrus Bowls. Kentucky scored 34-56 points in winning its last two games (both outside SEC), after being held to 17 or fewer points in last five SEC games. Wildcats are 3-2 vs spread as underdogs this year, 2-3 in games with single digit spread. Kentucky is 7-0 this season when they score more than 17 points. PSU won its last three games, allowing total of 20 points; they’re 6-4 vs spread as a favorite. Kentucky lost its last four bowls, scoring 16 ppg; their last bowl win was in ’08. Penn State is 2-3 in its last five bowls, all as underdogs- last time they were favored in a bowl was in ’09. Three of last four Kentucky games went over; under is 6-2 in last eight Penn State games.
Fiesta Bowl, Glendale, AZ
Central Florida was 0-12 three years ago, but they’re 25-0 last two years, under two different coaches; Golden Knights are 4-3 vs spread in last seven games as underdogs, 0-0 this year; they were only single digit favorite three times this year, so they’re stepping up in class here. UCF is 3-2 in last five bowls, winning SU twice as double digit underdogs. UCF’s QB is out here with knee injury- the backup has thrown 70 passes TY. LSU is 3-2 in last five bowls (2-3 vs spread, all as favorites); Tigers are 4-3 in last seven games, losing last game in 7 OT’s to A&M. LSU is 4-1 this year in games with single digit spread. Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven Fiesta Bowls; UCF won this game as 16-point underdogs five years ago. Average total in last five Fiesta Bowls is 65.6. Six of last nine LSU games went over the total.
Rose Bowl, Pasadena
Favorites are 5-2 vs spread in last seven Rose Bowls; Pac-12 teams won five of last six visits here, with average total of 77.4 in last five. Winning side scored 45+ points in last four Rose Bowls. Big 14 teams lost four of their last five Rose Bowls. Washington won its last four games, giving up 16 ppg; under Petersen, Huskies are 5-6 vs spread as underdogs, 1-1 this year. Ohio State won its last five games, but allowed 31+ points in three of those games; Buckeyes are 2-1 in games with single digit spread this year. Washington was last in Rose Bowl in 2000; Huskies lost three of last four bowls, losing 24-7/35-28 last two years- they covered four of last six games as a bowl underdog. This is Ohio State’s first Rose Bowl since ’09, when they upset Oregon 26-17 (+4); Buckeyes won four of last five bowls. Under is 9-3 in Husky games, 0-3 in last three OSU games.
Sugar Bowl, New Orleans
Georgia (rightfully) thinks they should’ve been in national playoff, how do they react here? Dawgs won five of last six games, losing 35-28 to Alabama in SEC title game. Favorites won/covered last three Sugar Bowls; SEC teams lost this bowl four of last six years, with average total of 51 in last five. As a HC, Texas coach Herman is 8-2-1 vs spread when an underdog. 2-1-1 this year. Longhorns split their last six games after 5-1 start- they scored an average of 33 ppg in their four losses. Texas is 8-3 in its last 11 bowls; they upset Mizzou 33-16 (+3) LY, their first bowl in three years. Georgia lost national title game LY, just their second bowl loss in last seven tries. Dawgs are 4-3 vs spread as dole digit favorites this year. Last three Georgia games stayed under total; over is 3-1-1 in Georgia’s last five games.
------------------------------
Tuesday, January 1
Iowa @ Mississippi St
Game 269-270
January 1, 2019 @ 12:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Iowa
99.769
Mississippi St
108.633
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 9
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 6
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(-6); Under
Kentucky @ Penn State
Game 271-272
January 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
94.093
Penn State
103.819
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 10
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 5 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(-5 1/2); Under
LSU @ Central Florida
Game 273-274
January 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LSU
98.042
Central Florida
102.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 4 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 8
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(+8); Under
Washington @ Ohio State
Game 275-276
January 1, 2019 @ 5:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
100.844
Ohio State
110.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 9 1/2
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 5
58
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-5); Over
Texas @ Georgia
Game 277-278
January 1, 2019 @ 8:45 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Texas
97.527
Georgia
116.019
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 18 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 10 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-10 1/2); Over
-------------------------------------
TUESDAY, JANUARY 1
Matchup Skinny Edge
IOWA vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE (Outback Bowl)...Iowa 9-5 vs. line since late 2017, but Hawks 0-3 as dog in 2018. Ferentz 2-3 vs. spread last five bowls but has covered last four against non-Big Ten foes. Note Hawkeyes on 12-5 “over” run. MSU 16-9 vs. line since last season, 8-4 TY for Moorhead.
Slight to Miss State, based on team trends.
KENTUCKY vs. PENN STATE (Citrus Bowl)...UK winless SU last four bowls but did cover in Music City vs. NU last year. Cats 4-1 as dog TY, Stoops 13-7 getting points since 2016. Penn State no covers last three away TY but James Franklin 3-1 vs. line in bowls for Nittany Lions, 5-2 vs. spread in bowls with Vandy years.
Slight to Kentucky, based on recent trends.
LSU vs. UCF (Fiesta Bowl)...Orgeron 2-5 as chalk this season, and LSU just 2-5 vs. spread last seven bowls (1-1 with Orgeron). UCF 4-2 vs. spread last six bowls, 10–3 vs. line since late last season, 5-1 last six vs. points away from home.
UCF, based on team trends.
WASHINGTON vs. OHIO STATE (Rose Bowl)...Huskies only 4-9 vs. line this season, 5-11 last 16 on board. Petersen 1-3 as dog since 2016. U-Dub 2-7 vs. line last 9 against non-Pac 12. Huskies 1-3 SU and vs. line in bowls for Petersen. Urban 4-2 SU and vs. line in bowls with Buckeyes, 10-3 SU and vs. line in bowls back to Utah days in 2003.
Ohio State, based on team trends.
TEXAS vs. GEORGIA (Sugar Bowl)...Tom Herman teams 12-2 as dog since 2015 with Houston. Herman 2-0 SU and vs. line in bowls. Georgia has covered last five playoff/bowl games, Kirby Smart 2-0 vs. line in those. Bulldogs on 13-5 spread uptick since late 2017.
Slight to Texas, based on Tom Herman dog trends.
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IOWA (8 - 4) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 4) - 1/1/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
KENTUCKY (9 - 3) vs. PENN ST (9 - 3) - 1/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
PENN ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LSU (9 - 3) vs. UCF (12 - 0) - 1/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
UCF is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (10 - 3) vs. OHIO ST (12 - 1) - 1/1/2019, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 190-146 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 190-146 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against Pac Twelve conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 120-87 ATS (+24.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OHIO ST is 96-70 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TEXAS (9 - 4) vs. GEORGIA (11 - 2) - 1/1/2019, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on a neutral field over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 33-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, January 1
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Iowa is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi State's last 9 games
LSU Tigers
Louisiana State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana State's last 9 games
UCF Knights
Central Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Central Florida's last 9 games
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Kentucky is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kentucky's last 9 games
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games
Washington Huskies
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 6 games
Texas Longhorns
Texas is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Texas's last 25 games
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Georgia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games
----------------------------------------------
Tuesday, January 1
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Iowa is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi State's last 9 games
LSU Tigers
Louisiana State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana State's last 9 games
UCF Knights
Central Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Central Florida's last 9 games
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Kentucky is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kentucky's last 9 games
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games
Washington Huskies
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 6 games
Texas Longhorns
Texas is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Texas's last 25 games
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Georgia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games
------------------------------------------------------
January 1
Outback Bowl, Tampa
Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in this bowl the last seven years; average total in last five is 45.8. SEC teams won this bowl five of last six years, all vs Big 14 teams. Iowa lost 21-14/30-3 in this bowl in ’13/’17, both to SEC teams; Hawkeyes snapped 5-game bowl skid with win in Pinstripe Bowl LY. Mississippi State won last three bowls, but that was with Mullen as coach- this is Moorhead’s first bowl as a HC. Iowa won its last two games after a 3-game skid, running ball for 203-266 yards vs Illinois/Nebraska- they’re +9 in turnovers their last eight games. Miss State won four of its last five games, allowing 13 or fewer points in all four wins- they held five of last six opponents under 300 TY. SEC teams covered six of last eight bowls when favored over a Big 14 opponent. Over is 8-2 in last 10 Iowa games; under is 8-1 in MSU’s last nine.
Citrus Bowl, Orlando
Favorites covered this bowl five of last seven years, with average total in last five, 46.4. SEC teams won this bowl five of last seven years. Big 14 teams are 1-4 in last five Citrus Bowls. Kentucky scored 34-56 points in winning its last two games (both outside SEC), after being held to 17 or fewer points in last five SEC games. Wildcats are 3-2 vs spread as underdogs this year, 2-3 in games with single digit spread. Kentucky is 7-0 this season when they score more than 17 points. PSU won its last three games, allowing total of 20 points; they’re 6-4 vs spread as a favorite. Kentucky lost its last four bowls, scoring 16 ppg; their last bowl win was in ’08. Penn State is 2-3 in its last five bowls, all as underdogs- last time they were favored in a bowl was in ’09. Three of last four Kentucky games went over; under is 6-2 in last eight Penn State games.
Fiesta Bowl, Glendale, AZ
Central Florida was 0-12 three years ago, but they’re 25-0 last two years, under two different coaches; Golden Knights are 4-3 vs spread in last seven games as underdogs, 0-0 this year; they were only single digit favorite three times this year, so they’re stepping up in class here. UCF is 3-2 in last five bowls, winning SU twice as double digit underdogs. UCF’s QB is out here with knee injury- the backup has thrown 70 passes TY. LSU is 3-2 in last five bowls (2-3 vs spread, all as favorites); Tigers are 4-3 in last seven games, losing last game in 7 OT’s to A&M. LSU is 4-1 this year in games with single digit spread. Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven Fiesta Bowls; UCF won this game as 16-point underdogs five years ago. Average total in last five Fiesta Bowls is 65.6. Six of last nine LSU games went over the total.
Rose Bowl, Pasadena
Favorites are 5-2 vs spread in last seven Rose Bowls; Pac-12 teams won five of last six visits here, with average total of 77.4 in last five. Winning side scored 45+ points in last four Rose Bowls. Big 14 teams lost four of their last five Rose Bowls. Washington won its last four games, giving up 16 ppg; under Petersen, Huskies are 5-6 vs spread as underdogs, 1-1 this year. Ohio State won its last five games, but allowed 31+ points in three of those games; Buckeyes are 2-1 in games with single digit spread this year. Washington was last in Rose Bowl in 2000; Huskies lost three of last four bowls, losing 24-7/35-28 last two years- they covered four of last six games as a bowl underdog. This is Ohio State’s first Rose Bowl since ’09, when they upset Oregon 26-17 (+4); Buckeyes won four of last five bowls. Under is 9-3 in Husky games, 0-3 in last three OSU games.
Sugar Bowl, New Orleans
Georgia (rightfully) thinks they should’ve been in national playoff, how do they react here? Dawgs won five of last six games, losing 35-28 to Alabama in SEC title game. Favorites won/covered last three Sugar Bowls; SEC teams lost this bowl four of last six years, with average total of 51 in last five. As a HC, Texas coach Herman is 8-2-1 vs spread when an underdog. 2-1-1 this year. Longhorns split their last six games after 5-1 start- they scored an average of 33 ppg in their four losses. Texas is 8-3 in its last 11 bowls; they upset Mizzou 33-16 (+3) LY, their first bowl in three years. Georgia lost national title game LY, just their second bowl loss in last seven tries. Dawgs are 4-3 vs spread as dole digit favorites this year. Last three Georgia games stayed under total; over is 3-1-1 in Georgia’s last five games.
------------------------------
Tuesday, January 1
Iowa @ Mississippi St
Game 269-270
January 1, 2019 @ 12:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Iowa
99.769
Mississippi St
108.633
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 9
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 6
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(-6); Under
Kentucky @ Penn State
Game 271-272
January 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
94.093
Penn State
103.819
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 10
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 5 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(-5 1/2); Under
LSU @ Central Florida
Game 273-274
January 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LSU
98.042
Central Florida
102.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 4 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 8
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(+8); Under
Washington @ Ohio State
Game 275-276
January 1, 2019 @ 5:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
100.844
Ohio State
110.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 9 1/2
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 5
58
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-5); Over
Texas @ Georgia
Game 277-278
January 1, 2019 @ 8:45 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Texas
97.527
Georgia
116.019
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 18 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 10 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-10 1/2); Over
-------------------------------------
TUESDAY, JANUARY 1
Matchup Skinny Edge
IOWA vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE (Outback Bowl)...Iowa 9-5 vs. line since late 2017, but Hawks 0-3 as dog in 2018. Ferentz 2-3 vs. spread last five bowls but has covered last four against non-Big Ten foes. Note Hawkeyes on 12-5 “over” run. MSU 16-9 vs. line since last season, 8-4 TY for Moorhead.
Slight to Miss State, based on team trends.
KENTUCKY vs. PENN STATE (Citrus Bowl)...UK winless SU last four bowls but did cover in Music City vs. NU last year. Cats 4-1 as dog TY, Stoops 13-7 getting points since 2016. Penn State no covers last three away TY but James Franklin 3-1 vs. line in bowls for Nittany Lions, 5-2 vs. spread in bowls with Vandy years.
Slight to Kentucky, based on recent trends.
LSU vs. UCF (Fiesta Bowl)...Orgeron 2-5 as chalk this season, and LSU just 2-5 vs. spread last seven bowls (1-1 with Orgeron). UCF 4-2 vs. spread last six bowls, 10–3 vs. line since late last season, 5-1 last six vs. points away from home.
UCF, based on team trends.
WASHINGTON vs. OHIO STATE (Rose Bowl)...Huskies only 4-9 vs. line this season, 5-11 last 16 on board. Petersen 1-3 as dog since 2016. U-Dub 2-7 vs. line last 9 against non-Pac 12. Huskies 1-3 SU and vs. line in bowls for Petersen. Urban 4-2 SU and vs. line in bowls with Buckeyes, 10-3 SU and vs. line in bowls back to Utah days in 2003.
Ohio State, based on team trends.
TEXAS vs. GEORGIA (Sugar Bowl)...Tom Herman teams 12-2 as dog since 2015 with Houston. Herman 2-0 SU and vs. line in bowls. Georgia has covered last five playoff/bowl games, Kirby Smart 2-0 vs. line in those. Bulldogs on 13-5 spread uptick since late 2017.
Slight to Texas, based on Tom Herman dog trends.
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