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The Bum's 2017 NFL Trends/Stats/News/Picks Thru The Super Bowl

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  • We'll learn plenty about NFL playoff contenders this week
    December 7, 2017


    Call it ''December Definition.''

    We'll learn plenty about the various playoff contenders this week when the Eagles visit the Rams, the Vikings take on the Panthers, the Seahawks meet the Jaguars, the Raiders are at the Chiefs, and the Ravens head to Pittsburgh.

    The Eagles, Rams, Jaguars, Vikings and Steelers all have ways of clinching postseason berths. So do the Patriots, who visit Miami.

    Most intriguing might be Philadelphia (10-2) at Los Angeles (9-3).

    The Eagles had their nine-game winning streak snapped at Seattle, then stayed out west trying to figure out why an offense that had been dominant was shut down. Now they take on the Rams, with an equally dangerous offense and, like Philly, a division leader.

    ''I think sometimes ... winning can kind of cover up or mask some things, some deficiencies,'' Eagles coach Doug Pederson said. ''A little chink in your armor, if there is any. And coaches and players fall into the same boat sometimes. We need games where we get hit in the mouth and we have to fight and battle and scratch. ... You just have to understand that there's no substitute for the preparation and the hard work.''

    The coolest of matchups has Rams QB Jared Goff , the top selection in the 2016 draft, against Eagles QB Carson Wentz, who went second overall that year. Both have matured rapidly, sparking turnarounds that could lead to, well, the Super Bowl.

    A Philadelphia win gives it the NFC East title. So does a Dallas loss.

    Should the Rams win, a complicated formula gives them a playoff spot.


    The pivotal week began Thursday night with the Atlanta Falcans' 20-17 victory over the New Orleans Saints that set up a three-way race for the NFC South title. Deion Jones made a leaping interception in the end zone with 1:25 remaining for the Falcons (8-5) after Drew Brees drove the Saints (9-4) to the Atlanta 11.

    Minnesota (10-2) at Carolina (8-4)

    The Vikings haven't gotten to the top of the NFC the easy way. They've already played New Orleans, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Atlanta, Green Bay and the Rams - none of which has a losing record. Most of those teams will make the playoffs.

    Now, a trip to Carolina, which also is in the NFC mix. A victory in Charlotte, with Cincinnati, Green Bay and Chicago remaining, would stamp the Vikings as a conference favorite. And remember, the Super Bowl will be played in Minneapolis in February.

    The Panthers must improve late in games: Carolina has been outscored 75-58 in fourth quarter. They are hopeful that standout tight end Greg Olsen can contribute more in his return from a broken foot.

    Baltimore (7-5) at Pittsburgh (10-2)


    Pittsburgh's victory over Cincinnati on Monday night was brutal, marred by malicious hits, launching and taunting on both sides. Now, the Steelers get their biggest rival in what always has been a physical affair.

    ''When you play Baltimore you are going to get your head knocked off, they're going to knock your head off, you're going to try to knock theirs off, but you're going to help them up and respect it, and say `Hey great job, let's go at it again,'' Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger says.

    The Steelers need to step up their game, despite having won seven in a row. They are barely getting by inferior opponents, and the Ravens - no matter the situation - are always dangerous for Pittsburgh. Preventing the Steelers from winning the AFC North is almost as prime a goal for Baltimore as remaining in front for a wild-card berth.

    Seattle (8-4) at Jacksonville (8-4)

    Tennessee (8-4) at Arizona (5-7)

    The AFC South race, with a huge dose of NFC West.


    Tennessee holds the tiebreaker right now over Jacksonville, but the teams finish off the schedule against each other. The Titans are the only franchise never to have played at University of Phoenix Stadium. In their visit Sunday, they bring a potent running game of DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry, who's coming off his second career 100-yard rushing game, including a 75-yard run against Houston.

    Tennessee hasn't allowed an opponent to run for more than 100 yards in eight straight games, the longest streak in NFL this season, which doesn't bode well for Arizona's Adrian Peterson.

    Jacksonville has a much tougher task, even at home. Although Seattle has some key injuries in its secondary, the defense has stepped up and shut down Philadelphia last week. The offense, as sensational QB Russell Wilson states his case for league MVP, has been dynamic, particularly now that TE Jimmy Graham has become a major force.

    With a series of occurrences, the Jags can clinch a playoff spot.

    Oakland (6-6) at Kansas City (6-6)

    Washington (5-7) at Los Angeles Chargers (6-6)


    If it's not the best rivalry in pro football, Raiders-Chiefs is top three. That it has so much meaning Sunday is like adding a tasty dessert to some delicious Kansas City BBQ.

    Raiders coach Jack Del Rio explains the AFC West situation best.

    ''There's a better feel when you're winning and doing things well. For us, it's about the next game,'' Del Rio says. ''We went through, we had our stretch. ... The Chargers had theirs the first four games. We had ours, four in a row after winning two. The Chiefs have had a little bit of a spell. Yet we all sit here at 6-6 with an opportunity.

    ''Which team takes the most advantage of that opportunity is sitting there?''

    Lately, that team has looked like LA. And they get perhaps the most injury-ruined squad in the league in the Redskins, who have lost five of seven.

    The Chargers have racked up more than 400 yards in three straight games while outscoring opponents 101-40.

    Philip Rivers has completed 72 percent of his passes for 1,029 yards, six TDs, no interceptions in the past three weeks. Keenan Allen became the first player in NFL history with 10-plus catches for 100-plus yards and at least one TD in three straight games.

    New England (10-2) at Miami (5-7), Monday night

    If the Patriots haven't secured their ninth straight AFC East crown by kickoff time - a Buffalo loss does the trick on Sunday - they are heavily favored to get the clincher here.

    One main reason: the Patriots are plus-9 in turnover differential, fourth best in the NFL. The Dolphins are minus-10, third worst.

    The Patriots have won eight games in a row, and though Rob Gronkowski will be serving a one-game suspension for a late, gratuitous hit to the head of Bills defensive back Tre'Davious White, Tom Brady isn't likely to miss him much.

    Miami RB Kenyan Drake had a breakout game last week with 120 yards rushing, and New England is allowing 5.1 yards per rush, worst in the league.

    Green Bay (6-6) at Cleveland (0-12)

    The house-cleaning has begun in Cleveland with the firing on Thursday of vice president Sashi Brown. There's little reason to think that - or anything else - will lead to a Browns victory against a Packers team holding out hope of reach wild-card status.

    Green Bay should get back star quarterback Aaron Rodgers (collarbone) next week, and if it doesn't stumble here, the team will give Cheeseheads some hope for the final three weeks.

    Indianapolis (3-9) at Buffalo (6-6)

    Two banged-up teams whose best remaining options are their running backs.

    Indeed, Indy's Frank Gore and Buffalo's LeSean McCoy are worthy of top billing. Gore leads the active list and last weekend moved into fifth place overall with 13,697 yards rushing. McCoy is third on the active list and 31st overall with 9,805 yards.

    With Bills QB Tyrod Taylor (bruised left knee) uncertain, rookie Nate Peterman could get his second start. All anyone needs to know about his first one: Peterman threw five interceptions in the first half.

    Dallas (6-6) at New York Giants (2-10)

    A classic matchup with little significance this year.

    Dallas finally won without suspended star running back Ezekiel Elliott when it beat Washington, but making a playoff push is a long shot in the rugged NFC. A loss would cap a bad week for owner Jerry Jones, whose fight to delay Commissioner Roger Goodell's new contract was fruitless.

    Eli Manning gets his job back - how insulting was the way his starting string ended? - now that Steve Spagnuolo has replaced the fired Ben McAdoo as coach.

    Big days for tight ends Jason Witten of Dallas and rookie Evan Engram of New York could be on tap.

    Detroit (6-6) at Tampa Bay (4-8)


    Opponents can pass on Tampa Bay, and that's about all the Lions can do. But with QB Matthew Stafford's health (hand) uncertain, counting on Detroit's attack makes little sense. Detroit has won three of the past four meetings.

    Key matchup figures to be Buccaneers receiver Mike Evans against cornerback Darius Slay, who is tied for the NFC lead with 15 passes defensed. Evans has been better at home than on the road recently with 696 receiving yards and seven TDs over his past nine at Raymond James Stadium.

    New York Jets (5-7) at Denver (3-9)

    Denver has been on a Rocky Mountain low for two months, dropping eight consecutive games. With an inept offense, the defense has gotten worn down, but it does get back CB Aqib Talib from a one-game suspension.

    The Jets play everyone tough, and will have a say in the AFC West outcome. They defeated Kansas City last Sunday and still must play the Chargers.

    Chicago (3-9) at Cincinnati (5-7)

    Other than Cleveland, the Bears might be the NFL's worst side. They have the NFL's lowest-ranked offense, have lost five in a row - they haven't dropped more than five straight since a 2002 eight-game slide - and John Fox has a 12-32 record for a franchise-worst .273 winning percentage, in three seasons coaching the Bears.

    After the Bengals blew a game they led most of the way on Monday night to Pittsburgh, their postseason chances appear gone. Not that they have been playing poorly lately. Consider that Andy Dalton hasn't thrown an interception since an Oct. 22 loss at Pittsburgh, 176 attempts.

    San Francisco (2-10) at Houston (4-8)


    Only the fourth meeting of these clubs, and it has little meaning.

    San Francisco has won two of its past three, and has its likely future QB, Jimmy Garoppolo, running things. He threw for 293 yards last week to set a franchise record for most yards passing in a first start with the team.

    The one guy who's fun to watch in this is Houston WR DeAndre Hopkins. He's tied for the NFL lead with nine TD receptions and has a TD catch in six straight home games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • Pain, no gain, for Saints
      December 8, 2017


      ATLANTA -- The New Orleans Saints have a nine-day break before hosting the New York Jets on Dec. 17, and the NFC South leaders will need all that time and maybe more.

      New Orleans lost player after player in Thursday night's 20-17 loss to the Atlanta Falcons.

      The Saints also found themselves in controversy after the game when coach Sean Payton was accused of giving the choke sign to Falcons running back Devonta Freeman in the fourth quarter.

      "That man don't know nothing about choking," Freeman said. "He ain't from where I'm from. He don't know about choking."

      Asked if he made a gesture, Payton said: "I don't remember that."

      Alvin Kamara, the Saints' standout rookie running back, suffered a concussion on the game's opening series and things just got worse from there for New Orleans.

      The casualty list included three defensive starters. Linebacker A.J. Klein (groin), defensive end Trey Hendrickson (ankle) and strong safety Kenny Vaccaro (groin) were all lost in the first half.

      Without the three starters, the Saints defense wore down in the second half against the Falcons, who scored 10 points in the fourth quarter.

      The offensive line was also a trouble spot for the Saints. With starting left guard Andrus Peat (groin) sidelined coming into the game, the Saints were down to his second replacement when Senio Kelemete suffered a second-quarter concussion.

      Josh LeRideus, a backup center, filled in and didn't line up correctly, drawing a penalty that wiped out a Saints field goal on the final play of the first half.

      Wide receivers Michael Thomas and Ted Ginn Jr., running back Mark Ingram, tight end Josh Hill and defensive tackle David Onyemata also were shaken up. Corner back Marshon Lattimore needed oxygen on the sideline several times.

      Kamara was hurt when he caught a pass for a 4-yard loss and his helmet collided with Falcons linebacker Deion Jones.

      Kamara came into the game with 1,220 yards from scrimmage and 11 touchdowns, rushing for 606 yards and 614 yards receiving. He had touchdowns in five straight games.

      **********************

      Drew Brees goes for the win, and winds up losing the game
      December 8, 2017


      ATLANTA (AP) Drew Brees went for the win.

      He wound up with a loss.

      Brees' pass in the end zone was picked off by Falcons linebacker Deion Jones, who made a soaring grab with 1:25 remaining to preserve Atlanta's 20-17 victory over the New Orleans Saints on Thursday night.

      Brees has made a lot of great throws in his 17-year career.

      This is one he wanted back.

      ''It wasn't worth taking the risk,'' Brees said. ''I should have checked down. It's unfortunate.''

      Give some credit to Jones. Isolated on tight end Josh Hill, he leaped as high as he could, reached up even higher to grab the ball and managed to hang on even when he landed flat on his back.

      ''I pretty much had the tight end by myself,'' Jones said. ''He looked back, I looked back and the ball was right there.''

      The Saints offense took a huge blow on its first possession. Rookie sensation Alvin Kamara took a shot to the helmet - from Jones, no less - and staggered off the field with a concussion.

      That deprived Brees of a backfield duo that has been a huge part of his success this season. With Mark Ingram forced to carry the load on his own, New Orleans largely abandoned one of the league's top running games.

      The Saints finished with just 50 yards on the ground - their lowest output of the season and breaking a streak of eight straight games with more than 100 yards. Brees was 26 of 35 for 271 yards and a pair of touchdown passes .

      ''Every loss is frustrating,'' said Ingram, who had 12 carries for 49 yards. ''Especially when you have control of the game and don't finish it.''

      The Saints' last possession had plenty of key moments.

      Brees connected with Michael Thomas on a 35-yard pass that quickly pushed New Orleans across midfield. On second-and-1 at the Atlanta 24, Ingram was stuffed for no gain. Then Brees threw an incompletion, and the Saints were also flagged for holding.

      Instead of backing New Orleans up 10 yards, Falcons coach Dan Quinn declined the penalty. He figured the Saints would take the field goal, but coach Sean Payton decided to go for it on fourth down. Brees dove into the line on a sneak and picked up the first down, putting his team in good opposition to pull out the win.

      Ted Ginn Jr. hauled in an 11-yard pass, hanging on to the ball despite a vicious hit by Ricardo Allen.

      A short pass to Willie Snead IV failed to gain anything, setting up the decisive play of the game.

      Brees was thinking touchdown.

      Jones had other ideas, preventing the Saints (9-4) from building a three-game lead over the Falcons (8-5) with three weeks left in the regular season.

      While Atlanta may have saved its season, New Orleans persevered through a rash of injuries that are sure to raise more outrage about playing games on Thursday nights.

      The Saints lost not only Kamara, but an offensive lineman and three defensive starters.

      In the end, it was too much to overcome.

      ''Proud of our guys,'' Payton said. ''I've never seen anything like it.''

      **************************

      Falcons' Deion Jones saves his best for the Saints
      December 8, 2017


      ATLANTA (AP) Deion Jones can't wait to face the New Orleans Saints again in two weeks.

      The Falcons' standout middle linebacker keeps putting up impressive numbers against his hometown team, and he made the play of the game in a 20-17 win Thursday night over the Saints.

      Jones was playing man coverage in the closing minutes on tight end Josh Hill when he leapt high in the end zone, intercepted Drew Brees' pass with both hands and closed his eyes as he began falling backward for a big thud against the turf.

      ''Once I realized I had it, I knew it was going to be a long way down,'' Jones said with a smile. ''I felt my feet in the air and I just wanted to hold onto it. I wanted to get up with the ball. I didn't want to see myself fall. I really didn't.''

      For Jones, it was just another great game against the Saints.

      Jones, who grew up in New Orleans and starred at LSU, has been on the other side of the fence since the Falcons drafted him in the second round last year. In three career games against the Saints - all victories - he has 20 solo tackles, 28 stops overall, five pass breakups and two picks.

      In his first game against New Orleans last year, he returned an interception 90 yards at the Superdome.

      His pick Thursday sealed a big win for the Falcons (8-5) and kept the Saints (9-4) from holding a tighter grip on the NFC South lead.

      ''We just have to keep stacking 'em, coming out and playing with that fire,'' Jones said. ''No telling what might happen.''

      NO CHOKE TONIGHT


      Saints coach Sean Payton appeared to taunt Devonta Freeman with a choking gesture, holding his hand at his neck and yelling, ''Choke!'' after the Falcons running back was stopped for no gain at the New Orleans sideline early in the fourth quarter.

      Payton said after the game that he didn't remember doing it. Freeman, who scored the game's first touchdown earlier in the game , had no trouble recalling it.

      ''I saw it,'' Freeman said. ''That man don't know nothing about choking. He ain't from where I'm from. He's a good competitor so the competing probably came out, but you don't let that bother you. He don't know nothing about choking.''

      The Falcons know a little something about it. They blew a 28-3 lead to lose the Super Bowl last season.

      Payton's apparent taunt didn't slow them Thursday, though. They kept the drive going three more plays before quarterback Matt Ryan hooked up with Mohamed Sanu for an 8-yard touchdown.

      Payton has lost three straight to the Falcons for the first time since taking charge of the Saints in 2006.

      ROUGH NIGHT

      Ryan looked nothing like last year's MVP, throwing three interceptions in a span of nine plays and making some uncharacteristically bad decisions with the football.

      At least Ryan got the offense back to scoring touchdowns. They went without a TD in last week's loss to Minnesota, marking the first time that didn't happen since they lost 38-0 at Carolina in 2015. But the pass he underthrew to Julio Jones in the end zone early in the third quarter was one he'd like to forget .

      The only thing good about it was New Orleans had to punt five plays later.

      ''On the third one in the end zone, you want to give Julio opportunities, and I didn't throw the ball nearly high enough where it needed to be,'' Ryan said.

      Ryan wasn't alone. Brees was disappointed in himself for the game-ending pick.

      ''Yeah, I shouldn't have thrown it,'' Brees said. ''They made a nice play. It wasn't worth the risk right there, especially when you know that you have points. It's not like you have to have a touchdown to tie. We could have kicked the field goal since we had points. I'm just disappointed in the result there. I should not have taken that chance.''

      WALKING WOUNDED


      The Saints have a long list of injuries and will need the next eight days to heal up.

      They had five players leave the game and not return. The biggest loss was dual-threat running back Alvin Kamara, who was lost to a concussion in the first quarter. The offense also lost left guard Senio Kelemete, who was filling in for starter Andrus Peat, to a concussion.

      Three starters on defense - linebacker A.J. Klein (groin), right end Trey Hendrickson (ankle) and strong safety Kenny Vaccaro (groin) - left the game in severe pain.

      On the last drive, running back Mark Ingram, receiver Michael Thomas and receiver Ted Ginn Jr. each absorbed hard hits . Ingram and Thomas came back in.

      HE'S BACK

      Falcons cornerback Desmond Trufant missed last week's game with a concussion, but he made an immediate impact on the opening drive, batting down what would've been a touchdown pass to Michael Thomas in the end zone.

      **********************

      Brees on injuries: '100 percent a product of playing on Thursday night'
      December 8, 2017


      The New Orleans Saints lost six players to injuries during a 20-17 loss to the Atlanta Falcons and quarterback Drew Brees sounded off after the game, saying the reason is "100 percent a product of playing on Thursday night."

      New Orleans lost player after player throughout the game and they did not return: running back Alvin Kamara and guard Senio Kelemete with concussions; linebacker A.J. Klein and safety Kenny Vaccaro with groin injuries; defensive end Trey Hendrickson with an ankle injury; and wide receiver Ted Ginn Jr. with an unspecified injury.

      Brees voiced his opposition to playing NFL games on Thursday night with short rest.

      "It's 100 percent a product of playing on Thursday night," Brees told reporters after the game. "Do you understand what guys' bodies go through in a game? And then to have to turn around four days later and to play? Look at the injury studies: They're off the charts. They're off the charts. So is this smart as it pertains to guys' health and safety? No, absolutely not."

      Four other Saints players left briefly with injuries but returned to the game.

      Brees joins a growing list of NFL players who have spoken out against "Thursday Night Football."

      "I can sit here and tell you that no player likes putting himself at risk on four days' rest, to come and put their bodies through what they put them through in a game," Brees said. "So you hope that it's addressed (this offseason), you hope that it's talked about and you hope that something is done about it.

      "When you see guys go down, when you lose guys for what you think is unnecessary just because you put 'em at a much higher risk in such a quick turnaround, that gets you upset."

      Saints coach Sean Payton was asked after the game why he thinks there were so many injuries.

      "What do you guys think? Seriously, speak up," Payton said. "What do you guys think? Why do you think there were so many injuries tonight? Anyone?"
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • Steelers LB Shazier undergoes surgery
        December 7, 2017


        Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker Ryan Shazier underwent spinal stabilization surgery Wednesday night on the heels of the injury he sustained earlier in the week, the team announced Thursday.

        "(University of Pittsburgh Medical Center) neurosurgeons and Pittsburgh Steelers team physicians Drs. David Okonkwo and Joseph Maroon performed spinal stabilization surgery on Ryan Shazier to address his spinal injury," the Steelers' statement said.

        The team initially said that Shazier, 25, would not require surgery.

        The Steelers have not released any information about whether Shazier has any movement in his legs, or whether he is expected to make a recovery.

        A Pro Bowl selection last season, Shazier was injured during Monday's 23-20 win versus Cincinnati while making a tackle on Bengals wide receiver Josh Malone with 11:14 remaining in the first quarter. Shazier hit Malone low with his shoulder pads, then immediately reached for his back while his legs remained motionless.

        Shazier was transferred from University of Cincinnati Medical Center to the Pittsburgh hospital on Wednesday.

        He leads the team in tackles (89), interceptions (three) and pass deflections (11) this season.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • Ugly times in NFL: Brawls, dirty hits, malicious moves
          December 8, 2017


          Maybe the public address announcer at NFL stadiums is a job for Michael Buffer these days.

          You know: ''Let's get ready to rumble!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!''

          Unfortunately, what goes on inside the boxing ring might be safer than what we saw the last few weeks on the football field.

          Brawls. Dirty hits.Malicious moves . Targeting. Launching .

          Nauseating.

          ''The unnecessary stuff is over the top,'' says Broncos linebacker Shaq Barrett, who was not involved in any of the incidents and, presumably, is a neutral observer. ''We should try to get that out of the game.''

          Leagues at all levels have spent more than a decade seeking enhanced player safety. Most of the time, those initiatives involved rules changes.

          In the NFL, mostly they have worked. Not so much lately.

          Troy Vincent, a terrific defensive back in his playing days and now the overseer of football operations for the league, promises that the NFL will look at any adjustments that will diminish the awfulness seen in recent weeks.

          ''We have had clear directives from the competition committee,'' Vincent says. ''They asked us and the players to remove some of the helmet-to-helmet hits that we have seen, as well of some of the blindside blocks and other types of disparaging techniques and behaviors on the field. We have clear directive that this is not something that should be progressive, but that we strongly consider removing a player that is using these techniques that we want out of our game immediately.''

          Yet the prohibited keeps happening and, it seems, to a higher degree.

          ''You're always talking about keeping the poise and understanding the big picture is winning the game,'' Saints coach Sean Payton says. ''Part of that is mental toughness. You don't have to respond and be macho. So many times I hear, `I'm not going to be punked,' and I get that. And yet, listen, there's a discipline element that you're preaching as coaches. You're trying to make them understand the big picture, which is winning, and all these side things that can take you down a path contrary to the goal.''

          While fans of specific teams will take umbrage at one of their guys getting suspended - that's a basic principle of fandom, that your team can't be wrong - more objective observers recognize the danger zone these incidents occur in.

          Two of the most insightful voices in this area, former NFL executive Pat Kirwan and former pro quarterback Jim Miller, discussed the ugliness of what we just saw during their SiriusXM NFL Radio program this week. They brought up a point worth pondering: Why aren't players being tossed when they go so far across the line of fair play?

          Miller: ''When are the officials going to be willing to eject players?''

          Kirwan: ''They should have by now. They think throwing flags is going to stop it. I quote Ray Lewis, we are talking about a receiver coming over the middle and he did a number on the guy. I asked Ray: `What was going through your mind?'

          `Look, I've got the middle in our zone drop. Anyone who is coming in there, here comes the receiver, at no time in my life did I ever think of the rule book and let him in there with the ball.'''

          Miller: ''I go back to that (2015 Steelers-Bengals) playoff game, that's what lit the fuse, that's what got the party started. And it was payback (Monday night). The Bengals felt they were wronged by the officials. (They think) if they are not going to police it, boys, we are going to police it. They got one of ours, we're going to get one of theirs.

          ''At what point will the officials eject?

          Kirwan: ''As soon as the head of officials tells them if you don't eject, we are going to suspend (an official). You've got to get this under control. Or the league office stops the game like they should, and say `He's out now.' Why can't they eject from New York?'

          ''You've got to control it.''

          Kirwan makes an excellent point that rules on paper mean nothing unless they are enforced, and there are consequences - not only for rules breakers, but for those charged with upholding the rules.

          ''Stop writing rules and start throwing guys out that you, in your mind, ref, you know intentionally tried to hurt someone,'' he says. ''Just throw him out of the game.''

          Vincent notes that players, fans, coaches, general managers and owners don't want to see ejections.

          ''There are only 17 weeks and the philosophy is, if it gets out of control, we ask the referees to maintain control of the game, give them that flexibility,'' Vincent says. ''They have that flexibility, but we really emphasize let the players play, but if things begin to get out of control, you must maintain control of the game during that window.''

          In an odd way, maybe pro players need to look back at the grass roots of the game, where USA Football's initiatives are designed to promote safety and proper tackling techniques - and are working.

          ''My sense of it as coaches and maybe parents and players see those things,'' says USA Football Executive Director Scott Hallenbeck, ''they're fully aware of Heads Up Football and shoulder tackling. The common denominator is, this is the right way to teach it and it is happening across the board.

          ''In the past, a kid might be taught differently at the youth level than at the high school level, now it is consistent. The majorities of youth and high school football now follow shoulder tackling. It's been really comprehensive, we are seeing a great improvement, and coaches are telling us they are seeing a great improvement in overall tackling.''

          Too bad it's not always apparent in the NFL.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • Ex-Giants RB Jennings retires after 8 NFL seasons
            December 8, 2017


            Former New York Giants running back Rashad Jennings announced Friday he is retiring after eight seasons in the NFL.

            The 32-year-old Jennings wrote on Twitter: "If good things don't come to an end, then how can better things begin? I'm truly humbled. I'm truly excited... More to come on this. But for now, I just want to say THANK YOU. Thank you to everyone! #ShadHumbled."

            Jennings also posted a video and said he will be doing a press conference soon with the Giants.

            "I'm full," Jennings said in the video on Twitter. "I am complete. I'm humble that I ever even got a chance to play in the NFL. This overweight, chubby kid with glasses and asthma and a 0.6 GPA. I still can't even believe I made it sometimes."

            Jennings finished with 3,772 rushing yards, 1,469 receiving yards and 25 touchdowns in a career that began with the Jacksonville Jaguars in 2009 as a seven-round draft pick. He continued with the Oakland Raiders in 2013 and the Giants from 2014 through 2016.

            Jennings' best season came in 2015 when he started all 16 games for the Giants, gaining 863 rushing yards and adding 296 receiving yards. In his last season in 2016, he led the Giants with 593 yards rushing and three touchdowns but averaged only 3.3 yards per carry.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • Vegas Money Moves - Week 14
              December 8, 2017


              The Browns have four more whacks at finally getting a win this season and only two of those chances happen to be at home, this Sunday against the Packers and next week against the Ravens. They covered last week at the Chargers (-13.5) to make them 3-9 against the spread on the season, but have failed to cover their last five at home.

              Despite the Browns (0-12) crummy resume that includes a league-worst 14.7 points per game, the wagering on the Cleveland-Green Bay game is surpassing most of the marquee matchups in Week 14 action.

              "A couple games stand out this week," said CG Technology VP of risk Jason Simbal on Friday morning. "We have a major sharp-square divide on the Packers-Browns game. Sharp money came early on the Browns taking +3.5 and when we went down to -3, we got a large bet on the Packers. But the bigger action has been with the public all laying the Packers. We have a ticket count ratio of 40 to 3 on the Packers."

              CG books have the Packers -3 -120, and so do half the other sports book operations in Las Vegas. The other half of the city has the Packers -3.5 EVEN. This game is William Hill sports books most bet of all 14 Sunday games. This is likely to be quarterback Brett Hundley's last start with Aaron Rodgers possibly returning in Week 15. Green Bay (6-6) has gone 2-5 since Rodgers got hurt.

              "The other big game for us is the Eagles at Rams, probably the game of the week," Simbal said. "We opened pick and immediately took repected money there and at -1 and -1.5. We got up to -2.5 and that's when we started getting Philly money pushing us back to -1.5 to the point where we need the Rams now."

              William Hill sports books have had 51 percent of their tickets written on the Eagles (10-2) which is a good example of the betting patterns with the two highest scoring teams in the NFL facing each other. The Eagles and Rams (9-3) are both averaging 30.1 PPG. The Rams (9-3) have won and covered their last two and are 8-4 ATS while the Eagles come into this game off their first loss since Week 2, a 24-10 decision last Monday at Seattle. The Eagles are tied with Minnesota for the best record at the betting counter with a 9-3 ATS mark.

              The Vikings (10-2) are -3 EVEN at Carolina (8-4) this week and 90 percent of the cash taken at William Hill on this one has been on Minnesota.

              The Bengals (5-7) have covered the spread in their last four while the Bears (3-9) have lost five straight (0-4-1 ATS), so guess who is being bet the most here?

              "The public loves the Bengals," said Simbal. "We've moved up from -6 to -6.5. We don't have one (straight) bet on the Bears. Zero."

              The 49ers (2-10) have won two of their past three games with new starting QB Jimmy Garappolo getting a win at Chicago last week in his first start. They travel to Houston against a Texans (4-8) squad that has lost five of its last six.

              "Sharps like the Texans at home against the 49ers. We've taken large bets at -1.5, -2 and -2.5 forcing us to -2.5 -120," said Simbal.

              MGM books and Wynn are also using Houston -2.5 -120. The South Point uses exclusively flat numbers and are at -2.5. William Hill, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Station Casinos and Boyd Gaming are using -3 EVEN.

              "They're on the 'dog in the Sunday night game," Simbal said. "We moved from -6 to -5.5 just because of the Steelers injuries and they took that so we went straight to -4.5 and it's been steady there."

              Because 5 and 5.5 are dead numbers on the bookmaking ladder, bypassing 5 entirely like Simbal did in this situation is a common strategy. William Hill sports books have this match-up as their most lopsided game with 94 percent of the cash on the Ravens (7-5).

              The Steelers (10-2) have wide receiver Antonio Brown listed as 'probable' while safety Mike Micthell is questionable and WR JuJu Smith-Shuster is 'out' with a suspension.

              The Ravens have won three straight while the Steelers have won seven straight -- three of the last four by exactly three points. Baltimore is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetings against the Steelers with the lone non-cover happening in a 26-9 Week 4 loss this season.

              Two games were still "OFF" the board as of Friday afternoon because of the uncertainty of a couple starting quarterbacks. Matt Stafford (hand) is 'questionable' to start for Detroit (6-6) at Tampa Bay (4-8).

              Tyrod Taylor (knee) is listed as 'questionable' for Buffalo's (6-6) home game against the Colts (3-9).
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • Total Talk - Week 14
                December 9, 2017


                The ‘under’ went 8-7-1 last week and practically all of those low side tickets were never in doubt with an average combined score of 32.4 points per game. One ‘over’ ticket that cashed late came in the extra session of Tampa Bay-Green Bay matchup (45) as the Packers scored a game-winning touchdown in their 26-20 overtime victory. The lone push occurred on Monday Night between the Steelers and Bengals. Through 13 weeks, the ‘over’ holds a 98-92-2 record.

                Trends to Watch

                As we enter the final quarter of the season, here are some notable total tendencies to watch in the last four weeks of the regular season.

                The Lions own the best ‘over’ record (9-3) in the league and they’ve executed the right formula for the high side – a solid offense (26.2 PPG) and poor defense (25.7 PPG). Detroit brings a five-game run to the high side into this week’s matchup at Tampa Bay.

                Sticking with the Buccaneers, they’ve seen the ‘under’ go 5-1 at home. The offense can’t score (17.2 PPG) at Raymond James Stadium this season, yet the defense (15.2 PPG) has been very stout.

                The Steelers (8-3-1) remain the best ‘under’ wager and that includes a 6-0-1 mark on the road, largely because their offense (20.9 PPG) hasn’t traveled well.

                Another offense (20.3 PPG) that has struggled on the road is Seattle, but it has managed to step up defensively (16 PPG). Outside of one bad quarter against Tennessee in Week 3, this unit has been lights out on the road and that’s helped the ‘under’ go 5-1. The Seahawks head to Jacksonville this week.

                Despite being winless, Cleveland (0-12) has been a tough out at home and its defense (20 PPG) has kept them in games. That effort has helped the ‘under’ go 5-1 and the one ‘over’ result occurred against Minnesota in a game played from London. Green Bay visits FirstEnergy Stadium from Ohio on Sunday.

                The ‘over’ has gone 5-1 in away games for the Redskins, who has surrendered 28.2 PPG as visitors. The offense (22.2 PPG) has managed to do enough to help the totals lean high.

                We have six non-conference games slated in Week 14 and the ‘over’ has gone 28-21-1 (57%) this season in AFC-NFC matchups.

                Line Moves

                Listed below are the largest line moves as of Saturday morning based off the Week 14 openers posted last Sunday at BookMaker.eu.

                Chicago at Cincinnati: 37 to 38 ½
                Minnesota at Carolina: 42 to 40
                San Francisco at Houston: 42 ½ to 44 ½
                N.Y. Jets at Denver: 40 ½ to 42
                Philadelphia at L.A. Rams: 51 to 48


                Looking at the above moves, you can see the correlation between matchups with playoffs teams opposed to ones without them. Scott Cooley of BookMaker.eu wasn’t surprised by the tendencies for these games. “The usual consensus in games like this where you have two quality opponents is that you’re going to see a tighter gameplan and the defenses are slightly ahead of the offenses. Meanwhile, I think the bar is raised a bit in meaningless games. Offenses have nothing to lose, and you have players and coaches playing for their jobs,” explained Cooley.

                Divisional Games

                I’ve seen some great seasonal trends before but the ‘under’ results in this year’s divisional games continue to show up. The low side went 4-1-1 last week, plus this past Thursday’s result between Falcons and Saints also went ‘under’ the number. When you add up all those results, the ‘under’ sits at 37-19-1 (66%) in divisional matchups this season. We have four matchups remaining in Week 14 and two of them take place in the night games.

                Dallas at N.Y. Giants: The ‘under’ has cashed in three straight in this series which includes a 19-3 win by Dallas at home in Week 1 and the low side (46) was never in doubt. The Giants will have Eli Manning back at quarterback and I don’t believe he’ll make much of a difference but it’s impossible to handicap emotions. New York is on a 3-0 ‘under’ run and Dallas had the same total streak going before it lit up the Redskins 38-14 last Thursday at home.

                Oakland at Kansas City: The Raiders nipped the Chiefs 31-30 at home on Oct. 19 and the ‘over’ (46 ½) cashed easily. That result snapped a 3-0 ‘under’ run in this series. This week’s number is hovering between 48 and 49 points. This is a tough game to handicap because the Chiefs are a mess right now and three of the last four wins by the Raiders came against three of the weakest teams in the league (Dolphins, Broncos, Giants). Despite the turmoil with Kansas City, the Chiefs defense (18.8 PPG) is still tough to solve at home and Oakland has scored 13, 17 and 13 points to Arrowhead with QB Derek Carr.

                Baltimore at Pittsburgh: (See Below)

                New England at Miami: (See Below)

                Road Total System

                What’s the system?

                Play the ‘over’ in any game when the visitor is playing their third consecutive road game

                This angle is in play for Week 14 as Minnesota will visit Carolina. The Vikings played at Detroit on Thanksgiving and they visited Atlanta last Sunday.

                For those following the TT piece this season, you’re aware that we brought up the system in last week’s installment as Tampa Bay was forced to play three straight road game due to its Week 1 game being postponed. As mentioned above, Green Bay won in overtime and that game-winning TD helped the ‘over’ connect.

                If you include last week’s result, the ‘over’ stands at 3-2 this season and is now 44-22 (67%) over the last 12 seasons.

                For this week’s particular matchup between Minnesota and Carolina, it has the makings of a slugfest and the early money is leaning to the low side. However, it’s hard to dismiss a profitable betting angle.

                Under the Lights


                After a crazy ‘over’ run, we’re starting to see more ‘under’ results connect in these night games and you know the bookmakers are happy with that. The totals went 1-1-1 last week and on the season, but the ‘over’ still holds an overall edge (24-16-1,60%) and that includes this past Thursday’s result between the Saints and Falcons.

                Baltimore at Pittsburgh: The ‘under’ is on a 4-1 run in this series and that includes Pittsburgh’s 26-9 road win over Baltimore in Week 4 with a total of 41 ½. The total (43 ½) has been pushed up for the rematch and the adjustment is fair. Since the early loss to the Steelers, the Ravens have scored 20-plus points in seven of their last eight games and Pittsburgh’s defense is short-handed and appears to be wearing down. Plus, the Steelers have had a knack of scoring points (35.5 PPG) at home in primetime games.

                New England at Miami: These teams met two weeks ago in Foxboro and New England stopped Miami 35-17 as the popular Favorite-Over (-16.5, 49) combination connected and that’s been the theme in this matchup. The Patriots-Over ticket has now cashed in three straight and four of the last six meetings in this series. Not having TE Rob Gronkowski (suspension) won’t be easy, but New England has gone 20-5 without him. Miami enters this game on a 7-0 run to the ‘over’ which has been attributed to a poor defensive effort (30.6 PPG). Sticking with defense, Bill Belichick’s squad have done a complete 180 this season. The unit is allowing 11.9 PPG in their last eight games and that’s helped the ‘under’ go 6-2. Considering they gave up 32 PPG in their first four games, it’s really eye-opening.

                Fearless Predictions

                My best total wagers split last week and unfortunately the Chargers and Browns came up short in our teaser wager, which ended our winning streak. The deficit was light ($10) and getting into the black before the playoffs doesn’t seem impossible ($430). As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

                Best Over: Washington-Los Angeles 46 ½

                Best Under: Oakland-Kansas City 48 ½

                Best Team Total: Under 23 Cincinnati

                Three-Team Total Teaser (8.5-Point, +100)
                Over 37 San Francisco-Houston
                Over 38 Washington-Los Angeles
                Over 31 ½ Minnesota-Carolina
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • Pick Six - Week 14
                  December 9, 2017


                  Week 13 Record: 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS
                  Overall Record: 37-41 SU, 33-42-1 ATS

                  Cowboys (-3 ½, 41 ½) at Giants – 1:00 PM EST

                  Dallas
                  Record: 6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS, 6-6 OVER
                  Super Bowl Odds: 100/1

                  The Cowboys snapped a three-game losing streak by blasting the Redskins, 38-13 as short home underdogs. Dallas’ offense combined to score 22 points during the three losses prior to the Washington outburst as the Cowboys amazingly didn’t score a point in the first and third quarters against the Redskins. The Cowboys own a solid 3-1 SU/ATS record as a road favorite this season, while looking to pull off the season sweep of the Giants after knocking off New York in the season opener, 19-3.

                  New York
                  Record: 2-10 SU, 5-7 ATS, 7-5 UNDER
                  Super Bowl Odds: OFF

                  Eli Manning is back in the saddle again for the Giants at quarterback as the team is moving on from head coach Ben McAdoo, who was fired this week. The Giants return home following a pair of low-scoring road losses at Washington and Oakland, as New York cashed as 10-point underdogs last Sunday in a 24-17 defeat to the Raiders. New York has compiled a 1-4 SU/ATS record at home this season, which includes an 0-2 SU/ATS mark as a single-digit home underdog.

                  Best Bet: Giants +3 ½

                  Vikings (-2 ½, 40 ½) at Panthers – 1:00 PM EST


                  Minnesota
                  Record: 10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS, 6-6 OVER
                  Super Bowl Odds: 7/1

                  The Vikings picked up their eighth straight win last Sunday in a key NFC showdown at Atlanta with a 14-9 victory as two-point underdogs. During this hot streak, Minnesota has covered seven times, including five ATS wins in the favorite role. The Vikings have dominated the Panthers in each of their last two meetings since 2014, including a 22-10 triumph at Bank of America Stadium last September as six-point underdogs.

                  Carolina
                  Record: 8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS, 7-5 OVER
                  Super Bowl Odds: 28/1

                  The Panthers had their four-game winning streak come to a halt in a 31-21 setback at New Orleans as 5 ½-point underdogs. Carolina lost the season tiebreaker to New Orleans, as the Panthers will likely have to settle for a Wild Card spot after losing their first game in the underdog role this season in five opportunities. The Panthers beat the Falcons in early November as a home ‘dog, as Ron Rivera’s squad is 4-2 ATS since 2014 when receiving points at home.

                  Best Bet: Panthers +2 ½

                  Raiders at Chiefs (-4, 49) – 1:00 PM EST


                  Oakland
                  Record: 6-6 SU, 4-7-1 ATS, 7-5 UNDER
                  Super Bowl Odds: 40/1

                  The Raiders have pulled back into a three-way tie atop the AFC West with Kansas City and Los Angeles by winning three of their last four games. Oakland held off New York last Sunday in a 24-17 home victory, the second straight week the Raiders have allowed 17 points or less. The Raiders have yet to win three consecutive games this season, but held off the Chiefs in the first meeting at the Coliseum, 31-30 in mid-October to snap a five-game skid to Kansas City dating back to 2014.

                  Kansas City
                  Record: 6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS, 7-5 OVER
                  Super Bowl Odds: 33/1

                  What is going on with the Chiefs? Once at 5-0 and the talk of the AFC, Kansas City is in danger of missing the playoffs following a 1-6 run the last seven games. Granted, there is still a month left in the season, but the Chiefs need to get back on track as they face the Raiders and Chargers at home over the next seven days. The Chiefs squandered a 14-0 lead in last Sunday’s 38-31 defeat to the Jets as Kansas City fell to 1-4 SU/ATS in the last five opportunities as a favorite.

                  Best Bet: Raiders +4

                  Redskins at Chargers (-6, 46) – 4:05 PM EST


                  Washington
                  Record: 5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS, 8-4 OVER
                  Super Bowl Odds: 250/1

                  Time is running out on the Redskins to make a playoff run in the loaded NFC following a 38-14 loss at Dallas in Week 13. Washington hits the highway once again as the Redskins have already won in their two games out west against the Rams and Seahawks. The Redskins have fared well in the road underdog role since last season, going 7-3 ATS, while finishing OVER the total in five of six away games in 2017. Washington and Los Angeles have hooked up three times since 2005 as two of those meetings have gone to overtime, while the other was decided by three points.

                  Los Angeles
                  Record: 6-6 SU, 6-5-1 ATS, 8-4 UNDER
                  Super Bowl Odds: 25/1

                  The Chargers have put together an incredible rebound from an 0-4 start, which included three defeats in their new home in Carson. The Lightning Bolts have won six of their last eight overall, while beating the Broncos, Bills, and Browns in their past three home contests. Los Angeles failed to cover as hefty 13 ½-point favorites in a 19-10 victory over the winless Browns last Sunday, snapping a three-game ATS hot streak.

                  Best Bet: Redskins +6

                  Eagles at Rams (-1 ½, 48 ½) – 4:25 PM EST


                  Philadelphia
                  Record: 10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS, 6-6 OVER
                  Super Bowl Odds: 11/2

                  The Eagles remain on the west coast following a 24-10 setback at Seattle last Sunday night to snap a nine-game winning streak. Philadelphia was not only held to its lowest point total of the season, but the Eagles also saw its eight-game ATS hot streak come to an end. Now, the Eagles are flipped to an underdog for the fourth time this season, as Philadelphia has already won outright against the Chargers and Panthers as road ‘dogs. The Eagles have defeated the Rams in four straight meetings dating back to 2005, including a 34-28 home triumph in 2014.

                  Los Angeles
                  Record: 9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS, 7-5 OVER
                  Super Bowl Odds: 14/1

                  The Rams remain atop the NFC West after pulling off the season sweep of the Cardinals, 32-16 last Sunday to cash as 7 ½-point road favorites. Since losing at home to Seattle in October, L.A. has won its past two home games (not counting the London shutout of Arizona), while posting a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS record in their last five opportunities in the favorite role. Since cashing the OVER in its first two home games, the Rams have seen the UNDER hit in each of its past three contests at the Coliseum, while allowing 20 points or less in seven of the past eight games.

                  Best Bet: Eagles +1 ½

                  Seahawks at Jaguars (-2 ½, 40 ½) – 4:25 PM EST


                  Seattle
                  Record: 8-4 SU, 5-6-1 ATS, 8-4 UNDER
                  Super Bowl Odds: 12/1

                  The Seahawks make their second trip to the east coast this season as Seattle has won four consecutive road games since starting 0-2 away from CenturyLink Field. Seattle dominated Philadelphia last Sunday at home to remain one game behind Los Angeles for first place in the NFC West, while yielding 17 points or fewer in four of the past five contests. Seattle is visiting Jacksonville for the first time since a 26-14 opening day loss in 2005 as the Seahawks have outscored the Jaguars, 86-17 in the past two victories at CenturyLink Field in 2009 and 2013.

                  Jacksonville
                  Record: 8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS, 7-5 UNDER
                  Super Bowl Odds: 33/1

                  The race to the finish in the AFC South will be a good one between Jacksonville and Tennessee. The two teams enter Sunday’s action tied atop the division at 8-4 as the Jaguars have won five of their past six games. Jacksonville pulled off the season sweep of Indianapolis with another dominating performance against the Colts last Sunday, 30-10 as 10-point favorites. Two of Jacksonville’s four losses this season have come against NFC West opponents, allowing 27 points each in defeats to Arizona and Los Angeles. The Jags are riding a three-game UNDER streak at home, while hitting the UNDER in five of the past six contests.

                  Best Bet: Jaguars -2 ½
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • SuperContest Picks - Week 14
                    December 9, 2017


                    The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry.

                    Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.

                    The LVH Casino at Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. LVH SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.

                    This year's contest has 2,748, which is an all-time record.

                    Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.

                    Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8

                    Week 9 | Week 10 | Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13


                    Week 14

                    1) Philadelphia +2 (782)
                    2) Minnesota -2.5 (757)
                    3) Seattle +2.5 (700)
                    4) Green Bay -3 (619)
                    5) Baltimore +5 (583)


                    SUPERCONTEST WEEK 14 MATCHUPS & ODDS
                    Away Team Selections Home Team Selections

                    New Orleans (PK) 183 Atlanta (PK) 243
                    Detroit (PK) 261 Tampa Bay (PK) 238
                    Chicago (+6.5) 394 Cincinnati (-6.5) 257
                    Indianapolis (+3) 97 Buffalo (-3) 424
                    Seattle (+2.5) 700 Jacksonville (+2.5) 481
                    Oakland (+4) 351 Kansas City (-4) 454
                    Minnesota (-2.5) 757 Carolina (+2.5) 535
                    Green Bay (-3) 619 Cleveland (+3) 389
                    San Francisco (+3) 572 Houston (-3) 260
                    Washington (+6) 477 L.A. Chargers (-6) 379
                    N.Y. Jets (PK) 564 Denver (PK) 285
                    Tennessee (-3) 222 Arizona (+3) 540
                    Philadelphia (+2) 782 L.A. Rams (-2) 408
                    Dallas (-4) 376 N.Y. Giants (+4) 452
                    Baltimore (+5) 583 Pittsburgh (-5) 318
                    New England (-11) 388 Miami (+11) 301

                    WEEKLY AND OVERALL CONSENSUS RECORDS
                    Week Consensus Record Overall Record Percentage

                    1 0-5 0-5 0%
                    2 3-2 3-7 30%
                    3 2-3 5-10 33%
                    4 4-1 9-11 45%
                    5 1-4 10-15 40%
                    6 2-3 12-18 40%
                    7 0-5 12-23 34%
                    8 2-3 14-26 35%
                    9 3-2 17-28 38%
                    10 1-4 18-32 36%
                    11 4-1 22-33 40%
                    12 3-2 25-35 42%
                    13 5-0 30-35 46%
                    14 - - -
                    15 - - -
                    16 - - -
                    17 - - -
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • Gridiron Angles - Week 14
                      December 9, 2017



                      NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:


                      -- The Patriots are 11-0 ATS (10.00 ppg) since Dec 18, 2016 when they are off two consecutive 7+ wins.

                      NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

                      -- The Bills are 0-11 ATS (-16.68 ppg) since Nov 15, 2009 coming off a home loss where they scored fewer than 14 points.

                      TOP NFL PLAYER ATS TREND:

                      -- The Buccaneers are 0-8 ATS (-8.88 ppg) since Nov 29, 2015 coming off a road game where Jameis Winston threw at least two touchdowns.

                      NFL O/U OVER TREND:

                      -- The Eagles are 10-0 OU (12.55 ppg) since Oct 02, 2005 as a dog after they threw at least 10 more passes than their season-to-date average last game.

                      NFL O/U UNDER TREND:


                      -- The Seahawks are 0-11 OU (-10.64 ppg) since Nov 02, 2008 when they are not double digit favorite off a game as a dog of more than three points where they did not commit a turnover.

                      NFL BIBLE ATS ACTIVE TREND:


                      -- The Buccaneers are 0-10 ATS (-10.85 ppg) when they are at home after two away losses.

                      SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:


                      -- Teams which are away favorites after playing at least three straight games at home are 31-46 ATS. Active against Dallas.

                      NFL CHOICE TRENDS:


                      -- The Texans are 10-0-2 ATS (7.46 ppg) since Sep 14, 2014 as a favorite coming off a game where they scored fewer points than expected.

                      -- The Colts are 10-0 OU (12.50 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 as a road dog coming off a game where they allowed at least 22 first downs.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • Sunday Night Best Bet
                        December 9, 2017


                        Week 14 SNF Best Bet

                        Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers


                        After arguably the most vicious NFL game of the year on MNF, the Pittsburgh Steelers have to quickly turn around on a short week and battle another hated AFC North rival under the bright primetime lights. This week it's a home game on SNF against the Ravens, and a win for Pittsburgh clinches the division.

                        Baltimore won't go down without a fight though as they cling to that 6th and final playoff spot in the AFC, as the Ravens have won three in a row and would love to get some revenge for a 26-9 home loss to this same Pittsburgh team earlier this season.

                        Pittsburgh (-4.5); Total set at 43.5

                        Chances are the reality of Pittsburgh clinching the division with a victory and the level of hatred in this rivalry will see plenty of air time for this game, especially after how Pittsburgh's game last week against the Bengals played out. But in reality, this isn't as big of a game for the Steelers as the situation suggests in the grand scheme of things.

                        Pittsburgh is three games up on Baltimore for the division title so even with a SU loss to Baltimore in this one, it will still take close to a monumental collapse by Pittsburgh to not eventually win the AFC North. Secondly, the Steelers have a huge home showdown with the Patriots next week and it will be that game that basically determines home field advantage in the AFC throughout the playoffs.

                        That's about as big as it gets for regular season games this time of year for the teams who've basically locked up a playoff spot, and while it's still the Ravens on the other side of the field, there will be a few Steelers players who can't help but have one eye on that showdown with New England next week.

                        It's for that reason I don't believe you can look at laying the points with the Steelers in this game because this spot has such the makings of a lookahead spot that I don't believe you can simply lay those points with confidence.

                        Pittsburgh never looks past Baltimore, but with this game coming as a precursor to that Patriots game, and sandwiched between the Bengals and Patriots games, if there ever was a spot Pittsburgh would take the Ravens lightly this would be it. And with the line move to it's current number after opening in the -6 neighborhood, all of the value has been sucked out of a play on the Ravens plus the points.

                        That leaves us with the total and given the overall scenario of the game (Pittsburgh's potential look-ahead, division on the line, division rematch) making a play on this total is something I can really get behind.

                        Although the Steelers are 10-2 SU, the thing you can trust the Steelers on the most from a point spread perspective is that they typically have a tougher time (at least offensively) on the road, and they generally play “up” or “down” to the level of their competition. Well, the former isn't a concern given this game is in Pittsburgh, and the latter is a little complicated given both “up” and “down” could apply to this specific game.

                        Pittsburgh could play “up” in the sense that it's still a big time AFC North rivalry game and the division is on the line, but could also play “down” knowing they are still likely to win the division with a loss this week and can't help but focus a bit on New England next week. But whether it turns out to be one or another, or most likely probably a bit of both, the common denominator there is that points will be had somewhere.

                        If Pittsburgh does indeed end up looking ahead to Week 15 too much, their defense -even more so now with the injuries they've suffered – isn't likely to be at their best. Pittsburgh's defense knows the offense tends to carry its own weight plus some when they are at home, and sloppy play and missed assignments can plague this Steelers defensive unit in a spot like this; just look at the Steelers defense against Green Bay a few weeks ago.

                        Remember, this game means everything to the Ravens who are trying to stay in the division hunt and keep their position atop the Wildcard heap, so an aggressive Ravens attack could easily take advantage of a sloppy Pittsburgh defense.

                        On the other side of the ball, the Steelers at home can be trusted to put up points. Ever since Pittsburgh was blown out 30-9 at home by Jacksonville, Pittsburgh has scored at least 29 points in all three home games since then, and this game shouldn't be any different. If the Steelers aren't at their best for whatever reason, look for this offense to do the bulk of the work and try to pull it out in the end. That's precisely what we saw from them in that win over the Packers a few weeks back and that game does have a few similarities in terms of motivation, situational spot etc.

                        Finally, what put's a play on the high side of this total on my final betting card on Sunday are two final things.

                        The first of those is the fact that this is also a division rematch game from earlier this year when the first game stayed below the posted total. Flipping that result in the rematch never tends to be a horrible idea and that's specifically true for this case.

                        Both teams are much more established in their identities offensively, and with this game likely lacking the brutal physicality past Steelers/Ravens games have had – because after MNF Pittsburgh/Cincinnati game the league probably doesn't want it, the Steelers probably physically don't want to take much of that, and this game doesn't really have the same “importance” in AFC North race as in the past – we do see more of an offensive explosion here.

                        The second and final reason I'm backing the 'over' for this game is the fact that VegasInsider.com shows about 80% of the action on this total already coming on the low side of this number as everyone sees Ravens/Steelers and thinks about a defensive slugfest.

                        But this meeting will be different for the variety of reasons I've already touched on in this piece, most notably the simple idea that this game doesn't mean a whole lot in the AFC North picture anymore. That typical Ravens/Steelers intensity will be dialed back a bunch as the 12-5-2 O/U run these two teams have going when playing in Pittsburgh get's one more 'over' added to it.

                        Best Bet: Over 43.5
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • Monday's Best Bet
                          December 9, 2017


                          NFL Week 14 MNF Betting Preview
                          New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

                          Week 14 primetime games are all about division rivalries, and after Atlanta knocked off New Orleans in a good TNF battle, football fans get the powerhouses in the AFC showing their stuff to end the week before the two of them meet in a huge game next week.

                          The “two” I am talking about are New England and Pittsburgh as their came in the Steel City in Week 15 will likely determine home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. Pittsburgh hosts Baltimore on SNF in a tricky spot, but the Patriots travel Miami on Monday night as they look to dispatch the Dolphins for the second time in three weeks.

                          New England (-11); Total set at 47

                          It was just back in Week 12 that the Dolphins travelled up to Foxborough as huge 17-point underdogs and ended up losing 35-17 to this New England squad. Similar to last year, the Patriots don't really care what number oddsmakers force them to cover, they bring home the money anyways as they've gone 6-0 ATS in their last six games and five of those six have had them laying about a TD or more. The 17 points they laid and covered against Miami two weeks ago was the biggest spread Patriots backers have had to deal with all year, so it's only fitting that with the venue change this number comes down a bit but still stays in double-digit range.

                          Oddsmakers know that bettors will continue to flock to making Patriots bets regardless, so they do tend to shade the point spreads that way. Even with the Dolphins coming off a dominant 35-9 win over Denver last week, nobody really wants to step in front of this Patriots train, especially when they beat this team in dominant fashion just two weeks ago.

                          However, if you ignore the actual team names in this contest and look at the scenario from a broad view, you'll quickly realize that this is an awful spot for a visiting team to be laying double-digits. It's that team that has to have a bit of a ho-hum attitude after beating this opponent by 18 points two weeks ago and knowing that their biggest game of the regular season is on deck.

                          This is also the fourth road game in five weeks for that visiting side, and eventually the situation and travel catches up to teams. Any team in that scenario would be in a bad spot to cover 11 points, and although it is the Patriots and all their greatness may negate a few of those concerns, following the 70%-plus bettors already laying the chalk with New England is not something I'm going to do here.

                          In fact, because it actually is New England, you can make the argument that their pedigree and history would suggest that laying all those points is even worse then originally thought. The Patriots are all about professionalism and getting wins and the thought process regarding that this week has got to be “get into Miami, stay healthy, and get out with a win.” New England knows they can smoke this team (they already have) but they've got bigger things to worry about in the grand scheme of things. If they can get out of South Beach with a win by any number, a win is a win, and then they can put all their attention on Pittsburgh next week.

                          Finally, we've got Miami's perspective who aren't likely to go anywhere this season, but would like to restore some professional pride after the beating they took up in New England recently. That game there was no Jay Cutler under center, and while he's not much of an upgrade over Matt Moore, he's still an upgrade nonetheless.

                          Miami would also love to take full advantage of a division rival that's probably looking past them this week, and there's nothing like capping off a rough year with a home win against the best division rival you've got.

                          It might not pan out for an outright win, but with the home team 10-1 ATS the last 11 times these two have hooked up, and New England having a 2-6 ATS run going on the road against a team with a losing record at home, expect the Dolphins to put up a valiant fight for the full 60 minutes as they come up short by a TD or less.


                          Best Bet: Miami +11
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • Essential Week 14 betting tidbits and odds for NFL Sunday

                            Pittsburgh Steelers All-Pro wide receiver Antonio Brown averages just 5.5 catches and 62 receiving yards with just three total touchdowns in his 14 career games against the Baltimore Ravens.

                            Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5, 38.5)

                            The Bengals became only the third team leading by 10 or more points entering the fourth quarter to lose a game outright. NFL teams taking a 10-point or greater lead into the final frame are still 87-3 on the season.

                            Having trouble putting up points on the board in the second half isn’t a new problem for the Bengals. Cincinnati ranks 30th in third quarter scoring (2.5 points) and 31st in fourth quarter scoring (3.4 points).

                            LINE HISTORY: Most books opened with the Bengals favored by six points although a few spots in Vegas went with 5.5 instead. The spread seems to be holding at 6.5 at most locations. The total opened at 37 and has been bet up to 38.5.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The Bears are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
                            *The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.

                            Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers (+2.5, 40.5)

                            The Vikings’ stopper unit ranks second in scoring defense and total defense after its smothering of the Atlanta Falcons last weekend. Julio Jones caught just two passes for 24 yards a week after hauling in 12 catches for 253 yards and two touchdowns against the Bucs. Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan totaled his fewest passing yards in a game (173) since 2013 and the Vikings kept the Falcons from hitting double digits.

                            Minnesota’s offense isn’t as prolific but the unit is being efficient with its scoring opportunities. The Vikings have scored touchdowns in 14 of their last 15 trips inside the red zone.

                            LINE HISTORY: Sportsbooks opened with the Vikings listed as 1-point away faves and the line has crept up to a 3-point spread at many shops. The total opened as high as 42 and has moved down to 40.5.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The Vikings are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games.
                            *The over is 7-3 in the Panthers’ last 10 games.

                            San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans (-2.5, 44.5)

                            It’s not a huge sample but Jimmy Garoppolo improved to 3-0 straight up and against the spread in the three games he’s started as a pro quarterback in the NFL. He would have started against the Texans last season as a member of the Patriots but picked up an injury the previous week against Dolphins. He would have studied the Pats’ game plan for attacking Houston’s defense. That might help him in his preparation for this weekend’s game.

                            LINE HISTORY: Houston opened as a 1.5-point home fave and has been bet up to 3-point chalk. The total has also moved up from 42.5 to 44.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The under is 4-1 in the Niners’ last five games.
                            *The over is 4-1 in the Texans’ last five home games.

                            Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns (+3, 40.5)

                            The Browns front-office shakeup shouldn’t affect much on the field – only that head coach Hue Jackson now knows he’s not coaching for his job the rest of the season. Cleveland Browns owners Jimmy and Dee Haslam assured the media Jackson would be the team’s head coach in 2018 despite his abysmal win-loss record (1-27) over the past two years.

                            LINE HISTORY: The Packers opened as large as 4-point favorites but the spread has dropped in favor of the home team. The total opened at 41 and has come down to 40 at some locations.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The Browns are 6-21-1 ATS under head coach Hue Jackson.
                            *The over is 8-1 in the Packers’ last nine road games.

                            Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-4, 48.5)

                            The Chiefs will not have their top cornerback for an important interdivision game against the Oakland Raiders. Kansas City suspended DB Marcus Peters for his late-game antics when he tossed a flag thrown by a game official into the stands.

                            The Chiefs own one of the worst pass defenses in the league and their second cornerback, Darrelle Revis, was a street free agent a few weeks ago. The Raiders accumulated 417 passing yards in their home win against KC earlier this season.

                            LINE HISTORY: This spread is kind of in no-man’s land. Offshore and Vegas sportsbooks all opened above the key number (3) but some went high (4.5) and others went low (3.5). The spread is still hopping between 3.5 and 4.5, and it’s hard to tell whether the steam is moving the line up or down.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The Raiders are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
                            *The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games.
                            *The under is 18-7 in the last 25 matchups between these two sides.

                            Tennessee Titans at Arizona Cardinals (+3, 44)

                            Arizona’s offense is struggling finding reliable receiving targets outside of future Hall of Famer Larry Fitzgerald. The 34-year-old leads the Cards in catches with 82 – which is five more than the rest of the team’s receivers combined. Game planning to slow down a passing attack becomes much easier for opposing teams when there’s only one pass-catching threat on the field.

                            LINE HISTORY: The Titans opened as 3-point away faves and the spread hasn’t moved since. The total opened at 44 and has moved down a half or full point depending on where the book.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The Titans are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games.
                            *The Cards are 5-15-1 ATS against teams with winning records.

                            Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (+3.5, 41.5)

                            Cowboys QB Dak Prescott didn’t seem to be bothered by the hand he injured last Thursday against the Redskins. More good news for Dallas backers: Linebacker Sean Lee is expected to his return on Sunday after missing the last three games with a sore hamstring. The Cowboys are 18-4 straight up and 15-7 ATS in the last 22 games he’s suited up and played.

                            LINE HISTORY: Books opened with the Giants getting six points when it was still thought Geno Smith would be under center for New York. The spread shrunk by 2.5 points once Eli Manning was renamed the starting quarterback.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The under is 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last five games.
                            *The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.

                            New York Jets at Denver Broncos (+1.5, 41.5)

                            The Broncos can’t make up their mind as to who their starting quarterback should be moving forward and it’s easy to tell why they are so confused. Denver is second last in pass completion percentage (57.5), third last in yards per attempt (5.7) and second last in interceptions thrown per game (1.5).

                            LINE HISTORY: The Broncos opened as 1-point faves but the line flipped to Jets -1. The total opened at 40.5 and moved up to 41.5.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The Jets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
                            *The Broncos are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games.

                            Washington Redskins at Los Angeles Chargers (-6, 46.5)

                            The Chargers opened the season 0-4 and were as large as 50/1 longshots to win the AFC West after Week 4. But thanks to the Bolts’ 6-2 bounce back and the Chiefs’ collapse they’re now +150 to win their division. LA plays at KC next Saturday in a game that could decision who wins the AFC West.

                            LINE HISTORY: Sportsbooks opened with the Chargers installed as 6.5-point home chalk and the spread has come down a half point at most shops.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.
                            *The over is 25-8 in Washington’s last 33 games.

                            Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5, 40)

                            The Seahawks are the most penalized team in the league this season with a good chunk of those flags coming by way of offensive holding (19) and false starts (18). The Jags own the league’s best pass rush 45 sacks despite blitzing on only 17.9 percent of their defensive snaps according to the Florida Times-Union.

                            LINE HISTORY: The Jags opened as 3-point home faves but have dropped down a half point to 2.5. The total opened 39 and has gone as high as 40.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The Seahawks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games.
                            *The under is 5-1 in Jacksonville’s last six games.

                            Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams (-1.5, 48)

                            The Rams had to alter their practice schedule this week because of the wildfires in surrounding areas. The wind blew smoke in the direction of the Rams’ practice facility on Wednesday forcing the team to do a light walkthrough at a gym on Cal Lutheran University’s campus.

                            “This time of the year, it actually served us well,” Rams coach Sean McVay told reporters. “We got a lot of good work in, got more reps than we would’ve otherwise than when you just do your walk-through and your normal practice.”

                            LINE HISTORY: The Rams opened as 1-point faves and many books now list them as 2-point chalk. The total opened as high as 51 and has moved down three points to 48.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
                            *The over is 14-4 in the Eagles’ last 18 road games.

                            Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5, 43.5)

                            The Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against the Steelers. Keeping All-Pro wideout Antonio Brown in check is a big reason why Baltimore fares so well against its division rival.
                            Brown is averaging just 5.5 catches for 62 yards in 14 career games against the Ravens – and he’s only found pay dirt three times against the Ravens. That being said, Baltimore will not have its top cornerback, Jimmy Smith, on the field on Sunday because of a PED suspension and an injury.

                            LINE HISTORY: The Steelers opened as 6-point faves but the line dropped to 4.5. The total seems to be settling around 43 and 43.5.

                            TRENDS:

                            *The Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 AFC North games.
                            *The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with winning records.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • NFL

                              Sunday, December 10


                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Sunday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Ravens at Steelers
                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5, 43.5)

                              After rallying for a dramatic win to knock off one bitter division rival, the Pittsburgh Steelers return home to face another when they host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday night. Winners of seven in a row, the Steelers can maintain their tenuous grip on the No. 1 seed in the AFC and wrap up the AFC North Division title with a victory.

                              Pittsburgh will be without a key player on both sides of the ball -- injured linebacker Ryan Shazier and suspended wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster -- as it vies for a season sweep of the Ravens. "We embrace the challenges of playing in this division -- how tough it is and the intentions of those we compete against," Steelers coach Mike Tomlin said. "We'll be energized by game time on Sunday. We'll be excited about defending our turf against a very good football team." Baltimore, which was dominated at home by Pittsburgh 26-9 in Week 4, has won three in a row and holds a one-game edge for the sixth and final playoff spot in the AFC. "It's a great rivalry," Ravens coach John Harbaugh said of facing the Steelers. "We love playing in it. It's the most physical game we play every single year. It's always tough coming out of the game in that you're going to have a lot of bumps and bruises for sure. We have respect for them."

                              TV:
                              8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

                              POWER RANKINGS:
                              Ravens (-0.5) - Steelers (-4) + home field (-3) = Steelers -6.5.

                              LINE HISTORY:
                              The Steelers opened this AFC North battle as 6-point home chalk at most shops and money coming in on the road team dropped that number to -4.5. The total hit the betting board at 43.5 and briefly went up to 44 before returning to the opening number late in the week.

                              WEATHER REPORT:
                              Kickoff will see 29 degrees and mostly cloudy - winds at 9mph with a 2% chance of precipitation

                              INJURY REPORT:


                              Ravens - LB C.J. Mosley (Probable, Neck), RB Alex Collins (Probable, Migraine), WR Jeremy Maclin (Questionable, Back), LB Za'Darius Smith (Questionable, Shoulder), G Jermaine Eluemunor (Questionable, Shoulder), CB Jimmy Smith (I-R, Achilles).

                              Steelers - WR Antonio Brown (Probable, Toe), TE Vance McDonald (Probable, Ankle), S Mike Mitchell (Probable, Ankle), LB T.J. Watt (Questionable, Knee), LB Tyler Matakevich (Questionable, Shoulder), LB James Harrison (Questionable, Back), LB Ryan Shazier (Out For Season, Spine), WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (Eligible Week 15, Suspension), OT Marcus Gilbert (Eligible Week 16, Suspension).

                              ABOUT THE RAVENS (7-5 SU, 6-5-1 ATS, 7-5 O/U):
                              Baltimore has registered three shutouts this season and is allowing an average of 12 points during the three-game winning streak behind an opportunistic defense that leads the league in takeaways (29) and a turnover differential (plus-14). That defense will be missing starting cornerback Jimmy Smith, who was lost for the season after suffering an Achilles injury in last week's 44-20 romp over Detroit. The Ravens have the 31st-ranked passing game in the league, but Joe Flacco threw for a season-high 269 yards and a pair of touchdowns as the team rolled up a season-high point total last week. Running back Alex Collins, who ran for 82 yards on nine carries versus Pittsburgh in Week 4, has rushed for four TDs over the past three games.

                              ABOUT THE STEELERS (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS, 4-8 O/U):
                              Pittsburgh will be without Shazier, who leads the team in tackles and interceptions but underwent surgery Wednesday night for a spinal injury suffered in the last-second win at Cincinnati. "We send our thoughts and prayers to Ryan and his family, obviously, but we have a game to prepare for. And we know that's what Ryan wants," said quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, who struggled in the first meeting against the Ravens but has 10 touchdowns versus three interceptions in his last three games. Running back Le'Veon Bell, the NFL's leading rusher, gouged Baltimore for 144 yards and two scores on the ground on Oct. 1. Wideout Antonio Brown tops the league in receptions (88) and has six TDs in a streak of three straight 100-yard games.

                              TRENDS:


                              * Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

                              * Over is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

                              * Over is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

                              * Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

                              CONSENSUS:
                              The public is siding with the road dog Ravens at a rate of 54 percent and the Under is getting 57 percent of the totals action
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

                                Top 6 picks in Week 14 in the Westgate Super Contest:

                                6) San Francisco 49ers +3 (572)

                                5) Baltimore Ravens +5 (583)

                                4) Green Bay Packers -3 (619)

                                3) Seattle Seahawks +2.5 (700)

                                2) Minnesota Vikings, -2.5 (757)

                                1) Philadelphia Eagles, +2 (782)

                                Record of top 6 picks each week: 38-40
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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