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The Bum's 2017 NFL Trends/Stats/News/Picks Thru The Super Bowl

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  • Geno Smith will start in place of Eli Manning for Giants
    November 28, 2017


    EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) The Eli Manning era with the New York Giants may be coming to an end.

    And if it is, it is ending ugly.

    The Giants announced Tuesday that the two-time Super Bowl MVP was being benched for the first time in more than 13 years so they could evaluate the other quarterbacks on the roster over the final month of a lost-and-injury-filled season.

    The decision to sit the 36-year-old Manning was totally unexpected, especially with five games left in the regular season.

    It was clear the decision hurt and annoyed Manning, who has been the face of the Giants (2-9) since they made a bold draft day trade with the-then San Diego Chargers in 2004 to swap first-round picks and get the No. 1 overall selection to the Meadowlands.

    Manning expressed his unhappiness but once again he played the good soldier, voicing his support for veteran Geno Smith, who will start against Oakland on Sunday.

    His emotional pain was all over his face. His eyes welled with tears talking to reporters. His chin quivered when asked about how much this hurt. His face got red the more he talked.

    Coach Ben McAdoo gave Manning the option of starting to keep his streak of 210 consecutive starts alive, but he didn't want any part of that.

    ''You start knowing you are going to come out of the game to keep a streak alive, maybe, that's not what it is about,'' Manning said.

    ''It's not a preseason game where you are going to start to the half, the next week a quarter, a series, that's not fair. That's not fair to me, not fair to Geno, not how you play. You play to win. When you are named the starting quarterback you think it's your job to go win the football game.

    ''If you are going to play a little bit, I didn't think it was the right way to play,'' said Manning, who became the Giants starting quarterback 10 games into his rookie season in 2004, which was about a month or so before Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz turned 12 years old.

    Manning's voice broke when asked how this one hurt, noting it was one of his hardest days as a Giant.

    ''It's been a hard day to handle this, but (I'll) hang in there and figure it out,'' he said.

    Manning spoke with the media for less than four minutes. He then took his backpack and left the locker room.

    McAdoo said he made the decision to start Smith over the weekend, and co-owner John Mara and general manager Jerry Reese were in agreement.

    ''This is not a statement about anything other than we are 2-9, and we have to do what is best for the organization moving forward, and that means evaluating every position,'' Reese said in a statement.

    ''I told Eli this morning that an organization could not ask for anymore in a franchise quarterback. He has been that and more. Nobody knows what the future holds, but right now, this is what we think is best for the franchise.''

    McAdoo, the second-year head coach, said the organization needed to learn more about Smith and rookie third-round draft pick Davis Webb in the final weeks of the season. Smith took four snaps in a blowout loss to the Rams. Webb has not played.

    McAdoo refused to say if this was the end of the Manning era.

    ''I have a lot of confidence in Eli as a player, as a quarterback,'' McAdoo said. ''But at this point, it's my responsibility for the organization to make sure we take a look at Geno and at some point take a look at Davis and give them the opportunity to show what they can do.''

    Manning and Smith were told about the decision on Tuesday, and later the team was filled in.

    McAdoo also plans to give Webb an opportunity, but probably not this week. Manning, who recently passed the 50,000-yard mark, will be the backup.

    Webb called Manning the best teammate he has ever had.

    ''If you had a Mount Rushmore of not only New York Giants, but New York athletes, he'd be on it,'' Webb said.

    Manning's streak is the second-longest streak by a quarterback in NFL history, behind Brett Favre's 297.

    Manning has started every Giants game since Nov. 21, 2004, when he took over for veteran Kurt Warner in the 10th game of his rookie season.

    Manning has also started 12 postseason games, and twice led the Giants to Super Bowl victories.

    Warner, now a NFL Network analyst, criticized Tuesday's decision by the Giants and said he was happy that Manning said he didn't want to start to protect his streak.

    ''This is so much bigger than Eli Manning,'' Warner said. ''This is about an entire organization that has gone sideways. If you've got one guy that represents what this organization has been about and the character and the success of this organization, it's that guy that has been under center in Eli Manning. He's never done anything but show character and do things the right way.''

    A second-round pick in 2013, Smith signed with the Giants as a free agent in the offseason after being released by the Jets. He played in only two games in 2016 with his season ending with a major knee injury.

    Smith told Manning that he supports him and has his respect.

    ''This guy has done a tremendous job in this league,'' Smith said. ''He has done a bunch of things for this organization and none of that can ever be taken away or forgotten. This is a business and it's tough. My number is up so it is my time to go out there and do what I am supposed to do and make sure I get the job done.''

    Manning holds almost all of the franchise's major passing records. This season, he has thrown 14 touchdown passes and seven interceptions. He will turn 37 on Jan. 3.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • NFL notebook: Giants replace Manning as starting QB
      November 28, 2017


      New York Giants quarterback Eli Manning probably would have preferred to be answering questions about last week or better yet, the upcoming week's game.

      Instead, the veteran quarterback who has started 210 straight games for the Giants was standing before a crowd of reporters, at times fighting to hold back tears as he talked about the stunning decision by Giants coach Ben McAdoo to name Geno Smith the starting quarterback for this weekend's game.

      Manning, who has two years left on his contract, was asked about the future. Composing himself, he said. "I don't know. I don't know. One week at a time."

      --Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo
      will make his first start since joining San Francisco when the 49ers play the Chicago Bears on Sunday.

      San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan met with Garoppolo and C.J. Beathard on Tuesday to inform them of his decision.

      Garoppolo was acquired by the 49ers in a trade with the New England Patriots last month. He made his debut with his new team on Sunday in mop-up duty after Beathard left with a leg injury.

      Garoppolo entered the game with just 1:07 remaining, but had enough time to throw a 10-yard touchdown pass to Louis Murphy in the 24-13 loss to the Seattle Seahawks. Beathard started the past five games after replacing Brian Hoyer, who began the season as San Francisco's starting quarterback.

      --Running back Darren McFadden announced his retirement after 10 NFL seasons.

      McFadden was officially waived by the Dallas Cowboys on Monday, although news of the impending release occurred the day before. He played his first seven seasons with the Oakland Raiders before joining the Cowboys.

      McFadden topped 1,000 rushing yards twice in his career -- compiling a career-best 1,157 for the Raiders in 2010 and 1,089 for the Cowboys in 2015. McFadden was the fourth overall pick of the 2008 draft. He rushed for 5,421 yards and 28 touchdowns and also had five receiving scores.

      --Arizona Cardinals coach Bruce Arians told reporters that he has plenty of confidence in quarterback Blaine Gabbert.

      With injured Carson Palmer pondering retirement, Arians was if he'd be confident with Gabbert as his starter next season.

      Gabbert has fared well in two games as the starter for the Cardinals, recording a 61.1 completion percentage and 87.6 passer rating. The former first-round pick has been thrust into action with Palmer sidelined by a season-ending broken arm and backup Drew Stanton nursing an injured knee.

      --USC quarterback Sam Darnold dismissed a rumor that he would stay in school for his junior season should the Cleveland Browns secure the top overall pick in the 2018 NFL draft.

      NFL Network's Albert Breer told Cleveland radio station 92.3 The Fan earlier this month that Darnold is "going to take everything into account and that includes who's at the top of the draft."

      --Defensive back Dave Cloutier, who was the first native of Maine to play for the New England Patriots, died earlier this month at his home in Palm Coast, Fla., the team announced.

      The Patriots said Tuesday that Cloutier died on Nov. 6 at the age of 78. The team did not disclose any details on the cause of death.

      Cloutier signed a free agent deal with the then-Boston Patriots in 1964. Cloutier led the Patriots with 20 punt returns for 136 yards while appearing in 12 games that season as a defensive back and punt returner.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • Tech Trends - Week 13
        November 29, 2017


        THURSDAY, NOV. 30

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        WASHINGTON at DALLAS (NBC/NFL, 8:25 p.m. ET)

        Cowboys no wins or covers last 3 minus Zeke. Dallas 3-14-1 vs. spread last 18 without Zeke (pre-dating his arrival in Dallas). Skins have covered 3 of 4 since home loss vs. Dallas on Oct. 29. These teams have split spread decisions each of previous 4 years, and Skins have covered 9 of last 10 at Dallas. Jay Gruden “over" 24-8 since late 2015.
        Tech Edge: Skins and slight to “over,” based on series and “totals” trends.

        SUNDAY, DEC. 3

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        DETROIT at BALTIMORE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

        Ravens have covered three of last four TY, two of those via shutout. Balt “over” 10-6 last 16 since late 2016. Lions 3-1-1 vs. line away this season, also “over” 8-3 in 2017, 10-3 last 13 reg season since late 2016.
        Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Lions, based on “totals” and team trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        SAN FRANCISCO at CHICAGO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

        Bears 4-2-1 vs. line since switch to Trubisky at QB. Chicago 4-1-1 vs. spread at Soldier Field this season and 7-2-2 vs. points at home since mid 2016. Niners had dropped three straight vs. line prior to win over G-Men, and not-so-bad 3-2 vs. spread away TY.
        Tech Edge: Slight to Bears, based on recent trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        MINNESOTA at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

        Hot Vikes have now won and covered six in a row. Also “over” 4 of last 5 this season. After dropping five in a row vs. line, Falcs have now won and covered three in a row. Falcs also "over" last two after 16-3 “over” a year ago.
        Tech Edge: Vikings and "over," based on recent trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        NEW ENGLAND at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

        Belichick has now won seven in a row SU and covered last 5, and 6 of last 7, TY. Bills 1-3 SU and vs. line last four and 2-4-1 last 7 vs. number TY. Pats have only lost once SU last 13 at Orchard Park (in 2011) and are 10-2-1 vs. spread in those games. Five of last six meetings at Buffalo have been “over” though Belichick “under” 5-2 last seven in 2017.
        Tech Edge: Patriots and slight to “over,” based on team and series trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        DENVER at MIAMI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

        Broncos no wins or covers last seven TY, that’s the longest Denver skid since 1967! Dolphins, however, 0-4-1 vs. line last four TY. Broncos no wins or covers last seven as visitor.
        Tech Edge: Slight to Dolphins, based on team trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        HOUSTON at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

        Texans now have a win minus Deshaun Watson TY but still just 2-3 vs. spread in games he does not start. Revenge for Titans after 57-14 loss back in Week Four. But Tennessee just 1-7 vs. spread last eight against Texans. Titans now on 20-9-1 “over” run and last four and six of last seven in this series “over” as well.
        Tech Edge: "Over” and slight to Texans, based on “totals” and series trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        INDIANAPOLIS at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

        Jags only 1-3 vs. line at home TY (as opposed to 5-1 vs. spread away), now 2-7 vs. points last nine at EverBank Field. Colts just 2-3 vs. spread away TY but have covered three of last four overall. Jags won 27-0 at Lucas Oil back on Oct. 22 and have now covered last five in series.
        Tech Edge: Slight to Jags, based on series trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        TAMPA BAY at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)

        Old NFC "Central" rivals. Bucs were recently on 1-8-1 spread skid before winning and covering twice, but still 3-9-1 vs. line last 13 since late LY. Pack however on 2-4 spread skid since Aaron Rodgers went down, and no covers last three at Lambeau TY.
        Tech Edge: Slight to Packers, based on extended Bucs woes.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        KANSAS CITY at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

        Skidding Chiefs 1-5 SU and vs. line last six TY and lost at this site two weeks ago vs. Giants. Andy Reid had been 15-3 vs. spread previous 18 away from Arrowhead before dropping these last three. Jets 6-121 vs. spread last nine TY and have covered six of last seven at MetLife (5-1 TY).
        Tech Edge: Jets, based on recent trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        CLEVELAND at L.A. CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)

        Bolts were the last team Browns beat and the only SU win for Cleveland since 2016! But Brownies 2-9 vs. spread TY and now 8-29-1 last 38 on board since early 2015. Browns also “over” 6-1 last seven away. Bolts 6-1 vs. line last seven TY and have covered last two as chalk. Bolts also “under” 10-5 last 15 since late 2016.
        Tech Edge: Chargers and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

        Saints are 8-1 SU last nine TY and are 6-3 vs. line those games. Though note just 2-3 vs. spread at Superdome TY. Saints have now covered five straight in series, including both in Panthers’ Super Bowl season of 2015, one of those games minus Brees. Panthers 5-1 vs. line away TY.
        Tech Edge: Slight to Saints, based on team and series trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        L.A. RAMS at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

        Rams ripped Big Red 33-0 in London back on Oct. 22. LA was were 5-0 SU and vs. spread away TY before losing at Minnesota. Rams won SU last two at Glendale when they were bad. Even after Jags win, Big Red 3-7-1 vs. spread TY and now on 6-14-1 spread skid since mid 2016. Cards also “under” 7-4 TY.
        Tech Edge: Rams, based on team and series trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        N.Y. GIANTS at OAKLAND (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)

        Giants “under” 10-4 last 14 away, though Raiders “over” 7-2 last 9 at Coliseum. Oakland though is “under” 6-5 TY. Raiders also on 2-6-1 spread slide TY, while G-Men 3-3 vs. line away.
        Tech Edge: Slight to “under” and Giants, based on “totals” and team trends.

        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
        PHILADELPHIA at SEATTLE (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)

        Eagles have won last 9 SU and covered last 8 TY, also won and covered last three away. Philly also “over” 9-3-1 away since last season. Seattle on 4-8-1 spread skid in reg.-season games for Carroll. Seahawks 1-5 vs. line last 6 as reg.-season host.
        Tech Edge: Eagles and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

        MONDAY, DEC. 4
        NFL Matchups NFL Matchups


        PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET)

        Steel has won last six SU, covering four, though just 3-3 vs. line away TY. Tomlin now working on 4-game win streak vs. Marvin Lewis, and Pittsburgh has won and covered last three in reg season at Paul Brown Stadium and four in a row SU, including playoff win in 2015. Bengals “under” 10-4 last 14 since late 2016, Steel “under” 8-2 TY.
        Tech Edge: “Under” and Steelers, based on “totals” and series trends.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • NFL opening line report: Divisional showdown in New Orleans highlights Week 13
          Patrick Everson

          "We know that the public will look to back New Orleans, so we wanted to be a step higher on that side. Don’t be surprised to see this finish at -3."

          Week 13 on the NFL docket includes a divisional battle for first place among two teams that finished below .500 last season. Patrick Everson checks in on the opening lines for a quartet of contests, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

          Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-4)

          New Orleans went 7-9 SU last year and lost its first two games this season, then made an impressive about-face with eight consecutive victories (7-1 ATS). However, the win streak came to an end Sunday for the Saints (8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS), who lost to the Los Angeles Rams 26-20 as a 2.5-point road underdog.

          Carolina, which reached the Super Bowl two seasons ago before a dismal 6-10 SU campaign last year, has won and cashed each of its last four. The Panthers (8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS) were 5.5-point chalk at the New York Jets on Sunday and covered when a late field goal finished off a 35-27 victory.

          “It’s tough to trust either of these teams, in my opinion, but they are both quality clubs,” Cooley said. “Obviously a ton on the line, given the division climate, and we know that the public will look to back New Orleans, so we wanted to be a step higher on that side. Don’t be surprised to see this finish at -3.”

          Philadelphia Eagles at Seattle Seahawks (+3)

          Without question, Philadelphia is the class of the NFC and perhaps even the whole league. The Eagles (10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS) have won nine in a row on the field and eight straight against the oddsmakers, including Sunday’s 31-3 rout of Chicago as a 14-point favorite.

          Seattle (7-4 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) is always a playoff threat, but with its depleted defense – no Richard Sherman or Kam Chancellor, among others – and a surprising Rams squad in the NFC West, things won’t get any easier. The Seahawks weathered the injuries Sunday to notch a 24-13 victory at San Francisco laying 7 points.

          “This is the first time Seattle has opened as a ‘dog in a long time, but it’s certainly warranted here,” Cooley said. “Philadelphia is playing like the second-best team in the league, and the Eagles are not far behind the Patriots in our power ratings. Early action indicates this will get past the key number sooner than later.”

          And indeed it did, as Philly moved to -4 for this Sunday night prime-time showdown.

          Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-1)

          The loser of this Thursday night meeting can probably start thinking hard about next season. Dallas has lost its last three games, all without suspended star running back Ezekiel Elliott, who still must sit out three more games. The Cowboys (5-6 SU and ATS) got dumped by the Los Angeles Chargers 28-6 as a 1-point home pup on Thanksgiving Day.

          Washington, also 5-6 SU and ATS, played the Turkey Day Thursday nighter and came away with a 20-10 win over the New York Giants giving 7 points at home.

          “Despite an early move to -1.5, I’m sure we’ll see some sharp money on Washington at some point,” Cooley said. “The Cowboys have had their backs against the wall for two weeks, and they’ve come out flat each time. I’d be hard-pressed to bet on this Dallas squad right now.”

          Minnesota Vikings at Atlanta Falcons (-3)

          Minnesota has been far more stout than expected this season, with third-string quarterback Case Keenum proving quite capable, complemented by a solid defense. The Vikings (9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS) are on a seven-game winning streak, besting Detroit 30-23 on Thanksgiving as a 2.5-point road chalk to cover for the sixth straight week.

          Defending NFC champion Atlanta continues to look up at Carolina and New Orleans just within the South Division. The Falcons (7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS) have won and cashed three straight, though, topping Tampa Bay 34-20 as a 10.5-point road favorite Sunday.

          “My gut feeling is that this will come down a decent bit. Some of the team wanted to see -1 or -2 here, instead of the field goal, but that’s what we settled on,” Cooley said. “The Falcons are certainly no cakewalk for opponents, but it will be interesting to see how they handle that vaunted Vikings defense.”
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • NFL
            Long Sheet

            Week 13


            If this report updates, I'll edit this reply to show it.

            Thursday, November 30

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WASHINGTON (5 - 6) at DALLAS (5 - 6) - 11/30/2017, 8:25 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            WASHINGTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
            DALLAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
            DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Sunday, December 3

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DETROIT (6 - 5) at BALTIMORE (5 - 5) - 12/3/2017, 1:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 10) at CHICAGO (3 - 8) - 12/3/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            SAN FRANCISCO is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
            CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
            CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
            CHICAGO is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
            CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CHICAGO is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
            CHICAGO is 1-1 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MINNESOTA (9 - 2) at ATLANTA (7 - 4) - 12/3/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            ATLANTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
            ATLANTA is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
            ATLANTA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
            MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW ENGLAND (9 - 2) at BUFFALO (6 - 5) - 12/3/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BUFFALO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 95-68 ATS (+20.2 Units) off a division game since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 112-80 ATS (+24.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 118-83 ATS (+26.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 82-53 ATS (+23.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
            NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DENVER (3 - 8) at MIAMI (4 - 7) - 12/3/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DENVER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
            DENVER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
            DENVER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
            DENVER is 58-82 ATS (-32.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
            MIAMI is 41-17 ATS (+22.3 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
            MIAMI is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
            MIAMI is 55-80 ATS (-33.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
            MIAMI is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            HOUSTON (4 - 6) at TENNESSEE (7 - 4) - 12/3/2017, 1:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
            HOUSTON is 4-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 8) at JACKSONVILLE (7 - 4) - 12/3/2017, 1:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            JACKSONVILLE is 5-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
            JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TAMPA BAY (4 - 7) at GREEN BAY (5 - 6) - 12/3/2017, 1:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            KANSAS CITY (6 - 5) at NY JETS (4 - 7) - 12/3/2017, 1:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
            KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CAROLINA (8 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (8 - 3) - 12/3/2017, 4:25 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            CAROLINA is 112-82 ATS (+21.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
            CAROLINA is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
            CAROLINA is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
            CAROLINA is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NEW ORLEANS is 5-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CLEVELAND (0 - 11) at LA CHARGERS (5 - 6) - 12/3/2017, 4:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
            CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
            CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
            CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
            CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
            CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CLEVELAND is 2-0 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
            LA CHARGERS is 1-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA RAMS (8 - 3) at ARIZONA (5 - 6) - 12/3/2017, 4:25 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LA RAMS is 182-228 ATS (-68.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
            LA RAMS is 182-228 ATS (-68.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            LA RAMS is 82-117 ATS (-46.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
            LA RAMS is 130-180 ATS (-68.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            LA RAMS is 141-180 ATS (-57.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            LA RAMS is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
            ARIZONA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
            ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            LA RAMS is 3-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
            LA RAMS is 3-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NY GIANTS (2 - 9) at OAKLAND (5 - 6) - 12/3/2017, 4:25 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NY GIANTS are 34-59 ATS (-30.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
            NY GIANTS are 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 76-104 ATS (-38.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 76-104 ATS (-38.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 76-104 ATS (-38.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 33-58 ATS (-30.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 38-77 ATS (-46.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHILADELPHIA (10 - 1) at SEATTLE (7 - 4) - 12/3/2017, 8:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            SEATTLE is 66-37 ATS (+25.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
            PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
            PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
            PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
            PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
            PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
            PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Monday, December 4

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PITTSBURGH (9 - 2) at CINCINNATI (5 - 6) - 12/4/2017, 8:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PITTSBURGH is 104-73 ATS (+23.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            PITTSBURGH is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
            PITTSBURGH is 5-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • NFL

              Week 13


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Thursday, November 30

              WASHINGTON @ DALLAS
              Washington is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Dallas
              Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Washington


              Sunday, December 3

              SAN FRANCISCO @ CHICAGO
              San Francisco is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Chicago
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing Chicago
              Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
              Chicago is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home

              TAMPA BAY @ GREEN BAY
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Tampa Bay's last 21 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
              Green Bay is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
              The total has gone OVER in 14 of Green Bay's last 18 games

              HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE
              Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tennessee
              Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
              Tennessee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
              Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

              MINNESOTA @ ATLANTA
              Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
              Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

              DETROIT @ BALTIMORE
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
              Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
              Baltimore is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

              NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO
              New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
              New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 12 of Buffalo's last 13 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing at home against New England

              INDIANAPOLIS @ JACKSONVILLE
              The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 13 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
              Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
              Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

              DENVER @ MIAMI
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
              Denver is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
              Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver

              KANSAS CITY @ NY JETS
              Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Jets
              Kansas City is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
              NY Jets is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
              NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

              CLEVELAND @ LA CHARGERS
              Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
              LA Chargers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games

              CAROLINA @ NEW ORLEANS
              Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
              Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              New Orleans is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina

              NY GIANTS @ OAKLAND
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Giants's last 15 games on the road
              Oakland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland's last 11 games at home

              LA RAMS @ ARIZONA
              LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
              LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Arizona's last 17 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games

              PHILADELPHIA @ SEATTLE
              Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
              Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
              Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 13
                Monty Andrews

                The Jaguars come into the Week 13 with a league-best 41 sacks, resulting in 269 lost yards overall.

                San Francisco 49ers at Chicago Bears (-3.5, 39.5)

                49ers' wretched red-zone record vs. Bears' bend-but-don't-break D

                It's a battle of teams who will likely have high picks in the 2018 draft when the Chicago Bears host the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday afternoon. The Bears have dropped four in a row to sink to the bottom of the NFC North division - a disappointing development considering Chicago was near the .500 mark prior to the skid. Getting back there is highly improbable, but Sunday's encounter with the 1-10 49ers offers hope thanks to a sizeable edge in opponent red zone play.

                Bettors can dig up a variety of factors for San Francisco having just one victory on the season - and near the top of the list is the 49ers' season-long inability to convert trips inside the opponents' 20-yard line into touchdowns. San Francisco comes into Week 13 ranked 25th out of 32 teams in red-zone touchdown rate, reaching the end zone just 48.2 percent of those time. All those wasted trips downfield offer a reasonable explanation for why the 49ers average just 17 points per game in 2017.

                Life doesn't get any easier for the San Francisco offense in this one, as the host Bears have actually been a solid defensive unit when it comes to red-zone scoring prevention. Teams have turned red-zone opportunities into six points just 48.7 percent of the time against Chicago, the 11th-best rate in the league. Neither team is expected to put many points on the board - check out that total - but give the Bears a big green checkmark in the red-zone D department - and that mismatch could very well decide this one.

                Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (-9.5, 40.5)

                Colts' terrible QB protection vs. the phenomenon known as "Sasksonville"

                The Jacksonville Jaguars can't get to Week 13 quickly enough. After seeing their four-game winning streak snapped in a 27-24 loss to the Arizona Cardinals, the Jaguars will look to regain sole possession of top spot in the AFC South as they host the division-rival Indianapolis Colts on Sunday afternoon. Jacksonville is already a near-double-digit favorite in this one, and could make it a blowout if they can exert their pass-rush dominance against a Colts team that has struggled to protect the quarterback.

                Losing Andrew Luck for the season was certainly a blow to the Indianapolis offense, but it isn't like the Colts' offensive line would have done a good job of shielding him, anyhow. Indianapolis quarterbacks have been taken down a league-high 47 times so far this season; only two teams allowed more sacks than that in the entire 2016 season. Jacoby Brissett absorbed five sacks the last time these teams met, when Jacksonville cruised to a 27-0 victory back on Oct. 22.

                But don't take all those takedowns personally, Jacoby - that's just how the Jaguars roll. They come into the week with a league-best 41 sacks, resulting in 269 lost yards overall. The Jacksonville defense has been incredibly proficient in a number of areas - sitting tied for third in forced fumbles (17), sharing the lead in recovered fumbles (11) and scoring a league-high four touchdowns on those recoveries - but it's all those sacks that should have Colts fans and bettors alike concerned this Sunday.

                Cleveland Browns at Los Angeles Chargers (-13.5, 42.5)

                Browns' robust run game vs. Chargers' ground struggles

                Will Cleveland win a game this season? You might fancy a wager if you believe the Browns will pull out a win somewhere along the way - but don't expect that victory to come in Week 13, with the visitors a nearly-two-touchdown underdog against a Chargers team that has rolled to back-to-back victories and sits just one game back of division-leading Kansas City in the AFC West. But stay tuned, bettors: Cleveland might have a way to keep this one closer than expected.

                Cleveland's offensive struggles are well noted - the team averages a league-worst 15.1 points per game on the back of a passing attack in which the Browns complete just over 54 percent of their attempts. But the running game has actually been an area of strength so far in 2017, averaging an impressive 4.4 yards per carry - the seventh-highest mark in the league. Isaiah Crowell has been able to move the chains for most of the season, provided that he doesn't get knocked out of the game script.

                The Chargers will look to force Cleveland into repeated third-down situations, with the Browns converting a league-worst 30 percent of those opportunities to date. But Los Angeles might have trouble keeping the Browns from excelling on the ground - the home side is allowing 4.9 yards per carry this season, tied with New England for the worst rate against in the NFL. If Crowell can break off a handful of meaningful runs, the Browns could control the clock sufficiently to cover this massive spread.

                Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (+7, 45.5)

                Rams' elite kicking game vs. Cardinals' field goal follies

                The Los Angeles Rams essentially control their playoff fate as they head into Arizona for a Sunday afternoon appointment with the NFC West-rival Cardinals. The Rams own a one-game lead over the Seattle Seahawks atop the division, and can help bolster their postseason chances with a win this weekend. Much of the focus will be on the Los Angeles offense taking on Arizona's impressive defense - but let's not overlook the kicking game, where the visitors own a significant advantage.

                Good teams get meaningful contributions from just about everyone on the roster - and the Rams certainly fit that bill, with terrific quarterback play from Jared Goff, an elite running game led by Todd Gurley and a stout defense anchored by Aaron Donald. But we can't forget placekicker Greg Zuerlein, who is having a career year with 32 field goals on 34 attempts through 11 games - including a 16-of-17 success rate on kicks of 40 yards or longer. The Rams' 94.1-percent field goal conversion rate ranks fourth overall.

                The Cardinals have given plenty of points away via the turnover; they cough up the ball an average of 1.6 times per game, ranking 26th out of 32 teams entering the week. But they've also been negligent when it comes to spoiling field-goal opportunities. Kicker Phil Dawson has whiffed on six of his 23 field-goal attempts, including four from 30-39 yards. Not only do the Cardinals rank 25th in conversion rate league-wide, they've also seen opposing kickers make every field-goal attempt through 11 weeks.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • NFL

                  Tuesday, November 28




                  Week 12 faves 12-4 ATS
                  Last 2 weeks faves 22-7-1 ATS (75.9%)
                  Since Week 7 faves are 55-24-6 ATS (69.6%)


                  Top NFL ATS Teams:
                  1. Eagles 9-2 ATS
                  2. Vikes 8-3 ATS
                  t3. Pats 7-4 ATS
                  t3. Panthers 7-4 ATS
                  t3. LARams 7-4 ATS
                  t3. Saints 7-4 ATS
                  t3. Texans 7-4 ATS


                  Top NFL Over teams:
                  1. Lions 8-3
                  t2. Pack 7-4
                  t2. Titans 7-4
                  t2. Skins 7-4


                  Top NFL Under teams:
                  1. Steelers 8-3
                  t2. Cards 7-4
                  t2. Bears 7-4
                  t2. Chargers 7-4
                  t2. Seahawks 7-4
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • Thursday's Best Bet
                    November 29, 2017


                    NFL Week 13 TNF Betting Preview (NFL, 8:30 p.m. ET)

                    Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys

                    It's rare that you get a TNF matchup with both teams on full rest but that's precisely what we've got for this NFC East showdown between the Redskins and Cowboys. The NFL has done a better job of making sure the full rest scenario for TNF now happens twice a year (Week 1 and after Thanksgiving) by pitting two combatants on TNF the week following their games on Thanksgiving, and acknowledging that for this contest should be your first step in breaking down this game.

                    After that it's all about breaking down the stats, trends, etc for two teams that basically have their seasons on the line this week. Both Washington and Dallas sit at 5-6 SU and two games behind the projected final wildcard spot in the NFC, meaning that the loser of this game is likely done in 2017, while the winner gets to cling on to their playoff hopes for at least another week.

                    Washington (-1.5); Total set at 45.5


                    Although it's still early in the week, this game has already seen the favorite flip-flop for this contest after Dallas opened up in the -2 range. The Cowboys have been a hot mess since RB Ezekiel Elliott began serving his suspension, as it's been three straight weeks of scoring 9 points or less in three losses by at least 20 points.

                    Dallas' offense has only scored a grand total of two TD's during those three outings and now have what was once a promising 2017 campaign on the fringe of being a lost cause. There is also the fact that the revenge angle is working against the Cowboys this week as well as they beat Washington 33-19 at the end of October back when things were still hopeful and optimistic for this club.

                    Given the recent stretch of play by the Cowboys it's no surprise to see them flip over to underdogs for this game as there is little trust or faith in this team's ability to score right now. Losing Elliott is definitely part of it, but the entire offense looks like a shell of its former self as they can't even make many plays in the passing game. If that continues, then Dallas' season will be over rather quickly here, but you've got to figure that after three straight weeks of futility and the fate of their playoff chances basically on the line, this ultra-conservative Cowboys attack we've seen over the past three weeks may turn over a new leaf.

                    Washington's 5-6 SU record feels a lot different than Dallas' as they've missed quite few opportunities late in games to get the W. They managed to seal the deal against the lowly Giants a week ago, but prior to that they had a OT loss with a blown late lead to New Orleans, a comeback against Minnesota fall short, and close losses to Philadelphia and Kansas City as well.

                    Had the Redskins gotten a few breaks go their way, there record would be much different then it is at the moment. It's Washington's inability to close that has me hesitant to jump on board with them here, even with the line move, especially when nearly 80% of the action has already come their way.

                    However, the side isn't the only number that's moved on this game as plenty of 'over' action on this contest has pushed the opening number of 44 up to it's current standing. Even with it being the majority play, I fully agree with this move on multiple levels. For one, the Cowboys anaemic offense forced bookmakers to open this number a shade low, and with both franchises in do-or-die mode with suspect defenses behind them, we easily could get a shootout between these two teams.

                    With playoff aspirations hanging on by a thread, what do either of these teams have to lose by going out and being hyper-aggressive with their playcalling and take plenty of shots down the field? Playing not to lose has cost both of these teams multiple victories this year, and now the margin for error is next to nothing. Neither team really has a running game that they can reliably count on at the moment, and that means the ball will be in both QB's hands to make it happen. Both teams rank basically in the bottom third of the league against the pass this year (Washington is 19th, Dallas is 21st) and with the talent they've each got on the outside, seeing the passing game succeed in this contest should surprise noone.

                    These two are no strangers to high-scoring games either as each of the past four meetings between the two have cashed 'over' tickets, and the most recent three games in that stretch all closed with totals of 46.5 or higher. Washington is also on a 14-3 O/U run in their last 17 games against an opponent with a losing record, and that includes a 5-0 O/U run on the road when said opponent has a losing record at home.

                    The Redskins on the whole are on a 20-8 O/U run away from home, and the defense that allowed 10 points to the Giants last week isn't one that typically backs up a strong performance with another one.: The Redskins are 6-1 O/U after allowing 14 or less points in their last game.

                    The Cowboys recent scoring drought may be cause for concern to some, but it's only a matter of time before QB Dak Prescott and this attack find their groove again (at least through the air). Maybe it takes the added pressure of having their season on the line to kickstart that momentum, but I'm sure a division rivalry game in primetime doesn't hurt the idea of them getting amped up as well.

                    Chances are this total will continue to climb as we get closer to kickoff, but at 45.5 the number is still a little too low here and I'll be joining the early masses here in expecting this game to sail past that number.


                    Best Bet: Over (45.5)
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • NFL
                      Dunkel

                      Week 13


                      Thursday, November 30

                      Washington @ Dallas

                      Game 301-302
                      November 30, 2017 @ 8:25 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Washington
                      133.989
                      Dallas
                      130.408
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Washington
                      by 3 1/2
                      48
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Washington
                      by 1
                      45
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Washington
                      (-1); Over



                      Sunday, December 3

                      Detroit @ Baltimore

                      Game 351-352
                      December 3, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Detroit
                      134.439
                      Baltimore
                      138.931
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Baltimore
                      by 4 1/2
                      36
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Baltimore
                      by 2 1/2
                      43
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Baltimore
                      (-2 1/2); Under

                      San Francisco @ Chicago


                      Game 353-354
                      December 3, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      San Francisco
                      126.846
                      Chicago
                      125.498
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      San Francisco
                      by 1 1/2
                      38
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Chicago
                      by 3 1/2
                      41
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      San Francisco
                      (+3 1/2); Under

                      Minnesota @ Atlanta


                      Game 355-356
                      December 3, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Minnesota
                      141.105
                      Atlanta
                      139.639
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Minnesota
                      by 1 1/2
                      50
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Atlanta
                      by 3
                      47
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Minnesota
                      (+3); Over

                      New England @ Buffalo


                      Game 357-358
                      December 3, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      New England
                      141.266
                      Buffalo
                      131.259
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      New England
                      by 10
                      46
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      New England
                      by 8
                      49
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      New England
                      (-8); Under

                      Denver @ Miami


                      Game 359-360
                      December 3, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Denver
                      124.209
                      Miami
                      121.052
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Denver
                      by 3
                      42
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Denver
                      by 1 1/2
                      39
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Denver
                      (-1 1/2); Over

                      Houston @ Tennessee


                      Game 361-362
                      December 3, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Houston
                      130.758
                      Tennessee
                      135.600
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Tennessee
                      by 10
                      45
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Tennessee
                      by 6 1/2
                      42 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Tennessee
                      (-6 1/2); Over

                      Indianapolis @ Jacksonville


                      Game 363-364
                      December 3, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Indianapolis
                      124.501
                      Jacksonville
                      136.905
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Jacksonville
                      by 12 1/2
                      37
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Jacksonville
                      by 9
                      41 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Jacksonville
                      (-9); Under

                      Tampa Bay @ Green Bay


                      Game 365-366
                      December 3, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Tampa Bay
                      131.948
                      Green Bay
                      127.342
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Tampa Bay
                      by 4 1/2
                      46
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Tampa Bay
                      by 1
                      44
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Tampa Bay
                      (-1); Over

                      Kansas City @ NY Jets


                      Game 367-368
                      December 3, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Kansas City
                      132.342
                      NY Jets
                      126.948
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Kansas City
                      by 5 1/2
                      32
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Kansas City
                      by 3
                      44
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Kansas City
                      (-3); Under

                      Carolina @ New Orleans


                      Game 369-370
                      December 3, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Carolina
                      135.258
                      New Orleans
                      143.936
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      New Orleans
                      by 8 1/2
                      52
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      New Orleans
                      by 4
                      47 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      New Orleans
                      (-4); Over

                      Cleveland @ LA Chargers


                      Game 371-372
                      December 3, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Cleveland
                      120.382
                      LA Chargers
                      141 201
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      LA Chargers
                      by 21
                      40
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      LA Chargers
                      by 14
                      42 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      LA Chargers
                      (-14); Under

                      LA Rams @ Arizona


                      Game 373-374
                      December 3, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      LA Rams
                      141.321
                      Arizona
                      130.433
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      LA Rams
                      by 11
                      46
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      LA Rams
                      by 7
                      44 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      LA Rams
                      (-7); Over

                      NY Giants @ Oakland


                      Game 375-376
                      December 3, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      NY Giants
                      120.334
                      Oakland
                      133.811
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Oakland
                      by 12 1/2
                      41
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Oakland
                      by 8 1/2
                      42
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Oakland
                      (-8 1/2); Under

                      Philadelphia @ Seattle


                      Game 377-378
                      December 3, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Philadelphia
                      146.774
                      Seattle
                      136.528
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Philadelphia
                      by 10
                      46
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Philadelphia
                      by 5 1/2
                      47 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Philadelphia
                      (-5 1/2); Under



                      Monday, December 4

                      Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati

                      Game 379-380
                      December 4, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Pittsburgh
                      138.280
                      Cincinnati
                      130.072
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Pittsburgh
                      by 8
                      41
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Pittsburgh
                      by 5
                      43 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Pittsburgh
                      (-5); Under
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • NFL
                        Armadillo's Write-Up

                        Week 13


                        Thursday's game
                        Redskins (5-6) @ Cowboys (5-6)— Washington is 5-0 when they allow 24 or less points, 0-6 when they allow more. Cowboys are in freefall, losing last three games by combined score of 92-22, 72-6 in 2nd half. Dallas was outsacked 14-1 in last three games, with -7 turnover rate (1-8). Cowboys lost four of last five home games. Redskins lost four of last six games, are 2-3 on road, 3-2 vs spread as road underdog. Dallas (-2) beat Redskins 33-19 in first meeting in Week 8, outrushing Washington 169-49, with +2 turnover ratio. Cowboys won seven of last nine series games, but Redskins won three of last five visits here. Over is 5-2 in last seven Redskin games, 0-4 in Cowboys’ last four. Favorites are 5-1 vs spread in NFC East divisional games.

                        Sunday's games
                        Lions (6-5) @ Ravens (6-5)— Ravens are +17 in turnovers in their wins, -6 in their losses. Out of Baltimore’s six wins, five were against either backup QB’s or DeShone Kizer; Dalton is only decent QB they’ve beaten. Ravens are 3-2 at home, 2-1-1 as home favorites- they won three of last four games, allowing 75 or less rushing yards in last three games. Detroit won three of last four games; they’re 4-1 on road, with only loss 52-38 in Superdome when their offense gave up three TD’s. Home side won three of four series games; Lions lost both visits here, 19-10/48-3- their last visit here was in ’09. Over is 6-1 in last seven games for both teams. Lions have edge in rest/prep time; they played last Thursday, Ravens played on Monday. Detroit is 3-0 in outdoor games this season.

                        49ers (1-10) @ Bears (3-8)— Niners’ QB Beathard got hurt LW; this could be Garoppolo’s first start for the 49ers- he won his only two NFL starts LY for the Patriots. Chicago lost its last four games, scoring 13.8 ppg; Bears are 2-4 at home- two of their three wins were in OT, in the third one Chicago’s only two TD’s were scored by the defense. 49ers are 1-4 vs spread in their last five games; they’re 3-2 vs spread on road, with losses by 3-3-3-2-23 points. Teams split last six meetings; 49ers lost 26-6 here LY, after winning in OT year before. NFC North non-divisional home favorites are 5-2 vs spread; NFC West road underdogs are 3-7. Under is 7-4 in Chicago games, 3-1 in 49ers’ last three games. This is 49ers’ first road game since Oct 29.

                        Vikings (9-2) @ Falcons (7-4)— Falcons were held to 17 or less points in their losses- they scored 23+ in all their wins. Atlanta won/covered its last three games; they’re 3-2 as home favorites this years, with wins by 11-20-14 points and losses to Bills/Miami. Vikings won their last seven games, covered their last six; they’re 3-1 in true road games, with only loss at Pittsburgh. Minnesota won last two meetings 41-28/20-10, last of which was in 2015; they’re 5-2 in last seven visits to Atlanta. NFC south non-divisional home favorites are 5-8 vs spread; NFC North road underdogs are 5-5. Four of last five Viking games went over total; under is 6-2 in last eight Falcon games. Minnesota had extra prep time, since they played on Thanksgiving Day.

                        Patriots (9-2) @ Bills (6-5)— New England won its last seven games, covered last five; they’re 4-0 in true road games, 3-1 as road favorite, winning by 16-5-7-24 points. Patriots have started 14 drives in enemy territory this year, their opponents only one. Bills lost three of last four games; they’re +13 in turnovers in their wins, -7 in losses. Return of Taylor at QB righted ship in KC last week. Buffalo won twice in last five series games, after a 1-21 series skid; Patriots won last five visits to Orchard Park, scoring 38.4 ppg in wins by 24-2-15-8-16 points. Home teams are 5-0-1 vs spread in AFC East divisional games this season. Five of last six Buffalo games went over total; five of last seven New England games stayed under.

                        Broncos (3-8) @ Dolphins (4-7)— Denver coach Joseph was Miami’s DC last year. Adam Gase was in Denver for 6 years (2009-14), last two as OC. Denver lost its last seven games (0-7 vs spread); they’re back to Siemian at QB after Lynch got hurt LW. Broncos are 0-5 on road, 0-3 as road dogs, losing away games by 10-21-10-28-7 points. Dolphins lost their last four games (0-3-1 vs spread); Miami is 2-2 at home, 1-1-1 as a home favorite, winning home tilts by 6-3 points, with losses to Bucs/Raiders/ Denver won last two series games, 18-15(ot)/39-36; the OT win in 2011 was Broncos’ only win in seven visits to Miami. AFC East non-divisional home favorites are 3-4-1 vs spread; AFC West road underdogs are 4-4. Former Bronco Cutler is back at QB for Miami.

                        Texans (4-7) @ Titans (7-4)— Short week for Texans after loss in Baltimore Monday nite; they pounded Tennessee 57-14 (+2.5) back in Week 4, when rookie QB Watson rang up six TD drives and 445 yards. Houston is 1-4 in Savage starts, scoring 10.6 ppg; they’re 1-4 on road, 3-1-1 as a road underdog, losing away games by 3-3-26-7 points. Tennessee won five of its last six games, with last four wins all by 4 or less points. Titans are 2-2-1 vs spread as home favorites. Houston is 9-2 in last 11 series games; they split last four series here. Home teams are 1-5 vs spread in AFC South divisional games this season. Three of last four Titan games went over total, as have seven of last nine Houston games.

                        Colts (3-8) @ Jaguars (7-4)— Indy lost five of last six games; they’re 2-3 as road underdogs, with road losses by 37-28-1-14 points, with win at Watson-less Houston. Jaguars had 4-game win streak snapped in Arizona LW; Jags are 3-2 at home, 1-2 as home favorites, winning home tilts by 37-16-3 points, with losses to Titans/Rams. Colts (+3) got blanked 27-0 at home by Jaguars in Week 7; Jax ran ball for 188 yards, were +2 in turnovers. Jaguars won three of last four series games, winning 51-16 in last meeting here two years ago. Home teams are 1-5 vs spread in AFC South divisional games this season. Four of last five games for both teams stayed under total. In their last seven games, Jaguars outscored opponents 87-30 in second half.

                        Buccaneers (4-7) @ Packers (5-6)— Winston figures to return to lineup for Bucs team that lost six of last seven games, outscored 96-25 in first half of those games. Tampa Bay lost its last five road games, is 1-2-1 as road underdogs. Packers lost five of last six games, losing last three home tilts. Green Bay had three TD plays of 20+ yards LW; they had three all year before that. Packers are 2-1 as home favorites. Green Bay won last two series games, 35-26/10-3; last meeting was in ’14. Bucs are 1-14 in their last 15 visits to Wisconsin, last of which was in ’11. NFC North non-divisional home favorites are 5-2 this season; NFC South underdogs are 4-5-1 vs spread, 3-3-1 on road. Over is 3-1 in last four Tampa games; under is 3-1 in last four Green Bay games.

                        Chiefs (6-5) @ Jets (4-7)— Kansas City lost five of last six games after a 5-0 start; they’re back in Swamp Stadium for 2nd time in three weeks, after losing in OT to Giants two weeks ago. Chiefs lost last three road games- they’ve scored one TD on 23 drives in two games since their bye. Jets also lost five of last six games; they’re 3-3 at home (4-2 vs spread)- they were underdog in all six home games. KC won 24-10/24-3 in last two series games; they lost last two games against Jets here, with last visit to play Jets in 2011. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 6-10-1 vs spread, 2-3-1 on road; AFC East underdogs are 8-8-1, 2-3-1 at home. Chiefs’ last three games stayed under total. Chiefs scored only 32 points in their last nine red zone drives.

                        Panthers (8-3) @ Saints (8-3)— Carolina won/covered its last four games, coring 80 points in last two games; Panthers are 3-0 on artificial turf this year, scoring 33-27-35 points. Carolina is 3-0 as a road underdog this year. New Orleans had 8-game win streak snapped LW; they’re 2-2 as home favorites this year, with home wins by 14-8-20-3 points, and loss to Patriots. Saints (+6) waxed Carolina 34-13 in Charlotte in Week 3; they were +3 in turnovers, won field position by 13 yards. Panthers won four of last six series games, are 3-2 in last five visits to Superdome. NFC South divisional home favorites are 3-2 this year; NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 14-12-2 vs spread. Under is 6-3 in last nine New Orleans games.

                        Browns (0-11) @ Chargers (5-6)— Cleveland is 1-26 the last two years; the one win was 20-17 over the Chargers on Lake Erie last Christmas Eve. Browns are first NFL team since ’76-’77 Bucs to start consecutive seasons 0-11. Cleveland gets WR Gordon back for first time since late 2014 here; he is an explosive threat. Chargers won five of last six games (6-1 vs spread); they’re 1-1 as home favorites, with home wins by 21-30 points, and losses to Miami-Chiefs-Eagles. LA had extra prep time after Turkey Day win in Dallas- they’re 16-28 on 3rd down in last two games. Browns won two of last three series games; teams split last six meetings played here. AFC West divisional home favorites are 4-7 vs spread; AFC North road underdogs are 5-4-1.

                        Rams (8-3) @ Cardinals (5-6)— Trap game for LA after playing Vikings/Saints last two weeks, with Eagles/Seahawks on deck. Rams won five of last six games; they’re 4-1 on road, with only loss 24-7 at Minnesota. LA is 5-3 vs spread as a favorite this year. Arizona is 3-2 at home, losing by 11-6 points to Dallas/Seattle; they’re 2-1-1 as home underdogs. Rams haven’t swept Cardinals since 2012- they won last two visits here, 24-22/17-13. LA (-3) pounded Arizona 33-0 in London in Week 7, outrushing Redbirds 197-25 in game where Palmer got hurt and was 23-0 at half. Road teams are 5-1-1 vs spread in NFC West divisional games this year. Under is 7-3 in last ten Cardinal games, 4-1 in Rams’ last five games.

                        Giants (2-9) @ Raiders (5-6)— Giants are starting Smith at QB, ending Manning’s 210-game starting streak, 2nd week in row Oakland faces a backup QB. Smith is 12-18 as an NFL starter; he went 8-8 in ’13, is 4-10 since. Big Blue is 3-2 as a road underdog; they’ve lost road games by 16-3-2-10-10 points. Oakland will be without top two WR’s Cooper (concussion), Crabtree (suspension) here; they also changed DC’s last week. Raiders are 3-2 at home, 2-2 as home faves, with home wins by 25-1-7 points. Giants won last three games, by 9-37-4 points; they won last visit here 30-21 in 2005, their only win in three trips to Oakland. AFC West divisional home faves are 4-7 vs spread; NFC East road dogs are 8-3. Four of last six Giant games stayed under.

                        Eagles (10-1) @ Seahawks (7-4)— Philly has huge lead in NFC East; they’ve won last nine games, covered last eight- they ran ball for 196 yds/game the last three games. Eagles are 4-1 on road, with only loss 27-20 in Week 2 at KC. Seahawks are just out of playoff picture; they held last four opponents to 89 or less rushing yards, but also lost last two home games. Seattle won its last three series games, by 17-10-11 points; Eagles’ last win here was in 2008. NFC East non-divisional faves are 7-7 vs spread, 2-2 on road; NFC West dogs are 6-10 vs spread, 3-3 at home. Three of last four Philly games stayed under total; under is 5-2 in last seven Seattle games. Eagles have 10 takeaways in last four games (+6)- their opponents are 24 of last 97 on 3rd down.

                        Monday's game
                        Steelers (9-2) @ Bengals (5-6)— Steelers outrushed Cincy 153-71, were +2 in turnovers in 29-14 (-5.5) Week 7 win; Pitt won last five series games and 8 of last 9- they won last four games here, last two by total of six points. Pittsburgh won its last six games (4-2 vs spread); they’re 5-1 on road, allowing 13.5 ppg in last four road games. Bengals are 5-3 in last eight games, covering last three; they won last three home tilts, after losing home games to Ravens/Texans to start season. Cincy is +3 in turnovers in last four games, after being -10 in first seven. Favorites are 5-2 vs spread in AFC North divisional games this season. Under is 8-3 in Steeler games, 2-4 in Bengals’ last six games. Three of last four Steeler wins were by five or less points.

                        2017 week-by-week results
                        HF HU Totals O/U AFC-NFC
                        1) 5-5 3-2 4-11 1-0N
                        2) 6-6 2-2 6-9-1 3-2A
                        3) 1-4 8-2 10-5 3-0N
                        4) 4-7 2-3 8-7-1 2-2
                        5) 4-7 1-1 6-8 3-0A
                        6) 3-8 3-0 8-6 3-1N
                        7) 5-0-2 3-4 7-8 1-1
                        8) 5-4 0-4 7-6 3-1N
                        9) 5-2-1 0-3-1 5-8 2-0N
                        10) 4-3 3-3-1 8-6 5-0N
                        11) 4-4 1-5 7-7 2-2

                        T) 46-50-1 26-29-2 77-80-2 24-13N
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • NFL

                          Thursday, November 30


                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Thursday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Washington at Dallas
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Washington at Dallas Cowboys (+2, 45.5)

                          The Dallas Cowboys are a decidedly different team than the one that coasted to a 33-19 win against Washington last month, especially considering Ezekiel Elliott rolled up a season-high 150 rushing yards and two touchdowns in that outing. With Elliott suspended, the Cowboys' overall offense hasn't been as potent and mustered just 22 points during the team's three-game losing skid heading into Thursday's contest versus visiting Washington.

                          The Cowboys are averaging a solid 4.4 yards per carry in Elliott's absence, but that's just noise to Alfred Morris as he prepares to face his former team. "You can say (the running game has been good enough), but it doesn't matter," Morris said. "We’re not winning games. We're not putting points on the board, so it doesn't matter if we, in a sense, are doing our part." Washington reached 30 points in back-to-back losses before tightening their defense in a 20-10 win over the sputtering New York Giants on Thanksgiving. Kirk Cousins (NFL second-best 3,038 yards), who tossed a pair of touchdown passes against the Giants, has thrown for 625 passing yards, six TDs and no interceptions in his last two encounters with the Cowboys.

                          TV:
                          8:25 p.m. ET, NBC.

                          POWER RANKINGS:
                          Washington (0) - Dallas (+2.5) + home field (-3) = Dallas -0.5.

                          LINE HISTORY:
                          Dallas opened as 1.5-point home favorites but on Tuesday afternoon the spread jumped the fence to Washington -1 and continued to move in that direction, now at 2. The total hit betting boards at 44 and has been bumped up to 45.5.

                          WHAT SHARPS SAY:
                          "Both teams played on Thanksgiving last week, so a rare situation where both teams have a full week of rest heading into the Thursday night game. Both teams are 5-6 SU and 5-6 ATS, but Dallas is a home underdog based on recent results as the Cowboys are 0-3 SU/ATS in the past three games since losing RB Ezekiel Elliott. Quite a line adjustment for this game considering Dallas was a 3-point road favorite at Washington just one month ago when they won 33-19. That result put the Redskins on a 0-4 ATS slide, but Washington has since gone 3-1 ATS in their past four games following that loss." - Steve Merril.

                          WEATHER REPORT:
                          Roof if needed - weather will not be a factor.

                          INJURY REPORT:


                          Washington - WR Jamison Crowder (Probable, Back), LB Zach Brown (Questionable, Shoulder), G Brandon Scherff (Questionable, Knee), T Ty Nsekhe (Probable, Abdominal), T Morgan Moses (Probable, Ankle), DL Anthony Lanier II (Probable, Knee), DL Matt Ioannidis (Questionable, Hand), T Trent Williams (Probable, Knee), LB Martrell Spaight (Questionable, Ankle), DL Terrell McClain (Out, Toe), S Montae Nicholson (Out, Concussion), TE Jordan Reed (Out, Hamstring), C Chase Roullier (Out, Hand), C Spencer Long (I-R, Hip Flexor), G Shawn Lauvao (I-R, Neck), RB Chris Thompson (I-R, Leg), WR Terrelle Pryor Sr. (I-R, Ankle), T T.J. Clemmings (I-R, Ankle), LB Will Compton (I-R, Foot), RB Rob Kelley (I-R, Ankle), DL Arthur Jones (I-R, Shoulder), LB Mason Foster (I-R, Shoulder), DL Jonathan Allen (Out, Foot), K Dustin Hopkins (I-R, Hip), S Su'a Cravens (I-R, Knee), DL Phil Taylor Sr. (I-R, Quadricep), T Kevin Bowen (I-R, Ankle), LB Trent Murphy (I-R, Knee), RB Keith Marshall (I-R, Knee).

                          Dallas - LB Anthony Hitchens (Probable, Groin), WR Ryan Switzer (Probable, Ankle), DT Maliek Collins (Probable, Foot), T Tyron Smith (Probable, Back), G Zack Martin (Probable, Concussion), T La'el Collins (Questionable, Back), LB Justin Durant (Out, Concussion), LB Sean Lee (Out, Hamstring), RB Ezekiel Elliott (Elig Week 16, Suspension), DE Randy Gregory (Out For Season, Suspension), TE Rico Gathers (Questionable, Concussion), TE Connor Hamlett (Questionable, Calf), DE Charles Tapper (Questionable, Foot), DT Brian Price (I-R, Knee), CB Duke Thomas (I-R, Knee), QB Zac Dysert (I-R, Back).

                          ABOUT WASHINGTON (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS, 7-4 O/U):
                          While coach Jay Gruden was pleased to see left tackle Trent Williams (knee) participate in practice in a bid to end a one-game absence versus Dallas, the coach doesn't have high hopes for the return of tight end Jordan Reed. "Your guess is as good as mine," Gruden said of a potential return date for Reed, who has missed each of the last four games with a hamstring injury. "Obviously there is an issue there, otherwise I would like to think he would be further along now. But we just have to get him healthy." Rookie running back Samaje Perine has looked healthy with 217 rushing yards in his last two contests, and a season-best 130 scrimmage yards (100 rushing, 30 receiving) last week.

                          ABOUT DALLAS (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS, 5-6 O/U):
                          Dak Prescott and the Dallas passing game have taken a hit with the threat of Elliott removed from the offense. "It's frustrating, simple as that. But what it does is it makes being on top fun," said Prescott, who tossed five interceptions in his last two games to eclipse his total of four during his rookie season in 2016. "That's what it's all about is getting out of these whatever you call them, ruts, or whatever they are and getting back to our expectations, our standards." Wideout Dez Bryant has struggled to get untracked without Elliott, failing to crack 40 yards receiving in two of the last three games.

                          TRENDS:


                          * Washington is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
                          * Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
                          * Over is 14-3 in Washington's last 17 vs. a team with a losing record.
                          * Under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games overall.
                          * Washington is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Dallas.

                          CONSENSUS:
                          The public is siding with Washington on the road at a rate of 64 percent and the Over is getting 73 percent of the totals action
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • NFL double-digit favorites a good bet in the final five weeks of the season
                            Ashton Grewal

                            NFL favorites are 45-20-4 against the spread in the last 30 days – a clip so high that even Charles Barkley and Michael Jordan couldn’t have lost money betting pro football in the last month.

                            Sportsbook managers aren’t having the best November, as senior writer Patrick Everson detailed, but the chalk won’t walk at a 69 percent clip over the last five weeks of the NFL season. Bettors will have to dig a little deeper to find ways to beat their bookies.

                            Looking at double-digit spreads is a good place to start. Double-digit favorites went 3-1 ATS last weekend with the New England Patriots putting down the Miami Dolphins by 18 points, the Philadelphia Eagles burying the Chicago Bears by four touchdowns, the Atlanta Falcons tearing up the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 14 points and the Pittsburgh Steelers inching past the Green Bay Packers.

                            This could be a preview of what’s to come until the start of the postseason. We looked back over the last six years and found teams favored by 10 or more points are 38-29-1 ATS from Week 13 to Week 17. Even better, home teams are 41-26-1 ATS in games with double-digit spreads over the same time period.

                            Just last season, all six home teams in games with 10-point or larger spreads went 6-0 ATS while favorites went 5-1. There’s only one double-digit spread on the board this weekend (Chargers -13.5 vs. Browns) but there should be quite a few in the weeks to follow as teams punt on the season and start taking a look at their backup players to see which are worth holding onto for next season.

                            Here are some games to keep an eye on for potential double-digit spreads in Weeks 14 - 17:

                            Week 14

                            New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins


                            The Pats just covered as 17-point home favorites against the Phins last weekend. Barring an injury to Tom Brady or a brain tumor for Bill Belichick, New England will be large favorites at Miami.

                            Week 15

                            Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions

                            The Lions won’t be confused for world beaters, but the Bears’ offense is so putrid it’s hard not seeing them getting at least 10 points in this divisional game.

                            Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

                            The Giants are already planning for the future that probably doesn’t include Eli Manning as their starting quarterback. This could be another huge line if Geno Smith is still at QB for the G-Men and the Eagles are still playing for the top overall seed in the NFC.

                            New York Jets at New Orleans Saints

                            Gang Green has been a double-digit underdog just once this season and that was all the way back in Week 2 against the Raiders. That seems like a long, long time ago. Despite the Saints’ setback against the Rams, bettors still love backing Drew Brees and the boys from the Bayou.

                            Week 16

                            Oakland Raiders at Philadelphia Eagles


                            The Raiders are a mess. Head coach Jack Del Rio is presently prepping index cards with the names of his assistant coaches and assorting them by the likelihood who will be his next scapegoat to save his job.

                            Week 17

                            New York Jets at New England Patriots

                            It’s safe to assume Brady will be playing in Week 17 because he did last season when the Pats had the first seed already sewn up.

                            Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

                            Will the Browns still be winless on the last weekend of the season? Would the Steelers put the squeeze on their division rival in a meaningless game for them or would they protect Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell from injury?

                            Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

                            The Vikes have won a lot of games this season but have been double-digit faves just once – and that was against… you guessed it… the Browns. Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer hates losing preseason games, so it’s safe to assume he wouldn’t take his foot off the gas pedal even if there was nothing to play for in Week 17 for his team.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 30
                              GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                              WAS at DAL 08:25 PM

                              WAS -1.5

                              U 47.0
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • Redskins pretty much out of playoffs after loss to Cowboys
                                December 1, 2017


                                ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) One thing the Washington Redskins almost certainly won't have to worry about this year is a must-win game in the season finale to make the playoffs.

                                The Redskins pretty much took themselves out of the postseason picture before the calendar even turned to December, which happened soon after their 38-14 loss Thursday night to the Dallas Cowboys still without suspended running back Ezekiel Elliott.

                                ''Right now, it looks as if we are not going to make the playoffs,'' tight end Vernon Davis said. ''So I think at this point, we just have to continue to keep competing, keep playing and keep playing for one another. ... You can't give up.''

                                The Redskins (5-7), who had already been eliminated from NFC East contention, dropped behind Dallas (6-6) in the division standings. The Cowboys also swept the season series, though between those two games, they were overwhelmed in three straight losses without Elliott.

                                Philadelphia can wrap up the division title with a win in any of its last five games. The Eagles play Sunday night at Seattle.

                                Alfred Morris, Elliott's replacement during the six-game suspension for alleged domestic violence, had 127 yards rushing and a clinching touchdown against his former team.

                                ''Really has an uncanny knack of seeing the soft spot, and you saw it here tonight,'' Cowboys owner Jerry Jones said.

                                Redskins quarterback Kirk Cousins was consistently harassed behind a patchwork offensive line that had to shuffle some more because of injuries. Cousins was 26 of 37 for 251 yards and two touchdowns, but threw two interceptions and lost a fumble.

                                Cousins said Washington still thinks it has something to play for.

                                ''It's our job, it's important to us,'' said Cousins, who was sacked four times . ''We'll be professional every day and finish the season strong, put a good taste in our mouth.''

                                Last season, all the Redskins had to do to make the playoffs was win at home in Week 17 against a playoff-bound Giants team with nothing to play for. The game was tied before New York scored nine points in the final 2:12.

                                Dak Prescott was getting X-rays on his swollen right hand when rookie Ryan Switzer scored his first career touchdown on an 83-yard punt return that put the Cowboys up 17-0. The extra time with the Dallas offense on the sideline kept Prescott from missing any plays.

                                Prescott, hit just as he made an option pitch, threw two TD passes. The first was to tight end Jason Witten, the team's career receiving leader, and the second was a leaping 13-yard grab by Dez Bryant, whose 72nd career TD catch broke a tie with Hall of Famer Bob Hayes for the most in franchise history.

                                And Prescott didn't have a turnover after throwing five interceptions and losing three fumbles without a touchdown pass during the three-game losing streak. He said the X-rays were negative.

                                ''It was tough,'' Prescott said. ''It was great to get a win.''

                                And keep the Cowboys' dwindling playoff hopes alive.

                                SHUTDOWN TIME?


                                Even with the playoffs just about out of reach, Redskins left tackle Trent Williams isn't sure he wants to shut it down for the season after being active for the third time in six games with a knee injury that will require surgery. The five-time Pro Bowler left briefly in the third quarter but returned.

                                ''I feel like there's some merits to sticking and trying to finish the season,'' Williams said. ''I fought through it this long. Hopefully I can get another four games out of it.''

                                The Redskins had to do more shuffling to their decimated front when right tackle Morgan Moses was carted off with a sprained ankle. Ty Nsekhe had moved to left guard to start the game but had to go back to tackle, where he's been a backup. Who knows what the line will look like the rest of what appears to be a lost season.

                                ''We're not the only one dealing with it,'' Williams said. ''We may have the most. But a lot of teams lose pivotal players during the season.''

                                QUALITY YARDS

                                The Cowboys had fewer than 300 yards total offense for the fourth straight game, the longest such streak since the final four games of former coach Dave Campo's tenure in 2002. But it didn't matter this time because they were efficient. Prescott had two touchdowns despite throwing for just 102 yards. And Morris had his first 100-yard showing since final game with the Redskins in 2015, against the Cowboys. ''I thought Dak did a really good job of making timely throws,'' coach Jason Garrett said.

                                CROWDER MISCUES


                                Jamison Crowder's fumble on the punt return was his sixth fumble of the season and third lost fumble. Coach Jay Gruden has hinted several times at replacing Crowder on punt returns because of the fumbles, but the other option is Maurice Harris, who left the game to be evaluated for a concussion. ''We don't have anyone else to return a punt.''
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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