The Bum's 2017 College Football Picks-Trends-News Etc. !

[StarDust Bum]

Nelson throws for 4 TDs, Akron beats Ohio 37-34
November 14, 2017

AKRON, Ohio (AP) Kato Nelson was 22-of-38 passing for 322 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions and added 45 yards rushing to help Akron beat Ohio 37-34 on Tuesday night.

Kwad Smith had touchdown catches of 71 and 54 yards and Manny Morgan had 55 yards rushing with one score for Akron (6-5, 5-2 Mid-American Conference). The Zips are bowl eligible for the second time in three years.

Brendan Cope hit Nathan Rourke on a trick play for a 3-yard touchdown with 1:32 left in the first quarter and, after Akron went three-and-out on its ensuing drive, Dylan Wears blocked, and then recovered, a punt. On Ohio's next play from scrimmage, Dorian Brown scored on a 5-yard run to give the Bobcats a 21-10 lead with 14:54 remaining in the first half. Smith's 71-yard touchdown trimmed Akron's deficit to 21-17 about three minutes later and was the first of three touchdowns in five offensive plays for the Zips.

Nelson hit Austin Wolf for a 23-yard touchdown with 10:56 left in the second quarter and, after Ohio's Louie Zervos made a 19-yard field goal, Smith scored on a 54-yard catch-and-run to make it 30-24 at halftime.

Ohio (8-3, 5-2) failed to convert a fourth-and-4 from midfield and Akron bled the final two minutes, 41 seconds to seal it.


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Morris lifts Central Michigan past Kent State 42-23
November 14, 2017

KENT, Ohio (AP) Shane Morris threw two touchdown passes, including a back-breaking 53-yard connection with Corey Willis in the fourth quarter, and Central Michigan defeated Kent State 42-23 on Tuesday night.

The Golden Flashes had rallied from a 28-10 deficit, pulling within 28-23 on a 57-yard touchdown run by Mike Carrigan early in the fourth quarter. After failing on a 2-point conversion, Kent State pinned Central Michigan on the 9 with the help of a penalty. But the Chippewas needed just five plays to regain the momentum.

Romello Ross added a 2-yard touchdown run with 2:04 to play to wrap it up for CMU (7-4, 5-2 Mid-American Conference) one play after the Golden Flashes (2-9, 1-6) turned the ball over on downs.

Kent State took a 3-0 lead but after the first-quarter field goal Jarrod Davis had a 98-yard kickoff return, starting a string of three straight touchdowns for CMU. It was 28-10 at the half.

Morris was 14 of 22 for 297 yards and Tyler Conklin had 13 catches for 104 yards.

George Bollas completed 15 of 28 passes for a career-high 310 yards and two touchdowns for Kent State, which had 494 yards of total offense. Before losing nine yards on their final possession, the Golden Flashes were over 500 yards of total offense for the first time since 2013. Carrigan had four catches for 83 yards and a touchdown and ran three times for 65 yards.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, November 15, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
7:00 PM Eastern Michigan Eagles Miami-Ohio Redhawks
7:00 PM Western Michigan Broncos Northern Illinois Huskies
8:00 PM Toledo Rockets Bowling Green State Falcons

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CFB November's Best Bets & Opinions ( All Best Bets Based On 5 Units Per Play )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/14/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -1150
11/11/2017 28-26-4 51.85% -300
11/09/2017 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
11/08/2017 1-5-0 16.67% -22.50
11/07/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/04/2017 26-28-2 48.15% -24.00
11/03/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/02/2017 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
11/01/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00

Totals.............68 - 76.........47.22%.....-78.00

Best Bets:*****
Best Bets :........................ATS............TOTALS.... .............O/U................TOTALS

11/14/2017
11/11/2017....................6 - 7 - 1.........-8.50...................4 - 0..................+20.00
11/09/2017......................1 - 2............-6.00...................1 - 0..................+5.00
11/08/2017......................0 - 1............-5.50...................0 - 3..................-16.50
11/07/2017......................0 - 2............-11.00..................1 - 1..................-0.10
11/04/2017....................11 - 10..........+0.00...................5 - 2.................+14.00
11/03/2017......................2 - 1............+4.50..................0 - 2..................-11.00
11/02/2017......................2 - 0............+10.00................1 - 3..................-11.50
11/01/2017......................1 - 0............+5.00..................1 - 0 .................+5.00

Totals.........................23 - 23 - 1..........-11.50..................13 - 11..............+4.90

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, November 15

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TOLEDO (8 - 2) at BOWLING GREEN (2 - 8) - 11/15/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
TOLEDO is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E MICHIGAN (3 - 7) at MIAMI OHIO (4 - 6) - 11/15/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W MICHIGAN (6 - 4) at N ILLINOIS (7 - 3) - 11/15/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Wednesday, November 15

EASTERN MICHIGAN @ MIAMI-OH
Eastern Michigan is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games
Miami-OH is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan
Miami-OH is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

WESTERN MICHIGAN @ NORTHERN ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 7 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois
Western Michigan is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
Northern Illinois is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Western Michigan
Northern Illinois is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Western Michigan

TOLEDO @ BOWLING GREEN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games when playing at home against Toledo

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

Wednesday, November 15

Toledo @ Bowling Green

Game 305-306
November 15, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
84.834
Bowling Green
70.951
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 14
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 18
63
Dunkel Pick:
Bowling Green
(+18); Over

Eastern Michigan @ Miami of Ohio

Game 307-308
November 15, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Michigan
79.110
Miami of Ohio
75.059
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 4
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 3 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Michigan
(+3 1/2); Under

Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois

Game 309-310
November 15, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Michigan
80.236
Northern Illinois
90.946
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Illinois
by 10 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Illinois
by 8 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(-8 1/2); Over




NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Wednesday’s games
Toledo had its 5-game win streak snapped at Ohio LW; Rockets are 3-1 as a road favorite this year- they’re 7-2 in last nine tries as a road favorite. Bowling Green is 2-7, but 2-3 in last five games; they scored 37-44 points in their wins. Falcons are 0-3 as a home underdog, losing home games by 11-18-31 points. Toledo won its last seven games with Bowling Green (4-2-1 vs spread); they won last three visits here, by 16-3-7 points. Under is 4-2 in last six Toledo games, 0-5 in Falcons’ last five games. MAC home underdogs are 5-9 vs spread.

Eastern Michigan lost its last six games with Miami, with underdogs covering four of the six games. Eagles lost last three visits here, by 15-7-21 points. Miami lost four of its last six games, but won last two at home, both by 24-14 scores. Red Hawks held opponents to 117 or less rushing yards in all three of their I-A wins. EMU lost its lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 1-5 on road, with four of five losses by 5 or less points. Four of Eagles’ last five games went over total; three of last four Miami games stayed under.

Western Michigan won both its MAC road games, by 3 points each, including a 7-OT win at Buffalo; they lost road games at USC/Michigan St in September, are 1-1 as a road underdog this year. Northern Illinois won five of its last six games; they’re 1-2 as a home favorite this season. NIU won seven of last eight games with Western Michigan; Huskies ran ball for 540 yards vs WMU the last two years. Broncos lost their last four visits to DeKalb, with three of four losses by 19+ points. Over is 5-2 in last seven WMU games, 3-1 in NIU’s last four games.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's MAC Tip Sheet
November 15, 2017

#MACtion takes center stage tonight with a trio of conference games televised.

Let’s have an in-depth look at two of those games, in addition to a few notes on the other and some injury and statistical tidbits from across the country for Week 12. Let’s do it!

**Western Michigan at Northern Illinois**

-- Northern Illinois (7-3 straight up, 6-4 against the spread) won at least 11 games from 2010-2014 before going 13-13 combined in ’15 and ’16, including a 5-7 mark last year. In Rod Carey’s fifth season at the helm, however, the Huskies have gone 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS at home. They find themselves in a first-place tie with Toledo – both teams are 5-1 in league play – atop the MAC West standings. However, the Rockets won a 27-17 decision over NIU on Nov. 2, so the Huskies must win their last two league games and hope that Toledo drops one of its two remaining contests to win the division. Western Michigan and Central Michigan aren’t eliminated yet, either. CMU is 5-2 in MAC play, while WMU is 4-2 but has head-to-head matchups with NIU and Toledo to close the regular season.

-- NIU bounced back from the loss at Toledo by smashing Ball State 63-17 as a 29.5-point home favorite last Thursday. The spread cover halted a 1-4 ATS slide for the Huskies, who saw the 80 combined points soar ‘over’ the 50.5-point total. Marcus Childers, a redshirt freshman quarterback, threw for 141 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. Senior RB Jordan Huff rushed six times for 57 yards and one TD, and he also had a 24-yard TD catch.

-- As of early this morning, most betting shops had NIU installed as a nine-point home favorite with a total of 52. Gamblers could take the Broncos on the money line for a +275 return (risk $100 to win $275).

-- NIU has compiled a 2-2 spread record in four games as a home ‘chalk’ this year, going 11-12 in 23 such spots during Carey’s five-year tenure. However, the Huskies are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 such spots.

-- Childers became the starting QB in October. He has completed 57.8 percent of his passes for 1,253 yards with a 13/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Childers has also rushed for 403 yards and four TDs while averaging 3.7 yards per carry. Huff has run for a team-best 507 yards and two TDs, averaging 5.6 YPC.

-- NIU is ranked 20th in the nation in total defense, eighth at defending the run and 17th in scoring defense, allowing 18.8 points per game. This unit features last year’s second-team All-MAC selection in current senior CB Shawun Lurry, who has recorded 18 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss, four passes broken up, two interceptions for one TD and 145 return yards and one QB hurry. The NIU defense is led by senior LB Bobby Jones, who probably would’ve earned All-MAC honors in 2016 if not for sustaining a season-ending injury in Week 8. He has produced a team-best 80 tackles this year to go along with four sacks, seven TFL’s, one interception and one QB hurry.

-- Western Michigan (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) is 2-2 both SU and ATS in four road assignments this season. The Broncos are 1-1 ATS as road underdogs in Tim Lester’s first season at the helm since replacing P.J. Fleck, who parlayed last year’s 13-0 regular-season record (coupled with a MAC Championship Game win) into scoring the head-coaching job at Minnesota. Going back to 2014, WMU is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games as a road ‘dog.

-- Western Michigan was locked into a 31-31 tie at Southern Cal midway through the fourth quarter of its season opener at The Coliseum. However, the Trojans scored 17 unanswered points down the stretch to win a 49-31 decision. Nevertheless, the Broncos covered the number as 28-point road underdogs. The same couldn’t be said of their Week 2 showdown at Michigan State in East Lansing. The Spartans won 28-14 as seven-point home ‘chalk.’

-- Lester’s team responded to the 0-2 start with four consecutive wins before losing a 14-13 decision to Akron as a 12.5-point home favorite. The Broncos responded with a 20-17 overtime win at Eastern Michigan to get the cash as 2.5-point road ‘chalk.’ However, WMU allowed a 14-point fourth-quarter lead to get away in a 35-28 home loss to Central Michigan on Nov. 1. It would bounce back with last Wednesday’s 48-20 win over Kent State as a 20.5-point home favorite. With sophomore starting QB Jon Wassink sidelined with a collarbone injury that’ll keep him out of the rest of the regular season, WMU has turned to true freshman Reece Goddard as its starter under center the last two games. He hasn’t been effective, completing only 6-of-18 throws for 42 yards with one interception in the home loss to CMU. Goddard wasn’t much better in the win over Kent St., connecting on only 8-of-19 passes for 97 yards, although he did have one rushing TD. Senior RB Jarvion Franklin led he way against the Golden Flashes with 191 rushing yards and one TD on 22 attempts. The Broncos got a pair of pick-sixes from Robert Spillane (35 yards) and Darius Phillips (43 yards) against the Cardinals.

-- Franklin, who became the school’s all-time leading rusher in October, has rushed for 1,061 yards and 10 TDs in 2017. He’s averaged 5.5 yards per carry and also has five catches for 35 yards and one TD. Franklin has rushed for at least 104 yards in five straight games. His arrival in Kalamazoo in 2014 sparked WMU’s revival, as it went from 1-11 in ’13 to winning 8, 8 and 13 games since he’s been on campus. Franklin was the MAC’s Offensive Player of the Year as true freshman when he rushed for a career-best 1,551 yards and 14 TDs with a 5.1 YPC average.

-- Before getting injured, Wassink was enjoying a stellar sophomore campaign. He had completed 64.2 percent of his passes for 1,391 yards with a 14/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Wassink had also rushed for 126 yards and three TDs.

-- One reason for Franklin’s increased production in recent weeks is the sudden lack of depth for WMU at the RB position. Sophomore LeVante Bellamy, junior Jamauri Bogan and Davon Tucker have each been lost to season-ending injuries recently. Bogan has rushed or 589 yards and three TDs while averaging 5.3 YPC, while Bellamy had run for 394 yards and three TDs with an 8.0 YPC average. Meanwhile, Tucker had 143 rushing yards, three TDs and a 4.3 YPC average. We can add another offensive piece to the season-ending injury list, as sophomore WR Giovanni Ricci (12 catches for 80 yards) is done for the year due to an injury to his spleen. And finally, sophomore safety Davontae Ginwright is out for the year with a knee injury. Ginwright had 50 tackles and one tackle for loss in the team’s first eight games.

-- Spillane, a second-team All-MAC selection in 2016 when he had a team-high 111 tackles, three interceptions, 7.5 TFL’s and three sacks, is one again leading the Broncos in tackles with 69. He has the aforementioned pick-six, 8.5 TFL’s, 1.5 sacks, three QB hurries and one PBU. Phillips, a senior CB who garnered first-team All-MAC honors last season when he had four interceptions, nine PBU and two TDs on special teams, is making even more plays this year. Phillips has scored four TDs, two on special teams and two on defense. He has 32 tackles, 10 PBU, two forced fumbles, one sack, four TFL’s, the aforementioned pick-six, one scoop-and-score fumble recovery for a 67-yard TD and 849 all-purpose yards via defensive returns, special-teams return yards, two catches on offense and one rushing attempt.

-- WMU is ranked 14th in the nation in rushing yards and 23rd in points scored with its 36.6 PPG average.

-- The ‘under’ is 6-4 overall for NIU, 3-2 in its home contests, but the ‘over’ has cashed in three of its last four outings regardless of the venue. The Huskies have seen their games average combined scores of 49.1 points per game.

-- The ‘over’ is 7-3 overall for the Broncos, 2-2 in their road games. They’ve seen the ‘over’ go 6-2 in their last eight outings and for the season, their games have averaged combined scores of 64.2 PPG.

-- NIU has won seven in a row over WMU in this rivalry, going 5-1-1 ATS in the process, until losing 45-30 at WMU last year. Nevertheless, the Huskies improved to 13-2-1 ATS in the last 16 encounters by covering the spread as 17.5-point road underdogs. Franklin stole the show for the Broncos, rushing for 169 yards and one TD on 31 carries. He also had three receptions for 80 yards and one TD. Huff had 79 rushing yards for NIU on just nine attempts in the losing effort.

-- Kickoff on ESPN2 is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Toledo at Bowling Green**

-- As of early this morning, most books had Toledo (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS) installed as a 17-point favorite with a total of 66. The Falcons were +600 on the money line (risk $100 to win $600).

-- Jason Candle’s team is 3-2 both SU and ATS on the road. Toledo still controls its own destiny to win the MAC West if it prevails in its last two regular-season games. The Rockets host Western Michigan next Friday, but they’ll first look to respond tonight to their first MAC loss last week at Ohio by a 38-10 count. Candle’s squad had only one loss previously at still-unbeaten Miami in a game Toledo led at halftime and was down only eight midway through the final stanza. But the Bobcats dealt out woodshed treatment last Wednesday in Athens, cruising to an easy victory as three-point home underdogs. Senior QB Logan Woodside completed 24-of-35 passes for 263 yards and one TD without an interception, but Ohio enjoyed a 532-316 advantage in total offense.

-- For the season, Woodside has connected on 64.8 percent of his passes for 2,919 yards with a 20/2 TD-INT ratio. Since the start of the ’16 campaign, Woodside has 65 TD passes compared to merely 11 interceptions.

-- Toledo is ranked 11th in the nation in total offense, 22nd in passing yards, 31st in rushing yards and 25th in scoring with a 36.1 PPG average. This production has come despite losing Woodside’s favorite target, senior WR Cody Thompson, to a season-ending leg injury in early October. Thompson was a first-team All-MAC selection last year.

-- Senior RB Terry Swanson has rushed for a team-high 853 yards and 11 TDs with a 5.1 YPC average, but he had to leave last week’s loss at Ohio after just six rushing attempts for nine yards. The sprained ankle has him listed as ‘doubtful’ tonight. Swanson had run for at least 100 yards in four straight games and six of the last seven before the loss at Ohio. The Rockets have depth in the backfield, though. Shakif Seymour has run for 544 yards for six TDs with a 6.6 YPC average, while Art Thompkins has 466 rushing yards, one TD and a 5.5 YPC average. Diontae Johnson has a team-best 55 receptions for 1,003 yards and nine TDs.

-- Toledo owns a 3-1 spread record in four games as a road favorite this year. The Rockets are 4-2 ATS as road ‘chalk’ during Candle’s two-year tenure, but they’re 8-2 ATS in their last 10 such spots dating back to the 2014 regular-season finale.

-- Bowling Green (2-8 SU, 2-8 ATS) picked up its first win at Miami (OH.) by a 37-29 count as a 17-point underdog on Oct. 7. The Falcons had started the season 0-5 both SU and ATS, seeing the ‘under’ go 4-0-1. After beating the RedHawks, they dropped back-to-back home games both SU and ATS before avoiding a three-game losing streak with a 44-16 win at Kent State on Oct. 31. Bowling Green covered the number as a 1.5-point road favorite thanks to the play of true freshman QB Jarret Doege, who completed 14-of-18 passes for 174 yards and two TDs without an interception. Another true freshman, RB Andrew Clair, rushed for 111 yards and one TD on just eight carries. Josh Cleveland contributed 60 rushing yards and one TD on 17 attempts.

-- Bowling Green took its eighth loss of the year last Tuesday when it came up on the wrong side of a 38-28 decision at Buffalo. Mike Jinks’s team failed to cover the spread as a seven-point underdog. The Bulls led 28-21 going into the fourth quarter, but Adam Mitcheson’s 31-yard field goal put them up 10. However, the Falcons moved ahead of the number on Doege’s two-yard TD pass to Scott Miller with 12:04 left. Buffalo got the cover when Theo Anderson’s eight-yard TD scamper provided the final scoring. Doege connected on 28-of-43 passes for 294 yards and three TDs without an interception. Clair rushed 18 times for 85 yards and one TD, while Miller finished with 10 receptions for 108 yards and one TD. B-Green was undone by three lost fumbles.

-- Doege will get his third straight start under center for the Falcons. He has completed 65.9 percent of his throws for 855 yards with a 6/1 TD-INT ratio. Miller has 52 catches for 576 yards and three TDs, while Teo Redding has 41 receptions for 526 yards and five TDs. Clair has run for a team-best 650 yards and four TDs while averaging 7.3 YPC. Meanwhile, Cleveland has 596 rushing yards, three TDs and a 5.9 YPC average.

-- Toledo has won seven in a row over Bowling Green while going 4-2-1 ATS. The Rockets won a 42-35 decision last year, but the Falcons easily covered the number as 31.5-point road underdogs. The ‘under’ has cashed in nine consecutive games in this rivalry until last season’s 77 combined points went ‘over’ the 71-point total on Kareem Hunt’s three-yard, game-winning TD run with 18 ticks remaining. Woodside threw for 322 yards and four TDs, while Swanson had 112 rushing yards and one TD on 12 attempts. In the losing effort, Miller had eight receptions for 149 yards and three TDs.

-- Bowling Green is 0-3 ATS as a home underdog this year, 1-4 in five such spots under Jinks. The Falcons are winless in four home games this season both SU and ATS.

-- Totals have been an overall wash for Toledo (5-5), with the ‘under’ going 3-2 in its five road assignments.

-- The ‘over’ has hit in five consecutive Bowling Green games to improve to 5-4-1 overall, 2-2 in its home games. The Falcons have seen their games average combined scores of 59.2 PPG.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- The third MAC game on tonight’s card is Eastern Michigan (+3 or +3.5) at Miami (OH). The Eagles are +145 on the money line for this 7:00 p.m. Eastern kick on the CBS Sports College Network. The total was 49.5. Eastern Michigan owns a 5-0 spread record as a road underdog this year. Going back further, the Eagles are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 spots as road ‘dogs.

-- The MAC East standings were shaken up last night when Akron beat Ohio 37-34 as a 14.5-point home underdog. This gives the Zips the lead in the division by virtue of the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Bobcats, who share a 5-2 MAC record with Akron. The Zips get 2-9 Kent State at home next week, while Frank Solich’s team is at Buffalo. In other words, Akron is the driver’s seat and then some to make the MAC Championship Game for the first time during Terry Bowden’s six-year tenure. Akron redshirt freshman QB Kato Nelson stole the show with 322 passing yards and four TDs without an interception.

-- Texas junior OT Connor Williams, a second-team All Big 12 pick as a true freshman in ’15 and a first-team All-American as a sophomore last season, will return to the starting lineup for the Longhorns on Saturday at West Virginia. Williams has been out since injured since late September. On a negative note, junior DB P.J. Locke is ‘out’ at WVU with an ankle injury. Locke has recorded 32 tackles, 2.5 TFL’s and one PBU. Also, WR Dorian Leonard (18 catches for 147 yards) is ‘out’ with a foot injury.

-- The ‘over’ has hit in six straight Arizona games since star QB Khalil Hill became the starting QB. Those combined scores have been 77, 84, 95, 89, 77 and 87 points.

-- Syracuse QB Eric Dungey is ‘questionable’ at Louisville this Saturday.

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 15
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

EMU at M-OH 07:00 PM
EMU +2.5 *****
U 50.5

WMU at NIU 07:00 PM
NIU -7.5
O 50.0 *****

TOL at BGSU 08:00 PM
BGSU +17.5
U 65.0 *****

[StarDust Bum]

Huff runs for 185 yards, NIU top W. Mich.
November 15, 2017

DEKALB, Ill. (AP) Jordan Huff ran for two touchdowns and a career-high 185 yards as Northern Illinois scored a pair of fourth-quarter touchdowns to beat Western Michigan 35-31 on Wednesday night.

Huff had a 31-yard touchdown run in the first quarter, and scored from 14 yards out to tie the game 28-28 early in the fourth quarter. The Huskies' Marcus Childers threw a 26-yard touchdown pass to Mitchell Brinkman with 6:20 remaining to cap the scoring.

Northern Illinois (8-3, 6-1 Mid-American Conference) ran out the last five minutes of the game, highlighted by Tre Harbison's 12-yard run on a third-and-10 with about a minute left.

Reece Goddard threw two touchdown passes and ran for another score for Western Michigan (6-5, 4-3). Jarvion Franklin had 115 yards rushing and a touchdown. Tyron Arnett had three catches for 93 yards.

Sutton Smith recovered a Goodard fumble in the second quarter and returned it 58 yards into the end zone to give the Huskies a 21-14 halftime lead.

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Roback leads E. Mich. past Miami, Ohio
November 15, 2017

OXFORD, Ohio (AP) Brogan Roback threw a pair of third-quarter touchdown passes to Sergio Bailey, rallying Eastern Michigan to a 27-24 victory over Miami (Ohio) on a Wednesday night in which the Eagles quarterback became the school's all-time total offense leader.

Roback connected with Bailey on 32- and 10-yard touchdown passes to lead 27-17.

Ryan Smith caught an 11-yard score from Gus Ragland with two minutes remaining to get Miami within three but it failed to recover the onside kick and had no timeouts left to stop the clock.

Roback scored on a 3-yard run in the first quarter before Miami's Kenny Young ran for a pair of touchdowns, 6 and 5 yards, in the second quarter with the RedHawks leading 17-13 at halftime.

Roback threw for 269 yards and ran for 3, giving the senior 8,811 in his career to pass Walter Church (1996-2000) at 8,628.

The loss ended Miami's nine-game winning streak against the Eagles (4-7, 2-5 Mid-American) dating to 1994 and ended the hopes of a bowl appearance for the RedHawks (4-7, 3-4).

Maxx Crosby had three sacks for 11 this year, tying the Eagles' single-season record. Ian Eriksen rushed for 112 yards.

-------------------------------

Seymour's 5 TDs lead Toledo to 66-37 win over Bowling Green
November 15, 2017

BOWLING GREEN, Ohio (AP) Freshman Shakif Seymour tied a Bowling Green single-game record with five touchdowns and the Rockets had 389 yards rushing in their 66-37 win over Bowling Green on Wednesday night.

Seymour finished with 67 yards rushing and Terry Swanson had 23 carries for 192 yards to move into sixth on Toledo's career rushing list with 3,283 yards. Logan Woodside was 13-of-18 passing for 232 yards and two touchdowns.

Teo Reddings 57-yard TD reception gave Bowling Green a 7-0 lead about 2 1/2 minutes in, but Seymour scored on runs of 3, 2 and 10 yards - and Jameson Vest kicked a 24-yard field goal with 19 seconds left in the half - as the Rockets (9-2, 6-1 Mid-American Conference) took a 24-21 lead into the break. Seymour scored on a 23-yard run fewer than two minutes into the third quarter and, on Toledo's first play from scrimmage after Bowling Green went three-and-out, Woodside hit Jon'Vea Johnson for a 45-yard touchdown to make it 38-21.

Seymour added a 1-yard touchdown run late in the third quarter, Art Thompkins scored on an 88-yard run and Brad Smith added a 4-yard rushing touchdown in the fourth.

Jarret Doege had 270 yards passing and four touchdowns for Bowling Green (2-9, 2-5). The Falcons have lost eight in a row, and are 39-39-4 all-time, against Toledo.

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday, November 16

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BUFFALO (4 - 6) at BALL ST (2 - 8) - 11/16/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BALL ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (2 - 8) at S FLORIDA (8 - 1) - 11/16/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
S FLORIDA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, November 16

BUFFALO @ BALL STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Ball State
Ball State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ball State's last 7 games

TULSA @ SOUTH FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tulsa's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tulsa's last 14 games on the road
South Florida is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
South Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

---------------------------------

Thursday’s games

Ball State lost its last seven games (0-6-1 vs spread); they’re 0-2 as a home dog this year- since 2007, they’re 5-13 as a home dog. Ball allowed 222+ rushing yards, 433+ TY in each of its last four games. Buffalo lost four of last five games, but they did gain 1,041 TY in last two games. Bulls are 7-2 vs spread this year, 2-0 as a home favorite. Cardinals won seven of last eight games with Buffalo, winning last three by 10-3-17 points; Bulls lost last three visits to Muncie, by 3-35-21 points. Dogs covered last four series games. MAC home dogs are 6-10 vs spread.

South Florida is 8-1, hasn’t played in 12 days; they’re 3-1 vs spread as a home favorite, but are 0-3 vs spread in last three games overall- their only loss was at home to Houston. Tulsa lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 2-3 as a road underdog this year, with road losses by 35-3-34-6-4 points. Hurricane allowed 1,071 PY in its last three games. USF (-2) won 38-30 at Tulsa in only meeting, three years ago. AAC home favorites are 9-10 vs spread this season. Under is 3-1 in last four USF games, 6-1 in last seven Tulsa games.

-----------------------------------

[StarDust Bum]

Tulsa at South Florida
November 15, 2017

This late season matchup looked likely to be a meaningful game in the AAC standings when the schedule came out with Tulsa and South Florida combining for 21 wins last season. The second ever meeting between these programs features a massive spread but provides intrigue with South Florida heading into a division title showdown next week and Tulsa looking to close down the season with a big upset.

Matchup: Tulsa Golden Hurricane at South Florida Bulls
Venue: At Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida
Time/TV: Thursday, Nov. 16, 7:30 PM ET ESPN
Line: South Florida -22, Over/Under 66½
Last Meeting: 2014, South Florida (-2) 38, at Tulsa 30

The AAC features one of the four remaining undefeated teams in the country but it is not South Florida as most expected but rather Central Florida chasing perfection. South Florida will get an opportunity to spoil that quest for the Knights next week in a game that will decide the AAC East division title provided the Bulls win this week.

Charlie Strong had great success at Louisville before jumping to a three-year struggle at Texas. His results in year 1 at South Florida have been excellent with the Bulls going 8-1 though the schedule has been very weak. South Florida is scoring nearly 39 points per game while allowing fewer than 20 points per game and the offense has one of the best rushing attacks in the nation averaging 277 yards per game.

Senior quarterback Quinton Flowers has seen his numbers decline from last season for South Florida as he has completed only 55 percent of his passes with lesser production in the passing game while not even to half of his 2016 rushing total at this point in the season. The schedule has been a factor as while the Bulls went 11-2 last season the defense allowed nearly 32 points per game as there were many high scoring back-and-forth games. This year South Florida has mostly cruised with six of the team’s eight wins by 17 or more points.

South Florida’s only loss of the season came in late October at home hosting Houston. The Bulls had edges across the board statistically but converted just 7 of 23 attempts on 3rd down and saw Houston score the game-winning touchdown with 11 seconds to go. The loss ultimately shouldn’t impact the Bulls dramatically as they could still be the nation’s top Group of 5 squad if they manage to win out, knocking off two top contenders for that spot with wins over UCF and Memphis in consecutive weeks.

Philip Montgomery took over a Tulsa team that went 2-10 in 2014 and brought the Hurricane to bowl games the past two seasons. Tulsa finished 10-3 last season after winning the Miami Beach Bowl but the program has circled back this season with a 2-8 record and still has a pair of difficult games remaining.

Tulsa took on a tough non-conference draw facing Oklahoma State, Toledo, and New Mexico to account for three losses and five of the team’s eight losses have come by 10 or fewer points. Replacing Dane Evans at quarterback has proven to be a challenge with Evans in training camp with the Eagles before signing to play in the CFL.

Sophomore Chad President led the way early in the season as mostly a running quarterback as he has thrown for only 809 yards on 127 attempts. In recent weeks redshirt freshman Luke Skipper has been leading the offense with much more success in the passing game. Evans threw for 32 touchdowns last season while President and Skipper have combined for just five passing touchdowns this season as the Hurricane primarily have leaned on the ground game.

Tulsa is gaining 5.1 yards per rush this season to net nearly 2,500 rushing years led by senior D’Angelo Brewer who is a yard short of 1,100 rushing yards. Normally a team that runs the ball as well as Tulsa makes for a promising heavy underdog but Tulsa’s run defense checks in at 128th in the nation allowing 5.8 yards per rush. South Florida is allowing just 3.3 yards per rush, 12th nationally to illustrate a key reason for the contrasting records between these teams.

The irony in the results this season is that one of Tulsa’s two wins came 45-17 against the Houston team that handed South Florida its only loss. Turnovers played a role but Tulsa rallied from a 10-0 deficit to knock off the Cougars for a result that has allowed Memphis to take control of the AAC West.

Historical Trends:

-- These programs have only met once with a 38-30 win for South Florida at Tulsa in 2014, playing as a slight road favorite.

-- Tulsa is on a 12-6 ATS run as an underdog of 20 or more points and for comparison’s sake, when it opened the season at national power Oklahoma State, Tulsa was just +19½ in September.

-- Tulsa is on a 31-21 ATS run as a road underdog since 2002 including going 10-3 ATS since 2015 under Montgomery.

-- South Florida is 10-3 ATS as a home favorite since 2015, going 3-2 ATS this season.

-- South Florida is 2-3 ATS this season when favored by 20 or more points and 5-8 ATS in that role going back to early 2011.

[StarDust Bum]

CFB November's Best Bets & Opinions ( All Best Bets Based On 5 Units Per Play )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/15/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/14/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -1150
11/11/2017 28-26-4 51.85% -300
11/09/2017 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
11/08/2017 1-5-0 16.67% -22.50
11/07/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/04/2017 26-28-2 48.15% -24.00
11/03/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/02/2017 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
11/01/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00

Totals.............70 - 80.........46.66%.....-90.00


Best Bets:*****
Best Bets :........................ATS............TOTALS.... .............O/U................TOTALS

11/15/2017......................1 - 0...........+5.00...................1 - 1.................-0.50
11/14/2017......................0 - 2...........-11.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50
11/11/2017....................6 - 7 - 1.........-8.50...................4 - 0..................+20.00
11/09/2017......................1 - 2............-6.00...................1 - 0..................+5.00
11/08/2017......................0 - 1............-5.50...................0 - 3..................-16.50
11/07/2017......................0 - 2............-11.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50
11/04/2017....................11 - 10..........+0.00...................5 - 2.................+14.00
11/03/2017......................2 - 1............+4.50..................0 - 2..................-11.00
11/02/2017......................2 - 0............+10.00................1 - 3..................-11.50
11/01/2017......................1 - 0............+5.00..................1 - 0 .................+5.00


Totals.........................24 - 25 - 1..........-17.50..................15 - 13..............+4.00

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BUFF at BALL 07:00 PM

BUFF -19.0*****

U 55.0*****

TLSA at USF 07:30 PM

TLSA +23.0*****

O 65.0*****

[StarDust Bum]

Jackson-Johnson combo propels Buffalo past Ball State 40-24
November 16, 2017

MUNCIE, Ind. (AP) Tyree Jackson connected with Anthony Johnson for four touchdowns, including three in the first half, and Buffalo breezed to a 40-24 victory over Ball State on Thursday night.

A 33-yard field goal by Adam Mitcheson and Jackson's first hook-up with Johnson - a 21-yarder - gave the Bulls (5-6, 3-4 Mid-American Conference) a 10-0 first-quarter lead. Jackson found Johnson for a 14-yard score to stretch the lead to 17-0 at 11:27 in the second quarter.

Morgan Hagee got the Cardinals (2-9, 0-7) on the scoreboard with a 21-yard field goal, but Jackson found Johnson for the third time - from 11 yards out - to make it 23-3. Jack Milas hit Nolan Givan for an 11-yard score with 49 seconds left to pull the Cardinals within 23-10 at halftime.

The Bulls sandwiched a K.J. Osborn 16-yard TD run and Jackson's last scoring toss to Johnson - a 56-yarder - around a 50-yard TD run by Ball State's Malik Dunner to lead 37-17 after three quarters.

Jackson finished with 350 yards passing and became the first Bull to throw for 300-plus yards in three straight games. Johnson totaled 153 yards on seven catches.

Buffalo won at Ball State for the first time in five tries. The Cardinals lead the series 9-2.

Milas passed for 127 yards and two scores for Ball State, while Caleb Huntley totaled 141 yards on 26 carries.

**********************

Flowers throws 2 TD passes, No. 23 USF holds off Tulsa 27-20
November 16, 2017

TAMPA, Fla. (AP) No. 23 South Florida can finally look ahead to a much-anticipated showdown with No. 14 UCF.

Quinton Flowers threw two touchdown passes and the Bulls remained in contention for a berth in the American Athletic Conference championship game by holding off Tulsa 27-20 on Thursday night.

Flowers, one of the nation's top dual-threat quarterbacks, ran for 119 yards while also throwing for 142 to send USF (9-1, 6-1) into next week's regular-season finale against unbeaten with the league's East Division title on the line.

''We've got one more,'' coach Charlie Strong said. ''Our guys understand what's stake.''

Coming off a bye, Strong cautioned his players about not looking past Tulsa (2-9, 1-6), which has lost four straight since beating Houston, the only team that's beaten USF.

''Everybody thinks because of their record that they're not very good,'' Strong said. ''They beat Houston and Houston beat us. ... You have to give them some credit.''

Flowers and USF's high-powered offense weren't as sharp as usual, however first-quarter TD throws of 25 yards to Tyre McCants and 35 yards to Darnell Salomon helped USF to an early 21-7 lead.

Luke Skipper scored on runs on first-half runs of 12 and 9 yards for Tulsa (2-9, 1-6), which blocked a punt to set up a 38-yard field goal that trimmed a 10-point deficit to 27-20 with 4:18 remaining.

The Golden Hurricane got the ball one more time, with backup quarterback Chad President - filling in for Skipper, who left in the second half with a possible concussion - leading a drive from his own 25 to the USF 30 before turning the ball over on downs.

''I think we're a better team than our record shows. This is our fifth game like this. We've lost three on the last play of the game,'' Tulsa coach Philip Montgomery said. ''We had an opportunity in this one and an opportunity in another one. I don't think our record is a great indication of the type of team we are.''

D'Angelo Brewer ran for 163 yards for Tulsa, becoming the Golden Hurricane's career rushing leader with 3,662 yards. The senior also broke the AAC career mark of 3,609 set by former USF running back Marlon Mack.

''D'Angelo has been the workhorse for us all year long,'' Montgomery said. ''Nobody knows, but he got injured last week and hadn't practiced a day and was able to come out and put on this performance tonight.''

THE TAKEAWAY

Tulsa: Despite having just two victories, the Golden Hurricane feel there's still plenty to accomplish over the last two weeks of the season. Coach Philip Montgomery said the goal is to show continued progress. Playing USF tougher than expected is a step in the right direction.

South Florida: Since losing to Houston, the Bulls have delivered one of their best offensive performances of the season - finishing with 602 yards against UConn - and one of the sloppiest Thursday night. Flowers lost a second-quarter fumble and an end-zone interception stopping another promising drive.

THE SKID

Since beating Houston 45-17 on Oct. 14, Houston has lost to Connecticut, SMU, Memphis and USF. Three of the four loses were by a touchdown or less.

''That team has lost some games,'' Strong said, reiterating that no one should be surprised that Tulsa played his team tough. ''But they've been in them, too.''

WHAT A CLASS

USF honored 23 seniors before the game, including Flowers, one of seven players in NCAA FBS history with 7,000 career yards passing, along with ,3,000 rushing The class has 32 wins, two shy of the school record set from 2006-09 with a possible three games remaining if the Bulls wind up in the conference championship game.

POLL IMPLICATIONS

USF ensured it will enter next week's showdown against UCF ranked in the Top 25. Beating last-place Tulsa may not send the Bulls soaring in the rankings, but that wasn't the objective Thursday night anyway. The Bulls are still on course to possibly play for the conference championship, and that's what Strong and his players yearn most.

UP NEXT

Tulsa: Close the season at home against Temple on Nov. 25.

South Florida: Regular-season finale at unbeaten UCF next Friday.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday, November 17, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
8:00 PM Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
9:30 PM UNLV Rebels New Mexico Lobos

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CFB November's Best Bets & Opinions ( All Best Bets Based On 5 Units Per Play )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/16/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/15/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/14/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -1150
11/11/2017 28-26-4 51.85% -300
11/09/2017 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
11/08/2017 1-5-0 16.67% -22.50
11/07/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/04/2017 26-28-2 48.15% -24.00
11/03/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/02/2017 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
11/01/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00

Totals.............71 - 83.........46.10%.....-101.50

Best Bets:*****
Best Bets :........................ATS............TOTALS.... .............O/U................TOTALS

11/16/2017......................1 - 1...........-0.50....................0 - 2.................-11.00
11/15/2017......................1 - 0...........+5.00...................1 - 1.................-0.50
11/14/2017......................0 - 2...........-11.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50
11/11/2017....................6 - 7 - 1.........-8.50...................4 - 0..................+20.00
11/09/2017......................1 - 2............-6.00...................1 - 0..................+5.00
11/08/2017......................0 - 1............-5.50...................0 - 3..................-16.50
11/07/2017......................0 - 2............-11.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50
11/04/2017....................11 - 10..........+0.00...................5 - 2.................+14.00
11/03/2017......................2 - 1............+4.50..................0 - 2..................-11.00
11/02/2017......................2 - 0............+10.00................1 - 3..................-11.50
11/01/2017......................1 - 0............+5.00..................1 - 0 .................+5.00

Totals.........................25 - 26 - 1..........-18.00..................15 - 15..............-7.00

[StarDust Bum]

Friday, November 17

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MIDDLE TENN ST (5 - 5) at W KENTUCKY (5 - 5) - 11/17/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNLV (4 - 6) at NEW MEXICO (3 - 7) - 11/17/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, November 17

MIDDLE TENNESSEE @ WESTERN KENTUCKY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Western Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Middle Tennessee's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games when playing Middle Tennessee
Western Kentucky is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home

NEVADA-LAS VEGAS @ NEW MEXICO
Nevada-Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Mexico
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Mexico's last 11 games

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Friday’s games

Middle Tennessee won its last two games, scoring 30-35 points; Blue Raiders are 1-5 when they score less than 30 points- they’re 0-2 as a road favorite this year. Western Kentucky lost its last three games, allowing 34.3 ppg; they’re 0-1 as a home underdog. WKU beat Middle Tennessee last two years, 44-43/58-28; underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games. MTSU won three of last four visits here, winning by 5-1-11 points. C-USA home underdogs are 11-6 vs spread this season. Under is 8-2 in MTSU games, over is 3-1-1 in last five Hilltopper games.

UNLV won five of last seven games with New Mexico; they were favored in last six meetings. Lobos ran ball for 1,105 yards in last three meetings. Rebels won two of last three visits to Albuquerque. UNLV is erratic as hell, losing as a 42-point favorite, then blowing a 30-7 lead in loss at Air Force- they’re 2-2 SU on road, covering all four games. New Mexico lost its last five games, four by 14+ points; they’re 0-3 as a favorite. Mountain West home favorites are 7-14 vs spread this season. Under is 5-2 in last seven UNLV games, 7-2 in New Mexico games.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

Friday, November 17

Middle Tennessee St @ Western Kentucky

Game 317-318
November 17, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
71.072
Western Kentucky
78.037
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 7
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 3
59
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(+3); Under

UNLV @ New Mexico

Game 319-320
November 17, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UNLV
73.249
New Mexico
73.098
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UNLV
Even
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Mexico
by 2 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
UNLV
(+2 1/2); Under





NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Middle Tennessee won its last two games, scoring 30-35 points; Blue Raiders are 1-5 when they score less than 30 points- they’re 0-2 as a road favorite this year. Western Kentucky lost its last three games, allowing 34.3 ppg; they’re 0-1 as a home underdog. WKU beat Middle Tennessee last two years, 44-43/58-28; underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games. MTSU won three of last four visits here, winning by 5-1-11 points. C-USA home underdogs are 11-6 vs spread this season. Under is 8-2 in MTSU games, over is 3-1-1 in last five Hilltopper games.

UNLV won five of last seven games with New Mexico; they were favored in last six meetings. Lobos ran ball for 1,105 yards in last three meetings. Rebels won two of last three visits to Albuquerque. UNLV is erratic as hell, losing as a 42-point favorite, then blowing a 30-7 lead in loss at Air Force- they’re 2-2 SU on road, covering all four games. New Mexico lost its last five games, four by 14+ points; they’re 0-3 as a favorite. Mountain West home favorites are 7-14 vs spread this season. Under is 5-2 in last seven UNLV games, 7-2 in New Mexico games.

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MTU at WKU 08:00 PM
WKU +2.0*****
O 57.0*****

UNLV at UNM 09:30 PM
UNLV +2.5*****
U 56.0*****