The Bum's 2017 College Football Picks-Trends-News Etc. !

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Buckeyes scheming to stop RB Barkley
October 25, 2017

COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) Urban Meyer is as prone to hyperbole as any football coach, but everything he says about Penn State tailback Saquon Barkley just might be true.

The Ohio State coach made a bold statement or two this week about the Heisman Trophy front-runner, who is the first Penn State player ever to gain 3,000 career rushing yards and 1,000 career receiving yards. The big junior likely will become the school's all-time leading rusher by the end of the season. Strong and quick, he makes defenses jittery trying to account for him on every play. Just ask Michigan.

''I'd be careful to say this, but he's as good an all-purpose running back as we've seen,'' Meyer said. ''And that's 30 years (in coaching). No disrespect (intended) for the great running backs. You have different ways of bottling up great running backs. It's hard, especially this guy, really hard.''

The Buckeyes haven't had much success so far containing Barkley. In two games against Ohio State, he has run for 293 yards on 38 carries.

Part of the problem, Meyer said, is that Penn State uses Barkley in imaginative ways to create ''matchup nightmares'' for the defense.

For example, on the Nittany Lions' second play from scrimmage last week, Barkley took a direct snap , faked a handoff to quarterback Trace McSorley, cut left while linebackers followed McSorley and romped untouched through Michigan defenders for a 69-yard touchdown. He ran for another score and also caught a TD pass in the 42-13 Penn State win .

Now it's Ohio State's turn to figure out how to stop Barkley. No. 2 Penn State visits the No. 6 Buckeyes on Saturday amid the hoopla that ESPN's College GameDay always brings to town. There is a revenge story line, too. Last year, No. 2 Ohio State went to Happy Valley and was knocked off its perch by then-unranked Penn State 24-21 .

The Buckeyes were stunned. This year, there is no lack of respect. Ohio State is coming off a bye week, so Meyer and Co. got to watch Barkley pad his Heisman resume on TV Saturday night.

Buckeyes defenders say the predictable things about stopping Barkley - know where he is all the time, maintain gap discipline, hit him hard when possible.

''Always be aware of where he's at, know where he is every play, every down,'' Buckeyes linebacker Jerome Baker said. ''That's just pure respect.''

It's not that complicated if you listen to defensive end Tyquan Lewis.

''Just be disciplined and hit him,'' he said.

''He can do it all,'' Baker said. ''He can block, he can run, he can jump over you, he can jump through you. Me personally, I just love to watch him play. I'm definitely excited to play against him.''

Excited may not be the first word that comes to defensive coordinator Greg Schiano's mind. He calls Barkley ''a once-in-10-year guy.''

''When he changes direction, he goes from zero to 60,'' Schiano said. ''He's something.''

This will be Barkley's second trip to Columbus. The first one did not go well for Penn State - 38-10 Buckeyes. But against an Ohio State team with Ezekiel Elliott, Joey Bosa and plethora of future NFL draft picks, Barkley as a freshman might have been the best player on the field. He ran for 194 yards when nothing else was working for the Nittany Lions.

Barkley said he was ''kind of in awe'' of those Buckeyes. This year's version is impressive, too.

''They're very athletic. They move well. They're fast,'' Barkley said Wednesday night after practice in State College, Pennsylvania. ''Defensive line's very aggressive. Nick Bosa, it's like you're playing his older brother all over again.''

Led by a talented and deep defensive line, the Buckeyes are holding opponents to an average of just under 3 yards per carry. Defensive end Sam Hubbard said line coach Larry Johnson - a former Penn State assistant whose son Larry Jr. is a former All-American running back at the school - takes personal pride in stopping elite ball carriers.

''That's something he's been preaching, and we have a big challenge,'' Hubbard said. ''(Barkley) is a special player, makes his offensive line look great just finding any holes, making opportunities where there are none.''

Keying on Barkley is difficult because Penn State also has a smart, dual-threat quarterback in McSorley (1,879 passing yards, 14 TDs), who ran for three scores himself last week against Michigan. Then there's Mike Gesicki, the 6-foot-6 tight end and former prep volleyball standout who's adept at out-jumping defensive backs to catch balls McSorley tosses up for grabs.

''The biggest challenge,'' Baker said, ''is so many weapons.''

[StarDust Bum]

QBs leading running games in ACC
October 25, 2017

PITTSBURGH (AP) Darrin Hall broke through the line of scrimmage and saw nothing but green grass in front of him. Finally.

About 10 seconds and 92 yards later, the Pittsburgh junior running back reached the end zone to finish off the longest touchdown run in the history of a program that dates back 127 years.

It was part of a rare breakout game by a back in the Atlantic Coast Conference this season.

''It's frustrating when we're out there, we get our shot and we don't make plays,'' said Hall, who finished with a career-high 254 yards rushing and three scores in a victory over Duke last Saturday.

Hey, it's the same frustration being felt around in the ACC, where defenses, depth concerns and the departure of NFL-ready talent have left a bit of a vacuum at running back.

As Halloween nears, two of the top three rushers in the league are quarterbacks. Taquon Marshall is averaging 117 yards a game while piloting Georgia Tech's run-heavy triple option, a bit ahead of teammate KirVonte Benson. Reigning Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson is third at 108.5 yards a contest.

If Marshall or Jackson end up leading the league by season's end, it'll mark the first time in ACC history a non-running back has led the conference in yards on the ground. No other Power Five conference has two quarterbacks in the top three in rushing, though Pitt coach Pat Narduzzi believes trying to classify Jackson as anything other than a football player is a semantic argument at best.

''Lamar's a running back,'' Narduzzi said. ''He's a back. That guy can run.''

Jackson isn't the only one. Marshall is averaging a healthy 4.9 yards per carry. At Syracuse, high-flying Eric Dungey - who's made a habit of playing leapfrog when he escapes the pocket - leads the surprising Orange in rushing and has already tied the school record for career rushing touchdowns by a quarterback.

Of course, Jackson, Dungey and Marshall have one decided advantage over every other player on the offense: they get to touch the ball every play. Combine that with their athleticism and well, why not let them just run loose. Four Power Five conference quarterbacks have at least 100 carries this season. All four of them play in the ACC.

''Like I say, (Jackson is) deer-like, you know what I mean?'' said Florida State coach Jimbo Fisher, who got an up close look as Jackson ran for 178 yards in a win over the Seminoles last weekend. ''That fast twitch that can just jump sideways. Like I tell him, I ain't never seen a deer be slow, ain't never seen a deer need to stretch.''

Besides, Jackson, Dungey and Marshall never leave the field. That's not the case for running backs who are at the mercy of everything from game situation to the mood of their coaches on a given day.

''I love to keep the guys fresh and the thing that's good for me is that all those guys can go in and function at a high level,'' Clemson co-offensive coordinator Tony Elliott said. ''Whereas in the past you might have had one guy you knew you could trust in all situations and then you had situational guys.''

Not so much anymore. Considering the pace most teams try to play at, the idea of giving the ball to one guy 30+plus times can be tough if you're snapping it every 10-15 seconds. The Tigers have five players with at least 28 carries this season. Wake Forest has five with at least 37. Pitt has eight with 15 or more.

''I think each team, each situation is going to be different depending on the player, depending on the health, depending on the system,'' Elliott said. ''There's a lot of factors involved. I've always said I want to have at least three guys that can go and it's a luxury to have four.''

Only Boston College's A.J. Dillon (152 carries) and Virginia's Jordan Ellis (142) qualify as guys carrying the load.

If Narduzzi had his preference, one of the four backs he's tried to feature this season would be on the list. Yet Hall, Qadree Ollison, Chawntez Moss and A.J. Davis have found success only in small pockets.

Ollison was the ACC offensive Rookie of the Year in 2015 when he ran for over 1,100 yards after Conner went down with a knee injury and appeared to be Conner's heir apparent this summer after Conner left for the Pittsburgh Steelers. Instead, Ollison struggled to find any sort of consistency and spent last weekend serving as a lead blocker for Hall.

The Panthers were 21st in the country in rushing in 2016. They find themselves 88th this season. Then again, the sledding is tougher all over. Four ACC schools averaged more than 35 points a game in 2016. No team is averaging more than N.C. State's 33.5 this season.

Pitt set a school record by averaging 40.9 points in 2016. The Panthers are averaging barely half that (20.5) now. Blame it on the departure of Conner and quarterback Nate Peterman to the NFL and a shift to new offensive coordinator Shawn Watson.

Narduzzi is open to pretty much anything to get Pitt going. Just don't expect Hall to find himself lined up at quarterback. First, he said, ''I'm a lefty and I can't throw.'' Second, he believes running backs will be back in vogue soon enough.

''The read-option, the triple option, it's big in the ACC and we run a little bit ourselves,'' Hall said. ''I feel like it's just being able to execute. You execute what you're good at. We stick with it, we'll be fine.''

[StarDust Bum]

SEC Report - Week 9
October 25, 2017

Let’s start our stroll around the SEC in Oxford, where Ole Miss (3-4 straight up, 2-5 against the spread) will take on Arkansas at noon Eastern on the SEC Network. As of early Wednesday afternoon, most offshore books had the Rebels favored by 3.5 points with a total of 64. Many Vegas betting shops were holding off on posting a number until there was more clarity on the status of Arkansas senior quarterback Austin Allen.

Well, that clarity came Wednesday morning when Allen was ruled ‘out.’ Therefore, the Vegas shops will be posting a number in a matter of minutes (when this story was filed early Wednesday). Allen will miss a third straight game with a shoulder injury. The veteran signal caller had completed 56.4 percent of his passes for 850 yards with an 8/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

In his absence, the Razorbacks have dropped a 41-9 decision at Alabama and lost 52-20 at home vs. Auburn. Making matters worse, senior center Frank Ragnow was lost to an ankle injury that will require season-ending surgery. Ragnow was a fourth-team All-American in 2016 and a top candidate to win the Rimington Trophy this season. Also, true freshman RB Chase Hayden sustained a lower-leg fracture to end his year.

Hayden had rushed for 326 yards and four TDs while averaging 5.3 yards per carry. He had 42 rushing yards on only two attempts and one catch for 23 yards vs. Auburn before getting injured.

Redshirt freshman QB Cole Kelley, who is a 6’7” 260-pounder, has been given the last two starts and played a good chunk of the second half at South Carolina three weeks ago. Kelley has connected on 57.0 percent of his passes for 549 yards with a 4/2 TD-INT ratio.

Bret Bielema is now 27-31 during his five-year tenure in Fayetteville, placing his job security in serious jeopardy.

Ole Miss’s season was cursed before it started and things got worse in Saturday’s 40-24 loss to LSU as a seven-point home underdog. Star sophomore QB Shea Patterson was lost for the season due to a torn PCL. Patterson had completed 63.8 percent of his throws for 2,259 yards with a 17/9 TD-INT ratio.

In the two games prior to hosting LSU, Patterson had thrown for 697 yards and six TDs without an interception. However, he struggled mightily against the Tigers, getting intercepted three times before being injured. Patterson was replaced by juco transfer Jordan Ta’amu, who hit 7-of-11 passes for 78 yards against LSU. Ta’amu will get his first career start vs. Arkansas.

Florida and Georgia are poised to collide at 3:30 p.m. Eastern on CBS. As of early Wednesday, most books had UGA installed as a 13.5-point favorite with a total of 43.5. The Gators, who have won three in a row over UGA and have dominated the rivalry by winning 21 of the last 27 meetings dating back to Steve Spurrier’s arrival in Gainesville in 1990, haven’t lost to the Bulldogs by more than 12 points since 1997 when Robert Edwards rushed for four TDs in a 37-17 Georgia victory.

The key to this handicap is the health of five Florida starters, who were all listed as ‘questionable’ as of Tuesday and who each missed a 19-17 home loss to Texas A&M two weeks ago. In that defeat to the Aggies, UF lost the heart and soul of its defense in senior DE Jordan Sherit, who had to undergo season-ending hip surgery earlier this week.

Sherit had recorded 23 tackles, 2.5 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, nine QB hurries and one pass broken up. Of the five starters hoping to return this week, three were upgraded to ‘probable’ Wednesday morning, which is probably whey you saw the number dip from 14 to 13.5. Two of those starters upgraded are the offense’s two best playmakers outside of RBs Malik Davis and Lamical Perine, WRs Tyrie Cleveland and Kadarius Toney, who also has the ability to play QB, especially considering UF’s struggles at the position.

Third-year sophomore DE Jabari Zuniga is the third starter who is now expected to play vs. UGA. He sprained his ankle at practice the week of the A&M game and didn’t dress against the Aggies. Zuniga had produced 18 tackles, 2.5 sacks, three TFL’s and five QB hurries in UF’s first five games.

Another starter who is ‘questionable’ is OG Bret Heggie, a redshirt freshman who garnered SEC Offensive Lineman of the Week honors in a 38-24 win over Vandy on Sept. 30. Heggie sustained a concussion in the first half of a 17-16 home loss to LSU on Oct. 7, and he sat out the Texas A&M game. Finally, the fifth starter hoping to dress vs. UGA is senior safety Nick Washington, who left the LSU game with a shoulder injury and DNP vs. A&M. He remains third on the team in tackles with 29.

As if Florida (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) didn’t have enough issues to deal with in this tumultuous campaign that started with the suspensions of nine players for their involvement in a credit-card fraud scandal, third-year head coach Jim McElwain made some controversial comments at Monday’s presser without being provoked.

McElwain said, “There’s a lot of hate in this world and a lot of anger and yet it’s freedom to show it. The hard part is obviously when the threats against your own players, death threats to your families, the ill will that’s brought upon out there, and yet I think it’s really one of those deals that really is a pretty good testament to what’s going on out there nationally. A lot of angry people. In this business we’re the ones they take shots at and that’s the way it is.”

A media member countered with, “Death threats?” And McElwain responded, “Mmmhmmm.” (AKA: Yes.) Then he was asked if he could and expand and said, “No.”

Next, he was asked if “he was shocked with the level of vitriol?” McElwain then said, “No, here’s the one thing. You’re in the business, that’s all part of it. You get it. When it’s directed toward your players, when it’s directed to families, wives, that kind of thing…and yet at the same time they know what they signed up for as well. That’s part of the business.”

These remarks obviously went viral quickly, prompting UF’s administration to meet with McElwain. Hours later, the University of Florida Athletic Association released the following statement, “The UAA takes the safety of our student-athletes, coaches, staff and families very seriously. Our administration met with Coach McElwain this afternoon and he offered no additional details.”

Wow. Just wow! Those five final words are all you need to know: “He offered no additional details.”

Remember, former AD Jeremy Foley hired McElwain and judging by the results, Foley has proven to be one of the worst modern-day ADs in terms of hiring football coaches (we obviously credit Foley for one of the top hires in college basketball history (Billy Donovan) and it appears he also nailed the recent hoops hire of Mike White). With McElwain’s failures to date, Foley is looking at a 1-for-4 batting average (.250) on pigskin hires. Urban Meyer worked out extremely well, albeit for a brief period of time, while the hires of Ron Zook, Will Muschamp and McElwain have been complete busts.

New Florida AD Scott Stricklin was formerly at Mississippi State, where he pulled a quick trigger in firing basketball coach Rick Ray after his third season. Then in a shocking hire, Stricklin somehow lured Ben Howland, a coach who spent a decade at UCLA and took the Bruins to three consecutive Final Four appearances, to Starkville.

Some media members wrote on Tuesday that UF could perhaps fire McElwain “with cause” and wiggle out of a $12 million buyout for fabricating a story about death threats. Whatever the case, McElwain lost the rabid fan base long ago, and this development makes it all the more likely that a messy divorce could be forthcoming.

Then again, if Florida wins out from here and UGA loses at Auburn, the Gators would go to a third straight SEC Championship Game. To be clear, I don’t see that happening (at all!) but in this Dark Ages Era of the SEC East and with UGA’s abysmal history in this rivalry for nearly three decades, who the hell knows?

Anyway, back to the game in Jacksonville, where Georgia (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) has so often seen promising seasons flushed down the toilet. This version of the Bulldogs, the second under Kirby Smart, the former UGA player who spent nearly a decade helping Nick Saban collect championships of the SEC and national variety, doesn’t look the part of one that will lose to an inferior UF team with issues galore.

UGA has won six of its seven games by 21 points or more. The only game that was decided in the fourth quarter was a 20-19 win at Notre Dame. Smart’s team even lost starting QB Jacob Eason in the first quarter of the opener, but true freshman Jake Fromm has played so well that a now-healthy Eason has been relegated to back-up status.

Fromm has completed 62.0 percent of his passes for 1,162 yards with a 12/3 TD-INT ratio. His favorite target is junior WR Terry Godwin, who has 16 receptions for 369 yards and five TDs, including a sick one-handed grab in the corner of the end zone that was crucial in the win over the Fighting Irish.

But this UGA offense is all about a ground game that features three elite RBs, including senior Nick Chubb, senior Sony Michel and true freshman D’Andre Swift (358 rushing yards, one TD and an 8.5 yards-per-carry average). Chubb has a team-best 688 rushing yards, eight TDs and a 6.4 YPC average, while Michel has 492 rushing yards, six TDs and a 7.2 YPC average.

In UGA’s last outing, it won a 53-28 decision over Missouri but failed to cover the number as an enormous 28.5-point home ‘chalk.’ Prior to that game, the Bulldogs had not given up more than the 19 points scored by Notre Dame from any opponent. UGA is ranked third in the nation in total defense, 11th versus the pass, fourth at defending the run and fourth in scoring defense (12.6 PPG).

UGA is 2-2 ATS as a double-digit ‘chalk’ this year. Meanwhile, Florida is 2-1 ATS with one outright win (at LSU last season) as a double-digit underdog during McElwain’s tenure.

The ‘under’ is 5-2 overall for UGA, which has seen its games average combined scores of 50.1 PPG. Totals have been an overall wash (3-3) for the Gators, but they have seen back-to-back ‘under’ appearances. UF’s games have had average combined scores of 47.0 PPG. The ‘under’ has cashed at a 5-1 clip in the last six meetings of this bitter rivalry.

Florida has won the last three games by scores of 24-10, 27-3 and 38-20. The Gators were at least +400 on the money line at most spots early Wednesday, +450 at William Hill (risk $100 to win $450).

Like UF and UGA, South Carolina and Vanderbilt enjoyed an open date heading into their encounter at Williams-Brice Stadium on Saturday afternoon at 4:00 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network. As of early Wednesday, most books had South Carolina (5-2 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) favored by seven points with a total of 44.5. The Commodores were +230 on the money line.

South Carolina has lost three of its best players – WR and special-teams ace Deebo Samuel, senior LB Bryson Allen-Williams and last year’s leading rusher, sophomore RB Rico Dowdle – to season-ending injuries. The team’s No. 2 TE, K.C. Crosby, is also done for the year with an injury. On the bright side, the Gamecocks are going to get three starting offensive linemen back vs. Vandy. Two of those players have missed back-to-back games, while a third has been out for three straight outings.

South Carolina handed N.C. State its only loss of the season to date by a 35-28 count in the opener. Then the Gamecocks went to Missouri, fell behind 10-0 at the end of the first quarter, but answered with a 31-3 run to win a 31-13 decision as three-point underdogs. In its home opener, however, USC dropped a 23-13 decision to Kentucky as a six-point favorite.

Will Muschamp’s team rallied from a 16-0 fourth-quarter deficit to nip La. Tech, 17-16, on a last-second field goal in Week 4. USC went to College Station the following week and allowed a 10-point third-quarter advantage to get away in a 24-17 loss at Texas A&M. Next, the Gamecocks blasted Arkansas by a 48-22 count thanks to three defensive TDs. And before the bye week, they rallied past Tennessee to a 15-9 win as 2.5-point road underdogs.

South Carolina is 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS when listed as a favorite this year. The Gamecocks are 2-1 SU but 1-2 ATS at home.

Since starting the season with three straight wins, Vanderbilt (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) has dropped four in a row both SU and ATS. The Commodores have lost all those games by 14 points or more. They own a 9-9 spread record in 18 games as road underdogs during Derek Mason’s four-year tenure.

Vandy lost 57-35 at Ole Miss its last time out, failing to cover as a three-point ‘dog. Mason’s team is 0-4 in SEC play, 1-2 both SU and ATS in three road assignments. The Commodores picked up their lone road win both SU and ATS in their opener, a 28-6 win at Middle Tennessee (when Brent Stockstill and Richie James were 100-percent healthy).

The bright side out of the trip to Oxford was the performance of Ralph Webb, the senior RB who was already the school’s all-time leading rusher coming into the season. Webb rushed for more than 54 yards in a game for the first time all year, producing 163 yards and two TDs on 23 carries. For the season, Webb has run for 408 yards and five TDs with a mediocre 3.7 YPC average.

Vandy junior QB Kyle Shurmur has mostly played well this season, completing 54.9 percent of his throws for 1,331 yards with a stellar 14/2 TD-INT ratio. He has also run for a pair of scores.

South Carolina sophomore QB Jake Bentley has a 12/4 TD-INT ratio, throwing five TD passes without an interception in the last three games. He has a pair of elite targets despite the absence of Samuel, who went down in Week 3 when he was playing like an All-American with six TDs scored already. Bentley still has sophomore WR Bryant Edwards and junior TE Hayden Hurst. Edwards has 33 receptions for 420 yards and one TD, while Hurst has 19 catches for 297 yards and two TDs.

The ‘under’ is on a 5-1 run for the Gamecocks, who have watched the ‘under’ go 2-1 in their three home contests. Their games have averaged combined scores of 44.4 PPG. Meanwhile, Vandy has seen the ‘over’ go 4-3 overall, 2-1 in its three road assignments.

Texas A&M (5-2 SU, 5-1-1 ATS) has had two weeks to prepare for Saturday’s showdown vs. Mississippi State at 7:15 p.m. Eastern on ESPN. As of Wednesday, most books had Mississippi State (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS) listed as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 56.

Kevin Sumlin’s team blew a 44-10 lead late in the third quarter of its opener at UCLA, eventually losing 45-44 in an unfathomable fourth-quarter collapse. Nevertheless, the Aggies covered the number as six-point underdogs. Since then, they’ve won five of six games with the lone defeat coming against unbeaten and top-ranked Alabama. A&M lost a 27-19 decision to the Crimson Tide, playing ‘Bama to its only one-possession game of the year to date.

Texas A&M is just 2-4 ATS in six games as a home underdog during Sumlin’s six-year tenure. This is a huge game for Sumlin, who has seen his hot seat cool considerably. However, that could quickly change with back-to-back home defeats to MSU and Auburn, which comes to Kyle Field (off an open date) next week.

Mississippi State is 1-2 both SU and ATS in three road assignments this year, but it was smashed at UGA (31-3) and at Auburn (49-10). The Bulldogs are seeking their third straight win after responding to those road L’s with home wins vs. BYU (35-10) and Kentucky (45-7). They took the cash in both outings as 23 and 14-point favorites, respectively.

Junior QB Nick Fitzgerald is MSU’s star. He has completed 56.9 percent of his passes for 1,179 yards with an 11/7 TD-INT ratio. Fitzgerald does his best work with his legs, though, rushing for 561 yards and nine TDs while averaging 6.9 YPC. RB Aeris Williams has rushed for a team-high 594 yards and two TDs with a 5.1 YPC average.

Mississippi State has posted a 9-9-1 spread record in 19 games as a road underdog during Dan Mullen’s tenure. The Bulldogs have seen the ‘under’ go 5-2 overall, but the ‘over’ is 2-1 in their road contests. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 51.6 PPG.

The ‘under’ is 4-3 overall for the Aggies, 3-1 in their four home outings. Their games have averaged combined scores of 58.4 PPG. They’ve seen the ‘under’ cash in three consecutive contests.

Tennessee and Kentucky will collide in Lexington at Kroger Field on Saturday night at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network. As of Tuesday morning, most books had UK favored by 5.5 points. However, by early Wednesday afternoon, most spots had UK installed as a 3.5 or four-point favorite with a total of 46 or 46.5.

This is the first time the Wildcats have been favored over the Volunteers since 2007 when they lost 52-50 as 2.5-point home favorites. Tennessee has won 31 of the last 32 head-to-head meetings with Kentucky, yet UT is available to win outright for a +150 payout (risk $100 to win $150).

Kentucky (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS) has won three of four home games but has limped to a 1-3 spread record. Mark Stoops’s squad saw its 5-1 record evaporate last week in Starkville, where Mississippi State dealt it woodshed treatment in a 45-7 clubbing as a 14-point home favorite. The 52 combined points slithered ‘under’ the 54.5-point total.

UK senior QB Stephen Johnson struggled mightily, completing only 13-of-28 passes for 117 yards with two interceptions. He did run for 54 yards on just six attempts, but Benny Snell was held to 18 rushing yards on seven carries.

For the season, Johnson has completed 61.2 percent of his throws for 1,355 yards with a 9/4 TD-INT ratio. Snell has rushed for 541 yards and six TDs, averaging 4.1 YPC. Johnson has 198 rushing yards for a pair of scores. Garrett Johnson is the team’s leading receiver, hauling in 32 balls for 369 yards and two TDs.

Kentucky is 0-3 ATS as a home favorite this season, 4-8 ATS in its last 12 such spots and 9-9 overall as a home ‘chalk’ under Stoops. Meanwhile, Tennessee (3-4 SU, 1-6 ATS) is 1-1 ATS as a road underdog this year, 5-6-1 in 12 road ‘dog situations since Butch Jones took over in 2013.

The Volunteers are in the SEC East basement with Vandy and Missouri with their identical 0-4 ledgers in league play. They have lost three in a row and haven’t scored an offensive TD since the second quarter of a 17-13 non-covering win over UMass on Sept. 23. Since then, UT has scored 16 points in 14 quarters of action, but seven of those came on a pick-six in last week’s 45-7 loss at Alabama. In their richest underdog situation in the 100-plus year history of the program, the Vols failed to cover as 36.5-point road underdogs in Tuscaloosa.

The ‘under’ is 5-2 overall for the ‘Cats, 3-1 in their four home outings. They’ve watched their games average combined scores of 49.3 PPG. The ‘under’ is 5-2 overall for UT, 1-1 in its road contests. The Vols have seen their games average combined scores of 46.4 PPG.

Missouri has a non-conference game at UConn. These teams met two seasons ago in Columbia, with the Tigers getting extremely fortunate to win a 9-6 decision. However, the Huskies easily covered as 21.5-point road underdogs. As of Wednesday, Missouri was installed as a 13-point road ‘chalk’ with a total of 76.5. The Huskies were +400 on the money line (risk $100 to win $400).

Missouri RB Damarea Crockett is out indefinitely with a shoulder injury. The sophomore had run for a team-best 481 yards and two TDs through six games. Crockett was averaging 6.0 YPC one year after rushing for 1,062 yards and 10 TDs with a 6.9 YPC average. He also has four catches for 35 yards and one TD this year.

Barry Odom’s club has covered the spread in three straight games thanks to the play of junior QB Drew Lock, who has a 13/2 TD-INT ratio in those three outings. He threw for 467 yards and six TDs in last week’s 68-21 win over Idaho as a 14.5-point home ‘chalk.’

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Missouri is a road favorite this week for the first time in its two years under Odom.

-- Alabama is the -120 'chalk' to win the College Football Playoff at Sportsbook.ag. Georgia shares the fourth-shortest odds with Clemson (10/1), both of whom are behind Ohio State (+450) and Penn State (7/1). Auburn's odds are 80/1, while LSU (300/1) and Mississippi State (1,000/1) are also still on the futures board.

-- There are two SEC players remaining on the board to win the Heisman Trophy: Alabama QB Jalen Hurts has the fifth-shortest odds (30/1), while UGA's Chubb is a 75/1 longshot.

-- Updated SEC Games of the Year lines from The Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas:

Alabama -24 vs LSU
Auburn -13.5 at Texas A&M
Auburn -3 vs. Georgia
LSU -13.5 at Tennessee
Mississippi State -17.5 vs. Ole Miss
Georgia -9.5 at Ga. Tech
Louisville -6.5 at Kentucky
Clemson -17.5 at South Carolina
Alabama -10.5 at Auburn
LSU -10 vs. Texas A&M

[StarDust Bum]

ACC Report - Week 9
October 26, 2017

2017 ACC STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Boston College 4-4 2-3 5-3 3-5
Clemson 6-1 4-1 4-3 2-5
Duke 4-4 1-4 4-3-1 2-6
Florida State 2-4 2-3 0-4-2 1-5
Georgia Tech 4-2 3-1 6-0 2-4
Louisville 5-3 2-3 2-6 5-3
Miami (Fla.) 6-0 4-0 3-3 1-5
North Carolina 1-7 0-5 1-7 4-4
North Carolina State 6-1 4-0 3-4 3-4
Pittsburgh 3-5 1-3 2-4-2 1-6-1
Syracuse 4-4- 2-2 5-2-1 1-7
Virginia 5-2 2-1 4-3 3-4
Virginia Tech 6-1 2-1 4-3 2-4-1
Wake Forest 4-3 1-3 4-2-1 3-4

Florida State at Boston College (Fri. - ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)
The Seminoles head to Chestnut Hill to battle the Eagles, B.C. is trending. The Eagles opened as eight-point favorites, but the public has bet it down to four. The Seminoles are 0-3-2 ATS over the past five ACC games, and 0-4-2 ATS in the past six overall. On the flip side, the Eagles are 4-0 ATS over their past four inside the conference and 5-0 ATS over the past five games. In addition, B.C. is 9-2-1 ATS over the past 12 at home against teams with a losing road record. However, Boston College hasn't fared very well when stepping out of their regular routine, going 0-5 ATS over the past five games on Friday. Total bettors might like the 'under', which is 5-0 in FSU's past five road games and 5-1 in the past six inside the conference. The under is also 13-4 in B.C.'s past 17 at home, 7-2-1 in their past 10 on a Friday and 22-9 over their past 31 overall.

Miami-Florida at North Carolina (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Hurricanes look to keep their playoff hopes alive on the road in Chapel Hill against the skidding Tar Heels. Miami is a three-touchdown favorite against North Carolina, looking to improve on their 4-0 ATS mark over the past four road outings. They're also 6-2 ATS over their past eight conference outings, but just 1-6 ATS in the past seven in the month of October. For the Tar Heels, they're a dismal 0-7 ATS over the past seven inside the ACC, 0-5 ATS in their psat five against teams with a winning overall record and 0-5 ATS in their past five overall. Total bettors might want to pound the 'under', as it is 4-0 in Miami's past four, 5-0 in their past five road games and 7-3 in their past 10 road outings against a team with a losing home mark. For UNC, the under is 6-2 in their past eight at Kenan, 9-3 over their past 12 ACC tilts and 4-1 in the past five overall.

Louisville at Wake Forest (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m. ET)
The Cardinals hit the road for Winston-Salem looking to stay on track after a road win at Florida State last weekend. The Cardinals covered for the first time in six outings with their road victory. Overall, Louisville is just 2-10 ATS across the past 12, while going 0-6 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning overall record. For Wake, they're 3-0-1 ATS over their past four home games, 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 inside the conference and 5-2 ATS over their past seven against teams with a winning overall mark. The over is 4-1 in Louisville's past five inside the ACC, while going 12-5 in their past 17 on a fieldturf surface. The over is 5-2 in Wake's past seven at home, and 5-0 in their past five home games against teams with a winning road mark. However, the 'under' is 4-0 across the past four meetings in this series.

Virginia at Pittsburgh (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m.)
The Cavaliers hit the road for the Steel City looking to rebound after a beatdown at the hands of B.C. last weekend. Virginia had been cruising along at 5-1 SU with four covers in a row, but they were beaten soundly by Boston College, 41-10. The Panthers have covered just seven of the past 27 games at home, while going a dismal 2-6-2 ATS over their past 10 overall. However, they're coming off a road win and cover against Duke. Still, Pittsburgh has a long way to go before they can be trusted, as they're just 1-3-1 ATS over their past five conference tilts. The favorite is an impressive 5-1-1 ATS across the past seven in this series.

North Carolina State at Notre Dame (NBC, 3:30 p.m.)
The Wolfpack hit the road for their first-ever road trip to South Bend in the shadows of Touchdown Jesus. This might be an elimination game of sorts, as the winner keeps their chances of a playoff spot alive, while the loser is most likely done. The Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS over their past five road games, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five on the road against a team with a winning home record. N.C. State is also 11-5 ATS over the past 16 non-conference tilts. For the Irish, they're 5-0 ATS in the past five non-conference games, while covering five in a row overall. This game will feature a lot more offense than the last time these teams played in hurricane conditions in Raleigh, with the Wolfpack winning 10-3 in the slop at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh last October.

Duke at Virginia Tech (ACC Network, 7:20 p.m.)
The Blue Devils hit the road for Blacksburg looking to turn things around. It's been a tale of two season, as the Blue Devils opened 4-0 SU/ATS, but are a dismal 0-4 SU/0-3-1 ATS over the past four outings. The 'under' has hit in six in a row for Duke, too. Viriginia Tech has won two in a row since their home setback against Clemson back on Sept. 30. The Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS over their past five against teams with a winning record, and 0-3-1 ATS in their past four inside the ACC. For the Hokies, they're 7-2 ATS in their past nine on grass, 8-3 ATS in their past 11 overall and 9-3 ATS in the past 12 at home. The under has hit in five of the past seven in this series, with the underdog going 4-0 in the past four.

Georgia Tech at Clemson (ABC or ESPN2, 8:00 p.m.)
The Yellow Jackets hit the road for the upstate to battle the Tigers, and Georgia Tech is catching two touchdowns as of early Thursday morning. The Ramblin' Wreck has covered six in a row inside the conference while going 6-0 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record and 10-1 ATS in their past 11 overall. Clemson has covered five of their past six against teams iwth a winning record, but they're a dismal 2-6 ATS over their past eight inside the conference. Ga. Tech hasn't had a lot of success in this series lately, at least against the number, going 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings and 0-4 ATS in their past four trips to Death Valley. The home team has cashed in six of the past seven in this rivalry.

Bye Week
Syracuse

[StarDust Bum]

Stanford at Oregon State
October 24, 2017

After a very exciting Thursday night game between Memphis and Houston last week, this week’s game is not expected to be as competitive with a massive road favorite spread as Stanford visits Oregon State.

The Cardinal have recovered from a slow start to become a factor in the Pac-12 North race while the Beavers look to find some direction in a disappointing season. Here is a look at Thursday Night College Football.

Matchup: Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers
Venue: At Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Oregon
Time/TV: Thursday, Oct. 26, 9:00 PM ET ESPN
Line: Stanford -22, Over/Under 59½
Last Meeting: 2016, at Stanford (-16) 26, Oregon State 15

Leading the nation in rushing is Stanford junior Bryce Love with 1,387 yards, more than 200 yards ahead of the nation’s #2 rusher Zach Abey of Navy. He is emerging as a serious Heisman Trophy candidate and he will be in the spotlight week as Stanford looks to move to 5-1 in Pac-12 play playing at Oregon State as a heavy favorite in this week’s Thursday night ESPN game.

Love has averaged an astonishing 10.27 yards per carry which would be a new NCAA single-season record. Recognized with a minimum of just 6.25 carries per game the current record holder is Anthony Alridge for Houston in 2006 at 10.09 yards per carry but he had just 95 rushing attempts that season. Love already has 135 carries this season and the list of the top single-season rushers on a per carry basis is littered with secondary and 3rd down backs with big play ability, think Felix Jones or Percy Harvin in recent years.

The highest single-season average among backs with at least 200 carries is a fellow Pac-12 player and 2005 Heisman winner Reggie Bush at 8.70. Love could beat the record and yet not set the record however, as currently he has competition this season from Josh Adams at Notre Dame at 9.21 yards per carry and Arizona quarterback Khalil Tate who has averaged a outrageous 13.93 yards per carry. Tate’s average is sure to go down with more playing time however, currently playing in just five games this season but posting 780 yards on only 56 attempts.

This should be a game where Love can look to boost his statistics and bolster his Heisman Trophy credentials. Oregon State has allowed 4.8 yards per carry this season and the rest of the schedule is much more daunting for Love’s potential with Stanford facing more formidable run defenses in Washington State (3.4), Washington (#1 nationally at 2.2), California (4.4), and Notre Dame (3.6).

While the attention will be Love in a game that isn’t likely to impact the Pac-12 race, the Beavers shouldn’t be completely overlooked despite the miserable 1-6 record (2-5 ATS). Gary Andersen’s team showed some promise with several competitive late season efforts in 2016, climbing from 2-10 in his first season in Corvallis to 4-8 in 2016 and looking like a team that might make another step forward in 2017.

Andersen is no longer with the program, stepping down after the team’s 38-10 loss at USC in early October. Andersen had strong credentials at Utah State and Wisconsin but after leaving Wisconsin in unusual circumstances and now having this surprise departure, his future will likely only be as an assistant. Cory Hall is the interim head coach after leading the team’s cornerbacks the past two seasons while also working under Andersen at Wisconsin.

The failures for the Beavers this season started with transfer quarterback Jake Luton struggling. He won the job over the summer to beat out senior Darrell Garretson but turnovers were a big issue with Oregon State committing 14 turnovers the first five games of the season. Luton was injured in the Pac-12 opener and Garretson has posted similar passing numbers since taking over, albeit against stronger competition. The struggles at the position are made more frustrating with Marcus McMaryion having great success leading Fresno State this season, with McMaryion taking most of the snaps with the Beavers late last season before transferring.

Oregon State is gaining a respectable 4.6 yards per rush this season led by junior Ryan Nall who has gained 6.0 yards per carry but the Beavers don’t have a receiver with more than 21 catches and the team has averaged just 6.4 yards per pass attempt with more interceptions (6) than passing touchdowns (5).

Perhaps the biggest disappointment has been the regression of the defense, where Andersen’s expertise lies. The Beavers cut their scoring average seven points from 2015 to 2016 and trimmed the yardage allowed by 53 yards per game in Andersen’s second season. Another step forward was expected this season but instead the Beavers have gone back to allowing 479 yards per game, similar to the 2015 numbers, while surrendering 43.7 points per game to sit only ahead of Kansas and East Carolina nationally in scoring defense. That average is with some difficult games still remaining on the schedule, though in fairness the Pac-12 slate started with Washington State, Washington, and USC, potentially the top three teams in the conference.

In Hall’s first game leading the program the Beavers were competitive in a homecoming game with Colorado. It was certainly the team’s best opportunity for a Pac-12 win this season and the Beavers led 33-29 after a Nall touchdown late in the fourth quarter. With just over a minute remaining Colorado regained the lead and a tying field goal attempt in the final seconds was missed. Oregon State had a yardage edge of 569-385 as the offense moved the ball well but the run defense was suspect, certainly a concern heading into this matchup.

With two losses Stanford is out of the national picture in almost all scenarios but the Cardinal is still a threat in the Pac-12 North race, getting to play Washington State and Washington the next two weeks. Stanford has lost two of its three road games this season and while in September the defeats at USC and at San Diego State appeared respectable, the Trojans and Aztecs have sunk in stature the past two weeks.

Quarterback play has been an area of concern for Stanford with junior Keller Chryst completing just 55 percent of his passes. The offense looked better with freshman K.J. Costello filling in but Chryst remains the starter. Love will be the focal point of the offense but the reason Stanford isn’t a national threat this season has been the defense.

Under David Shaw Stanford has produced several outstanding defenses in making Rose Bowl appearances three times in the last six seasons. The 2014 Cardinal defense surrendered just 16.4 points per game and 282 yards per game. The numbers haven’t been quite as strong the past two seasons but the Cardinal has still been one of the better defensive units in the Pac-12. This season Stanford has allowed just 22.0 points per game but 416 yards per game with great vulnerability against the run, allowing 5.0 yards per carry.

Expect both teams to lead with their running backs in this Thursday night matchup as that is where the best opportunities will come. Stanford’s Pac-12 case won’t be decided this week but rather in games the next two weeks but this might be Love’s game to post a huge number in his climb towards 2,000 rushing yards as he will face much stronger defenses in November. For Oregon State any Pac-12 win would be a boost for the program and this is the second to last home game with the team riding a little positive momentum after the productive showing against Colorado.

Last Season: These teams met in early November at Stanford last season. Oregon State had just played a competitive game with Washington State while Stanford had just blasted Arizona on the road. Stanford led only 13-7 at halftime and pulled away with a lead that was never in doubt despite just an 11-point final margin. Stanford had a 425-266 yardage edge with a grand total of just 197 passing yards combined between the two teams. Chryst averaged only 3.5 yards per attempt but he avoided the two turnovers McMaryion had for Oregon State and Christian McCaffrey delivered 199 rushing yards.

Historical Trends:

-- Stanford has won seven in a row in this series with a 6-1 ATS run since 2010, with the lone ATS miss coming at home last season.

-- The Cardinal are just 12-15-1 ATS in the series going back to 1988 going 5-8 ATS in Corvallis in that span with a 5-5 S/U record the past 10 trips.

-- Under Shaw, Stanford is 8-3 ATS as a double-digit road favorite going back to 2011, with the lone S/U loss coming in the 2015 season opener at Northwestern.

-- This will be the largest road favorite spread for Stanford since a September 2013 game at Army and if the line stays above -21 it will be the largest road favorite spread for Stanford in Pac-12 play since at least 1980 (where our data stops).

-- Since 2011 Stanford is 12-5 ATS when laying 20 or more points including going 4-1 since 2014.

-- Oregon State is 6-1 ATS as a home underdog since the start of the 2016 season, going 5-0 last season and splitting two instances this season.

-- Oregon State closed at +26½ hosting Washington this season in a 42-7 loss and before that hadn’t been dogged by more than 21 points at home since beating USC 27-21 in 2008 at +24½.

-- Oregon State is just 11-19 ATS at home since the start of the 2013 season, going only 12-18 S/U.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF Opening Line Report: Massive Big Ten matchup highlights Week 9
Patrick Everson

Saquon Barkley and Co. steamrolled Michigan 42-13 as a 7.5-point home favorite Saturday, while Ohio State has covered three straight with a 48.7 average margin of victory. The Buckeyes opened at -7.

No. 2 Penn State Nittany Lions at No. 6 Ohio State Buckeyes (-7)

Penn State was expected to get a test in Week 8, but it seemed like the Nittany Lions (7-0 SU, 5-1-1 ATS) knew all the questions in advance and certainly had all the answers. Saquon Barkley and Co. steamrolled Michigan 42-13 as a 7.5-point home favorite Saturday.

Ohio State (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) has won five in a row, all in huge blowout fashion, since an upset home loss to Oklahoma in Week 2. The Buckeyes had a bye in Week 8, following a 56-14 bashing of Nebraska as a 23.5-point road chalk.

“No surprise that this game is getting the most early action, by far,” Mason said. “Ohio State has been slaughtering everyone in its path recently, covering its last three games with a 48.7 average margin of victory. Penn State has been very generous to bettors all season long. Sixty-nine percent of early bettors are counting on yet another Penn State cover.”

The Buckeyes opened -7, but all that Nittany Lions early action quickly dropped the number to 5.5.

No. 15 North Carolina State Wolfpack at No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-7)

Notre Dame is absolutely in the picture for the four-team College Football Playoff, provided it keeps on playing like it did in Week 8. The Fighting Irish (6-1 SU and ATS) entered Saturday’s home game as 4-point favorites against longtime rival Southern Cal and exited with a 49-14 blowout victory.

North Carolina State (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) is no slouch either, peeling off six consecutive SU wins since losing its opener to South Carolina. The Wolfpack are coming off a bye week, after rolling past Pittsburgh 35-17 giving 11.5 points on the road in Week 7.

“Notre Dame’s beatdown of USC was one of the biggest winners of the weekend for the public,” Mason said. “With the easy cover over the Trojans, the Irish have ripped off five straight covers. However, 59 percent of early bettors are on North Carolina State, although I believe we will actually need the Wolfpack by kickoff.”

After the initial Wolfpack push, some Notre Dame money showed by early Sunday evening, taking the opening line of -7 up to 8.5 before it peeled back to 7.5 at BetOnline.

No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators (+13)

Unbeaten Georgia looks to stay on track for a berth in the SEC championship game. The Bulldogs (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) had a bye in Week 8, after dismantling Missouri 53-28 laying a hefty 28.5 points on the road in Week 7.

Florida is on a two-game skid and finds itself at .500 halfway through the season. The Gators (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) are also coming off a bye, after back-to-back tight home losses to Louisiana State – 17-16 as a 1.5-point ‘dog – and Texas A&M – 19-17 as a 3-point fave.

“Early bettors got a bargain jumping on Georgia -13, before the number moved across 14 to -14.5,” Mason said. “Even though Florida covered its last four games versus Georgia, 76 percent of bettors for the ‘World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party’ are on the Bulldogs minus the points.”

No. 11 Oklahoma State Cowboys at No. 23 West Virginia Mountaineers (+7)

Oklahoma State has won three in a row SU as it tries to put its season back together following a Week 4 home loss to still-undefeated Texas Christian. In Week 8, the Cowboys (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) barely survived at Texas, winning 13-10 in overtime while falling short as 7-point favorites.

West Virginia (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) has won five of its last six, with the only setback in that stretch also against TCU. However, the Mountaineers did not look good this past weekend in the fourth quarter against hapless Baylor. West Virginia held a 38-13 lead as a 10.5-point road chalk, but got outscored 23-0 in the final frame, hanging on for a 38-36 victory.

“The public profited off of Oklahoma State big time to start the season,” Mason said, alluding to the Cowboys’ 3-0 SU and ATS start. “Since then, the Cowboys have failed to cover in three of their last four games. Despite that recent cold streak, only 37 percent of early bettors are on West Virginia.”

BetOnline opened the Pokes -7, with early action bouncing the line down to 6, then up to 8 before hitting 7.5 Sunday evening.

[StarDust Bum]

College football's biggest betting mismatches: Week 9
Monty Andrews

Running back Justin Jackson and his Northwestern teammates are in for a tough challenge against the Michigan State Spartans' stingy run defense on Saturday afternoon.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Michigan Wolverines (-23.5, 43.5)

Rutgers’ pass offense vs. Wolverines' pass defense

The Michigan Wolverines are clinging to a spot in the top 25 rankings after taking it on the chin in a 42-10 drubbing at the hands of Penn State last weekend. And with challenging road games against Wisconsin and Ohio State coming up next month, Jim Harbaugh's crew could be staring at a four-loss conference schedule. But first, the Wolverines will look to bounce back against a Rutgers team that has had all sorts of problems generating offense through the air.

The Scarlet Knights evened their conference record at 2-2 last week with a 14-12 victory over Purdue, but it was far from pretty. Host Rutgers managed just five first downs while going 3-for-15 on third downs and generating a paltry 87 passing yards. The Scarlet Knights rank 121st out of 129 Division I teams in passing yardage per game (133.6) and have produced only five passing touchdowns through their first seven games.

Those totals aren't likely to increase at The Big House, with the Wolverines still boasting one of the most imposing pass defenses in the nation despite getting gouged for 282 yards through the air against the Nittany Lions on Saturday. Michigan is limiting opponents to 158.6 passing yards per contest, the fifth-best rate in the country.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at West Virginia Mountaineers (+7.5, 73.5)

Oklahoma State's discipline vs. West Virginia's flag epidemic

Things are about to get a whole lot tougher for the Cowboys, as this week's matchup against the Mountaineers kicks off a stretch of three straight games against ranked opponents. But great discipline should give Oklahoma a decided edge against a West Virginia team that can't seem to stop getting flagged.

The Cowboys dominated play against the Longhorns, finishing with twice as many first downs while racking up nearly 150 more yards of total offense. Oklahoma State also had a considerable edge in penalties, picking up just two for 20 yards. The Cowboys rank 35th in the nation in fewest penalty yards per game (45.9).

Discipline has been a bit of a problem area for the Mountaineers, whose 70 penalty yards per game ranks 114th in the country. Flag problems played a role in West Virginia nearly squandering a 25-point fourth quarter lead in a wild 38-36 win over the Baylor Bears; the Mountaineers picked up 11 penalties for a whopping 134 yards in the game, including two pass interference flags and a personal foul call that aided in Baylor's 23-point fourth quarter.

Michigan State Spartans at Northwestern Wildcats (+1.5, 40.5)

Michigan State's run defense vs. Wildcats' rushing attack

Only nine Division I teams are allowing fewer than 100 rushing yards per game so far this season - and the Spartans are a proud member of that list, limiting opponents to a 93.6-yards-per-game average. The Hoosiers managed just 95 yards on 35 carries - good for a 2.7 YPC average that lowered Michigan State's season average to 2.9.

The Northwestern running game has a dependable horse in Justin Jackson - averaging 4.5 YPC with six touchdowns - but not much else. The Wildcats rank just inside the top 100 nationally in rushing yards per game (136.9) while averaging just 3.6 YPC as a unit.

And while Jackson has looked good against weaker opponents, he was held to just 91 yards on 25 scoreless carries against Ohio State and Wisconsin. Look for him to struggle again this week against the Spartans' vaunted run D.

TCU Horned Frogs at Iowa State Cyclones (+6.5, 52)

TCU's third-down conversion rate vs. Cyclones' third-down defense

The Horned Frogs have vaulted themselves into the national title picture following a thorough 43-0 beating of visiting Kansas over the weekend. TCU has been one of the most balanced teams in the nation so far, with impressive victories over Oklahoma State and West Virginia on its resume.

This week's encounter with the formidable Cyclones should be a tightly-contested affair, but TCU comes in with a significant edge when it comes to third-down play.

No team has been more prolific at extending drives than the Horned Frogs, who have converted a whopping 56.2 percent of their third downs into first downs or points. TCU's 59 total conversions also lead the nation.

The Cyclones, meanwhile, rank outside the top 100 in Division I in third-down conversion rate against, allowing opponents to score or extend drives on 44.1 percent of opportunities. In its two losses, Iowa State allowed Iowa and Texas to convert 18 of their 38 third-down chances.

If the Cyclones can't find a way to prevent TCU from extending drives, it could be a long game.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 26

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TOLEDO (6 - 1) at BALL ST (2 - 5) - 10/26/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S ALABAMA (3 - 4) at GEORGIA ST (3 - 3) - 10/26/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 1-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E MICHIGAN (2 - 5) at N ILLINOIS (5 - 2) - 10/26/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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STANFORD (5 - 2) at OREGON ST (1 - 6) - 10/26/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
STANFORD is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
STANFORD is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, October 27

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FLORIDA ST (2 - 4) at BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 4) - 10/27/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULANE (3 - 4) at MEMPHIS (6 - 1) - 10/27/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 92-124 ATS (-44.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 2-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (2 - 6) at SMU (5 - 2) - 10/27/2017, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-1 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 28

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NEBRASKA (3 - 4) at PURDUE (3 - 4) - 10/28/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (3 - 4) at KENTUCKY (5 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (3 - 4) at S CAROLINA (5 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (3 - 5) at AKRON (4 - 4) - 10/28/2017, 11:30 AM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (5 - 3) at WAKE FOREST (4 - 3) - 10/28/2017, 12:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (6 - 0) at N CAROLINA (1 - 7) - 10/28/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
N CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
N CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
N CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RUTGERS (3 - 4) at MICHIGAN (5 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (4 - 2) at MARSHALL (6 - 1) - 10/28/2017, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

APPALACHIAN ST (5 - 2) at MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 6) - 10/28/2017, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA (5 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 5) - 10/28/2017, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA TECH (4 - 2) at CLEMSON (6 - 1) - 10/28/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI (2 - 5) at CONNECTICUT (3 - 4) - 10/28/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 1) at W VIRGINIA (5 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 86-58 ATS (+22.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (3 - 4) at MARYLAND (3 - 4) - 10/28/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUKE (4 - 4) at VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 1) - 10/28/2017, 7:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (1 - 6) at COASTAL CAROLINA (1 - 6) - 10/28/2017, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (7 - 0) at ILLINOIS (2 - 5) - 10/28/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 124-164 ATS (-56.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 124-164 ATS (-56.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 61-91 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 61-91 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 61-88 ATS (-35.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 82-126 ATS (-56.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS ST (3 - 4) at KANSAS (1 - 6) - 10/28/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 148-113 ATS (+23.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 116-85 ATS (+22.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 65-40 ATS (+21.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
KANSAS is 122-160 ATS (-54.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 122-160 ATS (-54.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 73-112 ATS (-50.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 86-118 ATS (-43.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 114-151 ATS (-52.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 93-128 ATS (-47.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 78-115 ATS (-48.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 51-85 ATS (-42.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (4 - 3) at IOWA (4 - 3) - 10/28/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (3 - 4) at WYOMING (4 - 3) - 10/28/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 2-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (4 - 2) at NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 4) - 10/28/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 43-68 ATS (-31.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE ST (1 - 7) at BYU (1 - 7) - 10/28/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
BYU is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games this season.
BYU is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BYU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
BYU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
BYU is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (4 - 2) at UTEP (0 - 7) - 10/28/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-1 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-1 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (3 - 4) at IDAHO (2 - 5) - 10/28/2017, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
LA MONROE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
LA MONROE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
IDAHO is 32-55 ATS (-28.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
IDAHO is 32-55 ATS (-28.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
IDAHO is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
IDAHO is 32-55 ATS (-28.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 2-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 2-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (3 - 4) at COLORADO ST (6 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB (4 - 3) at SOUTHERN MISS (5 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALIFORNIA (4 - 4) at COLORADO (4 - 4) - 10/28/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 36-68 ATS (-38.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO is 41-74 ATS (-40.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (6 - 2) at ARIZONA ST (4 - 3) - 10/28/2017, 10:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
USC is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARIZONA ST is 80-48 ATS (+27.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISIANA TECH (3 - 4) at RICE (1 - 6) - 10/28/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
RICE is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
RICE is 62-29 ATS (+30.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
RICE is 57-28 ATS (+26.2 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
RICE is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
RICE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
RICE is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
RICE is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (4 - 3) at OREGON (4 - 4) - 10/28/2017, 5:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
OREGON is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
UTAH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC STATE (6 - 1) at NOTRE DAME (6 - 1) - 10/28/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
NC STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
NC STATE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (4 - 3) at WASHINGTON (6 - 1) - 10/28/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
UCLA is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GA SOUTHERN (0 - 6) at TROY (5 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GA SOUTHERN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (6 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (4 - 3) - 10/28/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLD DOMINION (2 - 5) at NORTH TEXAS (4 - 3) - 10/28/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (3 - 4) at BAYLOR (0 - 7) - 10/28/2017, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TCU (7 - 0) at IOWA ST (5 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
TCU is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (7 - 0) vs. FLORIDA (3 - 3) - 10/28/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
FLORIDA is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
FLORIDA is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
FLORIDA is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (4 - 3) at W KENTUCKY (5 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (7 - 1) at ARIZONA (5 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 81-124 ATS (-55.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (4 - 3) at OKLAHOMA (6 - 1) - 10/28/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS (2 - 5) at OLE MISS (3 - 4) - 10/28/2017, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PENN ST (7 - 0) at OHIO ST (6 - 1) - 10/28/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 181-136 ATS (+31.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 181-136 ATS (+31.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 151-117 ATS (+22.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 118-86 ATS (+23.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 164-122 ATS (+29.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after a bye week since 1992.
OHIO ST is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OHIO ST is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
PENN ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 1-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSISSIPPI ST (5 - 2) at TEXAS A&M (5 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 1-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOISE ST (5 - 2) at UTAH ST (4 - 4) - 10/28/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 135-100 ATS (+25.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 135-100 ATS (+25.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 47-22 ATS (+22.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 84-57 ATS (+21.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 75-48 ATS (+22.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
UTAH ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-1 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNLV (2 - 5) at FRESNO ST (5 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 85-122 ATS (-49.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 56-82 ATS (-34.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
FRESNO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
FRESNO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 1-1 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO ST (6 - 2) at HAWAII (3 - 4) - 10/28/2017, 11:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (4 - 3) at S FLORIDA (7 - 0) - 10/28/2017, 3:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Week 9

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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 26

TOLEDO @ BALL STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing Ball State
Toledo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 5 games when playing Toledo
Ball State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toledo

EASTERN MICHIGAN @ NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Eastern Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Eastern Michigan's last 10 games
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan
Northern Illinois is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan

SOUTH ALABAMA @ GEORGIA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Alabama's last 6 games on the road
South Alabama is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Georgia State's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Georgia State's last 24 games

STANFORD @ OREGON STATE
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oregon State
Stanford is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oregon State's last 8 games when playing at home against Stanford
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 7 games


Friday, October 27

FLORIDA STATE @ BOSTON COLLEGE
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games on the road
Boston College is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston College is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

TULANE @ MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tulane's last 7 games when playing Memphis
Tulane is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tulane
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulane

TULSA @ SOUTHERN METHODIST
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games
Tulsa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Southern Methodist is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


Saturday, October 28

BUFFALO @ AKRON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Akron is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 6 games

ARKANSAS @ MISSISSIPPI
Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games
Mississippi is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home

MIAMI-FL @ NORTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL's last 5 games on the road
Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami-FL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami-FL

TEXAS @ BAYLOR
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 7 games at home

WISCONSIN @ ILLINOIS
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Illinois
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games when playing at home against Wisconsin

RUTGERS @ MICHIGAN
Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Rutgers is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games
Michigan is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Michigan's last 7 games at home

OKLAHOMA STATE @ WEST VIRGINIA
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
West Virginia is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
West Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

LOUISVILLE @ WAKE FOREST
Louisville is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Louisville is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
Wake Forest is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 7 games at home

VIRGINIA @ PITTSBURGH
Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

CALIFORNIA @ COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of California's last 10 games on the road
California is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL @ MARSHALL
Florida International is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 5 games on the road
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Marshall is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

KANSAS STATE @ KANSAS
Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas's last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas's last 7 games when playing Kansas State

AIR FORCE @ COLORADO STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Air Force's last 10 games when playing Colorado State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado State's last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado State's last 10 games when playing Air Force

SAN JOSE STATE @ BRIGHAM YOUNG
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose State's last 9 games
San Jose State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Brigham Young's last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 5 games at home

GEORGIA @ FLORIDA
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia's last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Georgia
Florida is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Georgia

CALIFORNIA-LOS ANGELES @ WASHINGTON
California-Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
California-Los Angeles is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games

INDIANA @ MARYLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games
Maryland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

TEXAS CHRISTIAN @ IOWA STATE
Texas Christian is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

MICHIGAN STATE @ NORTHWESTERN
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Michigan State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Northwestern's last 13 games at home
Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

PENN STATE @ OHIO STATE
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

APPALACHIAN STATE @ MASSACHUSETTS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Appalachian State's last 7 games on the road
Appalachian State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Massachusetts's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Massachusetts's last 10 games

LOUISIANA TECH @ RICE
Louisiana Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Rice
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games when playing Rice
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice's last 6 games when playing Louisiana Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice's last 6 games at home

GEORGIA SOUTHERN @ TROY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games on the road
Georgia Southern is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Troy's last 5 games
Troy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

NORTH CAROLINA STATE @ NOTRE DAME
North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Carolina State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

CINCINNATI @ SOUTH FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 15 games
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

EAST CAROLINA @ HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games when playing Houston
East Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games at home

HOUSTON @ SOUTH FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

VANDERBILT @ SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vanderbilt's last 10 games when playing South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing on the road against South Carolina
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
South Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt

FLORIDA ATLANTIC @ WESTERN KENTUCKY
Florida Atlantic is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Florida Atlantic is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games at home
Western Kentucky is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games

LOUISIANA-MONROE @ IDAHO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Idaho's last 5 games at home
Idaho is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe

AUSTIN PEAY @ CENTRAL FLORIDA
Austin Peay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Austin Peay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Central Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

UTAH @ OREGON
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oregon's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon's last 6 games

TEXAS STATE @ COASTAL CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas State's last 13 games
Coastal Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Coastal Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

MISSOURI @ CONNECTICUT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Connecticut's last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games

MINNESOTA @ IOWA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

OLD DOMINION @ NORTH TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Old Dominion's last 22 games on the road
North Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
North Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM @ SOUTHERN MISS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 6 games on the road
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Southern Miss
Southern Miss is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Southern Miss is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

MISSISSIPPI STATE @ TEXAS A&M
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 5 games
Texas A&M is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

DUKE @ VIRGINIA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 7 games when playing Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Virginia Tech is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Duke

TENNESSEE @ KENTUCKY
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Tennessee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
Kentucky is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

NEBRASKA @ PURDUE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games on the road
Nebraska is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Purdue's last 15 games at home

NEW MEXICO @ WYOMING
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Mexico's last 8 games
New Mexico is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Wyoming
Wyoming is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

GEORGIA TECH @ CLEMSON
Georgia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Clemson is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

TEXAS TECH @ OKLAHOMA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 5 games when playing Texas Tech

TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO @ TEXAS EL PASO
Texas-San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Texas El Paso's last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games

ARKANSAS STATE @ NEW MEXICO STATE
Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games at home
New Mexico State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

WASHINGTON STATE @ ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington State's last 5 games
Washington State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington State

NEVADA-LAS VEGAS @ FRESNO STATE
Nevada-Las Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 25 games
Fresno State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Fresno State is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games

BOISE STATE @ UTAH STATE
Boise State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Utah State
Boise State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games when playing at home against Boise State

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA @ ARIZONA STATE
Southern California is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
Southern California is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Arizona State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona State's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games at home

SAN DIEGO STATE @ HAWAII
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii
Hawaii is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Hawaii is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Thursday’s games
Toledo won its last three games, by 5-10-27 points; they’re 2-1 on road, winning by 13 at Nevada, 20 at Central Michigan. Rockets are 2-0 as road favorites this year, since ’15, they’re 6-1 as road faves. Ball State lost its last four games; they were outscored 142-15 in their last three losses. Since 2007, Cardinals are 4-11 as a home underdog. Toledo won its last three games with Ball State, by 18-14-11 points; Rockets won three of last four visits to Muncie, winning by 14-17-7. Three of last four Cardinal games went over total.

South Alabama won its last two games, by 10-11 points; in their 5th year as a I-A program, Jaguars are 4-2 vs spread as road favorites. Georgia State won three of its last four games; they’re 0-2 SU at home, with a loss to a I-AA team. Since ’14, State is 3-7-1 vs spread as a home underdog. South Alabama is 3-1 against Georgia State, winning by 3-3-21 points; Jaguars split their two visits here, winning 38-17, losing 24-10. Four of last five USA games stayed under the total. Sun Belt home underdogs are 3-5 vs spread this season.

Eastern Michigan lost its last five games, last four by total of 13 points (3-0-1 vs spread)- they lost in OT to rival WMU last week. Eagles are 4-0 vs spread on road this year; they gave up 633 rushing yards in last two games. Northern Illinois won its last three games after a 2-2 start; they are 6-4 in last 10 games as a home favorite, 0-1 this season. NIU won its last nine games with Eastern Michigan (7-2 vs spread); Eagles lost their last four visits to DeKalb by an average score of 44-15. Under is 6-1 in EMU games this season, 4-2 in NIU games.

Stanford won its last four games after road losses at USC/San Diego St; their last three games stayed under total. Cardinal is 17-10-1 as road favorite under Shaw, 0-1-1 this year. Oregon State already fired its coach; they’ve lost five games in row, but lost tough 36-33 game in their last game to Colorado, their first game with the interim coach. Stanford won its last seven games with Oregon State (5-1-1 vs spread); Cardinal won/covered their last three visits to Corvallis, winning by 18-8-25 points. Pac-12 home underdogs are 9-4 vs spread this season.

Friday’s games
Florida State is 2-4 and struggling mightily; their last five games were all decided by 7 or less points. Despite struggles, FSU is 2-0 in true road games, winning by 7 at both Wake Forest/Duke. Boston College ran ball for 601 yards in winning last two games, at Louisville/Virginia; Eagles covered their last five games, but they’re 1-6 vs spread in last seven games as a home underdog. Seminoles won their last seven games with BC (4-2 vs spread in last six); FSU won its last three visits to Boston, by 31-14-14 points. Under is 5-1 in Florida State games.

Memphis won its last ten games with Tulane (8-2 vs spread); Green Wave lost its last five visits here (1-4 vs spread). Tigers scored 47.3 ppg in winning last three games; they’re 3-0 at home this year, beating UCLA/Navy by 3 points each. Memphis is 8-12 vs spread in its last 20 games as a home favorite. Tulane lost its last two games, by 13-6 points; they’re 0-3 on road, losing by 2-42-13 points; Green Wave is 8-11 in last 19 games as a road underdog- they gave up 378 rushing yards in 34-28 loss to South Florida last week. Over is 4-2 in Memphis games,

Tulsa lost five of its last six games; they’re 0-4 on road, giving up average of 48.8 ppg- they gave up 62 points at Tulane- no bueno. Since 2015, Golden Hurricane is 7-3 as a road underdog, 1-2 this season. SMU is 5-2 after escaping Cincy with 31-28 win LW; Mustangs are 6-1 as home favorites under Morris, 3-0 this season. Tulsa won its last three games with SMU, by 3-9-10 points; teams split last four meetings played here. Four of last five Tulsa games, three of last four SMU games stayed under the total.

Saturday’s top 13 games
Tennessee was outscored 101-16 in losing its last three games; Vols are 5-6-1 as road underdogs under Jones, 1-1 this year. Kentucky is 5-2 but lost 45-7 at Miss State LW; Wildcats are 4-7 vs spread in last 11 games as a home favorite, 0-2 this season. Tennessee is 19-1 in its last 20 games with Kentucky, winning 52-50 (+2.5) in only one of those games where Kentucky was favored, in ’07. Vols covered four of last five series games; they’re 8-2 vs spread in last 10 visits to Lexington. Under is 4-1 in last five Tennessee games, 4-2 in Kentucky games.

South Carolina won its last eight games with Vanderbilt (4-4 vs spread); underdogs covered four of last five series games. Vandy lost its last four visits to Columbia, by 9-10-18-4 points. Gamecocks are 5-11 vs spread in last 16 game as a home favorite, 0-2 this season. Vandy lost its last four games, giving up 49.8 ppg, 347.3 rushing yards/game; Commodores are 9-9 as road underdogs under Mason, 0-2 this season. Carolina scored 17 or less points in four of last five games. Under is 5-1 in last six Gamecock games, 0-4 in Vandy’s last four games.

Louisville allowed 38 ppg in losing two of last three games, but they won at Florida State LW; Cardinals are 3-1 SU on road this year- average total in those games was 67- they’re 8-7 vs spread as road favorites under Petrino, 1-2 this year. Wake Forest lost its last three games, by 7-14-14 points; they’re 8-4 as home dogs under Clawson. Louisville won its last four games with Wake Forest, but Deacons covered last three series games. Cardinals (-11) won 20-19 in their last visit here, in 2015. Over is 4-2 in last six Louisville games, 2-4 in Wake’s last four games.

Virginia won both its home games, at Boise State/UNC, but lost 41-10 at home to Boston College last week, snapping 4-game win streak. Since 2007, Cavaliers are 7-12 vs spread as an underdog of 4 or less points- Pittsburgh lost five of last seven games; under Narduzzi, they’re 3-8 vs spread as home favorites. Favorites covered six of last seven Virginia-Pitt games; Panthers won three of last four in series, winning by 14-7-11 points. Cavaliers lost last three visits to Pittsburgh, losing by 7-11-25 points. Under is 4-0-1 in Panthers’ last five games.

Clemson had last week off; QB Bryant (concussion) is expected to play here. Tigers lost last game at Syracuse; since 2012, Tigers are 5-3 vs spread in game following a SU loss- they’re 30-24 as home faves under Swinney. Georgia Tech is 4-2 with one-point losses to Miami, Tennessee; Jackets are 7-2 in last nine games as a road dog. Clemson won four of last five games with Georgia Tech; Yellow Jackets lost last four visits here, by 19-24-16-14 points (0-4 vs spread). Last four Clemson games stayed under total, as did three of last four Tech games.

Oklahoma State outgained Texas by 145 yards LW but needed OT to escape Austin with a 13-10 win; Cowboys are 5-10-1 vs spread in last 16 games as a road favorite, 2-2 this season. West Virginia won five of last six games; they lost 31-24 at TCU. Under Holgorsen, Mountaineers are 5-6 vs spread as home underdogs. OSU is 3-2 in its last five games with West Virginia; underdogs won SU in Cowboys’ last two visits to Morgantown. Underdogs are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games. Four of last five West Virginia games went over total.

USC lost its last two road games, giving up 79 points to Wazzu/Notre Dame; they haven’t had a week off yet- even NFL teams get one bye week. Trojans are 6-12 vs spread in last 18 games as a road favorite, 0-2 this year. Arizona State held Washington/Utah to total of 17 points in winning its last two games; Sun Devils won their last two home games, as underdogs of 17-15 points. USC/Arizona State split their last six meetings; Trojans won last two, 42-14/41-20. USC lost two of last three visits to Tempe; favorites covered all three of those games. Last four ASU games stayed under the total.

Oregon lost its last three games, allowing 37.7 ppg; Ducks are 1-7-1 vs spread in last nine games as an underdog, 0-3 this year. Utah lost its last three games; they’re 2-1 on road, with three games decided by total of 13 points. Utes are 6-3 in last nine games as a road favorite, 2-0 this season. Oregon won six of its last eight games with Utah; underdogs are 5-2 against the spread in last seven meetings. Utes lost four of last five visits to Eugene (underdogs 3-2 vs spread). Under is 5-1 in Ducks’ last six games, 4-2 in Utah games.

Iowa State scored 117 points in winning its last three games behind a 3rd-string QB; LY’s starting QB now plays middle linebacker. Cyclones are 2-2 at home this year; they’re 5-2 as a home underdog under Campbell. TCU is 7-0 with road wins by 21-13-20 points, including a win at Okla State. Horned Frogs are 8-13 in last 21 games as a road favorite, 2-0 this year. TCU won six of last seven games with Iowa State (underdogs 4-2-1 vs spread); Horned Frogs won 45-21/21-17 in their last two visits to Ames. Four of last five ISU games stayed under the total, as did last three TCU tilts.

Florida is 3-3; the coach’s family is getting death threats- no bueno. Three of their last four games were decided by 1 or 2 points; they won another game on a 60-yard pass on last play of the game. Under McElwain, Gators are 3-4-1 vs spread as underdogs. Georgia is 7-0 with one win by less than 21 points, a 20-19 win at Notre Dame. Dawgs are 7-4-1 vs spread in last 12 neutral field games. Favorites are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six Florida-Georgia games; Gators won last three series games, by 14-24-18 points. Under is 4-2 in Dawgs’ games this season.

Arizona won its last three games, scoring 45.7 ppg, running ball for 409 ypg; can they keep ball away from Wazzu’s senior QB Falk? Wildcats is 5-2 but both losses were at home; they were held to 16-24 points in those games. Washington State is 1-1 on road, winning big at Oregon, losing big at Cal- under Leach, they’re 2-5 as road favorites. WSU (-16.5) pounded Arizona 69-7 last year; they won 45-42/24-17 in last couple visits to Tucson. Coogs gained 631/614 TY in last two series games. Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. Last five Wazzu games stayed under the total.

Ohio State won four of last five games with Penn State (favorites 3-2 vs spread); Nittany Lions lost 38-10/63-14 in their last two visits to Columbus. Buckeyes won five games in row since loss to Oklahoma, all by 31+ points; they’re 6-12 vs spread in last 18 games as a home favorite, 1-3 this year. OSU had last week off. Penn State pounded Michigan LW; they won both road games this year, 21-19/31-7 at Iowa/Northwestern. Lions struggled to beat Iowa, but outgained them by 306 yards that day. Last four OSU games went over the total; under is 5-2 in Penn State games.

Home side won last four Mississippi State-Texas A&M games; Bulldogs lost 30-17/51-41 in their last two visits to College Station. Miss State is 5-2 with losses at Georgia/Auburn; their only road win is at La Tech. Under Mullen, Bulldogs are 10-7-1 vs spread as road favorites. Aggies are 5-2; five of their seven games were decided by 8 or less points. Aggies won 19-17 at Florida LW despite being outgained by 88 yards. Under is 4-1 in last five MSU games, 3-0 in A&M’s last three games. SEC home teams are 13-16 vs spread in conference play this season.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 9

Thursday, October 26

Toledo @ Ball State

Game 103-104
October 26, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
88.738
Ball State
60.270
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ball State
by 28 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 24 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-24 1/2); Under

South Alabama @ Georgia State

Game 105-106
October 26, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
75.128
Georgia State
71.543
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Alabama
by 3 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Alabama
Pick
49
Dunkel Pick:
South Alabama
Under

Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois

Game 107-108
October 26, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Michigan
79.051
Northern Illinois
89.462
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Illinois
by 10 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Illinois
by 7
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(-7); Under

Stanford @ Oregon State

Game 109-110
October 26, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
103.028
Oregon State
79.258
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 24
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 20
60
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(-20); Under


Friday, October 27

Florida State @ Boston College

Game 111-112
October 27, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
94.436
Boston College
95.768
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
by 1
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 3 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(+3 1/2); Over

Tulane @ Memphis

Game 113-114
October 27, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
85.224
Memphis
91.873
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 6 1/2
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 11
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(+11); Over

Tulsa @ SMU

Game 115-116
October 27, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
74.816
SMU
85.460
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 10 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 8 1/2
77 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
SMU
(-8 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

ACC Report - Week 9
October 26, 2017

2017 ACC STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Boston College 4-4 2-3 5-3 3-5
Clemson 6-1 4-1 4-3 2-5
Duke 4-4 1-4 4-3-1 2-6
Florida State 2-4 2-3 0-4-2 1-5
Georgia Tech 4-2 3-1 6-0 2-4
Louisville 5-3 2-3 2-6 5-3
Miami (Fla.) 6-0 4-0 3-3 1-5
North Carolina 1-7 0-5 1-7 4-4
North Carolina State 6-1 4-0 3-4 3-4
Pittsburgh 3-5 1-3 2-4-2 1-6-1
Syracuse 4-4- 2-2 5-2-1 1-7
Virginia 5-2 2-1 4-3 3-4
Virginia Tech 6-1 2-1 4-3 2-4-1
Wake Forest 4-3 1-3 4-2-1 3-4

Florida State at Boston College (Fri. - ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)
The Seminoles head to Chestnut Hill to battle the Eagles, B.C. is trending. The Eagles opened as eight-point favorites, but the public has bet it down to four. The Seminoles are 0-3-2 ATS over the past five ACC games, and 0-4-2 ATS in the past six overall. On the flip side, the Eagles are 4-0 ATS over their past four inside the conference and 5-0 ATS over the past five games. In addition, B.C. is 9-2-1 ATS over the past 12 at home against teams with a losing road record. However, Boston College hasn't fared very well when stepping out of their regular routine, going 0-5 ATS over the past five games on Friday. Total bettors might like the 'under', which is 5-0 in FSU's past five road games and 5-1 in the past six inside the conference. The under is also 13-4 in B.C.'s past 17 at home, 7-2-1 in their past 10 on a Friday and 22-9 over their past 31 overall.

Miami-Florida at North Carolina (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Hurricanes look to keep their playoff hopes alive on the road in Chapel Hill against the skidding Tar Heels. Miami is a three-touchdown favorite against North Carolina, looking to improve on their 4-0 ATS mark over the past four road outings. They're also 6-2 ATS over their past eight conference outings, but just 1-6 ATS in the past seven in the month of October. For the Tar Heels, they're a dismal 0-7 ATS over the past seven inside the ACC, 0-5 ATS in their psat five against teams with a winning overall record and 0-5 ATS in their past five overall. Total bettors might want to pound the 'under', as it is 4-0 in Miami's past four, 5-0 in their past five road games and 7-3 in their past 10 road outings against a team with a losing home mark. For UNC, the under is 6-2 in their past eight at Kenan, 9-3 over their past 12 ACC tilts and 4-1 in the past five overall.

Louisville at Wake Forest (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m. ET)
The Cardinals hit the road for Winston-Salem looking to stay on track after a road win at Florida State last weekend. The Cardinals covered for the first time in six outings with their road victory. Overall, Louisville is just 2-10 ATS across the past 12, while going 0-6 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning overall record. For Wake, they're 3-0-1 ATS over their past four home games, 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 inside the conference and 5-2 ATS over their past seven against teams with a winning overall mark. The over is 4-1 in Louisville's past five inside the ACC, while going 12-5 in their past 17 on a fieldturf surface. The over is 5-2 in Wake's past seven at home, and 5-0 in their past five home games against teams with a winning road mark. However, the 'under' is 4-0 across the past four meetings in this series.

Virginia at Pittsburgh (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m.)
The Cavaliers hit the road for the Steel City looking to rebound after a beatdown at the hands of B.C. last weekend. Virginia had been cruising along at 5-1 SU with four covers in a row, but they were beaten soundly by Boston College, 41-10. The Panthers have covered just seven of the past 27 games at home, while going a dismal 2-6-2 ATS over their past 10 overall. However, they're coming off a road win and cover against Duke. Still, Pittsburgh has a long way to go before they can be trusted, as they're just 1-3-1 ATS over their past five conference tilts. The favorite is an impressive 5-1-1 ATS across the past seven in this series.

North Carolina State at Notre Dame (NBC, 3:30 p.m.)
The Wolfpack hit the road for their first-ever road trip to South Bend in the shadows of Touchdown Jesus. This might be an elimination game of sorts, as the winner keeps their chances of a playoff spot alive, while the loser is most likely done. The Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS over their past five road games, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five on the road against a team with a winning home record. N.C. State is also 11-5 ATS over the past 16 non-conference tilts. For the Irish, they're 5-0 ATS in the past five non-conference games, while covering five in a row overall. This game will feature a lot more offense than the last time these teams played in hurricane conditions in Raleigh, with the Wolfpack winning 10-3 in the slop at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh last October.

Duke at Virginia Tech (ACC Network, 7:20 p.m.)
The Blue Devils hit the road for Blacksburg looking to turn things around. It's been a tale of two season, as the Blue Devils opened 4-0 SU/ATS, but are a dismal 0-4 SU/0-3-1 ATS over the past four outings. The 'under' has hit in six in a row for Duke, too. Viriginia Tech has won two in a row since their home setback against Clemson back on Sept. 30. The Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS over their past five against teams with a winning record, and 0-3-1 ATS in their past four inside the ACC. For the Hokies, they're 7-2 ATS in their past nine on grass, 8-3 ATS in their past 11 overall and 9-3 ATS in the past 12 at home. The under has hit in five of the past seven in this series, with the underdog going 4-0 in the past four.

Georgia Tech at Clemson (ABC or ESPN2, 8:00 p.m.)
The Yellow Jackets hit the road for the upstate to battle the Tigers, and Georgia Tech is catching two touchdowns as of early Thursday morning. The Ramblin' Wreck has covered six in a row inside the conference while going 6-0 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record and 10-1 ATS in their past 11 overall. Clemson has covered five of their past six against teams iwth a winning record, but they're a dismal 2-6 ATS over their past eight inside the conference. Ga. Tech hasn't had a lot of success in this series lately, at least against the number, going 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings and 0-4 ATS in their past four trips to Death Valley. The home team has cashed in six of the past seven in this rivalry.

Bye Week
Syracuse

[StarDust Bum]

Big 12 Report - Week 9
October 26, 2017

2017 BIG 12 STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Baylor 0-7 0-4 3-4 4-3
Iowa State 5-2 3-1 6-1 3-4
Kansas 1-6 0-4 1-6 5-2
Kansas State 3-4 1-3 3-3-1 4-3
Oklahoma 6-1 3-1 3-4 5-2
Oklahoma State 6-1 3-1 4-3 4-3
Texas 3-4 2-2 5-1-1 2-5
Texas Christian 7-0 4-0 4-3 2-5
Texas Tech 4-3 1-3 5-2 3-4
West Virginia 5-2 3-1 4-3 5-1-1

Oklahoma State at West Virginia (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Cowboys hit the road for Morgantown in a game which should be an offensive showdown. The Cowboys, who have covered just once in the past four outings, opened as a six-point favorite. The line sits at OSU -7 1/2 as of Thursday morning. The Cowboys have covered just once over the past five conference tilts, while the Mountaineers are just 6-14 ATS over their past 20 against teams iwth a winning overall record. The Mountaineers are also a dismal 7-21 ATS over their past 28 at Mylan Puskar Stadium against teams with a winning road record. the over is 13-6 in OK State's past 19 inside the conference, and 5-1 in West Virginia's past six overall. However, the under has hit in each of the past four meetings in this series.

Texas at Baylor (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)
Texas rolls down to Waco looking to keep the Bears down. The Longhorns arrive going 3-0-1 ATS over their past four conference games, 5-0-1 ATS in their past six overall and 6-2 ATS over their past eight following a straight-up loss. For Baylor, close but no cigar lately. They have covered four of their past five inside the conference, but they have dropped all seven of their games overall so far. They are 32-15 ATS in the past 47 home games, but 2-2 ATS in their four outings this season. The Bears are a dismal 1-7 ATS over their past eight against teams with a losing overall record, however. Total bettors might like the 'under' in this one. The under is a perfect 4-0 over the past four meetings in this series, while going 5-0 in the past five road games for Texas. The under is also 4-1 in their past five against teams with a losing overall record. For Baylor, the under is 7-2 in the past nine against teams with a losing overall mark.

Kansas State at Kansas (FOX Sports 1, 3:00 p.m. ET)
In the Sunflower State battle, K-State looks to keep their rivals down. Vegas is confident that will happen, as the Wildcats are favored by 24 points as of Thursday morning. While the Wildcats are 34-16-2 ATS over their past 52 in the month of October, they are 2-5 ATS across their past seven against teams iwth a losing record and just 1-3-1 ATS in the past five overall. Kansas hasn't been much better, though, going 10-27 ATS over their past 37 in October, while posting a 1-4 ATS mark in the past five against teams with a losing record. Kansas is also a dismal 1-6 ATS over their past seven overall while going just 5-17 ATS over their past 22 meetings in this rivalry. The Wildcats have also covered four in a row in Lawrence, while the favorite is 18-4 ATS over the past 22 in this series. The over is 6-1 in the past seven in this series, while cashing in seven of the past eight meetings in Lawrence.

Texas Christian at Iowa State (ABC or ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Not many would have pinpointed Ames, Iowa and Oct. 28 as a showdown game in the Big 12, but the Cyclones have played their way into a contender's role in the Big 12. The Cyclones are 7-1 ATS over their past eight against teams with a winning record, and 6-1 ATS in the past seven overall. They have also covered four in a row in the month of October while hitting in nine of the past 13 in the Big 12. TCU has cashed in five in a row on the road, but they're just 2-10 ATS in the past 12 on a grass surface whilegoing 2-5 ATS across the past seven in the month of October. Total trends are the complete opposite between these two sides. The under is 6-1 in TCU's past seven conference games and 7-2 in their past nine on the road while going 11-4 in the past 15 overall. For Iowa State, the under is 4-1 in the past five overall, but the over is 7-3 in their past 10 at home and 6-2 in the past eight against teams with a winning overall mark.

Texas Tech at Oklahoma (ABC or ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)
The Red Raiders roll into Norman looking to snap out of their funk. They have dropped two in a row, and three of the past four overall. After opening 5-0 ATS, the Red Raiders have also failed to cover in each of their past two outings. Oklahoma also opened 4-0 SU, and 3-0 ATS in their first three outings. However, the Sooners are a poor 0-4 ATS over their past four outings. Texas Tech has covered 11 of their past 16 conference tilts, and 6-2 ATS in their past eight against teams with a winning overall mark. The Sooners are 0-4 ATS in their past four Big 12 battles, but they're 7-1 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record. The Red Raiders are an awful 1-5 ATS in their past six trips to Norman, while the home team has cashed in each of the past four meetings. The 'over' is also a perfect 6-0 in the past six meetings in this series.

[StarDust Bum]

Pac-12 Report - Week 9
October 26, 2017

2017 PAC-12 STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Arizona 5-2 3-1 4-3 5-2
Arizona State 4-3 3-1 4-3 1-6
California 4-4 1-4 5-3 3-5
Colorado 4-4 1-4 2-6 3-5
Oregon 4-4 1-4 3-5 3-5
Oregon State 1-6 0-4 2-5 5-2
Southern California 6-2 4-1 1-7 4-4
Stanford 5-2 4-1 3-3-1 3-4
UCLA 4-3 2-2 2-5 5-2
Utah 4-3 1-3 5-1-1 2-5
Washington 6-1 3-1 4-3 2-5
Washington State 7-1 4-1 5-3 2-6

Stanford at Oregon State (Thurs. - ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)
The Cardinal look to keep it going in a positive direction. After a two-game losing streak at USC and at San Diego State from Sept. 9-16, Stanford has won four in a row. They discovered a star in Bryce Love, and they're rolling. The defense improving also hasn't hurt, as they're allowing just 17.0 PPG over the past three outings. As such, the 'under' is a perfect 3-0 in the past three for Stanford. The Cardinal are 19-6-1 ATS over the past 26 against teams with a losing record while going 17-8-1 ATS over the past 26 conference games. Stanford is also 33-16-2 ATS over the past 51 on the road. For the Beavers, theyh ave failed to cover in five of their past seven overall, but they're 7-3 ATS across the past 10 in Corvallis while going 9-3 ATS in their past 12 league games. Stanford has cashed in six of the past seven in this series, while the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. The under has dominated this series lately, too, going 6-2 in the past eight in Corvallis and 11-5 across the past 16 overall in the series.

California at Colorado (Pac-12 Network, 2:00 p.m. ET)
This is an important game for bowl eligiblity, as the winner will be just one win away from a trip to a bowl, while the losing team will need to win two of their final three games to punch a ticket to the postseason. The Bears have cashed in just one of their past seven games on the road while going 11-28 ATS over the past 39 games following a straight-up loss. The Buffaloes haven't been much better, going 1-6 ATS over their past seven conference tilts, while going 0-4 ATS in the past four games at Folsom Field in Boulder. The under has been the play for both sides lately, going 5-2 in the past seven overall for Cal while hitting in eight of the past 11 for Colorado. The under is also 14-5 in the past 19 league games for the Buffs.

UCLA at Washington (ABC or ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Huskies get their wish, as they were complaining about not being showcased in earlier games so the East Coast fans and media could see them. Unfortunately, it took a loss at Arizona State to take them off of the prime time stage. The Bruins haven't been very good against the number lately, going 1-4 ATS over their past five games overall and 1-5 ATS in the past six conference tilts. They're also a dismal 1-8 ATS across the past nine after a straight-up win, and 0-4 ATS in the past four on the road. For Washington, it's the complete opposite, as they're 5-1 ATS in the past six league games while going 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a winning overall record. The Bruins have dominated this series against the number, cashing in six of their past eight trips to Seattle and 11 of their past 15 meetings overall in this series.

Utah at Oregon (Pac-12 Network, 5:45 p.m. ET)
Utah looks to stem the tide of losing in their road trip to Oregon. The Utes opened 4-0 SU/ATS, but they're 0-3 SU/1-1-1 ATS over the past three outings. The Ducks have also been skidding, losers of three in a row and four of their past five after opening 3-0 SU. It's the offense that has gone south lately, averaging just 10.3 PPG over the past three outings while allowing at least 31 points in each game. Utah is still 5-1-1 ATS over their past seven overall, and 16-5 ATS in the past 21 on the road while going 6-2-1 ATS in their past nine league games. Oregon has been terrible aginst the number, cashing in just three of their past 11 home games while going 5-16-1 ATS in the past 22 games overall. They're also a dismal 1-5 ATS in their past six league outings. The road team has cashed in four in a row while the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings.

Washington State at Arizona (Pac-12 Network, 9:30 p.m. ET)
Washington State didn't let a 37-3 setback at California turn into a long-term thing. They rebounded last Saturday with a 28-0 blanking of Colorado toget back on track. It was also their fifth consecutive 'under' result, as the defense has been much better lately. The Cougars are allowing 16.2 PPG over the past five outings. The Cougs have cashed in five of the past six, and four of their past five conference outings. They're also 12-5 ATS in their past 17 against teams with a winning overall record, but just 1-4 ATS in the past five on the road. Arizona has struggled against the number, going just 2-6 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record, 3-9 ATS in their past 12 conference games and 6-15 ATS in the past 21 overall. Washington State has covered in four of the past five in this series, while the underdog is 11-4 ATS in the past 15 meetings overall.

Southern California at Arizona State (ESPN, 10:45 p.m. ET)
The Trojans hit the road for Tempe looking to rebound after getting humbled by rival Notre Dame in South Bend last weekend. With their playoff hopes effectively ended, it will be interesting to see how the Trojans rebound and handle themselves. USC has failed to cover in six in as row and seven of their past eight overall. Arizona State has used defense lately to get themselves on track. They have allowed a total of just 17 points in two games against Washington and at Utah, and they have covered four in a row. The 'under' has cashed in four in a row for the Sun Devils thanks to their lack of offense and improved defense. Arizona State has cashed in four in a row, while going 10-3 ATS in their past 13 home games and 11-4 ATS in the past 15 against teams with a winning overall record. The favorite has hit in five of the past six in this series.

[StarDust Bum]

CFB Ocotber's Best Bets & Opinions ( All Best Bets Based On 5 Units Per Play )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

10/21/2017 34-22-0 60.71% +49.00
10/20/2017 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
10/19/2017 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
10/14/2017 36-24-0 60.00% +48.00
10/13/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
10/12/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
10/11/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
10/07/2017 19-32-1 36.73% -80.50
10/06/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
10/05/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
10/04/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50

Total..............66 - 68........49.25%%.....- 18.50


Best Bets:*****
Best Bets :........................ATS............TOTALS.... .............O/U................TOTALS

10/21/2017.....................15 - 7............+36.50................3 - 1.................+9.50
10/20/2017......................2 - 0............+10.00..................1 - 2.................-6.00
10/19/2017......................1 - 1.............-0.50....................1 - 1.................-0.50
10/14/2017.....................16- 9.............+30.50.................1 - 1.................-0.50
10/13/2017......................2 - 0.............+10.00.................1 - 1.................-0.50
10/11/2017......................0 - 1..............-5.50...................0 - 1.................-5.50
10/07/2017.....................11 - 15..........- 27.50..................0 - 3................-16.50
10/06/2017......................2 - 1.............+1.75...................3 - 1................+9.50
10/05/2017......................1 - 0.............+5.00...................1 - 0................+5.00
10/04/2017......................0 - 1..............-5.50...................1 - 0................+5.00

Totals..........................52 - 35............+54.75..................12 - 11..............-0.50

*********************************

EMU at NIU 07:00 PM
EMU +7.5 *****
O 47.0 *****

TOL at BALL 07:00 PM
U 55.5 *****

USA at GSU 07:30 PM
GSU +1.0 *****
U 51.5

STAN at ORST 09:00 PM
STAN -21.5 *****
U 60.0 *****