Announcement

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 02:52 AM

NCAAF opening line report: Week 8 highlighted by high-profile rivalry games
Patrick Everson

"Not only is this game taking on more early bets than any other on the college betting board, but 65 percent of the bettors are counting on another Irish cover and Trojan noncover."

No. 10 Southern California Trojans at No. 16 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-4)

Southern Cal is 6-1 SU and the exact opposite 1-6 ATS, failing to cover the number in five consecutive games. In Week 7, the Trojans barely held off Utah 28-27 as a 13.5-point home favorite, winning when the Utes failed on a 2-point conversion late, instead of playing for overtime.

Notre Dame (5-1 SU and ATS) has won its last four games, all by at least 20 points. The Fighting Irish had a bye in Week 7, after topping North Carolina 33-10 as a 12-point road chalk.

“With a 1-6 ATS record, USC has been dismal to its loyal bettors this season,” Mason said. “Notre Dame has been on the opposite end of the spectrum, having covered five out of its last six games. Not only is this game taking on more early bets than any other on the college betting board, but 65 percent of the bettors are counting on another Irish cover and Trojan noncover.”

No. 15 Michigan Wolverines at No. 2 Penn State Nittany Lions (-10)

Penn State hopes to continue its trek toward a Big Ten title and perhaps a College Football Playoff berth. The Nittany Lions (6-0 SU, 4-1-1 ATS) had a Week 7 bye, after dumping Northwestern 31-7 as a 14-point road fave in Week 6.

Michigan (5-1 SU, 2-3-1 ATS) rebounded from its home loss to Michigan State, but didn’t look that good in doing so. The Wolverines needed overtime to beat Indiana 27-20 giving 7 points on the road.

Mason said Penn State was one of the biggest winners for the public in Weeks 5 and 6.

“Despite this, 58 percent of early bettors are counting on Michigan to cover its fourth straight game versus the Nittany Lions,” Mason said, alluding to the Wolverines winning and cashing in the last three meetings with Penn State.

No. 11 Oklahoma State at Texas Longhorns (+7)

Texas just saw one team from Oklahoma and will immediately see another, hoping for a better result this time. The Longhorns (3-3 SU, 4-1-1 ATS) stormed back from a 20-0 deficit against Oklahoma to take a 24-23 lead, but fell short 29-24 catching 9 points on a neutral field at the Cotton Bowl.

Oklahoma State (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) looks like it has returned to form on the offensive side of the ball. The Cowboys nearly hung a 60-burger on hapless Baylor, winning 59-16 as a hefty 26-point home chalk.

“Even though the public cashed on yet another Texas Red River Rivalry cover last Saturday, Oklahoma State is getting all of the early love here,” Mason said. “Only 20 percent of the tickets are on the Longhorns so far.”

No. 20 Central Florida Knights at Navy Midshipmen (+7)

Central Florida has quietly thrown a perfect game, SU and ATS, at 5-0 on both counts. The Knights boatraced a hapless East Carolina unit in Week 7, 63-21 giving 35 points.

Navy (5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) won its first five games to crack the national rankings and came close to staying perfect in Week 7. The Midshipmen fell at Memphis 30-27, pushing as a 3-point pup.

“Central Florida has been a money-making machine this season. Not only are they 5-0 ATS, but they won by double digits in each of the five games, with an average margin of victory of 33.8 pts,” Mason said. “No wonder Central Florida has more bets so far than any other team, and this game is our biggest sweat so far, with just 8 percent of bettors on Navy and the points.”

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 02:53 AM

College football's biggest betting mismatches: Week 8
Monty Andrews

Oklahoma State at Texas (+7.5, 65.5)

Oklahoma State's offensive gains vs. Texas' D-line struggles

The Oklahoma State Cowboys have surged into the top 10 in the national rankings following last week's blowout win over Baylor - and they'll look to continue their climb this week against host Texas. The Cowboys have bounced back nicely from a disappointing loss to TCU, scoring 100 points in wins over Texas Tech and Baylor while propelling themselves into top spot in the nation in passing yards per game. But it's their overall positive gains that give them a major edge of the Longhorns' suspect defense.

The Cowboys can move the chains with the best of them, averaging better than 411 yards through the air while sitting tied for first in points per game (48.8); the 747 yards it gained against the Bears last weekend established a school record. Oklahoma State has also limited yards lost, ranking inside the top-30 nationally in fewest tackles for loss allowed (4.83). Oklahoma State is also one of only 23 teams to have lost fewer than 100 yards on tackles for loss.

The Longhorns will hope to contain the Cowboys' sensational offense, but they aren't in great position to do so. The 264.8 passing yards they allow per game ranks outside the top 100 in Division I, and they rank in the bottom half of the nation in yards allowed per play (5.7). And they haven't had much luck wrapping up opposing teams in the backfield, sitting in a tie for 98th overall in tackles for loss per game (5.0). Look for the Cowboys to chew up positive yardage all game long.

Indiana at Michigan State (-7, 44.5)

Indiana's ball-security issues vs. Michigan State's positive turnover trend

It wasn't pretty, but Michigan State continued its winning ways over the weekend with a 30-27 triumph over Minnesota. Now, the Spartans return home to face an Indiana Hoosiers team that couldn't do what the Spartans did two weeks ago - beat the Michigan Wolverines. Michigan State has used a flurry of turnovers to build a nice winning streak, and will look to keep it going against a visiting Indiana roster that has had a tough time holding on to the football.

The Hoosiers have had a nightmare start to their conference schedule, drawing matchups with Ohio State, Penn State and Michigan; while Indiana actually made a game of it last weekend, the Wolverines prevailed 27-20 to drop Indiana to 0-3 in the Big Ten. The Hoosiers have forced just four turnovers all season while coughing up the football a whopping 13 times; that minus-9 turnover differential is tied for the fifth-worst mark in Division I.

The Spartans have been at the other end of the turnover spectrum, a major reason why Michigan State has kicked off Big Ten Conference play with three consecutive close victories. Michigan State has forced nine turnovers in those contests, including five in its upset victory over the Wolverines. After producing just two turnovers in their first three games, the Spartans have emerged as one of the top ball-hawking teams in the country - and that's bad news for the visiting Hoosiers.

Michigan at Penn State (-9.5, 42)

Michigan's moribund passing game vs. Penn State's premier pass defense

One of the marquee matchups of the week pits the scuffling Wolverines against the red-hot Nittany Lions, who have rolled to six straight wins but will face what is easily their stiffest test of the season. The Wolverines lost to rival Michigan State two weeks ago and looked ordinary in Indiana last week - and they'll need to figure out how to move the football through the air against a Penn State team that has stifled opponents' passing attacks all season long.

Most of the Wolverines' offensive firepower comes on the ground, where their 185 yards-per-game average sits inside the top 50. The passing game has been a major disappointment so far, producing just 191.4 yards per contest - just inside the top 100 in Division I - and only four total touchdowns. The Wolverines have also surrendered 16 sacks through their first six games despite passing on fewer than 42 percent of their total offensive plays.

Suffice to say that this might not be the week that Michigan gets right on offense. Penn State has risen to No. 2 in the rankings on the strength of a unit allowing just nine points per game, and has been elite in all facets of defense. The Nittany Lions limit foes to 167.8 passing yards per game - ninth-fewest in Division I - and have surrendered just three passing TDs through six games. They also have 17 sacks on the season, which bodes poorly for Michigan's mediocre offensive line.

Colorado at Washington State (-10.5, 56.5)

Colorado's third-down struggles vs. WSU's drive-extension skills

A 34-point loss to Cal resulted in a seven-spot drop down the rankings for Washington State, which aims to bounce back from that humiliating defeat at home against struggling Colorado. The Cougars bumbled and stumbled their way through last weekend's 37-3 drubbing, turning the ball over seven times to fall from eighth to 15th in the polls. But Washington State remains a terrific offensive team that should dominate on third downs against a Colorado roster that has struggled at preventing drive extensions.

The Buffaloes are coming off their first conference win of the season - a 36-33 slugfest with host Oregon State - but were fortunate to triumph after allowing the Beavers to gain 569 yards of offense while converting 10 of their 15 third-down situations. The latter stat has been a recurring problem for Colorado this season; it ranks 103rd nationally in third-down conversion rate, allowing teams to get to first down or the end zone a whopping 43.3 percent of the time.

The Cougars should be able to capitalize on Colorado's third-down problems despite going just 4-for-17 in last week's defeat. Despite that poor showing - and a positively dismal 2-for-14 showing against Oregon a week earlier - Washington State still sits 33rd in third-down conversion rate at 44.9 percent. Returning to prominence on third down will no doubt be a priority for the Cougars this week, and they have the right opponent in place for that to happen.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 02:55 AM

Sharps are closely monitoring these Week 8 college football games
Steve Merril

Spread to bet now:

Troy (-7) at Georgia State

This line was quickly bet down from -10 to -7.5, and has started to hit the key number of -7 in some locations. This is an overreaction and there is now value with Troy in this game, especially since RB Jordan Chunn (leg injury) has been upgraded to probable. Troy has extra prep time after playing last Wednesday and the Trojans will be focused to bounce back off that ugly national TV loss as an 18-point home favorite.

Georgia State enters this game on a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS run and that has created a lower pointspread in this game than normal. However, this is a potential flat spot for the Panthers after playing four straight road games, including back-to-back SU underdog wins. Troy holds a substantial defensive edge in this matchup, allowing just 4.8 yards per play, while Georgia State permits 6.3 yppl this season.

Spread to wait on:

Utah State (+4) at UNLV

This line was quickly bet up from +2.5 to +4 and will likely rise higher by this weekend. The public wants nothing to do with Utah State after back-to-back SU/ATS home losses. However, this road trip might actually help the Aggies re-focus and Utah State was excellent in their most recent road game four weeks ago; an easy 61-10 win at San Jose State.

UNLV blew a 27-0 lead at Air Force last week and lost 30-34. A hangover is definitely possible this week, and UNLV is just 1-2 SU/ATS at home this season which includes the biggest upset loss in history when Howard won 43-40 as a 44-point underdog at UNLV in September. The Rebels' defense has struggled this season, allowing 33.5 points per game on 6.1 yards per play.

Total to watch:

Boston College at Virginia (48.5)

After going 2-10 SU last year, Virginia is playing much better this season with a 5-1 SU start. The Cavaliers have gone 4-2 to the Under in those six games with a solid defense that is permitting just 20.0 points per game on 4.8 yards per play. The biggest strength has been the Cavaliers' pass defense which is allowing only 51% completions and 5.6 yards per pass versus opponents that average 59% and 6.6 ypp.

Boston College is coming off a huge 45-42 upset win at Louisville as a 21-point underdog. It was a rare high-scoring game for the Eagles who had gone 5-1 to the Under in their other six games this season while averaging just 16.3 points per game on offense. Boston College will struggle to throw the ball against UVA's strong secondary as the Eagles are averaging a terrible 4.9 yards per pass this year versus opponents that allow 6.3 ypp.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 02:56 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 19

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MEMPHIS (5 - 1) at HOUSTON (4 - 2) - 10/19/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 3) at ARKANSAS ST (3 - 2) - 10/19/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, October 20

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W KENTUCKY (4 - 2) at OLD DOMINION (2 - 4) - 10/20/2017, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARSHALL (5 - 1) at MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 4) - 10/20/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
MARSHALL is 42-68 ATS (-32.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 42-68 ATS (-32.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (2 - 4) at NEVADA (1 - 6) - 10/20/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COLORADO ST (5 - 2) at NEW MEXICO (3 - 3) - 10/20/2017, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 21

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IOWA (4 - 2) at NORTHWESTERN (3 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (2 - 5) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 4) - 10/21/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TROY (4 - 2) at GEORGIA ST (3 - 2) - 10/21/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 1-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SMU (4 - 2) at CINCINNATI (2 - 5) - 10/21/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NORTH TEXAS (4 - 2) at FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (3 - 4) at MIAMI OHIO (2 - 5) - 10/21/2017, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AKRON (4 - 3) at TOLEDO (5 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENT ST (2 - 5) at OHIO U (5 - 2) - 10/21/2017, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (4 - 2) at BOWLING GREEN (1 - 6) - 10/21/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 96-70 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W MICHIGAN (4 - 3) at E MICHIGAN (2 - 4) - 10/21/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (3 - 3) at MICHIGAN ST (5 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 78-106 ATS (-38.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UAB (4 - 2) at CHARLOTTE (0 - 7) - 10/21/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
UAB is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
CHARLOTTE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TEMPLE (3 - 4) at ARMY (5 - 2) - 10/21/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 since 1992.
TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
ARMY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games against American Athletic conference opponents since 1992.
ARMY is 81-109 ATS (-38.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BYU (1 - 6) at E CAROLINA (1 - 6) - 10/21/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games this season.
BYU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
BYU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
E CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
E CAROLINA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PURDUE (3 - 3) at RUTGERS (2 - 4) - 10/21/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (2 - 5) at DUKE (4 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 12:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SYRACUSE (4 - 3) at MIAMI (5 - 0) - 10/21/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C MICHIGAN (3 - 4) at BALL ST (2 - 4) - 10/21/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 2-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WAKE FOREST (4 - 2) at GEORGIA TECH (3 - 2) - 10/21/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
WAKE FOREST is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COASTAL CAROLINA (1 - 5) at APPALACHIAN ST (4 - 2) - 10/21/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (5 - 1) at PENN ST (6 - 0) - 10/21/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 53-77 ATS (-31.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
PENN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (3 - 3) at WISCONSIN (6 - 0) - 10/21/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA (1 - 6) at VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (3 - 4) at VIRGINIA (5 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (4 - 2) at BOISE ST (4 - 2) - 10/21/2017, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 135-99 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 135-99 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 75-47 ATS (+23.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
WYOMING is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-1 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (1 - 5) at TCU (6 - 0) - 10/21/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 122-159 ATS (-52.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 122-159 ATS (-52.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 73-111 ATS (-49.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
KANSAS is 45-79 ATS (-41.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 45-79 ATS (-41.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 86-117 ATS (-42.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 114-150 ATS (-51.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 93-127 ATS (-46.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 78-114 ATS (-47.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 51-84 ATS (-41.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
KANSAS is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
KANSAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (1 - 5) at UTSA (3 - 2) - 10/21/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTSA is 1-1 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GA SOUTHERN (0 - 5) at MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 6) - 10/21/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GA SOUTHERN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCF (5 - 0) at NAVY (5 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 164-121 ATS (+30.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 164-121 ATS (+30.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 93-56 ATS (+31.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 149-110 ATS (+28.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 105-70 ATS (+28.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
UCF is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IDAHO (2 - 4) at MISSOURI (1 - 5) - 10/21/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (5 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (4 - 2) - 10/21/2017, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S FLORIDA (6 - 0) at TULANE (3 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 91-124 ATS (-45.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (3 - 4) at UNLV (2 - 4) - 10/21/2017, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
UNLV is 85-121 ATS (-48.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 56-81 ATS (-33.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOUTHERN MISS (4 - 2) at LOUISIANA TECH (3 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON (4 - 3) at UCLA (3 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OREGON is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
UCLA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (4 - 2) at CALIFORNIA (4 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 55-87 ATS (-40.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 109-141 ATS (-46.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 81-123 ATS (-54.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (2 - 4) at MINNESOTA (3 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 123-164 ATS (-57.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 123-164 ATS (-57.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 120-154 ATS (-49.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 97-127 ATS (-42.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 81-126 ATS (-57.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (3 - 3) at ALABAMA (7 - 0) - 10/21/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
ALABAMA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as a favorite of 31 or more points since 1992.
ALABAMA is 56-80 ATS (-32.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 1) at TEXAS (3 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 86-57 ATS (+23.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (4 - 2) at BAYLOR (0 - 6) - 10/21/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUBURN (5 - 2) at ARKANSAS (2 - 4) - 10/21/2017, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS is 1-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (4 - 3) at FLORIDA ST (2 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (3 - 3) at S ALABAMA (2 - 4) - 10/21/2017, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
LA MONROE is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (6 - 1) at NOTRE DAME (5 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA (5 - 1) at KANSAS ST (3 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 87-62 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 87-62 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 118-86 ATS (+23.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 147-113 ATS (+22.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 115-85 ATS (+21.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 87-62 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU (5 - 2) at OLE MISS (3 - 3) - 10/21/2017, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 1-1 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (4 - 2) at TEXAS TECH (4 - 2) - 10/21/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 82-52 ATS (+24.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 82-52 ATS (+24.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 79-50 ATS (+24.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA ST (3 - 3) at UTAH (4 - 2) - 10/21/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (4 - 3) at WASHINGTON ST (6 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 10:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 36-67 ATS (-37.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO is 41-73 ATS (-39.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
WASHINGTON ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (4 - 2) at SAN DIEGO ST (6 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 02:57 AM

NCAAF

Week 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 19

LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE @ ARKANSAS STATE
Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arkansas State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

MEMPHIS @ HOUSTON
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games

Friday, October 20

WESTERN KENTUCKY @ OLD DOMINION
Western Kentucky is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games at home
Western Kentucky is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Old Dominion is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 7 games

MARSHALL @ MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Marshall is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Middle Tennessee's last 8 games
Middle Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

AIR FORCE @ NEVADA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Air Force's last 7 games at home
Air Force is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Nevada is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
Nevada is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

COLORADO STATE @ NEW MEXICO
Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico
Colorado State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Mexico's last 7 games
New Mexico is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Saturday, October 21

IDAHO @ MISSOURI
Idaho is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Idaho's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 6 games
Missouri is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

LOUISVILLE @ FLORIDA STATE
Louisville is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Louisville is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games at home

IOWA STATE @ TEXAS TECH
Iowa State is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa State's last 8 games on the road
Texas Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Iowa State
Texas Tech is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

IOWA @ NORTHWESTERN
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Iowa's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa

MARYLAND @ WISCONSIN
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Maryland's last 7 games on the road
Maryland is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

PURDUE @ RUTGERS
Purdue is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Purdue is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Rutgers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

OKLAHOMA STATE @ TEXAS
Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Oklahoma State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State

TULSA @ CONNECTICUT
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tulsa's last 8 games on the road
Tulsa is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

AKRON @ TOLEDO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 5 games on the road
Toledo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Toledo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

TEMPLE @ ARMY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Temple's last 5 games
Temple is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Army is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

PITTSBURGH @ DUKE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games
Duke is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

BOSTON COLLEGE @ VIRGINIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston College's last 7 games at home
Boston College is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

TROY @ GEORGIA STATE
Troy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Georgia State's last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Georgia State's last 23 games

NORTHERN ILLINOIS @ BOWLING GREEN
Northern Illinois is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 7 games when playing Northern Illinois
Bowling Green is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Northern Illinois

KENT STATE @ OHIO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kent State's last 9 games when playing Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ohio's last 9 games when playing Kent State
Ohio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

WESTERN MICHIGAN @ EASTERN MICHIGAN
Western Michigan is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 6 games

BUFFALO @ MIAMI-OH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami-OH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 6 games when playing Buffalo

CENTRAL MICHIGAN @ BALL STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games on the road
Ball State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Central Michigan
Ball State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Central Michigan

TENNESSEE @ ALABAMA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

SYRACUSE @ MIAMI-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Syracuse's last 7 games
Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Syracuse
Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

NORTH CAROLINA @ VIRGINIA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of North Carolina's last 10 games when playing Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games when playing at home against North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Virginia Tech's last 10 games when playing North Carolina

ARIZONA STATE @ UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona State's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games at home

ILLINOIS @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games at home
Illinois is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Illinois
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Illinois

INDIANA @ MICHIGAN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

GEORGIA SOUTHERN @ MASSACHUSETTS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 6 games on the road
Georgia Southern is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Massachusetts's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Massachusetts's last 9 games

CENTRAL FLORIDA @ NAVY
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Central Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Navy is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
Navy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

COASTAL CAROLINA @ APPALACHIAN STATE
Coastal Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Coastal Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Appalachian State is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games

KENTUCKY @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State
Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Mississippi State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kentucky
Mississippi State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

OREGON @ CALIFORNIA-LOS ANGELES
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing California-Los Angeles
Oregon is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against California-Los An
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing at home against Oregon
California-Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

OKLAHOMA @ KANSAS STATE
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas State
Kansas State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas State's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma

SOUTHERN METHODIST @ CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 14 games

NORTH TEXAS @ FLORIDA ATLANTIC
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Texas's last 8 games when playing Florida Atlantic
North Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida Atlantic's last 8 games when playing North Texas
Florida Atlantic is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

LOUISIANA-MONROE @ SOUTH ALABAMA
LLouisiana-Monroe is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games on the road
South Alabama is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
South Alabama is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

UTAH STATE @ NEVADA-LAS VEGAS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah State's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games when playing Nevada-Las Vegas
Nevada-Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games

ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM @ CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 5 games on the road
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

BRIGHAM YOUNG @ EAST CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brigham Young's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games
East Carolina is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games

SOUTHERN MISS @ LOUISIANA TECH
Southern Miss is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 6 games when playing Louisiana Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games when playing Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games

RICE @ TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rice's last 5 games at home
Rice is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Rice
Texas-San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Rice

SOUTH FLORIDA @ TULANE
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tulane is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Tulane is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

LOUISIANA STATE @ MISSISSIPPI
Louisiana State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana State's last 5 games when playing Mississippi
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing Louisiana State

AUBURN @ ARKANSAS
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Auburn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arkansas's last 13 games at home
Arkansas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

WAKE FOREST @ GEORGIA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 6 games when playing Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Georgia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

MICHIGAN @ PENN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Michigan's last 8 games at home
Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Penn State is 13-1-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA @ NOTRE DAME
Southern California is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
Southern California is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Notre Dame is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Notre Dame is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

ARIZONA @ CALIFORNIA
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing California
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
California is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
California is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

WEST VIRGINIA @ BAYLOR
West Virginia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
West Virginia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Baylor is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing West Virginia
Baylor is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games

KANSAS @ TEXAS CHRISTIAN
Kansas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas's last 8 games at home
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas

WYOMING @ BOISE STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wyoming's last 6 games on the road
Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wyoming
Boise State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Wyoming

FRESNO STATE @ SAN DIEGO STATE
Fresno State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Fresno State is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games
San Diego State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
San Diego State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

COLORADO @ WASHINGTON STATE
Colorado is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Colorado is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
Washington State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 02:58 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 8

Thursday’s game
Underdogs covered last four Memphis-Houston games; Tigers’ 48-44 (+6.5) win over Houston LY was their first in last seven series games. Memphis split its two road games this year, losing 40-13 (+4.5) at UCF, then routing UConn 70-31 (-14.5). Tigers won tough 30-27 game with Navy LW; they lost last three visits to Houston, by 1-10-41 points. Cougars lost 45-17 as a 13-point favorite at Tulsa; they allowed 200+ rushing yards in their two losses, 152 or less in their four wins. AAC home favorites are 7-4 vs spread in conference play.

Arkansas State scored 94 points in winning its first two Sun Belt games, by 18-34 points; they lost three of last four games with Louisiana, but won two of last three played here. Underdogs covered four of last six series games. Under Anderson, ASU is 12-5 vs spread as a home favorite. Ragin’ Cajuns allowed 16-7 points in their last two games, after allowing average of 53.8 ppg in first four games. Under Hudspeth, ULL is 18-11 vs spread as road underdogs, 1-2 this season. Sun Belt home favorites are 3-6 vs spread in conference play.

Friday’s games
Western Kentucky scored 60 pts/game in winning/covered its three games with Old Dominion, winning by 15-25-35 points. WKU split its two road games, losing 20-7 (-7.5) at Illinois, then escaping UTEP with a 15-14 (-17.5) win. Over last 4+ years, Hilltoppers are 7-10 vs spread as a road favorite. Old Dominion allowed 46 ppg in losing its last four games, all by 30+ points; Monarchs are 2-6 as home underdogs since moving up to I-A. C-USA home underdogs are 6-1 vs spread this season. Under is 3-2 in both teams’ games this season.

Marshall won its last four games, holding 3 of 4 opponents to 3 or less points; Thundering Herd is 2-1 on road this season- underdogs covered all three games. Marshall is 0-3 vs spread in its last three games as a road favorite. Middle Tennessee’s QB is hurt; they’re 2-1 at home this year but 1-3 vs spread when getting points. Since ’13, Blue Raiders are 3-2 as home dogs- they gave up 221+ rushing yards in their last three losses. C-USA home underdogs are 6-1 vs spread this season. MTSU is 6-1 vs spread in game following its last seven losses.

Air Force got its first I-A win LW, rallying back from down 30-7 in 3rd quarter to beat UNLV 34-30; Falcons allowed 266+ rushing yards in their last three games. Flyboys are 0-3 on road this year, 2-1 as road underdogs, despite allowing 44.3 pts/game- they’re 6-2 vs spread in last eight games as a road dog. Nevada is 1-6 with a loss to I-AA Idaho State; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 games as a home underdog. Over is 3-1 in last four games for both teams. Mountain West home underdogs are 2-5 vs spread this season.

Colorado State won its last three games, scoring 41 ppg, since losing at Alabama; Rams won their last seven games with New Mexico, covering last five. State won its last three visits to Albuquerque, by 7-24-4 points. Rams are 2-0 as road favorites this year, 8-3 going back to ’13. Lobos allowed 38-38 points in their last two games; they got blanked 38-0 in Fresno LW; they are 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as a home underdog. Mountain West home underdogs are 2-5 against the spread this season. Under is 4-1 in Lobos’ last five games.

Saturday’s top 13 games
Favorites won/covered 5 of last 6 Iowa-Northwestern games; Hawkeyes won three of last four series games- they’re 2-3 in last five visits to Evanston. Iowa split its two road games, winning 44-41 (OT) at Iowa St, losing 17-10 (+4) at Michigan State; Hawkeyes scored 24+ points in their four wins, were held to 19-10 in their two losses- they’re 17-5 vs spread in last 22 road games. Northwestern is 11-20 vs spread in last 31 home games; they’re 2-1 SU at home this year. Big 14 road teams are 15-8 vs spread in conference games.

Michigan State is 5-1, winning road games last two weeks by combined total of 7 points; they’re 12-10 in last 22 games as a home favorite, 3-0 this year. Spartans (-6.5) were upset 24-21 LY at Indiana, their first loss in eight games against the Hoosiers. Indiana hasn’t won/covered in their last six visits here, losing by average score of 46-17. Hoosiers lost in OT to Michigan LW, a tough loss; Indiana is 11-18 in its last 29 games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year. Big 14 home favorites are 5-6 against spread this season.

Underdogs covered six of last seven Wake Forest-Georgia Tech games; Deacons lost four of last five visits to Tech, losing last two, 30-27/30-17. Tech is 8-3 in last 11 series games- they are 3-2 this season with two 1-point losses, 42-41 to Tennessee, 25-24 at Miami. Jackets are 2-0 as a home favorite this year, 5-2 in last 7 tries as a HF. Wake had last week off; they lost to Florida State/Clemson before the bye but have road wins at BC/Appalachian State. Deacons are 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games as a road underdog. ACC home favorites are 3-8 vs spread.

Michigan won its last three games with Penn State; they pounded the Lions 49-10 LY, running ball for 326 yards. Wolverines lost three of last four visits to Happy Valley. Michigan is 5-1 this year but they’ve struggled on offense, have backup QB playing- they’re 4-8 vs spread in last 12 games as a road underdog. Penn State had a bye LW; they’re 6-0, 3-1 vs spread as a home favorite this year; under Franklin, they’re 13-7 as a home favorite. Lions ran ball for only 39-95 yards in their last couple of games. Big 14 home favorites are 5-6 vs spread this season.

Virginia won its last four games, is a surprising 5-1, with home loss to Indiana; Cavaliers are 6-4 vs spread in last ten games as a home favorite (2-0 this year). Virginia is +7 in turnovers; they were + in turnovers in every game but one. In their last two games, Virginia opponents were just 21-60/170 passing. BC beat Louisville 45-42 as a 21.5-point road underdog LW; Eagles are 3-1 as an underdog this year; since 2014, they’re 9-2-1 vs spread as a road underdog. BC ran ball for 364 yards at Louisville last week. These teams haven’t met since 2010.

Navy-Central Florida haven’t played before; UCF is 5-0 this year, beating Memphis 40-13- Navy lost 30-27 at Memphis last week. Knights won 38-10 at Maryland (Terps played #3 QB), 51-23 at Cincinnati in their two road games- under Frost, UCF is 4-0 vs spread as a road favorite. With 28 points their closest wins of year, if UCF has to play a full 60:00, it’ll be new to them. Navy is 5-1 after loss in Memphis LW; their last two games were both decide by a FG. Since 2013, Middies are 4-0 vs spread as a home underdog. Under is 4-2 in Navy games this season.

Oregon lost three of its last four games, giving app 37-49 points in their last two road games. Ducks scored total of 17 points in their last two games- they were 5-13/33 passing in 49-7 loss to Stanford LW. Oregon won its last six games with UCLA (teams last met in ’14), covering four of last five; they won 42-30/24-10 in last two visits to Pasadena. Ducks are 1-3-1 vs spread in last five games as a road underdog. UCLA lost three of last four games, allowing 47+ points in all three losses; they’re 5-12 vs spread in last 17 games as a home favorite.

Arizona ran ball for 425-457 yards in last two games, behind QB Tate, who has 557 of those yards himself. Wildcats are 2-0 on road, winning 63-16 at UTEP, 45-42 at Colorado; they’re 5-4 as road favorites under RichRod. Wildcats were held to 16-24 points in their two losses. Arizona won its last three games with Cal, but teams last met in 2014; Wildcats lost four of last five trips to Berkeley. Golden Bears snapped 3-game skid with shocking 37-3 home win over Wazzu LW. Cal covered all three of its games as a home underdog this season.

Oklahoma State won five of its last seven games with Texas, winning last four visits here (3-0-1 vs spread). Favorites are 7-0-1 vs spread in last eight series games. Cowboys scored 48 ppg in winning its three road games this year- since 2012, they’re 5-9-2 vs spread as a road favorite, 2-1 this season. Texas is 3-3 after tough 29-24 loss to Oklahoma LW; Longhorns played an OT game with K-State the week before that. Last 2+ years, Texas is 3-0-1 vs spread as a home dog. Big X home underdogs are 2-3 against the spread so far this season.

Louisville hammered Florida State 63-20 early LY, outgaining Seminoles 530-284. Cardinals are 1-2 in ACC play vs FSU- they lost 41-21 here in 2015. Cardinals allowed 1,075 yards, 84 points in losing its last two games; they were a 21.5-point fave when they lost to Boston College LW. Louisville split two road games this year, winning 47-35 at UNC, losing 39-25 at NC State two weeks ago. Florida State is 2-3 with shaky wins over Wake Forest (26-19), Duke (17-10); they ran ball for 203-228 yards last two weeks, taking heat off of their true freshman QB.

Home team won last four USC-Notre Dame games; Trojans lost 41-31/14-10 in last two visits to South Bend. Favorites covered last five series games. USC has a very young OL because of injuries; they split two road games, winning 30-20 at Cal, losing 30-27 at Wazzu. Since 2012, Trojans are 3-8 vs spread as a road underdog. Notre Dame is 5-1, losing 20-19 to Georgia at home; Irish ran ball for 674 yards in their last two games- they’re 7-6 vs spread in last 13 games as a home favorite. Pac-12 teams are 11-16 vs spread out of conference, 2-2 as underdogs.

Oklahoma allowed 1,400 yards in its last three games, narrow wins over Baylor (49-41), Texas (29-24), and a 38-31 home loss to Iowa State. Sooners are 8-2 in last ten games, with Kansas State, winning/covering their last four visits to Little Apple- they won 55-0 here two years ago. Oklahoma is 8-5 in its last 13 games as a road favorite. K-State lost its last two games; they were held to 216 yards in 26-6 home loss to TCU LW. Wildcats are 8-3 vs spread in their last 11 games as a home underdog. Big X home underdogs are 2-3 against the spread.

Iowa State is 4-2, with road wins at Akron (41-14), Oklahoma (38-31); they hammered Texas Tech 66-10 LY, after losing previous four games with Tech by average score of 42-27. State lost five of its last six visits to Lubbock (2-4 vs spread). Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in last seven series games. Texas Tech is 6-1-1 vs spread in its last eight games as a home favorite- they beat Arizona State 52-45 (-7) in only game this year as a home favorite. Home favorites are 4-4 vs spread in Big X games this season. Red Raiders allowed 41+ points in 3 of their last 5 games.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 03:10 AM

Tech Trends - Week 8
October 18, 2017

THURSDAY, OCT. 19

Matchup Skinny Edge

MEMPHIS at HOUSTON...Underdog team has covered last three years in series. Tigers 6-10 last 15 on board, but Cougs only 1-5-1 last 7 as home chalk.
Memphis, based on series and team trends.

UL-LAFAYETTE at ARKANSAS STATE...Ark State 14-6 vs. line at Jonesboro since 2014 for Blake Anderson. Red Wolves won and covered last two vs. ULL. Cajuns on 2-5 spread skid since late 2016.
Arkansas State, based on team trends.

FRIDAY, OCT. 20

Matchup Skinny Edge

WESTERN KENTUCKY at OLD DOMINION...WKU 1-4-1 vs. line under Mike Sanford, Jr. Though ODU only 1-5 vs. line TY and has failed to cover last three in a row vs. Tops. Monarchs 0-3 vs. line at home TY after 5-0-1 Norfolk mark LY.
Slight to Old Dominion, based on team trends.

MARSHALL at MTSU...Herd 5-1 vs. line TY and is 2-0-1 vs. line last three meetings. MTSU very middling in most categories, just 9-12-1 last 22 on board.
Slight to Marshall, based on recent series trends.

AIR FORCE at NEVADA...Force 1-5 last six as MW road chalk but is 5-3 last eight vs. spread overall and 22-16-1 last 39 on board. Pack 3-6 vs. line last nine in Reno, 7-12 vs. spread since 2016 (3-4 TY).
Air Force, based on team trends.

COLORADO STATE at NEW MEXICO....Like Davie has owned Air Force since arriving at UNM, he has been owned by CSU, which has won and covered last five meetings. Bobo has covered 8 straight and 10 of last 11 as visitor.
Colorado State, based on team and series trends.

SATURDAY, OCT. 14

Matchup Skinny Edge

IOWA at NORTHWESTERN...Iowa has won and covered 3 of last 4 meetings after Pat Fitz won and covered 3 of previous four in series. Ferentz 16-5-1 vs. spread as visitor since 2013.
Iowa, based on team trends.

TULSA at UCONN... Huskies now on 1-10 spread skid since midway LY after Temple upset! Tulsa 11-5 vs. line away from home since Philip Montgomery was hired in 2015.
Tulsa, based on team trends.

TROY at GEORGIA STATE...Troy 9-5-1 vs. line away since 2015, though has not covered last two seasons vs. GSU. Panthers 6-12 vs. spread as host since 2014.
Slight to Troy, based on team trends.

SMU at CINCINNATI...Bearcats now 2-3-1 vs. line for Fickell, 6-15-1 last 22 on board since late 2015. SMU on 10-3 spread uptick.
SMU, based on team trends.

NORTH TEXAS at FAU...Lane Kiffin has now covered 4 of last 5 TY for Owls. UNT just 2-4 vs. spread last six as visitor, though Seth Littrell is 5-3 as road dog since LY.
Slight to FAU, based on recent trends.

BUFFALO at MIAMI-OHIO...Buff now 6-1 vs. line in spread turnaround season. Meanwhile M-O a disappointing 1-6 vs. spread this term and has dropped all three vs. spread at Yager Stadium, and RedHawks 2-7 vs. spread last nine as host, though have covered last 2 in series.
Buffalo, based on recent trends.

AKRON at TOLEDO...Akron working on four straight covers TY. Bowden 6-2 last eight as road dog. UT 2-7-1 last ten, 4-10-1 last 15 vs. spread since early 2016.
Akron, based on recent trends.

KENT STATE at OHIO...Kent State has somehow covered 3 of last 4 TY despite scoring 3 or fewer in four of seven games this season. Solich has won and covered last three in series and is 16-9 last 25 on board since late 2015.
Solich and Ohio, based on team and recent series trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at BOWLING GREEN...NIU on 10-3-1 spread uptick since mid 2015. BGSU 5-14 vs. line for Jinks since LY.
NIU, based on team trends

WESTERN MICHIGAN at EASTERN MICHIGAN...EMU continues to cover, 5-1 vs. line TY, now 14-3 last 17 on board! Though note only 2-3 last five vs. spread at Ypsilanti. EMU has also covered 5 of last 7 vs. WMU. Broncos on 2-7 spread skid since late LY.
EMU, based on recent and series trends.

INDIANA at MICHIGAN STATE...Dantonio 3 -0 as East Lansing chalk after 4-8 mark in role past two years. Hoosiers mostly middling, just 7-9 vs. line since LY, but only 8-13 last 21 as visiting dog.
Slight to Michigan State, based on team trends.

UAB at CHARLOTTE...Charlotte had dropped 7 straight vs. line prior to Marshall cover. UAB 5-1 vs. line TY, 11-6 vs. spread for Bill Clark since 2014.
UAB, based on team trends.

TEMPLE at ARMY...Owls 1-6 vs. line since Rhule departed before bowl LY, but 11-3 as dog since 2015 (1-2 TY).
Slight to Army, based on recent trends.

BYU at EAST CAROLINA...Cougs no covers last 7 since late LY. ECU on 2-14-1 spread skid.
Slight to ECU, based on BYU negatives.

PURDUE at RUTGERS...Brohm 5-1 vs. line TY, 25-12-1 since late 2014 at WKU & Purdue. 'Gere 1-4 last 5 vs. line as Big Ten host.
Purdue, based on team trends.

PITT at DUKE...Narduzzi 8-4 vs. line as visiting dog since 2015, much better than home marks. Duke no covers last three TY but Cutcliffe still on 37-20-2 spread uptick.
Slight to Duke, based on series trends.

SYRACUSE at MIAMI-FL... Babers has covered 4 of last 5 as road dog since mid 2016. Richt 8-2 last ten vs. spread, and Miami 12-6-1 as home chalk since 2014.
Miami, based on team trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at BALL STATE... Ball has suffered a couple of bad beatings in a row, now no covers last four TY. CMU however only 2-5 vs. line TY, 4-13 last 17 vs. number. Ball on 5-14-1 vs. spread at Muncie since 2014, though Cards have covered last three meetings.
Slight to Ball State, based on series trends.

WAKE FOREST at GEORGIA TECH...Wake 5-1 vs. line TY, 11-3 last 14 on board since early 2016. Deacs 9-2 vs. spread last 11 away from Winston-Salem. Though Paul Johnson 9 straight covers since late 2016.
Slight to Wake Forest, based on extended trends.

COASTAL CAROLINA at APP STATE...CC only 1-5 vs. line in debut, no covers last 5. App just 2-9 vs. line last 11 at Boone.
Slight to App State, based on recent trends.

MICHIGAN at PENN STATE...Harbaugh 6-3 vs. line last nine away from Ann Arbor. Only 1-1 as dog with Wolverines (both vs. Ohio State). Has won and covered handily last two years vs. James Franklin including 49-10 LY. Penn State on 14-2 spread uptick since early 2016.
Slight to Penn State, based on recent trends.

MARYLAND at WISCONSIN...Durkin only 2-4 as visiting dog with Terps (though 2-1 TY). Badgers only 6-9-1 as home chalk for Paul Chryst (as opposed to 11-1 vs. line last 12 away from Camp Randall!).
Slight to Wisconsin, based on team trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at VIRGINIA TECH...Fedora 1-6 vs. line TY, 1-7-1 last nine on board. Heels no covers last four in series, though UNC 6-2 vs. spread last 8 as visitor. Hokies 5-3 as Blacksburg chalk for Fuente.
Virginia Tech, based on recent trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA...Addazio 9-2-1 last 11 as visiting dog and has covered last four TY. Cavs also now on 4-game cover streak.
Slight to BC, based on team trends.

WYOMING at BOISE STATE...Bohl has three covers in a row after opening with 3 straight Ls this season. Bohl 9-3 last 12 as dog. Broncos no covers last 12 (0-11-1) as blue carpet chalk!
Wyoming, based on team trends.

KANSAS at TCU...Frogs 1-8 as Fort Worth chalk since LY (1-2 TY), cover vs. Jackson State! Kansas has covered 5 straight in series! Though Beaty just 4-9 as road dog since 2015.
Slight to Kansas, based on team and series trends.

RICE at UTSA...Owls 1-5 vs. line TY, 0-4 as DD dog in 2017. Home team has covered last 3 in series.
UTSA, based on team and series trends.

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at UMASS...Something has to give here! GSU 4-13 vs. line since Summers took over LY, 2-5 as road dog. Mass 3-10 vs. line last 13 as host but is 5-5 last 10 as chalk (0-2 TY).
Slight to UMass, based on team trends.

UCF at NAVY...Scott Frost 5-0 vs. line TY and 13-5 since taking over UCF. Navy 7-2 last nine as dog.
Slight to Navy, based on team trends.

IDAHO at MISSOURI... Mizzou 4-10 vs. line last 14 on board. Vandals 18-3 vs. line away from Kibbie Dome since 2014.
Idaho, based on team trends.

KENTUCKY at MISSISSIPPI STATE...MSU only 2-4 vs. spread last six as SEC host. Stoops 5-1 as visiting dog since LY.
Kentucky, based on team trends.

USF at TULANE... USF has covered last four TY and on 21-10 spread run since 2015, also 15-6-1 as chalk since 2015.
Slight to USF, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at UNLV...Utags 2-11 vs. line last 13 away from home, 3-13 last 15 vs. spread in MW. Sanchez just 5-8 vs. line last 13 at Sam Boyd Stadium.
Slight to UNLV, based on extended Utag road woes.

SOUTHERN MISS at LA TECH...USM on 7-1 spread run since late LY. Golden Eagles have romped past Skip Holtz past two seasons. Tech on 3-6 spread skid since late LY.
Slight to Southern Miss, based on recent trends.

OREGON at UCLA...Bruins have lost last six meetings, Ducks covered 4 of those last 5, no win margin fewer than 12 that span, though those covered most of UO glory years. Mora 3-8 last 11 vs. spread at Rose Bowl. Mora on 5-14-1 spread skid, Ducks 3-7-1 last eleven on road.
Slight to Oregon, based on series trends.

ARIZONA at CAL...Rich-Rod 2-0 SU and vs. line away TY after 2-12 spread mark previous 14 away from Tucson. Even after WSU upset, Cal only 5-7 last 12 on board since mid 2016.
Slight to Arizona, based on recent trends.

ILLINOIS at MINNESOTA...Lovie Smith on 1-8 spread skid since late LY. Illini 8-18 vs. line on road since 2008 (0-2 TY). Gophers have covered 5 of last 6 meetings
Minnesota, based on team and series trends.

TENNESSEE at ALABAMA...Tide 8-3 vs. line last 11 in series and hasn’t lost to UT since Mike Shula’s last year of 2006. Saban 6-1 vs. line last seven as SEC host. Butch Jones 7-8-1 as dog since taking over Vols in 2013.
Alabama, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at TEXAS... Tom Herman unbeaten last five vs. line TY and 7-0 as dog since 2015 with Houston and Horns. Gundy just 5-9-1 as visiting chalk since 2012.
Texas, based on team trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at BAYLOR...Matt Rhule Temple and Baylor teams are 12-4 their last 14 as a dog. Baylor 4-1 vs. line last five in series, and Bears 5-0 as home dog since 2011.
Baylor, based on team and series trends.

AUBURN at ARKANSAS...Malzahn has won and covered 3 of 4 vs. his home-state Hogs since taking over Arkansas. Malzahn 6-4 as visiting chalk since 2013. Bielema on 0-7-1 spread skid since late LY.
Auburn, based on Arkansas woes.

LOUISVILLE at FLORIDA STATE...’Ville on 3-13 spread skid since mid 2016. But did romp over FSU big LY. Cards 2-6 vs. line last eight away from Papa John’s. Jimbo 0-4-1 vs. line TY.
Slight to FSU, based on team trends.

ULM at SOUTH ALABAMA...USA 2-10-1 vs. line at Mobile since 2014. Matt Viator’s ULM has covered five straight on road.
ULM, based on team trends.

USC at NOTRE DAME...Home team has won and covered last four meetings. Trojans on 1-7 spread skid since late LY. Irish in midst of turnaround, 5-1 SU and vs. spread TY.
Notre Dame, based on recent and series home trends.

OKLAHOMA at KANSAS STATE...Bill Snyder 33-18-1 as dog since returning to K-State in 2009. Sooners have covered 4 of last 6 meetings.
Slight to Kansas State, based on Snyder dog marks.

LSU at OLE MISS...Orgeron 5-1 vs. line last six away from Baton Rouge. Though home team has won and covered last four in series. Rebs have covered last 2 TY but still on 3-10 spread skid.
Slight to LSU, based on team trends.

IOWA STATE at TEXAS TECH...ISU destroyed TT 66-10 LY. Cyclones have covered 4 of last 6 on road, and Matt Campbell Toledo & ISU teams 19-10 as dog. Kingsbury however 7-1-1 last 9 as home chalk.
Slight to Iowa State, based on Campbell dog marks.

ARIZONA STATE at UTAH...Utes have covered four straight in series. Sun Devils 3-7-1 vs. spread last 11 as visitor. Whittingham 6-0 vs. line TY, on 10-2 spread uptick.
Utah, based on team trends.

COLORADO at WASHINGTON STATE...Leach 9-2 vs. spread last 11 as Pac-12 host. But Buffs have covered last seven as straight visitor, and MacIntyre 10-6 last 16 as dog.
Slight to Colorado, based on team trends.

FRESNO STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Tedford 5-0-1 vs. line TY, Fresno 7-0-1 last eight and 10-2-1 last 12 vs number. Bulldogs 6-1 last seven as dog. Aztecs 3-8 vs. line last 11 as Qualcomm chalk.
Fresno State, based on team and series trends.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 03:18 AM

Saturday's Surprising Bets
October 18, 2017

Almost nobody likes to go out of their comfort zone when it comes to betting on college football. They prefer their former school, or at least the conferences that you can see on television. That’s fine and all, but you’re leaving money on the table if you’re not careful. Check out some of the most shocking bets and their weekend slate as you prepare your Week 8 NCAAF betting ticket.

NO. 16 NOTRE DAME (5-1 SU and ATS)
Next Game: USC at Notre Dame -3.5

At this time last season, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish were untouchable. They ended their 2016 campaign with an abysmal betting record of 4-8 SU and ATS. Obviously, their fortunes have turned around immensely.

So how are they doing this?

Well, a lot of it has to do with schedule. As a glorious little independent school, Notre Dame always faces some whacked out slate and this year is no different. The Irish have faced Temple, Boston College, Miami of Ohio and UNC in blowout wins. Astonishingly, they also crushed the Michigan State Spartans 38-18 on the road.

The one-loss Irish have only coughed up a single game, and it was against the currently undefeated Georgia Bulldogs. That game happened all the way back in Week 2 when nobody knew that Georgia was this good and everyone anticipated Notre Dame to make a comeback. The Irish were -5.5 point favorites and lost 20-19 in an excellent game.

Truthfully, there’s no rhyme or reason for why Notre Dame is posting such a great ATS record and there’s no point in caring. Josh Adams is a fantastic running back talent and quarterback Brandon Wimbush is a very annoying, 6-foot-1 quarterback that likes to run for touchdowns. The Irish rank 5th in the country with 308 yards on the ground and are averaging 40.0 points against, while their fledgling schedule has granted them a 16.8 points against average. All good things.

The Irish face their biggest test of the year in the fun, annual rival game against USC this weekend. They’re soft favorites at -3.5, but the deliciously un-bettable Trojans are 1-5 ATS this season and Aaron Darnold is doing nothing to prove why he’s the top quarterback prospect in the country. Right now, there’s no reason to back off Notre Dame. Don’t overanalyze. Don’t overthink it. Just bet them, especially this weekend when the Trojans find another way to lose on the big stage.

NO. 20 UCF KNIGHTS (5-0 SU and ATS)
Next Game: UCF -7.5 at Navy

Offence, offence and more offense. That’s the ticket to the Knights, who have used turned in to a big play machine, which is sort of what they do. The trend with UCF is to just book them when they’re a hot ticket item. They’ve done this in the past so consistently that you can’t ignore it anymore.

UCF went 9-5 ATS in 2013, 8-4 ATS in 2014 and 2016 and threw the scent off the trail in 2015 with an abysmal, winless season that saw them go 2-10 ATS. The point is that outside of that one blip of a season two years ago, the Knights have been bankable. The Knights have their hands full with the wily Navy Midshipmen this weekend as -7.5 favorites but overall it’s not a huge concern. UCF is far too explosive offensively for Navy to keep up with, and the rush defence for the Knights is 18th best in the nation.

BUFFALO BULLS (3-4 SU and 7-0 ATS)
Next Game: Buffalo vs. Miami (Ohio) -3.0

This is pretty obvious. The Bulls are an automatic bet at the roulette wheel until the table turns up a red. Every now and then, there’s a team in a far off distance conference that nobody cares about that’s just going bananas against the spread. This year, it’s Buffalo in the MAC where they have to contend with a lot of pretty bad teams.

At its core, an ATS record is simply how well a team performs against long term expectations. The market on Buffalo and the MAC in general is so small that it doesn’t help or hurt a sportsbook to dole out lines. People don’t bet on Buffalo and teams in the lesser conferences because they’re unknowns and it’s terribly boring. Plus, you can never find them on television.

But why look a gift horse in the mouth? Buffalo is averaging a steady +3.1 point differential this season with a consistent passing game complimented by a well balanced defence. In short, Buffalo is simply well built. Take them as dogs on the road against Miami of Ohio and keeping spinning that wheel.

FRESNO STATE (4-2 SU and 5-0-1 ATS)
Next Game: Fresno State at San Diego State -7.5

People who have tracked Fresno State for this very reason have been well rewarded. They went 7-4 ATS over 12 games in 2016 and also buoyed a stretch of games in 2014 where they ripped off a 7-3 ATS record after beginning the year on their heels at 0-3 SU and ATS. The point is that we’ve seen these Bulldogs show some bite before. At +13.0 in point differential on the season, they’re either a great team to bet against fledgling competition or as spread busting heroes against monster lines.

GEORGIA TECH (3-2 SU and 5-0 ATS)
Next Game: Wake Forest at Georgia Tech -6.5

Nobody seems to be buying in on what Georgia Tech is doing, and that’s fine. But at 5-0 ATS on the year with both losses coming by one-point, why wouldn’t you take a look? The Jackets are led by quarterback TaQuon Marshall who has run his way in to the hearts of his classmates by leading a ground game that averages 362 yards per game. On top of that, the recruiting efforts on the defensive side have yielded positive gains with the team surrendering just 304.2 yards per game and 20.2 points against.

I’m not saying you should mortgage your future on the Jackets, but there’s value here that nobody else is really noticing. What they’re doing is riding a wave that they crated last year when they ended the season going 4-0 SU and ATS. Eventually, the bow will break and the flood is coming against Clemson next week. For now, however, Georgia Tech remains a bet-on proposition.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 03:22 AM

Memphis at Houston
October 17, 2017

This week’s Thursday night game figures to play a big role in determining the 2017 AAC West champion. Memphis and Houston are both 2-1 in conference play with Navy also in the mix on top of the division standings.

Here is a look at a key Thursday night game to kick off the college football weekend with these teams delivering an entertaining 48-44 result late last season.

Matchup: Memphis Tigers at Houston Cougars
Venue: At TDECU Stadium in Houston, Texas
Time/TV: Thursday, Oct. 19, 8:00 p.m. ET ESPN
Line: Houston -3, Over/Under 60½
Last Meeting: 2016, at Memphis (+6½) 48, Houston 44

Houston made national waves last season climbing as high as #6 in polls on the strength of a huge opening weekend victory over #3 Oklahoma. The Cougars would beat then #3 Louisville late in the season as well but wound up dropping three conference games and lost badly in the Las Vegas Bowl for a 9-4 final tally.

As was widely speculated late last season Tom Herman left Houston after just two successful seasons to take over at Texas. With no head coaching experience, Major Applewhite was hired to lead the Cougars in 2017 even though he coached the team in the 34-10 loss to San Diego State in the bowl season. Applewhite was a quarterback at Texas and spent six seasons under Mack Brown in Austin before serving as the offensive coordinator at Houston the past three seasons.

Houston’s 2017 started with some logistical challenges due to Hurricane Harvey as the opening week game with Texas-San Antonio wound up cancelled. The Cougars won Applewhite’s regular season debut with a win at Arizona, a victory that now looks a bit more impressive than it did at the time. A 27-24 loss to Texas Tech was a competitive performance before the Cougars won their first two AAC games in tight contests with Temple and SMU.

Last week’s loss at Tulsa was a setback however with an ugly 45-17 result. Houston struggled to stop Tulsa’s rushing attack allowing 288 yards on the ground and the Cougars also had three turnovers. It was a misleading final score however as it was still a seven-point game into the fourth quarter as Tulsa scored a pair of touchdowns in the final minute of the game.

Kyle Allen was one of the nation’s top recruits at Texas A&M in 2014. He had mixed results in two seasons with the Aggies before transferring to Houston last season, sitting out last year with the expectation to be the starter this season. Allen didn’t play particularly well in the first three games of the season with four interceptions and he has been replaced by senior Kyle Postma who had previously made two starts and saw some meaningful action the past two seasons when Greg Ward was injured, including leading a huge 35-34 win over Memphis two years ago. Postma’s numbers aren’t any better than Allen’s at this point in the season, though he is a bit more of a rushing presence.

The Cougars are actually posting stronger rushing numbers than last season, gaining 4.4 yards per carry with Duke Catalon nearly approaching his season total from a year ago when he led the Cougars in net rushing yards. A returning duo of receivers is on pace for strong contributions as well with seniors Steven Dunbar and Linell Bonner combining for 77 receptions in six games.

Houston had very impressive defensive scoring numbers until last week, holding Arizona to 16, Texas Tech to 27, and SMU to 22 for three strong showings against high scoring teams. Sophomore defensive lineman Ed Oliver is one of the highest regarded NFL draft prospects for the 2019 draft but he has battled a knee injury in recent weeks, though he has played the past two weeks since leaving the Temple game on September 30.

The Houston defense will be severely tested again this week as 5-1 Memphis has scored nearly 37 points per game. The Tigers lost 40-13 at UCF earlier this season but delivered a marquee non-conference win over UCLA and last week picked up a potentially big tiebreaker with a win over Navy, who currently leads the AAC West at 3-1.

Only a handful of quarterbacks nationally have been more productive than Memphis senior Riley Ferguson who seamlessly stepped in to replace NFL Draft pick Paxton Lynch last season. Ferguson threw for nearly 3,700 yards last season with 32 touchdowns and 10 interceptions and he is on a similar pace this season. Anthony Miller had 95 catches last season and in his senior season he already has 45 catches and nine touchdowns.

Memphis is on a stronger rushing pace this season as sophomore Darrell Henderson has incredibly gained 8.1 yards per rush while the top two rushers from last season Doroland Dorceus and Patrick Taylor remain positive contributors as well, though Dorceus is still working his way back from an early season injury. Collectively the Tigers have gained 5.1 yards per carry this season, up from just 4.3 last season.

Memphis caught some breaks last week with Navy committing five turnovers as the Tigers held on for a 30-27 win. The 3-0 start to the season also featured close calls over UL-Monroe and FCS Southern Illinois as well as the big 48-45 win over UCLA at home. Memphis will have to play at Tulsa in November while hosting improved Tulane and SMU teams in the remaining AAC games but a win this week will put the Tigers in the driver’s seat for their first trip to the conference championship game.

Should Memphis continue to have success Mike Norvell in just his second season as the head coach at Memphis, he could get some attention from major conference programs. He led successful offenses under Todd Graham and Tulsa, Pittsburgh, and Arizona State and as one of the younger coaches in the nation he would be an attractive fit for several programs leading a fan-friendly offense.

Last Season: These teams didn’t meet until Thanksgiving weekend last season with Navy already claiming the AAC West title. Both teams were headed to bowl games but Houston’s bid to be the top Group of Five squad had expired and the rumors of Herman heading to Texas were strong. The Cougars were still ranked team when they visited Memphis as they had just stunned then #3 Louisville 36-10 in a national TV game.

The teams traded scores early but Memphis managed to score the final 13 points of the first half to double-up Houston 34-17. Houston scored 20 consecutive points to start the second half to lead 37-34 with about seven minutes remaining. Memphis hit a long touchdown pass just after the four-minute mark but Houston answered with 1:29 on the clock to still lead by three. Ferguson with his feet and his arm brought the Tigers to the Houston 30-yard-line in just two plays to at least be in position to set-up a tying field goal attempt. A pass interference call gave Memphis 15 more yards and on 3rd-and-5 with 19 seconds remaining Ferguson hit Miller for the game-winning score.

Historical Trends:

-- Last season’s win snapped a six-game slide for Memphis in this series though they have covered in the past two meetings.

-- Going back to 1996 Houston has won 10 of 16 meetings with an 8-8 ATS mark, going 4-2 ATS the past six meetings with these teams meeting each year since 2009.

-- Memphis is on a 15-10-1 ATS run as a road underdog going back to the 2012 season though Memphis is just 2-6 in the past eight instances as an underdog regardless of venue.

-- Houston is 47-12 S/U and 31-25-1 ATS at home since 2008.

-- The Cougars went just 2-4 ATS at home last season however and are just 8-14 ATS as a home favorite since 2014, though 2-1 ATS this season under Applewhite.

-- As a single-digit favorite Houston is just 4-7 ATS since 2015 as the main area of success for the Cougars has been in the underdog role where Houston is 14-1 ATS since 2013 with nine S/U wins.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 03:24 AM

Thursday’s six-pack

NFL trends with Week 7 upon us……..

— Chiefs covered 7 of last 9 games as a favorite.

— Colts covered 12 of last 14 tries as a home underdog.

— Cleveland is 3-13 vs spread in its last 16 games.

— Panthers are 1-6-1 in last 8 tries as a road favorite.

— Dallas is 9-3 vs spread in its last 12 post-bye games.

— Atlanta is 8-1 in its last 9 games as a road underdog.

******************

Thursday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Philadelphia Eagle fans are not happy with NFL referee Pete Morelli; the last four times Morelli worked an Eagle game, his crew called a total of 40 penalties for 396 yards on the Iggles, only 8 penalties for 74 yards on their opponents. Its enough to make a guy paranoid.

A petition was circulated; last I heard, over 60,000 people had signed it, requesting that Morelli not work any more Eagle games. Alrighty then.

12) Andrew Luck had a setback with his injured shoulder, and now there is talk he won’t play at all this season, which is bad news for everyone in Indianapolis except Jacoby Brissett.

11) 2018 NFL Draft will be at Jerry World in Dallas, the first time the draft will be in an actual NFL stadium.

10) General Electric shelled out a lot of money to put their patch on the Boston Celtics’ uniforms this season; less than six minutes into the Celtics’ season, newly-acquired star Gordon Hayward breaks his ankle, is lost for the season. So much for seeing those patches in June.

9) Celtics were the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference last year, but they’ve got 11 new players on their team this season. Am I the only person who finds this unusual?

8) Jacksonville told its kicker Jason Myers to take a hike, signed former Chargers’ kicker Josh Lambo, who in a perfect world, would kick for the Packers (Lambeau Field…..get it??)

7) BYU’s football team is 1-6, with only win 20-6 against I-AA Portland State; they’re off to their worst start since 1969. Cougars need to join a league- -maybe when the new dome gets built in Las Vegas, UNLV/BYU can join the Big X as a western tandem.

6) When I was a kid, I loved game shows, totally enjoyed them. One of the games was Jokers’ Wild, hosted by Jack Barry, where contestants played with a simulated slot machine to try and win their money/prizes. It wasn’t the best show, but it had an odd appeal.

Now it is coming back on WTBS and it is being hosted by Snoop Dawg. I have no opinion on this, other than I’ve got to watch it at least once. In the commercials I saw, Snoop Dawg appears to be wearing a velour smoking jacket. If gameshows make a comeback, that would be good.

5) Yu Darvish walked with the bases loaded Monday night; he is the first pitcher in 40 years to walk with the bases loaded in a playoff game. Larry Christensen of the Phillies was the last pitcher to draw a bases loaded walk in a playoff game, in 1977.

4) Nick Young scored 23 points for the Warriors Tuesday night, but Golden State was also -10 in the 29:00 he was on the floor in their 122-121 loss to Houston. Warriors were +9 in the 19:00 he was on the bench, -10 when he was on the floor. Thats more important than his point total.

3) There are rumors that the Big 14 is considering moving to 20 conference games next season, with the eventual goal of juicing up their teams’ power ratings so mid-majors get blocked out of at-large bids for the NCAA tournament. That would be sad, if that is the reason.

2) Baseball playoffs:
New York 5, Houston 0— Astros have scored 9 runs in five series games.

1) When you watch NBA/college games this season, consider this:

Several years ago, I was sitting at an AAU tournament talking to a college basketball coach who is very good at his job. I was asking him lot of questions, trying to pick his brain as far as what he looked for at these tournaments with mostly glorified pickup games being played.

“I look at what their college skill is” the coach said. “Some guys shoot it well, others pass it well, some rebound well. I’ll tell you this, getting loose balls is a skill, too”

So when there is a loose ball in an NBA game and the same couple guys are getting most of them, know that their toughness/quickness is what helped get them to the NBA in the first place. Its not an accident.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 01:18 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 8

Thursday, October 19

Memphis @ Houston

Game 303-304
October 19, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
88.532
Houston
89.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+3); Over

LA-Lafayette @ Arkansas St

Game 305-306
October 19, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
72.109
Arkansas St
81.973
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 10
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 13
65
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Lafayette
(+13); Over

Friday, October 20

Western Kentucky @ Old Dominion

Game 307-308
October 20, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
80.646
Old Dominion
67.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 13 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 9 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(-9 1/2); Over

Marshall @ Middle Tennessee St

Game 309-310
October 20, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marshall
79.372
Middle Tennessee
79.372
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 5
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 2 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(-2 1/2); Over

Air Force @ Nevada

Game 311-312
October 20, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
82.488
Nevada
74.077
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Air Force
by 8 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 5 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Air Force
(-5 1/2); Under

Colorado State @ New Mexico

Game 313-314
October 20, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado State
95.625
New Mexico
79.136
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado State
by 16 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado State
by 7 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado State
(-7 1/2); Under

Princeton @ Harvard

Game 501-502
October 20, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Princeton
64.419
Harvard
58.083
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Princeton
by 6 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Princeton
by 4
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Princeton
(-4); Over

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 01:21 PM

ACC Report - Week 8
October 19, 2017

2017 ACC STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Boston College 3-4 1-3 4-3 2-5
Clemson 6-1 4-1 4-3 2-5
Duke 4-3 1-3 4-2-1 2-5
Florida State 2-3 2-2 0-3-2 0-5
Georgia Tech 3-2 2-1 5-0 1-4
Louisville 4-3 1-3 1-6 4-3
Miami (Fla.) 5-0 3-0 3-2 1-4
North Carolina 1-6 0-4 1-6 3-4
North Carolina State 6-1 4-0 3-4 3-4
Pittsburgh 2-5 0-3 1-4-2 1-5-1
Syracuse 4-3 2-1 4-2-1 1-6
Virginia 5-1 2-0 4-2 2-4
Virginia Tech 5-1 1-1 3-3 1-4-1
Wake Forest 4-2 1-2 4-1-1 2-4

Louisville at Florida State (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Cardinals and Seminoles hook up in Tallahassee, and it's a win or go home game for both. Both teams already have three losses, and a fourth loss would be unchartered territory, especially for FSU. The Cards are coming off a shocking 45-42 loss at home to Boston College, their second straight loss and fifth consecutive non-cover. FSU picked up a feel-good road win at Duke last weekend, but they're still 0-3-2 ATS overall on the season. The offense is struggling mightily behind a true freshman quarterback following the loss of Deondre Francois in their opener vs. Alabama. The 'under' has connected in each of the team's five games to date, as they're averaging an un-FSU-like 18.2 PPG on offense. Louisville shut down Murray State and Kent State in two out of conference games, but they have allowed 35 or more points in each of their four confernce tilts.

Pittsburgh at Duke (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m. ET)
The Panthers head down to Durham to battle the Blue Devils in a game between two teams desperate for a win. the Panthers have won just once in the past six outings, and they're 1-3-2 ATS during the span. The Blue Devils opened 4-0 SU/ATS in their first four outings, but they have dropped three in a row inside the conference while going 0-2-1 ATS. The 'under' has connected in five in a row for Duke, too. The under has also been a popular play for Pitt, going 4-0 in their past four on the road and 3-0-1 in their past four overall. However, the over is 8-3 across their past 11 league games and 7-2 over their past nine against teams with a winning overall mark.

Boston College at Virginia (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m. ET)
The Cavaliers are off to their best start since 2007, and they're just one win shy of becoming bowl eligible for the first time since 2011. They are expected to get their win Saturday against visiting Boston College, as UVA is a seven-point favorite as of Thursday morning. B.C. will be a tough out, as they stunned Louisville on the road last weekend and won't be intimidated. The Eagles have covered four in a row, and four of their past five league games. They're also 9-4 ATS over their past 13 road games and 8-1 ATS over the past nine road outings against teams with a winning home mark. The Cavs are 4-0 ATS over their past four, too, but just 4-10-1 ATS over the past 15 at home against teams with a losing road record. The under has been hot for both, going 36-14-1 over their past 51 road games, and 37-17-2 over the past 56 league games. The under is 6-1 in UVA's past seven home games, and 19-7-1 over their past 27 conference tilts.

Syracuse at Miami-Florida (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
What can Syracuse do for an encore? They stunned Clemson last weekend by a 27-24 score, tossing a huge monkey wrench into the ACC picture and national title picture. That's what kind of weekend it was all across college football last week. Miami needed a miracle fourth-down conversion to get into the red zone and earn a last-second field goal to top Georgia Tech. As such, the Canes moved to 6-1 ATS over their past seven ACC games, 4-1 ATS over their past five against teams with a winning overall mark and 8-2 ATS over their past 10 overall. 'Cuse is 5-0 ATS across their past five against winning teams, and 3-0-1 ATS in the past four league games. The favorite has hit six of the past seven, and the Orange are 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings. The under might be the play here. The under is 9-1 in Syracuse's past 10 league games, and 16-5 over their past 21 overall. The under is 5-1 in Miami's past six, and 5-1 in their past six league games.

North Carolina at Virginia Tech (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
The Tar Heels were expected to be a top-tier team in the ACC, but they have lost six of seven games and are already in danger of being eliminated from the bowl picture with a loss. Injuries have crushed Larry Fedora's bunch, and they find themselves a three-touchdown underdog heading to Blacksburg. Hey, for what it's worth, their only victory of the season came in the Commonwealth of Virgina, a 53-23 win at Old Dominion on Sept. 16. That was also their only coverage, as they're 1-6 ATS overall and 0-4 ATS since that victory. The 'under' is also 4-0 during the span, as their offense has wilted with inexperienced players at the skill positions and shaky offensive line play. The under is also 4-0-1 in Virginia Tech's past five home games, 13-3 in their past 16 following a bye and 20-8 over the past 28 inside the conference.

Wake Forest at Georgia Tech (ESPNU, 7:30 p.m.)
The Demon Deacons head down Interstate 85 to Atlanta to battle the Yellow Jackets. The Ramblin' Wreck should be awfully angry after letting their upset bid slip away in sloppy, wet conditions in Miami on a fluke fourth-quarter deflection and first down. The Demon Deacons are an impressive 7-1-1 ATS over their past nine conference tilts, and they're 5-1 ATS over their past six inside the conference. Wake is 8-2 ATS over the past 10 road outings, too. Georgia Tech has covered nine in a row, and they're 5-0 ATS over their past five against teams with a winning overall mark. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the past seven in this series, with the Deacs 5-2 ATS over the past seven. The under is 5-1 in the past six, too. Under bettors might love this game. The under is 17-4 in Wake's past 21 in the month of October, and 35-17 in their past 52 on the road. The under is 4-1 in Ga. Tech's past five at home, 5-0 in the past five league games and 4-1 in the past five against teams with a winning overall mark.

Bye Week
Clemson, North Carolina State

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 01:24 PM

Big 12 Report - Week 8
October 19, 2017
By Joe Williams

2017 BIG 12 STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Baylor 0-6 0-3 2-4 3-3
Iowa State 4-2 2-1 5-1 3-3
Kansas 1-5 0-3 1-5 5-1
Kansas State 3-3 1-2 2-3-1 3-3
Oklahoma 5-1 2-1 3-3 4-2
Oklahoma State 5-1 2-1 4-2 4-2
Texas 3-3 2-1 4-1-1 2-4
Texas Christian 6-0 3-0 3-3 2-4
Texas Tech 4-2 1-2 5-1 3-3
West Virginia 4-2 2-1 4-2 4-1-1

Oklahoma State at Texas (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Cowboys hit the road for Austin in a tough noon time kick. The Cowboys have won back-to-back games while scoring a total of 100 points since their setback against TCU back on Sept. 23. The Cowboys offense has posted 31 or more points in each of their games, and 41 or more points in each of their first victories. Texas played well in their rivalry game against Oklahoma, coming up just short in Dallas by a 29-24 count. However, they improved to 4-0-1 ATS over the past five outings. The 'under' hit in that one, and is now 4-1 over the past five for the 'Horns. The under is also 5-0-1 in the past six meetings in Austin. Oklahoma State has covered five in a row at Texas, while the road team is 9-1 ATS in the past 10 in this series. The favorite is also 16-5 ATS in the past 21 meetings. As of early Thursday morning the Cowboys are a touchdown road favorite.

Iowa State at Texas Tech (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)
The Cyclones really turned around their season with a win at Oklahoma, going from pushover to surprisingly tough out overnight. They blasted Kansas 45-0 last weekiend, and they've now covered five of their six games overall. Texas Tech is doing their usual thing, scoring plenty of points and not playing a lot of defense. They have managed 34 or more points in five of their six games while going 5-1 ATS. Their lone non-cover was last weekend in West Virginia, falling 46-35 as 5 1/2-point underdogs. The Red Raiders are a touchdown favorite as of Thursday morning. Total bettors might also like to know the over is 11-5 in the past 16 overall for I-State, 11-5 in their past 16 conference games and 6-1 in their past seven against teams with a winning record. The over is 14-6 in Texas Tech's past 20 at home, 13-4 in their past 17 against teams with a winning record and 5-1 in the past six inside the league.

Oklahoma at Kansas State (FOX, 4:00 p.m. ET)
The Sooners roll out to Manhattan trying to keep their playoff aspirations alive and well. There is no room for error after their stunning 38-31 loss against Iowa State two weeks ago. After opening the season 3-0 ATS, the Sooners are 0-3 ATS over their past three outings. For K-State, they started out 2-0 SU/ATS, but they have dropped three of the past four while going 0-3-1 ATS. In this series, Oklahoma has covered four in a row on the road against K-State, while the road team is 12-3-1 ATS over the past 16 meetings. The over is also 4-0 in the past four battles in Manhattan, while going 7-2 over the past nine meetings.

Kansas at Texas Christian (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)
The playoff-hopeful Horned Frogs look to keep on course against the lowly Jayhawks, and Vegas feels rather confident they'll do just that. TCU enters as a 39-point favorite. However, as we saw two weeks ago with Iowa State-Oklahoma, no team should be overlooked regardless of the spread. Kansas was blanked last week at Iowa State, but they have had some success on offense earlier in the season. The Jayhawks averaged 32.3 PPG over their first four outings, and the 'over' cashed in their first five outings. The under is 5-2 in the past seven home games for TCU, while going 5-1 in the past six conference tilts. The under is also 10-4 in the past 14 overall for TCU. The Jayhawks have covered five in a row in the series, while the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the past six outings. The undere is 4-1 in the past five in the series.

West Virginia at Baylor (No National TV, 8:00 p.m. ET)
The Mountaineers roll into Waco look to kick the Bears while they're down. West Virginia is an impressive 14-2 ATS over their past 16 road games against a team with a losing home record. Baylor has covered just eight of their past 26 overall, while going 7-16 ATS over the past 23 following a straight-up loss of 20 or more points. It has been a difficult season for Baylor, and it doesn't look to get any easier. West Virginia is just 1-4 ATS over the past five meetings, but that's also been when the Bears have been much, much better. West Virginia enters as just a 9 1/2-point favorite as of Thursday night. While the Bears have lost their three home games by just 6.0 PPG, outside of their impressive game against Oklahoma, those other teams were FCS Liberty and Texas-San Antonio. Not exactly the cream of the college football crop.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 01:26 PM

Pac-12 Report - Week 8
October 19, 2017
By Joe Williams

2017 PAC-12 STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Arizona 4-2 2-1 4-2 4-2
Arizona State 3-3 2-1 3-3 1-5
California 4-3 1-3 4-3 2-5
Colorado 4-3 1-3 2-5 3-4
Oregon 4-3 1-3 3-4 3-4
Oregon State 1-6 0-4 2-5 5-2
Southern California 6-1 4-1 1-6 3-4
Stanford 5-2 4-1 3-3-1 3-4
UCLA 3-3 1-2 1-5 5-1
Utah 4-2 1-2 5-0-1 2-4
Washington 6-1 3-1 4-3 2-5
Washington State 6-1 3-1 4-3 2-5

Arizona State at Utah (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Sun Devils used an amazing defensive effort to thwart Washington and deal their playoff chances a huge blow with a 13-7 win. It was a much-needed victory, getting AZ State back to 3-3. It was the first consecutive cover for the Sun Devils, and their first real sign of defense this season. They had allowed at least 30 points in each of their first five outings. Still, the under is an impressive 5-1 for Arizona State. Under results have been popular for Utah, too, going 4-2 overall. The Utes started out 4-0 SU, but they have dropped two in a row. Overall they're an impressive 5-0-1 ATS. After Arizona State's big win, a spread anywhere from 9 1/2 to 10 1/2 looks quite large. However, they're 4-12 ATS over their past 16 road games and 17-38-2 ATS over the past 57 road games against a team with a winning home mark. Utah has an impressive 5-2-1 ATS mark over their past eight at Rice-Eccles Stadium, and they're 3-0-1 ATS over their past four league games.

Oregon at UCLA (Pac-12 Network, 4:00 p.m. ET)
Oregon hits the road for UCLA in a battle of three-loss teams. The Ducks have really struggled on the road, going 2-7-1 ATS over their past 10 away from Autzen Stadium in Eugene, and they're just 5-15-1 ATS over their past 21 games overall. The Bruins haven't been much better, going 3-8 ATS over their past 11 at the Rose Bowl, while going 8-26 ATS in their past 34 tilts in the month of October. UCLA has also failed to cover in five straight league games, and four straight overall. Oregon has covered five of their past six trips to UCLA, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings overall. The under is 3-0-1 in the past four at UCLA. The Bruins haven't beaten the Ducks since 2007, dropping six straight in the series.

Southern California at Notre Dame (NBC, 7:30 p.m. ET)
In one of the marquee games of the weekend, perhaps THE marquee game, the Trojans and Irish square off in the shadows of Touchdown Jesus. The Trojans haven't had a lot of luck on the road in recent seasons, going 3-9 ATS over the past 12 away from home while going 2-6 ATS in their past eight non-conference tilts. USC is also 0-5 ATS over the past five games overall. On the flip side, Notre Dame has covered four straight non-conference games, but they're just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 against teams with a winning overall record. The favorite has cashed in five straight meetings in this series, while the home team is 4-0 ATS in the past four overall. The over is 10-4-1 in the past 15 non-conference games for USC, while going 6-2 in Notre Dame's past eight non-ACC battles.

Arizona at California (Pac-12 Network, 8:00 p.m. ET)
The Wildcats ran roughshod over UCLA last weekend, now they'll look to do the same against Cal. The Bears posted one of the most stunning victories of last weekend, topping previously unbeaten Washington State by a 37-3 count. The Wildcats have cashed in five of the past seven outings, but they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven against winning teams and 3-8 ATS in the past 11 inside the conference. The Wildcats are also 2-7 ATS over the past nine road games. For Cal, they have covered four of their past five at home. However, despite their big win last week, they're still just 6-13 ATS over their past 19 league games. They're also 3-7 ATS in the past 10 against teams with a winning overall mark. While those facts make Arizona look impressive against the number, they are 0-4 ATS in the past four meetings with Cal and 0-5 ATS in their past five trips to Berkeley.

Colorado at Washington State (ESPN, 10:45 p.m. ET)
The Cougars look to pick themselves up and dust themselves off after a stunning loss last week at Cal. It wasn't even so much that Washington State lost, but it's how they lost - a 37-3 whitewashing. Colorado has covered seven of their past nine games on the road, and they're 6-1 ATS in the past seven road outings against teams with a winning home mark. However, they have covered just once in the past six league games and they're 1-6 ATS in the past seven against a team with a winning record. Washington State hasn't been much better against winning clubs, going 2-5 ATS in the past seven against winning sides. However, they are 15-7 ATS in the past 22 inside the conference and 4-1 ATS across the past five overall. The underdog has cashed in five of the past seven meetings, and the road team is 5-2 ATS in the seven in this series.

Bye Teams
Oregon State, Stanford, Washington

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 01:28 PM

USC's defense dealt blow before facing ND
October 19, 2017

LOS ANGELES (AP) Southern California knows what it has to do to win at No. 13 Notre Dame, but another injury will make the task that much harder.

''I think our offense is going to do what they do,'' safety Chris Hawkins said. ''I think it's up to us to stop the run.''

The No. 11 Trojans are preparing to play without starting nose tackle Josh Fatu. Coach Clay Helton said Wednesday that Fatu was not expected to be cleared from a concussion he suffered in a car accident in time to play against the Fighting Irish.

Fatu has seven tackles for loss and five sacks, ranking second on the team in both categories.

Fatu's absence leaves Brandon Pili, a freshman who will be playing in his third career game, to deal with an experienced and capable Notre Dame offensive line that has been dominant in run blocking. Notre Dame is rushing for 308 yards per game, and its per-carry average of 6.90 yards ranks third among FBS teams.

Helton liked how Pili played in a 28-27 win over Utah, especially in giving inside linebacker Cam Smith the freedom to make plays.

''He really stepped up big time for us,'' Helton said. ''He just holds the point of attack. When you have a big man holding that gap where there's two offensive linemen having to double-team, who ends up having a great game? Cam Smith. You look at 16 tackles, that means the nose tackle is doing his job.''

Still, the Utes rushed for 169 yards. Hawkins said the defense was missing assignments in the first half, but played better as the game went on. The redshirt senior understands that similar breakdowns will result in long runs by quarterback Brandon Wimbush and running back Josh Adams.

The backfield pairing essentially has Notre Dame playing option football. The defense has to focus on Adams, who has rushed for 776 yards and five touchdowns. That allows Wimbush to keep the ball for big gains. Play-action can get linebackers and the secondary to overcommit, creating chances for explosive plays in the passing game.

''He's their best player on offense to me, along with their line,'' Hawkins said of Adams. ''I expect them to get the ball to him early, try to make us honest and then try to throw some shots over our heads.''

How Wimbush plays will likely determine which team keeps its aspirations of reaching the College Football Playoff alive for another week. Wimbush has one more completion (69) than rushing attempts (68) this season, which reflects his willingness to run and the overall efficiency of the Notre Dame offense.

However, in Notre Dame's 20-19 loss to No. 3 Georgia, Wimbush completed half of his 40 pass attempts for 210 yards and had one net yard rushing.

Putting the game on Wimbush's arm would seem to be the best approach, provided USC has enough healthy defenders to take away the run game.

Outside linebacker Porter Gustin will miss his fifth consecutive game with biceps and toe injuries. Defensive lineman Rasheem Green was held out of practice as he continues to deal with a sprained ankle.

''We certainly are missing our guys, but as a coordinator you look at what they do and what we have and formulate a game plan,'' defensive coordinator Clancy Pendergast said.

The level of concern is at the point that freshman defensive lineman Jay Tufele practiced with the first team. USC wants to redshirt Tufele this season, and the five-star recruit had been working on the scout team until this week.

Helton said Tufele wouldn't play against Notre Dame expect in an emergency because of injuries, but it reflects the level of concern with the depth on the defensive line.

Said Helton: ''We're a little light.''

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