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CFL Betting Notes - Week 20
David Schwab
Heading into this final week of the CFL regular season, Ottawa took a big step towards claiming its second-straight East Division title last Friday with a 41-36 victory against Hamilton as a 6 ½-point home favorite. In Friday’s other CFL action, Saskatchewan ran all over Montreal 37-12, but it just missed covering against the spread as a huge 16.5-point home favorite.
Saturday’s slate started off with British Columbia getting past Winnipeg 36-27 as a 6 ½-point road underdog. Edmonton made it a 4-0 clean sweep for the underdogs ATS in Week 19 by pulling off a stunning 29-20 outright upset over Calgary as a three-point dog at home.
Friday, Nov. 3
Montreal Alouettes (3-14 SU, 4-13 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (5-12 SU, 9-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -12.5
Total: 53
Game Overview
Montreal has to be relieved to see this nightmare of a season finally come to an end. After starting out 2-2 both straight-up and against the spread, the Alouettes have only managed to win one more game over the past 15 weeks. The last time they covered a spread was in that early August victory against Toronto. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games.
Hamilton’s second-half spurt with a SU 5-4 record in its last nine games gives some hope for next season after a 0-8 start put an early end to this year’s title hopes. The Tiger-Cats have gone a profitable 7-2 ATS in their last nine games with the total going OVER in four of the last five contests. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 438 yards and four touchdowns in last week’s loss to Ottawa.
Betting Trends
-- The road team in this East Division rivalry has won five of the last six meetings SU while going a perfect 6-0 ATS. The total went OVER in the last two matchups after staying UNDER in the previous four meetings.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-6 SU, 12-5 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (13-3-1 SU, 9-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9.5
Total: 53.5
Game Overview
Back-to-back losses to Toronto on the road and BC at home have created a three-team log-jam in the West for the second seed in the playoffs. Winnipeg does have the tie-breaker against the other two teams, but it still needs to win this game to lockup home field for the opening round. Injuries will make that task all the more harder, especially if quarterback Matt Nichols and running back Andrew Harris remain out of the lineup after going down in last week’s loss to the Lions.
It is hard to know what is going on with the CFL’s top team following Calgary’s recent losses to Saskatchewan at home and to Edmonton on the road. This snapped a record-103 games where the Stampeders were able two avoid posting two losses in a row. They have only managed to score a combined 27 points in those two defeats against a season scoring average of 30.5 points per game.
Betting Trends
-- Calgary has won the last seven meetings SU including a 29-10 victory on July 17 as a 3 ½-point road favorite. The Stampeders also have a 4-2 edge ATS in their last six games against Winnipeg with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in six of the last eight games in this West Division clash.
Saturday, Nov. 4
Edmonton Eskimos (11-6 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-7 SU, 10-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskachewan -5.5
Total: 54.5
Game Overview
It has been a wild ride for the Eskimos to this point in a season that started with a SU seven-game winning streak followed by six losses in a row. With last week’s upset against Calgary, they have now won their last four games SU while going 3-1 ATS. Mike Reilly has been near or at the top of the list in passing all season long with a CFL-high 5,536 yards and he has also led the way in touchdown passes with 30.
The Roughriders will try and end the season with a three-game winning streak both SU and ATS after beating Calgary on the road before last week’s win at home against Montreal. Saskatchewan has actually won four of its last five games SU with a 3-2 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in six of its last seven games.
Betting Trends
-- Saskatchewan has covered ATS in the last four meetings with the series tied 2-2 SU. The Roughriders took the total OVER 53 ½ points on their own earlier this season with a 54-31 victory against the Eskimos as 5 ½-point road underdogs.
Toronto Argonauts (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (7-10 SU, 6-10-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -1
Total: 52
Game Overview
Toronto is coming off a bye last week and with a win in this regular season finale it would lay claim to the East Division title and a first-round bye in the postseason. The Argonauts are 4-2 both SU and ATS in their last six games behind an offense that has averaged 31.7 points during this same span. Ricky Ray is second in the CFL in passing yards (5,205) and tied for fourth in touchdown throws (25).
The Lions are relegated to playing the role of spoiler after posting just their second SU win in their last 10 games following Saturday’s upset against Winnipeg. It was also just the second that BC covered the spread during this extended slide. Jonathon Jennings torched the Blue Bombers’ defensive secondary in that game with 408 yards passing and four touchdowns while completing 30 of his 40 passing attempts.
Betting Trends
-- The road team is a perfect 7-0 both SU and ATS in the last seven meetings in this inter-division tilt. BC drew first blood this season with a 28-15 victory on June 30 as a two-point road underdog. The total stayed UNDER 54 ½ points in that win and it has now stayed UNDER in the last four meetings.
David Schwab
Heading into this final week of the CFL regular season, Ottawa took a big step towards claiming its second-straight East Division title last Friday with a 41-36 victory against Hamilton as a 6 ½-point home favorite. In Friday’s other CFL action, Saskatchewan ran all over Montreal 37-12, but it just missed covering against the spread as a huge 16.5-point home favorite.
Saturday’s slate started off with British Columbia getting past Winnipeg 36-27 as a 6 ½-point road underdog. Edmonton made it a 4-0 clean sweep for the underdogs ATS in Week 19 by pulling off a stunning 29-20 outright upset over Calgary as a three-point dog at home.
Friday, Nov. 3
Montreal Alouettes (3-14 SU, 4-13 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (5-12 SU, 9-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -12.5
Total: 53
Game Overview
Montreal has to be relieved to see this nightmare of a season finally come to an end. After starting out 2-2 both straight-up and against the spread, the Alouettes have only managed to win one more game over the past 15 weeks. The last time they covered a spread was in that early August victory against Toronto. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games.
Hamilton’s second-half spurt with a SU 5-4 record in its last nine games gives some hope for next season after a 0-8 start put an early end to this year’s title hopes. The Tiger-Cats have gone a profitable 7-2 ATS in their last nine games with the total going OVER in four of the last five contests. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 438 yards and four touchdowns in last week’s loss to Ottawa.
Betting Trends
-- The road team in this East Division rivalry has won five of the last six meetings SU while going a perfect 6-0 ATS. The total went OVER in the last two matchups after staying UNDER in the previous four meetings.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-6 SU, 12-5 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (13-3-1 SU, 9-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9.5
Total: 53.5
Game Overview
Back-to-back losses to Toronto on the road and BC at home have created a three-team log-jam in the West for the second seed in the playoffs. Winnipeg does have the tie-breaker against the other two teams, but it still needs to win this game to lockup home field for the opening round. Injuries will make that task all the more harder, especially if quarterback Matt Nichols and running back Andrew Harris remain out of the lineup after going down in last week’s loss to the Lions.
It is hard to know what is going on with the CFL’s top team following Calgary’s recent losses to Saskatchewan at home and to Edmonton on the road. This snapped a record-103 games where the Stampeders were able two avoid posting two losses in a row. They have only managed to score a combined 27 points in those two defeats against a season scoring average of 30.5 points per game.
Betting Trends
-- Calgary has won the last seven meetings SU including a 29-10 victory on July 17 as a 3 ½-point road favorite. The Stampeders also have a 4-2 edge ATS in their last six games against Winnipeg with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in six of the last eight games in this West Division clash.
Saturday, Nov. 4
Edmonton Eskimos (11-6 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-7 SU, 10-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskachewan -5.5
Total: 54.5
Game Overview
It has been a wild ride for the Eskimos to this point in a season that started with a SU seven-game winning streak followed by six losses in a row. With last week’s upset against Calgary, they have now won their last four games SU while going 3-1 ATS. Mike Reilly has been near or at the top of the list in passing all season long with a CFL-high 5,536 yards and he has also led the way in touchdown passes with 30.
The Roughriders will try and end the season with a three-game winning streak both SU and ATS after beating Calgary on the road before last week’s win at home against Montreal. Saskatchewan has actually won four of its last five games SU with a 3-2 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in six of its last seven games.
Betting Trends
-- Saskatchewan has covered ATS in the last four meetings with the series tied 2-2 SU. The Roughriders took the total OVER 53 ½ points on their own earlier this season with a 54-31 victory against the Eskimos as 5 ½-point road underdogs.
Toronto Argonauts (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (7-10 SU, 6-10-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -1
Total: 52
Game Overview
Toronto is coming off a bye last week and with a win in this regular season finale it would lay claim to the East Division title and a first-round bye in the postseason. The Argonauts are 4-2 both SU and ATS in their last six games behind an offense that has averaged 31.7 points during this same span. Ricky Ray is second in the CFL in passing yards (5,205) and tied for fourth in touchdown throws (25).
The Lions are relegated to playing the role of spoiler after posting just their second SU win in their last 10 games following Saturday’s upset against Winnipeg. It was also just the second that BC covered the spread during this extended slide. Jonathon Jennings torched the Blue Bombers’ defensive secondary in that game with 408 yards passing and four touchdowns while completing 30 of his 40 passing attempts.
Betting Trends
-- The road team is a perfect 7-0 both SU and ATS in the last seven meetings in this inter-division tilt. BC drew first blood this season with a 28-15 victory on June 30 as a two-point road underdog. The total stayed UNDER 54 ½ points in that win and it has now stayed UNDER in the last four meetings.
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