The Bum's 2017 Canadian Football League Picks/Trends/News thru Grey Cup !!

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Record: Best Bets & Opinions ( Record based on 5 units )

Date W-L-T % Units

07/27/2017....................1-1-0...............50.00%.....................-0.50
07/24/2017....................N O PLAY.............................................
07/22/2017....................2-0-0.............100.00%...................+10.00
07/21/2017....................2-0-0.............100.00%...................+10.00
07/20/2017....................2-0-0.............100.00%...................+10.00
07/19/2017....................1-1-0...............50.00%.....................- 0.50
07/15/2017....................2-0-0.............100.00%...................+10.00
07/14/2017....................2-2-0..............50.00%.......................-1.00
07/13/2017....................1-1-0..............50.00%.......................-0.50
07/08/2017....................1-3-0..............25.00%.....................-11.50
07/07/2017....................1-1-0..............50.00%.......................-0.50
07/06/2017....................2-0-0............100.00%....................+10.00
07/01/2017....................1-1-0..............50.00%.......................-0.50
06/30/2017....................2-2-0..............50.00%.......................-1.00
06/29/2017................... 0-2-0............... 0.00%.................... -11.00
06/25/2017................... 1-1-0............. 50.00%...................... -0.50
06/24/2017................... 1-1-0 .............50.00% ......................-0.50
06/23/2017................... 2-0-0............ 100.00%................... +10.00
06/22/2017................... 0-2-0............... 0.00%..................... -11.00

Totals:.........................24 - 18.............57.14%...................... + 21.00

Total............................ATS.............. .........O/U.....................Total

07/27/2017....................0 - 1.....................1 - 0.......................-0.50
07/24/2017....................N O PLAY.............................................. ..
07/22/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0.....................+ 2.00
07/21/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0 ....................+ 2.00
07/20/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0.....................+ 2.00
07/19/2017....................0 - 1.....................1 - 0......................- 0.50
07/15/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0....................+ 10.00
07/14/2017....................2 - 0.....................0 - 2........................-1.00
07/13/2017....................1 - 0.....................0 - 1 ......................- 0.50
07/08/2017....................1 - 1-----------------0 - 2......................-11.50
07/07/2017....................1 - 0.....................0 - 1....................... -0.50
07/06/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0.....................+10.00
07/01/2017....................0 - 1.....................1 - 0.......................- 0.50
06/30/2017....................1 - 1.....................1 - 1.......................- 1.00
06/29/2017................... 0- 1..................... 0 - 1..................... -11.00
06/25/2017....................0 - 1.....................1 - 0........................-0.50
06/24/2017................... 1 - 0 ............. ......0 - 1........................-0.50
06/23/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0....................+ 10.00
06/22/2017....................0 - 1.....................0 - 1 ....................- 11.00

Totals...........................13 - 8.....................11 - 10....................- 3.00

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, JULY 28

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BC at EDM 09:30 PM

EDM -2.5

O 53.0

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday, July 29

Toronto Argonauts (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -2
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

Toronto’s win on Monday night made it the only team in the East Division with a SU winning record. All three victories have come against the division (Ottawa twice) and its two losses were against BC and Winnipeg by a combined 21 points. A healthy Ricky Ray at quarterback has returned to form with 1,896 passing yards, which is ranked second in the CFL. SJ Green has been his top target with 31 receptions for 518 yards, which is also second on the list.

The rough start for the Roughriders continued with last week’s loss to Calgary, but this team has been much better at home than on the road this season, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Saskatchewan has scored a combined 26 points in road losses to Montreal and the Stampeders, but it put up 40 points in a loss to Winnipeg and 37 points in an earlier win against Hamilton.

Betting Trends

-- Toronto has gone 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 road games against the Roughriders and it has a 5-2 edge SU in the last seven meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the last five games.


Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (3-1-1 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -12 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

Calgary is not the kind of place to snap a losing streak and it may take the Tiger-Cats a bit more time to get on track this season. They have gotten a decent effort from Zach Collaros at quarterback with 1,041 yards passing, but he has just three touchdown throws against four interceptions. Hamilton’s defense has really struggled so far and it has yet to hold an opponent to fewer than 31 points a game.

The Stampeders bounced back from a stunning Week 4 loss to Montreal as four-point road favorites with last week’s 17-point victory at home against the Roughriders. They also beat Winnipeg by 19 points on the road to remain one of the more dominating teams in the CFL on both sides of the ball. Calgary was 3-1-1 SU five games into its 2016 campaign and it went on to win 12 of its next 13 regular-season games.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has dominated this series over the past several years with a SU 10-0 run in the last 10 games, but the Tiger-Cats are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against the Stampeders. The total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings in Calgary.

**************************

Saturday, July 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (3 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 3) - 7/29/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (0 - 4) at CALGARY (3 - 1 - 1) - 7/29/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 125-93 ATS (+22.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
HAMILTON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, July 29

6:30 PM
TORONTO vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Saskatchewan's last 12 games
Saskatchewan is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

9:30 PM
HAMILTON vs. CALGARY
Hamilton is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Hamilton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, July 29

Hamilton @ Calgary

Game 377-378
July 29, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
107.584
Calgary
117.729
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 10
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 13 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(+13 1/2); Over

Toronto @ Saskatchewan

Game 375-376
July 29, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
109.355
Saskatchewan
110.066
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 1
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+3 1/2); Under

************************

Toronto (3-2) @ Saskatchewan (1-3)— Tw0 of Argonauts’ three wins are by 1-3 points (both vs Ottawa); they’re 1-1 on road, winning 26-25 in Ottawa, losing 33-25 at Winnipeg. Four of their five games stayed under the total. Argos scored 25+ points in four of five games. Saskatchewan was shut out in first half of 27-10 loss in Calgary last week- they were held to 251 total yards. Roughriders split their two home games, losing 43-40 in OT to Winnipeg, then drilling winless Hamilton 37-20- both of those games went over- their two road games stayed under.

Hamilton (0-4) @ Calgary (3-1-1)— Winless TigerCats are 0-3-1 vs spread, losing their two road games, 32-15 in Toronto, 37-20 in Regina. Hamilton lost 31-28 at home to Edmonton LW, but were outgained 417-265 by the Eskimos. TiCats are allowing 35.3 pts/game- they scored 26-28 last two weeks, their best outputs this year. Calgary is 1-1 as a home favorite, beating Ottawa 43-39 (-7), Saskatchewan 27-10 (-10). Stampeders won three of last four games since an opening tie; last week was first time in five games this season that they led at halftime.

*********************

CFL


Saturday, July 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday’s CFL doubleheader betting preview and odds
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ricky Ray threw for 367 yards and two touchdowns against Ottawa to notch his fifth consecutive 300-yard game, which is his longest streak since 2006.

Toronto Argonauts at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-3.5, 53.5)

The Toronto Argonauts look to separate themselves from the rest of the pack in the East Division when they hit the road to face the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Saturday. Lirim Hajrullahu kicked a 34-yard field goal as time expired to hand the Argonauts a 27-24 victory against the Ottawa Redblacks, and they hope to extend their lead at the top of the division by notching their third straight win in Regina, following road victories over the Roughriders in each of the last two seasons.

"This was a step in the right direction," Toronto coach Marc Trestman told reporters. "There is a lot of different ways to win and we found a way and that's important." Saskatchewan is heading in the wrong direction after a 27-10 setback to the Calgary Stampeders. The Roughriders, who have dropped three of their first four games, spotted the Stampeders a 17-0 lead and never recovered as they were held to 220 yards of total offence to fall to 6-16 since Chris Jones took the helm at the start of the 2016 season. "We've got work to do," Jones told reporters. "We've got to do a better job of not getting into that situation where we're not behind the eight ball all the time."

TV: 6:30 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The Roughriders opened as 2.5-point home chalk and that number has been bet up a full point to 3.5. The total hit the betting board at 53 on Tuesday and been bumped up to 53.5. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 1-4 O/U): Ricky Ray threw for 367 yards and two touchdowns against Ottawa to notch his fifth consecutive 300-yard game, which is his longest streak since 2006. Defensive lineman Cleyon Laing suffered a knee injury on the last play of the second quarter and will undergo an MRI to determine the severity of the knock while linebacker Bear Woods (concussion protocol) and defensive end Victor Butler (knee) are questionable for Saturday's clash. Running back James Wilder Jr., who accounted for 75 total yards in Week 5, will make his second straight start after Brandon Whitaker was placed on the six-game injured list.

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U): Kevin Glenn completed 20-of-29 passes for 203 yards against Calgary to become the seventh quarterback in CFL history to throw for more than 50,000 yards in his career. Wide receiver Duron Carter, who was suspended for one game last year for bumping Ottawa coach Rick Campbell, was fined an undisclosed amount by the league for shoving Calgary defensive back Josh Bell in the chest during pre-game warmups. "You can't cross midfield and Duron was totally in the wrong," Jones told reporters. "He made a mistake and understands he makes mistakes but we're not going to treat him different than anyone else."

TRENDS:

* Argonauts are 1-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

* Under is 4-1 in Argonauts last 5 games following a ATS loss.

* Over is 4-1 in Roughriders last 5 games following a ATS loss.

* Argonauts are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Saskatchewan.

CONSENSUS: The road dog Argonauts are getting 56 percent of the money line action from users and the Over is getting 53 percent of the totals wagers.

EXTRA POINTS:

* Toronto has won four of the last five meetings in Regina.

* Butler leads the league in sacks (seven) and forced fumbles (three).

* Saskatchewan has won four of its last six games against East Division opponents.



Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Calgary Stampeders (-13, 55.5)

The Calgary Stampeders look to continue their home dominance when they host the struggling Hamilton Tiger-Cats on Saturday. The Stampeders jumped out to a 17-0 lead and never looked back en route to a 27-10 victory against the Saskatchewan Roughriders in Week 5, and hope to extend their home winning streak to 13 games by continuing their mastery of the Tiger-Cats, whom they have beaten 10 straight times in the regular season.

"Everyone wants to come in here and beat us but we're always focused on getting better," Calgary wide receiver Marquay McDaniel told reporters. "Hamilton has no wins but they are going to come here hungry." Hamilton is left to go back to the drawing board following a 31-28 loss to the Edmonton Eskimos to drop to 0-4 for the first time since 2007. The Tiger-Cats led by 12 points in the fourth quarter, but couldn't close the deal and have dropped 10 of their last 11 regular-season games. To make matters worse, Hamilton hasn't beaten the Stampeders since a 55-36 triumph Sept. 25, 2011 and its futility in Calgary runs even further as the Tiger-Cats haven't emerged victorious from McMahon Stadium since 2004 - a span of 12 straight games.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The Stampeders opened up as massive 12.5 home chalk and that number wasn’t large enough for bettors and has been driven to to 13.5. The total hit the betting board at 54.5 and has been bet up a half-point to an even 55. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (0-4 SU, 0-3-1 ATS, 3-1 O/U): Zach Collaros continues to struggle as he completed 22-of-36 passes for 249 yards and a touchdown, but threw two interceptions against Edmonton and ranks last among active starters in passing yards (1,041) and passing efficiency (77.0). Hamilton defensive back Keon Lyn had to undergo surgery Friday after breaking his leg against the Eskimos and will likely miss the rest of the season. The Tiger-Cats added defensive back Dominique Ellis, who was cut during training camp, to the practice roster to help provide some relief to a unit, which has surrendered an average of 418 passing yards per game.

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (3-1-1 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U): Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 253 yards and two touchdowns, including a 44-yard score to McDaniel, for the 100th TD pass of his career, against Saskatchewan. Jerome Messam and Charleston Hughes were named two of the three CFL Top Performers of the Week after the former rushed for a season-high 135 yards to go along with a touchdown while the latter registered three sacks after missing the previous two games with a leg injury. Defensive back Brandon Smith, who had 70 tackles and one sack last season, is likely to make his first appearance of 2017 after coming off the six-game injured list while linebacker Deron Mayo is inching closer to a return.

TRENDS:

* Tiger-Cats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.

* Over is 6-1 in Tiger-Cats last 7 games following a straight up loss.

* Over is 4-1-1 in Stampeders last 6 games in Week 6.

* Tiger-Cats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Calgary.

CONSENSUS: The home favorite Stampeders are getting 58 percent of the action from users and the Over is picking up 54 percent of the totals wagers.

EXTRA POINTS:

* Mitchell has thrown at least one touchdown pass in 17 consecutive games.

* Messam leads the CFL with 323 rushing yards.

* Hamilton is averaging a league-low 22.2 points per game.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Record: Best Bets & Opinions ( Record based on 5 units )

Date W-L-T % Units

07/28/2017....................2-0-0.............100.00%..................+10.00
07/27/2017....................1-1-0...............50.00%.....................-0.50
07/24/2017....................N O PLAY.............................................
07/22/2017....................2-0-0.............100.00%...................+10.00
07/21/2017....................2-0-0.............100.00%...................+10.00
07/20/2017....................2-0-0.............100.00%...................+10.00
07/19/2017....................1-1-0...............50.00%.....................- 0.50
07/15/2017....................2-0-0.............100.00%...................+10.00
07/14/2017....................2-2-0..............50.00%.......................-1.00
07/13/2017....................1-1-0..............50.00%.......................-0.50
07/08/2017....................1-3-0..............25.00%.....................-11.50
07/07/2017....................1-1-0..............50.00%.......................-0.50
07/06/2017....................2-0-0............100.00%....................+10.00
07/01/2017....................1-1-0..............50.00%.......................-0.50
06/30/2017....................2-2-0..............50.00%.......................-1.00
06/29/2017................... 0-2-0............... 0.00%.................... -11.00
06/25/2017................... 1-1-0............. 50.00%...................... -0.50
06/24/2017................... 1-1-0 .............50.00% ......................-0.50
06/23/2017................... 2-0-0............ 100.00%................... +10.00
06/22/2017................... 0-2-0............... 0.00%..................... -11.00

Totals:.........................26 - 18.............59.09%...................... + 31.00

Total............................ATS.............. .........O/U.....................Total

07/28/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0...................+ 10.00
07/27/2017....................0 - 1.....................1 - 0.......................-0.50
07/24/2017....................N O PLAY.............................................. ..
07/22/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0.....................+ 2.00
07/21/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0 ....................+ 2.00
07/20/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0.....................+ 2.00
07/19/2017....................0 - 1.....................1 - 0......................- 0.50
07/15/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0....................+ 10.00
07/14/2017....................2 - 0.....................0 - 2........................-1.00
07/13/2017....................1 - 0.....................0 - 1 ......................- 0.50
07/08/2017....................1 - 1-----------------0 - 2......................-11.50
07/07/2017....................1 - 0.....................0 - 1....................... -0.50
07/06/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0.....................+10.00
07/01/2017....................0 - 1.....................1 - 0.......................- 0.50
06/30/2017....................1 - 1.....................1 - 1.......................- 1.00
06/29/2017................... 0- 1..................... 0 - 1..................... -11.00
06/25/2017....................0 - 1.....................1 - 0........................-0.50
06/24/2017................... 1 - 0 ............. ......0 - 1........................-0.50
06/23/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0....................+ 10.00
06/22/2017....................0 - 1.....................0 - 1 ....................- 11.00

Totals...........................14 - 8.....................12 - 10....................+ 7.00

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, JULY 29

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOR at SSK 06:30 PM

TOR +3.5

O 54.0

HAM at CGY 09:30 PM

CGY -13.0

O 55.5

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 7
July 31, 2017

Winnipeg got things started last week in the CFL with a wild last-second 41-40 victory against Montreal as a four-point home favorite. On Friday night, Edmonton remained perfect on the year with its 37-26 win at home against British Columbia as a 2 ½-point favorite on the closing line.

Saturday’s double header of action started with Saskatchewan outpacing Toronto 38-27 to cover as a 2 ½-point home favorite. Later that night, Calgary crushed Hamilton 60-1 as a heavy 12 ½-point favorite at home to move into second place in the West Division while keeping the Tiger-Cats winless on the year.

Thursday, Aug. 3

Calgary Stampeders (4-1-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

Calgary has been able to reestablish itself as one of the top CFL powers following a fluky loss to Montreal in Week 4 with a pair of lopsided victories in its last two games against Saskatchewan and Hamilton by a combined score of 87-11. The Stampeders are averaging 35.5 points per game behind Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback and running back Jerome Messam. One injury concern for Thursday would be wide receiver Kamar Jordan, who leads the team in receiving yards.

The Argonauts are a perfect 3-0 straight-up (2-1 against the spread) in the friendly confines of the watered-down East Division, but they fall to 0-3 (SU and ATS) against the West this season. Their defense has allowed a total of 99 points in those three setbacks and they have been outscored by a combined 32 points in inter-division play.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary is 4-1 both SU and ATS in its last five road games against Toronto and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings overall.

Friday, Aug. 4

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (1-4-1 SU, 5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 58 ½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers needed some last-second heroics to get past Montreal last week, but with quarterback Matt Nichols playing at a very high level this season, this is another offense that knows how to put points on the board with an average of 33.8 PPG. The reason for the up and down start has been a very porous defense that has allowed an average of 35.8 points over its first five games.

After playing two games in a span of six days in a crazy Week 5 expanded schedule, Ottawa definitely needed last week’s bye as a chance to regroup. The slow start for the defending Grey Cup Champs is more a product of its early season schedule than its overall play on the field. This week’s matchup should be a good test against a team the RedBlacks are expected to beat at home.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg has lost four of the last five meetings against Ottawa SU, but it has a 6-3 edge ATS in the last nine games between these two teams. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings in Ottawa.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -14
Total: 55 ½

Game Overview

Things could easily go from bad to worse this week in light of last Saturday night’s no-show against Calgary. After going 14-for-21 for 102 passing yards, the Tiger-Cats replaced an ineffective Zach Collaros with backup Jeremiah Masoli. He proceeded to complete just seven of his 15 attempts for 77 yards. In four previous games against teams from the West, Hamilton has allowed an average of 42.3 PPG including 41 points in a previous loss to Edmonton in Week 5.

The Eskimos have done just about everything right in its perfect SU start. They are averaging 28.8 PPG behind Mike Reilly at quarterback, but more importantly their defense has remained rather stout with a points-allowed average of 24.2. Edmonton did allow 28 points on the road in that first meeting against the Tiger-Cats and it did need an 18-3 rally in the fourth quarter just to come away with the SU win.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton has won 11 of its last 15 home games against Hamilton SU, but the Tiger-Cats have been able to cover ATS in four of their last five trips to Commonwealth Stadium. The total has gone OVER in four of those last five meetings in Edmonton.

Saturday, Aug. 5

Saskatchewan Roughriders (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Lions -4 ½
Total: 57

Game Overview

While the Roughriders have gone 2-1 SU at home this season with a scoring average of 38.3 PPG after putting up 38 points against Toronto last week, they are still looking for their first SU win on the road after posting a combined 26 points in losses to Montreal and Calgary. You still have to be impressed with the early play of Kevin Glenn as the team’s starting quarterback after throwing for 1,598 yards and 11 touchdowns in his first five games including four scores in last week’s win.

BC has looked like world beaters against every team it has faced this season that is not named Edmonton. This will the first of a home-and-home series against Saskatchewan that changes venues for the next meeting on Aug. 13. Travis Lulay came back to earth in his last start against the Eskimos after crossing the 400-yard mark in passing yards in each of his first two games replacing Jonathon Jennings at quarterback. He has also tossed six interceptions to go with his seven touchdown throws.

Betting Trends

-- BC brings a five-game winning streak against Saskatchewan both SU and ATS into Saturday night’s tilt. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings in this West Division rivalry.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

Thursday, August 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (4 - 1 - 1) at TORONTO (3 - 3) - 8/3/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 126-93 ATS (+23.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in August games since 1996.
TORONTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 since 1996.
TORONTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, August 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (3 - 2) at OTTAWA (1 - 4 - 1) - 8/4/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (0 - 5) at EDMONTON (5 - 0) - 8/4/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
EDMONTON is 37-61 ATS (-30.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, August 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 3) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 2) - 8/5/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 129-94 ATS (+25.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-0 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

CFL

Week 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, August 3

7:30 PM
CALGARY vs. TORONTO
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary


Friday, August 4

7:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Ottawa's last 13 games when playing Winnipeg
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg

9:30 PM
HAMILTON vs. EDMONTON
Hamilton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Hamilton is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Edmonton is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home


Saturday, August 5

7:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Saskatchewan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of British Columbia's last 13 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of British Columbia's last 9 games


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 6
August 1, 2017

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 4-0 SU in Week 6
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 6
-- Home teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 6
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 6
-- The 'Over' went 4-0 in Week 6

Analysis

Poor Hamilton (0-5). After an exciting first few games in Week 6, the TiCats were embarrassed in Calgary (4-1-1) to wrap up the CFL card.

And it wasn't just a beating, or a blowout...it was a massacre. The Stampeders cruised to a 60-1 victory over the TiCats, including 30 of those points in the second quarter. Calgary had a pair of defensive/special teams touchdowns, as Ray Finch ripped off a punt return for score, making like former Argonauts return great Pinball Clemons, dodging and darting through Hamilton tacklers. Shaq Richardson also had a pick-six, and almost had another one earlier in the game.

Calgary has won 13 straight at home against Hamilton, but none of the victories have been as emphatic. The Stamps nearly set a franchise record in points, missing out on their previous best of 62. They did however set a new team mark for margin of victory, smashing the old record of 50. Lost in all of the hoopla was the injury to WR Kamar Jorden, who suffered a leg injury early in the first half.

The Stamps needed a victory, because provincial rival Edmonton (5-0) picked up a solid 37-26 win over the BC Lions (4-2) to keep their record unblemished.

Team Betting Notes

-- The eye-popping 60 points for the Stamps was impressive, but they also held the TiCats to the league's lowest scoring output of the season, allowing just the one single. Calgary's defense has been suffocating lately, allowing just 12.8 points per game (PPG) over the past four outings, including 5.5 PPG in their past two home outings. Calgary has also covered in back-to-back games for the first time this season.

-- The Esks have won five in a row, although they hadn't exactly been dominating until Week 6. Edmonton's first four games were decided by an average of 3.0 PPG, and they opened 1-3 ATS. Their cover in Week 6 was their first since also covering in Vancouver against BC back on June 24.

-- Montreal (2-4) will be smarting for a long, long time after their loss on Thursday in Winnipeg (3-2). The Alouettes were leading 40-28 on the road, looking to even up at 3-3. However, in just 44 seconds the Blue Bombers were able to make that 12-point deficit disappear, taking a 41-40 lead. To make matters worse, they have two weeks off to think about it before resuming play Aug. 11 at home against Toronto (3-3).

-- Speaking of the Argos, they have alternated wins and losses in all six of their outings. Odd-numbered weeks have resulted in wins, and even-numbered weeks have been setbacks. That includes a disappointing 38-27 loss at Saskatchewan (2-3). Toronto is now 0-3 ATS over the past three games, and 1-4 ATS over the past five.

-- The Roughriders got off to a rough start, losing their first two games. However, those two setbacks were by a total of four points, including a narrow one-point loss to the Als in Week 1. The only time Saskatchewan has looked overmatched was in their 27-10 loss on July 22 in a trip to Calgary. The 'over' has hit in three of the past four for the Riders, as they have scored 37 or more points in three of their past four outings.

-- Winnipeg's offense continues to hit on all cylinders, going for 41 or more points in back-to-back games, and three of their first five overall. As such, the 'over' is 4-1 through their first give games. Their defense leaves a lot to be desired, however, yielding 35.8 PPG through five outings.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Calgary (4-1-1) @ Toronto (3-3)— Stampeders crushed hapless Hamilton 60-1 last week; it was 39-1 at the half. Calgary is just 1-1-1 on road, 1-2 as a road favorite- home teams covered five of their six games this year— over is 4-2 in their games. Toronto has gone WLWLWL this year; they’re 2-1 at home, losing 28-15 to BC. Four of their six games stayed under total. Calgary won six games in a row against the Argos, winning last three played here, by 18-5-7 points. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Winnipeg (3-2) @ Ottawa (1-4-1)— Blue Bombers were down 40-28 with 1:00 to play LW and then stunned Montreal, 41-40. RedBlacks’ four losses are by total of 11 points; throw in the tie and they’re 11 points from being 6-0. Ottawa won four of last five games with Winnipeg; three of last four series games stayed under. Blue Bombers’ last two games were decided by total of four points; they’re 1-1 on road, winning in OT at Regina, losing 45-42 at BC. Over is 4-1 in Winnipeg games; last four Ottawa games stayed under.

Hamilton (0-5) @ Edmonton (5-0)— TiCats got eviscerated 60-1 last week; they’re 0-4-1 vs spread, losing road games this year, by 17-17-59 points- their lone cover was a 31-28 home loss to the Eskimos two weeks ago. Edmonton outgunned them 417-265. TiCats’ last four games went over. Edmonton is 5-0, with four wins by four or less points; Eskimos are 1-2 as a home favorite, winning home games by 4-2-11 points. Under is 3-2 in Edmonton games this season. Road team won last six series games; Hamilton won last two visits here, 37-31/49-20.

Saskatchewan (2-3) @ BC Lions (4-2)— Lions had their 4-game win streak snapped at Edmonton last week; they split pair of 3-point decisions in their two home games. BC is 3-0 if they allow 26 or less points; they gave up 30-37 in their two losses. Lions’ last three games all went over the total. Roughriders scored 37-38 points in their two wins, 16-40-10 points in their losses- they scored 16-10 points in their two road games. Three of their last four games went over. BC beat Saskatchewan three times last year, winning by 13-18-23 points.

Favorites vs spread for season: 12-12-1
over/under: 13-12

[StarDust Bum]

CFL


Thursday, August 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday's CFL betting preview and odds: Stampeders at Argonauts
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Calgary has won the last four meetings in Toronto, including an emphatic 48-20 triumph at BMO Field in 2016.

Calgary Stampeders at Toronto Argonauts (+5, 54.5)

The Calgary Stampeders look to build off their record-breaking performance when they hit the road to take on the Toronto Argonauts on Thursday. The Stampeders routed the Hamilton Tiger-Cats 60-1 in Week 6 to register their largest margin of victory in franchise history while extending their home winning streak to 13 games, and hope to continue their dominance of the Argonauts by notching their seventh consecutive victory in the series.

Calgary has won the last four meetings in Toronto, including an emphatic 48-20 triumph at BMO Field in 2016, and hope to scorch an Argonauts' defence, which has surrendered 31.7 points over their last three contests overall. Toronto looks to bounce back from a disappointing 38-27 setback to the Saskatchewan Roughriders. The first-place Argonauts seemed poised to create some separation at the top of the East Division, but were outscored 18-3 in the fourth quarter, and hope to rebound by notching their first win against Calgary since a 33-27 victory Sept. 21, 2013. "We came up short and we're disappointed but we're not discouraged as we're ready to move on," Toronto coach Marc Trestman told reporters. "We have a game in a couple of days so our guys have to have amnesia right now and put it behind them."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The Stampeders opened as four-point road favorites and by Wednesday night they were bet up to five-point faves. The total opened at 54.5 and still sits on that opening number.

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (4-1-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U): Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 197 yards and a score in two quarters against Hamilton to extend his touchdown passing streak to 18 games in a row and Jerome Messam rushed for 91 yards and three touchdowns to take his league-leading total to 414. Marken Michel had a career night as he hauled in six passes for 190 yards and a touchdown off the bench after Kamar Jorden, who leads the league with four TD catches, suffered an ankle injury in the first quarter. "Unfortunately KJ went down but hopefully it isn't a bad injury," Michel told reporters. "Coach (Dave Dickenson) preaches the next man up and you have to have that mentality."

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U): Ricky Ray completed 28-of-38 passes for 386 yards and three touchdowns against Saskatchewan to become Toronto's all-time leader in passing yards (16,634), eclipsing Condredge Holloway long-standing mark of 16,619. Ray (305) also moved past Matt Dunigan (303) for fifth place on the CFL's all-time passing touchdowns list with a 14-yard scoring strike to S.J. Green in the second quarter. Linebacker Bear Woods showed no ill effects of the head injury he suffered in the 27-24 victory over the Ottawa Redblacks on July 24 as he led the team with eight tackles against the Roughriders.

TRENDS:

* Stampeders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 7.
* Argonauts are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 5-0 in Stampeders last 5 games in August.
* Under is 4-0 in Argonauts last 4 home games.
* Stampeders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Toronto.

CONSENSUS: The road favorite Stampeders are getting 65 percent of the action from users and the Over is picking up 62 percent of the totals wagers. View full consensus data for this matchup here.

EXTRA POINTS:

* The Stampeders are 8-2-1 in their last 11 games against East Division opponents.
* Argonauts RB Anthony Coombs has caught eight or more passes in each of his last three contests.
* Ray has thrown for more than 300 yards in six straight games, which is the longest streak of his career.

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, AUGUST 3

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CGY at TOR 07:30 PM

TOR +6.0

O 52.5

[StarDust Bum]

GAME RECAP
MCDANIEL’S DOUBLE DIP LEADS STAMPS TO VICTORY IN TORONTO

TORONTO — The Calgary Stampeders dominance continued on Thursday night at BMO Field, defeating the Toronto Argonauts 41-24.

Four different Stampeders found the end zone in the victory – Jerome Messam rushed in a major score, DaVaris Daniels caught one while Marquay McDaniel caught two through the air and Roy Finch returned a punt 103 yards to the house. Finch’s punt return was his second in as many weeks – the first was a 97-yard return last week against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats.

Bo Levi Mitchell completed 19 of 24 passes for 249 yards and three touchdowns in the win.

With the win, Calgary has won three games in a row and improved their record to 5-1-1 – their only loss coming in Week 4 against the Montreal Alouettes.

After returning to the lineup from injury, Ray got Brandon Whitaker got into the game right away, giving him the ball on the first play for a three-yard gain. But the Argos couldn’t get anything going on their opening drive and Lirim Hajrullahu had to punt the ball away.

But Toronto wasn’t ready to give the ball to the Stampeders just yet.

Cameron Walker recovered a Finch fumble on the Stamps’ opening punt return to bring the Argos offence right back on the field.

S.J. Green cashed in on the turnover, catching his third touchdown of the season. The 10-yard pass from Ray was the Argonauts pivot’s 10th of the season. With Hajrullahu’s convert, the Argos took an early 7-0 lead just five minutes into the contest.

Messam pushed his way into the end zone for Calgary’s opening score of the game just two minutes after Green’s, tying things up at seven. Aided by a pass interference penalty – one that Argos head coach Marc Trestman unsuccessfully challenged – the Stampeders moved down to the Argonauts five-yard line to set up Messam’s score.

The Stampeders got their first lead of the evening thanks to a Rene Paredes 18-yard field goal with just under two minutes left in the first quarter. Mitchell moved his offence 52 yards down the field to set up the score and was good on all four of his passes to McDaniel, Lamar Durant, and Messam on the drive.

Durant left the field after that drive and would not return to action for the rest of the contest.

Just when it looked like the Argonauts were starting to move the chains down the field to end the first quarter – Ray started to connect with Anthony Coombs and Khalil Paden – the Stampeders stopped them right in their tracks.

Then Finch made up for his misstep earlier in the game, returning Hajrullahu’s punt 103 yards to score. That punt return touchdown was Finch’s second of the season (his first was a 97-yarder last week against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats) to extend the Stampeders lead to 17-7 early in the second quarter.

After both teams traded unsuccessful drives, Ray threw his first interception of the contest at 7:44 of the second quarter – his fourth interception of the season. Jameer Thurman picked off the Toronto pivot giving the Stampeders another opportunity to add to their lead.

Bear Woods, aided by Marcus ball, completely stopped Messam in his tracks on first and 10, helping to stop the Stampeders from potentially scoring another major. The visiting team settled for three points after Paredes made his 29-yard field goal attempt with just under four minutes left in the first half.

With time running out in the second quarter, Ray began to move his team down the field in hopes of adding a score before half time. He tossed a 31-yard pass to Paden and then a nine-yarder to Green to move the Argos into Stampeders territory.

Charleston Hughes continued his dominance on opposing quarterbacks, forcing Ray to fumble the ball on the Calgary 22-yard line and Micheal Kashak recovered, bringing Mitchell and co. back onto the field with 1:30 left in the first half.

But just when things were starting to go Calgary’s way once again, Messam fumbled the ball himself (his third fumble of the season) and Troy Davis recovered it, bringing Toronto right back to the gridiron.

Toronto couldn’t find the end zone on the drive so they settled for a 20-yard field goal from Hajrullahu, cutting the Stampeders lead to 20-10.

The Stampeders weren’t finished yet as Mitchell tossed a 44-yard pass to DaVaris Daniels with just one second left on the clock before half time (27-19).

Calgary started the second half the way they finished the first, scoring a touchdown.

This time it was McDaniel who caught a nine-yard pass from Mitchell deep in the end zone for the score. With Paredes’ completed convert kick, the Stampeders extended their lead to 34-10 early in the third quarter.

Calgary’s defence continued their hold over the Argos’ offence as the third frame started to wind down and Cody Fajardo stepped in at quarterback in place of Ray who left with an apparent injury. Ray finished the night connecting on 15 of 26 passes for 139 yards and one touchdown.

Fajardo moved the chains down the field 36 yards into field goal range where Hajrullahu split the uprights. The 31-yard field goal cut the Stampeders’ lead to 34-13 with less than a minute left in the third frame.

Calgary found the end zone once again in the fourth quarter. Mitchell moved down the field 51 yards and tossed a 10-yard pass to McDaniel for the receiver’s second touchdown of the night. The score, combined with Paredes’ convert kick, extended Calgary’s lead to 41-13.

Hajrullahu got the Argos on the board in the fourth quarter with a 43-yard field goal, cutting the Stampeders lead to 41-16.

Fajardo ran into the end zone just as time expired to score a major to cut the Stamps’ lead to 41-24 as Coombs caught the two-point convert.

The Toronto Argonauts head to Montreal next week to take on the Alouettes while the Calgary Stampeders will spend Week 8 on the bye.

[StarDust Bum]

WEEK 7

Friday, August 4, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
7:00 PM Winnipeg Blue Bombers Ottawa Redblacks
9:30 PM Hamilton Tiger Cats Edmonton Eskimos

Saturday, August 5, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
7:00 PM Saskatchewan Roughriders British Columbia Lions

******************************

WEST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Calgary 7 5 1 1 11 254 145 3-0-0 2-1-1 2-0-0
2 Edmonton 5 5 0 0 10 144 121 3-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 3 BC 6 4 2 0 8 190 166 1-1-0 3-1-0 1-2-0
4 Winnipeg 5 3 2 0 6 169 179 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-2-0
5 Saskatchewan 5 2 3 0 4 141 134 2-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0


EAST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV

1 Toronto 7 3 4 0 6 176 204 2-2-0 1-2-0 3-0-0
2 Montreal 6 2 4 0 4 141 150 2-1-0 0-3-0 0-1-0
3 Ottawa 6 1 4 1 3 164 169 1-1-1 0-3-0 1-2-0
4 Hamilton 5 0 5 0 0 90 201 0-2-0 0-3-0 0-1-0

[StarDust Bum]

Friday, Aug. 4

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (1-4-1 SU, 5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 58 ½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers needed some last-second heroics to get past Montreal last week, but with quarterback Matt Nichols playing at a very high level this season, this is another offense that knows how to put points on the board with an average of 33.8 PPG. The reason for the up and down start has been a very porous defense that has allowed an average of 35.8 points over its first five games.

After playing two games in a span of six days in a crazy Week 5 expanded schedule, Ottawa definitely needed last week’s bye as a chance to regroup. The slow start for the defending Grey Cup Champs is more a product of its early season schedule than its overall play on the field. This week’s matchup should be a good test against a team the RedBlacks are expected to beat at home.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg has lost four of the last five meetings against Ottawa SU, but it has a 6-3 edge ATS in the last nine games between these two teams. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings in Ottawa.

**************************************

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -14
Total: 55 ½

Game Overview

Things could easily go from bad to worse this week in light of last Saturday night’s no-show against Calgary. After going 14-for-21 for 102 passing yards, the Tiger-Cats replaced an ineffective Zach Collaros with backup Jeremiah Masoli. He proceeded to complete just seven of his 15 attempts for 77 yards. In four previous games against teams from the West, Hamilton has allowed an average of 42.3 PPG including 41 points in a previous loss to Edmonton in Week 5.

The Eskimos have done just about everything right in its perfect SU start. They are averaging 28.8 PPG behind Mike Reilly at quarterback, but more importantly their defense has remained rather stout with a points-allowed average of 24.2. Edmonton did allow 28 points on the road in that first meeting against the Tiger-Cats and it did need an 18-3 rally in the fourth quarter just to come away with the SU win.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton has won 11 of its last 15 home games against Hamilton SU, but the Tiger-Cats have been able to cover ATS in four of their last five trips to Commonwealth Stadium. The total has gone OVER in four of those last five meetings in Edmonton.