Announcement

**Udog** · 12-14-2016, 09:45 AM

NFL opening line report: "Lines like these are usually fishy for a reason"

“The public is going to be all over Oakland in this matchup, laying just a field goal against a 5-8 Chargers squad. But lines like these are usually fishy for a reason.”

Detroit Lions at New York Giants (-4)

New York has proven to be the kryptonite that kills Dallas. The Giants (9-4 SU, 7-5-1 ATS) beat the Cowboys for the second time this year, winning a defensive slugfest 10-7 as a 3.5-point home underdog. New York has now won seven of its last eight SU, going 6-2 ATS in that stretch to put itself firmly in playoff position.

Of Detroit’s 13 games this season, all but one have been decided by 7 points or less, and the Lions have won eight of those one-score games. That was the case again Sunday, when Detroit (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) edged Chicago 20-17 on quarterback Matthew Stafford’s 7-yard touchdown run late in the fourth quarter.

Stafford played through a right-hand injury, reportedly a dislocated thumb and torn ligaments that will require him to wear a glove on his throwing hand against New York.

“The injury to Stafford is certainly something to consider when handicapping this contest, as he was clearly affected by it (Sunday),” Lester said early Monday. “A pair of quality defenses should equate to this total heading south, and it has already moved from 44 to 42.5.”

More under action dropped that number to 41 Monday afternoon. On the flip side, the line is heading north, having gone to Giants -5.

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos, no line

Defending Super Bowl champion Denver is closing in on must-win situations if it hopes to reach the playoffs and defend that title. The Broncos (8-5 SU and ATS) were held scoreless into the fourth quarter at Tennessee on Sunday, and a late comeback attempt fizzled on a lost fumble in a 13-10 loss as a 2-point underdog.

New England (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS) still has work to do in Week 14, playing host to Baltimore in the Monday night game. The Patriots would be the No. 1 seed in the AFC if the playoffs opened today.

“We’ll wait until ‘Monday Night Football’ is over before hanging a line, but if there aren’t any surprises, the Patriots will be 3.5 to 4-point road favorites,” Lester said. “The Denver defense should be pretty amped to perform well against a top-flight offense. But can Trevor Siemian and the Denver offense keep up?”

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (+3)

Oakland will look to bounce back from its first loss since mid-October. The Raiders (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS) were dealt a 21-13 setback at Kansas City as a 3.5-point pup in the Thursday nighter, dropping them into a tie for first in the AFC West with the Chiefs, who hold the tiebreaker because they won both meetings with Oakland this year.

Much like Detroit, San Diego has been in a lot of one-score games this year, but on the wrong end of the result. The Chargers were on the wrong end again Sunday, but not in a one-score game. San Diego (5-8 SU, 7-6 ATS) fell behind 23-0 in a 28-16 loss at Carolina catching 1 point.

“The public is going to be all over Oakland in this matchup, laying just a field goal against a 5-8 Chargers squad,” Lester said. “But lines like these are usually fishy for a reason, and the early money has actually been on the home ‘dog.”

That brought the number down to 2.5 this afternoon.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys (-7)

Dallas has only lost to one team the entire 2016 season. Twice. The Cowboys (11-2 SU, 9-4 ATS) fell to the New York Giants 20-19 in their season opener as a 1-point favorite, then ripped off 11 consecutive wins. On Sunday night, that streak ended with a 10-7 loss in a defensive struggle at New York, where the Pokes were 3.5-point favorites.

Meanwhile, a month ago, this game looked like any other late-season contest for Tampa Bay in recent years – meaningless. However, the Buccaneers ripped off five consecutive SU and ATS wins and are tied with Atlanta atop the NFC South. Tampa (8-5 SU and ATS) slogged past New Orleans 16-11 Sunday laying 2 points at home.

“Tampa Bay has been one of the hottest teams at the wagering window, and the bettors have certainly taken notice,” Lester said. “Sharps played against them last week, but the squares didn’t hesitate to take them against the Saints. That won’t happen here, as the Cowboys are the most-backed team in the league, and the fact that they’re off a loss won’t help us garner ‘dog action.”

**Udog** · 12-14-2016, 09:45 AM

Wiseguys are advising that these Week 15 NFL lines are going to move

The Bucs earned valuable street cred with their Weeks 11-12 wins over Kansas City and Seattle, and now are legit players in the NFC playoff mix.

Game to bet now

Tampa Bay at Dallas (-7)

It took the Bucs a while to figure things out this season, but Tampa Bay is on its best roll in years, and with five straight victories is making life very uncomfortable for Atlanta in the NFC South. Both are 8-5, the teams have split their two games and the final three weeks of the season will be spent examining tie-breaking procedures.

Tampa Bay’s road won’t be easy – after Sunday they play at New Orleans and then home vs. Carolina. But the Bucs earned valuable street cred with their Weeks 11-12 wins over Kansas City and Seattle, and now are legit players in the NFC playoff mix. Bettors are responding, too, feasting on the original line of 7.5 and betting it down a half-point early in the week.

Game to wait on

Cleveland at Buffalo (-10)

The players love him and the media loves him, but in the NFL you can lose only so much, so it looks like Rex Ryan’s coaching career is about to fade to black. A SU loss to the Browns would probably be his final game as a head coach and he pretty much needs to run the table (and somewhat convincingly) to salvage a 9-7 season and perhaps another season on the sidelines. But things don’t look good for either Ryan or QB Tyrod Taylor. Taylor is due a huge guaranteed contract if he stays with the Bills into mid-March, so it’s very possible they cut ties with both the HC and the QB.

As for the Browns and their trip to nowhere, bettors don’t even like them against a struggling Bills team, so the line has already bumped up a half-point from its 9.5 opening, and could go further.

Total to watch

Detroit at New York Giants (41.5)

Just when the Lions start to figure things out, they now have to deal with an injured quarterback. Matthew Stafford has emerged as one of the best QBs in the league and has led the 9-4 Lions to the top of the NFC North and a probable playoff spot. If things break right, they could get a first-round bye. But the injury (the Lions aren’t saying what it is) is raising concerns. He’ll play Sunday, but you can be sure that the Giants (9-4; they also need a victory to keep the heat on Dallas) will attempt to make the pocket very uncomfortble.

Will Detroit try to relieve the pressure by running the ball, killing clock? One other note – both the Giants (3-10-0) and Lions (4-9) are among the best under teams in the league.

**Udog** · 12-14-2016, 09:46 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

Thursday, December 15

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LA RAMS (4 - 9) at SEATTLE (8 - 4 - 1) - 12/15/2016, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 175-221 ATS (-68.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 175-221 ATS (-68.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 126-173 ATS (-64.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 137-175 ATS (-55.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 64-94 ATS (-39.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SEATTLE is 65-36 ATS (+25.4 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 4-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 4-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, December 17

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MIAMI (8 - 5) at NY JETS (4 - 9) - 12/17/2016, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NY JETS are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 4-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 18

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TAMPA BAY (8 - 5) at DALLAS (11 - 2) - 12/18/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
TAMPA BAY is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
DALLAS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (9 - 4) at NY GIANTS (9 - 4) - 12/18/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 130-166 ATS (-52.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DETROIT is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (5 - 8) at BALTIMORE (7 - 6) - 12/18/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after playing on Monday night football since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GREEN BAY (7 - 6) at CHICAGO (3 - 10) - 12/18/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 104-76 ATS (+20.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 64-37 ATS (+23.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 59-35 ATS (+20.5 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 7) at MINNESOTA (7 - 6) - 12/18/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (0 - 13) at BUFFALO (6 - 7) - 12/18/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
BUFFALO is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (7 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 3) - 12/18/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (2 - 11) at HOUSTON (7 - 6) - 12/18/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (5 - 8) at ARIZONA (5 - 7 - 1) - 12/18/2016, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 12) at ATLANTA (8 - 5) - 12/18/2016, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (11 - 2) at DENVER (8 - 5) - 12/18/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 180-135 ATS (+31.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 111-81 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-1 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (10 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (5 - 8) - 12/18/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 31-58 ATS (-32.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 36-76 ATS (-47.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 19-42 ATS (-27.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 30-55 ATS (-30.5 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.
OAKLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (8 - 5) at CINCINNATI (5 - 7 - 1) - 12/18/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 19

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CAROLINA (5 - 8) at WASHINGTON (7 - 5 - 1) - 12/19/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 58-90 ATS (-41.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games when playing on Monday night since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-14-2016, 09:47 AM

NFL

Week 15

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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 15

8:25 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. SEATTLE
Los Angeles is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles

Saturday, December 17

8:25 PM
MIAMI vs. NY JETS
Miami is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets are 3-5-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
NY Jets are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

Sunday, December 18

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. CHICAGO
Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. HOUSTON
Jacksonville is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-21 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games
NY Giants are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 9 games

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-9-2 ATS in its last 15 games
Cincinnati is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,

1:00 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. BALTIMORE
Philadelphia is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

4:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ATLANTA
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-10-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco

4:05 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. ARIZONA
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Arizona18-5-1 SU in its last 24 games at home

4:25 PM
OAKLAND vs. SAN DIEGO
Oakland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games at home
San Diego is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Oakland

4:25 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 12 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 6-11-2 ATS in its last 19 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Monday, December 19

8:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. WASHINGTON
Carolina is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Carolina is 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 12-14-2016, 12:51 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 15

Thurs – Dec. 15

Los Angeles at Seattle, 8:25 PM ET
Los Angeles: 29-57 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse
Seattle: 5-1 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game

Sat – Dec. 17

Miami at NY Jets, 8:25 PM ET
Miami: 0-6 ATS off a non-conference game
New York: 8-0 ATS after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse

Sun – Dec. 18

Tampa Bay at Dallas, 8:30 PM ET
Tampa Bay: 18-6 ATS in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49
Dallas: 5-13 ATS in games played on turf

Detroit at NY Giants, 1:00 PM ET
Detroit: 22-43 ATS in road games off a home win
New York: 64-41 ATS off a home win

Philadelphia at Baltimore, 1:00 PM ET
Philadelphia: 48-29 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs
Baltimore: 3-12 ATS in home games after playing on Monday night football

Green Bay at Chicago, 1:00 PM ET
Green Bay: 6-0 ATS after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game
Chicago: 10-22 ATS in home games after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game

Indianapolis at Minnesota, 1:00 PM ET
Indianapolis: 9-1 OVER in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest
Minnesota: 9-2 ATS as a home favorite

Cleveland at Buffalo, 1:00 PM ET
Cleveland: 0-6 ATS after 7 or more consecutive losses
Buffalo: 20-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Tennessee at Kansas City, 1:00 PM ET
Tennessee: 6-16 ATS in road games
Kansas City: 18-7 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

Jacksonville at Houston, 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville: 67-94 ATS after playing a game at home
Houston: 10-2 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

New Orleans at Arizona, 4:05 PM ET
New Orleans: 44-25 OVER off 2 or more consecutive unders
Arizona: 7-0 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5

San Francisco at Atlanta, 4:05 PM ET
San Francisco: 20-8 ATS in road games off an upset loss as a favorite
Atlanta: 7-22 ATS in home games after a win by 14 or more points

New England at Denver, 4:25 PM ET
New England: 16-4 ATS after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored
Denver: 27-13 OVER after a loss by 3 or less points

Oakland at San Diego, 4:25 PM ET
Oakland: 10-1 ATS in road games against conference opponents
San Diego: 0-7 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 1:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh: 48-28 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game
Cincinnati: 70-96 ATS versus division opponents

Mon – Dec. 19

Carolina at Washington, 8:30 PM ET
Carolina: 8-1 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3
Washington: 4-15 ATS in home games when playing on Monday night

**Udog** · 12-15-2016, 07:27 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some NFL trends with Week 15 upon us…….

— Rams are 1-6-2 vs spread in their last nine games.

— Minnesota covered nine of last ten games as a home favorite.

— Browns are 0-6-1 vs spread in their last seven games.

— Philadelphia is 2-8 vs spread in its last ten games.

— 49ers are 2-10 vs spread in their last twelve games.

— Green Bay is 15-7 in last 22 games as an NFC North road favorite.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Bottom 5, top 8 in NFL

32) Browns— Two weeks from now, will they have an idea of who their QB of the future is? If not, what did they accomplish this season?

31) 49ers— Were outscored 39-0 in second half of last two games, vs Bears/Jets, when 49ers were favored to win both games.

30) Jaguars— I wish the Rams had their receivers; seriously, they’re not bad. Unsure why they’ve got such a poor record.

29) Rams— Can’t blame the coach anymore; he’s gone. Now it is on the players; the next coach is going to dump a lot of them, too. How they play in the next three games will help decide who stays and who goes.

28) Bears— Playing football when it is one degree outside can’t be much fun.

8) Steelers— Pittsburgh has had three head coaches since 1969. Think about that.

7) Buccaneers– Tampa Bay and Tennessee are both doing well this year with 2nd-year QB’s. Bucs jump into the national spotlight Sunday night.

6) Giants— Ethical question of the day: if you’re a football coach and a friend of yours wants to give you the game plan for this week’s opponent, do you take it? Apparently this may have happened down at Wake Forest.

5) Seahawks— I’m guessing Seattle thought they’d get a hell of a lot more competition in their own division than they did this season.

4) Raiders— Would be sad if this week is the last time the Raiders ever play in San Diego.

3) Chiefs— They’re not a great #3 team but they don’t make mistakes and they swept Oakland.

2) Cowboys— Dallas is 11-2, having a great year but if they lose to the Bucs Sunday, all hell is going to break loose and a QB controversy will exist.

1) Patriots— Hopefully Josh McDaniels will go to Jacksonville and the Rams hire the Shanahan family. I’m skeptical of anyone made wealthy by Tom Brady— Rams don’t have a Brady.

**Udog** · 12-15-2016, 07:36 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Thursday's game
Rams (4-9) @ Seahawks (8-4-1)— Seattle slipped out of #2 seed in NFC with loss to Packers; Seahawks are 6-0 at home, 3-3 as home favorites, with three wins by 11+ points. LA is in turmoil, traveling on short work week with John Fassel their interim coach; Rams lost eight of last nine games overall, but they have beaten Seattle three times in row, including a 6-3 slugfest in Coliseum in Week 2, when Wilson was gimpy with bad ankle. Rams’ 23-17 win here LY was their first win in last 11 visits to Seattle. Rams were outscored 117-45 in last three games; they’re 4-2 as road underdogs, but were outscored 38-0 in first half of last two games. NFC divisional home favorites are 6-12-1 vs spread. Over is 4-2 in last six Seattle games, 3-5 in Rams’ eight games away from home.

Saturday's game
Dolphins (8-5) @ Jets (4-9)— Tannehill (sprained ACL/MCL) is out, but maybe not for year; Matt Moore gets his first start since 2011 (13-12 career record). His backup is WKU rookie Doughty, who has never played in NFL. Miami (-3.5) won first meeting 27-23 in Week 9, running kick back for GW TD with 5:15 left in game; that snapped 3-game skid with Jets. Miami has won six of last eight visits here. Dolphins won seven of last eight games overall, are 2-4 on road (won at Chargers/Rams). Jets rallied from down 17-3 at half to win in OT in Santa Clara LW, snapping 4-game skid. New York is 1-5 at home, with three losses by 5 or less points- this is best team Petty has started against (previous starts vs LA/SF). Over is 4-1 in Miami’s last five games, 2-7 in Jets’ last nine. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 13-7 vs spread.

Sunday's games
Lions (9-4) @ Giants (9-4)— Giants are 0-4-1 vs spread the week after their last five wins over Dallas. Third and final outdoor game for Detroit this season, first since Week 4 in Chicago. Lions are 9-4 despite trailing in 4th quarter in 12 of 13 games; they’re 3-3 on road (0-2 outdoors), 4-1 as road underdog. Stafford has injured middle finger on throwing hand; he played whole game LW, but his throwing has to be hampered. New York won seven of last eight games, is 6-1 at home, 2-2 as a home favorite. Giants won three of last four series games; Detroit won three of last four visits here, with last one in 2010. NFC North road underdogs are 7-6 against the spread; NFC East home favorites are 7-3. Last seven Detroit games stayed under the total, as have last five Giant games.

Eagles (5-8) @ Ravens (7-6)— Last four games, Philly allowed 8.7/8.0/10.7/10.8 yards/pass attempt; not good. Eagles lost eight of last ten games after a 3-0 start; they’re 1-6 on road with only win at Chicago in Week 2- they lost last four games overall (0-4 vs spread) with losses by 11-14-18-5 points. Philly also has a new long snapper this week. Ravens are on short week after 30-23 loss in Foxboro; Baltimore won/covered its last four home games, they’re 4-2 as home favorites. Home side is 3-0-1 in last four series games; three of those games were decided by 5 or less points. Eagles lost 36-7 in last visit here, in ’08. NFC East road underdogs are 4-6 vs spread; AFC North home favorites are 7-5. Over is 5-1-1 in Eagle road games, 1-5 in Baltimore home games.

Packers (7-6) @ Bears (3-10)— Green Bay defense allowed 36 points in last three games (all wins), after allowing 153 (153!!!) in previous four games. Packers are 2-4 on road, with wins at Jaguars (27-23), Eagles (27-13); they’re 0-3 as road favorites. Pack is 7-1 when they allow less than 30 points. Chicago is 1-4 since its bye; they’re 3-3 at home, 3-1 as home underdogs- their last three losses were all by 6 or less points. Green Bay (-7.5) won first meeting 26-10 in Week 7, outgunning Bears 406-189; only Chicago TD was scored by defense in game that was 6-3 at half. Packers won last six visits here, five by 7+ points. Over is 5-2 in Packers’ last seven games, 2-6 in Bears’ last eight. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 13-7 vs spread. Packers had 12 takeaways in 12 games before they had six in 38-10 win over Seattle.

Colts (6-7) @ Vikings (7-6)— Minnesota is 2-6 in its last eight games but only game out of Wild Card; Vikings are 4-2 at home, 3-1 as home favorites- they struggled in red zone LW, scoring 16 points on five red zone drives vs Jaguars. Minnesota is 11-37 on 3rd down the last three weeks. Colts won last three road games, are 3-1-1 as road underdogs, losing true road games by 3 in Houston, 14 in Denver. Indy is 20-40 on 3rd down last three games, but they turned ball over six times (-2)- Colts are 5-0 vs spread in game following their last five losses. Indy won last four series games, last three all by three points; home side won 10 of last 11 series games. AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 7-14, 5-7 on road. NFC North home favorites are 7-6. Under is 9-4 in Viking games, 3-1 in last four Indy games.

Browns (0-13) @ Bills (6-7)— Cleveland is 2-11 vs spread; 0-16 Lions were 7-9 vs spread in ‘08. Browns are 2-4 as road underdogs, losing away games by 19-6-11-2-14-21 points- this is their first road game since Week 10. In last three games, Cleveland was outscored 48-6 in first half. Buffalo is 6-1 if they allow 21 or less points, 0-6 if they allow more. Browns scored 9.8 pts/game their last five games. Bills lost last two games, dropped out of contention; they are 3-3 at home, 1-2 as home favorite, with wins by 15-29-7 at home. Buffalo won three of last four series games; Browns lost 13-6/26-10 in last two visits here. AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 2-10, 2-6 on road. AFC East home favorites are 4-5. Last five Cleveland games stayed under total; over is 10-2 in Bills’ last 12 games.

Titans (7-6) @ Chiefs (10-3)— Tennessee won three of last four games; they’re 3-3 on road, 2-3 as road underdogs. Titans were just 6-21/73 passing LW but beat Denver and are tied for first in AFC South. Chiefs won eight of last nine games, won/covered last three; they had three extra days to prep since beating Oakland last Thursday. KC is 5-1 at home, 2-4 vs spread as a home favorite, with three home wins by 6 or less points- they averaged 10.6.9.9 yds/pass attempt last two games. Home side lost five of last six series games; Titans won three of last four visits here- they’re 4-3 overall in last seven series games. AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 7-14, 5-7 on road. AFC West home favorites are 6-9. Over is 8-2 in last ten Tennessee games, 3-9 in Chiefs’ last 12 games.

Jaguars (2-11) @ Texans (7-6)— Houston’s win at Indy LW snapped 3-game skid, kept them tied for first in AFC South; Texans are 5-1 at home, 3-0-1 as a home favorite- they’ve been outscored in second half in each of their last seven games. Jaguars lost last eight games (2-6 vs spread); they’re 1-5 on road, 3-3 as road underdogs, losing away games by 24-14-5-7-7 points- their only road win was 17-16 at Chicago, when they were down 13-0 in 4th quarter. Houston (+2) won first meeting 24-21 in Jacksonville in Week 10, throwing for only 92 yards but scoring a defensive TD. Texans are 10-2 in last 12 series games, winning last five in row. Jaguars lost five of last six visits here, losing 23-17/30-6 the last two years. AFC divisional home favorites are 14-7 vs spread this season.

Saints (5-8) @ Cardinals (5-7-1)— New Orleans lost by 15-5 points last two games, with one TD, five FGA, six turnovers on 20 drives; Saints are 2-4 on road, 4-1 as road underdogs, with road losses by 3-6-3-5 points- five of their six road games were decided by 6 or less points. Arizona lost three of its last four games, is 4-2-1 at home, 3-4 as home favorites; they lost to Rams/Patriots, tied Seattle. Redbirds allowed 27.8 pts/game their last six games, giving up 16 TD’s on opponents’ last 62 drives. Home side won last six series games; Saints lost last three visits here, by 24-10-12 points. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 9-2 vs spread. NFC West home favorites are 7-10 vs spread, 5-5 at home. Under is 6-2 in Saints’ last eight games, 0-4 in Arizona’s last four.

49ers (1-12) @ Falcons (8-5)— Niners blew 17-3 halftime lead LW in losing 12th game in row; SF is 2-4 as road underdog, losing away games by 19-19-29-3-7-20 points. SF allowed 37-45 in its two games on artificial turf this year, losses by 19-29. Bad sign: Niners were outscored 39-0 in second half of last two games, vs Bears/Jets. Atlanta’s two best WRs sat out LW’s game in LA; Falcons are 3-3 at home, 1-4 as home favorites, with wins by 15-1-19 points. 49ers won last three series games, by 4-1-10 points; they’ve lost two of last three visits here, winning 28-24 in last visit here, a 2012 playoff game. NFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 4-8 vs spread; NFC South home favorites are 5-9. Four of last five 49er game stayed under total; over is 11-2 in Falcon games this year.

Patriots (10-2) @ Broncos (8-5)— Long travel on short week for New England, which is 1-6 in last seven games in Denver, losing last three by 10-6-2 points. Patriots are 8-1 with Brady under center this year, 5-0 on road, 4-1 as road favorites, 3-0 on grass. Denver is 2-3 in its last five games, 4-2 at home, losing to Falcons by 7, Chiefs by 3. Broncos are 3-2 as an underdog this year. Denver is tied with Miami for last Wild Card slot; this game means more to them than to Patriots, who have game lead for #1 seed in AFC. Home side won last seven games in series; Patriots lost three of last four games with Denver, with wins in playoff games the last two years. AFC East non-divisional favorites are 8-5 vs spread, 4-0 on road. AFC West underdogs are 9-4, 1-0 at home. Under is 7-3 in last ten Denver games, 3-1 in last four Patriot games.

Raiders (10-3) @ Chargers (5-8)—Oakland had three extra days to prep after loss in Kansas City snapped its 6-game win streak. Raiders are 5-1 in true road games, with wins by 1-7-1-17-6 points- they’re 3-3 as a favorite this year, +6 in turnovers their last four games. San Diego lost three of last four games; they’re 3-3 at home, losing last two games here 31-24/28-21 to Dolphins/Bucs. Chargers are 4-3 as an underdog this year. Raiders (-4) won first meeting 34-31 in Week 5; Raiders had four takeaways (+3) while San Diego averaged 11.0 yards/pass attempt. Raiders won last three series games, by 8-3-3 points, but lost three of last four visits here. Favorites are 5-3 vs spread in AFC West divisional games this season. Over is 10-3 in Oakland games, 0-2-1 in last three Charger games.

Steelers (8-5) @ Bengals (5-7-1)— Steelers won/covered last four games, with three of those wins on road; Pitt is 4-2 at home, 4-1 as home favorite, with wins by 8-29-18-10 points- their home losses were to Pats/Cowboys. Bengals won last two games after a 1-5-1 skid; they’re 3-2 at home, losing to Broncos/Bills; they’re 0-3 as an underdog. Pitt (-3.5) won first meeting 24-16 in Week 2, in a game where Bengals outgained them 412-374. Steelers won six of last seven series games; they are 6-1 in last seven visits here, winning 33-20/18-16 in last two visits to Queen City. Favorites are 7-1 vs spread in AFC North divisional games this season. Bengals cut K Nugget this week, signed former Steeler K Bullock. Under is 9-3 in last 12 Steeler games, 4-1 in last five Bengal games.

Buccaneers (8-5) @ Cowboys (11-2)— Dallas is 2-24 on third down in its last two games; if they lose this game. there will be a QB controversy. Tampa Bay gets thrust into national spotlight here after five straight wins/covers; Bucs allowed only five TDs on last 38 drives over last four games- they’re 5-1 on road with four SU upsets (4-1 vs spread as road dog this year). Cowboys are 0-2 vs Giants, 11-0 vs everyone else; they’re 3-2 as home favorites, with home wins by 14-14-6-10-5 points. Dallas won five of last six series games; Bucs are 1-9 in Dallas, with only win a 10-6 game in 2001. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 9-2 vs spread. NFC East home favorites are 7-3. Under is 3-0-1 in Bucs’ last four games, 7-3 in Cowboys’ last ten. This is Bucs’ first game on artificial turf since 31-24 win in Week 1 at Atlanta.

Monday's game
Panthers (5-8) @ Redskins (7-5-1)— Washington enters week half-game behind Bucs in Wild Card race; Redskins won/covered last four home games, scoring 31.5 pts/game- they’re 3-1 as home favorites. Panthers are 1-5 on road, with only win 13-10 at LA; they were favored in four of six road games, are 1-1 as a road underdog. Washington scored 23+ points in its last six games; they’re 6-1 allowing less than 27 points. Carolina held Redskins to nine first downs in 44-16 win LY; Panthers won last four series games after losing seven of previous eight- Carolina lost five of six games here. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 9-2 vs spread. NFC East home favorites are 7-3. Last six Redskin games went over total; under is 4-2 in last six Carolina games. Hopefully Cam Newton wore a tie on the team flight.

**Udog** · 12-15-2016, 07:45 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 15

Thursday, December 15

Los Angeles @ Seattle

Game 301-302
December 15, 2016 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
120.955
Seattle
140.363
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 19 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 16
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-16); Over

Saturday, December 17

Miami @ NY Jets

Game 303-304
December 17, 2016 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
130.723
NY Jets
124.678
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 6
31
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
38
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-2 1/2); Under

Sunday, December 18

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati

Game 329-330
December 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
137.590
Cincinnati
136.362
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+3 1/2); Over

Oakland @ San Diego

Game 327-328
December 18, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
136.114
San Diego
130.754
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 5 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 3
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-3); Under

New England @ Denver

Game 325-326
December 18, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
137.327
Denver
135.978
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 1 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 3 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+3 1/2); Over

San Francisco @ Atlanta

Game 323-324
December 18, 2016 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
118.065
Atlanta
142.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 25
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 14
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-14); Over

New Orleans @ Arizona

Game 321-322
December 18, 2016 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
131.522
Arizona
131.418
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
Even
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 2 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+2 1/2); Under

Jacksonville @ Houston

Game 319-320
December 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
123.033
Houston
134.015
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6
39
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-6); Over

Tennessee @ Kansas City

Game 317-318
December 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
136.613
Kansas City
135.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 1
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 6
42
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(+6); Under

Cleveland @ Buffalo

Game 315-316
December 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
123.186
Buffalo
129.762
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 6 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 10
41
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+10); Over

Indianapolis @ Minnesota

Game 313-314
December 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
128.633
Minnesota
136.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4
45
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-4); Under

Green Bay @ Chicago

Game 311-312
December 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
140.245
Chicago
126.298
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 14
31
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 7
41
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-7); Under

Philadelphia @ Baltimore

Game 309-310
December 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
125.456
Baltimore
137.566
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 12
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 6
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-6); Over

Detroit @ NY Giants

Game 307-308
December 18, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
136.939
NY Giants
135.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 4
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+4); Under

Tampa Bay @ Dallas

Game 305-306
December 18, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
132.055
Dallas
144.206
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 12
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 7
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-7); Over

Monday, December 19

Carolina @ Washington

Game 331-332
December 19, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
133.689
Washington
133.061
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+5); Under

**Udog** · 12-15-2016, 07:48 AM

NFL

Thursday, December 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NFL Thursday Night Football betting preview: Rams at Seahawks
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Russell Wilson was hampered by an ailing ankle on Sept. 18 and threw for just 254 yards as the Seahawks lost to the Rams, 9-3, in Los Angeles.

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-16, 38.5)

The Seattle Seahawks are trying to put the pieces together after a lopsided loss while the Los Angeles Rams are attempting to tackle a much bigger puzzle with an interim head coach at the helm during a short week. The first-place Seahawks look to capture the NFC West title for the third time in four years and remain perfect in the Pacific Northwest on Thursday night when they host John Fassel and the reeling Rams.

Seattle, which needs just a win or an Arizona loss to clinch the division crown, hardly looked like a playoff contender on Sunday as Russell Wilson threw a career-high five interceptions in a 38-10 setback in Green Bay. "I put that on me. That game was on me," said the 28-year-old Wilson, who was hampered by an ailing ankle on Sept. 18 and threw for just 254 yards as the Seahawks suffered their third straight loss to the Rams with a 9-3 decision in Los Angeles. That was a happier time for the Rams, who parted ways with Jeff Fisher on Monday and temporarily handed the keys to special teams coach Fassel just hours after the club sustained its eighth loss in nine games with a 42-14 shellacking by Atlanta. Fassel's task is a formidable one as Los Angeles ranks last in the NFL in points (14.9 per game) and total yards (286.2), and 30th overall in both rushing yards (81.1) and turnover differential (minus-11).

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NBC, NFL Network.

POWER RANKINGS: Rams (+5.5) - Seahawks (-4.5) + home field (-3) = Seahawks -13

LINE HISTORY: The Seahawks opened as 13-point home favorites over the Rams. That -13 clearly wasn't big enough for the betting public and was steadily bet up all week until it finally settled in at -16 on Wednesday evening. The total hit the board at 39.5 and came down a full point to 38.5. View complete line history here.

WEATHER REPORT: The forecast in Seattle for Thursday night is calling for clear skies, temperatures right around the freezing mark and no wind issues at all (2-3 mph).

INJURIES:

Rams - WR B. Quick (Probable, shoulder), DE M. Longacre (Probable, heel), DE R. Quinn (Doubtful, concussion), CB E. Gaines (Doubtful, quadricep), RB B. Cunningham (Out, neck), S M. Alexander (Out, concussion), TE C. Harkey (I-R, tricep), LB J. Forrest (I-R, knee), WR N. Spruce (I-R, knee), DT L. Trinca-Pasat (I-R, knee), FB Z. Laskey (I-R, undisclosed), WR M. North (I-R, undisclosed), DB B. Randolph (I-R, knee), T D. Williams (I-R, undisclosed).

Seahawks - LB B. Coyle (Probable, foot), LB D. McDonald (Questionable, illness), DE D. Moore (Out, foot), RB C. Prosise (Out For Season, shoulder), FB W. Tukuafu (I-R, concussion), RB T. Pope (I-R, ankle), S E. Thomas (I-R, leg), DT Q. Jefferson (I-R, knee), DT G. Smith (I-R, undisclosed), TE J. Sommers (I-R, ankle), WR T. Slavin (I-R, undisclosed), DE T. Barnes (I-R, arm), CB S. Jean-Baptiste (I-R, shoulder).

ABOUT THE RAMS (4-9 SU, 4-8-1 ATS, 5-8 O/U): Todd Gurley didn't help Fisher's cause after blurting out that Los Angeles "looked like a middle-school offense out there," with the running back being limited to 3.3 yards per carry and five touchdowns in 13 games this season after an impressive 4.8 average and 10 scores in his rookie campaign. Top overall pick Jared Goff is still getting his feet wet after sitting in favor of Case Keenum, throwing two interceptions on Sunday before finishing with respectable numbers (24-of-41 for 235 yards) due in part to the game being out of hand in a hurry. Both Goff and Gurley scored a rushing touchdown last week, with the former's serving as his first of his career.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (8-4-1 SU, 7-6 ATS, 7-6 O/U): Seattle entered Sunday's game versus Green Bay as the league's top defense but saw that designation shredded after surrendering a season high in points in the first contest without former All-Pro safety Earl Thomas (broken leg). Seattle limited Gurley to just 51 yards on 19 carries with linebacker K.J. Wright collecting a team-high nine tackles in Week 2 and 49 with two sacks and a forced fumble over his last six games at home. Wideout Doug Baldwin has 20 receptions in his last three contests, but was limited to season lows in catches (three) and yards (20) in the first meeting with the Rams.

TRENDS:

* Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
* Under is 9-0 in Rams' last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
* Over is 4-1 in Seahawks' last 5 home games.
* Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 57 percent of the picking public is grabbing the home favorite Seahawks and 56 percent are taking the Over.

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**Udog** · 12-15-2016, 07:51 AM

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 15

Any discussion of the vastly improved Raiders defense begins and ends with LE Khalil Mack, whose Pro Football Focus grade of 92.9 is the best at his position.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (+2.5, 38)

Dolphins' third-down struggles vs. Jets' punt-forcing power

Saturday's showdown with the Jets is a must-win game for the Miami Dolphins, who will have to make their playoff push without injured starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill. Not only does Miami have to contend with someone new under center - in cold and hostile territory, no less - but it is also facing the prospect of trying to establish the run game against one of the top rushing defenses in football. And then there's the Dolphins' third-down conversion rate, which could make things even rougher.

Extending drives hasn't exactly been Miami's forte through the first 13 games of the season. The Dolphins have the fewest third down conversions in the league (52), and boast the NFL's third-worst conversion rate (34.2 percent). Only the Los Angeles Rams and New York Giants (33.3 percent each) have been worse at turning third downs into first downs. And while it hasn't hurt them of late - the Dolphins come in having won six of seven - it might only be a matter of time before it does.

That time could come as early as this week against a Jets team that is well out of the playoff picture, but still has a defense capable of making life miserable for opponents. New York comes into this one with the eighth-lowest opponent third-down conversion rate in football (37.8 percent), a proficiency that has helped in part mask the team's many deficiencies. If the Dolphins continue to struggle at moving the sticks on third down, their playoff hopes might be extinguished.

Daily fantasy watch: Jets D/ST

Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills (-10, 41.5)

Browns' defensive breakdowns vs. Bills' red-zone wrecking crew

There is more than pride on the line for the Cleveland Browns this weekend in Buffalo - there's also the little matter of not joining the 0-16 club. But the Browns will be in tough to earn that elusive first victory against a stout Bills defense that is expected to overwhelm the Cleveland offensive line all game long. Yet, that isn't even the biggest mismatch of the day - that honor is bestowed upon the Bills' red-zone proficiency, which should make short work of Cleveland's abysmal defense.

Led by dynamic quarterback Tyrod Taylor, the Bills have been sensational once inside the opponent's 20-yard line. Buffalo ranks second in the NFL in red-zone touchdown rate (67.5 percent), behind only the Tennessee Titans. The Bills are especially dangerous at home, boasting the league's best red-zone TD success rate at a whopping 81.3 percent. Once Taylor and the rest of the offense gets deep into opposition territory, it's seven points more often than not.

Don't expect the Browns to offer much resistance in that department. Teams have scored touchdowns on better than 67 percent of their visits inside the Cleveland 20, the third-worst rate in the league. Cleveland has actually been slightly better in this regard on the road (66.7) than at home (68), but frankly, both rates are terrible. Taylor should have no trouble marching downfield against the winless Browns - and once Buffalo is close to the end zone, it'll find a way to get in.

Daily fantasy watch: RB Mike Gillislee

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (+3, 44)

Patriots' increased rushing reliance vs. Broncos' run D struggles

You won't find many teams that give New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady fits - but the Denver Broncos certainly fit the bill. The Broncos are the only team against whom Brady has a losing record in his career (6-9), and he'll be in tough to improve on that mark as he faces his nemeses in chilly Denver. But while Brady faces an uphill battle through the air, the Patriots have a distinct advantage on the ground - and they won't hesitate to use it.

New England has been a much more run-focused team than in years past, even despite Brady's dominance since returning from a season-opening four-game suspension. The Patriots run the ball on 44 percent of their offensive plays, the fifth-highest rate in the league. That balanced attack has reaped significant rewards for running back LeGarrette Blount, who leads the league with 14 rushing scores - a figure that contributes greatly to the Patriots scoring 36.6 percent of their TDs on the ground.

If there's one area of the Denver defense that is exploitable, it's the run prevention unit. The Broncos have surrendered the fourth-most rushing yards in the league as opponents look to avoid Denver's elite pass defense. The result: Half of the offensive TDs allowed by the Broncos have come on the ground, behind only the Bills. New England is going to run it a ton, and Denver's odds of winning come down to whether it can do anything about it.

Daily fantasy watch: RB LeGarrette Blount

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (+3, 49.5)

Raiders' dominant defensive ends vs. Chargers' suspect O-line

Playoff fever has returned to Oakland, as the Raiders remain in the hunt for the division title despite last week's loss to the rival Kansas City Chiefs. The Oakland offense has been able to keep its team in the majority of games, but the defense - or at least certain elements of it - have been just as impressive. And as the Chargers are about to find out this weekend, two members of the Oakland D in particular have been menaces for opposing quarterbacks.

Any discussion of the vastly improved Raiders defense begins and ends with LE Khalil Mack, whose Pro Football Focus grade of 92.9 is the best at his position despite being lower than his scores the previous two years. He represents a matchup nightmare for just about anyone he matches up against - and he has help on the right side in RE Bruce Irvin, who boasts a PFF grade of 82.7. The two have combined for 16 sacks through the first 13 games.

The message to the San Diego offensive line: Good luck. Seriously. Four of the Chargers' five starting O-lineman boast grades south of 54, with only C Matt Slauson (81.7) considered anywhere near average. Mack will likely line up against RT Joe Barksdale (42.7), while Irwin will see LT King Dunlap (53.5). That considerable advantage in Oakland's favor could mean serious trouble for San Diego QB Philip Rivers, and by extension, the entire Chargers' offense.

Daily fantasy fade: QB Philip Rivers

**Udog** · 12-17-2016, 07:22 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

NFL trends for Week 15 games

— Baltimore is 1-5-1 in last seven games vs NFC teams.

— Panthers are 14-6 in last 20 games as a road dog.

— Texans are 8-1-1 vs spread in last ten divisional games.

— Vikings covered nine of last ten as a home favorite.

— New England covered nine of its last 12 games.

— Redskins are 13-4 vs spread in their last 17 games.

**Udog** · 12-17-2016, 07:52 AM

NFL

Thursday, December 15

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NFL Saturday Night Football betting preview: Dolphins at Jets
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Jay Ajayi amassed 111 yards in Miami's 27-23 victory over New York on Nov. 6.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (2.5, 37.5)

With quarterback Ryan Tannehill sidelined by an ACL and MCL sprain in his right knee, the Miami Dolphins have little choice but to turn the keys over to veteran Matt Moore in their drive to end an eight-year playoff drought. The 32-year-old Moore will make his first start in five years on Saturday night as Miami begins a stretch of three straight games versus AFC East opponents with a visit to the New York Jets.

"My heart breaks, man. I know how much (Tannehill) just puts his heart and soul into this and hard work," said Moore, who went 3-for-5 for 47 yards to lead Miami to a game-winning field goal in Sunday's 26-23 triumph over Arizona. While the Dolphins reside on the wrong end of a tiebreaker for the final wild-card spot, the Jets' destination is all but assured as they have made themselves comfortable in the cellar of the division. New York snapped a four-game losing skid in impressive fashion on Sunday, however, as Bilal Powell exploded for 179 yards and two touchdowns on 34 touches in a 23-17 overtime win versus San Francisco. Powell could receive the bulk of the work against Miami's 30th-ranked rush defense (133.8 yards per game) with veteran running back Matt Forte nursing a knee injury.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

POWER RANKINGS: Dolphins (3) - Jets (4.5) + home field (-3) = Jets -1.5

LINE HISTORY: The Jets opened the week as 3-point dogs at home and that number had dropped half a point to 2.5. The total opened at 40.5 and that was to high according to the betting public and has been bet down three full points to 37.5. Check out the complete line history here.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The first NFL Saturday match of the season finds AFC East division rivals the Miami Dolphins tackling the New York Jets with the Fish forced to resort to backup QB Matt Moore in this contest. The combination of a cold weather site and the pressure of having to win to stay in the AFC Wild Card chase weighs heavily on Miami, but newbie Jets QB Bruce Petty and a lousy 1-5 record at home this season by the Jets also factors in"

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We absolutely love these off-night games because the handle increases quite a bit. It's not a sext matchup so the majority of the action will come in Saturday, but right now we've got about 70 percent of the money on New York. The sharps took the +3 early and then we've seen some of the public follow suit. The expectance of inclement weather has dropped the total four full points."

WEATHER REPORT: The forecast for MetLife Stadium Saturday night is calling for 1-2 inches of snow changing to rain, temperatures in the mid-40’s and north winds of 11 mph.

INJURY REPORT:

Dolphins - S Isa Abdul-Quddus (probable, neck), OT Branden Albert (probable, wrist), CB Bobby McCain (probable, hand), LB Spencer Paysinger (probable, thigh), C Anthony Steen (probable, toe), LB Kiko Alonso (probable, hamstring), CB Xavien Howard (questionable, knee), LB Jelani Jenkins (questionable, knee), DE Mario Williams (questionable, ankle), QB Ryan Tannehill (out indefinitely, knee), DE Dion Jordan (IR, knee), C Mike Pouncey (IR, hip), S Reshad Jones (IR, shoulder).

Jets - WR Brandon Marshall (probable, knee), WR Quincy Enunwa (probable, ribs), RB Matt Forte (questionable, knee), LB Mike Catapano (questionable, knee), OL Brent Qvale (questionable, hamstring), DE Muhammad Wilkerson (questionable, ankle), DT Steve McLendon (questionable, hamstring), WR Jalin Marshall (questionable, concussion), LB Lorenzo Mauldin (questionable, ankle), RB Khiry Robinson (questionable, leg), CB Buster Skrine (questionable, concussion), TE Brandon Bostick (questionable, ankle), TE Kellen Davis (IR, elbow), OT Breno Giacomini (IR, back), S Marcus Gilchrist (IR, knee), S Antonio Allen (IR, concussion)

ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (8-5 SU, 7-6 ATS, 9-4 O/U): While Moore is known as a bit of a gunslinger, coach Adam Gase likely will look to take pressure off the veteran quarterback and lean on Jay Ajayi and the ground game as it targets a Jets team that was gashed for 193 rushing yards by Carlos Hyde on Sunday. Ajayi amassed 111 yards in Miami's 27-23 victory over New York on Nov. 6 but has struggled to get untracked of late with 154 yards on 50 carries over his last three games. Ajayi recorded back-to-back 200-yard performances with Mike Pouncey in the lineup, but the Pro Bowl center was placed on injured reserve Tuesday with an ailing hip.

ABOUT THE JETS (4-9 SU, 5-8 ATS, 6-6-1 O/U): Quarterback Bryce Petty has enjoyed quite the connection with promising wideout Robby Anderson, with the pair hooking up on a 26-yard reception to set up the winning touchdown in overtime Sunday. The 23-year-old Anderson has converted 23 targets over the last two games into 10 receptions for 160 yards and a touchdown. By comparison, veteran wide receiver and former Dolphin Brandon Marshall (team-leading 56 catches, 744 yards) matched his season low with three receptions for 33 yards versus San Francisco.

TRENDS:

* Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
* Jets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
* Over is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 games overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

CONSENSUS: 64 percent of the picking public is grabbing the road favorite Dolphins and 53 percent are taking the Over.

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**Udog** · 12-18-2016, 09:35 AM

NFL Underdogs: Week 15 pointspread picks and predictions

Andrew Caley, who is 23-18-1 ATS with his underdog picks, is a bit of a procrastinator when it comes to the holiday season.

We are officially one week out from Christmas. It sure comes fast doesn’t it?

And if you’re anything like me, you have only checked a few items off your gift list. A pair of funny socks for a friend and a transforming bat cave for the kid. That’s about it, with still about a dozen or so gifts to go.

Every year, I say to myself, this will be the year when I get my Christmas shopping done early. But, nope. Another year and here I am, preparing myself for the ritual that is last minute Christmas shopping. Luckily for me, I have become a seasoned veteran when it comes procrastinated holiday gift buying and there are a few tips I have learned to make this practice as painless as possible.

First off, if you’re going to procrastinate this Christmas, don’t half-ass it. Shop on Christmas Eve. If you’re not looking for the hot item that sold out weeks ago, Christmas Eve is the time for you. Most people have actually thought well in advance and are done by the 24th, so the malls are relatively less crowded.

Second, gift cards are your best friend. Whether it’s to your local grocery store for your broke college buddy, some iTunes money for that friend addicted to their phone to a Home Depot card for the do-it-yourself guy on your list. There are gift cards for everyone. Besides, most people like picking things out for themselves these days.

And finally, alcohol is your even better best friend. I don’t know may people who will turn down the gift of booze. A nice bottle of wine, a few pints of craft beer, or even some spiced rum to go with egg nog. Once again, there is something for everyone and multiple people can be checked off the list in one spot. But more importantly, if you’re feeling flustered, you can pick yourself up your favorite festive spirit, sit back and enjoy some football this year.

But we’ve got one week to go before that, so let’s check out some dogs that could help your last minute Christmas shopping bank roll, starting with a team that likes to procrastinate on the field. The Detroit Lions.

Everyone knows by now the Lions and their affinity for fourth quarter comebacks this season, but there is so much to them than that and it all starts with Matthew Stafford.

Who would have thought not having Calvin Johnson would actually make the Georgia product better, but it did. Stafford is legitimately in the MVP conversation 66.7 percent of his passes for 3,447 with 22 touchdowns and just seven interceptions. Most importantly he seems to be always making the tough throws when they matter most.

They go up against a good Giants team with a very good defense. But Big Blue plays in a lot of tight games this season (they’ve played in just two games all season that have been decided by more than a touchdown), something the Lions feast on.

Pick: Lions +3.5

Cleveland Browns (+10) at Buffalo Bills

I picked Cleveland last week and that came back to bite me in the butt. So this time around I’m hoping I’m not trying to get water from an already dry well.

Robert Griffin III struggled in his first game back under center, but the Browns will probably rely on their ground game, which got rolling again last week, rushing for 169 yards on 22 carries versus the Bengals.

Luckily for Browns backers, the Bills are just as bad a bet at home as the Browns are on the road, both at 2-4 against the spread. So 10-points seems like a lot for a team to cover that hasn’t faced this much chalk all season and only covered twice at home.

Also, I’m just praying the Browns give their fans an early present this year.

Pick: Browns +10

New Orleans Saints (+3) at Arizona Cardinals

It’s been a home away from dome, kind of season for Saints backers.

New Orleans has traditionally been known for its dominance in the Mercedes Benz Superdome, but that hasn’t been the case this season. While only recording two wins, the Saints have covered the spread in five of six outings away from home.

While the Arizona defense in yards allowed at just 298.5 yards per game, they have been suspect to the big play and have been gashed for 117 yards over the last four games. Meaning they are susceptible to quick strikes. Something that plays right into the Saints hands.

Moreover, the Cards just look like a team in turmoil this season. They’re just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.

Pick: Saints +3

Last Week: 1-2 ATS
Season: 23-18-1 ATS

**Udog** · 12-18-2016, 09:38 AM

Essential Week 15 betting tidbits and odds for NFL Sunday

The home team is 7-0 ATS in the last seven meeting between New England and Denver. Brady and the Patriots are currently 3-point road faves for Sunday's matchup.

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (+5.5, 38.5)

* Rodgers did not practice Wednesday or Thursday, but despite hurting his right calf on the opening drive against Seattle, he threw for 246 yards and threw touchdowns on 18-of-23 passing and wound up winning NFC Offensive Player of the Week honors. Rodgers played well down the stretch while dealing with a similar calf injury in his left leg two years ago and, of course, he has plenty of experience playing in the frigid conditions of Green Bay. "It'll be about pain management on Sunday, but the good thing is I'll be out there," said Rodgers, who torched the Bears for 326 yards and three scores on 56 pass attempts in a 26-10 win on Oct. 20. Jordy Nelson caught a pair of TD passes last week to boost his league-best total to 12.

* Chicago is down to third-string quarterback Matt Barkley, but nearly pulled off an upset of division-leading Detroit last week, only to see backup wide receiver Josh Bellamy drop an easy touchdown pass in the end zone. "I want to say that I feel like, if I was playing, some of those games we would have had a different outcome," said Jeffery, who had only one touchdown and one 100-yard game prior to his suspension. "We probably would have won." Rookie running back Jordan Howard is closing has rushed for at least 100 yards in five of the last 10 games, but he was held to a season low-tying 22 by Green Bay. Chicago's defense had held up well against the pass of late, holding four straight opponents to 227 yards of fewer.

LINE HISTORY: The Packers opened this NFC North battle battle as 6.5-point favorites and that number has dropped to 5.5. The total opened at 40.5 and has been inching down all week to sit at 39. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
* Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 12-3 in Packers last 15 games following a straight up win.
* Under is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games following a straight up loss.
* Favorite is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-5, 39.5)

* It seems just a matter of time before the Jaguars cut ties with coach Gus Bradley whose career record of 14-47 is the worst in modern NFL history. Bortles has passed for 3,187 yards and 21 touchdowns but he's second in the league in interceptions with 15 and ranks 29th in passer rating at 77.9. The Jaguars don't run the ball well either as T.J. Yeldon leads the squad with a paltry 432 yards with one touchdown. Yeldon may be the lone healthy back on the roster this week.

* With 107 yards and a score, Lamar Miller went over 1,000 for the season last week and Houston rushed for 185 yards in the game to improve to fifth in the league, averaging 126.1 yards on the ground. Otherwise, the offense has been a mess as they rank 30th in passing (190 yards per game) and is tied for 28th in scoring at 17.6 points a contest. The defense has been steady and last week it got a boost with the return of Jadeveon Clowney, whose strip- sack of Luck proved to be a game-changer at Indianapolis.

LINE HISTORY: The Texans opened the week as 5-point home favorites over their division rival Jags and that number was bet up early in the week to 6, before fading back to 5 late in the week. The total opened at 40.5 and has been driven down one full point to 39.5. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* Jaguars are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Texans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
* Over is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 vs. AFC South.
* Under is 8-2 in Texans last 10 home games.
* Road team is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills (-10, 41.5)

* Griffin threw for just 104 yards with no touchdowns and an interception in his first game back under center since suffering a shoulder injury in the first week of the season. Griffin managed to rush for Cleveland's only score and Isaiah Crowell gained 113 yards on 10 carries but the Browns generated little offense elsewhere. Cleveland ranks both 31st in the league in scoring offense (15.9 points) and scoring defense (28.8) and appears headed to the No. 1 pick in the draft.

* LeSean McCoy needs just 24 yards to go over 1,000 for the season for Buffalo, which is the league's top-ranked rushing offense, averaging 154.6 yards a game. Wide receiver Sammy Watkins, who has battled a foot injury for the bulk of the season, caught his first touchdown pass of the season last week. The Bills rank seventh in the NFL defending the pass, but Ryan's vaunted defense has been gouged on the ground, allowing 125.8 yards a game, which ranks 28th in the league. The Bills have surrendered at least 21 points in six of the past seven games.

LINE HISTORY: The Bills opened as 10.5-point home favorites and that number has held firm all week. The total opened at 43 and has been bet down to 41.5. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* Browns are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
* Bills are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 games overall.
* Over is 8-1 in Bills last 9 games overall.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Philadelphia Eagles at Baltimore Ravens (-6, 40.5)

* Philadelphia's offensive line remains in flux as tackle Allen Barbre didn't practice on Thursday due to a hamstring injury and right guard Brandon Brooks is dealing with an anxiety condition that forced him to miss two of the last three games. Veteran running back Darren Sproles remained in the concussion protocol after a brutal hit during a punt return versus the Redskins, likely leaving the rushing duties to Ryan Mathews. The 29-year-old Mathews, who will have a tall order against the top-ranked Ravens' rush defense (75.5 yards per game), returned from a two-game injury absence to record 15 carries for 60 yards against Washington.

* Joe Flacco (NFL fifth-best 3,582 yards) hasn't been shy about throwing the ball, it's how far down the field (average throw: 6.53 yards) that raises an eyebrow as the veteran quarterback often relies on the short passing game. Rookie Kenneth Dixon, who is averaging 94.3 scrimmage yards over his last three contests, collected his first career touchdown last week and outsnapped fellow running back Terrance West 42-14. Shareece Wright is expected to replace fellow cornerback Jimmy Smith (ankle) in the starting lineup and should face off against Eagles wideout Jordan Matthews, who has received double digits in targets in five of his last six outings.

LINE HISTORY: The Ravens opened as 5.5-home favorites and within minutes jumped to 6, faded back to 5.5 midweek and back up to 6 by Saturday. The total opened at 41.5 and inched down a half point to 41. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* Eagles are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.
* Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
* Over is 10-1 in Eagles last 11 road games.
* Over is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.

Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-5, 41.5)

* Tennessee’s offense has flourished with the addition of running back DeMarco Murray to complement second-year quarterback Marcus Mariota. Murray ranks second in the league in rushing (1,135 yards) and has taken the pressure off Mariota, who has limited his mistakes and hurt defenses with his arm and his legs. The Titans’ defense has been susceptible against the pass but outstanding against the run and held the Broncos to 18 yards on the ground last week.

* Kansas City looks like a middle-of-the-pack team on paper, but the Chiefs have come up with big plays on both sides of the ball when needed. The defense has forced a league-high 25 turnovers and is coming off a dominant effort in holding the Raiders to 244 total yards, though the loss of linebacker Derrick Johnson (torn Achilles tendon) is a huge blow. Smith and the offense have done just enough to get by at times, though Jeremy Maclin’s return to the lineup last week provided some life to the passing game.

LINE HISTORY: The Titans opened up as 5-point road dogs and that number was bet down to 4.5 late in the week. The total opened at 43 and has been bet down a full point to 42. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* Titans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Chiefs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Chiefs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
* Over is 8-2 in Titans last 10 games overall.
* Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 games following a straight up win.
* Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings (-5, 45.5)

* Indianapolis' inability to protect quarterback Andrew Luck is a big part of the problem this season, and the team figures to start three rookies on the offensive line Sunday. "It’s really been pretty much every week this season," Colts offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski told reporters about the offensive line challenge. "It seems like we’re talking about the same thing. The guys have to step up, step forward. Whoever that is that goes into the game and plays in that game, we have our challenges ahead of us. They’re outstanding (up) front." Luck missed practice time this week with shoulder and elbow injuries but is not expected to sit out on Sunday.

* Peterson has not played since suffering a torn meniscus in Week 2, and a potential return this week will be discussed by several people in the organization. "I wouldn't say it was his decision," Zimmer told reporters of Peterson. "I would say it's a combination. We'll sit down and talk, and the medical people (will weigh in). It's a lot to do with the medical." Minnesota is last in the league in rushing yards (954) and yards per rushing attempt (3.0), and leading rusher Jerick McKinnon managed 31 yards on 14 carries in last week's win at Jacksonville.

LINE HISTORY: The Vikings opened as 3.5-home favorites and that number has grown to 5. The total opened at 45.5 and quickly faded down to 44 on Monday and since been bet up as high as 46, where it stands now. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* Colts are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.
* Vikings are 8-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Detroit Lions at N.Y. Giants (-4, 40.5)

* Cornerback Darius Slay routinely covers the opponent's top wide receiver without much fanfare -- so little in fact that the 25-year-old felt he was snubbed from last season's Pro Bowl. "As long as my teammates really see me as a Pro Bowl player, I ain't really worried because I feel it's a politic thing anyway," Slay said. "... I'd rather just get the All-Pro status and don't go Pro Bowl." Detroit's running game could be stuck in neutral again with Theo Riddick (wrist, ankle) sitting out practice this week and backup Zach Zenner in the league's concussion protocol. Tight end Eric Ebron, who is a native of Newark, N.J., has just 70 yards receiving over his last three games after reaching that mark in each of his previous three contests.

* Eli Manning has failed to eclipse 200 passing yards in each of his last three games and tossed three interceptions in that stretch, causing the two-time Super Bowl MVP to cast a critical eye on his own performance. "I've got to play better," Manning said. "Got to find completions, got to protect the football better. That's what's got to happen in these types of games. You get into December, you've got to protect the football. That's the most important thing right now." A 31st-ranked running game hasn't helped matters, with Rashad Jennings (team-leading 459 yards) limited to just 64 yards in his last two contests heading into a tilt with the 11th-ranked Lions' rush defense (97.7).

LINE HISTORY: The Giants opened as 4-point home favorites and was bet up to 4.5, before fading to 3.5 late in the week. The total opened at 43 and has dropped three-points to 40. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* Lions are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
* Under is 7-0 in Lions last 7 games overall.
* Under is 6-1 in Giants last 7 games following a ATS win.
* Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (+3, 44.5)

* Pittsburgh's winning streak coincided with the decision to dole out a heavy workload to Bell, who has amassed 620 yards rushing and five touchdowns while added 22 receptions. Bell, who has carried the ball at least 23 times in each of the last four games, does not have pleasant memories against the Bengals, suffering season-ending injuries in each of the previous two years. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is coming off one of his worst games of the season, tossing three interceptions at Buffalo to mark the third time he's failed to thrown a touchdown pass on the road. Pittsburgh's defense has been a force during the four-game run, registering 18 sacks.

* After failing to complete 56 percent of his passes during a three-game skid, quarterback Andy Dalton connected on better than 70 percent while tossing four touchdowns and zero interceptions in back-to-back wins over Philadelphia and Cleveland. Running back Jeremy Hill went over 100 yards for only the second time this season in last week's win over Cleveland. Hill could be line for another heavy workload, particularly with the iffy status of Green, who practiced on a limited basis for the second straight day Thursday. Tackle Geno Atkins was named the AFC Defensive Player of the Week after registering two sacks and five tackles against the Browns.

LINE HISTORY: The Steelers opened this AFC North battle as 3-point road favorites and that number has held firm all week. The total opened at 44.5 and dropped to 44 on Monday, bettors appear to be happy as that number hasn’t moved since. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Bengals are 0-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 5-1 in Steelers last 6 road games.
* Over is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
* Steelers are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 meetings in Cincinnati.

New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals (-3, 50.5)

* New Orleans has committed 13 turnovers in its past five games, losing four of them. The Saints managed only 294 total yards in last week’s 16-11 loss at Tampa Bay, as they were held to 46 rushing yards – the second straight game with 50 yards or fewer. The subpar offensive outing wasted a strong performance from an improving defense, as the Saints gave up fewer than 300 total yards for the third time in the last four contests.

* The turnover issue has held back an Arizona offense that has plenty of weapons beginning with versatile running back David Johnson. Johnson leads the league in yards from scrimmage (1,830) and touchdowns (15) and ranks third in rushing yards (1,085), and Carson Palmer’s receiving corps has been plagued by injuries and illness while the veteran quarterback has had a tough time hanging onto the ball. The defense, which is especially tough against the pass, has forced at least one turnover in six straight games and 12 of 13 this season.

LINE HISTORY: The Cardinals opened the game between wildcard contenders as 2.5-point home favorites and that number has risen to a field goal. The total opened at 50 and had been bet up one full-point to 51. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* Saints are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Over is 9-1 in Saints last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
* Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. NFC.
* Home team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons (-13, 50.5)

* San Francisco hasn’t had many bright spots in 2016, but the offense showed signs of life last week with Carlos Hyde rushing for a career-high 193 yards and catching a touchdown pass while Colin Kaepernick put together a decent outing. Kaepernick will be without one of his top receivers in Torrey Smith, who is recovering from a concussion suffered against the Jets. The league’s worst defense melted down in the second half last week and has allowed 400 or more total yards in six of the past eight games.

* Atlanta boasts the league’s highest-scoring offense but put up pedestrian numbers in last week’s 42-14 win at Los Angeles with Julio Jones – the league’s leading receiver – sidelined with a sprained toe. Quarterback Matt Ryan is putting up MVP-like numbers, leading the league in rating (113.2) and ranking second in passing yards (4,050), but the status of his receiving corps is up in the air with Jones and Mohamed Sanu (groin) both nursing injuries. Atlanta’s young defense has had its share of growing pains but turned in a dominant outing against the Rams, forcing five turnovers and scoring two defensive touchdowns.

LINE HISTORY: The Falcons opened as massive 13-point favorites and that line was bet up to 14 midweek, before fading back to the original number as of Saturday morning. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* 49ers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
* Falcons are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Under is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 games following a straight up loss.
* Over is 8-1 in Falcons last 9 vs. NFC.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (+3, 43.5)

* Facing the league's top-ranked defense, Brady shredded the Ravens by throwing for three touchdowns and a season high-tying 406 yards, but he acknowledged New England cannot go with a similar game plan against the Broncos. "Because they play the pass so well, we have to find ways to make yardage in the run game," said Brady, giving a nod to a Denver defense that surrenders a league-low 183.5 yards per game and ranks second with 38 sacks. That could mean a heavy dose of running back LeGarrette Blount, who has establish career highs with 14 rushing touchdowns and 1,029 yards. New England's defense is permitting an AFC-low 17.7 points per game.

* The only thing separating Denver from a four-game losing streak was a blocked extra point that was returned against New Orleans, although three of its last four contests have been played on the road. The lack of a consistent running game has put more of an onus on quarterback Trevor Siemian, who has thrown for 702 yards with four touchdowns and zero interceptions over the past two games while airing it out 51 times at Tennessee last week. The Broncos have perhaps the league's best cornerback tandem in Chris Harris Jr. and ex-Patriot Aqib Talib. Von Miller has 13.5 sacks for Denver, which dropped Brady five times in last season's playoff win.

LINE HISTORY: The Broncos opened the week as field goal dogs at home and bettors seem happy with that number. The total opened at 44 and has dropped half-point to 43.5. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
* Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 7-1 in Patriots last 8 road games.
* Under is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Home team is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (+2.5, 49)

* Carr produced a dramatic comeback in his first game since injuring the pinkie on his throwing hand, but he struggled miserably in frigid conditions at Kansas City while producing a season-low 49.1 quarterback rating. In the first meeting against San Diego, Carr threw for 317 yards and connected on scoring passes to wideouts Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper, who were each limited in Thursday's practice. Running back Latavius Murray sat out the earlier matchup because of injury, but he is coming off his second 100-yard game of the season and has nine rushing TDs in the last seven games. Defensive end Khalil Mack has registered 10 sacks during an eight-game streak.

* San Diego absorbed a huge blow when running back Melvin Gordon was carted off the field early last week with knee and hip injuries. Gordon, who is three yards shy of 1,000 and has racked up 12 touchdowns overall and 10 on the ground, did not practice Wednesday or Thursday and is not expected to play, leaving undrafted rookie Kenneth Farrow to carry the ground game. Rookie defensive end Joey Bosa, the No. 3 overall selection in this year's draft, practiced fully on Wednesdy and Thursday after sufftering a sprained neck against Carolina. Philip Rivers is struggling down the stretch with 10 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions over the past four games.

LINE HISTORY: The Raiders opened this AFC West battle as field goal home favorites and that number has dropped half-point to 2.5 late in the week. The total opened at 50 and has been bet down to 49. Check out the complete line history here.

TRENDS:

* Raiders are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
* Chargers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.
* Over is 6-1 in Raiders last 7 games overall.
* Over is 4-1-1 in Chargers last 6 home games.
* Underdog is 14-2 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Thursday, December 15 - Monday, December 19)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Thursday, December 15 - Monday, December 19)

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