The Bum's 2016 NFL Regular Season Best Bets, Opinions, Trends, News !

[StarDust Bum]

NFL opening line report: The Falcons face another very tough test in Week 6

In back-to-back weeks, Atlanta has beaten both participants in last year’s Super Bowl. Coming off their win over Carolina, the Falcons were in control throughout at Denver, winning 23-16.

Week 6 of the NFL season kicks off with the defending Super Bowl champions looking to rebound from their first loss since last December. We talk about the opening lines with Peter Childs, risk management supervisor for offshore site Sportsbook.ag.

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (+3)

Denver had to start rookie quarterback Paxton Lynch on Sunday against Atlanta, and it was rough sledding. Lynch was sacked six times and threw an interception, and the Broncos (4-1 SU and ATS) lost 23-16 as 3.5-point home favorites.

San Diego (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS) had its chances to beat Oakland or at least force overtime, but had a late field goal blocked in a 34-31 road loss as a 3.5-point underdog.

“We had a tough time with this number,” Childs said. “The Chargers are just beat up and arguably the most injured of any team in the NFL. They looked flat-out gassed in the second half against Oakland and now have to play on a short week.”

Childs said the opening number for this Thursday night game comes with an asterisk, not knowing whether Lynch is starting or Trevor Siemian can return from a shoulder injury.

“The Broncos have serious questions at quarterback, and without definitive word as to who will start, Lynch or Siemian, we have placed half-limits on this prime-time matchup until we get word,” Childs said. “Before Sunday’s game, Lynch wasn’t much of a downgrade from Siemian. After what we saw against the Falcons, we were absolutely wrong. He’s a big-time downgrade, in my opinion.

“If it’s Siemian who starts, we’ll go to Broncos -4. If it’s Lynch, then the Broncos go down to 2.5-point road favorite.”

Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots (-9)

Tom Brady returned in Week 5, and it was like he never left. Brady threw for 406 yards and three touchdowns in a 33-13 rout of Cleveland as New England (4-1 SU and ATS) covered the 10-point spread. Cincinnati went off as a 2.5-point chalk at Dallas, but lost 28-14 to fall to 2-3 SU and ATS.

“I’m not sure we can open this line high enough,” Childs said. “The Patriots looked like world beaters with Brady back in charge, and the Bengals looked pathetic against the Cowboys. But as good as the Pats looked, it was against arguably the worst team in the NFL and one of the worst defenses in the NFL.

“The Bengals are in a must-win. They simply can’t afford another loss, and you have to think they bring a desperate effort. We know the public is going to bet the Patriots, so as much as we believe the number should be around 7 or 7.5, we hung 9 and will charge a bit of a tax for Pats backers.”

Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers (OFF)

Dallas continued rolling behind its rookies, quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott. Prescott threw for 227 yards and a TD, and Elliott racked up 134 yards and two TDs on just 15 carries – including a 60-yard score – as the Cowboys beat Cincinnati 28-14 catching 2.5 points at home.

Green Bay (3-1 SU, 2-1-1 ATS) topped the New York Giants 23-16, pushing as a 7-point home fave. But because that was the Sunday night game, Childs said Sportsbook.ag was holding off on posting the line for Cowboys-Packers.

Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks (-7)

In back-to-back weeks, Atlanta has beaten both participants in last year’s Super Bowl. Coming off their big home win over Carolina, the Falcons (4-1 SU and ATS) were in control throughout at Denver on Sunday, winning 23-16 as a 3.5-point ‘dog.

However, Seattle will have an extra week of preparation for this contest, since it had a bye in Week 5. The Seahawks (3-1 SU and ATS) topped the New York Jets 27-17 laying 1 point on the road in Week 4.

“This is a very difficult spot for the Falcons, off their win against the Broncos,” Childs said. “Atlanta has to travel on back-to-back weeks and play a rested Seahawks team. While the Falcons looked impressive on the road, it was against a rookie quarterback who looked overwhelmed in his debut as a starter.

“We opened the Seahawks a solid 7-point favorite and immediately took sharp money on the Falcons. We got off 7 and went down to Seattle -6.5, which is our current number. We’ve had good two-way action at 6.5, and I believe we’ll be at this number for a while.”

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, October 13

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DENVER (4 - 1) at SAN DIEGO (1 - 4) - 10/13/2016, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 16

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CINCINNATI (2 - 3) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 1) - 10/16/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 226-184 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 226-184 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 176-134 ATS (+28.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 101-74 ATS (+19.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (3 - 2) at NY GIANTS (2 - 3) - 10/16/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (1 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 3) - 10/16/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (4 - 1) at MIAMI (1 - 4) - 10/16/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 97-68 ATS (+22.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 65-39 ATS (+22.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
MIAMI is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 82-110 ATS (-39.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
MIAMI is 82-110 ATS (-39.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 82-110 ATS (-39.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (1 - 3) at CHICAGO (1 - 4) - 10/16/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 4) at BUFFALO (3 - 2) - 10/16/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA RAMS (3 - 2) at DETROIT (2 - 3) - 10/16/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 174-216 ATS (-63.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 174-216 ATS (-63.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 80-110 ATS (-41.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 126-170 ATS (-61.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
DETROIT is 56-82 ATS (-34.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 127-164 ATS (-53.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (0 - 5) at TENNESSEE (2 - 3) - 10/16/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (3 - 1) at WASHINGTON (3 - 2) - 10/16/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 80-110 ATS (-41.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 80-110 ATS (-41.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 80-110 ATS (-41.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (2 - 2) at OAKLAND (4 - 1) - 10/16/2016, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 42-76 ATS (-41.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 70-99 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 70-99 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 70-99 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (4 - 1) at SEATTLE (3 - 1) - 10/16/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 31-58 ATS (-32.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (4 - 1) at GREEN BAY (3 - 1) - 10/16/2016, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 3) at HOUSTON (3 - 2) - 10/16/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 17

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NY JETS (1 - 4) at ARIZONA (2 - 3) - 10/17/2016, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Week 6

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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 13

8:25 PM
DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing Denver


Sunday, October 16

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TENNESSEE
Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games when playing Cleveland

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. MIAMI
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

1:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Los Angeles is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. NY GIANTS
Baltimore is 7-12-2 ATS in its last 21 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore
NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore

1:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games at home

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Carolina18-5-1 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. NEW ENGLAND
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games

4:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games

4:25 PM
ATLANTA vs. SEATTLE
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

4:25 PM
DALLAS vs. GREEN BAY
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

8:30 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indianapolis's last 11 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games at home
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


Monday, October 17

8:30 PM
NY JETS vs. ARIZONA
NY Jets are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games on the road
NY Jets are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Monday, October 10


Big change in Baltimore: Marc Trestman is OUT as Ravens OC. Ravens went 7-12-2 ATS 9-12 O/U with Trestman calling plays.


With the Vikings latest win they've covered 10 in a row and are an incredible 19-2 ATS in their last 21. They're on a Bye in Week 6.

---------------------------------

Wiseguys are advising that these Week 6 NFL lines are going to move

If you like the Texans jump on them now in their AFC South battle against Indy this week.

Game to bet now

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-3.5)

Bill O’Brien has to be pulling out his hair about now. His Texans have been able to beat mediocre and poor teams (Tennessee, Kansas City, San Diego) but have shriveled up into the fetal position against better competition (New England, Minnesota). Now comes a real AFC South test against the Colts, and an opportunity to take control of the division and put Indy into a good-sized hole.

But nothing is guaranteed, not after Brock Osweiler stunk out the joint against the Vikings – 19 for 42, one interception, four sacks. This is definitely not a must-win division game for Houston, but if the Texans are going to replace Indianapolis as the AFC South heavyweight, it would be a nice get against a team that has more problems than even the Texans do. The early line (Texans -3.5) has held firm and doesn’t seem likely to move.

Game to wait on

Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks (-6)

This game will give everyone a pretty good idea if the Falcons are playing with fool’s gold. So far, so good, with the Falcons pummeling teams for the last month after getting ambushed by the Bucs on opening day. Over the last two weeks Atlanta has defeated both of last season’s Super Bowl teams, scoring 48 on the Panthers and defeating the Broncos in Denver in a game that was not as close as the final (23-16) margin.

Importantly to bettors, the Falcons are 4-1 ATS, thanks to rejuvenated QB Matt Ryan – who is by far the league’s top-rated passer and over just five games has 177 more passing yards than the No. 2 passer (Andy Dalton). A win at Seattle would propel the Falcons into the upper tier of contenders, and bettors like the 6 they’re getting so much that the number might melt to 5.5.

Total to watch

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (45.5)

Things are slipping away from the snake-bitten Chargers, who can’t seem to close the deal. They’ve lost four close games (Kansas City, New Orleans, New Orleans and Oakland). The O/U line on SD games this year has averaged 50, and the Chargers have covered that number four times. The problem is that Denver is breaking in another new QB (Paxton Lynch), who will be playing just his third game.

If you think that the Chargers’ 8th-ranked offense will be able to move the ball against the Broncos’ 6th-ranked defense, an over play should be considered. Key factor here is that the game will be in San Diego, where the Chargers tend to score a lot.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 6

Thurs – Oct. 13

Denver at San Diego, 8:25 PM ET
Denver: 8-1 ATS in road games in games played on a grass field
San Diego: 8-19 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses


Sun – Oct. 14

Cincinnati at New England, 1:00 PM ET
Cincinnati: 19-34 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half
New England: 6-0 ATS in home games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game

Baltimore at NY Giants, 1:00 PM ET
Baltimore: 43-26 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
New York: 12-26 ATS after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game

Carolina at New Orleans, 1:00 PM ET
Carolina: 33-16 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games
New Orleans: 7-20 ATS off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less

Pittsburgh at Miami, 1:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh: 37-19 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game
Miami: 1-9 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game

Jacksonville at Chicago, 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville: 10-2 OVER in road games in games played on a grass field
Chicago: 6-16 ATS in home games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game

San Francisco at Buffalo, 1:00 PM ET
San Francisco: 1-7 ATS after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game
Buffalo: 6-1 ATS after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game

LA Rams at Detroit, 1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles: 15-44 ATS after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game
Detroit: 14-4 ATS after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games

Cleveland at Tennessee, 1:00 PM ET
Cleveland: 19-7 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive losses
Tennessee: 3-13 ATS in home games

Philadelphia at Washington, 1:00 PM ET
Philadelphia: 12-2 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses
Washington: 28-48 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49

Kansas City at Oakland, 4:05 PM ET
Kansas City: 10-2 ATS in road games off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more
Oakland: 8-19 ATS in home games after a win by 6 or less points

Atlanta at Seattle, 4:25 PM ET
Atlanta: 9-2 ATS as an underdog
Seattle: 8-19 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest

Dallas at Green Bay, 4:25 PM ET
Dallas: 6-17 ATS after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games
Green Bay: 14-2 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games

Indianapolis at Houston, 8:30 PM ET
Indianapolis: 16-4 ATS in road games after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games
Houston: 6-0 OVER in October games


Mon – Oct. 17

NY Jets at Arizona, 8:30 PM ET
New York: 32-17 UNDER after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game
Arizona: 1-11 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6


Thursday's game
Broncos (4-1) @ Chargers (1-4)— Denver coach Kubiak (migraines) is out for this game, which is bigger problem than usual since he calls plays; QB Siemian is expected back after missing a game. Broncos won nine of last ten series games, winning last five in row, all by 7+ points- they’ve won their last five visits here. San Diego is 1-4 despite scoring 30.4 pts/game; all four of their losses are by 4 or less points or in OT. Chargers turned ball over 10 times in last three games; five of last six TDs they allowed were on drives of less than 50 yards. Denver is 5-1-1 in last seven games as a road favorite; last 8+ years, San Diego is 5-9 as a home dog. Over is 4-1 in Charger games, 3-2 in Denver games. Chargers are allowing 20.6 second half pts/game.


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NFL
Dunkel

Week 6

Thursday, October 13

Denver @ San Diego

Game 103-104
October 13, 2016 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
134.731
San Diego
133.375
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 3 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+3 1/2); Over


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NFL Week 6 lines that make you go hmmm...

Colin Kaepernick takes over under center for the 49ers but will that matter when San Fran comes to Buffalo in Week 6?

Longtime Las Vegas oddsmaker Peter Korner sizes up this week’s NFL schedule and picks out some of the lines making him go “hmmmm…” in Week 6:

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (+3, 45)

The first twist of Week 6 comes on Thursday night. Denver is at San Diego where the Chargers have been downright brutal to their faithful. Throw out Denver’s last game as it didn’t have its starting quarterback ready to go. But what I see here is a pretty stereotypical, mass following trend of going Over on a marquee game.

In typical fashion, the tip-off was the initial move lower than the opening 46. I’ve see this a million times. This is a sure bet that money will fly on the Over as soon as Nevada parlay cards are printed and carved into stone. Every week, I suggest to the Nevada sportsbooks to pump up the favorites and totals on Thursday, Sunday and Monday night games.

But this 45 looks suspect. With all due respect for Denver’s defense, San Diego’s lowest total output this season has been 48 points. The other scores landed 65, 69, 52, and 60. Before last game, the Broncos were scoring at an even 30 points per game. The Chargers will be in full crisis mode on national TV and should provide some fireworks. Denver will keep pace. This looks to go Over so take this as early as you can because this is only going one way come kickoff.

Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks (-6, 46)

This is another game that I think oddsmakers were a little light with the total. Before last game, Atlanta’s game scores hit 55, 63, 77 and 81. Now, that’s a trend I like to see especially when the opposition is starting to crank on offense as well.

Both quarterbacks are in sync, especially Ryan who has thrown 12 TDs and only two interceptions to date. His 121.6 rating is hard to overlook. We know Seattle can go toe-to-toe with anyone and these two teams suggest a high-powered, open-game strategy. Eight of Atlanta’s 11 different receivers are averaging in double-digit yards per catch.

I would have had this total around 50 but if the sportsbook gods believe this is lower, I think they’re playing with fire. If you like it, take the Over early in a game that should be a fun one to watch.

San Francisco at Buffalo Bills (-8, 44)

Speaking of trends that I like to see, you can only read the San Francisco-Buffalo one way. San Francisco is going through its predicted meltdown and we get a quarterback change before the upcoming game in Orchard Park, with Colin Kaepernick starting over Blaine Gabbert. As a longtime resident of the Buffalo area, I know the winds can play havoc on the passing game and this is where I see the margin come into play.

Buffalo has been winning with the run game and as long as QB Taylor doesn’t lose the game, the team is gelling nicely into a well-balanced offensive threat. Their defense will be stronger with the return of DT Marcell Dareus and the momentum of three straight wins spilling over to a home field spells nothing but dominance against a troubling San Francisco team.

San Francisco will be forced to play long ball when it gets behind and this is where Buffalo’s defense and special teams will shine. If the Niners change quarterbacks during the game, this may cause even more stagnation. Especially if any non-football related matters come into play.

Frankly speaking, ride the team that’s doing well, equipped with the momentum and one that will be looking at a game they consider a “must-win”. San Francisco will have its day but the red flags are flying all around this team for now. Nothing points to a San Francisco turnaround this Sunday.

New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals (-7.5, 47)

Both the Jets and Cardinals are vastly underperforming. Arizona just doesn’t look ready to go and, coupled with the fact that Carson Palmer won’t be at 100 percent if playing at all, the Cardinals are unable to get out of their own way just yet.

We all know the Jets are not as bad as their record suggests but a deeper look may reveal that their 1-4 start may be justified. New York has lost to Pittsburgh, Seattle, Cincinnati and Kansas City: not exactly your cellar dwellers of the league. Arizona beat San Francisco and Tampa Bay, not exactly the league’s elite. Getting +7.5 with a semi-quality team that has to be thinking “must-win” at this point seems like a steal. Bettors like to see motivated teams on the slate going into battle with their money.

The Jets have capable players and should get a better game out of QB Fitzpatrick. The track will be fast in Arizona and we’re expecting the Jets offense to click and keep pace with whatever Arizona has to offer - especially if Drew Stanton is the signal caller for the Cardinals. If you like the Jets, get the hook while you can and have a sweat on Monday night.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL TRENDS

Money Line

8:30 pm 10/17/2016
(277) NY JETS @(278) ARIZONA
Play AGAINST ARIZONA using the money line in Home games against AFC East division opponents.
The record is 3 Wins and 9 Losses since 1992 (-14.9 units)
BET NOW!

4:25 pm 10/16/2016
(271) ATLANTA @(272) SEATTLE
Play ON ATLANTA using the money line in All games as an underdog.
The record is 9 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.15 units)
BET NOW!

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(257) PITTSBURGH @(258) MIAMI
Play ON PITTSBURGH using the money line in All games in weeks 5 through 9.
The record is 77 Wins and 30 Losses since 1992 (+41.85 units)
BET NOW!

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(251) CINCINNATI @(252) NEW ENGLAND
Play AGAINST CINCINNATI using the money line in All games against AFC East division opponents.
The record is 15 Wins and 35 Losses since 1992 (-30.75 units)
BET NOW!

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(251) CINCINNATI @(252) NEW ENGLAND
Play ON NEW ENGLAND using the money line in All games in games played on turf.
The record is 28 Wins and 4 Losses for the last three seasons (+21.8 units)
BET NOW!

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(255) CAROLINA @(256) NEW ORLEANS
Play ON NEW ORLEANS using the money line in Home games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 36 Wins and 35 Losses since 1992 (-56.25 units)
BET NOW!

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(255) CAROLINA @(256) NEW ORLEANS
Play ON CAROLINA using the money line in Road games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 8 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+10.6 units)
BET NOW!

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(265) CLEVELAND @(266) TENNESSEE
Play AGAINST CLEVELAND using the money line in All games in games played on a grass field.
The record is 2 Wins and 14 Losses for the last two seasons (-13.9 units)
BET NOW!

8:25 pm 10/13/2016
(103) DENVER @(104) SAN DIEGO
Play ON DENVER using the money line in All games in games where the money line is +130 to -150.
The record is 9 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+8.8 units)
BET NOW!

8:25 pm 10/13/2016
(103) DENVER @(104) SAN DIEGO
Play ON DENVER using the money line in Road games in games played on a grass field.
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+9.9 units)
BET NOW!

-------------------------------------

NFL TRENDS

Half Time


1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(263) LA RAMS @(264) DETROIT
Play ON LA RAMS in the first half in All games as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line.
The record is 19 Wins and 5 Losses for the last three seasons (+13.5 units)
BET NOW!

8:25 pm 10/13/2016
(103) DENVER @(104) SAN DIEGO
Play ON DENVER in the first half in Road games in games played on a grass field.
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!

----------------------------

NFL TRENDS

ATS


8:30 pm 10/17/2016
(277) NY JETS @(278) ARIZONA
Play AGAINST ARIZONA against the spread in All games as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points.
The record is 1 Wins and 11 Losses since 1992 (-11.1 units)
BET NOW!

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(257) PITTSBURGH @(258) MIAMI
Play AGAINST MIAMI against the spread in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 3 Wins and 13 Losses for the last two seasons (-11.3 units)
BET NOW!

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(265) CLEVELAND @(266) TENNESSEE
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE against the spread in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 2 Wins and 12 Losses for the last two seasons (-11.2 units)
BET NOW!

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(265) CLEVELAND @(266) TENNESSEE
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE against the spread in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 4 Wins and 21 Losses for the last three seasons (-19.1 units)
BET NOW!

--------------------------------

NFL TRENDS

Over


1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(263) LA RAMS @(264) DETROIT
Play OVER DETROIT on the total in Home games against conference opponents.
The record is 7 Overs and 0 Unders for the last two seasons (+7 units)
BET NOW!

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(261) SAN FRANCISCO @(262) BUFFALO
Play OVER BUFFALO on the total in All games against NFC West division opponents.
The record is 23 Overs and 7 Unders since 1992 (+15.3 units)
BET NOW!

-----------------------------------

NFL TRENDS

Under


4:25 pm 10/16/2016
(271) ATLANTA @(272) SEATTLE
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the total in All games in weeks 5 through 9.
The record is 0 Overs and 10 Unders for the last three seasons (+10 units)
BET NOW!

4:25 pm 10/16/2016
(271) ATLANTA @(272) SEATTLE
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the total in Road games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 2 Overs and 13 Unders for the last three seasons (+10.8 units)
BET NOW!

------------------------

NFL TRENDS

Teasers


1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(253) BALTIMORE @(254) NY GIANTS
Play ON BALTIMORE using a teaser in All games as a road underdog of 3 or less in a 6 point teaser.
The record is 39 Wins and 3 Losses since 1992 (+35.7 units)
BET NOW!

[StarDust Bum]

NFL POWER LINES

NFL Power Line ratings are calculated using both teams' ratings and home field advantage. The Top Power Lines tool offers a way to view and compare current Power Lines in one simple report, as well as the Power Line Edge, where the Power Line differs significantly from the current betting line.

8:25 pm 10/13/2016
(103) DENVER @(104) SAN DIEGO
Play Line: DENVER -3
BTB PowerLine: DENVER -7
Edge On: DENVER 4

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(261) SAN FRANCISCO @(262) BUFFALO
Play Line: BUFFALO -8
BTB PowerLine: BUFFALO -14
Edge On: BUFFALO 6

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(257) PITTSBURGH @(258) MIAMI
Play Line: PITTSBURGH -7.5
BTB PowerLine: PITTSBURGH -12
Edge On: PITTSBURGH 4.5

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(259) JACKSONVILLE @(260) CHICAGO
Play Line: CHICAGO -3
BTB PowerLine: CHICAGO -5
Edge On: CHICAGO 2

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(255) CAROLINA @(256) NEW ORLEANS
Play Line: CAROLINA -3
BTB PowerLine: CAROLINA -7
Edge On: CAROLINA 4

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(251) CINCINNATI @(252) NEW ENGLAND
Play Line: CINCINNATI 9
BTB PowerLine: CINCINNATI +5
Edge On: CINCINNATI 4

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(265) CLEVELAND @(266) TENNESSEE
Play Line: CLEVELAND 7
BTB PowerLine: CLEVELAND +3
Edge On: CLEVELAND 4

1:00 pm 10/16/2016
(253) BALTIMORE @(254) NY GIANTS
Play Line: BALTIMORE 3
BTB PowerLine: BALTIMORE +0
Edge On: BALTIMORE 3

4:05 pm 10/16/2016
(269) KANSAS CITY @(270) OAKLAND
Play Line: KANSAS CITY 1
BTB PowerLine: KANSAS CITY -5
Edge On: KANSAS CITY 6

8:30 pm 10/16/2016
(275) INDIANAPOLIS @(276) HOUSTON
Play Line: HOUSTON -3
BTB PowerLine: HOUSTON -8
Edge On: HOUSTON 5

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 6

Sunday, October 16

Indianapolis @ Houston

Game 275-276
October 16, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
131.450
Houston
132.255
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(+3 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Green Bay

Game 273-274
October 16, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
131.525
Green Bay
140.035
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 7 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 4
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-4); Under

Atlanta @ Seattle

Game 271-272
October 16, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
134.332
Seattle
144.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 10 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 6
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-6); Over

Kansas City @ Oakland

Game 269-270
October 16, 2016 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
134.096
Oakland
130.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 3 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 1
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+1); Over

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 267-268
October 16, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
133.830
Washington
135.847
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+2 1/2); Over

Cleveland @ Tennessee

Game 265-266
October 16, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
124.054
Tennessee
128.037
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 4
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 7 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+7 1/2); Over

Los Angeles @ Detroit

Game 263-264
October 16, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
128.273
Detroit
135.040
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 7
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-3); Under

San Francisco @ Buffalo

Game 261-262
October 16, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
132.085
Buffalo
137.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 5
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 8
44
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+8); Over

Jacksonville @ Chicago

Game 259-260
October 16, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
127.368
Chicago
125.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+2 1/2); Under

Pittsburgh @ Miami

Game 257-258
October 16, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
136.266
Miami
130.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 5 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 8
48
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+8); Under

Carolina @ New Orleans

Game 255-256
October 16, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
135.371
New Orleans
128.371
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 6 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 3
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-3); N/A

Baltimore @ NY Giants

Game 253-254
October 16, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
127.054
NY Giants
131.502
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 4 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 3
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(-3); Over

Cincinnati @ New England

Game 251-252
October 16, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
132.255
New England
138.701
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 6 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 9
47
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+9); Over


Monday, October 17

NY Jets @ Arizona

Game 277-278
October 17, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
131.038
Arizona
136.955
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 6
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 9
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(+9); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Sunday's games

Bengals (2-3) @ Patriots (4-1)— Brady returned LW with 406 passing yards, three TDs in an easy win; 13-7-3 in last 23 games as a home favorite. Cincinnati got spanked in Dallas LW, giving up 180 rushing yards in game that was 28-0 in 4th quarter; Bengals are just 20-66 on 3rd down; they’re 13-6-3 in last 22 games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year. Patriots won five of last six series games, with last four wins by 14+ points; Bengals lost last six visits to Foxboro- their last win here was in 1980. AFC East teams are 7-7 vs spread outside their division, 0-2 as home favorites. NFC North teams are 7-9 vs spread in non-division tilts, 1-3 as an underdog. Under is 4-1 in New England games this season, 3-1 in Bengals’ last four games.

Ravens (3-2) @ Giants (2-3)— Both teams struggling; Baltimore fired OC Trestman Monday, after scoring 8 TDs with 8 turnovers in first five games, all of which were decided by 6 or less points- they’re 11-45 on 3rd down in last three games. Former Lions HC Mornhinweg takes over as OC. Ravens are 2-0 on road, winning by 5 at Cleveland, 2 at Jacksonville. Giants lost last three games, scoring two TDs on 22 drives in last two games; they’re 1-1 at home, with two games decided by total of 5 points. Ravens won four of last five series games, with three of four wins by 19+ points. Under is 4-1 in Giant games, 3-2 in Baltimore games. Ravens are 6-1 in last seven games as a road dog; they’re underdog for first time this year. Giants are 2-5 in last seven games as a home favorite.

Panthers (1-4) @ Saints (1-3)— Carolina traveling on short week after ugly loss Monday, where they were -4 in turnovers, still only lost on last play of game. Panthers allowed 34.5 pts/game in losing first two road games; they’re 5-11 in last 16 games as a road favorite, 0-2 this year. Saints lost six of last eight games with Carolina, who won three of last four visits here. Road underdogs are 4-0 vs spread in NO games this year; over last 7+ years, Saints are 3-1 as home underdogs. Favorites are 6-0-1 vs spread in Saints’ last eight post-bye games, with NO losing 24-23/24-6 in last two post-bye tilts, after winning five in row. New Orleans is 7-11-3 in last 21 games where spread was 3 or less points; Carolina is 6-2 in last eight such games.

Steelers (4-1) @ Dolphins (1-4)— Will probably be more Steeler fans than Miami fans here; in last two games, Dolphins have run only 84 plays for 422 yards, their opponents 139 plays for 761 yards. Miami is -9 in turnovers (2-11) in its last four games. All four Steeler wins are by 8+ points; Pitt has 10 TDs on 21 drives in last two games- over last 8+ years, they’re 12-21-1 as a road favorite. Home side lost last three series games; Steelers won last three visits here and five of last six overall in series- last tine they lost here was 1998. Three of last four Miami games went over total, under is 3-1 in last four Steeler games. NFL-wide, home underdogs are 7-9 vs spread in non-divisional games. Dolphins are 2-3 in last five games as a road underdog.

Jaguars (1-3) @ Bears (1-4)— Jaguars had rough bye week after hurricane pounded their town last week; they’ve covered five of last six post-bye games. Jax is 6-11-1 in last 18 games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year- they beat Colts in London in last game- three of their four games this year went over total. Jags are 9-17 in last 26 games where spread was 3 or less points. Chicago racked up 532 yards in 29-23 loss at Indy LW, but scored only one TD in three trips to red zone- they scored 17 or less points in four of five games. Hoyer threw for 397 yards LW, 9.2 yards/attempt; Bears are 8-22-3 in last 23 games where spread was 3 or less. NFC North teams are 7-6 vs spread outside the division, 2-2 as home favorite. AFC South teams are 7-8, 2-3 as road underdogs.

49ers (1-4) @ Bills (3-2)— Kaepernick gets first start of year at QB for 49ers after their 4th loss in row LW; he gives them more mobility, little more of a deep passing threat, but is less accurate on short passes. Niners allowed 83 points in losing both its road games- they’re 3-10 in last 13 games as a road underdog, 0-2 this year. Buffalo won its last three games after an 0-2 start; they’re +9 in turnovers for year, +8 in last three games. Bills scored 30+ points in three of last four games, running ball for 178.3 yds/game in three games since they changed OCs- they’ve scored a defensive TD in three of last four games. Buffalo is 3-2 as home favorite under Ryan, 0-1 this year. 49ers won last two series games 10-3/45-3; they’ve split four visits here.

Rams (3-2) @ Lions (2-3)— Underdogs are 5-0 vs spread this year in Detroit games, 4-1 in LA’s games. Lions are 4-3 in last seven series games, but lost 21-14 in St Louis LY, when they didn’t have a play in game longer than 18 yards. Rams lost five of last seven visits to Motor City; they won last two road games by total of 9 points- this is their first game on artificial turf this season. LA is 7-6-1 in last 14 games as a road underdog. Detroit’s five games have all been decided by 7 or less points, their two home games were both decided by a single point; Lions are 8-3-2 as home favorites under Caldwell, 0-1 this year. Injury to Rams’ best CB Johnson (ankle) could be a big problem for their defense, which has allowed 28+ points in three of five games.

Browns (0-5) @ Titans (2-3)— Cleveland is 0-5 with three losses by 11+ points (2-3 vs spread). Browns are 4-7 in last 11 games as a road underdog. Kessler figures to start again here, with McCown as backup. Tennessee allowed only six offensive TDs in five games, but they’ve given up a punt return TD in each of last two games and offense has also allowed two. Titans are 2-7-2 in last 11 games as a home favorite, 0-1 this year; they’ve run ball for 180 yards/game last three weeks. Browns are 5-2 in last seven games with Titans; they beat Tennessee 28-14 LY, with punt return TD and +3 turnover margin- they won field position by 14 yards. AFC North teams are 7-9 vs spread in non-division games, 1-3 as an underdog. AFC South home favorites are 4-2 in non-divisional games. Three of last four Cleveland games went over total.

Eagles (3-1) @ Redskins (3-2)— Philly allowed three TDs on eight drives in its post-bye loss LW. after allowing two TDs on 30 drives during its 3-0 start. Washington won/covered last three games after an 0-2 start, outscoring foes 37-9 in second half; Redskins are 3-8 vs spread in last 11 games as a home favorite. Skins won last three series games; Eagles lost three of last four visits here. Three of last four series games were decided by exactly three points. Philly lost 24-23 in Detroit LW after an early bye; they’re 18-10 in last 28 games as a road underdog, 1-0 this year. Eagles outscored their opponents 70-13 in second half of games. Washington is 10-13 in last 23 games where spread was 3 or less points; Eagles are 2-6 in last eight such games. NFL-wide, home underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in divisional games.

Chiefs (2-2) @ Raiders (4-1)— Reid is 11-4 vs spread in last 15 post-bye games, 2-1 with KC. Chiefs won five of last six games with Oakland, with 4 of 5 wins by 14+ points; they’re 3-2 in last five visits here, but Chiefs are already 0-2 on road this year, scoring two TDs on 25 drives in losses at Houston (19-12), Pittsburgh (43-14). KC has been outscored 66-23 in first half this season. Raiders are 4-1 with three wins by 3 or less points, which breeds confidence; Oakland also allowed 27+ points in four of five games (over 4-1). Oakland is 6-15 in last 21 games with spread of 3 or less points, but 2-0 this year; Chiefs are 13-7 under Reid in such games. An average of 34.6 points/game have been scored, just in second half of Raider games this year.

Falcons (4-1) @ Seahawks (3-1)— 70% chance of rain here, as red-hot Falcons play out west for second week in row. Atlanta won/covered its last four games, all as an underdog- they’ve scored 18 TDs on 60 drives this year, scoring 32.7 pts/game in its three road wins. Falcons covered seven of last eight tries as a road underdog (3-0 this year). Seattle is 4-2 vs spread in last six post-bye games; they’re 26-14 in last 40 games as a home favorite, 1-1 this year. Bye week gave Wilson extra week for his legs to heal; Seahawks have had soft schedule so far, allowing 13.5 pts/game. Rams are probably best team they’ve played, so Falcons are step up in competition. NFC South road underdogs are 4-1 vs spread this year in non-divisional games.

Cowboys (4-1) @ Packers (3-1)— Dallas won/covered its last four games, running ball for 157.7 yds/game the last three weeks- they’ve scored 25.5 pts/game in road wins at Washington/SF. Rookie QB Prescott is playing well beyond his years. Cowboys are 19-12 as road dogs under Garrett, 1-0 this year. Packers are 3-1 but have scored only one second half TD this season- unusual. Pack ran ball for 135 yds/game the last two games; they’re 10-6-2 in last 18 games as a home favorite, 0-1-1 this year- both their home wins this season are by two points. Green Bay won last five series games; three of five wins were by 10+ points. Cowboys lost last three visits here; their last win at Lambeau was in 2008. NFC East non-divisional underdogs are 4-2.

Colts (2-3) @ Texans (3-2)— Indy is 23-5 vs Houston, winning six of last seven meetings; Colts are 9-4 here, winning last three visits by 3-5-7 points. Texans out gained Indy by 121-115 yards in LY’s meetings, but lost field position by 11/6 yards. Home side won/covered all five Houston games this year; Texans won their home games by 9-7-7 points, allowing four TDs on 36 drives, but Houston has only six offensive TDs in five games. Indy allowed 30+ points in all three of its losses; they’ve scored 13+ points in second half of every game. Four of Colts’ five games went over the total. In their wins, Indy averaged 7.5, 8.1, 6.8 yds/pass attempt; in losses, 3.8/4.0. Houston held three of its five opponents under 6.0 ypa. Texans are -5 in turnovers last three weeks.


Monday's game

Jets (1-4) @ Cardinals (2-3)— Palmer (concussion) is expected back at QB here; Redbirds had three extra days to prep- they played on Thursday LW. Arizona scored 40-33 points in its two wins, 21 or less in its losses; they’re +7 in turnovers in wins, -8 in losses. Jets allowed 23+ points in all five games this year; they lost their last three games, outscored 37-7 in second half; they’ve allowed 7.8+ yds/pass attempt in four of five games, exception being game at Kansas City when Jets turned ball over eight times and KC didn’t have to try too hard on offense. Gang Green won last six series games; four of six were in New Jersey. Jets won last two visits here; their last loss at the Cardinals was in St Louis in 1971. NFC teams are 14-8 SU against AFC teams so far this season.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Thursday, October 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Broncos at Chargers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Phillip Rivers (NFL fourth-best 1,469 yards) is at the controls of the league's second-ranked offense (30.4 points) and recorded his second four-touchdown performance of the season on Sunday.

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (+3, 45.5)

Thursday's nationally televised contest pitting the reigning Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos against the San Diego Chargers would hold even more water had the latter followed up the first 58 minutes of their games by avoiding being doused over the final two. After seeing three leads evaporate after the two-minute warning, the snake-bitten Chargers look to snap a 10-game skid versus AFC West rivals on Thursday when they host the Broncos.

"You can't make this stuff up," quarterback Philip Rivers said after San Diego was felled by a botch hold on a game-tying attempted field goal in a 34-31 setback to Oakland on Sunday. "You think, 'Is there any other way we can find a way to do this?' " The path to right the ship will be tough versus Denver, which has won nine of the last 10 encounters between the clubs and is seething after absorbing its first loss of the season with a 23-16 setback to Atlanta. Quarterback Trevor Siemian (shoulder) is expected to be at the helm Thursday after sitting out versus the Falcons, but special teams coordinator Joe DeCamillis will serve as interim coach with Gary Kubiak being diagnosed with a complex migraine condition.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: The Broncos opened the betting week for this Thursday night contest as 2.5-point road favorites but were bet up to 3-point faves on Monday afternoon - which is where they sit now. The total opened at 45.5 and hasn't moved all week. Check out the complete line history here.

POWER RANKINGS: Broncos (-2.5) - Chargers (+3) + home field (-3) = Broncos -2.5

INJURY REPORT:

Broncos - S J. Simmons (Prob Thurs, wrist), T D. Stephenson (Prob Thurs, calf), TE V. Green (Prob Thurs, calf), QB T. Siemian (Prob Thurs, shoulder), CB K. Webster (Ques Thurs, hamstring), LB D. Ware (Late Oct, elbow), DE V. Walker (I-R, knee), C S. Brenner (I-R, concussion).

Chargers - P D. Kaser (Prob Thurs, hip), G O. Franklin (Ques Thurs, knee), LB D. Perryman (Ques Thurs, shoulder), T J. Barksdale (Ques Thurs, foot), T K. Dunlap (Ques Thurs, undisclosed), G C. Hairston (Ques Thurs, groin), RB D. McCluster (Ques Thurs, hamstring), CB C. Mager (Ques Thurs, shoulder), CB B. Flowers (Out Thurs, concussion), CB J. Verrett (Out For Season, knee), S J. Addae (Late Oct, collarbone), LB N. Czubnar (I-R, knee), LB M. Te'o (I-R, achilles), RB D. Woodhead (I-R, knee), WR K. Allen (I-R, knee), WR J. Herndon (I-R, knee), DT Z. Carlis (I-R, knee), T T. Johnstone (I-R, undisclosed), RB B. Oliver (I-R, achilles), G D. Clark (I-R, knee), C C. Watt (Elig Week 7, knee), LB T. Marcordes (I-R, undisclosed), TE J. Cumberland (I-R, achilles), DT C. Wray (I-R, foot), NT S. Lissemore (I-R, shoulder), WR S. Johnson (I-R, knee).

WEATHER REPORT: This may come as a huge surprise...but it's expected to be sunny with a zero percent chance of precipitation on Thursday evening in San Diego. Temperatures will be in the mid-70's with humidity values hovering around 75 percent.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U): Although the quarterback situation has been answered for Thursday, Denver still has many questions regarding its running game after it failed to exploit the Falcons' 30th-ranked defense. C.J. Anderson has been unable to top 50 yards rushing in any of the last three games and mustered just three carries longer than four yards last week heading into a clash with the league's eighth-best rushing defense (83.4 yards per contest). Demaryius Thomas has found the end zone in each of his last three games overall and had a touchdown reception in each of his last three meetings with San Diego.

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (1-4 SU, 3-2 ATS, 4-1 O/U): Rivers (NFL fourth-best 1,469 yards) is at the controls of the league's second-ranked offense (30.4 points) and recorded his second four-touchdown performance of the season on Sunday, but four turnovers proved too much to overcome. Former first-round selection Melvin Gordon has struggled to find the handle on the ball, fumbling for the second time in as many weeks on Sunday and eighth time in 19 career games. "(Gordon) can't put the ball on the ground," coach Mike McCoy said via the San Diego Union-Tribune. "(His) fumbles won't affect his usage now. He's our back, and he's going to get going." The 23-year-old Gordon had trouble getting going in his previous encounter with Denver, fumbling twice while being held to 55 yards in a 17-3 setback on Dec. 6.

TRENDS:

* Broncos are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games.
* Chargers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
* Chargers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games.
* Over is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 games in Week 6.
* Under is 8-1 in Chargers last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Diego.

CONSENSUS: The public is backing the Broncos with 64 percent of the picks on the road favorites. Over is leading the way in totals wagers with 57 percent of the selections.

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WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 52-70-4 42.62% -12500

O/U Picks 50-78-4 39.06% -17900

Triple Plays:..... 2 - 5 - 1


THURSDAY, OCTOBER 13

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DEN at SD 08:25 PM

DEN -3.0

U 44.0

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Newton cleared to play for Panthers
October 15, 2016

CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) Cam Newton has been cleared from the NFL's concussion program and can play Sunday when Carolina visits New Orleans.

The team said Saturday in a short statement that Newton had passed the league's concussion protocol. Previously, Panthers coach Ron Rivera said the quarterback and 2015 league MVP was expected to start against the Saints ''barring a setback.''

Newton participated fully in practice Friday, but still had to meet with an independent doctor before being cleared to play.

Newton hasn't spoken to reporters since suffering a concussion on Oct. 2 against the Falcons.

The Panthers are 1-4 and have lost three straight games.

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Redskins TE Reed ruled out Sunday
October 15, 2016

ASHBURN, Va. (AP) The Washington Redskins will be without tight end Jordan Reed for their NFC East showdown with the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday.

The team announced Saturday that Reed was downgraded from questionable to out because of a concussion. Reed reported symptoms Tuesday, was diagnosed with the sixth documented concussion of his pro and college career, and did not practice this week.

Reed is Washington's top offensive target with 33 catches for 316 yards and two touchdowns in five games this season. Vernon Davis and Niles Paul figure to see more action with Reed out against Philadelphia.

The Redskins said linebacker Su'a Cravens has also been downgraded to out with a concussion. Cornerbacks Bashaud Breeland (ankle) and Dashaun Phillips (hamstring) are questionable.

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Lions RB Riddick ruled out Sunday
October 14, 2016

ALLEN PARK, Mich. (AP) Detroit Lions running back Theo Riddick has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Los Angeles Rams because of an ankle injury.

Riddick joins tight end Eric Ebron (ankle, knee), linebacker DeAndre Levy (knee, quadriceps) and defensive tackle Haloti Ngata (shoulder), all of whom have been ruled out as well.

Ameer Abdullah is on injured reserve with a foot injury, and the Lions signed running back Justin Forsett this week to help their depleted backfield.

Defensive end Ziggy Ansah (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday.

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Jets' Revis back at practice, might play
October 14, 2016

FLORHAM PARK, N.J. (AP) Darrelle Revis gave his hamstring a workout and came away feeling pretty good about his chances of playing Monday night at Arizona.

The New York Jets cornerback returned to practice Friday for the first time since injuring a hamstring two weeks ago. Revis was a limited participant after doing just individual drills Thursday .

''One thing I do know is when I run, and I run at my top speed, my full speed, my hamstring is not grabbing,'' he said. ''That's two thumbs up in my book.''

Revis was hurt early in the fourth quarter against Seattle on Oct. 2.

''I know one thing as a DB: Anything with your legs, any injuries, that's very tough,'' he said. ''So you definitely want to be on point in that area, and I am. I feel fine and hopefully Monday I get to go.''

Revis missed the Jets' game at Pittsburgh last Sunday and was replaced in the lineup by both Marcus Williams and Darryl Roberts.

Coach Todd Bowles was still not certain whether Revis will play, and the cornerback said it's the coach's decision. But he was optimistic about his chances.

''I felt great, just to get out there and do what I do best,'' he said. ''It's a feeling-type of deal. The trainers wanted to go off of how I felt and what I thought about it, and I felt good. I had a couple plays where I was supposed to go in. And then a couple of reps turned into a bunch more reps. So, that's a good thing.''

Meanwhile, linebacker David Harris remains hopeful, but appears less likely to play because of a hamstring injury after not practicing at all so far this week.

Harris, hurt last Sunday at Pittsburgh, hasn't missed a game since the 2008 season - a streak of 121 consecutive regular-season games.

''I'm feeling OK, I guess,'' Harris said. ''I've been in the trainer's room all week, working on my hamstring and just trying to get in the best shape possible. We'll see.''

Bowles said the chances of Harris are ''slim'' if he doesn't practice, but added that the veteran linebacker ''still has a few days to get better.''

The Jets are holding what Bowles called ''a walk-through, jog-through'' practice on Saturday before heading to Arizona. The team will then have another walk-through session on Sunday. Harris will join the Jets on their flight to Arizona, and could be a game-time decision.

''I'm optimistic,'' said Harris, who wouldn't go into the specifics of his injury. ''I've been putting a lot of hours in the training room and with the training staff, and just doing everything possible to get back on the field. That extra day of rest will come in handy.''

Harris takes pride in his reputation for being a durable player despite playing an extremely physical position.

''It means a lot to me,'' he said. ''I just try to be there for my teammates. I don't like missing time with these guys.''

Bowles said the Jets could use a rotation, based on packages, of Erin Henderson, Bruce Carter and first-rounder Darron Lee at inside linebacker if Harris can't go.

''It's a huge hit for our defense,'' Revis said of the possibility of Harris not playing. ''The next guy's got to step up.''

Center Nick Mangold (knee) and tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins (ankle) were limited after being injured against Seattle. Left tackle Ryan Clady (left shoulder) and tight end Braedon Bowman (knee) were also limited.

After being limited Thursday, defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson (ankle) and right guard Brian Winters (concussion) were both full participants.

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Bears LB McPhee returns for practices
October 14, 2016

LAKE FOREST, Ill. (AP) Pernell McPhee was back at practice for the first time this season, and is hoping to play again for the Chicago Bears soon.

The linebacker was placed on the physically unable to perform list when training camp started and did not participate in offseason work after the surgery to his left knee.

The Bears have 21 days to consider whether to put McPhee on the 53-man active roster. He will not play Sunday against Jacksonville.

''I feel great, man,'' he said Friday. ''I'm out there practicing, running around with my teammates, so that's the best feeling in the world.''

McPhee, who had five sacks in his first seven games last year after coming over as a free agent from Baltimore, worked through knee issues for much of 2015 and then had surgery. Neither McPhee nor the Bears are saying the exact nature of the injury or surgery. The team found McPhee wasn't ready to practice in training camp, and he has been rehabbing since.

''You've got to go ask the doctors that,'' McPhee said about why it took so long. ''I had a successful surgery and it's healed now and I've got the opportunity to play football and that's the only thing that matters.''

McPhee likened his recovery to a car repair.

''So throughout the process, I just had to oil up everything else around so I know I was 100 percent when I come back,'' he said.

Bears coach John Fox said the surgery occurred 39 weeks ago and the team would be cautious about McPhee's return.

''We're going to have to be smart on how we manage his reps, both on the practice field in preparation, as well as in games,'' Fox said. ''I think we're just kind of starting that procedure now.''

McPhee worked with the scout team Friday.

''Obviously, he was excited,'' Fox said. ''It was good to see a smile on his face.''

McPhee signed a five-year, $40 million free agent contract with the Bears before the 2015 season after starting his career with the Baltimore Ravens. He had five sacks in his first seven games, but began experiencing knee pain and tried to play through it.

McPhee finished with only one more sack in 14 games.

Fox anticipates it will be an emotional boost for his 1-4 team just to have McPhee practicing.

''Friday's typically a little more of a light workout, but I'd say I think there was some enthusiasm there and some freshness there, for sure,'' Fox said.

Wide receiver Marquess Wilson is also on the PUP list due to an offseason foot injury, but the Bears chose not to begin considering him for the roster.

NOTES: Quarterback Jay Cutler (thumb), running back Jeremy Langford (ankle) and nose tackle Eddie Goldman (ankle) are doubtful for Sunday's game with Jacksonville. They did not practice this week. Cornerback Diondre Hall (ankle) has been ruled out. ... Tackle Bobby Massie is questionable after missing Friday's practice due to an ankle injury.

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Browns place Bitonio on IR, QB McCown out
October 14, 2016

CLEVELAND (AP) The Browns are dropping like, well, the Browns.

Decimated by injuries since the season opener, Cleveland placed starting left guard Joel Bitonio on injured reserve Friday. They also ruled out quarterback Josh McCown for this week's game at Tennessee as he continues to recover from a broken left collarbone.

Bitonio's loss is another blow to the winless Browns (0-5), who have already started three quarterbacks, played five this season, and had no luck.

Rookie quarterback Cody Kessler will start against the Titans, one week after he sustained an injury to his chest and ribs in a loss to New England. McCown returned to practice for the first time since getting hurt on Sept. 18, but the 37-year-old isn't ready to play. With McCown still sidelined, rookie Kevin Hogan, promoted from the practice squad earlier this week, will back up Kessler.

Browns coach Hue Jackson said McCown needs more time to heal.

''He is getting there,'' Jackson said Friday. ''He is doing some things really well, but we are going to err on the side of caution with our guys before we stick them out there. I want to make sure they are really healed up and ready to go. Just talking to our medical staff, it is the best thing to do for another week.''

Already banged up, the Browns could be without top cornerback Joe Haden on Sunday. Haden has a new groin injury - he missed one game earlier this season - and has been limited in practice. Jackson said Haden got hurt ''just running'' in practice.

Hogan will be listed as Cleveland's No. 2 quarterback, but wide receiver Terrelle Pryor, the former Ohio State and Oakland QB, could line up behind center as he did in Week 3 when he took 14 snaps against Miami.

If Hogan has to play, Jackson said he has confidence in the former Stanford standout drafted in the fifth round by Kansas City before being waived and claimed by Cleveland.

''Obviously, he has practiced and been in meetings,'' Jackson said. ''He has always been in meetings and real engaged, but I think he understands obviously there is potential he could go out there and play. That is a different dynamic for a player when you think through it all, and for me, as well. Last week, that was not the case. He was in street clothes. This week he will be dressed up, and he will be out there just in case things don't go as well.''

Things haven't gone well for the Browns since the first kickoff to 2016.

Quarterback Robert Griffin III broke a bone in his left shoulder in the opener; McCown got hurt the following week along with starting center Cam Erving, who sustained a bruised lung and is still out. His replacement, Austin Reiter, tore knee ligaments, and kicker Patrick Murray sustained a season-ending knee injury in practice. Quarterback Charlie Whitehurst injured his left knee late in last week's game and was waived.

If that wasn't enough, wide receiver Josh Gordon checked into rehab days before his league drug suspension was to end.

The latest setback is to Bitonio, who sustained a mid-foot sprain on the final play of the first half Sunday when the Browns threw a long desperation pass into the end zone.

''It was freak,'' Bitonio said. ''Foot got tangled up a little bit and I didn't even go to the ground, just felt like, `Oh, that hurt a little bit.' Then after the game, I went in and they checked it out and did some more tests and stuff, and we realized it was a little worse.''

With Bitonio out, the Browns will again be forced to shuffle an offensive line already struggling to protect the quarterback.

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Dolphins' Tunsil questionable against Pitt
October 14, 2016

DAVIE, Fla. (AP) Miami Dolphins guard Laremy Tunsil is back practicing fully but listed as questionable for Sunday's game against Pittsburgh.

Tunsil missed last week's loss to Tennessee because he sprained his right ankle during a pregame shower.

Tackle Branden Albert, who missed the game due to a virus, has recovered and is expected to play against the Steelers.

Among those questionable are safeties Reshad Jones (groin) and Isa Abdul-Quddus (knee), running back Arian Foster (hamstring) and linebacker Jelani Jenkins (groin). Ruled out as expected are cornerback Xavien Howard (knee) and tight end Jordan Cameron (concussion).

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Bills DT Dareus doubtful with hamstring
October 14, 2016

ORCHARD PARK, N.Y. (AP) Buffalo Bills defensive tackle Marcell Dareus is doubtful for Sunday's game against the San Francisco 49ers.

Dareus has yet to play for the Bills this season. He missed the first four games with a suspension after violating the league's substance abuse policy, and injured his hamstring after returning to the practice field last week.

The third overall pick in the 2011 draft, Dareus has been one of Buffalo's best players over the previous five seasons. He has 253 tackles and 30 1-2 sacks in his career.

Nine Bills are questionable, including LB Zach Brown (ankle), LT Cordy Glenn (ankle), S Aaron Williams (ankle), TE Charles Clay (knee) and Dareus' likely replacement, DT Corbin Bryant (ankle).

Brown has been a major addition for the Bills this season and leads the NFL in tackles with 60.

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Dalton getting sacked at alarming rate
October 14, 2016

CINCINNATI (AP) The Bengals passed it off as an opening-game aberration when Andy Dalton was sacked a career-high seven times in a win over the Jets. It turned out to be the start of a trend.

Dalton has been sacked 17 times in five games, tied for second most in the NFL. Indianapolis has allowed 20 sacks.

Dalton has been sacked once every 12 pass attempts this season, which would be the worst rate of his career if it holds for a season. He was sacked a career-high 46 times in his second season of 2012. His best showing was 2014, when he went nearly 24 attempts between sacks.

Dalton was at 20 sacks last season before breaking his right thumb against Pittsburgh in the 13th game. He's three sacks away from matching that total.

What's surprising is that the line is virtually intact from last season and has been generally healthy. The only switch is Cedric Ogbuehi, a first-round draft pick in 2015, taking over at right tackle for Andre Smith, who went to Minnesota. Even when he's not getting sacked, Dalton has been under steady pressure.

''I've got to get the ball out of my hands quicker,'' said Dalton, who leads the AFC with 1,503 yards passing. ''There are a lot of things that we could do to fix it up. There's an importance on it, and we know that.''

The Cowboys got consistent pressure on Dalton last Sunday without blitzing much during a 28-14 win, which was surprising given the depth of experience on the offensive line. The Bengals fell to 2-3 for the first time in six years, and the sacks are one of the most glaring issues.

''You've seen teams win Super Bowls with makeshift offensive lines and figure out ways to get it done,'' left tackle Andrew Whitworth said. ''The reality is it's not just us, but we're a big component of it.''

The Cowboys scored touchdowns on their first three drives and went after Dalton in the second half, knowing he'd have to throw after Cincinnati fell behind 28-0. Dalton was sacked three times in the second half.

''Inevitably, if you are down 20-something points and throwing it every play, people are going to beat the offensive line up because they are giving up sacks in the fourth quarter,'' Whitworth said. ''And all of a sudden it's their fault they lost the game. That's not the truth.''

Ogbuehi had a particularly tough time Sunday against the Cowboys' pass rush.

''It's his first year actually playing and starting,'' Whitworth said. ''He's going to have ups and downs.''

The Bengals have a tough challenge against the Patriots (4-1) in New England, where Cincinnati hasn't won since 1986. When the Bengals played there in 2014, they got drubbed 43-17 as the Patriots held the Bengals to 0 for 7 on third-down conversions.

''I can remember all the way back to my second or third year when we played them,'' Whitworth said. ''We prepared for them to be one thing the entire week and the first snap they were, the next 68 snaps they weren't. I was just in shock. Never really seen that before. They have a great ability to do that.''

NOTES: Everyone except TE Tyler Eifert fully practiced Friday and is expected to play Sunday. Eifert didn't practice all week and has been ruled out for his sixth game. He's recovering from offseason ankle surgery and a back injury suffered this month while practicing. ... The last time the Bengals fell to 2-4 was 2010, when they finished 4-12. They drafted Dalton and receiver A.J. Green the following year and started a run of five straight playoff appearances and first-round losses.