The Bum's 2016 NFL Regular Season Best Bets, Opinions, Trends, News !

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY NIGHT MATCHUP

BILLS VS SEAHAWKS

Opening Line Seahawks -6 1/2 Total 44
Current Line Seahwaks -6 1/2 Total 43 1/2
Money Line Seahawks -275 Bills +225

HISTORY

All games in this series since 1992
SEATTLE is 4-4 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992
SEATTLE is 4-4 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992
8 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992


All games played at SEATTLE since 1992
SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992
SEATTLE is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

INJURY REPORT

BUFFALO
[T] 11/05/2016 - Cordy Glenn probable Monday vs. Seattle ( Ankle )
[WR] 11/05/2016 - Robert Woods probable Monday vs. Seattle ( Foot )
[DE] 11/05/2016 - Jerry Hughes "?" Monday vs. Seattle ( Hand )
[DT] 11/05/2016 - Kyle Williams probable Monday vs. Seattle ( Illness )
[DT] 11/05/2016 - Corbin Bryant expected to miss Monday vs. Seattle ( Shoulder )
[DT] 11/05/2016 - Marcell Dareus expected to miss Monday vs. Seattle ( Groin )
[WR] 11/05/2016 - Percy Harvin probable Monday vs. Seattle ( Acquired )
[RB] 11/05/2016 - Reggie Bush probable Monday vs. Seattle ( Groin )
[WR] 11/05/2016 - Marquise Goodwin probable Monday vs. Seattle ( Concussion )
[RB] 11/04/2016 - LeSean McCoy is upgraded to probable Monday vs. Seattle ( Hamstring )
[WR] 11/01/2016 - Brandon Tate injured last game, "?" Monday vs. Seattle ( Concussion )
[S] 11/01/2016 - Aaron Williams IR ( Head )
[LB] 10/30/2016 - Lorenzo Alexander injured last game, "?" Monday vs. Seattle ( Hamstring )
[WR] 10/14/2016 - Greg Salas IR ( Groin )
[WR] 09/30/2016 - Sammy Watkins IR ( Ankle )
[TE] 09/02/2016 - Chris Gragg IR ( Knee )
[LB] 09/02/2016 - IK Enemkpali IR ( Knee )
[LB] 09/01/2016 - Reggie Ragland IR ( Knee )
[WR] 08/31/2016 - Marcus Easley PUP ( Knee )
[WR] 08/31/2016 - Kolby Listenbee PUP ( Groin )

SEATTLE
[TE] 11/02/2016 - Luke Willson doubtful Monday vs. Buffalo ( Knee )
[DE] 10/30/2016 - Michael Bennett expected to miss 2-3 weeks ( Knee )
[CB] 10/30/2016 - DeAndre Elliott "?" Monday vs. Buffalo ( Hamstring )
[S] 10/30/2016 - Kam Chancellor "?" Monday vs. Buffalo ( Groin )
[T] 10/30/2016 - Bradley Sowell "?" Monday vs. Buffalo ( Knee )
[LB] 10/30/2016 - Kevin Pierre-Louis "?" Monday vs. Buffalo ( Ankle )
[DT] 10/18/2016 - Garrison Smith IR ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 09/26/2016 - Thomas Rawls out indefinitely ( Leg )
[G] 09/08/2016 - Germain Ifedi out indefinitely ( Ankle )


TRENDS

SEATTLE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
BUFFALO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 40-65 ATS (-31.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

[StarDust Bum]

Buffalo angry at mishandled call by officials in 31-25 loss
November 8, 2016

SEATTLE (AP) Rex Ryan and the rest of the Buffalo Bills were furious at how Walt Anderson and his officiating crew handled the final moments of the first half that had a bigger impact in the final seconds of the fourth quarter.

The Bills ended up losing 31-25 to the Seattle Seahawks on Monday night, the third straight loss for Buffalo. The Bills had a chance at the victory but Tyrod Taylor's fourth-down pass into the end zone in the closing seconds fell incomplete.

Buffalo potentially would have only needed a field goal to tie the game at that point if the end of the first half had been handled differently by Anderson's crew.

Mistakes were made and Ryan was angry.

''Ridiculous. Absolutely ridiculous,'' Ryan said.

What set off Ryan's anger was Anderson not calling Seattle's Richard Sherman for unnecessary roughness when he crashed into Buffalo kicker Dan Carpenter as he attempted at 53-yard field goal with 3 seconds left in the half. Sherman was instead called for offside and after some confusion and a Buffalo penalty Carpenter missed a 54-yard attempt on the final play of the half.

The end of the first half was confusing for everyone involved. From trainers running on the field to players running for the locker room, there was enough confusion to leave everyone scratching their heads.

And the final result of the chaos left Buffalo completely unsatisfied.

''It was wrong,'' Ryan said. ''It's clear what happened, the guy roughed our kicker. Jumps offside, roughs our kicker and then because we had to go out and attend to him, and it wasn't called `roughing the kicker', then we had to spike the ball so that we could come back in and kick. We needed a little time there but, we saw him go down and our trainers ran out. ... From an officiating standpoint, I think you can do a little bit better than that.''

Anderson's explanation was Sherman was called for being unabated to the kicker and that his actions crashing into Carpenter did not rise to the level of unnecessary roughness.

''I didn't feel like the actions and the contact, because we were shutting the play down, warranted a foul,'' Anderson said.

NFL head of officiating Dean Blandino disagreed and tweeted during the game that Sherman should have been penalized for unnecessary roughness and expanded his view of the play in comments to NFL Network.

''The referee in looking at it was coming in to kill the play and didn't think the contact was enough for unnecessary roughness. Obviously when you look at the tape that is not the case,'' Blandino told NFL Network.

Sherman said he did not hear a whistle and was just trying to block the kick.

''I went for the ball. The holder still had it so I didn't hear (any) whistle,'' Sherman said. ''They say play to blow of the whistle so I went and tried to block the kick and I got it. I think I got it and the kicker somehow kept going. I assumed he was going to stop when he saw me going for the ball but he didn't.''

By not calling a personal foul against Sherman, what played out in the ensuing moments also put Buffalo at a disadvantage. Carpenter appeared to be hurt bringing trainers on the field.

Because the trainers took the field and Buffalo was out of timeouts, Carpenter had to leave for one play. Buffalo spiked the ball with 1 second left to set up a 48-yard attempt, but the Bills were penalized for delay of game with the umpire standing over the ball. That backed up the Bills five yards and Carpenter's 54-yard attempt on the final play was wide right.

Blandino said the play clock should have been reset.

''It looked like the play clock had run down probably to five or six seconds so we want to reset the play clock there when the officials are actually conversing and delaying the snap,'' Blandino said.

It's not the first time officiating has become the focus of a Monday night game in Seattle. In 2012, the ''Fail Mary'' game between Green Bay and Seattle finished with Golden Tate catching a disputed touchdown on the final play of the game. Last year, Seattle pulled out a win over Detroit when the Lions were about to score and officials missed Seattle's K.J. Wright hitting a fumble out of the end zone for a touchback in the closing seconds. The ball should have gone back to Detroit.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s six-pack

Home favorites/Home underdogs in every college football conference:

AAC: HF: 8-9, HU: 6-6, H: 14-15, F: 14-15

ACC: HF: 10-13, HU: 7-7, H: 17-20, F: 17-20

Big 14: HF: 9-8, HU: 7-4, H: 18-23, F: 18-23

Big X: HF: 8-9, HU: 6-6, H: 16-12, F: 13-16

C-USA: HF: 7-13, HU: 7-6, H: 14-19, F: 13-20

MAC: HF: 6-13, HU: 5-9, H: 11-22, F: 15-18

MW: HF: 8-11, HU: 7-4, H: 15-15, F: 12-18

Pac-12: HF: 13-9, HU: 9-5, H: 22-14, F: 18-17

SEC: HF: 12-6, HU: 11-6, H: 22-14, F: 18-17

SBC: HF: 6-9, HU: 5-5, H: 11-14, F: 11-14


Tuesday’s List of 13: Happy Election Day, people…….

I had originally set today aside for some thoughts on our Presidential election, but then it dawned on me that no one gives a rat’s ass what I think about politics, so instead……some baseball knowledge to ponder, as we head into the offseason………

(Quick reminder that college basketball starts Friday and WE LOVE college hoop here at ***************. So keep logging in every day)

This information is courtesy of the great Bill James Baseball Handbook, which came in the mail last week:

13) Amount of defensive shifts in 2014: 13,299. In 2016: 28,074.

Curious to see what next year brings, as far as shifting goes. More? Less? The same? Will hitters bunt more to beat the shift?

Orioles, Blue Jays were only teams who shifted less this year than they did in 2015.

12) Most hits lost to the shift in 2016: Granderson 24, Kendrys Morales 21, Ortiz 17, Ryan Howard 16

11) Lead-changing RBI’s: Abreu/Yelich 42 each, Longoria/Pujols 41

10) Highest swing/miss %age (minimum 1,500 pitches): Chris Carter 37.3%, Nieuwenhuis 36.6, Chris Davis 35.7, Stanton 34.7

9) Highest swing at first pitch %age: Tomas 49.0%, Adam Jones 44.5, Corey Seager 42.5, Schoop 41.0.

8) Lowest swing at first pitch %age: Mauer 7.0%, Blackmon/Prado 7.9, Granderson 8.3.

7) Opponents’ batting average: Arrieta .194, Scherzer .199, Estrada .203, Verlander/Hendricks .207.

6) No-decisions: Odorizzi 17, Pineda 14, Sanchez-Stroman-Tanaka-Volquez-Teheran, all 13.

5) Home runs allowed: Weaver 37, Tomlin 36, Kennedy/Santiago 33.

4) Pitches per start: Verlander 107.9, Sale 107.7, Bumgarner 105.0, Scherzer 104.8.

3) Pitches per batter: Garcia 3.48, Leake 3.51, Iwakuma 3.57, Perez-Tomlin-Graveman 3.60.

2) Run support (min 162 IP): Porcello 7.63, Happ 6.88, Arrieta 6.84, Price 6.61

1— Stolen bases allowed: Syndergaard 48, Nelson 31, Lester 28, Jimenez 26.

[StarDust Bum]

Week 10

Cleveland (0-9) @ Baltimore (4-4)- Ravens (-6.5) trailed 20-0 in Cleveland in Week 2, rallied to win 25-20; they’re 15-2 in last 17 series games, 7-1 in last eight played here- Browns lost 33-30 in OT here LY. Baltimore ended 4-game skid with win over Steelers LW, are atop NFC North despite 4-4 record; they are 1-6-1 in last eight games as a home favorite, 1-2 this year. Winless Browns have been outscored 148-51 in second half of games; they’re 2-3 as road underdogs, losing away games by 19-6-11-2-14 points. Ravens have only four offensive TDs in last four games; their only score LW was on 95-yard pass in 1st quarter. Browns allowed 610 yards on ground in last three games. Over is 6-2 in last eight Cleveland games, 3-1 in Ravens’ last four. Home side is 4-0 vs spread in AFC North divisional games.

Houston (5-3) @ Jacksonville (2-6)— Texans are 0-3 on road, 5-0 at home, losing on foreign soil by combined score of 84-22, albeit vs Pats-Denver-Vikings, all winning teams; they’ve had only two takeaways in last six games (-8). Home side is 7-0-1 vs spread in their games. Jaguars ran ball for 205 yards LW in Arrowhead under their new OC, after averaging 73.9 rushing yards/game under old OC. Jax was -4 in turnovers LW or they might’ve upset Chiefs (outgained KC 449-231)— they’re 0-3 at home, losing by 4-2-17 points. Jaguars have zero takeaways in their last four games (-10). Texans are 9-7-1 under O’Brien in games with spread of 3 or less points; Jaguars are 6-12 under Bradley in such games, 2-2 this year. Houston is 9-2 in last 11 series games, winning last four, three by 11+ points- they won four of last five visits here. Texans won four of last five post-bye games.

Kansas City (6-2) @ Carolina (3-5)— Panthers are 2-0 since bye week, allowing only 83 rushing yards on 27 carries; they’re 12-29 on 3rd down last two games, after being 4-19 in two games before that. KC struggled in red zone LW (16 points on 4 drives) wit backup QB Foles playing, but is 4-0 since bye; they’re 4-8 in last 12 games as a home favorite, 1-3 this year, winning home games by 6-21-6-5 points. Chiefs are 3-2 in series; home side won three of last four meetings. Teams split two meetings here, with last visit in ’08. NFC South non-divisional home favorites are 2-5 vs spread. AFC West road underdogs are 6-3. Six of last seven KC games stayed under total; over is 5-3 in Carolina games. Chiefs’ last three games were all decided by 6 or less points; three of last four Carolina games were decided by exactly three points.

Denver (6-3) @ New Orleans (4-4)— Saints rallied to 4-4 after an 0-3 start; they’re 2-2 at home, with dogs covering all four games (average total, 67.5). NO has 15 TDs on 42 drives at home; unless Denver comes up with turnovers and creates short field for their defense, tough to imagine Siemian matching points with Brees here. Broncos are 2-3 in last five games after a 6-0 start; they had only 90 rushing yards in last two games combined. In last three games, Denver is 11-37 on third down (29.7%), after being 29-77 (37.7%) in first six games- they won only previous game on artificial turf, in Week 3 at Cincy. Broncos’ average starting field position LW was their own 19, worst in NFL- they are 8-2 vs New Orleans, winning last four meetings, three by 15+ points. NFL teams are 16-9 vs spread this season in their pre-bye games.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL opening line report: Steelers open as three-point faves over Cowboys for Week 10

“I don’t like this spot at all for the Cowboys. This team is very fat and happy, winning seven straight and off their most dominating win of the year."

Week 10 of the NFL season features a showdown of traditional powerhouses. We talk about the opening line for that matchup and three others this week with Peter Childs, risk management supervisor for offshore site Sportsbook.ag.

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3)

Dallas continues to roll behind rookie quarterback Dak Prescott and rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott, winning seven in a row SU and ATS after losing its regular-season opener. The Cowboys (7-1 SU and ATS) rolled league doormat Cleveland 35-10 Sunday as a 7-point road chalk.

Pittsburgh got Ben Roethlisberger back for Sunday’s game at Baltimore, but it sure didn’t help much. The Steelers (4-4 SU and ATS) trailed 21-0 early in the fourth quarter before getting a couple late TDs to make a 21-14 loss look more respectable than it was. Pittsburgh, which went off as a 3.5-point favorite, has now dropped three in a row SU and ATS.

“The Steelers are coming off a brutal performance,” Childs said. “They scored two fourth-quarter TDs to make the score respectable, but their play certainly wasn’t. They will need a monster effort here against the Cowboys, a team playing at a high level and off a very dominating win against the Browns.”

That said, if there’s a letdown looming, Childs thinks it could be this week.

“I don’t like this spot at all for the Cowboys,” he said. “This team is very fat and happy, winning seven straight and off their most dominating win of the year. This is their second of back-to-back road games, going into Steel Country, playing a very upset Steelers team. No question, the Steelers will bring 100 percent focus and effort against the Cowboys. I’m not that sure you can say the same about the Cowboys.”

Dallas’ current run, and all the public support that surge has brought at the betting window, made this a tough line to set.

“I wanted to open the Steelers a 3.5-point home favorite, but was convinced that bettors would support the Cowboys at just 3, and boy did they ever,” he said. “We hung 3 and got hammered with Cowboys money. We quickly went to 2.5, and they’re still hammering the Cowboys. At 2.5, we’re not going to be too quick to move the number. The Steelers are a very good team coming off a horrific effort, so I’m more than happy going into this game needing them for a decent decision.”

Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (-1)

Philadelphia’s 3-0 SU and ATS start behind new coach Doug Pederson and rookie QB Carson Wentz seems like a distant memory. The Eagles (4-4 SU and ATS) have dropped four of five SU and ATS, including Sunday’s 28-23 loss at the New York Giants as a 3-point pup.

Atlanta (6-3 SU and ATS) played in the Week 9 Thursday nighter, topping Tampa Bay 43-28 laying 4.5 points on the highway. Childs said bettors already like the Falcons this week.

“We opened Eagles -1, and most of the early money is on the road team,” he said. “The Eagles are off a disappointing loss, actually back-to-back disappointing losses, losing last week in overtime against the Cowboys in a game they absolutely should have won in regulation.

“The Falcons are off a very nice, convincing win over the Bucs, so they come into this game with extra rest and prep time. At the rate the action is coming in on the Falcons, I see us getting to pick ’em at some point Monday. For now, we’re fine dealing Eagles -1.”

Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots (-7.5)

New England is coming off its bye week, so a team running red-hot will also be well-rested for this Sunday night prime-time tilt. In Week 10, the Patriots (7-1 SU and ATS) avenged their lone loss of the year, dumping Buffalo 41-25 as a 7.5-point road fave. New England is 4-0 SU and ATS since the return of Tom Brady, who has 12 TD passes and no interceptions in that stretch.

Seattle still has work to do in Week 9, hosting Buffalo in the Monday nighter. The Seahawks (4-2-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) are in the midst of an up-and-down year, with the past two weeks a microcosm of that: a 6-6 tie at Arizona, followed by a 25-20 loss at New Orleans giving 1 point.

The current form of these two teams forced Sportsbook.ag to be generous to the Pats this week.

“The Patriots have been crushing bookies all season, so this line is a tad inflated,” Childs said. “I wanted to hang -7, but we opened -7.5, and sure enough, we’re seeing mostly all Patriots money. We went to -7.5 (-115) on the Patriots, charging some extra juice in hopes of discouraging more Pats money.

“But with the Seahawks playing on Monday night, so much will depend on how they perform in front of a national TV audience, because we’ll reopen this game Tuesday morning. Whatever happens in that game, we’ll open the Patriots as high as possible (Tuesday), because they’ve single-handedly cost us a small fortune this season.”

Cincinnati Bengals at New York Giants (-3, even)

Cincinnati probably got its bye week at an opportune time this weekend, as a playoff team from last year is struggling to tread water this season. In Week 8, the Bengals (3-4-1 SU, 3-5 ATS) settled for a 27-27 tie with Washington.

Meanwhile, New York has put a three-game losing streak behind it by winning two in a row. The Giants (5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) fended off Philadelphia 28-23 Sunday laying 3 points at home.

New York and Cincy will be under the Monday night spotlight, wrapping up Week 10.

“We opened the Giants -3 even money, Bengals +3 (-120), and so far, it’s very split, even action,” Childs said. “It’s a great Monday night matchup, but I don’t see this game getting lopsided in either direction. This will be a nice, two-way write for us, and unless a sharp group comes in on a side, we won’t be moving this number all that much.”

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

Thursday, November 10

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CLEVELAND (0 - 9) at BALTIMORE (4 - 4) - 11/10/2016, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, November 13

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HOUSTON (5 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (2 - 6) - 11/13/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (6 - 2) at CAROLINA (3 - 5) - 11/13/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 155-121 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (6 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 4) - 11/13/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA RAMS (3 - 5) at NY JETS (3 - 6) - 11/13/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 174-217 ATS (-64.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 174-217 ATS (-64.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NY JETS are 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ATLANTA (6 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 4) - 11/13/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (5 - 3) at WASHINGTON (4 - 3 - 1) - 11/13/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 55-90 ATS (-44.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (4 - 4) at TENNESSEE (4 - 5) - 11/13/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CHICAGO (2 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 5) - 11/13/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (4 - 4) at SAN DIEGO (4 - 5) - 11/13/2016, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 51-78 ATS (-34.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 39-17 ATS (+20.3 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 7) at ARIZONA (3 - 4 - 1) - 11/13/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (7 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 4) - 11/13/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DALLAS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
DALLAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
DALLAS is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (4 - 2 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (7 - 1) - 11/13/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 110-80 ATS (+22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, November 14

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CINCINNATI (3 - 4 - 1) at NY GIANTS (5 - 3) - 11/14/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 34-60 ATS (-32.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 31-55 ATS (-29.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NFL

Week 10

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Trend Report
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Thursday, November 10

8:25 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland


Sunday, November 13

1:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Tampa Bay is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games

1:00 PM
DENVER vs. NEW ORLEANS
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Denver is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games at home

1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. WASHINGTON
Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CAROLINA
Kansas City is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
Kansas City is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Carolina's last 25 games
Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. NY JETS
Los Angeles is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 10 games on the road
NY Jets are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
NY Jets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Los Angeles

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. TENNESSEE
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Green Bay's last 23 games
Tennessee is 3-13-1 ATS in its last 17 games
Tennessee is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. JACKSONVILLE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games
Houston is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Jacksonville's last 23 games

4:05 PM
MIAMI vs. SAN DIEGO
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami

4:25 PM
DALLAS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas

4:25 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 12 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Arizona is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games

8:30 PM
SEATTLE vs. NEW ENGLAND
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Seattle


Monday, November 14

8:30 PM
CINCINNATI vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 2-6-2 ATS in its last 10 games
NY Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

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NFL TRENDS

ATS


4:25 pm 11/13/2016
(271) DALLAS @(272) PITTSBURGH
Play ON DALLAS against the spread in All games in games played on a grass field.
The record is 13 Wins and 2 Losses for the last three seasons (+10.8 units)
BET NOW!
4:25 pm 11/13/2016
(271) DALLAS @(272) PITTSBURGH
Play ON DALLAS against the spread in Road games in games played on a grass field.
The record is 13 Wins and 2 Losses for the last three seasons (+10.8 units)
BET NOW!
4:05 pm 11/13/2016
(267) MIAMI @(268) SAN DIEGO
Play AGAINST MIAMI against the spread in All games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season.
The record is 0 Wins and 8 Losses for the last three seasons (-8.8 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(251) HOUSTON @(252) JACKSONVILLE
Play ON HOUSTON against the spread in All games as a favorite.
The record is 14 Wins and 3 Losses for the last three seasons (+10.7 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(263) GREEN BAY @(264) TENNESSEE
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE against the spread in All games in all games.
The record is 10 Wins and 29 Losses for the last three seasons (-21.9 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(263) GREEN BAY @(264) TENNESSEE
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE against the spread in All games in all lined games.
The record is 10 Wins and 29 Losses for the last three seasons (-21.9 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(261) MINNESOTA @(262) WASHINGTON
Play ON MINNESOTA against the spread in All games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 15 Wins and 3 Losses for the last two seasons (+11.7 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(261) MINNESOTA @(262) WASHINGTON
Play ON MINNESOTA against the spread in Road games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 8 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+8 units)
BET NOW!

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NFL TRENDS

Money Line


8:30 pm 11/14/2016
(275) CINCINNATI @(276) NY GIANTS
Play AGAINST NY GIANTS using the money line in All games in weeks 10 through 13.
The record is 31 Wins and 58 Losses since 1992 (-50.65 units)
BET NOW!
8:30 pm 11/13/2016
(273) SEATTLE @(274) NEW ENGLAND
Play ON NEW ENGLAND using the money line in All games in games played on turf.
The record is 30 Wins and 4 Losses for the last three seasons (+23.8 units)
BET NOW!
4:25 pm 11/13/2016
(271) DALLAS @(272) PITTSBURGH
Play ON DALLAS using the money line in Road games in games played on a grass field.
The record is 12 Wins and 3 Losses for the last three seasons (+11.75 units)
BET NOW!
4:25 pm 11/13/2016
(271) DALLAS @(272) PITTSBURGH
Play ON DALLAS using the money line in All games in games played on a grass field.
The record is 12 Wins and 3 Losses for the last three seasons (+11.75 units)
BET NOW!
4:05 pm 11/13/2016
(267) MIAMI @(268) SAN DIEGO
Play ON MIAMI using the money line in All games against AFC West division opponents.
The record is 41 Wins and 16 Losses since 1992 (+31.5 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(253) KANSAS CITY @(254) CAROLINA
Play ON KANSAS CITY using the money line in All games after 2 or more consecutive wins.
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.4 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(265) CHICAGO @(266) TAMPA BAY
Play AGAINST TAMPA BAY using the money line in Home games against conference opponents.
The record is 2 Wins and 12 Losses for the last three seasons (-14.15 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(263) GREEN BAY @(264) TENNESSEE
Play AGAINST GREEN BAY using the money line in All games in November games.
The record is 1 Wins and 5 Losses for the last two seasons (-12.85 units)
BET NOW!
8:25 pm 11/10/2016
(109) CLEVELAND @(110) BALTIMORE
Play AGAINST CLEVELAND using the money line in All games in all games.
The record is 3 Wins and 22 Losses for the last two seasons (-19.7 units)
BET NOW!
8:25 pm 11/10/2016
(109) CLEVELAND @(110) BALTIMORE
Play AGAINST CLEVELAND using the money line in All games in all lined games.
The record is 3 Wins and 22 Losses for the last two seasons (-19.7 units)
BET NOW!

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NFL TRENDS

Half Time


4:25 pm 11/13/2016
(271) DALLAS @(272) PITTSBURGH
Play ON DALLAS in the first half in All games in games played on a grass field.
The record is 13 Wins and 2 Losses for the last three seasons (+10.8 units)
BET NOW!
4:05 pm 11/13/2016
(267) MIAMI @(268) SAN DIEGO
Play AGAINST MIAMI in the first half in Road games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 0 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (-7.7 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(257) LA RAMS @(258) NY JETS
Play ON LA RAMS in the first half in Road games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 15 Wins and 3 Losses for the last three seasons (+11.7 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(251) HOUSTON @(252) JACKSONVILLE
Play AGAINST JACKSONVILLE in the first half in All games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 8 Wins and 23 Losses for the last three seasons (-17.3 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(265) CHICAGO @(266) TAMPA BAY
Play AGAINST TAMPA BAY in the first half in Home games against conference opponents.
The record is 2 Wins and 12 Losses for the last three seasons (-11.2 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(257) LA RAMS @(258) NY JETS
Play ON LA RAMS in the first half in All games as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line.
The record is 21 Wins and 6 Losses for the last three seasons (+14.4 units)
BET NOW!

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NFL TRENDS

Half Time Over


1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(253) KANSAS CITY @(254) CAROLINA
Play OVER CAROLINA on the first half total in All games when playing against a team with a winning record.
The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders for the last three seasons (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(259) ATLANTA @(260) PHILADELPHIA
Play OVER PHILADELPHIA on the first half total in All games in weeks 10 through 13.
The record is 8 Overs and 0 Unders for the last three seasons (+8 units)
BET NOW!
8:25 pm 11/10/2016
(109) CLEVELAND @(110) BALTIMORE
Play OVER CLEVELAND on the first half total in All games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 8 Overs and 0 Unders this season (+8 units)
BET NOW!
8:25 pm 11/10/2016
(109) CLEVELAND @(110) BALTIMORE
Play OVER CLEVELAND on the first half total in All games after 2 or more consecutive losses.
The record is 13 Overs and 2 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)
BET NOW!

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NFL TRENDS

Half Time Under


8:30 pm 11/14/2016
(275) CINCINNATI @(276) NY GIANTS
Play UNDER CINCINNATI on the first half total in All games as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line.
The record is 2 Overs and 14 Unders for the last three seasons (+11.8 units)
BET NOW!
8:30 pm 11/13/2016
(273) SEATTLE @(274) NEW ENGLAND
Play UNDER NEW ENGLAND on the first half total in Home games after 2 or more consecutive wins.
The record is 0 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+7 units)
BET NOW!
4:25 pm 11/13/2016
(271) DALLAS @(272) PITTSBURGH
Play UNDER DALLAS on the first half total in All games as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line.
The record is 2 Overs and 12 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.8 units)
BET NOW!
4:25 pm 11/13/2016
(269) SAN FRANCISCO @(270) ARIZONA
Play UNDER ARIZONA on the first half total in Home games in dome games.
The record is 4 Overs and 18 Unders for the last three seasons (+13.6 units)
BET NOW!
4:25 pm 11/13/2016
(269) SAN FRANCISCO @(270) ARIZONA
Play UNDER ARIZONA on the first half total in Home games in games played on turf.
The record is 4 Overs and 18 Unders for the last three seasons (+13.6 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(257) LA RAMS @(258) NY JETS
Play UNDER NY JETS on the first half total in Home games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 19 Overs and 45 Unders since 1992 (+24.1 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(261) MINNESOTA @(262) WASHINGTON
Play UNDER MINNESOTA on the first half total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 4 Overs and 15 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.6 units)
BET NOW!

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NFL TRENDS

Over


1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(253) KANSAS CITY @(254) CAROLINA
Play OVER CAROLINA on the total in All games when playing against a team with a winning record.
The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders for the last three seasons (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!

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NFL TRENDS

Under


1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(255) DENVER @(256) NEW ORLEANS
Play UNDER DENVER on the total in All games in non-conference games.
The record is 0 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+7 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(261) MINNESOTA @(262) WASHINGTON
Play UNDER MINNESOTA on the total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 4 Overs and 15 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.6 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(261) MINNESOTA @(262) WASHINGTON
Play UNDER MINNESOTA on the total in Road games against conference opponents.
The record is 2 Overs and 13 Unders for the last three seasons (+10.8 units)
BET NOW!

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NFL POWER LINES

NFL Power Line ratings are calculated using both teams' ratings and home field advantage. The Top Power Lines tool offers a way to view and compare current Power Lines in one simple report, as well as the Power Line Edge, where the Power Line differs significantly from the current betting line.

8:25 pm 11/10/2016
(109) CLEVELAND @(110) BALTIMORE
Play Line: BALTIMORE -10
BTB PowerLine: BALTIMORE -12
Edge On: BALTIMORE 2

1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(259) ATLANTA @(260) PHILADELPHIA
Play Line: PHILADELPHIA -1.5
BTB PowerLine: PHILADELPHIA -2
Edge On: PHILADELPHIA 0.5

1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(263) GREEN BAY @(264) TENNESSEE
Play Line: GREEN BAY -2
BTB PowerLine: GREEN BAY -6
Edge On: GREEN BAY 4

1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(255) DENVER @(256) NEW ORLEANS
Play Line: DENVER 1.5
BTB PowerLine: DENVER -2
Edge On: DENVER 3.5

1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(251) HOUSTON @(252) JACKSONVILLE
Play Line: HOUSTON -1.5
BTB PowerLine: HOUSTON -5
Edge On: HOUSTON 3.5

1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(257) LA RAMS @(258) NY JETS
Play Line: NY JETS -2
BTB PowerLine: NY JETS -5
Edge On: NY JETS 3

1:00 pm 11/13/2016
(261) MINNESOTA @(262) WASHINGTON
Play Line: MINNESOTA 2.5
BTB PowerLine: MINNESOTA +0
Edge On: MINNESOTA 2.5

4:05 pm 11/13/2016
(267) MIAMI @(268) SAN DIEGO
Play Line: SAN DIEGO -3.5
BTB PowerLine: SAN DIEGO -5
Edge On: SAN DIEGO 1.5

4:25 pm 11/13/2016
(269) SAN FRANCISCO @(270) ARIZONA
Play Line: ARIZONA -13
BTB PowerLine: ARIZONA -20
Edge On: ARIZONA 7

8:30 pm 11/14/2016
(275) CINCINNATI @(276) NY GIANTS
Play Line: CINCINNATI 2
BTB PowerLine: CINCINNATI -4
Edge On: CINCINNATI 6

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Betting Recap - Week 9
November 7, 2016


Overall Notes

NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 9 RESULTS

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 9-3
Against the Spread 6-4-2

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 6-6
Against the Spread 4-6-2

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-5

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Colts (+7.5, ML +290) at Packers, 31-26
Lions (+5.5, ML +200) at Vikings, 22-16 (OT)
Ravens (+3, ML +150) vs. Steelers, 21-14

The largest favorite to cover
Cowboys (-7) at Browns, 35-10
Saints (-5.5) at 49ers, 41-23
Falcons (-4.5) at Buccaneers, 43-28

Saints Alive!

-- The New Orleans Saints posted a 41-23 victory in Sunday's road game against the San Francisco 49ers for their fourth victory in the past five games, and their fifth consecutive cover. In addition, New Orleans improved to 2-2 SU/4-0 ATS in four games away from home, including 3-0 ATS in three games on a grass surface. The Saints are 2-1 SU/ATS in three games against AFC West Divisional foes, and they're welcome their fourth and final AFC West opponent to town in Week 10 when the Denver Broncos visit the Crescent City.

Giant Turnaround

-- The New York Giants won 28-23 against the visiting Philadelphia Eagles, winning their season-high third consecutive game. The G-Men have also covered three in a row after starting 1-3-1 ATS in their first five outings. The Giants play their second of four games against AFC North opponents in Week 10 when they host the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday Night Football. The Giants have won and covered each of their past two at MetLife Stadium.
Total Recall

-- The 'over' was in the majority yet again in Week 9, going 7-5 in Thursday/Sunday games with one left to play Monday. In five AFC games the 'over' edged the 'under' 3-2, and the NFC also hit the 'over' in three of five outings. In AFC vs. NFC games the 'over/under' was 1-1 heading into Monday's game between Buffalo-Seattle. Through the first nine weeks of NFL action the 'over' is 73-58 (55.7%).

-- Four of the five games with the highest total lines cashed the 'over' including Indianapolis-Green Bay (52) and New Orleans-San Francisco (53), the two highest totals on the board. The highest-scoring game of the week was Tennessee-San Diego (49) with 78 total points, including 21 or more points in each of the final three quarters.

-- Two of three games on the schedule with lowest lines (42.5) hit the 'under'. Jacksonville-Kansas City and Detroit-Minnesota each hit 'unders' rather easily, and the NFC North battle even went to overtime. The NFC rivalry game between Philadelphia-N.Y. Giants managed an 'over' result.

-- The 'over' finished 2-0 in two primetime games in Week 9 with the Buffalo-Seattle (44) yet to go. Officially, the 'over' is 13-14 (48.1%) through 27 games under the lights. In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56%) in 2013.


Injury Report

-- Chiefs WR Jeremy Maclin (groin) aggravated his groin injury in the first quarter of Sunday's game against the Jaguars and he was unable to return.

--- Giants WR Victor Cruz (ankle) rolled his ankle in Sunday's victory against Philadelphia and he is expected to undergo and MRI. The severity of his injury is not yet known.

-- Steelers WR Darrius Heyward-Bey (ankle/foot) suffered a lower leg injury in Sunday's game at Baltimore and he was carted off the field.

Looking Ahead

-- The Ravens host the Browns on Thursday Night Football, a rematch of Week 2 when Baltimore went to Cleveland and won 25-20 as four-point favorites. Baltimore has dominated this series15-2 SU over the past 17 meetings while managing a 10-6-1 ATS. The Ravens have won seven of the past eight against the Browns at M&T Bank Stadium, but they're just 1-5 ATS in their past six meetings against the Browns. Baltimore opened as a 10-point favorite.

-- The Jaguars host the Texans in an AFC South rivalry game. Lately this has been a one-sided rivalry, as Jacksonville is just 2-9 SU over the past 11 games while posting a 4-6-1 ATS during the span. In the past five meetings in Jacksonville the Texans are 1-4 SU/ATS.

-- The Cardinals host the 49ers in a rematch of their Week 5 battle. Arizona won 33-21 in San Francisco, easily covering a 3 1/2-point number with the 'over' cashing. Arizona has turned this series around, winning and covering four of the past five meetings. However, the Cardinals are just 3-4 SU/ATS over the past seven meetings at home.

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Opening Line Report - Week 10
November 7, 2016

Week 10 of the 2016 NFL season offers a solid card for your betting pleasure. Among the highlights: Broncos at Saints, Falcons at Eagles, Vikings at Redskins, Cowboys at Steelers, and Seahawks at Patriots.

Here are the opening lines for the full slate, with insight from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook manager Ed Salmons and CG Technology vice president of risk Jason Simbal. Numbers listed are the Las Vegas consensus as of 11:30 p.m. ET on Sunday night, and early moves and differences among books are noted, too.

Thursday, Nov. 10

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-10)

Another Thursday-night thriller awaits bettors this week, as Baltimore lays double digits at home against the winless Browns. CG Technology originally hung Ravens -9, with a quick move to -10, the number at which multiple other Vegas shops opened.

Sunday, Nov. 13

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (pick ‘em)

There was an even mix of pick ‘ems and Houston -1s being dealt Sunday for this AFC South matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers (-3/-120)

Carolina, which has won two straight games, maintains respect among the betting market, opening -3 at the Westgate with a slight adjustment in its direction to -3 plus the extra vig.

“Carolina’s on a little bit of a roll now, and it’s a game they need way more than Kansas City,” said Salmons.

Asked if the Panthers defense may have turned a corner, Salmons replied, “As long as they play quarterbacks like Case Keenum every week , yeah. The Chiefs will help them out next week because the Chiefs play that slow methodical style that will help Carolina.”

Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints (-1)

New Orleans has won four of its last five games, and with Denver traveling east for an early kickoff after playing at Oakland in the Week 9 prime time slot, Salmons sees this as a good spot for the Saints. Also, the Raiders game was the third in a row missed by Broncos cornerback Aqib Talib.

“We handicapped all that in there when we made (the Saints) the favorite,” said Salmons. “You build all that into the line.”

Simbal said when his group was making this line, they looked back to the Saints’ Week 1 game against the Raiders.

“The Saints and Raiders looked very similar, they’re pretty close to even,” Simbal said. “You figure if the Raiders are a pick at home against the Broncos, the Saints should be the same if not a little bit higher because they have a better home field (advantage) than the Raiders.”

Indeed, CG, as well as the Westgate, opened Saints -1

Los Angeles Rams at New York Jets (-2.5)

This was the most heavily-bet game of the Week 10 card at CG’s books on Sunday night, according to Simbal. Gamblers were laying the 2.5 with the Jets early, but Simbal’s group was reluctant to move the line to -3.

Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5)

This key NFC clash was one of the most debated among the bookmaking crew at CG, Simbal said. The conversation included suggestions that the line should be Atlanta -1 to others that the Eagles should be 3-poiint favorites. CG settled on Philly -1.5 and took a small bet on the home favorite.

The Westgate opened Philly -2.5 and moved to -2 less than an hour later.

“This is a game Philly really needs, and you kind of shade it in that direction, you know, which team needs it more?,” Salmons said. “Philly needs it more, and it’s home. So that’s our thinking making Philly the favorite.”

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins (-2.5)

Just a few weeks ago, the Vikes were 5-0; now they’re 5-3 and look inept offensively.

CG took some action on Washington -2 and moved to -2.5

“Based on the numbers, the Vikings are the better team, but that’s if you take the whole season into account,” Simbal said. “If you weight the last three weeks or so, the Vikings look horrible. So we talked that one from a pick all the way to (the Vikings being a small favorite).”

Salmons said of the Vikes, “Their defense is awesome, but that can only get you so far. The offense is destroying that team. … At some point (injuries) just catch up to you, Unless they reinvent themselves and start doing some things different , it looks like it’s going to be a struggle the rest of the way.”

Green Bay Packers (-2) at Tennessee Titans

Last week in this space Salmons said Green Bay “looks like a team that got old really fast.” The Packers did nothing to disprove that in a 31-26 home loss to Indianapolis on Sunday.

“The only time they can score is when the other team literally sits back and allows them 20 yards a play and lets them score,” Salmons said Sunday. “If you have any questions about how bad Green Bay really is, watch them not score against the Colts defense” (the Packers trailed 31-13 until midway through the fourth quarter).

The Westgate took money on Green Bay at its opening line of -1 for next week’s game and moved to -2. The action may have been wiseguys playing with the numbers, since Green Bay opened -3 at some offshore shops. In Vegas, the lined ranged from 1.5 to 2.5.

Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Bucs (-1.5)

CG opened Tampa -1 and was bet to -1.5, while the Westgate opened -2 and stood pat.

Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers (-3.5)

While both of these teams have improved as the season has progressed, San Diego opened -4 at the Westgate before a half-point downward adjustment. As of this writing, 3.5s and 4s were both available in Las Vegas on this game.

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (-13)

The largest spread of the week didn’t open large enough, as CG was bet from 11.5 to 13, and the Westgate and William Hill went from 12.5 to 13.

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3 even)

In Simbal’s opinion, this game features probably the second and third best teams in the NFL.

“The Cowboys look it, and the Steelers have the players for it, they just haven’t played well. I think (Ben) Roethlisberger’s inability to be mobile today really hurt them (in Sunday’s loss at Baltimore).”

The Steelers have lost three games in a row, but Roethlisberger’s injury – he returned Sunday but the team was clearly out of sync – may be a valid excuse. Even though he’s back, Roethlisberger’s knee still could be a factor.

“It’s a game Pittsburgh needs a lot more than Dallas does, but the question is can Roethlisberger move around enough where they can score some points,” Salmons said.

Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots (-7)

This number could be affected by Seattle’s performance Monday night against the Bills, but as things stand now, bettors are laying a touchdown or less for next week’s Sunday nighter and taking anything over a touchdown.

Salmons said the Westgate took action on Seattle +7.5 on its look-ahead lines, issued 10 days in advance, but when the book posted 7 on Sunday night, bettors laid the number. Simbal said CG moved quickly from New England -6.5 to -7 (-120) on Sunday night.

He added, “If the Seahawks don’t look great (Monday) night, you may be looking at 8.”

Monday, Nov. 14

Cincinnati Bengals at New York Giants (-2)

There was a mix of 2s and 2.5s on Sunday night as the Giants look to extend their winning streak to four next Monday.
Marcus DiNitto is a writer in Charlotte, N.C., who covers sports betting and all kinds of other stuff. Follow him on Twitter @MarcusDiNitto.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL HALFWAY: Surprises and disappointments in AFC
November 7, 2016

It's not difficult to pinpoint the teams that have unexpectedly prospered or just as stunningly plummeted halfway through the 2016 season.

Yep, we're looking at you, Carolina Panthers and Arizona Cardinals. Last January, you played for a spot in the Super Bowl. Right now, you're hanging with the mediocrities (or worse) of the NFL.

Nor is it hard to spot the surprisingly successful teams putting themselves in the championship mix, from the Dallas Cowboys to the Oakland Raiders.

But what about the individuals who are rising or flopping? The Associated Press sports writers who cover the 16 AFC teams suggest the following.

BALTIMORE

Surprise: LB Zachary Orr leads the team in tackles as a third-year player.

Disappointment: QB Joe Flacco has looked tentative in the pocket and has more interceptions than TDs. Granted, the Ravens have no running game and the left side of the O-Line has been injured, but still ...

BUFFALO

Surprise: LB Lorenzo Alexander, maybe the most pleasant development in the NFL this season. The free-agent addition, a journeyman in his 10th season, is among the league leaders in sacks.

Disappointment: WR Sammy Watkins (left foot) is hobbled by injury for the third straight season and is on IR, though he could return this month.

CINCINNATI

Surprise: WR A.J. Green was leading the NFL in receptions when Cincinnati went on its bye despite being the focus of opposing defenses on every passing play.

Disappointment: DT Geno Atkins had 42 tackles and 11 sacks last season. Through eight games, he has only 16 tackles and 3+ sacks, and the Bengals are 3-4-1.

CLEVELAND

Surprise: WR Terrelle Pryor only made the conversion from quarterback last season and has quickly developed into a playmaker. Through the first nine games, Pryor had 46 catches and four touchdowns.

Disappointment: QB Robert Griffin III. Not his fault, but he broke a bone in his shoulder in the season opener that deprived him of a chance at a comeback and the Browns from seeing if he could be their long-term answer.

DENVER

Surprise: QB Trevor Siemian was an afterthought when Peyton Manning retired. Now he's the starting QB on a playoff contender.

Disappointment; OT Russell Okung, who went through a stretch of five holding calls in three games and gave up a sack-strip.

HOUSTON

Surprise: DE Jadeveon Clowney, finally healthy after two injury-filled years. His move from outside linebacker has helped the Texans make up for the loss of J.J. Watt.

Disappointment: QB Brock Osweiler got a $72 million contract and has thrown the same number of interceptions (nine) as touchdowns. Houston's passing game ranks among the worst in the league.

INDIANAPOLIS

Surprise: TE Jack Doyle, claimed off waivers from Tennessee in 2013, has steadily progressed each season and already surpassed his previous career totals in yards and TD catches.

Disappointment: Coach Chuck Pagano. After signing a four-year deal, being given more authority over some decisions and armed with a healthy Andrew Luck, it looked as if Pagano would take his second chance and run with it. Instead, the Colts have gotten stuck in neutral.

JACKSONVILLE

Surprise: DE Yannick Ngakoue, a third-round pick from Maryland who has four sacks and three forced fumbles and has replaced Dante Fowler in the starting lineup.

Disappointment: QB Blake Bortles has been so inaccurate and inconsistent that he brought in a mechanics coach for a two-day refresher course, a last-ditch effort to turn his season around.

KANSAS CITY

Surprise: WR Tyreek Hill, a fifth-round pick expected to be primarily a kick returner, already has 19 catches for 223 yards and four touchdowns.

Disappointment: OLB Tamba Hali signed a three-year, $21 million contract when the Chiefs realized they would be without Justin Houston most of the season, but he's aging before their eyes.

MIAMI

Surprise: RB Jay Ajayi has turned a weak ground game into a strength by averaging 6.0 yards per play and has six TDs.

Disappointment: WR DeVante Parker, a 2015 first-rounder, has done little to establish himself as a complement to top target Jarvis Landry.

NEW ENGLAND

Surprise: RB LeGarrette Blount, whose production over the first four games coming off hip injury last season helped take the pressure off Jimmy Garoppolo and Jacoby Brissett.

Disappointment: CB Cyrus Jones, a second-rounder, has struggled in his limited action returning punts, was ejected at Cleveland and hasn't played since.

NEW YORK JETS

Surprise: WR Quincy Enunwa, a sixth-rounder in 2014, has blossomed into a legitimate playmaker in Chan Gailey's offense. With Eric Decker out, Enunwa has stepped up as the No. 2 receiver behind Brandon Marshall.

Disappointment: CB Darrelle Revis, a former shutdown defender, has looked mostly mediocre this season, no longer resembling the guy who left opposing teams' best receivers stranded on ''Revis Island.''

OAKLAND

Surprise: RB Jalen Richard, an undrafted free agent, has helped provide depth behind Latavius Murray.

Disappointment: CB Sean Smith, a major free agent addition who got benched in the opener and struggled earlier in the season before showing some improvement of late.

PITTSBURGH

Surprise: WR Sammie Coates led the league in yards per reception (21.3) before injuring his left index finger. He's been a long-distance threat.

Disappointment: LB James Harrison is hardly the only disappointment on an underwhelming defense, but the 38-year-old got his first two sacks of the season this past weekend. He's seen his playing time slowly decrease.

SAN DIEGO

Surprise: Top draft pick DE Joey Bosa. After a holdout and hamstring injury that cost him four games, he has become a force on the Chargers' defense, particularly in opposing backfields.

Disappointment: That the team couldn't get the rookie defensive end signed in time for training camp. A squabble over money he was due and offset language caused the No. 3 overall pick to miss camp. After signing, Bosa pulled the hamstring and the Chargers went 1-3 without him.

TENNESSEE

Surprise: RB DeMarco Murray. For a player who looked washed up in Chip Kelly's offense in Philadelphia last season and cost the Titans only swapping 13 spots in the fourth round of the draft, what a bargain.

Disappointment: Rookie LB Kevin Dodd, the 33rd pick overall, has been a minimal contributor. The Titans could use more pressure from someone who had 12 sacks and 23+ tackles for loss last season at Clemson.

[StarDust Bum]

Overreactions: Raiders are team to beat in the AFC
November 8, 2016

The Oakland Raiders are the team to beat in the AFC.

Led by Derek Carr and a high-powered offense, the Raiders are 7-2 following an impressive 30-20 victory over defending Super Bowl champion Denver. Oakland enters its bye week in first place in the AFC West and getting closer to ending a 13-year playoff drought.

The Raiders are 5-0 on the road and no team wants to play them in the Black Hole.

No doubt, Jack Del Rio's crew is headed to the Super Bowl.

That is, if Bill Belichick, Tom Brady and the New England Patriots forget to return from their week off.

Sorry, Raider Nation. The road to Houston goes through the Patriots (7-1).

Here are other overreactions following Week 9:

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OVERREACTION: Nine down, seven to go. The Browns are one game closer to 0-16.

REALISTIC REACTION: Perhaps the Ravens overlook them on short rest and the Browns can pull off a stunner Thursday night.

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OVERREACTION: The unenthusiastic Packers (4-4) won't make the playoffs. Aaron Rodgers questioned his teammates' energy after a home loss to the Colts.

REALISTIC REACTION: They're only one game behind the Vikings, who are sinking quickly.

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OVERREACTION: Matthew Stafford is the best clutch quarterback in the NFL. He's led the Lions (5-4) to five comeback wins after trailing in the fourth quarter.

REALISTIC REACTION: Brady. Rodgers. Big Ben. Stafford's not in the top three.

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OVERREACTION: Matt Prater is the best clutch kicker in the NFL. He's 23 of 23 on game-tying or go-ahead field-goal attempts in the fourth quarter or overtime.

REALISTIC REACTION: There's a guy named Adam Vinatieri.

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OVERREACTION: The Vikings will finish with a losing record. They've lost three in a row after a 5-0 start.

REALISTIC REACTION: They're still first in the NFC North.

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OVERREACTION: Tim Tebow will play again in the NFL before Jared Goff. Rams fans chanted for both quarterbacks during a loss to Carolina.

REALISTIC REACTION: If Tebow wasn't playing baseball, this could've happened already.

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OVERREACTION: Chuck Pagano saved his job with the Colts' win at Green Bay.

REALISTIC REACTION: A 4-5 record is nothing to brag about.

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OVERREACTION: The Eagles are the worst team in the NFC East.

REALISTIC REACTION: They could be 7-1 instead of 4-4 if one play goes the other way in three close losses.