The Bum's 2016 College Football Best Bets,Trends,Stat, News !!

[StarDust Bum]

Oklahoma State faces rival Oklahoma for Big 12 title again
November 28, 2016

STILLWATER, Okla. (AP) For the second straight year, No. 11 Oklahoma State heads into its regular-season finale against its in-state rival, No. 7 Oklahoma, with a chance to claim the Big 12 title.

Last year, Oklahoma State was missing several key starters because of injuries, with quarterback Mason Rudolph hardly playing, and wound up losing 58-23 on its home field. Oklahoma claimed the Big 12 championship and advanced to the College Football Playoff.

This time, coming off their most complete performance of the season, a 31-6 win over TCU on Nov. 19, followed by a bye week, the Cowboys (9-2, 7-1 Big 12, No. 10 CFP) are well-rested and determined to finish the job Saturday at Oklahoma (9-2, 8-0, No. 7 CFP).

''We're a healthier football team now, not only physically but mentally,'' OSU coach Mike Gundy said. ''We were a little bit beat up at this time last season. These guys, hopefully, we've instilled in them the importance of whether you have a tough loss or a big win, you have to continue to move forward. I think the biggest factor is we're healthy and we're in a position to practice at the pace that we need to practice in order to play at a high level.''

For the players, knowing that the Big 12 title is on the line brings out different mental approaches. One is to ignore the consequences of the result and just go out and play.

''We just look at it as any other game, try not to get too caught up in the hype or the emotions of it,'' said senior running back Chris Carson, who rushed 17 times for 146 yards and a touchdown against TCU. ''But this is great, playing for a Big 12 championship for the second year and hopefully looking for different results this year.''

Another mindset is to embrace the importance of the game and enjoy the high-stakes aspect of it.

''This is what you want as a senior, to be in a game with the Big 12 championship on the line,'' said tight end/fullback hybrid Blake Jarwin, who has 16 receptions for 180 yards and a touchdown this season. ''It's a new opportunity to go and maybe get a Big 12 championship. I'm excited to go out there.''

As painful as it was seeing the Sooners celebrate on their field last season, the Oklahoma State players point out that the motivation to win is not really about returning the favor.

''It's not really a revenge factor, it's done, but it's really more of a learning experience,'' junior linebacker Chad Whitener said. ''Watching film from last year, really going back and studying, seeing what they did right and what we did wrong.''

''Not necessarily revenge, but we know that we lost it last year, and we want to win,'' added Carson, who gained 38 yards on seven carries in last season's showdown. ''That's just the motivation - it doesn't matter who we play, we just want to win the Big 12 championship.''

Saturday's game between Oklahoma State and Oklahoma marks the sixth time in the last nine seasons that the annual matchup known as Bedlam will determine the Big 12 champion.

Besides last year's game, a 33-24 Oklahoma win in 2013 prevented Oklahoma State from claiming the title and allowed Baylor to emerge as champion. In 2011, Oklahoma State defeated the Sooners 44-10 to win its only Big 12 championship and deny OU a share of the title.

In 2010, Oklahoma's 47-41 victory prevented the Cowboys from advancing to the Big 12 championship game, and in 2008, OU's 61-41 win enabled it to advance to the Big 12 title game.

Gundy is proud that the annual in-state battle between the rivals has become such an important game on the national college football landscape.

''You have schools that are having fantastic seasons, have very exciting players, and give the state a lot to think about,'' Gundy said. ''We have 4 million people here in the state and it's a big game. When they put up the college football standings and you have Oklahoma and Oklahoma State in the top 10, that's a tremendous financial advantage, marketing, for both universities in the state of Oklahoma.''

[StarDust Bum]

No. 6 Wisconsin may turn to QB Houston vs No. 8 Penn State
November 28, 2016

MADISON, Wis. (AP) Bart Houston began the season as Wisconsin's starting quarterback before losing his job to Alex Hornibrook.

With Hornibrook listed as questionable with a head injury for the Big Ten title game against No. 8 Penn State (10-2, 8-1 Big Ten) on Saturday, the No. 6 Badgers (10-2, 7-2) may have to turn back to Houston. A fifth-year senior, Houston rallied the Badgers to a 31-17 victory over Minnesota last Saturday.

''No doubt he's given us a spark a number of times, it's been good to see,'' Wisconsin coach Paul Chryst said Monday.

Houston took over for Hornibrook when he was injured late in the second quarter against the Golden Gophers and led Wisconsin to 24 second-half points. Wide receiver Jazz Peavy said Houston's fun-loving persona helps keep the team loose no matter what the situation is.

''In the fourth quarter we were going into one of these drives and Bart comes into the huddle telling jokes and stuff like that,'' Peavy said with a laugh. ''I'm thinking this guy's really relaxed right now and I'm locked in and focused.''

Peavy, whose 71-yard scamper on a jet sweep set up Corey Clement's 2-yard touchdown run to snap a 17-17 tie, said Houston has a ''fun, goofy personality'' that bodes well in pressure situations.

''Bart brings that ease to the group of guys in the huddle. He allows us to be a little more freely and not uptight,'' Peavy said.

Chryst has come to appreciate his senior quarterback's approach to the game on and off the field.

''One thing I have enjoyed and appreciate from Bart is I think he is having fun playing the game,'' Chryst said.

Houston, who scrambled 12 yards to sustain a third quarter scoring drive, has proven he can make plays with his arm and his feet.

''Bart does a great job of being in the moment,'' Chryst said. ''He cares about this team and has confidence in himself. He wants to contribute and believes he can contribute and help.''

When Chryst was asked what would happen if Hornibrook can't go on Saturday and Houston gets dinged he replied ''We'll be all right.''

Notes: Offensive lineman Jacob Maxwell has been ruled out for Saturday with a right shoulder injury.

[StarDust Bum]

ACC Championship Preview
November 30, 2016

Matchup: Clemson vs. Virginia Tech
Date: Saturday, Dec. 3
Time/TV: 8:00 p.m. ET - ABC
Venue: Camping World Stadium
Location: Orlando, Fla.
Line, Total: Tigers -10, 58

The Clemson Tigers (11-1 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) heads back to the ACC Championship Game for the second straight season, and fourth time in the past eight years. They'll also meet the Virginia Tech Hokies (9-3 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) for the second time in the title game. The last time these sides met in 2011 it was Clemson winning 38-10 as a seven-point underdog.

The stakes are much higher for the Tigers in this game, as they are ranked No. 3 in the latest College Football Playoff rankings. There is no margin for error, with Washington, Michigan, Wisconsin, Penn State and potentially Colorado are nipping at their heels. The Tigers need a decisive win in their first meeting with the Hokies this season, and Vegas believes they will get it, as Clemson is favored by 10 points as of Wednesday morning.

Since a stunning 43-42 loss to Pittsburgh in Death Valley Nov. 12, Clemson has rattled off a pair of resounding victories. They topped Wake Forest 35-13 on the road, and they rolled rival South Carolina 56-7 last week for their third consecutive 'over' result. Clemson's offense has never been a question, as they rank 12th in the country with 509 total yards per game while rolling up 336.3 yards per game passing, fifth nationally. They are averaging 40.0 points per game (PPG), which also has them ranked 17th in the nation. While QB DeShaun Watson gets all of the headlines, the defense is just as responsible for Clemson's success. They rank eighth in the country by allowing just 307.8 total yards per game, while allowing 17.0 PPG to rank ninth overall. The Tigers are also allowing just 180.2 yards per game through the air, sitting 12th in the country in that department.

For Va. Tech, their offense hasn't been too shabby under head coach Justin Fuente in his first season, a departure from past seasons when defense and special teams play ruled the roost for the Gobblers under head coach Frank Beamer. The Hokies have posted 453.4 totals yards per game to rank 38th, buoyed by their pass attack which ranks 39th with 261.6 yards per game. While not quite at Clemson's level, Va. Tech is humming along with 35.0 PPG to rank 35th overall. Their defensive statistics are nearly a mirror image of Clemson's offensive-to-defensive ratio. The Hokies allow just 332.2 total yards per game to rank 18th, while yielding 21.1 PPG to check in 20th nationally.

Like Clemson, Virginia Tech suffered a debilitating and surprising loss Nov. 12, falling 30-20 to Georgia Tech despite entering as two-touchdown favorites. Since that setback the Hokies rattled off a hard-fought 34-31 win at Notre Dame and they too whitewashed their in-state rival last weekend, routing Virginia 52-10. The Hokies have covered each of their past two after an 0-3 ATS run, and the 'over' has connected in each of their past two.

For the Tigers, the offense starts and stops with the Heisman Trophy candidate Watson. He has completed 67.5 percent of his 453 pass attempts for 3,626 yards, 34 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and he has been a dual-threat option with 439 rushing yards (4.0 yards per attempt) while finding the end zone four times with his feet. While he wasn't as prolific on the ground as he was in 2015, he is still obviously very dangerous. He tossed six touchdowns last week against South Carolina and appears to be on a mission.

WR Mike Williams missed this game last season due to injury. He finished the regular season with 79 receptions for 1,114 yards (14.1 yards per reception) while finding the end zone 10 times. Williams is far from the only threat in the vertical game, however, as TE Jordan Leggett is a force with 588 yards and five scores while racking up 17.3 yards per reception. WR Deon Cain had 30 receptions for 552 yards while pulling down nine scores, and he was the team's leader with 18.4 yards per reception. WR Artavis Scott rounds out the solid triumvirate of wideouts with 64 catches for 544 yards and five scores. Even WR Ray-Ray McCloud is a player who can be dangerous, as he had 44 catches for 434 yards with two scores, and he would have had another if he didn't drop the ball at the 1 earlier in the season in a premature celebration.

Clemson RB Wayne Gallman is a stud in the run game, coming up with 943 rushing yards (5.3 yards per rush) with 14 touchdowns. Neither Gallman or RB Tavien Feaster are much of a threat catching the ball out of the backfield, although sophomore RB C.J. Fuller proved he could be a future pass-catching option out of the backfield in the future. It will be tough sledding for all involved against a Hokies rush defense allowing 145.8 yards per game, 39th in the country.

For Va. Tech, QB Jerod Evans isn't making anyone forget Michael Vick or Tyrod Taylor anytime soon, but he had a very underrated season with 3,045 passing yards, 26 touchdowns and just five interceptions while completing 63.8 percent of his passes. He also led the team in rushing with 713 yards, 4.4 yards per run and eight touchdowns on the ground. Evans picked up the slack for a rather toothless rushing attack, with RB Travon McMillian the best of the lot with 600 rushing yards (4.7 yards per carry) and just four rushing scores. In fact, Evans had the eight rushing TDs and the rest of the team managed just 12.

WR Isaiah Ford was a top-notch option in the receiving game, leading the team with 949 yards with 13.8 yards per grab. He also tied for the team lead with seven scores. His partners in crime, WR Cam Phillips and TE Bucky Hodges, will need to be accounted from by the Clemson defense as well. Hodges led the team with 14.2 yards per catch while tying Ford with seven scoring grabs. Phillips averaged 13.4 yards per catch and can be a big-time playmaker. Both Hodges and Phillips each found the end zone in each of the final two regular season games.

Virginia Tech K Joey Slye posted 20 field goals and 108 points on the season, including a field goal of 47 yards. He had moderate range and reliable accuracy. Clemson's Greg Huegel is not terribly dependable in the kicking game, and he had 18 fewer points than in 2015, finishing with just 13 field goals and 56 extra points. Like Slye, Huegel's long was 47 yards in the field goal department. The kicking game might not play a huge factor in this game, but if it does the edge is slightly in Virginia Tech's favor.

Betting Trends to Watch

-- The Tigers have covered each of their past seven neutral-site games, and they're 5-0 ATS in their past five games played in the month of December. However, they're also just 1-4 ATS in their past five league games and 1-4 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning overall record. Clemson is also 1-5 ATS in their past six games played on field turf.

-- Virginia Tech has struggled against the number, going 1-4 ATS in their past five neutral-site battles while posting a 1-4 ATS mark in their past five following a straight up win.

-- As far as totals are concerned, the 'over' is 4-1 in the past five overall for Clemson, and 4-0 in their past four against teams with a winning overall record. In the past seven league games the 'over' is 5-2 for Clemson. In games played on field turf, the over is 4-1 in the past five for the Tigers, too.

-- For Va. Tech, the 'over' is 4-0-1 in the past five neutral-site assignments, while going 6-2 in their past eight games in the month of December. However, the 'under' has cashed in 18 of their past 25 games played inside the conference.

-- In this series, the underdog has cashed in four of the past five meetings, although the favorite hit in the most recent meeting Oct. 20, 2012 in Death Valley with Clemson coming out on top 38-17 as a 7 1/2-point favorite. The 'under' also hit in that meeting, and is 5-1 in the past six games played between these two sides.

ACC Championship History

ACC CHAMPIONSHIP HISTORY

Year Matchup Line Score ATS Result

2015 Clemson-North Carolina Clemson -6.5 (67.5) Clemson 45-37 Favorite-Over

2014 Florida State-Georgia Tech Florida State -3.5 (74) Florida State 37-35 Underdog-Under

2013 Florida State-Duke Florida State -30 (66) Florida State 45-7 Favorite-Under

2012 Florida State-Georgia Tech Florida State -14 (62) Florida State 21-15 Underdog-Under

2011 Virginia Tech-Clemson Virginia Tech -7 (54) Clemson 38-10 Underdog-Under

2010 Virginia Tech-Florida State Virginia Tech -4.5 (51) Virginia Tech 44-33 Favorite-Over

2009 Georgia Tech-Clemson Georgia Tech -1 (56.5) Georgia Tech 39-34 Favorite-Over

2008 Virginia Tech-Boston College Virginia Tech -1 (38.5) Virginia Tech 30-12 Favorite-Over

2007 Virginia Tech-Boston College Virginia Tech -5 (48.5) Virginia Tech 30-16 Favorite-Under

2006 Wake Forest-Georgia Tech Georgia Tech -3 (40.5) Wake Forest 9-6 Underdog-Under

2005 Virginia Tech-Florida State Virginia Tech -14 (44.5) Florida State 27-22 Underdog-Over

[StarDust Bum]

Big 12 Report - Week 14
November 30, 2016

2016 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Baylor 6-5 3-5 2-9 4-7

Iowa State 3-9 2-7 7-5 8-4

Kansas 2-10 1-8 6-6 5-7

Kansas State 7-4 5-3 4-7 6-5

Oklahoma 9-2 8-0 5-6 6-5

Oklahoma State 9-2 7-1 7-4 7-4

Texas 5-7 3-6 6-6 4-8

Texas Christian 6-5 4-4 3-8 5-6

Texas Tech 5-7 3-6 8-4 7-5

West Virginia 9-2 6-2 5-6 5-6

Kansas State at Texas Christian (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Two bowl-bound teams wrap up their regular season at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth Saturday afternoon. The Wildcats haven't been very good lately against the number, going 2-5 ATS in their past seven overall, 2-5 ATS in their past seven against teams with a winning overall record and 0-4 ATS in their past four games following a straight-up win. TCU hasn't had a ton of success against the number, either, as they're 3-8 ATS in their 11 games this season and 2-6 ATS in their eight league games. TCU is also 0-6 ATS in their six home games this season, although they are 6-1 ATS in their past seven at home against teams with a winning road mark.

These two teams met under different circumstances last season in Manhattan, and the Horned Frogs won 52-45 on Oct. 10, 2015, with the Wildcats covering. The 'over' has cashed in each of the past three meetings, and the home team is 3-0 ATS in the past three, with TCU covering two of the past three in the series.

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (FOX, 12:30 p.m.)
It's time for 'Bedlam' in Norman, as the Cowboys and Sooners renew their rivalry. Oklahoma opened as a two-touchdown favorite, but the line has been bet down to 11 as of Wednesday morning. The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning record, and 4-1 ATS in their past five league games. The Sooners have been pretty solid against the number lately, too, going 4-0 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning overall record. They're also 11-4 ATS in their past 15 league games, but just 2-5 ATS in their past seven home outings against a team with a winning road record.

The road team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, with the Cowboys 3-8 ATS in the past 11 meetings. This game has the potential to be a high-scoring affair, as the 'over' is 3-0-1 in the past four meetings. The over is also 11-3 in Oklahoma State's past 14 league games, and 13-5 in their past 18 overall. The over is 10-4 in Oklahoma's past 14 against teams with an overall winning mark, while going 20-8-1 in their past 29 conference tilts.

Baylor at West Virginia (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Baylor and West Virginia lock horns in what is expected to be Jim Grobe's last regular season coaching assignment. Both teams will be headed for bowl games after. The Bears lost QB Seth Russell to a dislocated ankle in the Oklahoma game, and they haven't been unable to get on track. In fact, after a 6-0 start, the Bears are 0-5 SU/ATS over the past five outings. West Virginia has been much better against the number lately, going 2-1 ATS, although they have failed to cover each of their past two at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown. The Bears are 0-6 ATS in their past six road games, 0-5 ATS in their past five overall and 0-4 ATS in their past four following a straight up loss. For the Mountaineers, they are 1-4 ATS in their past five home games, and 4-12 ATS in their past 16 against teams with a winning record.

In four meetings since West Virginia joined the Big 12, Baylor is 3-1 ATS. The home team has covered each of the past three in this series, with the favorite also going 3-0 ATS. The 'over' is 3-1 in the past four meetings as well.

Teams on a Bye/Regular Season Completed
Iowa State, Kansas, Texas, Texas Tech

[StarDust Bum]

Tech Trends - Week 14
November 30, 2016

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 2

Matchup Skinny Edge

OHIO vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN (MAC Championship Friday, December 2 at Ford Field, Detroit)...Solich was routed the last two years by WMU. But Bobcats were 5-1 vs. line away from Athens TY and 7-1 last 8 in role. Solich 3-1 as dog TY and 7-2 last 9 in role. WMU 9-3 vs. points this season and 27-12 last 39 on board. Fleck 6-1 last seven as road favorite.
Slight to Western Michigan, based on team trends.

COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON (Pac-12 Championship Friday, December 2 at Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA)...Teams haven’t met since 2014. Buffs 10-2 vs. line this season and 15-4 vs. spread for MacIntyre since mid 2015. Huskies 1-2 last 3, 2-4 last six, 4-6 last ten vs. number this season. U-Dub 3-2 vs. spread away from Seattle in 2016.
Colorado, based on team trends.

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 3

Matchup Skinny Edge

BAYLOR at WEST VIRGINIA...Bears have collapsed, no covers last five TY, 2-9 vs. spread overall in 2016, 4-14 vs. number last 18 on board since mid 2015. Briles had covered 3 of last 4 years vs. Holgorsen. Mounties only 1-4 vs. line last five at Morgantown this season.
West Virginia, based on recent Baylor negatives.

KANSAS STATE at TCU...Bill Snyder and TCU are 2-2 SU and vs, line in meetings since Frogs entered Big 12 in 2012. If Snyder a dog note 4-1 mark in role this season, and 25-12 in role since 2011. Frogs 3-8 vs. spread this season and 0-6 vs. spread at Fort Worth!
Kansas State, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA...Note that USA just 2-8 vs. spread this season since opening win at Mississippi State. Jags just 4-8 last 12 vs. spread at Ladd-Peebles Stadium in Mobile, and 11-24-1 vs. spread overall since 2014. NMSU not-so-bad 8-6 last 14 vs. number since late 2015.
Slight to New Mexico State, based on extended USA negatives.

TROY at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...Eagles a rather disappointing 2-9 vs. spread this season including 0-4 vs. spread at Statesboro. Major payback for Troy after being humiliated each of past two seasons by Ga Southern by combined 87-20 scoreline. Trojans 4-1 vs. spread away from home this season and 9-2 vs. points last 11 on road.
Troy, based on team trends.

UL-LAFAYETTE at UL-MONROE...ULL gets bowl-eligible with another win. Cajuns 4-1 vs. spread on road this season but it 0-2-1 vs. spread against ULM the past three seasons. Streaky Warhawks on 3-game cover streak after dropping four straight vs. number, which was preceded by three straight spread wins to open season. ULM also 7-3 last ten as dog (5-3 TY for Matt Viator).
ULM, based on team and series trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at OKLAHOMA...Bedlam! OSU has covered three straight on road this season and is 8-3-1 vs. number its last 12 as a visitor. Gundy also 8-2 last ten as dog. Stoops have covered last three at Norman this season, but only a modest 19-18 overall vs. spread since beginning of 2014 campaign. Note that visiting team has covered last four in Bedlam series.
Oklahoma State, based on team trends.

ARKANSAS STATE at TEXAS STATE...All downhill lately for Bobcats, just 3-7 vs. spread since upset win at Ohio in opener. Texas State just 6-16 last 22 on board overall and 3-6 vs. spread last 9 at San Marcos. Red Wolves had won and covered six straight TY before loss at ULL last week and also 6-1 vs. line last seven on Sun Belt road. Arkansas State rolled 55-17 LY at Jonesboro.
Arkansas State, based on team trends.

GEORGIA STATE at IDAHO...The season has kind of fallen apart on Georgia State but Panthers still 7-4 vs. line TY and 13-4-1 vs. spread last 18 reg.-season games. Moreover, they’re 4-1 as visiting dog and now 19-4 in role since 2012. But hot Idaho has covered six straight down the stretch in 2016.
Slight to Idaho, based on recent trends.

LOUISIANA TECH at WESTERN KENTUCKY (Conference USA Championship) ...Rematch of La Tech’s 55-52 shootout win and cover at Ruston back on October 6. Skip Holtz had won 7 in a row SU and covered six straight prior to loss last week at Southern Miss. Skip 26-13 vs. spread since 2014 season, and 16-7 vs. number away from Joe Aillet Stadium since 2014. Skip also 9-2 vs. spread as dog since 2014 (3-1 this season). WKU 4-1-1 vs. spread last six this season but only 3-3 vs. spread as host in 2016. Matchups between these two each decided by 3 points the past two seasons as teams split.
La Tech, based on team trends.

TEMPLE at NAVY (AAC Championship)...Temple has covered 11 straight (including five straight away) since opening loss to Army. Owls 34-16 vs. spread since 2013 under Matt Rhule, but has not played Navy since 2014. Mids (who still have to play Army next week) are 7-2-2 vs. spread TY and 20-8-2 last 30 on board. Mids also 11-1-2 vs. number last 14 at Annapolis.
Slight to Navy, based on team trends.

FLORIDA vs. ALABAMA (SEC Championship at Georgia Dome, Atlanta)...Rematch of LY’s SEC title game won (but not covered) by Bama. Tide 6-4-1 laying DD this season and 4-1 vs. spread away from home, 9-3 vs. number last 12 away from Tuscaloosa. McElwain 1-1 as dog TY, 3-3-1 in role since arriving at Gainesville LY. Florida just 7-10 last 17 vs. number since mid 2015.
Alabama, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at WYOMING (Mountain West Championship)... Rematch of Wyo’s 34-33 win on Nov. 19. Aztecs 5-3 vs. number vs. MW this season and 15-5 last 20 overall vs. number against conference foes. Aztecs 7-2 vs. number last nine on MW road. Bohl 6-2 vs. points last eight this season and Cowboys were 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 vs. line at Laramie this season.
Slight to San Diego State, based on extended trends.

CLEMSON vs. VIRGINIA TECH (ACC Championship at Orlando, FL)...Due to quirks in ACC scheduling, these teams haven’t met since 2012. Hokies only 2-4 vs. points away from Blacksburg this season though were 5-2 as road dog for Beamer previous three seasons (0-1 TY). Fuente was 4-1-1 as dog past two seasons at Memphis (0-1 TY with VPI). Clemson only 5-6 vs. spread this season and 2-3 vs. line away from home, and Tigers only 8-10 overall last 18 vs. number since mid 2015.
Slight to Virginia Tech, based on team trends.

WISCONSIN vs. PENN STATE (Big Ten Championship at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis)...Teams haven’t met since 2013 in what was Bill O’Brien’s last game as Penn State coach (Nittany Lions won 31-24). James Franklin has won last 8 SU this season and has covered last seven as well. Franklin 3-1 as dog this season after 0-5 mark a year ago. Nittany Lions also 4-1 vs. spread away TY after 0-6 mark a year ago. Badgers 9-2-1 vs. line this season and 11-2-1 last 14 on board.
Slight to Wisconsin, based on extended trends.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's Top Action
November 29, 2016


MAC Championship Betting Preview
Western Michigan Broncos (12-0 SU, 9-3 ATS) vs. Ohio Bobcats (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS)

Sportsbook.ag Odds: Western Michigan (-19)

The undefeated (12-0) Western Michigan Broncos look to cap off their historic season with a MAC Championship on Friday night and are heavy favorites to do so. A victory here would give the Broncos that “party crashing” Bowl bid as part of the New Year's Six and that has clearly been one of their goals all year long.

The fact that they are one of two teams remaining undefeated in CFB (the other is Alabama) is a remarkable feat for this program that hasn't won much of anything for years and they've done it in dramatic fashion as 11 of their 12 wins have come by double digits.

Bettors have a much different dilemma when handicapping this game though as while Western Michigan would love a win of any margin, bettors have to deal with this 19-point spread listed on the game. Aside from both programs obviously wanting to come away as conference champions, the pressure is clearly on the Western Michigan side as they look to remain undefeated and represent the non-power conferences in one of those big bowl games. These are still 18-22 year old kids remember and sometimes pressure like that can do funny things.

There is no question the Broncos are the more talented team here and should come away with the outright win here, but completely disregarding Ohio's ability to show up and make a game out of it would be a complete disservice to the talent that they've got over there.

Ohio got here with a 8-4 SU record as they scraped out a 9-3 win vs. Akron last week to punch their ticket. This will be Ohio's third appearance in the MAC Championship game since 2009, and in both previous instances they program came up short. Obviously none of those results matter to this year's team, but they would love to bring the school their first MAC title since this game has been played (1997) and do it in historic fashion by knocking off this undefeated opponent.

Furthermore, the guys on this Ohio team would love to get revenge for two consecutive blowout losses to Western Michigan in 2014 and 15, especially when last year's game was in Ohio with the Bobcats laying -3.5 points and losing 49-14. Some may point to that contest as another indicator that Western Michigan is clearly the better team here, but the point spread is always the great equalizer and winning by three TD's might be too much to put on the Broncos shoulders given their situation.

Simply put, I firmly believe this is a few too many points for Western Michigan to cover in this spot and with over 85% of the bets according to VegasInsider.com already laying all that chalk, being in the minority here isn't a bad thing.

Ohio's defense is one of the best in the MAC at stopping the run (105.1 yards/game allowed) and the Broncos love to establish their dominance early on the ground. If Ohio can negate that early on, and this remains a close game for the first half or beyond, all that pressure of remaining undefeated, winning a Conference Championship, and getting an invite as one of the “New Year's Six” will begin to creep up on Western Michigan.

Throw in the fact that Ohio is 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a winning team, 11-4 ATS when coming off a win, and 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games, grabbing the points with the underdog here is the best way to go. Ohio will look to turn this game into a dogfight right from the start and win the time of possession battle to keep the high-powered Broncos offense off the field for as long as possible. If that happens, this game will definitely stay within two TD's.

Best Bet: Ohio +19

Pac-12 Conference Championship Betting Preview
Colorado Buffaloes (10-2 SU, 10-2 ATS) vs. Washington Huskies (11-1 SU, 6-6 ATS)

Sportsbook.ag Odds: Washington (-7.5); Total set at 58

Two unlikely programs meet in the Pac-12 Title game on Friday night as there isn't anyone out there that would have projected this game to be Colorado vs. Washington at the beginning of the season.

Yet, both teams played great football all year long as Colorado was one of the best bets in CFB with a 10-2 ATS record (10-2 SU as well), while Washington finished 11-1 SU and has a chance to get into the National Championship playoff with a win. First things first though for the Huskies as they'll have to knock off this very talented Colorado team that has made a habit of proving the oddsmakers wrong all year.

It's tough to argue against the fact that Colorado's season as a whole has been tremendous. Their two SU losses came to USC and Michigan, both ranked in the Top 15 at regular season's end. The Buffaloes also managed to keep those games closer than expected as they went 2-0 ATS as underdogs in those contests, and even went up to Oregon in late September as 14-point underdogs (one of the worst lines of the year looking back) and won outright.

Colorado's only two ATS losses came when they were double-digit home favorites, and getting points they've been a perfect 4-0 ATS with two outright wins. So can they go into a neutral site and destroy Washington's hopes of a Conference Championship and a playoff berth?

Past results would suggest that it's tough to go against the Buffaloes here given their success at the betting window, especially as underdogs. Yet, aside from that loss @ USC – which does rank better than Washington's home loss to the Trojans in common opponent comparisons – Colorado had a more favorable schedule than Washington and took full advantage of it.

The two teams never met in the regular season, but Colorado caught Stanford (10-5 Buffaloes win) during Stanford's lull in mid-season and got the only other Pac-12 teams that finished with a winning record (Utah, Washington State) at home. Colorado beat Washington State and Utah by 14 and 5 points respectively, while Washington went on the road to face those two programs and won by 28 and 7 points respectively.

The Cougars also blew out Oregon in Oregon by 49 points where the Buffaloes escaped Eugene with a 3-point W. In nearly all the comparisons you find from common opponents for Washington and Colorado, it's the Huskies who have a clear cut edge and that could very well play out on the field this week.

Now, as is the case with many other Conference Championship games this weekend, the pressure to get into the CFB playoff is something the Huskies will have to deal with here, but they've got a veteran-laden team that should be able to cope well.

HC Chris Petersen moved on from Boise State to Washington three years ago to get his opportunity to lead a Power-5 program to the promised land and he won't let his first opportunity at getting there pass him by. He's long been one of the best coaches in college football and is fully aware of the “underdog mentality” Colorado will bring to this game. Petersen will have his Huskies overly prepared for every possible situation that may arise and should be able to hand Colorado it's first ATS loss as underdogs this year.

Historically, the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past five meetings between these two programs and Colorado is on a 0-6 ATS run vs the Huskies at any line. That doesn't mean much in this one with the high turnover of CFB rosters, but with the Huskies ability to put up points in a hurry and there decided edge in results from common opponents, Washington wins this game comfortably and earns their spot in the CFB Playoffs.

Best Bet: Washington -7.5

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF Week 14 opening line report: It's championship week!

“This number could drop, as the wiseguys haven't been big believers of Washington of late, while Colorado continues to impress the college football world.”

SEC Championship Game

No. 15 Florida Gators vs. No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-21.5)

Defending national champion Alabama hasn’t lost since the third week of the 2015 season and is a huge favorite to keep that 24-game streak rolling at the Georgia Dome. The Crimson Tide (12-0 SU, 8-4 ATS) dumped Auburn 30-12 in the annual Iron Bowl rivalry Saturday, though ‘Bama fell just short as 20.5-point home chalk.

Florida (8-3 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) stepped out of conference in Week 13 and got whacked at Florida State 31-13 as a 9-point underdog Saturday.

The Tide have won the last five in this rivalry, including 29-15 as a 16.5-point fave in last year’s SEC title game.

“I will be eager to see how effective Alabama's offense will be against the top-flight defense that Florida boasts,” Lester said. “But I’m not sure how the Gators are going to score points in this one, and that's why we have another massive Tide spread.”


Big Ten Championship Game

No. 7 Penn State Nittany Lions vs. No. 6 Wisconsin Badgers (-3)

Penn State is hoping a win in this game, coupled with its regular-season upset of Ohio State, leads to a CFP berth. The Nittany Lions (10-2 SU, 8-3-1 ATS) assured their spot in the conference final with a 45-12 rout of visiting Michigan State laying 11 points on Saturday.

Wisconsin (10-2 SU, 9-2-1 ATS) capped its regular season with a 31-17 home win over Minnesota, pushing as a 14-point favorite. The Badgers would need a win Saturday in Indianapolis and probably some help – as would Penn State – to get into the playoff.

“I suspect we'll see this line climb as the week progresses, but you never know, and Penn State might garner more public support,” Lester said. “This was a fairly simple line to set: neutral field, and the Badgers are about 3 points better in our power ratings.”


Pac-12 Championship Game

No. 9 Colorado Buffaloes vs. No. 5 Washington Huskies (-7.5)

Washington would be firmly in the CFP picture if it hadn’t stubbed its toe hard in Week 11 at home against Southern Cal. But the Huskies (11-1 SU, 6-6 ATS) rebounded with two wins, including Saturday’s 45-17 road rout of Washington State giving 6 points in the annual Apple Cup rivalry.

Colorado is arguably one of the biggest surprises this season, but also the least likely to get into the CFP, even with a victory Friday night at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. The Buffaloes (10-2 SU and ATS) held off Utah 27-22 Saturday to clinch their berth in the Pac-12 title game.

“This number could drop, as the wiseguys haven't been big believers of Washington of late, while Colorado continues to impress the college football world,” Lester said. “If the Huskies handle this game with ease, they probably should be in the College Football Playoff.”


ACC Championship Game

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. No. 4 Clemson Tigers (-9.5)

Clemson, which lost to Alabama in the national championship game last year, is looking to book a return trip to the four-team playoff. The Tigers (11-1 SU, 6-6 ATS) wrapped up the regular season with a 56-7 shellacking of South Carolina laying 27 points at home Saturday.

Virginia Tech (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) won five of its last six games, but the one it lost – at home to Georgia Tech as a 14-point fave in Week 11 – definitely stung and will have the Hokies on the outside looking in for the CFP, no matter what they do this week. VaTech drubbed Virginia 52-10 as a 19-point chalk Saturday to cap its regular season.

“Which Virginia Tech team is going to show up in this one?” Lester asked. “Clemson has quietly been taking care of business down the stretch, but the Hokies can be a dangerous bunch. We're confident this is a good number for balanced action.”

No. 10 Oklahoma State Cowboys at No. 8 Oklahoma Sooners (-12.5)

Both these squads are coming off bye weeks, and though this is a regular-season game – the Big 12 doesn’t have a conference championship game – it will end up deciding the conference title.

Oklahoma still has an outside shot to squeeze into the CFP, but will need to take care of its in-state rival in the Bedlam Game and hope for some help. Since a home loss to Ohio State, the Sooners (9-2 SU, 5-6 ATS) have ripped off eight straight wins, including a 56-28 road thrashing of West Virginia giving 3.5 points in Week 12.

Oklahoma State (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) is riding a seven-game winning streak into this regular-season finale. The Cowboys drubbed Texas Christian 31-6 getting 6.5 points in Week 12.

“Plenty of motivation left for both squads, and obviously a huge rivalry game,” Lester said. “But with the way OU has been covering spreads, we wanted to make this high enough to hopefully attract underdog money. We'll see if the Cowboys can compete, or if they're in the same tier as West Virginia.”

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

Friday, December 2

Colorado @ Washington

Game 305-306
December 2, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
103.274
Washington
114.907
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 11 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-7 1/2); Over

Ohio @ Western Michigan

Game 303-304
December 2, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio
80.126
Western Michigan
95.620
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 15 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 19
59
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(+19); Over




NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 14

Friday, December 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO U (8 - 4) vs. W MICHIGAN (12 - 0) - 12/2/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (10 - 2) vs. WASHINGTON (11 - 1) - 12/2/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 14

Fri – Dec. 2

Ohio at W Michigan, 7:00 PM ET
Ohio: 9-0 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders
W Michigan: 10-2 ATS in road games against conference opponents

Colorado at Washington, 7:00 PM ET
Colorado: 6-0 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63
Washington: 12-27 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better




NCAAF

Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, December 2

7:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. OHIO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio's last 8 games
Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON
Colorado is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Colorado
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Friday, December 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pac-12 Championship Game Betting Preview: Colorado vs Washington
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Quarterback Jake Browning, who leads the conference in passing efficiency (181.6) and touchdown tosses (40), was named the Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year.

No. 8 Colorado Buffaloes at No. 4 Washington Huskies (-7.5, 58.5)

The sixth Pac-12 Championship Game will feature two first-time participants when Colorado and Washington square off Friday at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. Ninth-ranked Colorado was the surprise champion of the Pac-12 South after making the biggest single-season turnaround in conference history while the fourth-ranked Huskies nearly ran the table in backing up their status as the preseason North Division favorites.

Washington, of course, has its sights set much higher – namely a spot in the four-team College Football Playoff – and the Huskies moved to No. 4 in the CFP rankings released Tuesday night. Quarterback Jake Browning, who leads the conference in passing efficiency (181.6) and touchdown tosses (40), was named the Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year, but coach Chris Petersen’s crew also possesses the conference’s top scoring defense at 17.8 points allowed per contest. “You don’t win a bunch of games year after year unless you have a quality, championship-level defense,” Petersen told the media earlier this week. “When it comes down to championships you have to play a high level of defense.” Meanwhile, at No. 8 in the CFP rankings and more than a touchdown underdog Friday, the odds are once again stacked against Colorado, prompting quarterback Sefo Liufau to tell reporters: “I don’t think anyone is picking us to win, I don’t think anyone wants us to win and that’s totally OK. We know what we’re capable of. … We just have to go out and play.”

TV: 9 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE HISTORY: The Huskies opened as 7-point favorites and was quickly bet up half-point to -7.5 and has remained there since Monday morning. The total opened at 58 and by midweek inched up to 58.5. Check out the complete line history here.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: ‘This is a huge game for Washington and their CFP chances. We opened Washington as a 7 point favourite and within a couple of hours we moved it to -7.5, where we currently sit and seeing solid two way action with just over 60% of the action on Washington to cover.’

INJURY REPORT:

Colorado - DB Ankello Witherspoon (probable, leg), DB Jaisen Sanchez (questionable, knee), OL Gerrad Kough (questionable, ankle), WR Bryce Bobo (questionable, leg), LB Christian Shaver (out, suspension), DE Jaleel Awini (out, suspension), TE Chris Hill (out, suspension)

Washington - LB Keishawn Bierria (probable, leg), WR Brayden Lenius (questionable, undisclosed)

WEATHER REPORT: It should be a beautiful night for football at Levi Stadium. The forecast is calling for clear skies with temperatures in the low 40’s at kick off. There will be a slight wind of five mph coming from the northeast and gusts at 8 mph.

ABOUT COLORADO (10-2 SU, 10-2 ATS, 5-7 O/U): After setting a conference record with their seven-game conference improvement – they were 1-8 a year ago – Buffaloes coach Mike MacIntyre was an easy choice for Pac-12 Coach of the Year. Liufau missed three starts due to a midseason ankle injury but still ranks fourth in Pac-12 total offense (263.3 yards per game) and is complemented nicely by All-Pac-12 second-team running back Phillip Lindsay (fourth in the conference with 94.7 rushing yards per game). Linebacker Jimmie Gilbert (team-most nine sacks and 12 tackles for loss) was the only All-Pac-12 first-team defensive selection for Colorado, which leads the league in total (323.8 yards surrendered) and pass defense (187.8 yards).

ABOUT WASHINGTON (11-1 SU, 6-6 ATS, 8-3-1 O/U): The Huskies had a conference-most nine first-team All-Pac 12 selections with running back Myles Gaskin (second in the conference at 98.3 yards per outing) and wideout John Ross (second with 89.2 receiving yards) among the honorees. It’s little surprise, then, that Washington is the conference’s highest-scoring team with 44.8 points per game and has scored 31 or more in all of its wins. Four Huskies appear on the All-Pac-12 first-team defense, including safety Budda Baker (61 total stops, team-most nine tackles for loss) and defensive tackle Elijah Qualls (five tackles for loss, three sacks).

TRENDS:

* Buffaloes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
* Buffaloes are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
* Under is 6-1 in Buffaloes last 7 neutral site games.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 47 percent of users are taking the road dog while 69 percent favor the over in this battle of Pac-12 rivals.

[StarDust Bum]

College football four-point stance: Championship Week pointspread picks and predictions

After another winning week Joe Fortenbaugh heads into Championship Week 28-23-1 ATS (54.9%) with his college football picks.

Mike MacIntyre and the Buffaloes have put together a remarkable 10-2 season that has landed Colorado in its first-ever Pac-12 Championship game.

Too bad it comes against an absolutely loaded Washington Huskies program.

Since sustaining a wakeup call against USC in the form of a 26-13 upset loss back on November 12, head coach Chris Petersen and the Huskies have utterly decimated the competition by way of a 44-18 annihilation of Arizona State and 45-17 drubbing of a high-powered Washington State squad. And with a spot in the four-team playoff just sixty minutes away, look for Washington to put together one of its best performances of the season against a Colorado team that, while aggressive and well-prepared, is still somewhat lacking in the talent department.

Two key trends to keep in mind for Friday night’s Pac-12 championship game at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California are as follows: Colorado is 0-6 ATS over its last six meetings with Washington, while the favorite in this series has covered the number in each of the last four encounters between these two programs.

Between a smart and capable quarterback in Jake Browning, a top-flight, ball-hawking defense and one of the country’s best special teams units, it will be Washington early and often Friday night in Santa Clara.

Pick: Washington -7.5


AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP

Temple Owls at Navy Midshipmen

When: Saturday, December 3 at 12:00 p.m. ET
Spread: Navy -3

Temple boss Matt Rhule is no doubt on his way to a more lucrative and higher profile coaching gig within the next few seasons based on the exceptional work he has performed over the last four years in North Philadelphia by taking the Owls from 2-10 in 2013 to 6-6 in 2014 to 10-4 last year to an impressive 9-3 this season with 11 consecutive point spread covers. That opening sentence was certainly a mouthful, but it’s only the tip of the iceberg when it comes to acknowledging the remarkable job Rhule has done with this program.

Navy, however, offers the Owls their stiffest test of the season due, in large part, to an offense that is averaging a robust 49.1 points per game over its last seven outings, with five point spread covers in the process.

However, be advised that Temple is 37-18 ATS over its last 55 road dates and 24-8 ATS over its last 32 conference showdowns. And if that wasn’t enough to earn your trust, try this trend on for size: Over the last eight meetings between these two schools, Temple is 6-2 ATS, including 4-1 ATS over its last five trips to Navy.

Pick: Temple +3


Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs

When: Saturday, December 3 at 12:00 p.m. ET
Spread: TCU -4.5

The key to this game lies in the result of last week’s showdown between TCU and Texas in which the Horned Frogs emerged victorious by way of a 31-9 thumping over the Longhorns that brought an official close to the Charlie Strong era in Austin.

So why, exactly, does that game matter in regards to this week’s encounter between TCU and Kansas State?

Simple. TCU’s win over Texas gave the program its sixth victory of the season, so the pressure is off the Horned Frogs as bowl eligibility has officially been secured. Second, be advised that TCU is a horrific 1-7 ATS over its last eight games after playing Texas. So not only could the Horned Frogs enter this game with a bit of a complacent attitude, but history has shown us that this school performs very poorly against the spread the week after playing the Longhorns.

Not only that, but don’t forget to take into account the fact that TCU is 3-8 ATS over its last 11 games overall, 2-6 ATS over its last eight conference showdowns and 0-6 ATS over its last six home dates. So with that in mind, we’ll go ahead and side with Bill Snyder’s Wildcats, who are 19-7-1 ATS over their last 27 road games against teams with a winning home record.

Pick: Kansas State +4.5


BEDLAM

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Oklahoma Sooners

When: Saturday, December 3 at 12:30 p.m. ET
Spread: Oklahoma -11

The year’s installment of “Bedlam” will determine the winner of the Big 12 championship despite the fact that this boneheaded regime is the only Power Five conference in the country lacking a proper championship game.

And the Big 12 continues to wonder why nobody takes them seriously.

Anyway, back to the issue at hand: This is a revenge game pure and simple for an Oklahoma State program that was trashed on its home turf by the Sooners last season in the form of a 58-23 embarrassment. Don’t think for one second that Mike Gundy’s crew, who would be 10-1 straight-up if the officials hadn’t robbed them of a win over Central Michigan back on September 10, has forgotten about that humiliating performance. Additionally, take note that in Gundy’s last two trips to Norman, his Cowboys have defeated the Sooners 38-35 in overtime (2014) and come up just short 51-48 in overtime (2012).

The pertinent trends for this matchup are as follows: Oklahoma State is 4-1 ATS over its last five games overall and 10-1 ATS over its last 11 games after recording more than 200 rushing yards in the previous outing, while Oklahoma is 1-5 ATS over its last six games following an ATS win. Additionally, be advised that the road team has covered the number in each of the last four meetings between these two programs.

Pick: Oklahoma State +11


SEC CHAMPIONSHIP

Florida Gators at Alabama Crimson Tide

When: Saturday, December 3 at 4:00 p.m. ET
Spread: Alabama -24

After a 6-1 start to the 2016 season, Florida’s last four outings have left a lot to be desired, as the Gators were thumped by Arkansas 31-10 as 3.5-point favorites, snuck past a lousy 6-6 South Carolina squad 20-7, got extremely lucky in a 16-10 win at LSU and then found itself on the wrong end of an ass-kicking at Florida State 31-13. So you can excuse us if we commence our evaluation of this week’s matchup with Alabama by casting a suspicious eye on Jim McElwain’s Gators.

Speaking of McElwain, guess who is rumored to be a coveted candidate for the newly available head coaching gig at Oregon? Yep, that would be McElwain. And that would also be an interesting distraction for a Gators team that is prepping for its most dangerous opponent of the season.

As for Alabama, what can be said about this squad that hasn’t already been said about Nick Saban’s other championship-caliber Crimson Tide teams? The Tide are 5-1 ATS over their last six conference games and 12-4 ATS over their last 16 showdowns against teams with a winning record.

And let’s not forget the fact that Alabama is a stupendous 9-2-1 ATS over its last 12 matchups with the Florida Gators.

Pick: Alabama -24


Last week: 2-1-1 ATS
Season: 28-23-1 ATS (.549)

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

Saturday, December 3

315 UL-LaFayette/316 UL-Monroe will be posted whenever Dunkel adds it.

Penn State @ Wisconsin

Game 333-334
December 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
107.380
Wisconsin
106.421
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 1
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 3
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(+3); Under

Virginia Tech @ Clemson

Game 331-332
December 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
104.020
Clemson
104.760
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 1
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 10 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(+10 1/2); Over

San Diego St @ Wyoming

Game 329-330
December 3, 2016 @ 7:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego St
89.528
Wyoming
78.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 11
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 6 1/2
62
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-6 1/2); Over

Florida @ Alabama

Game 327-328
December 3, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
93.281
Alabama
123.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 30
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 24
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-24); Over

Temple @ Navy

Game 325-326
December 3, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
100.706
Navy
98.441
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Temple
by 2 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Navy
by 3
62
Dunkel Pick:
Temple
(+3); Over

Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky

Game 323-324
December 3, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
92.176
Western Kentucky
96.750
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 4 1/2
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 10 1/2
82
Dunkel Pick:
Louisiana Tech
(+10 1/2); Under

Georgia State @ Idaho

Game 321-322
December 3, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
68.651
Idaho
80.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho
by 12
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Idaho
by 6
53
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho
(-6); Under

Arkansas St @ Texas State

Game 319-320
December 3, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
78.548
Texas State
59.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 18 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 23 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+23 1/2); Over

Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma

Game 317-318
December 3, 2016 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
106.461
Oklahoma
114.281
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 8
82
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 11 1/2
77 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(+11 1/2); Over

Troy @ Georgia Southern

Game 313-314
December 3, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
82.844
Georgia Southern
71.400
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 11 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 7
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(-7); Under

New Mexico St @ South Alabama

Game 311-312
December 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
59.500
South Alabama
78.447
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Alabama
by 19
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Alabama
by 12
58
Dunkel Pick:
South Alabama
(-12); Under

Kansas State @ Texas Tech

Game 309-310
December 3, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
98.326
Texas Tech
99.762
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 1 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Tech
by 4 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(+4 1/2); Under

Baylor @ West Virginia

Game 307-308
December 3, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
83.971
West Virginia
103.524
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 19 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 17
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-17); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 14

Saturday, December 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (6 - 5) at W VIRGINIA (9 - 2) - 12/3/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
BAYLOR is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS ST (7 - 4) at TCU (6 - 5) - 12/3/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 117-83 ATS (+25.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 144-109 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 113-83 ATS (+21.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games this season.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
TCU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 8) at S ALABAMA (5 - 6) - 12/3/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 85-118 ATS (-44.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 40-68 ATS (-34.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
S ALABAMA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
S ALABAMA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (9 - 2) at GA SOUTHERN (4 - 7) - 12/3/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
GA SOUTHERN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAFAYETTE (5 - 6) at LA MONROE (4 - 7) - 12/3/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (9 - 2) at OKLAHOMA (9 - 2) - 12/3/2016, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (6 - 5) at TEXAS ST (2 - 9) - 12/3/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS ST is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA ST (3 - 8) at IDAHO (7 - 4) - 12/3/2016, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
IDAHO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
IDAHO is 29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
IDAHO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
IDAHO is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
IDAHO is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
IDAHO is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
IDAHO is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in dome games since 1992.
IDAHO is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISIANA TECH (8 - 4) at W KENTUCKY (9 - 3) - 12/3/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (9 - 3) at NAVY (9 - 2) - 12/3/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 103-67 ATS (+29.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
TEMPLE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TEMPLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
TEMPLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
TEMPLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
TEMPLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (8 - 3) vs. ALABAMA (12 - 0) - 12/3/2016, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
ALABAMA is 52-28 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
FLORIDA is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
FLORIDA is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
FLORIDA is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in games played on a neutral field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO ST (9 - 3) at WYOMING (8 - 4) - 12/3/2016, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
SAN DIEGO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (9 - 3) vs. CLEMSON (11 - 1) - 12/3/2016, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (10 - 2) vs. WISCONSIN (10 - 2) - 12/3/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday this season.
PENN ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
PENN ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
PENN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 14

Sat – Dec. 3

Baylor at W Virginia, 7:30 PM ET
Baylor: 2-10 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games
W Virginia: 11-3 UNDER off a win against a conference rival

Kansas State at TCU, 12:00 PM ET
Kansas St: 33-16 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5
TCU: 0-6 ATS in games played on a grass field

New Mexico State at South Alabama, 1:00 PM ET
New Mexico St: 14-39 ATS off a home loss
S Alabama: 7-4 ATS after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game

Troy at Georgia Southern, 12:00 PM ET
Troy: 16-6 ATS in road games after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game
Georgia S: 0-6 ATS after playing their last game on the road

UL Lafayette at UL Monroe, 3:00 PM ET
UL Lafayette: 10-2 ATS in road games after playing a conference game
UL Monroe: 5-15 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma, 12:30 PM ET
Oklahoma St: 53-33 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins
Oklahoma: 18-8 OVER against conference opponents

Arkansas State at Texas State, 7:30 PM ET
Arkansas St: 14-4 ATS after gaining 325 or more passing yards in last game
Texas St: 4-13 ATS as an underdog

Georgia State at Idaho, 5:00 PM ET
Georgia St: 10-1 ATS in road lined games
Idaho: 3-16 ATS after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points

Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky, 12:00 PM ET
Louisiana Tech: 12-3 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite
W Kentucky: 9-1 OVER off a road win

Temple at Navy, 12:00 PM ET
Temple: 9-1 ATS as an underdog
Navy: 17-6 UNDER after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games

Florida at Alabama, 4:00 PM ET
Florida: 9-1 UNDER after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games
Alabama: 12-1 ATS off 2 home no-covers where the team won as a favorite

San Diego State at Wyoming, 7:45 PM ET
San Diego St: 23-10 ATS in road games off a loss against a conference rival
Wyoming: 17-34 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Virginia Tech at Clemson, 8:00 PM ET
Virginia Tech: 17-7 UNDER against conference opponents
Clemson: 8-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Penn State at Wisconsin, 8:00 PM ET
Penn St: 7-0 ATS off a win against a conference rival
Wisconsin: 6-0 UNDER off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, December 3

12:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. NAVY
Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Temple's last 6 games
Navy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Temple
Navy is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Temple

12:00 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. TCU
Kansas State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State's last 5 games
TCU is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
TCU is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

12:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana Tech's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 7 games

12:00 PM
TROY vs. GA SOUTHERN
Troy is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Troy is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ga Southern's last 5 games at home
Ga Southern is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

12:30 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. OKLAHOMA
Oklahoma State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
Oklahoma is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State

1:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
The total has gone OVER in 20 of New Mexico State's last 25 games on the road
New Mexico State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of South Alabama's last 13 games at home
South Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Lafayette is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
BAYLOR vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Baylor is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Baylor is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of West Virginia's last 18 games at home
West Virginia is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

4:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. FLORIDA
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Alabama
Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

5:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. IDAHO
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Georgia State's last 17 games
Georgia State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Idaho's last 6 games at home
Idaho is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home

7:30 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. TEXAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arkansas State's last 9 games
Arkansas State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas State's last 8 games at home
Texas State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:45 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. WYOMING
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games on the road
San Diego State is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego State
Wyoming is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego State

8:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. PENN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Wisconsin's last 23 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
CLEMSON vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Clemson is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Clemson is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Virginia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia Tech's last 7 games when playing Clemson

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Friday’s games
MAC title game, Detroit
Western Michigan/Ohio didn’t play this year; Broncos hammered Ohio 49-14 LY, running ball for 430 yards. WMU is 12-0 this year; they won their opener 22-21 at Northwestern, rest of their wins have been by 16+ points. Broncos are 2-3 vs spread when laying 17+ points. Ohio U won four of last five games after a 4-3 start; they covered both games as an underdog this season. Bobcats are 0-4 when they allow 27+ points, 8-0 when they allow less. Western scored 34+ in each of their last ten games. Ohio is in MAC title game for first time in five years; they’re 0-3 (2-1 vs spread) in this game. Broncos are in this game for first time since 2000. Under is 9-1-1 in Ohio U games, 1-4 in last five WMU games.

Pac-12 title game, Santa Clara
Colorado is having a dream season, winning its last six games- their losses are at Michigan (45-28), USC (21-17). Buffs were 27-71 last 8 years, are 10-2 this year, covering all four games as an underdog. Washington covered only two of last six games but is 3-1 vs spread as a single digit favorite this year; their only loss was at home to USC three weeks ago. Huskies are 5-0 on road, scoring 49.4 pts/game. Teams last met in 2014; Huskies won that game 38-23. Under is 6-2 in last eight Colorado games, 3-0 in Washington’s last three. Both teams are in Pac-12 title game for first time. This is Washington’s first game on natural grass this year; Colorado split a pair on grass, winning 10-5 at Stanford, losing 21-17 at USC.