The Bum's 2016 College Football Best Bets,Trends,Stat, News !!

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Friday, December 2

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MAC Championship Game Betting Preview: Western Michigan vs Ohio
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The No. 14 Western Michigan Broncos join No. 1 Alabama as the only unbeaten teams in the nation and are winners of 14 straight overall.

No. 17 Western Michigan vs Ohio (18.5, 59.5)

Western Michigan attempts to nail down a spot in the Cotton Bowl when it takes on Ohio in the Mid-American Conference championship game at Ford Field in Detroit on Friday night. The No. 14 Broncos, who join No. 1 Alabama as the only unbeaten teams in the nation and are winners of 14 straight overall, play in the championship game for the first time since losing in 1999 and 2000.

“For us to go there and to become 1-0 in the Ohio season is our only focus,” Western Michigan coach P.J. Fleck told reporters. “There’s no other focus. We’re not here to state a case, we’re just going to play football. We’re going to let our play talk for itself and hopefully come out with a victory.”

The Broncos boast one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the nation in senior Zach Terrell and senior receiver Corey Davis, who gained more yards than anyone in FBS history through the air. Ohio took the MAC East for the first time since 2011 after winning four of its final five games and looks to win its first championship game.

“Our guys have accepted challenges all year long, and they’ll accept this one,” Bobcats coach Frank Solich told reporters. “They’ll play hard, and if we play well we believe it’ll be a very good football game.”

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE HISTORY: Western Michigan opened as big 18-point favorites over Toledo, that number rose to 19 mid-week and faded back to 18.5 as of Friday morning. The total opened 58.5 and has been bet up to 59. View the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Western Michigan - S Justin Ferguson (out for season, ankle)

Ohio - S Greg Wyndham (questionable, ankle), S Mayne Williams (questionable, head), WR Andrew Meyer (questionable, undisclosed), DL Tony Porter (questionable, foot), OL Jared McCray (questionable, undisclosed)

WEATHER REPORT: Dome

WHAT BOOKS SAY: 'We opened Western Michigan as a 18 point favourite and it was quickly bet up to -19 a few hours later. Western Michigan still sits at -19 with over 80% of the action. As for the total we opened at 57 and with over 90% of the action coming in on the OVER we have moved all the way up to a 60 point total.'

ABOUT WESTERN MICHIGAN (12-0 SU, 9-3 ATS, 7-5 O/U): Terrell completes 71.7 percent of his passes for 3,086 yards and 30 touchdown strikes while being intercepted once and running for another six scores. Davis broke the all-time receiving yards record last week in the 55-35 victory over Toledo and boasts 83 catches this season for 1,283 yards and 17 touchdowns. Junior Jarvion Franklin is a consistent force on the ground with 1,266 yards rushing to go along with 12 touchdowns and sophomore Jamauri Bogan ran for 198 last week after missing two games with an ankle injury.

ABOUT OHIO (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, 1-10-1 O/U): The Bobcats are fifth in the nation rushing defense, allowing 105.1 yards per game, led by senior linebacker Blair Brown (105 tackles) and junior linebacker Quentin Poling (95). Ohio also topped the MAC in sacks with 41 as senior defensive lineman Tarell Basham posted 11 of them and that group must put pressure on Terrell. The Bobcats were in the middle of the pack in total offense, but senior receiver Sebastian Smith has 49 catches for 820 yards and senior quarterback Greg Windham (leg) could return after missing the last three games.

TRENDS:

* Broncos are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
* Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 6-0 in Bobcats last 6 games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 54 percent of users are picking the double-digit dog and the over Over is getting 62 percent.

[StarDust Bum]

Pac-12 Championship
December 1, 2016

Washington and Colorado are poised to play in the Pac-12 Championship Game for the first time Friday night when they collide in Santa Clara at 9:00 p.m. Eastern. As of Thursday afternoon, most betting shops had Washington (11-1 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) installed as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 57.

The Buffaloes were available on the money line for a +265 return (risk $100 to win $265).

Colorado (10-2 SU, 10-2 ATS) has won six consecutive games while cashing tickets at a 4-2 ATS clip. Mike MacIntyre’s club clinched the Pac-12 South title by beating Utah 27-22 last Saturday as a 10.5-point home favorite.

Trailing 27-16, the Utes scored on a seven-yard touchdown pass with 1:34 remaining to post the backdoor cover. The 49 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 53.5-point total. Sefo Liufau threw for 270 yards and one TD without an interception, in addition to rushing for 59 yards and one TD. Devin Ross had nine receptions for 95 yards, while Shay Fields had seven catches for 78 yards and one TD.

Tedric Thompson led the defense with four tackles, one tackle for a loss and four passes broken up. Thompson also had two interceptions vs. Utah to bring his season total to seven picks, which is the third-most in the country. Thompson is fourth on the team with 55 stops to go with three TFL’s, one QB hurry and 14 PBU.

CU ranks 12th in the nation in total defense, 20th versus the pass, 33rd against the run and 13th in scoring (18.8 points per game). This unit is led by senior LB Kenneth Olugbode, who has a team-best 86 tackles, 5.5 TFL’s, two sacks, one scoop and score fumble return for a TD, two interceptions for 65 return yards, three QB hurries, two PBU and one forced fumble.

Colorado has been an underdog four times, producing a 4-0 spread record with a pair of outright wins at Oregon and at Stanford. Meanwhile, Washington is 2-0 ATS in a pair of games as a single-digit ‘chalk.’ The Huskies have won nine of their 11 games by margins of 24 points or more.

Colorado took its two defeats at Michigan and at Southern Cal. CU jumped out to a shocking 14-0 lead at The Big House and after Michigan scored on a blocked punt, the Buffs responded with another score to lead 21-7 going into the second quarter. However, Liufau had to leave the game with a sprained ankle in the third quarter.

The senior signal caller was injured on a 70-yard TD pass that gave CU a 28-24 advantage less than one minute into the second half. Liufau would try to play on the next possession, but he was yanked after hobbling around. His back-up, redshirt freshman Steven Montez, didn’t complete any of his seven pass attempts in the game.

Michigan would add another special-teams TD on a 55-yard punt return by Jabrill Peppers, who had 204 all-purpose yards on eight touches. The Wolverines won a 45-28 decision, but CU took the money as a 17.5-point road underdog.

CU’s only other defeat came three weeks later at Southern Cal when the Trojans captured a 21-17 win as 5.5-point home ‘chalk.’ Liufau had missed the two previous games and only came in at USC in relief of Montez when he had the wind knocked out of him late in the first half. Liufau completed 2-of-3 passes for 11 yards, while Montez threw for 197 yards with one TD and one interception.

Phillip Lindsay rushed for 57 yards on 11 carries and also had six catches for 105 yards and one TD. Bryce Bobo had 10 receptions for 83 yards and one TD and also threw a 67-yard TD pass to Lindsay on a trick play.

CU has wins vs. Colorado St. (44-7 in Denver), vs. Idaho St. (56-7), at Oregon (41-38), vs. Oregon St. (47-6). vs. Arizona St. (40-16), at Stanford (10-5), vs. UCLA (20-10), at Arizona (49-24) and vs. Washington St. (38-24).

Liufau, who is CU’s all-time leader in passing yards, has connected on 64.6 percent of his throws for 2,150 yards with an 11/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He’s an excellent scrambler as well, rushing for 481 yards and seven TDs. Lindsay has rushed for 1,136 yards and 15 TDs while averaging 5.4 yards per carry. The junior RB also had 44 catches for 371 yards and one TD.

Fields has 50 catches for 819 yards and nine TDs, while Ross has 65 receptions for 758 yards and five TDs. Bobo has 41 grabs for 523 yards and two TDs.

Washington took its only defeat at home on Nov. 12 when USC went into Seattle and won a 26-13 decision as a 10-point underdog. The Trojans enjoyed a 400-276 advantage in total offense and limited the Huskies to 17 rushing yards on 27 attempts.

Outside of the loss to USC, Chris Petersen’s team has only had two other games that were competitive. Those were wins at Arizona (35-28 in overtime) and at Utah (31-24). The Huskies slipped past the Utes in Salt Lake City thanks to a 58-yard punt return by Dante Pettis with 3:25 remaining.

Washington owns notable blowout victories vs. Stanford (44-6), at Oregon (70-21), at California (66-27) and at Washington St. (45-17). The Huskies won the Apple Cup in Pullman with a dominant performance over the Cougars as six-point road favorites last Friday.

Jake Browning and a stout defensive effort were the catalysts against Washington St. The sophomore QB completed 21-of-29 passes for 292 yards and three TDs without an interception. Lavon Coleman rushed for 82 yards and two TDs on 10 carries, while Pettis had three catches for 86 yards and two TDs. John Ross had eight receptions for 80 yards and 152 all-purpose yards on 12 touches. UW’s defense limited the Cougars’ high-octane offense to just 334 yards and forced four turnovers, including three interceptions of Luke Falk.

Browning has completed 65.0 percent of his passes for 3,126 yards with an incredible 40/7 TD-INT ratio. Ross has been his favorite target, hauling in 72 receptions for 1,071 yards and 16 TDs. Pettis has 49 catches for 787 yards and 14 TDs.

Sophomore RB Myles Gaskin has rushed for 1,180 yards and 10 TDs while averaging 6.0 YPC. Coleman has run for 735 yards and six TDs with a 8.3 YPC average.

Washington has lost three defensive starters to season-ending injuries in the last month, including leading tackler Azeem Victor. Junior DB Darren Gardenhire and senior DE Joe Mathis are also ‘out.’ Mathis had 25 tackles, 7.5 TFL’s and five sacks in seven games, while Victor had 67 stops, three TFL’s, one forced fumble and one fumble recovery.

Washington is ranked 17th in the nation in total defense and 11th in scoring (17.8 PPG). This unit features one of the country’s premier set of DBs led by junior safety Budda Baker, who has 61 tackles, two interceptions, nine TFL’s, two sacks, one forced fumble and three PBU.

The Huskies are third in the nation in scoring, producing 44.8 PPG.

The ‘over’ is 8-3-1 overall for UW, but the ‘under’ has cashed at a 2-0-1 clip in its last three outings. The Huskies have seen their games average combined scores of 62.6 PPG.

The ‘under’ is 7-5 overall for the Buffs, cashing in six of their last eight games. They have seen their games average combined scores of 53.5 PPG.

FOX will provide the national broadcast.

Pac-12 Championship History

PAC-12 CHAMPIONSHIP (2011-2015)
Year Matchup Line Score ATS Result
2015 Stanford-USC Stanford -4.5 (58) Stanford 41-22 Favorite-Over
2014 Oregon-Arizona Oregon -14.5 (72.5) Oregon 51-13 Favorite-Under
2013 Stanford-Arizona State Arizona State -3 (53.5) Stanford 38-14 Underdog-Under
2012 Stanford-UCLA Stanford -8 (44) Stanford 27-24 Underdog-Over
2011 Oregon-UCLA Oregon -31 (66.5) Oregon 49-31 Underdog-Over

[StarDust Bum]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:

11/01/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/02/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/03/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -150
11/04/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/05/2016 26-34-0 43.33% -5700
11/08/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/09/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/10/2016 1-5-0 16.67% -2250
11/11/2016 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
11/12/2016 23-28-1 45.10% -3900
11/15/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/16/2016 3-1-0 75.00% +950
11/17/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/18/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/19/2016 33-25-0 56.90% +2750
11/22/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -150
11/24/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/25/2016 7-16-0 30.43% -5300
11/26/2016 29-20-3 59.18% +3500

TRIPLE PLAYS RECORD: 123 - 105- 8 *****

BIG TEN GOY................0 - 1 ( IOWA BIG LOSER TO WISCONSIN )
MT. WEST GOY..............1 - 0 ( WYOMING ROLLS BIG OVER UTAH ST. )
MAC UNDERDOG GOY.....1 - 0 ( KENT ST. + 21 W.MICHIGAN 37 )
ACC BLOW OUT.............0 - 1 ( CLEMSON -21.5 42 - 43 PITT )
MAC FAVORITE .............1 - 0 ( MIA-OHIO - 10 OVER BUFFALO 35 -24)
SEC BLOW OUT..............1 - 0 ( BAMA -28.5 OVER MISS ST. 51 - 3 )
PAC 12 GOY...................0 - 1 ( USC UPSETS WASHINGTON 26-13 )
BIG 10 DOG..................0 - 1 ( MINNESOTA + 6 LOSES TO NEBRASKA 17 -24 )
PAC 12 BLOW OUT .........1 - 0 ( COLORADO - 17.5 CRUSHES ARIZONA 49 - 24 )
THURS. NIGHT GOY.........0 - 1 ( HOUSTON UPSETS LOUISVILLE 36 -10 )
FRIDAY NIGHT DOG........1 - 0 ( NEVADA 25 + 29 BOISE ST 42 )
FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL......1 - 0 ( NEVADA /BOISE OVER 64 )
MAC BLOW OUT..............1 - 0 ( WESTERN MICHIGAN - 7 OVER TOLEDO 55 -35 )
MT. WEST DOG ..............1 - 0 ( AIR FORCE + 8.5 OUTRIGHT OVER BOISE 27 - 20 )
ACC BLOW OUT...............0 - 1 ( NC ST. UPSETS N.CAROLINA 28 - 21 )
B12 TOTAL OF THE DAY....0 - 1 ( TCU / TEXAS OVER 83/ TCU 31 - TEXAS 9 )
BIG 12 DOG OF THE YEAR 1 - 0 ( KANSAS + 26 COVERS K. ST. 34-19 )
SEC DOG OF THE YEAR.....1 - 0 ( AUBURN + 18 COVERS BAMA 30 -12 )
SUN BELT GOY ...............1 - 0 ( IDAHO - 5' COVERS S. ALABAMA 38 - 31 )
BIG 10 GOY.....................0 - 1 ( MICHIGAN COVERS OVER OHIO ST. - 5' 27 - 30 )

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 351-335-15 51.17% -8750

O/U Picks 116-128-4 47.54% -12400



FRIDAY, DECEMBER 2

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WMU at OHIO

OHIO +16.5 ***** ( MAC CHAMPIONSHIP DOG )

U 57.5

COLO at WASH 09:00 PM

COLO +8.5 ***** ( PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP DOG )

U 55.0

[StarDust Bum]

WMU holds off Ohio for MAC Championship
December 3, 2016

DETROIT (AP) With a conference championship finally in tow and his team's unbeaten record still intact, P.J. Fleck stopped holding back.

Before he was even asked about it, the Western Michigan coach made it clear where he thought his team should be headed next.

''We deserve to be in the gosh darn Cotton Bowl,'' he said. ''Period. Write it down.''

The 13th-ranked Broncos might indeed end up there, but only after holding on for a dramatic 29-23 victory over Ohio on Friday night in the Mid-American Conference title game. WMU wrapped up its first MAC championship since 1988 when Robert Spillane intercepted a pass with 51 seconds remaining.

The Broncos (13-0, No. 17 CFP) led 23-7 at halftime, but Ohio rallied and had the ball in WMU territory in the final minute when Spillane intercepted Greg Windham's pass over the middle. Spillane immediately took a knee at his own 30, then was mobbed by his teammates as a Ford Field crowd full of Broncos fans roared.

Ohio (8-5) never led and didn't do much on offense until the final quarter, but the Bobcats still came achingly close to their first MAC championship since 1968.

Instead, WMU became the first undefeated team to win the MAC title game since Marshall in 1999. The question is whether the Broncos have done enough to make it to the Cotton Bowl. WMU is trying to earn the Group of Five bid to a New Year's Six bowl.

When asked previously about the playoff committee and its perception of his team, Fleck had been diplomatic, refusing to do too much lobbying. That changed after Friday's win, especially when he was asked about whether he'd be paying attention to Navy this weekend. The Midshipmen, who are two spots behind WMU in the most recent playoff rankings, are another contender for the Cotton Bowl, and they play Temple for the American Athletic Conference title Saturday.

''I don't think there's anybody to pay attention to,'' Fleck said, becoming animated. ''Who are we paying attention to? Why are we paying attention to anyone? We are 13-0. We're the best Group of Five team in the country. We didn't lose a game. Whoever they put on our schedule, we beat. There's two undefeated teams in the country - us and Alabama. There is no argument. My TV will be off. We will be recruiting (Saturday). I'm not going to watch anybody, period.

''I'm going to wear cotton shirts, I'm going to have cotton slippers, I'm going to have cotton earmuffs, I'm going to have a cotton jacket. I'm going to wear everything cotton, from here on out.''

THE TAKEAWAY

Ohio: The Bobcats can hold their heads high after giving WMU by far its toughest game against a MAC opponent all season. Ohio's defense held firm early, when a couple of fumbles by the Bobcats gave WMU a chance to break it open.

''They felt they had the talent to be in this game, and so did I,'' Ohio coach Frank Solich said. ''They were pretty driven to get some things done.''

WMU: The Broncos may end up sweating out the bowl announcements Sunday, but WMU can celebrate a truly special season no matter what happens. The Broncos nearly let it slip away in the second half, but their first conference title in nearly three decades was an accomplishment to savor.

The crowd of 45,615 - easily a record for a MAC title game - was full of WMU fans chanting the team's "row the boat" mantra .

''We just kept our oars in the water,'' quarterback Zach Terrell said. ''That's what this team's all about, and people might think it's a cliche and that it's not real, but that's just how we operate.''

HIGHLIGHT

Western Michigan's Corey Davis, the career FBS leader in yards receiving, had eight catches for 144 yards. That included a 70-yard touchdown in the second quarter in which he caught the ball near midfield with safety Javon Hagan right behind him, opened up some distance between himself and Hagan and then outran a couple more defenders down the sideline.

RARE MISTAKES

Terrell, who had thrown one interception all season, was picked off twice in the second half, and Ohio held WMU without a touchdown after halftime.

''Obviously our defense has been very strong throughout the course of basically the season and so they have that potential and they knew they had to step up, get that done,'' Solich said. ''I was a little worried because Western Michigan in the second half just seems to wear people down and then the score just gets away from a team that's playing them.''

That didn't happen Friday. Ohio repeatedly forced the Broncos to settle for field goals, but Butch Hampton made five of them for WMU. The last one was a 34-yarder that gave the Broncos a 29-23 lead with 1:24 remaining.

UP NEXT

Ohio: The Bobcats' MAC title drought continues, but Ohio is bowl eligible for the eighth straight season.

WMU: If Navy loses Saturday, the Broncos figure to be a cinch for the Cotton Bowl. If Navy wins, it could end up being a close call between the Midshipmen and WMU.

[StarDust Bum]

Washington routs Colorado for Pac-12 title
December 3, 2016

SANTA CLARA, Calif. (AP) Taylor Rapp returned one of his two interceptions for a touchdown and Myles Gaskin ran for 159 yards to help No. 4 Washington strengthen its case for a playoff berth with a 41-10 victory over No. 9 Colorado in the Pac-12 championship game Friday night.

''We think we have a heck of a team and we think we belong in there,'' coach Chris Petersen said. ''I think they'll do what they should do, which is the right thing. ... These guys have done everything they're supposed to do.''

The Huskies (12-1, No. 4 CFP) broke open a close game when Rapp intercepted Sefo Liufau's passes on the first two drives of the second half for a touchdown and to set up a field goal that made it 24-7.

Washington rolled from there to its first conference title since 2000 with a performance likely to keep the Huskies in the top four when the College Football Playoff bids are handed out Sunday.

''We didn't play this game for the playoff committee,'' receiver John Ross said. ''We played this game because this is what we worked for.''

It was a rough day for Colorado (10-3, No. 8 CFP) and Liufau, who was knocked out of the game after twisting his right ankle on a sack on the Buffaloes' first drive of the game. He returned to start the second half and threw three interceptions, including one on the first play from scrimmage that Rapp returned 35 yards for a score.

Liufau threw another interception on the ensuing drive and Colorado could never recover. Even a circus kick return in the third quarter couldn't help the Buffaloes. Anthony Julmisse returned a kick to near midfield and fumbled. Phillip Lindsay scooped up and ran down to the 2 but Colorado was held to a field goal.

''We just didn't execute as an offense,'' Liufau said. ''It's probably the most frustrating part, especially as one of the captains and one of the leaders and your group isn't performing to the level it should be.''

THE TAKEAWAY

Colorado: From the opening kickoff that went out of bounds, little went right for the Buffaloes, who were unable to cap an impressive turnaround season with a conference title. Liufau's injury didn't help the cause. Steven Montez went 5 for 12 for 60 yards in the first half and was unable to generate any consistent offense and Liufau was even worse when he returned. He threw as many interceptions in the third quarter (3) as he had all season and was just 2 for 12 for 12 yards after coming back into the game.

Washington: The usually efficient Jake Browning struggled throwing the ball but it didn't matter as the Huskies dominated the game with 265 yards on the ground behind Gaskin and Lavon Coleman (101 yards). Browning went just 9 for 24 for 118 yards but did throw two TDs. His second touchdown was far from his prettiest throw of the season. With a defender draped all over him, Browning threw a ball up from grabs that John Ross caught in front of Chidobe Awuzie and ran in 19 yards for the score. Browning's 42 TDs are one shy of Jared Goff's Pac-12 record.

UP NEXT

Colorado: The Buffaloes must wait to see if they will remain ahead of No. 11 USC in the playoff rankings and get a Rose Bowl bid if Washington goes to the playoff or likely head to the Alamo Bowl if they drop behind the Trojans.

Washington: A likely berth in the playoff.

[StarDust Bum]

ACC Championship Preview
November 30, 2016

Matchup: Clemson vs. Virginia Tech
Date: Saturday, Dec. 3
Time/TV: 8:00 p.m. ET - ABC
Venue: Camping World Stadium
Location: Orlando, Fla.
Line, Total: Tigers -10, 58

The Clemson Tigers (11-1 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) heads back to the ACC Championship Game for the second straight season, and fourth time in the past eight years. They'll also meet the Virginia Tech Hokies (9-3 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) for the second time in the title game. The last time these sides met in 2011 it was Clemson winning 38-10 as a seven-point underdog.

The stakes are much higher for the Tigers in this game, as they are ranked No. 3 in the latest College Football Playoff rankings. There is no margin for error, with Washington, Michigan, Wisconsin, Penn State and potentially Colorado are nipping at their heels. The Tigers need a decisive win in their first meeting with the Hokies this season, and Vegas believes they will get it, as Clemson is favored by 10 points as of Wednesday morning.

Since a stunning 43-42 loss to Pittsburgh in Death Valley Nov. 12, Clemson has rattled off a pair of resounding victories. They topped Wake Forest 35-13 on the road, and they rolled rival South Carolina 56-7 last week for their third consecutive 'over' result. Clemson's offense has never been a question, as they rank 12th in the country with 509 total yards per game while rolling up 336.3 yards per game passing, fifth nationally. They are averaging 40.0 points per game (PPG), which also has them ranked 17th in the nation. While QB DeShaun Watson gets all of the headlines, the defense is just as responsible for Clemson's success. They rank eighth in the country by allowing just 307.8 total yards per game, while allowing 17.0 PPG to rank ninth overall. The Tigers are also allowing just 180.2 yards per game through the air, sitting 12th in the country in that department.

For Va. Tech, their offense hasn't been too shabby under head coach Justin Fuente in his first season, a departure from past seasons when defense and special teams play ruled the roost for the Gobblers under head coach Frank Beamer. The Hokies have posted 453.4 totals yards per game to rank 38th, buoyed by their pass attack which ranks 39th with 261.6 yards per game. While not quite at Clemson's level, Va. Tech is humming along with 35.0 PPG to rank 35th overall. Their defensive statistics are nearly a mirror image of Clemson's offensive-to-defensive ratio. The Hokies allow just 332.2 total yards per game to rank 18th, while yielding 21.1 PPG to check in 20th nationally.

Like Clemson, Virginia Tech suffered a debilitating and surprising loss Nov. 12, falling 30-20 to Georgia Tech despite entering as two-touchdown favorites. Since that setback the Hokies rattled off a hard-fought 34-31 win at Notre Dame and they too whitewashed their in-state rival last weekend, routing Virginia 52-10. The Hokies have covered each of their past two after an 0-3 ATS run, and the 'over' has connected in each of their past two.

For the Tigers, the offense starts and stops with the Heisman Trophy candidate Watson. He has completed 67.5 percent of his 453 pass attempts for 3,626 yards, 34 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and he has been a dual-threat option with 439 rushing yards (4.0 yards per attempt) while finding the end zone four times with his feet. While he wasn't as prolific on the ground as he was in 2015, he is still obviously very dangerous. He tossed six touchdowns last week against South Carolina and appears to be on a mission.

WR Mike Williams missed this game last season due to injury. He finished the regular season with 79 receptions for 1,114 yards (14.1 yards per reception) while finding the end zone 10 times. Williams is far from the only threat in the vertical game, however, as TE Jordan Leggett is a force with 588 yards and five scores while racking up 17.3 yards per reception. WR Deon Cain had 30 receptions for 552 yards while pulling down nine scores, and he was the team's leader with 18.4 yards per reception. WR Artavis Scott rounds out the solid triumvirate of wideouts with 64 catches for 544 yards and five scores. Even WR Ray-Ray McCloud is a player who can be dangerous, as he had 44 catches for 434 yards with two scores, and he would have had another if he didn't drop the ball at the 1 earlier in the season in a premature celebration.

Clemson RB Wayne Gallman is a stud in the run game, coming up with 943 rushing yards (5.3 yards per rush) with 14 touchdowns. Neither Gallman or RB Tavien Feaster are much of a threat catching the ball out of the backfield, although sophomore RB C.J. Fuller proved he could be a future pass-catching option out of the backfield in the future. It will be tough sledding for all involved against a Hokies rush defense allowing 145.8 yards per game, 39th in the country.

For Va. Tech, QB Jerod Evans isn't making anyone forget Michael Vick or Tyrod Taylor anytime soon, but he had a very underrated season with 3,045 passing yards, 26 touchdowns and just five interceptions while completing 63.8 percent of his passes. He also led the team in rushing with 713 yards, 4.4 yards per run and eight touchdowns on the ground. Evans picked up the slack for a rather toothless rushing attack, with RB Travon McMillian the best of the lot with 600 rushing yards (4.7 yards per carry) and just four rushing scores. In fact, Evans had the eight rushing TDs and the rest of the team managed just 12.

WR Isaiah Ford was a top-notch option in the receiving game, leading the team with 949 yards with 13.8 yards per grab. He also tied for the team lead with seven scores. His partners in crime, WR Cam Phillips and TE Bucky Hodges, will need to be accounted from by the Clemson defense as well. Hodges led the team with 14.2 yards per catch while tying Ford with seven scoring grabs. Phillips averaged 13.4 yards per catch and can be a big-time playmaker. Both Hodges and Phillips each found the end zone in each of the final two regular season games.

Virginia Tech K Joey Slye posted 20 field goals and 108 points on the season, including a field goal of 47 yards. He had moderate range and reliable accuracy. Clemson's Greg Huegel is not terribly dependable in the kicking game, and he had 18 fewer points than in 2015, finishing with just 13 field goals and 56 extra points. Like Slye, Huegel's long was 47 yards in the field goal department. The kicking game might not play a huge factor in this game, but if it does the edge is slightly in Virginia Tech's favor.

Betting Trends to Watch

-- The Tigers have covered each of their past seven neutral-site games, and they're 5-0 ATS in their past five games played in the month of December. However, they're also just 1-4 ATS in their past five league games and 1-4 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning overall record. Clemson is also 1-5 ATS in their past six games played on field turf.

-- Virginia Tech has struggled against the number, going 1-4 ATS in their past five neutral-site battles while posting a 1-4 ATS mark in their past five following a straight up win.

-- As far as totals are concerned, the 'over' is 4-1 in the past five overall for Clemson, and 4-0 in their past four against teams with a winning overall record. In the past seven league games the 'over' is 5-2 for Clemson. In games played on field turf, the over is 4-1 in the past five for the Tigers, too.

-- For Va. Tech, the 'over' is 4-0-1 in the past five neutral-site assignments, while going 6-2 in their past eight games in the month of December. However, the 'under' has cashed in 18 of their past 25 games played inside the conference.

-- In this series, the underdog has cashed in four of the past five meetings, although the favorite hit in the most recent meeting Oct. 20, 2012 in Death Valley with Clemson coming out on top 38-17 as a 7 1/2-point favorite. The 'under' also hit in that meeting, and is 5-1 in the past six games played between these two sides.

ACC Championship History

ACC CHAMPIONSHIP HISTORY
Year Matchup Line Score ATS Result
2015 Clemson-North Carolina Clemson -6.5 (67.5) Clemson 45-37 Favorite-Over
2014 Florida State-Georgia Tech Florida State -3.5 (74) Florida State 37-35 Underdog-Under
2013 Florida State-Duke Florida State -30 (66) Florida State 45-7 Favorite-Under
2012 Florida State-Georgia Tech Florida State -14 (62) Florida State 21-15 Underdog-Under
2011 Virginia Tech-Clemson Virginia Tech -7 (54) Clemson 38-10 Underdog-Under
2010 Virginia Tech-Florida State Virginia Tech -4.5 (51) Virginia Tech 44-33 Favorite-Over
2009 Georgia Tech-Clemson Georgia Tech -1 (56.5) Georgia Tech 39-34 Favorite-Over
2008 Virginia Tech-Boston College Virginia Tech -1 (38.5) Virginia Tech 30-12 Favorite-Over
2007 Virginia Tech-Boston College Virginia Tech -5 (48.5) Virginia Tech 30-16 Favorite-Under
2006 Wake Forest-Georgia Tech Georgia Tech -3 (40.5) Wake Forest 9-6 Underdog-Under
2005 Virginia Tech-Florida State Virginia Tech -14 (44.5) Florida State 27-22 Underdog-Over

[StarDust Bum]

SEC Championship Preview
December 2, 2016

ATLANTA -- For the ninth time since former commissioner Roy Kramer invented the SEC Championship Game in 1992, Florida and Alabama will collide Saturday afternoon to decide the conference champ. It will be the seventh and final time these schools will meet at the Georgia Dome.

The first two SEC Championship Games were played at Legion Field in Birmingham. The event will move to the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta next year.

If Alabama wins on Saturday, it will tie the Gators for the most wins at this event with seven. UF is making its league-record 12th appearance, while Alabama will rep the West for the 11th time.

As of late Friday afternoon, most books had Alabama (12-0 straight up, 8-4 against the spread) as a 24-point favorite with a total of 41. The Gators had 12/1 odds to win outright at most spots.

This is the 10th time a team has been a double-digit favorite at the SEC Championship Game. The underdog has posted a 4-5 spread record in those nine previous games. This line, assuming it holds, will be tied for the highest in the game’s history. Florida was a 24-point ‘chalk’ over Danny Ford’s Arkansas squad in 1995 when the Gators won 34-3. They put the game away late in the first half when Ben Hanks intercepted a pitch on an option play and ran it back 95 yards.

Nick Saban’s team completed an unbeaten regular season by winning by a double-digit margin for the 11th time this year at last week’s Iron Bowl in Tuscaloosa. The Crimson Tide beat Auburn by a 30-12 count as a 20-point home ‘chalk,’ while the 42 combined points fell ‘under’ the 47-point tally.

Auburn led 3-0 early and trimmed the deficit to 10-9 on Daniel Carlson’s third of four field goals from 39 yards out with 3:30 left in the first half. Alabama would score the next 17 points, however, to extend the lead to 27-9 on a 38-yard touchdown pass from Jalen Hurts to ArDarius Stewart with 5:16 left in the third. After another FG from Carlson made it a two-possession game, Adam Griffith’s 34-yard field goal with 12:46 remaining provided the last of the scoring.

Alabama’s defense limited Auburn to 182 yards of total offense, while the Tide’s offense produced 501 yards. Hurts was intercepted twice, but he also threw for 286 yards and two TDs and ran for 37 yards and one score. Stewart finished with 10 receptions for 127 yards and one TD, while Bo Scarbrough rushed for 90 yards on 17 totes.

Hurts, a true freshman, has been sensational. He has completed 65.8 percent of his passes for 2,425 yards with a 20/9 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Hurts is more dangerous with his legs, rushing for 840 yards and 12 TDs. Another quality trait for Hurts is his calm, especially for a freshman. The dude never gets rattled.

Damien Harris has rushed for a team-high 897 yards and two TDs while averaging 7.2 yards per carry. Joshua Jacobs, another true freshman, has run for 516 yards and three TDs with a 6.7 YPC average. Jacobs also has 12 receptions for 153 yards, while Harris has 13 grabs for 105 yards and two TDs.

Stewart has 49 receptions for 774 yards and seven TDs despite missing 2.5 games. Calvin Ridley, a true sophomore who is a future star in the NFL, has 61 catches for 691 yards and seven TDs. O.J. Howard is one of the nation’s top tight ends, bringing down 35 balls for 404 yards and two TDs.

Alabama’s most notable victories have come vs. Southern Cal (52-6 at Jerry World in Arlington), at Arkansas (49-30), at Tennessee (49-10), vs. Texas A&M (33-14) and at LSU (10-0).

Alabama’s defense certainly didn’t lose a step with former coordinator Kirby Smart leaving to become the head coach at Georgia. UGA’s former DC Jeremy Pruitt returned to Tuscaloosa to take over for Smart.

Alabama is ranked No. 1 in the nation in total defense (247.2 yards per game), No. 1 against the run and No. 1 in scoring (11.4 points per game). This unit has future NFL players galore, including senior DE Jonathan Allen, who has recorded 52 tackles, 11.5 tackles for loss, seven sacks, 13 QB hurries, two passes broken up, one blocked field goal and two TDs on fumble returns that covered 105 total yards.

Florida (8-3 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) wrapped up the SEC East by winning a 16-10 decision at LSU as a 14-point underdog two weeks ago at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge. Jim McElwain’s team clinched a date with Alabama thanks to an epic goal-line stand in the final minute.

However, UF had to hit the road again last week to face arch-rival Florida State at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee. FSU captured a 31-13 win as an 8.5-point home favorite, breaking open a tight game when Deondre Francois found Travis Rudolph for a 46-yard scoring strike on a third-and-10 play to give the Seminoles a 17-6 advantage with 5:38 left in the third quarter.

With UF’s offense going 0-for-12 on third downs, the short-handed defense eventually gassed out and gave up a 27-yard TD run to FSU’s Freddie Stevenson early in the fourth quarter. After the ‘Noles quickly forced a three and out, their punt returner fumbled on the return and UF’s Marcell Harris recovered and went 12 yards for a TD.

UF would get the ball back with a chance to get closer, but it wasn’t to be. The offense was deplorable for four quarter other than the opening drive, but McElwain went for it on fourth-and-goal at the 2-yard line and Austin Appleby threw incomplete after getting pressured early.

Appleby will be making his sixth start of the season. UF has gone 3-2 in the grad transfer from Purdue’s five starts. Appleby has completed 60.0 percent of his throws for 964 yards with a 6/2 TD-INT ratio.

If UF is going to hang around with the nation’s top-ranked team, it is going to need some explosive plays. The most capable candidate of providing those is true sophomore Antonio Callaway, who has produced 905 all-purpose yards on 72 touches. Callaway has a team-best 43 catches for 603 yards and two TDs. He is the only player in school history to score a TD in five different ways – kick return, punt return, run, pass and catch.

Florida has plenty of depth at the RB position, but Jordan Scarlett is the best of the bunch. Scarlett, a true sophomore, has rushed for 778 yards and six TDs while averaging 5.1 YPC. Lamical Perine, a true freshman, has run for 394 yards and one TD with a 4.9 YPC average. Perine also has eight catches for 129 yards and one TD.

Florida will be without at least five defensive starters in Atlanta. The latest starter to go down was junior DE Jordan Sherit, who will require knee surgery after being injured in the second half at FSU. Sherit has recorded 38 tackles, five tackles for loss, 3.5 sacks and two QB hurries. His play on Derrius Guice on fourth-and-goal on the game’s final play at LSU saved the game.

Other starters besides Sherit who are ‘out’ include senior safety Marcus Maye, junior LB Alex Anzalone, senior DE Bryan Cox and junior safety Nick Washington. LB Daniel McMillian and reserve DB Duke Dawson, who had a pick-six at Arkansas, are listed as ‘doubtful.’

On the bright side, star senior LB Jarrad Davis has practiced this week and will start after missing three consecutive. Davis is the team’s second-leading tackler, registering 56 tackles, six TFL’s, two sacks, four PBU and five QB hurries.

Florida is ranked sixth in the nation in total defense, fourth against the pass and fifth in scoring (14.6 PPG). The Gators have two of the nation’s top CBs in Teez Tabor and Quincy Wilson. Just like UF needs at least one explosive play from Callaway, it could certainly use a pick-six from either one of these players. Tabor, a true junior, has nine career interceptions and three pick-sixes.

Alabama has won five in a row in this storied rivalry, cashing tickets at a 4-1 ATS clip. The Gators’ lone cover came in backdoor fashion at last season’s game in Atlanta. UF lost a 29-15 decision but took the money as a 17-point underdog thanks to a 46-yard TD pass from Treon Harris to C.J. Worton with 5:02 remaining. The ‘over’ has hit in three straight head-to-head meetings between these schools and four of the last five. UF’s other TD in last year’s game came on an 85-yard punt return for a TD by Callaway.

Florida owns a 3-4-1 spread record with two outright wins (vs. Ole Miss last year, at LSU this season) in eight games as an underdog on McElwain’s watch. The Gators are 2-0 ATS under McElwain with one outright victory as double-digit ‘dogs.

Meanwhile, Alabama is 7-4 ATS in 11 games as a double-digit favorite this year. The only single-digit ‘chalk’ spot came in its win at LSU. The only game Alabama hasn’t won by a double-digit margin was its 48-43 triumph at Ole Miss.

The ‘under’ is 7-5 overall for Alabama, going 4-1 in its last five contests. The Tide has seen its games average combined scores of 50.8 PPG. This is the lowest total ‘Bama has seen this season. The previous low was 46 in the 10-0 win at Tiger Stadium where the ‘under’ was an easy winner.

After cashing in five consecutive games, the ‘under’ has improved to 8-3 overall for UF. The Gators have seen their games average combined scores of 38.7 PPG.

This will be the 10th time Saban has faced a former assistant. He is 9-0 against those former staffers who went on to become head coaches.

Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 p.m. Eastern on CBS

[StarDust Bum]

Big 10 Championship Preview
November 30, 2016


Wisconsin (-2.5) vs Penn State - (FOX, 8:00 PM ET)
Lucas Oil Stadium - Indianapolis, Indiana

The Numbers Game

Who called for Wisconsin to face Penn State in the Big Ten Championship before the season started? That’s what we thought. Nobody. Wisconsin entered the season with odds of +1400 to win the conference title while PSU was +1800. Ohio State, Michigan, Michigan State, Iowa, and Nebraska all had better odds entering the season than the two that made it to Indianapolis.

Both these teams finished with 10-2 records despite the fact that Penn State’s win total opened in late May at 6.5 and Wisconsin’s was set at 7. Both teams obviously outplayed where most had them predicted including the betting market where the Badgers are 9-2-1 ATS and the Nittany Lions are 8-3-1 versus the number.

The Badgers opened as a 1.5 point favorite in this game and it was quickly bet up to -3. It has since come back down to -2.5 in some spots. The total opened at 47.5 and has been pushed up to 48 as of this writing. The underdog in the Big Ten Championship game is 4-0-1 ATS with three of those dogs winning outright. The five Big Ten Championship games in order from 2011 to 2015 have totaled 81, 101, 58, 59, and 29 points.

Wisconsin - Wisconsin entered their home game last week against Minnesota already knowing they’d won the Big Ten West. That’s because Iowa beat Nebraska on Friday which locked the Badgers into the championship game no matter how they fared against the Gophers.

Already knowing their position may have affected Wisconsin at the start of the game last week because they played one of their worst halves of the season. Minnesota took a 17-7 lead into the break at Camp Randall holding Wisconsin’s offense to just 139 yards before halftime. Normally reserved senior safety Leo Musso gave an inspiring halftime talk about retaining Paul Bunyon’s Axe, which Wisconsin has now held for 13 straight years and goes to the winner of this game.

After playing one of their worst halves the Badgers turned around and played one of their best outscoring Minnesota 24-0 after the break. The UW defense had 4 interceptions and stopped the Gopher offense cold in the 2nd half allowing only 90 yards. Starting QB Alex Hornibrook sat out much of the game after a big hit in the first half. He is going through concussion protocol this week and has not yet been cleared. If he is not, Bart Houston, who’s been sharing time at QB, will start.

Wisconsin’s two losses this year came at the hands of Michigan, by 7 points, and Ohio State, by 7 points in OT. They outscored their remaining seven Big Ten opponents, 219-79. The Badgers average scoring margin in Big Ten games only was 27.7-13.7 (+14 PPG). They outgained their Big Ten opponents by an average of 361 yards to 302 (+59 YPG).

The Badger defense leads the conference in interceptions by a mile with 18 picks in just 9 conference games. That’s a full 8 interceptions more than OSU, Northwestern, and Michigan who have 10. They also lead the nation in time of possession holding the ball for an average of 35:00 minutes per game. In main part because of the defense and the offense controlling the clock, Wisconsin moves on to play in their 4th Big Ten Championship game in six years, more appearances than any other team in the conference.

Penn State - Penn State needed Michigan to lose at Ohio State in their 12 PM ET kick in order for their game to be extra meaningful that evening. That’s exactly what happened meaning a PSU win over Michigan State would send them to their first ever Big Ten Championship game.

The Nits looked a bit shaky in the first half and went into the break down 12-10. They exploded out of the locker room in the second half and scored five TD’s on seven possessions for an easy 45-12 win. MSU had eight second half possessions and they punted on 5 of them, turned it over on downs twice, and fumbled once.

It was a really tough spot for the Spartans as they are a team that is used to going to big bowl games and that wasn’t going to happen win or lose. It was also their final road game after taking Ohio State to the wire in their home finale a week earlier. Once they got down in the second half, you could almost see the air come out of the balloon for Michigan State.

Nittany Lion QB Trace McSorely was fantastic completing 17 passes for 376 yards which came to a whopping 22 yards per completion. With his breakthrough season, McSorely became PSU’s all time single season total offense leader with over 3,300 in 2016. Penn State’s All-American caliber RB Saquon Barkley left last week’s game in the third quarter with an ankle injury and did not return. Word out of PSU is that Barkley should definitely be ready to go on Saturday.

Penn State’s two losses this season came at the hands of Pittsburgh and Michigan. In their 39-36 loss at Pitt, the Lions were down 28-7 in the second quarter and battled back to make a game of it. Their other loss, at Michigan was a whitewashing as they lost 49-10 and were outgained 515 yards to 191 yards.

Their biggest win of the year was at home vs Ohio State giving the Buckeyes their only loss of the year 24-21. Special teams were key in that game as PSU was outgained by nearly 100 yards but had a blocked punt that led the a field goal and a blocked field goal returned for the winning TD late in the fourth quarter.

Since starting the season 2-2, Penn State has won 8 straight going on 7-0-1 ATS run covering the spread by over 130 combined points during that run. The Lions average scoring margin in Big Ten games only was 37-21 (+16 PPG). They outgained their Big Ten opponents by an average of 444 yards to 347 yards (+97 YPG). Penn State had one of the most balanced offenses in the conference this year averaging 201 YPG on the ground and 243 yards passing. Since beating Ohio State 24-21, they have scored at least 39 points in each of their last five games.

Common Opponents

These two teams played seven common opponents this year (Ohio State, Michigan, Iowa, Michigan State, Purdue, and Minnesota). Wisconsin finished 5-2 in those games with losses to Michigan and OSU as we mentioned earlier. The Badgers had a point differential of +61 and a total yardage differential of +223 yards versus those seven opponents. Penn State was 6-1 facing those teams with their only loss coming at the hands of Michigan. The Nittany Lions had a point differential of +65 and a total yardage differential of +239 in those games. Very similar numbers to say the least.

History

BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP (2011-2015)
Year Matchup Line (Total) Score ATS Result
2015 Iowa-Michigan State Michigan State -3.5 (52.5) Michigan State 16-13 Underdog-Under
2014 Wisconsin-Ohio State Wisconsin -4 (54) Ohio State 59-0 Underdog-Over
2013 Michigan State-Ohio State Ohio State -5.5 (53.5) Michigan State 34-24 Underdog-Over
2012 Wisconsin-Nebraska Nebraska -2.5 (48) Wisconsin 70-31 Underdog-Over
2011 Wisconsin-Michigan State Wisconsin -9.5 (56) Wisconsin 42-39 Underdog-Over

[StarDust Bum]

PSU, Wisconsin hook up
December 1, 2016

Big 10 Championship Betting Preview
Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2 SU, 8-3-1 ATS) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (10-2 SU, 9-2-1 ATS)

Sportsbook.ag Odds: Wisconsin (-3); Total set at 47.5

The fact that the Big 10 Conference played out like it did with the two best teams in the polls (Ohio State and Michigan) not even winning their division could potentially create a lot of chaos this week for the selection committee as they finalize their rankings. Penn State comes into this game ranked 7th, while Wisconsin is 6th, and the winner of this game definitely has an argument to be included in the playoffs should we see one of the three Top 4 teams playing this week get upset.

Let's assume that for argument's sake, either #3 Clemson or #4 Washington loses outright in their conference championship and opens up a playoff spot. If that were the case, then there is no question the winner of the Big 10 will be considered as a replacement, but that will only bring on more questions.

If Wisconsin wins, a jump past #5 Michigan is possible given Wisconsin would hold that important criteria of being a conference winner, but how do you explain to Michigan that they'll remain 5th or worse when they beat the #4 team (in this case) by a touchdown head-to-head?

It gets even more confusing should Penn State come out on top. Penn State making the jump to the playoff picture could happen in that scenario and again, were they able to do that and jump Michigan, you'll have to explain to the Wolverines how that happened given Michigan beat Penn State 49-10 head-to-head.

And if that Michigan loss ultimately works against the Nittany Lions and they don't jump into the Top 4, how do you explain to Penn State that they are out of the playoffs when they are the Big 10 Champions and beat #2 Ohio State – who would be in the playoffs – in their head-to-head matchup? Needless to say, depending on how the other conference championship games go this weekend, this Big 10 Championship game provides so much intrigue to the bigger picture of the playoffs.

So for Wisconsin and Penn State, it's all about putting forth an impressive showing and hoping that things fall in their favor. At this point in the rankings, style points definitely have to count for something and a dominant performance by one of these teams could go a long way in stating their case to move up in the rankings. Dominance can show up in many different ways, but given the stakes these two teams have on this outcome, I'm expecting a hard-fought contest right up until the end.

More importantly though, I believe we see Penn State and Wisconsin try to shake a bit of their reputations and take plenty of risks out there. Wisconsin was one of the best 'under' teams all year long until they ended the year cashing three straight 'over' bets thanks to an offense that put up 48, 49, and 31 points. The Badgers understood that they would need to collect a few style points in those winnable games and did their part.

Penn State did a similar thing as their offense stepped up in the final few weeks, scoring 62, 41, 45, 39, and 45 points in their final five games. Wisconsin's defense (and Penn State's for that matter too) is much stingier than those recent opponents for the Nittany Lions, but don't be surprised to see Penn State try to open things up and rely on that clicking offense to carry the load here. Four of Penn State's final five games cashed 'over' tickets and all of those numbers were much higher than the 47.5 posted on this game.

Wisconsin won't mind playing a back-and-forth affair because they firmly believe their defense is much better and will get the key stop when needed. This scoring outburst they've had of late is a great sign for them heading into these high stakes games and Penn State has given up plenty of scores to offenses much worse than what Wisconsin brings to the table.

The upper classmen on Wisconsin remember all too well the feeling of losing 59-0 in this game two years ago and watched as #6 Ohio State jumped into the playoffs (and ultimately won it all) that year and Wisconsin knows that a similar performance by them this week could easily produce similar results.

So rather than take a side on this game that has so many potential ramifications for the playoffs, I'm looking at this total and seeing it as much too low. Both sides are strongly perceived as defensive-minded squads after a plethora of 'unders' the first two months of the year, but things have changed dramatically since then. Wisconsin/Penn State games also have a history of being higher scoring as the past four meetings have all gone 'over' the number.

This season, Penn State is on a 4-1 O/U run after allowing less than 20 points last time out, and they've got an 8-3 O/U run going against winning opponents. On the other side, Wisconsin is 8-3 O/U on a neutral field their last 11 tries, and putting up 40+ again this week could be exactly what they need to do to jump up into that #4 spot.

It's a bit of a longshot either way for one of these two teams to get into the playoffs, but it won't be for a lack of trying to explode offensively this week as this contest should see plenty of points.

Best Bet: Penn State/Wisconsin Over 47.5

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ATS

8:00 pm 12/3/2016
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-----------------------------

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Money Line

8:00 pm 12/3/2016
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Half Time

8:00 pm 12/3/2016
(333) PENN ST @(334) WISCONSIN
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7:30 pm 12/3/2016
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7:30 pm 12/3/2016
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5:00 pm 12/3/2016
(321) GEORGIA ST @(322) IDAHO
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5:00 pm 12/3/2016
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12:00 pm 12/3/2016
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Half Time Over

3:00 pm 12/3/2016
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Half Time Under

8:00 pm 12/3/2016
(333) PENN ST @(334) WISCONSIN
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4:00 pm 12/3/2016
(327) FLORIDA @(328) ALABAMA
Play UNDER FLORIDA on the first half total in All games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 3 Overs and 16 Unders for the last two seasons (+12.7 units)
BET NOW!

4:00 pm 12/3/2016
(327) FLORIDA @(328) ALABAMA
Play UNDER FLORIDA on the first half total in All games when playing on a Saturday.
The record is 5 Overs and 19 Unders for the last two seasons (+13.5 units)
BET NOW

[StarDust Bum]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS
Over

7:30 pm 12/3/2016
(319) ARKANSAS ST @(320) TEXAS ST
Play OVER ARKANSAS ST on the total in All games after playing a conference game.
The record is 17 Overs and 4 Unders for the last three seasons (+12.6 units)
BET NOW!

3:00 pm 12/3/2016
(315) LA LAFAYETTE @(316) LA MONROE
Play OVER LA MONROE on the total in Home games against conference opponents.
The record is 7 Overs and 0 Unders for the last two seasons (+7 units)
BET NOW!

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS
Under

8:00 pm 12/3/2016
(331) VIRGINIA TECH @(332) CLEMSON
Play UNDER VIRGINIA TECH on the total in Road games against conference opponents.
The record is 1 Overs and 11 Unders for the last three seasons (+9.9 units)
BET NOW!

7:30 pm 12/3/2016
(319) ARKANSAS ST @(320) TEXAS ST
Play UNDER TEXAS ST on the total in Home games off a loss against a conference rival.
The record is 0 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+7 units)
BET NOW!

[StarDust Bum]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:

11/01/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/02/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/03/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -150
11/04/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/05/2016 26-34-0 43.33% -5700
11/08/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/09/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/10/2016 1-5-0 16.67% -2250
11/11/2016 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
11/12/2016 23-28-1 45.10% -3900
11/15/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/16/2016 3-1-0 75.00% +950
11/17/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/18/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/19/2016 33-25-0 56.90% +2750
11/22/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -150
11/24/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/25/2016 7-16-0 30.43% -5300
11/26/2016 29-20-3 59.18% +3500
12/02/2016 3-1-0 75.00% +950

TRIPLE PLAYS RECORD: 124 - 106- 8 *****

BIG TEN GOY................0 - 1 ( IOWA BIG LOSER TO WISCONSIN )
MT. WEST GOY..............1 - 0 ( WYOMING ROLLS BIG OVER UTAH ST. )
MAC UNDERDOG GOY.....1 - 0 ( KENT ST. + 21 W.MICHIGAN 37 )
ACC BLOW OUT.............0 - 1 ( CLEMSON -21.5 42 - 43 PITT )
MAC FAVORITE .............1 - 0 ( MIA-OHIO - 10 OVER BUFFALO 35 -24)
SEC BLOW OUT..............1 - 0 ( BAMA -28.5 OVER MISS ST. 51 - 3 )
PAC 12 GOY...................0 - 1 ( USC UPSETS WASHINGTON 26-13 )
BIG 10 DOG..................0 - 1 ( MINNESOTA + 6 LOSES TO NEBRASKA 17 -24 )
PAC 12 BLOW OUT .........1 - 0 ( COLORADO - 17.5 CRUSHES ARIZONA 49 - 24 )
THURS. NIGHT GOY.........0 - 1 ( HOUSTON UPSETS LOUISVILLE 36 -10 )
FRIDAY NIGHT DOG........1 - 0 ( NEVADA 25 + 29 BOISE ST 42 )
FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL......1 - 0 ( NEVADA /BOISE OVER 64 )
MAC BLOW OUT..............1 - 0 ( WESTERN MICHIGAN - 7 OVER TOLEDO 55 -35 )
MT. WEST DOG ..............1 - 0 ( AIR FORCE + 8.5 OUTRIGHT OVER BOISE 27 - 20 )
ACC BLOW OUT...............0 - 1 ( NC ST. UPSETS N.CAROLINA 28 - 21 )
B12 TOTAL OF THE DAY....0 - 1 ( TCU / TEXAS OVER 83/ TCU 31 - TEXAS 9 )
BIG 12 DOG OF THE YEAR 1 - 0 ( KANSAS + 26 COVERS K. ST. 34-19 )
SEC DOG OF THE YEAR.....1 - 0 ( AUBURN + 18 COVERS BAMA 30 -12 )
SUN BELT GOY ...............1 - 0 ( IDAHO - 5' COVERS S. ALABAMA 38 - 31 )
BIG 10 GOY.....................0 - 1 ( MICHIGAN COVERS OVER OHIO ST. - 5' 27 - 30 )
MAC CHAMPIONSHIP DOG . 1 - 0( OHIO + 16 / W. MICHIGAN 23 29 )
PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP DOG 0 - 1 ( COLORADO + 8"/WASHINGTON 10 - 41 )

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 352-336-15 51.16% -8800

O/U Picks 118-128-4 47.97% -11400

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 3

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LT at WKU 12:00 PM

WKU -12.0 ***** ( CONFERENCE USA GOY )

U 80.0

KSU at TCU 12:00 PM

TCU -4.5

TROY at GASO 12:00 PM

TROY -7.0 *****

TEM at NAVY 12:00 PM

TEM +2.0 *****

U 59.5

OKST at OKLA 12:30 PM

OKLA -12.0 ***** ( BIG 12 BLOW OUT )

O 74.0

NMSU at USA 01:00 PM

USA -13.0 ***** ( SUN BELT GOY )

O 57.5

ULL at ULM 03:00 PM

U 55.0

BAY at WVU 03:30 PM

WVU -17.5 *****

U 68.5

ALA at FLA 04:00 PM

ALA -24.0 ***** ( SEC BLOW OUT )

O 40.5

GSU at IDHO 05:00 PM

IDHO -5.5 ***** ( SUN BELT BLOW OUT )

O 53.0