The Bum's 2016 College Football Best Bets,Trends,Stat, News !!

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ACC Report - Week 11
November 9, 2016

2016 ACC STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Boston College 4-5 1-5 3-5-1 3-6

Clemson 9-0 6-0 5-4 3-6

Duke 3-6 0-5 6-3 2-7

Florida State 6-3 3-3 4-4 4-4

Georgia Tech 5-4 2-4 3-4-1 5-2-1

Louisville 8-1 6-1 5-3-1 7-2

Miami (Fla.) 5-4 2-3 5-4 5-4

North Carolina 7-2 5-1 6-3 4-5

North Carolina State 4-5 1-4 6-3 4-4-1

Pittsburgh 5-4 2-3 3-6 8-1

Syracuse 4-5 2-3 4-5 2-7

Virginia 2-7 1-4 4-4-1 3-5-1

Virginia Tech 7-2 5-1 4-5 5-4

Wake Forest 6-3 3-2 5-4 4-5


North Carolina at Duke (Thurs. - ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)

The Battle for the Victory Bell takes place at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham Thursday night, and it is expected to be a chilly night with temperatures around 50 degrees. But the action will be heated on the field, as UNC looks to keep its hopes alive for a Coastal Division win and appearance in the ACC Championship Game. Duke, meanwhile, is simply looking to keep their slim hopes for bowl eligibility alive, as they need to win out. The home team has covered in five of the past seven meetings, and Duke is about an 11-point underdog as of Wednesday morning. The 'under' is 4-1 in UNC's past five ACC games, and 7-0 in their past seven Thursday appearances. For Duke, the under is 4-1 in their past five conference tilts, 5-0 in their past five at home and 5-1 in their past six against a team with a winning record.
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Boston College at Florida State (Fri. - ESPN2, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Boston College heads down to Tallahassee to battle a Florida State team which is favored by three touchdowns. The Eagles were riding high after a 21-14 win at N.C. State two weeks ago, but they were smacked back down to Earth with a 52-7 home loss to Louisville last weekend. FSU narrowly defeated the Wolfpack last week in Raleigh, and look to avoid their third loss in the four home games for the 'Noles. The 'under' is 4-1 in the past five for FSU, and 4-0 in their past four Friday appearances. The 'under' is 41-16-1 in the past 58 road games for the Eagles, and 6-1-1 in his past eight Friday appearances. The under is also 33-16-2 in their past 51 against teams with a winning overall record.

North Carolina State at Syracuse (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m. ET)

There will be a battle of 4-5 teams taking the field at the Carrier Dome in Syracuse Saturday afternoon, and the Wolfpack enter on a four-game losing streak after a 4-1 start to the season. The 'under' also is 4-1 in their past five games. N.C. State has struggled away from Raleigh, going 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS. Syracuse had a pair of wins against Virginia Tech and at Boston College before getting shellacked 54-0 at Clemson last weekend. One thing that has been consistent with Syracuse - the 'under'. The Orange have had an 'under' result in each of the past four, and six of the past seven outings.

Miami-Florida at Virginia (ACC Network, 2:00 p.m.)

Miami snapped a four-game losing streak last weekend against Pittsburgh, and now they hit the road for Virginia. The 'U' heads to Scott Stadium looking to snap a two-game losing streak on the road. The Cavaliers failed to keep their hopes for bowl eligibility alive last weekend, losing for the fourth consecutive weekend. Miami heads in 2-7 ATS in their past nine against teams with a losing record, and 1-4 ATS in their past five overall. UVA is 8-3 ATS in their past 11 conference battles, and 10-4-1 ATS in their past 15 games overall, although just 1-3 ATS in their past four weekends. In this series, Miami is 1-5 ATS in their past six against Virginia, and the underdog is 11-1 ATS in the past 12 meetings. Miami is a 10-point favorite as of Wednesday morning.

Pittsburgh at Clemson (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)

Pitts rolls down to the upstate of South Carolina looking to deal the Clemson Tigers their first setback of the season. It won't be easy, as the Tigers are 20-point favorites as of Wednesday morning. The Panthers haven't had a lot of success against the number, going 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games overall. Clemson has covered six of the past eight at home, including 4-0 ATS in their past four home games aginst a team with a winning road record. The Tigers are also 11-5 ATS in the past 16 overall against a team with a winning record. There is a great disparity in the total trends, as the 'over' is 8-0 in Pittsburgh's past eight overall, and 5-0 in their past five road games, while the 'under' is 4-1 in Clemson's past five at home and 7-3 in their past 10 home games against a team with a winning road record.

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)

In the 'Tech Bowl', the Ramblin' Wreck head to Blacksburg to take on the Hokies. The Gobblers enter this game as two-touchdown favorites, looking to keep themselves ahead of UNC in the battle for the Coastal Division title. The Yellow Jackets have had a lot of difficulty against the number going 4-13-1 ATS in the past 18 games overall, and 3-10 ATS in their past 13 against teams with a winning record. Worse, they're 1-7-1 ATS in their past nine conference games and 1-6-1 ATS in their past eight on the road. Virginia Tech is 5-1 ATS in their past six at home against a team with a winning road record, but they're 0-5 ATS in their past five at Lane Stadium against the Yellow Jackets. The road team is 6-0 ATS in their past six meetings, and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the past four in this series.

Wake Forest at Louisville (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)

Wake Forest became bowl eligible with a seven-point home win against Virginia, but they'll have their work cut out if they hope to pick up a seventh win this week. Louisville is almost a five-touchdown favorite as they look to keep their playoff hopes and national championship hopes on track. The Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their past six road games, and 4-1 ATS in the past five ACC outings. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their past five at home, and 7-3-1 ATS in their past 11 games overall. However, the Cards enter just 2-3-1 ATS over the past six games, and they're 0-2-1 ATS in the past three as a favorite of 31 or more points.

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Big 12 Report - Week 11
November 9, 2016

2016 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Baylor 6-2 3-2 2-6 2-6

Iowa State 1-8 0-6 6-3 5-4

Kansas 1-8 0-6 3-6 3-6

Kansas State 5-4 3-3 3-6 4-5

Oklahoma 7-2 6-0 3-6 5-4

Oklahoma State 7-2 5-1 6-3 6-3

Texas 5-4 3-3 6-3 4-5

Texas Christian 5-4 3-3 2-7 5-4

Texas Tech 4-5 2-4 6-3 4-5

West Virginia 7-1 4-1 3-5 3-5


Baylor at Oklahoma (ABC or ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Baylor hasn't quite spiraled out of control, but a two-game losing streak has them adjusting their goals. Oklahoma has a pair of losses, but they're both outside of the conference. In fact, the Sooners remain the only team which is unbeaten in the conference. Since a resounding loss at home to Ohio State, Oklahoma has rattled off six straight wins with at least 34 points during each outing while showing up as the team we all expected to see. Baylor is 2-1 SU on the road this season, but they're 0-3 ATS. Overall the Bears have struggled against the number, going 2-6 ATS. Oklahoma is a 16-point favorite as of Wednesday morning, and they're 2-0 ATS in two league home games in Norman.

Iowa State at Kansas (NO TV, 12:00 p.m.)

It's a battle of 1-8 teams in Lawrence Saturday, but one team has stood taller than the other. The Cyclones of Iowa State have won just once on the scoreboard, but they have cashed frequently at the betting window. I-State is 6-1 ATS over the past seven outings, losing four of their past five games by 10 points or less. Kansas has just been awful overall, losing all eight of their games against FBS teams, and they're a dismal 2-6 ATS during the span. With the exception of a one-point loss to TCU Oct. 8, Kansas has lost six of their past seven games by 24 or more points. Iowa State is listed as a 9 1/2-point favorite as of Wednesday morning. The 'over has cashed in five of the past seven for Iowa State, while the 'under' is 6-2 in the past eight for Kansas. The total has held steady at 56.

West Virginia at Texas (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m. ET)

West Virginia bounced back from its first loss of the season at Oklahoma State, posting a 48-21 win against Kansas. however, they failed to cover for the second straight week, and they're 2-5 ATS in the past seven overall. Meanwhile, Texas has posted back-to-back wins for just the second time this season, although they're an impressive 6-3 ATS in nine games overall. The Longhorns have been a completely different team at home, going 4-0 SU/ATS in Austin as opposed to 2-3 SU/ATS on the road. The Mountaineers have also struggled on the road, going 2-1 SU, but 1-2 ATS on the road. At home, WVU allows an average of 15.8 PPG, while giving up 28.7 PPG in three outings on the road.

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Texas Tech's powerful offense will be on display at Oklahoma State, another team with an impressive offense. The over/under is set at 90 as of Wednesday morning, so you know the scoreboard operator is doing finger stretches to get ready. The Red Raiders have scored 37 or more points in seven of their nine games this season, but they have also allowed 44 or more points in six of their past eight. OK State has won five straight games since a 35-24 loss at Baylor Sept. 24, and they have covered each of their past three outings. The 'over' is 4-1 in Oklahoma State's past four outings, too, as they have scored 37 or more points in each of their past five victories. In addition, the Cowboys have allowed 20 or morep oints in each of their eight games against FBS teams, and 30 or more points in six of their eight outings. Expect fireworks, and a lot of them.

Bye Teams

Kansas State, Texas Christian

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Pac-12 Report - Week 11
November 9, 2016

2016 PAC-12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Arizona 2-7 0-6 1-8 5-4

Arizona State 5-4 2-4 5-4 5-4

California 4-5 2-4 4-5 7-2

Colorado 7-2 5-1 8-1 3-6

Oregon 3-6 1-5 1-7-1 6-3

Oregon State 2-7 1-5 7-2 4-5

Southern California 6-3 5-2 5-4 2-7

Stanford 6-3 4-3 5-4 2-7

UCLA 3-6 1-5 3-6 3-5-1

Utah 7-2 4-2 5-4 5-4

Washington 9-0 6-0 5-4 8-1

Washington State 7-2 6-0 5-4 6-3


Utah at Arizona State (Thu. - FOX Sports 1, 9:30 p.m. ET)

Utah heads to Tempe looking to get back on track after a 31-24 setback against Washington two weeks ago. Now, they'll take on a skidding Arizona State team which has dropped three in a row, including an ugly 54-35 setback at Oregon last time out Oct. 29. The Utes head in 3-1 ATS over the past four outings, and 5-2 ATS over the past seven games. Arizona State has covered every other game over the past eight outings, and they're 5-4 ATS overall this season. The Sun Devils are 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS at home this season, and 9-4 ATS in their past 13 games overall. AZ State is also 7-1 ATS in their past eight against winning teams, and 8-0 ATS in their past eight home games. The 'over' is 5-2 ATS in their past seven games overall, and 7-2 ATS in their past nine games on the road. The 'over' is 11-2 in the past 13 Thursday appearances for Arizona State, and 5-2 in their past seven games at home.

Stanford at Oregon (Pac-12 Network, 4:00 p.m.)

Stanford heads up to Autzen Stadium in Eugene to battle a wounded, yet still dangerous Oregon team. The Cardinal are field-goal favorites as of Wednesday morning, and the public seems to like Stanford quite a bit. Stanford has actually performed better against the number on the road as opposed to their home mark. The Cardinal are 3-1 SU/ATS in four trips away from 'The Farm'. The 'under' has connected in four in a row for Stanford, and it is 7-2 in nine games overall. Oregon showed their potential in a 54-35 game against Arizona State, as they proved their offense can still be dangerous. In fact, the Ducks have scored 32 or more points in seven of their nine games overall while allowing 35 or more points in seven straight outings. The 'over' is 5-1 in the past six games for Oregon, while the 'under' is 4-0 in the past four for Stanford.

Southern California at Washington (FOX, 7:30 p.m. ET)

USC rebounded nicely after an ugly start to the season, as the Trojans have come a long way since a 52-6 whitewashing at the hands of Alabama back on Sept. 3 in the opener. After a 1-3 SU/ATS start, USC has won five straight while covering four of those outings, including each of the last three. The Trojans offense is hitting on all cylinders with star on the rise QB Sam Darnold. USC has posted 45 or more points in each of the past three games, although they'll have difficulty hitting that mark against a Washington team which has allowed 17 or fewer points in five of their nine outings. Washington's offense has been deadly, posting 41 or more point in seven of their nine games, while posting at least 31 points in every game. As such, the 'over' is 6-0 in the past six, and 8-1 overall. The 'under' is 5-0 in the past five for USC, and just 1-7 over their past eight. The total sits at 62 as of Wednesday morning.

Oregon State at UCLA (Pac-12 Network, 9:00 p.m.)

Oregon State has really struggled this season, officially dropping their seventh game of the season to lose bowl eligibility. But the Beavers have been a friend to bettors at the window, covering five straight outings. That includes an impressive 3-1 ATS mark in four games on the road. UCLA played Colorado tough last weekend, losing 20-10 in Boulder, and they have alternated covers in each of the past six games. Overall they're 3-6 ATS, including 1-3 ATS in four games at home. The 'under' is 3-1 in UCLA's past four, and 5-2 over the past seven. The 'under' cashed in Corvallis last season, as the Bruins blanked the Beavs 41-0. In fact, the 'under' has cashed in each of the past six meetings in this series dating back to Sept. 29, 2007.

Colorado at Arizona (FOX Sports 1, 10:00 p.m.)

The Buffaloes head to the desert to top the Wildcats while looking to start a new cover streak. Colorado covered their first eight games, but failed to cover for the first time last weekend in a 20-10 win against UCLA at home. The Wildcats are 15-point underdogs at home, and they're 1-4 ATS in five games as underdogs of 9 1/2 or more points this season. Colorado is 2-2 SU on the road this season, but they're a perfect 4-0 ATS. Not only have the Buffaloes been consistent against the numbers, but bettors have hit plenty of Colorado parlays with the 'under', too. The 'under' has hit in five in a row for the Buffs. For Arizona, the 'under' is 3-2 in five home games.

California at Washington State (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)

California started the season 3-2, including an impressive victory over Utah back on Oct. 1. However, they have struggled since with just one victory, an overtime victory, over their past four outings. They includes an ugly 66-27 setback against Washington last weekend, and embarrassing loss at home. Defense has let the Bears down big time, as Cal has given up 43 or more points in each of their past four, ans seven of the past eight outings. Washington State started out with an ugly loss to Eastern Washington of the FCS in their opener, and they started out 0-2 SU. However, since entering conference play the Cougars are a perfect 6-0/3-3 ATS, keeping pace with rival Washington in the race for the North Division in the Pac-12. The Apple Cup is going to be a war if the Cougs can avoid an upset between now and then. The Cougs are just 1-3 ATS over their past four, and just 2-3 ATS as favorites as double-digit favorites. However, as a 16-point favorite last weekend they picked up a resounding 69-7 win against Arizona, and they're 3-1 ATS in their past four at home.

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Unfamiliar territory: Minnesota in the Big Ten hunt
November 8, 2016

COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) In unfamiliar territory in November, Minnesota has a piece of the lead in the Big Ten West and faces tough opponents in the final stretch.

Tied with Nebraska and Wisconsin atop the division at 4-2, Minnesota closes out the regular season on the road against the No. 21 Cornhuskers, hosts Northwestern and travels to the No. 7 Badgers.

Minnesota is 7-2 overall and has won four straight, with the losses coming against Penn State and Iowa. The Gophers have yet to play a ranked team. Still, win out and they'll be in the Big Ten Championship game for the first time.

The Gophers haven't even won a share of the Big Ten since 1967. They got close in 2014 when they went into the final game with a chance to go to the championship game, but were denied by Wisconsin.

''We've got a great group of seniors, and we felt like if we played well we could get to November and be in that discussion still,'' Minnesota coach Tracy Claeys said Tuesday on the Big Ten coaches' teleconference.

''It makes it exciting to get into November and you still have a chance,'' he said. ''I figured with the West teams playing five road games that the winner was probably going to have two losses. We burnt ours up right away in those first two, but our kids have responded and just kept fighting and winning each week.''

BANGED UP

Northwestern coach Pat Fitzgerald noted how the road gets tougher in November when players are getting banged up and worn down. The Wildcats (4-5, 3-3 Big Ten) dropped a 21-7 game against Wisconsin last Saturday, one week after taking Ohio State down to the final drive before losing 24-20.

''Everybody goes to November beat up mentally and physically, and it comes down to which team shows up physically, mentally and executes in November,'' Fitzgerald said. ''It's not a sexy time of the year, man, this is grind it out, get it done, and obviously we're off to a slow start losing our last two.''

He said November is where depth often gets tested because of injuries.

''I think some schools have a few more bullets than maybe other schools, and you have to find a way just to get one more play and find a way to win,'' he said.

BADGERS TWEET

Wisconsin coach Paul Chryst said he was proud of the players who took to Twitter on Monday to post a statement about racial injustices on campus. That message came after the game on Oct. 29 Wisconsin when a fan donned a Halloween costume depicting President Barack Obama with a noose around his neck.

The statement was shared by several black players on the team along with other black student-athletes. In part, it read: ''This incident was yet another blow and reminder that there are people in this community that may not value diverse populations.''

''We've got smart student-athletes and I applaud them for expressing themselves, and the way they did it,'' Chryst said. ''And I think a lot of thought went into it, and it's out of love and respect for this university. They want to make it better, and I admire them. It's not easy, right? They could just sit back and say, `It's not my job, it's not my responsibility.'''

ARMSTRONG'S STATUS

Nebraska quarterback Tommy Armstrong Jr.'s status for Saturday's game against Minnesota is questionable after apparently suffering a concussion last week against Ohio State.

Armstrong was knocked out briefly during the second quarter after his head bounced off the turf while being tackled by Ohio State safety Malik Hooker. He was strapped to a backboard and taken to a hospital. He returned to the sidelines in street clothes in the third quarter.

''Tommy's doing well, but as we all know he will go through that whole protocol (for) a head injury, and we don't know what that means yet as far as being available for the weekend,'' Nebraska coach Mike Riley said. ''It goes through the process, and we'll go day by day with it.

''So far, it's pretty well on track. So we're hopeful, but we're not for sure at all.''

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:

11/01/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/02/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/03/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -150
11/04/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/05/2016 26-34-0 43.33% -5700
11/08/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100

TRIPLE PLAYS RECORD: 63 - 53 - 6 *****

BIG TEN GOY................0 - 1 ( IOWA BIG LOSER TO WISCONSIN )
MT. WEST GOY..............1 - 0 ( WYOMING ROLLS BIG OVER UTAH ST. )
MAC UNDERDOG GOY.....1 - 0 ( KENT ST. + 21 W.MICHIGAN 37 )

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 260-253-11 50.68% -9150

O/U Picks 98-100-4 49.49% -6000


WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 9

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOL at NIU 08:00 PM

NIU +6.5 *****

U 69.0 *****


BGSU at AKR 08:00 PM

AKR -10.0 *****

U 71.5 *****

[StarDust Bum]

Tech Trends - Week 11
November 9, 2016

WEDNESDAY, NOV. 9

Matchup Skinny Edge

TOLEDO vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS (at Chicago)...NIU rallying, covering 4 of last 5. Huskies 1-1 as dog TY, and this could be first game as home dog since 2011. NIU has won SU last six vs. Toledo (4-2 vs. line). But Rockets 8-1 vs. spread last nine away from Glass Bowl.
Slight to NIU, based on team trends.

BOWLING GREEN at AKRON... BG only 2-8 vs. line since Dino Babers departed before bowl LY, though both covers on road TY. Erratic Akron only 3-7 vs. line TY after Toledo loss.
Slight to Akron, based on BGSU negatives.

THURSDAY, NOV. 10

Matchup Skinny Edge

NORTH CAROLINA at DUKE...UNC has romped past two vs. Duke and is 4-0 vs. line as visitor this season. Fedora 8-1 vs. spread last nine as visitor. Cutcliffe 15-5 last 20 as dog but only 2-5 vs. points last seven at Durham.
UNC, based on team and recent series trends.

UL-LAFAYETTE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...ULL 3-8-1 last 12 vs. line in Sun Belt and just 2-5 last 7 as dog. But GaSo 1-6 vs. line last seven this season.
Slight to ULL, based on recent Ga So woes.

UTAH at ARIZONA STATE...Sun Devils a rather remarkable 5-0 vs. line at home TY; combined with 0-4 road mark, the home teams are 9-0 vs. spread in ASU games this season. Sun Devil Tempe cover streak now at 7. Utes however have covered last three in series.
ASU, based on Sun Devil home trends.

FRIDAY, NOV. 11

Matchup Skinny Edge

BOSTON COLLEGE at FLORIDA STATE... Eagles 6-1-1 as visiting dog since 2014 in Addazio’s best role with BC. Jimbo 0-3 as Doak Campbell chalk this season, 6-11 in role since 2014.
BC, based on team trends.

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SATURDAY, NOV. 12

Matchup Skinny Edge

NORTHWESTERN at PURDUE...Cats have covered 5 of last 7 TY. NU 6-1 vs. spread last seven as visitor. Purdue no covers first three as Ross-Ade dog TY and 1-10 last 11 in role.
Northwestern, based on team trends.

PITT at CLEMSON...Narduzzi 5-3 as visiting dog. Dabo just 2-4-1 vs. spread last seven at Death Valley and 6-9-1 last 16 as DD chalk.
Pitt, based on team trends.

CINCINNATI at UCF...Pretty good debut for Frost at UCF, covers in 6 of last 7 and 7 of 9 TY in a big turnaround. Tuberville 2-8 vs. spread last ten since late LY. Bearcats also “under” 8-0-1 in 2016!
UCF and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

OHIO STATE at MARYLAND...Bucks 1-4 vs. line last five TY after covering six straight previous. But road team has covered last two years in series. Terps only 3-6 vs. spread TY for Durkin.
Slight to OSU, based on extended trends.

PENN STATE at INDIANA...James Franklin 4-0-1 vs. line last five TY and 2-1 vs. line away TY after no covers last six away from Happy Valley LY. But Franklin 1-4 last five as visiting chalk. Hoosiers mostly a middling spread proposition for Wilson, 7-7 vs. spread last 14 at Bloomington.
Slight to Indiana, based on extended trends.

WAKE FOREST at LOUISVILLE...Deacs have covered last two years vs. ‘Ville, and Clawson 7-2 last 9 as dog. Wake 10-5 last 15 as DD dog. Cards 3-1 vs. line at Papa John’s TY.
Wake Forest, based on team and recent series trends.

IOWA STATE at KANSAS...ISU 5-1 SU, 4-2 vs. line last six meetings. Jayhawks 2-5 last seven vs. line as Big 12 host and just 6-17 last 23 overall vs. points. ISU 6-1 vs. line last seven TY after OU cover.
ISU, based on team trends.

SMU at EAST CAROLINA...Pirates 1-6-1 vs. line last 8 TY. SMU has covered 6 of 9 on line TY and 4-1 vs. line away in 2016.
SMU, based on recent trends.

TULSA at NAVY... Mids battered Tulsa LY and Navy 3-0-1 vs. line at Annapolis TY, 9-1-1 since LY. Tulsa however 9-2 vs. line away since LY and has covered four straight TY.
Slight to Navy, based on team trends.

MIAMI-OHIO at BUFFALO... Miami-O has now covered four straight TY and 11-4 last 15 on board since late LY. Bulls have won SU last four in series but Leipold just 3-6 vs. line TY and 3-11 last 14 on board.
Miami-Ohio, based on recent trends.

NC STATE at SYRACUSE...Road team has covered last three years in series. Wolfpack 10-4 as chalk past two years.
NC State, based on series and team trends.

GEORGIA TECH at VIRGINIA TECH...Paul Johnson only 8-9 last 17 as dog in once very-profitable role. Road team has covered last six in series, however, and Johnson 4-0 vs. spread at Blacksburg since 2008.
Georgia Tech, based on series road trends.

TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA STATE...Gundy has won and covered 6 of last 7 in series. “Overs” last four meetings with heavy scoring. Kingsbury 5-2 vs. spread last seven as visiting dog.
OSU, based on series trends.

OLE MISS at TEXAS A&M... Hugh Freeze enduring worst spread season, as Rebs 3-6 vs. line and no covers last 4 TY. Ole Miss no covers first three away from Oxford TY. Though Freeze is 4-0 vs. line against A&M. Ags no covers last five TY (0-3-1) and Sumlin 5-10-1 last 16 as home chalk (2-1-1 TY).
Ole Miss, based on series trends.

RICE at CHARLOTTE...Charlotte surging with covers last four TY. Rice on 5-12-1 spread skid since early 2015.
Charlotte, based on recent trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at ARKANSAS STATE...Red Wolves romped last two years vs. Ags. NMSU actually 8-5 last 13 vs. spread, though only 1-3 as road dog TY. Red Wolves have now covered four straight TY.
Arkansas State, based on recent series trends.

WYOMING at UNLV...Rebs just 5-11 last 16 vs. line since mid 2015 and no covers last six as Sam Boyd dog. Bohl has covered last five TY, and 11-5-1 last 17 on board. Cowboys 4-1 SU and vs. line last five meetings.
Wyoming, based on team and series trends.

COLORADO STATE at AIR FORCE...Calhoun 6-3 SU and vs. line against CSU since 2007. But Mike Bobo has covered last 4 TY and 6-1-1 last eight on board.
CSU, based on recent trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at ALABAMA...Saban has not lost SU to MSU since his first Bama team lost in 2007, and is 4-3 vs. line last 7 vs. Dan Mullen. Tide just 5-8-1 vs. line last 14 at Tuscaloosa, but is 5-1 vs. spread last six TY.
Alabama, based on recent trends.

NORTH TEXAS at WKU...UNT 5-2-1 vs. line last seven TY. Mean Green 3-1-1 vs. line TY as DD dog. Tops 8-4 last 12 as home chalk.
North Texas, based on recent trends.

APP STATE at TROY...Troy no covers last three TY after 4-0-1 spread break from gate, Trojans only 3-5-1 last nine vs. line as host. App 11-2 vs. line last 13 as visitor and has won SU last two years vs. Troy.
App State, based on team and series trends.

AUBURN at GEORGIA...Malzahn 7-2 SU and vs. line TY. Kirby Smart 3-5 vs. line TY. UGa 4-1 SU and vs. line last five in series.
Auburn, based on recent trends.

ILLINOIS at WISCONSIN...Lovie is 3-0 vs. line as visitor this season, and Illini have covered last two years in series, losing identical 38-28 scorelines. Illinois has actually covered last five away from Champaign-Urbana. Chryst 7-2 vs. line TY but only 1-1 as DD chalk and 4-5 laying DD for Chryst since LY. Badgers 5-9 vs. line last 14 at Camp Randall.
Slight to Illinois, based on team and recent series trends.

KENTUCKY at TENNESSEE...Vols 3-5-1 vs. line in 2016, 2-3 vs. line at Knoxville. Meanwhile Stoops 5-1 last six vs. line Though Vols have won and covered last four in series since 10-7 loss under Derek Dooley in 2011. And that was first UK win in series since 1984!
Kentucky, based on recent trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at FLORIDA...Muschamp 3-3 as dog TY but 11-6-1 last 18 in role with Gators and Gamecocks. McElwain 5-9 vs. spread last 14.
Slight to South Carolina, based on team trends.

LSU at ARKANSAS...Bielema had covered 10 of 12 as dog before dropping 3 of last 5 in role TY. Orgeron 9-3 SU and 8-4 vs. line as interim with SC in 2013 and LSU TY . Bielema has brutalized LSU last two years and Hogs have covered last four in series.
Slight to LSU, based on recent trends.

STANFORD at OREGON...Oregon has won and covered last two meetings but Ducks just 1-9-1 last 11 vs. spread since late LY. Ducks 1-5 vs. spread last six at Eugene. Tree 3-1 vs. line away TY and 8-2 vs. points last 10 away from Palo Alto.
Stanford, based on team trends.

ARMY vs. NOTRE DAME (at San Antonio)...ND 4-9-1 last 14 vs. line, 2-7 last 9 as chalk. Army 8-2-2 vs. spread last 12 away.
Army, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at ODU...USM 1-7 vs. line last eight TY, ODU 5-1 last six vs. number in 2016 and 9-4 spread run since late LY.
OSU, based on recent trends.

RUTGERS at MICHIGAN STATE...Dantonio 2-7 vs. line TY and 7-16 since LY, 0-7 as chalk TY, 3-15 last 17 as chalk!
Slight to Rutgers, based on MSU chalk woes.

MIAMI-FLA. at VIRGINIA...Cavs 4-1-1 vs. line last six in series. Bronco Mendenhall BYU and UVa teams 17-10 last 26 as dog and Cavs 9-3 as last 12 as Scott Stadium dog.
Virginia, based on team and series trends.

UTSA at LA TECH...UTSA has covered four straight years vs. La Tech. Though Roadrunners 1-5-1 last six as visitor. Skip on 5-game win and cover streak TY and 25-12 vs. spread since 2014.
Slight to La Tech, based on recent trends.

CAL at WASHINGTON STATE...Cal 1-4 vs. line TY away from Berkeley, 2-7 last nine away since mid 2015. Dykes 2-5 last seven as road dog. Leach has covered 2 of last 3 in series and 14-5 last 19 on board.
WSU, based on team trends.

IDAHO at TEXAS STATE...Idaho 0-1 in rare road chalk role since 2011 but is 14-4 vs. points last 18 as visitor. Bobcats 7-13 vs. line since 2015 and have failed to cover last two vs. Vandals.
Idaho, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN CAL at WASHINGTON...Trojans have won last five SU and covered four of those TY, but are 0-3 as away dog TY, and just 1-7 last 8 in that role. Petersen 8-4 last 12 vs. line since late LY.
Slight to Washington, based on team trends.

OREGON STATE at UCLA... Mora just 13-23 vs. line since late in 2012 season and just 2-9 last 11 vs. line at Rose Bowl. Beavers have covered last five TY and Andersen 4-1 vs. spread last five away.
OSU, based on recent trends.

UTEP at FAU...Owls 2-7 vs. line TY and 0-4 in Boca Raton. FAU also 5-14-1 last 20 on board overall. Owls 1-11 vs. spread last 12 as host! Miners 4-2 vs. spread last six away and won vs. FAU at Sun Bowl LY.
UTEP, based on FAU woes.

BOISE STATE at HAWAII...Boise only 2-6-1 vs. line TY after SJSU non-cover but a bit better 2-1-1 vs. line away. Broncos 7-2-1 vs. spread last ten away from blue carpet. UH 2-11 vs. line last 13 vs. spread at Aloha.
Boise State, based on team trends.

MTSU at MARSHALL...Herd 2-7 SU and 3-6 vs. line TY, no covers last four at home. MTSU 6-4-1 vs. spread as visitor since LY.
MTSU, based on team trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at TEXAS...Holgorsen 2-2 SU and vs. line against Texas since 2012. But Mounties just 2-8 vs. line last ten away from Morgantown (1-2 TY). Charlie Strong is 4-0 vs. line at Austin this season, 7-1-2 since LY.
Texas, based on team trends.

BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA...Stoops only 1-4 vs. line last five vs. Baylor, but got the cover LY. OU 5-1 vs. points last six as Big 12 home chalk. Bears 3-11 vs. line last 14 reg.-season games (2-6 for Grobe).
Oklahoma, based on team trends.

MINNESOTA at NEBRASKA...Gophers 9-2-1 last 12 as visiting dog, 6-0-1 last seven vs. spread away from TCF Bank Stadium. Riley 2-2-1 as Lincoln chalk TY but only 3-6-1 in role since LY.
Minnesota, based on team trends.

UL-MONROE at GEORGIA STATE...GSU 12-3-1 vs. line last 16 reg.-season games but only 4-5-1 last ten at mostly-empty Georgia Dome.
Georgia State, based on team trends.

VANDERBILT at MISSOURI...Mizzou no wins or covers last five TY and hasn’t won SU last 11 SEC games. Tigers 3-7 vs. spread last ten decisions at Columbia. Dores 13-5 vs. points last 18 as SEC visitor.
Vandy, based on team trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at MEMPHIS...USF 13-4-1 vs. points last 18 reg,-season games. Memphis 1-5 vs. line last six TY. Bulls have covered last two meetings.
USF, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN at IOWA...Harbaugh surprisingly only 7-8 vs. line last 15 reg.-season games. Also only 3-4 vs. line as visitor since LY. But Ferentz just 1-4 vs. spread at Iowa City TY and Hawkeyes just 9-20 vs. spread last 29 at Nile Kinnick Stadium.
Slight to Michigan, based on team trends.

TULANE at HOUSTON...UH no covers last five this season (0-4-1) as Herman spread magic disappears. Cougs just 4-9-1 last 14 vs. spread at TDECU Stadium. Willie Fritz Ga So & Tulane teams 6-2 vs. line last 8 on road.
Tulane, based on team trends.

COLORADO a ARIZONA...Buffs 8-1 vs. line TY, and 13-3 last 16 vs. line since mid 2015. Cats 1-8 vs. line TY, 1-10 last 11 on board.
Colorado, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO at UTAH STATE...Utags 3-11 vs. spread last 14 on board. Lobos 13-7-1 last 21 vs. line away from Albuquerque.
New Mexico, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at NEVADA...Aztecs 14-2 vs. spread last 16 MW reg.-season games and 6-1 vs. line last seven MW road games. Polian 2-7 vs. line TY, though Pack has covered last two in series.
SDSU, based on team trends.

[StarDust Bum]

Florida to start Austin Appleby at QB
November 9, 2016

GAINESVILLE, Fla. (AP) Florida coach Jim McElwain says quarterback Austin Appleby will start against South Carolina on Saturday.

McElwain made the announcement Wednesday on the weekly Southeastern Conference coaches' call, saying Appleby will start when the 22nd-ranked Gators (6-2, 4-2 SEC) host the Gamecocks (5-4, 3-4). Starter Luke Del Rio will be out "a while" with a right shoulder injury.

McElwain adds that ''we're not afraid'' to play Feleipe Franks, a 6-foot-6 freshman who has yet to make his college debut.

Appleby completed 42 of 67 passes for 440 yards, with three touchdowns and an interception, in two starts in place of Del Rio earlier this season. Appleby was at his best in the first half at Tennessee, but he has been fairly pedestrian in six quarters since.

McElwain says if ''we need a spark, Feleipe could be that guy. Who knows?''

[StarDust Bum]

Troy, Appalachian State set for pivotal Sun Belt showdown
November 9, 2016

MONTGOMERY, Ala. (AP) Troy and Appalachian State are set for a pivotal Sun Belt Conference showdown one season after waging a three-overtime contest.

The two teams play Saturday at Troy in only the third meeting this deep into the season between Sun Belt teams with unbeaten league marks.

''It's going to be a great college football game,'' Mountaineers coach Scott Satterfield said. ''You've got two of the better teams in the league that are battling, especially this late in the season with everything on the line. This is why you play the game. When you coach the game, you play the game, this is what it's for. It's exciting and it's fun to be a part of this game.''

Troy (7-1, 4-0) hasn't been involved in such a meaningful Sun Belt game since the program's string of five straight league titles ended in 2010. The Trojans have been getting votes in the Associated Press poll for the first time.

The Mountaineers (7-2, 5-0), who won last season's marathon game 44-41, are more familiar with this position having become the only other Sun Belt team to start 7-1 last season.

Both teams are riding six-game winning streaks. Arkansas State (4-4, 4-0) also hasn't lost a league game. Troy hosts the Red Wolves in a Thursday night game next week, while Appalachian State doesn't play them this season.

''People are excited and rightfully so,'' Trojans coach Neal Brown said. ''I am excited about the energy on campus and in our community. Our community support is higher than it has been in the six years I have been a part of the program.''

Troy, whose only loss came 30-24 to No. 3 Clemson, has fallen behind by two touchdowns each of its past two games before rallying.

This is a matchup that's intriguing for more than the stakes. Troy leads the league in scoring offense and Appalachian State is second; that pecking order is reversed for scoring and total defense.

The Mountaineers have run for 218.6 yards per game and a league-best 18 touchdowns behind the Sun Belt's only 1,000-yard rusher, Jalin Moore. Troy has allowed only five rushing touchdowns and 97.8 yards per game. Plus Appalachian State leads the nation in interceptions and Troy is tops nationally in picks per game.

The Trojans also sport the league's No. 2 rusher Jordan Chunn and second-leading passer Brandon Silvers.

''What they did to get to us last year is what they're doing every game this year,'' Satterfield said. ''Last year they were still trying to find themselves early on in the season, and when they played us it was clicking on all cylinders.''

The 36-year-old Brown doesn't want his players getting too swept up in the magnitude of the game.

''Any time you play a game that is perceived as a big game to the outside world and people are going to be talking more about this game, they have to understand, you don't have to play a perfect game to win,'' the second-year head coach and former offensive coordinator said. ''We just have to play really sound. The same thing goes for Appalachian State.''

[StarDust Bum]

Hood, UNC hoping to finish strong
November 9, 2016

DURHAM, N.C. (AP) Elijah Hood is focused on finishing strong for No. 15 North Carolina.

The junior has two straight 100-yard rushing performances entering Thursday night's rivalry game at Duke, a sign he is healthy after missing a game due to an apparent concussion that had followed a slower-than-expected start to the season.

''It's good to see him running like the (No.) 34 we know,'' quarterback Mitch Trubisky said.

Hood was the Atlantic Coast Conference's No. 3 rusher last year with 1,463 yards and 17 touchdowns for the Tar Heels (7-2, 5-1 ACC), averaging 104.5 yards per game. He is a physical runner unafraid of contact. But he got off to a slow start by averaging 61.5 yards through his first six appearances, and also sat out UNC's 34-3 loss to Virginia Tech played in the driving rain of Hurricane Matthew.

After a quiet return against Miami, Hood broke out for 107 yards and a score at Virginia, then ran for a season-high 168 yards and three touchdowns last week against Georgia Tech.

''I feel more explosive I think, just quicker, so that definitely helps when you try to run the ball,'' Hood said. ''I felt like I hit the holes a lot quicker this week. Whenever I try to get my momentum moving that much faster, I'm able to get more yards just per carry.''

The Tar Heels are trying to stay with the Hokies atop the league's Coastal Division, though they need Virginia Tech to lose once to be back in control of their own destiny.

The Blue Devils (3-6, 0-5) are flirting with their first winless season in ACC play since 2007 after winning at least six games in four straight bowl seasons. The past two losses have both come by three points, including last weekend's 24-21 loss to the Hokies that included having a blocked field goal returned for a touchdown.

''We are 3-6 for a reason, you have to look at why,'' Duke coach David Cutcliffe said. ''But you don't whine or you don't complain. You just pick the things to work on. You pick the things you believe are going to make a difference.''

---

Some other things to know about Thursday's UNC-Duke game:

TRUBISKY IN CHARGE: Trubisky ranks as one of the national leaders in completion percentage, passing efficiency and average passing yardage for UNC. ''He manages every aspect of their game,'' Cutcliffe said. ''There's not a throw he can't make.''

QB PRESSURE: The Blue Devils rank among the ACC leaders in sacks (27), so their defensive front will need to get some pressure on Trubisky. Meanwhile, the Tar Heels rank near the bottom of the league with 18 sacks and have had games where they struggled to get pressure on the passer. They're facing a quarterback in Daniel Jones who has run for 169 yards in the past two games.

SHORT TURNAROUND: The teams had to cram in a week's worth of game prep along with treatment of nagging injuries into a five-day schedule following last weekend's games. ''Come Thursday, the adrenaline's rushing,'' Duke defensive tackle A.J. Wolf said, ''You're playing football, everything feels good.''

WILSON'S STATUS: Shaun Wilson, Duke's No. 2 rusher, is probable with what the school called an upper-body injury. He took a helmet-to-helmet hit against Virginia Tech that led to a targeting call against a defender, though Cutcliffe said afterward he had no concussion-related symptoms. Wilson has run for 449 yards and three touchdowns.

VICTORY BELL: The winner gets the Victory Bell, though there could be a break with the tradition of the winner spray-painting its shade of blue on the bell's cart. UNC athletic director Bubba Cunningham said he conferred with Duke AD Kevin White before putting a permanent design that split the cart with both team's colors and logos. After the last game in Durham in 2014, UNC had to pay for about $27,000 in paint-related damages to the visiting locker room and practice field from its celebration, and Cunningham said the team won't bring spray paint this time.

[StarDust Bum]

Georgia Tech suspends leading rusher Mills for 2 games
November 9, 2016

ATLANTA (AP) Georgia Tech freshman Dedrick Mills, the team's leading rusher, has been suspended for two games for an undisclosed violation of team rules.

The suspension, announced by coach Paul Johnson on Wednesday, is the second of the season for Mills. He also was held out of Georgia Tech's home opener against Mercer on Sept. 10, also for a violation of team rules.

Mills will miss Saturday's game at No. 18 Virginia Tech and a Nov. 19 game against Virginia. Those are the Yellow Jackets' final two Atlantic Coast Conference games. He will be eligible to play against Georgia on Nov. 26.

Mills leads the team with 578 yards rushing and 10 touchdowns. He also missed Georgia Tech's win over Duke on Oct. 29 due to an injury.

[StarDust Bum]

Wilson, Coppet lead Bowling Green past Akron 38-28
November 9, 2016

AKRON, Ohio (AP) Donovan Wilson ran for 119 yards and a touchdown and Fred Coppet had 116 and two scores to help Bowling Green turn back Akron 38-28 on Wednesday night.

Wilson, who entered the game with 131 yards, scored on a 22-yard run with 2:12 left - one play after the Zips failed to cover the kickoff following the Falcons' tiebreaking field goal.

A 76-yard fumble return by Marcus Milton gave Bowling Green (2-8, 1-5 Mid-American), the defending league champions, a 28-10 lead.

The Zips (5-6, 3-4) rallied to tie the game when wide receiver Tyrell Goodman, the third-string quarterback pressed into duty because of injuries, connected with Jerome Lane for a 64-yard touchdown and 2-point conversion, with 10:48 to play. That capped an 11-play, 99-yard drive.

However, Goodman threw interceptions on Akron's next two possessions, the second, by Marcus Milton, leading to Jake Suder's 27-yard field goal.

Coppet had two touchdowns and Ronnie Moore one to give Bowling Green a 21-10 lead at the half.

----------------------------

Woodside rallies Toledo past Northern Illinois 31-24
November 9, 2016

CHICAGO (AP) Kareem Hunt ran for 122 yards and scored a touchdown with 1:15 left in Toledo's 31-24 comeback victory over Northern Illinois on Wednesday night in NIU's Chi-Town Showdown at the Chicago White Sox's Guaranteed Rate Field.

Logan Woodside threw for three touchdowns in the second half after entering the game with 34, tied with Jake Browning of No. 4 Washington for the national lead. That helped the Rockets (8-2, 5-1 Mid-American) overcome a 14-3 halftime deficit and snap a six-game losing streak in the series.

Woodside's second touchdown pass to Michael Roberts gave Toledo its first lead, 24-21, early in the fourth quarter. The Huskies (3-7, 3-3) tied the game on Christian Hagan's 22-yard field goal with 4:31 left but the Rockets answered with a 9-play, 71-yard drive.

Woodside finished 23 of 33 for 286 yards. Jon'Vea Johnson had six catches for 129 yards, including a 39-yard reception to set up the winning score.

Aaron Covington's interception with 15 seconds to play sealed the win.

Ryan Graham had three touchdown passes for the Huskies, one to Kenny Golladay, who had 14 catches for 143 yards. Graham also ran for 97 yards.

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday’s six-pack

College football trends for Week 10..……

— Underdogs covered last five NC State-Syracuse games.

— Auburn lost its last four visits to Georgia.

— Kentucky is 2-7 vs spread in its last nine games at Tennessee.

— Underdogs covered six of last eight Stanford-Oregon games.

— Michigan lost its last three visits to Iowa; Wolverines’ last win in Iowa City was in ’05.

— Underdogs are 10-4 vs spread in last 14 Oregon State-UCLA games.


Thursday’s List of 13: College basketball thoughts……..

Vacation is over; time for me to get back to work, with college basketball tipping off Friday night– ton of games. Here are some random preseason thoughts:

13) Blue Ribbon Magazine’s top 4 teams: Duke-Oregon-Kansas-Kentucky. They have defending champ Villanova at #5, Louisville at #8, Saint Mary’s all the way up at #17.

12) Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s have dominated the WCC so much that four of the other eight teams changed coaches last spring. Former NBA players Damon Stoudamire/Terry Porter are at Pacific/Portland, but Herb Sendek at Santa Clara is the best of the new WCC hires.

11) UNLV has almost a whole new team; they’ve had four head coaches in the last 10 months, but Marvin Menzies will do well there, eventually. Problem is, Rebels only had 3 or 4 players left by time he got the job- the work he did to re-stock the roster in the spring was impressive. Menzies can recruit, so as long as he avoids one/done-type kids, UNLV will be back soon.

10) Johnny Dawkins went from Stanford to Central Florida; his son transferred from Michigan to join him at UCF, Jerod Haase left behind a solid team at UAB to replace Dawkins at Stanford.

9) Mike Dunleavy Sr has coached 1,400 NBA games, but zero college games; he is the new coach at Tulane. Wonder if it’ll help his recruiting that his son is Lebron James’ teammate with the Cavaliers? Dunleavy Sr will do just fine on his own, but the AAC is pretty tough.

8) Jamie Dixon wasn’t feeling appreciated at Pitt, so he went back to his alma mater TCU, which has new facilities but has an uphill climb in the brutal Big X. Dixon has recruited his butt off so far and the Horned Frogs may be on the rise.

Kevin Stallings went 66-54 in SEC games the last few years at Vanderbilt, but the natives at Vandy got restless for more, so Stallings replaced Dixon at Pitt and Bryce Drew bolted Valparaiso and a likely Horizon League champ to become Vandy’s new coach.

7) Yale won the Ivy league LY for the first time since 1962, but their best returning player Makai Mason is already out for the year (foot). Mason had 31 against Baylor in the NCAAs.

Ivy League joined the 21st century and will have a 4-team conference tournament this year, so the upper half of the league in the regular season gets to play in the conference tournament.

6) UConn-Cincinnati-SMU are expected to be the best teams in the AAC. Tim Jankovich takes over at SMU for Larry Brown, who skipped town early, as usual. Jankovich is a very good coach so the Mustangs are OK.

5) NC State had a great recruiting year; their new 7-footer Omer Yurtseven from Europe isn’t eligible until Dec 15 but the Wolfpack will hold their own in the 15-team ACC. Josh Pastner has a total rebuild at Georgia Tech after leaving a toxic situation at Memphis. ACC is really tough; Pitino-Williams-Krzyzewski-Boeheim-Bennett, all in the same league and thats leaving out Larranaga and Mike Brey, who are also really good coaches.

4) It still bothers me that half the Big East is in western Ohio or further west, but Xavier is supposed to be really good this year, right behind defending national champ Villanova. I was in Las Vegas for the national title game LY; what a fun night that was, with the two 3-pointers hit in the last 0:10 changing the fortunes of various investors in the room. Good stuff. Curious to see how St John’s is in Chris Mullin’s second year at his alma mater.

3) Five different teams have won the Big Sky title in the last decade; 20 of the league’s top 30 scorers are back from LY. This is as good as the league has been in years, with so many really good returning players. North Dakota is supposed to challenge perennial kingpins Weber State and Montana for the conference championship.

2) For some bizarre reason, the Big 14 is having its conference tournament in Washington DC this year (I know, Maryland is in the league, but still….); the ACC is having its tournament in the Barclays Center in Brooklyn- there are no ACC teams in the NY/NJ area. The A-14 will have its tournament in Pittsburgh, which seems like a bad idea.

1— For me, there are three great Opening Days: baseball, NFL, college hoop. Good twinbill from Hawai’i on Friday; ESPN’s 24-hour marathon starts Monday night. Lot of games to watch, boxscores to look over, things to learn.

Order some pizzas and enjoy the games!!!

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday,November 10

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N CAROLINA (7 - 2) at DUKE (3 - 6) - 11/10/2016, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 5) at GA SOUTHERN (4 - 5) - 11/10/2016, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH (7 - 2) at ARIZONA ST (5 - 4) - 11/10/2016, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTAH is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
UTAH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-----------------------------

Thursday,November 10

7:30 PM
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. GA SOUTHERN
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games
Ga Southern is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Ga Southern is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. DUKE
North Carolina is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Duke
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games
Duke is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home

9:30 PM
UTAH vs. ARIZONA STATE
Utah is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 9 games on the road
Arizona State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Arizona State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

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Thurs – Nov. 10

North Carolina at Duke, 7:30 PM ET
North Carolina: 7-19 ATS after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game
Duke: 23-10 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63

UL Lafayette at Georgia Southern, 7:30 PM ET
UL Lafayette: 29-15 ATS in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
Georgia S: 15-6 UNDER against conference opponents

Utah at Arizona State, 9:30 PM ET
Utah: 26-46 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10
Arizona St: 17-6 ATS in home games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games

-------------------------

Thursday’s games

North Carolina is 4-0 on road this season, with wins at Florida St, Miami; Tar Heels are 5-1 in last six games as a road favorite, 2-0 this year. UNC is 16-3 in its last 19 games with Duke, winning 66-31/45-20 last two years. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games. Tar Heels are 8-1 in last nine visits here; three of their last four wins at Duke were by 8 or less points. Blue Devils allowed 836 rushing yards in losing last three games, by 10-3-3 points. Duke is 11-7 in its last 18 games as a home underdog, 1-0 this year. ACC home underdogs are 7-7 this season.

Georgia Southern lost five of last six games, is 1-6 vs spread in last seven; Eagles lost 37-27 at Ole Miss five days ago, outgained 441-401- they’re 12-9 as a favorite since moving up to I-A, 1-3 this season. UL-Lafayette lost at home to Idaho Saturday, tis 4th loss in last five games; they’re 3-5 this year with two losses in OT. Cajuns are 1-2 on road this year with both losses in OT; they’re 4-10 in last 14 games as a home underdog, 0-2 this year. This is first time teams have met in last 20 years. Sun Belt home favorites are 6-9 vs spread in league play.

Arizona State lost four of last five games after a 4-0 start; they allowed 43.7 pts/game in losing last three games, by 24-5-19 points. ASU needs one more win to be bowl eligible; they allowed 734 yards in last game, a 54-35 loss to slumping Oregon. Utah is 8-2 but lost last game at home to Washington; Utes are 3-1 on road, with last three away games decided by 7 or less points. Utah is 3-3 as road favorite the last four years, 1-1 this year. ASU is 7-3-1 in its last 11 games as a home underdog, 3-3 under Graham, 2-0 this year. Pac-12 home teams are 22-14 vs spread this season, 9-5 as home dogs.

------------------------

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

Thursday, November 10

LA-Lafayette @ Georgia Southern

Game 113-114
November 10, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
71.582
Georgia Southern
74.787
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Southern
by 3
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 8 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Lafayette
(+8 1/2); Under

North Carolina @ Duke

Game 111-112
November 10, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
98.947
Duke
95.554
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 3 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 10 1/2
61
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(+10 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

North Carolina at Duke
November 8, 2016


With college basketball set to start this week one of the best basketball rivalries will take place on the football field as North Carolina makes the short trip northeast to Durham in Thursday’s ACC Coastal matchup.

These teams have split the past four meetings and while both teams look likely to fall short of last season’s success, this is still an important late season game on both sides. Here is a preview of the Thursday night ESPN game between North Carolina and Duke.

Matchup: North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils
Venue: Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, North Carolina
Time/TV: Thursday, Nov. 10, 7:30 PM ET
Line: North Carolina -10½, Over/Under 60
Last Meeting: 2015, at North Carolina (-7½) 66, Duke 31

North Carolina fell just eight points short of the ACC championship last season and the Tar Heels are on pace for another successful season as they will be favored to win out to reach 10-2. The lone ACC loss came to Virginia Tech in an ugly 34-3 early October result in Chapel Hill. That tiebreaker puts the Hokies in control of the ACC Coastal division unless they lose one of two remaining home games vs. Georgia Tech or Virginia. North Carolina also lost its opening game against Georgia in Atlanta.

David Cutcliffe has brought the Duke program out of the basement with four consecutive bowl seasons the past four years. That run looks poised to end with a 3-6 mark this season and difficult games remaining. This is the home finale in Durham before the Blue Devils go on the road at Pittsburgh and at Miami in the final two weeks. Duke is 0-5 in ACC play but they did pick up a prominent win over Notre Dame and all six losses this season have come by 14 or fewer points. Duke is just 2-3 S/U at home this season with the wins coming vs. FCS NC Central and Army.

Both of these nearby rivals are 6-3 ATS on the season with the Tar Heels riding four straight covers and Duke having won against the spread in each of four games. The yardage statistics paint a clear edge for North Carolina with the Tar Heels posting 6.8 yards per play with huge passing numbers of over 300 yards per game in the air. Junior quarterback Mitch Trubisky has 19 touchdowns against just two interceptions this season while completing over 70 percent of his passes to emerge as a top NFL prospect.

Quarterback play has been an issue for Duke this season as projected starter senior Thomas Sirk was lost for the season in late August. Redshirt freshman Daniel Jones stepped into the starting role with no experience and while he has thrown for over 2,000 yards he has thrown nine interceptions. Duke has lacked the complimentary running game they have had in past seasons gaining only 4.1 yards per rush and Duke has wound up out-gained in seven of eight FBS games this season.

Duke won back-to-back games in this series as an underdog in 2012 and 2013 but the past two seasons North Carolina has won in blowout results including a 66-31 win for the Tar Heels last season with both teams posting over 500 yards. North Carolina won and covered in all four road games this season including winning convincingly twice in the road favorite role. Duke was a home underdog for the first time this season last week hosting Virginia Tech, losing just 24-21 with a comeback effort after falling behind 21-7, holding Virginia Tech below 400 yards in a relatively even game.

Larry Fedora has now turned in five consecutive bowl seasons for North Carolina as a program that underachieved and was caught in constant transition much of the past two decades has some stability looking like one of the top programs on the Coastal side of the ACC with most having forgotten about the cloud of potential NCAA sanctions that has lingered over the program the past two years.

The Tar Heels have lost as favorites in bowl action the past two seasons however and a prominent bowl slot might become available to this team with a strong finish. A New Year’s Six slot is a bit of long shot as Louisville looks destined to be the clear #1 draw out of the ACC behind Clemson who is expected to make the College Football Playoff. A Citrus Bowl or Belk Bowl slot vs. a SEC squad would be an appealing draw for the program or the Tar Heels could return to Orlando and the Russell Athletic Bowl vs. a Big XII squad where they lost to Baylor last season.

For Duke winning out to make the postseason looks like a severe long shot but Jones has proven to be a dynamic dual-threat quarterback that gained valuable experience to lead this team the next few seasons. Duke has marquee non-conference games early next season vs. Northwestern and Baylor as a bounce back season in 2017 will be possible especially considering how close most of this year’s defeats were including impressive close games with Louisville and Virginia Tech. A win over rival North Carolina would certainly provide a boost to the season even with the worst Blue Devils record since 2011.

Historical Trends:

-- North Carolina has won 23 of the last 26 meetings S/U while winning ATS in 12 of the past 19 meetings but Duke is 6-5 ATS in the last 11 meetings though just 3-5 under Cutcliffe.

-- Since Cutcliffe took over in 2008, Duke is 13-12 ATS as a home underdog including an 8-4 run in the last 12 instances, picking up four S/U upsets in those eight+ seasons with the only upset as a double-digit home underdog coming vs. the Tar Heels in 2012.

-- Regardless of venue, Duke is 36-29-2 ATS as an underdog since 2008 including a current 16-5 run going back to early 2013.

-- North Carolina is 6-1 ATS the last seven games as a road favorite with the last S/U loss in that role coming in this matchup in 2012.

-- North Carolina is 11-8-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite under Fedora though this will be just the fourth instance for the Tar Heels laying double-digits on the road, going 1-2 in those instances.