The Bum's 2016 College Football Best Bets,Trends,Stat, News !!

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Bouagnon scores 5 TDs, No. Illinois rolls
November 1, 2016

DEKALB, Ill. (AP) Joel Bouagnon set a career-high with five rushing touchdowns and Northern Illinois beat Bowling Green 45-20 on Tuesday night in a rematch of the last three Mid-American Conference championship games.

Northern Illinois (3-6, 3-2) took a 7-0 lead on its first possession after Bouagnon scored on a 14-yard run. He added a short scoring run on the Huskies' second drive and Christian Hagan kicked a 41-yard field goal early in the second quarter for a 17-7 lead.

Northern Illinois safety Jackson Abresch intercepted a pass on a Bowling Green fake punt and Bouagnon capped a 24-yard drive with a 2-yard TD to make it 31-13. Bouagnon also had a 15-yard touchdown late in the third and a 6-yarder with 1:40 left.

Bouagnon carried it 26 times for 134 yards and Anthony Maddie added 93 yards and one touchdown for Northern Illinois, which gained 286 yards on the ground.

James Morgan threw for 224 yards and three touchdowns, including Teo Redding's one-handed catch in the end zone, for Bowling Green (1-8, 0-5).

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Davis, Western Michigan crush Ball State
November 1, 2016

MUNCIE, Ind. (AP) Western Michigan receiver Corey Davis used a nationally televised game as his own personal proving ground Tuesday night.

He got open all game. He made spectacular plays when given the chance. And, of course, he kept the 17th-ranked Broncos unbeaten.

By the time the show-stopping senior finally left the 52-20 victory over Ball State, he had caught 12 passes for a Mid-American Conference-record 272 yards, tied the conference mark for career touchdown receptions (47) and celebrated a school-record 11th consecutive victory.

''It's kind of like The Masters out there when there's no wind blowing and it's just a beautiful day, and you're just feeling really good,'' coach P.J. Fleck said before joking about a couple of drops Davis had. ''But I told him, `You left some meat on the bone out there.'''

At 6-foot-3, 213 pounds, some NFL scouts think Davis has what it takes to be a first-round draft pick next year. Some of them watched the game from the press box.

If Davis plays like he did Tuesday night, some team could get a real steal this spring.

It seemed like Davis burned the Cardinals' secondary on every play, catching TD passes of 57, 35 and 62 yards while moving within 296 yards of Trevor Insley's 17-year-old national record (5,005). Davis has 4,709 yards.

Western Michigan (9-0, 5-0 MAC, No. 23 CFP) knew just how talented Davis was after watching him the past four years.

The rest of a curious college football world may have gotten its first long look at him Tuesday when quarterback Zach Terrell went 23 of 34 for 367 yards with the three TD passes.

Ball State (4-5, 2-3) made too many mistakes to have a chance after Jarvion Franklin gave Western Michigan the lead for good with a 23-yard TD run in the first quarter.

''Unfortunately, we didn't execute at a high level like we needed to in order to have a chance to win against a football team like Western Michigan,'' first-year Ball State coach Mike Neu said.

THE TAKEAWAY

Western Michigan: The conference's top team and one of five remaining unbeaten teams certainly did not disappoint on national television. But will a blowout over a struggling MAC opponent be enough to help the Broncos climb the College Football Playoff rankings? Probably not.

Ball State: Neu doesn't have the talent or depth to compete with a team as strong as Western Michigan, but the opportunity to play a good team certainly gives Ball State a glimpse into how much it needs to improve to compete for a conference crown.

TOUGH BREAK

Ball State junior Jack Milas replaced injured quarterback Riley Neal, and Milas finished 20 of 38 for 199 yards with one touchdown. Milas threw two interceptions in the first half and two other interceptions were dropped by Western Michigan defenders.

KEY NUMBERS

Broncos CB Darius Phillips picked off Milas' sixth pass of the game and returned it for a 75-yard touchdown - his third pick-six of the season. ... Franklin, the MAC's No. 2 rusher after eight games, ran 17 times for 109 yards and two scores. The Broncos were plus-3 on turnovers after starting the day at plus-12. ... Ball State's James Gilbert only needed one quarter to extend his streak of consecutive 100-yard games to five. Gilbert finished with 29 carries for 155 yards and one score.

POLL IMPLICATIONS

Western Michigan: After becoming the first 9-0 team in the Football Bowl Subdivision, the only unbeaten outside the top four will watch this weekend to see if anyone else loses. If the Broncos win their next two, against teams that are a combined 5-12, Western Michigan should continue ascending.

Ball State: The Cardinals have lost two straight, are under .500 and in last-place in the MAC West.

UP NEXT

Western Michigan: The steamrolling Broncos head to Kent State (3-6, 2-3) next Tuesday, and will have to deal with yet another team trying to send a national message.

Ball State: The Cardinals hope to gain some momentum next Tuesday when they welcome Eastern Michigan. Ball State has won 10 of the last 11 in the series.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s six-pack

— Cubs 9, Indians 3– Game 7 is tonight in Cleveland.

— November 21 Texans-Raiders Monday night game is being played in Mexico City.

— Raiders don’t play another true road game until December 8 in KC; they finish with three road games in last four weeks, all division games.

— Patriots got a 3rd-round draft pick from Cleveland for LB Jaime Collins.

— Chicago Bulls are 3-0 for the first time in 20 years.

— Oklahoma City Thunder gave Victor Oladipo $84M for four years.


Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Steelers-Ravens play in Baltimore Sunday, with both teams off a bye week; wouldn’t it have made sense for this to be the Thursday night game this week? Football wasn’t meant to be played on three days’ rest.

12) Chicago Bears are the only NFL team that does not have a defensive player who has ever played in a Pro Bowl.

11) Bears’ offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains went to college at Arkansas, where he held for kicks for four years and learned football from coach Houston Nutt.

Loggains could’ve gone to a smaller school and played QB, but he thought he wanted to be a coach and chose to learn from Nutt, who was a very good coach before going on TV.

10) ESPN fantasy sports guru Matthew Berry was once a writer for the TV show Married with Children.

9) Dolphins are favored over the Jets this week; this is only 2nd time in last 12 years that Miami is favored in its post-bye game. Overall, Dolphins are 6-12 in their last 18 post-bye games.

8) There is a TV show on the History Channel called American Pickers, where two guys drive around in a van and try to buy collectible stuff from older people who live in mostly rural areas.

Why older people? Because they want to find people who are just looking to get rid of stuff, preferably for less money. Sometimes you get mad at the two guys, especially Frank, who thinks he is smarter than everyone else, but that is part of the business of making money, I guess.

The guys own two shops where they re-sell the stuff for a profit. It is oddly entertaining and worth watching.

7) In three of last five seasons, Dwight Howard has made less than half his foul shots; he is off to an 11-24 start this year, after his 8-20 game against the Kings Monday.

Howard makes $23M a year, has already banked $167M in salary in his career. How can I be a better free throw shooter than he is?

6) Clippers TV announcer Ralph Lawler is joy to listen to; always watch as many Clipper games as I can. Clippers were so bad for so long and now they’re good, so you’re happy for him. Lawler is enthusiastic and you can tell he is a real basketball fan.

5) Oklahoma City traded Ersan Ilyasova to Philly Tuesday, after he played only 62 minutes in three games for the Thunder- they acquired him as part of the Serge Ibaka deal.

This means when he plays for the Sixers, it’ll be the 5th team Ilyasova has played for in his last 79 games, going from the Bucks to Detroit to Orlando to the Thunder to Philadelphia.

On one hand, teams want you enough to trade for you; on the other hand, once they have you, then don’t mind getting rid of you.

4) Good news for NC State’s basketball team; freshman 7-footer Omer Yurtseven will be able to play for the Wolfpack this year— he becomes eligible December 15, enough time to get in a few games before ACC play starts.

Yurtseven is a 5-star level recruit, a huge get for Mark Gottfried.

3) There is a story going around that Nick Saban was interested in the Giants’ coaching job last January, and that the team almost hired him. Somehow, comedian Tom Arnold is involved with spreading this story, which makes it a little weirder.

You get the feeling Saban has one more coaching stop in him and it will be an NFL job— he has nothing left to prove in college.

2) Mets closer Jeurys Familia got arrested in New Jersey on domestic violence charges, which is bad news for Mets, seeing as Jose Reyes got suspended 52 games LY for a similar offense.

Aroldis Chapman got a 30-game suspension this year and he was never arrested for his offense.

1— Obscure Fact of the Day: Eddie Johnson played 17 years in the NBA, scored 19,202 points; he holds the record for most points scored in the NBA, without ever making an All-Star team.

Jamal Crawford has a good chance to break that record; he has scored 17,117 points; he is 36, looks like he would have to play two more years at his current pace to set the new record.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s game

Toledo lost as a 16.5-point favorite LW, at same time Akron was losing as an 18-point favorite, so both sides looking to bounce back here. Toledo is 4-2 in last six series games; they lost last two visits here, 47-30/31-29. Home side won five of last six meetings in series where last meeting was in 2013. Rockets are 5-6 in last 11 games as a road favorite. Akron is 3-11 as a home underdog under Bowden. Zips allowed 334 rushing yards/game in last three games- they are 0-3 this year when scoring less than 31 points. Toledo has road wins by 21-15 points; they lost 55-53 at BYU.

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:

11/01/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100

TRIPLE PLAYS RECORD: 43 - 35 - 6 *****

GOY...........0 - 1 ( IOWA BIG LOSER TO WISCONSIN )

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 237-226-11 51.19% -5800

O/U Picks 89-87-4 50.57% -3350

[StarDust Bum]

CFP Rankings: Texas A&M 4th behind 'Bama, Clemson, Michigan
November 2, 2016

Texas A&M was ranked fourth behind Alabama, Clemson and Michigan in the season's first College Football Playoff rankings.

The Aggies (7-1) surprisingly were a spot ahead of unbeaten Washington on Tuesday night in the first of six selection committee rankings. The Crimson Tide (8-0), Tigers (8-0), Wolverines (8-0) and Huskies (8-0) are the only remaining undefeated teams from Power Five conferences and hold the top four spots in the latest Associated Press poll .

The 12-person committee, however, gave a nod to Texas A&M's strength of schedule.

Ohio State was sixth and Louisville was seventh.

In the first two seasons of the College Football Playoff, only one team each season made the committee's initial top four and the final four.

The final rankings will be released Dec. 4, with the top four teams moving on to the College Football Playoff semifinals on Dec. 31 at the Fiesta and Peach bowls.

A look at what matters in the rankings and what they mean moving forward:

DON'T PANIC HUSKIES

Selection committee chairman Kirby Hocutt, Texas Tech's athletic director who is now in the role that Arkansas AD Jeff Long held the first two seasons of the CFP, made it clear Texas A&M's four victories against teams with winning records (Auburn, Arkansas, Tennessee and South Carolina - though it should be noted the Gamecocks are 4-4) provided the margin over Washington. The Huskies have two such victories.

''We had a lengthy discussion on the spot,'' Hocutt said. ''Washington is a well-balanced team and they had a good win on the road against Utah. But in the committee's mind Texas A&M has played a stronger schedule.''

The good news is there is room for the Huskies to grow. Washington still has USC and Washington State on its schedule and a possible Pac-12 championship game, which could be against Utah (16th in the committee's rankings), Colorado (15th) or USC, which would need a strong finish to get there. A big stretch run by Stanford would also help the Huskies.

Oregon being terrible is hurting the Huskies, who are getting little credit for pounding the Ducks. Another reason for Washington fans to hate Oregon.

Most important is this: The Huskies control their path to a Pac-12 championship and Texas A&M does not. The Aggies will need Alabama to lose at least a couple of times to reach the Southeastern Conference championship game.

The committee is told when considering similar teams to weigh conference championships like a tiebreaker.

If Washington wins out, the Huskies should be fine to get into the top four. If they win the Pac-12 but lose once along the way, it could get a little dicey for the Huskies when matched against an 11-1 A&M team that has lost only to Alabama.

A prediction: If it comes down to Pac-12 champion Washington at 12-1 and Texas A&M at 11-1, the Huskies will get that spot. Now if Alabama were to be the 11-1 team instead of A&M that would be a different story.

CARDINALS PROBABLY SHOULD PANIC

Louisville (7-1) will need two losses from Clemson to have a chance to win the Atlantic Coast Conference championship. Because that is probably not happening, the Cardinals are hoping to be impressive enough to get into the top four without a conference title.

The first rankings do not look promising for Louisville.

Hocutt again cited strength of schedule when talking about Louisville. The Cardinals only victory against a winning team was against Florida State, a 63-20 win that very well might rate as the best singular performance by any team this season. The Cardinals next most notable game was a close loss at Clemson.

Want to call out the committee? Michigan at No. 3 is benefiting from home victories against eighth-ranked Wisconsin, Colorado and Penn State, No. 12 in the rankings thanks to upsetting Ohio State. However, using the Sagarin Computer ratings, Michigan's strength of schedule is 49th in the nation. Louisville's is 52nd. Washington is 69th.

The Cardinals have games remaining against Wake Forest, Houston and Kentucky, all winning teams but none ranked.

The takeaway for Louisville: The Cardinals will need a ton of help to get in the playoff.

MARGIN OF VICTORY

Hocutt pointed out the committee does not look at margin of victory, which is sort of ridiculous.

The conference commissioners who set up the playoff protocol get hung up on the idea of not encouraging teams to run up the score, so there is no margin of victory metric. But there is no way the committee can evaluate teams properly while looking only at a W or L and not the final score.

GROUP OF FIVE

Unbeaten Western Michigan at No. 23 is the highest ranked team from the Group of Five, just ahead of Boise State at 24. The Broncos probably can't afford even one loss, but if they can make a perfect run to a Mid-American Conference title, a Cotton Bowl bid likely awaits.

[StarDust Bum]

ACC Report - Week 10
November 2, 2016

2016 ACC STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Boston College 4-4 1-4 3-4-1 2-6

Clemson 8-0 5-0 4-4 3-5

Duke 3-5 0-4 5-3 2-6

Florida State 5-3 2-3 4-3 4-3

Georgia Tech 5-3 2-3 3-3-1 4-2-1

Louisville 7-1 5-1 4-3-1 6-2

Miami (Fla.) 4-4 1-3 4-4 4-4

North Carolina 6-2 4-1 5-3 3-5

North Carolina State 4-4 1-3 5-3 4-3-1

Pittsburgh 5-3 2-2 3-5 7-1

Syracuse 4-4 2-2 4-4 2-6

Virginia 2-6 1-3 4-3-1 2-5-1

Virginia Tech 6-2 4-1 4-4 5-3

Wake Forest 5-3 2-2 4-4 3-5


Louisville at Boston College (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)

The Cardinals hit the road for Chestnut Hill looking to keep their playoff aspirations alive, and as of Wednesday morning they were 25-point favorites. Last week Louisville struggled at Virginia, eeking out a 32-25 win despite entering as 32-point favorites. The Cardinals are 0-2 ATS in their past two as more than a 20-point favorite, and 0-2-1 ATS in the past three in the situation. Overall Louisville is 1-3 ATS over the past four outings. Boston College snapped a 12-game ACC losing streak last week at N.C. State, 21-14, winning as 16-point underdogs. The 'under' is now 4-1 in the past five games for Boston College, and 6-2 overall this season. It's the opposite for Louisville, as the 'over' is 10-3 in the past 13 overall and 5-1 in their past six road games. The total is set for 57.

Georgia Tech at North Carolina (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m. ET)

The Ramblin' Wreck roll into Chapel Hill looking to deal the Tar Heels a costly loss in the Coastal Division. UNC enters as an 11-point favorite, and they're 2-0 ATS this season as a double-digit favorite. On the flip side, Georgia Tech failed to cover in their only game as a double-digit underdog Sept. 22 against Clemson, and they're 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS in three games as an underdog this season. Tech has struggled against the number lately, going 3-9 ATS in their past 12 against teams with a winning record, 4-12-1 ATS in the past 17 games overall and 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven away from home. They're also 1-6-1 ATS in their past eight ACC battles. For UNC, they're 5-2 ATS in their past seven overall while going 10-4 ATS in their past 14 against teams with a winning record. In this series, though, the Yellow Jackets are 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings.

Pittsburgh at Miami-Florida (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m. ET)

The Hurricanes lost a heartbreaker in South Bend last week, falling 30-27 in a wild one at Notre Dame. After opening the season 4-0 SU/ATS, the Canes are 0-4 SU/ATS over the past four. Pitt has been a little more consistent, although they were dropped 39-36 last week against Virginia Tech at home. The Panthers have covered in back-to-back games for the first time this season after opening 1-5 ATS in their first six outings. The Panthers have seen the 'over' hit in seven consecutive games to make them popular at the betting window. Pitt is 8-3 ATS in their past 11 road games, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven ACC battles. While the road team is 6-0 ATS in the past six meetings, while the Panthers are 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings.

Virginia at Wake Forest (ACC Network, 3:00 p.m.)

Virginia heads to the Triad looking to battle Wake Forest, and the Demon Deacons can become bowl eligible with a win against the 2-6 Cavaliers. UVA hasn't won many games, but they're tremendous against the number. The Cavaliers are 6-0-2 ATS in their past eight road games, 6-0-1 ATS in their past seven road outings against a team with a winning home record and 8-2 ATS in their past 10 league games. Overall they're 10-3-1 ATS in their past 14 outings. The Deacs are 5-2 ATS in their seven ACC games, but just 1-4 ATS in their past five outings. The underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven in this series, with the road team also 5-1-1 ATS during the span. The Cavs are 0-4 ATS in the past four in this series, although UVA is 3-1-1 ATS in their past five trips to Wake.

Syracuse at Clemson (ABC or ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)

The Orange head to Death Valley to battle the Tigers, and Clemson is a heavy favorite as they look to keep their playoff hopes on track. Syracuse pulled off a win as a 23-point underdog against Virginia Tech, so they're capable of winning against good teams. Syracuse has won back-to-back ACC games to get back to .500 overall, and defense has played a big part. They're allowing 18.5 PPG over the past two games, and the 'under' is 5-1 in their past six outings. For the Tigers, 'under' is 14-6 in the past 20 home games, and 5-2 in their past seven games in the month of November. Over the past 13 ACC games the 'over' has hit nine times for Clemson.

Virginia Tech at Duke (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)

The Hokies head down to Wallace Wade Stadium looking for their seventh victory of the season, and they're favored by 11 as of Wednesday morning. With Duke, it's uncertain what team will show up. They upset Notre Dame Sept. 24, and were turnover machines against Virginia Oct. 1. They slipped by Army in the rains of Hurricane Matthew Oct. 8, and then played playoff contender Louisville extremely tough, losing 24-14 as 35-point underdogs. The Blue Devils have covered their past three entering play, and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. The 'under' has been a popular play for both sides, going 6-1 in Virginia Tech's past seven road outings and 4-0 in their past four against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Duke's past four home games, and 6-2 in their past eight overall.

Florida State at North Carolina State (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m.)

The Seminoles suffered a tough loss at home against Clemson last week, as they looked to save their season. It's unusual to see FSU sitting at 5-3 heading into November. Now, they play in Raleigh against N.C. State, a place where the Seminoles have had plenty of trouble over the years. The Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their past five road games, and 9-4 ATS in their past 13 games overall. N.C. State fell victim last week to a bad Boston College team, as the Eagles snapped a 12-game ACC losing streak. The Wolfpack are 2-5 ATS in their past seven ACC tilts, and 2-6 ATS in their past eight against teams with a winning record. However, FSU opened as a 7 1/2-point favorite and bettors have moved the line down to 5 1/2. It's likely because the home team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings in this series and the underdog is 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings. FSU is 0-6-1 ATS in their past seven trips to Carter-Finley Stadium, and the 'Noles are 3-12-1 ATS in the past 16 in this series.

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Big 12 Report - Week 10
November 2, 2016

2016 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Baylor 6-1 3-1 2-5 1-6

Iowa State 1-7 0-5 5-3 5-3

Kansas 1-7 0-5 2-6 2-6

Kansas State 5-3 3-2 3-5 3-5

Oklahoma 6-2 5-0 3-5 5-3

Oklahoma State 6-2 4-1 5-3 5-3

Texas 4-4 2-3 5-3 4-4

Texas Christian 4-4 2-3 1-7 4-4

Texas Tech 4-4 2-3 6-2 4-4

West Virginia 6-1 3-1 3-4 2-5


Oklahoma at Iowa State (Thurs. - ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)

The Sooners are the only remaining unbeaten Big 12 team in conference play after Baylor and West Virginia suffered setbacks in league play last week. Oklahoma will look to keep it cooking against a bad Iowa State team which is already eliminated from bowl contention. Thursday football hasn't been kind to OU, as they're 1-4 ATS in their past five Thursday games. However, Oklahoma is 9-3 ATS in their past 12 conference tilts and 5-2 ATS in their past seven road outings against a team with a losing home record. Iowa State has been competitive despite their poor overall record, going 5-1 ATS in their past six home games and 4-1 ATS in their past Big 12 battles. They're also 4-0 ATS in their past four games on a Thursday. However, the favorite has covered each of the past four, Oklahoma is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings and the Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their past five trips to Ames.

Texas at Texas Tech (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)

The Longhorns likely gave Charlie Strong a reprieve with a solid victory against Baylor last week, erasing an eight-point deficit to win 35-34 on a 39-yard field goal with :46 remaining. The Longhorns haven't been as good on the road, however, covering just two of their past nine games on the road. Texas Tech, who are currently 3 1/2-point underdogs as of Wednesday morning, are 7-1 ATS in their past eight Big 12 games and 5-1 ATS in their past six overall. The Red Raiders are also 4-1 ATS in their past five home games. Texas Tech won in overtime at TCU last week, and look to finally solve the Longhorns. Despite some lean times at Texas lately, they're 5-1 ATS in their past six meetings aginst the Red Raiders, with the road team 5-2 ATS in the past seven overall in the series.

Texas Christian at Baylor (FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Baylor and TCU each suffered disappointing setbacks last weekend, as the Horned Frogs were dumped in overtime at home against Texas Tech, while Baylor was tripped up in Austin by Texas. Baylor opened as 10-point favorites, but the line sits at 7 1/2-point favorites as of Wednesday AM. The Horned Frogs are in a tailspin, and they're 0-5 ATS in their past five conference tilts and 0-4 ATS in their past four overall. Baylor is just 4-10 ATS in their past 14 overall, and 3-7 ATS in their past 10 inside the conference. However, the Bears are 29-11 ATS in their past 40 games at home. TCU is 4-0 ATS in the past four in this series, and 4-1 ATS in their past five visits to Waco with the underdog 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings. While the 'under' has dominated for each side lately, as the under is 4-1 in TCU's past five and 6-1 in Baylor's past seven, the 'over' is 4-1 in the past five in this series.

Oklahoma State at Kansas State (ABC or ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)

OK State picked up an impressive victory last week, handing West Virginia their first loss in a 37-20 win in Stillwater. Now, the Cowboys look for their fifth straight victory at K-State. The Cowboys have covered three of their past four, while the 'over' has hit in three of the past four as well. It's been the complete opposite for K-State lately. While they're 3-1 SU in their psat four, the Wildcats are 1-3 ATS in the past four while going 3-5 ATS in eight games overall. The 'over' is 9-2 in the past 11 conference games for the Cowboys, and 11-4 in their past 15 overall. The 'over' is 19-8 in K-State's past 27 home games agaisnt a team with a winning road record, the 'under' is 5-2 in their past seven against a team with a winning overall mark. In this series the 'over' has cashed in each of the past five, while the 'over' is 4-1 in the past five meetings in Manhattan. While the road team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings, OK State is 1-5 ATS in the past six trips to Manhattan, and 0-5 ATS in the past five in this series. As of Wednesday morning the Wildcats are installed as field-goal favorites.

Kansas at West Virginia (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)

Kansas is on primetime television for the second consecutive weekend, but it's certainly not to watch the Jayhawks. They're 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS this season, and they head to Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown to face an angry Mountaineers team coming off its first setback of the season at Oklahoma State last weekend. The Jayhawks are a dismal 3-13 ATS in their past 16 conference games, and 6-23 ATS in their past 29 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Mountaineers, who enter as five-touchdown favorites, are 4-1 ATS in their past five games in the month of November, but 0-5 ATS in their past five games following a straight-up loss. The total sits at 54 as of Wednesday morning, and the 'under' might be a popular play. The 'under' is 6-1 in KU's past seven overall, and 4-1 in their past five Big 12 games. The under is also 19-7 in the past 26 road outings for Kansas. The 'under' is an impressive 18-3 in the past 21 conference games for West Virginia, and 22-7 in their past 29 games overall. The under is also 7-2 in their past nine against teams with a losing record.

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Pac-12 Report - Week 10
November 2, 2016

2016 PAC-12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Arizona 2-6 0-5 1-7 4-4

Arizona State 5-4 2-4 5-4 5-4

California 4-4 2-3 4-4 6-2

Colorado 6-2 4-1 8-0 3-5

Oregon 3-5 1-4 1-6-1 6-2

Oregon State 2-6 1-4 6-2 4-4

Southern California 5-3 4-2 4-4 2-6

Stanford 5-3 3-3 5-3 2-6

UCLA 3-5 1-4 2-6 3-4-1

Utah 7-2 4-2 5-4 5-4

Washington 8-0 5-0 4-4 7-1

Washington State 6-2 5-0 4-4 5-3


UCLA at Colorado (Thu. - FOX Sports 1, 9:00 p.m. ET)

The Bruins head to Folsom Field in Boulder looking to salvage their season, as they hit November with five losses already. The Buffaloes are coming off a bye and looking to move to 9-0 ATS on the season. UCLA is just 2-8 ATS in their past 10 games overall, and 1-5 ATS in their past six against a team with a winning record. UCLA is also 1-5 ATS in their past six games on the road. Colorado has covered six straight games inside the league, 5-0 ATS in their past five home games and 4-1 ATS in their past five against a team with a losing overall record. Colorado is holding steady as an 11-point favorite and the total has been pushed up from 55 to 58. That's interesting with the 'under' 3-0-1 in UCLA's past four road games, 6-2-1 in their past nine conference tilts and 6-2-1 in their past nine against winning teams. The under is 4-0 in Colorado's past four, 5-0 in their past five against losing teams and 4-0 in their past four conference battles. The under is also 5-1 in Colorado's past six at home.
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Oregon State at Stanford (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m.)

Stanford went down to Arizona and won 34-10 against the struggling Wildcats, improving to 3-1 on the road this season. Their problems have been on 'The Farm', as they have dropped their past two in Palo Alto, last winning at home Sept. 17. Oregon State dropped their third straight game last weekend, but they played Washington State tough in a 35-31 loss. It's the same Washington State team which emasculated Stanford 42-16 Oct. 8 in Palo Alto. The Beavers have covered four in a row, and they're 2-1 ATS in three games on the road this season. Oregon State has also covered four conference games, and they're 4-0 ATS in their past four against winning teams. In this series, the favorite is 6-0 ATS in the past six, while Oregon State is 0-4 ATS in their past four trips to Stanford and 0-6 ATS in their past six tries against the Cardinal.

Arizona at Washington State (Pac-12 Network, 4:00 p.m. ET)

The Wildcats continue to struggle, and things do not figure to get much better on the Palouse against the Cougars. Washington State is 5-0 in five league games, as they look to keep pace with Washington and set up a winner-take-all finale in the Apple Cup for a trip to the Pac-12 Championship Game. First things first, though, as WaZu must get by Arizona first. The underdog is 11-3 ATS in the past 14 meetings in this series.However, Arizona is 0-5 ATS in their past five road games, 0-4 ATS in their past four overall and 1-4 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning overall record. Washington State is 7-2 ATS in their past nine at home, 10-4 ATS in their past 14 Pac-12 games and 13-5 ATS in their past 18 overall.

Oregon at Southern California (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)

Oregon looked like Oregon last week, rolling past Arizona State 54-35 in Eugene to snap a five-game losing streak. They covered as a 10-point favorite, picking up their first cover of the season after an 0-6-1 ATS start. It was also the fifth consecutive 'over' for the Ducks, who have yielded 35 or more points in six straight games, and 26 or more points in all eight of their outings. However, Oregon has also scored 32 or more in seven of their eight games, so you can still expect plenty of points in an Oregon game win or lose. After a difficult 1-3 SU/ATS start, the Trojans have rattled off four straight games while going 3-1 ATS. While Oregon has scored plenty of points, the 'under' is 4-0 in USC's past four, and 6-1 in their past seven overall. The 'over' has hit in five straight games, with the Ducks 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. However, the favorite is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 in this series.

Washington at California (ESPN2, 10:30 p.m.)

The Huskies are on the road for the second straight week. They survived a difficult test in Salt Lake City against Utah last week, winning by seven, but failing to cover. They head to Berkeley as a 17-point favorite as of Wednesday morning. The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their past five trips to California, and they're 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings overall in this series. The road team is also 4-0 ATS in the past four, favoring the Huskies in this one. The 'under' has hit in seven in a row in this series, but the 'over' is the trend for both teams lately. The 'over' is 5-0 in Washington's past five road games, 7-0 in their past seven league games and 10-1 in the past 11 overall. For Cal, the 'over' is 8-2 in their past 10 overall, 4-1 in their past five at home and 5-2 in their past seven against teams with a winning overall mark.

Teams on a bye week
Arizona State, Utah

[StarDust Bum]

Tech Trends - Week 10
November 2, 2016


THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 3

Matchup Skinny Edge

TOLEDO at AKRON...Zips 1-5 last six as home dog, and Bowden just 5-9-1 last 15 vs. line at Infocision Stadium. Rockets have covered 10 of last 11 away from Glass Bowl.
Toledo, based on team trends.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 3
Matchup Skinny Edge

BUFFALO at OHIO... Home team has won and covered easily last three meetings. Note road team has covered last nine Ohio reg.-season games! Leipold 3-10 last 13 on board, also has dropped seven straight vs. line as visitor. Lots of conflicting trends here.
Slight to Ohio, based on recent Buff woes.

ARKANSAS STATE at GEORGIA STATE...Road team has covered last 3 in series. Though Red Wolves no covers last three away from Jonesboro. GSU has covered last six TY and is 12-2-1 last 15 reg.-season games vs. line, 11-3-1 last 14 as dog.
GSU, based on recent trends.

OKLAHOMA at IOWA STATE...Stoops has crushed last four with wins and covers in each and Cyclones have lost 8 in a row SU vs. Sooners (last ISU win in 2005). But ISU has covered 5 of last 6 TY and is 4-2 as dog, Matt Campbell 14-8 as dog in his career. OU 1-4 last five as chalk away from Norman.
Iowa State, based on recent trends.

UCLA at COLORADO... MacIntyre 8-0 vs. spread TY, now on 13-2 spread uptick since mid 2015. MacIntyre also 3-0 vs. line against Mora since taking over Buffs in 2013. Buffs 14-3 vs. points last 17 at Boulder. More on 2-8 spread skid since late 2015.
Colorado, based on team and series trends.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4
Matchup Skinny Edge

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at MIAMI-OHIO...Ugh! Chuck Martin 15-9 as dog since taking over at Miami in 2013 (4-2 TY). Chips 12-4 vs. spread last 16 as visitor, but no covers 4 of last 5 TY.
Slight to CMU, based on team trends.

TEMPLE at UCONN...Owls have covered last 8 TY and are 18-6 last 24 on board. Rhule 8-3 vs. number last 11 as visitor. Temple has dominated UConn last two years combined 63-13 score. Huskies 5-13 vs. points at home for Diaco since 2014.
Temple, based on team trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at BOISE STATE...Broncos now no covers last 7 as blue carpet chalk though Harsin rolled Spartans at San Jose LY. Caragher 2-12 last 14 as visiting dog.
Slight to Boise State, based on team trends.

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, NOV. 5

Matchup Skinny Edge

NAVY vs. NOTRE DAME (at Jacksonville, FL)...Irish 4-8 last 12 on board. Brian Kelly 3-9 last 12 as chalk away from home. Mids 14-5-1 vs. points last 20 since late 2014 and have covered 4 of last 7 in series.
Navy, based on team trends.

TEXAS STATE at APP STATE...No covers last three or 10 of last 1 at Boone for App, though Mounties 5-3 vs. line TY after Ga So win. Bobcats 2-8 vs. line last ten away (2-2 TY for Withers).
Slight to App State, based on team trends.

BYU at CINCINNATI...Cougs 5-0 vs. line away from Provo TY, and Sitake 6-1-1 vs. line. Tuberville on 3-9 spread skid since mid 2015 and only 1-5 last six vs. line at Nippert. Bearcats no covers last 3 as dog.
BYU, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE at ARMY...Falcs 15-4 vs. line in series since '97 and 8-1 vs. spread last nine at West Point. Though Falcs have cooled with 4 spread losses in a row TY.
Air Force, based on series trends.

LOUISVILLE at BOSTON COLLEGE... Road team has covered last two meetings, BC almost got Cards at Papa John's LY. Petrino on 7-3 spread run since last LY and 6-3 as chalk away from home since 2014. Eagles 0-4 as home dog since LY.
Louisville, based on team trends.

PURDUE at MINNESOTA...Purdue 2-1 as road dog TY and now 9-3 in role since 2014. Gophers just 1-5 vs. spread last six at TCF Bank Stadium. Road team has covered last two years in series.
Purdue, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at DUKE...Cutcliffe 15-5 last 20 as dog, 5-3 vs. line against VT. Last three decided by six points total! /div>
Duke, based on team and series trends.

SYRACUSE at CLEMSON...Cuse has covered last two meetings, and Babers beginning to make impact with covers last two TY. Dabo just 2-5-1 last 8 as Death Valley chalk.
Syracuse, based on team and recent series trends.

KANSAS at WEST VIRGINIA...Beaty 1-7 vs. points last eight as road dog, 5-15 overall vs. spread since taking over KU last year. Holgorsen 7-3 last ten as DD chalk.
West Virginia, based on team trends.

INDIANA at RUTGERS...Rutgers 1-5 vs. line last six Big Ten home games. Scarlet Knights 7-13 overall vs. spread since LY (3-5 for Ash).
Slight to Indiana, based on Rutgers negatives.

MICHIGAN STATE at ILLINOIS...Spartans no covers last five as visiting chalk. Lovie 2-1 last 3 as dog TY though Illini no covers last four as host.
Slight to Illini, based on recent MSU woes.

FLORIDA STATE at NC STATE... NCS 1-1 as dog TY but 1-6 last seven getting points since LY. Pack has covered first four at home TY and 3 of last 4 vs. Jimbo.
Slight to NC State, based on team and series trends.

MARYLAND at MICHIGAN... Harbaugh only 4-4 vs. line TY and 6-8 last 14 reg.-season games on board. Wolves no covers 3 of last 4 in Ann Arbor TY.
Slight to Maryland, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA at WAKE FOREST...Cavs now 17-6 their last 23 as dog after 'Ville cover. Deacs just 2-6 as home chalk since 2013.
Virginia, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS STATE...Snyder has covered five straight vs. Gundy and is 8-4 vs. line last 12 as Big 12 host. OSU only 6-6 as dog since 2014.
Kansas State, based on team and series trends.

EAST CAROLINA at TULSA...Pirates 0-3-1 vs. line away TY. Tulsa 3-1 vs. line at home TY after 1-5 mark as host LY.
Tulsa, based on recent trends.

UTSA at MIDDLE TENNESSEE...UTSA 0-5-1 last six vs. line on road. Stockstill 7-4-2 last 13 as chalk.
MTSU, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE at SOUTHERN MISS...Improving 49ers 2-1 SU, 3-0 last three vs. line TY. USM 1-6 vs. spread last seven TY and 0-4 vs. points as host.
Charlotte, based on recent trends.

TCU at BAYLOR...Frogs just 1-7 vs. spread TY and 4-7 vs. line last 11 as visitor. Bears however just 3-10 last 12 vs. spread in reg season (2-5 TY).
Slight to Baylor, based on recent TCU negatives.

PITT at MIAMI-FLA...Reeling Canes 0-4 SU and vs. line last four TY. Road team has covered last three in series. Pitt 4-2 vs. spread last six away, Narduzzi 6-4 as dog since LY.
Slight to Pittsburgh, based on team trends.

GEORGIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA...Paul Johnson just 8-9 as dog since 2013. Tech 1-7 vs. line last 8 away from Atlanta. Heels 6-3 last nine as Chapel Hill chalk.
UNC, based on team trends.

VANDERBILT at AUBURN...Malzahn on another of his runs, covers last five and 7 of 8 this season. Derek Mason 6-4 as SEC road dog since 2014, 14-9 overall as dog.
Auburn, based on recent trends.

GEORGIA at KENTUCKY...Stoops was ripped by Richt the past three years, but note that UK covered 4 of previous 5 meetings. Cats have covered last five TY. Kirby Smart 2-5 last seven vs. line TY.
Kentucky, based on recent trends.

FLORIDA at ARKANSAS...Bielema 1-4 vs. line last five TY, only 1-3 last four at home. Bielema had covered 10 of 12 as dog before dropping 3 of last 4 in role TY.
Slight to Florida, based on recent trends.

FRESNO STATE at COLORADO STATE...Fresno 5-1 last six vs. line TY after AFA cover. But Bulldogs 3-9 vs. spread last 12 away from home. Bobo 5-1-1 vs. line last seven TY and 4-2-1 vs. spread last seven at Ft. Collins.
Colorado State, based on team trends.

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at OLE MISS...Ga Southern downgraded, no covers last six TY after App State loss. Rebs 4-1-1 vs. line last six at Oxford vs. non-SEC foes, and 8-2 last ten as home chalk.
Ole Miss, based on team trends.

UMASS at TROY... Mass 2-1 vs. line away TY, though was only 1-4 as road dog LY. Troy 4-2-1 vs. line TY, 3-1 laying DD.
Troy, based on team trends.

FAU at RICE...Rice 0-2 as home chalk TY, though Bailiff was were 6-1-1 as home chalk previous two years. FAU 1-7 vs. line TY, and Boca Raton 4-14-1 last 19 on board.
Rice, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at WYOMING...Utags 3-10 last 13 on board after SDSU loss and 3-7 vs. spread last ten away from Logan. Wyo covers last 4 TY, and Bohl 10-5-1 last 16 on board. Bohl 3-0-1 vs. line last four at Laramie.
Wyoming, based on recent trends.

MISSOURI at SOUTH CAROLINA...Tigers have lost last 10 SEC games SU, and just 5-14 vs. spread since 2015 (2-5 TY). Though they have covered last two vs. SC. Muschamp 9-16 as chalk since 2012 at Florida.
South Carolina, based on Mizzou negatives.

SOUTH ALABAMA at ULM...Jags no covers last five Sun Belt road games. ULM, however, on 5-game spread skid, and Warhawks 5-12 vs. points last 17 as host.
Slight to South Alabama, based on ULM woes.

IDAHO at UL-LAFAYETTE... Idaho has covered 10 straight at Sun Belt visiting dog! ULL just 6-12 last 12 vs. line at Cajun Field.
Idaho, based on team trends.

FIU at WKU...Golden Panthers 2-4-1 last seven away since LY. FIU no covers last five as DD dog.
Western Kentucky, based on team trends.

LA TECH at NORTH TEXAS...Mean Green 5-1-1 last 7 vs. line TU, but LT has won and covered last 2 in series. Skip 4-1 vs. line away TY, 15-6 last 21 vs. line away from Ruston.
Slight to La Tech, based on extended trends.

WASHINGTON at CAL...Huskies 7-4 last 11 on board. Cal 2-0-1 vs. line at home TY but only 3-6 last 9 as dog (2-2 TY).
Slight to Washington, based on series trends.

OREGON at SOUTHERN CAL...Ducks 1-6-1 vs. line TY, 1-8-1 last ten since late 2015! Oregon 4-1 SU and vs. line last five vs. Trojans. SC 4-1 vs. line last five at Coliseum.
Slight to USC, based on recent Oregon woes.

MARSHALL at ODU...Herd 2-5 vs. line last seven TY. ODU on 8-4 spread uptick since late 2015, and covers last five at Norfolk.
ODU, based on team trends.

HAWAII at SAN DIEGO STATE...Aztecs now 13-2 vs. spread last 15 MW reg season games after rout of Utags. Rocky Long 8-2 vs. line last 10 vs. MW at Qualcomm. SDSU has won and covered all four vs. UH since Bows joined MW in 2012. Rolovich, however, has covered 4 of 5 away from Honolulu TY.
San Diego State, based on extended trends.

TEXAS at TEXAS TECH...Horns 6-1 SU last seven and 5-2 vs. line last five in series. Red Raiders 9-3 vs. spread at Lubbock. Horns 1-7 vs. line last 8 as visitor for Charlie Strong.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.

MEMPHIS at SMU...SMU in payback mode after Memphis obliterated Mustangs past two seasons by 111-10 total score. SMU however 6-2 vs. line TY. Memphis no covers last five away from Liberty Bowl.
SMU, based on recent trends.

IOWA at PENN STATE...Hawkeyes 8-1 vs. line last nine as visitor.
Iowa, based on team trends.

OREGON STATE at STANFORD...Beavs rallying with covers in last four TY, though OSU was 6-21-1 vs. line previous 28 on line. Tree just 1-4 vs. line last five on Farm.
Slight to Oregon State, based on recent trends.

ARIZONA at WASHINGTON STATE...Road team won and covered last three meetings. Leach 6-4 vs. spread last ten at home and still 13-5 last 18 vs. number overall. Cats no covers last four TY and 1-9 last ten on board.
Washington State, based on team trends.

ALABAMA at LSU...Orgeron now 9-3 vs. spread as interim HC with SC (2013) and LSU. Tide has beaten Tigers five straight covering four of those but has been all-out to win nail-biters last two at Baton Rouge. Tide 9-3 vs. spread last 12 away from Tuscaloosa, LSU 11-5-1 vs. spread last 17 at Baton Rouge, though only 1-4 last five as dog.
Slight to Alabama, based on team trends.

WISCONSIN at NORTHWESTERN...NU has rolled Wiscy last two seasons and is 12-7 as dog since 2014 (3-1 TY). Fitz has covered last 4 and 5 of last 6 TY, and 16-9 last 24 vs. line overall. Badgers 6-1 vs. line TY and 8-1 last 9 on board. Wiscy has also covered last six away from Madison.
Northwestern, based on team trends.

NEBRASKA at OHIO STATE...Bucks no covers last 5 TY after opening 4-0 vs. line. Riley 8-3-1 last 12 vs. line since late LY and 4-1-1 as dog since taking over Huskers. Nebraska 8-1-1 as dog away from home since 2013.
Nebraska, based on recent trends.

NEVADA at NEW MEXICO...Pack no covers four away from Reno TY after 6-1 mark on road in 2015. Polian 1-7 vs. line TY.
New Mexico, based on recent trends.

TULANE at UCF (moved from Oct. 7)...UCF continues recovery under new HC Frost, now 6-2 vs. line TY.
UCF, based on recent trends.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 10

Wednesday,November 2

Toledo @ Akron

Game 305-306
November 2, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
82.016
Akron
77.517
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 4 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 9
71
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(+9); Under




NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 10

Wed – Nov. 2

Toledo at Akron, 7:30 PM ET
Toledo: 9-1 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game
Akron: 6-18 ATS in home games after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game




NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Wednesday’s game

Toledo lost as a 16.5-point favorite LW, at same time Akron was losing as an 18-point favorite, so both sides looking to bounce back here. Toledo is 4-2 in last six series games; they lost last two visits here, 47-30/31-29. Home side won five of last six meetings in series where last meeting was in 2013. Rockets are 5-6 in last 11 games as a road favorite. Akron is 3-11 as a home underdog under Bowden. Zips allowed 334 rushing yards/game in last three games- they are 0-3 this year when scoring less than 31 points. Toledo has road wins by 21-15 points; they lost 55-53 at BYU.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 10

Thursday,November 3

UCLA @ Colorado

Game 315-316
November 3, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UCLA
88.722
Colorado
108.603
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 20
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
by 11 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-11 1/2); Over

Oklahoma @ Iowa State

Game 313-314
November 3, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
108.273
Iowa State
92.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 16
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 21
70
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(+21); Under

Arkansas St @ Georgia State

Game 311-312
November 3, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
83.749
Georgia State
72.604
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 11
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 3
45
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-3); Over

Buffalo @ Ohio

Game 309-310
November 3, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
63.124
Ohio
80.654
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 17 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 20
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+20); Over

Lamar @ Nicholls St

Game 501-502
November 3, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Lamar
55.861
Nicholls St
56.654
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nicholls St
by 1
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nicholls St
Pick
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nicholls St
Over


Friday,November 4

San Jose St @ Boise State

Game 321-322
November 4, 2016 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose St
68.793
Boise State
94.008
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 25
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 29 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(+29 1/2); Over

Temple @ Connecticut

Game 319-320
November 4, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
87.492
Connecticut
82.007
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Temple
by 5 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Temple
by 10 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+10 1/2); Over

Central Michigan @ Miami of Ohio

Game 317-318
November 4, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
80.975
Miami of Ohio
73.907
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 7
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 3 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Central Michigan
(-3 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Thursday’s games

Buffalo is 0-3 as a road underdog this year, outscored 117-24 in those games- they’re 4-9 in last 13 games as a road dog. Home side won last six Buffalo-Ohio games; Bulls lost last three visits here, by 23-7-17 points. Underdogs covered six of last nine series games. Ohio won five of last six games but is 0-3 vs spread as a home favorite this year, after being 6-2 last two years. Buffalo is 2-6 but upset Akron LW; four of Bulls’ last five losses are by 24+ points. Ohio ran ball for 477 yards in its last two games. MAC home favorites are 4-13 vs spread this spread.

Arkansas State won last three games with Georgia State: 48-34/35-33 at home, 52-10 in last visit here, two years ago. ASU ran ball for 680 yards in last two meetings- they’ve won three games in row after an 0-4 start, winning by 1-10-41 points- they also had two bye weeks in there since the 0-4 start. This is Red Wolves’ first road game since 34-20 loss at Utah State Sept 16; they’re 10-5 in last 15 games as a road favorite. Georgia State is 2-6 but covered its last five lined games; they’re 2-5-1 in last eight games as a home dog. Sun Belt home dogs are 4-4.

Oklahoma won its last 12 games with Iowa State, covering nine of last 11; Cyclones scored 16 or less points in all 12 games. Sooners covered four of last five visits to Ames. Oklahoma gained 684-751 yards vs ISU last two years. Iowa State is 0-4 in Big X but covered three of four games, losing by 3-7-21-5 points; Cyclones are 2-0 as home dogs this year after being 11-14-1 under the previous coach. Oklahoma scored 49.4 pts/game in winning its last five games after a 1-2 start; Sooners won 52-46/66-59 in their two true road games this year- they also lost at Houston, but that game was NRG Stadium, not the Cougars’ stadium.

Colorado is 7-0 vs spread this year, only perfect spread record in country; they won both Pac-12 home games, 47-6/40-16, are now 8-0 as a home favorite under MacIntyre. UCLA won its last five games with Colorado; Bruins were double digit favorite in all five games- they’re a double digit dog here and QB Rosen is out for year. UCLA won 40-37/42-14 in last two visits to Boulder. Despite losing to Bruins last two years, Colorado did gain 554-500 TY in those games. UCLA lost four of last five games, losing last three by 3-6-7 points- they’re 6-5 as home dogs under Mora, 1-1 this season.

Friday’s games

Central Michigan won five of last six games with Miami, winning last three by 7-12-14 points; Chippewas won 21-9/38-37 in last two visits here. Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. Miami won its last three games after an 0-6 start, allowing 18.3 pts/game during its win streak. Redhawks are 4-4-1 as home dogs under Martin. Central is 9-2 in last 11 games as a road favorite, 1-1 this year- they won at Oklahoma State this year, then got upset at Virginia. MAC home underdogs are 4-7 against the spread.

Temple won four of last five games with UConn, with three of four wins by 14+ points. Owls won 36-10/17-14 in last two visits here. Favorites covered last two series games after dogs covered six in row before that. Owls won last three games (by 1-16-21 points), covered last seven; they are 1-2 on road this year, with only win 26-25 at UCF. Temple is 6-5 as road favorite under Rhule. Huskies lost last three games, allowing 35.7 pts/game; they’re 21-10 as home dogs last nine years, 1-1 this year. AAC home underdogs are 6-4 vs spread.

Boise State’s last three games were all decided by 5 or less points; they got upset at Wyoming LW, are 0-4 as home favorites this year, 6-11 under Harsin. Last five years, Boise is 9-3 vs spread in game following a loss. Broncos won last 11 games with San Jose State, covering last five, winning by average score of 42-11. Spartans covered once in last five games on blue turf, losing 45-7/42-7 in last two visits here. Boise ran for 512 yards in last two meetings. Mountain West home favorites are 5-9 vs spread. San Jose is 2-12 in last 14 games as a road underdog.

[StarDust Bum]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:

11/01/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100

TRIPLE PLAYS RECORD: 43 - 35 - 6 *****

GOY...........0 - 1 ( IOWA BIG LOSER TO WISCONSIN )

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 237-226-11 51.19% -5800

O/U Picks 89-87-4 50.57% -3350

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 2

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOL at AKR 07:30 PM

AKR +10.0 *****

U 72.0 *****