AFC East Win Totals
August 16, 2016
NFL preseason action is in full swing now and that means there are only a few weeks left for bettors to get down on season win total options for the year. Sportsbook.ag has plenty of great numbers up there, but today we'll be looking at the AFC East division and what the best bet within the division may end up being.
Sportsbook.ag AFC East Season Win Total Odds:
Buffalo Bills: Over 8 (+105), Under 8 (-125)
Miami Dolphins: Over 7 (+100), Under 7 (-120)
New England Patriots: Over 10.5 (-140), Under 10.5 (+120)
New York Jets: Over 7.5 (-120), Under 7.5 (+100)
To start, all four of these division rivals will have to deal with the NFC West (Arizona, Seattle, San Francisco, L.A. Rams) and the AFC North (Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Cleveland) as common opponents so it will be a tough year in general for the AFC East. That's why you've got the Jets, Bills, and Dolphins win total numbers all around the .500 mark as one of them looks to dethrone the Patriots reign atop the division.
Obviously, the big news out of New England this summer is that Tom Brady will miss the first four games and QB Jimmy Garoppolo is at the helm. With games at Arizona, vs. Miami, vs. Houston, and vs. Buffalo for New England to start the year, I'm sure the Pats would be glad to get out of there with a 2-2 SU or better mark. That in itself makes the “Under 10.5 wins at +120 for New England look rather attractive.
However, that is most likely not the best bet of these four options because Garoppolo could surprise, and you know once Brady gets back he'll be looking to take out his anger/frustration on his opponent each week.
The best season win total bet in the AFC East from my perspective is on the “over” 7 wins at +100 for the Miami Dolphins.
The Dolphins beefed up their defensive line this off-season with the addition of Mario Williams to go alongside a healthy Cameron Wake and Ndamukong Suh. QB Ryan Tannehill is always a bit of a question mark, but he's got a couple of great young WR's at his disposal (Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker), and the duo of Jay Ajayi and Arian Roster at RB could make for a dynamic backfield.
Schedule-wise they open up with a brutal two-game road trip at Seattle and at New England, but going up to Foxborough without having to deal with Brady might be that early break the 2016 Miami Dolphins need. Miami's schedule also softens up dramatically after the bye (Week 8), and ending the year with three straight division games could be the difference between the Dolphins playing playoff football or not. This team should be able to find a way to go 8-8 SU or better and the fact that the 'over' 7 is at plus-money, and a flat number of “7” for push purposes puts this wager over the top for me in the AFC East.
August 16, 2016
NFL preseason action is in full swing now and that means there are only a few weeks left for bettors to get down on season win total options for the year. Sportsbook.ag has plenty of great numbers up there, but today we'll be looking at the AFC East division and what the best bet within the division may end up being.
Sportsbook.ag AFC East Season Win Total Odds:
Buffalo Bills: Over 8 (+105), Under 8 (-125)
Miami Dolphins: Over 7 (+100), Under 7 (-120)
New England Patriots: Over 10.5 (-140), Under 10.5 (+120)
New York Jets: Over 7.5 (-120), Under 7.5 (+100)
To start, all four of these division rivals will have to deal with the NFC West (Arizona, Seattle, San Francisco, L.A. Rams) and the AFC North (Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Cleveland) as common opponents so it will be a tough year in general for the AFC East. That's why you've got the Jets, Bills, and Dolphins win total numbers all around the .500 mark as one of them looks to dethrone the Patriots reign atop the division.
Obviously, the big news out of New England this summer is that Tom Brady will miss the first four games and QB Jimmy Garoppolo is at the helm. With games at Arizona, vs. Miami, vs. Houston, and vs. Buffalo for New England to start the year, I'm sure the Pats would be glad to get out of there with a 2-2 SU or better mark. That in itself makes the “Under 10.5 wins at +120 for New England look rather attractive.
However, that is most likely not the best bet of these four options because Garoppolo could surprise, and you know once Brady gets back he'll be looking to take out his anger/frustration on his opponent each week.
The best season win total bet in the AFC East from my perspective is on the “over” 7 wins at +100 for the Miami Dolphins.
The Dolphins beefed up their defensive line this off-season with the addition of Mario Williams to go alongside a healthy Cameron Wake and Ndamukong Suh. QB Ryan Tannehill is always a bit of a question mark, but he's got a couple of great young WR's at his disposal (Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker), and the duo of Jay Ajayi and Arian Roster at RB could make for a dynamic backfield.
Schedule-wise they open up with a brutal two-game road trip at Seattle and at New England, but going up to Foxborough without having to deal with Brady might be that early break the 2016 Miami Dolphins need. Miami's schedule also softens up dramatically after the bye (Week 8), and ending the year with three straight division games could be the difference between the Dolphins playing playoff football or not. This team should be able to find a way to go 8-8 SU or better and the fact that the 'over' 7 is at plus-money, and a flat number of “7” for push purposes puts this wager over the top for me in the AFC East.
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