The Bum's National Football League Week # 6 Rated Plays - Trends - News Etc. !!

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NFL

Wednesday, October 14


Falcons' WR Julio Jones expected to play Thursday night

Atlanta Falcons star wide receiver Julio Jones is expected to suit up Thursday night in New Orleans when the Falcons face the Saints, despite dealing with a hamstring injury.

It should be noted that the team will monitor Jones' snaps and could be on a so called 'pitch count'. But with the star wideout in the lineup, the Falcons have moved to 3.5-point road favorites.


Cowboys to go with Cassel at QB after bye

The Dallas Cowboys will start Matt Cassel at quarterback in Week 7 against the New York Giants following their bye week, after dropping their third straight game this weekend.

The team is winless since stater Tony Romo went down with a broken collarbone and he will miss at least four more games, before he is eligible to come off the I-R.

Cassel replaces Brandon Weeden, who went 0-3 straight up and against the spread as the starter.


Bills' QB Taylor says he plans to play Sunday

When Buffalo Bills starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor was asked Wednesday if would play Sunday's game against Cincinnati he responded, "That's the plan."

It had been reported that Taylor could miss several weeks due to an MCL sprain suffered on a horse collar tackle in the forth quarter of last Sunday's 14-13 win over Tennessee.

The Bills are currently 3.5-point home dogs, but Taylor added it would be the coach's final decision as to whether or not he would suit up.


Colts re-sign RB Bradshaw

Running back Ahmad Bradshaw re-signed with the Indianapolis Colts on Wednesday, the team announced.

The Colts were a little short at running back and the signing of Bradshaw gives then veteran experience behind starter Frank Gore.

Bradshaw rushed for 725 yards and eight touchdowns in 10 games for the Colts in 2014 before sustaining a season-ending broken left leg in a game against the New England Patriots in November.

Last year, he also served a one-game suspension for violating the NFL's substance abuse policy, following his no-contest plea to a marijuana charge.

Bradshaw became a free agent in March after playing for the Colts on one-year contracts the last two seasons.


Lions LB Levy to undergo hip surgery

Detroit Lions linebacker DeAndre Levy will undergo surgery on his injured hip, head coach Jim Caldwell announced Wednesday.

Caldwell said no decision has been made regarding whether or not Levy will be placed on the injured reserve list. Levy will out of the lineup indefinitely.

Levy missed the first four games of the season because of the hip problem before returning to the lineup against the Arizona Cardinals last Sunday. He reaggravated the injury in the 42-17 loss, leaving the game in the first half and did not return. He did not record any tackles.

The 28-year-old Levy was a second-team All-Pro selection in 2014 after recording 151 tackles, 2.5 sacks and one interception. Levy signed a five-year extension with the Lions before the start of the season.


Patriots LT Solder (biceps) out for season

New England Patriots starting left tackle Nate Solder will miss the remainder of the season with a torn right biceps that will require surgery, according to reports Wednesday.

Solder was injured late in the second quarter of Sunday's 30-6 victory over the Dallas Cowboys.

Solder left the field on his own after Cowboys defensive tackle Tyrone Crawford registered an 8-yard sack of quarterback Tom Brady. Solder's right arm appeared to be extended in a compromising position as Crawford rushed past him on the play.

Solder has started every game for the Patriots over the last two seasons and has only missed one game since he joined the Patriots as a first-round draft choice in 2011.

Five-year veteran Marcus Cannon is the Patriots' top backup, and replaced Solder on Sunday.


Bills WR Watkins (calf) expects to face Bengals

Wide receiver Sammy Watkins, who has missed the last two games because of a calf injury, said on Wednesday that he expects to play this week when the Buffalo Bills face the Cincinnati Bengals.

Watkins practiced on Wednesday and said he plans to be in the lineup.

"I understand the presence of me on the field," Watkins told the Buffalo News. "I feel like the offense has been basic without me out there. ... Defenses have been having their way with just stacking the box with the run game. … I think I'm going to open a lot of things up.

" ... If (the calf) pops, it pops."

Quarterback Tyrod Taylor of the Bills is dealing with a knee injury and might not play, but Watkins said he expects backup quarterback EJ Manuel to have "a monster game" against the Bengals.


Broncos might be without OLB Ware (back)

Outside linebacker DeMarcus Ware did not practice with the Denver Broncos on Wednesday and there is a growing likelihood that he will not play on Sunday against the Cleveland Browns.

Ware left last Sunday's game against the Oakland Raiders because of back spasms.

"We've got to get DeMarcus well," coach Gary Kubiak said. "Obviously, we missed him through the course of (Sunday), but our depth showed up."

Shane Ray and Shaq Barrett shared Ware's spot in the second half and each recorded a sack while combining for five tackles and two quarterback hits.

Fellow outside linebacker Von Miller said Tuesday that Ware might be out "a couple weeks."


Packers the team to beat heading into Week 6

The Green Bay Packers are the Super Bowl 50 favorites at 5/2 after thanks to a 24-10 win over St. Louis Rams this Sunday and improving their record to 5-0.

According to the Westgate LV Superbook, the Packers have been the favorites to hoist the Vince Lombardi trophy for the last several weeks and have been followed closely by the also undefeated New England Patriots at 7/2.

The Denver Broncos have the next best odds, followed by the trio of the Cincinnati Bengals, the Arizona Cardinals and the Seattle Seahawks all at 10/1.


Another week, another hit for Seahawks' SB 50 odds

The Seattle Seahawks' Super Bowl 50 odds have fallen once again and the defending NFC champs now sit at 10/1 to win it all.

Since opening the season as the 9-2 favorites to win Super Bowl 50, according to the Westgate LV Superbook, not much has gone right for the Seaahawks, who sit at 2-3 after giving up another fourth quarter lead in their 27-24 overtime loss to Cincinnati in Week 5.

The Seahawks host 4-0 Carolina in Week 6 and are currently favored by 7-poin

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NFL

Thursday, October 15

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Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Falcons at Saints
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The Falcons will try to make it a perfect 6-0 when they visit their division rivals, the Saints on Thursday night.

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (+3, 51)

Having mastered the art of the comeback, the undefeated Atlanta Falcons look to become the first team in the NFL to six wins when they visit the struggling New Orleans Saints on Thursday night in an NFC South matchup. Atlanta made history last week by becoming the first team to start 5-0 when trailing in the fourth quarter in four of those victories.

“Being 5-0 is just a real clear demonstration of how hard the guys all want to play for one another,” Falcons first-year coach Dan Quinn said. "I think it shows a lot of the character and the toughness of the men in the room." Atlanta escaped with a 25-19 win over Washington last week when cornerback Robert Alford returned an interception for a touchdown in overtime. The Saints registered a dramatic overtime victory of their own at home against Dallas on Oct. 4. The momentum was short-lived, however, as New Orleans was overwhelmed in a 39-17 loss at Philadelphia last week.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY:

The Falcons opened as 3-point road favorites and briefly moved up to -3.5, but have since moved back to the opening number and remained there ever since. The total hasn't moved off the opening number of 51.

INJURY REPORT:

Atlanta - G M. Person (questionable Thursday, ankle), LB J. Durant (questionable Thursday, elbow), WR L. Hankerson (questionable Thursday, ribs), WR D. Hester (early December, toe).

Saints - G J. Evans (probable Thursday, knee), P T. Morstead (questionable Thursday, leg), T T. Armstead (questionable Thursday, knee), DE B. Richardson (questionable Thursay, hip), WR M. Colston (out Thursday, shoulder).

POWER RANKINGS:

Falcons(-4) - Saints(+4) + home field(-3) = Saints +3

WHAT CAPPERS SAY:

"Two years ago it was the 5-0 Saints taking on the 1-4 Falcons. The roles have reversed with Atlanta looking to start 6-0 for the second time in four years while New Orleans hopes to improve on a recent 1-6 SU and ATS slide at home. Given the fact that the Falcons are 6-0 ATS on Thursdays in NFC South division games, look for the Saints’ suffering ways to continue tonight."

ABOUT THE FALCONS (5-0, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U):

Devonta Freeman moved into the starting lineup when rookie running back Tevin Coleman suffered a rib injury in Week 2 and he hasn't looked back, becoming the first player in the Super Bowl era to rush for at least seven touchdowns in his first three career starts. After opening the season with three monster games and scoring four touchdowns, Falcons wideout Julio Jones has been kept in check over the past two games with only nine catches for 105 yards. Quarterback Matt Ryan looks to rebound from his worst game after throwing for 254 yards with two interceptions and a fumble.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (1-4, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U):

New Orleans allowed 29 unanswered points in last week's rout at Philadelphia and the league's worst defense (409.0 yards per game) was shredded for 34 first downs and 519 total yards. Quarterback Drew Brees, who sat out Week 3 while dealing with a bruised rotator cuff, threw for a pair of touchdowns and notched his third 300-yard game, but he was picked off once, lost a pair of fumbles and sacked five times. Starting running back Mark Ingram has yet to exceed 77 yards rushing, but wide receiver Willie Snead continues to be a pleasant surprise after hauling in six catches for 141 yards.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Falcons are 4-1 ATS in the lsat five meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in New Orleans.

CONSENSUS:

The public is strongly behind undefeated Atlanta with 66.88 percent of wagers currently backing the Falcons.

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Public Fades - Week 6
October 14, 2015


Five of six undefeated teams remaining in the NFL hit the road heading into Week 6, as the Packers are the only club in this group to play at home. The Panthers are the only squad to not be listed as a favorite, receiving a touchdown at Seattle, who sits below the .500 mark. Denver and New England each won as road favorites last week and are back on the highway again in Week 6 laying points, but we won’t be focusing on those teams this week.

Cincinnati looks to keep its record unblemished with a trip to Buffalo to take on a beat-up Bills’ squad, while Arizona tries to build its advantage in the NFC West with a victory at Pittsburgh, heading cross-country to Heinz Field. Both the Bills and Steelers are listed as home underdogs, each coming off road victories in Week 5. Are these teams worth betting on with most of the public siding with the Bengals and Cardinals?

Bengals (-3 ½, 42 ½) at Bills – 1:00 PM EST

Only two AFC teams have started 5-0, as the Bengals needed a massive fourth quarter rally to stun the defending NFC champion Seahawks, 27-24 in overtime last Sunday. Cincinnati erased a 24-7 deficit with 17 points in the final 12 minutes of regulation, as quarterback Andy Dalton eclipsed the 300-yard mark for the third consecutive week. The Bengals didn’t cover for the first time this season, but managed a push as three-point home favorites, while hitting the ‘over’ for the fourth time in five games.

The Bills have yet to win consecutive games this season as they enter Sunday’s action at 3-2, fresh off a 14-13 triumph at Tennessee, overcoming a 10-0 deficit. However, Buffalo lost quarterback Tyrod Taylor to a knee injury that will sideline him for Sunday, opening the door for E.J. Manuel to start at quarterback for the Bills for the first time since Week 4 last season at Houston. The Bills have dropped two of three at home this season, but own a fantastic 7-1 ATS record as a home underdog since the start of 2013.

So why back the Bills?

Joe Nelson says there shouldn’t be much of a drop-off under center for the Bills, “Buffalo beat an improved Titans team on the road last week despite only 109 passing yards from Taylor so the impact of Manuel starting is not likely as significant as the line move suggests. The Buffalo defense many expected to be one of the best in the league finally looked the part last week and the numbers against the Bills are a bit inflated from the first two weeks facing Andrew Luck and Tom Brady.”

On the flip side, Nelson points out some flaws with the Bengals’ unbeaten mark, “Cincinnati is 5-0 but they were extremely fortunate to deliver a great comeback win last week and three of the five wins have come by five or fewer points. The Bengals have featured a strong rushing game that could disappear this week against a Bills defense that is allowing just 3.8 yards per rush and 82 yards per game on the ground. Dalton has played well this season but he managed to survive a costly turnover last week and none of the five wins for the Bengals has come against a team that currently has a winning record. Three of the last four games for Cincinnati have also been at home as things may not continue to go quite as well for Cincinnati moving forward.”

Cardinals (-3, 44 ½) at Steelers – 1:00 PM EST

Arizona is the only team in the league to bust the 40-point mark three times, including twice in road victories at Chicago and Detroit. The Cardinals dumped the winless Lions last Sunday at Ford Field, 42-17 to cash as four-point favorites, while creating six turnovers. Arizona has not only put together a 4-1 record through five games, but it has covered in all four victories, while Carson Palmer has thrown at least three touchdowns three times.

The Steelers shocked the Chargers with a last-second Le’Veon Bell touchdown on Monday night, 24-20, to rebound from an overtime loss to Baltimore in Week 4. Pittsburgh has allowed 20 points or less in regulation in four straight games, while limiting San Diego to just 52 yards rushing. Bell rushed for 111 yards and the winning score, but some of the biggest plays were made by Mike Vick, who threw the game-tying 72-yard touchdown to Markus Wheaton and scrambled for 24 yards on the final drive prior to the Bell touchdown.

So why back the Steelers?

Nelson says Pittsburgh is a team not to be forgotten in the AFC, “Vick has one of the most talented receiving corps in the NFL and one of the best running backs in the NFL as he doesn’t need to do it all. Vick did enough for the Steelers to win against a tough Rams defense after replacing Ben Roethlisberger and if not for missed kicks, the Steelers would be riding a four-game win streak since the opening loss at New England as this is still a team that should be considered a serious threat in the AFC.”

NFL expert Antony Dinero echoes that Vick is finding his groove with this Pittsburgh offense, “It’s probably still a week too early to realistically expect Roethlisberger to return, but Vick sprung to life in the fourth quarter on Monday night and has a chance to build on that momentum. Considering how well Bell and D’Angelo Williams are running, Vick only has to throw it accurately, make a few plays with his feet and limit turnovers in order to be effective at home. The Cardinals have a gaudy point differential on the road, but winning in Pittsburgh is going to be a far greater challenge than it was against Jimmy Clausen-led Chicago and winless Detroit.”

Nelson mentions that Arizona hasn’t been tested yet, helping enhance its record, “The Cardinals are 4-1 but none of the teams they have faced has a winning record at this point in the season and they their lone loss came at home against the Rams team that Pittsburgh beat in St. Louis. Pittsburgh’s defense has struggled against the pass statistically but they have faced Brady, Joe Flacco, and Philip Rivers to skew the numbers. The Steelers are allowing just 3.9 yards per rush and 101 rushing yards per game and Arizona won’t likely enjoy the balance on offense that they have had so far this season. The Steelers are also on a 10-2-2 ATS run as a home underdog going back to the 2000 season.”

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Chargers-Packers Capsule
October 15, 2015

SAN DIEGO (2-3) at GREEN BAY (5-0)

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

OPENING LINE -Packers by 9

RECORD VS. SPREAD- Chargers 1-4, Packers 5-0

SERIES RECORD - Packers lead 9-1

LAST MEETING - Packers beat Chargers 45-38, Nov. 6, 2011

LAST WEEK - Chargers lost to Steelers 24-20; Packers beat Rams 24-10

AP PRO32 RANKING - Chargers No. 16, Packers No. 2

CHARGERS OFFENSE - OVERALL (3), RUSH (24t), PASS (2).

CHARGERS DEFENSE - OVERALL (15), RUSH (29), PASS (9).

PACKERS OFFENSE - OVERALL (10), RUSH (8), PASS (20).

PACKERS DEFENSE - OVERALL (7), RUSH (28), PASS (4).

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES --

Chargers' only win in series came Oct. 7, 1984, when Dan Fouts threw for 376 yards and three TDs in 34-28 victory. ... Chargers have lost six straight in series. ... Coach Mike McCoy spent rookie NFL season in 1995 as quarterback on Green Bay practice squad. ... QB Philip Rivers' two touchdown passes in loss to Steelers last week gave him 262 for career to pass Dave Krieg for 13th all-time. ... TE Antonio Gates needs three catches to become 32nd player in NFL history with 800 in career. ... Rivers and Gates have connected on 74 touchdown passes, most in league history for quarterback-tight end tandem. ... RB Melvin Gordon is native of Kenosha, Wisconsin, and played in college for Wisconsin Badgers; set major college record for career rushing average at 7.79 yards per carry. ... LB Jerry Attaochu has nine QB hits in last three games. ... Packers are 5-0 for fourth time since 1945. ... Packers have longest active home winning streak, 12 games. ... QB Aaron Rodgers stands 186 yards passing away from 30,000 for career. ... WR James Jones is tops in NFL with seven receptions of 25-plus yards. ... Defense has gotten sack in franchise-record 40 straight regular-season games, longest current streak in league. ... LB Julius Peppers has nine sacks in last nine games, dating back to last season. ... LB Clay Matthews has sack in four straight games, one short of tying career-best streak. ... Fantasy Tip: Rivers, third in league at 322 yards passing per game, will be challenged on road in short week by Packers' defense holding foes to 186 yards passing per game, fourth in NFL.

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Giants-Eagles Capsule
October 15, 2015

NEW YORK GIANTS (3-2) at PHILADELPHIA (2-3)

Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

OPENING LINE - Eagles by 3 1/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Giants 3-2, Eagles 2-3

SERIES RECORD - Giants lead 84-78-2

LAST MEETING - Eagles beat Giants 34-26, Dec. 28, 2014

LAST WEEK - Giants beat 49ers 30-27; Eagles beat Saints 39-17

AP PRO32 RANKING - Giants No. 10 (tie), Eagles No. 17

GIANTS OFFENSE - OVERALL (9), RUSH (26), PASS (7).

EAGLES OFFENSE - OVERALL (21), RUSH (22), PASS (13).

GIANTS DEFENSE - OVERALL (27), RUSH (2), PASS (32).

EAGLES DEFENSE - OVERALL (23), RUSH (10), PASS (26).

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES -

Eagles have won 11 of last 14 meetings. ... Giants QB Eli Manning will make his 173rd consecutive start, longest active streak in NFL. He had club-record 41 completions last week. ... RB Shane Vereen had eight catches for 86 yards and one TD vs. 49ers, with three huge plays on late winning drive. ... RB Rashad Jennings had 176 scrimmage yards (102 rushing, 74 receiving) vs. Eagles on Nov. 3, 2013 with Oakland. ... WR Odell Beckham Jr. had 12 catches for 185 yards and one TD vs Eagles last December. ... WR Rueben Randle had six catches for 158 yards in that game. He has two games with two TDs vs. Eagles. ... LB Uani `Unga leads club with 35 tackles and has two INTs. ... QB Sam Bradford passed for 331 yards in only career start vs. Giants on Sept. 19, 2011 with Rams. ... RB DeMarco Murray rushed for 249 yards and one TD in two games vs. Giants last year with Dallas. ... DE Fletcher Cox had career-high three sacks with two forced fumbled and one recovery last week vs. Saints. ... LB Connor Barwin had three sacks and forced fumble on Manning in 27-0 win on Oct. 12, 2014. ... Rookie LB Jordan Hicks has 25 tackles, sack, three fumble recoveries, one forced fumble and one INT in last four games. ... Fantasy Tip: Eagles WR Jordan Matthews had eight catches for 105 yards and one TD in last meeting and seems to developing rapport with Bradford.

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Ravens-49ers Capsule
October 15, 2015

BALTIMORE RAVENS (1-4) at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (1-4)

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

OPENING LINE - Ravens by 3 1/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Ravens 0-4-1, 49ers 2-3-0

SERIES RECORD - Ravens lead 4-1

LAST MEETING - Ravens beat 49ers 34-31 in Super Bowl, Feb. 3, 2013

LAST WEEK - Ravens lost to Browns 33-30, OT; 49ers lost to Giants 30-27

AP PRO32 RANKING - Ravens No. 23, 49ers No. 28

RAVENS OFFENSE - OVERALL (12), RUSH (15), PASS (17).

RAVENS DEFENSE - OVERALL (24), RUSH (14), PASS (25).

49ERS OFFENSE - OVERALL (29), RUSH (5), PASS (31).

49ERS DEFENSE - OVERALL (31), RUSH (17), PASS (30).

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES -

Last-place Ravens 1-4 for first time. ... 49ers, also last in division, on four-game skid for worst start since 2010. ...

Baltimore has won four straight vs. San Francisco, including Super Bowl. ...

Baltimore's second trip to Bay Area in less than month after 37-33 loss at Oakland on Sept. 20. Also Ravens' fourth road game in six weeks, third out West. ...

Ravens have won six in row against NFC teams and are 19-9 vs. NFC under John Harbaugh. ...

Baltimore's first trip to 49ers' home field since 9-7 win Oct. 7, 2007. ...

Teams played in preseason last year after holding joint practices. ...

Last regular-season meeting was Ravens' Thanksgiving night win in 2011 with John Harbaugh beating little brother Jim in now-departed coach's first year in NFL. ...

Ravens have lost second-half leads in each defeat. ...

San Francisco's lone victory against Ravens was Nov. 17, 1996, in first meeting between teams. ...

49ers WRs Anquan Boldin, Torrey Smith are former top targets of Ravens QB Joe Flacco. ...

Flacco went 15 of 23 for 161 yards and TD in Ravens' 16-6 win on Thanksgiving 2011. Voted Super Bowl MVP with 22-of-33 line for 287 yards, three TDs and 124.2 passer rating. ...

Ravens won Super Bowl with goal-line stand as 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick, in 10th career start and promoted previous November over now-Chiefs QB Alex Smith, threw three straight incomplete passes intended for Michael Crabtree with chances coming from Ravens 5. ...

Super Bowl defeat was first by 49ers, who were 5-0 previously in NFL's championship game. ...

Only four 49ers Super Bowl starters still around: Kaepernick, TE Vernon Davis, LT Joe Staley, LG Alex Boone. ...

In seven career games vs. Baltimore, 49ers S Antoine Bethea has 44 tackles and three interceptions. ...

Fantasy Tip: 49ers TE Vernon Davis is expected back after missing two games with knee injury, so pressing question is how effective he might be considering layoff.

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Redskins-Jets Capsule
October 15, 2015

WASHINGTON (2-3) at NEW YORK JETS (3-1)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

OPENING LINE - Jets by 6

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Redskins 3-2, Jets 3-1

SERIES RECORD - Redskins lead 8-2

LAST MEETING - Jets beat Redskins 34-19, Dec. 4, 2011

LAST WEEK - Redskins lost to Falcons 25-19, OT; Jets had bye, beat Dolphins 27-14 on Oct. 4

AP PRO32 RANKING - Redskins No. 21, Jets No. 8

REDSKINS OFFENSE - OVERALL (11), RUSH (12), PASS (18).

REDSKINS DEFENSE - OVERALL (6), RUSH (12), PASS (8).

JETS OFFENSE - OVERALL (14), RUSH (7), PASS (24).

JETS DEFENSE - OVERALL (2), RUSH (8), PASS (2).

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES -

Redskins have never lost to Jets on road, going 4-0, including 23-20 OT victory in 2007. Washington's .800 winning percentage (8-2) vs. Jets is team's best mark against any opponent with minimum of 10 games played. ...

Redskins playing second game at MetLife Stadium in four weeks after losing to Giants 32-21 on Sept. 24. ...

Washington looking for first road victory since Week 8 last season. ...

Washington has five takeaways in last two games after just one in first three games. Looking to force multiple turnovers in three consecutive games for first time since final three weeks of 2013 season. ...

Redskins tied with Tennessee for league's best average time of possession at 34 minutes, 18 seconds. ...

Kirk Cousins trying to become first Redskins QB to complete 30 or more passes in three games in one season. Needs 18 completions for most by Redskins QB through first six games since 1970 merger. ...

RB Matt Jones tied for most TD runs by rookie this season with three. ...

Rookie WR Jamison Crowder had career-high eight catches and 87 yards vs. Falcons. ...

WR DeSean Jackson could return after sitting out since straining left hamstring in season opener. ...

LB Ryan Kerrigan has 41 1/2 sacks and needs one to pass Ken Harvey for fourth in team history.

... Jets looking for first 4-1 start since 2010 team opened 5-1 and finished 11-5. ...

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick 3-0 with 677 yards passing, four TDs and one INT in last three vs. Redskins. ...

RB Chris Ivory had career-high 166 yards rushing against Dolphins, most in history of NFL's International Series in London. ...

WR Brandon Marshall has three straight games of 100 or more yards receiving, first Jets player to accomplish feat since Al Toon in 1988. ...

Jets have 13 takeaways, matching total for all of last season and tied for second in NFL behind Denver (14). ...

CB Darrelle Revis leads NFL with five takeaways (three fumble recoveries, two INTs). ...

Jets have forced 18 straight third-down stops, longest stretch since 2010 team had 21 in row. ...

DE Sheldon Richardson returns after serving four-game suspension for violating league's substance abuse policy.

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Panthers-Seahawks Capsule
October 15, 2015

CAROLINA (4-0) at SEATTLE (2-3)

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox

OPENING LINE - Seahawks by 7 1/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Panthers 3-1, Seahawks 1-3-1

SERIES RECORD - Seahawks lead 7-2

LAST MEETING - Seahawks beat Panthers 31-17, Jan. 10, 2015 in NFC divisional playoff

LAST WEEK - Panthers had bye, beat Bucs 37-23 on Oct. 4; Seahawks lost to Bengals 27-24, OT

AP PRO32 RANKING - Panthers No. 7, Seahawks No. 10 (tie)

PANTHERS OFFENSE - OVERALL (25), RUSH (4), PASS (29)

PANTHERS DEFENSE - OVERALL (10), RUSH (6), PASS (16)

SEAHAWKS OFFENSE - OVERALL (15), RUSH (1), PASS (26)

SEAHAWKS DEFENSE - OVERALL (5), RUSH (7), PASS (7)

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES -

Including playoffs, this is sixth meeting since 2010 season. ...

Seahawks beat Panthers in NFC divisional playoff in January thanks to 17-point fourth quarter that included Kam Chancellor's 90-yard interception return for touchdown. ...

Panthers one of six undefeated teams. ...

Panthers have not started 5-0 since 2003 when they finished 11-5 and reached Super Bowl. ...

After traveling to Seattle, Panthers play next three and four of next five at home. ...

QB Cam Newton has five total touchdowns - four passing, one rushing - in past two games. ...

RB Jonathan Stewart topped 5,000 career yards rushing with Panthers in Week 4; one of two players in franchise history to top 5,000-yard mark. ...

Panthers have rushed for at least 100 yards as team in 15 straight games, franchise record. ...

DE Ryan Delaire made his NFL debut in Week 4 and had two sacks against Tampa Bay. ...

All-Pro LB Luke Kuechly expected to return after missing three games due to concussion. ...

CB Josh Norman was NFC defensive player of week in Week 4 after having two interceptions against Tampa Bay, returning one for touchdown. ...

Panthers have forced 11 turnovers and have plus-8 turnover differential. ...

Seahawks QB Russell Wilson has been sacked 22 times, most in NFL. ...

Wilson is second in league in yards rushing by QB with 198. ...

RB Marshawn Lynch expected to play after missing past two games with hamstring injury. ...

Rookie RB Thomas Rawls rushed for 169 yards last week vs. Bengals, second-most yards rushing by rookie in franchise history. Curt Warner rushed for 207 in 1983. ...

Seahawks have gone 16 straight games dating back to last season with at least 100 yards rushing as team. Seahawks lead NFL in rushing with 142.4 yards per game. ...

TE Jimmy Graham with 21 catches and 2 TDs in five games. Had 34 catches and 3 TDs in first five games last season with Saints. ...

LB Bobby Wagner game-time decision after suffering strained pectoral muscle last week against Bengals. Seahawks would either move K.J. Wright to middle linebacker or go with backup Brock Coyle if Wagner can't play. ...

S Earl Thomas had Seahawks' first interception of season last week. Seahawks had only two interceptions through five games last season. ...

Fantasy Tip: Carolina TE Greg Olsen averaging 14.3 yards per reception, fourth most among all tight ends. Bengals TE Tyler Eifert had two TDs last week against Seattle.

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Bengals-Bills Capsule
October 15, 2015

CINCINNATI (5-0) at BUFFALO (3-2)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

OPENING LINE - Bengals by 1-1/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Bengals 4-0-1, Bills 2-2-1

SERIES RECORD - Bills lead 15-13

LAST MEETING - Bengals beat Bills 27-24, OT, Oct. 13, 2013

LAST WEEK - Bengals beat Seahawks 27-24, OT; Bills beat Titans 14-13

AP PRO32 RANKING - Bengals No. 3, Bills No. 13

BENGALS OFFENSE - OVERALL (2), RUSH (10), PASS (5).

BENGALS DEFENSE - OVERALL (21), RUSH (18), PASS (22).

BILLS OFFENSE - OVERALL (24), RUSH (6), PASS (T27).

BILLS DEFENSE - OVERALL (16), RUSH (3), PASS (24).

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES -

Bills coach Rex Ryan has 3-1 record against former boss, Bengals coach Marvin Lewis. They worked together in Baltimore from 1999-2001, when Ryan was defensive assistant under Lewis, then-Ravens defensive coordinator. ...

Bengals are one win short of matching best start to season in team history, set in 1975 and 1988. Team's longest winning streak is seven set in 1970. ...

In beating Seattle, Cincinnati became first NFL team since 2010 to win after trailing by 17 or more in fourth quarter. ...

QB Andy Dalton's 115.6 passer rating is highest of any Bengals player in team history through five games. ...

Dalton was sacked four times against Seattle after being sacked just twice in first four games. ...

TE Tyler Eifert is tied for second in NFL with five touchdown catches. ...

DT Geno Atkins has sack in four of five games, upping his five-plus season career total to 36. ...

Bills have chance to open 4-2 or better for third time since 15-season playoff drought began in 2000. ...

Buffalo has lost past two home games. ...

With starting QB Tyrod Taylor's status uncertain because of sprained left knee, EJ Manuel has shot to make first start since 23-17 loss at Houston on Sept. 28, 2014. ...

Minus RB LeSean McCoy (left hamstring), running backs have combined for 92 yards rushing past two games. ...

WR Sammy Watkins set to return after missing two games with strained right calf. ...

Against Tennessee, Buffalo finished with 24:29 in time of possession, fewest in victory since 23:01 in a 13-10 win at Miami in 2007. ...

Bills have combined for 27 first downs in past two games. ...

With nine sacks through five games, defense is eight off last year's pace when Buffalo finished with NFL-leading 54. ...

Fantasy Tip: Bengals' defense is option against injury-depleted Bills' offense that lacks running threat minus McCoy and rookie backup Karlos Williams, whose status is uncertain due to concussion.

[StarDust Bum]

Texans-Jaguars Capsule
October 15, 2015

HOUSTON (1-4) at JACKSONVILLE (1-4)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

OPENING LINE - Texans by 2 1/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Texans 1-4, Jaguars 2-3

SERIES RECORD - Texans lead 15-11

LAST MEETING - Texans beat Jaguars 23-17, Dec. 28, 2014

LAST WEEK - Texans lost to Colts 27-20; Jaguars lost to Buccaneers 38-31

AP PRO32 RANKING - Texans No. 29, Jaguars No. 32

TEXANS OFFENSE - OVERALL (5), RUSH (20), PASS (4)

TEXANS DEFENSE - OVERALL (11), RUSH (22), PASS (10)

JAGUARS OFFENSE - OVERALL (19), RUSH (21), PASS (12)

JAGUARS DEFENSE - OVERALL (19), RUSH (16), PASS (21)

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES -

Texans have won seven of last nine in series. ... Five of last seven meetings have been decided by seven points or less. ...

Texans WR Cecil Shorts III returns to Jacksonville, where he spent previous four seasons. ...

Houston QB Brian Hoyer makes first start since season opener. ...

Texans WR DeAndre Hopkins, who leads NFL with 578 yards receiving, is looking for fourth consecutive 100-yard game, which would tie Andre Johnson's franchise record. ...

Houston DE J.J. Watt needs one sack to pass Richard Dent for fourth most in a player's first five seasons. Watt has 11 1/2 career sacks against Jacksonville, including six in two games against Blake Bortles. ...

Texans have scored 51 points in fourth quarter this season, which ranks second in NFL. ... Jaguars return home after getting swept on three-game road trip. ...

Bortles is first QB in franchise history with 10 or more touchdown passes in first five games of season. ...

Jacksonville expects to get DT Sen'Derrick Marks and RB Denard Robinson back from knee injuries. ...

Jaguars WRs Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns have combined for 49 receptions for 832 yards and seven TDs this season. Only NFL duo with more yards is Denver's Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. ...

Fantasy Tip: Jaguars expect to have more packages for two-time Pro Bowl TE Julius Thomas, who played sparingly in his season debut last week.

[StarDust Bum]

Chiefs-Vikings Capsule
October 15, 2015

KANSAS CITY (1-4) at MINNESOTA (2-2)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

OPENING LINE - Vikings by 2 1/2

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Chiefs 1-4, Vikings 3-1

SERIES RECORD - Chiefs lead 7-4

LAST MEETING - Chiefs beat Vikings 22-17, Sept. 2, 2011

LAST WEEK - Chiefs lost to Bears 18-17; Vikings had bye, lost to Broncos 23-20 on Oct. 4

AP PRO32 RANKING - Chiefs No. 24, Vikings No. 14

CHIEFS OFFENSE - OVERALL (18), RUSH (18), PASS (21).

CHIEFS DEFENSE - OVERALL (26), RUSH (13), PASS (27).

VIKINGS OFFENSE - OVERALL (31), RUSH (2), PASS (32).

VIKINGS DEFENSE - OVERALL (17), RUSH (26), PASS (12).

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES -

This is only second meeting in Minnesota between Chiefs and Vikings over last 19 seasons. Vikings beat Chiefs 45-20 at Metrodome in 2003, behind 146 yards and three TDs rushing by Onterrio Smith. ...

Chiefs have lost star RB Jamaal Charles for season to torn right ACL. He tore left one in 2011. ...

Chiefs QB Alex Smith has been sacked 21 times, second-most in NFL behind Russell Wilson (22). ...

Travis Kelce has 328 yards receiving for Chiefs, third-best among TEs in league behind Rob Gronkowski and Gary Barnidge. ...

Kansas City FS Husain Abdullah spent first four years with Vikings, starting 24 games over 2010 and 2011 seasons. ...

Vikings have won five straight at temporary outdoor home TCF Bank Stadium. ...

Vikings are sixth in NFL with average of 18.3 points allowed per game. Last time they gave up fewer than 20 points per game was 2009. ...

Minnesota allowing league-best 0.8 yards per punt return.


... Fantasy Tip: Charcandrick West and Knile Davis expected to share carries for Chiefs in absence of Charles, facing Vikings' defense vulnerable against run at times. Vikings WR Stefon Diggs would be good waiver wire grab against Chiefs' defense that has surrendered NFL-most 13 passing TDs. Diggs had six catches for 87 yards in NFL debut at Denver against one of league's best defenses.

[StarDust Bum]

Team Open Line Movements Current Moneyline Halftime Scores

8:25 PM EDT

103 ATLANTA FALCONS -3 +02 -3 -15 / -3 / -3 -05 -3 -155
104 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 51 52.5o11 / 52u22 / 52 52.5o14 +135

ATL-WR-Julio Jones-Probable | TV: CBS, NFL, DTV: 212 | Dome


-------------------------------


NFL Consensus Picks

SIDES (ATS)

Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds

8:25 PM Atlanta -3 1573 62.54% New Orleans +3 942 37.46% View View


TOTALS (OVER/UNDER)

Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds

8:25 PM Atlanta 52 1212 64.50% New Orleans 52 667 35.50% View View


----------------------------------


THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Atlanta - 8:25 PM ET New Orleans +3 500 TRIPLE PLAY

New Orleans - Under 52 500 TRIPLE PLAY

[StarDust Bum]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 6

As bad as the Niners have been this season, Colin Kaepernick & Co. have one strength and it's something they can exploit against the Ravens defense Sunday.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-3, 43.5)

Bears’ YAC defense vs. Lions’ dependency on YAC

The Detroit Lions don’t have much to hang their hat on when it comes to their sputtering offense. They do, however, rank among the top teams in picking up extra yardage after the catch – also known as YAC. Heading into Week 6, the Lions have totaled 793 yards after the catch (third most in the NFL), averaging 5.39 in additional gains following a reception. The biggest culprits for Detroit’s YAC production are RB Theo Riddick and WR Golden Tate, but they also have playmakers in Calvin Johnson and butter-fingered rookie RB Ameer Abdullah.

Chicago has been very good against the pass so far, allowing just 185.8 yards through the air per game – third lowest in the league. And keeping those receiving yards down is the Bears’ ability to get to the receiver and snuff them out before they can added any additional damage. Chicago has given up a total of 430 YAC through four games, for an average of just 86 yards after the catch per outing. If the Bears can stop Detroit from tacking on any extra yardage, the 3-point spread could be tough to topple for a Lions offense scoring less than 17 points per game.

Daily fantasy watch: Buy - Bears D/ST, Fade – RB Theo Riddick, WR Golden Tate

Denver Broncos at Cleveland Browns (+4, 42.5)

Broncos’ pass rush vs. Browns’ big passing plays

Josh McCown ranks well ahead of Peyton Manning in the DFS markets, racking up a stunning average of 20.3 points per week compared to Manning’s paltry average of 13.19. Take a couple seconds to let that one sink in. However, come Sunday, the Broncos defense may not give McCown that much time to get the ball off. Denver has a league-leading 22 sacks on the season along with 29 defensive hurries, giving opposing QBs very little time to find their threats down field. That ability to put passers on their heels has also equated to seven interceptions – two of which have gone back to the house for six points.

The Browns depend on the big play to move the chains in recent weeks, totaling 40 passes of 15 yards or more over the past four contests – a league high. Cleveland has struck for 25 yards or more on 13 plays this season, targeting playmakers in WR Travis Benjamin and TE Gary Barnidge. But with Denver’s pass rushers closing in quick, McCown may not have enough time to allow those big plays to develop this Sunday. Cleveland has given up 18 sacks already this season, including four to the Ravens last week. Those waiting for the other shoe to drop on McCown may hear a mighty thud by the time this game is over.

Daily fantasy watch: Buy – Broncos D/ST, Fade – QB Josh McCown

Baltimore Ravens at San Francisco 49ers (+2.5, 44)

Ravens’ third-down defense vs. Niners’ third-down offense

The 49ers have given Bay Area football fans very little to cheer about in 2015, and it’s been like that since Jim Harbaugh jumped ship to raise Michigan football from the dead. The one thing San Francisco has been able to do – and do well – is move the chains on third down. Heading into Week 6, the Niners have converted on more than 41 percent of their third down tries. Considering how bad this offense has been, that’s a pretty tasty number right there. Last week, against the Giants on Sunday Night Football, San Fran converted on eight of its 14 third downs and keep the offense on the field long enough to cover the spread. The crazy legs of Colin Kaepernick and veteran WR Anquan Boldin (83 yards on 7 catches on third down/11.9 YPC) have been the two biggest cogs on third down for the 49ers.

Baltimore is already in a tough spot for this game, having to cross the country for its fourth road trip in six weeks. The Ravens haven’t been able to land a knockout punch with opponents on the ropes, allowing teams to convert on 49.37 percent of their third down attempts – second worst in the NFL just below Jacksonville. That’s allowed teams to dominate the time of possession battle against Baltimore, which has watched opponents eat up an average of 31:17 worth of clock. The Ravens were bullied on third down versus Cleveland, with the Browns going 12 for 19 in those situations.

Daily fantasy watch: Buy – QB Colin Kaepernick, WR Anquan Boldin, Fade – Baltimore D/ST

New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (+10, 54.5)

Patriots’ explosive first halves vs. Colts’ slow starts

The defending Super Bowl champs don’t ease their toe into the pool each Sunday. They do a full-on cannonball, soaking the opposing team in a tidal wave of points. New England is averaging just under a touchdown in the first quarter and 11 points in the second quarter for an average of 17.8 first-half points per game – second most in the NFL. On top of that, the Patriots defense has locked down opponents to only 5.5 points through the first 30 minutes of football. That difference forces opponents to play outside of their game plan and pick up the pace on offense in order to catch up – playing right into the hands of Darth Belichick.

The Colts have been sleepy eyed in the opening frames, putting up just 7.4 points per first half on the season. With QB Andrew Luck sidelined with a shoulder injury, Indianapolis actually had its two most productive first halves under backup Matt Hasselbeck, scoring 13 and 10 points the past two weeks. Luck is expected back for this “Deflategate” rematch but even if he’s healthy enough to get the Colts out of the blocks, it might be like bringing a knife to a gun fight. The Patriots love to pile it on – even when there’s no incentive - and New England has more than a few good reasons to let the air out of Lucas Oil Field early and often Sunday night.

Daily fantasy watch: Buy - QB, Tom Brady, WR Julian Edleman, TE Rob Gronkowski, Fade - Colts D/ST

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 6


Washington @ NY Jets

Game 261-262
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
127.020
NY Jets
135.195
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 8
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 6
41
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-6); Under

Arizona @ Pittsburgh

Game 263-264
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
135.285
Pittsburgh
138.257
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 3 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+3 1/2); Over

Miami @ Tennessee

Game 265-266
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
129.845
Tennessee
128.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 2 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+2 1/2); Under

Carolina @ Seattle

Game 267-268
October 18, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
131.408
Seattle
141.886
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 10 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 7
41
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-7); Over

San Diego @ Green Bay

Game 269-270
October 18, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
133.425
Green Bay
140.912
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 7 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 10 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+10 1/2); Under

Baltimore @ San Francisco

Game 271-272
October 18, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
130.498
San Francisco
131.376
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 2 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+2 1/2); Over

Denver @ Cleveland

Game 251-252
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
140.263
Cleveland
128.457
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 12
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-4); Under

New England @ Indianapolis

Game 273-274
October 18, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
145.767
Indianapolis
132.545
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 13
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 7 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-7 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ Buffalo

Game 253-254
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
135.423
Buffalo
136.223
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 1
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+3 1/2); Over

Kansas City @ Minnesota

Game 255-256
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
131.998
Minnesota
132.807
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+4); Under

Houston @ Jacksonville

Game 257-258
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
122.921
Jacksonville
126.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 3 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 1
43
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+1); Under

Chicago @ Detroit

Game 259-260
October 18, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
123.031
Detroit
133.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 10 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-3); Over


NY Giants @ Philadelphia

Game 275-276
October 19, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
137.652
Philadelphia
134.711
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 3
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 4
49
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+4); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Broncos (5-0) @ Browns (2-3)-- Unbeaten Broncos already won two games where offense didn't score TD; three of their five wins are by 6 or less points- they're 8-34 on 3rd down in last three games, as fading Manning has managed games while defense is winning them. Denver won last six series games, with four of six wins by 10+ points; their last visit here was in '08. Browns threw for 1,078 yards in last three games. 422 yards in rare win Sunday at Baltimore last week; McCown has established himself as #1 QB. Last two Brown games came down to FG on last play; since '12, they're 8-5 as home dogs. AFC North teams are 7-4-1 vs spread out of division. AFC West teams are 6-10 vs spread, 3-5 when favored.

Bengals (5-0) @ Bills (3-2)-- Cincinnati is unbeaten (4-0-1 vs spread) after OT win over Seattle, scoring 24+ points every game; they're 27-13-2 vs spread in last 42 games where spread was 3 or less points. Bengals won last two games with Buffalo by FG each, after losing previous ten meetings; they're 2-8 in last ten visits here. Bills scored only 24 points in last two games, after averaging 33.3 ppg in first three; only two QBs to beat Buffalo this year both won multiple Super Bowls (Brady/Manning). Cincinnati came back from down 17 in 4th quarter Sunday, first NFL team in 428 such games to do that. Bills are 12-8 in last 20 games with spread of 3 or less points. Four of five Bengal games went over total. AFC East teams are 6-3-1 vs spread out of division. Buffalo QB Taylor (MCL) may not play here; former starter Manuel would take his place- they'll regret trading Matt Cassel.

Chiefs (1-4) @ Vikings (2-2)-- Chiefs lost last four games, giving up 74 points in losing last two road tilts; now star RB Charles is gone and QB Smith doesn't throw ball well enough to carry offense. In last two games, Chiefs, have one TD, nine FGs; they've been outscored 37-9 in second half. Minnesota lost its last five post-bye games, with eight points closest loss; Vikings are 5-2 as home favorites under Zimmer, 4-0 outside NFC North. Home side won six of last seven series games; Chiefs are here for first time since '03. KC is 7-5 as road dog under Reid, 1-2 this year. Four of five Chief games went over total. AFC West non-divisional underdogs are 3-5 vs spread; NFC North non-divisional home favorites are 4-0.

Texans (1-4) @ Jaguars (1-4)-- Houston won seven of last nine series games; four of last five were decided by 7 or less points. Texans won three of last four visits here, but are 0-2 on road this year, allowing 36 ppg- they're -8 in turnovers for season, and neither QB has played well enough to win games. Last three weeks, Jaguar foes are 23-50 on third down; they just played three straight road games, are 1-1 at home. Since '11, Houston is 11-7-1 as road favorite, but they're 4-11-1 in last 16 games with spread of 3 or less points. Since '09, Jaguars are 9-24-1 as a home underdog; they're 6-11 in last 17 games with spread of 3 or less. Under is 20-13 in last 33 Jax home games. Divisional home dogs are 3-4 this season.

Bears (2-3) @ Lions (0-5)-- Chicago just posted consecutive comeback last-minute wins for first time since 1962; Bears lost last four games with Detroit, three by 8 or less points. Chicago lost three of last four visits here, losing by 11-8-17 points; Bears are 7-14 in last 21 NFC North road games, 9-15-1 as road dog since '11- since '12, they're 7-17-2 in games with spread of 3 or less. Last three Bear games, three of last four Lion games stayed under total. Lions scored 13.8 ppg in last four games; they're 5-2-1 in last eight as home favorite, 7-3 as NFC North home fave, but 8-12-1 in last 21 games with spread of 3 or less. Over is 15-11 in Detroit's last 26 home games. Chicago's three losses: Packers-Cardinals-Seattle, three of best teams in league.

Redskins (2-3) @ Jets (3-1)-- Washington making second visit to Swamp this season; they lost 32-21 (+3) to Giants here in Week 3 Thursday game. Redskins played nailbiters last two weeks, beating Philly in last minute, losing in OT at Atlanta; they're 8-2 against Jets, winning last four played here. Since '07, Washington is 30-46-7 vs spread in non-division games; since '13, they're 5-11 as road underdogs. Jets lost four of last five post-bye games; since '07, they're 19-28-1 as home favorite. Gang Green is +9 in turnovers in its wins, -3 in one loss; Washington has five takeaways in last two games, after having only two in first three weeks. Last three Jet games, four of five Redskin games stayed under total. AFC East teams are 6-3-1 vs spread out of division; NFC East teams are 4-7.

Cardinals (4-1) @ Steelers (3-2)-- Pttsburgh fired Bruce Arians as OC after the '11 season, over objections of Big Ben; he returns here with a 25-12 record as HC of Arizona team that scored 90 points winning first two road games (12 TDs on 21 drives). Cardinals are 5-1 as home favorite since '13, 15-6-1 in last 22 non-divisional road games. All five Arizona tilts this season went over total. Pittsburgh escaped San Diego with last-second win Monday nite; they're 8-3 in last 11 games with Arizona, winning last two here. Redbirds' last win in Steel City was in 1969. Since '07, Steelers are 5-1-1 as home dogs; they're 6-1 in last seven games following an upset win. Over is 10-4 in Pittsburgh's last 14 home games. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 4-2 vs spread.

Dolphins (1-3) @ Titans (1-3)-- First game for Campbell as interim HC of Dolphins, who lost last three games, allowing 157 rushing yards/game with only one takeaway (-4 ratio). Since '08, Miami is 29-16-1 as road dog (9-9 since '12); they're 4-8 in last 12 games with a spread of 3 or less, and lost three of last four post-bye games. Tennessee also lost its last three games, losing last two by total of three points; Titans are favored for first time this year, are 1-5-1 as home faves since 2013, 9-16-2 in games with spread of 3 or less. Would expect Miami to run ball more under Campbell, a former TE who was TE coach but hasn't ever been a coordinator. AFC South teams are 3-8 vs spread outside the division. Three of four Tennessee games went over total.

Panthers (4-0) @ Seahawks (2-3)-- Seattle is 2-0 at home, not allowing an offensive TD; two of its losses were wth Chancellor out- they won last four series games, with last three slugfests by 16-12/12-7/13-9 scores. Carolina lost last three visits here by 6-20-17 points; since '12, Panthers are 12-5 as road dogs, but they've also lost last four post-bye games, with three losses by 16+ points. Carolina scored three defensive TDs in its two road wins; over is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Under is 15-11 in last 26 Seattle home games; they are 19-8 as home favorite with Carroll, 9-5 in last 14 games as non-divisional HF. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 4-2 vs spread; NFC South teams are 9-5 against spread outside their division.

Chargers (2-3) @ Packers (5-0)-- Green Bay is 9-1-1 vs spread in last 11 home games, 5-0 vs spread overall this season- they turned ball over three times in 24-10 win LW, after they turned ball over only once in first four games. Pack is 18-8-1 as non-divisional home faves. Long travel, short week for Bolts after last-second home loss late Monday night; Chargers won last four post-Monday games, but lost nine of last 10 games vs Packers, who scored 31+ points in last five series games. Since '12, San Diego is 13-7-1 as road dog, 17-8-1 after losing as a favorite, Chargers haven't been to Lambeau Field since '07- last win here was in '84. San Diego is 0-2 on road, losing by 5-17 points. Over is 27-16 in Green Bay's last 43 home games, but 1-2 this year.

Ravens (1-4) @ 49ers (1-4)-- John Harbaugh beat the 49ers in Super Bowl three years ago, when his brother was coaching Niners; now Jim is in Michigan, 49ers are 1-4, Baltimore's defense has fallen apart. In four losses, Raven opponents are 37-67 on third down- Steelers were 2-13 in only win. Baltimore split pair of OT games last two weeks; their defense was gassed at end LW, giving up 457 passing yards to McCown, most by any Cleveland QB since Otto Graham. Ravens are 8-11 as road favorites since '11, 13-15-1 in last 29 games with spread of 3 or less. 49ers allowed 10 ppg in splitting pair of home games, giving up two TDs on 19 drives- they're giving up 40 ppg on road. Under is 13-5 in 49ers' last 18 home games, 2-0 this year.

Patriots (4-0) @ Colts (3-2)-- Indy won its last three games by total of 12 points as they recover from 0-2 start, but now Patriots come to town having won last six games vs Colts, scoring average of 47.3 ppg in last four series games. Throw in NE revenge motive after Colts accused them of taking air out of balls in playoffs LY and this could get ugly, seeing as Luck didn't play for Colts in last two games, but is expected back here. Pats are scoring 37.3 ppg, winning first two on road 40-32/30-6; they're still just 3-7 in last ten as road favorite, but 3-0-1 vs spread overall this season. Indy is 6-0 as a home underdog since '12, 7-3 as non-divisional home underdog. Under is 35-22-1 in Indy home games since 2006.

Giants (3-2) @ Eagles (2-3)-- Philly is 11-3 in last 14 games vs Big Blue; teams split last four games played here. Giants scored 28.7 ppg in winning last three games after 0-2 start in which they led by 10+ points in 4th quarter both times- since '11, they're 15-10 as road dogs, 2-0 this season. Giants are 12-6 as divisional road underdog since '07; Eagles are 2-6 as divisional home favorite, but are 8-4 in last 12 games overall as a home fave. Over is 7-3 in Giants' last ten road games, 17-9 in Eagles' last 26 home games. Philly averaged 7.1/7.4 ypa in last two games, after averaging 6.5 or less in first three games- they're +5 in TOs in two wins, -2 in losses. Giant opponents were over 50% on 3rd down in three of five tilts so far this year. Kaepernick threw for 262 yards against them LW.