The Bum's National Football Leagues Trends-News- Picks !!

[StarDust Bum]

Redskins head to New York

September 22, 2015


WASHINGTON REDSKINS (1-1) at NEW YORK GIANTS (0-2)

Sportsbook.ag Line: New York -4, Total: 44

NFC East rivals take center stage on Thursday Night Football when the winless Giants host the 1-1 Redskins.

Kirk Cousins and RB Matt Jones led Washington to a surprising win over St. Louis in Week 2 while QB Eli Manning and the Giants were busy making history by becoming the first NFL team to start 0-2 after holding double-digit leads in each fourth quarter. But New York has a favorable matchup on Thursday having won four straight and five of the last six SU against the Redskins.

Since the beginning of 2008, the Giants have held their division foe to just 13.9 PPG over 14 meetings including four games in single digits, going 11-3 SU in those contests. In his 21 career games against Washington, Manning is 13-8 ATS and has covered the spread in each of the past four matchups. More good news for the Giants, is that in the past five seasons, teams coming off wins as a home dog win like the Redskins this week, are 43-82 ATS (34%) in the following contest. However, it's not all bleak for Washington, considering road underdogs (or pick) after allowing 5.5 or less YPA in two straight games against an opponent after allowing 7+ YPA in two straight games are a hefty 42-16 ATS (72%).

Injuries abound in this contest with New York missing DE Jason Pierre-Paul (hand) with several others listed as questionable for Thursday including starting LB Jon Beason (knee) and Pro Bowl CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (concussion). The Redskins have several players listed as questionable as well, including LB Perry Riley (calf), CB Justin Rogers (foot) and CB Chris Culliver who’s returning from suspension.

After a pair of home games to start the season, the Redskins hit the road for three of the next four, beginning with this all-important divisional matchup. They need to continue to value the football and feed their tandem of running backs to take pressure off QB Kirk Cousins. He hasn’t been spectacular thus far, but only Philip Rivers and Aaron Rodgers are ahead of Cousins in completion percentage league-wide.

Washington’s offense isn’t flashy, currently ranked 28th in scoring and 27th in passing, but this team can flat-out run the rock. Head coach Jay Gruden’s offense leads the NFL in rushing at 171.5 YPG, going for 161 and 182 in their first two games against what many thought would be two stout defenses (Miami and St. Louis). They’re the only team with a 100-yard rusher in both games this year, have the league's No. 3 scoring defense, No. 1 total defense, and sit second in time of possession thanks to the ground game. These are all great things for the quarterback on a team missing major weapons like WR DeSean Jackson (hamstring) and TE Niles Paul (leg).

RBs Alfred Morris and Matt Jones have been the backbone of the only offense, while WR Pierre Garcon will continue to see an increased workload with Jackson sidelined. Look for Garcon and TE Jordan Reed to have big games for Washington if they have success through the air against a suspect Giants pass defense.

The defensive unit is greater as a sum than its individual components might suggest. Washington starts only a pair of former first round picks for new defensive coordinator Joe Barry, who looks to take advantage of a reeling Giants’ squad.

New York’s start is a bit of a head scratcher, as the club has turned the ball over only once while forcing three miscues. The team ranks 3rd in fewest penalty yards per game, 4th in third-down pct., and boast the league’s 3rd-ranked rushing defense as well. The biggest problem for veteran defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo’s unit is the complete lack of a pass rush. Not too long ago, the Giants had such a dominant defensive front they had a fancy nickname and a Super Bowl ring to go with it. In that 2011 season, they were tied for 3rd in the league with 48 sacks, the next two seasons saw them plummet into the bottom-10 in the NFL. With only two sacks thus far in 2015, the team is tied for 24th in the league, and the trickle-down effect is staggering. The Giants are dead last against the pass and sit 31st in both total defense and first downs allowed.

Over the past three seasons, New York is 0-6 ATS the week after allowing 300+ passing yards, something it has done in both games of 2015. The lack of takeaways is also an issue. Since 2010, the Giants defense has been top-10 in takeaways every season, this year they sit in the middle of the pack at 15th. Forcing turnovers can mask your other defensive deficiencies and this team better get back to that style of football before it’s too late.

The offense is also affected by the lack of a pass rush, as the Giants are 29th in time of possession and tied for 24th in first downs (18.5 per game). Look for New York to try and get its own running game rolling again, as Washington is 1-5 ATS in the past three seasons when allowing 75-to-100 rushing yards. RB Rashad Jennings hasn’t looked like himself in the first two weeks, but talented backup RBs Shane Vereen and Andre Williams are more than capable of a quality effort.

[StarDust Bum]

Belichick continues to cash

September 21, 2015


The ATS Value of Football Coaches

One of the big NFL stories Sunday was the matchup between Rex Ryan and Bill Belichick when the Patriots played at the Bills.

It was a key AFC East clash, as well as a meeting of rival teams and coaches. Rex was full of bluster all week, Belichick playing it cool focusing on details. Rex is about emotion, Big Bill is about focus. Rex is in your face, Bill is behind the scenes tinkering with details or teaching in the film room.

In the end, the Patriots won and covered in a 40-32 game that wasn’t even that close. After falling behind 7-0 early, the Patriots roared to a 37-13 lead before coasting. It came down to superior quarterback play, as Tyrod Taylor had three interceptions and Tom Brady had none, but coaching was a significant factor, too.

Football fans examine players, stats, matchups, home field breakdowns and bye weeks all during the season to find edges. Those are all important to examine carefully, of course, but don’t overlook the importance of some of the guys who don’t even don helmets and pads each weekend: Coaches!

Proper coaching in pro and college football is essential to winning, both straight up and many times against the number. Football coaches puts in more hours into molding their team’s success than coaches in other sports. Burnout can be high, but you can’t get the best out of your team without putting in the extra effort.

The preparation involved in getting a football team prepared each week is enormous. Game plans have to be scripted, new plays have to be taught to each player in practice, films of the previous week have to be reviewed for mistakes, films of the opposition have to be scrutinized, and a coach must know what buttons to press to motivate or punish players.

A football coach is literally a teacher, a boss, a strategist, a motivational speaker, a part-time psychologist, and even a dictator all rolled into one. That’s a lot of hats to wear and few coaches are good at all of those things.

Here are some remarkable numbers on three of the best pro football coaches over the last three decades:

Jimmy Johnson: 89-68 SU, 84-69-4 ATS
Bill Parcells: 183-138-1 SU, 169-142-3 ATS
Bill Belichick: 235-118 SU, 195-150-8 ATS

Belichick’s numbers are his entire career, while Johnson and Parcells are from multi-year stretches with their best teams. Those coaches not only won games, but covered with regularity. They were so good at organizing, teaching and motivating, able to maximize their team’s chances of success each week, as well as taking advantage of the opposition’s weaknesses, and motivating their players to a high level.

In fact, in Johnson’s last four years with the Cowboys, he went 48-24 (67%) against the spread, covering two out of every three games. The old saying is true: A good coach is a guy who can take his team and beat yours, then take your team and beat his.

Teams often take on the personality of their head coaches, too. Fiery Jack Del Rio and Mike Zimmer ask more of their players even in preseason. Jim Caldwell and Todd Bowles are more quiet and cerebral.

There are great situations each football season where a good head coach is matched up against a poor one.

Looking ahead to Belichick’s matchups this season with the Patriots, it appears he has notable advantages against some raw coaches.

Week 3 – vs. Jacksonville (Gus Bradley, 3rd Year)
Week 6 – at Indianapolis (Chuck Pagano, 4th Year)
Week 7 – vs. N.Y. Jets (Todd Bowles, Rookie)
Week 9 – vs. Washington (Jay Gruden, 2nd Year)
Week 13 – at Philadelphia (Chip Kelly, 3rd Year)
Week 14 – at Houston (Bill O’Brien, 2nd Year)
Week 16 – at N.Y. Jets (Todd Bowles, Rookie)

This is something to factor into your handicapping analysis. So pay careful attention to who’s roaming the sidelines. Bad coaches can offer good go-against spots, while good coaches rarely beat themselves.

[StarDust Bum]

TNF - 'Skins at Giants

September 23, 2015

Eli Manning signed a four-year, $84 million extension earlier this month, guaranteeing him at least an additional $65 million going forward, including a $31 million signing bonus. Never mind the fact it actually reduced his 2015 salary, those numbers are being spewed out throughout New York City like a violent stream of your favorite curse words.

If Giants fans are the ones regurgitating the details, odds are great his new contract figures are quickly followed by a heavy volume of actual curses.

Outside of the pay day, it has been a pretty horrific month for Manning. The Giants quarterback has single-handedly blown a pair of winnable games at Dallas and against Atlanta after playing reasonably well to put his team in position to win in the first place. Red-zone miscues have doomed New York, now the first team in NFL history to start a season 0-2 despite holding double-digit fourth-quarter leads in both contests.

In the opener, he foolishly told RB Rashad Jennings not to score late and then exercised no common sense in throwing a pass out the back of the end zone on a third down instead of taking a sack or dumping the ball off to keep the clock running. Against Atlanta, he was oblivious to pressure when clearly holding the ball too long inside the 10, ultimately getting the ball knocked out of his hands for a crippling, game-changing fumble.

Despite their great collapses, Manning’s Giants have held fourth-quarter leads over teams that enter Week 3 a combined 4-0. Therefore, it’s understandable that oddsmakers expect New York to avoid a third straight loss, installing it as a four-point home favorite. The total is widely available at 44.

Washington enters Met Life Stadium fresh off its first victory, a 24-10 upset of St. Louis at Fed Ex Field highlighted by 182 rushing yards. The ‘Skins beat the Rams at their own game, employing a more physical brand of football that marked the emergence of rookie RB Matt Jones, whose 19 carries yielded 123 yards and two touchdowns. Kirk Cousins threw for another score and didn’t turn the ball over. Robert Griffin III was again inactive.

Cousins improved to just 3-8 as an NFL starter, but has lost in each of the last two seasons against the Giants, compiling ghastly stats as his Washington teams have been outscored 65-20. Cousins is a woeful 38-for-82 (46.3 pct) with one touchdown and six interceptions in the losses. He’s 0-1 in Thursday night games, losing to the Giants on Sept. 25 of last season in a game where he was picked four times. He’s 1-5 on the road, falling in each of his last five starts.

There’s seemingly nowhere to go but up for Cousins, who is armed with significantly more security now that head coach Jay Gruden has officially chosen him over RG III. His performance against St. Louis marked only the second time in his 11 starts where he wasn’t picked off. His QB rating of 110.3 was his highest-ever in a start, as was his completion percentage (23-for-27, 85.2).

New York’s defense has had to deal with Tony Romo and Matt Ryan, so even an improved Cousins’ presence will undoubtedly be a welcome sight, particularly given how banged-up the unit is. Although MLB Jon Beason will make his first appearance of the season after knee trouble, top corner Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie has been ruled out due to a concussion. DE Robert Ayers is questionable, while Jason Pierre-Paul remains away from the team following his July 4 fireworks accident.

Washington’s offense will be without top WR DeSean Jackson for the second straight week after straining a hamstring in the season opener. Backup offensive linemen Spencer Long, Arie Kouandjio and Tom Compton are also inactive, leaving the offensive line thin on depth. Expect a heavy dose of Jones and Alfred Morris who appear to be splitting carries as Gruden aims to ride the hot hand in the hopes of keeping both fresh. With Jackson out, Pierre Garcon will again be Cousins' top receiver. He and tight end Jordan Reed tied for the team lead with six receptions against St. Louis.

The Giants also have a major issue up front due to the likely absence of rookie left tackle Ereck Flowers, the No. 9 pick in this past draft, who is considered doubtful due to an ankle injury he originally suffered against Dallas in Week 1 and re-injured last week. Justin Pugh, who struggled at right tackle before moving inside, would start if Flowers can’t play.

Beyond the uncertainty up front with his offensive line, Manning also won’t have Victor Cruz back, as the veteran big-play wideout remains sidelined with a calf injury. The Giants also released Preston Parker after a few costly drops against Atlanta, leaving the team literally short-handed. Dwayne Harris and rookie Geremy Davis will play in the slot while Reuben Randle and Odell Beckham Jr. start on the outside.

With Manning’s options limited, the responsibilities of Beckham Jr. and tight end Larry Donnell increase as top targets against a Washington pass defense that comes in No. 2 in the NFL through two games. Each had a three-touchdown game in last year’s sweep of the ‘Skins as the Giants enjoyed wins of 45-14 and 24-13. Beckham Jr.’s big rookie moment came on an unforgettable catch against Dallas, but arguably his biggest game came the only time he took the field opposite this secondary, as he was targeted 15 times, catching 12 balls for 143 yards and the three scores.

Washington has a new defensive coordinator in Joe Berry, so it will be interesting to see how he attacks the most explosive receiver his team has seen all season. Without Cruz active and the receiving corps short-handed, Berry could gamble with double-teams and challenge Manning to beat him via other options.

Manning is 15-6 against the ‘Skins in his career, which includes victories in the last four meetings. He hasn’t lost to Washington at home since 2011, winning six of the last seven in East Rutherford. He hasn’t been great on Thursday nights, winning three of five but tossing just six touchdowns against six picks.

Interceptions haven’t been an issue for Manning this season, which is ironic since every other type of miscue has been. The patrons aren’t likely to be patient if his first INT is part of these festivities, since there’s a chance he may hear boos from the opening possession. At 0-2, the Giants can’t afford mistakes of any kind as they look to avoid their second 0-3 start in three seasons. New York lost consecutive games to open 2014 before rattling off three straight wins. Starting a similar run will be the goal on Thursday night.

[StarDust Bum]

Team Open Line Movements Current Moneyline Halftime Scores

8:25 PM EDT

301 WASHINGTON REDSKINS 45 44 / 44o12 / 44 44.5 +140
302 NEW YORK GIANTS -4 -05 -3 -16 / -3 -20 / -3 -25 -3 -160

WAS-WR-DeSean Jackson-OUT | TV: CBS, NFL, DTV: 212 | FAIR, EAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 70, RH 54%

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NFL Consensus Picks


SIDES (ATS)

Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds

8:25 PM Washington +3 1012 37.63% N.Y. Giants -3 1677 62.37% View View


TOTALS (OVER/UNDER)

Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds

8:25 PM Washington 44.5 1154 57.30% N.Y. Giants 44.5 860 42.70% View View

[StarDust Bum]

NFL RATED GAMES: (as of 9/21/15 )

THURSDAY'S RESULTS: ( 9/24/15 )

*****.........................0 - 0
DOUBLE PLAYS............0 -0
TRIPLE PLAY................0 - 0 - 0
BLOW OUT...................0 - 0


*****.......................................... 6 - 4 - 1
double play...................................15 - 7
triple play......................................5 - 6 - 1
blow out........................................2 - 0
gom..............................................0 - 0
goy.............................................. 0 - 0
totals........................................... 11 - 8 - 1 ( TOTALS INCLUDED IN RATED PLAYS )

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

******......................................0 - 0
DOUBLE PLAY............................2 - 2
TRIPLE PLAY.............................0 - 0
BLOW OUT................................0 - 0
THURSDAY NIGHT GOM............0 - 0
THURS. NIGHT GOY..................0 - 0

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:

SINGLE PLAY........................... 1 - 0
DOUBLE PLAY.......................... 2 - 0
TRIPLE PLAY............................ 0 - 1
BLOW OUT..............................
SUNDAY NIGHT GOM...............
SUNDAY NIGHT GOY...............

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

******......................................1 - 0
DOUBLE PLAY............................0 - 0
TRIPLE PLAY.............................2 - 1
BLOW OUT................................0 - 0
MONDAY NIGHT GOM...............0 - 0
MONDAY NIGHT GOY................0 - 0


GOING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL 09/24/15


THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 24

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Washington - 8:25 PM ET N.Y. Giants -3 500 TRIPLE PLAY

N.Y. Giants - Under 44.5 500 *****

[Udog]

Thanks, Bum! Good luck tonight!

[StarDust Bum]

NFL Opening Line Report: Oddsmakers debate Romo's worth to Dallas' odds

Tony Romo's injury has books debating what the line should be for the Cowboys' Week 3 matchup with the Falcons this coming Sunday.

After a solid 2014 season that culminated in a playoff appearance, the Dallas Cowboys had to make a tough decision: pay Dez Bryant or pay DeMarco Murray. They paid Bryant, and Murray left for greener pastures in Philadelphia.

Then Dez Bryant went down with a broken foot in Week 1 against the New York Giants. The Cowboys hope he’ll only miss four to six weeks. And on Sunday in Week 2 at Philadelphia, quarterback Tony Romo suffered a broken left clavicle – the same injury he suffered in 2010 – and is expected to miss eight to 10 weeks.

About the only good news for the Cowboys? Well, they’re 2-0 SU (1-1 ATS), with both wins over NFC East rivals. Dallas topped Philadelphia 20-10 as a 7-point road underdog, a week after edging the Giants 27-26 as a 7-point home favorite.

Now, the Cowboys return home to face Atlanta (2-0 SU and ATS), which is also off to a solid start after its paltry 6-8 SU and 7-9 ATS campaign in 2014. On Sunday, the Falcons put up two fourth-quarter touchdowns – the second with just over a minute left – to nab a 24-20 victory as 2-point road underdog against the Giants.

John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker.eu, said the opening line on this game would have to wait a bit.

“We’re going to have to take some time here, considering everything that’s happened to Dallas personnel-wise,” Lester said. “Had Romo still been available, we would have opened around -6 for the Cowboys. The Falcons are improved from a year ago, but I don’t think they’re as good as they’ve looked thus far.”

Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, also had to sit tight on the opening number.

“It’s a great start to the season for the Falcons, beating two NFC East foes. Strangely enough, those two opponents (Eagles and Giants) are 0-4 between them, as they both also lost to the Cowboys,” Avello said. “With the loss of Tony Romo, the Cowboys would be happy with a 50/50 record from this point on until he returns.”

At offshore market, Sportsbook.ag, they opened Atlanta as a 1.5-point favorite and took immediate action on the Falcons to the point where they pulled the game from the board and consulted some industry experts on the potential pointspread. Those experts came back with a spread of pick'em, however, Sportsbook.ag linesmaker Peter Childs wasn't convinced the game should be that tight.

He reopened at Falcons -2.5 and again took one-sided action on Atlanta, forcing a move to three. Once at a field goal, Dallas bets started rolling in as well as sharp action on the Cowboys which dropped the line back down to Atlanta -2.5, which is were the book sits as of Monday morning. Childs says his biggest concern is how the Dallas offense struggled with backup QB Brandon Weeden under center, with Romo out with a back injury, against the Arizona Cardinals last season.

"The Cowboys were competitive early, but eventually the Cardinals shutdown Weeden and the Cowboys offense and got the easy win and cover," Childs recalled. "We lost a fortune on that game, so we knew that our customers were going to fade Weeden in this spot and all early indications are exactly that - fade Weeden. And last year for the Cowboys, they had Dez and Murray, who won’t be on the field come Sunday versus the Falcons. Interesting game, I do believe the Cowboys will be competitive but I also believe the Falcons should be a slight favorite."

Kansas City Chiefs at Green Bay Packers

Kansas City was in the primetime spotlight in Week 2, when the Chiefs were dealt a stunning 31-24 home loss after Denver scored two touchdowns in the final 40 seconds – the second on a shocking fumble return. So instead of hashing things out in overtime, K.C. stumbled as a 3-point favorite Thursday night.

With the exception of the extra three days’ rest, the Week 3 schedule doesn’t do the Chiefs (1-1 SU and ATS) any favors, as they are once again in primetime, but this time at Green Bay on Monday night.

The Packers (2-0 SU and ATS) are coming off a rematch of the NFC Championship Game, avenging their loss last January by beating Seattle 27-17 as a 3.5-point home favorite. With that being the Sunday night game, and some injuries on the Packers, the opening line isn’t set just yet.

“Going into Sunday night, we would have made the Packers between six and 7-point favorites for this one,” Lester said. “It’s a long layoff for the Chiefs, which I don’t think is a good thing considering how deflating their Week 2 loss was. They’ve got to be eager to get back on the field, but they’re in a holding pattern.”

Said Avello, “Another primetime spot for the Packers, but they are quite used to it now, and the Chiefs also get their second in a row after playing last Thursday. I believe playing these games in front of a large TV audience helps motivate a team to play its best. The Chiefs let one get away against Denver, but they're good enough to bounce back and play head-to-head with the Pack.”

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5)

Baltimore (0-2 SU and ATS) finally gets a home game after two long weeks on the road. The Ravens were dealt a tough loss at Denver in Week 1, falling 19-13 in a game they arguably should have won, then went to Oakland as a 6-point favorite and lost 37-33 on a last-minute Raiders touchdown.

Cincinnati (2-0 SU and ATS) has gotten out of the gate quickly with a pair of wins and covers. On Sunday, the Bengals fended off San Diego 24-19 as a 3.5-point home fave.

Avello opened Baltimore at -3.

“The Ravens have lost three straight to the Bengals, and this is no time to extend it,” he said. “There are no must-wins this early in the season, but it sure would be a very difficult road back after falling behind the division leader by three games right from jump street.”

Lester’s opening number was a shade tighter at Ravens -2.5.

“We’ll have a lot of players eager to back the Bengals, but that’s what we’re counting on with this number,” Lester said. “I fully anticipate Baltimore putting forth a great effort in this matchup, as the Ravens obviously can’t afford to start the season 0-3. John Harbaugh will have his guys ready to play.”

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (-6.5)

Arizona (2-0 SU and ATS) is looking stout in the early going, entering this NFC West clash after thumping Chicago 48-23 as a 2-point road chalk Sunday.

On the flip side, San Fran is coming off a blowout loss. The Niners were dealt a 43-18 shellacking Sunday catching 6 points at Pittsburgh.

“It’s a tale of two teams from the opener to Week 2 regarding San Francisco,” Lester said. “The Niners aren’t as bad as they looked at Pittsburgh, but this is a very difficult spot for them. Arizona has been dominant at home over the last couple of years, so we felt comfortable putting up this number. I expect it to bounce around between 6 and 7 all week, and we’ll probably get solid split action.”

Avello went slightly tighter on the line, with the Cards at -6.

“The Niners have had the Cards’ number, winning five of the last six and eight of the last 10,” he said. “That's because the 49ers were good and the Cardinals weren't. Well, a change in the guard has certainly occurred.

“Arizona was never an easy place to get a win, but the Cardinals’ home-field advantage is stronger now than ever, and that 13-3 record over the past two-plus years demonstrates that.”

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 24

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WASHINGTON (1 - 1) at NY GIANTS (0 - 2) - 9/24/2015, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 4-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 27

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PITTSBURGH (1 - 1) at ST LOUIS (1 - 1) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 144-181 ATS (-55.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 144-181 ATS (-55.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN DIEGO (1 - 1) at MINNESOTA (1 - 1) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (1 - 1) at HOUSTON (0 - 2) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 2) at NY JETS (2 - 0) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (0 - 2) at CAROLINA (2 - 0) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (1 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 0) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 168-128 ATS (+27.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (2 - 0) at BALTIMORE (0 - 2) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 64-92 ATS (-37.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (1 - 1) at CLEVELAND (1 - 1) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games against AFC North division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 2) at TENNESSEE (1 - 1) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (2 - 0) at DALLAS (2 - 0) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 1) at ARIZONA (2 - 0) - 9/27/2015, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (0 - 2) at SEATTLE (0 - 2) - 9/27/2015, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (1 - 1) at MIAMI (1 - 1) - 9/27/2015, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (2 - 0) at DETROIT (0 - 2) - 9/27/2015, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, September 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (1 - 1) at GREEN BAY (2 - 0) - 9/28/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Week 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 24

8:25 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY GIANTS
Washington is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Washington is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Giants last 7 games when playing Washington


Sunday, September 27

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. BALTIMORE
Cincinnati is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

1:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games

1:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. CLEVELAND
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY JETS
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
NY Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. HOUSTON
Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Houston is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home

1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. DALLAS
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. NEW ENGLAND
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Jacksonville's last 15 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

1:00 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
Indianapolis is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. CAROLINA
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of New Orleans's last 21 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

4:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games
San Francisco is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Arizona is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco

4:25 PM
BUFFALO vs. MIAMI
Buffalo is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

4:25 PM
CHICAGO vs. SEATTLE
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Chicago

8:30 PM
DENVER vs. DETROIT
Denver is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Denver is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Detroit's last 22 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


Monday, September 28

8:30 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 3

Thursday - Sept, 24

Washington at NY Giants, 8:25 ET
Washington: 11-23 ATS in all games
New York: 6-1 ATS when playing on a Thursday

Total Trends for Skins at Giants:
Washington: 73-45 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
New York: 58-34 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards

[StarDust Bum]

NFL Line Watch: Brees' shoulder has total bettors on alert

Saints QB Drew Brees is likely to miss time with a rotator cuff injury, which has bettors watching New Orleans' totals closely.

Spread to bet on now

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys (+1)

Are the Falcons finally over the hump? Atlanta owns two tight wins over NFC East opponents (Eagles and Giants), and goes for the division trifecta against the wounded Cowboys Sunday. The Falcons have twice trailed in the late going, only to storm back both times and keep pace with the Panthers in the suddenly-relevant NFC South.

Tony Romo’s injury has caused Dallas money to dry up as bettors have pounded the Falcons 2-to-1. If you like Atlanta to make it three in a row, best lay the money down as soon as possible because the line could bump up pretty quickly.

Spread to wait on

Pittsburgh Steelers at St. Louis Rams (+1)

Steelers action has already tilted this one from Rams -1 to Rams +1, and with 70 percent of early bettors backing Pittsburgh, there could be even more volatility on this game. Pittsburgh’s 25-point blowout of the 49ers in Week 2 settled nerves in western Pennsylvania after the Steelers had been manhandled by the Patriots in the opener.

Rams fans may be in for a roller-coaster ride this season, if the early results are any indication. No one expected St. Louis to be dominated in Washington, but St. Louis just could not get its offense going.

Total to watch

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (45)

As Yogi would say, it gets late early around here, and at 0-2 the Saints find themselves in last place in the NFC South and with an injured quarterback. Reports about Drew Brees’s injured (throwing) shoulder are conflicting, and range from “he’s good to go on Sunday” to “he’ll be sidelined for several weeks”.

If Brees can’t go against the Panthers, the immortal Luke McCown takes over against a Carolina team that has allowed the second-fewest points in the league this season. Not hard to do the math from that point, especially considering that the Panthers’ offense is banged up itself and has been less than mediocre so far.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Thursday, September 24


Saints' Brees expects to start at Carolina

New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees has every intention of playing this week despite sustaining a shoulder injury last week that affected many of his throws in the Saints' 26-19 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Speaking during Wednesday's news conference, Brees said he is "pretty confident" that he will be under center when the 0-2 Saints travel to face the 2-0 Carolina Panthers on Sunday.

Brees avoided a major injury but admitted a direct hit he took on the shoulder from Bucs defensive end Jacquies Smith just as he started his throwing motion affected him on a few passes later in the game. After the hit, Brees shook his arm and rotated his shoulder while waiting for the next play call to come in.

Reports earlier in the week indicated Brees could miss a several games. He did not throw during Wednesday's practice.

"I do have to take it day to day, and I have to be smart with this. So that's what I'm doing," Brees told reporters after practice.


Steelers leading the way in the 2-point revolution

The Pittsburgh Steelers went for a 2-point conversion following each of their first two touchdowns against the San Francisco 49ers last week, but you had best get used to it as this could be something we see more and more in the 2015 season.

As Dale Lolley, Steelers beat reporter for the Observer-Reporter, points out, we are on pace for 56 two-point conversion attempts this season. That's double what we saw in 2014.

But it's Mike Tomlin and those Steelers that are leading the way, converting all three attempts so far.

Eleven clubs have opted for the 2-pointer instead of the extra point with six successfully converting. Only the Steelers, Indianapolis Colts and Buffalo Bills have attempted more than one.

[StarDust Bum]

Where the action is: Biggest midweek NFL Week 3 line moves

Thanks to Darrelle Revis and a defense that has allowed just 17 points through two weeks, the Jets head into Sunday's meeting with the Eagles 2-0 ATS.

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys - Open: +2.5, Move: +3.5, Move: +2.5

Cowboys wide receiver Dez Bryant went down in Week 1 and quarterback Tony Romo was hurt in Week 2 adding to the injury woes that have grabbed the headlines in Big D.

Still, Dallas is 2-0 heading into its showdown with the Falcons Sunday afternoon but the prospect of Brandon Weeden isn't exactly enticing to the betting community.

"We opened the Falcons as 2.5-point faves heading into Dallas adjusting the juice as the week has gone on with the majority of the action on the Falcons," Stewart says. "With the QB situation in Dallas up in the air I believe we will see this line up as high as 3-3.5 as the public will jump on Atlanta on those numbers to cover. Also, if the number gets up to Falcons -3.5 you will see the sharps come in and back the Cowboys."

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets - Open: +2.5, Move: -2.5

Talk about two teams going in opposite directions.

The Eagles have stumbled out to an 0-2 SU and ATS record to kick things off in 2015, while the Jets have gotten out to a 2-0 SU and ATS mark thanks to a defense that has allowed an NFL low 17 points through the first two weeks.

As Stewart points out, action is all over the hot Jets with both sharps and public bettors loving the home team.

"We had opened this game with the Eagles as 2-point faves last week, and with the Eagles' second loss and the Jets convincing win on Monday night over the Colts, the action pushed the Jets to our current number (at time of writing) of Jets -2.5 with 80 percent of the action," Stewart says. "This is a spot where we are seeing both public and sharp action backing the Jets."

Pittsburgh Steelers at St. Louis Rams - Open: +1, Move: +2

The Steelers are coming off a resounding win over the San Francisco 49ers in Week 2 and are one of eight teams bring perfect 2-0 ATS records into the third week of the season.

The Rams defeated the Seattle Seahawks in Week 1 at home before coming out flat in a 24-10 loss at the Washington Redskins in Week 2.

This has been all Steelers money thus far and Stewart doesn't expect that to stop as we get closer to Sunday.

"We opened the Steelers as 1-point faves and with over 90 percent of the action backing the Steelers, we have moved them to 2-point road faves against the Rams," Stewart tells Covers. "The Steelers were dominant in last week's game, blowing out the 49ers at home. We should see this line balloon as the week goes on if the action continues in on the Steelers."

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 4


Washington @ NY Giants

Game 301-302
September 24, 2015 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
126.288
NY Giants
132.929
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 6 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 3 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(-3 1/2); Under


New Orleans @ Carolina

Game 469-470
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
129.023
Carolina
130.115
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 3 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+3 1/2); Over

Jacksonville @ New England

Game 471-472
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
130.399
New England
140.208
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 10
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 14
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+10); Over

Cincinnati @ Baltimore

Game 473-474
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
132.820
Baltimore
138.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 5 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 2 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-2 1/2); Over

Oakland @ Cleveland

Game 475-476
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
125.000
Cleveland
126.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+3 1/2); Over

Indianapolis @ Tennessee

Game 477-478
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
136.884
Tennessee
124.944
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 12
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 3
46
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(-3); Under

Atlanta @ Dallas

Game 479-480
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
130.935
Dallas
137.601
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 6 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2 1/2); Over

San Francisco @ Arizona

Game 481-482
September 27, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
129.126
Arizona
136.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 7 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 6
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-6); Over

Pittsburgh @ St. Louis

Game 461-462
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
134.193
St. Louis
136.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
48
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+2); Over

Chicago @ Seattle

Game 483-484
September 27, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
126.860
Seattle
138.828
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 12
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 15
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+15); Over

San Diego @ Minnesota

Game 463-464
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
134.456
Minnesota
131.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+2 1/2); Over

Buffalo @ Miami

Game 485-486
September 27, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
131.476
Miami
136.415
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 5
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-2 1/2); Under

Tampa Bay @ Houston

Game 465-466
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
120.508
Houston
132.530
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 12
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6 1/2
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-6 1/2); Under

Denver @ Detroit

Game 487-488
September 27, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
138.897
Detroit
133.350
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 5 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 3
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-3); Over

Philadelphia @ NY Jets

Game 467-468
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
131.974
NY Jets
135.931
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 4
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 2 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-2 1/2); Under


Kansas City @ Green Bay

Game 489-490
September 28, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
135.399
Green Bay
139.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 4 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 7
49
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+7); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 4

Sunday - Sept, 27

Pittsburgh at St Louis, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 8-1 OVER in non-conf games
St Louis: 50-31 OVER in non-conf games

San Diego at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 8-1 OVER in non-conf games
Minnesota: 8-2 ATS off a division game

Tampa Bay at Houston, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 2-11 ATS against AFC South division
Houston: 3-11 ATS off a road game

Philadelphia at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 15-5 UNDER in road games off a home loss by 10 or more points
New York: 71-97 ATS off a road game

New Orleans at Carolina, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 1-8 ATS in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders
Carolina: 26-12 ATS at home off a non-conf game

Jacksonville at New England, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 4-14 ATS in the first half of the season
New England: 36-19 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game

Cincinnati at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 7-0 UNDER as a road underdog
Baltimore: 6-0 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses

Oakland at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 0-6 ATS off a upset win as an underdog
Cleveland: 39-23 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Indianapolis at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 10-0 ATS vs division opponents
Tennessee: 2-10 ATS at home

Atlanta at Dallas, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 4-22 ATS after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
Dallas: 12-3 ATS as an underdog

San Francisco at Arizona, 4:05 ET
San Francisco: 1-5 ATS off a loss of 10 or more points
Arizona: 12-3 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest

Chicago at Seattle, 4:25 ET
Chicago: 26-13 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses
Seattle: 6-0 UNDER off a road loss

Buffalo at Miami, 4:25 ET
Buffalo: 8-1 UNDER as an underdog
Miami: 6-0 UNDER off a loss of 6 or less points

Denver at Detroit, 8:30 ET
Denver: 0-6 ATS off a win against a division rival
Detroit: 6-0 UNDER after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game


Monday - Sept, 28

Kansas City at Green Bay, 8:30 ET
Kansas City: 43-26 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses
Green Bay: 15-7 OVER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points