The Bum's National Football Leagues Trends-News- Picks !!

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NFL

Thursday, September 17

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Game of the Day: Broncos at Chiefs
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Kansas City eased to a 27-20 win at Houston that was not as close as the final score indicated.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 41.5)

The Denver Broncos have won four consecutive AFC West titles but they'll face an early-season showdown for division supremacy when they visit the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday night. The Broncos failed to score an offensive touchdown in a 19-13 victory over visiting Baltimore while Kansas City eased to a 27-20 win at Houston that was not as close as the final score indicated.

Denver quarterback Peyton Manning attempted to allay concerns over the lack of productivity from the offense as the team adopts more of a ball-control offense under new coach Gary Kubiak. "Everybody is looking for these summaries of our offense and our team after Week 1 and I just don't think we're going to be able to do that," Manning said. "It's Week 1. We're a work in progress. ... We're trying to get better every single week." Meanwhile, the Chiefs shot out to a 27-9 halftime lead over the Texans behind three scoring passes from Alex Smith, but they face a nemesis in Manning and the Broncos. Denver has won six consecutive meetings in the series, including its last four visits to Kansas City.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Chiefs as 2.5-point home faves but that is now up to -3. The total is down to 41.5 from the opening 43.

INJURY REPORT: Broncos - QB Peyton Manning (Probable, back), LB Lerentee McCray (Probable, groin), S David Bruton Jr. (Probable, ankle), WR Demaryius Thomas (Probable, hand), S Darian Stewart (Questionable, groin), DE Malik Jackson (Questionable, concussion), RB C.J. Anderson (Questionable, toe), S Omar Bolden (Doubtful, foot), DE Kenny Anunike (Out, knee). Chiefs - LB Tamba Hali (Probable, neck), DB Sean Smith (Eligible Week 4, suspension).

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 15 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow toward the north at around 14 miles per hour.

POWER RANKINGS: Broncos (-4) + Chiefs (-2.5) + home field (-3) = Chiefs -1

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Denver showed on Sunday that they are capable of winning games against solid foes even when Peyton Manning looks like the 39-year-old QB that he is. Alex Smith still didn't throw a touchdown pass to a wide receiver, but he did throw three TD?s to TE Travis Kelce and RB Jamaal Charles."

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened the Chiefs as 2.5 point faves at home and after the struggles of the Denver offense on Sunday we went to Chiefs -3 where we currently sit adjusting the juice as the week has moved on. The Chiefs are seeing 58 percent of the action to cover the spread as of writing this."

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Manning's arm strength, or lack thereof, has been a hot-button topic throughout the preseason and he finished with only 175 yards without a scoring pass in the opener, but he has thrown for 1,736 yards with 16 TDs versus three interceptions in six meetings against the Chiefs since joining Denver. C.J. Anderson was limited to 29 yards on 12 carries while dealing with a sprained toe, but he was at practice Tuesday night along with star wideout Demaryius Thomas, who suffered a hand injury versus Baltimore. The Broncos' defense, which produced the lone touchdown in Week 1 on Aqib Talib's interception return, limited the Ravens to only 173 total yards.

ABOUT THE CHIEFS (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U): Smith has been typecast as a game manager but he got a vote of confidence - “Alex was on the money all day” - from tight end Travis Kelce, who had a huge opening game with six catches for 106 yards and a pair of scores. Running back Jamaal Charles had a relative quiet season debut with 57 yards rushing while matching newcomer Jeremy Maclin with five catches, but he has scored 15 touchdowns in his last 14 games overall. Kansas City yielded an AFC-low 281 points last season and received a boost with the return of linebacker Derrick Johnson, who registered a team-high eight tackles in his first game back after suffering a ruptured Achilles tendon.

TRENDS:

* Under is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings.
* Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Kansas City.
* Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. AFC West.
* Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-nine percent of users are the Chiefs.

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NFL

Thursday, September 17


Small chance of thunderstorms at Arrowhead Stadium

According to weather forecasts, there is around a 15 percent chance of thunderstorms scheduled for the early stages of the Denver Broncos' visit to the Kansas City Chiefs before shooting up to a 60 percent possibility later in the game.

Furthermore, wind is expected to blow toward the north corner of the stadium at around 14 mils per hour during the game.

The Chiefs are presently 3-point home faves for the showdown with their AFC West rivals. The total, which opened at 32, is down to 41.5.

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Where the action is: Biggest midweek NFL Week 2 line moves

Following a 28-21 win against the Steelers in Week 1, the Patriots visit the Buffalo Bills in Week 2 where they have gone 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

With Week 1 in the books, we now turn our attention to Week 2. The 2015 NFL season curtain raiser gave us many talking points, but bettors will be able to get more of a feel where certain teams stand and see which teams are for real and which teams were nothing more than a flash in the pan.

Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns - Open: -2.5, Move: +1

It was a fantastic debut from rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota and the Titans who crushed fellow rookie Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 42-14 and covered the spread by a whopping 31 points in Week 1. Now, Mariota and the Titans travel to Cleveland where Titans money has flipped this line from one side of a Pick to the other.

"Despite the line flipping from Titans +2.5 on Monday all the way to them being a 1-point favorite, the action on the Titans has not slowed," Sloan tells Covers. "Bets are still 7-1 on Tennessee, and the money action is 4-1 on them as well. Some of the sharps were lucky enough to grab Tennessee at 2 and 2.5, so the value bets seem to be gone at this point. We would expect this line to possibly move another half point to 1.5, but not much more than that."


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints - Open: -10.5, Move: -10

Speaking of Winston, it wasn't the opener that he and the Bucs envisioned, but surely there's nowhere to go but up from the shellacking in Week 1. Considering the Saints closed out 2014 with an 0-5 record both straight up and against the spread in their last five home games, perhaps New Orleans is the place where Winston and the Bucs can right the ship.

"We opened this matchup Saints -10.5, moving Saints -10 on Monday with 57 percent of the action coming in on the Saints to cover," Stewart tells Covers. "I can see us moving to Saints -9.5 come the weekend as I think the sharps will back the Bucs to cover, with the poor defense of the Saints allowing Tampa to put points on the board."


Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers - Open: -3, Move: -3.5

In what could be a forecast of a playoff matchup come January, the Packers host the Seahawks in one of the marquee matchups on the Week 2 docket. The Seahawks have traditionally not fared well in their visits to Wisconsin and the betting patterns on this game reflect that with a bit of faith in the home team.

"We don’t anticipate this line from moving off of GB -3.5," Sloan says. "The house is going to need Seattle plus the 3.5 for our lunch money come Sunday, but we’re fine with that. Currently, the bets are at 2-1 on GB, and the money is at 4-1, however the sharps have yet to pile in to show us who they like. With a steady line, there isn’t much need for them to act in advance."


New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - Open: +1.5, Move: Pick, Move: +1.5

Thanks to a 27-14 win over the Indianapolis Colts as 1-point home dogs, Rex Ryan's Bills were a big Week1 highlight, but they'll face a stern test from a familiar foe in the New England Patriots.

The Pats have owned the Bills in upstate New York, posting a record of 9-2 ATS in the previous 11 meetings in Buffalo and, according to Stewart, bettors like the majority of action is on the Pats to keep that trend alive Sunday.

"This is a matchup I really like Belichick and the Patriots offense vs Ryan and the Bills defense," Stewart says. "We opened the Patriots as 1.5-point faves on the road and getting as low as a pick’em before moving back up to the Patriots -1.5 with 78 percent of the action to cover. I like the bills in this spot at home and I think the sharps will back the Bills as we get closer to game time."

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Team Open Line Movements Current Moneyline Halftime Scores

8:25 PM EDT

101 DENVER BRONCOS 45 41.5 / 42 / 42.5 42 +150
102 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -2.5 -15 -3 -15 / -3 -20 / -3 -15 -3 -25 -170

DEN-RB-C.J. Anderson-Probable | DEN-WR-Demaryius Thomas-Probable | TV: CBS, NFL, DTV: 212 | MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 12-17. GAME TEMP 84, RH 62% HEAT INDEX 89


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NFL Consensus Picks

SIDES (ATS)

Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds

8:25 PM Denver +3 1196 42.11% Kansas City -3 1644 57.89% View View

TOTALS (OVER/UNDER)

Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds

8:25 PM Denver 42 1360 61.57% Kansas City 42 849 38.43% View View

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THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Denver - 8:25 PM ET Kansas City -3 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Kansas City - Under 42 500 DOUBLE PLAY

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NFL RATED GAMES: (as of 9/17/15 )

THURSDAY NIGHT RESULTS:

DOUBLE PLAYS: 1 - 1


*****.......................................... 3 - 3
double play..................................10 - 6
triple play....................................1 - 3
blow out......................................1 - 0
gom.............................................0 - 0
goy............................................. 0 - 0
totals.......................................... 6 - 7 ( TOTALS INCLUDED IN RATED PLAYS )

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

******......................................0 - 0
DOUBLE PLAY............................2 - 2
TRIPLE PLAY.............................0 - 0
BLOW OUT................................0 - 0
THURSDAY NIGHT GOM............0 - 0
THURS. NIGHT GOY..................0 - 0

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

******......................................1 - 0
DOUBLE PLAY............................0 - 0
TRIPLE PLAY.............................1 - 2
BLOW OUT................................0 - 0
MONDAY NIGHT GOM...............0 - 0
MONDAY NIGHT GOY................0 - 0



Going into Sunday Afternoon Football

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Sunday's Top Action

September 16, 2015

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (1-0) at PITTSBURGH STEELERS (0-1)

Sportsbook.ag Line: Pittsburgh -6.5, Total: 44

The Steelers look to avoid an 0-2 hole to start the season on Sunday afternoon when they host the 49ers for the first time since 2007.

San Francisco RB Carlos Hyde stole the show on Monday Night Football with a league-best 168 rushing yards, and despite a painfully ugly first half of football versus Minnesota, the black and red clad Niners didn’t seem all that different from the team that went to three straight NFC Title games. The defense, led by LB NaVorro Bowman, looked fast and violent, QB Colin Kaepernick was quick and decisive, and Hyde looked like he was the All-Pro instead of the returning Adrian Peterson, leading his team to a 20-3 victory.

Pittsburgh will again be without RB Le’Veon Bell, serving the final game of his suspension, which means the DeAngelo Williams revival tour will get another week in the spotlight. Williams racked up 127 yards on the ground in the 28-21 loss to New England, providing this matchup of the surprising leading rushers in each conference. These two storied franchises haven’t met since 2011 and haven’t played in the Steel City since a 37-16 Steelers win in 2007. The teams have alternated victories in the four meetings since 1999, all four of those decided by at least 16 points. The losing team has scored less than 20 points in all 13 meetings since 1969.

In the 2011 matchup, Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger had one of the worst games of his career, throwing three picks with zero touchdowns, marking the only game since 2009 where he had 0 TD and 3 INT. The Steelers are 1-8 SU when Roethlisberger throws 3+ interceptions and San Francisco led the NFL with 23 picks last season. The Niners are 4-2 ATS versus the Steelers since 1992, including 2-1 ATS in Pittsburgh, while Kaepernick is 16-8 ATS in his career on the road.

Kaepernick’s numbers last Monday night didn't blow anybody away at 17-of-26 for 165 yards, but his 41 rushing yards and overall control of the offensive unit looked a lot more like the budding superstar from 2013 than last year’s shell of a player. CB Tramaine Brock had the lone 49ers takeaway, a fourth quarter interception of Teddy Bridgewater, and the rest of the defense flew around like the elite unit they used to be. LB NaVorro Bowman, in his first game since 2013, was one of five Niners with a sack while holding the Vikings offense to just 248 total yards.

San Francisco tallied 395 yards of offense, a number it eclipsed just three times last season, and without the eight penalties, that number could’ve been north of 450. This bodes well for Week 2, as the club is 8-1 on the road when throwing for 150-to-200 yards in the past three seasons with the average margin of victory at 12.4 points per game. The only noticeable weakness for San Francisco was the special teams. Aging kicker Phil Dawson was not sharp once again, rugby star and fan-favorite Jarryd Hayne muffed the first punt of his career, and multiple flags spoiled a brilliant return to the house by WR Bruce Ellington.

Williams’ rushing total last Thursday was his best single-game mark since the final contest of the 2012 season and his first 100+ yard game in nearly two seasons. Ben Roethlisberger was average by his standards in Week 1, throwing for 351 yards, but just one meaningless late-game score to accompany a fourth quarter interception. Pittsburgh's offense moved the ball up and down the field all evening in Foxboro, but a pair of missed field goals and countless missed opportunities left them out in the cold despite outgaining the Pats 464-361.

One encouraging trend for this matchup is San Francisco’s 13-27 mark ATS when allowing 400-to-450 total yards (22-43 ATS when allowing 400+) since 1992. After not forcing a turnover versus New England, the Steelers will look to get back to playing their brand of football, as they’re 8-0 when their defense forces two turnovers in the past three seasons.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (1-0) at BUFFALO BILLS (1-0)

Sportsbook.ag Line: New England -1.5, Total: 45

A pair of AFC East rivals collide in upstate New York on Sunday when the Bills host the Patriots.

New England QB Tom Brady looked like vintage Tom Brady on opening night, while Buffalo QB Tyrod Taylor looked like, well, somebody with a stingy defense led by a modern-day mastermind supporting him.

Brady led his Pats out of the tunnel to watch their Super Bowl banner raised and he quickly reminded everybody exactly who still runs the NFL. All Brady did last Thursday versus Pittsburgh was go 25-of-32 for 288 yards with 4 TD passes and no interceptions. It was the 16th time in his illustrious career that he threw for 4+ TD while not tossing a pick. He accomplished the feat twice last season, one of which came in Orchard Park in a 37-22 Pats victory over the Bills.

Buffalo may have given the surprise performance of opening weekend, a 27-14 defensive clinic against Andrew Luck and the Colts. Buffalo took the ball away three times and grabbed a pair of sacks while Taylor’s offensive unit put up zeroes in both categories. Early season success is nothing new for the Bills though, as they’re 30-15 ATS in the first two weeks of the season since 1992. Buffalo’s defense needs to impose its will on New England, and if they can keep the score low, they’ll have a shot.

Over the past three seasons, New England is 0-7 ATS when scoring 15-21 points, a number that new Bills head coach Rex Ryan would be thrilled to see for the visitor this Sunday. The Patriots have struggled in games when the turnover battle is even, going 2-8 ATS in the past three seasons in those games, including 0-7 ATS on the road. However, Tom Brady has a career 23-3 record against Buffalo, which is his best (most wins and best win pct) against any opponent he’s faced more than five times in his career.

New England’s defense didn't shine against Pittsburgh, but is due to bounce back against a quarterback with such little game experience, as since 1992 the Pats are 39-19 ATS the week after being outgained by 100 yards, and Bill Belichick is 24-10 ATS in such games in his career. Overall, New England holds a 26-17 mark ATS versus Buffalo, but the club has split the past four meetings ATS.

Two of Brady's four TD passes against Buffalo last year went to WR Brandon LaFell who currently sits on the PUP list with a bad foot, the other two went to former backup TE Tim Wright and little-known WR Brian Tyms. Fast forward to this week and Brady will have all hands on deck with the exception of RB LeGarrette Blount, who’s still serving his suspension for an incident while with the Steelers last season. That should be a huge omission though, as Brady got no help from the running game at Buffalo last year as his team gained only 50 yards on 27 carries.

Brady connected with seven different receivers last week including a 1-yard scoring strike to former Bills TE Scott Chandler, 11 balls to WR Julian Edelman, and three touchdowns to All-Pro TE Rob Gronkowski. RB Dion Lewis impressed last week, totaling 120 scrimmage yards on 19 touches in Blount’s place.

The defense was just good enough last week against the AFC’s top offense from last season, as Pittsburgh racked up nearly 500 yards of offense with arguably the best running back in the NFL sitting out. New England was statistically beaten in every category with the exception of the two that matter, turnovers and points.

Bills QB Tyrod Taylor was efficient in Week 1, going 14-of-19 for 195 yards and a touchdown pass to new WR Percy Harvin. Taylor added 41 yards on the ground, the same total as star RB LeSean McCoy who did add 46 receiving yards to his tally. Taylor and McCoy will need to move the chains on the ground, as New England is 5-1 ATS when allowing 75-to-100 rush yards in the past three years.

Rex Ryan will need to correct two glaring flaws from last week in order to defeat his nemesis. Buffalo had a league-high 113 penalty yards and finished the game just 5-of-13 on third downs. When the opposing quarterback holds a career mark of 23-3 against your franchise, those kinds of mistakes lose games.

Buffalo won a meaningless final matchup of last season at Foxboro, holding the Pats, who had nothing to play for getting ready for the playoffs, to just nine points in the victory, although it’s unlikely that Brady’s backup will be seeing the playing time he did in that meeting. Brady’s two legitimate losses to the Bills both came in Orchard Park, throwing four picks in each of those contests (2011 & 2003). The 2003 game was easily the worst of Brady’s career, and whether it was a lifetime ago or not, two of his six career games with four interceptions have come in Buffalo.

DALLAS COWBOYS (1-0) at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (0-1)

Sportsbook.ag Line: Philadelphia -5.5, Total: 56

Fresh off a masterful, game-winning drive in Week 1, Tony Romo leads the Cowboys to Philly on Sunday afternoon to see old friend DeMarco Murray and the Eagles.

In a wild opening weekend for the NFC East, only the Cowboys emerged victorious, and with a win in Philly could get early season pole position in the division race. The loss of top WR Dez Bryant will loom large over the next 6-to-8 weeks, especially in a matchup with the high-scoring Eagles offense. Dallas will need to be much sharper than its three-turnover performance against New York, as the Cowboys were one of just two teams (St. Louis) to win in Week 1 despite multiple turnovers.

Dallas wasn’t great against the Giants, but seemed to come up with a play in the biggest moments of the game. Playing keep-away from New York in the first half kept Eli Manning and company out of rhythm despite not committing a turnover. New York possessed the ball for only 8:01 in the first half against Dallas, which will be a recipe for success for Rod Marinelli and the Cowboys defense against Chip Kelly’s offense.

Dallas will need to find a way to get after Philadelphia QB Sam Bradford who, like Romo, didn’t go down a single time in Week 1. DT Tyrone Crawford had the only Cowboys sack in the season opener, but the front seven seemed to keep Manning off balance and uncomfortable all night.

In the past two seasons, Dallas is 6-0 ATS when playing on grass and also 6-0 ATS when playing a road game following a home game. They’re also a team that loves being slighted by the sharps; the Cowboys are 11-3 ATS as underdogs in the past three years.

However, Philadelphia has been a resilient bunch under Chip Kelly, as the Eagles are 6-0 ATS coming off of a road loss in the past three years.

Dallas QB Tony Romo will be adjusting to life without WR Dez Bryant, which is a huge bonus for a Philly defense that was abused by Falcons star receiver Julio Jones Monday night. Bryant has seven TD (most versus any opponent) in eight career meetings with the division rival Eagles, and Terrence Williams will move up to the top receiver spot in his absence. Since Bryant entered the league, the Cowboys are 3-2 in games that he has missed; Bryant has played in every game for Dallas since week two of 2011.

Despite winning the past three matchups in Philly, Romo has struggled against the Eagles in his career. In 17 starts, he is 10-7 against them, but his passer rating of 86.7 is his lowest mark against any NFC opponent. Despite that, Dallas is 3-1 ATS versus Philly in the past two years with the road team winning straight up in all four. However, the last four in Philly have all been decided by double digits.
Philly RB DeMarco Murray struggled mightily in his debut, rushing for nine yards on just eight carries. Murray also had four grabs for 11 yards, giving him a subpar 20 yards from scrimmage on 12 touches.

Although Philly outgained Atlanta 399-395, the Eagles continued to hurt themselves with penalties (10 for 88 yards) and poor third-down execution (3-of-12 on 3rd Downs). The Philadelphia offense averaged 6.8 yards per play after halftime against Atlanta on Monday night following a sluggish first half where the team had the same number of punts (five) as first downs. Oddly enough, the Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in road games when allowing 6+ yards per play over the past three seasons.

The two Eagles that had a positive offensive impact were WR Jordan Matthews (10 receptions, 102 yards) and Darren Sproles (126 total yards on 12 touches). If you remove those two players, Philly would have just 13 rushing yards left over and 158 of its 336 yards through the air. The remaining offensive plays totaled 171 yards on 30 plays (5.7 yds per play) while Sproles and Matthews moved the ball at over 10.4 yards per play (228 yards, 22 touches).

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Public Fades - Week 2

September 17, 2015

The road favorites dominated last Sunday in the NFL as the Packers, Dolphins, Chiefs, Panthers, and Bengals all picked up victories and covers. Although the Eagles and Vikings faltered on Monday night, road ‘chalk’ still compiled a profitable 5-4 SU/ATS record in Week 1. Will that carry over into Week 2 or will the public get tripped up by trying to ride the road favorite train?

This Sunday, two teams that put together victories in the opening week are listed as away favorites. Arizona and St. Louis are being bet by the public against inferior foes as we’ll isolate on these two squads and whether or not they are solid wagering opportunities in Week 2.

Cardinals (-2, 45) at Bears – 1:00 PM EST

Arizona began the 2014 season at 9-1, which included a 3-1 mark away from University of Phoenix Stadium. However, following Carson Palmer’s ACL tear that ended his season, the Cardinals didn’t fare well on the highway, going 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in the final five road games, capped off by a playoff defeat at Carolina.

The Cardinals allowed 355 passing yards in last Sunday’s 31-19 victory over the Saints, but Arizona’s defense to limit New Orleans to one touchdown and four field goals and just 54 yards on the ground. The Bears showed some signs of life in a 31-23 loss to the Packers in the opener, leading Green Bay, 13-10 at halftime. However, the Packers outscored the Bears, 21-3 in the second half prior to a late touchdown to send Chicago to its sixth straight loss since last November.

So why back the Bears?

VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson says there plenty of reasons to fade the Cardinals, “Arizona’s offense looked great last week against a Saints defense that is expected to be one of the worst units in the league, even so Arizona was in a one-point game in the fourth quarter before pulling away late. The highly-regarded Cardinals defense also allowed over 400 yards against a re-tooling Saints offense and the Bears could have the potential to put up good numbers again this week.”

Nelson continues his argument on why to take the Bears, “While Chicago lost a big opening game with Green Bay, the Bears outgained the Packers by 80 yards and rushed the ball with great success, gaining 5.7 yards per carry. Chicago is likely to offer more offensive balance compared with New Orleans and the Cardinals will be a similar favorite on the road this week as they were at home last week despite the Cardinals going 12-29 SU on the road since 2010. Chicago trailed one of the NFC favorites by just a point in the fourth quarter last week as this is a team that has a chance to exceed the gloomy preseason expectations with John Fox and a quality coaching staff getting through to the team and the talent level on offense arguably superior to what Arizona offers.”

According to handicapper Antony Dinero, there were some good things to come out of Sunday’s loss by Chicago, “The Bears didn’t grade out all that great against Green Bay and failed to cover, but Jay Cutler moved the ball effectively in spite of constant pressure. Alshon Jeffery moved around well despite his preseason injury woes, while Matt Forte provided a formidable threat that made it easier for Cutler to get Jeffery and Martellus Bennett the ball since the secondary had to keep an eye on the backfield. With another home game in store, it’s not far-fetched to think some improvement won’t result in Chicago netting a cover against visiting Arizona after flirting with it against the superior rival Packers.”

Rams (-3 ½, 41) at Redskins – 1:00 PM EST

St. Louis jumped out to a 24-13 lead over the two-time defending NFC Champion Seahawks in the season opener, but needed a late touchdown to force overtime. Seattle outscored St. Louis, 18-0 in the fourth quarter prior to a Nick Foles touchdown strike to Lance Kendricks to tie the game at 31-31 and put the Rams not only in a position to cover, but also win. The Rams received the opening kickoff in overtime and knocked in the go-ahead field goal, then stuffed the Seahawks on fourth and short to cash as 3 ½-point underdogs in a 34-31 triumph.

The Rams have lost 11 of their last 16 games away from the Edward Jones Dome since 2013, while two of their three road wins last season came at Tampa Bay and Washington. In the 24-0 victory over the Redskins last December, the Rams were aided by a Tavon Austin punt return for a touchdown in an 18-point third quarter. The Rams struggled last season off a win, going 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in this situation.

So why back the Redskins?

Nelson says in spite of Washington’s loss to Miami last Sunday, there were positives to pull from the defeat, “Washington put up 349 yards and had a massive time-of-possession edge going up against a Miami defense that most expect to be one of the top units in the league. Quarterback play will be a concern for the Redskins all season and Kirk Cousins did have two interceptions last week but Alfred Morris had a great day on the ground and Washington still possesses a decent receiving corps even without DeSean Jackson. The Redskins led Miami into the fourth quarter and if not for allowing a punt return touchdown in the fourth Washington would have had a good chance to win.”

Handicapper Vince Akins digs deep into his historical vault and provides more evidence to fade the Rams in Week 2, “We are wary of all non-elite road favorites, particularly in the early in the season, but it is losing teams in this spot in the first month of the season that give particular cause for concern. As it happens, there is solid early season system to back that up.”

“Play against an away favorite that won less than eight games last season in the first four weeks of the season. These auspicious road favorites are just 41-54-3 ATS (43.2%) over the past 25 years and it has been a particularly ugly 8-17 ATS since 2010. Despite mustering up just six wins last season and a track record of middling success is going on over a decade, St. Louis has been elevated to road favorite status in Week 2. Be cautious on the Rams,” says Akins.

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Texans to start Mallett against Panthers

September 17, 2015

HOUSTON (AP) Houston coach Bill O'Brien says quarterback Ryan Mallett will start for the Texans on Sunday at Carolina.

O'Brien had said earlier in the week that he wouldn't announce a decision until game time. But after the news got out on Wednesday, O'Brien decided to make it official on Thursday.

Brian Hoyer beat Mallett for the job in camp. But Hoyer was benched in the fourth quarter of Houston's season-opening loss to the Chiefs after committing two turnovers. Mallett led Houston on two scoring drives in the final six minutes of 27-20 loss.

Also on Thursday, injured running back Arian Foster returned to practice for the first time since groin surgery. But it's unclear when he'll be ready to play.

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Sore hammy won't keep Julio Jones out

September 17, 2015

FLOWERY BRANCH, Ga. (AP) Julio Jones vows his sore right hamstring is no cause for alarm.

The two-time Atlanta Pro Bowl receiver missed practice Thursday for the second straight day, but promises to be in the starting lineup when the Falcons (1-0) visit the New York Giants (0-1).

Coach Dan Quinn added there's ''zero'' chance Jones will miss the game.

That's good news for the Falcons.

Jones, who caught nine passes for 141 yards and two first-half touchdowns against Philadelphia, is one of the NFL's elite players at his position.

After tweaking the hamstring, Jones' snaps were limited in the second half, but he still caught a 44-yard pass - the game's longest play - to set up the winning field goal.

''By me being able to go back out there, it wasn't that serious,'' Jones said. ''It's just precautionary. I'm going be ready to go.''

The Giants are coming off a last-minute loss at Dallas after they allowed 72 yards on six passes on the winning drive.

As Philadelphia's cornerbacks found out last week, cornerbacks Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Prince Amukamara might have some difficult matchups against Jones.

At 6-foot-3, 220 pounds, he has the size and strength to run through jams at the line of scrimmage, and offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan has designed plays that line up Jones at both outside receiver spots and in the slot. He also occasionally goes in motion before the snap.

''It helps us out that they don't know where I'm going to line up at,'' Jones said. ''Kyle does a great job with that and making sure everyone knows the offense so he can move us around. ''

Jones, who ranked among the league's top three receivers last year in catches and yards receiving, has embraced having more versatility than he had under former coordinator Dirk Koetter.

It was something he had to earn during the offseason, but the farther he advanced, the more Quinn, a first-year head coach, talked about expanding his role in Shanahan's scheme.

''For him, when you're a great player, you're great all the time,'' Quinn said. ''So he goes to another (level) in saying, `I'm ready to work and do the things that I have to do.' Tons of respect for him and how he approaches the game.''

Jones is going about his business this year in the same soft-spoken manner he's used since Atlanta drafted him No. 6 overall from Alabama in 2011.

Owner Arthur Blank has been so impressed with his performance on and off the field that he re-signed Jones to a new five-year contract last month that guaranteed $47.5 million and made him one of the game's highest-paid players.

''I just want to be the best teammate,'' Jones said. ''I hate to let someone down and have myself (underperform) if I'm not getting the proper sleep, if I'm not eating right or I'm not studying. So I do all that to the best of my ability. Then when it's show time, I just go out there and play.''

Notes: WR Devin Hester (toe), OLB Brooks Reed (groin), SS William Moore (illness) and DE Malliciah Goodman (elbow) missed practice. OLB O'Brien Schofield (hip) was a limited participant. LT Jake Matthews (back) and DE Adrian Clayborn (thumb) were full participants.

[StarDust Bum]

Vegas Money Moves - Week 2

September 18, 2015

A lot has changed since April when CG Technology sports books in Las Vegas first posted Week 2 of the NFL. Between a combination of injuries, preseason play and one regular season game, several teams have had their ratings massively adjusted -- some higher and lower. You've also got to factor in the books not faring well last Sunday, so a couple of teams books know that are going to get lots of love might be favored too much this week and a couple of teams the public hates is going to get extreme value, or at least a few more points.

Let's take the Buccaneers, for example, for its road game at New Orleans. CG Tech posted the Saints as 6.5-point favorites for this game back in April. The combination of seeing rookie QB Jameis Winston routinely finding trouble -- just like most first halves at Florida State last season -- which led to a 42-14 drubbing last week at the hands of the Titans and their rookie QB. The Saints didn't look all that great in their Week 1 opening loss at Arizona, but the Bucs dropoff in perception and rating forced CG to re-open the Saints -10 on Sunday night.

Is that a proper adjustment? Do we all really think we got Winston figured out? We've really got the book on him and we've come to the conclusion after one week that it's going to be a long year for him and Tampa Bay? Whatever reality might be, it's the public that tells us the answer. And with the way they're betting the game, they're saying -10 is just fine. Sharp money may disagree on game day. The Westgate SuperBook and Wynn are both dealing -9.5 while everyone else is using -10.

A situation where a team may have been upgraded way too high after one week of play is another team led with a rookie QB -- the Titans and Marcus Mariota. Were the Bucs that bad last week or was Mariota so sensational that he's worth a 5.5-point swing?

CG books opened the Browns as 4.5-point home favorites against the Titans in April. This week they re-opened the Titans at -1. Sure, the Browns offense struggled at the Jets last week, but is one week enough time to really properly gauge the ratings of both Cleveland and Tennessee?

Is Johnny Manziel really that big of a drop off from Josh McCown? Las Vegas oddsmaker Kenny White says Manziel starting is a 2-point drop off. Sounds high, but even then -- if McCown was starting -- it would be Cleveland -1 which is still a significant jump from where the number started. The Westgate SuperBook and William Hill books have Tennessee -1.5 while Wynn is at Pick 'em.

Station Casinos sports book director Jason McCormick says the Titans are one of four top public plays this week, along with the Patriots (-1 at Buffalo), Rams (-3.5 at Washington) and Dolphins. Station books are outstanding barometers for what the public is thinking because they write more parlay action than anyone in the state.

McCormick says his sharp plays so far have been on the Bears (+1.5 vs Cardinals) and Lions (+3 at Minnesota). The Lions are now as low as -2 at a few books while Stations is at -2.5. CG Tech had the game Pick 'em back in April.

Let's take a look at where CG Tech books started in April and where they are now. Some of the moves have been made by action, but most of the movement has come from weekly adjustments to each teams' individual rating, movement that really took shape during preseason and then jumped even more after Week 1.

Houston at Carolina: Opened CAR -2.5, now it's -3.
Tampa Bat at New Orleans: NO opened -6.5, now -10.
Miami at Jacksonville: MIA opened -4, now -6.
Baltimore at Oakland: BAL open -5, now -6.
New England at Buffalo: NE opened -1, still the same.
San Diego at Cincinnati: CIN open -3, still the same (CIN -6.5 in 2014 wild card loss to SD)
Tennessee at Cleveland: CLEV open -4.5, TENN now -1
San Francisco at Pittsburgh: PITT open -2.5, now -6.
Atlanta at NY Giants: NYG open -3.5, now it's -2.5.
Dallas at Philadelphia: PHIL -2, now -5.
St. Louis at Washington: STL -2, now it's -3.5 EV.
Arizona at Chicago: AZ open -1, now -2.
Seattle at Green Bay: GB open -1, now -3.5.
Detroit at Minnesota: Opened Pick 'em, now MINN -2.5.
NY Jets at Indianapolis: IND open -7.5, now -7 EV.

You be the judge of where the value rests and if the latest adjustments after one week of play are too much. Whatever plan you roll with -- the quick change or steady conservative approach with each team rating -- good luck with your wagers. There's plenty of value with all the games no matter how you look at it.

[StarDust Bum]

Grading 1st-Year QBs

September 18, 2015


Week 1 featured triumphant wins by first year starting quarterbacks. Veterans such as Ryan Fitzpatrick of the Jets, Nick Foles of the Rams, Tyrod Taylor of the Bills, and rookie Marcus Mariotta of the Titans were all victorious.

Oddly enough all were on teams that were underdogs to win week one except the Jets.

Yet there were also three other first-year starting quarterbacks that lost. Jameis Winston and his Buccaneers were destroyed, Kirk Cousins and the Redskins went down to Miami, and Brian Hoyer lost his starting gig with the Texans before the game was complete against the Chiefs.

Only Miami were favorites against the Redskins.

Oddsmakers have a difficult task in September pinpointing how much to adjust lines based on first year starting quarterbacks play.

Here is a quick snapshot of how I’d evaluate all seven teams based on talent and operating in the month of September.

1) Buffalo

The Bills with Tyrod Taylor seem a notch higher than in prior years at quarterback. This will be a tough task for oddsmakers to pinpoint offering higher value on the Bills. Defensively they’ve already shown the ability to be able to win on its strength alone as they defeated Green Bay at home last year. Still, Taylor is going to have to show the ability to deliver when a deficit is faced or adversity off of his own turnovers.

Verdict: Jury is still out on Taylor that ATS spots have to be of high value or pass until late-September

2) New York Jets

Ryan Fitzpatrick has shown this tease before. He has had numerous stints throughout the NFL with the Rams, Bengals, Titans, Bills, Texans, and now Jets. At just 32 this is typically when you see a veteran quarterback re-rise his level of play for one last career contract. There’s no reason to suggest that Fitzpatrick can’t do what he is asked of with a Todd Bowles led defense and a strong running game with Chris Ivory.

Verdict: The Jets remain a strong ATS selection for September

3) St. Louis Rams

In week one’s win Nick Foles took some physical hits that have to remain in the back of minds of sports bettors. He has already had a tough time staying healthy dating back to his starts in Philadelphia. Every week there are not going to be gadget or special teams touchdowns to bail the Rams offense out. It was a big win against Seattle but how much of that has to do with the regression of the Seahawks overall?

Verdict: Oddsmakers are onto the Rams. There are no loopholes to be discovered.

4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Let the Lovie Smith firing rants begin along with the Winston bust assumptions. I’m not ready to jump on that wagon yet. Sure the Titans throttled the Buccaneers but it was only one game. Mike Evans was injured and Winston started the game horribly with miscues and turnovers. Who is to say that other defenses in the NFL would have been prepared for a specific tailored offense to Marcus Mariotta? The Buccaneers are not going to be a perennial team but value is on them ATS similar to last season when they covered games against Pittsburgh, New Orleans, and others.

Verdict: Value ATS should be on the Bucs side for September

5) Houston Texans

I’m not a huge fan of Ryan Mallet but fans of the Texans should be elated that was not a further wait to bench Brian Hoyer. Last season the Texans defense led by JJ Watt had already endured a tough season. With Mallet’s strong arm he can deliver deep balls to breakout wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. It also shouldn’t be long before Arian Foster returns to the lineup.

Verdict: We still need time to see how Mallet handles regaining the starting job.

6) Tennessee Titans

The tailored offense of the Titans was fun to watch Sunday but how long will it run successfully before defenses catch up? All rookie quarterbacks struggle at some point. Bettors need to realize that this is the same Titans team that got nothing from Sankey and others a season ago. They punched the Buccaneers in the mouth but I doubt they score 42 points again this season.

Verdict: Overvalued ATS off of Week 1’s performance

7) Washington Redskins

The ugliness of the Redskins season is going to be profiled all season long. It was thought that the Cousins-McCoy-RG3 show was ending last year. Yet all three remain under an odd story line that oddsmakers have already fallen in love with. Keep that dreamy romance with the Redskins alive bettors, as the season has many more gifts ahead.

Verdict: Double-digit lines will still be deemed valuable throughout the season.

[StarDust Bum]

Week 2 Tip Sheet

September 18, 2015

Buccaneers at Saints (-10, 47) – 1:00 PM EST

Tampa Bay put together the ugliest performance of Week 1, getting trampled by Tennessee in a 42-14 home defeat as three-point favorites. Jameis Winston’s NFL debut was extremely forgettable, tossing an interception on his first pass that was returned for a touchdown, as the Bucs fell behind, 21-0 after one quarter. Tampa Bay is flipped to a double-digit underdog at the Superdome, looking to redeem themselves after squandering an 11-point fourth quarter lead last season in a 37-31 overtime loss as an 11-point underdogs.

The Saints put up plenty of yards in last week’s 31-19 setback at Arizona, posting 408 yards, but finding the end zone just once. New Orleans didn’t accomplish much on the ground, rushing for 54 yards on 20 carries against a solid Cardinals’ rush defense. Sean Payton’s club struggled as a home favorite in 2014, compiling a 2-6 ATS record, including five straight losses at the Superdome to close the season, the most home defeats since 2007.

49ers at Steelers (-6, 45 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

San Francisco travels cross-country following Monday night’s dominating effort over Minnesota, as the Niners won Jim Tomsula’s debut, 20-3 to cash as 2 ½-point underdogs. The Niners pounded out 230 yards on the ground, including 168 yards and a pair of touchdowns from former Ohio State standout Carlos Hyde. However, San Francisco will be without tailback Reggie Bush, who suffered a thigh injury on Monday. In Colin Kaepernick’s 19 career road starts, he owns a 14-5 record away from the Bay Area, while going 4-4 ATS as a road underdog (all four losses have come at Seattle).

The Steelers scored a late touchdown to hurt New England backers last Thursday in a 28-21 loss, covering as 7 ½-point underdogs in spite of trailing by as many as 18 points. Pittsburgh will still be without several key members on offense as running back Le’Veon Bell and wide receiver Martavis Bryant remain suspended, while Pro Bowl center Maurkice Pouncey is sidelined with a leg injury. The Steelers have lost three of their last four interconference games at Heinz Field, while compiling a 2-3 ATS record in early kickoffs at home in 2014.

Falcons at Giants (-2 ½, 51) – 1:00 PM EST

Atlanta heads to Met Life Stadium with plenty of confidence after holding off Philadelphia on Monday night, 26-24 as three-point home underdogs. The Falcons gave away a 20-3 advantage as the Eagles rallied for 21 unanswered points; however, Matt Bryant’s 47-yard field goal halfway through fourth quarter gave Atlanta the lead for good and Dan Quinn his first NFL coaching victory. Atlanta is seeking consecutive wins for only the second time since the start of 2013, while falling to New York at Met Life last season, 30-20 as four-point underdogs.

The Giants managed a cover as seven-point underdogs at Dallas last Sunday night, but New York couldn’t hold onto a late six-point lead in a 27-26 defeat to their division rivals. Eli Manning took plenty of blame for the defeat as the Giants’ quarterback stopped the clock with an incomplete pass on New York’s final drive that resulted in a field goal, instead of falling on the ball to run another 30 seconds off the clock. The Giants will play two home games in a five-day span with the Redskins coming to town on Thursday, as Tom Coughlin’s team has dropped three straight home openers dating back to 2012.

Lions at Vikings (-2 ½, 43 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Both these NFC North rivals lost on the road to start the season, falling in different fashion. Detroit threw away a 21-3 lead in a 33-28 setback at San Diego, as the Lions have lost four consecutive road season openers. The Lions’ defense was shredded by allowing 483 yards to the Chargers, while the offense didn’t score a point for nearly 38 minutes following the early 21-point second quarter lead. Detroit swept the season series from Minnesota last season, limiting the Vikings to 17 points in both wins, as each game finished ‘under’ the total.

The Vikings were held to a field goal in a 20-3 defeat at San Francisco, as Adrian Peterson rushed for 31 yards on 10 carries in his first game in nearly a year. Minnesota closed out last season with three consecutive wins at TCF Bank Stadium, while posting a 4-1 ATS record in its final five home games. The Vikings didn’t have much success against division foes in 2014, losing five of six contests, while being listed as a home favorite against the Lions for just the second time since 2011.

Cowboys at Eagles (-5, 55) – 4:25 PM EST

Tony Romo led a late Dallas comeback past New York in a 27-26 triumph with a touchdown pass to Jason Witten in the final seconds to give the Cowboys an opening week win. However, it came at a price as standout wide receiver Dez Bryant suffered a broken bone in his right foot and will be out for at least four weeks. Dallas won all three road games inside the NFC East last season, including a 38-27 victory at Lincoln Financial Field as three-point underdogs, while each of those contests sailed ‘over’ the total.

The Eagles began the Sam Bradford era with 336 yards through the air, but fell to 1-4 ATS in the last five tries as a road favorite in a 26-24 loss at Atlanta on Monday night. There was plenty of criticism on the lack of touches in the backfield for newly acquired running back DeMarco Murray, who rushed for nine yards on eight carries (Eagles ran the ball 16 times total). Philadelphia looks to beat Dallas at home for the first time since 2011, as the Eagles scored at least 27 points in each of their seven games as a home favorite last season (6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS).

[StarDust Bum]

Manziel to start Sunday for Browns

September 18, 2015

BEREA, Ohio (AP) Browns quarterback Johnny Manziel will start Sunday's home opener against Tennessee.

Manziel will be making his third NFL start, replacing Josh McCown, who sustained a concussion last week against the New York Jets and has been following the NFL's protocol on head injuries.

The Browns announced Manziel's start before Friday's practice was opened to the media.

McCown had been expected to practice, and coach Mike Pettine said if he did, the 36-year-old veteran would play against the Titans. Pettine will have an update on his quarterback following practice.

Manziel came off the bench last Sunday against the New York Jets after McCown was injured on Cleveland's opening drive. Manziel threw his first career touchdown pass, but also committed three turnovers in a 31-10 loss.

Manziel has shown progress following a rough rookie season, which was followed by him entering a rehab facility.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 2


St. Louis @ Washington

Game 277-278
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
131.337
Washington
130.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
by 4
41
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+4); Over

Atlanta @ NY Giants

Game 279-280
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
128.680
NY Giants
134.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 5 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 2 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(-2 1/2); Under

Baltimore @ Oakland

Game 281-282
September 20, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
135.573
Oakland
125.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 9 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 6
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-6); Under

Houston @ Carolina

Game 261-262
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
131.495
Carolina
132.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 3 1/2
40
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+3); Over

Miami @ Jacksonville

Game 283-284
September 20, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
132.442
Jacksonville
123.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 8 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 6
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-6); Under

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans

Game 263-264
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
117.968
New Orleans
132.023
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 14
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 10
48
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-10); Under

Dallas @ Philadelphia

Game 285-286
September 20, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
129.403
Philadelphia
136.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 7 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 5
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-5); Under

San Francisco @ Pittsburgh

Game 265-266
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
129.126
Pittsburgh
137.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 8
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 5 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-5 1/2); Under

Seattle @ Green Bay

Game 287-288
September 20, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
139.718
Green Bay
140.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 1
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 4
49
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+4); Over

Detroit @ Minnesota

Game 267-268
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
130.414
Minnesota
134.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-2 1/2); Under

New England @ Buffalo

Game 269-270
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
141.247
Buffalo
136.107
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 5
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 1
45
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-1); Under

Arizona @ Chicago

Game 271-272
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
128.354
Chicago
129.860
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 2 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+2 1/2); Over

Tennessee @ Cleveland

Game 273-274
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
121.944
Cleveland
123.987
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+1 1/2); Over

San Diego @ Cincinnati

Game 275-276
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
135.134
Cincinnati
135.820
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+3 1/2); Over


NY Jets @ Indianapolis

Game 289-290
September 21, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
132.109
Indianapolis
136.277
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 4
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 7
47
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(+7); Over