The bum's nfl december trends/news/ stats/ all you need to know to wager the games!

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Hi Dave.....thanks we all can use some help.........

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NFL

Monday, December 15

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Monday Night Football: Saints at Bears
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New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears (+3, 54)

Despite owning identical records, one team is tied for the lead while the other resides in the basement in their respective divisions. The New Orleans Saints look to maintain at least a share of the top spot in the NFC South when they visit the NFC North cellar-dwelling Chicago Bears on Monday night. New Orleans enters Week 15 tied with Atlanta atop their division even though last Sunday's 41-10 loss to Carolina was its fourth defeat in five games, with all four losses coming at home.

Notoriously bad on the road, the Saints have won their last two games away from the Superdome - including a 35-32 triumph at Pittsburgh in Week 13. Chicago, which has rushed for a total of 48 yards in its last two games, has dropped four of its last six contests - allowing at least 34 points in each setback. The latest defeat, a 41-28 decision against Dallas, halted the Bears' two-game home winning streak.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Most shops opened the Bears as 3-point home dogs, though some had +2.5. The total opened at 54.

INJURY REPORT: Saints - LB David Hawthorne (Probable, hip), DE Akiem Hicks (Probable, ankle), LB Junior Galette (Questionable, knee), WR Robert Meachem (Questionable, ankle). Bears - DT Jeremiah Ratliff (Questionable, knee), S Chris Conte (Questionable, back), K Robbie Gould (Questionable, quad).

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid-40s with wind blowing toward the N endzone at 12 mph and a 66 percent chance of rain.

POWER RANKINGS: Saints (+2.25) + Bears (+3.0) + home field (-3.0) = Bears +2.25

ABOUT THE SAINTS (5-8 SU, 5-8 ATS, 10-3 O/U): New Orleans' defense has played a major role in the team's struggles this season, ranking 31st in yards allowed per game at 398.7. The club has yielded at least 27 points and an average of 183.8 rushing yards in its last five contests. Coach Sean Payton was particularly critical of the unit after the loss to Carolina. "Our tackling was awful. (The Panthers) were almost near 300 yards rushing. It was awful," he said. "On top of that, you can't make dumb mistakes like jump offside when a team is getting ready to punt or kick a field goal."

ABOUT THE BEARS (5-8 SU, 5-8 ATS, 8-5 O/U): After allowing 50-plus points in back-to-back losses at New England and Green Bay, the Bears appeared to right the ship, yielding 13 in home victories over Minnesota and Tampa Bay. But Chicago's defense went back to being porous as it yielded a total of 75 points in setbacks against Detroit and Dallas. Injuries to regulars have been a factor, forcing several rookies into extended action, but defensive end Jared Allen refuses to use that as an excuse. "You're in the NFL. By the time I got to the NFL, I'd been playing football every year since I was eight," he said. "That's a lot of years of football. They're young for the NFL, but it's still football."

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Chicago.
* Saints are 5-2-2 ATS in their last nine meetings.
* Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home.
* Over is 6-1 in Saints last seven vs. NFC.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 60 percent of bettors are backing the Saints.

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MNF - Saints at Bears

December 15, 2014

Two NFC teams that had playoff aspirations to start the season are seeing those dreams turn into nightmares with three weeks to go. Both New Orleans and Chicago sit at 5-8 as the two clubs meet up at Soldier Field tonight, even though the Saints still have a shot at a division title. Meanwhile, the Bears are counting down the days until this season’s disaster is over.

New Orleans is currently one-half game behind Carolina for the top spot in the dreadful NFC South race. The Panthers rallied past the Buccaneers on Sunday to improve to 5-8-1, as Carolina’s tie at Cincinnati earlier this season is proving to be a semi-tiebreaker over New Orleans and Atlanta. The Falcons lost again at home to Pittsburgh, dropping to 5-9, as Atlanta travels to the Superdome next week.

The Saints were once unbeatable in the Big Easy, but that task has been anything but with four consecutive home losses. The latest setback came last Sunday to Carolina in a 41-10 drubbing as 8 ½-point favorites, the worst loss for New Orleans since losing by that same score in the 2007 opener at Indianapolis. Sean Payton’s defense allowed nearly 500 yards to the Panthers, who avenged a 28-10 rout by New Orleans in late October.

The Bears began the season at 2-1 with hopes of reaching the postseason for the first time since 2010, but Chicago has won just three times in the past 10 games. The nail in the coffin came in last Thursday’s 41-28 home setback to the Cowboys as four-point underdogs, the fourth loss this season at Soldier Field. It’s the fourth time the Bears have allowed at least 38 points this season, as Chicago fell behind 35-7 in the third quarter. Brandon Marshall suffered two fractured ribs and a collapsed lung on a hit, ending the season for Chicago’s Pro Bowl receiver.

New Orleans has won its past two road games at Pittsburgh and Carolina, but the Saints own a 1-3 SU/ATS record in the role of an away favorite in 2014. Spanning back to the start of 2013, the Saints have covered just once in the past eight road chalk opportunities, while posting a 3-5 SU mark. In six road contests this season, New Orleans has cashed the ‘over’ five times, but two of those ‘overs’ came through by less than one point at Cleveland and Detroit.

Last season, the Saints went into Soldier Field and knocked off the Bears, 26-18 as short underdogs, snapping a three-game skid in the Windy City. New Orleans rushed for just 64 yards, but Drew Brees threw a pair of touchdown passes to Pierre Thomas in the win. Jay Cutler also tossed two touchdowns, while throwing for 358 yards, including 218 of those to Alshon Jeffery. New Orleans controlled the ball for 36 minutes, while the Saints connected on four Garrett Hartley field goals.

VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson gives his spin on tonight’s matchup, “The lopsided losses for Chicago skew the numbers a bit and the defeats have come against some of the top elite teams in the NFL this season, something the Saints do not resemble despite the high expectations this season. This line is inflated with New Orleans still being in the running in a ‘need to win’ situation, but playing with its season on the line, the Saints have lost four of the last five games including four home losses.”

Can Chicago pull off the win? Nelson thinks it still has a shot, “The Bears should face one of the best matchups of the season for a still capable offense and New Orleans has a poor track record outdoors late in the season in cold conditions. That said, this is a Saints team still in position to win its division and coming off a humiliating loss that could provide the wake-up spark that the team needs. The Saints won in Pittsburgh in their last road game and there have been a few strong performances against good teams, beating Green Bay while also playing tight games in narrow losses with Detroit, San Francisco, and Baltimore.”

The Saints have won four of their past six Monday night games dating back to 2011, but five of those games were played at the Superdome, including a loss to the Ravens last month. In the only Monday road contest in this span for New Orleans, the Saints were blown out by the Seahawks last December, 34-7. Under Mark Trestman, the Bears have put together a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS record in Monday night action, including a 27-19 victory over the Jets back in Week 3.

Underdogs have cashed in four of the past five Monday night games, including Atlanta taking home the money as a 13 ½-point ‘dog in last week’s 43-37 loss at Green Bay. The past two home ‘dogs on Mondays have come through, as the Jets (Week 13) and Titans (Week 11) each covered in losses, although they each were getting a touchdown.

Tonight, the Saints are listed as three-point favorites, while the total is set at 54 at most books. The Bears have hit the ‘over’ in four of five games with a total higher than 50, including both opportunities at Soldier Field. Tonight’s game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN.

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Bears made MNF home 'dogs

December 14, 2014


NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (5-8) at CHICAGO BEARS (5-8)

Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: New Orleans -3, Total: 54

Two underperforming teams clash on Monday night when the Saints visit the Bears.

New Orleans hit rock bottom last week in a 41-10 home loss to the Panthers, dropping the club to 1-4 (SU and ATS) in the past five contests. Chicago, meanwhile, suffered a 41-28 home loss to the Cowboys last Thursday.

The Saints have won-and-covered in both meetings with the Bears since 2011. The most recent matchup was a 26-18 victory in Chicago on Oct. 6, 2013. Prior to that win, the Bears had won three straight home games SU in this series. New Orleans has allowed at least 32 points in each of its past three games, and Chicago hasn’t been much better, surrendering 34+ points in each of the past two contests. All of those games have gone Over the total.

Since 1992, the Saints are 15-4 ATS in road games after allowing 175+ rushing yards in their previous game. They are also 55-36 ATS on the road after one or more consecutive ATS losses in that timeframe. The Bears, however, are 18-7 ATS at home after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of minus-1 or worse since 1992.

The Saints have no new injuries to note, but the same cannot be said for the Bears.

While WR Brandon Marshall (ribs) and LB D.J. Williams (neck) are both done for the season, S Chris Conte (back), DE Cornelius Washington (chest), DT Jeremiah Ratliff (knee), LB Darryl Sharpton (hamstring) and even K Robbie Gould (quad) are all questionable for Chicago on Monday night.

The Saints played their worst game of the season last week, getting blown out at home against a miserable Panthers team. QB Drew Brees (3,983 pass yards, 28 TD, 12 INT) completed just 59.2% of his passes in the game for 235 yards with a touchdown and an interception. He should be able to get things going in this one though, as he’ll be facing a Bears defense that is allowing 265.5 passing yards per game (30th in NFL).

If he is to snap out of his recent funk, however, he’ll need TE Jimmy Graham (68 rec, 695 yards, 9 TD) to do so as well. Graham has caught just three passes in two of the past three games, and Brees is used to being able to just lob the ball up for his superstar pass-catcher. Graham has not been the same since injuring his shoulder earlier in the season.

One player that could be a real difference maker in this one is RB Mark Ingram (810 rush yards, 6 TD). Ingram is a powerful runner that is capable of tiring out a defensive line. He carried the ball 10 times for 43 yards in last week's blowout loss to the Panthers, but rushed for 122 yards in the week before against Pittsburgh.

New Orleans will need to establish its run game, and pounding the rock with Ingram early would really benefit the team. Defensively, simply holding its opponent under 30 points would be an accomplishment, as the Saints have not done so in the past three games.

The Bears were unable to beat the Cowboys in Chicago last week, but they’ll now turn their attention to picking up a victory over the struggling Saints. QB Jay Cutler (3,446 pass yards, 26 TD, 15 INT) was actually pretty good in the loss against the Cowboys last Thursday, throwing for 341 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. The Saints are surrendering 265.2 yards per game through the air this season (29th in NFL), so Cutler should be able to find some success in Monday's matchup.

One thing he’ll need to get over is the loss of season-ending loss of starting WR Brandon Marshall (61 rec, 721 yards, 8 TD), who broke his ribs against the Cowboys last week. With Marshall out, Cutler will be even more reliant on WR Alshon Jeffery (73 rec, 949 yards, 8 TD). Jeffery has been on a tear recently, catching five touchdowns in the past four games and eight in the past 10 contests. Jeffery should be able to find plenty of space against this porous secondary, and Cutler will be looking his way more often than usual.

Without Marshall, however, this team would be very wise to pound the football with RB Matt Forte (854 rush yards, 6 TD). Forte has gotten just 18 carries over the past two games, and that will need to change, as he is the team’s biggest weapon.

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Betting Recap - Week 15

December 14, 2014


Overall Notes

NFL WEEK 15 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 11-4
Against the Spread 7-7-1
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 9-6
Against the Spread 6-8-1
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 3-12

NFL OVERALL RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 145-72-1
Against the Spread 106-108-2
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 124-93-1
Against the Spread 107-107-4
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 104-114-3

Biggest Favorite to Cash

New England (-9.5) outscored Miami 27-0 in the second-half on Sunday and earned a 41-13 victory.

Most books closed Seattle as a 9-point home favorite while others had the club as high as 10-point favorites. Trailing 7-3 at the half, the Seahawks outscored the 49ers 14-0 in the final two quarters for a 17-7 win.

Biggest Underdog to Cash


On Thursday, Arizona (+6) stifled St. Louis 12-6 as a road underdog. The Cardinals cashed money-line tickets as high as plus-230 (Bet $100 to win $230).

Buffalo (+3.5) defeated the Packers 21-13 at home, cashing +160 tickets on the money-line.

Along with the Cardinals and Bills, the Bengals (+2.5) and Cowboys (+3) were the only other underdog to win in Week 15.

Home/Away

Home teams went 8-7 straight up and 6-8-1 against the spread.

Win Total Tickets

The Ravens, Colts and Patriots all won on Sunday and bettors playing the ‘over’ in their season win totals are ready to cash tickets.

RESULTS

Manziel Hype

The Browns opened as 2 ½-point home underdogs to the Bengals before Cleveland announced that Johnny Manziel would start at quarterback. The Browns closed as 2 ½-point home favorites and Manziel stunk up the joint, as Cincinnati beat Cleveland 30-0 on the road. Manziel finished 10-of-18 for 80 yards and two interceptions.

Road Favorites

Bettors laying wood on the road in the NFL produced a 3-1 record in Week 15 both SU and ATS. Leading the charge were the Steelers, Broncos and Jets. The lone home underdog to capture an outright win was Buffalo.

Point-Spreads Matter

Baltimore (-13.5), Carolina (-3.5) and Detroit (-8) all won on Sunday but failed to cover the point-spread against Jacksonville, Tampa Bay and Minnesota respectively.

NFC South Leader

No Cam Newton, no problem for the Panthers! Carolina sits at 5-8-1 while Atlanta fell to 5-9. The Saints (5-8) play at Chicago on Monday. Despite losing today, Atlanta controls its own destiny to win since it owns a 4-0 record in the division.

Falcons – at Saints, vs. Panthers
Panthers – vs. Browns, at Falcons
Saints – at Bears, vs. Falcons, at Buccaneers

Three-Horse Race

The AFC North has three teams in the mix and Cincinnati (9-4-1) holds the top spot due to a tie earlier in the season to Carolina. Pittsburgh (9-5) and Baltimore (9-5) are right behind. This is how the schedule plays out for all three teams.

Bengals – vs. Denver, at Steelers
Ravens – at Texans, vs. Browns
Steelers – vs. Chiefs, vs. Bengals

Division Winners

New England, Indianapolis and Denver all clinched their divisions on Sunday.

This was the sixth straight AFC East title for the Patriots.

The Colts have now won back-to-back AFC South divisional titles.

The division title was the fourth consecutive for Denver and third in a row since QB Peyton Manning arrived.

Totals

Total Players watched the 'under' go 8-2 in the first 10 games of Week 15. In the late games on Sunday, the ‘under’ went 4-0.

Including Thursday’s outcome between the Cardinals and Rams, the 'under' went 12-2 in the first-half of the first 14 games.

Sticking with first-half results, the Dolphins added a late touchdown in the second quarter, which helped ‘over’ (24.5) bettors in the Miami-New England matchup.

Bettors with ‘under’ (23.5) in the first-half of the Redskins-Giants game were very happy to see RG3’s touchdown overturned with a fumble. Instead of Washington leading 17-7 at halftime, its lead was only 10-7 over New York.

The worst total beat took place in the Kansas City-Oakland matchup. The Chiefs led 10-3 at halftime and held a 31-6 advantage with less than two minutes remaining. After a missed field goal by the Chiefs, Oakland added a meaningless touchdown in the final minute to burn 'under' bettors (41.5).

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MONDAY NIGHT MATCHUP

CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWERS. SOUTHEAST WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 45, RH 89% WIND CHILL 40 (FOGGY)

The Numbers

This one opened Saints -3 and stayed right there, currently at Saints -3 -120. If you like the Saints
lay it now, if you want to wait for 3 1/2 with the Bears it is probably safe to wait. On the moeny line
you will lay $170 to win $100 on the Saints, or bet $100 to win 145 on the Bears. The
The total opened 54 and has not moved.

History

NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CHICAGO since 1992
CHICAGO is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS since 1992
CHICAGO is 5-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS since 1992
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Trends

CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Injury Report

NEW ORLEANS
[DE] 12/13/2014 - Akiem Hicks probable Monday vs. Chicago ( Ankle )
[LB] 12/13/2014 - David Hawthorne probable Monday vs. Chicago ( Hip )
[LB] 12/12/2014 - Junior Galette "?" Monday vs. Chicago ( Knee )
[T] 12/12/2014 - Terron Armstead "?" Monday vs. Chicago ( Neck )
[NT] 11/30/2014 - Brodrick Bunkley IR ( Quad )
[WR] 11/19/2014 - Brandin Cooks IR ( Thumb )
[S] 11/17/2014 - Rafael Bush out indefinitely ( Leg )
[FB] 11/07/2014 - Austin Johnson IR ( Knee )
[DE] 10/23/2014 - Glenn Foster IR ( Knee )
[S] 10/04/2014 - Jairus Byrd IR ( Knee )
[DB] 09/23/2014 - A.J. Davis IR ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 09/23/2014 - Andy Tanner IR ( Ankle )
[DB] 09/23/2014 - Ty Zimmerman IR ( Undisclosed )
[NT] 09/04/2014 - John Jenkins out indefinitely ( Pectoral )

CHICAGO
[LB] 12/15/2014 - Brandon Marshall "?" Monday vs. Cincinnati ( Foot )
[LB] 12/13/2014 - Darryl Sharpton IR ( Hamstring )
[S] 12/13/2014 - Chris Conte doubtful Monday vs. New Orleans ( Back )
[T] 12/12/2014 - Michael Ola "?" Monday vs. New Orleans ( Back )
[LB] 12/11/2014 - D.J. Williams IR ( Neck )
[DE] 12/07/2014 - Cornelius Washington "?" Monday vs. New Orleans ( Chest )
[K] 12/07/2014 - Robbie Gould "?" Monday vs. New Orleans ( Quad )
[DT] 12/07/2014 - Jeremiah Ratliff "?" Monday vs. New Orleans ( Knee )
[LB] 11/28/2014 - Lance Briggs IR ( Groin )
[TE] 11/12/2014 - Zach Miller IR ( Ankle )
[DE] 10/27/2014 - Lamarr Houston IR ( Knee )
[G] 10/27/2014 - Matt Slauson out for season ( Pectoral )
[CB] 09/15/2014 - Charles Tillman IR ( Tricep )

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'Dog Bengals help books

December 15, 2014

LAS VEGAS – Much like Week 12, NFL teasers again victimized Vegas sportsbooks on Sunday. Favorites went 11-3 straight-up in Week 14 games on Sunday and 6-6-2 against the spread, covering the number on 6-point teasers in 10 of 14 games. Johnny Avello, The Wynn’s Executive Director of Race & Sports Operations, summed up Sunday’s NFL betting action at his property in two words – “not good.”

The Kansas City Chiefs (-11), Pittsburgh Steelers (-3), New York Giants (-7), New York Jets (-3.5), Denver Broncos (-4.5) and Seattle Seahawks (-10) were among the favorites that were bet up at The Wynn. The defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks were the only team of that group not to cover easily but did allow bettors to cash teasers on both them and their opponent, the San Francisco 49ers, in a 17-7 win.

“We got hurt in teasers,” Avello said. “The Chiefs game was no good. That game I opened 11, the sharp guys took the 11 and the 10.5, and the house guys laid the 10 and the 10.5 going back up for much more. The Giants was a big game for me. I needed the Redskins, game went from (New York) 6 to 7, obviously they played well at times but not well enough to cover the spread.
“I had mostly Steeler money. The Jets game was a loser, went from 1 to 3.5. Broncos was a loser. The Seahawks, I had big money laying 9.5, so when I went to 10, all that money I gave back got sided on that game. After you hear my story, it doesn’t sound good, does it?”

Two of the three underdogs to win straight-up ended up costing The Wynn as well, including the Dallas Cowboys knocking off the Philadelphia Eagles 38-27 on Sunday Night Football. “The Cowboy game, I needed the Eagles,” said Avello, who closed Dallas at +3.5 (+100).

The second underdog that bit The Wynn was the Buffalo Bills, opening as 5.5-point home underdogs and getting bet down to +3.5 before beating the Green Bay Packers, 21-13. Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers had his worst game of the season with just 185 passing yards and two interceptions, raising his season total to five. The Bills guaranteed themselves a .500 season for the first time since 2004 and ended a five-game winning streak for the Packers, who were Super Bowl favorites heading into Buffalo.

“Green Bay game was a loser for me, went from 5.5 to 3.5,” Avello said. “I was very disappointed in Green Bay. They lost the game, and that happens. But I didn’t like dropping passes, the Jordy Nelson pass. They just don’t do that kind of stuff.”

The third underdog winner – the Cincinnati Bengals – actually helped The Wynn because the public was in love with Johnny Manziel making his first career start for the Cleveland Browns. Cincinnati opened as a 1.5-point road favorite at The Wynn, but bettors made Cleveland 2.5-point home chalk by kickoff. The Bengals ended up blanking the Browns 30-0 for the biggest victory on Sunday as Manziel flopped.

“The Bengal game was a good game, went from 1.5 Bengals to 2.5 Browns,” said Avello, who told Vegas Insider last Friday that he did not understand the line move. “That game turned out well for us. Sometimes you see things right, sometimes you don’t. But that one did go kind of the way we talked about.”

The second-biggest win on the scoreboard Sunday involved the New England Patriots, who blew out the Miami Dolphins 41-13, turning a close game at halftime into a rout with a 27-0 second half. However, New England’s ninth victory in 10 games that clinched the team’s 11th AFC East title in 12 years did not crush The Wynn as badly as it hurt Miami’s playoff chances.

“The Patriot game was an interesting game for me,” Avello said. “I opened (the Patriots) at 8.5, I went as low as 7.5 and then back to 8. I had Miami money mostly, and I had a bunch of teasers on the Patriots.

“The game was ok because it didn’t fall in the middle there. If it fell in the middle, we’d have to pay everybody, so that one worked out ok.””

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NFL > (129) SEATTLE@ (130) ARIZONA | 12/21/2014 - 08:30 PM
Play ON SEATTLE using the money line off a division game
The record is 13 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+12.45 units)

NFL > (127) INDIANAPOLIS@ (128) DALLAS | 12/21/2014 - 04:25 PM
Play ON INDIANAPOLIS using the money line when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 28 Wins and 9 Losses for the last three seasons (+24.55 units)

NFL > (101) TENNESSEE@ (102) JACKSONVILLE | 12/18/2014 - 08:25 PM
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE using the money line when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 5 Wins and 19 Losses for the last two seasons (-19.55 units)

NFL > (111) DETROIT@ (112) CHICAGO | 12/21/2014 - 01:00 PM
Play AGAINST DETROIT using the money line in December games
The record is 2 Wins and 9 Losses for the last three seasons (-14.6 units)

NFL > (115) NEW ENGLAND@ (116) NY JETS | 12/21/2014 - 01:00 PM
Play ON NEW ENGLAND using the money line when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 19 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+15.1 units)

NFL > (119) CLEVELAND@ (120) CAROLINA | 12/21/2014 - 01:00 PM
Play ON CAROLINA using the money line in the last 4 weeks of the regular season
The record is 9 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+11.1 units)

NFL > (131) DENVER@ (132) CINCINNATI | 12/22/2014 - 08:30 PM
Play UNDER CINCINNATI on the total versus the first half line in all games
The record is 1 Overs and 11 Unders for the this season (+9.9 units)

NFL > (113) ATLANTA@ (114) NEW ORLEANS | 12/21/2014 - 01:00 PM
Play AGAINST NEW ORLEANS using the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
The record is 17 Wins and 18 Losses for the since 1992 (-34.9 units)

NFL > (105) PHILADELPHIA@ (106) WASHINGTON | 12/20/2014 - 04:30 PM
Play AGAINST WASHINGTON using the money line against conference opponents
The record is 1 Wins and 9 Losses for the last two seasons (-10.95 units)

NFL > (119) CLEVELAND@ (120) CAROLINA | 12/21/2014 - 01:00 PM
Play UNDER CAROLINA on the total off a win against a division rival
The record is 0 Overs and 9 Unders for the last three seasons (+9 units)

NFL > (115) NEW ENGLAND@ (116) NY JETS | 12/21/2014 - 01:00 PM
Play OVER NEW ENGLAND on the total when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 8 Overs and 0 Unders for the last two seasons (+8 units)

NFL > (125) BUFFALO@ (126) OAKLAND | 12/21/2014 - 04:25 PM
Play UNDER BUFFALO on the total against conference opponents
The record is 1 Overs and 9 Unders for the this season (+7.9 units)

NFL > (111) DETROIT@ (112) CHICAGO | 12/21/2014 - 01:00 PM
Play AGAINST DETROIT in the first half after 2 or more consecutive wins
The record is 7 Wins and 25 Losses for the since 1992 (-20.5 units)

NFL > (123) NY GIANTS@ (124) ST LOUIS | 12/21/2014 - 04:05 PM
Play UNDER NY GIANTS on the total in games played on turf
The record is 4 Overs and 16 Unders for the last two seasons (+11.6 units)

NFL > (101) TENNESSEE@ (102) JACKSONVILLE | 12/18/2014 - 08:25 PM
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE using the against the spread when playing with 6 or less days rest
The record is 4 Wins and 15 Losses for the last two seasons (-12.5 units)

NFL > (115) NEW ENGLAND@ (116) NY JETS | 12/21/2014 - 01:00 PM
Play ON NEW ENGLAND using the against the spread off a division game
The record is 12 Wins and 2 Losses for the last three seasons (+9.8 units)

NFL > (111) DETROIT@ (112) CHICAGO | 12/21/2014 - 01:00 PM
Play AGAINST DETROIT using the against the spread after 2 or more consecutive wins
The record is 7 Wins and 23 Losses for the since 1992 (-18.3 units)

NFL > (105) PHILADELPHIA@ (106) WASHINGTON | 12/20/2014 - 04:30 PM
Play AGAINST WASHINGTON in the first half versus the 1rst half line in home games
The record is 2 Wins and 11 Losses for the last two seasons (-10.1 units)

NFL > (103) SAN DIEGO@ (104) SAN FRANCISCO | 12/20/2014 - 08:25 PM
Play ON SAN FRANCISCO in the first half in all games where the first half total is between 18 and 21
The record is 11 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+8.8 units)

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NFL Opening Line Report: Cowboys open as field goal faves versus Colts

They say there are two certainties in life: Death and taxes.

Well, here’s a third: Somebody is going to win the dreadful NFC South, and that someone will have a home playoff game, despite posting a sub-.500 record.

Week 16 “features” a contest that will go a long way toward determining which team will secure that berth, when the Atlanta Falcons (5-9 SU, 6-8 ATS) travel to the Big Easy to face the New Orleans Saints (5-8 SU and ATS).

The Falcons “played” their way into contention by losing five in a row earlier in the season, winning two in a row after that, then losing three of their last four. On Sunday, Atlanta fell to Pittsburgh 27-20 as a 3-point home underdog.

Meanwhile, New Orleans still has some work to do this week, with the Monday night game at Chicago. The Saints enter that contest on a 1-4 SU and ATS slide. Both the Saints and Bears could end up losing the division title to equally dreadful Carolina (5-8-1 SU, 7-7 ATS).

John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, said he’ll wait to see how the Saints look tonight before setting the number, but expects Drew Brees and Co. to open as touchdown favorites.

“The division berth could be on the line for New Orleans, and possibly Atlanta oddly enough, so this is a big one,” Lester said, adding the status of Falcons wideout Julio Jones – who missed Sunday’s game with a hip injury -- looms large. “The Falcons are obviously a different team without Julio Jones. The Saints are on a short week, but the home team in this series seemingly wins every time. If nothing major happens Monday night and Jones is out, the Saints will be around touchdown favorites.”

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (+7.5)

Defending Super Bowl champion Seattle is rounding into playoff form and still has a shot to catch surprising Arizona for the NFC West title. The Seahawks (10-4 SU, 7-6-1 ATS) stifled San Francisco 17-7 on Sunday, pushing as a 10-point home favorite while posting their fourth consecutive SU win (3-0-1 ATS) and seventh in the last eight games.

Arizona (11-3 SU, 10-4 ATS), tied for the best SU record in the league and No. 1 against the oddsmakers, is now down to third-string quarterback Ryan Lindley. But the Cards’ defense helped them fend off St. Louis 12-6 last Thursday.

“We’re going to hold off on releasing a line for this game until the Cardinals’ quarterback situation becomes clearer,” Lester said. “We assume it’s going to be Lindley, but stranger things have happened. There is a drop-off between Drew Stanton and Lindley. I think we’ll probably open Seattle between 6- and 7-point chalk.”


Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Indy (10-4 SU, 9-4-1 ATS) clinched the AFC South with a 17-10 victory over Houston on Sunday, pushing as 7-point home chalk in its fourth consecutive SU win. But the Colts still have more to play for, with an outside shot at the AFC’s No. 2 seed and a first-round playoff bye.

Dallas (10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS) got out to a 21-0 lead at Philadelphia in the Sunday night game, gave all of it back and more in falling behind 24-21, then got back on track to claim a 38-27 victory as a 3.5-point pup. That gave the Cowboys the inside track to the NFC East title.

“This is as tough of a game to handicap as any on the board in Week 16, in my opinion,” Lester said. “Dallas got the big win against Philly, but it can’t afford to lose even once with the way the playoff picture is shaping up. The Colts are still playing for something, but they don’t need it nearly as much. We always get a ton of action on the Cowboys.”


Denver Broncos (-3.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

Defending AFC champ Denver hasn’t looked pretty lately, but has won four in a row SU (2-2 ATS), including Sunday’s 22-10 victory laying 4 points at San Diego. The Broncos (11-3 SU, 7-7 ATS) are tied with New England for the AFC’s best mark, but hold the No. 2 playoff slot since they lost to the Patriots.

Cincinnati (9-4-1, 7-6-1) sits atop a crowded AFC North after getting a key win Sunday at Cleveland, rolling over hapless Johnny Manziel and the Browns 30-0 catching 2.5 points.

“As I mentioned last week, the Denver defense is starting to come around,” Lester said. “Peyton Manning doesn’t have to throw the ball 40 to 50 times when the defense is playing well. Both teams can move up in the standings, so there’s a lot left to play for. I expect the wiseguys will be on the home dog and the under.”

[StarDust Bum]

NFL line watch: Jump on the Bengals now

Game to bet on now

Denver at Cincinnati (+3.5)

All decent teams deserve a long look when they get points playing at home, and the half-point here is pretty enticing. The public is hammering the Broncos 3-1 in early betting, but the sharps might be planning a late play on the Bengals. And why not? Cincinnati has won four of five and is right in the thick of a crazy race in the AFC North, and the Bengals need this one badly to set up a potential winner-take-all battle with Pittsburgh in Week 17. Denver has won four in a row of its own, but fissures are starting to show in an offense that has been south of 30 points in three straight games. Take the points now on this one. PS -- The long-term weather forecast calls for light snow and temps in the low 30s, and we know how much Peyton Manning likes bad weather.


Game to wait on

New York Giants at St. Louis (-5)

The Rams are 6-8 and out and their playoff chances were burned at the stake when QB Sam Bradford ‘s ACL was torn last August, but what the St. Louis defense has done since Thanksgiving is nothing short of remarkable – 12 straight quarters without giving up a touchdown. The Giants have won a couple in a row against weak competition (Tennessee, Washington), but New York has also long since cashed in its chips on this season. New York has not beaten a decent defensive team all season, though. Figuring that New York money through the middle of the week might knock this number down a half-point or so, so if you like the Rams you might find -4.5 later on.


Total to watch

New England at New York Jets (47)

This is a playoff game for the Jets, who need at minimum a competitive game to have even a puncher’s chance of bringing fun-loving Rex Ryan back as coach, but even a win probably won’t get it done. The Jets have had success in the past clogging the middle against Brady’s receivers and bringing up-the-middle pressure, and the Patriots don’t do too much outside the numbers. Plus, NE likes its ground game now with LeGarrette Blount and Jonas Gray. Another factor in play is New England’s tendency to start slow on the road (Green Bay, San Diego), resulting in scoring in the low 20s. The Under is worth a look here.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 16

Tennessee at Jacksonville
The Titans head to Jacksonville on Thursday night to face a Jaguars team that is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between the two teams. Jacksonville is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Jaguars favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-3). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 18

Game 101-102: Tennessee at Jacksonville (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 116.206; Jacksonville 126.201
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 10; 36
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-3); Under


SATURDAY, DECEMBER 20

Game 103-104: San Diego at San Francisco (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 132.310; San Francisco 130.428
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 44
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 2 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+2 1/2); Over

Game 105-106: Philadelphia at Washington (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 132.256; Washington 121.720
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 10 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-7 1/2); Under


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 21

Game 107-108: Minnesota at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 130.598; Miami 131.210
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Miami by 7; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+7); Over

Game 109-110: Green Bay at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 136.649; Tampa Bay 129.658
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 7; 52
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 10 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+10 1/2); Over

Game 111-112: Detroit at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 134.138; Chicago 123.588
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 10 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Detroit by 7; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-7); Under

Game 113-114: Atlanta at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 130.804; New Orleans 130.068
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 59
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+6 1/2); Over

Game 115-116: New England at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 147.272; NY Jets 127.889
Dunkel Line: New England by 19 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: New England by 10; 47
Dunkel Pick: New England (-10); Under

Game 117-118: Kansas City at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 135.002; Pittsburgh 135.753
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 50
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+3 1/2); Over

Game 119-120: Cleveland at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 124.678; Carolina 130.201
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 5 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-3 1/2); Under

Game 121-122: Baltimore at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 138.759; Houston 130.613
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 8; 37
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 5 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-5 1/2); Under

Game 123-124: NY Giants at St. Louis (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 128.783; St. Louis 131.333
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 5; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+5); Over

Game 125-126: Buffalo at Oakland (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 138.721; Oakland 127.925
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 11; 35
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-5 1/2); Under

Game 127-128: Indianapolis at Dallas (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 137.821; Dallas 137.563
Dunkel Line: Even; 59
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 55
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+3); Over

Game 129-130: Seattle at Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 135.034; Arizona 134.219
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Seattle by 9; 37
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+9); Over


MONDAY, DECEMBER 22

Game 131-132: Denver at Cincinnati (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 139.689; Cincinnati 130.020
Dunkel Line: Denver by 9 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Denver by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 16

Thursday, December 18

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TENNESSEE (2 - 12) at JACKSONVILLE (2 - 12) - 12/18/2014, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
TENNESSEE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
TENNESSEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
TENNESSEE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 3-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, December 20

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SAN DIEGO (8 - 6) at SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 7) - 12/20/2014, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) off a loss against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PHILADELPHIA (9 - 5) at WASHINGTON (3 - 11) - 12/20/2014, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 21

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MINNESOTA (6 - 8) at MIAMI (7 - 7) - 12/21/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GREEN BAY (10 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 12) - 12/21/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
GREEN BAY is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (10 - 4) at CHICAGO (5 - 9) - 12/21/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (5 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 8) - 12/21/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (11 - 3) at NY JETS (3 - 11) - 12/21/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 166-125 ATS (+28.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 164-129 ATS (+22.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (8 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (9 - 5) - 12/21/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (7 - 7) at CAROLINA (5 - 8 - 1) - 12/21/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (9 - 5) at HOUSTON (7 - 7) - 12/21/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (5 - 9) at ST LOUIS (6 - 8) - 12/21/2014, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 38-18 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 102-140 ATS (-52.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (8 - 6) at OAKLAND (2 - 12) - 12/21/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) off a division game since 1992.
OAKLAND is 118-151 ATS (-48.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANAPOLIS (10 - 4) at DALLAS (10 - 4) - 12/21/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (10 - 4) at ARIZONA (11 - 3) - 12/21/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 60-85 ATS (-33.5 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
ARIZONA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 22

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DENVER (11 - 3) at CINCINNATI (9 - 4 - 1) - 12/22/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 16

Thursday, Dec. 18

Tennessee at Jacksonville, 8:25 ET
Tennessee: 11-3 ATS after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games
Jacksonville: 0-7 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points


Saturday, Dec. 20

Philadelphia at Washington, 4:30 ET
Philadelphia: 15-5 UNDER in road games off a home loss by 10 or more points
Washington: 13-4 UNDER in home games against conference opponents

San Diego at San Francisco, 8:25 ET
San Diego: 58-37 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
San Francisco: 6-1 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread


Sunday, Dec. 21

Minnesota at Miami, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 8-2 UNDER as an underdog
Miami: 67-40 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Green Bay at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 106-69 ATS after playing their last game on the road
Tampa Bay: 3-12 ATS in home games against conference opponents

Detroit at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 1-5 ATS after a 2 game home stand
Chicago: 15-4 ATS after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse

Atlanta at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 6-1 OVER off a home loss
New Orleans: 5-1 OVER after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game

New England at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
New England: 12-2 ATS off a division game
NY Jets: 6-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Kansas City at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 5-1 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5
Pittsburgh: 10-2 UNDER after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games

Cleveland at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 4-12 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite
Carolina: 17-7 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better

Baltimore at Houston, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 40-23 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Houston: 2-11 ATS after playing their last game on the road

NY Giants at St Louis, 4:05 ET
NY Giants: 59-38 ATS off a home win
St Louis: 1-9 ATS after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points

Buffalo at Oakland, 4:25 ET
Buffalo: 8-2 UNDER against conference opponents
Oakland: 7-0 UNDER off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival

Indianapolis at Dallas, 4:25 ET
Indianapolis: 11-3 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game
Dallas: 4-13 ATS as a home favorite

Seattle at Arizona, 8:30 ET
Seattle: 14-28 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival
Arizona: 13-5 ATS as an underdog


Monday, Dec. 22

Denver at Cincinnati, 8:30 ET
Denver: 6-0 OVER against AFC North division opponents
Cincinnati: 22-10 OVER off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog

[StarDust Bum]

NFL

Week 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, December 18

8:25 PM
TENNESSEE vs. JACKSONVILLE
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 4-11-2 ATS in its last 17 games
Jacksonville is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tennessee


Saturday, December 20

4:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

8:25 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 9 games when playing San Francisco
San Diego is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games


Sunday, December 21

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. TAMPA BAY
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Green Bay's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. PITTSBURGH
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. HOUSTON
Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
Detroit is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 13 games
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Chicago is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. NY JETS
New England is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
New England is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing at home against New England
NY Jets are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CAROLINA
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Carolina is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 12 games

1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Atlanta is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing New Orleans
Atlanta is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
New Orleans is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games when playing at home against Atlanta

4:05 PM
NY GIANTS vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games on the road
NY Giants are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants

4:25 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. DALLAS
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 16 games
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games

4:25 PM
BUFFALO vs. OAKLAND
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games
Oakland is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home

8:30 PM
SEATTLE vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games at home
Arizona is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Seattle


Monday, December 22

8:30 PM
DENVER vs. CINCINNATI
Denver is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati13-3-1 SU in its last 17 games at home
Cincinnati is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing Denver

[StarDust Bum]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

Thursday
Titans (2-12) @ Jaguars (2-12)—Both teams benefit from losing; Jacksonville is favored for first time since 2011- they’ve actually covered seven of last eight games when favored. Titans’ last win was 16-14 (-4) home win Over Jaguars in Week 6, where Jags outgained them by 29 yards, but Tennessee had 15-yard edge in field position. Titans are down to #3 QB Whitehurst; they haven’t scored offensive TD in last two games, averaged 62.4 rushing yards over last seven games. Jax has two wins, last of which was when they traied 21-3 at half, then scored two defensive TDs in second half. Season series has been split in each of last five years; five of last six series games were decided by 6 or less points. Favorites are 8-0 vs spread in AFC South divisional games this season. Three of last four Jaguar games stayed under the total.

Saturday
Chargers (8-6) @ 49ers (7-7)—San Diego had ball in Denver red zone five times last week, scored 10 points; no bueno. Niners got eliminated from playoff contention in fierce 17-7 struggle in Seattle last week, their third loss in row- they scored 23 points (two TDs on 26 drives) in those games, but two of three were against Seahawks. 49ers are just 3-3 in their new stadium, scoring total of 30 points in losing two of last three there. Chargers lost to Patriots/Broncos at home last two weeks; their playoff hopes are hanging by thread. Bolts are 3-5 in last eight games; three of their last four wins were by 3 or less points. San Diego won 48-19/34-7 in last two meetings; they’re 2-3 vs 49ers in Bay Area. AFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 8-4 vs spread. Last five 49er games stayed under the total.

Eagles (9-5) @ Redskins (3-11)—RGIII is back under center with McCoy (neck) hurt; he looked better playing in relief last week but goal line fumble just before half deprived Skins of 17-7 lead and led to second half collapse in Swamp. Washington lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread); they were outscored 51-7 in losing last two home games, both vs non-playoff teams (Bucs/Rams). Philly lost last two games, allowing 62 points; they won eight of last 11 games with Redskins, winning 37-34 (-6.5) in first meeting this year, despite Cousins throwing for 427 yards as Washington outgained Philly by 132 yards in game that was 21-20 at half. Eagles won four of last five visits here, losing only in Reid’s lame duck year in ’12. Five of last seven Eagle games went over total; four of last five Washington tilts stayed under.