Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 10/1 (MLB, CFL, Misc.)

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 5

National League games
Diamondbacks @ Marlins
Ray is 0-1, 12.86 in his last two starts (under 4-1).

Conley is 1-1, 2.77 in his last four starts (over 2-1-2).

Arizona lost seven of its last eight games; five of its last six games stayed under total. Marlins won eight of last nine games; over is 8-3-2 in its last 13 games.

Phillies @ Cardinals
Eickhoff is 0-2, 5.89 in his last three starts (over 3-2).

Garcia is 0-2, 5.51 in his last three starts (over 2-2-1).

Phillies won ten of last 13 games; six of their last eight games stayed under the total. Cardinals lost five of last seven games (over 8-1-2 in last eleven).

Brewers @ Reds
Anderson is 0-3, 11.48 in his last three starts (over 4-0-1).

Simon is 0-3, 13.50 n four starts this year (over 2-1-1).

Milwaukee won three of last four games but is 3-7 on road; over is 9-2-2 in its last 13 games. Cincinnati lost eight of last ten games; over is 6-1-1 in its last eight at home.

Nationals @ Cubs
Ross is 3-0, 0.79 in four starts this season (under 3-0-1).

Hendricks is 2-2, 4.30 in four starts this year, three of which stayed under.

Washington won five of its last six games. Cubs won seven of last eight games; over is 9-2-1 in their last twelve games.

Mets @ Padres
deGrom is 3-0, 2.55 in his last three starts (over 2-1).

Rea is 2-0, 4.50 in his last three starts (over 3-2).

New York won 13 of its last 16 games; over is 7-2 in its last nine on road. Padres are 4-2 in their last six games; five of their last six games stayed under.

Rockies @ Giants
Rusin shut Arizona out for five innings in his first '16 start.

Cain is 0-3, 8.14 in his last four starts, three of which went over.

Colorado won four of its last six games; eight of its last ten road games stayed under. Giants won five of their last six home games; over is 11-2 in their last 13 games.

American League games
Tigers @ Indians
Fulmer allowed two runs in five IP (93 PT) in his first MLB start. .

Bauer allowed three runs in four IP (78 PT) in his first '16 start.

Detroit won five of last seven games; eight of its last 11 games went over. Cleveland lost five of last eight games; four of its last five games stayed under.

Bronx @ Orioles
Tanaka is 1-0, 3.05 in his last three starts; his last four starts stayed under.

Gausman is 0-1, 3.27 in his two starts this year (over 1-1).

New York lost 14 of last 19 games; seven of its last nine road games stayed under the total. Orioles lost three of their last four games; under is 9-4-1 in their home games.

Rangers @ Blue Jays
Holland is 3-1, 1.88 in his last four starts (under 2-1-2).

Happ is 3-0, 2.70 in his last four starts (over 2-2-1).

Texas lost six of last seven road games; 10 of its 13 road games stayed under total. Toronto won four of its last six games; its last seven games all stayed under the total.

Red Sox @ White Sox
Owens is 0-0, 4.82 in two starts this year (over 1-1).

Johnson is making first '16 start; he is 7-4, 4.17 in 16 MLB starts, 1-1, 3.74 in four starts in AAA this year.

Boston won ten of its last 12 games; five of their last six games stayed under the total. Chicago won 11 of last 15 games; their last nine games at home stayed under.

Mariners @ Astros
Miley is 2-1, 3.15 in his last three starts; three of his last four starts stayed under.

Devenski allowed two runs in five IP (91 PT) in his first MLB start.

Mariners won 11 of their last 14 games; three of their last road four games went over the total. Houston won three of its last four games; over is 7-3-1 in its last 11.

Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Az-Mia-- Ray 2-3; Conley 3-2
Mil-Cin-- Anderson 2-3; Simon 0-4
Wsh-Chi-- Ross 4-0; Hendricks 2-2
Phil-StL-- Eickhoff 2-3; Garcia 2-3
NY-SD-- deGrom 3-0; Rea 3-2
Col-SF-- Rusin 1-0; Cain 1-4

Det-Clev-- Fulmer 1-0; Bauer 0-1
NY-Balt-- Tanaka 3-2; Gausman 0-2
Tex-Tor-- Holland 3-2; Happ 3-2
Bos-Chi-- Owens 2-0; Johnson 0-0
Sea-Hst-- Miley 3-2; Devenski 0-1

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Az-Mia-- Ray 0-5; Conley 1-5
Mil-Cin-- Anderson 2-5; Simon 3-4
Wsh-Chi-- Ross 1-4; Hendricks 1-4
Phil-StL-- Eickhoff 1-5; Garcia 1-5
NY-SD-- deGrom 0-3; Rea 3-5
Col-SF-- Rusin 0-1; Cain 1-5

Det-Clev-- Fulmer 0-1; Bauer 1-1
NY-Balt-- Tanaka 1-5; Gausman 0-2
Tex-Tor-- Holland 0-5; Happ 1-5
Bos-Chi-- Owens 0-2; Johnson 0-0
Sea-Hst-- Miley 1-5; Devenski 0-1

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Thursday, May 5

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Trend Report
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1:45 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ST. LOUIS
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

6:10 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Cleveland's last 25 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
NY Yankees are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore's last 15 games
Baltimore is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

7:07 PM
TEXAS vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. MIAMI
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
Milwaukee is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Milwaukee

8:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHI CUBS
Washington is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 11 games at home
Chi Cubs are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games at home

8:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. HOUSTON
Seattle is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Seattle's last 17 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

8:10 PM
BOSTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chi White Sox's last 22 games

10:10 PM
NY METS vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego
NY Mets are 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing at home against NY Mets

10:15 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games at home
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday's Diamond Notes
May 5, 2016

Hottest team: Mariners (8-2 last 10)
Seattle rallied from an 8-4 deficit to stun Oakland on Wednesday, 9-8 to finish off a three-game sweep of the A’s. The Mariners improved to 11-4 away from Safeco Field this season, while winning seven of their last nine games against AL West foes. Seattle travels to Houston to begin a four-game series, as the M’s grabbed two of three from the Astros in late April at home. The Mariners have fared well in series openers recently by posting a 5-1 record in the last six opportunities, as southpaw Wade Miley takes the mound coming off a shutout of the Royals in his past start.

Coldest team: Diamondbacks (3-9 last 12)
There’s not much bite to Arizona of late, as the D-backs try to avoid their second consecutive sweep tonight at Miami. Arizona has scored just 12 runs during its current five-game losing streak, while allowing at least four runs in nine of the past 10 contests. Things change quickly in this league, as Arizona is two weeks removed from pulling off a four-game road sweep of San Francisco, but has won only three games in the last four series.

Hottest pitcher: Jacob DeGrom, Mets (3-0, 1.02 ERA)
New York ventures out west for upcoming series against San Diego, Los Angeles, and Colorado, coming off a 7-2 homestand. DeGrom has allowed two earned runs in three starts this season, but gave up three runs (zero earned) in six innings of work against the Mets in his past outing, a 6-5 home victory. New York has won 12 of DeGrom’s last 14 starts away from Citi Field since last June, as the right-hander tossed eight scoreless innings of two-hit ball in a 7-0 shutout of the Padres on June 1, 2015 at Petco Park.

Coldest pitcher: Matt Cain, Giants (0-3, 7.00 ERA)
In 2012, Cain put together a 16-5 record to help lead San Francisco to a World Series title. Since then, Cain has won a total of 12 decisions in the last four seasons, while failing to record a victory in five decisions this season. Cain has allowed a total of 10 earned runs in his past two outings in one-run defeats to the Marlins and Mets, while San Francisco is 2-5 in his past seven starts at AT&T Park.

Biggest UNDER run: White Sox (8-1 at home)
Chicago remains atop the AL Central in spite of Wednesday’s loss to Boston, but the White Sox continue to cash ‘unders’ at U.S. Cellular Field. The White Sox finished ‘under’ the total for the second straight game against the Red Sox in last night’s 5-2 loss, as Chicago has scored four runs or fewer in seven of the past nine home contests. Tonight, Chicago faces Boston southpaw Henry Owens, as the White Sox are 4-0-1 to the ‘under’ this season against left-handed starting pitchers.

Biggest OVER run: Reds (6-1-1 last eight at home)
Cincinnati’s offense has woken up recently by putting up 14 runs in the three-game series against San Francisco, including seven runs in Wednesday’s victory. The Reds’ bullpen has been anything but sharp this season, while Cincinnati’s pitching has given up at least eight runs four times in the last seven home contests. The Reds begin a four-game series with the Brewers, as five of their six meetings to close out 2015 finished ‘over’ the total.

Matchup to watch: Nationals vs. Cubs
These two division leaders start a crucial four-game set at Wrigley Field as Washington continues a 10-game road trip. The Nationals have won five of the first six contests, including taking two of three from the Royals in interleague action. Washington owns a 4-1 record in road series openers, as Joe Ross takes the mound going for his fourth victory of the season. The Cubs became the first team to reach 20 wins in Wednesday’s 6-2 triumph at Pittsburgh to pull off the three-game road sweep. The Cubs are 2-2 in Kyle Hendricks’ four starts, as Chicago beat Washington in his two outings last season.

Betcha didn’t know: Since losing to Toronto on opening day in 2015, the Yankees are 10-4 in Masahiro Tanaka’s last 14 starts against AL East opponents. In this span, New York has won four of five road games against division foes, but Tanaka never faced the Orioles at Camden Yards. However, Tanaka split a pair of starts against Baltimore last season at home, striking out 17 batters in 15.2 innings of work.

Biggest public favorite: Mets (-185) at Padres

Biggest public underdog: Tigers (+115) at Indians

Biggest line move: Blue Jays (-150 to -165) vs. Rangers

[StarDust Bum]

Underachieving AL Pitchers
May 4, 2016

Heading into the second month of the season there are several prominent pitchers off to disappointing starts. Here are a few American League starters that could be due for a turnaround in the coming weeks and may provide some value in some of their upcoming starts.

Mike Fiers - Houston Astros: The entire Astros team has had a very disappointing start to the season, considered by most to be a serious contender, but sitting with one of the worst records in baseball through the first month. Fiers joined the Astros last August and promptly threw a no-hitter in his fourth appearance with the team, but he pitched just one inning in the postseason and wasn’t a lock to earn a rotation spot this season. With a 4.97 ERA through five starts he has work to do but there is a lot to like about his profile.

Fiers has always produced great strikeout numbers and in five starts in 2016 he has posted 22 strikeouts against just three walks. He has allowed 34 hits in 29 innings, including seven home runs. The home run and hit rates seem likely to climb downward with more innings under his belt and despite good strikeout numbers so far this season, he is well short of the nearly 9.00 strikeout per nine innings rate he had last season over 30 starts. Houston’s relief pitching and defense should be better than they have been so far this season and the schedule over the next several weeks looks reasonable for Houston and Fiers to show improvement.

Matt Moore - Tampa Bay Rays: Moore has spent plenty of time on lists like this as a breakthrough candidate, but injuries and underperforming have been common themes since a tantalizing start to his career in 2011. Moore has 37 strikeouts in just over 36 innings pitching this season, but he has just one win in six starts and his ERA is approaching 5.00. He can’t seem to shake the occasional awful outing as the early May outing vs. the Dodgers shows with seven runs allowed in a 10-5 loss. He has had some bad luck this season with a very low rate of stranding runners on base and six home runs allowed in six starts.

Five of his six starts have been at home this season and for his career he has often had more success on the road with a lower career ERA and far fewer home runs allowed as he could see better results and also value in the upcoming schedule that should feature more road outings. Moore may never become the Cy Young contender many envisioned, but he looks healthy this season and with a great defense behind him and a Rays squad that is rarely overvalued there will be some good opportunities to support Moore in the weeks ahead. Moore will remain a candidate for a big strikeout night against many lineups that struggle against left-handed pitching.

Kendall Graveman - Oakland Athletics: Graveman had amazing numbers in spring training before the 2015 season which led Oakland to start him early last season. He didn’t prove ready and a mediocre start again in 2016 may be a bit concerning as well. Graveman has looked the part this season with 25 strikeouts in fewer than 29 innings and an xFIP nearly a full run lower than his mediocre 4.40 ERA through five starts. One bad outing in Detroit vs. one of the AL’s best lineups skews the numbers as in three of his five starts he allowed four or fewer hits. His control has been sound with just eight walks allowed and he has been a little unlucky to already have allowed five home runs.

Graveman gets ground balls at a strong rate and Oakland’s bullpen has been shored up after the disastrous results the Athletics had from relievers last season which should allow Graveman’s numbers to improve and more leads to be held in 2016. Oakland has looked like a team that will remain in the AL West mix most of the season and Graveman will offer much better value than the more heralded starters on the staff like Sonny Gray or Rich Hill.

Michael Pineda - New York Yankees: 2016 isn’t going well for the Yankees and Michael Pineda has really struggled with a 6.33 ERA through five starts. Pineda’s results have been puzzling as his xFIP is a very respectable 3.66 and he has 30 strikeouts in 27 innings as he is still inducing swings and misses at a great rate. His control has also been polished compared with some erratic command early in his career, but he has allowed a great deal of hits and home runs. Surprisingly he has made strong starts at Toronto and at Boston, but has had a pair of rough home outings including one against a marginal Tampa Bay lineup. He currently owns a .359 BABIP which is certain to climb downward as the innings add up and this is a Yankees team that looks likely to dig its way out of an early season hole. There may be rare underdog pricing on Pineda and the Yankees in the coming weeks and he is certainly a better pitcher than his April numbers show.

AL Cy Young Winners: Dallas Keuchel, Corey Kluber, and David Price have won three of the last four AL Cy Young awards, but all three have struggled in 2016. Kluber and Price both have typically had very poor early season track records and figure to turn things around as usual. Keuchel and the entire Astros team have been off to a tough start as well and should see a turnaround. Ultimately the prices will remain high on these big name starters but chalk players may start to catch improved value in the weeks ahead. The career track records and the advanced data suggest that all are pitching better than the conventional numbers currently display.

[StarDust Bum]

LEADING OFF: DeGrom looks for 4-0 start at San Diego
May 5, 2016

A look at what's happening all around the majors today:


DEGROMINATOR

Jacob deGrom, who carries a 3-0 record and 1.02 ERA into his start at San Diego, often has no-hit stuff. So Mets manager Terry Collins realizes he could find himself in a similar situation to Miami's Don Mattingly and the Dodgers' Dave Roberts, who each has removed a young pitcher in the middle of a no-hit bid because of a high pitch count this season. ''There's a big picture involved here,'' Collins said Wednesday. ''The big picture right now with us, with the expectations that are with this club, is to make sure they stay healthy.''

REST STOP

The Chicago Cubs open a four-game series against NL East-leading Washington at Wrigley Field with Kyle Hendricks (1-2) pitching on eight days' rest against Joe Ross (3-0). The Cubs are a major league-best 20-6.

TURNAROUND TIME?

San Francisco's Matt Cain takes an 0-3 record and a 7.00 ERA into his start against the Colorado Rockies in the opener of a homestand for the Giants.

FIRING BLANKS

Seattle left-hander Wade Miley (2-2, 5.06 ERA), coming off his first career shutout in a five-hitter against Kansas City, starts for the Mariners at the Houston Astros.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB MONEYLINE

MLB > (901) PHILADELPHIA@ (902) ST LOUIS | 2016-05-05 13:45:00 - 2016-05-05 13:45:00
Play ON PHILADELPHIA using money line in All games when the total is 7 or less
The record is 9 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+11.87 units)

MLB > (919) SEATTLE@ (920) HOUSTON | 2016-05-05 20:10:00 - 2016-05-05 20:10:00
Play AGAINST HOUSTON using money line in All games in night games
The record is 5 Wins and 15 Losses for the this season (-13.5 units)

MLB > (903) ARIZONA@ (904) MIAMI | 2016-05-05 19:10:00 - 2016-05-05 19:10:00
Play ON ARIZONA using money line in All games as a road underdog of +100 to +125
The record is 21 Wins and 8 Losses for the last two seasons (+15.7 units)

MLB > (917) TEXAS@ (918) TORONTO | 2016-05-05 19:05:00 - 2016-05-05 19:05:00
Play ON TEXAS using money line in Road games in May games
The record is 13 Wins and 5 Losses for the last two seasons (+14.62 units)

MLB > (917) TEXAS@ (918) TORONTO | 2016-05-05 19:05:00 - 2016-05-05 19:05:00
Play ON TEXAS using money line in Road games in night games
The record is 37 Wins and 25 Losses for the last two seasons (+24.97 units)

MLB > (911) COLORADO@ (912) SAN FRANCISCO | 2016-05-05 22:15:00 - 2016-05-05 22:15:00
Play ON SAN FRANCISCO using money line in All games in May games
The record is 43 Wins and 18 Losses for the last three seasons (+25.25 units)
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MLB RUNLINE

MLB > (905) MILWAUKEE@ (906) CINCINNATI | 2016-05-05 19:10:00 - 2016-05-05 19:10:00
Play AGAINST CINCINNATI in All games in night games
The record is 3 Wins and 15 Losses for the this season (-14.85 units)

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MLB TOTALS

MLB > (913) DETROIT@ (914) CLEVELAND | 2016-05-05 18:10:00 - 2016-05-05 18:10:00
Play OVER CLEVELAND on the totalin Home games against division opponents
The record is 29 Overs and 9 Unders for the last two seasons (+20.15 units)

MLB > (913) DETROIT@ (914) CLEVELAND | 2016-05-05 18:10:00 - 2016-05-05 18:10:00
Play OVER DETROIT on the totalin All games on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5
The record is 31 Overs and 11 Unders for the last two seasons (+19.95 units)

MLB > (905) MILWAUKEE@ (906) CINCINNATI | 2016-05-05 19:10:00 - 2016-05-05 19:10:00
Play OVER MILWAUKEE on the total in all games
The record is 19 Overs and 7 Unders for the this season (+11.5 units)

MLB > (905) MILWAUKEE@ (906) CINCINNATI | 2016-05-05 19:10:00 - 2016-05-05 19:10:00
Play OVER MILWAUKEE on the totalin All games in games played on a grass field
The record is 19 Overs and 7 Unders for the this season (+11.5 units)

MLB > (921) BOSTON@ (922) CHI WHITE SOX | 2016-05-05 20:10:00 - 2016-05-05 20:10:00
Play UNDER CHI WHITE SOX on the totalin Home games against left-handed starters
The record is 4 Overs and 17 Unders for the last two seasons (+12.4 units)

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TOP POWER LINES

Users of our matchup reports are familiar with our Power Line ratings, calculated using both teams' ratings and home field advantage. The Top Power Lines tool offers a way to view and compare current Power Lines in one simple report, as well as the Power Line Edge, where the Power Line differs significantly from the current line.

MLB > (901) PHILADELPHIA @ (902) ST LOUIS | 2016-05-05 13:45:00 - 2016-05-05 13:45:00
Line: PHILADELPHIA BTB PowerLine: PHILADELPHIA-160
Edge On: PHILADELPHIA (17)

MLB > (913) DETROIT @ (914) CLEVELAND | 2016-05-05 18:10:00 - 2016-05-05 18:10:00
Line: CLEVELAND-120 BTB PowerLine: CLEVELAND-137
Edge On: CLEVELAND (17)

MLB > (917) TEXAS @ (918) TORONTO | 2016-05-05 19:05:00 - 2016-05-05 19:05:00
Line: TEXAS BTB PowerLine: TEXAS-109
Edge On: TEXAS (44)

MLB > (915) NY YANKEES @ (916) BALTIMORE | 2016-05-05 19:05:00 - 2016-05-05 19:05:00
Line: NY YANKEES BTB PowerLine: NY YANKEES-104
Edge On: NY YANKEES (1)

MLB > (905) MILWAUKEE @ (906) CINCINNATI | 2016-05-05 19:10:00 - 2016-05-05 19:10:00
Line: MILWAUKEE BTB PowerLine: MILWAUKEE116
Edge On: MILWAUKEE (14)

MLB > (903) ARIZONA @ (904) MIAMI | 2016-05-05 19:10:00 - 2016-05-05 19:10:00
Line: ARIZONA BTB PowerLine: ARIZONA-127
Edge On: ARIZONA (13)

MLB > (907) WASHINGTON @ (908) CHICAGO CUBS | 2016-05-05 20:05:00 - 2016-05-05 20:05:00
Line: WASHINGTON BTB PowerLine: WASHINGTON-110
Edge On: WASHINGTON (32)

MLB > (921) BOSTON @ (922) CHI WHITE SOX | 2016-05-05 20:10:00 - 2016-05-05 20:10:00
Line: CHI WHITE SOX-108 BTB PowerLine: CHI WHITE SOX-120
Edge On: CHI WHITE SOX (12)

MLB > (919) SEATTLE @ (920) HOUSTON | 2016-05-05 20:10:00 - 2016-05-05 20:10:00
Line: SEATTLE BTB PowerLine: SEATTLE-110
Edge On: SEATTLE (7)

MLB > (909) NY METS @ (910) SAN DIEGO | 2016-05-05 22:10:00 - 2016-05-05 22:10:00
Line: NY METS BTB PowerLine: NY METS263
Edge On: NY METS (86)

MLB > (911) COLORADO @ (912) SAN FRANCISCO | 2016-05-05 22:15:00 - 2016-05-05 22:15:00
Line: COLORADO BTB PowerLine: COLORADO103
Edge On: COLORADO (20)

[StarDust Bum]

5/4 - YESTERDAY'S RESULTS : 4 - 5 - 0.25
OVERALL : + 26.42

THURSDAY, MAY 5

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PHI at STL 01:45 PM

PHI +156

U 7.0


DET at CLE 06:10 PM

DET +111

U 8.5

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Some college football pointspreads for this fall, from the South Point casino:

-- Oct 15: Alabama (-3.5) @ Tennessee

-- Oct 20: BYU @ Boie State (-11.5)

-- Oct 29: Clemson (-1) @ Florida State

-- Nov 5: TCU @ Baylor (-7.5)

-- Nov 12: Stanford @ Oregon (-1.5)

-- Nov 26: Michigan @ Ohio State (-6.5)

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend......

13) Raptors 116, Heat 89-- Toronto is in NBA's Final Four for first time.

12) I've always wondered what the story was behind Russell Wilson transferring from NC State to Wisconsin, before his senior year, and the Wolfpack seemingly not caring if he left or not. Now Russell Wilson says coach Tom O'Brien basically fired him and told him he had no future in football. Curious to see what O'Brin has to say.

11) A's 7, Rays 6-- Danny Valencia homered three times, including the game-winner in the 9th inning, as Oakland salvaged a lousy road trip by going 2-1 in St Pete.

10) 15 baseball games Sunday; game-winning run scored in 7th inning or later in 11 of the 15 games. Pretty good day at the ballpark.

9) Rangers 7, Blue Jays 6-- Big-league brawl in this game, an offshoot of the tensions between these clubs in last year's playoffs. This was an actual fight, not the normal pushing/pulling baseball scuffle. Umps worked hard to keep the peace.

Matt Bush drilled Jose Bautista right before the brawl started; Bautista was smart enough not to go after Bush, who recently spent 3.5 years in jail. Don't want to be picking fights with guys who have done hard time.

8) Tom Dolan came up with a great stat Sunday: Lenny Dykstra had 81 HRs in 4,552 regular season career ABs. 10 HRs in 112 postseason ABs. That is a HR every 56.2 ABs in regular season games, one every 11.2 in postseason games.

7) Red Sox have scored in first inning in 12 of their 22 home games.

6) Rockies 4, Mets 3-- New Yorkers get swept in Denver.

5) Odd timing by MLB announcing Jose Reyes' suspension with New York media is in Denver for the weekend; then the Bronx Bombers brought up catching prospect Gary Sanchez the same day. There aren't many coincidences in this world........could the Bombers be interested in acquiring Reyes?

4) Why run differential is an overrated stat: Phillies are 22-16, but 14-3 in one-run games; they've got a -30 run differential but would be in the playoffs if they started today (they don't). They're maxing out on the talent they have, but wins are the only stat that truly matters and Philly has a lot of them.

3) Red Sox have scored 229 runs, 50 more than any other AL team.

2) If the baseball playoffs started today:
AL: Orioles-White Sox-Rangers. Wild Card: Boston-Seattle
NL: Nationals-Cubs-Giants. Wild Card: Phillies-Mets

1) Heading back from vacation this weekend on the Jersey shore; a tremendous place, lot of good places to eat, lot of good people, made some new friends. Walking on the beach is highly underrated.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, May 16


Miami @ Philadelphia

Game 953-954
May 16, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Conley) 16.651
Philadelphia
(Eickhff) 14.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-120); Under

Boston @ Kansas City

Game 955-956
May 16, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Prcello) 14.077
Kansas City
(Ventura) 15.481
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+100); Over

Tampa Bay @ Toronto

Game 957-958
May 16, 2016 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Smyly) 15.817
Toronto
(Happ) 14.360
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+115); Over

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 959-960
May 16, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Berrios) 13.435
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 17.374
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-170
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-170); Under

Texas @ Oakland

Game 961-962
May 16, 2016 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Hlland) 12.735
Oakland
(Manaea) 14.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-110
8
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-110); Over

Cincinnati @ Cleveland

Game 963-964
May 16, 2016 @ 6:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Lamb) 14.627
Cleveland
(Andrsn) 13.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+130); Over

NY Yankees @ Arizona

Game 965-966
May 16, 2016 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Green) 17.404
Arizona
(Ray) 16.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(+100); Over

LA Angels @ LA Dodgers

Game 967-968
May 16, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Shmker) 13.817
LA Dodgers
(Maeda) 16.943
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-190
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-190); Under

Atlanta @ Pittsburgh

Game 751-752
May 16, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Perez) 13.400
Pittsburgh
(Niese) 15.261
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-180
8
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-180); Under

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, May 16

National League games
Braves @ Pirates
Perez is 1-0, 3.54 in four starts, three of which went over.

Niese is 0-2, 7.56 in his last three starts; five of his seven starts went over.

Pirates lost eight of last 12 games (over 8-3-1). Atlanta lost eight of its last 10 games; five of its last six gaes stayed under.

Marlins @ Phillies
Conley is 2-1, 2.16 in his last three starts (over 3-2-2).

Eickhoff is 0-4, 5.97 in his last five starts; his last three starts stayed under.

Miami is 14-6 in its last 20 games; over is 10-3-1 in their last 13 road games. Phillies won six of their last eight games- five of their last six home games stayed under.

American League games
Red Sox @ Royals
Porcello is 6-1, 3.11 so far this season; four of his last six starts stayed under.

Ventura is 1-2, 8.36 in his last three starts (under 4-3).

Boston won seven of its last eight games; its last seven games went over. Royals are 4-7 in their last 11 games; their last three games stayed under.

Rays @ Jays
Smyly is 0-2, 5.63 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Happ is 5-0, 1.91 in his last six starts (over 3-3-1).

Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games; four of its last five stayed under. Blue Jays lost three of last four games (over 3-1).

Twins @ Tigers
Berrios is 1-1, 6.28 in three starts; he lasted less than six innings in all three. .

Zimmerman is 5-2, 1.88 in seven starts, five of which stayed under.

Minnesota is 4-16 on the road, but won last two; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Detroit lost 11 of last 13 games; seven of its last nine went over.

Rangers @ A's
Holland allowed 16 runs in five IP in his last two starts (over 3-1-1 in last five).

Manaea is 0-1, 11.37 in his first three MLB starts (over 3-0).

Texas won eight of last nine games; seven of its last eight games went over. A's lost 10 of last 12 games; six of their last seven games went over.

Interleague
Reds @ Indians
Lamb is 0-0, 1.80 in two starts this year (under 1-0-1).

Anderson is 0-3, 7.56 in five starts, four of which went over.

Reds lost five of their last seven games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five. Indians lost three of last four games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

Bronx @ Diamondbacks
Green is making first MLB start; he was 2-3, 1.22 in seven AAA starts this year.

Ray is 0-2, 6.95 in his last four starts (under 5-2).

Bronx is 7-3 in its last ten games; six of its last seven games went over. Arizona lost its last five games, all by 1 or 2 runs; its last four games stayed under the total.

Angels @ Dodgers
Shoemaker is 0-4, 12.06 in his last four starts (under 3-1-1 in last five).

Maeda is 0-2, 5.09 in his last three starts (under 4-2-1).

Angels won their last three games; three of their last four games went over. Dodgers won three of last four games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Atl-Pitt-- Perez 3-1; Niese 5-2
Mia-Phil-- Conley 4-3; Eickhoff 2-5

Bos-KC-- Porcello 6-1; Ventura 5-2
TB-Tor-- Smyly 3-4; Happ 5-2
Minn-Det-- Berrios 1-2; Zimmerman 5-2
Tex-A's-- Holland 4-3; Manaea 1-2

Cin-Clev-- Lamb 0-2; Anderson 0-5
NY-Az-- Green 0-0; Ray 2-5
LAA-LA-- Shoemaker 1-5; Maeda 3-4

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Atl-Pitt-- Perez 1-4; Niese 1-7
Mia-Phil-- Conley 2-7; Eickhoff 3-7

Bos-KC-- Porcello 2-7; Ventura 3-7
TB-Tor-- Smyly 0-7; Happ 2-7
Minn-Det-- Berrios 0-3; Zimmerman 1-6
Tex-A's-- Holland 2-7; Manaea 1-3

Cin-Clev-- Lamb 2-2; Anderson 3-5
NY-Az-- Green 0-0; Ray 0-7
LAA-LA-- Shoemaker 3-6; Maeda 0-7

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Monday, May 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

6:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. KANSAS CITY
Boston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. PITTSBURGH
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:07 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota

9:40 PM
NY YANKEES vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road
NY Yankees are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Arizona is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

10:05 PM
TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. LA DODGERS
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of LA Dodgers's last 21 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, May 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (9 - 27) at PITTSBURGH (19 - 17) - 7:05 PM
WILLIAMS PEREZ (R) vs. JON NIESE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 155-205 (-45.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 153-202 (-45.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 117-82 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 117-82 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 145-101 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 93-64 (+18.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 72-43 (+20.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

WILLIAMS PEREZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
PEREZ is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.58 and a WHIP of 1.655.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

JON NIESE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NIESE is 9-6 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.409.
His team's record is 12-10 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-9. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (20 - 17) at PHILADELPHIA (22 - 16) - 7:05 PM
ADAM CONLEY (L) vs. JERAD EICKHOFF (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-16 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-16 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-9 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-23 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-3 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 12-7 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MIAMI is 12-7 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 9-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
MIAMI is 48-41 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ADAM CONLEY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
CONLEY is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

JERAD EICKHOFF vs. MIAMI since 1997
EICKHOFF is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (24 - 14) at KANSAS CITY (18 - 19) - 7:05 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. YORDANO VENTURA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 152-169 (-32.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 124-91 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 69-37 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 120-85 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 159-120 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 87-61 (+20.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 104-78 (+22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-7 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PORCELLO is 68-35 (+24.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 113-159 (-49.2 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.
VENTURA is 2-10 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICK PORCELLO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PORCELLO is 8-6 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.348.
His team's record is 12-8 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-12. (-8.1 units)

YORDANO VENTURA vs. BOSTON since 1997
VENTURA is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.673.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (16 - 19) at TORONTO (19 - 20) - 7:05 PM
DREW SMYLY (L) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 173-186 (-37.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 96-108 (-36.7 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 600-688 (+8.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 (+0.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.1 Units)

DREW SMYLY vs. TORONTO since 1997
SMYLY is 1-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 0.607.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

J.A. HAPP vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HAPP is 2-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 4-6 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (10 - 26) at DETROIT (16 - 21) - 7:10 PM
JOSE BERRIOS (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 10-26 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 5-16 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-16 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-26 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 1-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 9-21 (-11.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 23-16 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 326-336 (+38.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 51-37 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 41-57 (-17.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 43-52 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 209-222 (-56.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
DETROIT is 43-52 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 47-51 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-41 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 78-85 (-23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-0 (+3.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JOSE BERRIOS vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 2-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 0.64 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (22 - 16) at OAKLAND (16 - 22) - 10:05 PM
DEREK HOLLAND (L) vs. SEAN MANAEA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 22-16 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 44-29 (+23.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 55-46 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 25-17 (+16.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 27-17 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 42-40 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 21-13 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 17-10 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 41-36 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 61-50 (+23.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 84-116 (-34.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 7-18 (-14.1 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 39-58 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-29 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 18-30 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 79-108 (-32.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 53-72 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 18-36 (-19.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-24 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 42-60 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DEREK HOLLAND vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HOLLAND is 5-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.305.
His team's record is 9-4 (+5.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.9 units)

SEAN MANAEA vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (15 - 22) at CLEVELAND (17 - 17) - 6:10 PM
JOHN LAMB (L) vs. CODY ANDERSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 78-121 (-38.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 33-63 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 3-17 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 78-121 (-38.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 6-19 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 58-90 (-29.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 30-48 (-18.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 98-97 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 48-49 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 91-94 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 28-38 (-16.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOHN LAMB vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

CODY ANDERSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (16 - 20) at ARIZONA (17 - 23) - 9:40 PM
CHAD GREEN (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 55-32 (+22.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 5-16 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 5-16 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 559-509 (-72.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
RAY is 11-25 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
RAY is 11-25 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
RAY is 4-16 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHAD GREEN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

ROBBIE RAY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (16 - 21) at LA DODGERS (20 - 18) - 10:10 PM
MATT SHOEMAKER (R) vs. KENTA MAEDA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 9-19 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 796-782 (+64.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 671-663 (+56.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 568-550 (+50.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 114-73 (+35.2 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
SHOEMAKER is 18-8 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 114-91 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 111-89 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 82-72 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MATT SHOEMAKER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SHOEMAKER is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Monday
May 16, 2016

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pirates are 18-0 since Aug 6, 2012 at home after a game in which their starter pitched at least eight innings.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Phillies are 8-0 since Sep 25, 2015 after Freddy Galvis had multiple hits last game.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Angels are 12-0 O/U since Aug 09, 2011 as a road dog after their starter pitched at least 8 innings last game.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Reds are 0-11 since Apr 13, 2015 in the first game of a series after they drew 5+ walks last game.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Royals are 0-10-2 O/U since Jun 13, 2008 in the first game of a series after a game as a home favorite in which they did not draw a walk.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday's Diamond Notes
May 15, 2016

Hottest team: Yankees (7-3 last 10)
New York is still sitting in last place of the AL East in spite of a 7-3 homestand. The Yankees outlasted the White Sox on Sunday, 7-5 to grab two of three from the AL Central leaders. New York’s offense woke up at home by scoring at least six runs in five of those victories, while the ‘over’ cashed seven times in the past 10 games. The Yankees travel to Arizona for their first game against an NL opponent, as right-hander Chad Green makes his Major League debut for New York on the mound.

Coldest team: Tigers (2-11 last 13)
Detroit avoided the sweep at Baltimore on Sunday with a 6-5 victory, but the Tigers finished its Beltway road trip against the Nationals and Orioles at 2-5. The Tigers have played 12 of their last 15 games away from Comerica Park as the next nine games will take place in the Motor City against the Twins, Rays, and Phillies. Jordan Zimmermann began the season at 5-0 for Detroit, but lost his last two starts to the Rangers and Nationals. In both of those outings, Zimmermann was opposed by Cole Hamels and Max Scherzer, as the Tigers’ ace is opposed by Minnesota rookie Jose Berrios in Monday’s series opener.

Hottest pitcher: J.A. Happ, Blue Jays (5-0, 2.05 ERA)
The Toronto southpaw has put together seven quality starts this season, while coming with one out of a complete game shutout in his last outing at San Francisco. In all three home victories for Happ, the Blue Jays have scored 29 runs, while Toronto is hosting Tampa Bay for the first time this season after the first seven meetings took place at Tropicana Field. The two no-decisions for Happ this season came against the Rays, both Toronto losses as the Jays’ bullpen gave up a lead in each of those defeats.

Coldest pitcher: Cody Anderson, Indians (0-3, 7.31 ERA)
Anderson makes his first start since a May 7 home loss to the Royals. The right-hander is winless in five starts this season, while allowing four earned runs or more in each of his past five starts. Cleveland won five of six matchups with Cincinnati last season, while the Indians have won four consecutive home series openers, which bodes well for the struggling Anderson.

Biggest UNDER run: Phillies (4-1-1 last six at home)
Philadelphia allowed its most runs in the last 13 games in a 9-4 home defeat to Cincinnati on Sunday. The Phillies eclipsed the ‘over’ at home for the first time in the past six games, while snapping a six-game winning streak at Citizens Bank Park (all wins by one run each). In the previous five home victories, the Phillies allowed three runs or less, going 4-0-1 to the ‘under’ prior to Cincinnati’s blowout on Sunday. Jerad Eickhoff takes the mound for the Phillies against the Marlins, as Philadelphia owns a 5-1 mark to the ‘under’ in his previous six outings.

Biggest OVER run: Red Sox (7-0 last seven)
Boston’s offense is coming off an incredible homestand by plating 73 runs in seven games, while going ‘over’ the total in each contest. The Red Sox have finished ‘under’ the total in four of the past six games away from Fenway Park as they travel to Kansas City to begin a three-game series. The Royals were riding an 8-1 mark to the ‘over’ prior to three consecutive ‘unders’ cashed in this past weekend’s series against the Braves. In seven meetings last season between the Red Sox and Royals, the ‘over’ finished 5-1-1.

Matchup to watch: Angels vs. Dodgers
The first edition of the Freeway Series takes place at Chavez Ravine as the Angels look to stay on fire. Following an 0-6 homestand against the Rays and Cardinals, the Halos bounced back in a big way by sweeping the AL West-leading Mariners at Safeco Field, capped off by a victory over Felix Hernandez on Sunday. The Dodgers captured five of six matchups from their Southern California counterparts last season, including a three-game sweep at Dodger Stadium. Dodgers’ right-hander Kenta Maeda has struggled of late by going 0-2 in his last three starts, while allowing 10 earned runs and 15 hits in this span. Matt Shoemaker has failed to win in his last four outings for the Angels, while failing to last past the fourth innings in three straight starts.

Betcha didn’t know: Oakland returns home after rallying past Tampa Bay on Sunday to host Texas. The Athletics own a 1-4 record in home series openers, compared to a 5-2 mark in Game 1’s of a road series. Derek Holland gets the ball for Texas, as the Rangers are 3-1 in his last four starts at the Coliseum, but Texas has compiled a 1-5 record in his past six outings on the road since September 2015.

Biggest public favorite: Dodgers (-180) vs. Angels

Biggest public underdog: Rays (+115) at Blue Jays

Biggest line move: Red Sox (-105 to -110) at Royals

[StarDust Bum]

LEADING OFF: Rangers, Blue Jays await penalties after fight
May 16, 2016

A look at what's happening all around the majors today:

AFTER THE FIGHT

One day after their wild brawl that featured Texas second baseman Rougned Odor punching Toronto slugger Jose Bautista in the jaw, the Rangers and Blue Jays go their separate ways while awaiting possible suspensions from Major League Baseball. Texas opens a three-game series at Oakland, with Derek Holland coming off two terrible outings. Toronto returns home to play Tampa Bay as J.A. Happ (5-0, 2.05 ERA) tries to win his eighth straight decision dating to last season.

NEIGHBORHOOD RIVALRIES

Local bragging rights are on the line in a pair of interleague series: Kenta Maeda and the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Angels in the Freeway Series, hours after Cincinnati visits Cleveland in the battle of Ohio.

ROLLIN' RED SOX

Boston's relentless lineup begins a three-game series in Kansas City against the defending World Series champions. The Red Sox are coming off a 6-1 homestand when they reached double digits in runs five times and scored 73 in all. Rick Porcello (6-1, 3.11 ERA) starts the opener against Royals right-hander Yordano Ventura (3-2, 4.62). Porcello has pitched at least six innings in 15 straight starts, the longest active streak in the majors.

STARTS ON TOP

The surprising Phillies are a game behind the Nationals for the NL East lead and one of the big keys has been leadoff man Odubel Herrera. The former Rule 5 draft pick has become a walk machine, ranking third in the majors with a .448 on-base percentage and already eclipsing his total from last season with 29 free passes. Philadelphia opens a series against Miami.

PITCHING IN

Williams Perez tries to keep up an impressive run by Atlanta's rotation of late - Braves starters have a 2.85 ERA over the past 14 games. Perez (1-0, 3.54) is a recent addition to a group that includes youngsters Julio Teheran, Matt Wisler, Mike Foltynewicz and Aaron Blair. Despite their efforts, Atlanta is 4-10 in those games and 9-27 overall. Perez faces Jonathon Niese and the Pirates.