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Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 8/9 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    Gordon knocks Ambrose off Watkins Glen pole

    WATKINS GLEN, N.Y. -- When the second and final round of qualifying ended on Saturday at Watkins Glen International, Jeff Gordon climbed onto the window ledge of his No. 24 Chevrolet and raised his arms in triumph.

    Gordon had just won the pole for Sunday's Cheez-It 355 at the Glen (1 p.m. ET on ESPN), the 22nd NASCAR Sprint Cup Series race of the season.

    In winning his third Coors Light pole award at the 2.45-mile road course and the 75th of his career, Gordon had beaten odds-on favorite Marcos Ambrose for the top starting spot in Sunday's race.

    Gordon went out late in the 10-minute second session to post his lap at 129.466 mph (68.126 seconds). After Gordon made his pole-winning run, Ambrose didn't have time to get back to the start/finish line and start another qualifying run before the clock ran out on the session.

    After setting a track qualifying record at 129.491 mph in the 30-minute first round, Ambrose ran 129.138 mph in the final round to secure the outside of the front row. Jimmie Johnson, using a setup supplied by Dale Earnhardt Jr.'s No. 88 team was third in time trials at 128.968 mph, followed by Kevin Harvick (128.859 mph), Kurt Busch (128.816 mph) and AJ Allmendinger (128.701 mph).

    Gordon's late run in the second round wasn't a strategic decision per se. It was a simply a matter of cooling his car after making two runs in the first round to ensure his advancement to the top 12.

    "We have to make two runs in that first session, so when we made that second run, there was only a few minutes left in that session," Gordon said. "We just had to cool everything down. There were two factors into when we went -- cooling everything down, the tires and the engine, and then getting a clean lap.

    "It just happened to work out that, when we were done cooling, it was a great time to go. There were no cars on the track."

    Gordon said he was surprised at how strong his lap was.

    "I'll be honest, I was real surprised with the lap (Ambrose) laid in the first session, so you can only imagine how surprised I was when I saw the lap time I had," Gordon said.

    Gordon's lap also seemed to shock Ambrose, who was timed out before he could start a final run. But the Australian road course ace was gracious in giving the four-time champion his due.

    "He's a fantastic road racer, and I have watched a lot of races here where he dominated," Ambrose said. "He's having a standout year. You can't discount anybody out there. Anyone in that top-12, if they had gotten the pole, I wouldn't have been surprised."

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    • #17
      NFC North NFL betting preview: Lions dangerous in deep division

      The Packers, Bears and Lions all have legit shots at the NFC North crown, which should make for some interesting games between those heated rivals. The Vikings, on the other hand, look to Adrian Peterson’s aging legs and a new coaching staff to keep them competitive – and out of the basement - in the division.

      Green Bay Packers (2013: 8-7-1 SU, 7-9 ATS)

      Odds to win division: -145
      Season win total: 10.5

      Why bet the Packers: After winning at least 10 games for four straight seasons, the Packers won just eight games last season but it wasn't because of a team regression. Aaron Rodgers went down in Week 9, Green Bay suffered through a five-game losing streak, and while Rodgers came back to win the season finale to take the division, it was an early playoff exit. The Packers will be a motivated bunch this season.

      Why not bet the Packers: Defense. The Packers allowed 26.8 points per game last season, the most given up in over a decade and a repeat of that will cause issues. The return of Clay Matthews and the addition of Julius Peppers will certainly help, but will it be enough? A running game behind Rodgers is essential as well but that’s no guarantee either.

      Season win total pick: Under 10.5


      Chicago Bears (2013: 8-8 SU, 4-11-1 ATS)

      Odds to win division: +310
      Season win total: 8.5

      Why to bet the Bears: This is the second year in the system under head coach Marc Trestman and after improving last season, things could be even more explosive in 2014. Jay Cutler had his best passer rating since his rookie season in 2006 and got a new contract to prove his worth. The defense can only get better with the additions of Jared Allen and D.J Williams.

      Why not to bet the Bears: Similar to Green Bay, it comes down to the defense which allowed almost two touchdowns per game more than the previous season. But even an improved stop unit may not be enough. Keeping Cutler healthy is huge as there is no proven backup. Should he go down again, the Bears will be outside of the playoffs for the seventh time in eight years.

      Season win total pick: Under 8.5


      Detroit Lions (2013: 7-9 SU, 6-10 ATS)

      Odds to win division: +360
      Season win total: 8.5

      Why to bet the Lions: After making the playoffs just once in five years under Jim Schwartz, a change was made and Jim Caldwell was brought in. The offense will again be explosive behind Matthew Stafford, Calvin Johnson, Reggie Bush and the return of the entire offensive line. The defense could be the best in years and a tame schedule could make Detroit a sleeper in the NFC North.

      Why not to bet the Lions: Expectations have been high for the last few years and the Lions have failed to meet them, so why should this year be any different? Bringing in a new head coach can't hurt but Caldwell was not the popular choice. He was the offensive coordinator in Baltimore last season and the Ravens were 29th in the league in total offense.

      Season win total pick: Over 8.5


      Minnesota Vikings (2013: 5-10-1 SU, 9-7 ATS)

      Odds to win division: +1300
      Season win total: 6

      Why to bet the Vikings: New head coach Mike Zimmer comes into town with a roster full of talent and Minnesota was better than last season's record shows. Four of the Vikings’ losses were by four points or less and now with low expectations, they could turn the tables on some of those winnable games. The schedule is in their favor as they play only three teams that had a winning record last season.

      Why not to bet the Vikings: While the schedule is tame, it is frontloaded. Facing New England, New Orleans, Atlanta and Green Bay in Weeks 2 through 5 could set the table for another bad start, which could ultimately deflate the team early. The defense was the worst in the NFL last season and playing in the offensively-potent NFC North is not going to help matters.

      Season win total pick: Over 6

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