The Bum's MLB August Thread- stats-trends-rated games !

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Friday, August 15


Strong trends backing Kluber, Indians in game vs. O's

Cleveland Indians' right-handed starter Corey Kluber (13-6, 2.46 ERA) takes the hill against the Baltimore Orioles at home Friday, with some strong trends in his team's favor.

The Indians are 17-4 in Kluber's last 21 home starts and are 6-0 in his last six starts against the American League East.

The Orioles counter with left handed Wei-Yin Chen (12-4, 3.90 ERA), but the Indians have crushed leftys at home, going 21-5 in their last 26 in this scenario.

Cleveland are currently -157 favorites. Check out the game matchups page for all you need to know.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, August 15

Pittsburgh at Washington, 7:05 ET
Morton: 16-38 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150
Roark: WASHINGTON 129-86 when the money line is -100 to -150

Chicago Cubs at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Wood: CHICAGO CUBS 4-15 after 3 straight games where they committed no errors
Wheeler: NY METS 18-7 UNDER against NL Central opponents

Arizona at Miami, 7:10 ET
Cahill: 4-15 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150
Hand: MIAMI 33-24 OVER in home games

San Diego at St Louis, 8:15 ET
Ross: 10-21 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
Lynn: 16-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins

Cincinnati at Colorado, 8:40 ET
Cueto: 1-9 TSR in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses
Morales: COLORADO 27-18 OVER after a win

Milwaukee at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Nelson: MILWAUKEE 37-21 UNDER after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs
Greinke: 12-1 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175

Philadelphia at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Hamels: 15-22 TSR in night games
Bumgarner: SAN FRANCISCO 15-6 OVER revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less

Seattle at Detroti, 7:05 ET
Paxton: SEATTLE 31-49 after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games
Porcello: 40-17 TSR after 2 or more consecutive wins

Baltimore at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Chen: BALTIMORE 15-11 as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Kluber: CLEVELAND 34-18 UNDER after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
McCarthy: NY YANKEES 2-12 after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more runs
Cobb: TAMPA BAY 25-12 after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games

Houston at Boston, 7:10 ET
Keuchel: 10-6 TSR as an underdog
Buchholz: 2-7 TSR in home games

LA Angels at Texas, 8:05 ET
Richards: LA ANGELS 31-9 as a favorite of -150 or more
Martinez: TEXAS 30-43 after a loss

Kansas City at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Duffy: 11-1 TSR as a favorite
Nolasco: MINNESOTA 24-57 as a home underdog of +125 or more

Toronto at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Stroman: TORONTO 35-21 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175
Noesi: CHI WHITE SOX 27-18 OVER after 3 or more consecutive road games

Oakland at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Hammel: 9-1 TSR against NL East opponents
Wood: 6-12 TSR when the total is 7 or less

TSR = Team Start Record

[StarDust Bum]

Win Total Update

August 13, 2014

The 2014 pro baseball regular season is coming to a close as teams enter the final quarter of the 162-game season. Before the season began the Las Vegas Hotel & Casino SuperBook (LVH) posted win totals for all 30 teams.

Prior to the All-Star break in late June, we looked at the win totals and forecasted the pace for every team in the majors. To figure out a team’s pace, you take their win percentage and multiply by 162. (Ex. Baltimore Orioles are on pace to win 93 games (162 x .576) based on their record as of Aug. 13)

In the below table, we looked at the latest projections and you can see that certain teams have turned up the heat in the past six weeks while other clubs have melted away in the summer.

In late June, the Giants and Brewers were on a torrid pace to win close to 100 games. As of mid-August, San Francisco is projected to win 84 games while Milwaukee is on pace for 89 victories.

Other clubs that have struggled in the second-half are the Rockies and Rangers, who are both on pace to have more than 90 losses.

Even though San Diego and Tampa Bay won’t be playing in the playoffs this October, the two teams have been very competitive in the second-half.

The Padres were projected to go ‘under’ their win total of 78 ½ at the midway point and now they’re on pace to win 77 games, which gives some win total bettors a chance. Despite the Rays’ second-half surge, they’ll likely go ‘under’ their season win total (87 ½).

Contenders that have picked up the pace the past eight weeks include Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Oakland.

Listed below are the win totals from the LVH, plus projections for each team from the midway point (6/23/14) and as of Aug. 13, 2014.

National League Win Totals

Team Win Total All-Star Pace Current Pace Projected Result

Arizona 80 65 70

Atlanta 88 82 82

Chicago Cubs 68.5 68 70

Cincinnati 84 81 82

Colorado 75.5 73 63

L.A. Dodgers 93.5 88 92

Miami 69 79 80

Milwaukee 79.5 98 89

N.Y. Mets 73.5 74 77

Philadelphia 76.5 74 72

Pittsburgh 84.5 80 87

San Diego 78.5 68 77

San Francisco 85.5 97 84

St. Louis 91.5 87 85

Washington 88.5 85 89

Projected Result Key: Over Under Even


American League Win Totals

Team Win Total All-Star Pace Current Pace Projected

Baltimore 80 85 93

Boston 87.5 74 73

Chicago White Sox 76.5 74 77

Cleveland 80.5 79 81

Detroit 89.5 90 87

Houston 62.5 69 68

Kansas City 82 84 88

LA Angels 88 89 95

Minnesota 70.5 79 73

NY Yankees 86.5 85 84

Oakland 89.5 100 99

Seattle 80 85 87

Tampa Bay 87.5 65 79

Texas 87 75 64

Toronto 79.5 88 84

Projected Result Key: Over Under Even

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Who's Not Hot - NL

August 14, 2014

The National League isn't nearly as polarizing as the American League is for baseball betting fans. However, there are still some clubs that are sucking money out of your wallets left and right that should be remembered before placing a bet on the diamond.

We'll showcase the three worst that the NL has to offer here at VegasInsider.com.

Colorado Rockies (46-73, -$2,667) – The Rockies had everything rolling at the beginning of the season, and there was even a point back in April when they had the best money mark in the game. However, they haven't been able to keep either shortstop Troy Tulowitzki or outfielder Carlos Gonzalez healthy this entire year, and they simply don't have all that much of a team aside from that.
t
The most embarrassing moment of the year might have come when they gave up a steal of home plate last week because catcher Michael McKenry was literally just too lazy to pay attention to the runner on third base when he lobbed the ball back to the pitcher's mound. The upcoming Broncos season can't start soon enough for Denver sports fans.

Arizona Diamondbacks (51-67, -$1,490) – Worse for Colorado? That steal of home came against an Arizona team which has completely given up on the season as well. The Diamondbacks made a number of relatively minor moves at the trade deadline that did net them some prospects in exchange for men like Martin Prado and Brandon McCarthy who really weren't going to be a part of the team in the long-term future either. It wasn't a complete washout.

Arizona has at least competed in the second-half of the year, and on the road, the team is 26-28 and +$252. It's playing at Chase Field that has been so brutal for the Diamondbacks. They started off the year in horrid form at home, and that just hasn't gotten any better. Arizona is 25-39 and -$1,742 at Chase Field this year.

Atlanta Braves (60-59, -$1,013) – The argument could be made that manager Fredi Gonzalez should have his job on the line if the Braves don't make the playoffs this year. They really haven't had a team with a legit shot at winning the World Series since he took over. Sure, losing RHP Kris Medlen and RHP Brandon Beachy before the season started to Tommy John surgery didn't help the cause, but this isn't a .500 team.

This is a club which should be winning at least 88-90 games and winning, at minimum, a Wild Card slot. Instead, Atlanta finds itself five games back of the Washington Nationals for the top spot in the NL East and 2 ½ games back of the St. Louis Cardinals and San Francisco Giants for that last Wild Card spot. If Atlanta keeps faltering like this, both the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets could plausibly catch up, and if this team finishes fourth, there might not be any reprieve for Gonzalez, nor should there be.

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday's Rated Plays:


2 - 2.............................+ 0.00 *****

0 - 3............................ - 6.00 DOUBLE PLAY

1 - 3........................... - 6.00 TRIPLE PLAY

1 -1 ............................- 0.88 GRAND SLAM

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Overall Rated Plays

48 - 54- 1 ............................- 16.06 *****

40 - 50 ................................- 30.41 DOUBLE PLAY

44 - 44.................................+ 11.84TRIPLE PLAY

12 - 14....................................-8.44 GRAND SLAM

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Friday, August 15

Game Score Status Pick Amount


Baltimore - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore +135 500 *****

Cleveland - Under 7 500


Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM ET Washington -152 500

Washington - Over 7 500


Seattle - 7:08 PM ET Detroit -130 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Detroit - Under 8.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY


Arizona - 7:10 PM ET Miami -131 500

Miami - Under 7.5 500 *****


Houston - 7:10 PM ET Houston +131 500

Boston - Over 8.5 500


Chi. Cubs - 7:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +127 500 TRIPLE PLAY

NY Mets - Over 7.5 500


NY Yankees - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -134 500

Tampa Bay - Over 7 500


Oakland - 7:35 PM ET Atlanta -128 500

Atlanta - Over 7 500 TRIPLE PLAY


LA Angels - 8:05 PM ET LA Angels -193 500

Texas - Under 9 500


Toronto - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox +137 500

Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500


Kansas City - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City -143 500 GRAND SLAM

Minnesota - Under 8 500


San Diego - 8:15 PM ET San Diego +117 500 GRAND SLAM

St. Louis - Under 7 500 TRIPLE PLAY


Cincinnati - 8:40 PM ET Cincinnati -166 500

Colorado - Under 9 500


Milwaukee - 10:10 PM ET Milwaukee +156 500 DOUBLE PLAY

LA Dodgers - Under 7 500


Philadelphia - 10:15 PM ET San Francisco -154 500

San Francisco - Under 6 500 *****

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Philadelphia at San Francisco
The Phillies look to follow up last night's 5-3 win in extra innings as they face a Giants team that is 1-5 in Tim Hudson's last 6 starts following a team loss. Philadelphia is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+170). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 16

Game 901-902: Philadelphia at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.414; San Francisco (Hudson) 14.521
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+170); Under

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 16.332; Washington (Gonzalez) 14.813
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+145); Over

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Straily) 14.992; NY Mets (NIese) 15.811
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-155); Under

Game 907-908: Arizona at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 14.908; Miami (Alvarez) 16.423
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Miami (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-150); Over

Game 909-910: San Diego at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Hahn) 16.390; St. Louis (Miller) 14.412
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115); Under

Game 911-912: Cincinnati at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Axelrod) 15.765; Colorado (Lyles) 14.809
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 913-914: Milwaukee at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.806; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 17.521
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 6
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200); Under

Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Greene) 15.624; Tampa Bay (Smyly) 16.436
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Over

Game 917-918: Baltimore at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Jimenez) 14.366; Cleveland (Carrasco) 15.978
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125; Under

Game 919-920: Seattle at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 17.342; Detroit (Price) 18.867
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-110); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Over

Game 921-922: Houston at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 15.425; Boston (De La Rosa) 13.906
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-185); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+165); Under

Game 923-924: Toronto at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 14.221; White Sox (Danks) 16.309
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 11
Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+100); Over

Game 925-926: Kansas City at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 16.339; Minnesota (Hughes) 15.487
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Over

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Shoemaker) 15.978; Texas (Lewis) 16.877
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+145); Under

Game 929-930: Oakland at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gray) 17.502; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.198
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); Over

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, August 16

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PHILADELPHIA (54 - 68) at SAN FRANCISCO (63 - 58) - 4:05 PM
KYLE KENDRICK (R) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 127-157 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-45 (-23.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 57-77 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 91-121 (-31.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HUDSON is 46-25 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 26-9 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 52-18 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 102-56 (+30.9 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 45-24 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 72-30 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 84-28 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 28-30 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-14 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 384-362 (+42.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-32 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-32 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 62-69 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.2 Units)

KYLE KENDRICK vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
KENDRICK is 1-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.91 and a WHIP of 1.453.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)

TIM HUDSON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HUDSON is 11-10 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.310.
His team's record is 17-13 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 15-15. (-0.8 units)

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PITTSBURGH (64 - 58) at WASHINGTON (67 - 53) - 7:05 PM
JEFF LOCKE (L) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 244-474 (-100.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 107-238 (-70.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
GONZALEZ is 36-17 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 161-129 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 159-128 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 48-33 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 73-55 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 33-32 (-8.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 52-63 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JEFF LOCKE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LOCKE is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.338.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (52 - 69) at NY METS (58 - 65) - 7:10 PM
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. JON NIESE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 118-166 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 211-288 (-86.1 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 118-166 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 677-680 (-157.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
NY METS are 29-19 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 36-21 (+19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-15 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 62-78 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 13-23 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games in August games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 7-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 62-78 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 54-78 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 22-39 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

JON NIESE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
NIESE is 2-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.703.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.6 units)

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ARIZONA (53 - 69) at MIAMI (60 - 62) - 7:10 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. HENDERSON ALVAREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 53-69 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 53-69 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 39-52 (-13.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 19-33 (-15.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MIAMI is 60-62 (+3.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 36-24 (+17.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 46-38 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 16-10 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ALVAREZ is 15-7 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ALVAREZ is 9-2 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
ALVAREZ is 15-7 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. MIAMI since 1997
MILEY is 2-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 0.89 and a WHIP of 0.689.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN DIEGO (57 - 64) at ST LOUIS (65 - 56) - 7:15 PM
JESSE HAHN (R) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 41-52 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 136-87 (+27.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 77-85 (+6.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 30-34 (-10.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 30-35 (-16.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JESSE HAHN vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HAHN is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

SHELBY MILLER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MILLER is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 0.943.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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CINCINNATI (61 - 61) at COLORADO (47 - 75) - 8:10 PM
DYLAN AXELROD (R) vs. JORDAN LYLES (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

DYLAN AXELROD vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

JORDAN LYLES vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LYLES is 3-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.52 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

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MILWAUKEE (68 - 55) at LA DODGERS (70 - 54) - 9:10 PM
YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 31-13 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 35-18 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 68-55 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 17-10 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
MILWAUKEE is 34-27 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-9 (+9.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
MILWAUKEE is 67-51 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 99-87 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 55-48 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GALLARDO is 25-16 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 30-28 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 30-28 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 (+2.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GALLARDO is 1-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.98 and a WHIP of 1.489.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
KERSHAW is 5-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.179.
His team's record is 6-3 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (61 - 59) at TAMPA BAY (61 - 61) - 4:10 PM
SHANE GREENE (R) vs. DREW SMYLY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 19-3 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 543-620 (+23.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 24-15 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 84-38 (+31.1 Units) against the money line after getting shut out since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 61-61 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 28-32 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 28-32 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 28-35 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 4-10 (-9.2 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent this season.
TAMPA BAY is 16-21 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SMYLY is 7-13 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SMYLY is 2-7 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
SMYLY is 4-10 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-3 (+4.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

SHANE GREENE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

DREW SMYLY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SMYLY is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (69 - 51) at CLEVELAND (61 - 60) - 7:05 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
JIMENEZ is 37-49 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 153-131 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 87-54 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 147-125 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 57-32 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 70-51 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 104-83 (+22.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 36-25 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 61-48 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 51-29 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 51-36 (+19.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 34-17 (+19.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 35-21 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-9 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 25-45 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
CARRASCO is 5-17 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CARRASCO is 5-17 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 (+1.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
JIMENEZ is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 2.250.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
CARRASCO is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (66 - 55) at DETROIT (65 - 55) - 7:05 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 66-55 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 32-23 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 22-13 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 29-22 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 44-42 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 26-15 (+13.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 20-14 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 30-18 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 65-55 (-7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 32-28 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 32-28 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 15-17 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
DETROIT is 16-20 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 26-28 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PRICE is 20-26 (-22.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 12-15 (-14.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 7-12 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 (+2.9 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 9-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.140.
His team's record is 9-4 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.8 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
PRICE is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (51 - 72) at BOSTON (55 - 66) - 7:10 PM
BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. RUBBY DE LA ROSA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 87-147 (-54.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 14-10 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 55-67 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 76-83 (-27.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 28-33 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 9-14 (-11.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 51-58 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 39-48 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 36-45 (-15.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 29-35 (-11.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 18-27 (-16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. BOSTON since 1997
PEACOCK is 0-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 14.75 and a WHIP of 3.825.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)

RUBBY DE LA ROSA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 9.64 and a WHIP of 1.927.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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TORONTO (63 - 60) at CHI WHITE SOX (58 - 64) - 7:10 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. JOHN DANKS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 73-82 (-38.1 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
TORONTO is 5-19 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 58-64 (+6.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 43-36 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DANKS is 8-3 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 34-20 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BUEHRLE is 16-8 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 51-23 (+27.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 47-21 (+26.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 11-2 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 15-31 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 116-157 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DANKS is 29-41 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DANKS is 19-32 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 4-1 (+3.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BUEHRLE is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.326.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

JOHN DANKS vs. TORONTO since 1997
DANKS is 2-4 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.89 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

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KANSAS CITY (67 - 54) at MINNESOTA (54 - 66) - 7:10 PM
YORDANO VENTURA (R) vs. PHIL HUGHES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 54-66 (+1.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 24-21 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-22 (+7.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
HUGHES is 15-9 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 14-9 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HUGHES is 10-3 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 67-54 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 34-26 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 12-2 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 63-51 (+5.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 45-33 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 49-37 (+5.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 39-27 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 16-7 (+8.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
MINNESOTA is 88-130 (-37.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-21 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games in August games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 88-130 (-37.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 48-81 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-47 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HUGHES is 3-11 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-7 (+1.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

YORDANO VENTURA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
VENTURA is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
HUGHES is 6-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.74 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 7-3 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.9 units)

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LA ANGELS (71 - 49) at TEXAS (47 - 75) - 8:05 PM
MATT SHOEMAKER (R) vs. COLBY LEWIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 59-63 (-18.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 139-130 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 71-49 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 734-718 (+63.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 14-7 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 31-15 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 37-14 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA ANGELS are 21-8 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 47-75 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 19-35 (-17.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 22-37 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TEXAS is 12-28 (-18.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 7-16 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
TEXAS is 45-71 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 31-58 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 33-52 (-20.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 30-44 (-16.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 9-18 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 23-39 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 18-43 (-28.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 9-2 (+6.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

MATT SHOEMAKER vs. TEXAS since 1997
SHOEMAKER is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.17 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
LEWIS is 5-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.372.
His team's record is 7-7 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-5. (+2.5 units)

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OAKLAND (73 - 49) at ATLANTA (62 - 60) - 7:10 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 13-18 (-8.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
OAKLAND is 2-10 (-8.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
ATLANTA is 36-17 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 171-118 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 122-105 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 284-212 (+61.3 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 166-110 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 105-70 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 179-124 (+45.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 107-80 (+25.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 79-59 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 62-46 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 62-60 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 62-60 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 49-49 (-9.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, August 16

Pirates-Nationals
Locke is 2-2, 7.13 in his last four starts.
Gonzalez is 0-5, 5.46 in his last six starts.

Pittsburgh lost five of last seven, including last four on road.
Nationals won seven of their last nine games.
Six of last eight Pirate road games went over total.

Cubs-Mets
Straily is making first Cub start; he was 1-2, 4.93 in seven starts for A's.
Niese is 1-4, 5.63 in his last five starts.

Cubs lost 12 of their last 17 road games.
Mets lost three of their last four games overall.

Under is 7-1-1 in Cubs' last nine games.

Diamondbacks-Marlins
Miley is 1-2, 8.02 in his last four starts.
Alvarez was 2-0, 1.20 in his last two starts before going on DL; his last start was on July 29.

Arizona is 8-12 in its last twenty games.
Marlins are 5-3 in their last eight games.

Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Arizona games.

Padres-Cardinals
Hahn is 3-1, 2.43 in his last five starts.
Miller is 1-4, 5.59 in his last nine starts.

San Diego won five of its last seven games, but lost last two.
Cardinals won last three games, allowing seven runs.
Last six St Louis home games stayed under.

Reds-Rockies
Axelrod is 7-13, 5.36 in 30 MLB starts; this is his first '14 start. He was 8-8, 4.09 in 21 AAA starts this season.
Lyles is 1-1, 6.07 in his last six starts.

Cincinnati lost five of its last seven games.
Rockies lost 15 of their last 19 games. .
Eight of last ten Lyles starts went over total.

Brewers-Dodgers
Gallardo is 2-1, 1.75 in his last four starts.
Dodgers won last 13 Kershaw starts (11-0, 1.16).

Milwaukee is 6-8 in its last fourteen road games.
Dodgers won four of their last six games.

Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Kershaw starts.

Phillies-Giants
Kendrick is 1-2, 6.28 in his last five starts.
Hudson is 0-3, 4.13 in his last four starts.

Philly lost five of its last seven games.
Giants lost six of their last seven games.

Seven of last eight Kendrick starts went over.

Mariners-Tigers
Hernandez is 5-1, 1.58 in his last ten starts.
Price is 0-0, 4.30 in two starts for Detroit; games went 12-19 innings.

Mariners won nine of their last ten games.
Detroit won five of its last six home games.
Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve Hernandez starts.

Orioles-Indians
Former Indian Jimenez is 2-0, 3.94 in his last five starts.
Carrasco is 1-3, 6.00 in five starts this season.

Orioles won eight of their last eleven games.
Cleveland won four of its last five games.

Last five Cleveland games stayed under total.

Bronx-Tampa Bay
Greene is 3-1, 3.16 in six starts this season.
Smyly is 1-1, 2.07 in two starts for Tampa Bay.

Bronx lost last five games, outscored 28-7.
Rays won seven of their last nine games.

Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Bronx games.

Astros-Red Sox
Peacock is 0-3, 12.46 in his last four starts.
de la Rosa is 1-1, 2.37 in his last three starts.

Houston lost six of its last seven road games.
Red Sox won five of their last seven games.

Seven of last ten Boston games stayed under total.

Angels-Rangers
Shoemaker is 2-1, 2.00 in his last three starts.
Lewis is 2-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.

Angels won four of their last five games.
Texas lost 16 of their last 23 games.

Five of last seven Angel games stayed under total.

Royals-Twins
Ventura is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.
Hughes is 2-0, 1.38 in his last couple starts.

Royals won 14 of their last 16 games.
Minnesota lost six of their last nine games.

Four of last five Hughes starts stayed under.

Blue Jays-White Sox
Former White Sox Buehrle is 1-2, 7.43 in his last five starts.
Danks is 0-2, 9.56 in his last three starts.

Toronto lost ten of its last thirteen games.
White Sox lost eight of their last twelve games.

Five of last six Buehrle starts went over total.

A's-Braves
Gray is 0-3, 5.40 in his last three starts; A's scored five runs in three games.
Teheran is 0-3, 5.49 in his last three starts.

Oakland lost five of its last six games.
Braves lost 12 of their last 16 games.
Seven of last nine Oakland road games went over total.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Kendrick 11-13; Hudson 13-9
-- Locke 8-5; Gonzalez 10-9
-- Straily 2-5/0-0; Niese 11-11
-- Miley 12-13; Alvarez 15-7
-- Hahn 8-3; Miller 10-13
-- Axelrod 0-0; Lyles 7-7
-- Gallardo 11-13; Kershaw 16-3

-- Greene 4-2; Smyly 6-12/1-1
-- Jimenez 10-13; Carrasco 2-3
-- Hernandez 17-8; Price 14-9/1-1
-- Peacock 6-11; de la Rosa 6-6
-- Buehrle 16-8; Danks 11-13
-- Ventura 12-10; Hughes 15-9
-- Shoemaker 9-4; Lewis 10-11

-- Gray 15-9; Teheran 14-11

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Kendrick 5-24; Hudson 5-23 (4 of last 5)
-- Locke 7-13; Gonzalez 7-19
-- Straily 4-7; Niese 7-22
-- Miley 5-25; Alvarez 5-22
-- Hahn 2-11; Miller 5-23
-- Axelrod 0-0; Lyles 5-14
-- Gallardo 7-24; Kershaw 3-19

-- Greene 1-6; Smyly 6-20
-- Jimenez 7-23; Carrasco 2-5
-- Hernandez 3-25; Price 8-25
-- Peacock 7-17; de la Rosa 2-12
-- Buehrle 6-24; Danks 7-24
-- Ventura 6-22; Hughes 5-24
-- Shoemaker 1-13; Lewis 7-21

-- Gray 8-24; Teheran 8-25

Umpires
-- Phil-SF-- Home side won 11 of last 14 West games.
-- Pitt-Wsh-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Wegner games.
-- Chi-NY-- Favorites won last eight Cuzzi games.
-- Az-Mia-- Three of last four Baker games stayed under.
-- SD-StL-- 12 of last 15 BWelke games stayed under.
-- Cin-Col-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Scott games.
-- Mil-LA-- Underdogs are 15-8 in last 23 Hudson games.

-- NY-TB-- 14 of last 15 Danley games stayed under.
-- Balt-Clev-- Last four Kulpa games went over total.
-- Sea-Det-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Randazzo games.
-- Hst-Bos-- Underdogs are 4-3 in last seven Joyce games.
-- Tor-Chi-- Underdogs are 5-3 in last eight Tichenor games.
-- KC-Min-- Last eight Reynolds games stayed under total.
-- LA-Tex-- Seven of last nine Cooper games stayed under.

-- A's-Atl-- Under is 9-3-1 in Marquez games this season.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Saturday, August 16

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Trend Report
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4:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Philadelphia is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
Philadelphia is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
San Francisco is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games ,

4:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Yankees are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

7:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CLEVELAND
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore

7:08 PM
SEATTLE vs. DETROIT
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games at home
Detroit is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Seattle

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
Chi White Sox are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
Kansas City is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games at home

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 9 games on the road
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland

7:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Boston
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Houston
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston

7:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. NY METS
Chi Cubs are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Mets
Chi Cubs are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
NY Mets are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. MIAMI
Arizona is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 10 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games when playing Arizona
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona

7:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home

8:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 15 of LA Angels's last 23 games when playing on the road against Texas
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing Colorado
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 10 games when playing Cincinnati

9:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. LA DODGERS
Milwaukee is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,
Milwaukee is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,on the road
LA Dodgers are 2-3-1 SU in their last 6 games ,when playing Milwaukee
LA Dodgers4-1-1 SU in their last 6 games

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Saturday, August 16


Giants struggling with Hudson starting at home

The San Francisco Giants are 0-4 in their last four ball games at home when right-hander Tim Hudson gets the start.

Hudson is scheduled to get the start at AT&T Park against the visiting Philadelphia Phillies Saturday afternoon.

In those four ball games, the Giants have lost to the San Diego Padres (-119), Cincinnati Reds (-119), Oakland A's (+100) and Pittsburgh Pirates (-117).

The Giants are currently big -201 home faves for the meeting with the Phillies.


Thunderstorms could impact this ball game Saturday

The Kansas City Royals and their backers will look to make it four-straight wins Saturday, but Mother Nature could have the last word in their game versus the Minnesota Twins.

According to DailyBaseballData.com, weather forecasts are calling for a 40 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms by the start of the game, and that will increase to a 50 percent chance as the game progresses.

As it stands, the Royals are slight -106 road faves at Target Field and oddsmakers have placed a total of 7.5 on the game.


Top Under umpire working the plate Saturday

With an Over/Under record of 4-18 when he's been tasked with calling balls and strikes this season, you'd be hard pressed to find an umpire that has catered to Under bettors more efficiently than Kerwin Danley.

Danley is scheduled to work home plate at Tropicana Field as the Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees Saturday afternoon. Oddsmakers have tabbed the matchup with a total of seven.

When looking at umpires that worked behind home plate in at least 10 ball games this season, only Tony Randazzo has better winning percentage for Under bettors (2-11 O/U, 84.6 percent).

According to our umpire stats database, there is an average of 5.78 runs scored per game when Danley is working the plate. That's the lowest per game total of any umpire with at least 10 games calling pitches.

Danley has already cashed in for Under bettors this week. He was calling balls and strikes at Turner Field as the Atlanta Braves lost 4-2 to the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers, which closed with a total of eight.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Saturday, August 16


Robinson Cano, Seattle - Prob Sat

Cano left Friday's game after fouling a ball off of his foot but is expected to play Saturday against the Tigers.


Top Under umpire working the plate Saturday

With an Over/Under record of 4-18 when he's been tasked with calling balls and strikes this season, you'd be hard pressed to find an umpire that has catered to Under bettors more efficiently than Kerwin Danley.

Danley is scheduled to work home plate at Tropicana Field as the Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees Saturday afternoon. Oddsmakers have tabbed the matchup with a total of seven.

When looking at umpires that worked behind home plate in at least 10 ball games this season, only Tony Randazzo has better winning percentage for Under bettors (2-11 O/U, 84.6 percent).

According to our umpire stats database, there is an average of 5.78 runs scored per game when Danley is working the plate. That's the lowest per game total of any umpire with at least 10 games calling pitches.

Danley has already cashed in for Under bettors this week. He was calling balls and strikes at Turner Field as the Atlanta Braves lost 4-2 to the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers, which closed with a total of eight


Randazzo umpiring Hernandez-Price duel Saturday

We've been following Kerwin Danley's penchant for cashing Under bettors' tickets this season, but there is one umpire that has a better winning percentage for under wagers for umpires with at least 10 games behind the dish: Tony Randazzo.

Randazzo has an Over/Under record of 2-11 in his 13 ball games behind home plate this season. That's good enough for an 84.6 winning percentage if a bettor had taken the Under in all 13 of those games.

He'll be tasked with calling balls and strikes as the Seattle Mariners visit the Detroit Tigers with a couple of marquee pitchers toeing the rubber Saturday. Felix Hernandez is scheduled to get the start for the Mariners while David Price is slated to pitch for the Tigers.

The game currently has a total of 6.5.

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday, August 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount


Philadelphia - 4:05 PM ET Philadelphia +181 500 DOUBLE PLAY

San Francisco - Under 7.5 500 *****


NY Yankees - 4:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -134 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Tampa Bay - Over 7 500 *****

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Saturday, August 16

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MLB Week-end betting cheat sheet: Toronto feeling blue
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Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend's major-league games:

Toronto Feeling Blue

The Toronto Blue Jays' recent road woes continued Wednesday, as they dropped a 2-0 decision to the Seattle Mariners, to cap a demoralizing three-game sweep. The Blue Jays have scored just eight runs during a six-game road losing skid that has dropped their overall value to +273 units for the season. They begin a three-game set with at the Chicago White Sox (+129, 8.5) Friday.

Rays Rolling With the Under

The Tampa Bay Rays remain one of the strongest under plays in the league over the past 10 days as they prepare to open a three-game series against the visiting New York Yankees (+122, 7). Tampa went 1-2-1 over/under in its four-game series in Texas and went 2-6-2 O/U on its 10-game road swing.

Felix vs. Price? Expect low score

Expect a great Under play at any total Saturday when Felix Hernandez and the Seattle Mariners visit David Price and the Detroit Tigers. Hernandez has gone seven innings while allowing two or fewer runs in 17-straight starts, while Price had a string of 13 consecutive quality starts snapped in Toronto.

Fister Flying

Washington Nationals right-hander Doug Fister has been nearly automatic over the past month and a half as he leads the Washington Nationals into Sunday's tilt with the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates. Fister is 7-2 straight up over his last nine starts while giving up no fewer than three runs in any of those outings.

Pitching Notes

* Godspeed, Milwaukee. The Brewers face a monumental task Saturday night as they square off with Los Angeles Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw, who is 14-2 with a 1.78 ERA and is 16-3 SU over his 19 starts so far this season.

* Oakland Athletics lefty Jon Lester will look to make it four straight wins with his new team Sunday as he takes on the host Atlanta Braves. Lester has won each of his first three starts in an Oakland uniform, posting a 2.49 ERA while allowing zero home runs over that stretch.

Hitting Notes

* Houston Astros slugger Chris Carter has been a hard man to keep down over the past week as he prepares to face Clay Buchholz and the host Boston Red Sox (-142, 8.5). Carter has swatted four home runs and racked up 10 RBIs over the past seven days - tops in the league over that stretch.

* Don't expect many long bombs in Saturday's Mariners-Tigers tilt - especially from the Seattle lineup. Price has allowed just one home run in 169 combined at-bats against members of the Mariners' roster; that homer came courtesy second baseman Robinson Cano.

* Joe Mauer will face a friendly foe Sunday when the Minnesota Twins entertain Jeremy Guthrie and the Kansas City Royals. Mauer is 8-for-24 lifetime versus Guthrie, with two home runs and an OPS over 1.000.

Totals Streak

Baltimore Orioles (4-0-1 O/U): The Orioles finally settled for a push in their last game - a 5-3 victory over the Yankees - after putting together four straight overs on the strength of three double-digit scoring outbursts. The recent Over string moves Baltimore to 53-63-3 O/U for the season.

Injury Notes

* Pittsburgh Pirates second baseman Neil Walker may be back in the lineup Friday against the host Washington Nationals (-148, 7) after missing the previous eight games with a back injury. The Pirates have gone 5-3 SU, 5-3 O/U and +195 units with Walker out of action.

* Colorado Rockies outfielder Michael Cuddyer will be activated from the disabled list in time for Saturday's game against visiting Cincinnati. Cuddyer has missed the past 59 games with a fractured shoulder; the Rockies are 18-42 SU, 27-24-8 O/U and -2,153 units without him.

Weather Watch

* Fans at Fenway Park will see wind blowing out to center field at 6 mph when the host Boston Red Sox face Houston on Saturday night. Teams went 1-5 O/U in six games with the wind blowing out to center in 2013, averaging just 1.5 homers - well below the stadium average of 1.85.

Umpire Note of the Day

The home team is 5-1 in umpire Cory Blaser's last six games calling balls and strikes. Blaser will be behind home plate Friday night when the Red Sox entertain the Astros.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Saturday, August 16


This pitcher is dynamite on grass fields

Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Kyle Kendrick has been a fantastic play for Over bettors on grass in recent matchups, evidenced by seven of his last eight starts on the natural surface going above the total.

Kendrick gets the ball when the Phils visit the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park - a grass field - Saturday. The Giants are currently -201 faves on the moneyline with an O/U of 7.5.