The Bum's MLB August Thread- stats-trends-rated games !

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, August 5

Marlins-Pirates
Hand is 2-1, 2.11 in his last three starts.
Morton is 0-1, 5.63 in his last four starts.

Miami lost four of its last five games.
Pirates are 14-3 in their last 17 home games.
Four of last five Hand starts stayed under total.

Mets-Nationals
Wheeler is 2-0, 1.86 in his last six starts.
Gonzalez is 0-3, 5.66 in his last four starts.

Mets lost three of their last four games.
Washington is 4-5 in its last nine home games.

Five of last seven Wheeler starts went over total.

Giants-Brewers
Lincecum is 0-2, 8.40 in his last three starts.
Nelson is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.

Giants won four of their last five games.
Milwaukee lost five of its last seven games.

Under is 4-1-1 in last six San Francisco road games.

Cubs-Rockies
Wood is 0-3, 8.62 in his last six starts.
Anderson is 1-0, 1.33 in his last three starts.

Cubs won five of their last seven games.
Colorado lost seven of its last eight games.

Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteeen games at Miller Park.

Tigers-Bronx
Price was 6-1, 1.96 in his last seven starts for Tampa Bay.
Kuroda is 1-1, 2.73 in his last four home starts.

Detroiit won four of its last six games.
Bronx won 11 of its last 17 games.

Under is 8-2-1 in Detroit's last eleven road games.

Orioles-Blue Jays
Norris is 1-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
Buehrle is 1-3, 4.93 in his last six starts.

Orioles won 10 of their last 14 games.
Toronto lost last three games overall, won five of last six at home.

Last seven Norris starts stayed under the total.

Rangers-White Sox
Lewis is 1-3, 8.71 in his last four starts.
Danks is 1-0, 8.27 in his last three starts; Sox scored 23 runs.

Rangers lost 12 of their last 15 games.
White Sox lost four of their last six home games.

Last six White Sox games went over the total.

Rays-A's
Smyly was 2-3, 5.63 in his last six starts for Detroit.
Hammel is 0-4, 10.59 in four starts for Oakland.

Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
A's are 17-5 in their last 22 home games.

Under is 13-6-1 in last twernty Oakland home games.

Astros-Phillies
Keuchel is 1-1, 1.69 in his last two starts.
Kendrick is 1-3, 7.25 in his last four starts.

Houston won four of its last five games.
Phillies are 7-12 in their last nineteen games.

Last six Kendrick starts went over the total.

Reds-Indians
Cueto is 4-0, 2.30 in his last five starts.
Tomlin is 0-2, 5.24 in his last four starts.

Reds lost 12 of their last 17 games (3-2 in last five).
Cleveland won eight of its last eleven home games.

Under is 8-2-2 in last twelve Cincinnati road games.

Padres-Twins
Hahn is 7-1, 1.62 in his last eight starts.
Hughes is 0-3, 5.63 in his last three starts.

San Diego won five of its last six games.
Twins lost 11 of their last 15 home games.

Over is 4-1-1 in Hahn's last six starts.

Red Sox-Cardinals
de la Rosa is 0-2, 9.00 in his last two starts.
Lynn is 3-2, 2.27 in his last five starts.

Boston lost 10 of its last 12 games.
Cardinals won three of their last four games.

Four of last five St Louis games went over the total; six of last seven de la Rosa starts stayed under, as did nine of last ten Lynn starts.

Royals-Diamondbacks
Duffy is 1-1, 1.40 in his last three starts.
Miley is 4-1, 2.68 in his last six starts.

Royals won four of their last five games.
Arizona is 7-4 in its last eleven home games.

Last eight Duffy starts stayed under the total.

Angels-Dodgers
Angels won four of last five Santiago starts (1-0, 3.55).
Kershaw is 10-0, 0.94 in his last eleven starts.

Angels won ten of their last fourteen road games.
Dodgers won seven of their last ten games.

Under is 13-6-1 in last twenty Angel games.

Braves-Mariners
Wood is 1-1, 4.28 in his last four starts.
Hernandez is 8-2, 1.75 in his last fifteen starts.

Atlanta lost its last six games, all on the road.
Mariners lost five of their last six home games.

Under is 15-2 in last 17 games at Safeco Field.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Hand 3-5; Morton 10-12
-- Wheeler 10-12; Gonzalez 10-7
-- Lincecum 14-8; Nelson 2-2
-- Wood 11-11; Anderson 3-4

-- Price 14-9/0-0; Kuroda 10-12
-- Norris 10-8; Buehrle 15-7
-- Lewis 9-10; Danks 11-11
-- Smyly 6-12/0-0; Hammel 10-7/0-4

-- Keuchel 11-9; Kendrick 9-12
-- Cueto 14-9; Tomlin 5-9
-- Hahn 7-2; Hughes 13-9
-- de la Rosa 4-5; Lynn 13-9
-- Duffy 7-9; Miley 12-11
-- Santiago 5-9; Kershaw 14-3
-- Wood 5-9; Hernandez 15-8

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hand 2-6; Morton 4-22
-- Wheeler 6-22; Gonzalez 6-17
-- Lincecum 7-22; Nelson 1-4
-- Wood 6-22; Anderson 1-7

-- Price 8-23; Kuroda 8-22
-- Norris 6-18; Buehrle 5-22
-- Lewis 7-19; Danks 6-22
-- Smyly 6-18; Hammel 6-21

-- Keuchel 5-20; Kendrick 11-22 (0 of last 3)
-- Cueto 3-23; Tomlin 4-14
-- Hahn 2-9; Hughes 4-22
-- de la Rosa 3-9; Lynn 5-22
-- Duffy 3-16; Miley 5-23
-- Santiago 4-14; Kershaw 2-17
-- Wood 6-14; Hernandez 3-23

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Tuesday, August 5

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Philadelphia is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. WASHINGTON
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Mets's last 16 games
Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Mets
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Mets

7:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. PITTSBURGH
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Pittsburgh's last 23 games when playing Miami

7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Detroit's last 18 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Detroit is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 12 of NY Yankees's last 18 games when playing at home against Detroit
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

7:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Baltimore's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore

8:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. MINNESOTA
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
San Diego is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego

8:10 PM
TEXAS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas's last 14 games
Chi White Sox are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Texas
Chi White Sox are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing Texas

8:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games

8:15 PM
BOSTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home

8:40 PM
CHI CUBS vs. COLORADO
Chi Cubs are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
Chi Cubs are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Colorado is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

9:40 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

10:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

10:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. LA DODGERS
LA Angels are 16-7 SU in their last 23 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games
LA Dodgers are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against LA Angels

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Tuesday, August 5


Pirates' CF Andrew McCutchen, 15-day DL

McCutchen has been placed on the 15-day disabled list due to a left oblique injury.


Yanks, Tigers love high totals

When the New York Yankees and Detroit Tigers have gotten together recently there hasn't been any shortage of runs. In the last seven meetings between the two clubs, the O/U is 5-1-1 through Monday.

They'll renew acquaintances in the Bronx Tuesday evening. The Tigers are -134 faves with a total of 7.5.


Marlins ice cold at PNC Park

PNC Park has not been friendly territory for the Miami Marlins recently. In their last six games against the Pittsburgh Pirates in the Steel City, the Fish are 0-6 through Monday. The Bucs host Miami once again Tuesday.

The Pirates are presently -155 favorites with an O/U of 7.5

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Short Sheet

Tuesday, August 5

Miami at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Hand: MIAMI 16-35 against NL Central opponents
Morton: PITTSBURGH 71-51 after a loss

NY Mets at Washington, 7:05 ET
Wheeler: NY METS 20-14 in road games after a one run loss
Gonzalez: 29-14 OVER in home games after a loss

San Francisco at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
Lincecum: 20-7 TSR after a win
Nelson: MILWAUKEE 38-45 at home with a money line of -100 to -150

Chicago Cubs at Colorado, 8:40 ET
Wood: CHICAGO CUBS 4-17 after a win by 4 runs or more
Anderson: COLORADO 29-14 OVER in home games against NL Central opponents

Detroit at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Price: 42-21 TSR on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
Kuroda: 10-20 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125

Baltimore at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Norris: BALTIMORE 28-41 after 2 or more consecutive wins
Buehrle: 11-2 TSR after 3 or more consecutive losses

Texas at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Lewis: TEXAS 22-8 OVER against left-handed starters
Danks: 19-31 in home games after a win

Tampa Bay at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Smyly: 6-12 TSR in all games
Hammel: OAKLAND 18-6 at home with a money line of -100 to -150

Houston at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Keuchel: HOUSTON 14-7 after a win by 4 runs or more
Kendrick: PHILADELPHIA 8-21 in an inter-league game

Cincinnati at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Cueto: CINCINNATI 16-30 in road games after scoring 2 runs or less
Tomlin: CLEVELAND 56-30 in home games after a win

San Diego at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Hahn: SAN DIEGO 6-23 in road games after a win by 2 runs or less
Hughes: MINNESOTA 11-3 OVER after scoring 8 runs or more

Boston at St Louis, 8:15 ET
Kelly: BOSTON 25-11 after allowing 8 runs or more
Lynn: ST LOUIS 27-31 after a win

Kansas City at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Duffy: KANSAS CITY 14-4 after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs
Miley: ARIZONA 18-30 after a win

LA Angels at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Santiago: 12-25 TSR in all games
Kershaw: LA DODGERS 14-2 after 2 or more consecutive losses

Atlanta at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Wood: ATLANTA 73-41 in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses
Hernandez: SEATTLE 7-14 in home games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

TSR = Team Start Record

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Tuesday, August 5


Tuesday's must read weather update

Be sure to check out our weather update before you place your wagers, there is plenty in the forecast that could affect your bets.

In Cleveland, the Indians host the Cincinnati Reds, where there is a 59 percent chance of rain and a chance of thunderstorms.

The Yankees host the Detroit Tigers in New York, with a chance of thunderstorms and a 15 percent chance of rain.

The Miami Marlins visit the Pittsburgh Pirates, with a 61 percent chance of rain and a chance of thunderstorms.

In St. Louis, the Cardinals host the Boston Red Sox, with a chance of thunderstorms and a 36 percent chance of rain.

The Rockies host the Chicago Cubs in Colorado, with a 30 percent chance of rain and a chance if thunderstorms at Coors Field.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Tuesday, August 5


This team undefeated as massive favorites

The Los Angeles Dodgers have seen themselves as huge moneyline faves this season. Six times this season the Dodgers have been -200 or more and they have gone a perfect 6-0 in those games.

The Dodgers have outscored their opponents 30-7 in those games, but have won three of those games by only one run.

The Dodgers are -233 against the Los Angeles Angels (+213) Tuesday.


Rangers love to see this ump behind home plate

The struggling Texas Rangers are happy to see umpire Chris Conroy behind home plate. They are 9-0 in their last nine games with Conroy calling balls and strikes.

Conroy will be behind the plate when the Rangers visit the Chicago White Sox Tuesday night and are currently listed as +122 road dogs.


Bettors overjoyed when Danks takes to the mound

John Danks has been money for bettors against the Texas Rangers. In Danks last eight starts against the Rangers, the under has gone a perfect 8-0.

Danks has given up more than three runs only twice during those eight games. The Rangers and White Sox have scored an average of 5.4 runs per gamein those games.


Yankees Kuroda pitching to interesting total trend

New York Yankees' starting pitcher Hiroki Kuroda has pitched to the under as an incredible trend has emerged against good teams.

The under is 22-4-1 in Kuroda's last 27 starts versus a team with a winning record.

The Yankees host the Detroit Tigers Tuesday night with a total currently at 7.5. The Tigers will counter with newly acquired David Price.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Tuesday, August 5

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Game of the Day: Angels at Dodgers
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Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers (-228, 6.5)

Los Angeles Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw aims to maintain his run of dominance when he puts a personal 10-game winning streak on the line Tuesday at home against the Los Angeles Angels. Kershaw has thrown four complete games in his last eight starts, including a gem against Atlanta on Thursday, when he let up a run and struck out nine in a 2-1 victory. The National League Pitcher of the Month for June and July has yielded only three runs in 41 frames over his last four home outings.

Although he rarely needs much run support, Kershaw will hope for a bit more than the Dodgers could muster in a 5-0 loss in Monday's series opener. The Angels got a home run from Josh Hamilton and a five-hit shutout from Garrett Richards to win for the 13th time in their last 20 games at Dodger Stadium. The victory kept the Angels one game behind first-place Oakland in the American League West, while the Dodgers saw their lead in the N.L. West reduced to 1 1/2 games over San Francisco.

TV: 10:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, FSN West (Angels), SNET (Dodgers)

LINE HISTORY: The Dodgers opened as -240 favorites, but have moved to as ow as -215 before currently sitting at -228. The total is currently at 6.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Los Angeles Angles: -201, Los Angeles Dodgers -193

INJURY REPORT: N/A.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Angels LH Hector Santiago (3-7, 3.76 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (13-2, 1.71)

Santiago has allowed only one run in 15 innings over his last four appearances, two of which have been out of the bullpen. He is 1-7 with a 4.16 ERA in 14 starts, limiting opponents to 65 hits in 71 1/3 innings. The 26-year-old, who owns a 2.75 ERA in 11 career interleague contests (four starts), has thrown just 1 1/3 innings in his career versus the Dodgers.

Kershaw entered the series leading the National League in ERA, WHIP (0.82), strikeouts per nine innings (11.13) and strikeout-to-walk ratio (10.00), which is nearly twice that of second-place Jordan Zimmermann (5.76) of Washington. He has 104 strikeouts against only eight walks since the beginning of June. The two-time Cy Young Award winner is 2-2 with a 3.74 ERA in five career starts against the Angels, surrendering seven runs (six earned) in six frames in his previous encounter in 2011.

TRENDS:

* Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings at the Dodgers.
* Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings.
* Angels are 16-7 in the last 23 meetings.
* Angles are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings at the Dodgers.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-eight percent of wagers are on the Dodgers at -228.

[StarDust Bum]

Who's Hot - AL

August 5, 2014

There are only around 50 games left in the baseball's regular season, and it's tough to believe that the campaign has gone by this quickly. MLB betting fanatics have certainly been having a field day with some of the American League teams this year, and these are the three who have given you the most bang for your buck.

Baltimore Orioles (63-48, +$2,029) – We're not really all that sure how the O's are doing all of this. They really haven't gotten much this year out of J.J. Hardy or Chris Davis or Manny Machado, yet they still rank second in the league in home runs (thank you, Nelson Cruz) and 12th in run production on average. There isn't a legitimate ace pitcher on this team, and though Zach Britton has been good in relief, the rest of this bullpen is only so-so. Then again, maybe that's why the oddsmakers keep making Baltimore a dog on the road! Logic would tell you that the Orioles really shouldn't be able to win the AL East this year, but they really could. They're 33-23 on the road this year, and virtually all of the damage they have done for bettors has come away from Camden Yards. Winning those close games is what really makes the difference, especially on the road. Baltimore is doing just that.

Los Angeles Angels (67-44, +$1,538) – The Tigers went out and got David Price, and the A's have been doing all they can to go pitcher for pitcher with every team in the American League (more on them in a minute). Yet it's the Angels who are really flying high at the moment as the second best money team in the AL West. The Halos are just a game back of Oakland for the best record in baseball, and there is no doubt that they have the horses to get the job done. Sending out there Jered Weaver and Garrett Richards in the first two games of any short series is as good as anything that any team will be able to do, but beyond that, we have our concerns. The difference? Los Angeles can mash with any team in the game.

Oakland Athletics (68-43, +$1,053) – Pitching wins in the postseason, and that's why the A's have completely reworked their rotation. They have Jon Lester and Jeff Samardzija to build up the top of that rotation for the playoffs, and Sonny Gray as a third option isn't too shabby either. Our concern? How much will giving up Yoenis Cespedes really end up costing Oakland come the postseason? It's not often that you see a team give up its leadoff hitter in a trade to try to get better, but the Athletics did just that. They've still statistically got one of the best offenses in the league, but can it hold up? This pitching will do what it can otherwise, but there's still a long road ahead yet for Oaklan

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Tuesday

August 5, 2014


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pirates are 11-0 since July 08, 2011 as a home favorite when they are off a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1100.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Clayton Kershaw starts the Dodgers are 10-0 since September 02, 2013 as a 200+ favorite for a net profit of $1000.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- Charlie Morton has produced a team record of 0-11 (+$1,170) since September 11, 2009 after he had a WHIP of at least 2 his last start in a road loss.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Braves are 0-12 since September 10, 2011 as a road dog after a loss in which they used 5+ pitchers for a net profit of $1220 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- When Johnny Cueto starts the Reds are 21-4 since August 17, 2011 as a 140+ favorite after a quality start for a net profit of $1470.

[StarDust Bum]

Yesterday's Rated Plays:


0 - 1.............................-1.00 *****

0 - 1........................... - 2.00 DOUBLE PLAY

0 - 1........................... - 4.20 TRIPLE PLAY

2 - 0............................+ 8.76 GRAND SLAM

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Overall Rated Plays

28 - 40- 1 ............................- 19.98 *****

26 - 33 ...............................- 25.97 DOUBLE PLAY

29 - 28 ...............................+ 12.60 TRIPLE PLAY

5 - 6....................................-3.00 GRAND SLAM

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday, August 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati - 7:05 PM ET Cincinnati +105 500 *****
Cleveland - Under 7 500

Detroit - 7:05 PM ET NY Yankees +111 500
NY Yankees - Under 7.5 500

Houston - 7:05 PM ET Houston -111 500 *****
Philadelphia - Over 7.5 500 *****

Miami - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -130 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Pittsburgh - Over 7.5 500

NY Mets - 7:05 PM ET NY Mets +143 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Washington - Under 7 500

Baltimore - 7:07 PM ET Baltimore -104 500 *****
Toronto - Under 8.5 500

Texas - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -108 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 9 500

San Francisco - 8:10 PM ET San Francisco +115 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Milwaukee - Under 8 500

San Diego - 8:10 PM ET San Diego +108 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Minnesota - Over 7.5 500

Boston - 8:15 PM ET St. Louis -145 500 *****
St. Louis - Under 7.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 8:40 PM ET Chi. Cubs +115 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Colorado - Under 10 500

Kansas City - 9:40 PM ET Arizona +118 500
Arizona - Over 7 500

Tampa Bay - 10:05 PM ET Tampa Bay +115 500 GRAND SLAM
Oakland - Over 7.5 500

Atlanta - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -160 500
Seattle - Under 6 500

LA Angels - 10:10 PM ET LA Angels +195 500 GRAND SLAM
LA Dodgers - Under 6.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Wednesday

August 6, 2014


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cardinals are 12-0 since June 05, 2011 as a home favorite after a win that was tied after six innings and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1200.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Chris Sale starts the White Sox are 11-0 since May 23, 2012 as a home 140+ favorite after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $1100.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Athletics are 17-1 (+$1,800) since August 26th 2004 in the last game of a 3+ game series following a shutout win where they scored 2-12 runs.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Phillies are 0-13 since September 20, 2013 at home when they came back from a deficit to win in their starter’s last start for a net profit of $1428 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- Yovani Gallardo has produced a team record 21-1 (+$1,987) since June 24, 2010 when he starts as a favorite against a team which has won at least 38% of its games, after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Detroit 4, Bronx 3 (12)-- 322 pitches, 91 batters, no walks. First time in 100+ years Bronx played an extra inning game witb no walks for either side.

-- Andrew McCutchen has a broken rib with cartilage damage, very bad news for the Pirates, who lost 6-3 at home to Miami last night.

-- Charleston fired basketball coach Doug Wojcik who won more than he lost in two years, but was accused of verbal abuse by many team/staff members. Wojcik was David Robinson's point guard at the Naval Academy.

-- Rangers 16, White Sox 0-- Slugger Adam Dunn pitched 9th inning for Chicago; he didn't do any worse than any of Pale Hose's regular pitchers, allowing a run.

-- Since 2008, Tampa Bay has used only 22 starting pitchers, fewest in the major leagues; San Diego (49) has used the most.

-- Dodgers 5, Angels 4-- Juan Uribe hit a 3-run homer, then later scored winning run on a close play at the plate when he knocked the ball out of the catcher's glove, as Dodgers won for 12th straight time when Kershaw started.


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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) August is a great month to watch NFL Network; they’ll have replays of every exhibition game, with one team’s announcers for each half.

Except for Dave Pasch/Ron Wolfley with Cardinal games, announcers are mostly mute button material- they shill for season tickets sales a lot and generally provide no information, but the games are fun to watch.

Curious to see OLs with Dolphins/Giants and also obviously Johnny Manziel, will be interesting to track, just because we get to see him play ball instead of cavorting all over America.

12) There are seven new head coaches this year, though five of them have been HCs in college/pros before—only Mike Zimmer/Mike Pettine have not, but there are also 11 new offensive coordinators. Deciphering who will be aggressive/conservative is an interesting task if you’re involved in handicapping or fantasy football.

11) You don’t think baseball is a mental game? Oakland’s Steven Vogt was 10 for his last 32 before the Price-Cespedes trade, which cleared a few more AB’s so Vogt could be a regular bat in the lineup, but he is 0-14 since the trade. No bueno.

10) Bronx Bombers’ last 16 games were all decided by either one or two runs, longest such streak in major leagues since 1975.

9) Battle 4 Atlantis on November 26 (day before Thanksgiving) has Oklahoma-UAB, Florida-Georgetown, Oklahoma-UCLA and North Carolina-Butler are first round matchups. At quick glance, UAB-Butler figures to be the 7th place game, but you never know about second round consolation games.

8) Washington-Gonzaga are re-starting their basketball series, starting in two years; Zags have gotten so good, it helps the Huskies just to play them.

7) David Price/Jon Lester took out full-page ads in local newspapers, thanking fans and their old clubs following last week’s trades. Classy move by both guys.

6) Atlanta Falcons are on HBO’s Hard Knocks this summer; you see things in that show the casual fan doesn’t normally get to see, which makes it interesting. Not sure there is anything about the Falcons themselves that will make the show unique, but no one thought that about LY’s Dolphins either. Go figure.

5) Cleveland Browns are 1-14 in season openers since they started up playing again in 1999, and 14 of those 15 games were at home. Browns beat Baltimore 20-3 in ’04 for their only 1-0 start in 15 years- they open in Pittsburgh this year. Steelers beat them 43-0/34-7 only two times they’ve met on Opening Day.

4) Houston Texans go to Oakland in Week 2, an early Matt Schaub Bowl. Schaub had a brutal season as Houston’s QB last season; now he gets to play against his old team, as he tries to revive his career.

3) New England was favored in its last ten road openers, going 7-3 SU, 6-4 against the spread. Pats are favored by 3.5 points at Miami in Week 1.

2) Big rumor (pipe dream?) in Boston media this week is that Red Sox will try, at some point, to package Yoenis Cespedes in a deal to get Giancarlo Stanton from the Marlins, who were ther only team besides Oakland to bid for Cespedes when he first came here from Cuba.

1) In light of Andrew McCutchen's rib injury, next time the Pirates play Arizona could be very interesting, seeing how the D'backs drilled McCutchen on purpose.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Baltimore at Toronto
The Orioles look to follow up last night's 8-3 win as they face a Blue Jays' team that is 1-9 in Drew Hutchison's last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous start. Baltimore is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 6

Game 901-902: Miami at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 14.308; Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.877
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); Under

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 14.887; Washington (Fister) 17.421
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-165); Over

Game 905-906: San Francisco at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 16.879; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.775
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Under

Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 14.622; Colorado (Lyles) 16.232
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+100); Over

Game 909-910: Texas at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 15.402; White Sox (Sale) 14.330
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-250); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+210); Over

Game 911-912: Tampa Bay at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 17.322; Oakland (Gray) 15.887
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-210); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+180); Over

Game 913-914: Baltimore at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 17.643; Toronto (Hutchison) 15.102
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115); Over

Game 915-916: Detroit at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.332; NY Yankees (Capuano) 14.498
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Under

Game 917-918: San Diego at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Despaigne) 16.404; Minnesota (Correia) 14.229
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under

Game 919-920: Atlanta at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 15.297; Seattle (Young) 16.865
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+120); Under

Game 921-922: Houston at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 13.224; Philadelphia (Buchanan) 14.672
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135) 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Under

Game 923-924: Cleveland at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Salazar) 15.898; Cincinnati (Latos) 17.453
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-110); Over

Game 925-926: Boston at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Kelly) 15.476; St. Louis (Miller) 14.564
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+135); Under

Game 927-928: Kansas City at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 14.865; Arizona (Collmenter) 16.322
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+115); Over

Game 929-930: LA Dodgers at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Haren) 14.532; LA Angels (Shoemaker) 16.879
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Under

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, August 6

Marlins-Pirates
Koehler is 1-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
Locke is 0-2, 6.66 in his last four starts.

Miami lost four of its last six games.
Pirates are 14-4 in their last 18 home games.
Over is 3-1-1 in last five Locke starts.

Mets-Nationals
Niese is 0-3, 5.68 in his last three starts.
Fister is 4-1, 2.41 in his last five starts.

Mets are 5-3 in their last eight road games.
Washington is 4-6 in its last ten home games.
Under is 9-0-1 in last ten Fister starts.

Giants-Brewers
Vogelsong is 1-5, 3.59 in his last seven starts.
Gallardo is 1-0, 0.00 in his last two (14.2 IP) starts.

Giants won four of their last six games.
Milwaukee won seven of their last nine home games.

Under is 5-1-1 in last seven San Francisco road games.

Cubs-Rockies
Arrieta is 5-1, 1.74 in his last ten starts.
Colorado lost last four Lyles starts (0-1, 6.87) last of which was June 4.

Cubs won six of their last eight games.
Colorado lost eight of its last nine games.

Under is 9-4 in Arrieta's last thirteen starts.

Tigers-Bronx
Verlander is 2-1, 3.32 in his last three starts.
Bronx lost both Capuano starts (0-1, 4.38).

Detroiit won five of its last seven games.
Bronx won 11 of its last 18 games.

Under is 9-2-1 in Detroit's last twelve road games.

Orioles-Blue Jays
Chen is 5-0, 2.53 in his last five starts.
Hutchison is 1-3, 8.10 in his last five starts.

Orioles won 11 of their last 15 games.
Toronto lost its last four games.

Four of last five Chen starts stayed under the total.

Rangers-White Sox
Williams is 1-1, 9.90 in two starts this season.
Sale is 5-0, 2.54 in his last eight starts.

Rangers lost 12 of their last 16 games.
White Sox lost five of their last seven home games.

Last seven White Sox games went over the total.

Rays-A's
Hellickson is 0-1, 3.29 in three starts (less than five IP in all three).
Gray is 5-1, 1.50 in his last six starts.

Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
A's are 18-5 in their last 23 home games.

Under is 14-6-1 in last 21 Oakland home games.

Astros-Phillies
Peacock is 1-3, 9.00 in his last four starts.
Buchanan is 4-2, 3.28 in his last six starts.

Houston won four of its last six games.
Phillies are 8-12 in their last twenty games.

Six of last nine Buchanan starts stayed under the total.

Indians-Reds
Salazar is 3-0, 2.50 in his last three starts.
Latos is 1-2, 4.68 in his last four starts.

Cleveland lost six of its last eight road games.
Reds lost 12 of their last 18 games (4-2 in last six).

Eight of eleven Salazar starts went over the total; under is 5-1-1 in Latos' last seven outings.

Padres-Twins
Despaigne is 0-3, 5.25 in his last four starts.
Correia is 1-5, 5.08 in his last seven starts.

San Diego won five of its last seven games.
Twins lost 11 of their last 16 home games.

Over is 3-0-1 in Correia's last four starts.

Red Sox-Cardinals
Former Cardinal Kelly was 1-1, 7.32 in his last four starts for St Louis.
Miller is 1-3, 5.95 in his last seven starts.

Boston lost 11 of its last 13 games.
Cardinals won four of their last five games.

Five of last six Miller starts went over the total.

Royals-Diamondbacks
Ventura is 1-1, 6.26 in his last four starts.
Arizona won last four Collmenter starts (1-0, 4.30) .

Royals won five of their last six games.
Arizona is 7-5 in its last twelve home games.

Five of last seven Collmenter starts stayed under the total.

Angels-Dodgers
Haren is 0-5, 10.42 in his last five starts.
Shoemaker is 3-1, 3.42 in his last four starts.

Dodgers won eight of their last eleven games.
Angels are 29-8 in their last 37 home games.

Under is 13-7-1 in last twenty-one Angel games.

Braves-Mariners
Teheran is 1-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.
Young is 1-2, 3.45 in his last five starts.

Atlanta lost its last seven games, all on the road.
Mariners lost five of their last seven home games.

Under is 15-2-1 in last 18 games at Safeco Field.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Koehler 10-12; Locke 6-5
-- Niese 10-10; Fister 11-4
-- Vogelsong 12-10; Gallardo 10-12
-- Arrieta 10-6; Lyles 6-6

-- Williams 1-1; Sale 12-5
-- Hellickson 2-1; Gray 15-7
-- Chen 14-7; Hutchison 11-11
-- Verlander 13-9; Capuano 0-2

-- Despaigne 3-4; Correia 6-16
-- Teheran 14-9; Young 12-8
-- Peacock 6-9; Buchanan 5-5
-- Salazar 6-5; Latos 4-5
-- Kelly 3-4/0-0; Miller 10-11
-- Ventura 10-10; Collmenter 13-6
-- Haren 10-12; Shoemaker 9-3

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Koehler 3-22; Locke 5-11
-- Niese 6-20; Fister 4-15
-- Vogelsong 3-22; Gallardo 6-22
-- Arrieta 5-16; Lyles 4-12

-- Williams 1-2; Sale 1-17
-- Hellickson 1-3; Gray 7-22
-- Chen 6-21; Hutchison 4-22
-- Verlander 7-22; Capuano 0-2

-- Despaigne 1-7; Correia 6-22
-- Teheran 7-23; Young 4-21
-- Peacock 5-15; Buchanan 1-10
-- Salazar 1-11; Latos 0-9
-- Kelly 2-7; Miller 4-21
-- Ventura 6-20; Collmenter 8-19
-- Haren 11-22; Shoemaker 1-12

Umpires
-- Mia-Pitt-- Underdogs won 11 of last 14 Miller games.
-- NY-Wsh-- Over is 10-5-1 in last sixteen Vanover games.
-- SF-Mil-- Eight of last eleven HGibson games went over.
-- Chi-Col-- Five of last seven Drake games went over.

-- Tex-Chi-- Favorites won 13 of last 16 Baker games.
-- TB-A's-- Five of last seven Tumpane games stayed under.
-- Balt-Tor-- 12 of last 15 O'Nora games stayed under total.
-- Det-NY-- Over is 8-4-1 in Woodring games this season.

-- SD-Min-- Underdogs are 14-7 in last 21 Hudson games.
-- Atl-Sea-- Five of last seven LBarrett games stayed under.
-- Hst-Phil-- Seven of last ten Carlson games stayed under.
-- Clev-Cin-- Favorites won last six Cuzzi games.
-- Bos-StL-- Four of last five Barksdale games stayed under.
-- KC-Az-- Favorites won seven of last nine Demuth games.
-- LA-LAA-- Seven of last eight Reynolds games stayed under.