The Bum's Major League Baseball Best Bets-News,Trends For July !

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's Tip Sheet

July 18, 2014

Brewers at Nationals – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
MIL: Lohse (9-4, 3.26 ERA)
WSH: Strasburg (7-6, 3.46 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Brewers avoided a winless homestand by knocking off the Cardinals on Sunday, 11-2 to snap a seven-game skid. Milwaukee closed the first half in a 2-11 slump following a terrific start, while scoring two runs or less in seven of the past 10 contests. The Nationals grabbed the final two games at Philadelphia as a favorite to finish the first half with 51 victories, while going on an impressive 10-4 run in the final 14 games.

What to watch for: Washington took two of three at Miller Park in late June, but the Brewers racked Strasburg in the series finale, 9-2 as a +130 home underdog. The Nats have won seven of their past nine at home, but have lost three of their previous four home openers. The Brewers have struggled in road series openers recently, posting a 2-5 record in the last seven opportunities, while going ‘under’ the total in four of the past five road games.

Reds at Yankees – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
CIN: Leake (7-7, 3.54 ERA)
NYY: Phelps (3-4, 3.94 ERA)

Previous series recap: In spite of injuries to the right-side of Cincinnati’s infield (Brandon Phillips and Joey Votto), the Reds are back in the NL Central race by winning seven of their past nine games. Cincinnati won all three series on its previous homestand, including taking two of three from Pittsburgh to bust the 50-win plateau. The Yankees are back home for the first time since early July following a 5-6 road swing that concluded with a rain-shortened Sunday night defeat at Baltimore.

What to watch for: Since sweeping Toronto last month, the Yankees have limped to a 2-7 mark in the past nine home contests. New York has won nine of 14 interleague games this season, including a 4-3 record at Yankee Stadium. The Reds own an impressive 13-6 ledger in the past 19 road games, but have lost three straight contests on the highway. The ‘over’ has cashed in five of Leake’s last six starts, while the Reds are 4-1 to the ‘over’ in his past five road outings.

Dodgers at Cardinals – 8:15 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
LAD: Haren (8-6, 4.23 ERA)
STL: Lynn (10-6, 3.14 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Dodgers won three of four from the Padres at home to wrap up the first half, with all three victories coming by one run apiece. The Cardinals couldn’t finish off a road sweep of the Brewers, but St. Louis put together a 5-2 record against Pittsburgh and Milwaukee to conclude the opening half of the season just one game out of first place in the NL Central.

What to watch for: Los Angeles dismantled St. Louis in three of four games in late June at Chavez Ravine, but the Dodgers are making their first visit to Busch Stadium since getting bounced in the NLCS last October. The Redbirds have cashed the ‘over’ in seven of their last nine games overall, while St. Louis owns a 6-2 record in Lynn’s past eight home outings. The Dodgers are 6-1 to the ‘over’ in Haren’s last seven starts overall, while Los Angeles has lost three of its past four road series openers.

Mariners at Angels – 10:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
SEA: Iwakuma (8-4, 2.98 ERA)
LAA: Weaver (10-6, 3.45 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Angels remained red-hot after sweeping the Rangers in Arlington to extend their scorching stretch to 11-1 the last 12 games. In nine of those victories, the Halos managed to score at least five runs, including 33 runs in the four wins over Texas. Seattle concluded its surprising first half by grabbing a home series victory over Oakland, but finished its four-game homestand at just 3-4 against the Twins and A’s.

What to watch for: The Mariners have had the Angels’ number this season by going 6-3 in nine matchups, including a three-game sweep in Anaheim back in early April. Iwakuma is unbeaten in his last three starts, while the M’s are 6-0 in his six career starts against Los Angeles. The Angels are on fire at home over the last two months, posting an 18-2 record the last 20 games in Southern California.

Orioles at Athletics – 10:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
BAL: Tillman (7-5, 4.11 ERA)
OAK: Samardzija (1-1, 2.40 ERA)

Previous series recap: Both of these first place clubs finished the first half with a victory over a division rival. The A’s avoided a sweep by knocking off the Mariners, 4-1 as -150 road favorites, while the Orioles concluded a five-game homestand at 3-2 by topping the Yankees, 3-1 to cash as -140 favorites. In all five contests at Camden Yards, Baltimore cashed the ‘under’ all five times.

What to watch for: The A’s captured two of three games at Camden Yards last month over the Orioles, but Baltimore won three of four in its previous trip to Oakland in April 2013. In 10 starts as a road underdog, the Orioles own a stellar 8-2 record with Tillman on the mound, including a 5-0 record as a +130 ‘dog. Oakland has put together a 7-2 mark in its previous nine home series openers, while posting a 9-1 ledger in the past 10 home contests against AL East opponents.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, July 18

New feature below; teams' record when today's pitcher starts....

Brewers-Nationals
Milwaukee lost 11 of its last 13 games.
Washington won ten of its last fourteen games.

Five of last six Brewer games went over the total.

Rockies-Pirates
Rockies lost nine of their last ten road games.
Pittsburgh lost five of last seven games, but is 9-2 in last 11 home games.

Over is 13-5-1 in Colorado's last nineteen road games.

Giants-Marlins
Giants lost 13 of their last 20 games.
Miami lost five of its last six games.

13 of last 20 Marlin games went over the total.

Phillies-Braves
Phillies won five of last seven games, but lost last two.
Atlanta won five of its last six home games.

Eight of last eleven Philly games went over the total.

Dodgers-Cardinals
Dodgers are 15-10 in their last 25 road games.
St Louis won five of its last seven games.

Four of last five Dodger games stayed under the total.

Cubs-Diamondbacks
Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
Arizona lost 18 of its last 29 games.

Nine of last twelve Cub games went over the total.

Mets-Padres
Mets won seven of their last eight games.
San Diego lost seven of its last nine games.

16 of last 21 San Diego games stayed under.

Rangers-Blue Jays
Rangers lost 23 of their last 27 games.
Toronto lost seven of its last nine games.

Five of last six Texas road games went over the total.

Indians-Tigers
Indians won six of their last nine games.
Detroit won five of its last six games.

Six of last seven Detroit home games went over total.

Royals-Red Sox
Royals lost six of their last nine games.
Boston won four of its last five games.

Six of last eight Kansas City games stayed under.

Astros-White Sox
Astros won last three road games, after losing 10 of previous 11.
White Sox lost four of their last five games.

Seven of last nine Houston games went over the total.

Rays-Twins
Tampa Bay won eight of its last nine road games.
Twins won five of their last six games.

Seven of last ten Tampa Bay games went over total.

Mariners-Angels
Seattle won seven of its last nine road games.
Angels won 12 of their last 14 games.

Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Mariner games.

Orioles-A's
Baltimore won five of its last six road games.
A's won 11 of their last 12 home games.

Under is 7-1-3 in last eleven Oakland games.

Reds-Bronx
Cincinnati won seven of its last nine games.
Bronx lost seven of its last eight home games.

Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Bronx home games.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- de la Rosa 12-6; Liriano 7-8
-- Lohse 13-6; Strasburg 11-9
-- Bumgarner 11-9; Eovaldi 7-12
-- Burnett 10-10; Santana 8-9 (3-8 last 11)
-- Haren 10-9; Lynn 12-7
-- Jackson 6-13; Cahill 0-4
-- Colon 9-9; Kennedy 9-11

-- Darvish 11-6; Dickey 9-11
-- Bauer 6-6; Scherzer 14-5
-- Shields 12-8; Buchholz 6-8
-- Feldman 6-10; Quintana 7-12
-- Cobb 5-7; Gibson 8-10
-- Iwakuma 9-5; Weaver 12-8
-- Tillman 13-7; Samardzija 4-15/1-1

-- Leake 8-11; Phelps 3-10

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- de la Rosa 6-19; Liriano 6-15
-- Lohse 8-19; Strasburg 6-20
-- Bumgarner 4-20; Eovaldi 7-19
-- Burnett 6-20; Santana 7-17
-- Haren 9-19; Lynn 5-19
-- Jackson 8-19; Cahill 2-4
-- Colon 7-19; Kennedy 5-20

-- Darvish 3-17; Dickey 4-20
-- Bauer 4-12; Scherzer 6-19
-- Shields 5-20; Buchholz 4-14
-- Feldman 4-16; Quintana 2-19
-- Cobb 4-13; Gibson 6-18
-- Iwakuma 3-14; Weaver 4-20
-- Tillman 8-20; Samardzija 8-19

-- Leake 4-19; Phelps 1-13

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Friday, July 18

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. WASHINGTON
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Milwaukee is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

7:05 PM
COLORADO vs. PITTSBURGH
Colorado is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games

7:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. NY YANKEES
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home

7:07 PM
TEXAS vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games at home

7:08 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Cleveland

7:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. BOSTON
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games at home
Boston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. MIAMI
San Francisco is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:35 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

8:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games

8:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. MINNESOTA
Tampa Bay is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

8:15 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ST. LOUIS
LA Dodgers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of LA Dodgers's last 22 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games

9:40 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ARIZONA
Chi Cubs are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games

10:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games
LA Angels are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games at home

10:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. OAKLAND
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:10 PM
NY METS vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Diego
NY Mets are 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Friday, July 18

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Best and worst MLB bets at the All-Star break
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With the All-Star Break marking the unofficial halfway point of the Major League Baseball season, it's time to take a look at the best and worst wagers of the season to date:

Best Money Team

Oakland Athletics (+$1,436)

The Athletics (59-36) have been the class of the majors so far, posting the best record in the league while fending off a hard-charging Los Angeles Angels club atop the American League West. Oakland has been elite where it matters most - ranking second in runs per game and second in ERA - and should have no trouble padding its record with a handful of games remaining against weaklings like the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros.


Worst Money Team

Texas Rangers (-$2,254)

So much for contending for the AL West; the Rangers are already looking toward next year thanks to a disastrous start marred by injuries to key players like Prince Fielder (neck), Martin Perez (elbow), Matt Harrison (back) and Jurickson Profar (shoulder). The offense has looked pedestrian - ranked 15th in runs per game - while the home-run pop is nonexistent (27th) and a team ERA of 4.94 ranks the Rangers second-last in the majors.


Best Money Starter

Alfredo Simon, Cincinnati Reds (+$1,330)

Simon hadn't started a game since 2011, but has emerged this season as one of the top pitchers in baseball. The towering right-hander is 7-2 against the moneyline as an underdog, and the Reds are a sizzling 15-3 in his 18 starts so far in 2014. Expect some regression as the increase in workload begins to wear on him, but with eight straight quality starts to his credit going into the break, that dropoff may not happen right away.


Worst Money Starter

Jake Peavy, Boston Red Sox (-$1,256)

Peavy has run hot and cold on the season, but certainly deserves better than this. The 33-year-old righty has racked up 12 quality starts, but has only one victory - an 8-1 triumph over the Toronto Blue Jays back on April 25 - to show for it. Peavy has quality starts in five of his previous six starts, but the Boston offense has managed two or fewer runs in all but one of those outings. Expect the wins to rise if and when the Red Sox offense wakes up.


Best Over Play

Miami Marlins (54-34-6 O/U)

The Marlins weren't just bad at the plate in 2013, they were downright abysmal; Miami scored a league-low 513 runs a season ago, 85 fewer than the next-closest team (Chicago White Sox). One year later, the Marlins are a completely different team on offense, going into the break ranked 12th in the majors in runs scored. Expect oddsmakers to adjust the totals accordingly in the second half, which could take some starch out of Miami's surprising O/U record.


Best Under Play

San Diego Padres (29-62-4 O/U)

Congratulations to this year's version of the Marlins - except that the Padres are actually on pace to be even worse. San Diego has scored a paltry 279 runs to date - 81 fewer than the 29th-place St. Louis Cardinals - and boast a downright putrid .214/.273/.334 slash line. Deadline trades could limit the team's run-scoring ability even further - and with oddsmakers loath to drop totals below six, expect a whole lot more Unders the rest of the way.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Friday, July 18


Blue Jays start second half with struggling Dickey

The first half of the season was a roller coaster ride for the Toronto Blue Jays. They were a force in May and the early days of June, but struggled mightily into the All-Star Break.

The Jays are now four games back of the first-place Baltimore Orioles and kick the post All-Star schedule against the Texas Rangers.

R.A. Dickey will be on the bump for the Jays and has struggled in his own right. The Blue Jays are just 1-5 in his last six starts.

Jays are small -103 home faves and posted a total of 8.


Giants struggle versus Marlins in Bumgarner's starts

The San Francisco Giants are 0-4 in pitcher Madison Bumgarner's last four starts versus the Miami Marlins. The Marlins and Giants begin a three-game series in Miami Friday.

Bumgarner's last outing versus the N.L. East club was the final meeting of the 2013 season, which the Giants lost 6-5.

The southpaw will be on the mound for the Giants in the series opener Friday. Marlins are +118 home dogs and a total of 7.5.


This team is streaking on the road

The Tampa Bay Rays have been road warriors as of late, posting an 8-1 record in the last nine games away from home. Tampa faces off against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field Friday.

The Rays are presently -130 favorites with a total of eight.


Shields, Royals lights out on the Over on the road

In Kansas City Royals pitcher James Shields' last nine starts on the road, the Over is a scorching hot 8-1. Shields will be on the mound for KC when they take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park Friday.

Sox are -122 faves with a total of 8.5.


Indians-Tigers meetings a boon for Over bettors

The Over is cashing in for bettors when the Cleveland Indians and Detroit Tigers square off. In the last seven meetings, the Over is a perfect 7-0.

The two teams have played eight games against one another, starting with a 4-0 score resulting Under. Since then, it's been all Overs.

The two renew acquaintances Friday and the total is 8.5 on the game.


Tyler Chatwood out for Rockies rest of season, will have Tommy John surgery

The Rockies' reeling rotation has taken another major hit.

Right-hander Tyler Chatwood will miss the rest of the season and will undergo Tommy John elbow surgery next week, a major-league source said Thursday. That means he'll miss most, if not all, of the 2015 season.


Home field a massive advantage in World Series

There's no question interest in the MLB All-Star Game has risen substantially now that it 'means something' - AKA deciding home field advantage for the World Series - but the importance in having that bonus is most likely larger than you'd think.

Only six teams since 1983 have won the World Series without home field advantage. For each of the past five years, the Commissioner's Trophy has been lifted by the team that started Game 1 in their home stadium - a good omen for American League clubs after the AL topped the NL 5-3 in Minneapolis Tuesday.

The Dodgers and Tigers are both currently listed as 9/2 faves to be crowned MLB champs

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Kansas City at Boston
The Royals kick off the second half of the season in Boston tonight and come into the contest with an 8-0 record in James Shields last 8 starts versus AL East opponents. Kansas City is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 18

Game 951-952: Colorado at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.606; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 16.275
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-160); Under

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 12.837; Washington (Strasburg) 16.165
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-160); Over

Game 955-956: San Francisco at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.761; Miami (Eovaldi) 15.361
Dunkel Line: San Francisco 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-135); Under

Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Burnett) 13.774; Atlanta (Santana) 18.268
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-165); Over

Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Haren) 16.363; St. Louis (Lynn) 15.213
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+110); Under

Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 14.183; Arizona (Cahill) 13.306
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+120); Over

Game 963-964: NY Mets at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 15.233; San Diego (Kennedy) 17.556
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-130); Under

Game 965-966: Texas at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 16.240; Toronto (Dickey) 14.932
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Over

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Bauer) 17.825; Detroit (Sanchez) 16.602
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+155); Over

Game 969-970: Kansas City at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 18.884; Boston (Buchholz) 17.375
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Under

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 17.952; Minnesota (Gibson) 15.382
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Under

Game 973-974: Houston at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Feldman) 13.749; White Sox (Quintana) 15.995
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-155); Over

Game 975-976: Seattle at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 16.752; LA Angels (Weaver) 14.468
Dunkel Line: Seattle 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+130); Over

Game 977-978: Baltimore at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 16.017; Oakland (Samardzija) 14.382
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+145); Under

Game 979-980: Cincinnati at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 17.063; NY Yankees (Phelps) 15.403
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+100); Under

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, July 18

National League Baseball Betting Trends

Colorado at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
De La Rosa: 21-2 TSR after a loss
Liriano: PITTSBURGH 14-23 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

Milwaukee at Washington, 7:05 ET
Lohse: 6-0 TSR when the total is 7 or less
Strasburg: 3-9 TSR against NL Central opponents

San Francisco at Miami, 7:10 ET
Bumgarner: 13-4 TSR on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
Eovaldi: MIAMI 8-22 after 3 or more consecutive road games

Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Burnett: 13-37 TSR as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Santana: ATLANTA 118-72 against division opponents

LA Dodgers at St Louis, 8:15 ET
Haren: 57-81 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
Lynn: 50-24 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5

Chicago at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Jackson: CHICAGO CUBS 18-12 after allowing 8 runs or more
Cahill: ARIZONA 4-10 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175

NY Mets at San Diego, 10:10 ET
Colon: 21-13 TSR in road games
Kennedy: 8-16 TSR as a favorite


American League Baseball Betting Trends

Texas at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Darvish: TEXAS 17-34 when the money line is +125 to -125
Dickey: 21-14 TSR as an underdog

Cleveland at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Bauer: CLEVELAND 32-15 UNDER after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
Sanchez: 61-37 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10

Kansas City at Boston, 7:10 ET
Shields: 6-0 TSR on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
Buchholz: BOSTON 19-25 after a win

Tampa Bay at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Cobb: 11-2 TSR in road games after a win
Gibson: MINNESOTA 17-38 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Houston at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Feldman: 23-10 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5
Quintana: CHI WHITE SOX 20-11 OVER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Seattle at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Iwakuma: 20-10 TSR against division opponents
Weaver: 83-35 TSR as a home favorite

Baltimore at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Tillman: 7-0 TSR as a road underdog of +125 to +150
Samardzija: 2-9 TSR in home games

Cincinnati at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Leake: CINCINNATI 26-18 after one or more consecutive overs
Phelps: 1-10 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Greetings from the desert.........

Greetings from Las Vegas; here are some notes for the second half of the season, that starts tonight with a full schedule........

13) July 31 is the next big thing, the trading deadline; what teams will be buyers, which will throw up the white flag and be sellers?

12) Will Tampa Bay trade David Price and Ben Zobrist, or will they draw a line in the sand and compete for the rest of this season? A lot will depend on the package of prospects they could get back for those two fine players.

11) Will the Phillies finally dismantle their aging nucleus and start over? Jimmy Rollins/Jonathan Papelbon seem most likely to go; Ryan Howard has a horrible contract and Chase Utley has said he won’t waive his 10/5 rights, so those two are unlikely to be traded.

10) Will the Cubs bring up all their top prospects and if so, where will the four shortstops be put in the field?

9) Have the Angels re-tooled their bullpen enough to win the AL West and if so, can they keep Weaver/Wilson healthy enough to make the bullpen relevant?

8) NL Central is a four-team race; Brewers had a big lead at one point, but played lousy the last two weeks, then the tragedy involving Juan Segura losing his young son has made playing a game seem insignificant. It’ll take a lot to get them jumpstarted for the second half of this season.

7) Pirates are 19-13 with Gregory Polanco in the lineup, 30-33 without him. Clint Hurdle should get new lineup cards made, with Polanco’s name permanently written in the leadoff spot.

6) Can the Giants regroup and give the big-money Dodgers a run for their money? Marco Scutaro is back at 2B, which gives SF stability in the infield, but they need more offense, too.

5) Anyone have a reason why 16 of 18 All-Star Game starters bat right-handed? Just a random fact? Still not sure why any baseball player would bat righty; why not just start two steps closer to first base?

4) Texas Rangers are 4-23 in their last 27 games; will they continue to be awful, or can they right the ship some and keep Ron Washington employed? Injuries are why Texas is terrible, but since when is a manager being fired fair?

3) Kansas City made a run at first place, then fell back. Again. Can they make another run at Detroit? Cool moment at the All-Star Game, when closer Greg Holland brought his dad to Monday’s All-Star press conference. Just seemed like a neat thing to do.

2) Why haven’t any heads rolled in the Bronx, which has a mediocre record despite an enormous payroll? If old man Steinbrenner were still around, he would be making a fuss and firing people weekly. Not saying that’s the right way of doing things, but their management’s current passive style ain’t working, either.

1) Will Tony Larussa can Kirk Gibson, or go forward with him as Arizona’s manager? Have to be lot of nervous people in the Arizona front office and dugout.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday, July 18

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati - 7:05 PM ET Cincinnati +113 500 TRIPLE PLAY
NY Yankees - Under 8 500

Colorado - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -149 500
Pittsburgh - Over 7.5 500

Milwaukee - 7:05 PM ET Milwaukee +152 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Washington - Over 7 500

Texas - 7:07 PM ET Toronto +102 500
Toronto - Under 8 500

Cleveland - 7:08 PM ET Cleveland +137 500
Detroit - Under 8.5 500 *****

Kansas City - 7:10 PM ET Kansas City +115 500
Boston - Over 8 500 *****

San Francisco - 7:10 PM ET San Francisco -129 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Miami - Under 7.5 500

Philadelphia - 7:35 PM ET Atlanta -154 500
Atlanta - Over 7 500

Houston - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -163 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500 *****

Tampa Bay - 8:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -126 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Minnesota - Over 7.5 500

LA Dodgers - 8:15 PM ET St. Louis -126 500
St. Louis - Under 7.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 9:40 PM ET Chi. Cubs +116 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Arizona - Over 9 500

Baltimore - 10:05 PM ET Baltimore +139 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Oakland - Under 7 500 *****

Seattle - 10:05 PM ET Seattle +111 500
LA Angels - Under 7.5 500

NY Mets - 10:10 PM ET NY Mets +114 500
San Diego - Under 6.5 500 *****

[StarDust Bum]

Yesterday's rated plays:

1 - 3 ...................................-100

2 - 0 ...................................+5.04

1 - 3 ...................................-6.00


Overall for the month of July:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

07/18/14 16-*13-*1 55.17% +*1665 Detail
07/15/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% 0 Detail
07/13/14 20-*9-*0 68.97% +*5445 Detail
07/12/14 17-*13-*0 56.67% +*1170 Detail
07/11/14 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1070 Detail
07/10/14 13-*10-*1 56.52% +*1575 Detail
07/09/14 11-*17-*2 39.29% -*3545 Detail
07/08/14 13-*13-*2 50.00% -*55 Detail
07/07/14 13-*15-*0 46.43% -*1190 Detail
07/06/14 12-*18-*0 40.00% -*3230 Detail
07/05/14 14-*18-*0 43.75% -*2870 Detail
07/04/14 13-*12-*1 52.00% +*190 Detail
07/03/14 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1400 Detail
07/02/14 19-*10-*1 65.52% +*4020 Detail
07/01/14 17-*12-*1 58.62% +*2460 Detail

Totals 203-*185-*9 52.32% +5305

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

-- Buffalo Bills have already opened training camp; their opener is Sept 7.

-- NFL Draft will be in either LA or Chicago next year; it hasd been held in New York City every year since 1965.

-- Dan Uggla got released by Atlanta; Giants are rumored to be interested.

-- CC Sabathia had his knee scoped, is officially done for the season.

-- Where is there an ad for U of Toledo on the wall of the Detroit Tigers' bullpen? Toledo and Detroit are in different states.

-- UCLA (10-1) is an appealing option to win the college football national title.


**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff on a summer Saturday

13) Angels acquired closer Huston Street from San Diego in a six-player trade late Friday; the other five players are all minor leaguers. This strengthens Angels' biggest weakeness, the bullpen.

12) John McDonald singled at 12:22am here in Las Vegas to give the Halos a 3-2 win in 16 innings over Seattle.

11) Anytime a team dumps salary like this, it is depressing; Padres went out and lost 5-4 to the Mets, giving up a run in top of 9th, the inning Street would normally pitch in a tie game at home. Bud Black has his hands full now.

10) Oakland stayed 1.5 games up in the AL West, as Josh Donaldson homered in the bottom of the 9th inning, beating Baltimore 5-4.

9) You read Pat Riley's quote up above about Udonis Haslem and that is the ultimate compliment Riley can give a player. Total praise.

8) UNLV alum Anthony Bennett lost 20 pounds, has been playing way better in summer league, where 2nd-year players have a big edge over rookies anyway. While I'm on the subject, teams like the Cavs, Knicks, Warriors' summer teams are better off playing under their new head coach-- there's something about the boss running things, as opposed to an assistant coach. Just human nature.

7) Johnny Manziel already has a Nissan commercial that runs during Indian games on TV in Cleveland; he's hitting a truck on a square-in pattern.

6) Twice this week, I've seen a runner hit by a batted ball; both lefty hitters, with runner going to second. You can go a whole year without seeing it once.

5) If you were an NBA GM, would you trade Andrew Wiggins for Kevin Love? Its an itneresting question that will determine who gets fired and who keeps his job in both Cleveland and Minnesota.

4) I don't think Miami Heat will be that bad next year; they added couple of good players (Granger/McRoberts) and sub Deng for Lebron James, which obviously is a big loss, but Deng is pretty good. They'll get more out of Chris Bosh by using him closer to the basket- if they stay healthy, they'll still be pretty good.

3) Stadium issue in Oakland is a debacle; newest rumor is the Raiders sharing the 49ers' new stadium for a while, while a new one is built. Not sure whats going to happen out there, but the sides can't agree on what day it is.

2) Rough day for the Astros, who didn't sign their #1 pick and taking grief from the player's agent and MLB because of it. Astros get the #2 pick next year, but in their last three drafts, their #1 picks haven't fared too well and that how you improve.

1) Next spring training, expect to see infielders doing drills on keeping the tag on runners throughout the entire slide. Robinson Cano doubled to lead off an inning last night, but came off the bag for a split second; because the 2B had the glove on him the whole time, he was called out. Big play in a tight game.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, July 19

Rockies-Pirates
Anderson is 0-3, 6.75 in four starts this season.
Morton is 1-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.

Rockies lost ten of their last eleven road games.
Pittsburgh is 10-2 in last twelve home games.

Over is 13-6-1 in Colorado's last twenty road games.

Brewers-Nationals
Garza is 2-1, 2.31 in his last three starts.
Gonzalez is 3-1, 1.30 in his last four starts.

Milwaukee lost 11 of its last 14 games.
Washington won ten of its last fifteen games.

Five of last seven Brewer games went over the total.

Giants-Marlins
Hudson is 0-4, 6.67 in his last five starts.
Alvarez is 4-1, 2.07 in his last ten starts.

Giants won three of their last four games.
Miami lost six of its last seven games.

14 of last 21 Marlin games went over the total.

Phillies-Braves
Hamels is 2-2, 2.19 in his last nine starts.
Wood is 0-1, 4.92 in his last three starts.

Phillies lost their last three games.
Atlanta won six of its last seven home games.

Nine of last twelve Philly games went over the total.

Dodgers-Cardinals
Greinke is 2-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
Kelly is 1-1, 4.42 in four starts this season.

Dodgers lost four of their last five road games.
St Louis won six of its last eight games.

Five of last six Dodger games stayed under the total.

Cubs-Diamondbacks
Wood is 1-3, 6.84 in his last five starts.
Miley is 2-0, 1.25 in his last three starts.

Cubs lost nine of their last eleven games.
Arizona lost 18 of its last 30 games.

Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Cub games.

Mets-Padres
Gee is 3-0, 1.33 in his last four starts.
Ross is 1-3, 1.55 in his last four starts.

Mets won eight of their last nine games.
San Diego lost eight of its last ten games.

16 of last 22 San Diego games stayed under.

Rangers-Blue Jays
Lewis allowed 13 runs in 2.1 IP in his last start.
Stroman is 1-0, 3.20 in his last four starts.

Rangers lost 23 of their last 28 games.
Toronto lost eight of its last ten games.

Five of last seven Texas road games went over the total.

Indians-Tigers
Kluber is 3-1, 1.93 in his last four starts. McCallister is 0-5, 6.60 in his last seven starts.
Tigers won last four Scherzer starts (3-0, 1.60); Rice alum Ver Haken is making MLB debut; he is 6-7, 3.67 in 19 AAA starts this year.

Indians won seven of their last ten games.
Detroit won five of its last seven games.

Seven of last eight Detroit home games went over total.

Royals-Red Sox
Duffy is 1-4, 2.93 in his last five starts.
de la Rosa is 1-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.

Royals lost seven of their last ten games.
Boston won five of its last six games.

Six of last nine Kansas City games stayed under.

Astros-White Sox
Keuchel is 1-2, 6.57 in his last four starts.
Noesi is 1-3, 5.82 in his last six starts.

Astros won three of last four road games, after losing 10 of previous 11.
White Sox lost four of their last six games.

Seven of last ten Houston games went over the total.

Rays-Twins
Price is 4-0, 1.41 in his last four starts.
Correia is 1-2, 2.37 in his last three starts.

Tampa Bay won nine of its last ten road games.
Twins won five of their last seven games.

Eight of last eleven Tampa Bay games went over total.

Mariners-Angels
Hernandez is 3-0, 1.69 in his last four starts (2-0, 2.45 vs Angels in '14).
Richards is 7-0, 1.27 in his last eight starts.

Seattle won seven of its last ten road games.
Angels won 13 of their last 15 games.

Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve Mariner games.

Orioles-A's
Chen is 2-1, 5.72 in his last five starts.
Hammel is 2-1, 3.55 in his last four starts.

Baltimore won five of its last seven road games.
A's won 12 of their last 13 home games.

Under is 7-2-3 in last twelve Oakland games.

Reds-Bronx
Reds are 15-3 in Simon starts (6-0, 2.62 in last eight).
McCarthy is 2-1, 3.26 in his last three starts.

Cincinnati won seven of its last ten games.
Bronx lost seven of its last nine home games.

Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Bronx home games.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Greinke 11-8; Kelly 2-2
-- Anderson 1-3; Morton 9-10
-- Garza 10-9; Gonzalez 9-5
-- Hudson 11-6; Alvarez 13-6
-- Hamels 6-10; Wood 4-7
-- Wood 10-9; Miley 10-10
-- Gee 5-4; Ross 8-12 (1-7 last 8)

-- Lewis 8-8; Stroman 3-5
-- McCallister 5-6 (1-6 last seven), Kluber 12-8; Scherzer 14-5, Ver Hagen 0-0
-- Duffy 5-8; de la Rosa 3-3
-- Price 12-8; Correia 6-13
-- Keuchel 10-7; Noesi 6-8
-- Hernandez 14-6 (won last four); Richards 15-4 (won last eight)
-- Chen 11-7; Hammel 10-7/0-1

-- Simon 15-3; McCarthy 4-14/1-0

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Greinke 4-19; Kelly 1-4
-- Anderson 1-4; Morton 3-19
-- Garza 7-19; Gonzalez 6-14
-- Hudson 1-18; Alvarez 5-19
-- Hamels 3-16; Wood 5-11
-- Wood 4-19; Miley 3-20
-- Gee 2-9; Ross 5-20

-- Lewis 6-16; Stroman 2-8
-- McCallister 5-6, Kluber 4-20; Scherzer 6-19, Ver Hagen 0-0
-- Duffy 3-13; de la Rosa 1-6
-- Price 8-20; Correia 4-19
-- Keuchel 5-17; Noesi 3-14
-- Hernandez 3-20; Richards 4-19
-- Chen 6-18; Hammel 5-18

-- Simon 5-18 (1 of last 9); McCarthy 5-19

Umpires
-- LA-StL-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Kulpa games.
-- Col-Pitt-- Seven of last nine TWelke games stayed under.
-- Mil-Wsh-- Five of last six Carapazza games stayed under.
-- SF-Mia-- Favorites won ten of last twelve Segal games.
-- Phil-Atl-- Five of last seven Little games stayed under.
-- Chi-Az-- Over is 5-3 in Joyce games this season.
-- NY-SD-- Five of last seven HGibson games stayed under.

-- Tex-Tor-- Favorites won five of last six Tumpane games.
-- Cle-Det-- Five of last six Barry games stayed under. Seven of last nine Everitt games went over.
-- KC-Bos-- Home side won last six Barksdale games; last three stayed under.
-- TB-Min-- Last five Dimuro games went over total.
-- Hst-Chi-- Nine of last eleven O'Nora games stayed under.
-- Sea-LA-- Five of last six Morales games went over.
-- Balt-A's-- Over is 6-1-2 in last nine Emmel games.

-- Cin-NY-- Eight of last eleven Nauert games stayed under.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Saturday, July 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. NY YANKEES
Cincinnati is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games at home
NY Yankees are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home

1:07 PM
TEXAS vs. TORONTO
Texas is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 15 games
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:08 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

4:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of LA Dodgers's last 23 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of St. Louis's last 18 games at home

7:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. WASHINGTON
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Washington is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home

7:05 PM
COLORADO vs. PITTSBURGH
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games when playing Colorado
Pittsburgh is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games

7:08 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
Cleveland is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games ,when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,at home
Detroit17-7-1 SU in its last 25 games

7:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Houston is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games

7:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. MINNESOTA
Tampa Bay is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

7:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. BOSTON
Kansas City is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco

8:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ARIZONA
Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Arizona
Chi Cubs are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Arizona is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

8:40 PM
NY METS vs. SAN DIEGO
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games at home

9:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games

9:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Saturday, July 19


Ross highlights Padres woes, hot under play

Tyson Ross will go to the mound for the San Diego Padres with a dubious record. In Ross' last eight starts the Padres are 1-7.

In all of this, Ross has only given up two runs per game on average and twice has held the opposing team scoreless. In those starts however, the Padres offense has managed a mere eight runs of production.

Bettors have cashed in for eight straight unders in those starts.


Reds have absurd record with this pitcher starting

The Cincinnati Reds will send Alfredo Simon to the mound Saturday, which is nothing but good signs for the team. The Reds are 15-3 this season in games Simon starts.

Simon has allowed two or fewer runs in 12 of his 16 starts this and is sporting a stellar 2.70 ERA.


Nationals pitcher flourishing at home

Gio Gonzalez has been lights-out this season in the friendly confines of Nationals Park. The Washington Nationals and Gonzalez are 5-1 in his six home starts this season.

Gonzalez has only given up an average of four hits and only two runs per game at home this season.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Seattle at LA Angels
The Mariners look to bounce back from last night's 3-2 loss to the Angels (58-37) in 16 innings and come into tonight's contest with a 5-0 record in Felix Hernandez' last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Seattle is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Mariners favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

SATURDAY, JULY 19

Game 901-902: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 15.861; St. Louis (Kelly) 12.412
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Under

Game 903-904: Colorado at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Anderson) 16.345; Pittsburgh (Morton) 18.175
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-155); Over

Game 905-906: Milwaukee at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Garza) 16.708; Washington (Roark) 15.858
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125); Over

Game 907-908: San Francisco at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Hudson) 13.746; Miami (Alvarez) 15.339
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+100); Under

Game 909-910: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.612; Atlanta (Harang) 14.339
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 911-912: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 15.594; Arizona (Miley) 14.503
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+130); Under

Game 913-914: NY Mets at San Diego (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 14.494; San Diego (Ross) 13.413
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Under

Game 915-916: Texas at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 15.069; Toronto (Stroman) 14.119
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-190); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+165); Over

Game 917-918: Cleveland at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 15.786; Detroit (Scherzer) 17.313
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Over

Game 919-920: Kansas City at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duffy) 14.761; Boston (De La Rosa) 16.336
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-130); Under

Game 921-922: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.923; Minnesota (Hughes) 13.583
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-175); Under

Game 923-924: Houston at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 13.887; White Sox (Noesi) 15.857
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Over

Game 925-926: Seattle at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 16.746; LA Angels (Richards) 14.613
Dunkel Line: Seattle 2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100); Over

Game 927-928: Baltimore at Oakland (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 16.612; Oakland (Hammel) 15.503
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+145); Under

Game 929-930: Cincinnati at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Simon) 16.703; NY Yankees (McCarthy) 15.607
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Over

Game 931-932: Cleveland at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 16.586; Detroit (VerHagen) 17.507
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); Under