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Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 6/28 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    MLB

    Friday, June 27


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    MLB weekend betting cheat sheet: Cardinals are Kershaw's Kryptonite
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    Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for this weekend's major league action:

    Brewers Best at the Midway Point

    The Milwaukee Brewers reached the midway point of their season in style, defeating the Colorado Rockies 7-4 Thursday to improve to a National League-best 49-32. The Brewers lead the majors in money won at +$1,534 and have a 42-35-4 O/U record.

    Toronto Averse to Big Totals

    The Toronto Blue Jays (-165, 9.5) face another big total Friday as they face the visiting Chicago White Sox in the second of a four-game series. The Blue Jays have seen plenty of lofty numbers of late but have largely underwhelmed, going 3-11-1 O/U in their last 15 games with the total set at nine or higher.

    Phenomenal Phil

    The Minnesota Twins send Phil Hughes to the hill Saturday to face Yu Darvish and the Texas Rangers. Hughes enters Friday as the top money-winner in the majors at +$1,050, with the Twins going an impressive 11-4 in his 15 starts so far.

    Kershaw's Kryptonite?

    Los Angeles Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw will look to end a curious career trend Sunday as he faces the visiting St. Louis Cardinals. Kershaw is just 4-5 in 12 career starts, with a 3.75 ERA - his highest against any National League opponent.

    Pitching Notes

    * Arizona right-hander Brandon McCarthy has been bad news for the Diamondbacks, who are 2-14 in his 16 starts entering Friday's game against host San Diego (-133, 6.5). But both of those victories came against the Padres, who are coming off a no-hitter loss to San Francisco.

    * San Francisco fans will undoubtedly be pleased that their Saturday tilt with visiting Cincinnati takes place under the lights. Reds starter Alfredo Simon is just 4-2 with a 4.01 ERA and 3-4 O/U in night starts this season, compared to a 6-1 mark with a 2.11 ERA and 1-7 O/U in afternoon action.

    * Milwaukee hurler Yovani Gallardo appears to have turned things around entering Sunday's start against visiting Colorado. Gallardo has allowed just three runs - and zero homers - over his past four starts after surrendering 24 runs - and eight home runs - in his previous six outings.

    Hitting Notes

    * Brewers second baseman Scooter Gennett is having a month to remember, batting an even .400 so far in June entering Friday's encounter with the Rockies (+179, 9). Gennett has 11 RBIs over his previous nine games, during which Milwaukee is 7-2 SU and 6-2-1 O/U.

    * It could be tough sledding for Houston hitters in their Saturday encounter with the host Detroit Tigers. Members of the Astros roster are hitting just .159 with 24 strikeouts in 69 at-bats against Tigers starter Max Scherzer.

    * Chicago White Sox rookie Jose Abreu may find things difficult in Sunday's series finale with the Toronto Blue Jays. Abreu enters Friday hitting just .242 versus left-handed pitching, and will face one of the league's hottest southpaws in Toronto's Mark Buehrle.

    Totals Streak

    Colorado Rockies (6-1-1 O/U): How big is too big a total? That has been a difficult question to answer for oddsmakers who continue to struggle with the high-scoring Rockies; Colorado faced three totals of 11 or higher in a six-game stretch, and promptly went 2-0-1 O/U.

    Prop of the Day

    The Brewers are a strong bet at -4.5, paying +400 against a Rockies team that ranks last in the majors in team ERA (4.93).

    Injury Notes

    * An MRI on Los Angeles Dodgers shortstop Hanley Ramirez's right shoulder revealed no structural damage, meaning he'll likely avoid a DL stint. The Dodgers are 6-2 SU, 2-6 O/U and +422 units in eight games without Ramirez so far in 2014.

    * Colorado third baseman Nolan Arenado will take batting practice Friday as he continues to rehab a fractured left middle finger. The Rockies have scuffled in his absence, going 9-22 SU, 18-10-3 O/U and losing a whopping -1,185 units over that stretch.

    * Washington outfielder Bryce Harper may return from a torn thumb ligament as soon as Monday. Harper has been on the disabled list since late-April with the injury; the Nationals are 28-26 SU, 22-27-5 O/U and -270 units in his absence.

    Weather Watch

    * Fans at The Ballpark in Arlington are in for some unusual weather Friday, with wind blowing in from center field at 17 mph for the game between the host Rangers (-133, 9.5) and Minnesota. Texas played just two games under similar conditions last season, with teams combining to hit a paltry .168.

    * Wind at Wrigley Field will be blowing out to left field Saturday when the Cubs entertain the Nationals. Teams averaged a whopping 11.33 runs and three home runs under similar conditions a season ago, well above stadium averages.

    Umpire Note of the Day

    The home team is 8-0 in umpire Dale Scott's last eight Friday games behind home plate involving Colorado. That's bad news for the Rockies, who visit red-hot Milwaukee.



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