CFL season betting preview: How to bet the East Division-West and Best Bets !

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

07/05/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
07/04/14 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail
07/03/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

Totals 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1250




Rated Games As Of 07/05

*****................................5 - 3

DOUBLE PLAYS......................7 - 3

TRIPLE PLAYS........................1 - 4

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Above is wrong.....this is the revised CFL update:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

07/05/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
07/04/14 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail
07/03/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

Totals 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1250

Rated Plays As Of 07/04

0 - 1 ..............................*****

1 - 1 .............................DOUBLE PLAY

1 - 4 .............................TRIPLE PLAY

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CFL Betting Notes - Week 3

July 8, 2014

The new CFL regular season is just two weeks old and Winnipeg and Edmonton’s four straight-up victories are already more than half of their combined win total for 2013. The Blue Bombers made it two straight with last Thursday’s 36-28 victory as 3 ½-point home favorites over Ottawa with the total going OVER the 53-point closing line.

Saturday’s action started out with Montreal shutting down British Columbia 24-9 as a three-point home underdog with the total staying UNDER 49 ½ points. The Eskimos remained perfect on the year with a 28-24 win against Hamilton, but they could not cover the closing 4 ½-point spread as favorites at home. The total in that contest stayed just UNDER the 54-point closing line.

Toronto roared back from an ugly opening week loss with a convincing 48-15 romp over Saskatchewan as a two-point home underdog on Sunday to close-out action in Week 2. The total in that game went OVER the 56-point line.

Friday, July 11

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -2 ½
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

Winnipeg’s new-found success after winning just three games last season has to be heavily attributed to the early play of quarterback Drew Willy. He has thrown for a CFL-high 615 yards in two games while completing 66.7 percent of his throws. The Blue Bombers also lead the league in scoring with 81 points.

It has been a tale of two weeks for the re-tooled Montreal offense. After coming up flat in Week 1 with just eight points, this unit behind quarterback Troy Smith looked much more efficient against BC last week. One of the biggest differences was a rushing attack that gained 203 yards against the Lions.

Betting Trends

The Blue Bombers have covered against the spread in five of their last six trips to Montreal and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 14 games played at Percival Molson Stadium.

Ottawa RedBlacks (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -6 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

The RedBlacks looked like a veteran ball club in the first quarter of their first ever CFL regular season game by jumping out to a 21-7 lead over Winnipeg, but their defense could not hold on to preserve a win. Henry Burris looked fairly sharp throwing the ball with 241 yards and two touchdowns while completing passes to seven different players.

Edmonton is halfway to last season’s win total on the strength of quarterback Mike Reilly’s arm. He completed 29-of-40 attempts for 253 yards against Hamilton last week after putting up similar numbers in an opening week victory against BC. Also give credit to a much-improved Eskimos’ defense that was ranked second-to-last in points allowed last year.

Betting Trends

The Eskimos come into this inter-division matchup with a 0-4 record ATS in their last four home games and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in six of Edmonton’s last nine games following a win SU.

Saturday, July 12

Calgary Stampeders (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -1 ½
Total: 53

Game Overview

Calgary enjoyed the week off after posting an impressive 29-8 victory over Montreal in Week 1 as a 7 ½-point favorite at home. Bo Levi Mitchell established himself as the new starting quarterback for the Stampeders with 313 yards passing and two touchdowns while completing 64 percent of his throws.

The Argonauts are another team from the East that quickly returned to form after getting crushed in a 45-21 loss to Winnipeg in Week 1 as seven-point road favorites. Ricky Ray was at his best this past Sunday with 407 yards passing and three touchdown throws. Toronto rolled-up 23 fourth quarter points to blow a tight game wide open.

Betting Trends

The Stampeders have had their share of problems at the Rogers Centre with a 1-5 record ATS in their last six trips there. They are just 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings overall and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings in Toronto.

British Columbia Lions (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -6 ½
Total: 48 ½

Game Overview

BC came into the new season as 5Dimes’ favorite to win this year’s Grey Cup title and while a 0-2 start is not the end of the world, this week’s game suddenly looks like a must win. The offense sputtered under quarterback Kevin Glenn so the Lions turned to John Beck in later part of Saturday’s loss in hopes of finding a suitable replacement for the injured Travis Lulay, who remains out with a shoulder injury.

The defending champs played the part in a 31-10 season-opening victory against Hamilton as 3 ½-point home favorites, but they had no answer for Toronto in Week 2. Darian Durant threw for 295 yards and two scores against the Argonauts, but two costly interceptions including one that was returned 108 yards for a touchdown certainly did not help Saskatchewan’s cause.

Betting Trends

The Lions have gone just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games against their West Division rivals and the total in this matchup has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings at Mosaic Stadium. The home team has won six of the last eight meetings SU.

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Standings

East Division

Team Win Loss Ties Points PF PA Home Away Division ATS Over/Under

Montreal 1 1 0 2 32 38 1-0 0-1 0-0 1-1 0-2

Toronto 1 1 0 2 69 57 1-0 0-1 0-0 1-1 2-0

Ottawa 0 1 0 0 28 36 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 1-0

Hamilton 0 2 0 0 34 59 0-0 0-2 0-0 1-1 0-2


West Division

Team Win Loss Ties Points PF PA Home Away Division ATS Over/Under

Edmonton 2 0 0 4 55 44 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-1 0-2

Winnipeg 2 0 0 4 81 49 2-0 0-0 0-0 2-0 2-0

Calgary 1 0 0 2 29 8 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-1

Saskatchewan 1 1 0 2 46 58 1-0 0-1 0-0 1-1 1-1

BC 0 2 0 0 29 51 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-2 0-2

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CFL
Dunkel

Winnipeg at Montreal
The Alouettes play host to a Winnipeg team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 Friday games. Montreal is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 11

Game 121-122: Winnipeg at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 103.920; Montreal 108.268
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Montreal by 2 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-2 1/2); Under

Game 123-124: Ottawa at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 105.813; Edmonton 116.487
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 10 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 6 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-6 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, JULY 12

Game 125-126: Calgary at Toronto (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 117.695; Toronto 114.585
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 3; 49
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+2); Under

Game 127-128: BC at Saskatchewan (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 119.195; Saskatchewan 120.234
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 7; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+7); Over




CFL
Long Sheet

Week 3

Friday, July 11

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WINNIPEG (2 - 0) at MONTREAL (1 - 1) - 7/11/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OTTAWA (0 - 1) at EDMONTON (2 - 0) - 7/11/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
EDMONTON is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
EDMONTON is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, July 12

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CALGARY (1 - 0) at TORONTO (1 - 1) - 7/12/2014, 6:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 1) - 7/12/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 49-26 ATS (+20.4 Units) in July games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-4 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 3

Winnipeg (2-0) @ Montreal (1-1)-- First road game for Bombers after scoring 81 points in two home wins, when they averaged 10.2 yards/pass attempt. Montreal split its first two games, completing only 34-69 passes- they've lost four of last five games with Winnipeg, with visitor winning five of last six series games- Bombers won last three visits here, by 5-8-7. Alouettes ran ball for 203 yards in upset win over BC last week, with three takeaways (+2).

Ottawa (0-1) @ Edmonton (2-0)-- Eskimos have 10 taekaways (+6) in winning first two tilts, by 7-4 points, despite not leading either game at halftime. Edmonton covered only twice in last six games as a favorite. RedBlacks raced out to 21-7 lead in their first-ever game in Winnipeg last week, led 21-17 at half, lost 36-28, despite a +2 turnover ratio. Four of last six Edmonton games stayed under total. Home favorites are 4-1 vs spread in first two weeks this season.

Calgary (1-0) @ Toronto (1-1)-- Underdogs won last eight series games SU, with Argonauts winning seven of the eight; Calgary won here LY, snapping four-game skid in Skydome, with losses by 3-2-3-13 points-- four of those five games went over total. Stampeeders had bye last week after 29-8 win at home over Montreal in Week 1. Argos threw ball for 407 yards in easy home win over Saskatchewan last week, after they got waxed 45-21 in opener at Winnipeg.

BCLions (0-2) @ Saskatchewan (1-1)-- Lions were outscored 38-12 in last three halves after leading opener at half; they've turned ball over eight times (-6) in two games- they lost four of last five visits to Regina, losing 29-25 (+4) here in playoffs last fall. Ten of last eleven series games stayed under total. Riders got blasted 48-15 in Toronto last week, giving up 568 yards, 407 thru the air. Riders have 280 rushing yards in two games; BC allowed 203 yards on ground in loss at Montreal last week.




CFL

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Friday, July 11

7:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. MONTREAL
Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Montreal's last 15 games at home

10:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. EDMONTON
Ottawa is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home
Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home


Saturday, July 12

6:30 PM
CALGARY vs. TORONTO
Calgary is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games

9:30 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Dunkel

Winnipeg at Montreal
The Alouettes play host to a Winnipeg team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 Friday games. Montreal is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 11

Game 121-122: Winnipeg at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 103.920; Montreal 108.268
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Montreal by 2 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-2 1/2); Under

Game 123-124: Ottawa at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 105.813; Edmonton 116.487
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 10 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 6 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-6 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, JULY 12

Game 125-126: Calgary at Toronto (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 117.695; Toronto 114.585
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 3; 49
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+2); Under

Game 127-128: BC at Saskatchewan (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 119.195; Saskatchewan 120.234
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 7; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+7); Over




CFL
Long Sheet

Week 3

Friday, July 11

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WINNIPEG (2 - 0) at MONTREAL (1 - 1) - 7/11/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OTTAWA (0 - 1) at EDMONTON (2 - 0) - 7/11/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
EDMONTON is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
EDMONTON is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, July 12

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CALGARY (1 - 0) at TORONTO (1 - 1) - 7/12/2014, 6:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 1) - 7/12/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 49-26 ATS (+20.4 Units) in July games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-4 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 3

Winnipeg (2-0) @ Montreal (1-1)-- First road game for Bombers after scoring 81 points in two home wins, when they averaged 10.2 yards/pass attempt. Montreal split its first two games, completing only 34-69 passes- they've lost four of last five games with Winnipeg, with visitor winning five of last six series games- Bombers won last three visits here, by 5-8-7. Alouettes ran ball for 203 yards in upset win over BC last week, with three takeaways (+2).

Ottawa (0-1) @ Edmonton (2-0)-- Eskimos have 10 taekaways (+6) in winning first two tilts, by 7-4 points, despite not leading either game at halftime. Edmonton covered only twice in last six games as a favorite. RedBlacks raced out to 21-7 lead in their first-ever game in Winnipeg last week, led 21-17 at half, lost 36-28, despite a +2 turnover ratio. Four of last six Edmonton games stayed under total. Home favorites are 4-1 vs spread in first two weeks this season.

Calgary (1-0) @ Toronto (1-1)-- Underdogs won last eight series games SU, with Argonauts winning seven of the eight; Calgary won here LY, snapping four-game skid in Skydome, with losses by 3-2-3-13 points-- four of those five games went over total. Stampeeders had bye last week after 29-8 win at home over Montreal in Week 1. Argos threw ball for 407 yards in easy home win over Saskatchewan last week, after they got waxed 45-21 in opener at Winnipeg.

BCLions (0-2) @ Saskatchewan (1-1)-- Lions were outscored 38-12 in last three halves after leading opener at half; they've turned ball over eight times (-6) in two games- they lost four of last five visits to Regina, losing 29-25 (+4) here in playoffs last fall. Ten of last eleven series games stayed under total. Riders got blasted 48-15 in Toronto last week, giving up 568 yards, 407 thru the air. Riders have 280 rushing yards in two games; BC allowed 203 yards on ground in loss at Montreal last week.




CFL

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Friday, July 11

7:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. MONTREAL
Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Montreal's last 15 games at home

10:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. EDMONTON
Ottawa is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home
Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home


Saturday, July 12

6:30 PM
CALGARY vs. TORONTO
Calgary is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games

9:30 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia


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CFL

Week 3

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Game of the Day: CFL double header
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Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Montreal Alouettes (-2.5, 49.5)

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers take their red-hot offence to Montreal on Friday to face the Alouettes. Winnipeg won its first two games at home, scoring a league-leading 81 points. The Alouettes' defence looked strong in their Week 2 home opener, but will have its hands full against Drew Willy and the Blue Bombers’ passing game.

Alouettes quarterback Troy Smith will need his team’s defence to be strong again unless he can begin throwing touchdowns. Willy is off to a flying start under centre for Winnipeg, completing 40-of-60 passes and throwing four touchdowns, but Montreal’s defensive line promises to be the toughest he has faced. Alouettes defensive end John Bowman recorded four sacks in Week 2, while defensive tackle Scott Paxson caught an interception and forced a fumble.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Als as 2.5-point home faves. The total opened 50.5 at most shops, but has dropped one point to 49.5.

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (2-0): Running back Nic Grigsby is quickly becoming a star in Winnipeg, recording 251 combined yards (184 rushing) and three touchdowns. Willy is also working well with slotbacks Aaron Kelly and Nick Moore, who have received 283 of Willy’s 615 passing yards. Kick returner Aaron Woods leads the league in return yards with 287.

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (1-1): Smith completed nine touchdown passes as a rookie in 2013, but has zero touchdowns, one interception and a 50 percent pass-completion rate through two starts in 2014. Linebacker Marc-Olivier Brouillette caught the second interception of his career in Week 2 - something he will expected to do more of in his expanded role within the defence. Running back Brandon Whitaker has 135 rushing yards and is on pace to have his best season since 2011.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-0 in Alouettes last six games overall.
* Blue Bombers are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Montreal.
* Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in Montreal.

CONSENSUS: Sixty-three percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are coming in on the Alouettes.


Ottawa Redblacks at Edmonton Eskimos (-6.5, 54.5)

The Ottawa Redblacks visit the Edmonton Eskimos on Friday looking for their first victory after letting their CFL debut slip away. Edmonton looks strong on offence and defence through two games but has yet to establish a running game. Ottawa stormed out of the gate in its first game before being outscored 19-7 in the second half and will need to play a full game against the Eskimos.

Veteran quarterback Henry Burris looks like he hasn’t lost a step with his new team, throwing for 241 yards and two touchdowns in his Redblacks debut. Burris will face an Edmonton defence that has recorded a league-high seven interceptions. Eskimos quarterback Mike Reilly has better protection in front of him to start 2014 and it shows in his 68 percent completion rate and four touchdowns.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The Eskimos opened -6.5 and the total has also held at the opening number of 54.5.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (0-1): Running back Chevon Walker made the move to Ottawa from the Hamilton Tiger-Cats along with Burris and recorded 99 combined yards and two touchdowns in his debut. Defensive back Jerrell Gavins caught an interception in his CFL debut but was fined for a late and low hit on Winnipeg Blue Bombers quarterback Drew Willy. Defensive lineman Jonathan Williams matched a career-high with two sacks in his first Redblacks game.

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (2-0): Defensive lineman Odell Willis was fined for a hit on Hamilton Tiger-Cats quarterback Zach Collaros after replays revealed contact with Collaros’ neck. Edmonton signed former Alouettes running back Noel Devine in an effort to bolster its running game. Kicker Grant Shaw leads the league in kicking points with 25.

TRENDS:

* Eskimos are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Eskimos are 0-4 ATS in their last four games in July.
* Over is 18-8-1 in Eskimos last 27 games overall.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-nine percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are backing Edmonton.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday, July 11

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -2 ½
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

Winnipeg’s new-found success after winning just three games last season has to be heavily attributed to the early play of quarterback Drew Willy. He has thrown for a CFL-high 615 yards in two games while completing 66.7 percent of his throws. The Blue Bombers also lead the league in scoring with 81 points.

It has been a tale of two weeks for the re-tooled Montreal offense. After coming up flat in Week 1 with just eight points, this unit behind quarterback Troy Smith looked much more efficient against BC last week. One of the biggest differences was a rushing attack that gained 203 yards against the Lions.

Betting Trends

The Blue Bombers have covered against the spread in five of their last six trips to Montreal and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 14 games played at Percival Molson Stadium.

Ottawa RedBlacks (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -6 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

The RedBlacks looked like a veteran ball club in the first quarter of their first ever CFL regular season game by jumping out to a 21-7 lead over Winnipeg, but their defense could not hold on to preserve a win. Henry Burris looked fairly sharp throwing the ball with 241 yards and two touchdowns while completing passes to seven different players.

Edmonton is halfway to last season’s win total on the strength of quarterback Mike Reilly’s arm. He completed 29-of-40 attempts for 253 yards against Hamilton last week after putting up similar numbers in an opening week victory against BC. Also give credit to a much-improved Eskimos’ defense that was ranked second-to-last in points allowed last year.

Betting Trends

The Eskimos come into this inter-division matchup with a 0-4 record ATS in their last four home games and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in six of Edmonton’s last nine games following a win SU.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday, July 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Winnipeg - 7:00 PM ET Winnipeg +3 500 *****

Montreal - Over 49.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Ottawa - 10:00 PM ET Edmonton -4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Edmonton - Under 53 500 DOUBLE PLAY

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Dunkel

Calgary at Toronto
The Stampeders head to Toronto tonight to face an Argonauts team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games in Week 3 of the season. Calgary is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SATURDAY, JULY 12

Game 125-126: Calgary at Toronto (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 117.695; Toronto 114.585
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 3; 49
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+2); Under

Game 127-128: BC at Saskatchewan (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 119.195; Saskatchewan 120.234
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 7; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+7); Over




CFL
Long Sheet

Week 3

Saturday, July 12

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CALGARY (1 - 0) at TORONTO (1 - 1) - 7/12/2014, 6:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 1) - 7/12/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 49-26 ATS (+20.4 Units) in July games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-4 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 3

Calgary (1-0) @ Toronto (1-1)-- Underdogs won last eight series games SU, with Argonauts winning seven of the eight; Calgary won here LY, snapping four-game skid in Skydome, with losses by 3-2-3-13 points-- four of those five games went over total. Stampeeders had bye last week after 29-8 win at home over Montreal in Week 1. Argos threw ball for 407 yards in easy home win over Saskatchewan last week, after they got waxed 45-21 in opener at Winnipeg.

BCLions (0-2) @ Saskatchewan (1-1)-- Lions were outscored 38-12 in last three halves after leading opener at half; they've turned ball over eight times (-6) in two games- they lost four of last five visits to Regina, losing 29-25 (+4) here in playoffs last fall. Ten of last eleven series games stayed under total. Riders got blasted 48-15 in Toronto last week, giving up 568 yards, 407 thru the air. Riders have 280 rushing yards in two games; BC allowed 203 yards on ground in loss at Montreal last week.




CFL

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Saturday, July 12

6:30 PM
CALGARY vs. TORONTO
Calgary is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games

9:30 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

07/11/14 4-*0-*0 100.00% +*2000 Detail
07/05/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
07/04/14 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail
07/03/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

Totals 7-*5-*0 58.33% +750



Rated Plays As Of 07/011

1 - 1 ..............................*****

3 - 1 .............................DOUBLE PLAY

2 - 4 .............................TRIPLE PLAY


Saturday, July 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Calgary - 6:30 PM ET Calgary +1 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Toronto - Over 54 500 TRIPLE PLAY


BC Lions - 9:30 PM ET Saskatchewan -6 500 *****

Saskatchewan - Under 50.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

[StarDust Bum]

CFL

Saturday, July 12


Surprising Blue Bombers cover, go over once again

he Winnipeg Blue Bombers remain one of the biggest surprises of the young Canadian Football League season, not just for themselves but for bettors as well.

The Bombers, who won just three games all of last season (5-12-1 ATS), are now 3-0 and sit atop the West Division, covering the spread in all three games.

Winnipeg is also becoming an over darling. They are 3-0 over/under thanks to being the offensive juggernaut in the nine team league, scoring 38.3 points per game. Combine that with a middle of the road defense (27.3 ppg) and that could be going over game totals plenty this season.

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record ( ALL SELECTIONS )

07/12/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
07/11/14 4-*0-*0 100.00% +*2000 Detail
07/05/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
07/04/14 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail
07/03/14 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail

Totals 9-*7-*0 56.25% +650



Rated Plays As Of 07/12/14

1 - 2 ..............................*****

5 - 1 .............................DOUBLE PLAY

3 - 4 .............................TRIPLE PLAY

[StarDust Bum]

CFL

Week 4


Under cashing for bettors in early season games

In Week 3 of the CFL season, the Under went 3-1 for bettors and has improved the season-to-date record to 4-8 O/U. That mark is good enough for a winning percentage of 66.67 percent for bettors.

The Edmonton Eskimos and B.C. Lions lead the way with 0-3 O/U records while the Calgary Stampeders and Hamilton Tiger-Cats are each 0-2 O/U.

Week 4 gets underway Thursday as the Winnipeg Blue Bombers host the aforementioned Eskimos.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 4

July 15, 2014

The run from worst to first for both Winnipeg and Edmonton continued into Week 3 of the new CFL regular season. The Blue Bombers outlasted Montreal last Friday 34-33 as three-point road underdogs to remain perfect on the year at 3-0 both straight-up and against the spread. The total in that game went OVER the closing 48 ½-point line. The Eskimos improved to 3-0 SU with a 27-11 victory over Ottawa in Friday’s other game as five-point home favorites. That total stayed UNDER the 53-point line.

This past Saturday’s double-header started with Calgary running all over Toronto 34-15 as a two-point favorite on the road. The total stayed UNDER a closing betting line of 55 points in that contest. Week 3 closed things out with British Columbia snapping a two-game skid with a 26-13 victory over defending Grey Cup Champion Saskatchewan as a five-point underdog on the road. The total in this game also stayed UNDER with the closing line set at 51 ½ points.

Thursday, July 17

Edmonton Eskimos (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Point-Spread: Winnipeg -3
Total: 55

Game Overview

The Eskimos are now just one win away from matching last season’s SU total behind a re-tooled defense that is allowing an average of just 18.3 points a game after giving-up close to 29 points a game in 2013. They also have the league’s third-leading passer in quarterback Mike Reilly (738 yards) and second- leading receiver in total yards in slotback Adarius Bowman. He has posted 284 yards on 21 receptions.

Winnipeg has already reached last season’s three-win total SU and it has been a perfect bet this season ATS. The Blue Bombers continue to light-up the scoreboard with a CFL-high 115 points behind quarterback Drew Willy. He threw for 256 yards and one touchdown in last Friday’s win over the Alouettes while completing 24-of-38 attempts.

Betting Trends

While Winnipeg was still a member of the East Division, it went 4-1 ATS against Edmonton in the last five meetings at home and the total has stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 16 meetings at Investors Group Field. The home team is 9-1 SU in the last 10 games between these two.

Friday, July 18

Toronto Argonauts (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS)
Point-Spread: Toronto -2 ½
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

It has been a tale of two teams when it comes to the defending East Division Champs with a solid 33-point victory over Saskatchewan in Week 2 wrapped around losses to Winnipeg and Calgary by a combined 43 points. Argonauts’ quarterback Ricky Ray leads the CFL in passing yards with 982 while completing an impressive 75.7 percent of his throws, but he is having a hard time keep pace with a Toronto defense that is allowing an average of 31.3 points a game. The league’s newest franchise has looked like an expansion team in its first two games, but that was to be expected. Longtime CFL veteran quarterback Henry Burris struggled against the Eskimos last week with 134 yards passing and no scores while completing just 52 percent of his throws. The RedBlacks have averaged 19.5 points in their first two games.

Betting Trends

With no head-to-head Betting Trends in this matchup, bettors may look at Toronto’s 13-4-1 record ATS in its last 18 road games as a key trend for Friday’s game. The total has gone OVER in five of the Argonauts last seven road games and it has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 games following a SU loss.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
Point-Spread: Calgary – 9 ½
Total: 49

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats enjoyed a much needed bye last week with the CFL’s new nine-team rotation after losing their first two games of the season SU. They did look much better in a tight four-point loss to Edmonton in Week 2 as opposed to 31-10 loss to Saskatchewan in their opener as 3 ½-point road underdogs. Quarterback Zach Collaros has been ruled out for this game with a lingering head injury.

Calgary could be the best balanced team in the CFL so far with an offense that has scored 63 points in two games complementing a defense that allowed a combined total of just 23 points to its opponents. Bo Levi Mitchell continues to look impressive as the Stampeders’ starting quarterback after lighting-up Toronto’s secondary for 267 yards passing and four touchdown throws in Week 3. Running back Jon Cornish remains questionable with a head injury as well.

Betting Trends

The Stampeders have won the last four meetings SU, but the series is tied at 2-2 ATS. The home team in this inter-division matchup is 7-3 SU in the last 10 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in three of the last four games.

Saturday, July 19

Montreal Alouettes (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Point-Spread: BC -5 ½
Total: 47 ½

Game Overview

Montreal is still looking for some better consistency on both sides of the ball after a 1-2 start that includes a lopsided loss to Calgary on opening day followed by a solid 15-point victory over BC in Week 2 as a three-point home underdog. The Alouettes racked-up 203 yards on the ground in that win against the Lions.

The Lions are another team searching for an early identity, but they have to be encouraged with last week’s victory. Kevin Glenn played his best game of the season with 170 yards passing and one touchdown throw while Andrew Harris had a big day on the ground with 138 yards rushing and a touchdown on 18 carries.

Betting Trends

Montreal has failed to cover the spread in 22 of the last 29 meetings and it is a costly 3-13 ATS in the last 16 games played in BC. The total in this matchup has stayed UNDER in four of the last five games at BC Place.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Dunkel

Edmonton at Winnipeg
The Eskimos head to Winnipeg on Thursday night where they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the Blue Bombers. Winnipeg is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Bombers favored by 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 17

Game 421-422: Edmonton at Winnipeg (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 104.229; Winnipeg 115.543
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 11 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 2 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-2 1/2); Over

FRIDAY, JULY 18

Game 423-424: Toronto at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 111.823; Ottawa 104.792
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 7; 48
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2 1/2); Under

Game 425-426: Hamilton at Calgary (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 108.052; Calgary 124.101
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 16; 53
Vegas Line: Calgary by 9; 49
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-9); Over


SATURDAY, JULY 19

Game 427-428: Montreal at BC (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 109.068; BC 116.387
Dunkel Line: BC by 7 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: BC by 5; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-5); Under




CFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, July 17

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EDMONTON (3 - 0) at WINNIPEG (3 - 0) - 7/17/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-1 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, July 18

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TORONTO (1 - 2) at OTTAWA (0 - 2) - 7/18/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HAMILTON (0 - 2) at CALGARY (2 - 0) - 7/18/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 2-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, July 19

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MONTREAL (1 - 2) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 2) - 7/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 4

Edmonton (3-0) @ Winnipeg (3-0)-- These teams were combined 7-29 LY, are 6-0 this year; both teams beat expansion Ottawa, which helps, but Eskimos scored 27-28-27 points in their first three games, with all three staying under total, while Bombers scored 38.3 ppg in its 3-0 start, with all three games going over. Edmonton won four of last five series games, winning in OT here LY- underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in last five series games played here. Eskimos are +7 in turnovers this season, with 11 takeaways in three games.

Toronto (1-2) @ Ottawa (0-2)-- Home opener for RedBlacks squad that lost first two games after leading both at halftime; Ottawa was outscored 44-11 in second half of games after they'd led by 4-5 points at half. Argonauts opened with three western foes (west is 8-2 vs east so far this season); they've gained 1,013 yards in last two games, but got hammered by Calgary last week, despite outgaining Stamps by 78 yards. Ottawa has only one turnover in first two tilts; Toronto allowed 116 rushing ypg in first three games- can Ottawa run it against them?

Hamilton (0-2) @ Calgary (2-0)-- TiCats lost four in row and eight of last nine series games, as they've lost last nine visits here, last two by total of six points. Three of last four series games stayed under total. Stamps scored 31.5 ppg in winning first two games, turning ball over just one time. Both teams already had a bye; under is 2-0 in both teams' games this season, with Stampeders allowing 11.5 ppg- TiCats are scoring just 17 ppg. Western Conference teams are 8-2 vs eastern teams so far this season. TiCats (-3) turned ball over eight times already.

Montreal (1-2) @ BCLions (1-2)-- Alouettes (+3) upset BC 24-9 two weeks ago in Quebec, as they ran ball for 203 yards, had three takeaways (+2) in 7th straight home win in series. Als lost last three visits here by combined score of 122-25; four of their last five visits to BC went under the total. Lions upset Riders in Regina last week, shutting hosts out in second half- they turned ball over eight times in first two games- they had none last week. Montreal lost its only road games 29-8 at Calgary. All three Lion games stayed under the total.




CFL

Week 4

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Trend Report
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Thursday, July 17

8:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. WINNIPEG
Edmonton is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 11 games at home
Winnipeg is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home


Friday, July 18

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Ottawa is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games

10:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Calgary's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Calgary's last 17 games when playing Hamilton


Saturday, July 19

7:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Montreal is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games