The Bum's Major League Baseball Best Bets-News,Trends For June !

[StarDust Bum]

EVENING PLAYS:


Toronto - 7:05 PM ET Toronto +104 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Baltimore - Over 9 500

Chi. Cubs - 7:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs +109 500
Pittsburgh - Over 7 500

Cleveland - 7:10 PM ET Cleveland +147 500
Boston - Over 8 500

Milwaukee - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets +120 500 *****
NY Mets - Under 7 500

Arizona - 8:10 PM ET Arizona -113 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Houston - Under 8.5 500

Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -114 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Chi. White Sox - Under 7 500

NY Yankees - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -111 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Seattle - Under 7 500

[StarDust Bum]

Record As of THURSDAY Night : ON RATED GAMES ( got my ass kicked last night day )

*****....................25 - 21...............+ 5.27

DOUBLE PLAY............12 - 11................+ 5.72

TRIPLE PLAY.............14 - 17............... - 8.11

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's Late Tips

June 13, 2014

Yankees at Athletics – 10:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
NYY: Phelps (1-4, 4.88 ERA)
OAK: Gray (6-2, 2.83 ERA)

Previous series results: The Yankees continue their West Coast swing after pulling off a three-game sweep of the Mariners. In six of the last seven games, New York has limited its opponents to three runs or less. The Athletics return home following a 5-4 road swing, as Oakland avoided a sweep by beating Los Angeles, 7-1 on Wednesday as +125 underdogs.

What to watch for: Oakland has won eight of the past 10 meetings with New York, while taking two of three from the Yankees in the Bronx earlier this month. The Yankees are rolling on the road of late by winning eight of their past 11 on the highway, but New York is 1-6 in Phelps’ previous seven starts. The ‘over’ is 4-0-1 in Gray’s last five outings, while Oakland has won just one of his past four trips to the mound.

Rangers at Mariners – 10:10 PM EST

Advertisement
Probable Pitchers:
TEX: Tepesch (2-2, 4.91 ERA)
SEA: Hernandez (8-1, 2.39 ERA)

Previous series results: The Mariners put together a fantastic 6-1 road swing, but came back to Safeco Field and lost all three games to the Yankees. Seattle has compiled a 4-8 record the last 12 home games, while plating just seven runs in the New York series. The Rangers snapped a four-game skid with Wednesday’s 6-0 shutout of the Marlins, but Texas concluded its homestand at 3-6.

What to watch for: Texas and Seattle are hooking up for the tenth time already this season tonight, as the Rangers hold a 5-4 edge. The Mariners have won each of Hernandez’s last seven starts, but Seattle is 0-2 in his two starts against Texas this season. Tepesch has allowed nine runs in his past two outings, both losses by the Rangers. Texas has compiled a 5-3 record in the past eight road series openers, while winning seven of its previous 11 away contests.

Diamondbacks at Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
ARZ: Anderson (5-0, 3.14 ERA)
LAD: Kershaw (5-2, 3.17 ERA)

Previous series results: The Dodgers won four of the first five games on their road trip, but Los Angeles dropped the final two contests at Cincinnati. L.A. was limited to just one run in those two defeats, as six of the seven games on that away swing finished ‘under’ the total. The Diamondbacks dropped three of four games to the Astros, including a 5-4 extra-innings loss last night in Houston.

What to watch for: Anderson beat Kershaw and the Dodgers last month, 18-7 as a +160 home underdog, as the D-Backs have won all five of Anderson’s starts this season. Los Angeles has captured eight of 11 matchups with Arizona already, including a 2-1 record at Dodger Stadium. Since getting racked at Arizona, the Dodgers have won three of Kershaw’s last four starts, but Los Angeles is 1-2 in his three home outings for -1.6 units.

Rockies at Giants – 10:15 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
COL: De La Rosa (6-5, 4.04 ERA)
SF: Lincecum (5-4, 4.97 ERA)

Previous series results: The Rockies finished up a disastrous homestand at 3-7, but Colorado managed to win the final two games against Atlanta. It’s been a tough stretch for Colorado, who has lost 13 of its past 17 contests to fall four games below the .500 mark. The Giants avoided a sweep by routing the Nationals on Thursday, 7-1, as San Francisco was limited to just five runs in the first three losses to Washington.

What to watch for: These two NL West rivals have split eight meetings this season, while the Giants have won two of three matchups at home. Colorado has struggled away from Coors Field recently, dropping 12 of its past 15 road contests, while going winless in its last five away series openers. The Giants are 6-1 in Lincecum’s previous seven home outings, but the righty allowed 18 earned runs in four starts against the Rockies last season.

[StarDust Bum]

Interleague Results


The 2014 MLB regular season will usually feature at least one Interleague game every day. All teams will play exactly 20 Interleague games broken down into eight series, four at home and four on the road.

American League Results (2012-2014)

Team 2012 2013 2014 (Home-Away)

Baltimore Orioles 11-7 11-9 (2-0, 2-3)

Boston Red Sox 11-7 14-6 (4-3, 2-0)

Chicago White Sox 9-9 8-12 (3-5, 5-3)

Cleveland Indians 8-10 11-9 (3-1, 0-3)

Detroit Tigers 11-7 12-8 (0-0, 2-4)

Houston Astros 6-9 8-12 (2-2, 1-1)

Kansas City Royals 8-10 9-11 (3-1, 4-1)

Los Angeles Angels 12-6 10-10 (2-1, 4-1)

Minnesota Twins 9-9 8-12 (1-4, 3-4)

New York Yankees 13-5 9-11 (4-3, 6-4)

Oakland Athletics 10-8 13-7 (3-0, 0-0)

Seattle Mariners 8-10 8-12 (0-0, 2-3)

Tampa Bay Rays 9-9 12-8 (1-3, 2-3)

Texas Rangers 14-4 10-10 (4-3, 1-4)

Toronto Blue Jays 9-9 11-9 (3-2, 3-2)

AL Totals 141-111 164-146 (37-28, 37-35)




National League Results (2012-2014)

Team 2012 2013 2014 (Home-Away)

Arizona Diamondbacks 9-6 11-9 (1-1, 2-3)

Atlanta Braves 8-10 11-9 (0-4, 0-2)

Chicago Cubs 5-10 13-7 (1-3, 1-3)

Cincinnati Reds 7-8 11-9 (1-2, 0-2)

Colorado Rockies 2-13 5-15 (4-1, 1-6)

Los Angeles Dodgers 6-9 12-8 (2-3, 3-0)

Miami Marlins 5-13 9-11 (5-0, 3-1)

Milwaukee Brewers 6-9 6-14 (5-3, 4-1)

New York Mets 8-7 11-9 (0-2, 3-2)

Philadelphia Phillies 5-10 7-13 (0-4, 1-4)

Pittsburgh Pirates 10-8 15-5 (3-2, 1-4)

St. Louis Cardinals 8-7 10-10 (1-4, 4-3)

San Diego Padres 8-7 8-12 (3-5, 3-3)

San Francisco Giants 7-8 6-14 (6-0, 0-0)

Washington Nationals 10-8 11-9 (3-3, 2-3)

NL Totals 111-141 146-164 (35-37, 28-37)


Updated - June 13, 2014, 01:00 AM ET

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


-- Chris Sale has started nine games this year: teams are 0-27 with 12 strikeouts in the first inning against him.

-- Martin Kaymer is the 12th golfer to lead the US Open by 3+ strokes after the first round; only three of the first 11 wound up winning the tournament.

-- San Diego's team OB% is .275, on track to be the lowest OB% in the majors in 104 years.

-- Giants 7, Washington 1-- Giants' lead in NL West is now 8.5 games.

-- Spurs 107, Heat 86-- Spurs shot 57% for game; Diaw had nine assists.

-- NBA teams who led a playoff series 3-1 are 31-0 in those series.


**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.........

13) Here’s an idea for your next party; the person who owns the infamous white Ford Bronco from the OJ Simpson/Al Cowlings chase 20 years ago rents the vehicle out for parties. What could be more festive?

12) Former President George H Bush turned 90 years old this week, and to commemorate the occasion, will sky dive for the last time. Good for him; I’ve got a hard enough time walking down the stairs from one of those planes, much less jumping out of one.

11) In the last four years, over half of the 351 Division I college basketball jobs have turned over; that’s a lot of change.

10) A’s will be without pitching coach Curt Young and 3B coach Mike Gallego for Saturday’s game; both will be in Arizona for memorial service of former teammate Bob Welch, who passed away earlier this week.

9) As of Thursday morning, 25 of 30 major league teams were within five games of a playoff spot, which is why the Twins went after Kendrys Morales. Top-to-bottom in the AL Central is within 3.5 games. The second Wild Card helps keep teams in the race, which is why they probably should push the trade deadline back to August 15 or 31, as opposed to the current July 31 deadline.

8) Yoenis Cespedes has nine outfield assists this year, four against the Angels, three of which came at home plate, the other at third base. He can really throw; most guys with arms like his play rightfield.

7) If you judge 2014 NFL schedules by 2013 records, these three teams have the hardest schedules this season: Raiders (.578), Broncos (.570), Rams (.564).

6) June 23 is the deadline for NBA players to opt out of contracts to become free agents; there could be Interweb pandemonium if Carmelo Anthony opts out. I’m thinking Phil Jackson wouldn’t mind if he did, but he can’t say that publicly. Anthony is an older player who isn’t exactly a selfless individual; for the Knicks to become championship caliber, Anthony (an 11-year vet with 23 career playoff wins) has to go.

5) Julius Randle will get drafted high by a NBA team later this month, then will get his injured foot fixed and miss most of the summer, which means I won’t see him in Las Vegas next month.

4) I’m looking forward to seeing Steve Kerr coach the Warriors’ team in Vegas and seeing what the Knicks put together for their summer team. Will Derek Fisher coach it? Will Phil Jackson be there? Summer league is usually great fun to go to.

3) Mississippi State-Oregon State are starting a home/home hoop series this fall; no easy way to get from Starkville to Corvallis- must be made-for-TV games.

2) MGM Grand will host a tournament Nov 24/26 with Oklahoma State-Tulsa-Auburn-Oregon State. Three of those four teams have new coaches this season.

1) Speaking of coaches, ESPN.com is ranking top 50 college basketball coaches this month, a truly thankless job. I won’t even bother discussing their rankings, since what I think is important is way different than what they think or what you think, but if Bruce Pearl isn’t one of the 50 best coaches in America, then I weigh 150 pounds with a full head of hair, because neither of those two things is close to being true, either.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, June 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (26 - 38) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 36) - 7:05 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. ROBERTO HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 92-135 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 92-135 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-34 (-14.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-29 (-17.8 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 664-667 (-159.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
ARRIETA is 9-3 (+7.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 101-125 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-41 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 101-123 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 73-95 (-27.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-10 (-9.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-59 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 6-15 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ARRIETA is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 8.43 and a WHIP of 1.593.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

ROBERTO HERNANDEZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (32 - 34) at MIAMI (34 - 31) - 7:10 PM
JEFF LOCKE (L) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 1-9 (-8.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MIAMI is 34-31 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 22-11 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MIAMI is 21-14 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-11 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 25-19 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 11-4 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 10-2 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 129-105 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 24-13 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 129-105 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 88-59 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 108-88 (+18.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 30-56 (-24.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JEFF LOCKE vs. MIAMI since 1997
LOCKE is 0-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 2.018.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (28 - 38) at NY METS (29 - 37) - 7:10 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 17-26 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN DIEGO is 20-33 (-15.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLON is 41-26 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 40-26 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 31-24 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 36-57 (-23.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 13-32 (-17.2 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 47-67 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 23-38 (-17.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 9-19 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 47-67 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 44-70 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 35-49 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ANDREW CASHNER vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

BARTOLO COLON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
COLON is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (31 - 34) at MILWAUKEE (40 - 27) - 8:10 PM
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 40-27 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 40-27 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 82-70 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 86-83 (+7.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GARZA is 18-6 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 671-743 (+55.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 321-341 (+33.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 608-687 (+39.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 435-484 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 484-533 (+46.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 335-349 (+45.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BAILEY is 4-7 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.21 and a WHIP of 1.399.
His team's record is 8-9 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-9. (-2.3 units)

MATT GARZA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GARZA is 1-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.34 and a WHIP of 1.653.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-5. (-5.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (35 - 30) at ST LOUIS (34 - 32) - 8:15 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 85-80 (-15.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 16-1 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 111-68 (+24.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 70-34 (+28.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ZIMMERMANN is 24-8 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 11-17 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 0-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.59 and a WHIP of 1.547.
His team's record is 2-6 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-4.0 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LYNN is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (29 - 40) at LA DODGERS (35 - 33) - 10:10 PM
CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 67-60 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 13-19 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 22-29 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 13-19 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 11-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
KERSHAW is 3-7 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 8-3 (+3.6 Units) against ARIZONA this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

CHASE ANDERSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ANDERSON is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 1.689.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ARIZONA since 1997
KERSHAW is 8-7 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.69 and a WHIP of 1.144.
His team's record is 9-10 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-7. (+3.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (31 - 35) at SAN FRANCISCO (43 - 24) - 10:15 PM
JORGE DE LA ROSA (L) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 171-249 (-56.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 41-73 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 42-61 (-23.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-24 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 62-45 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-24 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 987-819 (+119.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 79-58 (+21.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-16 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LINCECUM is 19-5 (+14.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 22-14 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
DE LA ROSA is 28-14 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 28-13 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 46-54 (-21.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-4 (-0.3 Units) against COLORADO this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.4 Units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 9-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.242.
His team's record is 13-5 (+7.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-10. (-2.4 units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. COLORADO since 1997
LINCECUM is 11-9 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.389.
His team's record is 13-14 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-15. (-6.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (39 - 29) at BALTIMORE (34 - 31) - 7:05 PM
DREW HUTCHISON (R) vs. UBALDO JIMENEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 216-180 (+44.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 17-9 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 196-156 (+43.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 84-67 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 153-124 (+36.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 114-96 (+35.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 39-29 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 19-12 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TORONTO is 17-10 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
JIMENEZ is 2-10 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-3 (+0.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

DREW HUTCHISON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HUTCHISON is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.083.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.0 units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
JIMENEZ is 2-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.24 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (31 - 33) at DETROIT (34 - 28) - 7:05 PM
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. DREW SMYLY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 31-33 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 37-32 (+18.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 50-63 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 80-71 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 296-297 (+35.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 45-55 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 132-103 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 128-100 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 38-33 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-21 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 (+2.7 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. DETROIT since 1997
GIBSON is 0-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 27.00 and a WHIP of 4.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

DREW SMYLY vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SMYLY is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.84 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (33 - 34) at BOSTON (30 - 36) - 7:10 PM
JUSTIN MASTERSON (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 8-29 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 125-105 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 119-99 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 71-38 (+27.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-37 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 13-20 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BOSTON is 28-33 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 17-27 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 481-359 (-56.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
BOSTON is 8-16 (-10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

JUSTIN MASTERSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
MASTERSON is 4-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.123.
His team's record is 5-3 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.7 units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LACKEY is 7-8 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.389.
His team's record is 9-9 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-1.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (33 - 32) at CHI WHITE SOX (33 - 34) - 8:10 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 8-15 (-10.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
KANSAS CITY is 9-15 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-20 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
GUTHRIE is 26-14 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 22-11 (+11.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 41-31 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 96-133 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 72-103 (-30.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 37-50 (-18.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 10-25 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-33 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 49-81 (-24.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-3 (+1.5 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
GUTHRIE is 8-7 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.131.
His team's record is 13-8 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-13. (-5.8 units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
QUINTANA is 0-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.283.
His team's record is 3-6 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-2. (+4.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (25 - 42) at HOUSTON (31 - 37) - 8:10 PM
ALEX COBB (R) vs. COLLIN MCHUGH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 25-42 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 11-22 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 2-9 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 17-27 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 20-27 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 8-15 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 34-84 (-35.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-75 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-46 (-20.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-75 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ALEX COBB vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

COLLIN MCHUGH vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (34 - 31) at OAKLAND (40 - 26) - 10:05 PM
DAVID PHELPS (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 138-95 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 121-74 (+29.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 20-7 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 133-87 (+28.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 84-54 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 153-108 (+42.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 82-54 (+17.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 65-45 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

DAVID PHELPS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

SONNY GRAY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (32 - 34) at SEATTLE (34 - 32) - 10:10 PM
NICK TEPESCH (R) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 19-26 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 112-103 (-27.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 30-13 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in June games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 66-34 (+22.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 50-63 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 50-63 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 34-46 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 29-42 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 43-55 (-22.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 3-9 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-4 (+1.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)

NICK TEPESCH vs. SEATTLE since 1997
TEPESCH is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.19 and a WHIP of 1.241.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 12-20 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.312.
His team's record is 15-26 (-18.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 20-17. (+0.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (36 - 29) at ATLANTA (34 - 31) - 7:35 PM
C.J. WILSON (L) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 106-111 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 80-85 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 52-59 (-16.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 48-67 (-21.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-1 (+7.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 49-34 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 720-707 (+62.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 133-105 (+41.0 Units) against the money line in road games in June games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 263-194 (+48.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 92-68 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game since 1997.
ATLANTA is 0-6 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

C.J. WILSON vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

AARON HARANG vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HARANG is 0-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 7.59 and a WHIP of 2.093.
His team's record is 1-6 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-5. (-4.9 units)

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, June 13

Hot pitchers
-- Arrieta is 1-1, 2.38 in his last four starts.
-- Eovaldi is 2-0, 3.21 in his last four starts.
-- Colon is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Bailey is 4-0, 3.00 in his last four starts. Garza is 2-0, 2.19 in his last two.
-- Zimmerman is 2-0, 0.00 (17 IP) in his last two starts.
-- Kershaw is 3-1, 2.08 in his last four starts. Anderson is 3-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.

-- Hutchison is 3-1, 3.34 in his last five starts.
-- Gibson is 1-1, 1.89 in his last three starts.
-- Lackey is 1-1, 1.84 in his last four starts. Masterson is 2-0, 1.42 in his last couple starts.
-- Guthrie has a 2.67 RA in his last four starts but no wins; Royals scored five runs total in those four games.
-- McHugh is 2-0, 1.65 in his last three starts.
-- Hernandez is 5-0, 1.99 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hernandez is 0-3, 5.48 in his last four starts.
-- Locke is 0-1, 5.11 in two starts this season.
-- Cashner is 0-3, 3.96 in four road starts.
-- Lynn is 0-2, 9.72 in his last couple starts.
-- Lincecum is 2-2, 5.27 in his last five starts. de la Rosa is 0-2, 5.68 in his last two starts.

-- Orioles are 0-6 in Jimenez home starts, outscored 46-7.
-- Smyly is 1-2, 6.30 in his last four starts.
-- Quintana is 1-3, 5.32 in his last four starts.
-- Cobb is 0-3, 9.39 in his last three starts.
-- Gray is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three starts. Phelps is 0-4, 7.30 in his last four.
-- Tepesch is 0-2, 11.05 in his last two starts.

-- Harang is 0-3, 4.20 in his last five starts. Wilson is 1-2, 4.58 in his last three.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Arrieta 2-7; Hernandez 5-11
-- Locke 1-2; Eovaldi 4-13
-- Cashner 3-10; Colon 3-13
-- Bailey 4-13; Garza 5-13 (0 of last 4)
-- Zimmerman 1-13; Lynn 4-13
-- Anderson 0-6; Kershaw 2-8
-- de la Rosa 4-13; Lincecum 6-13

-- Hutchison 2-13; Jimenez 4-13
-- Gibson 3-12; Smyly 4-9
-- Masterson 2-14; Lackey 4-13
-- Guthrie 3-13; Quintana 1-13
-- Cobb 2-7; McHugh 1-9
-- Phelps 0-7; Gray 4-13
-- Tepesch 2-5; Hernandez 1-14

-- Wilson 3-13; Harang 2-13

Totals
-- Five of last seven Chicago road games went over.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Miami home games.
-- Seven of last nine games at Citi Field stayed under.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Cincinnati games. Over is 7-0-1 in last eight games at Miller Park.
-- Five of last six Cardinal games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 13 Arizona road games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Colorado road games went over.

-- Last four Baltimore games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last seven Detroit games.
-- Last six games at Fenway Park stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine White Sox home games stayed under.
-- Last six Tampa Bay road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Bronx games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Seattle home games stayed total.

-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Atlanta games.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won their last three games.
-- Miami won six of its last nine games. Pirates won three of last four.
-- Milwaukee won four of its last five games. Reds won four of their last five road games.
-- Washington won four of its last five games. Cardinals won three of their last four games.

-- Orioles won three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox won their last six home games.
-- Kansas City won its last four games. White Sox won six of their last nine home games.
-- Astros won four of their last five home games.
-- Oakland won four of its last five home games. Bronx won eight of its last eleven road games.

-- Angels won five of last six games, but are 3-7 in last ten road games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost four of their last five games.
-- Mets lost seven of their last eight games. San Diego lost eight of last ten.
-- Arizona lost three of its last four games. Dodgers lost five of seven at home.
-- Rockies lost ten of their last twelve road games. San Francisco lost three of its last four games.

-- Toronto lost five of its last six games.
-- Detroit is 5-9 in its last fourteen home games. Minnesota is 1-6 in game after its last seven wins.
-- Indians lost their last three games.
-- Tampa Bay lost 14 of its last 16 games.
-- Texas lost four of its last five games. Mariners lost five of their last seven home games.

-- Atlanta lost its last four home games.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Friday, June 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:05 PM
TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chi Cubs's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Philadelphia is 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing Chi Cubs

7:08 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

7:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
Cleveland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Boston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cleveland

7:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. NY METS
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home

7:35 PM
LA ANGELS vs. ATLANTA
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games
Houston is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

8:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 16 games when playing Chi White Sox
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi White Sox's last 15 games

8:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

8:15 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Washington is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing Washington

10:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. OAKLAND
NY Yankees are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
Oakland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 13 games on the road
Arizona is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games

10:10 PM
TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Texas is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games

10:15 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Colorado is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 15 games when playing at home against Colorado
San Francisco is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Friday, June 13


Dodgers' SS Hanley Ramirez, questionable Friday

Ramirez has missed three straight game because of an irritated right shoulder. He is questionable for Friday against the Diamondbacks.


Yanks' Ellsbury (hip) expects to play Friday

The New York Yankees' first three-game series sweep of the season came with a touch of pain Thursday night.

Center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury, who extended his hitting streak to 16 games with a two-run homer in the first inning, experienced a flare-up in his sore right hip before coming out of the game after 6 1/2 innings. Both Ellsbury and manager Joe Girardi said after the game that the injury was minor and that Ellsbury should be back on the field Friday at Oakland, but the aggravation of the injury is a bit concerning.

Ellsbury hurt his hip last Sunday and was not expected to be in the lineup for Monday game's at Kansas City. A rainout postponed that contest.

He played all of the first 24 innings of the Seattle series but couldn't finish Thursday's game. Ellsbury said that he aggravated the injury while making a catch against the wall in the fifth inning, and then he felt the hip tighten up while batting in the top of the sixth.

"It's tight," he said Thursday after the Yankees' 6-3 win over Seattle, "but I expect to be out there (Friday)."

Girardi said that Ellsbury didn't want to come out of the game but that the team was being cautious with him. The Yankees led 6-2 when Ichiro Suzuki replaced Ellsbury in the bottom of the seventh inning.

"We think he'll be able to play for us (Friday), but we'll see," Girardi said.


Pirates, Marlins like keeping scorelines low

Despite being a great Over club this season, the Miami Marlins are in the habit of keeping ball games low-scoring when they play the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Marlins host the Pirates for a three-game set which opens Friday and if recent trends suggest anything, then the Under could be in the cards.

The Under is 20-6-1 in the last 27 meetings by the two National League clubs and is 8-3 in the last 11 games in Miami.

Scheduled starters in the series are Jeff Locke for the Bucs and Nathan Eovaldi for the Marlins.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Friday, June 13


Thursday was a good night to back home teams

Whether it was home favorites or home underdogs, Thursday night was a good night to back home teams against the runline.

Teams who enjoyed home cooking went 8-3 against the runline in the majors last night, good for a success rate of almost 73 percent.

Home favorites went 5-2, hitting at a mark of over 71 percent while home dogs went 3-1, coming in at an even better 75 percent.

Home teams have struggled against the runline this season, winning just 43 percent of the time.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Friday, June 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday's MLB betting cheat sheet Rangers huge underdogs vs. Felix
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Happy Home Underdogs

Home underdogs had a strong showing in Thursday's major league action, going 4-1 against the moneyline. Cincinnati (+115), Philadelphia (+105), Houston (+102) and Colorado (+102) all prevailed while the Mets (+120) were the only one to falter; home underdogs are just 128-166 on the season.

Double Digits in Denver

The host Rockies racked up the runs Thursday, cruising past Atlanta 10-3 for their 10th double-digit performance of the year - all but one of them coming at Coors Field. Colorado is 8-2 SU in those games and is 17-15-1 O/U at home in 2014 despite having the highest average total by a wide margin.

Felix Factor

The Texas Rangers (+182, 7) face their longest odds in more than four years as they visit Felix Hernandez and the Seattle Mariners. The Rangers haven't been this big an underdog since May 1, 2010, when they defeated Hernandez at Safeco Field 6-3 despite being installed at a whopping +194.

Pitching Notes

* Athletics right-hander Sonny Gray is in the midst of a trend reversal as he prepares to face the visiting New York Yankees (+167, 7.5). Gray opened the season 2-5-1 O/U but has been one of the league's strongest Over plays in five starts since, going 4-0-1 O/U.

* Los Angeles Dodgers lefty Clayton Kershaw has been strangely consistent this season, recording exactly nine strikeouts in six of his eight starts this season. The Dodgers are 4-2 S/U and 3-3 O/U in those outings entering Friday's showdown with visiting Arizona (+190, 6.5).

Hitting Notes

* Rockies outfielder Charlie Blackmon broke out of a 4-for-24 slump Thursday with three hits, including a homer, in the rout of Atlanta. Colorado is 6-5 against the moneyline and 9-2 O/U when Blackmon goes deep entering Friday's tilt with host San Francisco (-137, 7.5).

* Astros rookie first baseman Jon Singleton swatted his third home run of the season in Thursday's 5-4 win over Arizona. Houston is an impressive 7-3 S/U and 5-5 O/U in 10 games since Singleton was summoned from the minors.

Totals Streak

Toronto Blue Jays (0-6-1 O/U): The offensive woes continue for the American League East leaders, who have scored two runs or fewer in five of their last six games - and not surprisingly, they lost all five. Toronto is s34-31-3 O/U for the season.

Prop of the Day

Expect a tight one between the host Chicago White Sox (-129, 8) and the Kansas City Royals, making a Chicago win by exactly one run (+350) a potentially strong play. The teams have played four one-run games in their last 10 meetings in Chicago, with the White Sox winning three of them.

Injury Notes

* Arizona manager Kirk Gibson says slugger Mark Trumbo (foot) is still three weeks away from participating in baseball activities. The Diamondbacks are 25-23 SU, 19-27-2 O/U and +294 units in Trumbo's absence.

* Yankees outfielder Jacoby Ellsbury left Thursday's game after aggravating his right hip injury, but expects to be back in the lineup Friday. Ellsbury is riding a 16-game hitting streak entering Friday's showdown with Oakland.

Weather Watch

Citizens Bank Park will see wind blowing out to center field for Friday's game between host Philadelphia (-113, 8.5) and the Cubs. Teams averaged nine runs and 1.95 home runs in 20 games under similar conditions in 2013; scoring was up over the park average, but homers were down.

Umpire Note of the Day

The road team is 10-2 in umpire Mike DiMuro's last 12 games calling the balls and strikes. DiMuro will be behind home plate for Friday's showdown between Toronto (-102, 9) and host Baltimore.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

LA Angels at Atlanta
The Braves open up an interleague series tonight against the Angels and come into the contest with a 9-2 record in their last 11 games as a home underdog. Atlanta is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+105) . Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JUNE 13

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 13.735; Philadelphia (Hernandez) 15.147
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Under

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.068; Miami (Eovaldi) 13.840
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Miami (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); Over

Game 905-906: San Diego at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 17.834; NY Mets (Colon) 15.823
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); Over

Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.091; Milwaukee (Garza) 15.964
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-145); Under

Game 909-910: Washington at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 14.391; St. Louis (Lynn) 15.244
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Under

Game 911-912: Arizona at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Anderson) 16.536; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.395
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-220); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+190); Over

Game 913-914: Colorado at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 13.095; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.723
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Under

Game 915-915: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 14.662; Baltimore (Jimenez) 16.629
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+105); Over

Game 917-918: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 16.958; Detroit (Smyly) 16.045
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145); Over

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 13.690; Boston (Lackey) 14.792
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Under

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 12.647; White Sox (Quintana) 14.983
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-140); Under

Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.365; Houston (McHugh) 16.237
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); Over

Game 925-926: NY Yankees at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.319; Oakland (Gray) 18.481
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-185); Under

Game 927-928: Texas at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 17.391; Seattle (Hernandez) 16.293
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-210); 7
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+180); Over

Game 929-930: LA Angels at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 15.287; Atlanta (Harang) 17.696
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+105); Over

[StarDust Bum]

Record As of THURSDAY Night : ON RATED GAMES ( got my ass kicked last night day )

*****....................25 - 21...............+ 5.27

DOUBLE PLAY............12 - 11................+ 5.72

TRIPLE PLAY.............14 - 17............... - 8.11



Friday, June 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Toronto - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore +103 500
Baltimore - Over 9 500

Chi. Cubs - 7:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs +101 500 *****
Philadelphia - Over 8.5 500

Minnesota - 7:08 PM ET Detroit -159 500
Detroit - Under 9 500

Cleveland - 7:10 PM ET Cleveland +123 500
Boston - Over 8.5 500

Pittsburgh - 7:10 PM ET Miami -125 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Miami - Over 7.5 500

San Diego - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -101 500 DOUBLE PLAY
NY Mets - Under 6.5 500

LA Angels - 7:35 PM ET LA Angels -109 500
Atlanta - Over 7.5 500

Kansas City - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City +116 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Chi. White Sox - Over 7.5 500

Cincinnati - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee -115 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Milwaukee - Over 7.5 500

Tampa Bay - 8:10 PM ET Houston +122 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Houston - Over 8 500

Washington - 8:15 PM ET Washington +109 500 *****
St. Louis - Over 7 500

NY Yankees - 10:05 PM ET Oakland -182 500
Oakland - Under 7.5 500

Arizona - 10:10 PM ET Arizona +194 500 *****
LA Dodgers - Under 6.5 500

Texas - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -189 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Seattle - Under 6.5 500

Colorado - 10:15 PM ET San Francisco -132 500 DOUBLE PLAY
San Francisco - Over 7 500

[StarDust Bum]

Fading Teams

June 13, 2014

Let's take a look at a couple of 1st place teams in baseball and assess how they got there and where they're going. Milwaukee and Detroit got off to fantastic starts this season but are currently trending downward are 'play against' teams right now. We see this situation arise every year when teams such as these start well and then become over-valued by the public. The Brewers and Tigers are currently valued like elite (1st place) teams, but are not really playing well of late even though the rest of the division has not been able to pass them up (yet).

Detroit is 6-16 their last 22 games after starting 27-12 and they were favored by -120 or more in 11 of those 16 most recent losses. That run has left the "Tiger-backers" with some empty wallets. Another sign Detroit is not as good as most people think is their record against top level opponents. The Tigers are just 11-13 against teams in our Top 10 Power Rating.

Much like Detroit, Milwaukee started the season 20-7, but have gone just 19-20 since, with seven losses as a favorite of -120 or more since May 1. Again, like Detroit the Brewers are just 2-5 against Top 10 teams this season.

Diminishing starting pitching has been a key factor for each club as four out of their five starters have much worse numbers since their first 6 starts of the season. Another reason both teams remain over-priced is the fact that both pitching rotations still have good overall season statistics and each has several established starters. Bullpens have been shaky of late as well, Detroit owns a 6.12 bullpen ERA in the last 10 games, Milwaukee at 4.40 in the last 10 games.

Milwaukee Brewers Starting Pitchers:
Lohse 1st 6 ERA: 2.70 Since: 3.60
Estrada 1st 6 ERA: 3.13 Since: 5.83
Gallardo 1st 6 ERA: 1.91 Since: 5.40
Peralta 1st 6 ERA: 2.04 Since: 3.73

Exception to the rule:
Garza 1st 6 ERA: 5.00 Since: 3.95

Detroit Tigers Starting Pitchers:
Scherzer 1st 6 ERA: 2.08 Since: 4.47
Verlander 1st 6 ERA: 2.48 Since: 6.27
Porcello 1st 6 ERA: 3.49 Since: 4.62
Smyly 1st 6 ERA: 2.96 Since: 4.67

Exception to the rule:
Sanchez 1st 6 ERA: 2.89 Since: 1.59

Both teams have a few tough series coming up and could provide some great opportunities to play against them. Detroit kicks off a difficult stretch of series' against Minnesota, Kansas City, Cleveland, and Texas. The Tigers have a losing record against three of those four opponents this year, besting only Kansas City. They are just 4-10 against Minnesota, Cleveland, and Texas combined.

On Friday Milwaukee starts a three game series against Cincinnati. They already dropped three of four against the Reds in early May in the only series between the division rivals so far. The Brew Crew never scored more than three runs in any of those four games. They also have series' coming up against Arizona (1-2 vs. Diamondbacks this year) and Washington (10-3 in their last 10).

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Saturday

June 14, 2014


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nationals are 10-0 since August 09, 2005 as a road favorite after a loss in which their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base individually for a net profit of $1000.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Yovani Gallardo starts the Brewers are 14-0 since June 24, 2010 as a home favorite after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start for a net profit of $1400.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Red Sox are 2-17-1 OU since May 19, 2013 vs a team that has lost at least their last three games. 2-6-1 this season.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Rockies are 0-11 since September 05, 2012 as a dog when they are off a game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off their opponent’s starter in a win for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- When Ryan Vogelsong starts the Giants are 13-2 since September 21, 2011 as a favorite after throwing more than 100 pitches last start for a net profit of $1060.