Biloxi-Superb and well thought out post.
I suppose we could take it one step further and apply the psychology angle to the sports services.
Obviously their main goal is to get people to sign up/call to make money.
To do this the service has to do the following: 1) pick a high percentage of winners;2) spin their record so that at least it appears they have a high winning percentage.
This doesn't always involve lying about their record; it may just be conveniently stating their record for the time frame which makes it appear they are winning(e.g. if service is say 12-4 over 4 days, they would state that but leave out how they were 5-10 for example in the days prior to that).
Then of course if the service has a sense that the public plays have been losing of late, it knows that it may have a weak prey and that many folks wanting to get even may just sign up for the service's picks if its ad is convincing enough.
Of course many services also try to entice bettors with 50-1 systems,angles, etc. that only they(the service) know about.
It is in a way similar to a trial;it is not who is telling the truth;it is which lawyer can do a better job of convincing the jury that his client should win;obviously psychology is the key.
It is the same with the sports services;the ones with the smoothest, most believeable and convincing ads are the ones which succeed;this may or not be the ones which are in fact the best if their record is taken as the criterion.
In short, as with the linemakers psychology is what counts re: the sports services.
I suppose we could take it one step further and apply the psychology angle to the sports services.
Obviously their main goal is to get people to sign up/call to make money.
To do this the service has to do the following: 1) pick a high percentage of winners;2) spin their record so that at least it appears they have a high winning percentage.
This doesn't always involve lying about their record; it may just be conveniently stating their record for the time frame which makes it appear they are winning(e.g. if service is say 12-4 over 4 days, they would state that but leave out how they were 5-10 for example in the days prior to that).
Then of course if the service has a sense that the public plays have been losing of late, it knows that it may have a weak prey and that many folks wanting to get even may just sign up for the service's picks if its ad is convincing enough.
Of course many services also try to entice bettors with 50-1 systems,angles, etc. that only they(the service) know about.
It is in a way similar to a trial;it is not who is telling the truth;it is which lawyer can do a better job of convincing the jury that his client should win;obviously psychology is the key.
It is the same with the sports services;the ones with the smoothest, most believeable and convincing ads are the ones which succeed;this may or not be the ones which are in fact the best if their record is taken as the criterion.
In short, as with the linemakers psychology is what counts re: the sports services.
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