The Bum's February's NBA POD's Stats, Trends, News, & Game of the Year !

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday Tips

February 6, 2014


Spurs at Nets - 8:05 PM EST

San Antonio: 36-13 SU, 24-25 ATS
Brooklyn: 21-25 SU, 22-24 ATS

We'll see how much gas the Spurs have left in the tank following last night's 125-118 victory in double-overtime at Washington. San Antonio overcame a 14-point halftime deficit to eventually force overtime and did so without point guard Tony Parker, who left after 19 minutes with tightness in his lower back. The Spurs are currently 2-0 SU/ATS on their current seven-game Rodeo Road Trip which will extend through the All-Star break, but Parker is expected sit out tonight's action at the Barclays Center.

The Nets snapped a three-game skid with Monday's 108-102 home win over the struggling 76ers, but Brooklyn failed to cash as nine-point favorites. Joe Johnson sat out the game with tendonitis in his right knee, but the Nets' shooting guard is expected to play tonight after missing just his second game of the season. Since late December, the Nets have won eight of 10 home contests, with the two losses coming to the Thunder and Raptors in the past two weeks.

The last time the Nets and Spurs hooked up in San Antonio on New Year's Eve, Gregg Popovich's team cruised to a 113-92 triumph as 12-point favorites. Johnson, Deron Williams, and Kevin Garnett combined to shoot 8-of-24 from the field in the loss, while Brooklyn allowed 51% shooting from the floor. The Spurs have won six straight meetings in the series, including each of the last three visits to New Jersey/Brooklyn.

San Antonio has played well with no rest recently, winning six of its last seven on the second of a back-to-back, while covering five times in this span. With Parker and Manu Ginobili out already, don't be surprised if Tim Duncan takes a seat as well tonight following the double-overtime win at Washington. The Spurs have thrived in this situation without their "big three" on a Thursday TNT game, beating the Warriors as seven-point underdogs on December 19 in a 104-102 triumph.

Bulls at Warriors - 10:35 PM EST

Chicago: 24-24 SU, 22-26 ATS
Golden State: 29-20 SU, 21-26-2 ATS

Following two sub-par offensive performances at New Orleans and Sacramento, the Bulls bounced back nicely with a 101-92 victory at Phoenix to snap a two-game skid. Chicago plays the fifth game of a six-game road swing tonight, as the Bulls have limited the first four opponents to less than 100 points. The win over the Suns marked the first time that Tom Thibodeau's team busted the 100-point mark in regulation since scoring 103 points against the 76ers on January 16, a span of 10 games.

The Warriors were humbled early in Monday's home setback to the Bobcats, 91-75 as 10 ½-point favorites. Mark Jackson's club scored 18 points or less in three of the four quarters, while the Warriors shot a poor 31% from the floor in the team's second loss to Charlotte this season. Golden State has hit the 'under' in five straight games, while allowing 92 points or less in each of these contests. The Warriors won 10 straight games from late December through early January, but Golden State has covered just three of its last 12 games, while posting a 2-5 SU/ATS record the past seven contests at Oracle Arena.

The Bulls swept the season series from the Warriors last season, including a 113-95 rout as four-point road underdogs last March. The underdog has covered each of the six meetings at Oracle Arena, while the Warriors last cashed in the home favorite role over the Bulls in November 2005. Chicago is on fire in the road 'dog role recently, cashing seven of the last nine opportunities away from the United Center.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, February 6

San Antonio at Brooklyn, 8:00 ET
San Antonio: 19-6 ATS off an road win scoring 110 or more points
Brooklyn: 0-10 ATS in home games after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points

Chicago at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Chicago: 41-21 ATS in a road game where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points
Golden State: 3-11 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

[StarDust Bum]

FEBRUARY'S RECORD:

14 - 5 *****

6 - 5 DOUBLE PLAY

3 - 1 TRIPLE PLAY


Thursday, February 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Antonio - 8:00 PM ET Brooklyn -6 500 *****
Brooklyn - Over 196.5 500 *****

Chicago - 10:30 PM ET Chicago +8.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Golden State - Under 188 500 DOUBLE PLAY

[StarDust Bum]

Pacers, Blazers hook up

February 7, 2014


PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (35-14) at INDIANA PACERS (38-10)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Indiana -6 & 197

The Blazers head to Indiana on Friday night trying to stop the Pacers from winning their fourth straight game.

Portland is coming off a 94-90 road victory over the Knicks and has now won two of its past three games. The Blazers, who lead the league in scoring with 107.7 PPG, are averaging just 91.8 PPG on 39.4% FG over the past five contests in which they are 1-4 ATS. These two teams play completely different styles, as Portland will be taking on a hot Indiana team that allows a league-low 90.2 PPG and 41.3% FG. Over the course of its three-game win streak, opponents have scored a mere 86.7 PPG on 42.4% FG. The Pacers will likely be without SG Lance Stephenson (back), who hurt himself in Tuesday's game when he fell after a dunk and is listed as doubtful for Friday.

The Blazers have been a strong road team this season at 16-9 SU (14-11 ATS), but Indiana is a near-perfect 23-2 SU (17-8 ATS) at home this season. These teams met earlier in the season on Dec. 2 when the Blazers pulled out a 106-102 home victory, making them 7-3 SU (5-4-1 ATS) in the past 10 meetings of this series. But the Pacers are 8-2 (SU and ATS) in the past 10 home meetings with Portland, including three straight wins by an average of 12.3 PPG. Both teams have positive betting trends, as the Blazers are 18-8 ATS in road games after one or more consecutive Unders over the past two seasons, but Indiana is 13-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points in this same timeframe.

The Trail Blazers have been outstanding from long distance this season with a 38.2% three-point FG clip (2nd in NBA), but their defense has been suspect, surrendering 103.1 PPG on 45.7% FG and 36.4% threes. They pulled out a close 94-90 victory in New York on Wednesday behind 20 points from SF Nicolas Batum (13.0 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 5.4 APG). Batum will need to step up his game against the Pacers as well, as he will be matched up against Paul George and must be focused defensively on every possession so he is not caught off guard by the Pacers' flare screens. PG Damian Lillard (20.6 PPG, 5.7 APG, 3.7 RPG), who was selected to participate in the Dunk Contest and Three Point Shootout during All-Star weekend, is averaging 19.3 PPG, 6.3 APG and 5.7 RPG over the past three contests, but has really struggled with his shot for the past eight games, making just 40% FG and 20% threes (9-for-46). He also shot poorly (7-for-17 FG) in the Dec. 2 win over Indiana, but still wound up with 26 points (10-for-10 FT), six rebounds and two blocks. Lillard should play well in this game, as he is matched up against George Hill, who is one of the weaker links in a well-balanced Pacers starting lineup.

SG Wesley Matthews (16.7 PPG, 4.1 RPG) was huge in the Blazers win over New York with 18 points and seven rebounds in 36 minutes and will need to have a similar performance against Indiana, whom he scored 15 points against in December, with Lance Stephenson likely out of the game. Portland star PF LaMarcus Aldridge (24.1 PPG, 11.6 RPG) should have his work cut out for him going against a usually tough Pacers frontcourt that allowed Aldridge to rack up 28 points (11-of-19 FG), 10 boards and three assists in the Dec. 2 meeting. Aldridge had 15 points and 12 rebounds in the win over New York, giving him 12 double-doubles in the past 13 games (25.3 PPG, 13.5 RPG).

The Pacers are a great defensive team and a strong rebounding club (45.5 PPG, 6th in NBA), but they haven't really clicked on offense this year, ranking 20th in the league in scoring (98.4 PPG) and 21st in assists (20.5 APG). Although the team has won four of its past five games, SF Paul George (22.7 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 3.4 APG, 1.8 SPG) has struggled with his shot during this timeframe (32% FG, 23% threes) and will need to get back on track with a big game against the Blazers on Friday. His matchup with Nicolas Batum will be a big factor in who wins. However, George poured in 43 points (16-of-30 FG, 7-of-15 threes) in the last meeting between these teams, but the Pacers still lost, showing that George needs some support from his teammates. PG George Hill (10.5 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.3 APG) is averaging just 3.5 PPG on 3-of-13 FG over the past two contests and must play better offensively than he did on Dec. 2 when the Blazers held him to six points on 1-of-8 shooting. However, Hill posted 11 assists, three steals and just two turnovers in that loss. With another matchup with Damian Lillard looming, he will need to work defensively for the entire game no matter whether or not his shot is falling.

With SG Lance Stephenson (14.1 PPG, 7.2 RPG, 5.3 APG) dealing with a back injury, SF Danny Granger (8.6 PPG) could see an increased opportunity. He is averaging 12.0 PPG and 4.0 RPG in 24.0 MPG over the past two contests, and with a bump in minutes, he could really add a nice scoring punch for Indiana considering he has averaged 20.5 PPG in 11 career meetings with Portland. C Roy Hibbert (12.2 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 2.4 BPG) must be on his game defensively as he will be seeing plenty of time guarding LaMarcus Aldridge, who is one of the league's early MVP candidates. Hibbert had a huge performance in Portland on Dec. 2 with 16 points, 14 boards and three assists, but is averaging just 8.5 PPG and 7.0 RPG over the past two contests and hasn't blocked a shot in either game. The Pacers will struggle in this one if Hibbert is not defending the rim like they are used to him doing.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday Tips

February 6, 2014


Blazers at Pacers - 7:05 PM EST

Portland: 35-14 SU, 26-23 ATS
Indiana: 38-10 SU, 31-17 ATS

It hasn't been stated much this season, but the Pacers are playing with revenge on Friday night against the Blazers. The last time these teams hooked up at the Moda Center in early December, Portland outlasted Indiana, 106-102, as Paul George went off for 43 points in the defeat. The Blazers have lost three straight visits to Indianapolis, as the Pacers have covered each time as a short favorite. Portland snapped a four-game road skid in Wednesday's 94-90 triumph at New York, the fourth consecutive away game in which it has scored below 97 points.

The Pacers are riding a three-game winning streak following Tuesday's 89-85 victory at Atlanta as three-point favorites. In the win, Pacers' sparkplug Lance Stephenson left the game with a back injury and is listed as 'out' for Friday's action. Indiana owns a terrific 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS record as a single-digit home favorite this season, with coincidentally both non-covers coming against Toronto. Frank Vogel's club is 4-2 to the 'over' the last six home games, while holding five of those opponents to below 96 points.

Thunder at Magic - 7:05 PM EST

Oklahoma City: 40-11 SU, 30-21 ATS
Orlando: 14-37 SU, 21-30 ATS

Two teams from opposite sides of the NBA spectrum hook up in central Florida as the Thunder go for their 13th win in 14 tries. Oklahoma City swept a mini two-game homestand against Memphis and Minnesota, while improving to 10-3 ATS in the last 13 trips to the court. Now, the Thunder will try to continue their road dominance after capturing six victories in their past seven away contests, as OKC goes for its third straight win at Amway Arena since 2012.

Orlando has actually fared well at home of late, covering six of its last seven, while winning three consecutive home contests overall. The Magic dominated the Pistons on Wednesday, 112-98 as 2 ½-point home 'dogs, but Orlando has beaten just two teams at Amway Arena that currently sit above the .500 mark (Clippers and Hawks). Since starting the season at 3-0 ATS as a home 'dog, the Magic is just 4-7 ATS the last 11 opportunities when receiving points at home. The Magic hung with the Thunder in their previous meeting at OKC, falling 101-98 in December as 13-point underdogs.

Wolves at Pelicans - 9:35 PM EST

Minnesota: 24-25 SU, 26-23 ATS
New Orleans: 21-27 SU, 22-24-2 ATS

The Wolves played without Kevin Love in Wednesday's 106-97 defeat at Oklahoma City as 12 ½-point underdogs, as Minnesota hopes to get its leading scorer back on Friday night. Love suffered a bruised tailbone in Tuesday's home victory over the Lakers, the only win in a four-game stretch for Minnesota. The Wolves are a perfect 2-0 SU/ATS this season against the Pelicans with both victories coming at the Target Center, including an 88-77 triumph in late January as 10 ½-point favorites.

The Pelicans close out a four-game homestand after rallying past the Hawks on Wednesday, 105-100 to cash as 2 ½-point favorites. New Orleans is looking to seek consistency as the Pelicans have alternated wins and losses in each of their last five contests, while last winning successive home games in mid-December. Monty Williams' club has compiled a solid 9-4 ATS record the last 13 games overall, but is just 2-4 ATS in the previous six opportunities as a home 'dog.

Raptors at Clippers - 10:35 PM EST

Toronto: 26-23 SU, 30-19 ATS
Los Angeles: 34-18 SU, 29-23 ATS

The Raptors conclude their five-game Western Conference road swing in Southern California on Friday, as Toronto battles Los Angeles. On Wednesday night, the Raps fell short in a 109-101 defeat at Sacramento as short 'dogs, as Toronto dropped to 5-9 this season off a road win, coming off Monday's victory at Utah. Dwane Casey's team is in a profitable spot on Friday, as the Raptors own an incredible 9-3 SU and 11-1 ATS record off a road defeat this season.

The Clippers' rally fell short in Wednesday's 116-112 home setback to the Heat as short underdogs, the second straight loss for Los Angeles. Doc Rivers' squad hasn't lost three consecutive games yet this season, but the Clips are just 1-4 ATS the past five contests. The loss to the Heat snapped a seven-game winning streak at Staples Center for the Clips, dropping L.A. to 2-4 ATS the past six home games against Eastern Conference foes. The Clips go for the season sweep of the Raptors after outlasting Toronto, 126-118 on January 25, while Los Angeles has won each of the last three home matchups with Toronto.

[StarDust Bum]

Pacers without Stephenson vs Blazers

February 7, 2014

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) - The Pacers will be without forward Lance Stephenson for Friday's home game against Portland.

Stephenson, who has four triple-doubles this season, injured his lower back in Indiana's 89-85 win over Atlanta on Tuesday.

Stephenson, who is averaging 14.1 points and 7.2 rebounds, has started every game he's played in this season. He missed the game against Atlanta where Danny Granger started in his place.

Granger will start for Stephenson against the Trail Blazers.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, February 7

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LA LAKERS (17 - 32) at PHILADELPHIA (15 - 35) - 2/7/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (35 - 14) at INDIANA (38 - 10) - 2/7/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games this season.
INDIANA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 185-129 ATS (+43.1 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
INDIANA is 138-93 ATS (+35.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
INDIANA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (16 - 33) at WASHINGTON (24 - 24) - 2/7/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 71-57 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 314-377 ATS (-100.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 120-159 ATS (-54.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (40 - 11) at ORLANDO (14 - 37) - 2/7/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 71-52 ATS (+13.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 140-105 ATS (+24.5 Units) in road games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 36-51 ATS (-20.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (17 - 32) at BOSTON (17 - 33) - 2/7/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (24 - 23) at NEW YORK (19 - 30) - 2/7/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) on Friday nights this season.
NEW YORK is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games this season.
NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
NEW YORK is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (21 - 25) at DETROIT (19 - 29) - 2/7/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games on Friday nights this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (16 - 32) at DALLAS (29 - 21) - 2/7/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (24 - 25) at NEW ORLEANS (21 - 27) - 2/7/2014, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (26 - 23) at LA CLIPPERS (34 - 18) - 2/7/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games this season.
TORONTO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 86-125 ATS (-51.5 Units) in February games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 289-346 ATS (-91.6 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 148-207 ATS (-79.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 7

Hot teams
-- Pacers won four of their last five games.
-- Thunder won 12 of their last 13 games (10-3 vs spread).
-- Wizards are 4-1 vs spread in game following last five losses.
-- Boston/Sacramento both won last two games; Kings lost last four road games (3-1-1 vs spread last five).
-- Nets won 12 of their last 16 games (11-5 vs spread).
-- Nuggets won four of their last six games.
-- Mavericks won four of their last five games.
-- New Orleans won five of its last seven games.
-- Toronto covered seven of its last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Portland lost four of its last five road games.
-- Magic lost five of their last seven games.
-- Lakers/76ers both lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Cavaliers lost their last six games (0-6 vs spread).
-- Pistons lost six of their last eight games.
-- New York lost last three games, by 15-4-3 points.
-- Jazz lost five of their last seven games.
-- Minnesota lost three of its last four games.
-- Clippers lost three of their last four games.

Series records
-- Home team won last seven Portland-Indiana games.
-- Thunder won last five games vs Orlando (0-3 vs spread last three).
-- Lakers lost three of last four games with Philadelphia.
-- Cavaliers won four of last five games with Washington.
-- Kings lost last four visits to Boston, three by 18+ points.
-- Pistons are 2-0 vs Brooklyn this year, winning by 12-4 points.
-- Knicks lost seven of last ten games with Denver.
-- Mavericks won nine of last twelve games with Utah.
-- Pelicans lost last four games with Minnesota, three by 12+ points.
-- Clippers won four of last five games with Toronto.

Totals
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Portland games.
-- Five of last seven Orlando games stayed under.
-- Ten of last twelve Laker games went over total.
-- Eight of last nine Cavalier-Wizard games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Brooklyn games.
-- Five of last six Denver-New York games went over.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Utah games.
-- Five of last six Minnesota-New Orleans games went over.
-- Over is 15-9 in Clipper home games this season.

Back to backs
-- Nets are 4-2 vs spread on road if they played night before.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, February 7

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Oklahoma City is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games
Orlando is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

7:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. PHILADELPHIA
LA Lakers are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
LA Lakers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

7:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Portland
Indiana is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home

7:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. WASHINGTON
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Cleveland

7:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Brooklyn is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Detroit is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games

7:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. BOSTON
Sacramento is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 13 games when playing at home against Sacramento

7:30 PM
DENVER vs. NEW YORK
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

8:30 PM
UTAH vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games at home

9:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Minnesota is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

10:30 PM
TORONTO vs. LA CLIPPERS
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
LA Clippers are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, February 7

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Game of the Day: Trail Blazers at Pacers
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Portland Trail Blazers at Indiana Pacers (-5.5, 195)

If the Portland Trail Blazers thought their offensive struggles were bad in their previous four games, they could be in for a jarring surprise Friday night as they visit the Indiana Pacers in a meeting between the NBA's top offense and No. 1 defense. The Trail Blazers have been the class of the NBA in the scoring department, but have failed to crack 95 points in three of their last four games. Indiana will provide a stiff test, allowing a league-low 90.2 points per game.

The Blazers didn't need to reach their 107.7-points-per-game average in their last encounter, doing just enough to slip past the host New York Knicks 94-90. Nicolas Batum's 20 points and 10 rebounds made the difference on a night where fringe MVP candidate LaMarcus Aldridge struggled with his shot and the Portland bench shot just 5-of-16 from the floor. Indiana has won three straight games and is a league-best 23-2 at Bankers Life Stadium so far.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN, CSNW (Portland), FSIN (Indiana)

LINE HISTORY: The Pacers opened at -5.5 and have climbed to -6 at some books. The total has moved from 197 to 195.
POWER RANKINGS: Portland (-10.0) - Indiana (-14.0) + Home court (-3.0) = Indiana -7

INJURY WATCH: Pacers - Lance Stephenson (Back - Questionable). Trail Blazers - None

WHY BET PORTLAND (35-14 SU, 26-23 ATS, 30-18-1 O/U): Even the most casual NBA fan will recognize Portland point guard Damian Lillard as one of the most versatile at his position. He'll get a chance to show just how varied his skills are when he participates in what will be the busiest All-Star Weekend in league history. In addition to taking part in the All-Star Game, the rookie/sophomore and the skills challenge, Lillard has confirmed participation in the dunk contest and will also take part in the 3-point shootout.

WHY BET INDIANA (38-10 SU, 31-17 ATS, 19-28-1 O/U): Indiana star Paul George will join Lillard in the dunk competition, but not everyone is happy about his participation. Teammate Roy Hibbert, who will also suit up for the Eastern Conference in the All-Star Game, doesn't think George should bother with the contest. "I don't think Paul should do it, to tell you the truth," Hibbert told the Indianapolis Star. "He's doing the stuff in the games to show why he could've won it two years ago. I think he's been there/done that."

TRENDS:

* Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
* Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
* Trail Blazers are 5-14 ATS in the last 19 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 53 percent of bets are on the Pacers -5.5 while 54 percent are on the Under 195.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, February 7

LA Lakers at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
LA Lakers: n/a
Philadelphia: n/a

Portland at Indiada, 7:05 ET
Portland: 11-25 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games
Indiana: 14-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5

Cleveland at Washington, 7:05 ET
Cleveland: 2-16 ATS after a non-conference game
Washington: 7-0 ATS after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points

Oklahoma City at Orlando, 7:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 42-26 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Orlando: 15-29 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent

Sacramento at Boston, 7:35 ET
Sacramento: n/a
Boston: n/a

Denver at NY Knicks, 7:35 ET
Denver: 1-10 ATS on Friday nights
NY Knicks: 55-36 ATS second half of the season

Brooklyn at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Brooklyn: 25-14 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins
Detroit: 0-7 ATS in home games on Friday nights

Utah at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Utah: n/a
Dallas: n/a

Minnesota at New Orleans, 9:35 ET
Minnesota: n/a
New Orleans: n/a

Toronto at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET
Toronto: 14-5 ATS as a road underdog
LA Clippers: 29-16 OVER after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Portland at Indiana
The Pacers play host to Portland tonight with the Blazers carrying a 2-8 ATS record in their last 10 meetings in Indiana. Indiana is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 7

Game 801-802: LA Lakers at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 108.121; Philadelphia 114.692
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 222
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 218
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-2 1/2); Over

Game 803-804: Portland at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 118.957; Indiana 126.862
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 196
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6); Under

Game 805-806: Cleveland at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 112.621; Washington 118.674
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 6; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 8 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+8 1/2); Over

Game 807-808: Oklahoma City at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 128.276; Orlando 111.585
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 16 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9; 200
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9); Under

Game 809-810: Sacramento at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 120.296; Boston 114.489
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 6; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 1; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-1); Under

Game 811-812: Denver at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 119.746; New York 116.704
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1); Over

Game 813-814: Brooklyn at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 115.861; Detroit 119.494
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-1 1/2); Over

Game 815-816: Utah at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 115.197; Dallas 125.838
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 9; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-9); Under

Game 817-818: Minnesota at New Orleans (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 123.032; New Orleans 119.448
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 1 1/2; 205
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Over

Game 819-820: Toronto at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 119.446; LA Clippers 128.139
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

FEBRUARY'S RECORD:

15 - 6 *****

7- 6 DOUBLE PLAY

3 - 1 TRIPLE PLAY

Friday, February 7

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Portland - 7:00 PM ET Portland +6 500 *****
Indiana - Over 197 500

Oklahoma City - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +9.5 500
Orlando - Under 199 500

L.A. Lakers - 7:00 PM ET L.A. Lakers +4 500
Philadelphia - Over 219 500

Cleveland - 7:00 PM ET Washington -8.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Washington - Under 200 500

Sacramento - 7:30 PM ET Sacramento -1.5 500
Boston - Under 198 500

Brooklyn - 7:30 PM ET Brooklyn +1.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Detroit - Over 204.5 500

Denver - 7:30 PM ET Denver +2 500 *****
New York - Over 210 500

Utah - 8:30 PM ET Dallas -9.5 500
Dallas - Under 206 500

Minnesota - 9:30 PM ET New Orleans +1 500 *****
New Orleans - Under 197.5 500

Toronto - 10:30 PM ET Toronto +5.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
L.A. Clippers - Under 205.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Saturday

February 8, 2014

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Trail Blazers are 10-0 ATS (4.75 ppg) since Jan 15, 2005 on the road off a loss in which they led by double digits at the end of the first quarter.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bucks are 10-0-1 OU (11.82 ppg) since Mar 05, 2008 at home with at least one day of rest after a game on the road in which they shot less than 40% from the field.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Heat are 9-0 ATS (8.67 ppg) since Dec 14, 2005 on the road after Dwyane Wade decreased his scoring by at least 15 points over their past two games after playing in a road win.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Nuggets are 0-11 ATS (-11.00 ppg) since Mar 01, 2010 with no rest off a loss in which they led by 10+ points on the road.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Grizzlies are 0-8 ATS (-6.81 ppg) since Mar 12, 2011 on the road after Marc Gasol took fewer than 10 shots in a loss.

-- The Pistons are 0-9 ATS (-13.56 ppg) since Jan 23, 2009 as a home favorite with at most one day of rest after a double digit win in which they shot at least 50% from the field.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 8

Hot teams
-- Spurs/Bobcats both won three of their last four games.
-- Rockets won/covered their last four games.
-- Warriors won three of their last four games.
-- Heat won six of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Memphis lost last two games, by 9-14 points, after winning 11 of 13 games before that. Atlanta lost three of its last five at home.
-- Detroit lost six of its last nine games. Nuggets lost three of their last four road games.
-- Minnesota lost four of their last five games. Trailblazers lost four of their last six.
-- Bucks lost seven of their last eight games, but covered last three.
-- Suns lost last two games, by 14-9 points, after winning seven of their previous eight games.
-- Utah lost its last four games (0-3 vs spread last three).

Series records
-- Spurs won last five games with Charlotte, covered last four.
-- Hawks won six of their last eight games with Memphis.
-- Nuggets won their last six games with Detroit.
-- Trailblazers won six of last seven games with Minnesota.
-- Rockets are 5-3 in their last eight games with Milwaukee.
-- Warriors won seven of last eight games with Phoenix.
-- Jazz won four of last six vs Miami, winning last two here.

Totals
-- Four of last five Charlotte games stayed under total.
-- Ten of last twelve Memphis games stayed under; five of Hawks' last six games went over
-- Four of last five Denver games stayed under total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Portland games.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games went over.
-- Five of last six Golden State games stayed under.
-- Last four Utah games stayed under the total.

Back to backs
-- Nuggets are 2-5 vs spread if they played night before. Detroit is 4-7-1 if it played night before, but 3-2 if they won.
-- Minnesota is 5-5 vs spread if it played night before. Portland is 7-6 vs spread if it played night before, 1-2 if it lost.
-- Utah is 5-7 vs spread if it played night before.